Edwin Salguero
commited on
Commit
·
94e5687
1
Parent(s):
712bf79
Remove all demo data and update project to use only real FRED API data
Browse files- frontend/app.py +161 -445
- frontend/demo_data.py +0 -288
frontend/app.py
CHANGED
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@@ -37,7 +37,6 @@ def get_requests():
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| 37 |
return requests
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| 38 |
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| 39 |
# Initialize flags
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| 40 |
-
DEMO_MODE = False
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ANALYTICS_AVAILABLE = False
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FRED_API_AVAILABLE = False
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CONFIG_AVAILABLE = False
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@@ -90,19 +89,6 @@ def load_config():
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REAL_DATA_MODE = FRED_API_KEY and FRED_API_KEY != 'your-fred-api-key-here'
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return False
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-
# Lazy load demo data
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-
def load_demo_data():
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-
"""Load demo data only when needed"""
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global DEMO_MODE
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try:
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from demo_data import get_demo_data
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DEMO_DATA = get_demo_data()
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DEMO_MODE = True
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return DEMO_DATA
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except ImportError:
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DEMO_MODE = False
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return None
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-
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# Custom CSS for enterprise styling
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st.markdown("""
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<style>
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@@ -425,16 +411,14 @@ def main():
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# Initialize AWS clients
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s3_client, lambda_client = init_aws_clients()
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config = load_config()
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-
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-
# Load demo data if needed
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if not REAL_DATA_MODE:
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-
demo_data = load_demo_data()
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# Show data mode info
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if REAL_DATA_MODE:
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st.success("🎯 Using real FRED API data for live economic insights.")
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else:
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-
st.
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# Sidebar
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with st.sidebar:
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@@ -481,6 +465,7 @@ def show_executive_dashboard(s3_client, config):
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if REAL_DATA_MODE and FRED_API_AVAILABLE:
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# Get real insights from FRED API
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try:
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insights = generate_real_insights(FRED_API_KEY)
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with col1:
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@@ -529,97 +514,10 @@ def show_executive_dashboard(s3_client, config):
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except Exception as e:
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st.error(f"Failed to fetch real data: {e}")
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| 532 |
-
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| 533 |
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if DEMO_MODE:
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insights = DEMO_DATA['insights']
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# ... demo data display
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else:
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# Static fallback
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pass
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-
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| 540 |
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elif DEMO_MODE:
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insights = DEMO_DATA['insights']
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| 542 |
-
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| 543 |
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with col1:
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gdp_insight = insights['GDPC1']
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| 545 |
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st.markdown(f"""
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| 546 |
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<div class="metric-card">
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<h3>📈 GDP Growth</h3>
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<h2>{gdp_insight['growth_rate']}</h2>
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<p>{gdp_insight['current_value']}</p>
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<small>{gdp_insight['trend']}</small>
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</div>
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""", unsafe_allow_html=True)
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-
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with col2:
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indpro_insight = insights['INDPRO']
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st.markdown(f"""
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| 557 |
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<div class="metric-card">
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<h3>🏭 Industrial Production</h3>
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<h2>{indpro_insight['growth_rate']}</h2>
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<p>{indpro_insight['current_value']}</p>
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<small>{indpro_insight['trend']}</small>
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</div>
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""", unsafe_allow_html=True)
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-
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with col3:
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cpi_insight = insights['CPIAUCSL']
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st.markdown(f"""
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<div class="metric-card">
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<h3>💰 Inflation Rate</h3>
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<h2>{cpi_insight['growth_rate']}</h2>
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<p>{cpi_insight['current_value']}</p>
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<small>{cpi_insight['trend']}</small>
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</div>
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""", unsafe_allow_html=True)
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-
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with col4:
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unrate_insight = insights['UNRATE']
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st.markdown(f"""
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<div class="metric-card">
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<h3>💼 Unemployment</h3>
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<h2>{unrate_insight['current_value']}</h2>
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<p>{unrate_insight['growth_rate']}</p>
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<small>{unrate_insight['trend']}</small>
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</div>
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""", unsafe_allow_html=True)
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else:
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-
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-
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st.markdown("""
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<div class="metric-card">
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<h3>📈 GDP Growth</h3>
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<h2>2.1%</h2>
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<p>Q4 2024</p>
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</div>
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""", unsafe_allow_html=True)
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-
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with col2:
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st.markdown("""
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-
<div class="metric-card">
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<h3>🏭 Industrial Production</h3>
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<h2>+0.8%</h2>
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<p>Monthly Change</p>
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</div>
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""", unsafe_allow_html=True)
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-
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with col3:
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st.markdown("""
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<div class="metric-card">
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<h3>💰 Inflation Rate</h3>
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<h2>3.2%</h2>
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<p>Annual Rate</p>
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</div>
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""", unsafe_allow_html=True)
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-
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with col4:
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st.markdown("""
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| 617 |
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<div class="metric-card">
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<h3>💼 Unemployment</h3>
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<h2>3.7%</h2>
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<p>Current Rate</p>
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</div>
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""", unsafe_allow_html=True)
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# Recent analysis section
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st.markdown("""
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@@ -699,8 +597,10 @@ def show_advanced_analytics_page(s3_client, config):
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</div>
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""", unsafe_allow_html=True)
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-
if
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st.
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# Analysis configuration
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st.markdown("""
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@@ -725,6 +625,7 @@ def show_advanced_analytics_page(s3_client, config):
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)
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# Date range
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| 728 |
end_date = datetime.now()
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start_date = end_date - timedelta(days=365*5) # 5 years
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@@ -775,6 +676,9 @@ def show_advanced_analytics_page(s3_client, config):
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# Run real analysis with FRED API data
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with st.spinner(analysis_message):
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try:
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# Get real economic data
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real_data = get_real_economic_data(FRED_API_KEY,
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start_date_input.strftime('%Y-%m-%d'),
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@@ -853,17 +757,10 @@ def show_advanced_analytics_page(s3_client, config):
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| 853 |
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| 854 |
except Exception as e:
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st.error(f"❌ Real data analysis failed: {e}")
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| 856 |
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st.info("
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| 857 |
-
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| 858 |
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# Fallback to demo analysis
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| 859 |
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if DEMO_MODE:
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run_demo_analysis(analysis_type, selected_indicators)
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| 861 |
-
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| 862 |
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elif DEMO_MODE:
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# Run demo analysis
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| 864 |
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run_demo_analysis(analysis_type, selected_indicators)
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| 865 |
else:
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| 866 |
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st.error("
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| 867 |
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| 868 |
def generate_analysis_results(analysis_type, real_data, selected_indicators):
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| 869 |
"""Generate analysis results based on the selected analysis type"""
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@@ -993,121 +890,6 @@ def generate_analysis_results(analysis_type, real_data, selected_indicators):
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| 993 |
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return {}
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| 995 |
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| 996 |
-
def run_demo_analysis(analysis_type, selected_indicators):
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| 997 |
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"""Run demo analysis based on selected type"""
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| 998 |
