Create Temporal_Convolutional_Network.py
Browse files
Temporal_Convolutional_Network.py
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| 1 |
+
import os
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| 2 |
+
import numpy as np
|
| 3 |
+
import pandas as pd
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| 4 |
+
import torch
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| 5 |
+
import torch.nn as nn
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| 6 |
+
from torch.utils.data import Dataset, DataLoader
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| 7 |
+
from sklearn.preprocessing import MinMaxScaler
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| 8 |
+
from sklearn.metrics import mean_absolute_error, mean_squared_error, r2_score
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| 9 |
+
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
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| 10 |
+
from itertools import product
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| 11 |
+
import json
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| 12 |
+
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| 13 |
+
# -------------------------
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| 14 |
+
# Dataset
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| 15 |
+
# -------------------------
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| 16 |
+
class StockDataset(Dataset):
|
| 17 |
+
"""Custom Dataset for stock price time-series forecasting."""
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| 18 |
+
def __init__(self, series, seq_length):
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| 19 |
+
self.series = series
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| 20 |
+
self.seq_length = seq_length
|
| 21 |
+
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| 22 |
+
def __len__(self):
|
| 23 |
+
return len(self.series) - self.seq_length
|
| 24 |
+
|
| 25 |
+
def __getitem__(self, idx):
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| 26 |
+
x = self.series[idx:idx + self.seq_length] # Shape: (seq_length,)
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| 27 |
+
y = self.series[idx + self.seq_length] # Shape: scalar
|
| 28 |
+
x = np.expand_dims(x, axis=0) # Shape: (1, seq_length)
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| 29 |
+
return torch.tensor(x, dtype=torch.float32), torch.tensor(y, dtype=torch.float32)
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| 30 |
+
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| 31 |
+
# -------------------------
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| 32 |
+
# TCN Blocks
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| 33 |
+
# -------------------------
|
| 34 |
+
class TemporalBlock(nn.Module):
|
| 35 |
+
"""Temporal Convolutional Network block with causal dilated convolutions."""
|
| 36 |
+
def __init__(self, in_channels, out_channels, kernel_size, stride, dilation, dropout=0.2):
|
| 37 |
+
super().__init__()
|
| 38 |
+
padding = (kernel_size - 1) * dilation
|
| 39 |
+
self.conv1 = nn.Conv1d(in_channels, out_channels, kernel_size,
|
| 40 |
+
stride=stride, padding=padding, dilation=dilation)
|
| 41 |
+
self.relu1 = nn.ReLU()
|
| 42 |
+
self.dropout1 = nn.Dropout(dropout)
|
| 43 |
+
self.conv2 = nn.Conv1d(out_channels, out_channels, kernel_size,
|
| 44 |
+
stride=stride, padding=padding, dilation=dilation)
|
| 45 |
+
self.relu2 = nn.ReLU()
|
| 46 |
+
self.dropout2 = nn.Dropout(dropout)
|
| 47 |
+
self.downsample = nn.Conv1d(in_channels, out_channels, 1) if in_channels != out_channels else None
|
| 48 |
+
self.relu = nn.ReLU()
|
| 49 |
+
|
| 50 |
+
def forward(self, x):
|
| 51 |
+
out = self.conv1(x)
|
| 52 |
+
out = out[:, :, :x.size(2)] # Trim padding
|
| 53 |
+
out = self.relu1(out)
|
| 54 |
+
out = self.dropout1(out)
|
| 55 |
+
out = self.conv2(out)
|
| 56 |
+
out = out[:, :, :x.size(2)] # Trim padding
|
| 57 |
+
out = self.relu2(out)
|
| 58 |
+
out = self.dropout2(out)
|
| 59 |
+
res = x if self.downsample is None else self.downsample(x)
|
| 60 |
+
return self.relu(out + res)
|
| 61 |
+
|
| 62 |
+
class TCN(nn.Module):
|
| 63 |
+
"""Temporal Convolutional Network for time-series forecasting."""
