"""Score-level meta stack over all cached high-value predictors. This is intentionally cheap: it reuses OOF validation scores and cached test scores instead of retraining GNN / random-walk embeddings. """ from __future__ import annotations import argparse import importlib.util from pathlib import Path import lightgbm as lgb import numpy as np import pandas as pd from sklearn.linear_model import LogisticRegression from sklearn.metrics import precision_recall_curve, roc_auc_score from sklearn.model_selection import StratifiedKFold def load_module(name: str, path: Path): spec = importlib.util.spec_from_file_location(name, path) module = importlib.util.module_from_spec(spec) assert spec.loader is not None spec.loader.exec_module(module) return module def best_f1(y: np.ndarray, s: np.ndarray): p, r, t = precision_recall_curve(y, s) f = 2 * p * r / (p + r + 1e-12) i = int(np.argmax(f)) th = float(t[i]) if i < len(t) else 0.5 return float(f[i]), float(t[i] if i < len(t) else 0.5), float(roc_auc_score(y, s)), float(p[i]), float(r[i]) def prf(y: np.ndarray, pred: np.ndarray): tp = int(((pred == 1) & (y == 1)).sum()) fp = int(((pred == 1) & (y == 0)).sum()) fn = int(((pred == 0) & (y == 1)).sum()) p = tp / (tp + fp + 1e-12) r = tp / (tp + fn + 1e-12) f = 2 * p * r / (p + r + 1e-12) return p, r, f, tp, fp, fn def rank01(x: np.ndarray) -> np.ndarray: order = np.argsort(x, kind="mergesort") out = np.empty(len(x), dtype=np.float32) out[order] = np.linspace(0, 1, len(x), dtype=np.float32) return out def zscore(x: np.ndarray) -> np.ndarray: return ((x - x.mean()) / (x.std() + 1e-8)).astype(np.float32) def author_rank01(pairs: np.ndarray, score: np.ndarray) -> np.ndarray: out = np.zeros(len(score), dtype=np.float32) df = pd.DataFrame({"idx": np.arange(len(score)), "author": pairs[:, 0], "score": score}) for _, g in df.groupby("author", sort=False): idx = g["idx"].to_numpy() order = np.argsort(g["score"].to_numpy(), kind="mergesort") vals = np.linspace(0, 1, len(idx), dtype=np.float32) if len(idx) > 1 else np.array([1.0], dtype=np.float32) out[idx[order]] = vals return out def add_score_block(pairs: np.ndarray, score: np.ndarray) -> np.ndarray: return np.column_stack([score.astype(np.float32), zscore(score), rank01(score), author_rank01(pairs, score)]).astype(np.float32) def read_txt(path: Path) -> list[list[int]]: return [list(map(int, line.strip().split())) for line in path.open()] def load_sources(root: Path, split_seed: int, n_val: int, n_test: int) -> list[tuple[str, np.ndarray, np.ndarray]]: base = root / "validation_runs" / f"dynamic_seed{split_seed}" candidates: list[tuple[str, Path, Path]] = [ ("post95_lgb", base / "post95_ablation/ensemble_lgcn_oof.npy", base / "post95_submission/test_post95_ens_pred.npy"), ("post95_xgb", base / "post95_ablation/xgboost_76feat_oof.npy", base / "post95_xgboost_submission/test_post95_xgb_pred.npy"), ("content_mf", base / "extra_score_sources/bpr_mf_stack_oof.npy", base / "extra_bprmf_submission/test_post95_content_mf_lgb_pred.npy"), ("content_rich", base / "content_rich/rich_content_stack_oof.npy", base / "content_rich_submission/test_content_rich_mf_lgb_pred.npy"), ("n2v_dw_anchor", base / "node2vec_deepwalk/node2vec_stack_oof.npy", base / "node2vec_deepwalk_submission/test_content_mf_deepwalk_node2vec_lgb_pred.npy"), ] rw_dir = base / "randomwalk_systematic" rw_test_dir = base / "randomwalk_ensemble_submission" for p in sorted(rw_dir.glob("*_oof.npy")): stem = p.stem test = rw_test_dir / f"test_{stem[:-4] if stem.endswith('_oof') else stem}_pred.npy" if not test.exists(): test = rw_test_dir / f"test_{stem.replace('_oof', '')}_pred.npy" if test.exists(): candidates.append((stem.replace("_oof", ""), p, test)) out = [] seen = set() for name, vp, tp in candidates: if name in seen or not vp.exists() or not tp.exists(): continue v = np.load(vp).astype(np.float32) t = np.load(tp).astype(np.float32) if len(v) == n_val and len(t) == n_test and np.std(v) > 1e-8: out.append((name, v, t)) seen.add(name) return out def fit_oof_predict(X: np.ndarray, y: np.ndarray, X_test: np.ndarray, kind: str, seed: int, n_splits: int): oof = np.zeros(len(y), dtype=np.float32) test = np.zeros(X_test.shape[0], dtype=np.float32) skf = StratifiedKFold(n_splits=n_splits, shuffle=True, random_state=seed) models = [] for fold, (tr, va) in enumerate(skf.split(X, y), start=1): if kind == "logreg": clf = LogisticRegression(C=0.5, max_iter=1000, solver="lbfgs") else: clf = lgb.LGBMClassifier( n_estimators=900, learning_rate=0.025, num_leaves=15 if kind == "lgb_small" else 