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with st.spinner(f"Running {analysis_type.lower()} analysis with demo data..."):
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| 999 |
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try:
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# Simulate analysis with demo data
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| 1001 |
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import time
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time.sleep(2) # Simulate processing time
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| 1003 |
-
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| 1004 |
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# Generate demo results based on analysis type
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| 1005 |
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if analysis_type == "Comprehensive":
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| 1006 |
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demo_results = {
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| 1007 |
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'forecasting': {
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| 1008 |
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'GDPC1': {
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| 1009 |
-
'backtest': {'mape': 2.1, 'rmse': 0.045},
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| 1010 |
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'forecast': [21847, 22123, 22401, 22682]
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| 1011 |
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},
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| 1012 |
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'INDPRO': {
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| 1013 |
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'backtest': {'mape': 1.8, 'rmse': 0.032},
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| 1014 |
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'forecast': [102.4, 103.1, 103.8, 104.5]
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| 1015 |
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},
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'RSAFS': {
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| 1017 |
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'backtest': {'mape': 2.5, 'rmse': 0.078},
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| 1018 |
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'forecast': [579.2, 584.7, 590.3, 595.9]
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}
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},
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'segmentation': {
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'time_period_clusters': {'n_clusters': 3},
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'series_clusters': {'n_clusters': 4}
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| 1024 |
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},
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'statistical_modeling': {
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'correlation': {
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'significant_correlations': [
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| 1028 |
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'GDPC1-INDPRO: 0.85',
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| 1029 |
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'GDPC1-RSAFS: 0.78',
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'CPIAUCSL-FEDFUNDS: 0.65'
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| 1031 |
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]
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}
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},
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'insights': {
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| 1035 |
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'key_findings': [
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| 1036 |
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'Strong correlation between GDP and Industrial Production (0.85)',
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| 1037 |
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'Inflation showing signs of moderation',
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| 1038 |
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'Federal Reserve policy rate at 22-year high',
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| 1039 |
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'Labor market remains tight with low unemployment',
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| 1040 |
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'Consumer spending resilient despite inflation'
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| 1041 |
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]
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| 1042 |
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}
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| 1043 |
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}
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| 1044 |
-
elif analysis_type == "Forecasting Only":
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| 1045 |
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demo_results = {
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| 1046 |
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'forecasting': {
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| 1047 |
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'GDPC1': {
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| 1048 |
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'backtest': {'mape': 2.1, 'rmse': 0.045},
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| 1049 |
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'forecast': [21847, 22123, 22401, 22682]
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| 1050 |
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},
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| 1051 |
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'INDPRO': {
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| 1052 |
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'backtest': {'mape': 1.8, 'rmse': 0.032},
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| 1053 |
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'forecast': [102.4, 103.1, 103.8, 104.5]
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| 1054 |
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}
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| 1055 |
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},
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| 1056 |
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'insights': {
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'key_findings': [
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| 1058 |
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'Forecasting analysis completed successfully',
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| 1059 |
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'Time series models applied to selected indicators',
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| 1060 |
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'Forecast accuracy metrics calculated',
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| 1061 |
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'Confidence intervals generated'
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| 1062 |
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]
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| 1063 |
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}
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| 1064 |
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}
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| 1065 |
-
elif analysis_type == "Segmentation Only":
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| 1066 |
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demo_results = {
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| 1067 |
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'segmentation': {
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| 1068 |
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'time_period_clusters': {'n_clusters': 3},
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| 1069 |
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'series_clusters': {'n_clusters': 4}
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| 1070 |
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},
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| 1071 |
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'insights': {
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| 1072 |
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'key_findings': [
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| 1073 |
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'Segmentation analysis completed successfully',
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| 1074 |
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'Economic regimes identified',
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| 1075 |
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'Series clustering performed',
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| 1076 |
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'Pattern recognition applied'
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| 1077 |
-
]
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| 1078 |
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}
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| 1079 |
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}
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| 1080 |
-
elif analysis_type == "Statistical Only":
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| 1081 |
-
demo_results = {
|
| 1082 |
-
'statistical_modeling': {
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| 1083 |
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'correlation': {
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| 1084 |
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'significant_correlations': [
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| 1085 |
-
'GDPC1-INDPRO: 0.85',
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| 1086 |
-
'GDPC1-RSAFS: 0.78',
|
| 1087 |
-
'CPIAUCSL-FEDFUNDS: 0.65'
|
| 1088 |
-
]
|
| 1089 |
-
}
|
| 1090 |
-
},
|
| 1091 |
-
'insights': {
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| 1092 |
-
'key_findings': [
|
| 1093 |
-
'Statistical analysis completed successfully',
|
| 1094 |
-
'Correlation analysis performed',
|
| 1095 |
-
'Significance testing completed',
|
| 1096 |
-
'Statistical models validated'
|
| 1097 |
-
]
|
| 1098 |
-
}
|
| 1099 |
-
}
|
| 1100 |
-
else:
|
| 1101 |
-
demo_results = {}
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| 1102 |
-
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| 1103 |
-
st.success(f"✅ Demo {analysis_type.lower()} analysis completed successfully!")
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| 1104 |
-
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| 1105 |
-
# Display results
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| 1106 |
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display_analysis_results(demo_results)
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| 1107 |
-
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| 1108 |
-
except Exception as e:
|
| 1109 |
-
st.error(f"❌ Demo analysis failed: {e}")
|
| 1110 |
-
|
| 1111 |
def display_analysis_results(results):
|
| 1112 |
"""Display comprehensive analysis results with download options"""
|
| 1113 |
st.markdown("""
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|
@@ -1179,6 +961,7 @@ def display_analysis_results(results):
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|
| 1179 |
# Generate downloadable reports
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| 1180 |
import json
|
| 1181 |
import io
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|
| 1182 |
|
| 1183 |
# Create JSON report
|
| 1184 |
report_data = {
|
|
@@ -1374,81 +1157,33 @@ def show_reports_page(s3_client, config):
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|
| 1374 |
|
| 1375 |
# Check if AWS clients are available and test bucket access
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| 1376 |
if s3_client is None:
|
| 1377 |
-
st.
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| 1378 |
-
st.info("
|
| 1379 |
-
|
| 1380 |
else:
|
| 1381 |
# Test if we can actually access the S3 bucket
|
| 1382 |
try:
|
| 1383 |
s3_client.head_bucket(Bucket=config['s3_bucket'])
|
| 1384 |
st.success(f"✅ Connected to S3 bucket: {config['s3_bucket']}")
|
| 1385 |
-
show_demo_reports = False
|
| 1386 |
except Exception as e:
|
| 1387 |
-
st.
|
| 1388 |
-
st.info("
|
| 1389 |
-
|
| 1390 |
-
|
| 1391 |
-
#
|
| 1392 |
-
|
| 1393 |
-
|
| 1394 |
-
|
| 1395 |
-
|
| 1396 |
-
'date': '2024-12-15',
|
| 1397 |
-
'summary': 'Comprehensive analysis of economic indicators and forecasts',
|
| 1398 |
-
'insights': [
|
| 1399 |
-
'GDP growth expected to moderate to 2.1% in Q4',
|
| 1400 |
-
'Inflation continuing to moderate from peak levels',
|
| 1401 |
-
'Federal Reserve likely to maintain current policy stance',
|
| 1402 |
-
'Labor market remains tight with strong job creation',
|
| 1403 |
-
'Consumer spending resilient despite inflation pressures'
|
| 1404 |
-
]
|
| 1405 |
-
},
|
| 1406 |
-
{
|
| 1407 |
-
'title': 'Monetary Policy Analysis',
|
| 1408 |
-
'date': '2024-12-10',
|
| 1409 |
-
'summary': 'Analysis of Federal Reserve policy and market implications',
|
| 1410 |
-
'insights': [
|
| 1411 |
-
'Federal Funds Rate at 22-year high of 5.25%',
|
| 1412 |
-
'Yield curve inversion persists, signaling economic uncertainty',
|
| 1413 |
-
'Inflation expectations well-anchored around 2%',
|
| 1414 |
-
'Financial conditions tightening as intended',
|
| 1415 |
-
'Policy normalization expected to begin in 2025'
|
| 1416 |
-
]
|
| 1417 |
-
},
|
| 1418 |
-
{
|
| 1419 |
-
'title': 'Labor Market Trends',
|
| 1420 |
-
'date': '2024-12-05',
|
| 1421 |
-
'summary': 'Analysis of employment and wage trends',
|
| 1422 |
-
'insights': [
|
| 1423 |
-
'Unemployment rate at 3.7%, near historic lows',
|
| 1424 |
-
'Nonfarm payrolls growing at steady pace',
|
| 1425 |
-
'Wage growth moderating but still above pre-pandemic levels',
|
| 1426 |
-
'Labor force participation improving gradually',
|
| 1427 |
-
'Skills mismatch remains a challenge in certain sectors'
|
| 1428 |
-
]
|
| 1429 |
-
}
|
| 1430 |
-
]
|
| 1431 |
|
| 1432 |
-
for
|
| 1433 |
-
with st.expander(f"
|
| 1434 |
-
|
| 1435 |
-
|
| 1436 |
-
|
| 1437 |
-
st.markdown(f"• {insight}")
|
| 1438 |
else:
|
| 1439 |
-
|
| 1440 |
-
|
| 1441 |
-
|
| 1442 |
-
if reports:
|
| 1443 |
-
st.subheader("Available Reports")
|
| 1444 |
-
|
| 1445 |
-
for report in reports[:5]: # Show last 5 reports
|
| 1446 |
-
with st.expander(f"Report: {report['key']} - {report['last_modified'].strftime('%Y-%m-%d %H:%M')}"):
|
| 1447 |
-
report_data = get_report_data(s3_client, config['s3_bucket'], report['key'])
|
| 1448 |
-
if report_data:
|
| 1449 |
-
st.json(report_data)
|
| 1450 |
-
else:
|
| 1451 |
-
st.info("No reports available. Run an analysis to generate reports.")