|
| 64 |
+
def __init__(self, input_size, output_size, num_channels, kernel_size=3, dropout=0.2):
|
| 65 |
+
super().__init__()
|
| 66 |
+
layers = []
|
| 67 |
+
num_levels = len(num_channels)
|
| 68 |
+
for i in range(num_levels):
|
| 69 |
+
dilation_size = 2 ** i
|
| 70 |
+
in_channels = input_size if i == 0 else num_channels[i - 1]
|
| 71 |
+
out_channels = num_channels[i]
|
| 72 |
+
layers.append(
|
| 73 |
+
TemporalBlock(in_channels, out_channels, kernel_size,
|
| 74 |
+
stride=1, dilation=dilation_size, dropout=dropout)
|
| 75 |
+
)
|
| 76 |
+
self.network = nn.Sequential(*layers)
|
| 77 |
+
self.linear = nn.Linear(num_channels[-1], output_size)
|
| 78 |
+
|
| 79 |
+
def forward(self, x):
|
| 80 |
+
out = self.network(x)
|
| 81 |
+
out = out[:, :, -1]
|
| 82 |
+
return self.linear(out)
|
| 83 |
+
|
| 84 |
+
# -------------------------
|
| 85 |
+
# Forecaster
|
| 86 |
+
# -------------------------
|
| 87 |
+
class StockPriceForecaster:
|
| 88 |
+
"""Stock price forecasting with TCN model."""
|
| 89 |
+
def __init__(self, dataset_path, seq_length=30, batch_size=32, lr=0.001, epochs=20,
|
| 90 |
+
kernel_size=3, num_channels=[32, 64, 64], dropout=0.2, test_split=0.2):
|
| 91 |
+
self.dataset_path = dataset_path
|
| 92 |
+
self.seq_length = seq_length
|
| 93 |
+
self.batch_size = batch_size
|
| 94 |
+
self.lr = lr
|
| 95 |
+
self.epochs = epochs
|
| 96 |
+
self.kernel_size = kernel_size
|
| 97 |
+
self.num_channels = num_channels
|
| 98 |
+
self.dropout = dropout
|
| 99 |
+
self.test_split = test_split
|
| 100 |
+
self.device = torch.device("cuda" if torch.cuda.is_available() else "cpu")
|
| 101 |
+
self.scaler = MinMaxScaler()
|
| 102 |
+
|
| 103 |
+
def load_data(self):
|
| 104 |
+
"""Load and preprocess stock price data."""
|
| 105 |
+
if not os.path.exists(self.dataset_path):
|
| 106 |
+
raise FileNotFoundError(f"Dataset file not found at: {self.dataset_path}")
|
| 107 |
+
df = pd.read_csv(self.dataset_path)
|
| 108 |
+
if "Close" not in df.columns:
|
| 109 |
+
raise ValueError("CSV file must contain a 'Close' column")
|
| 110 |
+
prices = df["Close"].values.reshape(-1, 1)
|
| 111 |
+
prices_scaled = self.scaler.fit_transform(prices).flatten()
|
| 112 |
+
dataset = StockDataset(prices_scaled, self.seq_length)
|
| 113 |
+
train_size = int(len(dataset) * (1 - self.test_split))
|
| 114 |
+
test_size = len(dataset) - train_size
|
| 115 |
+
train_dataset, test_dataset = torch.utils.data.random_split(dataset, [train_size, test_size])
|
| 116 |
+
train_loader = DataLoader(train_dataset, batch_size=self.batch_size, shuffle=True)
|
| 117 |
+
test_loader = DataLoader(test_dataset, batch_size=self.batch_size, shuffle=False)
|
| 118 |
+
return train_loader, test_loader
|
| 119 |
+
|
| 120 |
+
def train(self, model, train_loader):
|
| 121 |
+
"""Train the TCN model."""
|
| 122 |
+
criterion = nn.MSELoss()
|
| 123 |
+
optimizer = torch.optim.Adam(model.parameters(), lr=self.lr)
|
| 124 |
+
model.train()
|
| 125 |
+
for epoch in range(self.epochs):
|
| 126 |
+
epoch_loss = 0
|
| 127 |
+
for x, y in train_loader:
|
| 128 |
+
x, y = x.to(self.device), y.to(self.device)
|
| 129 |
+
optimizer.zero_grad()
|
| 130 |
+
output = model(x)
|
| 131 |
+
loss = criterion(output.squeeze(), y)
|
| 132 |
+
loss.backward()
|
| 133 |
+
optimizer.step()
|
| 134 |
+
epoch_loss += loss.item()
|
| 135 |
+
print(f"Epoch [{epoch+1}/{self.epochs}], Loss: {epoch_loss/len(train_loader):.6f}")
|
| 136 |
+
return model
|
| 137 |
+
|
| 138 |
+
def evaluate(self, model, test_loader):
|
| 139 |
+
"""Evaluate the model on the test set."""
