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docs/dashboard-glossary.md

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+# Dashboard Glossary (AI vs Bookmakers)
+
+This glossary defines **UI terms** used on the OddsFlow dashboard.
+For log/schema field definitions (timestamp, match_id, market enums), see:
+`docs/signal-glossary.md`.
+
+> Educational analytics only — not betting advice.
+
+---
+
+## Market
+**Meaning:** Market-implied probability derived from bookmaker pricing (odds/lines).  
+**Intuition:** “What the market is pricing.”
+
+## Model
+**Meaning:** AI-estimated probability based on data/modeling.  
+**Intuition:** “What the model believes.”
+
+## Implied
+**Meaning (in Trend cards):** the market’s expected rate for an outcome category.  
+**Intuition:** “The market forecast.”
+
+## Actual
+**Meaning (in Trend cards):** the observed rate in a recent sample window.  
+**Intuition:** “What really happened.”
+
+## Deviation
+**Meaning:** the difference between Actual and Implied.  
+- Positive → happening more often than priced  
+- Negative → happening less often than priced  
+**Intuition:** “Forecast error.”
+
+## Market Volatility (as displayed)
+**Meaning:** a measured drift indicator between market expectations and outcomes (via deviation).  
+**Intuition:** “How far reality is drifting from the priced script.”
+
+## Home Advantage
+**Meaning:** whether home teams are performing stronger/weaker than typical assumptions.  
+**Intuition:** “Is home actually home right now?”
+
+## awayLean
+**Meaning:** drift indicator suggesting away outcomes are outperforming or underperforming market assumptions in the sample window.  
+**Intuition:** “Is the league leaning away right now?”
+
+## Edge
+**Meaning:** meaningful disagreement between Model and Market, beyond a threshold.  
+**Intuition:** “The gap worth reviewing.”
+
+## Threshold (Edge Threshold)
+**Meaning:** minimum edge size required before an item becomes a shortlist candidate.  
+**Intuition:** “Ignore tiny gaps.”
+
+## Value Detection
+**Meaning:** module that scans matches and returns a filtered shortlist of edge candidates.  
+**Intuition:** “Shortlist builder.”
+
+## Edge Found
+**Meaning:** number of shortlist candidates discovered for the selected league/window.  
+**Intuition:** “How many disagreements passed the bar.”
+
+## Filtered
+**Meaning:** candidates remaining after applying filters/constraints.  
+**Intuition:** “How many survived filtering.”
+
+## Efficiency
+**Meaning:** quality indicator for the current filtered set (implementation-specific).  
+**Intuition:** “How clean the shortlist is.”
+
+## Sample Window
+**Meaning:** the match sample used to compute Actual/Deviation metrics.  
+**Intuition:** “The timeframe behind league weather.”