from flask import Flask, request, jsonify from flask_cors import CORS import os import json import math import traceback import uuid from typing import Tuple import numpy as np import pandas as pd import joblib import tensorflow as tf from tensorflow.keras.utils import load_img, img_to_array # Hybrid ARIMA from statsmodels.tsa.arima.model import ARIMA app = Flask(__name__) CORS(app) # --------------------------------------------------------------------- # BASE DIRS # --------------------------------------------------------------------- BASE_DIR = os.path.dirname(__file__) MODEL_DIR = os.path.join(BASE_DIR, "model") # --------------------------------------------------------------------- # (A) TEA PRICE (NEW HYBRID ARIMA + RF) # --------------------------------------------------------------------- TEA_ARTIFACT_DIR = os.getenv("TEA_ARTIFACT_DIR", os.path.join(BASE_DIR, "artifacts_tea_hybrid")) TEA_DATA_PATH = os.getenv("TEA_DATA_PATH", os.path.join(BASE_DIR, "tea_auction_advanced_dataset.csv")) TEA_MODEL_PATH = os.path.join(TEA_ARTIFACT_DIR, "hybrid_arima_rf_model.joblib") TEA_CFG_PATH = os.path.join(TEA_ARTIFACT_DIR, "hybrid_config.json") TEA_MIN_ARIMA_POINTS = int(os.getenv("TEA_MIN_ARIMA_POINTS", "60")) tea_model = None tea_cfg = None tea_df_all = None tea_load_error = None tea_data_error = None # derived TEA_TARGET_COL = "auction_price_rs_per_kg" TEA_DATE_COL = "date_week" tea_cat_cols = ["elevation", "grade"] tea_num_cols = [] TEA_ARIMA_ORDER = (2, 1, 2) TEA_GROUP_COLS = ["elevation", "grade"] tea_arima_models = {} # key: (elevation, grade) -> fitted ARIMA tea_ref_values = {} tea_fallback_col = None tea_global_median = None def month_sin_cos(month_num: int): angle = 2.0 * np.pi * (month_num - 1) / 12.0 return float(np.sin(angle)), float(np.cos(angle)) def _tea_safe_load(): global tea_model, tea_cfg, tea_df_all global TEA_TARGET_COL, TEA_DATE_COL, tea_cat_cols, tea_num_cols, TEA_ARIMA_ORDER, TEA_GROUP_COLS global tea_load_error, tea_data_error global tea_fallback_col, tea_global_median, tea_ref_values # load artifacts try: if not os.path.exists(TEA_MODEL_PATH): raise FileNotFoundError(f"Missing tea model file: {TEA_MODEL_PATH}") if not os.path.exists(TEA_CFG_PATH): raise FileNotFoundError(f"Missing tea config file: {TEA_CFG_PATH}") tea_model = joblib.load(TEA_MODEL_PATH) with open(TEA_CFG_PATH, "r", encoding="utf-8") as f: tea_cfg = json.load(f) TEA_TARGET_COL = tea_cfg.get("TARGET_COL", TEA_TARGET_COL) TEA_DATE_COL = tea_cfg.get("DATE_COL", TEA_DATE_COL) tea_cat_cols = tea_cfg.get("cat_cols", tea_cat_cols) tea_num_cols = tea_cfg.get("num_cols", tea_num_cols) TEA_ARIMA_ORDER = tuple(tea_cfg.get("arima_order", list(TEA_ARIMA_ORDER))) TEA_GROUP_COLS = tea_cfg.get("group_cols", TEA_GROUP_COLS) except Exception as e: tea_load_error = f"Failed to load tea hybrid artifacts: {e}" tea_model = None tea_cfg = None # load data try: if not os.path.exists(TEA_DATA_PATH): raise FileNotFoundError(f"Missing tea dataset CSV: {TEA_DATA_PATH}") tea_df_all = pd.read_csv(TEA_DATA_PATH) tea_df_all[TEA_DATE_COL] = pd.to_datetime(tea_df_all[TEA_DATE_COL], errors="coerce") tea_df_all = tea_df_all.dropna(subset=[TEA_DATE_COL, TEA_TARGET_COL]).sort_values(TEA_DATE_COL).reset_index(drop=True) tea_fallback_col = "price_lag_1w_rs" if "price_lag_1w_rs" in tea_df_all.columns else None tea_global_median = float(tea_df_all[TEA_TARGET_COL].median()) # typical values for local explanation tea_ref_values = {} for c in (tea_num_cols or []): if c in tea_df_all.columns and pd.api.types.is_numeric_dtype(tea_df_all[c]): tea_ref_values[c] = float(tea_df_all[c].median()) for c in (tea_cat_cols or []): if c in tea_df_all.columns: mode = tea_df_all[c].dropna().mode() tea_ref_values[c] = str(mode.iloc[0]) if len(mode) else "" tea_ref_values["arima_pred"] = tea_global_median except Exception as e: tea_data_error = f"Failed to load tea dataset: {e}" tea_df_all = None def _tea_fit_arima_models(): if tea_df_all is None: return if not all(c in tea_df_all.columns for c in TEA_GROUP_COLS): return tea_arima_models.clear() for key, g in tea_df_all.groupby(TEA_GROUP_COLS): g = g.sort_values(TEA_DATE_COL) y = g[TEA_TARGET_COL].astype(float).values if len(y) < TEA_MIN_ARIMA_POINTS: continue try: tea_arima_models[tuple(key)] = ARIMA(y, order=TEA_ARIMA_ORDER).fit() except Exception: continue def tea_build_next_week_input(elevation: str, grade: str, overrides=None): overrides = overrides or {} if tea_df_all is None: raise ValueError(f"Tea dataset not loaded. {tea_data_error or ''}".strip()) if "elevation" not in tea_df_all.columns or "grade" not in tea_df_all.columns: raise ValueError("Tea dataset missing elevation/grade columns.") seg = tea_df_all[(tea_df_all["elevation"] == elevation) & (tea_df_all["grade"] == grade)].sort_values(TEA_DATE_COL) if len(seg) < 10: raise ValueError("Not enough history for this (elevation, grade). Need >= 10 rows.") last = seg.iloc[-1].copy() next_row = last.copy() # next week (+7 days) next_date = pd.to_datetime(last[TEA_DATE_COL]) + pd.Timedelta(days=7) next_row[TEA_DATE_COL] = next_date # calendar fields if present if "year" in tea_df_all.columns: next_row["year"] = int(next_date.year) if "month" in tea_df_all.columns: next_row["month"] = int(next_date.month) if "month_sin" in tea_df_all.columns and "month_cos" in tea_df_all.columns: s, c = month_sin_cos(int(next_date.month)) next_row["month_sin"] = s next_row["month_cos"] = c # lag/rolling features if present if "price_lag_1w_rs" in tea_df_all.columns: next_row["price_lag_1w_rs"] = float(last[TEA_TARGET_COL]) if "price_lag_4w_rs" in tea_df_all.columns and len(seg) >= 4: next_row["price_lag_4w_rs"] = float(seg.iloc[-4][TEA_TARGET_COL]) if "price_lag_12w_rs" in tea_df_all.columns and len(seg) >= 12: next_row["price_lag_12w_rs"] = float(seg.iloc[-12][TEA_TARGET_COL]) if "price_lag_48w_rs" in tea_df_all.columns and len(seg) >= 48: next_row["price_lag_48w_rs"] = float(seg.iloc[-48][TEA_TARGET_COL]) if "price_rollmean_4w_rs" in tea_df_all.columns and len(seg) >= 4: next_row["price_rollmean_4w_rs"] = float(seg[TEA_TARGET_COL].tail(4).mean()) if "price_rollmean_12w_rs" in tea_df_all.columns and len(seg) >= 12: next_row["price_rollmean_12w_rs"] = float(seg[TEA_TARGET_COL].tail(12).mean()) if "price_rollmean_48w_rs" in tea_df_all.columns and len(seg) >= 48: next_row["price_rollmean_48w_rs"] = float(seg[TEA_TARGET_COL].tail(48).mean()) # apply overrides for k, v in (overrides or {}).items(): if k not in next_row.index: raise KeyError(f"Unknown override column: {k}") next_row[k] = v # target unknown next_row[TEA_TARGET_COL] = np.nan return next_row.to_frame().T def tea_get_arima_pred(elevation: str, grade: str, built_row: pd.DataFrame): key = (elevation, grade) if key in tea_arima_models: try: return float(tea_arima_models[key].forecast(steps=1)[0]) except Exception: pass if tea_fallback_col and tea_fallback_col in built_row.columns and not pd.isna(built_row[tea_fallback_col].iloc[0]): return float(built_row[tea_fallback_col].iloc[0]) return float(tea_global_median) if tea_global_median is not None else 0.0 def tea_local_sensitivity_explain(model, X: pd.DataFrame, pred: float, ref_values: dict, top_k: int = 6): impacts = [] for col in X.columns: if col not in