""" Full ensemble script for 0109. Loads available voter predictions for a dataset, trains LR Stacking on dev, and evaluates on test. Supports global and per-bucket evaluation. Expected voter sources (auto-discovered): - Qwen specialists: outputs/cross_domain/{dataset}/qwen7b_*_{split}_predictions.csv - FastDetectGPT 3B: outputs/zero_shot/{dataset}/{split}_fdgpt_scores.csv - Binoculars 3B: outputs/zero_shot/{dataset}/{split}_bino_scores.csv - BERT/RoBERTa (optional): outputs/plm/{dataset}/{name}_{split}_predictions.csv Outputs to: outputs/ensemble_full/{dataset}/ """ import json import math import numpy as np import pandas as pd from pathlib import Path from sklearn.linear_model import LogisticRegression from sklearn.preprocessing import StandardScaler from sklearn.metrics import f1_score, precision_score, recall_score, accuracy_score from scipy.special import expit ROOT = Path(__file__).resolve().parents[2] CROSS_DOMAIN_ROOT = ROOT / "outputs/cross_domain" ZERO_SHOT_ROOT = ROOT / "outputs/zero_shot" PLM_ROOT = ROOT / "outputs/plm" OUT_ROOT = ROOT / "outputs/ensemble_full" MIN_SAMPLES_PER_BUCKET = 20 MIN_SAMPLES_GLOBAL_LR = 50 BUCKETS = { "extreme_short": (0, 75), "short": (76, 180), "general": (181, 999999), } DS13_SUBSETS = { "normal": (1, 4000), "mixed_attack": (4001, 5000), "paraphrase_attack": (5001, 6000), "perturbation_attack": (6001, 7000), "len_64": (7001, 8000), "len_128": (8001, 9000), "len_256": (9001, 10000), "len_512": (10001, 11000), } VOTER_COLUMN_MAP = { "qwen7b_general": "pred_prob", "qwen7b_short": "pred_prob", "qwen7b_extreme_short": "pred_prob", "fdgpt": "fdgpt_score", "binoculars": "binoculars_score", "bert": "pred_prob", "roberta": "pred_prob", } # --------------------------------------------------------------------------- # Helpers # --------------------------------------------------------------------------- def discover_voters(dataset: str): """Auto-discover available prediction CSVs for a dataset.""" voters = {} # 1. Qwen specialists cd_dir = CROSS_DOMAIN_ROOT / dataset if cd_dir.exists(): for split in ["dev", "test"]: for adapter in ["qwen7b_general", "qwen7b_short", "qwen7b_extreme_short"]: csv = cd_dir / f"{adapter}_{split}_predictions.csv" if csv.exists(): voters.setdefault(adapter, {})[split] = csv # 2. Zero-shot detectors zs_dir = ZERO_SHOT_ROOT / dataset if zs_dir.exists(): for split in ["dev", "test"]: for name, fname in [ ("fdgpt", f"{split}_fdgpt_scores.csv"), ("binoculars", f"{split}_bino_scores.csv"), ]: csv = zs_dir / fname if csv.exists(): voters.setdefault(name, {})[split] = csv # 3. PLM baselines (optional) plm_dir = PLM_ROOT / dataset if plm_dir.exists(): for split in ["dev", "test"]: for name in ["bert", "roberta"]: csv = plm_dir / f"{name}_{split}_predictions.csv" if csv.exists(): voters.setdefault(name, {})[split] = csv return voters def load_voter_df(voters, split): """Align all voter predictions for a given split into one DataFrame by row index. All inference scripts process the same jsonl in the same order, so index alignment is the most robust method (avoids Cartesian product on duplicate texts). """ base_voter = list(voters.keys())[0] base_df = pd.read_csv(voters[base_voter][split]) if "length" not in base_df.columns: base_df["length"] = base_df["text"].astype(str).apply(len) result = base_df[["text", "label", "length"]].copy() # Bring in id if any voter has it (needed for DS13 subset evaluation) for v in voters: tmp = pd.read_csv(voters[v][split]) if "id" in tmp.columns: if len(tmp) != len(result): raise ValueError(f"Length mismatch