|
| 140 |
+
model.eval()
|
| 141 |
+
predictions, actuals = [], []
|
| 142 |
+
with torch.no_grad():
|
| 143 |
+
for x, y in test_loader:
|
| 144 |
+
x, y = x.to(self.device), y.to(self.device)
|
| 145 |
+
output = model(x)
|
| 146 |
+
predictions.extend(output.squeeze().cpu().numpy())
|
| 147 |
+
actuals.extend(y.cpu().numpy())
|
| 148 |
+
predictions = self.scaler.inverse_transform(np.array(predictions).reshape(-1, 1)).flatten()
|
| 149 |
+
actuals = self.scaler.inverse_transform(np.array(actuals).reshape(-1, 1)).flatten()
|
| 150 |
+
mae = mean_absolute_error(actuals, predictions)
|
| 151 |
+
rmse = mean_squared_error(actuals, predictions, squared=False)
|
| 152 |
+
mape = np.mean(np.abs((actuals - predictions) / (actuals + 1e-10))) * 100
|
| 153 |
+
r2 = r2_score(actuals, predictions)
|
| 154 |
+
return mae, rmse, mape, r2, actuals, predictions
|
| 155 |
+
|
| 156 |
+
def run(self):
|
| 157 |
+
"""Run training and evaluation."""
|
| 158 |
+
train_loader, test_loader = self.load_data()
|
| 159 |
+
model = TCN(input_size=1, output_size=1,
|
| 160 |
+
num_channels=self.num_channels,
|
| 161 |
+
kernel_size=self.kernel_size,
|
| 162 |
+
dropout=self.dropout).to(self.device)
|
| 163 |
+
trained_model = self.train(model, train_loader)
|
| 164 |
+
return trained_model, self.evaluate(model, test_loader)
|
| 165 |
+
|
| 166 |
+
# -------------------------
|
| 167 |
+
# Save Model for Hugging Face
|
| 168 |
+
# -------------------------
|
| 169 |
+
def save_model_for_huggingface(model, scaler, config, save_dir="tcn_stock_model"):
|
| 170 |
+
"""Save the model and necessary components for Hugging Face deployment."""
|
| 171 |
+
os.makedirs(save_dir, exist_ok=True)
|
| 172 |
+
|
| 173 |
+
# Save model weights
|
| 174 |
+
torch.save(model.state_dict(), os.path.join(save_dir, "pytorch_model.bin"))
|
| 175 |
+
|
| 176 |
+
# Save model configuration
|
| 177 |
+
with open(os.path.join(save_dir, "config.json"), "w") as f:
|
| 178 |
+
json.dump({
|
| 179 |
+
"input_size": 1,
|
| 180 |
+
"output_size": 1,
|
| 181 |
+
"num_channels": config["num_channels"],
|
| 182 |
+
"kernel_size": config["kernel_size"],
|
| 183 |
+
"dropout": config["dropout"],
|
| 184 |
+
"seq_length": config["seq_length"]
|
| 185 |
+
}, f, indent=4)
|
| 186 |
+
|
| 187 |
+
# Save scaler for preprocessing
|
| 188 |
+
import pickle
|
| 189 |
+
with open(os.path.join(save_dir, "scaler.pkl"), "wb") as f:
|
| 190 |
+
pickle.dump(scaler, f)
|
| 191 |
+
|
| 192 |
+
print(f"Model saved to {save_dir}")
|
| 193 |
+
|
| 194 |
+
# -------------------------
|
| 195 |
+
# Experiment Loop
|
| 196 |
+
# -------------------------
|
| 197 |
+
if __name__ == "__main__":
|
| 198 |
+
dataset_path = "/work/GOOGL.csv" # Update to your CSV path
|
| 199 |
+
|
| 200 |
+
# Hyperparameter grid
|
| 201 |
+
seq_lengths = [20, 50]
|
| 202 |
+
batch_sizes = [16, 32]
|
| 203 |
+
learning_rates = [0.001, 0.0005]
|
| 204 |
+
kernel_sizes = [3, 5]
|
| 205 |
+
num_channels_list = [[32, 64, 128], [64, 128, 256]]
|
| 206 |
+
dropouts = [0.1, 0.2]
|
| 207 |
+
|
| 208 |
+
results = []
|
| 209 |
+
best_result = None
|
| 210 |
+
best_metrics = float('inf') # Track best RMSE
|
| 211 |
+
best_model = None
|
| 212 |
+
best_config = None
|
| 213 |
+
|
| 214 |
+
# Run experiments
|