ref_values: continue x_tmp = X.copy() original_val = x_tmp[col].iloc[0] typical_val = ref_values[col] try: if pd.isna(original_val) and pd.isna(typical_val): continue if str(original_val) == str(typical_val): continue except Exception: pass x_tmp[col] = typical_val try: pred_typical = float(model.predict(x_tmp)[0]) except Exception: continue impact = pred - pred_typical impacts.append({ "feature": col, "value": None if pd.isna(original_val) else (float(original_val) if isinstance(original_val, (int, float, np.number)) else str(original_val)), "typical": typical_val, "impact": float(impact) }) impacts.sort(key=lambda d: abs(d["impact"]), reverse=True) return impacts[:top_k] def tea_segment_context(elevation: str, grade: str): if tea_df_all is None: return None seg = tea_df_all[(tea_df_all["elevation"] == elevation) & (tea_df_all["grade"] == grade)].sort_values(TEA_DATE_COL) if len(seg) == 0: return None last_price = float(seg.iloc[-1][TEA_TARGET_COL]) mean_4w = float(seg[TEA_TARGET_COL].tail(4).mean()) if len(seg) >= 4 else None mean_12w = float(seg[TEA_TARGET_COL].tail(12).mean()) if len(seg) >= 12 else None trend = None if mean_4w is not None: trend = "up" if last_price > mean_4w else ("down" if last_price < mean_4w else "flat") return { "last_price": last_price, "avg_4w": mean_4w, "avg_12w": mean_12w, "trend_vs_4w_avg": trend, "history_points": int(len(seg)) } def tea_describe_direction(val, typical): try: v = float(val); t = float(typical) if np.isfinite(v) and np.isfinite(t): if abs(v - t) <= (0.02 * (abs(t) + 1e-6)): return "close to usual" return "higher than usual" if v > t else "lower than usual" except Exception: pass return "different from usual" def tea_feature_display_name(f): nice = { "fx_lkr_per_usd": "USD→LKR exchange rate", "rainfall_mm": "rainfall", "temperature_c": "temperature", "arima_pred": "recent price trend (time-series)", "price_lag_1w_rs": "last week price", "price_rollmean_4w_rs": "last 4-week average price", "price_rollmean_12w_rs": "last 12-week average price", } return nice.get(f, f.replace("_", " ")) def tea_build_explanation_text(pred, factors, segment_ctx=None, top_k=5): top = factors[:top_k] bullets = [] for item in top: f = item["feature"] val = item["value"] typical = item["typical"] impact = item["impact"] if abs(impact) < 0.5: continue if f == "arima_pred": if segment_ctx and segment_ctx.get("trend_vs_4w_avg"): trend = segment_ctx["trend_vs_4w_avg"] bullets.append( f"Recent segment trend looks **{trend}**, which {'pushes up' if impact > 0 else 'pulls down'} the prediction (time-series effect)." ) else: bullets.append("Recent price pattern in this segment influences the forecast (time-series effect).") continue name = tea_feature_display_name(f) direction = tea_describe_direction(val, typical) if impact > 0: bullets.append(f"{name} is **{direction}** ({val} vs typical {typical}), so the model expects price to be **higher**.") else: bullets.append(f"{name} is **{direction}** ({val} vs typical {typical}), so the model expects price to be **lower**.") seg_line = None if segment_ctx: lp = segment_ctx.get("last_price") a4 = segment_ctx.get("avg_4w") if lp is not None and a4 is not None: seg_line = f"Last recorded price was **{lp:.2f}** and the 4-week average is **{a4:.2f}**." if bullets: main_push = "higher" if sum([f["impact"] for f in top]) > 0 else "lower" summary = f"Predicted price is **{pred:.2f}** mainly because the strongest inputs/trend signals push the model **{main_push}** compared to typical conditions." else: summary = f"Predicted price is **{pred:.2f}** based on learned patterns from history for