{
  "topic": "finance",
  "topic_label": "Finance",
  "unit": "USD",
  "target": "value",
  "source": "yfinance:BTC-USD",
  "freq_days": 1.0,
  "lookback": 30,
  "horizon_steps": 7,
  "horizon_days": 7,
  "hidden_size": 32,
  "num_layers": 1,
  "dropout": 0.1,
  "input_size": 7,
  "features": [
    "rel",
    "ret1",
    "ma7",
    "ma30",
    "vol7",
    "dow_sin",
    "dow_cos"
  ],
  "epochs_used": 18,
  "val_mae": 839.4174988598311,
  "val_rel_mae": 0.03701164945960045,
  "val_h1_mape": 0.017525409918696958,
  "val_h1_smape": 0.017565511847310554,
  "naive_baseline_mae": 840.8604949913389,
  "validation": {
    "steps": [
      {
        "step": 1,
        "mae": 839.4174988598311,
        "rmse": 1298.6513611409982,
        "smape": 0.017565511847310554
      },
      {
        "step": 2,
        "mae": 1192.960100848631,
        "rmse": 1830.6973828025532,
        "smape": 0.024902829812547253
      },
      {
        "step": 3,
        "mae": 1542.8250513876005,
        "rmse": 2268.759393239687,
        "smape": 0.03203490293694817
      },
      {
        "step": 4,
        "mae": 1847.4010035476963,
        "rmse": 2645.1896255420784,
        "smape": 0.03838089753581066
      },
      {
        "step": 5,
        "mae": 2092.801010937981,
        "rmse": 2976.556184788419,
        "smape": 0.0435506263121151
      },
      {
        "step": 6,
        "mae": 2273.8617756842027,
        "rmse": 3318.9170986409536,
        "smape": 0.04712118421652123
      },
      {
        "step": 7,
        "mae": 2472.031951321388,
        "rmse": 3587.3584936296343,
        "smape": 0.051360139851876645
      }
    ],
    "directional": [
      {
        "step": 1,
        "accuracy": 0.5276461295418642,
        "coverage": 1.0,
        "n": 633
      },
      {
        "step": 2,
        "accuracy": 0.5023696682464455,
        "coverage": 1.0,
        "n": 633
      },
      {
        "step": 3,
        "accuracy": 0.5434439178515008,
        "coverage": 1.0,
        "n": 633
      },
      {
        "step": 4,
        "accuracy": 0.5150078988941548,
        "coverage": 1.0,
        "n": 633
      },
      {
        "step": 5,
        "accuracy": 0.5276461295418642,
        "coverage": 1.0,
        "n": 633
      },
      {
        "step": 6,
        "accuracy": 0.5466034755134281,
        "coverage": 1.0,
        "n": 633
      },
      {
        "step": 7,
        "accuracy": 0.5481832543443917,
        "coverage": 1.0,
        "n": 633
      }
    ],
    "naive": [
      {
        "step": 1,
        "mae": 840.8604949913389,
        "rmse": 1301.7902624516366,
        "smape": 0.01757663652896296
      },
      {
        "step": 2,
        "mae": 1200.3240850562277,
        "rmse": 1836.1786354462283,
        "smape": 0.025039759097113694
      },
      {
        "step": 3,
        "mae": 1533.4786594604004,
        "rmse": 2286.9642775163798,
        "smape": 0.03185724325778013
      },
      {
        "step": 4,
        "mae": 1821.9517295586097,
        "rmse": 2671.2387734033837,
        "smape": 0.037846152289743924
      },
      {
        "step": 5,
        "mae": 2060.155266286897,
        "rmse": 3006.6604320385522,
        "smape": 0.04278716752772009
      },
      {
        "step": 6,
        "mae": 2273.9574309585278,
        "rmse": 3358.0522677442987,
        "smape": 0.047174008888354164
      },
      {
        "step": 7,
        "mae": 2461.5919565702643,
        "rmse": 3644.0285926164515,
        "smape": 0.051087353110772525
      }
    ],
    "sma": [
      {
        "step": 1,
        "mae": 1496.6691131003097,
        "rmse": 2141.348880433493,
        "smape": 0.03188917529571204
      },
      {
        "step": 2,
        "mae": 1763.1144012992404,
        "rmse": 2552.2293805592026,
        "smape": 0.03739442594769154
      },
      {
        "step": 3,
        "mae": 1993.3263221492,
        "rmse": 2902.522376978049,
        "smape": 0.04218089645350198
      },
      {
        "step": 4,
        "mae": 2199.0733088226607,
        "rmse": 3232.9110699915386,
        "smape": 0.04647329804902099
      },
      {
        "step": 5,
        "mae": 2386.316608317875,
        "rmse": 3508.3355082488906,
        "smape": 0.05037239743304834
      },
      {
        "step": 6,
        "mae": 2561.7057380042884,
        "rmse": 3787.927593128973,
        "smape": 0.05398819120968079
      },
      {
        "step": 7,
        "mae": 2724.40413235936,
        "rmse": 4039.289495234575,
        "smape": 0.05734201768415404
      }
    ],
