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config.json

@@ -1,36 +1,19 @@
 {
-  "model_type": "xgboost_regressor",
-  "version": "2.0.0",
-  "features": [
-    "month",
-    "day_of_week",
-    "is_weekend",
-    "country_encoded",
-    "category_encoded",
-    "temperature",
+  "model_type": "GradientBoostingRegressor",
+  "feature_columns": [
     "is_ramadan",
     "ramadan_week",
+    "days_to_eid",
     "is_eid_fitr",
     "is_eid_adha",
-    "is_shopping_festival",
-    "is_white_friday",
-    "is_national_day",
-    "is_back_to_school",
-    "year"
-  ],
-  "categories": [
-    "beauty_cosmetics",
-    "electronics_media",
-    "fashion_apparel",
-    "food_dining",
-    "groceries_fmcg",
-    "health_wellness",
-    "home_furniture",
-    "jewelry_watches",
-    "luxury_goods",
-    "sports_outdoor",
-    "toys_kids",
-    "travel_entertainment"
+    "is_hajj_season",
+    "country_encoded",
+    "category_encoded",
+    "temperature",
+    "day_of_week",
+    "month",
+    "hijri_month",
+    "hijri_day"
   ],
   "countries": [
     "Bahrain",
@@ -40,12 +23,40 @@
     "Qatar",
     "UAE"
   ],
+  "categories": [
+    "dates_sweets",
+    "electronics",
+    "fashion_abayas",
+    "gifts",
+    "groceries",
+    "perfumes_oud"
+  ],
   "metrics": {
-    "r2": 0.9922,
-    "rmse": 2.94,
-    "mae": 2.28
+    "mse": 24.44782802085175,
+    "rmse": 4.944474493902436,
+    "mae": 3.8228789470187383,
+    "r2_score": 0.905699037541998
+  },
+  "description": "GCC Ramadan Retail Demand Forecasting Model",
+  "input_features": {
+    "is_ramadan": "Boolean (0/1) - Whether it is Ramadan",
+    "ramadan_week": "Integer (0-5) - Week of Ramadan (0 if not Ramadan)",
+    "days_to_eid": "Integer (-1 to 30) - Days until Eid (-1 if not applicable)",
+    "is_eid_fitr": "Boolean (0/1) - Whether it is Eid al-Fitr",
+    "is_eid_adha": "Boolean (0/1) - Whether it is Eid al-Adha",
+    "is_hajj_season": "Boolean (0/1) - Whether it is Hajj season",
+    "country": "String - One of: UAE, KSA, Qatar, Kuwait, Bahrain, Oman",
+    "category": "String - Product category",
+    "temperature": "Float - Temperature in Celsius",
+    "day_of_week": "Integer (0-6) - Day of week",
+    "month": "Integer (1-12) - Gregorian month",
+    "hijri_month": "Integer (1-12) - Hijri month",
+    "hijri_day": "Integer (1-30) - Hijri day"
   },
-  "training_samples": 168307,
-  "test_samples": 42077,
-  "dataset": "gcc_retail_dataset_v2"
+  "version": "2.1.0",
+  "output": "demand_index - Predicted retail demand index",
+  "changelog": {
+    "2.1.0": "Retrained with Hijri features and temporal split. R2=0.906 (honest). days_to_eid=29% importance.",
+    "2.0.0": "Initial deploy. Random split inflated R2 to 0.992. Missing Hijri features."
+  }
 }

encoders.joblib

@@ -1,3 +1,3 @@
 version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1
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-size 977
+oid sha256:da84e6211fe94a186197f3850a18bf6c3aae1f58360000a75f8590b8c5a2cc0a
+size 850

feature_importances.json

@@ -1,17 +1,15 @@
 {
-  "category_encoded": 0.8011219501495361,
-  "is_shopping_festival": 0.04841116815805435,
-  "is_eid_fitr": 0.03318003565073013,
-  "is_white_friday": 0.025203166529536247,
-  "ramadan_week": 0.021611016243696213,
-  "is_ramadan": 0.017199140042066574,
-  "is_eid_adha": 0.014950236305594444,
-  "country_encoded": 0.011384394951164722,
-  "is_back_to_school": 0.00958470068871975,
-  "is_weekend": 0.005489070899784565,
-  "year": 0.005111344624310732,
-  "is_national_day": 0.0038269669748842716,
-  "temperature": 0.0012196919415146112,
-  "month": 0.001135660451836884,
-  "day_of_week": 0.0005715535953640938
+  "is_ramadan": 3.69275253834204e-05,
+  "ramadan_week": 0.003525943796247472,
+  "days_to_eid": 0.29290416306240935,
+  "is_eid_fitr": 0.0010144082359060686,
+  "is_eid_adha": 0.0012917867230512092,
+  "is_hajj_season": 0.10161264627734466,
+  "country_encoded": 0.11934693744055763,
+  "category_encoded": 0.3920205132356218,
+  "temperature": 0.022141510058809637,
+  "day_of_week": 0.0418962978935297,
+  "month": 0.02049986667570955,
+  "hijri_month": 0.00037238780289487874,
+  "hijri_day": 0.0033366112725345945
 }

model.joblib

@@ -1,3 +1,3 @@
 version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1
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-size 4680231
+oid sha256:69bef2bf5c0f86a0819e3a66afcf5a196fa3335ba8e17d87e3b6e31a7c69401a
+size 1760473