for {v}: {len(tmp)} vs {len(result)}") result["id"] = tmp["id"].values break for voter_name, paths in voters.items(): vdf = pd.read_csv(paths[split]) if len(vdf) != len(result): raise ValueError(f"Length mismatch for {voter_name}: {len(vdf)} vs {len(result)}") col = VOTER_COLUMN_MAP.get(voter_name, "pred_prob") if col not in vdf.columns: raise ValueError(f"Expected column '{col}' not found in {paths[split]}") result[f"feat_{voter_name}"] = vdf[col].values return result.reset_index(drop=True) def best_threshold_f1(y_true, probs): y_true = np.asarray(y_true) probs = np.asarray(probs) if len(y_true) == 0: return 0.5, 0.0 # dynamic range based on score distribution p_min, p_max = probs.min(), probs.max() if p_min == p_max: return p_min, 0.0 thresholds = np.linspace(p_min, p_max, 200) preds = (probs[:, None] >= thresholds).astype(int) tp = (preds * y_true[:, None]).sum(axis=0) fp = (preds * (1 - y_true[:, None])).sum(axis=0) fn = y_true.sum() - tp precision = tp / (tp + fp + 1e-9) recall = tp / (tp + fn + 1e-9) f1 = 2 * precision * recall / (precision + recall + 1e-9) best_idx = np.argmax(f1) return thresholds[best_idx], f1[best_idx] def evaluate(y_true, probs, threshold=None): if threshold is None: threshold, _ = best_threshold_f1(y_true, probs) preds = (probs >= threshold).astype(int) return { "threshold": round(float(threshold), 4), "f1": round(f1_score(y_true, preds, zero_division=0), 6), "precision": round(precision_score(y_true, preds, zero_division=0), 6), "recall": round(recall_score(y_true, preds, zero_division=0), 6), "accuracy": round(accuracy_score(y_true, preds), 6), } def bucket_name(length): if length <= 75: return "extreme_short" elif length <= 180: return "short" else: return "general" # --------------------------------------------------------------------------- # LR models # --------------------------------------------------------------------------- def fit_lr_global(df_dev, feature_cols, C=1.0): X = df_dev[feature_cols].copy() X["len_norm"] = df_dev["length"] / 1000.0 y = df_dev["label"].values scaler = StandardScaler() Xs = scaler.fit_transform(X) clf = LogisticRegression(C=C, max_iter=1000, solver="lbfgs") clf.fit(Xs, y) probs = clf.predict_proba(Xs)[:, 1] th, _ = best_threshold_f1(y, probs) meta = { "feature_names": list(X.columns), "coef": clf.coef_[0].tolist(), "intercept": float(clf.intercept_[0]), "threshold": round(th, 4), } return scaler, clf, th, meta def apply_lr_global(df, scaler, clf, feature_cols): X = df[feature_cols].copy() X["len_norm"] = df["length"] / 1000.0 Xs = scaler.transform(X) return clf.predict_proba(Xs)[:, 1] def fit_lr_bucket(df_dev, feature_cols, global_scaler, global_clf, global_th): bucket_models = {} bucket_thresholds = {} meta = { "global": {"threshold": global_th}, "fallback": {}, } df_dev = df_dev.copy() df_dev["bucket"] = df_dev["length"].apply(bucket_name) for bname, (lo, hi) in BUCKETS.items(): sub = df_dev[(df_dev["length"] >= lo) & (df_dev["length"] <= hi)] if len(sub) >= MIN_SAMPLES_PER_BUCKET: X = sub[feature_cols].copy() X["len_norm"] = sub["length"] / 1000.0 y = sub["label"].values scaler = StandardScaler() Xs = scaler.fit_transform(X) clf = LogisticRegression(C=1.0, max_iter=1000, solver="lbfgs") clf.fit(Xs, y) probs = clf.predict_proba(Xs)[:, 1] th, _ = best_threshold_f1(y, probs) bucket_models[bname] = (scaler, clf) bucket_thresholds[bname] = th meta[bname] = {"coef": clf.coef_[0].tolist(), "intercept": float(clf.intercept_[0]), "threshold": th, "n_dev": len(sub)} meta["fallback"][bname] = False else: bucket_models[bname] = (global_scaler, global_clf) bucket_thresholds[bname] = global_th meta[bname] = {"fallback_to_global": True, "n_dev": len(sub)} meta["fallback"][bname] = True def _apply(df): df = df.copy() df["bucket"] = df["length"].apply(bucket_name) probs = np.zeros(len(df)) for bname, (lo, hi) in BUCKETS.items(): mask = (df["length"] >= lo) & (df["length"] <= hi) if mask.any(): scaler, clf = bucket_models[bname] X = df.loc[mask, feature_cols].copy() X["len_norm"] = df.loc[mask, "length"] / 1000.0 Xs = scaler.transform(X) probs[mask] = clf.predict_proba(Xs)[:, 1] return probs return _apply, meta, bucket_thresholds # --------------------------------------------------------------------------- # Main # --------------------------------------------------------------------------- def main(): import argparse parser = argparse.ArgumentParser() parser.add_argument("--dataset", required=True, help="e.g. DS06_External_core_balanced_v1 or DS13_NLPCC_full_test_v1") parser.add_argument("--fallback-dataset", default="DS06_External_core_balanced_v1", help="If dev samples are insufficient, use this dataset's dev to train LR") args = parser.parse_args() voters = discover_voters(args.dataset) print(f"Discovered voters for {args.dataset}: {list(voters.keys())}") if not voters: print("No voter predictions found. Please run inference first. Exiting.") return df_dev = load_voter_df(voters, "dev") df_test = load_voter_df(voters, "test") print(f"Loaded dev={len(df_dev)} test={len(df_test)}") feature_cols = [c for c in df_dev.columns if c.startswith("feat_")] print(f"Feature columns ({len(feature_cols)}): {feature_cols}") # ----------------------------------------------------------------------- # Global LR (with fallback if dev too small) # ----------------------------------------------------------------------- print("\n[Global LR Stacking]") if len(df_dev) >= MIN_SAMPLES_GLOBAL_LR: scaler, clf, th, meta = fit_lr_global(df_dev, feature_cols) print(f" Trained on {args.dataset} dev (n={len(df_dev)})") else: fb_voters = discover_voters(args.fallback_dataset) if not fb_voters: print(f" Fallback dataset {args.fallback_dataset} has no voters; using current dev anyway") scaler, clf, th, meta = fit_lr_global(df_dev, feature_cols) else: fb_dev = load_voter_df(fb_voters, "dev") # intersect features fb_features = [c for c in fb_dev.columns if c.startswith("feat_")] common_features = list(set(feature_cols) & set(fb_features)) if not common_features: print(" No common features between datasets; using current dev anyway") scaler, clf, th, meta = fit_lr_global(df_dev, feature_cols) else: print(f" Dev too small (n={len(df_dev)}). Fallback LR trained on {args.fallback_dataset} dev (n={len(fb_dev)})") scaler, clf, th, meta = fit_lr_global(fb_dev, common_features) feature_cols = common_features # ensure any missing common features are present (should be rare) for c in common_features: for d in (df_dev, df_test): if c not in d.columns: d[c] = np.nan print(f" coef={meta['coef']}") print(f" intercept={meta['intercept']}") print(f" threshold={th}") summary = {} for split, df in [("dev", df_dev), ("test", df_test)]: probs = apply_lr_global(df, scaler, clf, feature_cols) metrics = evaluate(df["label"].values, probs, threshold=th) summary.setdefault("lr_global", {})[split] = metrics print(f" {split}: f1={metrics['f1']:.4f} acc={metrics['accuracy']:.4f} prec={metrics['precision']:.4f} rec={metrics['recall']:.4f}") # ----------------------------------------------------------------------- # LR Bucket # ----------------------------------------------------------------------- print("\n[LR