|
| 1452 |
|
| 1453 |
def show_downloads_page(s3_client, config):
|
| 1454 |
"""Show comprehensive downloads page with reports and visualizations"""
|
|
@@ -1459,6 +1194,11 @@ def show_downloads_page(s3_client, config):
|
|
| 1459 |
</div>
|
| 1460 |
""", unsafe_allow_html=True)
|
| 1461 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 1462 |
# Create tabs for different download types
|
| 1463 |
tab1, tab2, tab3, tab4 = st.tabs(["📊 Visualizations", "📄 Reports", "📈 Analysis Data", "📦 Bulk Downloads"])
|
| 1464 |
|
|
@@ -1566,155 +1306,115 @@ def show_downloads_page(s3_client, config):
|
|
| 1566 |
st.subheader("📄 Analysis Reports")
|
| 1567 |
st.info("Download comprehensive analysis reports in various formats")
|
| 1568 |
|
| 1569 |
-
|
| 1570 |
-
|
| 1571 |
-
|
| 1572 |
-
|
| 1573 |
-
|
| 1574 |
-
# Sample analysis report
|
| 1575 |
-
sample_report = {
|
| 1576 |
-
'analysis_timestamp': datetime.now().isoformat(),
|
| 1577 |
-
'summary': {
|
| 1578 |
-
'gdp_growth': '2.1%',
|
| 1579 |
-
'inflation_rate': '3.2%',
|
| 1580 |
-
'unemployment_rate': '3.7%',
|
| 1581 |
-
'industrial_production': '+0.8%'
|
| 1582 |
-
},
|
| 1583 |
-
'key_findings': [
|
| 1584 |
-
'GDP growth remains steady at 2.1%',
|
| 1585 |
-
'Inflation continues to moderate from peak levels',
|
| 1586 |
-
'Labor market remains tight with strong job creation',
|
| 1587 |
-
'Industrial production shows positive momentum'
|
| 1588 |
-
],
|
| 1589 |
-
'risk_factors': [
|
| 1590 |
-
'Geopolitical tensions affecting supply chains',
|
| 1591 |
-
'Federal Reserve policy uncertainty',
|
| 1592 |
-
'Consumer spending patterns changing'
|
| 1593 |
-
],
|
| 1594 |
-
'opportunities': [
|
| 1595 |
-
'Strong domestic manufacturing growth',
|
| 1596 |
-
'Technology sector expansion',
|
| 1597 |
-
'Green energy transition investments'
|
| 1598 |
-
]
|
| 1599 |
-
}
|
| 1600 |
-
|
| 1601 |
-
col1, col2, col3 = st.columns(3)
|
| 1602 |
-
|
| 1603 |
-
with col1:
|
| 1604 |
-
# JSON Report
|
| 1605 |
-
json_report = json.dumps(sample_report, indent=2)
|
| 1606 |
-
st.download_button(
|
| 1607 |
-
label="📄 Download JSON Report",
|
| 1608 |
-
data=json_report,
|
| 1609 |
-
file_name=f"economic_analysis_report_{datetime.now().strftime('%Y%m%d_%H%M%S')}.json",
|
| 1610 |
-
mime="application/json"
|
| 1611 |
-
)
|
| 1612 |
-
st.write("Comprehensive analysis data in JSON format")
|
| 1613 |
|
| 1614 |
-
|
| 1615 |
-
|
| 1616 |
-
csv_data = io.StringIO()
|
| 1617 |
-
csv_data.write("Metric,Value\n")
|
| 1618 |
-
csv_data.write(f"GDP Growth,{sample_report['summary']['gdp_growth']}\n")
|
| 1619 |
-
csv_data.write(f"Inflation Rate,{sample_report['summary']['inflation_rate']}\n")
|
| 1620 |
-
csv_data.write(f"Unemployment Rate,{sample_report['summary']['unemployment_rate']}\n")
|
| 1621 |
-
csv_data.write(f"Industrial Production,{sample_report['summary']['industrial_production']}\n")
|
| 1622 |
-
|
| 1623 |
-
st.download_button(
|
| 1624 |
-
label="📊 Download CSV Summary",
|
| 1625 |
-
data=csv_data.getvalue(),
|
| 1626 |
-
file_name=f"economic_summary_{datetime.now().strftime('%Y%m%d_%H%M%S')}.csv",
|
| 1627 |
-
mime="text/csv"
|
| 1628 |
-
)
|
| 1629 |
-
st.write("Key metrics in spreadsheet format")
|
| 1630 |
|
| 1631 |
-
|
| 1632 |
-
|
| 1633 |
-
text_report = f"""
|
| 1634 |
-
ECONOMIC ANALYSIS REPORT
|
| 1635 |
-
Generated: {datetime.now().strftime('%Y-%m-%d %H:%M:%S')}
|
| 1636 |
-
|
| 1637 |
-
SUMMARY METRICS:
|
| 1638 |
-
- GDP Growth: {sample_report['summary']['gdp_growth']}
|
| 1639 |
-
- Inflation Rate: {sample_report['summary']['inflation_rate']}
|
| 1640 |
-
- Unemployment Rate: {sample_report['summary']['unemployment_rate']}
|
| 1641 |
-
- Industrial Production: {sample_report['summary']['industrial_production']}
|
| 1642 |
-
|
| 1643 |
-
KEY FINDINGS:
|
| 1644 |
-
{chr(10).join([f"• {finding}" for finding in sample_report['key_findings']])}
|
| 1645 |
-
|
| 1646 |
-
RISK FACTORS:
|
| 1647 |
-
{chr(10).join([f"• {risk}" for risk in sample_report['risk_factors']])}
|
| 1648 |
-
|
| 1649 |
-
OPPORTUNITIES:
|
| 1650 |
-
{chr(10).join([f"• {opp}" for opp in sample_report['opportunities']])}
|
| 1651 |
-
"""
|
| 1652 |
|
| 1653 |
-
|
| 1654 |
-
|
| 1655 |
-
|
| 1656 |
-
|
| 1657 |
-
|
| 1658 |
-
|
| 1659 |
-
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|
|
|
| 1660 |
|
| 1661 |
with tab3:
|
| 1662 |
st.subheader("📈 Analysis Data")
|
| 1663 |
st.info("Download raw data and analysis results for further processing")
|
| 1664 |
|
| 1665 |
-
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 1666 |
import pandas as pd
|
| 1667 |
import numpy as np
|
|
|
|
| 1668 |
|
| 1669 |
-
|
| 1670 |
-
|
| 1671 |
-
|
| 1672 |
-
|
| 1673 |
-
|
| 1674 |
-
|
| 1675 |
-
'Industrial_Production': np.random.normal(50, 3, 100)
|
| 1676 |
-
}, index=dates)
|
| 1677 |
-
|
| 1678 |
-
col1, col2 = st.columns(2)
|
| 1679 |
-
|
| 1680 |
-
with col1:
|
| 1681 |
-
# CSV Data
|
| 1682 |
-
csv_data = economic_data.to_csv()
|
| 1683 |
-
st.download_button(
|
| 1684 |
-
label="📊 Download CSV Data",
|
| 1685 |
-
data=csv_data,
|
| 1686 |
-
file_name=f"economic_data_{datetime.now().strftime('%Y%m%d_%H%M%S')}.csv",
|
| 1687 |
-
mime="text/csv"
|
| 1688 |
-
)
|
| 1689 |
-
st.write("Raw economic time series data")
|
| 1690 |
-
|
| 1691 |
-
with col2:
|
| 1692 |
-
# Excel Data
|
| 1693 |
-
excel_buffer = io.BytesIO()
|
| 1694 |
-
with pd.ExcelWriter(excel_buffer, engine='openpyxl') as writer:
|
| 1695 |
-
economic_data.to_excel(writer, sheet_name='Economic_Data')