this segment and the provided inputs." if seg_line: summary = summary + " " + seg_line return summary, bullets # init tea _tea_safe_load() if tea_model is not None and tea_df_all is not None: _tea_fit_arima_models() # --------------------------------------------------------------------- # (B) YIELD MODEL (KEEP EXISTING) # --------------------------------------------------------------------- YIELD_MODEL_PATH = os.getenv("YIELD_MODEL_PATH", os.path.join(MODEL_DIR, "smarttea_yield_model.joblib")) YIELD_DATA_PATH = os.getenv("YIELD_DATA_PATH", os.path.join(BASE_DIR, "data/smarttea_monthly_yield_dataset_sri_lanka_synthetic_2000_2025.csv")) YIELD_DATE_COL = os.getenv("YIELD_DATE_COL", "date") YIELD_TARGET_COL = os.getenv("YIELD_TARGET_COL", "yield_kg_per_ha") REGION_DEFAULTS = { "Nuwara_Eliya": {"elevation_band": "high", "elevation_m": 1850, "country": "Sri_Lanka"}, "Uva": {"elevation_band": "mid", "elevation_m": 1200, "country": "Sri_Lanka"}, "Kandy": {"elevation_band": "mid", "elevation_m": 900, "country": "Sri_Lanka"}, "Sabaragamuwa": {"elevation_band": "low", "elevation_m": 300, "country": "Sri_Lanka"}, "Galle": {"elevation_band": "low", "elevation_m": 50, "country": "Sri_Lanka"}, } yield_model = None yield_feature_cols = None yield_load_error = None yield_df = None yield_data_error = None def unwrap_model(obj): if isinstance(obj, dict): model = obj.get("model", obj) feature_cols = obj.get("feature_cols") target = obj.get("target") return model, feature_cols, target model = obj feature_cols = getattr(model, "feature_names_in_", None) target = None return model, (list(feature_cols) if feature_cols is not None else None), target try: if os.path.exists(YIELD_MODEL_PATH): yield_model_raw = joblib.load(YIELD_MODEL_PATH) yield_model, yield_feature_cols, _ = unwrap_model(yield_model_raw) else: yield_load_error = f"Yield model file not found at: {YIELD_MODEL_PATH}" except Exception as e: yield_load_error = f"Failed to load YIELD model: {e}" try: if os.path.exists(YIELD_DATA_PATH): yield_df = pd.read_csv(YIELD_DATA_PATH) yield_df[YIELD_DATE_COL] = pd.to_datetime(yield_df[YIELD_DATE_COL], errors="coerce") yield_df = yield_df.dropna(subset=[YIELD_DATE_COL]).sort_values([YIELD_DATE_COL]).reset_index(drop=True) else: yield_data_error = f"Yield dataset not found at: {YIELD_DATA_PATH}" except Exception as e: yield_data_error = f"Failed to load YIELD dataset: {e}" YIELD_REQUIRED_INPUTS = [ "region", "year", "month", "rainfall_mm", "temp_avg_c", "temp_min_c", "temp_max_c", "humidity_pct", "soil_ph", "soil_ec_ds_m", "fertilizer_kg_per_ha", "disease_index", ] def get_region_history(region: str, current_date: pd.Timestamp) -> pd.DataFrame: if yield_df is None or "region" not in yield_df.columns: return pd.DataFrame() h = yield_df[(yield_df["region"] == region) & (yield_df[YIELD_DATE_COL] < current_date)].copy() return h.sort_values(YIELD_DATE_COL) def compute_yield_lags_rolls(region_hist: pd.DataFrame): if region_hist is None or len(region_hist) == 0 or YIELD_TARGET_COL not in region_hist.columns: return { "yield_lag_1": None, "yield_lag_3": None, "yield_lag_12": None, "yield_rollmean_3": None, "yield_rollmean_6": None, "yield_rollmean_12": None, } y = region_hist[YIELD_TARGET_COL].astype(float).values def lag(k): if len(y) >= k: return float(y[-k]) return float(y[0]) def roll(k): k = min(k, len(y)) return float(np.mean(y[-k:])) return { "yield_lag_1": lag(1), "yield_lag_3": lag(3) if len(y) >= 3 else lag(1), "yield_lag_12": lag(12) if len(y) >= 12 else lag(1), "yield_rollmean_3": roll(3), "yield_rollmean_6": roll(6), "yield_rollmean_12": roll(12), } def