Update README.md
Browse files
README.md
CHANGED
|
@@ -1,3 +1,38 @@
|
|
| 1 |
-
---
|
| 2 |
-
|
| 3 |
-
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 1 |
+
---
|
| 2 |
+
title: TBATS Model for Energy Consumption Prediction
|
| 3 |
+
description: >-
|
| 4 |
+
This model predicts energy consumption based on meteorological data and
|
| 5 |
+
historical usage.
|
| 6 |
+
license: gpl
|
| 7 |
+
---
|
| 8 |
+
|
| 9 |
+
# Exponential Smoothing Model for Energy Consumption Prediction
|
| 10 |
+
|
| 11 |
+
## Description
|
| 12 |
+
This model applies Triple, Single, and Double Exponential Smoothing techniques to predict energy consumption over a 48-hour period based on historical energy usage from 2021 to 2023. It utilizes time series data from a transformer station to forecast future energy demands.
|
| 13 |
+
|
| 14 |
+
## Model Details
|
| 15 |
+
**Model Type:** Exponential Smoothing (Triple, Single, and Double)
|
| 16 |
+
**Data Period:** 2021-2023
|
| 17 |
+
**Variables Used:**
|
| 18 |
+
- `Lastgang`: Energy consumption data
|
| 19 |
+
|
| 20 |
+
## Features
|
| 21 |
+
The model splits the data into training and testing sets, with the last 192 data points (equivalent to 48 hours at 15-minute intervals) designated as the test dataset. The dataset includes preprocessed features such as interpolated and aggregated energy consumption data (`Lastgang`).
|
| 22 |
+
|
| 23 |
+
## Installation and Execution
|
| 24 |
+
To run this model, you need Python along with the following libraries:
|
| 25 |
+
- `pandas`
|
| 26 |
+
- `numpy`
|
| 27 |
+
- `matplotlib`
|
| 28 |
+
- `scikit-learn`
|
| 29 |
+
- `statsmodels`
|
| 30 |
+
|
| 31 |
+
### Steps to Execute the Model:
|
| 32 |
+
1. **Install Required Packages**
|
| 33 |
+
|
| 34 |
+
2. **Load your Data**
|
| 35 |
+
|
| 36 |
+
3. **Preprocess the data according to the specifications**
|
| 37 |
+
|
| 38 |
+
4. **Run the Script**
|