31, subsample=0.9, colsample_bytree=0.85, reg_lambda=10.0, min_child_samples=120, objective="binary", verbose=-1, random_state=seed + fold, ) clf.fit(X[tr], y[tr]) oof[va] = clf.predict_proba(X[va])[:, 1].astype(np.float32) test += clf.predict_proba(X_test)[:, 1].astype(np.float32) / n_splits models.append(clf) return oof, test, models def write_sub(path: Path, score: np.ndarray, known: np.ndarray, anchor: np.ndarray, *, th: float | None = None, ratio: float | None = None): if th is not None: pred = (score >= th).astype(np.int8) else: pred = np.zeros(len(score), dtype=np.int8) pred[np.argsort(score, kind="mergesort")[-int(round(len(score) * float(ratio))):]] = 1 pred[known] = 1 pd.DataFrame({"Index": np.arange(len(pred), dtype=np.int64), "Predicted": pred}).to_csv(path, index=False) return float(pred.mean()), int((pred != anchor).sum()) def main() -> None: ap = argparse.ArgumentParser() ap.add_argument("--package-root", type=Path, default=Path(__file__).resolve().parents[1]) ap.add_argument("--split-seed", type=int, default=202) ap.add_argument("--seed", type=int, default=202) ap.add_argument("--n-splits", type=int, default=5) args = ap.parse_args() root = args.package_root.resolve() lgcn = load_module("lgcn", root / "code/train_val_lgcn_ensemble.py") train_refs, val_pairs = lgcn.make_notebook_style_split(root, args.split_seed, 0.9) pairs = val_pairs[["source", "target"]].to_numpy(np.int64) y = val_pairs["label"].to_numpy(np.int8) test_pairs = np.array(read_txt(root / "data_and_docs/bipartite_test_ann.txt"), dtype=np.int64) known = np.load(root / "cached_scores/test_known_mask.npy").astype(bool) anchor_path = root / "validation_runs/dynamic_seed202/node2vec_deepwalk_submission/submission_content_mf_deepwalk_node2vec_lgb_th0.480000.csv" anchor = pd.read_csv(anchor_path)["Predicted"].to_numpy(np.int8) sources = load_sources(root, args.split_seed, len(y), len(test_pairs)) print("sources", len(sources)) for name, v, _ in sources: f, th, auc, p, r = best_f1(y, v) print(f"{name:90s} f1={f:.6f} th={th:.6f} auc={auc:.6f}") blocks = [] test_blocks = [] names = [] raw_val = [] raw_test = [] for name, v, t in sources: blocks.append(add_score_block(pairs, v)) test_blocks.append(add_score_block(test_pairs, t)) names.extend([name, name + "_z", name + "_rank", name + "_author_rank"]) raw_val.append(rank01(v)) raw_test.append(rank01(t)) R = np.vstack(raw_val) Rt = np.vstack(raw_test) summary = np.column_stack([R.mean(axis=0), R.std(axis=0), R.max(axis=0), R.min(axis=0), (R >= 0.5).sum(axis=0), (R >= 0.9).sum(axis=0)]).astype(np.float32) summary_t = np.column_stack([Rt.mean(axis=0), Rt.std(axis=0), Rt.max(axis=0), Rt.min(axis=0), (Rt >= 0.5).sum(axis=0), (Rt >= 0.9).sum(axis=0)]).astype(np.float32) X = np.column_stack([*blocks, summary]).astype(np.float32) Xt = np.column_stack([*test_blocks, summary_t]).astype(np.float32) print("X", X.shape, "Xt", Xt.shape) out = root / "validation_runs" / f"dynamic_seed{args.split_seed}" / "score_level_meta_stack" sub_dir = out / "submissions" out.mkdir(parents=True, exist_ok=True) sub_dir.mkdir(parents=True, exist_ok=True) pd.Series(names + ["rank_mean", "rank_std", "rank_max", "rank_min", "vote_ge_05", "vote_ge_09"]).to_csv(out / "feature_names.csv", index=False) rows = [] for kind in ["logreg", "lgb_small", "lgb"]: oof, test_score, _ = fit_oof_predict(X, y, Xt, kind, args.seed + len(rows) * 31, args.n_splits) np.save(out / f"{kind}_oof.npy", oof) np.save(out / f"{kind}_test_pred.npy", test_score) f, th, auc, p, r = best_f1(y, oof) pred = (oof >= th).astype(np.int8) _, _, _, tp, fp, fn = prf(y, pred) for rule_name, kwargs in [ (f"{kind}_valbest_th", {"th": th}), (f"{kind}_r_valratio", {"ratio": float(pred.mean())}), (f"{kind}_r0500", {"ratio": 0.500}), (f"{kind}_r0499", {"ratio": 0.499}), (f"{kind}_r0501", {"ratio": 0.501}), ]: path = sub_dir / f"submission_{rule_name}.csv" pos_ratio, changed = write_sub(path, test_score, known, anchor, **kwargs) rows.append( { "experiment": rule_name, "model": kind, "validation_f1": f, "threshold": th, "auc": auc, "precision": p, "recall": r, "val_pred_ratio": float(pred.mean()), "tp": tp, "fp": fp, "fn": fn, "test_positive_ratio": pos_ratio, "changed_vs_anchor": changed, "public_submission_path": str(path), } ) pd.DataFrame(rows).sort_values(["validation_f1", "changed_vs_anchor"], ascending=[False, True]).to_csv(out / "summary.csv", index=False) print(pd.DataFrame(rows).sort_values(["validation_f1", "changed_vs_anchor"], ascending=[False, True]).to_string(index=False)) if __name__ == "__main__": main()