|
| 1696 |
-
# Add summary sheet
|
| 1697 |
-
summary_df = pd.DataFrame({
|
| 1698 |
-
'Metric': ['Mean', 'Std', 'Min', 'Max'],
|
| 1699 |
-
'GDP': [economic_data['GDP'].mean(), economic_data['GDP'].std(), economic_data['GDP'].min(), economic_data['GDP'].max()],
|
| 1700 |
-
'Inflation': [economic_data['Inflation'].mean(), economic_data['Inflation'].std(), economic_data['Inflation'].min(), economic_data['Inflation'].max()],
|
| 1701 |
-
'Unemployment': [economic_data['Unemployment'].mean(), economic_data['Unemployment'].std(), economic_data['Unemployment'].min(), economic_data['Unemployment'].max()]
|
| 1702 |
-
})
|
| 1703 |
-
summary_df.to_excel(writer, sheet_name='Summary', index=False)
|
| 1704 |
|
| 1705 |
-
|
| 1706 |
-
|
| 1707 |
-
|
| 1708 |
-
|
| 1709 |
-
|
| 1710 |
-
|
| 1711 |
-
|
| 1712 |
-
|
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|
| 1713 |
|
| 1714 |
with tab4:
|
| 1715 |
st.subheader("📦 Bulk Downloads")
|
| 1716 |
st.info("Download all available files in one package")
|
| 1717 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 1718 |
# Create a zip file with all available data
|
| 1719 |
import zipfile
|
| 1720 |
import tempfile
|
|
@@ -1723,15 +1423,31 @@ OPPORTUNITIES:
|
|
| 1723 |
zip_buffer = io.BytesIO()
|
| 1724 |
|
| 1725 |
with zipfile.ZipFile(zip_buffer, 'w', zipfile.ZIP_DEFLATED) as zip_file:
|
| 1726 |
-
# Add
|
| 1727 |
-
|
| 1728 |
-
|
| 1729 |
-
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 1730 |
|
| 1731 |
-
# Add
|
| 1732 |
-
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 1733 |
|
| 1734 |
-
# Add
|
| 1735 |
try:
|
| 1736 |
charts = chart_gen.list_available_charts()
|
| 1737 |
for i, chart in enumerate(charts[:5]): # Add first 5 charts
|
|
@@ -1786,8 +1502,8 @@ def show_configuration_page(config):
|
|
| 1786 |
st.success("✅ FRED API Key Configured")
|
| 1787 |
st.info("🎯 Real economic data is being used for analysis.")
|
| 1788 |
else:
|
| 1789 |
-
st.
|
| 1790 |
-
st.info("📊
|
| 1791 |
|
| 1792 |
# Setup instructions
|
| 1793 |
with st.expander("🔧 How to Set Up FRED API"):
|
|
@@ -1828,7 +1544,7 @@ def show_configuration_page(config):
|
|
| 1828 |
st.write(f"API Endpoint: {config['api_endpoint']}")
|
| 1829 |
st.write(f"Analytics Available: {ANALYTICS_AVAILABLE}")
|
| 1830 |
st.write(f"Real Data Mode: {REAL_DATA_MODE}")
|
| 1831 |
-
st.write(f"
|
| 1832 |
|
| 1833 |
# Data Source Information
|
| 1834 |
st.subheader("Data Sources")
|
|
|
|
| 37 |
return requests
|
| 38 |
|
| 39 |
# Initialize flags
|
|
|
|
| 40 |
ANALYTICS_AVAILABLE = False
|
| 41 |
FRED_API_AVAILABLE = False
|
| 42 |
CONFIG_AVAILABLE = False
|
|
|
|
| 89 |
REAL_DATA_MODE = FRED_API_KEY and FRED_API_KEY != 'your-fred-api-key-here'
|
| 90 |
return False
|
| 91 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 92 |
# Custom CSS for enterprise styling
|
| 93 |
st.markdown("""
|
| 94 |
<style>
|
|
|
|
| 411 |
# Initialize AWS clients
|
| 412 |
s3_client, lambda_client = init_aws_clients()
|
| 413 |
config = load_config()
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 414 |
|
| 415 |
# Show data mode info
|
| 416 |
if REAL_DATA_MODE:
|
| 417 |
st.success("🎯 Using real FRED API data for live economic insights.")
|
| 418 |
else:
|
| 419 |
+
st.error("❌ FRED API key not configured. Please set FRED_API_KEY environment variable.")
|
| 420 |
+
st.info("Get a free FRED API key at: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/docs/api/api_key.html")
|
| 421 |
+
return
|
| 422 |
|
| 423 |
# Sidebar
|
| 424 |
with st.sidebar:
|
|
|
|
| 465 |
if REAL_DATA_MODE and FRED_API_AVAILABLE:
|
| 466 |
# Get real insights from FRED API
|
| 467 |
try:
|
| 468 |
+
load_fred_client()
|
| 469 |
insights = generate_real_insights(FRED_API_KEY)
|
| 470 |
|
| 471 |
with col1:
|
|
|
|
| 514 |
|
| 515 |
except Exception as e:
|
| 516 |
st.error(f"Failed to fetch real data: {e}")
|
| 517 |
+
st.info("Please check your FRED API key configuration.")
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 518 |
else:
|
| 519 |
+
st.error("❌ FRED API not available. Please configure your FRED API key.")
|
| 520 |
+
st.info("Get a free FRED API key at: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/docs/api/api_key.html")
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
| 521 |
|
| 522 |
# Recent analysis section
|
| 523 |
st.markdown("""
|
|
|
|
| 597 |
</div>
|
| 598 |
""", unsafe_allow_html=True)
|
| 599 |
|
| 600 |
+
if not REAL_DATA_MODE:
|
| 601 |
+
st.error("❌ FRED API key not configured. Please set FRED_API_KEY environment variable.")
|
| 602 |
+
st.info("Get a free FRED API key at: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/docs/api/api_key.html")
|
| 603 |
+
return
|
| 604 |
|
| 605 |
# Analysis configuration
|
| 606 |
st.markdown("""
|
|
|
|
| 625 |
)
|
| 626 |
|
| 627 |
# Date range
|
| 628 |
+
from datetime import datetime, timedelta
|
| 629 |
end_date = datetime.now()
|
| 630 |
start_date = end_date - timedelta(days=365*5) # 5 years
|
| 631 |
|
|
|
|
| 676 |
# Run real analysis with FRED API data
|
| 677 |
with st.spinner(analysis_message):
|
| 678 |
try:
|
| 679 |
+
# Load FRED client
|
| 680 |
+
load_fred_client()
|
| 681 |
+
|
| 682 |
# Get real economic data
|
| 683 |
real_data = get_real_economic_data(FRED_API_KEY,
|
| 684 |
start_date_input.strftime('%Y-%m-%d'),
|
|
|
|
| 757 |
|
| 758 |
except Exception as e:
|
| 759 |
st.error(f"❌ Real data analysis failed: {e}")
|
| 760 |
+
st.info("Please check your FRED API key and try again.")
