File size: 25,719 Bytes
69ff84b
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
29319d6
69ff84b
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
14514c2
 
69ff84b
14514c2
69ff84b
 
 
 
 
 
14514c2
 
 
 
 
 
69ff84b
 
14514c2
 
69ff84b
 
 
 
 
 
 
14514c2
 
69ff84b
14514c2
69ff84b
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
98fbf56
69ff84b
 
 
 
 
 
98fbf56
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
7674495
 
 
 
 
 
98fbf56
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
69ff84b
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
29319d6
 
 
 
69ff84b
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
14514c2
69ff84b
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
98fbf56
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
69ff84b
 
 
 
 
 
98fbf56
69ff84b
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
7674495
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
69ff84b
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
14514c2
69ff84b
 
 
14514c2
69ff84b
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
7674495
69ff84b
98fbf56
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
7674495
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
98fbf56
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
29319d6
69ff84b
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
14514c2
69ff84b
 
98fbf56
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
69ff84b
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
98fbf56
 
 
 
69ff84b
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
98fbf56
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
69ff84b
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
f8589c0
69ff84b
29319d6
69ff84b
 
 
 
 
14514c2
 
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77
78
79
80
81
82
83
84
85
86
87
88
89
90
91
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
100
101
102
103
104
105
106
107
108
109
110
111
112
113
114
115
116
117
118
119
120
121
122
123
124
125
126
127
128
129
130
131
132
133
134
135
136
137
138
139
140
141
142
143
144
145
146
147
148
149
150
151
152
153
154
155
156
157
158
159
160
161
162
163
164
165
166
167
168
169
170
171
172
173
174
175
176
177
178
179
180
181
182
183
184
185
186
187
188
189
190
191
192
193
194
195
196
197
198
199
200
201
202
203
204
205
206
207
208
209
210
211
212
213
214
215
216
217
218
219
220
221
222
223
224
225
226
227
228
229
230
231
232
233
234
235
236
237
238
239
240
241
242
243
244
245
246
247
248
249
250
251
252
253
254
255
256
257
258
259
260
261
262
263
264
265
266
267
268
269
270
271
272
273
274
275
276
277
278
279
280
281
282
283
284
285
286
287
288
289
290
291
292
293
294
295
296
297
298
299
300
301
302
303
304
305
306
307
308
309
310
311
312
313
314
315
316
317
318
319
320
321
322
323
324
325
326
327
328
329
330
331
332
333
334
335
336
337
338
339
340
341
342
343
344
345
346
347
348
349
350
351
352
353
354
355
356
357
358
359
360
361
362
363
364
365
366
367
368
369
370
371
372
373
374
375
376
377
378
379
380
381
382
383
384
385
386
387
388
389
390
391
392
393
394
395
396
397
398
399
400
401
402
403
404
405
406
407
408
409
410
411
412
413
414
415
416
417
418
419
420
421
422
423
424
425
426
427
428
429
430
431
432
433
434
435
436
437
438
439
440
441
442
443
444
445
446
447
448
449
450
451
452
453
454
455
456
457
458
459
460
461
462
463
464
465
466
467
468
469
470
471
472
473
474
475
476
477
478
479
480
481
482
483
484
485
486
487
488
489
490
491
492
493
494
495
496
497
498
499
500
---
license: mit
library_name: sentence-transformers
tags:
  - context-curation
  - long-context
  - memory-management
  - conversational-ai
  - retrieval
  - llm
  - research-paper
pipeline_tag: sentence-similarity
---

# Long-Context Memory Curation Management

**Splinter Memory — a managed-decay context curation architecture for long-horizon LLM conversations.**

This card is the Hugging Face edition of the Splinter Memory white paper. It
is written for the people who build LLM applications and want the context
window to *stay useful* as the conversation grows: the memory layer, the
mechanisms, the measured results, and the code that implements them.

The canonical paper lives with the code
([sky-is-green/hive/tree/main/splinter](https://github.com/sky-is-green/hive/tree/main/splinter));
this edition adds the encoder measurement taken on the harness's own traffic
(§7) and the operational notes a practitioner needs.

---

## The problem, in one paragraph

A long conversation is not a long document. Facts that mattered twenty turns
ago fall out of a rolling context window; the model answers from what
survives, not from what happened; and the surviving context is mostly noise
by then. Truncation and recency are cheap and wrong: they throw away
exactly the old fact the user came back for. Keeping everything is worse -
the prompt grows, the KV cache grows, the cost grows, and the model
"loses the middle" while the interesting fact sits somewhere in the middle.

## What this does

Splinter Memory keeps a **managed** memory outside the model and hands the
model a **bounded, relevance-ranked** context every turn:

- a small fleet of **bidirectional encoders** ("drones") scores every stored
  chunk against the current query - cheap, and far better at similarity than
  a generative model of the same size;
- a **membrane** drops what is said twice and notices when the topic
  changes;
- a **retention layer** makes forgetting a *design parameter* - an
  escalating-friction decay, a remembrance pass that rescues facts worth
  keeping, and a "comb" (an SSD tier) that resurrects topics that returned
  after being evicted;
- a **focal layer** assembles a bounded context on an adaptive token budget
  and hands it to any OpenAI-compatible backend (llama.cpp, LM Studio, vLLM,
  a hosted API).

The model never sees the raw history. It sees the part that is worth its
attention, every turn, at a cost that does not grow with the conversation.

**The separation is the point.** The generative model is good at producing
answers and the wrong tool for selecting context; measured live, using the
27B generative model as an encoder proxy cost tens of seconds per turn on
the hot path, while the 17M-parameter drone did the same job in
milliseconds.