Bucket]") lb_fn, lb_meta, lb_ths = fit_lr_bucket(df_dev, feature_cols, scaler, clf, th) for split, df in [("dev", df_dev), ("test", df_test)]: probs = lb_fn(df) df_tmp = df.copy() df_tmp["prob"] = probs preds = np.zeros(len(df_tmp), dtype=int) for bname, (lo, hi) in BUCKETS.items(): mask = (df_tmp["length"] >= lo) & (df_tmp["length"] <= hi) if mask.any(): th_b = lb_ths[bname] preds[mask] = (df_tmp.loc[mask, "prob"].values >= th_b).astype(int) metrics = { "threshold": "per-bucket", "f1": round(f1_score(df_tmp["label"].values, preds, zero_division=0), 6), "precision": round(precision_score(df_tmp["label"].values, preds, zero_division=0), 6), "recall": round(recall_score(df_tmp["label"].values, preds, zero_division=0), 6), "accuracy": round(accuracy_score(df_tmp["label"].values, preds), 6), } summary.setdefault("lr_bucket", {})[split] = metrics print(f" {split}: f1={metrics['f1']:.4f} acc={metrics['accuracy']:.4f} prec={metrics['precision']:.4f} rec={metrics['recall']:.4f}") # ----------------------------------------------------------------------- # Per-subset evaluation for DS13 # ----------------------------------------------------------------------- if args.dataset == "DS13_NLPCC_full_test_v1" and "id" in df_test.columns: print("\n[DS13 Per-Subset LR Global]") probs_test = apply_lr_global(df_test, scaler, clf, feature_cols) df_test_eval = df_test.copy() df_test_eval["ensemble_prob"] = probs_test df_test_eval["ensemble_pred"] = (probs_test >= th).astype(int) subset_results = {} for sname, (lo, hi) in DS13_SUBSETS.items(): sub = df_test_eval[(df_test_eval["id"] >= lo) & (df_test_eval["id"] <= hi)] if len(sub) == 0: continue y_true = sub["label"].values y_pred = sub["ensemble_pred"].values subset_results[sname] = { "n": len(sub), "f1": round(f1_score(y_true, y_pred, zero_division=0), 6), "precision": round(precision_score(y_true, y_pred, zero_division=0), 6), "recall": round(recall_score(y_true, y_pred, zero_division=0), 6), "accuracy": round(accuracy_score(y_true, y_pred), 6), } print(f" {sname}: f1={subset_results[sname]['f1']:.4f} acc={subset_results[sname]['accuracy']:.4f}") summary["lr_global"]["subset"] = subset_results # ----------------------------------------------------------------------- # Save outputs # ----------------------------------------------------------------------- out_dir = OUT_ROOT / args.dataset out_dir.mkdir(parents=True, exist_ok=True) for split, df in [("dev", df_dev), ("test", df_test)]: probs = apply_lr_global(df, scaler, clf, feature_cols) df_out = df.copy() df_out["ensemble_prob"] = probs df_out["ensemble_pred"] = (probs >= th).astype(int) df_out.to_csv(out_dir / f"ensemble_lr_global_{split}_predictions.csv", index=False, encoding="utf-8") probs_b = lb_fn(df) df_out_b = df.copy() df_out_b["ensemble_prob"] = probs_b df_tmp = df_out_b.copy() df_tmp["prob"] = probs_b preds_b = np.zeros(len(df_tmp), dtype=int) for bname, (lo, hi) in BUCKETS.items(): mask = (df_tmp["length"] >= lo) & (df_tmp["length"] <= hi) if mask.any(): preds_b[mask] = (df_tmp.loc[mask, "prob"].values >= lb_ths[bname]).astype(int) df_out_b["ensemble_pred"] = preds_b df_out_b.to_csv(out_dir / f"ensemble_lr_bucket_{split}_predictions.csv", index=False, encoding="utf-8") with open(out_dir / "ensemble_meta.json", "w", encoding="utf-8") as f: json.dump({"lr_global": meta, "lr_bucket": lb_meta, "voters": list(voters.keys()), "summary": summary}, f, ensure_ascii=False, indent=2) print(f"\nSaved all outputs to {out_dir}") if __name__ == "__main__": main()