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 761 |
else:
|
| 762 |
+
st.error("❌ FRED API not available. Please configure your FRED API key.")
|
| 763 |
+
st.info("Get a free FRED API key at: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/docs/api/api_key.html")
|
| 764 |
|
| 765 |
def generate_analysis_results(analysis_type, real_data, selected_indicators):
|
| 766 |
"""Generate analysis results based on the selected analysis type"""
|
|
|
|
| 890 |
|
| 891 |
return {}
|
| 892 |
|
|
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| 893 |
def display_analysis_results(results):
|
| 894 |
"""Display comprehensive analysis results with download options"""
|
| 895 |
st.markdown("""
|
|
|
|
| 961 |
# Generate downloadable reports
|
| 962 |
import json
|
| 963 |
import io
|
| 964 |
+
from datetime import datetime
|
| 965 |
|
| 966 |
# Create JSON report
|
| 967 |
report_data = {
|
|
|
|
| 1157 |
|
| 1158 |
# Check if AWS clients are available and test bucket access
|
| 1159 |
if s3_client is None:
|
| 1160 |
+
st.error("❌ AWS S3 not configured. Please configure AWS credentials to access reports.")
|
| 1161 |
+
st.info("Reports are stored in AWS S3. Configure your AWS credentials to access them.")
|
| 1162 |
+
return
|
| 1163 |
else:
|
| 1164 |
# Test if we can actually access the S3 bucket
|
| 1165 |
try:
|
| 1166 |
s3_client.head_bucket(Bucket=config['s3_bucket'])
|
| 1167 |
st.success(f"✅ Connected to S3 bucket: {config['s3_bucket']}")
|
|
|
|
| 1168 |
except Exception as e:
|
| 1169 |
+
st.error(f"❌ Cannot access S3 bucket '{config['s3_bucket']}': {str(e)}")
|
| 1170 |
+
st.info("Please check your AWS credentials and bucket configuration.")
|
| 1171 |
+
return
|
| 1172 |
+
|
| 1173 |
+
# Try to get real reports from S3
|
| 1174 |
+
reports = get_available_reports(s3_client, config['s3_bucket'])
|
| 1175 |
+
|
| 1176 |
+
if reports:
|
| 1177 |
+
st.subheader("Available Reports")
|
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| 1178 |
|
| 1179 |
+
for report in reports[:10]: # Show last 10 reports
|
| 1180 |
+
with st.expander(f"Report: {report['key']} - {report['last_modified'].strftime('%Y-%m-%d %H:%M')}"):
|
| 1181 |
+
report_data = get_report_data(s3_client, config['s3_bucket'], report['key'])
|
| 1182 |
+
if report_data:
|
| 1183 |
+
st.json(report_data)
|
|
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|
| 1184 |
else:
|
| 1185 |
+
st.info("No reports available. Run an analysis to generate reports.")
|
| 1186 |
+
st.info("Reports will be automatically generated when you run advanced analytics.")
|
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|
| 1187 |
|
| 1188 |
def show_downloads_page(s3_client, config):
|
| 1189 |
"""Show comprehensive downloads page with reports and visualizations"""
|
|
|
|
| 1194 |
</div>
|
| 1195 |
""", unsafe_allow_html=True)
|
| 1196 |
|
| 1197 |
+
if not REAL_DATA_MODE:
|
| 1198 |
+
st.error("❌ FRED API key not configured. Please set FRED_API_KEY environment variable.")
|
| 1199 |
+
st.info("Get a free FRED API key at: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/docs/api/api_key.html")
|
| 1200 |
+
return
|
| 1201 |
+
|
| 1202 |
# Create tabs for different download types
|
| 1203 |
tab1, tab2, tab3, tab4 = st.tabs(["📊 Visualizations", "📄 Reports", "📈 Analysis Data", "📦 Bulk Downloads"])
|
| 1204 |
|
|
|
|
| 1306 |
st.subheader("📄 Analysis Reports")
|
| 1307 |
st.info("Download comprehensive analysis reports in various formats")
|
| 1308 |
|
| 1309 |
+
if s3_client is None:
|
| 1310 |
+
st.error("❌ AWS S3 not configured. Reports are stored in AWS S3.")
|
| 1311 |
+
st.info("Configure your AWS credentials to access reports.")
|
| 1312 |
+
return
|
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|
| 1313 |
|
| 1314 |
+
# Try to get real reports from S3
|
| 1315 |
+
reports = get_available_reports(s3_client, config['s3_bucket'])
|
|
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|
|
|
|
| 1316 |
|
| 1317 |
+
if reports:
|
| 1318 |
+
st.success(f"✅ Found {len(reports)} reports available for download")
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
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|
| 1319 |
|
| 1320 |
+
for i, report in enumerate(reports[:10]): # Show last 10 reports
|
| 1321 |
+
col1, col2 = st.columns([3, 1])
|
| 1322 |
+
|
| 1323 |
+
with col1:
|
| 1324 |
+
st.write(f"**{report['key']}**")
|
| 1325 |
+
st.write(f"Size: {report['size']:,} bytes | Modified: {report['last_modified'].strftime('%Y-%m-%d %H:%M')}")
|
| 1326 |
+
|
| 1327 |
+
with col2:
|
| 1328 |
+
try:
|
| 1329 |
+
report_data = get_report_data(s3_client, config['s3_bucket'], report['key'])
|
| 1330 |
+
if report_data:
|
| 1331 |
+
import json
|
| 1332 |
+
json_data = json.dumps(report_data, indent=2)
|
| 1333 |
+
st.download_button(
|
| 1334 |
+
label="📥 Download",
|
| 1335 |
+
data=json_data,
|
| 1336 |
+
file_name=f"{report['key']}.json",
|
| 1337 |
+
mime="application/json",
|
| 1338 |
+
key=f"report_{i}"
|
| 1339 |
+
)
|
| 1340 |
+
except Exception as e:
|
| 1341 |
+
st.error("❌ Download failed")
|
| 1342 |
+
else:
|
| 1343 |
+
st.info("No reports available. Run an analysis to generate reports.")
|
| 1344 |
|
| 1345 |
with tab3:
|
| 1346 |
st.subheader("📈 Analysis Data")
|
| 1347 |
st.info("Download raw data and analysis results for further processing")
|
| 1348 |
|
| 1349 |
+
if not REAL_DATA_MODE:
|
| 1350 |
+
st.error("❌ No real data available. Please configure your FRED API key.")
|
| 1351 |
+
return
|
| 1352 |
+
|
| 1353 |
+
# Generate real economic data files
|
| 1354 |
import pandas as pd
|
| 1355 |
import numpy as np
|
| 1356 |
+
from datetime import datetime, timedelta
|
| 1357 |
|
| 1358 |
+
try:
|
| 1359 |
+
# Load FRED client and get real data
|
| 1360 |
+
load_fred_client()
|
| 1361 |
+
real_data = get_real_economic_data(FRED_API_KEY,
|
| 1362 |
+
(datetime.now() - timedelta(days=365)).strftime('%Y-%m-%d'),
|
| 1363 |
+
datetime.now().strftime('%Y-%m-%d'))
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 1364 |
|
| 1365 |
+
# Convert to DataFrame
|
| 1366 |
+
if real_data and 'data' in real_data:
|
| 1367 |
+
economic_data = pd.DataFrame(real_data['data'])
|
| 1368 |
+
|
| 1369 |
+
col1, col2 = st.columns(2)
|
| 1370 |
+
|
| 1371 |
+
with col1:
|
| 1372 |
+
# CSV Data
|
| 1373 |
+
csv_data = economic_data.to_csv()
|
| 1374 |
+
st.download_button(
|
| 1375 |
+
label="📊 Download CSV Data",
|
| 1376 |
+
data=csv_data,
|
| 1377 |
+
file_name=f"fred_economic_data_{datetime.now().strftime('%Y%m%d_%H%M%S')}.csv",
|
| 1378 |
+
mime="text/csv"
|
| 1379 |
+
)
|
| 1380 |
+
st.write("Raw FRED economic time series data")
|
| 1381 |
+
|
| 1382 |
+
with col2:
|
| 1383 |
+
# Excel Data
|
| 1384 |
+
excel_buffer = io.BytesIO()
|
| 1385 |
+
with pd.ExcelWriter(excel_buffer, engine='openpyxl') as writer:
|
| 1386 |
+
economic_data.to_excel(writer, sheet_name='Economic_Data')
|
| 1387 |
+
# Add summary sheet
|
| 1388 |
+
summary_df = pd.DataFrame({
|
| 1389 |
+
'Metric': ['Mean', 'Std', 'Min', 'Max'],
|
| 1390 |
+
'Value': [economic_data.mean().mean(), economic_data.std().mean(), economic_data.min().min(), economic_data.max().max()]
|
| 1391 |
+
})
|
| 1392 |
+
summary_df.to_excel(writer, sheet_name='Summary', index=False)
|
| 1393 |
+
|
| 1394 |
+
excel_buffer.seek(0)
|
| 1395 |
+
st.download_button(
|
| 1396 |
+
label="📈 Download Excel Data",
|
| 1397 |
+
data=excel_buffer.getvalue(),
|
| 1398 |
+
file_name=f"fred_economic_analysis_{datetime.now().strftime('%Y%m%d_%H%M%S')}.xlsx",
|
| 1399 |
+
mime="application/vnd.openxmlformats-officedocument.spreadsheetml.sheet"
|
| 1400 |
+
)
|
| 1401 |
+
st.write("Multi-sheet Excel workbook with FRED data and summary")
|
| 1402 |
+
else:
|
| 1403 |
+
st.error("❌ Could not retrieve real economic data.")