| 215 |
+
for seq, batch, lr, kernel, channels, dropout in product(
|
| 216 |
+
seq_lengths, batch_sizes, learning_rates, kernel_sizes, num_channels_list, dropouts
|
| 217 |
+
):
|
| 218 |
+
print(f"\nRunning: seq={seq}, batch={batch}, lr={lr}, kernel={kernel}, channels={channels}, dropout={dropout}")
|
| 219 |
+
try:
|
| 220 |
+
forecaster = StockPriceForecaster(
|
| 221 |
+
dataset_path=dataset_path,
|
| 222 |
+
seq_length=seq,
|
| 223 |
+
batch_size=batch,
|
| 224 |
+
lr=lr,
|
| 225 |
+
epochs=20,
|
| 226 |
+
kernel_size=kernel,
|
| 227 |
+
num_channels=channels,
|
| 228 |
+
dropout=dropout,
|
| 229 |
+
test_split=0.2
|
| 230 |
+
)
|
| 231 |
+
model, (mae, rmse, mape, r2, actuals, predictions) = forecaster.run()
|
| 232 |
+
results.append({
|
| 233 |
+
"seq_length": seq,
|
| 234 |
+
"batch_size": batch,
|
| 235 |
+
"lr": lr,
|
| 236 |
+
"kernel_size": kernel,
|
| 237 |
+
"num_channels": str(channels),
|
| 238 |
+
"dropout": dropout,
|
| 239 |
+
"MAE": mae,
|
| 240 |
+
"RMSE": rmse,
|
| 241 |
+
"MAPE": mape,
|
| 242 |
+
"R2": r2
|
| 243 |
+
})
|
| 244 |
+
if rmse < best_metrics:
|
| 245 |
+
best_metrics = rmse
|
| 246 |
+
best_result = (actuals, predictions, seq, batch, lr, kernel, channels, dropout)
|
| 247 |
+
best_model = model
|
| 248 |
+
best_config = {
|
| 249 |
+
"seq_length": seq,
|
| 250 |
+
"batch_size": batch,
|
| 251 |
+
"lr": lr,
|
| 252 |
+
"kernel_size": kernel,
|
| 253 |
+
"num_channels": channels,
|
| 254 |
+
"dropout": dropout
|
| 255 |
+
}
|
| 256 |
+
except Exception as e:
|
| 257 |
+
print(f"Error with config seq={seq}, batch={batch}, lr={lr}, kernel={kernel}, channels={channels}, dropout={dropout}: {e}")
|
| 258 |
+
continue
|
| 259 |
+
|
| 260 |
+
# Save results
|
| 261 |
+
df_results = pd.DataFrame(results)
|
| 262 |
+
df_results.to_csv("tcn_experiments_results.csv", index=False)
|
| 263 |
+
print("\nAll experiments done! Results saved to 'tcn_experiments_results.csv'")
|
| 264 |
+
|
| 265 |
+
# Display metrics table
|
| 266 |
+
print("\nMetrics Table:")
|
| 267 |
+
pd.set_option('display.max_columns', None)
|
| 268 |
+
pd.set_option('display.width', 1000)
|
| 269 |
+
pd.set_option('display.float_format', '{:.6f}'.format)
|
| 270 |
+
print(df_results)
|
| 271 |
+
|
| 272 |
+
# Save best model for Hugging Face
|
| 273 |
+
if best_model is not None:
|
| 274 |
+
save_model_for_huggingface(best_model, forecaster.scaler, best_config)
|
| 275 |
+
print(f"\nBest model saved with RMSE: {best_metrics:.6f}")
|
| 276 |
+
print("\nBest configuration:")
|
| 277 |
+
print(pd.Series(best_config))
|
| 278 |
+
|
| 279 |
+
# Plot best combination
|
| 280 |
+
if best_result is not None:
|
| 281 |
+
actuals, predictions, seq, batch, lr, kernel, channels, dropout = best_result
|
| 282 |
+
plt.figure(figsize=(12, 6))
|
| 283 |
+
plt.plot(actuals, label="Actual Prices")
|
| 284 |
+
plt.plot(predictions, label="Predicted Prices")
|
| 285 |
+
plt.title(f"Best Model: seq={seq}, batch={batch}, lr={lr}, kernel={kernel}, channels={channels}, dropout={dropout}")
|
| 286 |
+
plt.xlabel("Time Step")
|
| 287 |
+
plt.ylabel("Price")
|
| 288 |
+
plt.legend()
|
| 289 |
+
plt.grid(True)
|
| 290 |
+
plt.show()
|
| 291 |
+
else:
|
| 292 |
+
print("No successful experiments to plot.")
|