compute_exog_rolls(region_hist: pd.DataFrame): def rmean(col, n): if region_hist is None or len(region_hist) == 0 or col not in region_hist.columns: return None vals = region_hist[col].astype(float).values if len(vals) >= n: return float(np.mean(vals[-n:])) return float(np.mean(vals)) if len(vals) else None return { "rain_rollmean_3": rmean("rainfall_mm", 3), "rain_rollmean_6": rmean("rainfall_mm", 6), "temp_rollmean_3": rmean("temp_avg_c", 3), "temp_rollmean_6": rmean("temp_avg_c", 6), "fert_rollmean_3": rmean("fertilizer_kg_per_ha", 3), "fert_rollmean_6": rmean("fertilizer_kg_per_ha", 6), "disease_rollmean_3": rmean("disease_index", 3), "disease_rollmean_6": rmean("disease_index", 6), } def local_feature_impact(model_pipeline, X_row: pd.DataFrame, numeric_features, steps=0.03, top_n=6): base = float(model_pipeline.predict(X_row)[0]) impacts = [] for f in numeric_features: if f not in X_row.columns: continue v = X_row.iloc[0][f] if pd.isna(v): continue delta = max(abs(float(v)) * steps, 0.01) X_up = X_row.copy() X_dn = X_row.copy() X_up.loc[X_up.index[0], f] = float(v) + delta X_dn.loc[X_dn.index[0], f] = float(v) - delta p_up = float(model_pipeline.predict(X_up)[0]) p_dn = float(model_pipeline.predict(X_dn)[0]) effect = (p_up - p_dn) / 2.0 impacts.append({ "feature": f, "impact_kg_per_ha": round(float(effect), 3), "direction": "increases" if effect > 0 else "decreases" }) impacts.sort(key=lambda x: abs(x["impact_kg_per_ha"]), reverse=True) return base, impacts[:top_n] def build_yield_row(payload: dict): if yield_model is None: raise ValueError("Yield model is not loaded. Check YIELD_MODEL_PATH.") missing = [k for k in YIELD_REQUIRED_INPUTS if k not in payload] if missing: raise ValueError(f"Missing required fields: {missing}") region = str(payload["region"]) year = int(payload["year"]) month = int(payload["month"]) current_date = pd.Timestamp(f"{year}-{month:02d}-01") defaults = REGION_DEFAULTS.get(region) if not defaults: raise ValueError(f"Unknown region '{region}'. Allowed: {list(REGION_DEFAULTS.keys())}") ms, mc = month_sin_cos(month) region_hist = get_region_history(region, current_date) lag_feats = compute_yield_lags_rolls(region_hist) exog_rolls = compute_exog_rolls(region_hist) row = { "region": region, "country": defaults["country"], "elevation_band": defaults["elevation_band"], "elevation_m": defaults["elevation_m"], "year": year, "month": month, "month_sin": ms, "month_cos": mc, "rainfall_mm": float(payload["rainfall_mm"]), "temp_avg_c": float(payload["temp_avg_c"]), "temp_min_c": float(payload["temp_min_c"]), "temp_max_c": float(payload["temp_max_c"]), "humidity_pct": float(payload["humidity_pct"]), "soil_ph": float(payload["soil_ph"]), "soil_ec_ds_m": float(payload["soil_ec_ds_m"]), "fertilizer_kg_per_ha": float(payload["fertilizer_kg_per_ha"]), "disease_index": float(payload["disease_index"]), } row.update(lag_feats) row.update(exog_rolls) X = pd.DataFrame([row]) if yield_feature_cols: for c in yield_feature_cols: if c not in X.columns: X[c] = np.nan X = X[yield_feature_cols] return X, str(current_date.date()), int(len(region_hist)) # --------------------------------------------------------------------- # (C) LEAF DISEASE MODEL (KEEP EXISTING) # --------------------------------------------------------------------- LEAF_WEIGHTS_PATH = os.getenv("LEAF_WEIGHTS_PATH", os.path.join(MODEL_DIR, "tea_mobilenet_v2.weights.h5")) LEAF_LABELS_PATH = os.getenv("LEAF_LABELS_PATH", os.path.join(MODEL_DIR, "labels.json")) UPLOAD_DIR = os.getenv("UPLOAD_DIR", os.path.join(BASE_DIR, "uploads")) IMG_SIZE: Tuple[int, int] = (224, 