{ "thresholds": { "goal": 0.9808, "big_chance": 0.6964, "controversy": 0.04, "card": 0.9794 }, "intensity": "argmax over [calm, building, peak]", "rule": "answer yes when the calibrated probability (answers[q]['noul']) >= threshold", "chosen_on": "validation matches bra-sui-2022 and eng-fra-2022, with calibration.json applied", "note": "calibrated probabilities top out near 0.98 and are rounded to 4 decimals, so thresholds near the top are brittle" }