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README.md
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---
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language: en
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tags:
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- pokemon
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- competitive-pokemon
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- pokemon-showdown
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- team-builder
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- win-prediction
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- xgboost
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- pytorch
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- transformer
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license: mit
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---
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# FutureSightML
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**ML-powered Pokemon team builder that predicts win rates from team composition alone.**
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Pre-trained models for **62 competitive formats** across Generations 1-9.
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## Downloads
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- **Windows Desktop App (CUDA):** [FutureSightML-win-x64.zip](https://huggingface.co/HotHams/FutureSightML/resolve/main/FutureSightML-win-x64.zip) (~3 GB) — Extract and run. Models download automatically on first launch.
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- **Model Data:** [model-data.tar.gz](https://huggingface.co/HotHams/FutureSightML/resolve/main/model-data.tar.gz) (~300 MB) — For running from source.
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## Architecture
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Neural transformer encoder with pairwise matchup matrix branch, ensembled with XGBoost (618+ hand-engineered features). Per-format calibrated weights.
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## Performance
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Team-only AUC on held-out test sets (ratings equalized, no Elo leakage):
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| Format | Neural AUC | XGB AUC |
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|---|---|---|
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| Gen 3 OU | 0.854 | 0.827 |
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| Gen 4 OU | 0.848 | 0.842 |
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| Gen 9 AG | 0.846 | 0.772 |
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| Gen 8 Ubers | 0.836 | 0.806 |
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| Gen 9 Ubers | 0.814 | 0.752 |
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| Gen 9 OU | 0.759 | 0.688 |
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For context: Dota 2 draft prediction AUC is 0.66-0.71, Hearthstone deck prediction AUC is 0.65-0.68.
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## Source Code
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[github.com/HotHams/FutureSightML](https://github.com/HotHams/FutureSightML)
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