224) os.makedirs(UPLOAD_DIR, exist_ok=True) leaf_class_names = None leaf_model = None leaf_load_error = None def build_leaf_model(num_classes: int) -> tf.keras.Model: base_model = tf.keras.applications.MobileNetV2( input_shape=IMG_SIZE + (3,), include_top=False, weights="imagenet", ) base_model.trainable = False inputs = tf.keras.Input(shape=IMG_SIZE + (3,), name="input_layer_1") x = tf.keras.applications.mobilenet_v2.preprocess_input(inputs) x = base_model(x, training=False) x = tf.keras.layers.GlobalAveragePooling2D(name="global_avg_pool")(x) x = tf.keras.layers.Dropout(0.2, name="dropout")(x) outputs = tf.keras.layers.Dense(num_classes, activation="softmax", name="dense")(x) return tf.keras.Model(inputs, outputs, name="tea_mobilenet_v2_inference") try: if os.path.exists(LEAF_LABELS_PATH): with open(LEAF_LABELS_PATH, "r", encoding="utf-8") as f: leaf_class_names = json.load(f) else: raise FileNotFoundError(f"Leaf labels not found at: {LEAF_LABELS_PATH}") leaf_model = build_leaf_model(num_classes=len(leaf_class_names)) if not os.path.exists(LEAF_WEIGHTS_PATH): raise FileNotFoundError(f"Leaf weights not found at: {LEAF_WEIGHTS_PATH}") leaf_model.load_weights(LEAF_WEIGHTS_PATH) except Exception as e: leaf_load_error = f"Failed to load LEAF model: {e}" leaf_model = None leaf_class_names = None def predict_leaf_image(image_path: str): if leaf_model is None or leaf_class_names is None: raise RuntimeError(leaf_load_error or "Leaf model not loaded.") img = load_img(image_path, target_size=IMG_SIZE) img_array = img_to_array(img) img_batch = np.expand_dims(img_array, axis=0) probs = leaf_model.predict(img_batch, verbose=0)[0] pred_index = int(np.argmax(probs)) pred_label = leaf_class_names[pred_index] confidence = float(probs[pred_index]) probs_list = [float(p) for p in probs] probs_dict = {leaf_class_names[i]: probs_list[i] for i in range(len(leaf_class_names))} return pred_label, confidence, probs_dict # --------------------------------------------------------------------- # ROUTES # --------------------------------------------------------------------- @app.get("/health") def health(): return jsonify({ "status": "ok", "tea_price_hybrid_loaded": tea_model is not None, "tea_price_segments_with_arima": int(len(tea_arima_models)) if tea_model is not None else 0, "yield_model_loaded": yield_model is not None, "leaf_model_loaded": leaf_model is not None, "paths": { "tea_artifact_dir": TEA_ARTIFACT_DIR, "tea_model_path": TEA_MODEL_PATH, "tea_cfg_path": TEA_CFG_PATH, "tea_data_path": TEA_DATA_PATH, "yield_model_path": YIELD_MODEL_PATH, "yield_data_path": YIELD_DATA_PATH, "leaf_weights_path": LEAF_WEIGHTS_PATH, "leaf_labels_path": LEAF_LABELS_PATH, }, "errors": { "tea_load_error": tea_load_error, "tea_data_error": tea_data_error, "yield_load_error": yield_load_error, "yield_data_error": yield_data_error, "leaf_load_error": leaf_load_error, }, "endpoints": { "GET /tea-price/meta": "Tea price metadata (elevations, grades, override keys)", "POST /tea-price/predict-next-week": "Tea price next-week forecast (elevation+grade + overrides + explain)", "POST /predict/yield-simple": "Yield prediction", "POST /predict/leaf": "Leaf disease prediction (image upload)", } }) # ------------------------- # TEA PRICE: health/meta/predict-next-week # ------------------------- @app.get("/tea-price/health") def tea_price_health(): return jsonify({ "ok": True, "model_loaded": tea_model is not None, "cfg_loaded": tea_cfg is not None, "rows_in_history": int(len(tea_df_all)) if tea_df_all is not None else 0, "segments_with_arima": int(len(tea_arima_models)), "target": TEA_TARGET_COL, "date_col": TEA_DATE_COL, "error": tea_load_error