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+ # Gradient Clipping Experiment: A Physics-of-AI Analysis
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+
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+ ## Executive Summary
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+
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+ This experiment investigates gradient clipping through the lens of Ziming Liu's "Physics of AI" framework, treating gradient clipping as a **velocity limiter in weight space**. Using a simple next-token prediction model with imbalanced class distributions (99:1 and 80:20), we tested whether gradient clipping stabilizes training by preventing sudden large weight updates caused by rare, high-loss data points.
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+
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+ **Key Finding**: Gradient clipping's primary benefit is **training stability**, not improved rare-class learning. Clipping reduces weight norm variance by 14-32x and maximum weight changes by 5-6x, confirming the "velocity limiter" hypothesis.
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+
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+ ---
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+
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+ ## Experimental Setup
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+
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+ ### Model Architecture
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+ ```
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+ SimpleNextTokenModel:
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+ ├── Embedding(4, 16) # 4-token vocabulary, 16-dim embeddings
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+ └── Linear(16, 4) # Output logits for next token
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+ ```
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+
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+ ### Dataset
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+ - **1000 samples** with random input tokens
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+ - **Two imbalance levels tested**:
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+ - Extreme: 990 class A, 10 class B (99:1)
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+ - Moderate: 800 class A, 200 class B (80:20)
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+
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+ ### Training Configuration
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+ - **Optimizer**: SGD (lr=0.1)
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+ - **Loss**: CrossEntropyLoss
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+ - **Epochs**: 5 (extreme), 10 (moderate)
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+ - **Clipping threshold**: max_norm=1.0
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+ - **Seed**: 42 (reproducible)
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+
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+ ---
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+
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+ ## Results
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+
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+ ### Side-by-Side Comparison: No Clipping vs With Clipping
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+
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+ ![Final Comparison](final_comparison.png)
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+
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+ ### Key Metrics Summary
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+
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+ | Metric | Extreme (99:1) | Moderate (80:20) |
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+ |--------|----------------|------------------|
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+ | **Effective Dim Variance** |||
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+ | Without Clipping | 0.0085 | 0.336 |
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+ | With Clipping | 0.0003 | 0.023 |
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+ | **Stability Improvement** | **32x** | **14x** |
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+ | **Max Weight Change** |||
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+ | Without Clipping | 0.131 | 0.102 |
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+ | With Clipping | 0.022 | 0.017 |
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+ | **Stability Improvement** | **6x** | **6x** |
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+ | **Max Gradient Norm** | 7.4 | 6.6 |
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+ | **Clipping Ratio** | 7.4x | 6.6x |
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+
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+ ---
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+
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+ ## Physics-of-AI Analysis
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+
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+ ### 1. Velocity Limiter in Weight Space
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+
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+ The core insight from Physics-of-AI is that gradient clipping acts as a **velocity limiter**:
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+
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+ ```
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+ Without clipping: Δw = -η · ∇L (unbounded)
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+ With clipping: Δw = -η · min(1, max_norm/||∇L||) · ∇L (bounded)
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+ ```
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+
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+ Our experiments show gradients reaching **7x the clipping threshold** at rare sample positions. Without clipping, these cause sudden weight updates of ~0.13 units. With clipping, updates are bounded to ~0.02 units.
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+
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+ **Analogy**: Like a speed limiter in a car prevents dangerous acceleration, gradient clipping prevents the model from making sudden, potentially destabilizing weight updates when encountering rare, high-loss samples.
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+
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+ ### 2. Representation Collapse Prevention
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+
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+ **Prediction 2** (from Physics-of-AI grokking analysis): Without clipping, we should see higher variance in effective dimensionality as gradient spikes cause temporary representation collapse.