|
| 1404 |
+
st.info("Please check your FRED API key and try again.")
|
| 1405 |
+
|
| 1406 |
+
except Exception as e:
|
| 1407 |
+
st.error(f"❌ Failed to generate data files: {e}")
|
| 1408 |
+
st.info("Please check your FRED API key and try again.")
|
| 1409 |
|
| 1410 |
with tab4:
|
| 1411 |
st.subheader("📦 Bulk Downloads")
|
| 1412 |
st.info("Download all available files in one package")
|
| 1413 |
|
| 1414 |
+
if not REAL_DATA_MODE:
|
| 1415 |
+
st.error("❌ No real data available for bulk download.")
|
| 1416 |
+
return
|
| 1417 |
+
|
| 1418 |
# Create a zip file with all available data
|
| 1419 |
import zipfile
|
| 1420 |
import tempfile
|
|
|
|
| 1423 |
zip_buffer = io.BytesIO()
|
| 1424 |
|
| 1425 |
with zipfile.ZipFile(zip_buffer, 'w', zipfile.ZIP_DEFLATED) as zip_file:
|
| 1426 |
+
# Add real reports if available
|
| 1427 |
+
if s3_client:
|
| 1428 |
+
reports = get_available_reports(s3_client, config['s3_bucket'])
|
| 1429 |
+
for i, report in enumerate(reports[:5]): # Add first 5 reports
|
| 1430 |
+
try:
|
| 1431 |
+
report_data = get_report_data(s3_client, config['s3_bucket'], report['key'])
|
| 1432 |
+
if report_data:
|
| 1433 |
+
import json
|
| 1434 |
+
zip_file.writestr(f'reports/{report["key"]}.json', json.dumps(report_data, indent=2))
|
| 1435 |
+
except Exception:
|
| 1436 |
+
continue
|
| 1437 |
|
| 1438 |
+
# Add real data if available
|
| 1439 |
+
try:
|
| 1440 |
+
load_fred_client()
|
| 1441 |
+
real_data = get_real_economic_data(FRED_API_KEY,
|
| 1442 |
+
(datetime.now() - timedelta(days=365)).strftime('%Y-%m-%d'),
|
| 1443 |
+
datetime.now().strftime('%Y-%m-%d'))
|
| 1444 |
+
if real_data and 'data' in real_data:
|
| 1445 |
+
economic_data = pd.DataFrame(real_data['data'])
|
| 1446 |
+
zip_file.writestr('data/fred_economic_data.csv', economic_data.to_csv())
|
| 1447 |
+
except Exception:
|
| 1448 |
+
pass
|
| 1449 |
|
| 1450 |
+
# Add visualizations if available
|
| 1451 |
try:
|
| 1452 |
charts = chart_gen.list_available_charts()
|
| 1453 |
for i, chart in enumerate(charts[:5]): # Add first 5 charts
|
|
|
|
| 1502 |
st.success("✅ FRED API Key Configured")
|
| 1503 |
st.info("🎯 Real economic data is being used for analysis.")
|
| 1504 |
else:
|
| 1505 |
+
st.error("❌ FRED API Key Not Configured")
|
| 1506 |
+
st.info("📊 Please configure your FRED API key to access real economic data.")
|
| 1507 |
|
| 1508 |
# Setup instructions
|
| 1509 |
with st.expander("🔧 How to Set Up FRED API"):
|
|
|
|
| 1544 |
st.write(f"API Endpoint: {config['api_endpoint']}")
|
| 1545 |
st.write(f"Analytics Available: {ANALYTICS_AVAILABLE}")
|
| 1546 |
st.write(f"Real Data Mode: {REAL_DATA_MODE}")
|
| 1547 |
+
st.write(f"FRED API Available: {FRED_API_AVAILABLE}")
|
| 1548 |
|
| 1549 |
# Data Source Information
|
| 1550 |
st.subheader("Data Sources")
|
frontend/demo_data.py
DELETED
|
@@ -1,288 +0,0 @@
|
|
| 1 |
-
"""
|
| 2 |
-
FRED ML - Demo Data Generator
|
| 3 |
-
Provides realistic economic data and senior data scientist insights
|
| 4 |
-
"""
|
| 5 |
-
|
| 6 |
-
import pandas as pd
|
| 7 |
-
import numpy as np
|
| 8 |
-
from datetime import datetime, timedelta
|
| 9 |
-
import random
|
| 10 |
-
|
| 11 |
-
def generate_economic_data():
|
| 12 |
-
"""Generate realistic economic data for demonstration"""
|
| 13 |
-
|
| 14 |
-
# Generate date range (last 5 years)
|
| 15 |
-
end_date = datetime.now()
|
| 16 |
-
start_date = end_date - timedelta(days=365*5)
|
| 17 |
-
dates = pd.date_range(start=start_date, end=end_date, freq='ME')
|
| 18 |
-
|
| 19 |
-
# Base values and trends for realistic economic data
|
| 20 |
-
base_values = {
|
| 21 |
-
'GDPC1': 20000, # Real GDP in billions
|
| 22 |
-
'INDPRO': 100, # Industrial Production Index
|
| 23 |
-
'RSAFS': 500, # Retail Sales in billions
|
| 24 |
-
'CPIAUCSL': 250, # Consumer Price Index
|
| 25 |
-
'FEDFUNDS': 2.5, # Federal Funds Rate
|
| 26 |
-
'DGS10': 3.0, # 10-Year Treasury Rate
|
| 27 |
-
'UNRATE': 4.0, # Unemployment Rate
|
| 28 |
-
'PAYEMS': 150000, # Total Nonfarm Payrolls (thousands)
|
| 29 |
-
'PCE': 18000, # Personal Consumption Expenditures
|
| 30 |
-
'M2SL': 21000, # M2 Money Stock
|
| 31 |
-
'TCU': 75, # Capacity Utilization
|
| 32 |
-
'DEXUSEU': 1.1 # US/Euro Exchange Rate
|
| 33 |
-
}
|
| 34 |
-
|
| 35 |
-
# Growth rates and volatility for realistic trends
|
| 36 |
-
growth_rates = {
|
| 37 |
-
'GDPC1': 0.02, # 2% annual growth
|
| 38 |
-
'INDPRO': 0.015, # 1.5% annual growth
|
| 39 |
-
'RSAFS': 0.03, # 3% annual growth
|
| 40 |
-
'CPIAUCSL': 0.025, # 2.5% annual inflation
|
| 41 |
-
'FEDFUNDS': 0.0, # Policy rate
|
| 42 |
-
'DGS10': 0.0, # Market rate
|
| 43 |
-
'UNRATE': 0.0, # Unemployment
|
| 44 |
-
'PAYEMS': 0.015, # Employment growth
|
| 45 |
-
'PCE': 0.025, # Consumption growth
|
| 46 |
-
'M2SL': 0.04, # Money supply growth
|
| 47 |
-
'TCU': 0.005, # Capacity utilization
|
| 48 |
-
'DEXUSEU': 0.0 # Exchange rate
|
| 49 |
-
}
|
| 50 |
-
|
| 51 |
-
# Generate realistic data
|
| 52 |
-
data = {'Date': dates}
|
| 53 |
-
|
| 54 |
-
for indicator, base_value in base_values.items():
|
| 55 |
-
# Create trend with realistic economic cycles
|
| 56 |
-
trend = np.linspace(0, len(dates) * growth_rates[indicator], len(dates))
|
| 57 |
-
|
| 58 |
-
# Add business cycle effects
|
| 59 |
-
cycle = 0.05 * np.sin(2 * np.pi * np.arange(len(dates)) / 48) # 4-year cycle
|
| 60 |
-
|
| 61 |
-
# Add random noise
|
| 62 |
-
noise = np.random.normal(0, 0.02, len(dates))
|
| 63 |
-
|
| 64 |
-
# Combine components
|
| 65 |
-
values = base_value * (1 + trend + cycle + noise)
|
| 66 |
-
|
| 67 |
-
# Ensure realistic bounds
|
| 68 |
-
if indicator in ['UNRATE', 'FEDFUNDS', 'DGS10']:
|
| 69 |
-
values = np.clip(values, 0, 20)
|
| 70 |
-
elif indicator in ['CPIAUCSL']:
|
| 71 |
-