or tea_data_error }) @app.get("/tea-price/meta") def tea_price_meta(): if tea_df_all is None: return jsonify({"ok": False, "error": tea_data_error or "Tea dataset not loaded"}), 500 return jsonify({ "ok": True, "target": TEA_TARGET_COL, "date_col": TEA_DATE_COL, "cat_cols": tea_cat_cols, "num_cols": tea_num_cols, "example_override_keys": [c for c in tea_df_all.columns if c not in [TEA_TARGET_COL]], "unique_elevations": sorted(tea_df_all["elevation"].dropna().unique().tolist()) if "elevation" in tea_df_all.columns else [], "unique_grades": sorted(tea_df_all["grade"].dropna().unique().tolist()) if "grade" in tea_df_all.columns else [], }) @app.post("/tea-price/predict-next-week") def tea_price_predict_next_week(): if tea_model is None: return jsonify({"ok": False, "error": tea_load_error or "Tea hybrid model not loaded"}), 500 if tea_df_all is None: return jsonify({"ok": False, "error": tea_data_error or "Tea dataset not loaded"}), 500 body = request.get_json(silent=True) or {} elevation = str(body.get("elevation", "")).strip() grade = str(body.get("grade", "")).strip() overrides = body.get("overrides") or {} if not elevation or not grade: return jsonify({"ok": False, "error": "elevation and grade are required"}), 400 if not isinstance(overrides, dict): return jsonify({"ok": False, "error": "overrides must be an object/dict"}), 400 try: row = tea_build_next_week_input(elevation, grade, overrides=overrides) arima_pred = tea_get_arima_pred(elevation, grade, row) # build X exactly like notebook expects needed_cols = (tea_cat_cols or []) + (tea_num_cols or []) X = row.copy() # ensure required cols exist for c in needed_cols: if c not in X.columns: X[c] = np.nan X = X[needed_cols].copy() X["arima_pred"] = arima_pred pred = float(tea_model.predict(X)[0]) want_explain = bool(body.get("explain", False)) explain_payload = None if want_explain: factors = tea_local_sensitivity_explain(tea_model, X, pred, tea_ref_values, top_k=8) seg_ctx = tea_segment_context(elevation, grade) summary, bullets = tea_build_explanation_text(pred, factors, seg_ctx, top_k=5) explain_payload = { "summary": summary, "reasons": bullets, "top_factors": factors, "segment_context": seg_ctx, "disclaimer": "These reasons explain what the model learned from data (correlations), not guaranteed real-world causation." } return jsonify({ "ok": True, "elevation": elevation, "grade": grade, "predicted_price": pred, "arima_pred": arima_pred, "next_date": str(pd.to_datetime(row[TEA_DATE_COL].iloc[0]).date()), "explanation": explain_payload }) except KeyError as e: return jsonify({"ok": False, "error": str(e)}), 400 except Exception as e: return jsonify({"ok": False, "error": str(e), "trace": traceback.format_exc()}), 500 # ------------------------- # YIELD # ------------------------- @app.get("/debug/yield-model") def debug_yield_model(): try: obj = joblib.load(YIELD_MODEL_PATH) return jsonify({ "ok": True, "path": YIELD_MODEL_PATH, "type": str(type(obj)), "keys": list(obj.keys()) if isinstance(obj, dict) else None }) except Exception as e: return jsonify({"ok": False, "error": str(e), "trace": traceback.format_exc()}), 500 @app.post("/predict/yield-simple") def predict_yield(): try: if yield_model is None: return jsonify({ "success": False, "error": "Yield model not loaded", "details": yield_load_error, "hint": "Put your yield .joblib file in the model folder and set YIELD_MODEL_PATH if needed." }), 500 payload = request.get_json(silent=True) or {} X, pred_date, history_months = build_yield_row(payload) pred = float(yield_model.predict(X)[0]) numeric_for_explain = [ "rainfall_mm", "temp_avg_c", "humidity_pct", "soil_ph", "soil_ec_ds_m", "fertilizer_kg_per_ha", "disease_index", "yield_lag_1", "yield_lag_3", "yield_lag_12", "rain_rollmean_3", "rain_rollmean_6", "temp_rollmean_3", "temp_rollmean_6", "fert_rollmean_3", "fert_rollmean_6", "disease_rollmean_3", "disease_rollmean_6", ] base_pred, top_impacts = local_feature_impact(yield_model, X, numeric_for_explain) pos = [i for i in top_impacts if i["impact_kg_per_ha"] > 0][:2] neg = [i for i in top_impacts if i["impact_kg_per_ha"] < 0][:2] parts = [] if pos: parts.append("higher " + " & ".join([p["feature"] for p in pos])) if neg: parts.append("lower " + " & ".join([n["feature"] for n in neg])) explain_sentence = "Prediction is mainly influenced by " + (", and ".join(parts) if parts else "the input factors.") # labour estimation area_ha = float(payload.get("area_ha", 1.0)) plucking_days = int(payload.get("plucking_days", 22)) productivity = float(payload.get("productivity_kg_per_worker_day", 20.0)) efficiency = float(payload.get("efficiency", 0.9)) total_harvest_kg = pred * area_ha den = productivity * plucking_days * max(efficiency, 0.01) labourers_needed = int(math.ceil(total_harvest_kg / den)) warnings = [] if history_months < 12 and yield_df is not None: warnings.append( f"Only {history_months} months of history were available before {pred_date}; some lag/rolling features may be weak." ) return jsonify({ "success": True, "prediction": { "yield_kg_per_ha": round(pred, 2), "for_month": pred_date, "area_ha": area_ha, "total_harvest_kg": round(total_harvest_kg, 2), "labourers_needed": labourers_needed, "assumptions": { "plucking_days": plucking_days, "productivity_kg_per_worker_day": productivity, "efficiency": efficiency } }, "explainability": { "summary": explain_sentence, "top_factors": top_impacts }, "meta": { "region": payload.get("region"), "history_months_used": history_months, "warnings": warnings } }) except Exception as e: return jsonify({"success": False, "error": str(e), "trace": traceback.format_exc()}), 400 # ------------------------- # LEAF # ------------------------- @app.post("/predict/leaf") def predict_leaf(): if leaf_model is None or leaf_class_names is None: return jsonify({ "ok": False, "error": "Leaf model not loaded", "details": leaf_load_error, "hint": "Make sure model/labels.json and model/tea_mobilenet_v2.weights.h5 exist." }), 500 if "image" not in request.files: return jsonify({"ok": False, "error": "No file part 'image' in the request"}), 400 file = request.files["image"] if file.filename == "": return jsonify({"ok": False, "error": "No file selected"}), 400 allowed_ext = (".jpg", ".jpeg", ".png") if not file.filename.lower().endswith(allowed_ext): return jsonify({"ok": False, "error": "Unsupported file type. Use JPG or PNG."}), 400 temp_filename = f"{uuid.uuid4().hex}_{file.filename}" temp_path = os.path.join(UPLOAD_DIR, temp_filename) file.save(temp_path) try: label, confidence, probs_dict = predict_leaf_image(temp_path) return jsonify({ "ok": True, "prediction": label, "confidence": confidence, "probabilities": probs_dict }) except Exception as e: return jsonify({ "ok": False, "error": "Failed to process image", "details": str(e), "trace": traceback.format_exc() }), 500 finally: try: if os.path.exists(temp_path): os.remove(temp_path) except Exception: pass # --------------------------------------------------------------------- # MAIN # --------------------------------------------------------------------- if __name__ == "__main__": port = int(os.getenv("PORT", "5000")) app.run(host="0.0.0.0", port=port, debug=True)