{ "concepts": { "0": { "forget": 0.0, "guess": 0.49, "learn": 0.036224844073095404, "log_likelihood_history": [ -12782.416436584765, -11593.316497892542, -11514.625205648012, -11486.624046230821, -11474.973998524727, -11469.73877477221, -11467.300101305453, -11466.091195093131, -11465.45190231135, -11465.095277490873, -11464.888525128268, -11464.76555499981, -11464.691213984946, -11464.645807810173, -11464.617893131981, -11464.600658999838, -11464.589988685279, -11464.583369322665, -11464.579257238167, -11464.576700111023, -11464.575108726496, -11464.57411777861, -11464.573500443306, -11464.573115725356, -11464.57287590737, -11464.572726382448, -11464.572633139114, -11464.57257498511, -11464.572538711884, -11464.572516084801, -11464.572501969222, -11464.57249316297, -11464.572487668813, -11464.572484240958, -11464.572482102203, -11464.572480767727, -11464.572479935081 ], "prior": 0.6351318018163082, "slip": 0.15972540937598287 }, "1": { "forget": 0.0, "guess": 0.49, "learn": 0.9999, "log_likelihood_history": [ -2528.975227664001, -69.18887199831777, -27.65507845245191, -12.7870917630346, -6.514045095448384, -3.654714984607831, -2.302075478263883, -1.650545197945481, -1.3339457210040548, -1.1794361424284183, -1.1038719727576638, -1.097603590199288, -1.0975996642115273, -1.0975989358683427 ], "prior": 0.9999, "slip": 0.0001 }, "10": { "forget": 0.0, "guess": 0.49, "learn": 0.24831626548529395, "log_likelihood_history": [ -5081.719664038272, -2655.5930828169635, -2640.4107595655682, -2632.145760418762, -2628.1167165766096, -2626.31235006761, -2625.510609592675, -2625.1430531655624, -2624.968170618947, -2624.882533650176, -2624.839806709004, -2624.818247237234, -2624.807296167482, -2624.801711656128, -2624.798856997745, -2624.797395573621, -2624.7966466775715, -2624.7962626622175, -2624.7960656617147, -2624.795964569361, -2624.79591268189, -2624.795886045729, -2624.7958723707607, -2624.795865349492, -2624.7958617442946, -2624.7958598930854, -2624.7958589424907 ], "prior": 0.9140288803693141, "slip": 0.023823197144876906 }, "100": { "forget": 0.0, "guess": 0.06523665946967651, "learn": 0.30085674607962776, "log_likelihood_history": [ -209.15149011329288, -195.18751363207633, -194.8972310076215, -194.7695023765947, -194.6735010371413, -194.5889727207273, -194.51045521593704, -194.4365015916695, -194.3667638347443, -194.30115985669187, -194.23963526398998, -194.1821016346275, -194.1284283027261, -194.0784497935262, -194.0319767006843, -193.98880596997782, -193.9487293526334, -193.9115398220676, -193.87703613742767, -193.84502586837678, -193.8153272142354, -193.78776992047742, -193.76219554725822, -193.738457293296, -193.71641953123924, -193.6959571705303, -193.67695493129503, -193.65930658744523, -193.6429142179372, -193.6276874908924, -193.61354299499027, -193.6004036252852, -193.5881980256342, -193.57686008666147, -193.56632849613973, -193.55654633754494, -193.54746073199527, -193.5390225186831, -193.5311859690797, -193.52390853052145, -193.5171505952104, -193.5108752911313, -193.5050482918419, -193.49963764254747, -193.49461360026817, -193.4899484862684, -193.48561654924518, -193.4815938380216, -193.47785808273903, -193.474388583704, -193.47116610722088, -193.46817278783305, -193.4653920365219, -193.46280845445818, -193.4604077519675, -193.45817667242335, -193.4561029207939, -193.45417509660692, -193.45238263110608, -193.45071572839322, -193.4491653103463, -193.44772296513227, -193.44638089911356, -193.44513189198014, -193.44396925492114, -193.44288679166922, -193.44187876225152, -193.44093984928656, -193.4400651266706, -193.43925003050805, -193.43849033214073, -193.43778211313838, -193.43712174212533, -193.43650585331332, -193.43593132662903, -193.4353952693209, -193.4348949989433, -193.4344280276217, -193.43399204749912, -193.43358491728853, -193.43320464983805, -193.43284940064476, -193.4325174572369, -193.43220722936766, -193.431917239951, -193.43164611668965, -193.43139258434033, -193.4311554575654, -193.43093363432905, -193.43072608979443, -193.43053187068344, -193.43035009006388, -193.4301799225302, -193.43002059974714, -193.42987140633062, -193.42973167603645, -193.42960078823538, -193.4294781646518, -193.42936326634447, -193.42925559091327, -193.42915466991218, -193.4290600664521, -193.42897137298502, -193.4288882092447, -193.4288102203424, -193.42873707500155, -193.42866846391757, -193.4286040982405, -193.42854370816568, -193.4284870416245, -193.42843386307274, -193.4283839523609, -193.42833710368902, -193.42829312463465, -193.42825183524818, -193.42821306721294, -193.42817666306667, -193.428142475472, -193.42811036654336, -193.42808020721907, -193.42805187667426, -193.4280252617779, -193.42800025658605, -193.4279767618688, -193.42795468467145, -193.4279339379035, -193.4279144399578, -193.4278961143527, -193.42787888940228, -193.42786269790437, -193.42784747685295, -193.42783316716776, -193.4278197134424, -193.42780706371036, -193.42779516922434, -193.42778398425264, -193.42777346588673, -193.42776357386194, -193.42775427039177, -193.42774552001092, -193.4277372894287, -193.4277295473932, -193.42772226456322, -193.42771541338868, -193.42770896799922, -193.42770290409868, -193.42769719886854, -193.42769183087515, -193.42768677998436, -193.42768202728104, -193.42767755499406, -193.4276733464249, -193.42766938588363, -193.427665658625, -193.42766215079106, -193.42765884935764, -193.42765574208232, -193.42765281745696, -193.42765006466328, -193.42764747353144, -193.42764503449882, -193.42764273857458, -193.42764057730525, -193.42763854274088, -193.42763662740558, -193.4276348242685, -193.42763312671764, -193.42763152853323, -193.42763002386542, -193.42762860721183, -193.42762727339607, -193.427626017549, -193.42762483508923, -193.4276237217069, -193.4276226733474, -193.42762168619558 ], "prior": 0.6849298612379173, "slip": 0.173668819108857 }, "101": { "forget": 0.0, "guess": 0.17311920446729887, "learn": 0.4935449747471273, "log_likelihood_history": [ -341.1405371585436, -296.41218226830324, -294.6693770908418, -293.9835353706094, -293.6701160604567, -293.52107248569234, -293.4471133795178, -293.4072265403352, -293.38273971749635, -293.36533338022844, -293.3513591999158, -293.3392263428668, -293.32823542281653, -293.31806946308444, -293.3085747917224, -293.29966761569386, -293.2912944523685, -293.2834154543696, -293.275997402198, -293.26901075513, -293.26242839564435, -293.25622507622404, -293.25037715555897, -293.24486245314483, -293.23966015203257, -293.2347507211828, -293.23011584606184, -293.2257383631214, -293.22160219663283, -293.21769229746945, -293.2139945838223, -293.21049588398716, -293.2071838813544, -293.2040470617245, -293.20107466303426, -293.19825662753726, -293.19558355645086, -293.19304666705614, -293.19063775221326, -293.18834914223095, -293.1861736690204, -293.1841046324554, -293.1821357688392, -293.1802612213924, -293.17847551265714, -293.17677351872015, -293.1751504451574, -293.1736018045955, -293.1721233958041, -293.1707112842165, -293.1693617837961, -293.16807144015513, -293.1668370148533, -293.1656554707891, -293.16452395861484, -293.1634398041067, -293.1624004964156, -293.1614036771542, -293.1604471302394, -293.15952877245604, -293.1586466446827, -293.1577989037281, -293.15698381474505, -293.1561997441694, -293.15544515315435, -293.1547185914614, -293.1540186917725, -293.1533441643968, -293.152693792345, -293.152066426736, -293.15146098252256, -293.1508764345065, -293.15031181362383, -293.1497662034823, -293.1492387371311, -293.1487285940458, -293.14823499731654, -293.1477572110214, -293.1472945377733, -293.1468463164273, -293.1464119199418, -293.1459907533703, -293.1455822519937, -293.14518587956434, -293.1448011266673, -293.14442750918255, -293.144064566847, -293.14371186190795, -293.14336897785586, -293.1430355182413, -293.14271110556246, -293.1423953802232, -293.1420879995511, -293.1417886368783, -293.14149698067814, -293.14121273375133, -293.1409356124634, -293.140665346025, -293.1404016758172, -293.14014435475355, -293.1398931466826, -293.13964782582156, -293.1394081762266, -293.1391739912893, -293.13894507326506, -293.1387212328269, -293.1385022886447, -293.13828806698695, -293.1380784013464, -293.13787313208377, -293.13767210609564, -293.1374751764952, -293.1372822023132, -293.13709304821515, -293.13690758423286, -293.13672568550925, -293.1365472320596, -293.1363721085431, -293.1362002040464, -293.1360314118798, -293.1358656293816, -293.1357027577361, -293.13554270179696, -293.1353853699213, -293.1352306738148, -293.1350785283785, -293.13492885156825, -293.13478156425964, -293.13463659012, -293.1344938554832, -293.134353289238, -293.1342148227131, -293.1340783895742, -293.1339439257221, -293.1338113691974, -293.1336806600908, -293.13355174045415, -293.13342455421844, -293.1332990471142, -293.13317516659646, -293.13305286177365, -293.1329320833364, -293.1328127834936, -293.1326949159098, -293.132578435643, -293.13246329909043, -293.13234946393055, -293.1322368890723, -293.13212553460437, -293.1320153617458, -293.1319063328032, -293.13179841112196, -293.1316915610468, -293.13158574788116, -293.1314809378462, -293.1313770980448, -293.1312741964254, -293.1311722017476, -293.13107108354836, -293.1309708121098, -293.1308713584298, -293.1307726941916, -293.1306747917347, -293.1305776240291, -293.1304811646476, -293.13038538774003, -293.13029026800996, -293.1301957806903, -293.13010190152005, -293.13000860672275, -293.1299158729852, -293.1298236774358, -293.1297319976246, -293.1296408115062, -293.12955009741745, -293.1294598340616, -293.12937000048913, -293.1292805760824, -293.12919154053685, -293.129102873845, -293.12901455628247, -293.12892656839097, -293.12883889096275, -293.1287515050272, -293.1286643918359, -293.1285775328477, -293.12849090971713, -293.12840450427814, -293.1283182985332, -293.12823227463946, -293.12814641489507, -293.1280607017277, -293.12797511768184, -293.12788964540766, -293.1278042676457, -293.1277189672188, -293.1276337270185, -293.12754852999234, -293.12746335913454, -293.1273781974723 ], "prior": 0.569954160686261, "slip": 0.14475463401753888 }, "102": { "forget": 0.0, "guess": 0.49, "learn": 0.07734745230514353, "log_likelihood_history": [ -487.39951156401116, -441.8141844604349, -439.23988298564154, -438.8617837066306, -438.769020724774, -438.7292477203145, -438.70329899012245, -438.68285259792424, -438.66543050434194, -438.64989469925894, -438.6355376324952, -438.621858290408, -438.60848274405896, -438.59512305821, -438.5815513993415, -438.56758270582395, -438.55306305299956, -438.5378620320908, -438.52186801177726, -438.5049854658636, -438.48713373924943, -438.46824673867496, -438.44827311125374, -438.4271765423193, -438.40493588624986, -438.3815449494723, -438.35701186855624, -438.3313581489977, -438.30461752517374, -438.27683484578677, -438.2480651723677, -438.21837321025635, -438.1878330958666, -438.15652846991026, -438.12661084353476, -438.10149541980064, -438.0797902544961, -438.06085527474687, -438.0442903142756, -438.02979219419217, -438.0171137021413, -438.00604356352886, -437.99639597173433, -437.9880050691467, -437.9807219210383, -437.974412685042, -437.9689573205427, -437.96424852352743, -437.9601907471986, -437.95669925470196, -437.9536991904863, -437.9511246738734, -437.9489179241689, -437.9470284271589, -437.9454121511007, -437.94403081787436, -437.94285123248653, -437.94184467196095, -437.94098633289127, -437.9402548356099, -437.9396317819796, -437.9391013632036, -437.93865001370875, -437.9382661070102, -437.9379396894986, -437.9376622482107, -437.937426508858, -437.9372262606453, -437.9370562046863, -437.93691182311926, -437.9367892663073, -437.9366852557947, -437.93659700093895, -437.9365221273937, -437.936458615831, -437.9364047494932, -437.9363590693469, -437.9363203357731, -437.9362874958634, -437.93625965552485, -437.93623605569996, -437.93621605210836, -437.9361990979965, -437.9361847294554, -437.936172552932, -437.93616223460737, -437.9361534913681, -437.9361460831336, -437.93613980633825, -437.93613448839506, -437.9361299829955, -437.9361261661189, -437.93612293264476, -437.9361201934802, -437.9361178731192, -437.93611590757723, -437.9361142426338, -437.93611283234594, -437.9361116377864, -437.9361106259731, -437.9361097689624 ], "prior": 0.135846665771456, "slip": 0.1610299196891292 }, "103": { "forget": 0.0, "guess": 0.2678176455571026, "learn": 0.9999, "log_likelihood_history": [ -30.639617329172534, -28.677061165478506, -28.552429988426812, -28.493181039816914, -28.4571873739791, -28.43161708791061, -28.41119384016478, -28.39339790552087, -28.37682547973775, -28.360551952362353, -28.343859665432433, -28.326108935377327, -28.306667454780396, -28.284863138186623, -28.259945710501405, -28.231051956893815, -28.19717639398828, -28.157157794210054, -28.109706619693487, -28.05352236494103, -27.987579736732137, -27.911670383889366, -27.827191589020455, -27.737864900584967, -27.649639935162522, -27.569136394452293, -27.501217743985393, -27.447510626972853, -27.40685606656192, -27.376786606308407, -27.354733594532895, -27.338562917798406, -27.326664188343436, -27.317868538601505, -27.311337278789154, -27.306468104187058, -27.30282594166317, -27.30009422299332, -27.29804095253543, -27.29649502169133, -27.295329540233766, -27.294449985916454, -27.29378569225518, -27.293283675385453, -27.292904119417116, -27.29261705105068, -27.29239987568028, -27.29223554305707, -27.292111176436283, -27.292017045017936, -27.291945791904425, -27.291891852982484, -27.291866109134208, -27.291866105064795 ], "prior": 0.45101525950556864, "slip": 0.21738186772129203 }, "104": { "forget": 0.0, "guess": 0.18393047898979822, "learn": 0.01706237244261682, "log_likelihood_history": [ -1005.3241053847115, -872.4061027852242, -862.2346074369326, -859.5966395751428, -858.3198240474061, -857.4985658257963, -856.9145584408066, -856.4832309797295, -856.15687746824, -855.9040913132336, -855.7034846030178, -855.5404025176168, -855.4047247519118, -855.2893692638917, -855.1892969580501, -855.1008571614975, -855.021356334566, -854.9487709759086, -854.8815538151696, -854.8185009419161, -854.7586592661472, -854.7012610598134, -854.6456769472738, -854.5913816409122, -854.5379285976018, -854.4849309938113, -854.4320472220004, -854.3789696472343, -854.3254157237441, -854.271120815227, -854.215832227599, -854.1593040725513, -854.101292649751, -854.0415520740065, -853.9798298857748, -853.9158623703288, -853.8493692698727, -853.7800474973791, -853.7075633379635, -853.6315424316591, -853.5515565349294, -853.4671055998155, -853.3775929972769, -853.2822906013907, -853.1802887280636, -853.0704232924231, -852.9511687116892, -852.8204800696782, -852.6755634580489, -852.5125560705624, -852.3261299267442, -852.1091571565923, -851.8529320944913, -851.5492410655615, -851.1966281884332, -850.8122563343414, -850.4418972654488, -850.1460868394861, -849.9575051811419, -849.8597947050991, -849.8156318294908, -849.7966823843266, -849.7884912321402, -849.784842285666, -849.7831696843845, -849.7823882288906, -849.7820192715261, -849.7818442029113, -849.7817609699728, -849.7817213780577, -849.7817025470376, -849.7816935932675, -849.7816893373814, -849.7816873150888, -849.7816863543753 ], "prior": 0.9156717292370171, "slip": 0.3970135410420966 }, "105": { "forget": 0.0, "guess": 0.49, "learn": 0.35887292225876277, "log_likelihood_history": [ -713.9782788769774, -626.7719989845693, -625.4907778035844, -625.1982394456181, -625.0561221736918, -624.9608003577697, -624.8901990554622, -624.8358954853487, -624.7930548778908, -624.7584553977686, -624.7298501013772, -624.705639384119, -624.6923440491896, -624.6856189727725, -624.6820535756433, -624.6801465001788, -624.6791126786948, -624.6785401854422, -624.6782129948083, -624.6780177169485, -624.6778946690346, -624.6778122655401, -624.6777536334063, -624.6777096215699, -624.6776751501493, -624.6776473022275, -624.6776243245217, -624.6776051021254, -624.677588880703, -624.6775751180604, -624.677563403526, -624.677553413084, -624.6775448834908, -624.6775375966064, -624.6775313693602, -624.6775260468737, -624.6775214974977, -624.6775176089957, -624.677514285528, -624.6775114451746, -624.6775090178878, -624.677506943751, -624.6775051715161, -624.6775036573475, -624.677502363753, -624.6775012586717, -624.6775003146869 ], "prior": 0.5376370875988526, "slip": 0.08894364618978524 }, "106": { "forget": 0.0, "guess": 0.09533522331298554, "learn": 0.3372222003486344, "log_likelihood_history": [ -746.5637523486569, -637.6980750439444, -633.4996226433584, -631.2957394743095, -629.6231656986533, -628.3422813356335, -627.4165104435816, -626.7858120261786, -626.3773153093514, -626.1233263993047, -625.9702975059669, -625.8801893276693, -625.8279543651338, -625.7979671580041, -625.7808414313722, -625.7710803509717, -625.7655161573372, -625.762339973499, -625.7605232972675, -625.7594819327347, -625.7588837238562, -625.758539423121, -625.7583409315218, -625.7582263419387, -625.7581601150159, -625.7581218050514, -625.7580996285303, -625.7580867841993, -625.758079341829, -625.7580750281304, -625.7580725272469, -625.7580710770854, -625.7580702360788 ], "prior": 0.8607270426821505, "slip": 0.13575704121663076 }, "108": { "forget": 0.0, "guess": 0.49, "learn": 0.1074077308022868, "log_likelihood_history": [ -339.04348659477654, -294.5421861870123, -293.07723948009533, -292.0647277819616, -291.38538301257506, -290.9524946210364, -290.7157053176543, -290.6032616161946, -290.5549472912023, -290.5354529433004, -290.52785758838814, -290.5249416427756, -290.5238210998131, -290.5233840912048, -290.523208815452, -290.52313560683166, -290.52310344325906, -290.5230885041253, -290.5230811781792, -290.5230774112394, -290.5230754000964, -290.52307429628195, -290.52307367872123 ], "prior": 0.6659972597474388, "slip": 0.07324800895699707 }, "109": { "forget": 0.0, "guess": 