values = np.clip(values, 200, 350)
|
| 72 |
-
elif indicator in ['TCU']:
|
| 73 |
-
values = np.clip(values, 60, 90)
|
| 74 |
-
|
| 75 |
-
data[indicator] = values
|
| 76 |
-
|
| 77 |
-
return pd.DataFrame(data)
|
| 78 |
-
|
| 79 |
-
def generate_insights():
|
| 80 |
-
"""Generate senior data scientist insights"""
|
| 81 |
-
|
| 82 |
-
insights = {
|
| 83 |
-
'GDPC1': {
|
| 84 |
-
'current_value': '$21,847.2B',
|
| 85 |
-
'growth_rate': '+2.1%',
|
| 86 |
-
'trend': 'Moderate growth',
|
| 87 |
-
'forecast': '+2.3% next quarter',
|
| 88 |
-
'key_insight': 'GDP growth remains resilient despite monetary tightening, supported by strong consumer spending and business investment.',
|
| 89 |
-
'risk_factors': ['Inflation persistence', 'Geopolitical tensions', 'Supply chain disruptions'],
|
| 90 |
-
'opportunities': ['Technology sector expansion', 'Infrastructure investment', 'Green energy transition']
|
| 91 |
-
},
|
| 92 |
-
'INDPRO': {
|
| 93 |
-
'current_value': '102.4',
|
| 94 |
-
'growth_rate': '+0.8%',
|
| 95 |
-
'trend': 'Recovery phase',
|
| 96 |
-
'forecast': '+0.6% next month',
|
| 97 |
-
'key_insight': 'Industrial production shows signs of recovery, with manufacturing leading the rebound. Capacity utilization improving.',
|
| 98 |
-
'risk_factors': ['Supply chain bottlenecks', 'Labor shortages', 'Energy price volatility'],
|
| 99 |
-
'opportunities': ['Advanced manufacturing', 'Automation adoption', 'Reshoring initiatives']
|
| 100 |
-
},
|
| 101 |
-
'RSAFS': {
|
| 102 |
-
'current_value': '$579.2B',
|
| 103 |
-
'growth_rate': '+3.2%',
|
| 104 |
-
'trend': 'Strong consumer spending',
|
| 105 |
-
'forecast': '+2.8% next month',
|
| 106 |
-
'key_insight': 'Retail sales demonstrate robust consumer confidence, with e-commerce continuing to gain market share.',
|
| 107 |
-
'risk_factors': ['Inflation impact on purchasing power', 'Interest rate sensitivity', 'Supply chain issues'],
|
| 108 |
-
'opportunities': ['Digital transformation', 'Omnichannel retail', 'Personalization']
|
| 109 |
-
},
|
| 110 |
-
'CPIAUCSL': {
|
| 111 |
-
'current_value': '312.3',
|
| 112 |
-
'growth_rate': '+3.2%',
|
| 113 |
-
'trend': 'Moderating inflation',
|
| 114 |
-
'forecast': '+2.9% next month',
|
| 115 |
-
'key_insight': 'Inflation continues to moderate from peak levels, with core CPI showing signs of stabilization.',
|
| 116 |
-
'risk_factors': ['Energy price volatility', 'Wage pressure', 'Supply chain costs'],
|
| 117 |
-
'opportunities': ['Productivity improvements', 'Technology adoption', 'Supply chain optimization']
|
| 118 |
-
},
|
| 119 |
-
'FEDFUNDS': {
|
| 120 |
-
'current_value': '5.25%',
|
| 121 |
-
'growth_rate': '0%',
|
| 122 |
-
'trend': 'Stable policy rate',
|
| 123 |
-
'forecast': '5.25% next meeting',
|
| 124 |
-
'key_insight': 'Federal Reserve maintains restrictive stance to combat inflation, with policy rate at 22-year high.',
|
| 125 |
-
'risk_factors': ['Inflation persistence', 'Economic slowdown', 'Financial stability'],
|
| 126 |
-
'opportunities': ['Policy normalization', 'Inflation targeting', 'Financial regulation']
|
| 127 |
-
},
|
| 128 |
-
'DGS10': {
|
| 129 |
-
'current_value': '4.12%',
|
| 130 |
-
'growth_rate': '-0.15%',
|
| 131 |
-
'trend': 'Declining yields',
|
| 132 |
-
'forecast': '4.05% next week',
|
| 133 |
-
'key_insight': '10-year Treasury yields declining on economic uncertainty and flight to quality. Yield curve inversion persists.',
|
| 134 |
-
'risk_factors': ['Economic recession', 'Inflation expectations', 'Geopolitical risks'],
|
| 135 |
-
'opportunities': ['Bond market opportunities', 'Portfolio diversification', 'Interest rate hedging']
|
| 136 |
-
},
|
| 137 |
-
'UNRATE': {
|
| 138 |
-
'current_value': '3.7%',
|
| 139 |
-
'growth_rate': '0%',
|
| 140 |
-
'trend': 'Stable employment',
|
| 141 |
-
'forecast': '3.6% next month',
|
| 142 |
-
'key_insight': 'Unemployment rate remains near historic lows, indicating tight labor market conditions.',
|
| 143 |
-
'risk_factors': ['Labor force participation', 'Skills mismatch', 'Economic slowdown'],
|
| 144 |
-
'opportunities': ['Workforce development', 'Technology training', 'Remote work adoption']
|
| 145 |
-
},
|
| 146 |
-
'PAYEMS': {
|
| 147 |
-
'current_value': '156,847K',
|
| 148 |
-
'growth_rate': '+1.2%',
|
| 149 |
-
'trend': 'Steady job growth',
|
| 150 |
-
'forecast': '+0.8% next month',
|
| 151 |
-
'key_insight': 'Nonfarm payrolls continue steady growth, with healthcare and technology sectors leading job creation.',
|
| 152 |
-
'risk_factors': ['Labor shortages', 'Wage pressure', 'Economic uncertainty'],
|
| 153 |
-
'opportunities': ['Skills development', 'Industry partnerships', 'Immigration policy']
|
| 154 |
-
},
|
| 155 |
-
'PCE': {
|
| 156 |
-
'current_value': '$19,847B',
|
| 157 |
-
'growth_rate': '+2.8%',
|
| 158 |
-
'trend': 'Strong consumption',
|
| 159 |
-
'forecast': '+2.5% next quarter',
|
| 160 |
-
'key_insight': 'Personal consumption expenditures show resilience, supported by strong labor market and wage growth.',
|
| 161 |
-
'risk_factors': ['Inflation impact', 'Interest rate sensitivity', 'Consumer confidence'],
|
| 162 |
-
'opportunities': ['Digital commerce', 'Experience economy', 'Sustainable consumption']
|
| 163 |
-
},
|
| 164 |
-
'M2SL': {
|
| 165 |
-
'current_value': '$20,847B',
|
| 166 |
-
'growth_rate': '+2.1%',
|
| 167 |
-
'trend': 'Moderate growth',
|
| 168 |
-
'forecast': '+1.8% next month',
|
| 169 |
-
'key_insight': 'Money supply growth moderating as Federal Reserve tightens monetary policy to combat inflation.',
|
| 170 |
-
'risk_factors': ['Inflation expectations', 'Financial stability', 'Economic growth'],
|
| 171 |
-
'opportunities': ['Digital payments', 'Financial innovation', 'Monetary policy']
|
| 172 |
-
},
|
| 173 |
-
'TCU': {
|
| 174 |
-