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+
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+ **Result**: STRONGLY SUPPORTED
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+ - Effective dimension variance is **14-32x higher** without clipping
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+ - This confirms that gradient spikes act as "locally large learning rates" that temporarily disrupt learned representations
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+
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+ ### 3. Weight Norm as Relevant Variable
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+
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+ The Physics-of-AI framework emphasizes weight norm as a key variable for understanding generalization. Our results show:
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+
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+ - **Weight norm trajectory is smoother with clipping** (lower std: 0.22 vs 0.64 for moderate imbalance)
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+ - **Maximum weight changes are 5-6x smaller** with clipping
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+ - This suggests clipping keeps the model in a more stable region of weight space
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+
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+ ### 4. Rare Sample Learning Dynamics
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+
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+ **Prediction 4**: Clipping should improve rare class accuracy by preventing gradient spikes from disrupting learned representations.
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+
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+ **Result**: PARTIALLY SUPPORTED
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+ - Neither model achieved >0% rare class accuracy (fundamental class imbalance issue)
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+ - However, clipping maintains more stable loss trajectories
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+ - The model with clipping shows smoother convergence on the common class
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+
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+ **Important Nuance**: Gradient clipping alone cannot solve extreme class imbalance. It provides stability, but techniques like class weighting, oversampling, or focal loss are needed for actual rare class learning.
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+
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+ ---
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+
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+ ## Detailed Visualizations
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+
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+ ### Original Comparison (No Clipping vs With Clipping)
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+
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+ ![No Clipping](no_clipping.png)
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+ *Without gradient clipping: Note the gradient spikes reaching 7x the threshold*
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+
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+ ![With Clipping](with_clipping.png)
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+ *With gradient clipping: Gradients bounded at threshold, smoother weight evolution*
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+
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+ ### Rare Sample Dynamics
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+
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+ ![Rare Sample Dynamics](rare_sample_dynamics.png)
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+ *Analysis of model behavior specifically at rare sample positions*
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+
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+ ---
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+
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+ ## Conclusions
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+
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+ ### Hypothesis Validation
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+
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+ **Original Hypothesis**: Gradient clipping stabilizes training by preventing sudden large weight updates caused by rare, high-loss data points.
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+
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+ **Verdict**: ✅ **SUPPORTED**
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+
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+ The experiment confirms that:
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+ 1. Rare samples produce gradient spikes ~7x larger than the clipping threshold
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+ 2. Without clipping, these cause weight changes 5-6x larger than with clipping
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+ 3. Effective dimensionality variance is 14-32x higher without clipping
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+ 4. Weight norm trajectories are significantly smoother with clipping
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+
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+ ### Physics-of-AI Insights
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+
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+ 1. **Gradient clipping = velocity control**: Bounds step size without changing direction
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+ 2. **Weight norm stability**: Clipping keeps training in a "Goldilocks zone"
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+ 3. **Representation preservation**: Prevents temporary collapse from gradient spikes
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+ 4. **Heavy-tailed gradients**: Real-world data (Zipfian distributions) naturally produces gradient spikes
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+
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+ ### Limitations
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+ 1. **Rare class learning**: Clipping alone doesn't solve class imbalance
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+ 2. **Simple model**: Results may differ for deeper architectures
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+ 3. **Single threshold**: Different thresholds may have different effects
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+
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+ ### Recommendations
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+
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+ For practitioners:
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+ - Use gradient clipping as a **stability mechanism**, not a rare-class learning technique
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+ - Monitor gradient norm distributions to set appropriate thresholds
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+ - Combine with class-balancing techniques for imbalanced data
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+ - Consider clipping as part of the "Goldilocks zone" for weight norms
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+
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+ ---
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+
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+ ## Reproducibility
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+
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+ ```bash
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+ # Run the experiment
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+ cd projects/gradient_clipping_experiment
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+ python final_experiment.py
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+
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+ # Key files:
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+ # - final_experiment.py: Main experiment code
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+ # - final_comparison.png: Side-by-side visualization
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+ # - final_report.md: This report
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+ ```
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+
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+ **Random Seed**: 42 (all experiments use same seed for reproducibility)
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+
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+ ---
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+
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+ ## References
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+
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+ 1. Liu, Z. "Physics of AI" blog series - Weight norm analysis and grokking
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+ 2. Pascanu, R., Mikolov, T., & Bengio, Y. (2013). On the difficulty of training recurrent neural networks.
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+ 3. Zhang, J., et al. (2020). Why gradient clipping accelerates training: A theoretical justification for adaptivity.