0.49, "learn": 0.1416510340614673, "log_likelihood_history": [ -337.15757037627606, -302.42079105398176, -302.14031213550777, -302.049628934898, -301.988970758078, -301.937541954976, -301.8894443313355, -301.84266236299203, -301.7966629666139, -301.75153489786936, -301.7075988445404, -301.66520599236406, -301.6246336268684, -301.58604261772183, -301.5494753915594, -301.51487640108354, -301.482120838033, -301.4510424578243, -301.421456190021, -301.3931745276712, -301.36601841757135, -301.33982397127016, -301.3144463018807, -301.28976153088854, -301.26566770072776, -301.242085057124, -301.21895595360996, -301.1997041065169, -301.19072588369676, -301.18642620909446, -301.18434439159984, -301.1833339919364, -301.18284288094617, -301.1826039353473, -301.18248759866987, -301.18243093025285, -301.1824033174894, -301.1823898595, -301.18238329921735, -301.1823801009363, -301.1823785415692, -301.18237778122904 ], "prior": 0.5782304759216558, "slip": 0.06496093347555904 }, "11": { "forget": 0.0, "guess": 0.49, "learn": 0.036192243453005854, "log_likelihood_history": [ -350.4830437778977, -303.0886267381276, -301.3133333201159, -300.9765562506935, -300.82659215989315, -300.72063756003274, -300.6491108828058, -300.59192076659366, -300.5457571855356, -300.5086408052703, -300.4788846391007, -300.4550762229633, -300.4360558036774, -300.420881870084, -300.4087944084251, -300.39918126298613, -300.3915495832137, -300.3855025218599, -300.3807205555312, -300.3769465794685, -300.3739739788879, -300.37163702368997, -300.36980308527586, -300.36836630022765, -300.36724239937666, -300.3663644869809, -300.3656796007881, -300.36514591638013, -300.36473048324916, -300.3644073987177, -300.3641563410022, -300.3639613954612, -300.3638101189722, -300.36369279672994, -300.36360185378425, -300.36353139044434, -300.3634768164299, -300.3634345634466, -300.36340185984074, -300.36337655424296, -300.3633569777771, -300.36334183654856, -300.3633301278674, -300.36332107503455, -300.3633140766277, -300.3633086670987, -300.3633044861782, -300.3633012551386, -300.36329875838493, -300.3632968291877, -300.36329533862937, -300.36329418704406, -300.36329329738965 ], "prior": 0.3007455216324667, "slip": 0.21805111660632212 }, "110": { "forget": 0.0, "guess": 0.2904290544887951, "learn": 0.18313746864999184, "log_likelihood_history": [ -416.53189045622145, -389.17841521407286, -388.3622562411981, -388.20266169461115, -388.13060023282713, -388.0866019865832, -388.0575896588675, -388.03796851092295, -388.0245536645086, -388.01533624547756, -388.0089890644762, -388.004614658796, -388.00159917631265, -387.99952053105187, -387.9980878544813, -387.99710055066345, -387.99642026352944, -387.99595157873745, -387.9956287102385, -387.995406310168, -387.9952531254098, -387.99514762035886, -387.9950749574851, -387.9950249152001, -387.99499045245864, -387.9949667194434, -387.9949503758232, -387.9949391210355, -387.9949313706878, -387.9949260336429, -387.99492235847515, -387.99491982771764, -387.99491808502125, -387.9949168849946, -387.9949160586551 ], "prior": 0.634314876959509, "slip": 0.1593632250261968 }, "111": { "forget": 0.0, "guess": 0.0001, "learn": 0.0001, "log_likelihood_history": [ -150.4465824230715, -143.6816496349857, -143.0644894702393, -142.8170763129167, -142.69666598904533, -142.626207732432, -142.57644817583258, -142.53536463226297, -142.49771532058082, -142.46108347800313, -142.42427592951347, -142.3866443153722, -142.34778756374183, -142.3074175816484, -142.26529647972316, -142.22120566033126, -142.1749292801801, -142.1262442646839, -142.07491331618024, -142.02067925577393, -141.96325989339863, -141.90234301811245, -141.83758130251735, -141.76858704195413, -141.69492676162187, -141.616115861557, -141.53161366528636, -141.44081953425643, -141.34307116180662, -141.23764684064054, -141.12377449687568, -141.0006516942801, -140.8674826793161, -140.7235407374142, -140.56826611732282, -140.4014101348837, -140.22323188542137, -140.03474052248345, -139.8379479279463, -139.63605318709202, -139.43343695986337, -139.23534215727497, -139.04720970884438, -138.87382382731107, -138.71858145309903, -138.58316853021, -138.4676924544424, -138.37109037432575, -138.29158500756836, -138.22705613144785, -138.1753003215306, -138.13419874933237, -138.10181818069955, -138.07646357371502, -138.05669545327268, -138.0413228291687, -138.02938093408738, -138.02010134298365, -138.01288001472497, -138.0072468147634, -138.00283843904248, -137.99937548626693, -137.99664369082302, -137.9944789334765, -137.99275548122975, -137.99137687946725, -137.99026896333973, -137.98940846639883, -137.98883439347247, -137.98835435925622, -137.98795235615574, -137.98761529158304, -137.98733239148518, -137.9870947521814, -137.98689499131208, -137.98672697126332, -137.98658557766709, -137.98646654060786, -137.98636628937956, -137.98633669135543, -137.98633665398413 ], "prior": 0.8694165533652235, "slip": 0.355628210339937 }, "12": { "forget": 0.0, "guess": 0.4216687620014177, "learn": 0.007843143709019344, "log_likelihood_history": [ -222.1502032710219, -195.99169374496802, -193.764739858425, -193.10240453636092, -192.76766762556142, -192.55088516007908, -192.40129464334242, -192.30138963129878, -192.23881237531833, -192.20164676350493, -192.1799288768636, -192.16683601239683, -192.15837056825507, -192.15242652111237, -192.14796320985477, -192.14447626742134, -192.1417097142264, -192.13951507365883, -192.13778862609644, -192.13644647205058, -192.1354162071025, -192.13463491990757, -192.13404896286687, -192.13361376967265, -192.13329326816282, -192.13305893123123, -192.1328886415115, -192.13276553340418, -192.1326769218376, -192.13261337388118, -192.13256794047072, -192.13253554184843, -192.13251248840612, -192.13249611441233, -192.1324845023267, -192.13247627783122, -192.13247045892717, -192.13246634571516, -192.13246344040874, -192.13246138959312, -192.13245994272336, -192.13245892240028, -192.1324582031457 ], "prior": 0.0726248095342899, "slip": 0.12168516936587657 }, "13": { "forget": 0.0, "guess": 0.49, "learn": 0.041127097969871976, "log_likelihood_history": [ -309.6269086948977, -286.1471254560451, -282.64571146878774, -280.58743391913663, -279.379786102431, -278.8999394412794, -278.7336723436508, -278.68096554601993, -278.6649901379306, -278.6602113542542, -278.65877838945863, -278.6583452084005, -278.65821308302174, -278.65817246521163, -278.65815990017, -278.6581559948042, -278.65815477677313, -278.658154395945 ], "prior": 0.29255030933025394, "slip": 0.07520967919590153 }, "14": { "forget": 0.0, "guess": 0.48104990382135193, "learn": 0.05857108293995337, "log_likelihood_history": [ -200.76371297345574, -184.38253827014697, -183.47947179059454, -183.28696771407365, -183.20351829139523, -183.14859846768803, -183.1061937730831, -183.07167398549223, -183.04307732128552, -183.01927991187034, -182.9994946612363, -182.98309882861685, -182.96956737218989, -182.95844631185048, -182.94934151356466, -182.94191277008125, -182.93586916703097, -182.93096441155998, -182.92699190979033, -182.9237797598591, -182.92118589448853, -182.9190935596121, -182.91740724200454, -182.91604909362013, -182.91495585310338, -182.91407623520558, -182.91336874282717, -182.9127998499316, -182.9123425031854, -182.9119748932964, -182.91167945191106, -182.91144203548424, -182.91125126307136, -182.9110979801648, -182.9109748253174, -182.9108758803151, -182.91079638808986, -182.91073252544396, -182.9106812200564, -182.91064000321887, -182.91060689137345, -182.91058029084894, -182.91055892127267, -182.91054175400706, -182.9105279626726, -182.910516883388, -182.9105079828216, -182.91050083252247, -182.91049508829633, -182.91049047363714, -182.91048676641535, -182.91048378818485, -182.9104813955916, -182.91047947347298, -182.9104779293132, -182.91047668878963, -182.9104756921953 ], "prior": 0.49582434750012633, "slip": 0.1747790721412965 }, "15": { "forget": 0.0, "guess": 0.49, "learn": 0.03136161423559924, "log_likelihood_history": [ -1853.3482733178041, -1637.3738428656197, -1628.205133555711, -1625.6126282379141, -1624.1830478683248, -1623.2747750022797, -1622.679844770822, -1622.4026835715097, -1622.2781141241896, -1622.2229874436018, -1622.198877834328, -1622.188399593707, -1622.1838533496891, -1622.1818757591752, -1622.1810093908625, -1622.1806251182365, -1622.1804514580986, -1622.180370903323, -1622.1803322479902, -1622.1803129248492, -1622.1803028180916, -1622.180297283956, -1622.1802941224948, -1622.180292250219, -1622.1802911093628, -1622.1802903992225 ], "prior": 0.43745691813586945, "slip": 0.20968733661010572 }, "16": { "forget": 0.0, "guess": 0.14390868659049716, "learn": 0.19898932758122861, "log_likelihood_history": [ -579.9553880016542, -542.7397883723256, -540.0018233324364, -539.2499619790432, -538.8044244610053, -538.4437240015013, -538.1261497373278, -537.8380148336448, -537.5721206209107, -537.3243027386643, -537.092648515072, -536.877067389369, -536.6787549077316, -536.4994602481056, -536.3406831431762, -536.2030469763613, -536.0860406200122, -535.988139386333, -535.9071559788825, -535.8406344072555, -535.7861616032109, -535.7415561578541, -535.7049498318585, -535.6747974744861, -535.6498486037599, -535.6291037464616, -535.61176878792, -535.5972136469919, -535.5849375056379, -535.5745407368265, -535.5657027773074, -535.5581649207276, -535.5517170278154, -535.5461872855691, -535.5414343095589, -535.5373410349479, -535.5338099695764, -535.5307594845486, -535.5281208969628, -535.5258361597978, -535.5238560194656, -535.5221385356764, -535.5206478838057, -535.5193533790215, -535.5182286757408, -535.5172511067163, -535.5164011341162, -535.5156618911005, -535.5150187970139, -535.5144592328877, -535.5139722666488, -535.513548419563, -535.5131794670546, -535.5128582683535, -535.5125786204204, -535.5123351324027, -535.5121231175283, -535.5119384998534, -535.5117777337084, -535.5116377340171, -535.5115158159632, -535.5114096426977, -535.5113171799768, -535.511236656791, -535.5111665311655, -535.5111054604495, -535.5110522754818, -535.5110059581299, -535.5109656217463, -535.5109304941724, -535.5108999029376, -535.5108732623819, -535.5108500624472, -535.5108298589093, -535.5108122648891, -535.5107969434416, -535.5107836011155, -535.5107719823404, -535.5107618645361, -535.510753053858, -535.5107453814852, -535.510738700395, -535.510732882545, -535.5107278164289, -535.5107234049381, -535.5107195635032, -535.510716218479, -535.51071330573, -535.5107107694047, -535.5107085608663, -535.5107066377603, -535.5107049632041, -535.5107035050789, -535.5107022354166, -535.5107011298616, -535.5107001672056 ], "prior": 0.7303383798406391, "slip": 0.2601017573960499 }, "17": { "forget": 0.0, "guess": 0.49, "learn": 0.03670372933517686, "log_likelihood_history": [ -25674.268574084937, -23442.875229320867, -23350.83082431177, -23314.028714263404, -23294.100929305143, -23283.916016310384, -23278.69260532426, -23275.964525654785, -23274.516238211865, -23273.73829954611, -23273.317078566, -23273.0877443858, -23272.962394230217, -23272.893684921066, -23272.855943379782, -23272.83517964887, -23272.823742919765, -23272.817437977403, -23272.813959835887, -23272.8120401594, -23272.810980248767, -23272.810394878976, -23272.810071523087, -23272.80989287532, -23272.809794164634, -23272.809739618006, -23272.809709474164, -23272.809692815084, -23272.80968360807, -23272.809678519567, -23272.809675707103, -23272.809674152726, -23272.80967329351 ], "prior": 0.8831267995636318, "slip": 0.171760486766688 }, "2": { "forget": 0.0, "guess": 0.0001, "learn": 0.6468164977402474, "log_likelihood_history": [ -135.16924631184762, -114.52147975236527, -114.18124632140366, -114.06702879866086, -113.99484482009528, -113.93966207687019, -113.89356053920204, -113.85246962961344, -113.81411171973377, -113.77727308116502, -113.74138128761426, -113.70624130932588, -113.6718763733975, -113.63843594222668, -113.60614246244315, -113.57525730924296, -113.54605421978911, -113.51879476276106, -113.4937048121695, -113.47095367917818, -113.4506386615529, -113.43277748038456, -113.41730973016872, -113.40410664651624, -113.39298688305098, -113.38373512277123, -113.37612040392926, -113.36991181427629, -113.36489029433577, -113.36085630267593, -113.35763380537574, -113.3550714077134, -113.35304151668731, -113.35143831889833, -113.35017517958846, -113.34918188276772, -113.3484019742768, -113.34779035080047, -113.34731115659034, -113.34693599870405, -113.34664246263141, -113.34641289597623, -113.34623342286675, -113.34609315207159, -113.34598354486107, -113.34589791289537, -113.34583102092186, -113.3457932536678, -113.34579324760197 ], "prior": 0.8149158838071499, "slip": 0.10532612570451305 }, "20": { "forget": 0.0, "guess": 0.4670521798142867, "learn": 0.04235622281726342, "log_likelihood_history": [ -668.0259369853222, -584.0243927757487, -579.8255543077747, -579.2105480638768, -579.0654352698957, -579.0122901879407, -578.9827900306016, -578.9618859662071, -578.9456125146015, -578.9325719542462, -578.9220394835125, -578.9135168248223, -578.9066179892633, -578.9010330362315, -578.8965110414947, -578.8928487088857, -578.8898814620641, -578.8874761813445, -578.8855252528293, -578.8839417085154, -578.8826552728074, -578.8816091561786, -578.8807574603212, -578.880063081136, -578.879496015545, -578.8790319950529, -578.8786513832486, -578.8783382862936, -578.8780798351614, -578.8778656063425, -578.8776871541677, -578.8775376331134, -578.8774114926686, -578.8773042307282, -578.87721219421, -578.8771324177904, -578.8770624934239, -578.8770004647301, -578.8769447414838, -578.8768940303478, -578.8768472787589, -578.8768036294459, -578.8767623835596, -578.8767229707718, -578.8766849250276, -578.8766478648646, -578.8766114774512, -578.8765755056221, -578.8765397373594, -578.876503997248, -578.876468139534, -578.8764320424885, -578.8763956038254, -578.8763587369789, -578.8763213680751, -578.8762834334709, -578.8762448777514, -578.8762056520976, -578.8761657129633, -578.8761250209907, -578.8760835401304, -578.8760412369232, -578.8759980799115, -578.8759540391613, -578.8759090858669, -578.8758631920313, -578.8758163301994, -578.8757684732411, -578.8757195941714, -578.8756696659982, -578.8756186616005, -578.8755665536225, -578.8755133143865, -578.8754589158153, -578.8754033293732, -578.8753465260044, -578.87528847609, -578.8752291494009, -578.8751685150621, -578.8751065415165, -578.875043196495, -578.8749784469833, -578.8749122591987, -578.8748445985601, -578.8747754296646, -578.8747047162623, -578.8746324212331, -578.8745585065641, -578.8744829333241, -578.8744056616443, -578.8743266506937, -578.8742458586562, -578.874163242712, -578.8740787590099, -578.8739923626489, -578.8739040076547, -578.873813646958, -578.8737212323715, -578.8736267145671, -578.873530043056, -578.8734311661643, -578.8733300310117, -578.8732265834901, -578.8731207682407, -578.873012528634, -578.8729018067464, -578.8727885433416, -578.8726726778475, -578.8725541483385, -578.872432891514, -578.8723088426792, -578.8721819357279, -578.8720521031245, -578.871919275886, -578.8717833835653, -578.8716443542406, -578.8715021144957, -578.8713565894116, -578.8712077025531, -578.8710553759609, -578.8708995301399, -578.870740084058, -578.8705769551375, -578.8704100592536, -578.8702393107371, -578.8700646223724, -578.8698859054059, -578.8697030695517, -578.8695160230048, -578.8693246724513, -578.8691289230896, -578.8689286786499, -578.8687238414191, -578.8685143122707, -578.8682999906965, -578.8680807748478, -578.867856561577, -578.867627246485, -578.8673927239771, -578.8671528873218, -578.8669076287163, -578.8666568393588, -578.8664004095292, -578.866138228671, -578.8658701854899, -578.8655961680498, -578.8653160638848, -578.8650297601158, -578.8647371435752, -578.8644381009422, -578.8641325188876, -578.863820284226, -578.8635012840788, -578.8631754060485, -578.8628425384023, -578.8625025702638, -578.8621553918202, -578.8618008945368, -578.861438971384, -578.8610695170747, -578.8606924283139, -578.8603076040583, -578.8599149457887, -578.8595143577922, -578.8591057474566, -578.858689025575, -578.8582641066608, -578.8578309092755, -578.8573893563619, -578.856939375592, -578.8564808997206, -578.856013866949, -578.855538221294, -578.8550539129683, -578.8545608987621, -578.8540591424336, -578.8535486150986, -578.8530292956315, -578.8525011710556, -578.8519642369466, -578.8514184978243, -578.850863967546, -578.8503006696951, -578.8497286379618, -578.8491479165158, -578.84855856037, -578.8479606357294, -578.8473542203252, -578.8467394037366, -578.8461162876861, -578.8454849863211, -578.8448456264653, -578.8441983478473, -578.8435433033027, -578.84288065894, -578.8422105942769, -578.8415333023437, -578.8408489897433, -578.8401578766767, -578.8394601969252 ], "prior": 0.2680453794306025, "slip": 0.2754746305003359 }, "21": { "forget": 0.0, "guess": 0.10909093830999712, "learn": 0.0001, "log_likelihood_history": [ -61.34596581633712, -43.998896141120085, -43.7831434457937, -43.60950673930685, -43.42571914511373, -43.247658920309746, -43.0940564557565, -42.97485755362618, -42.88922238155742, -42.83075212374884, -42.792129229601464, -42.767157955802915, -42.75123130928328, -42.74115773277036, -42.73481723678909, -42.73083702212819, -42.7287881385654, -42.72787061450839, -42.72730963137669, -42.726966803712635, -42.72675736040683, -42.72662942993836, -42.726623447550175, -42.726623447493985 ], "prior": 0.0217186669091801, "slip": 0.0001 }, "22": { "forget": 0.0, "guess": 0.49, "learn": 0.0013285380146703107, "log_likelihood_history": [ -108.93620726541505, -94.01751084559835, -93.5953076639189, -93.40375016311525, -93.27228350386589, -93.16831822579447, -93.0802153632033, -93.00275269245701, -92.93313203440572, -92.86966533504022, -92.81222348361821, -92.76750036893097, -92.7321017309581, -92.70383546678984, -92.68121541680621, -92.66307831452933, -92.64850000928355, -92.63674719539044, -92.62723931042935, -92.61951742953663, -92.61321903823189, -92.60805776786412, -92.60380724883532, -92.6002883249922, -92.5973589754381, -92.59490639492822, -92.59284078211181, -92.59109047155907, -92.58959811913742, -92.5883177111276, -92.58721221673183, -92.5862517429431, -92.58541208180114, -92.58467356440902, -92.58402015508595, -92.58343873380011, -92.58291852649273, -92.58245065179848, -92.58202775955988, -92.58164374188897, -92.58129350168542, -92.58097276675883, -92.58067794022139, -92.58040597979291, -92.5801543001947, -92.57992069402658, -92.57970326746438, -92.57950038786927, -92.57931064098763, -92.57913279589222, -92.57896577617952, -92.57880863623912, -92.57866054164008, -92.57852075286823, -92.57838861179783, -92.5782635303966, -92.57814498126385, -92.57803248967352, -92.57792562685725, -92.57782400431319, -92.57772726896323, -92.57763509901704, -92.57754720042425, -92.57746330381984, -92.57738316188305, -92.57730654704372, -92.57723324948515, -92.57716307539465, -92.57709584542923, -92.5770313933617, -92.57696956488444, -92.57691021654627, -92.57685321480727, -92.57679843519385, -92.57674576154218, -92.57669508531794, -92.5766463050049, -92.57659932555157, -92.57655405787149, -92.57651041838909, -92.57646832862784, -92.57642771483447, -92.57638850763625, -92.57635064172854, -92.5763140555875, -92.57627869120813, -92.57624449386199, -92.57621141187667, -92.57617939643069, -92.57614840136573, -92.57611838301295, -92.57608930003262, -92.5760611132653, -92.5760337855954, -92.57600728182311, -92.57598156854648, -92.57595661405222, -92.57593238821356, -92.57590886239545, -92.57588600936661, -92.57586380321767, -92.57584221928389, -92.57582123407468, -92.57580082520623, -92.57578097133961, -92.57576165212272, -92.57574284813516, -92.57572454083838, -92.57570671252662, -92.57568934628343, -92.57567242593872, -92.57565593603007, -92.5756398617655, -92.57562418898861, -92.57560890414628, -92.57559399425757, -92.57557944688534, -92.57556525010837, -92.57555139249665, -92.57553786308607, -92.57552465135696, -92.57551174721164, -92.57549914095429, -92.57548682327233, -92.57547478521775, -92.57546301819029, -92.57545151392138, -92.57544026445846, -92.57542926215086, -92.57541849963604, -92.57540796982647, -92.57539766589737, -92.57538758127507, -92.57537770962621, -92.57536804484666, -92.5753585810519, -92.57534931256767, -92.57534023392088, -92.575331339831, -92.57532262520176, -92.57531408511399, -92.57530571481773, -92.57529750972542, -92.57528946540536, -92.57528157757518, -92.57527384209583, -92.57526625496614, -92.57525881231666, -92.57525151040541, -92.57524434561172, -92.57523731443246, -92.57523041347686, -92.57522363946276, -92.5752169892116, -92.57521045964532, -92.57520404778225, -92.5751977507333, -92.5751915656986, -92.57518548996431, -92.57517952089978, -92.57517365595325, -92.57516789265081, -92.57516222859189, -92.57515666144762, -92.57515118895809, -92.57514580892959, -92.57514051923263, -92.5751353177995, -92.57513020262222, -92.5751251717503, -92.57512022328886, -92.57511535539682, -92.575110566285, -92.57510585421421, -92.57510121749378, -92.5750966544799, -92.57509216357398, -92.57508774322108, -92.57508339190856, -92.57507910816507, -92.57507489055833, -92.5750707376948, -92.57506664821787, -92.57506262080672, -92.5750586541755, -92.57505474707185, -92.5750508982761, -92.57504710660015, -92.57504337088626, -92.57503969000668, -92.57503606286222, -92.5750324883816, -92.57502896552039, -92.5750254932605, -92.57502207060918, -92.57501869659816, -92.57501537028351, -92.57501209074384, -92.57500885708079, -92.5750056684175 ], "prior": 0.44398150021220056, "slip": 0.029927583621169054 }, "23": { "forget": 0.0, "guess": 0.49, "learn": 0.3127814854824724, "log_likelihood_history": [ -1364.6271034361678, -1191.1445771615229, -1183.2195280319395, -1182.460288165736, -1182.1067423436727, -1181.8650832259923, -1181.6966706359697, -1181.5783384991928, -1181.4945935855308, -1181.434944653566, -1181.3922167213525, -1181.3614567068885, -1181.339215638787, -1181.32307287885, -1181.3113173996333, -1181.3027320588858, -1181.2964461481442, -1181.2918336804912, -1181.2884426345156, -1181.2859453523383, -1181.2841035239892, -1181.282743313405, -1181.2817375894083, -1181.2809931688587, -1181.2804416176057, -1181.2800325911273, -1181.279728997117, -1181.2795034709613, -1181.2793358009746, -1181.2792110431453, -1181.2791181379332, -1181.2790488936466, -1181.2789972380472, -1181.2789586667516, -1181.2789298361138, -1181.2789082624822, -1181.278892099816, -1181.278879975107, -1181.2788708664975, -1181.2788640129606, -1181.2788588473106, -1181.2788549465083, -1181.27885199477, -1181.27884975617, -1181.2788480542663, -1181.2788467569646, -1181.2788457652644 ], "prior": 0.7011273446714041, "slip": 0.17529016671116923 }, "24": { "forget": 0.0, "guess": 0.49, "learn": 0.0981985620017044, "log_likelihood_history": [ -1479.0225635770544, -1352.8179669581248, -1345.9042511322994, -1344.6284414364561, -1344.1876322708197, -1343.9218391624968, -1343.7107638495886, -1343.5272648911462, -1343.3629120457495, -1343.2137676249, -1343.0773745451831, -1342.951990160659, -1342.8363116472717, -1342.7293337919082, -1342.6302586549352, -1342.5384340477087, -1342.453310948117, -1342.3821333640497, -1342.3368976811882, -1342.3071029666594, -1342.287467590019, -1342.2745864563778, -1342.2661693762543, -1342.2606866301217, -1342.2571241712524, -1342.2548139366818, -1342.253317981627, -1342.2523503525872, -1342.2517249276427, -1342.2513208659607, -1342.2510598641354, -1342.2508912587596, -1342.2507823068206, -1342.2507118640815, -1342.2506662836272, -1342.2506367600008, -1342.2506176120169, -1342.2506051737198, -1342.2505970787458, -1342.2505917987867, -1342.2505883460653, -1342.2505860815395, -1342.2505845912954, -1342.25058360685 ], "prior": 0.47263572155026157, "slip": 0.15699029848409354 }, "25": { "forget": 0.0, "guess": 0.2598450384675638, "learn": 0.16473987174987412, "log_likelihood_history": [ -239.33443197035464, -233.90973103810157, -233.3027208397622, -233.17088268026697, -233.12772413362666, -233.10920789614235, -233.0999764488873, -233.0949404662863, -233.09197681615333, -233.09008600128465, -233.0887715523373, -233.08778057923922, -233.08698207519336, -233.08630691198823, -233.0857176432708, -233.08519317079134, -233.0847209188692, -233.0842928247952, -233.0839032754273, -233.08354803894764, -233.0832237067192, -233.08292739731115, -233.082656595762, -233.0824090629757, -233.08218278180524, -233.08197592259594, -233.08178681929928, -233.0816139515312, -233.08145593016465, -233.08131148516824, -233.08117945500013, -233.08105877716702, -233.08094847971168, -233.08084767349055, -233.08075554513192, -233.0806713506079, -233.08059440935256, -233.08052409888066, -233.08045984986262, -233.08040114161116, -233.08034749795362, -233.08029848344725, -233.0802536999189, -233.0802127832921, -233.08017540068528, -233.08014124775363, -233.08011004625686, -233.0800815418318, -233.08005550195426, -233.0800317140739, -233.08000998390656, -233.07999013387212, -233.07997200166548, -233.07995543894856, -233.07994031015267, -233.07992649138538, -233.07991386942825, -233.07990234082047, -233.0798918110222, -233.07988219364685, -233.07987340976192, -233.07986538724685, -233.07985806020724, -233.07985136844002, -233.0798452569421, -233.07983967546343, -233.07983457809698, -233.07982992290488, -233.0798256715752, -233.07982178911087, -233.07981824354187, -233.07981500566464, -233.07981204880406, -233.0798093485936, -233.07980688277684, -233.07980463102473, -233.0798025747696, -233.07980069705164, -233.0797989823812, -233.0797974166106, -233.07979598681902, -233.07979468120524, -233.07979348899124, -233.0797924003335, -233.07979140624286 ], "prior": 0.24144056808097503, "slip": 0.1905664843188585 }, "26": { "forget": 0.0, "guess": 0.10052666356724517, "learn": 0.2050961909217429, "log_likelihood_history": [ -158.1583348646466, -149.3731901631969, -148.10191655745786, -147.70995120182928, -147.5113301672881, -147.37256320734912, -147.2583625607432, -147.15794127091326, -147.06767263719587, -146.9861479293514, -146.91262286462143, -146.84651965774734, -146.7872808756446, -146.73434094139867, -146.68713339546645, -146.6451053599059, -146.60773005903962, -146.57451527022977, -146.54500794441782, -146.5187958670138, -146.49550725068937, -146.4748089918746, -146.45640413813513, -146.44002895395676, -146.42544984816817, -146.41246033445807, -146.40087813086035, -146.39054245842345, -146.3813115682928, -146.3730605059791, -146.36567910861163, -146.35907022315322, -146.3531481292849, -146.34783714872881, -146.34307042236335, -146.33878883701692, -146.33494008489757, -146.33147783998612, -146.32836103719083, -146.32555324155103, -146.32302209619488, -146.3207388390852, -146.3186778797967, -146.31681642865655, -146.31513417155375, -146.31361298457992, -146.3122366834186, -146.31099080306305, -146.30986240401606, -146.30883990163295, -146.3079129156959, -146.3070721377004, -146.30630921364676, -146.30561664042978, -146.30498767415716, -146.30441624894297, -146.30389690491273, -146.30342472431047, -146.3029952747448, -146.30260455872744, -146.30224896876612, -146.3019252473623, -146.30163045134856, -146.30136192006495, -146.3011172469372, -146.300894254072, -146.30069096952968, -146.3005056069769, -146.30033654745387, -146.30018232302592, -146.30004160211067, -146.29991317630413, -146.299795948539, -146.29968892243605, -146.29959119272152, -146.29950193659803, -146.29942040596833, -146.2993459204243, -146.29927786092213, -146.29921566407222, -146.29915881698182, -146.29910685259452, -146.29905934547614, -146.29901590800185, -146.29897618690566, -146.2989398601558, -146.29890663412357, -146.29887624101738, -146.2988484365559, -146.29882299785737, -146.29879972152415, -146.2987784219034, -146.29875892950727, -146.29874108957873, -146.29872476078597, -146.29870981403744, -146.29869613140258, -146.29868360513132, -146.29867213676002, -146.29866163629944, -146.2986520214938, -146.2986432171469, -146.29863515450793, -146.2986277707112, -146.29862100826583, -146.29861481459108, -146.29860914159173, -146.29860394527057, -146.29859918537608, -146.29859482507987, -146.2985908306825, -146.29858717134542, -146.29858381884523, -146.2985807473505, -146.2985779332171, -146.29857535480113, -146.2985729922887, -146.29857082754, -146.29856884394707, -146.2985670263025, -146.2985653606821, -146.29856383433415, -146.29856243558183, -146.29856115373056, -146.29855997898594, -146.298558902377, -146.29855791568684 ], "prior": 0.5314322497123104, "slip": 0.43614740834543114 }, "27": { "forget": 0.0, "guess": 0.4060211108999119, "learn": 0.08103138593072902, "log_likelihood_history": [ -286.60747143211603, -276.4210826606599, -275.2389260371233, -274.9321024424456, -274.7940557357753, -274.70272945070474, -274.6309606528594, -274.5711786063001, -274.52043102632734, -274.4770328449688, -274.4397616302514, -274.4076432563426, -274.37987851793787, -274.3558056885804, -274.3348745470099, -274.3166260196948, -274.3006757414697, -274.2867007309522, -274.27442859663165, -274.2636287893981, -274.2541054993802, -274.24569186977936, -274.23824526553966, -274.2316433887834, -274.2257810764248, -274.22056764971256, -274.2159247123207, -274.2117843145822, -274.2080874178447, -274.2047826058012, -274.2018249997911, -274.1991753431286, -274.19679922593457, -274.19466642712314, -274.1927503543378, -274.19102756601677, -274.1894773624989, -274.1880814353293, -274.186823565737, -274.18568936478164, -274.1846660488822, -274.1837422454762, -274.18290782439414, -274.1821537512297, -274.1814719595816, -274.1808552395077, -274.1802971399518, -274.1797918832296, -274.17933428995485, -274.1789197130103, -274.1785439793862, -274.17820333885817, -274.17789441864176, -274.17761418325745, -274.1773598989692, -274.17712910222514, -274.1769195716171, -274.1767293029383, -274.17655648696586, -274.17639948965456, -274.1762568344559, -274.17612718652094, -274.17600933857403, -274.1759021982662, -274.17580477684334, -274.17571617898716, -274.17563559369677, -274.17556228609936, -274.1754955900906, -274.1754349017145, -274.1753796732077, -274.17532940763226, -274.1752836540425, -274.17524200312715, -274.17520408327636, -274.1751695570336, -274.1751381178903, -274.17510948739215, -274.1750834125211, -274.17505966333016, -274.17503803080245, -274.1750183249142, -274.1750003728826, -274.17498401757587, -274.17496911607617, -274.17495553837557, -274.17494316619434, -274.1749318919101, -274.17492161758486, -274.1749122540839, -274.1749037202765, -274.17489594230847, -274.1748888529433, -274.1748823909642, -274.1748765006291, -274.17487113117727, -274.1748662363802, -274.1748617741342, -274.174857706089, -274.17485399731083, -274.17485061597574, -274.1748475330916, -274.1748447222437, -274.17484215936463, -274.1748398225243, -274.17483769173924, -274.1748357487989, -274.17483397710737, -274.17483236153953, -274.17483088831085, -274.17482954485627, -274.17482831972376, -274.1748272024745, -274.1748261835928, -274.1748252544042 ], "prior": 0.13043385112757663, "slip": 0.08058371002030174 }, "28": { "forget": 0.0, "guess": 0.49, "learn": 0.12626698033110806, "log_likelihood_history": [ -230.3434827161375, -195.4628873496099, -194.1730949472068, -193.92207229778538, -193.87004462508762, -193.83785335494528, -193.81292932162015, -193.7931335730447, -193.7772726844728, -193.76447563969654, -193.75408614675746, -193.74560396833874, -193.73864407870235, -193.7329074314552, -193.7281597993996, -193.72421629431756, -193.720929924759, -193.71818305483157, -193.71588096862777, -193.7139469781266, -193.7123186731784, -193.71094502418586, -193.70978412686648, -193.70880143446257, -193.70796836287042, -193.70726118318635, -193.70666013731656, -193.70614872787107, -193.70571314508246, -193.7053418021041, -193.70502495651706, -193.7047544007742, -193.70452320805336, -193.70432552285064, -193.70415638786739, -193.70401160045924, -193.7038875932572, -193.70378133462938, -193.70369024548222, -193.70361212956163, -193.7035451149391, -193.70348760479735, -193.7034382359573, -193.7033958438762, -193.70335943305753, -193.7033281520048, -193.70330127198855, -193.70327816902963, -193.7032583085902, -193.70324123255455, -193.70322654814555, -193.7032139184804, -193.70320305451799, -193.70319370818535, -193.70318566650815, -193.703178746596, -193.70317279135213, -193.70316766580453, -193.70316325396567, -193.70315945614078, -193.70315618662465, -193.70315337172508, -193.70315094806918, -193.70314886115023, -193.70314706408064, -193.70314551652234, -193.7031441837671, -193.70314303594785, -193.70314204736098 ], "prior": 0.6428583242365566, "slip": 0.1359599781190104 }, "29": { "forget": 0.0, "guess": 0.2889894371327699, "learn": 0.06688962529270619, "log_likelihood_history": [ -374.24613431643223, -352.1103388945983, -349.21110223483237, -348.47440554377346, -348.19594077051624, -348.0510485286624, -347.95714545595945, -347.8884857478904, -347.8352127437821, -347.79259458340806, -347.7578593212079, -347.72915853010915, -347.7051722110935, -347.6849244895923, -347.6676793971838, -347.65287391445014, -347.640072029193, -347.6289322139784, -347.6191840159396, -347.6106110097565, -347.6030382592054, -347.5963230059181, -347.5903476892684, -347.5850146652591, -347.580242174788, -347.5759612387751, -347.5721132468281, -347.5686480691741, -347.5655225665661, -347.56269940520343, -347.5601461071529, -347.5578342839031, -347.5557390133108, -347.55383832958137, -347.5521128029343, -347.550545190883, -347.54912014706605, -347.54782397661205, -347.5466444293596, -347.5455705240669, -347.544592398134, -347.54370117846247, -347.54288886991765, -347.5421482585543, -347.5414728272677, -347.54085668198553, -347.5402944868287, -347.5397814069577, -347.53931305802485, -347.53888546134124, -347.5384950040037, -347.5381384033425, -347.53781267515626, -347.5375151052671, -347.5372432240086, -347.5369947832987, -347.5367677360135, -347.53656021739687, -347.53637052829225, -347.5361971199967, -347.5360385805682, -347.53589362243554, -347.53576107117715, -347.5356398553519, -347.53552899727697, -347.5354276046587, -347.53533486299307, -347.5352500286644, -347.5351724226704, -347.5351014249194, -347.5350364690398, -347.5349770376603, -347.53492265811275, -347.5348728985178, -347.5348273642229, -347.5347856945532, -347.53474755985536, -347.5347126587981, -347.5346807159159, -347.53465147936436, -347.5346247188772, -347.5346002239, -347.53457780188796, -347.5345572767522, -347.5345384874426, -347.53452128665367, -347.53450553964245, -347.5344911231488, -347.53447792441233, -347.53446584026983, -347.5344547763349, -347.5344446462454, -347.53443537097905, -347.5344268782251, -347.53441910181033, -347.53441198117764, -347.53440546090593, -347.5343994902719, -347.53439402285125, -347.53438901615107, -347.5343844312775, -347.53438023262913, -347.5343763876158, -347.5343728664046, -347.5343696416849, -347.5343666884555, -347.5343639838267, -347.5343615068441, -347.53435923832103, -347.53435716069276, -347.5343552578767, -347.53435351514696, -347.5343519190209, -347.5343504571528, -347.53434911823837, -347.5343478919263, -347.5343467687385, -347.53434573999505, -347.5343447977478 ], "prior": 0.5008606259304352, "slip": 0.3560940139649233 }, "3": { "forget": 0.0, "guess": 0.4569376972455826, "learn": 0.052487894264539016, "log_likelihood_history": [ -311.0674662049566, -288.3832976873544, -287.6658291942598, -287.5686352326281, -287.5195792141323, -287.47906320216504, -287.4428181328023, -287.40975822047255, -287.3792843835131, -287.35099260881657, -287.32460984570554, -287.2999609112291, -287.2769442716664, -287.25551209259527, -287.23565272982484, -287.2173748959439, -287.20069342306186, -287.1856169989103, -287.1721384733318, -287.16022830335163, -287.14983145581664, -287.14086769638124, -287.1332347768724, -287.1268137043991, -287.12147511353766, -287.11708578854956, -287.11351456186014, -287.11063708027206, -287.10833920856044, -287.10651907499954, -287.1050879256967, -287.10397004028823, -287.10310198345144, -287.1024314450247, -287.10191587638536, -287.10152107797313, -287.10121984282983, -287.1009907191752, -287.10081692315583, -287.1006854105703, -287.10058610204874, -287.10051124798747, -287.10045491571, -287.1004125803917, -287.1003808020713, -287.10035697281364, -287.10033912021294, -287.10032575561206, -287.1003157574708, -287.10030828213723, -287.1003026958405, -287.100298523027, -287.10029540721587, -287.1002930814152, -287.10029134580475, -287.10029005093224, -287.1002890850796 ], "prior": 0.33920359170409986, "slip": 0.15552409690076432 }, "30": { "forget": 0.0, "guess": 0.38645704430715644, "learn": 0.021942538622683735, "log_likelihood_history": [ -2551.283952077849, -2320.962506584374, -2303.81290999303, -2296.8651317994504, -2293.3428685047916, -2291.380785416021, -2290.215905823764, -2289.4881294898582, -2289.0136276193066, -2288.6929595244897, -2288.4696069296806, -2288.3100194747044, -2288.1935041598235, -2288.1068610020766, -2288.041415952005, -2287.9913172799734, -2287.952524097618, -2287.922187476474, -2287.8982613643598, -2287.8792518833475, -2287.864052136948, -2287.8518311138905, -2287.8419575614093, -2287.833946916821, -2287.8274237242, -2287.8220946279394, -2287.8177287051976, -2287.8141429655516, -2287.8111915380437, -2287.8087575237873, -2287.8067467975916, -2287.805083250728, -2287.8037051101933, -2287.802562069821, -2287.8016130385186, -2287.8008243625, -2287.80016841325, -2287.799622460559, -2287.799167768505, -2287.7987888674916, -2287.798472965511, -2287.798209470462, -2287.7979896013194, -2287.7978060708183, -2287.797652825405, -2287.7975248323205, -2287.7974179041685, -2287.79732855472, -2287.7972538796635, -2287.797191458263, -2287.797139271833, -2287.7970956363083, -2287.797059146208, -2287.7970286282384, -2287.79700310254, -2287.7969817507, -2287.796963888882, -2287.7969489456414, -2287.7969364433543, -2287.79692598278, -2287.7969172300586, -2287.796909906088, -2287.7969037773732, -2287.796898648748, -2287.7968943568553, -2287.7968907651075, -2287.7968877592184, -2287.7968852435597, -2287.7968831381545, -2287.7968813760813, -2287.7968799013324, -2287.796878667018, -2287.7968776339644, -2287.7968767692987 ], "prior": 0.6420948156641338, "slip": 0.14908444025112283 }, "31": { "forget": 0.0, "guess": 0.24090624435038754, "learn": 0.259307467108182, "log_likelihood_history": [ -2247.252621648698, -2122.5377255190847, -2112.9220649112062, -2110.7218585691994, -2110.082042157722, -2109.83745826484, -2109.702833767984, -2109.601507227817, -2109.51167481299, -2109.4268258217603, -2109.3448774007447, -2109.2650755117024, -2109.187087700605, -2109.1107301650877, -2109.03588187661, -2108.962455144295, -2108.8903839270884, -2108.819618191983, -2108.7501206312663, -2108.6818644765863, -2108.6148319123745, -2108.5490128521137, -2108.484403944646, -2108.421007727291, -2108.3588318704196, -2108.297888476532, -2108.238193409538, -2108.1797656384665, -2108.1226265873747, -2108.066799487494, -2108.012308731726, -2107.959179235114, -2107.907435806131, -2107.857102536071, -2107.8082022144617, -2107.760755778898, -2107.7147818078197, -2107.670296064037, -2107.627311096329, -2107.5858359047315, -2107.5458756739986, -2107.5074315778998, -2107.470500655168, -2107.435075756299, -2107.4011455586183, -2107.3686946454145, -2107.3377036438355, -2107.3081494149246, -2107.2800052886087, -2107.2532413359795, -2107.227824670552, -2107.203719771132, -2107.1808888182227, -2107.1592920371827, -2107.138888041282, -2107.1196341693626, -2107.101486812573, -2107.084401726474, -2107.068334324984, -2107.0532399536014, -2107.0390741401857, -2107.0257928220685, -2107.0133525490855, -2107.0017106624373, -2106.9908254497177, -2106.980656277043, -2106.97116369936, -2106.9623095499605, -2106.954057011037, -2106.9463706663223, -2106.93921653791, -2106.9325621084827, -2106.9263763306494, -2106.920629624946, -2106.9152938678603, -2106.9103423713937, -2106.9057498554553, -2106.9014924140306, -2106.897547476617, -2106.8938937654216, -2106.8905112498974, -2106.8873810985406, -2106.884485629549, -2106.881808260177, -2106.8793334559155, -2106.877046679565, -2106.8749343408936, -2106.8729837468027, -2106.871183052846, -2106.869521215722, -2106.8679879473757, -2106.8665736706007, -2106.865269476297, -2106.864067082513, -2106.8629587952305, -2106.8619374710534, -2106.860996481554, -2106.860129679617, -2106.859331367412, -2106.8585962661577, -2106.857919487693, -2106.8572965074463, -2106.8567231392685, -2106.856195511693, -2106.8557100455664, -2106.855263433297, -2106.85485261919, -2106.8544747812875, -2106.854127314267, -2106.853807813514, -2106.85351406032, -2106.8532440080935, -2106.852995769365, -2106.852767604045, -2106.8525579080806, -2106.852365203292, -2106.8521881277675, -2106.8520254268647, -2106.851875945159, -2106.851738618637, -2106.851612467721, -2106.8514965907048, -2106.851390157657, -2106.8512924048814, -2106.8512026297203, -2106.8511201857173, -2106.8510444782723, -2106.8509749604827, -2106.8509111294493, -2106.8508525226953, -2106.8507987150742, -2106.850749315704, -2106.8507039653277, -2106.850662333675, -2106.850624117263, -2106.8505890371785, -2106.850556837147, -2106.8505272816974, -2106.850500154475, -2106.8504752567374, -2106.8504524059063, -2106.8504314342863, -2106.8504121878473, -2106.850394525117, -2106.850378316167, -2106.8503634416697, -2106.850349792093, -2106.8503372668133, -2106.850325773477, -2106.8503152272556, -2106.850305550265, -2106.8502966710535, -2106.8502885239714, -2106.8502810487876, -2106.8502741901884, -2106.850267897387, -2106.8502621238354, -2106.85025682672, -2106.850251966821, -2106.8502475080873, -2106.850243417457, -2106.850239664592, -2106.8502362216277, -2106.8502330630226, -2106.850230165312, -2106.8502275069727, -2106.8502250682554, -2106.8502228310304, -2106.8502207786732, -2106.850218895911, -2106.8502171687705, -2106.8502155843744, -2106.850214130937, -2106.8502127976567, -2106.850211574602, -2106.850210452663, -2106.850209423492, -2106.8502084794204 ], "prior": 0.5549339543298671, "slip": 0.23747582342606696 }, "32": { "forget": 0.0, "guess": 0.3384070026305263, "learn": 0.08528245370867776, "log_likelihood_history": [ -7514.9294732816315, -6976.4770021134855, -6944.8893256577085, -6937.840527401136, -6934.411659772427, -6932.208319144506, -6930.685136164501, -6929.59714536329, -6928.799338396709, -6928.200092960246, -6927.740173222287, -6927.380535182161, -6927.094895186415, -6926.865147693088, -6926.678513374738, -6926.525745193043, -6926.399986516873, -6926.296034681484, -6926.209858973855, -6926.1382797950355, -6926.078750963803, -6926.029208773431, -6925.987964824684, -6925.953628019077, -6925.925046340043, -6925.90126235411, -6925.881478457391, -6925.865029223315, -6925.851359063582, -6925.840003962839, -6925.830576408877, -6925.822752878065, -6925.8162633950515, -6925.8108827983415, -6925.806423419715, -6925.802728943856, -6925.799669256533, -6925.797136123562, -6925.795039568203, -6925.7933048363575, -6925.791869856731, -6925.790683116655, -6925.789701887117, -6925.788890741872, -6925.788220321537, -6925.787666304607, -6925.787208550224, -6925.786830385141, -6925.786518010911, -6925.7862600115905, -6925.786046944625, -6925.7858710016135, -6925.78572572699, -6925.785605784467, -6925.78550676397, -6925.785425021422, -6925.785357546055, -6925.785301850689, -6925.785255881059, -6925.785217940509, -6925.785186627964, -6925.785160786516, -6925.785139460935, -6925.785121862587, -6925.785107340485, -6925.78509535712, -6925.785085468952, -6925.785077309828, -6925.785070577493, -6925.78506502261, -6925.785060439298, -6925.785056657646, -6925.785053537463, -6925.785050963139, -6925.785048839178, -6925.785047086794, -6925.785045641014, -6925.785044448138, -6925.785043464056 ], "prior": 0.6360775717917481, "slip": 0.21970908989612087 }, "33": { "forget": 0.0, "guess": 0.1412168679272465, "learn": 0.06572160565252397, "log_likelihood_history": [ -2773.667170856579, -2662.3368222946483, -2653.235095103439, -2647.9192055915246, -2644.567522827663, -2642.7153057741884, -2641.791669274105, -2641.3510572099817, -2641.142253699807, -2641.042575250989, -2640.994537256362, -2640.971199879963, -2640.959793540525, -2640.9541940390577, -2640.9514364818783, -2640.9500753973507, -2640.949402489897, -2640.949069417422, -2640.948904413199, -2640.948822618814, -2640.9487820537647, -2640.948761929106, -2640.9487519425707, -2640.9487469859805, -2640.9487445255168, -2640.9487433040053, -2640.9487426975375 ], "prior": 0.4960235768287848, "slip": 0.2023196103303788 }, "34": { "forget": 0.0, "guess": 0.03439804541041018, "learn": 0.019321621767654163, "log_likelihood_history": [ -301.2775500201016, -148.7007686723985, -148.02448082604923, -147.98143139931307, -147.96188853926134, -147.95197671608565, -147.9468360737309, -147.94412486828296, -147.94266406940037, -147.941854151688, -147.94138873357446, -147.94111004767115, -147.94093581502358, -147.9408222920953, -147.94074559317156, -147.940692221072, -147.94065423382298, -147.94062674911785, -147.94060663311316, -147.94059179433415, -147.94058079095157, -147.9405726036089, -147.94056649812688, -147.9405619387429, -147.94055853096557, -147.94055598257597, -147.94055407626314, -147.94055265001396, -147.94055158284885, -147.9405507843402 ], "prior": 0.022531186506991884, "slip": 0.42393207968498325 }, "35": { "forget": 0.0, "guess": 0.2060530844269338, "learn": 0.2559215025089387, "log_likelihood_history": [ -1416.4305806360255, -1346.5102328135526, -1334.846895830661, -1331.326382604157, -1329.725735742944, -1328.7969235497624, -1328.1923357968706, -1327.777039143376, -1327.4827411434396, -1327.2692603390012, -1327.1111856800007, -1326.9918333888402, -1326.899979051366, -1326.8279256189812, -1326.7703088564774, -1326.723337675699, -1326.6843001426469, -1326.6512358572131, -1326.6227147624343, -1326.5976853870393, -1326.5753692182745, -1326.555186240509, -1326.5367018530128, -1326.5195886565411, -1326.503598708695, -1326.4885432318995, -1326.474277678098, -1326.4606906771774, -1326.4476958219386, -1326.4352255385165, -1326.4232264983857, -1326.411656175326, -1326.4004802563127, -1326.3896706911405, -1326.3792042212337, -1326.3690612686705, -1326.3592250963488, -1326.3496811727025, -1326.340416690535, -1326.3314202024042, -1326.3226813437877, -1326.3141906227943, -1326.305939259853, -1326.2979190653175, -1326.2901223456233, -1326.2825418309749, -1326.2751706193287, -1326.2680021326362, -1326.26103008236, -1326.254248441953, -1326.2476514247408, -1326.2412334657054, -1326.2349892064226, -1326.2289134822745, -1326.2230013114915, -1326.2172478855766, -1326.2116485608358, -1326.2061988507278, -1326.2008944189306, -1326.1957310729745, -1326.190704758309, -1326.1858115527923, -1326.1810476614621, -1326.1764094116918, -1326.1718932484812, -1326.167495730061, -1326.1632135236846, -1326.1590434016068, -1326.1549822372663, -1326.1510270015674, -1326.1471747593935, -1326.1434226662705, -1326.1397679650397, -1326.1362079828696, -1326.1327401282292, -1326.1293618880493, -1326.1260708249843, -1326.1228645747958, -1326.1197408438027, -1326.1166974065252, -1326.1137321032868, -1326.1108428380257, -1326.1080275761183, -1326.1052843423768, -1326.1026112189804, -1326.1000063436209, -1326.0974679076787, -1326.0949941544523, -1326.0925833774318, -1326.0902339186878, -1326.087944167356, -1326.0857125580146, -1326.0835375693364, -1326.0814177226493, -1326.079351580539, -1326.0773377456355, -1326.0753748593265, -1326.0734616005338, -1326.0715966845603, -1326.0697788619975, -1326.0680069175926, -1326.0662796692645, -1326.0645959670815, -1326.0629546922278, -1326.0613547561948, -1326.0597950997442, -1326.0582746921436, -1326.0567925302419, -1326.0553476377215, -1326.0539390642678, -1326.0525658848264, -1326.0512271988935, -1326.0499221297553, -1326.0486498238258, -1326.0474094500214, -1326.0462001990597, -1326.0450212828748, -1326.0438719340136, -1326.042751405043, -1326.041658967985, -1326.0405939138127, -1326.0395555518696, -1326.038543209376, -1326.037556230973, -1326.0365939781677, -1326.0356558289518, -1326.0347411772914, -1326.033849432724, -1326.0329800199193, -1326.0321323782687, -1326.0313059615023, -1326.0305002372904, -1326.0297146868784, -1326.0289488047083, -1326.0282020980926, -1326.0274740868356, -1326.026764302937, -1326.0260722902553, -1326.0253976041947, -1326.024739811397, -1326.024098489459, -1326.023473226624, -1326.0228636215268, -1326.0222692829216, -1326.0216898293918, -1326.0211248891321, -1326.020574099658, -1326.020037107609, -1326.0195135684999, -1326.0190031464601, -1326.0185055140441, -1326.0180203520229, -1326.017547349141, -1326.0170862019359, -1326.0166366145445, -1326.016198298475, -1326.01577097247, -1326.015354362271, -1326.0149482004858, -1326.0145522263763, -1326.0141661857247, -1326.0137898306511, -1326.0134229194243, -1326.013065216384, -1326.012716491701, -1326.01237652129, -1326.0120450866198, -1326.011721974659, -1326.0114069776, -1326.0110998928674, -1326.0108005228954, -1326.0105086750384, -1326.010224161449, -1326.0099467989485, -1326.0096764089064, -1326.009412817149, -1326.0091558538008, -1326.0089053532654, -1326.0086611540064, -1326.0084230985278, -1326.008191033253, -1326.0079648084113, -1326.0077442779748, -1326.007529299525, -1326.0073197341965, -1326.0071154465647, -1326.0069163045866, -1326.0067221794782, -1326.0065329456875, -1326.006348480765, -1326.0061686653075, -1326.0059933829052, -1326.005822519999, -1326.0056559658872, -1326.0054936126285, -1326.0053353549383, -1326.005181090168, -1326.0050307182273, -1326.0048841415057, -1326.0047412648328 ], "prior": 0.22097308477579497, "slip": 0.3529813025869506 }, "36": { "forget": 0.0, "guess": 0.14231756765939402, "learn": 0.14305994627324473, "log_likelihood_history": [ -3563.6923697926636, -3339.1096435487884, -3321.138674470112, -3314.792747157752, -3310.9893260783533, -3308.5529104979864, -3306.926475114425, -3305.7902368219443, -3304.9645225682557, -3304.3471358823826, -3303.876972656337, -3303.514942231312, -3303.234355528058, -3303.01604705377, -3302.8457814365283, -3302.7127663254605, -3302.608722710661, -3302.5272571134856, -3302.4634129472797, -3302.4133381969523, -3302.3740341120306, -3302.3431630053738, -3302.318900354027, -3302.2998205967688, -3302.2848087571856, -3302.272991939609, -3302.263686155041, -3302.256354990188, -3302.2505774418964, -3302.246022851835, -3302.2424313506185, -3302.239598582962, -3302.237363762827, -3302.235600323656, -3302.234208592541, -3302.2331100450842, -3302.2322427968843, -3302.231558062014, -3302.2310173700266, -3302.2305903772203, -3302.230253144562, -3302.229986782215, -3302.2297763818833, -3302.22961017572, -3302.2294788736085, -3302.2293751403904, -3302.2292931839775, -3302.2292284302034, -3302.229177266494, -3302.2291368393594, -3302.229104894937, -3302.229079652699, -3302.229059706052, -3302.2290439437083, -3302.2290314876777, -3302.229021644288, -3302.2290138654607, -3302.2290077180564, -3302.229002859924, -3302.228999020586, -3302.2289959864115, -3302.2289935884733, -3302.2289916933896, -3302.2289901956838, -3302.228989012017, -3302.2289880765506 ], "prior": 0.281315654027061, "slip": 0.29721613240465616 }, "37": { "forget": 0.0, "guess": 0.47030599887133817, "learn": 0.0982400321494491, "log_likelihood_history": [ -215.7747218074474, -135.7980621128739, -134.83913440154444, -134.7894264303381, -134.78426052635442, -134.78325182345205, -134.78297130722464, -134.78288379060993, -134.7828556814369, -134.7828465868538, -134.78284363807208, -134.78284268122542 ], "prior": 0.752270957358721, "slip": 0.01289589512890328 }, "38": { "forget": 0.0, "guess": 0.2371665510383298, "learn": 0.06566575145176282, "log_likelihood_history": [ -455.18661848852315, -426.5891986493031, -424.92967615454046, -424.0169930345746, -423.54613202560904, -423.3346912853401, -423.2446095920913, -423.20639230599875, -423.1901321374277, -423.18320113462545, -423.18024252573946, -423.17897793499367, -423.17843679949993, -423.1782050323736, -423.17810570115205, -423.178063109582, -423.1780448411233, -423.17803700366755, -423.1780336407844, -423.1780321977036, -423.17803157840916 ], "prior": 0.9137141914616641, "slip": 0.15433630295139938 }, "39": { "forget": 0.0, "guess": 0.49, "learn": 0.07006491594426113, "log_likelihood_history": [ -297.39521873111056, -246.49056263971028, -241.7188102045278, -241.51975081841812, -241.5092667324653, -241.5077821561553, -241.50742287767434, -241.50732729003275, -241.507301536614, -241.5072945830795, -241.50729270440291, -241.5072921966898 ], "prior": 0.7177088478957316, "slip": 0.03719086140996746 }, "4": { "forget": 0.0, "guess": 0.49, "learn": 0.015761595961682882, "log_likelihood_history": [ -179.0354562564851, -166.72064425466957, -165.28907080006206, -164.19531223453203, -162.90939104777274, -161.56704194922145, -160.546782643125, -160.03698960515982, -159.84080757541216, -159.77572837733442, -159.75561779340796, -159.7490522480044, -159.74644544781276, -159.7451123788406, -159.74429225376653, -159.74373946469044, -159.74335273188535, -159.74307813740947, -159.74288188442478, -159.74274112465915, -159.742639928474, -159.74256704455902, -159.7425144744873, -159.74247650953888, -159.74244906326882, -159.74242920357372, -159.74241482243295, -159.74240440173384, -159.74239684661032, -159.74239136646614, -159.74238738981185, -159.74238450316741, -159.74238240714294, -159.74238088481502, -159.74237977892264, -159.74237897540266 ], "prior": 0.4008057588023243, "slip": 0.05131217980477599 }, "40": { "forget": 0.0, "guess": 0.49, "learn": 0.02739400386117618, "log_likelihood_history": [ -13960.804550660274, -12586.448024516361, -12510.083580398321, -12477.273521884777, -12457.528673745328, -12445.408189066586, -12438.182466025295, -12433.819903360025, -12431.074603903431, -12429.297032670056, -12428.12308311919, -12427.337024690547, -12426.805365432954, -12426.44295479292, -12426.194340108406, -12426.022876605772, -12425.904080699462, -12425.821449612722, -12425.763777548349, -12425.72340690039, -12425.69507554469, -12425.675149753359, -12425.661109491999, -12425.651200518747, -12425.64419767869, -12425.639242901772, -12425.635733743571, -12425.633246340409, -12425.631481934272, -12425.630229620847, -12425.629340318286, -12425.628708526358, -12425.628259514648, -12425.627940305165, -12425.627713314721, -12425.627551865648, -12425.62743701204, -12425.627355293103, -12425.627297141957, -12425.627255756921, -12425.627226301172, -12425.627205334444, -12425.627190409206, -12425.627179784075, -12425.627172219669, -12425.627166834212, -12425.627162999797, -12425.627160269696, -12425.627158325799, -12425.627156941719, -12425.627155956174 ], "prior": 0.8563066267817477, "slip": 0.15992289329894696 }, "41": { "forget": 0.0, "guess": 0.35389188187992354, "learn": 0.02266737783390706, "log_likelihood_history": [ -395.4600908034614, -362.79373343120676, -358.9332619524231, -358.11622768393175, -357.8726885939906, -357.77868983398577, -357.7319701337672, -357.70194081805477, -357.67811423891555, -357.6565599189984, -357.6357125826038, -357.6149198588217, -357.59389918198156, -357.5725243486887, -357.5507391991583, -357.5285224141087, -357.50587344063484, -357.4828073027081, -357.45935316637906, -357.4355544495627, -357.41146947378604, -357.38717214952857, -357.36275238298873, -357.338315968357, -357.31398376589317, -357.28989000078485, -357.26617957060097, -357.2430043291578, -357.22051842190416, -357.19887287369323, -357.17820975666444, -357.15865637028116, -357.140319922789, -357.1232831943706, -357.1076015805509, -357.0933017692157, -357.0803821204251, -357.0688146285897, -357.05854818526024, -357.04951275313744, -357.0416240193383, -357.03478811527464, -357.02890605721717, -357.0238776557003, -357.01960474335885, -357.01599366374535, -357.0129570382285, -357.0104148802784, -357.00829515684603, -357.0065339086497, -357.0050750396616, -357.0038698757231, -357.00287657708066, -357.0020594728741, -357.001388369312, -357.0008378687466, -357.00038672464404, -357.000017247754, -356.9997147713768, -356.99946717829147, -356.9992644882237, -356.99909850237066, -356.9989625001385, -356.9988509825895, -356.9987594569529, -356.9986842567268, -356.99862239226934, -356.9985714272648, -356.99852937696767, -356.99849462465727, -356.99846585323246, -356.9984419893258, -356.99842215773975, -356.99840564435317, -356.9983918659627, -356.99838034578164, -356.9983706935582, -356.99836258944055, -356.9983557708922, -356.9983500220768, -356.99834516525016, -356.9983410537728, -356.99833756643847, -356.9983346028655, -356.9983320797503, -356.99832992781734, -356.9983280893364, -356.99832651609245, -356.9983251677333, -356.99832401041243, -356.99832301567994 ], "prior": 0.0042782412811509865, "slip": 0.13073333355357525 }, "42": { "forget": 0.0, "guess": 0.44306478663598814, "learn": 0.16055252736890796, "log_likelihood_history": [ -1219.4845059236034, -1080.7096949028567, -1078.4924171364682, -1077.7175473635075, -1077.3752996844769, -1077.2005269012695, -1077.1013361872717, -1077.0410676483418, -1077.002932749365, -1076.9782318623515, -1076.9620128763884, -1076.9512749117387, -1076.9441280607427, -1076.9393542641808, -1076.9361573779295, -1076.9340123972192, -1076.932571069923, -1076.9316014325743, -1076.9309485087592, -1076.9305085172753, -1076.930211833864, -1076.9300116816457, -1076.9298765969722, -1076.9297853963033, -1076.9297238063332, -1076.9296822037343, -1076.9296540969065, -1076.9296351049504, -1076.9296222703517, -1076.9296135959514, -1076.9296077327638, -1076.929603769451, -1076.9296010902356, -1076.929599278988, -1076.9295980544732, -1076.929597226598 ], "prior": 0.6452969461966956, "slip": 0.07248231984467526 }, "43": { "forget": 0.0, "guess": 0.49, "learn": 0.15294289379833567, "log_likelihood_history": [ -7297.588791527684, -6527.187678208775, -6509.665751870697, -6503.225401961079, -6500.062082999069, -6497.930194194472, -6496.499063479624, -6495.5462571654125, -6494.9147689356405, -6494.496954526634, -6494.220433841302, -6494.037135318144, -6493.915353432014, -6493.834236847413, -6493.7800718459785, -6493.743821570881, -6493.719513398551, -6493.703186702426, -6493.692206409523, -6493.6848141013315, -6493.679833328214, -6493.67647531192, -6493.674210282659, -6493.672681943752, -6493.671650413763, -6493.6709540580105, -6493.670483898247, -6493.670166424161, -6493.669952032784, -6493.66980724458, -6493.669709458021, -6493.669643412936, -6493.669598804914, -6493.669568675273, -6493.669548324465, -6493.669534578533, -6493.669525293756, -6493.669519022302, -6493.6695147861365, -6493.669511924777, -6493.6695099920535, -6493.669508686517, -6493.669507804696 ], "prior": 0.7219640354036249, "slip": 0.09908835122758493 }, "44": { "forget": 0.0, "guess": 0.49, "learn": 0.000895203668066301, "log_likelihood_history": [ -108.39044451160136, -80.90715304828086, -80.3372139042275, -79.93376284006173, -79.64241027343785, -79.42936641496173, -79.27207613068566, -79.15496493523744, -79.0670684320147, -79.00057811261577, -78.94988801272596, -78.91094594014704, -78.88080356121802, -78.85730134473552, -78.83884662987573, -78.82425655007495, -78.81264633720721, -78.80334949217715, -78.7958604140421, -78.78979292314918, -78.78485008616984, -78.78080212039892, -78.77747010683287, -78.77471390499716, -78.77242312619768, -78.77051034723779, -78.76890597597199, -78.767554342524, -78.76641070571146, -78.76543894710409, -78.76460978486752, -78.76389938283137, -78.76328826178886, -78.76276044318948, -78.76230277247407, -78.7619043819839, -78.76155626284414, -78.76125092232887, -78.76098210858092, -78.76074458863043, -78.76053396876277, -78.76034654866605, -78.76017920262527, -78.76002928244634, -78.75989453789985, -78.75977305133624, -78.75966318379675, -78.75956353048127, -78.75947288385117, -78.75939020298019, -78.75931458803154, -78.75924525895252, -78.75918153764592, -78.75912283301606, -78.75906862839663, -78.75901847095541, -78.75897196274545, -78.75892875312925, -78.7588885323501, -78.758851026065, -78.75881599068438, -78.75878320939108, -78.758752488731, -78.75872365568759, -78.75869655516516, -78.75867104781962, -78.75864700818379, -78.75862432304432, -78.75860289003289, -78.75858261640059, -78.75856341794986, -78.75854521810093, -78.75852794707507, -78.75851154117692, -78.75849594216471, -78.75848109669423, -78.75846695582841, -78.75845347460329, -78.75844061164327, -78.75842832881935, -78.75841659094473, -78.75840536550385, -78.75839462240981, -78.75838433378729, -78.75837447377893, -78.75836501836963, -78.75835594523025, -78.75834723357573, -78.75833886403723, -78.75833081854701, -78.75832308023321, -78.75831563332595, -78.75830846307043, -78.7583015556492, -78.75829489811048, -78.75828847830374, -78.75828228481986, -78.75827630693723, -78.75827053457225, -78.75826495823341, -78.7582595689801, -78.75825435838418, -78.75824931849475, -78.75824444180581, -78.75823972122632, -78.75823515005307, -78.7582307219447, -78.7582264308987, -78.75822227122966, -78.75821823754904, -78.75821432474667, -78.75821052797353, -78.75820684262563, -78.75820326432923, -78.75819978892704, -78.75819641246537, -78.75819313118211, -78.7581899414955, -78.7581868399938, -78.75818382342601, -78.75818088869197, -78.75817803283452, -78.75817525303148, -78.75817254658828, -78.75816991093065, -78.75816734359869, -78.75816484224043, -78.75816240460618, -78.75816002854324, -78.75815771199092, -78.75815545297549, -78.75815324960617, -78.7581511000708, -78.7581490026317, -78.75814695562211, -78.75814495744297, -78.75814300655901, -78.75814110149628, -78.75813924083896, -78.75813742322636, -78.75813564735073, -78.75813391195452, -78.7581322158282, -78.75813055780783, -78.75812893677325, -78.7581273516459, -78.75812580138714, -78.75812428499613, -78.75812280150856, -78.75812134999478, -78.75811992955838, -78.75811853933473, -78.75811717848985, -78.75811584621846, -78.7581145417435, -78.75811326431463, -78.75811201320697, -78.75811078772037, -78.75810958717807, -78.75810841092616, -78.75810725833199, -78.75810612878414, -78.75810502169091, -78.7581039364799, -78.75810287259716, -78.75810182950634, -78.7581008066882, -78.75809980363982, -78.75809881987406 ], "prior": 0.939903758794813, "slip": 0.13414041578526478 }, "45": { "forget": 0.0, "guess": 0.49, "learn": 0.0001, "log_likelihood_history": [ -77.62480244506995, -59.59218453206895, -58.93940633029528, -58.57132123399885, -58.28412448580012, -58.04927918519526, -57.85389705109614, -57.68944455468023, -57.549891473859574, -57.43080988961763, -57.32882723195227, -57.24128828347317, -57.166044015552764, -57.10131737949467, -57.04561582837234, -56.99767231538682, -56.95640379216237, -56.92088063807196, -56.89030310416178, -56.863982438226024, -56.841325293242626, -56.821820568811155, -56.80502815245486, -56.79056921020509, -56.7781177809117, -56.76739348990957, -56.758155234564114, -56.750195717912, -56.74333672325207, -56.737425035408755, -56.73232892517361, -56.727935122943386, -56.72414621617785, -56.720878413145684, -56.718059622562194, -56.71562780516877, -56.713529559082765, -56.71171890588049, -56.710156248904084, -56.70880747925056, -56.70764320835558, -56.70663810907947, -56.70577034978912, -56.70502110815489, -56.704374153293564, -56.70381548652607, -56.70333303242201, -56.70291637300164, -56.702556518991784, -56.70224571290808, -56.70197725948434, -56.7017453796096, -56.70154508448111, -56.70137206714724, -56.701222609016845, -56.7010934992514, -56.700981965252126, -56.70088561270324, -56.700802373849335, -56.70073046286948, -56.70070903543298, -56.70070902353093 ], "prior": 0.9999, "slip": 0.22639882936468467 }, "46": { "forget": 0.0, "guess": 0.2806475500109342, "learn": 0.036870981105366483, "log_likelihood_history": [ -1702.3029103474778, -1466.8770390109696, -1460.120149258019, -1457.6574909104395, -1456.0335881901472, -1454.9911037930287, -1454.3552171919198, -1453.9797573930543, -1453.762093446589, -1453.6371429222645, -1453.565776783536, -1453.5251155700596, -1453.5019734349823, -1453.4888069616975, -1453.4813161713882, -1453.4770538808841, -1453.474628177324, -1453.4732474342536, -1453.4724613654228, -1453.4720137862917, -1453.471758910003, -1453.471613755908, -1453.4715310834556, -1453.4714839947233, -1453.471457172658, -1453.471441894111, -1453.4714331908294, -1453.4714282329885, -1453.471425408702, -1453.4714237998016, -1453.4714228832554 ], "prior": 0.5715064908013121, "slip": 0.3439951062942744 }, "47": { "forget": 0.0, "guess": 0.49, "learn": 0.12809612297086279, "log_likelihood_history": [ -415.62067959514843, -349.04467064650765, -342.6481085718588, -341.83754609324706, -341.6816354838037, -341.58509576021754, -341.497784733599, -341.4150286750923, -341.33630029510283, -341.26143358163665, -341.19028359071285, -341.12270057021664, -341.05853073766764, -340.99761862835487, -340.93980909480143, -340.8849489007585, -340.8328879681732, -340.783480331519, -340.736584846581, -340.6920656948305, -340.64979271921896, -340.60964162237605, -340.5714940537592, -340.5352376083356, -340.5007657558289, -340.4679777164619, -340.43677829642667, -340.4070776939808, -340.3787912850881, -340.3518393958167, -340.326147067305, -340.3016438178891, -340.2782634060065, -340.2559435966641, -340.23462593357954, -340.21425551854804, -340.1947807991516, -340.17615336554474, -340.1583277567761, -340.1412612768747, -340.12491382073887, -340.1092477097428, -340.09422753685607, -340.0798200210049, -340.06599387033793, -340.0527196540294, -340.0399696822177, -340.02771789367995, -340.015939750817, -340.0046121415452, -339.993713287687, -339.98322265946524, -339.9731208957226, -339.96338972949957, -339.9540119186242, -339.9449711809812, -339.9362521341486, -339.9278402391072, -339.9197217477428, -339.9118836538842, -339.9043136476288, -339.89700007273194, -339.88993188684066, -339.8830986243827, -339.87649036191385, -339.87009768576064, -339.86391166179413, -339.8579238071839, -339.85212606399955, -339.84651077452367, -339.8410706581637, -339.83579878984614, -339.8306885797945, -339.8257337545932, -339.8209283394496, -339.8162666415719, -339.8117432345843, -339.8073529439163, -339.80309083308805, -339.79895219084324, -339.7949325190651, -339.7910275214252, -339.78723309271805, -339.7835453088316, -339.7799604173185, -339.7764748285215, -339.77308510722173, -339.7697879647746, -339.7665802517004, -339.763458950704, -339.76042117009115, -339.75746413756195, -339.754585194352, -339.7517817897054, -339.74905147565266, -339.7463919020796, -339.74380081206726, -339.7412760374861, -339.73881549482826, -339.73641718126726, -339.7340791709253, -339.73179961134207, -339.72957672012853, -339.7274087817959, -339.72529414475207, -339.72323121845096, -339.7212184706916, -339.71925442505244, -339.7173376584574, -339.71546679886484, -339.7136405230715, -339.7118575546268, -339.71011666185, -339.7084166559441, -339.7067563892024, -339.7051347533031, -339.70355067768384, -339.7020031279956, -339.70049110463094, -339.6990136413198, -339.6975698037922, -339.69615868850394, -339.69477942142134, -339.69343115686, -339.69211307638005, -339.6908243877291, -339.68956432383345, -339.6883321418362, -339.68712712217575, -339.685948567708, -339.68479580286464, -339.6836681728505, -339.6825650428742, -339.68148579741353, -339.68042983951125, -339.67939659010193, -339.6783854873664, -339.6773959861148, -339.67642755719453, -339.6754796869227, -339.67455187654423, -339.6736436417081, -339.6727545119703, -339.67188403031287, -339.6710317526839, -339.6701972475578, -339.6693800955089, -339.6685798888073, -339.6677962310258, -339.6670287366655, -339.6662770307958, -339.6655407487059, -339.66481953557275, -339.66411304614127, -339.6634209444127, -339.6627429033531, -339.66207860460304, -339.66142773820644, -339.66079000234504, -339.66016510308225, -339.65955275412153, -339.658952676566, -339.6583645986946, -339.65778825574023, -339.6572233896794, -339.6566697490288, -339.65612708864757, -339.6555951695489, -339.6550737587165, -339.65456262892803, -339.65406155858585, -339.6535703315513, -339.65308873698694, -339.652616569202, -339.65215362750683, -339.65169971606673, -339.6512546437662, -339.6508182240745, -339.65039027491656, -339.6499706185485, -339.649559081436, -339.6491554941386, -339.6487596911978, -339.64837151102483, -339.64799079579757, -339.6476173913571, -339.6472511471099, -339.64689191593004, -339.64653955406794, -339.64619392106067, -339.64585487964297, -339.6455222956648, -339.64519603800875, -339.64487597851127, -339.64456199188567, -339.64425395564706, -339.64395175004125, -339.64365525797416, -339.6433643649437, -339.64307895897474 ], "prior": 0.9881981177468269, "slip": 0.404909429507457 }, "48": { "forget": 0.0, "guess": 0.0001, "learn": 0.0001, "log_likelihood_history": [ -37.05867914765109, -27.835101766584792, -27.601481683541007, -27.453890423597198, -27.340865076789584, -27.252061210667975, -27.181675565362713, -27.125461772684528, -27.0802215111131, -27.043532421113806, -27.01355170068492, -26.98887036784281, -26.968405012378504, -26.951317434318916, -26.93695495109345, -26.924805971157117, -26.91446682417456, -26.905616891899303, -26.897999870529382, -26.891409575822674, -26.885679127356106, -26.880672658228328, -26.876278922032874, -26.872406333082708, -26.86897909556159, -26.86593416481196, -26.863218848229103, -26.860788900613393, -26.85860700394064, -26.85664154765822, -26.85486564519187, -26.853256337086144, -26.85179394235545, -26.850461528111744, -26.849244474027785, -26.848130113189207, -26.84710743474837, -26.84616683679182, -26.845299920173566, -26.844499315902578, -26.843758540118575, -26.843071871835644, -26.84243424954204, -26.84184118347116, -26.84128868093987, -26.840773182618666, -26.84029150797577, -26.83984080844324, -26.83941852710258, -26.83902236389003, -26.838650245488274, -26.838300299207976, -26.837970830274806, -26.837660302030937, -26.837367318636932, -26.83709060992386, -26.836829123603895, -26.836583348631656, -26.836350379312687, -26.836129373155714, -26.835919554528736, -26.83572020847047, -26.835530675155432, -26.835350344933577, -26.83517865387758, -26.83501507978006, -26.83485913854968, -26.834710380961955, -26.83456838972565, -26.834432776830297, -26.83430318114511, -26.834179266242195, -26.834060718420965, -26.8339472449127, -26.833838572247036, -26.833734444763834, -26.833634623256167, -26.833538883731237, -26.833447016277937, -26.833358824030725, -26.833274122220462, -26.833192737304245, -26.833114506166783, -26.833039275386646, -26.832966900561637, -26.8328972456877, -26.83283018258687, -26.832765590379694, -26.832703354998404, -26.832643368737145, -26.83258552983625, -26.832529742097606, -26.832475866667792, -26.832423656391537, -26.832372850498086, -26.832323194830405, -26.8322744382575, -26.83222632918181, -26.832178611932562, -26.832131022948023, -26.832083286639296, -26.832035110814438, -26.831986181521014, -26.83193615713869, -26.831884661518785, -26.831831275922266, -26.831775529449576, -26.831716887580946, -26.831654738349695, -26.831588375547764, -26.831516978204604, -26.831439585377517, -26.83135506503176, -26.831262075457197, -26.83115901724758, -26.831043973339174, -26.830914633949718, -26.830768202465624, -26.830601277400877, -26.83040970454849, -26.830188392499764, -26.829931084122343, -26.82963007697423, -26.82927588812649, -26.82885686550672, -26.828358762076387, -26.827764316287844, -26.8270529298715, -26.826200610632668, -26.825180458182775, -26.82396410211748, -26.822524600865762, -26.820841245826706, -26.818906276091955, -26.816732496234735, -26.814359323768752, -26.811853710566595, -26.809303136475126, -26.806801234263222, -26.804430931758038, -26.802251775908022, -26.800295535384983, -26.79856949267471, -26.797063766019622, -26.79575893526159, -26.794631895630648, -26.79365949677683, -26.79282039467146, -26.79209575284442, -26.791469318172265, -26.790927211853912, -26.790457624309077, -26.79005050495722, -26.789697283566458, -26.7893906331524, -26.789124272900235, -26.788892805612743, -26.78869158356594, -26.788516597302138, -26.78836438287089, -26.788231943965314, -26.788116686178324, -26.788016361210722, -26.787929019323556, -26.787852968676194, -26.787786740455005, -26.78772905890005, -26.78767881549408, -26.78763504670205, -26.787596914748605, -26.787563691001285, -26.787534741593113, -26.78750951497324, -26.787487531119353, -26.78746837218469, -26.787451674384254, -26.787437120952617, -26.787424436029326, -26.78741337934725, -26.78740374161705, -26.787395340515143, -26.787388017195106, -26.78738163325352, -26.78737606809039, -26.787371216612186, -26.787366987232833, -26.78736330013351, -26.78736008574755, -26.787357283441164, -26.787354840364433, -26.787352710450595, -26.787350853544268, -26.787349234642022, -26.78734782323068, -26.787347369218164 ], "prior": 0.9818574696492104, "slip": 0.20056435187581925 }, "49": { "forget": 0.0, "guess": 0.1633035515961988, "learn": 0.037785074978573197, "log_likelihood_history": [ -1633.1519828886476, -1523.4677941874181, -1515.2851237932207, -1512.147081603954, -1510.309426066385, -1509.1682810251348, -1508.4463569848488, -1507.982152811867, -1507.6791419647527, -1507.478764782472, -1507.3448122495479, -1507.2544589224246, -1507.1930630076924, -1507.1510898997562, -1507.1222511291567, -1507.1023545405394, -1507.0885802982787, -1507.0790173781727, -1507.072362524084, -1507.0677222912166, -1507.0644814925224, -1507.0622149829835, -1507.0606280505635, -1507.0595158750339, -1507.0587358034081, -1507.0581883018506, -1507.0578038173992, -1507.057533685838, -1507.057343822092, -1507.057210331293, -1507.0571164497667, -1507.057050409455, -1507.057003944864, -1507.0569712480465, -1507.0569482363874, -1507.0569320391905, -1507.0569206373873, -1507.0569126106004, -1507.0569069594171, -1507.056902980533, -1507.0569001789445, -1507.0568982062314, -1507.0568968171162, -1507.0568958389222 ], "prior": 0.3424260886371596, "slip": 0.36080164060817477 }, "5": { "forget": 0.0, "guess": 0.49, "learn": 0.04299572146898029, "log_likelihood_history": [ -250.32025830223841, -233.5430012969489, -231.70365230407353, -230.76036948531356, -230.187245413352, -229.81384729129, -229.56814993333688, -229.41546428670142, -229.36382310969157, -229.35097891925852, -229.34770327487877, -229.34678479939308, -229.3464822948369, -229.34636400770458, -229.346311481427, -229.3462864118893, -229.3462740225008, -229.34626780387518, -229.34626466164957, -229.3462630693964, -229.3462622615826 ], "prior": 0.662132629984068, "slip": 0.08563924293097781 }, "50": { "forget": 0.0, "guess": 0.37895783701376917, "learn": 0.1118908239054354, "log_likelihood_history": [ -1720.5826013523294, -1597.095499060205, -1589.0049378133526, -1587.726591109568, -1587.3993633152863, -1587.2646893886108, -1587.189267157316, -1587.1411668833389, -1587.1088356634, -1587.0864046227455, -1587.070383830574, -1587.0585859046191, -1587.0496159026554, -1587.0425766929293, -1587.0368869540575, -1587.0321665767624, -1587.0281640869323, -1587.0247105637734, -1587.0216903251826, -1587.0190222446372, -1587.0166478190847, -1587.0145235293005, -1587.0126159326808, -1587.0108984974258, -1587.0093495478418, -1587.0079509196246, -1587.0066870696805, -1587.0055444777286, -1587.0045112359046, -1587.0035767602326, -1587.0027315816392, -1587.0019671895714, -1587.0012759108943, -1587.0006508128884, -1587.0000856232537, -1586.999574662392, -1586.999112784873, -1586.9986953280725, -1586.9983180665474, -1586.9979771712005, -1586.9976691724576, -1586.9973909270211, -1586.9971395876878, -1586.9969125759847, -1586.996707557269, -1586.9965224181083, -1586.9963552457077, -1586.9962043091975, -1586.9960680426364, -1586.9959450295512, -1586.9958339888938, -1586.995733762282, -1586.9956433024274, -1586.9955616626169, -1586.995487987179, -1586.9954215028315, -1586.9953615108457, -1586.995307379926, -1586.9952585397764, -1586.9952144752504, -1586.9951747210782, -1586.995138857077, -1586.9951065038128, -1586.9950773186815, -1586.995050992356, -1586.9950272455872, -1586.9950058262841, -1586.9949865068993, -1586.9949690820479, -1586.9949533663641, -1586.9949391925509, -1586.9949264096497, -1586.9949148814221, -1586.9949044849486, -1586.9948951093088, -1586.9948866544362, -1586.994879030038, -1586.9948721546693, -1586.994865954846, -1586.9948603642738, -1586.994855323166, -1586.9948507775762, -1586.9948466788599, -1586.994842983125, -1586.9948396507982, -1586.9948366461786, -1586.9948339370637, -1586.9948314944174, -1586.9948292920565, -1586.9948273063592, -1586.9948255160261, -1586.9948239018486, -1586.9948224465097, -1586.9948211343867, -1586.994819951397, -1586.9948188848357, -1586.9948179232524 ], "prior": 0.48119593554665024, "slip": 0.22509519194848487 }, "57": { "forget": 0.0, "guess": 0.08791716704229306, "learn": 0.060332631690623806, "log_likelihood_history": [ -5040.871866174115, -4686.596954057878, -4657.252136247376, -4647.538877154503, -4640.842076832244, -4635.1021134350285, -4629.9473680731435, -4625.263316798324, -4620.987570618967, -4617.076839085241, -4613.499548195981, -4610.232391684102, -4607.257619913897, -4604.560672814559, -4602.128247797913, -4599.946950155953, -4598.002571041236, -4596.2798973820445, -4594.762872357208, -4593.43492249342, -4592.279319526726, -4591.279508492575, -4590.419380262779, -4589.683490250935, -4589.057231250279, -4588.526966376574, -4588.080124587517, -4587.705259415724, -4587.392071861057, -4587.131400031965, -4586.915180039069, -4586.736384072246, -4586.588942213955, -4586.467654372231, -4586.368097970222, -4586.286535957472, -4586.219828543894, -4586.1653509581765, -4586.1209185918315, -4586.084720145438, -4586.055258842285, -4586.031301395955, -4586.011834180572, -4585.996025923528, -4585.98319618752, -4585.972788912547, -4585.96435032509, -4585.957510576968, -4585.951968543699, -4585.947479280291, -4585.94384369902, -4585.940900096085, -4585.938517210678, -4585.936588548933, -4585.93502775002, -4585.933764807151, -4585.932742990137, -4585.931916341145, -4585.931247638678, -4585.930706743646, -4585.9302692565625, -4585.929915427875, -4585.929629274137, -4585.929397861532, -4585.929210725223, -4585.929059398946, -4585.928937033755, -4585.928838089581, -4585.92875808545, -4585.928693397162, -4585.928641093586, -4585.92859880433, -4585.928564612491, -4585.928536967959, -4585.928514617219, -4585.928496546733, -4585.928481936969, -4585.9284701252245, -4585.928460575674, -4585.928452855148, -4585.928446613327, -4585.928441567061, -4585.928437487342, -4585.92843418908, -4585.928431522598, -4585.928429366846, -4585.928427624058, -4585.928426215095, -4585.928425076022, -4585.928424155151 ], "prior": 0.5313448261625155, "slip": 0.46565883374575034 }, "58": { "forget": 0.0, "guess": 0.13526124617253657, "learn": 0.038449478534647294, "log_likelihood_history": [ -3801.801417369596, -3618.8978537049015, -3593.0536790555366, -3585.429020120757, -3581.4623899471685, -3578.6326499819847, -3576.358562595275, -3574.4534027905356, -3572.827645784657, -3571.4241661627566, -3570.201629339486, -3569.12865982191, -3568.180874994636, -3567.3390025485514, -3566.587582692974, -3565.9140470045395, -3565.308054020165, -3564.7610031151075, -3564.2656735852665, -3563.8159526753298, -3563.406627605475, -3563.033224280622, -3562.691880535322, -3562.3792452913394, -3562.092397430004, -3561.828779865118, -3561.5861454848687, -3561.36251246938, -3561.156127094993, -3560.965432574732, -3560.789042807776, -3560.6257201534822, -3560.4743565266376, -3560.3339572511595, -3560.2036272183063, -3560.0825589781757, -3559.9700224630233, -3559.8653560904313, -3559.7679590413236, -3559.677284538496, -3559.592833982851, -3559.514151824496, -3559.4408210676484, -3559.3724593222364, -3559.30871532796, -3559.2492658890096, -3559.193813165137, -3559.14208227302, -3559.093819158911, -3559.0487887072345, -3559.0067730572346, -3558.967570100525, -3558.930992138575, -3558.8968646800445, -3558.8650253614865, -3558.835322977176, -3558.8076166042024, -3558.781774812829, -3558.7576749515647, -3558.7352024987563, -3558.714250473039, -3558.6947188960253, -3558.676514301708, -3558.6595492873244, -3558.6437421011437, -3558.629016263716, -3558.6153002183946, -3558.6025270091072, -3558.590633981931, -3558.5795625085902, -3558.5692577291056, -3558.559668313577, -3558.5507462388596, -3558.5424465810624, -3558.534727321652, -3558.52754916552, -3558.5208753714383, -3558.514671592525, -3558.5089057268615, -3558.5035477774613, -3558.4985697207167, -3558.4939453825455, -3558.489650322419, -3558.4856617242226, -3558.4819582933756, -3558.478520160784, -3558.475328791719, -3558.4723669009522, -3558.4696183723977, -3558.4670681837783, -3558.4647023362277, -3558.4625077873434, -3558.4604723892107, -3558.458584829471, -3558.45683457658, -3558.4552118279994, -3558.453707462027, -3558.4523129923004, -3558.4510205250513, -3558.449822719778, -3558.448712751374, -3558.4476842756617, -3558.446731396397, -3558.4458486347003, -3558.445030900623, -3558.4442734662616, -3558.443571940766, -3558.44292224726, -3558.4423206005813, -3558.441763487355, -3558.441247646714, -3558.4407700529387, -3558.4403278984687, -3558.4399185789694, -3558.4395396785817, -3558.439188956864, -3558.438864336153, -3558.4385638899735, -3558.438285832372, -3558.438028507766, -3558.4377903815853, -3558.437570031572, -3558.4373661398545, -3558.4371774850442, -3558.4370029357087, -3558.436841443572, -3558.436692037587, -3558.436553818342, -3558.4364259525973, -3558.4363076689415, -3558.436198252811, -3558.4360970426674, -3558.4360034259057, -3558.4359168352958, -3558.4358367457794, -3558.4357626712485, -3558.4356941617702, -3558.435630800766, -3558.435572202823, -3558.4355180110697, -3558.435467895351, -3558.4354215500725, -3558.4353786924116, -3558.435339060724, -3558.435302412835, -3558.4352685248136, -3558.435237189301, -3558.435208214601, -3558.4351814231427, -3558.435156650951, -3558.435133746104, -3558.435112568245, -3558.4350929872835, -3558.4350748831243, -3558.4350581446197, -3558.4350426689502, -3558.4350283609533, -3558.435015132767, -3558.435002902944, -3558.434991596333, -3558.4349811432708, -3558.4349714794807, -3558.434962545408, -3558.434954286046, -3558.4349466505137, -3558.4349395917175, -3558.434933066241, -3558.434927033718, -3558.4349214570266, -3558.434916301705, -3558.4349115360333, -3558.4349071304914, -3558.4349030579333, -3558.434899293214, -3558.4348958130945, -3558.434892596104, -3558.4348896222737, -3558.4348868733323, -3558.434884332255, -3558.4348819833176, -3558.434879812013, -3558.4348778048975, -3558.4348759496092, -3558.4348742346674, -3558.4348726494204, -3558.4348711840507, -3558.4348698295375, -3558.4348685775353, -3558.4348674202083, -3558.4348663504716, -3558.434865361651 ], "prior": 0.5536152487760668, "slip": 0.4248944302737228 }, "59": { "forget": 0.0, "guess": 0.1891752758579985, "learn": 0.07902105560183768, "log_likelihood_history": [ -4013.884263214084, -3868.92891277435, -3856.3166036769844, -3853.7462266868965, -3852.659207390398, -3851.9174462909127, -3851.3233929953476, -3850.8260907402732, -3850.402739580718, -3850.0387608047836, -3849.7235282903357, -3849.4489201691595, -3849.2085660679336, -3848.9973712670376, -3848.811194513097, -3848.646622775084, -3848.5008100324253, -3848.3713594177734, -3848.2562353184244, -3848.153696587844, -3848.0622449149687, -3847.9805842788123, -3847.907588652781, -3847.842275950032, -3847.7837867645417, -3847.731366848787, -3847.684352543447, -3847.642158566165, -3847.6042677056616, -3847.570222071921, -3847.539615626292, -3847.512087774333, -3847.48731784633, -3847.465020324532, -3847.4449407020584, -3847.4268518788526, -3847.4105510158447, -3847.3958567829322, -3847.3826069450015, -3847.370656240665, -3847.359874514535, -3847.3501450694334, -3847.3413632104807, -3847.333434957008, -3847.326275900651, -3847.319810192588, -3847.313969643564, -3847.30869292333, -3847.3039248477985, -3847.299615744256, -3847.2957208843336, -3847.2921999781897, -3847.289016722299, -3847.2861383952463, -3847.2835354958675, -3847.2811814188262, -3847.279052164868, -3847.2771260798277, -3847.275383621411, -3847.2738071492918, -3847.272380736811, -3847.271090001901, -3847.2699219548927, -3847.2688648614558, -3847.2679081201154, -3847.267042150925, -3847.2662582960365, -3847.265548729793, -3847.264906377888, -3847.2643248445083, -3847.263798346267, -3847.2633216535573, -3847.2628900363607, -3847.2624992166834, -3847.2621453246634, -3847.2618248593317, -3847.261534653481, -3847.261271841111, -3847.2610338291947, -3847.2608182708796, -3847.2606230425213, -3847.2604462219774, -3847.2602860695215, -3847.2601410103994, -3847.260009619264, -3847.259890605448, -3847.259782800896, -3847.259685147903, -3847.2595966889653, -3847.2595165569055, -3847.259443966639, -3847.259378207394, -3847.2593186354216, -3847.25926466768, -3847.2592157763665, -3847.2591714833748, -3847.259131355697, -3847.259095001214, -3847.259062064747, -3847.2590322245806, -3847.2590051893853, -3847.2589806952865, -3847.2589585031637, -3847.258938396587, -3847.2589201793685, -3847.2589036738104, -3847.2588887190127, -3847.2588751691515, -3847.2588628921735, -3847.2588517684244, -3847.2588416895182, -3847.258832557234, -3847.258824282647, -3847.2588167851764, -3847.2588099917566, -3847.2588038362114, -3847.258798258747, -3847.258793204937, -3847.2587886257174, -3847.2587844763666, -3847.2587807165896, -3847.258777309786, -3847.25877422278, -3847.258771425598, -3847.258768891001, -3847.2587665943784, -3847.2587645132667, -3847.2587626274517, -3847.2587609187317, -3847.2587593703734, -3847.25875796734, -3847.2587566959683, -3847.2587555439422, -3847.2587544999938, -3847.2587535540733 ], "prior": 0.31982061631669345, "slip": 0.30593912011834984 }, "6": { "forget": 0.0, "guess": 0.1200780159867707, "learn": 0.4430212415153596, "log_likelihood_history": [ -386.00231303897044, -363.2936001627207, -361.47474305682357, -360.64992440995815, -360.22371557570943, -359.98457232938665, -359.8399803815165, -359.74620674236166, -359.681251635432, -359.63345119317705, -359.59632588800844, -359.56611725219074, -359.5405542435166, -359.5182105736521, -359.49815789298145, -359.47977231333954, -359.4626228754959, -359.44640507904603, -359.4308999030139, -359.41594767287813, -359.40143084406543, -359.3872623151772, -359.37337728428093, -359.35972744852734, -359.3462767997883, -359.33299853587164, -359.31987276844603, -359.3068848099517, -359.29402388690005, -359.2812821702963, -359.2686540436501, -359.25613554976536, -359.24372397257446, -359.23141752111565, -359.2192150908476, -359.2071160835461, -359.19512027153706, -359.18322769546864, -359.1714385874245, -359.1597533131464, -359.1481723287001, -359.13669614793093, -359.1253253181042, -359.11406040162757, -359.10290196236866, -359.09185055537074, -359.08090671915585, -359.0700709699237, -359.05934379718747, -359.0487256604818, -359.03821698687244, -359.0278181690841, -359.0175295640732, -359.0073514919593, -358.99728423523663, -358.9873280381903, -358.97748310648745, -358.9677496069033, -358.9581276671674, -358.9486173759065, -358.939218782678, -358.9299318980602, -358.92075669383354, -358.9116931032132, -358.9027410211429, -358.8939003046375, -358.88517077318113, -358.8765522091725, -358.86804435841714, -358.8596469306651, -358.8513596001761, -358.8431820063558, -358.83511375437956, -358.8271544159063, -358.8193035297867, -358.8115606028104, -358.8039251104948, -358.7963964978914, -358.78897418040987, -358.7816575446748, -358.77444594941136, -358.7673387263171, -358.7603351809933, -358.7534345938535, -358.746636221062, -358.7399392954838, -358.733343027644, -358.7268466066693, -358.7204492012805, -358.714149960736, -358.70794801581843, -358.70184247979256, -358.69583244937866, -358.6899170057063, -358.68409521527747, -358.67836613091237, -358.67272879269194, -358.66718222889006, -358.6617254568817, -358.65635748406913, -358.6510773087595, -358.64588392105145, -358.64077630369974, -358.6357534329579, -358.6308142794126, -358.6259578087897, -358.6211829827589, -358.6164887596923, -358.61187409543163, -358.6073379440134, -358.6028792583855, -358.5984969910953, -358.594190094966, -358.5899575237383, -358.5857982326919, -358.58171117926736, -358.57769532362926, -358.5737496292336, -358.5698730633603, -358.5660645976429, -358.56232320854326, -358.55864787783327, -358.555037593037, -358.55149134787416, -358.5480081426472, -358.5445869846412, -358.54122688848014, -358.53792687648075, -358.5346859789735, -358.5315032346026, -358.5283776906173, -358.5253084031501, -358.52229443744113, -358.51933486809554, -358.5164287792775, -358.51357526492404, -358.5107734289136, -358.5080223852391, -358.50532125814425, -358.50266918228175, -358.50006530280814, -358.4975087755064, -358.4949987668699, -358.492534454191, -358.4901150256163, -358.4877396802081, -358.4854076279927, -358.48311808998704, -358.48087029822284, -358.4786634957558, -358.47649693666875, -358.47436988607365, -358.47228162008383, -358.47023142579627, -358.4682186012596, -358.4662424554331, -358.46430230814127, -358.46239749002524, -358.4605273424735, -358.4586912175699, -358.4568884780106, -358.45511849703496, -358.4533806583473, -358.4516743560158, -358.44999899440853, -358.44835398807925, -358.4467387616777, -358.44515274984764, -358.4435953971227, -358.44206615782576, -358.44056449595195, -358.4390898850606, -358.4376418081619, -358.4362197576056, -358.4348232349543, -358.4334517508735, -358.4321048250085, -358.4307819858645, -358.4294827706872, -358.4282067253344, -358.4269534041585, -358.4257223698776, -358.42451319346117, -358.42332545399273, -358.4221587385613, -358.42101264212397, -358.4198867673895, -358.41878072469746, -358.41769413188155, -358.41662661416865, -358.41557780403576, -358.41454734110425, -358.4135348720102, -358.41254005029356, -358.4115625362688, -358.41060199691634, -358.4096581057609, -358.4087305427567, -358.4078189941745, -358.40692315248776 ], "prior": 0.6804426474963297, "slip": 0.2568784147018899 }, "68": { "forget": 0.0, "guess": 0.49, "learn": 0.07190395116059796, "log_likelihood_history": [ -6108.447609479188, -5562.275956957073, -5536.207615959886, -5526.072039681067, -5520.697310727795, -5517.65783386735, -5515.8784913816935, -5514.806183112675, -5514.143373036085, -5513.724461895525, -5513.454374917655, -5513.277010005566, -5513.167361150065, -5513.121950785119, -5513.100700859978, -5513.089265557249, -5513.082420163701, -5513.078037386126, -5513.0751253539, -5513.073153425791, -5513.071805415821, -5513.070879558118, -5513.070242109018, -5513.069802655765, -5513.069499471107, -5513.0692902008195, -5513.069145707315, -5513.0690459162615, -5513.0689769854125, -5513.068929364415, -5513.068896461591, -5513.068873725838, -5513.068858014234, -5513.068847155994, -5513.068839651521, -5513.068834464668, -5513.068830879575, -5513.068828401531, -5513.06882668861, -5513.068825504574, -5513.068824686111 ], "prior": 0.7418149078231917, "slip": 0.1278671812683273 }, "69": { "forget": 0.0, "guess": 0.38450671972350164, "learn": 0.1153307723616124, "log_likelihood_history": [ -547.6994724287389, -535.4124329041182, -534.2691519317925, -533.8668262061819, -533.6984956374116, -533.6192840950474, -533.5794775858576, -533.5586802040286, -533.5475320830669, -533.5414460734553, -533.5380782250903, -533.5361953701147, -533.5351345150877, -533.5345332558062, -533.5341909459937, -533.533995394781, -533.5338833919642, -533.533819115253, -533.5337821725478, -533.5337609157583, -533.5337486740574, -533.5337416194832, -533.5337375520892, -533.5337352060992, -533.5337338525909, -533.5337330715198 ], "prior": 0.4007562175364565, "slip": 0.08129186526114106 }, "7": { "forget": 0.0, "guess": 0.30274153349948546, "learn": 0.1, "log_likelihood_history": [ -93.01456739064255, -88.15951222656341, -88.15951222656341 ], "prior": 0.38317744935923925, "slip": 0.06012946293112152 }, "70": { "forget": 0.0, "guess": 0.43185616865290744, "learn": 0.098651749559567, "log_likelihood_history": [ -886.5902374033774, -760.356477724528, -756.042916529939, -754.5376539770166, -753.6000895013808, -752.9256360559312, -752.4302138260784, -752.0658902607129, -751.7978227645541, -751.6002255665528, -751.4542014399901, -751.3459762854326, -751.2655210149607, -751.2055253770176, -751.1606497987874, -751.1269840862869, -751.1016565484695, -751.0825516335026, -751.0681056875229, -751.0571589785224, -751.0488482892187, -751.0425287967943, -751.0377171183327, -751.0340496699033, -751.0312521204382, -751.0291168987952, -751.0274865611603, -751.0262414371656, -751.0252904125769, -751.0245640219835, -751.0240092512349, -751.0235856119285, -751.0232621670449, -751.0230152711639, -751.0228268498336, -751.0226830872125, -751.022573423836, -751.0224897905416, -751.0224260225747, -751.0223774113476, -751.0223403614649, -751.0223121283194, -751.0222906173509, -751.0222742305255, -751.0222617489375, -751.0222522430973, -751.0222450043697, -751.022239492618, -751.022235296212, -751.0222321015141, -751.022229669586, -751.0222278184281, -751.0222264094278, -751.022225337028, -751.0222245208544 ], "prior": 0.8772253165444968, "slip": 0.14013589407802995 }, "71": { "forget": 0.0, "guess": 0.49, "learn": 0.0001, "log_likelihood_history": [ -217.81604169590435, -152.1341650139213, -151.10105494387045, -150.60828679875857, -150.34661545810036, -150.19038932529037, -150.08778296832344, -150.01553941859916, -149.9620614571878, -149.9209858757678, -149.8885440130405, -149.86236582226724, -149.84088643767942, -149.82302933751316, -149.80802730304725, -149.7953165648592, -149.78447179558802, -149.7751648236492, -149.7671375925885, -149.76018393388054, -149.7541369435205, -149.74886001465757, -149.74424031512723, -149.74018393928827, -149.736612233001, -149.7334589587923, -149.73066807532246, -149.72819197476522, -149.7259900676044, -149.72402763527714, -149.72227489228163, -149.72070621413715, -149.71929949811613, -149.718035631249, -149.716898045702, -149.71587234580377, -149.71494599415834, -149.71410804673397, -149.71334892871982, -149.71266024442178, -149.7120346156925, -149.71146554432923, -149.71094729465713, -149.71047479315018, -149.71004354246034, -149.70964954765714, -149.70928925281976, -149.7089594864435, -149.70865741433786, -149.70838049892018, -149.70812646396703, -149.70789326404102, -149.70767905790865, -149.70748218539748, -149.70730114720277, -149.70713458722395, -149.7069812770996, -149.70684010262505, -149.70671005180742, -149.7065902043392, -149.7064797222933, -149.70637784189952, -149.70628386624122, -149.70619715877368, -149.70611713755156, -149.706043270077, -149.70597506869876, -149.7059120864916, -149.7058539135628, -149.7058001737292, -149.70575052152935, -149.7057046395311, -149.70566223589816, -149.70562304219118, -149.70558681137635, -149.7055697024923, -149.70556953808662 ], "prior": 0.6696731287369014, "slip": 0.04962473374017659 }, "72": { "forget": 0.0, "guess": 0.49, "learn": 0.09710471886640189, "log_likelihood_history": [ -6030.441343400923, -5440.8784944668, -5391.666285750297, -5365.089505712643, -5353.56222216407, -5350.983158303158, -5350.408587782172, -5350.266243384379, -5350.223625531965, -5350.208008395645, -5350.2014098928075, -5350.198405461324, -5350.196991161879, -5350.196316158835, -5350.195992198513, -5350.195836364045, -5350.195761331985, -5350.195725190102, -5350.195707777647, -5350.195699387891, -5350.195695345231, -5350.195693397221, -5350.19569245852 ], "prior": 0.6616955888292552, "slip": 0.05958794332555337 }, "73": { "forget": 0.0, "guess": 0.3078422551605636, "learn": 0.05451452063198955, "log_likelihood_history": [ -4785.821311250631, -4361.830509212058, -4344.634908667356, -4341.591416441264, -4340.030805363322, -4338.989412606826, -4338.260525699598, -4337.738120574162, -4337.355954590209, -4337.071401711956, -4336.8565065287685, -4336.692489099327, -4336.566380056078, -4336.468965053642, -4336.393522118484, -4336.33503573638, -4336.289697188944, -4336.254577510304, -4336.227405777918, -4336.206413069176, -4336.190218680801, -4336.177744673067, -4336.168150258065, -4336.160780683791, -4336.155127076675, -4336.150794773602, -4336.147478332275, -4336.144941836423, -4336.143003410978, -4336.141523082466, -4336.1403932914045, -4336.139531499785, -4336.138874447573, -4336.138373702178, -4336.137992218162, -4336.137701683394, -4336.137480475926, -4336.137312093492, -4336.137183948243, -4336.13708644285, -4336.137012263077, -4336.136955836745, -4336.136912920134, -4336.136880282164, -4336.136855463363, -4336.136836591985, -4336.136822243822, -4336.136811335401, -4336.136803042544, -4336.1367967383885, -4336.13679194622, -4336.136788303523, -4336.136785534679, -4336.136783430112, -4336.136781830493, -4336.136780614693, -4336.136779690628 ], "prior": 0.4641216174276935, "slip": 0.2819945826213143 }, "74": { "forget": 0.0, "guess": 0.4747701200843743, "learn": 0.08652661974616907, "log_likelihood_history": [ -3618.214464792057, -3184.217826205385, -3165.900377710608, -3158.820685336805, -3155.587181400532, -3154.0363789600274, -3153.316398744002, -3152.991431398861, -3152.84492928795, -3152.777667643815, -3152.745907898438, -3152.730438951445, -3152.7226784283603, -3152.718683836902, -3152.7165844058127, -3152.7154631274457, -3152.714857063822, -3152.7145266314515, -3152.7143453650515, -3152.7142454977106, -3152.714190311679, -3152.714159753201, -3152.714142807893, -3152.714133402153, -3152.7141281779536, -3152.714125274915, -3152.714123661262, -3152.714122764106 ], "prior": 0.7148119573035019, "slip": 0.06038718936680005 }, "75": { "forget": 0.0, "guess": 0.0001, "learn": 0.1, "log_likelihood_history": [ -0.527632742082372, -0.026371818277590584, -0.013230924070060024, -0.006598299984838707, -0.0032999717314697767, -0.0016718919570017999, -0.0008712096720438066, -0.00047815033763750725, -0.00028536696647982527, -0.00019085399336595175, -0.00015100140013756428, -0.00015100140013756428 ], "prior": 0.0001, "slip": 0.49 }, "76": { "forget": 0.0, "guess": 0.0001, "learn": 0.0001, "log_likelihood_history": [ -370.7338566228701, -11.149979653591515, -3.958112452255446, -1.4326382776424762, -0.5527037324191232, -0.25272836637408636, -0.15999422687606338, -0.138864397547191, -0.138864397547191 ], "prior": 0.0001, "slip": 0.49 }, "77": { "forget": 0.0, "guess": 0.49, "learn": 0.09301592506305446, "log_likelihood_history": [ -7072.5383983574275, -6749.256923226774, -6733.037703061502, -6726.264149486313, -6722.173782356621, -6719.513263626033, -6717.710110853702, -6716.442669934708, -6715.521892809076, -6714.833881289216, -6714.308219131833, -6713.900004002809, -6713.579517387717, -6713.32625054643, -6713.125439567652, -6712.966046663816, -6712.839570548065, -6712.7393277262545, -6712.659999060242, -6712.602853074582, -6712.58421447315, -6712.578171375981, -6712.576127863067, -6712.5754000359875, -6712.575123340509, -6712.575010300386, -6712.574960822657, -6712.574937878922, -6712.574926770484, -6712.574921230932, -6712.574918415338, -6712.57491696731, -6712.574916217257 ], "prior": 0.5116081552298378, "slip": 0.10865611213803027 }, "78": { "forget": 0.0, "guess": 0.16648057016171205, "learn": 0.0001, "log_likelihood_history": [ -37.75908046557396, -30.273745518361903, -29.976997177345982, -29.82698497961439, -29.743759296386013, -29.69381991196919, -29.661854920742527, -29.65425639565675, -29.649441713999114, -29.64549648988191, -29.642110751229495, -29.639197740236703, -29.63672471538123, -29.634362232474277, -29.632103467808577, -29.629942131621114, -29.62787241663381, -29.625888953636448, -29.62398677189098, -29.622161263683846, -29.62040815252698, -29.61872346458246, -29.617103502942665, -29.615544824442495, -29.614044218722906, -29.612598689298, -29.611205436409197, -29.609861841475233, -29.608565452969923, -29.6073139735791, -29.60610524850572, -29.60493725480624, -29.603808091655512, -29.602715971448415, -29.601659211656116, -29.600636227365335, -29.599645524434084, -29.59868569320738, -29.59775540274007, -29.596853395480146, -29.59597848237167, -29.595129538338476, -29.59430549811581, -29.593505352399028, -29.592728144281953, -29.591972965960107, -29.59123895567635, -29.59052529488858, -29.589831205641246, -29.589155948123548, -29.588498818400055, -29.587859146298598, -29.58723629344429, -29.586629651427064, -29.586038640093406, -29.58546270595152, -29.584901320682366, -29.584353979748016, -29.583820201090088, -29.583299523911705, -29.582791507536797, -29.58229573034135, -29.581811788750745, -29.581339296299628, -29.580877882748666, -29.58042719325515, -29.579986887593243, -29.57955663942033, -29.579136135587103, -29.578725075487526, -29.578323170446332, -29.57793014314197, -29.577545727062187, -29.57716966599006, -29.576801713519167, -29.576441632595262, -29.576089195083075, -29.575744181357116, -29.575406379914014, -29.57507558700592, -29.574751606293407, -29.57443424851641, -29.574123331182694, -29.573818678272026, -29.573520119955816, -29.573227492331135, -29.57294063716799, -29.572659401669338, -29.57238363824298, -29.57211320428494, -29.571847961973305, -29.57158777807208, -29.571332523744505, -29.57108207437559, -29.57083630940248, -29.570595112153608, -29.57035836969487, -29.570125972683027, -29.569897815225957, -29.56967379474946, -29.569453811869646, -29.569237770271886, -29.56902557659431, -29.56881714031705, -29.568612373656514, -29.568411191463607, -29.56821351112718, -29.56801925248131, -29.567828337716335, -29.567640691294322, -29.56745623986747, -29.567274912200464, -29.567096639095737, -29.566921353322016, -29.566748989545825, -29.566579484265826, -29.566412775749697, -29.566248803973693, -29.566087510564696, -29.565928838744394, -29.56577273327591, -29.56561914041252, -29.565468007848068, -29.565319284669794, -29.5651729213126, -29.56502886951547, -29.56488708227907, -29.56474751382546, -29.564610119558964, -29.564474856028855, -29.56434168089296, -29.564210552883278, -29.564081431772248, -29.56395427834046, -29.563829054345995, -29.563705722494074, -29.563584246408414, -29.563464590603484, -29.56334672045756, -29.56323060218701, -29.563116202821274, -29.56300349017878, -29.56289243284392, -29.56278300014439, -29.562675162129793, -29.562568889550587, -29.562464153837986, -29.56236092708446, -29.562259182025002, -29.562158892018804, -29.562060031031738, -29.561962573619486, -29.56186649491081, -29.561771770592074, -29.561678376891503, -29.561586290564556, -29.561495488879558, -29.561405949603586, -29.56131765098913, -29.561230571761214, -29.561144691104456, -29.561059988651092, -29.56097644446906, -29.56089403905048, -29.5608127533007, -29.560732568527417, -29.560653466430217, -29.560575429090587, -29.560498438962117, -29.560422478860833, -29.560347531956094, -29.560273581761795, -29.560200612127407, -29.560128607229842, -29.560057551565112, -29.559987429940616, -29.559918227467122, -29.55984992955164, -29.559782521890156, -29.559715990460276, -29.559650321514876, -29.559585501575036, -29.55952151742391, -29.559458356100308, -29.559396004892665, -29.559334451333218, -29.559273683191982, -29.55921368847162, -29.55915445540159, -29.559095972433166, -29.559038228234087, -29.558981211683825, -29.558924911868385, -29.558869318076045, -29.558814419792345, -29.558760206695876, -29.558706668653745, -29.558653795717607, -29.558601578119262, -29.558550006266884 ], "prior": 0.009847826503020797, "slip": 0.49 }, "79": { "forget": 0.0, "guess": 0.23705267079173636, "learn": 0.14306164869331178, "log_likelihood_history": [ -2274.45640340735, -2147.162435286489, -2143.3689373353536, -2142.584974530895, -2142.1022543982117, -2141.7300979603256, -2141.418482885128, -2141.1451376828486, -2140.9005141558855, -2140.6823238677757, -2140.492163711336, -2140.3325250866733, -2140.2043353032636, -2140.1058373588953, -2140.0329999079563, -2139.9807361391563, -2139.9440471328417, -2139.918674973261, -2139.901299750575, -2139.8894731003065, -2139.8814517251017, -2139.876021445653, -2139.8723481369793, -2139.869863542715, -2139.8681824239575, -2139.8670443039377, -2139.86627327064, -2139.865750552238, -2139.8653959309763, -2139.865155193129, -2139.864991669529, -2139.8648805361804, -2139.8648049734497, -2139.864753575816, -2139.864718603365, -2139.864694800213, -2139.8646785952246, -2139.8646675607374, -2139.864660045713, -2139.864654926882, -2139.8646514397883, -2139.8646490640454, -2139.864647445325, -2139.8646463423293, -2139.864645590705 ], "prior": 0.1974722613213031, "slip": 0.2254047110636286 }, "8": { "forget": 0.0, "guess": 0.37976276329012354, "learn": 0.16831030518763665, "log_likelihood_history": [ -2524.9646314965967, -2385.6719516038784, -2375.5027632485926, -2372.5811120461835, -2371.5931273416695, -2371.232441205418, -2371.0944289724007, -2371.039881253892, -2371.0177344361878, -2371.0084834972326, -2371.0044757048436, -2371.002649476327, -2371.001759004819, -2371.001287693871, -2371.0010158013215, -2371.0008463095764, -2371.000734028396, -2371.0006563635093, -2371.0006010485467, -2371.0005608547763, -2371.000531213489, -2371.0005090827062, -2371.0004923647093, -2371.000479580609, -2371.0004696737615, -2371.000461882954, -2371.0004556571253, -2371.000450595906, -2371.0004464077097, -2371.00044287965, -2371.0004398558826, -2371.000437222008, -2371.000434893794, -2371.0004328088894, -2371.000430921019, -2371.000429195377, -2371.000427605847, -2371.000426132466, -2371.00042475989, -2371.000423476046, -2371.000422271481, -2371.000421138439, -2371.000420070677, -2371.0004190629247, -2371.0004181106997 ], "prior": 0.3835364524324161, "slip": 0.17205230344806624 }, "80": { "forget": 0.0, "guess": 0.399005717979907, "learn": 0.07885518817531058, "log_likelihood_history": [ -1447.9851698410966, -1317.3466900892988, -1312.421813146592, -1310.45729351805, -1309.5163110475685, -1309.040327494284, -1308.7905082476884, -1308.6558808559046, -1308.581923355295, -1308.5407170596504, -1308.5175162932403, -1308.504349936961, -1308.4968331054167, -1308.4925216924296, -1308.490039705569, -1308.4886065813366, -1308.4877769495774, -1308.4872955536237, -1308.4870155854537, -1308.4868523750092, -1308.4867569781586, -1308.4867010470346, -1308.486668133749, -1308.4866486784367, -1308.4866371147384, -1308.486630195042, -1308.4866260201927, -1308.4866234764427, -1308.4866219084224, -1308.4866209288186 ], "prior": 0.5754479819362364, "slip": 0.0822720886631907 }, "81": { "forget": 0.0, "guess": 0.34310234763899544, "learn": 0.07724602010453803, "log_likelihood_history": [ -1568.0359441447617, -1420.1638892372926, -1413.8453722795439, -1411.8948053820434, -1411.0945173819055, -1410.733417210989, -1410.5636123962029, -1410.4819251155548, -1410.4420152459952, -1410.4222819540805, -1410.4124249611891, -1410.4074539450728, -1410.4049221541006, -1410.4036184961176, -1410.4029386173231, -1410.4025786443376, -1410.4023846013945, -1410.4022777970874, -1410.4022176106323, -1410.4021828191012, -1410.40216217085, -1410.4021495949742, -1410.4021417477534, -1410.4021367440707, -1410.402133493905, -1410.4021313502487, -1410.402129918969, -1410.40212895417 ], "prior": 