'current_value': '78.4%',
|
| 175 |
-
'growth_rate': '+0.3%',
|
| 176 |
-
'trend': 'Improving utilization',
|
| 177 |
-
'forecast': '78.7% next quarter',
|
| 178 |
-
'key_insight': 'Capacity utilization improving as supply chain issues resolve and demand remains strong.',
|
| 179 |
-
'risk_factors': ['Supply chain disruptions', 'Labor shortages', 'Energy constraints'],
|
| 180 |
-
'opportunities': ['Efficiency improvements', 'Technology adoption', 'Process optimization']
|
| 181 |
-
},
|
| 182 |
-
'DEXUSEU': {
|
| 183 |
-
'current_value': '1.087',
|
| 184 |
-
'growth_rate': '+0.2%',
|
| 185 |
-
'trend': 'Stable exchange rate',
|
| 186 |
-
'forecast': '1.085 next week',
|
| 187 |
-
'key_insight': 'US dollar remains strong against euro, supported by relative economic performance and interest rate differentials.',
|
| 188 |
-
'risk_factors': ['Economic divergence', 'Geopolitical tensions', 'Trade policies'],
|
| 189 |
-
'opportunities': ['Currency hedging', 'International trade', 'Investment diversification']
|
| 190 |
-
}
|
| 191 |
-
}
|
| 192 |
-
|
| 193 |
-
return insights
|
| 194 |
-
|
| 195 |
-
def generate_forecast_data():
|
| 196 |
-
"""Generate forecast data with confidence intervals"""
|
| 197 |
-
|
| 198 |
-
# Generate future dates (next 4 quarters)
|
| 199 |
-
last_date = datetime.now()
|
| 200 |
-
future_dates = pd.date_range(start=last_date + timedelta(days=90), periods=4, freq='QE')
|
| 201 |
-
|
| 202 |
-
forecasts = {}
|
| 203 |
-
|
| 204 |
-
# Realistic forecast scenarios
|
| 205 |
-
forecast_scenarios = {
|
| 206 |
-
'GDPC1': {'growth': 0.02, 'volatility': 0.01}, # 2% quarterly growth
|
| 207 |
-
'INDPRO': {'growth': 0.015, 'volatility': 0.008}, # 1.5% monthly growth
|
| 208 |
-
'RSAFS': {'growth': 0.025, 'volatility': 0.012}, # 2.5% monthly growth
|
| 209 |
-
'CPIAUCSL': {'growth': 0.006, 'volatility': 0.003}, # 0.6% monthly inflation
|
| 210 |
-
'FEDFUNDS': {'growth': 0.0, 'volatility': 0.25}, # Stable policy rate
|
| 211 |
-
'DGS10': {'growth': -0.001, 'volatility': 0.15}, # Slight decline
|
| 212 |
-
'UNRATE': {'growth': -0.001, 'volatility': 0.1}, # Slight decline
|
| 213 |
-
'PAYEMS': {'growth': 0.008, 'volatility': 0.005}, # 0.8% monthly growth
|
| 214 |
-
'PCE': {'growth': 0.02, 'volatility': 0.01}, # 2% quarterly growth
|
| 215 |
-
'M2SL': {'growth': 0.015, 'volatility': 0.008}, # 1.5% monthly growth
|
| 216 |
-
'TCU': {'growth': 0.003, 'volatility': 0.002}, # 0.3% quarterly growth
|
| 217 |
-
'DEXUSEU': {'growth': -0.001, 'volatility': 0.02} # Slight decline
|
| 218 |
-
}
|
| 219 |
-
|
| 220 |
-
for indicator, scenario in forecast_scenarios.items():
|
| 221 |
-
base_value = 100 # Normalized base value
|
| 222 |
-
|
| 223 |
-
# Generate forecast values
|
| 224 |
-
forecast_values = []
|
| 225 |
-
confidence_intervals = []
|
| 226 |
-
|
| 227 |
-
for i in range(4):
|
| 228 |
-
# Add trend and noise
|
| 229 |
-
value = base_value * (1 + scenario['growth'] * (i + 1) +
|
| 230 |
-
np.random.normal(0, scenario['volatility']))
|
| 231 |
-
|
| 232 |
-
# Generate confidence interval
|
| 233 |
-
lower = value * (1 - 0.05 - np.random.uniform(0, 0.03))
|
| 234 |
-
upper = value * (1 + 0.05 + np.random.uniform(0, 0.03))
|
| 235 |
-
|
| 236 |
-
forecast_values.append(value)
|
| 237 |
-
confidence_intervals.append({'lower': lower, 'upper': upper})
|
| 238 |
-
|
| 239 |
-
forecasts[indicator] = {
|
| 240 |
-
'forecast': forecast_values,
|
| 241 |
-
'confidence_intervals': pd.DataFrame(confidence_intervals),
|
| 242 |
-
'dates': future_dates
|
| 243 |
-
}
|
| 244 |
-
|
| 245 |
-
return forecasts
|
| 246 |
-
|
| 247 |
-
def generate_correlation_matrix():
|
| 248 |
-
"""Generate realistic correlation matrix"""
|
| 249 |
-
|
| 250 |
-
# Define realistic correlations between economic indicators
|
| 251 |
-
correlations = {
|
| 252 |
-
'GDPC1': {'INDPRO': 0.85, 'RSAFS': 0.78, 'CPIAUCSL': 0.45, 'FEDFUNDS': -0.32, 'DGS10': -0.28},
|
| 253 |
-
'INDPRO': {'RSAFS': 0.72, 'CPIAUCSL': 0.38, 'FEDFUNDS': -0.25, 'DGS10': -0.22},
|
| 254 |
-
'RSAFS': {'CPIAUCSL': 0.42, 'FEDFUNDS': -0.28, 'DGS10': -0.25},
|
| 255 |
-
'CPIAUCSL': {'FEDFUNDS': 0.65, 'DGS10': 0.58},
|
| 256 |
-
'FEDFUNDS': {'DGS10': 0.82}
|
| 257 |
-
}
|
| 258 |
-
|
| 259 |
-
# Create correlation matrix
|
| 260 |
-
indicators = ['GDPC1', 'INDPRO', 'RSAFS', 'CPIAUCSL', 'FEDFUNDS', 'DGS10', 'UNRATE', 'PAYEMS', 'PCE', 'M2SL', 'TCU', 'DEXUSEU']
|
| 261 |
-
corr_matrix = pd.DataFrame(index=indicators, columns=indicators)
|
| 262 |
-
|
| 263 |
-
# Fill diagonal with 1
|
| 264 |
-
for indicator in indicators:
|
| 265 |
-
corr_matrix.loc[indicator, indicator] = 1.0
|
| 266 |
-
|
| 267 |
-
# Fill with realistic correlations
|
| 268 |
-
for i, indicator1 in enumerate(indicators):
|
| 269 |
-
for j, indicator2 in enumerate(indicators):
|
| 270 |
-
if i != j:
|
| 271 |
-
if indicator1 in correlations and indicator2 in correlations[indicator1]:
|
| 272 |
-
corr_matrix.loc[indicator1, indicator2] = correlations[indicator1][indicator2]
|
| 273 |
-
elif indicator2 in correlations and indicator1 in correlations[indicator2]:
|
| 274 |
-
corr_matrix.loc[indicator1, indicator2] = correlations[indicator2][indicator1]
|
| 275 |
-
else:
|
| 276 |
-
# Generate random correlation between -0.3 and 0.3
|
| 277 |
-
corr_matrix.loc[indicator1, indicator2] = np.random.uniform(-0.3, 0.3)
|
| 278 |
-
|
| 279 |
-
return corr_matrix
|
| 280 |
-
|
| 281 |
-
def get_demo_data():
|
| 282 |
-
"""Get comprehensive demo data"""
|
| 283 |
-
return {
|
| 284 |
-
'economic_data': generate_economic_data(),
|
| 285 |
-
'insights': generate_insights(),
|
| 286 |
-
'forecasts': generate_forecast_data(),
|
| 287 |
-
'correlation_matrix': generate_correlation_matrix()
|
| 288 |
-
}
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