    "rel_mae": 0.03701164945960045,
    "h1_mape": 0.017525409918696958,
    "h1_smape": 0.017565511847310554,
    "mae_h1": 839.4174988598311,
    "mae_all": 1751.6140560839044
  },
  "test": {
    "steps": [
      {
        "step": 1,
        "mae": 1437.463931201953,
        "rmse": 2007.7906348826325,
        "smape": 0.016105681051200093
      },
      {
        "step": 2,
        "mae": 2082.641821448831,
        "rmse": 2788.661399132975,
        "smape": 0.023300526857903455
      },
      {
        "step": 3,
        "mae": 2551.3082705933152,
        "rmse": 3405.5976333767517,
        "smape": 0.028366114941860174
      },
      {
        "step": 4,
        "mae": 2892.001204678374,
        "rmse": 3886.684169606355,
        "smape": 0.03212032657281243
      },
      {
        "step": 5,
        "mae": 3278.0996234285985,
        "rmse": 4369.0394474549,
        "smape": 0.036253465023779415
      },
      {
        "step": 6,
        "mae": 3549.0038895794573,
        "rmse": 4704.165998886056,
        "smape": 0.03935466178796045
      },
      {
        "step": 7,
        "mae": 3848.1042900121593,
        "rmse": 5113.998703770749,
        "smape": 0.042654322840077606
      }
    ],
    "directional": [
      {
        "step": 1,
        "accuracy": 0.49843260188087773,
        "coverage": 1.0,
        "n": 638
      },
      {
        "step": 2,
        "accuracy": 0.46551724137931033,
        "coverage": 1.0,
        "n": 638
      },
      {
        "step": 3,
        "accuracy": 0.5172413793103449,
        "coverage": 1.0,
        "n": 638
      },
      {
        "step": 4,
        "accuracy": 0.5031347962382445,
        "coverage": 1.0,
        "n": 638
      },
      {
        "step": 5,
        "accuracy": 0.5047021943573667,
        "coverage": 1.0,
        "n": 638
      },
      {
        "step": 6,
        "accuracy": 0.4890282131661442,
        "coverage": 1.0,
        "n": 638
      },
      {
        "step": 7,
        "accuracy": 0.5015673981191222,
        "coverage": 1.0,
        "n": 638
      }
    ],
    "naive": [
      {
        "step": 1,
        "mae": 1434.358559146171,
        "rmse": 2006.4972710768086,
        "smape": 0.01606977563687448
      },
      {
        "step": 2,
        "mae": 2069.952131120194,
        "rmse": 2773.1172460681346,
        "smape": 0.02316882978066258
      },
      {
        "step": 3,
        "mae": 2513.6515395507327,
        "rmse": 3328.7219946027567,
        "smape": 0.028065623320456073
      },
      {
        "step": 4,
        "mae": 2823.354904593121,
        "rmse": 3796.5492440117005,
        "smape": 0.03149694968938053
      },
      {
        "step": 5,
        "mae": 3113.6545451367397,
        "rmse": 4212.47984927482,
        "smape": 0.034716547736830285
      },
      {
        "step": 6,
        "mae": 3448.100183261456,
        "rmse": 4598.533046595276,
        "smape": 0.03846242296109872
      },
      {
        "step": 7,
        "mae": 3728.1323869477237,
        "rmse": 4932.244712776618,
        "smape": 0.04162483429942506
      }
    ],
    "sma": [
      {
        "step": 1,
        "mae": 2363.8932855192975,
        "rmse": 3158.8652457677645,
        "smape": 0.02626821054044595
      },
      {
        "step": 2,
        "mae": 2733.3266034627736,
        "rmse": 3648.148131998139,
        "smape": 0.030355052068602586
      },
      {
        "step": 3,
        "mae": 3056.9618434394497,
        "rmse": 4071.156490463003,
        "smape": 0.03394552253735435
      },
      {
        "step": 4,
        "mae": 3354.5239828900785,
        "rmse": 4453.772324538063,
        "smape": 0.0372577421713738
      },
      {
        "step": 5,
        "mae": 3631.571128057036,
        "rmse": 4810.5988989967545,
        "smape": 0.040368775707604394
      },
      {
        "step": 6,
        "mae": 3914.859020076915,
        "rmse": 5150.42238015093,
        "smape": 0.043590674577547284
      },
      {
        "step": 7,
        "mae": 4171.7024461979345,
        "rmse": 5457.271296949854,
        "smape": 0.04651378776837562
      }
    ],
    "rel_mae": 0.031040141358971596,
    "h1_mape": 0.01614217355994106,
    "h1_smape": 0.016105681051200093,
    "mae_h1": 1437.463931201953,
    "mae_all": 2805.517575848956
  },
  "step_std_rel": [
    0.0252910777926445,
    0.03561155125498772,
    0.044585276395082474,
    0.052176982164382935,
    0.05897315964102745,
    0.06577016413211823,
    0.07177985459566116
  ],
  "last_date": "2026-08-22 00:00:00",
  "last_value": 76961.546875
}