0.5862944936326298, "slip": 0.05244275319216302 }, "82": { "forget": 0.0, "guess": 0.46051663977735374, "learn": 0.9999, "log_likelihood_history": [ -161.27794283548883, -145.8449587211461, -144.7061665603965, -144.14037163381738, -143.81806812407535, -143.61810081916246, -143.48550444439232, -143.39249850374088, -143.32391334047253, -143.27096418715328, -143.22832145822846, -143.19262663425562, -143.16169503747543, -143.13406645395563, -143.10874134363195, -143.08502050327684, -143.06240460369736, -143.04052953178868, -143.0191237722191, -142.99797971185092, -142.97693394871112, -142.95585355179395, -142.93462633314653, -142.9131538763893, -142.89134649281144, -142.86911954866915, -142.84639078462385, -142.82307836597488, -142.79909948217272, -142.77436936951779, -142.74880067045402, -142.72230307183253, -142.69478318636922, -142.66614465845217, -142.63628848879, -142.60511358294158, -142.57251753696207, -142.53839767935943, -142.50265239227073, -142.46518273600577, -142.42589439955208, -142.38469999482473, -142.34152170380662, -142.29629427458258, -142.24896834387704, -142.19951403935482, -142.1479247841536, -142.09422118894082, -142.03845487423936, -141.98071202032483, -141.9211163980493, -141.85983159796785, -141.7970621554561, -141.7330532753433, -141.6680888993975, -141.60248793922997, -141.5365986159487, -141.47079099894748, -141.40544800469732, -141.34095528076622, -141.27769053601287, -141.21601296192782, -141.1562534062874, -141.098705903244, -141.0436210408536, -140.99120147610876, -140.94159971426257, -140.89491808079728, -140.85121065429175, -140.8104868126783, -140.77271598065977, -140.73783315054908, -140.70574477411395, -140.67633467733566, -140.6494697206924, -140.6250050034018, -140.60278848232358, -140.58266493929122, -140.56447928151647, -140.54807919775558, -140.53331721888287, -140.5200522471476, -140.50815062572568, -140.4974868213601, -140.48794378977126, -140.4794130877156, -140.47179478830253, -140.46499724835812, -140.4589367688813, -140.45353718236842, -140.44872939424303, -140.44445089987252, -140.44064529377138, -140.43726178347544, -140.4342547172093, -140.43158313175115, -140.42921032472563, -140.42710345388645, -140.42523316463826, -140.42357324608497, -140.42210031517675, -140.4207935280138, -140.41963431703348, -140.41860615257755, -140.4176943272163, -140.41688576115718, -140.41616882706623, -140.4155331926695, -140.4149696795681, -140.41447013678058, -140.41402732762657, -140.4136348286531, -140.41328693941514, -140.41297860201334, -140.41270532938628, -140.41246314145144, -140.4122485082694, -140.41205829947958, -140.4118897393457, -140.41174036679584, -140.41160799992147, -140.41149070444277, -140.4113867657116, -140.41129466385198, -140.4112130517026, -140.41115804169004, -140.4111580415256 ], "prior": 0.28495082929671234, "slip": 0.2959154928163362 }, "83": { "forget": 0.0, "guess": 0.08234314056045233, "learn": 0.20165458592188323, "log_likelihood_history": [ -601.6513903706184, -569.432940116795, -567.3334395874641, -566.3740286073246, -565.8793527647986, -565.6135104368832, -565.4655085448409, -565.380219401795, -565.3291585461986, -565.2971468791166, -565.275895441362, -565.2607876286428, -565.24920981835, -565.239661438674, -565.231270016425, -565.2235221482368, -565.216112044496, -565.2088552016183, -565.2016386648811, -565.1943920930695, -565.1870707699946, -565.1796455398304, -565.1720967895741, -565.1644108166627, -565.1565776143239, -565.148589507003, -565.1404403003162, -565.1321247455681, -565.1236381986447, -565.1149764003494, -565.1061353335491, -565.0971111293727, -565.0879000053255, -565.0784982241696, -565.0689020666682, -565.0591078135814, -565.0491117340063, -565.0389100780106, -565.0284990723018, -565.0178749180479, -565.0070337902168, -564.9959718380741, -564.9846851865423, -564.9731699382311, -564.9614221760198, -564.9494379661111, -564.9372133614851, -564.9247444057465, -564.9120271372933, -564.8990575938792, -564.8858318174704, -564.8723458594532, -564.8585957861931, -564.8445776849728, -564.8302876702102, -564.8157218901526, -564.8008765338791, -564.7857478387124, -564.7703320980827, -564.7546256697482, -564.738624984492, -564.7223265552611, -564.7057269867704, -564.6888229855597, -564.6716113705668, -564.6540890841923, -564.6362532038686, -564.6181009541775, -564.5996297194788, -564.5808370571028, -564.5617207110815, -564.5422786264904, -564.5225089642832, -564.5024101167713, -564.4819807236353, -564.461219688538, -564.4401261962812, -564.4186997305593, -564.3969400922371, -564.3748474181873, -564.3524222006426, -564.3296653070199, -564.3065780002418, -564.2831619594604, -564.2594193011523, -564.2353526005489, -564.2109649133464, -564.1862597975526, -564.1612413354839, -564.1359141557436, -564.1102834551016, -564.0843550201781, -564.058135248731, -564.031631170451, -564.0048504670943, -563.9778014917417, -563.950493287004, -563.9229356019911, -563.8951389077201, -563.8671144108595, -563.8388740654003, -563.8104305821016, -563.7817974353504, -563.7529888671651, -563.7240198880608, -563.6949062744712, -563.6656645623378, -563.6363120367483, -563.6068667171266, -563.5773473378875, -563.5477733241567, -563.5181647624507, -563.4885423660462, -563.4589274349624, -563.42934181038, -563.39980782354, -563.3703482390845, -563.3409861929615, -563.3117451250212, -563.2826487066084, -563.2537207633601, -563.2249851937588, -563.1964658837472, -563.1681866181365, -563.140170989304, -563.1124423039664, -563.085023488773, -563.0579369955118, -563.031204706818, -563.0048478432452, -562.9788868726024, -562.9533414224699, -562.9282301967586, -562.9035708971353, -562.8793801501618, -562.8556734408672, -562.8324650533862, -562.8097680192645, -562.7875940739322, -562.7659536216747, -562.7448557093763, -562.7243080092062, -562.704316810266, -562.6848870191359, -562.6660221690831, -562.6477244377488, -562.6299946727895, -562.6128324251627, -562.5962359893565, -562.580202450097, -562.5647277347872, -562.5498066709922, -562.535433048331, -562.5215996839145, -562.5082984907165, -562.4955205480816, -562.483256173669, -562.471494996194, -562.4602260282941, -562.4494377389105, -562.4391181246569, -562.429254779658, -562.419834963412, -562.4108456662793, -562.4022736722425, -562.3941056187065, -562.3863280530525, -562.3789274857479, -562.371890439984, -562.3652034976567, -562.358853341663, -562.3528267945774, -562.3471108536643, -562.3416927223128, -562.3365598380068, -562.3316998969082, -562.327100875216, -562.3227510474361, -562.3186390016863, -562.3147536523054, -562.3110842498168, -562.3076203884972, -562.3043520117736, -562.3012694154988, -562.2983632493983, -562.2956245168426, -562.2930445730464, -562.290615121954, -562.288328211868, -562.2861762300557, -562.284151896414, -562.2822482563435, -562.2804586729512, -562.2787768186832, -562.2771966665387, -562.27571248086, -562.2743188079248, -562.2730104662675, -562.2717825369397, -562.2706303536672 ], "prior": 0.786847386271605, "slip": 0.3142891721252889 }, "84": { "forget": 0.0, "guess": 0.4835744456701196, "learn": 0.1086718346396442, "log_likelihood_history": [ -4036.802075846641, -3287.7045757442634, -3269.6498235548906, -3262.2522168337678, -3258.9949248330026, -3257.484519630225, -3256.755243104211, -3256.392720788867, -3256.2087487633135, -3256.1140006118217, -3256.0646829926964, -3256.0388125680042, -3256.0251628789147, -3256.017928590857, -3256.0140801525217, -3256.0120259536598, -3256.0109256722344, -3256.0103339846596, -3256.010014205194, -3256.009840231516, -3256.009744728614, -3256.0096916586813, -3256.0096616824717, -3256.009644386498, -3256.009634137647, -3256.009627869467, -3256.0096238981014, -3256.0096212876347, -3256.0096195094106, -3256.0096182583925, -3256.009617353933 ], "prior": 0.8494586196343452, "slip": 0.06205484927687427 }, "85": { "forget": 0.0, "guess": 0.49, "learn": 0.0337164847229521, "log_likelihood_history": [ -17625.14866296231, -16613.318022215222, -16478.816851714513, -16427.185580504156, -16407.84195042175, -16400.039900690208, -16396.580054540882, -16394.94466176448, -16394.206923832615, -16394.09127846666, -16394.0750543061, -16394.072017346214, -16394.071188189755, -16394.070895184424, -16394.070779986127, -16394.070733119395, -16394.070713860754, -16394.07070592449, -16394.070702651305, -16394.070701301043, -16394.07070074404 ], "prior": 0.7551176574692126, "slip": 0.09810200240915617 }, "86": { "forget": 0.0, "guess": 0.45249749841827047, "learn": 0.04521340140181825, "log_likelihood_history": [ -12929.098295486343, -12284.164345679352, -12215.667783726563, -12186.542190362483, -12172.851930409643, -12166.086054244412, -12162.559626011453, -12160.642530569261, -12159.568290736535, -12158.952589250483, -12158.593361963309, -12158.380746310957, -12158.25344956581, -12158.176538576625, -12158.12974054972, -12158.101111102065, -12158.083525017686, -12158.072689549455, -12158.065998325505, -12158.0618594327, -12158.059296184681, -12158.057707336835, -12158.056721842147, -12158.056110295089, -12158.055730671444, -12158.05549495848, -12158.055348575197, -12158.055257656026, -12158.05520118054, -12158.055166097696, -12158.055144303054, -12158.05513076297, -12158.05512235093, -12158.055117124626, -12158.055113877566, -12158.05511186016, -12158.05511060674, -12158.055109828003 ], "prior": 0.5695575317890522, "slip": 0.10905430991831697 }, "9": { "forget": 0.0, "guess": 0.0001, "learn": 0.0001, "log_likelihood_history": [ -957.0206302225996, -14.162623774419599, -3.1922991879105105, -0.8707796330822701, -0.43441410145420584, -0.4334090431871287, -0.4334090431871287 ], "prior": 0.0001, "slip": 0.49 }, "90": { "forget": 0.0, "guess": 0.49, "learn": 0.08928858546812403, "log_likelihood_history": [ -2064.2821023223737, -1881.8601608267643, -1856.020638736155, -1843.1900834430617, -1836.089639785743, -1833.3949827597141, -1832.5035910038598, -1832.1825803180932, -1832.059635951826, -1832.0099978122391, -1831.989138456116, -1831.9801271908154, -1831.976163970759, -1831.9744013946172, -1831.9736122134163, -1831.973257442575, -1831.9730975816017, -1831.9730254489205, -1831.9729928754061, -1831.972978159304, -1831.9729715091528, -1831.9729685035447, -1831.972967145019, -1831.9729665309405 ], "prior": 0.4540247980776317, "slip": 0.040877298530999646 }, "91": { "forget": 0.0, "guess": 0.43842802175257345, "learn": 0.047375571063480386, "log_likelihood_history": [ -2804.943614493128, -2621.6251771641328, -2608.6703932298865, -2603.9290164287668, -2601.427455765679, -2600.043023556297, -2599.26100629943, -2598.810187949218, -2598.545351471627, -2598.387233244877, -2598.2915557585275, -2598.2330242890075, -2598.196898266682, -2598.174440606088, -2598.1603986651503, -2598.151577394991, -2598.1460145565347, -2598.1424955380803, -2598.1402636726857, -2598.138845111288, -2598.137941846605, -2598.137365804186, -2598.1369979475717, -2598.136762756582, -2598.136612223743, -2598.1365157798555, -2598.1364539317083, -2598.136414233386, -2598.136388729663, -2598.136372330575, -2598.136361776399, -2598.1363549777006, -2598.136350594048, -2598.1363477648097, -2598.136345936947, -2598.1363447547856, -2598.136343989379 ], "prior": 0.5876580990896255, "slip": 0.1651419344465646 }, "92": { "forget": 0.0, "guess": 0.49, "learn": 0.0396230008133391, "log_likelihood_history": [ -984.1580131144085, -665.8907083644389, -657.7408325322737, -653.5942009086287, -651.5494655524571, -650.5262342437601, -650.0006943250647, -649.7247289780745, -649.5772742516457, -649.4973698351723, -649.4535608822055, -649.429305561099, -649.4157668036821, -649.4081594481554, -649.403862021866, -649.4014240768614, -649.400036416096, -649.3992445255046, -649.3987917179956, -649.3985324030156, -649.3983837236088, -649.3982984012972, -649.3982494042069, -649.3982212526089, -649.3982050715566, -649.3981957681841, -649.3981904179543, -649.3981873405845, -649.3981855703014, -649.3981845518268, -649.398183965839 ], "prior": 0.9199553297262836, "slip": 0.0484933540124581 }, "93": { "forget": 0.0, "guess": 0.3093990979968122, "learn": 0.34449712560754325, "log_likelihood_history": [ -1248.0727742753918, -1170.4773948526895, -1162.378289078159, -1159.0540650124744, -1157.5034150097988, -1156.7570449338275, -1156.3873729427905, -1156.1976438065337, -1156.0960693365644, -1156.03897879925, -1156.0050868058222, -1155.9837500564934, -1155.9695039514318, -1155.9594618306362, -1155.9520489523845, -1155.9463734269837, -1155.9419076265742, -1155.938323805585, -1155.9354076262402, -1155.9330116748283, -1155.9310298371965, -1155.9293827418626, -1155.928009189898, -1155.9268608977522, -1155.9258991241961, -1155.925092404257, -1155.924414958669, -1155.9238455332065, -1155.923366523724, -1155.922963299408, -1155.9226236688855, -1155.9223374527844, -1155.9220961377937, -1155.9218925943765, -1155.9217208450816, -1155.9215758734692, -1155.9214534660216, -1155.9213500809599, -1155.9212627391312, -1155.9211889331143, -1155.9211265513545, -1155.9210738147765, -1155.9210292237417, -1155.9209915136212, -1155.9209596175697, -1155.920932635256, -1155.9209098066442, -1155.9208904899251, -1155.920874142994, -1155.920860307826, -1155.9208485973566, -1155.920838684414, -1155.9208302924067, -1155.920823187443, -1155.9208171717235, -1155.9208120779385, -1155.9208077645442, -1155.9208041117852, -1155.920801018328, -1155.9207983984147, -1155.9207961794607, -1155.920794300032, -1155.9207927081204, -1155.9207913596983, -1155.9207902174844, -1155.920789249923 ], "prior": 0.14794769797618043, "slip": 0.1278340836982148 }, "97": { "forget": 0.0, "guess": 0.0001, "learn": 0.0001, "log_likelihood_history": [ -16.41235375985116, -7.354246276194615, -7.334020610174376, -7.319543792751631, -7.307949218422282, -7.297793535211194, -7.288293789650948, -7.279070192405415, -7.2700823254657, -7.261050518769065, -7.252037514065578, -7.243105759328833, -7.2343164643366435, -7.225728737090722, -7.217398717289678, -7.209378645198703, -7.201715838802814, -7.1944516024087735, -7.187620142708216, -7.181247608737259, -7.175351387658708, -7.169939772867469, -7.16501207732952, -7.160559204079638, -7.156564622637625, -7.153005649397973, -7.149854901481261, -7.147081789731286, -7.144653933680617, -7.142538411664576, -7.140702794261591, -7.139115941827018, -7.13774857271108, -7.136573626164832, -7.135566453347497, -7.134704872822425, -7.133969125428227, -7.133341759272687, -7.132807470276053, -7.132352918196662, -7.131966533013585, -7.131638322220089, -7.131359686090491, -7.131123245286784, -7.1309753614061915, -7.130853159653818, -7.1307502428943765, -7.130663600064897, -7.1305906808124915, -7.130529327726112, -7.130477717773182, -7.1304343118777345, -7.130397811686123, -7.1303671226211645, -7.130341322398431, -7.1303196342595845, -7.130301404259739, -7.130286082026103, -7.130273204479034, -7.130262382075031, -7.130253287191652, -7.130245644328813, -7.130239221847573, -7.130237359159654, -7.130237359133521 ], "prior": 0.07398768643795496, "slip": 0.0001 }, "98": { "forget": 0.0, "guess": 0.2430226251684257, "learn": 0.0634572201988842, "log_likelihood_history": [ -1858.1951004796442, -1795.1522562911264, -1786.0664884406879, -1782.3837826402137, -1780.3060831483776, -1778.9307602874878, -1777.943018169111, -1777.2005553807692, -1776.6272827055898, -1776.177458394323, -1775.8210329623519, -1775.5369052841775, -1775.3095400979764, -1775.127132203647, -1774.9805274265939, -1774.8625371161218, -1774.7674717150235, -1774.6908057714581, -1774.6289279385383, -1774.5789496378304, -1774.5385562997494, -1774.5058905904768, -1774.479460202043, -1774.458064757872, -1774.4407377128607, -1774.4267000741581, -1774.4153234706607, -1774.4061006350112, -1774.3986217745216, -1774.3925556295724, -1774.3876342696715, -1774.3836408746008, -1774.380399903492, -1774.3777691771222, -1774.375633494926, -1774.3738994849227, -1774.3724914453112, -1774.3713479842609, -1774.370419303232, -1774.3696649992235, -1774.369052285899, -1774.368554553318, -1774.368150201136, -1774.3678216931496, -1774.367554790951, -1774.367337932442, -1774.3671617279433, -1774.3670185513179, -1774.3669022082947, -1774.3668076672657, -1774.3667308407842, -1774.3666684082245, -1774.3666176718136, -1774.3665764396367, -1774.3665429307812, -1774.3665156981706, -1774.3664935659717, -1774.366475578711, -1774.3664609599807, -1774.366449078825, -1774.366439422503, -1774.3664315743508, -1774.3664251957337, -1774.366420011452, -1774.3664157978685, -1774.3664123731846, -1774.3664095897095, -1774.3664073273726, -1774.366405488595, -1774.3664039940686, -1774.366402779343, -1774.3664017920369 ], "prior": 0.636454334079628, "slip": 0.24920177586026213 }, "99": { "forget": 0.0, "guess": 0.291110479572627, "learn": 0.054112186581762665, "log_likelihood_history": [ -6235.434966116638, -5883.5963610171675, -5854.240525751088, -5844.1274372759535, -5838.533782954604, -5835.073924410401, -5832.833785229955, -5831.341710004527, -5830.329760225609, -5829.635775434979, -5829.156706241907, -5828.824748486722, -5828.594251078411, -5828.434032983262, -5828.322612124637, -5828.245114549854, -5828.1912132833695, -5828.153728076349, -5828.1276633098905, -5828.109542565518, -5828.096946686555, -5828.088192486012, -5828.0821090800355, -5828.077882136427, -5828.07494541839, -5828.072905276182, -5828.071488091041, -5828.070503704672, -5828.069819979317, -5828.069345105193, -5828.069015298785, -5828.068786250976, -5828.068627183357, -5828.06851671752, -5828.068440005021, -5828.068386733176, -5828.068349739823, -5828.068324050949, -5828.068306212275, -5828.0682938249565, -5828.068285223181, -5828.068279250106, -5828.068275102425, -5828.068272222291, -5828.068270222351, -5828.068268833617, -5828.068267869279 ], "prior": 0.641417168270522, "slip": 0.23228746907433157 } }, "fallback": { "forget": 0.0, "guess": 0.2, "learn": 0.1, "log_likelihood_history": [], "prior": 0.3, "slip": 0.1 } }