## The measured results

| Metric | Naive FIFO (baseline) | Target | Measured |
|---|---|---|---|
| Throughput over 500 turns | decays | flat ±10% | **flat** (14.5 → 15.5 tok/s over 308+ turns), 0 OOM events |
| Retrieval recall (facts the model actually stated) | n/a | ≥75% / ≥90% | **90.3%** live, 93.5% on the isolated-store replay |
| Retrieval precision (sentence proxy) | near-chance past the window | ≥70% / ≥85% | **10.7%** - *the encoder ceiling* (§7) |
| Context sufficiency vs. an equal-size FIFO window | — | ≥80% of turns | **85.1%** of the fact-retrievable turns (4.4:1) |
| Routing accuracy | — | ≥80% / ≥92% | **100%** |
| Added per-turn latency | 0 ms | <50 / <30 ms | **≈18 ms** on a small store (3.4 ms assembly + ~15 ms scoring) - **and it grows with the store**: 22.8 ms at 212 chunks, 156.8 ms at 1,612 (§7.4) |
| Peak RSS over 500 turns | — | small | **34.7 MB** |
| Pipeline Efficiency Score | ~30 | ≥65 / ≥80 | **80.0 (GREEN)** live, 73.1 on the 20-conversation evidence run |

Full protocol, per-hypothesis logic chains and falsification conditions:
§5 of the canonical paper.

### The whole protocol, refreshed on the 35B-A3B

The P1-P11 protocol re-run live against the **35B-A3B ternary** (a
12-conversation fixture subset), to ask whether the verdict set is a
property of the architecture or of the generator it was measured on:

| | verdict | the evidence |
|---|---|---|
| P1 constant throughput | **PASS** | the throughput does not decay |
| P2 retrieval precision | **FAIL** | the precision clause (the known encoder ceiling, §7) |
| P3 context sufficiency | **PASS** | the curated context against an equal-size FIFO window |
| P4 domain-dependent decay | **PASS** | code m90 1.8 vs prose m90 1.2 - a gap of 0.6, beyond the 0.2 band |
| P5 targeted masking | SKIP | a training experiment |
| P6 confidence escalation | **FAIL** | the escalated recall is worse (0.174 vs 0.565) |
| P7 auditor-human agreement | SKIP | it needs human raters (90.25% measured 2026-08-23) |
| P8 routing accuracy | **PASS** | 200/200 |
| P9 densest-duplicate retention | **PASS** | the densest chunk wins 100% of the turns |
| P10 drift reset | **FAIL** | the reset changes the recall by 0.0 points |
| P11 comb resurrection | **PASS** | the pressure regime: 100% topic-return recall against 20% without the comb |

**PASS 6/11, 2 skipped - the published verdict set, exactly.** The
published run (2026-08-23/24, on a 27B, on the full corpus) reported
P1/P3/P4/P8/P9/P11 PASS, P2/P6/P10 FAIL, P5/P7 SKIP. The same set
reproduces on a different model and a smaller corpus, which says the
protocol measures the architecture rather than the generator.

**One of the failures now has a candidate mechanism.** P10 (the drift
reset) measures a detector whose threshold was calibrated for a different
encoder (§7): forced on, it fires on most turns, so "the reset has no
effect" may be measuring a detector that fires far too often rather than
a reset that does not work. (The exact rate was measured on the
pre-correction corpus and is withdrawn with the rest of §7.) The verdict
stands as measured; the mechanism is now in question, which is a
different claim.

**And the one result that does not carry over is P3's margin.** On the
27B the curated context won 115 turns outright to 26; on the 35B it is a
tie (§7.3). The *verdict* holds (the curated context is sufficient, and
at least as good on 88.4% of the turns); the *margin* does not. The
curation's accuracy advantage is a function of the generator - what
survives for a strong one is the bounded context and the cost.

## Use it

Three ways, in increasing order of control:

**1. As a sidecar** - the Studio serves an OpenAI-compatible
`/v1/chat/completions` that curates before it generates. Point your client
at it; nothing else changes.

```bash
git clone https://github.com/sky-is-green/hive
cd hive
python -m pip install -e splinter
python -m harness --port 8765
```

**2. As a library** - the memory system is importable, engine-agnostic and
has no GPU requirement for the encoder tier.

```python
from cortex.splinter import Splinter
from cortex.config import SplinterConfig

s = Splinter(config=SplinterConfig(max_context=8192))
result = s.process_turn("what did we decide about the KV cache?", "my-conversation")
print(result.assembled.content)     # the curated context, bounded
```

**3. As the benchmark** - the P1-P12 protocol, the deterministic
diagnostics and the self-contained run bundles are in the repository, so the
claims can be re-measured on your own hardware and your own backend.

## How it works

| Layer | Function | Core mechanisms |
|---|---|---|
| **Cortex** | Orchestration & routing | task classification, drone dispatch, congestion detection, graceful degradation |
| **Sieve** | Relevance scoring | ultra-small encoder (17M params, 384-dim) for fast similarity; a medium encoder for uncertain cases; confidence via prediction variance |
| **Membrane** | Selective filtering | semantic deduplication (cosine > 0.92, keep the densest), topic-drift detection and reset |
| **Retention** | Memory & decay | remembrance pass, escalating-friction decay, stale-context acceleration, the "comb" (surplus SSD tier, topic-return resurrection) |
| **Focal** | Assembly | adaptive token budget (1k-6k by route tier), confidence-weighted sorting, bounded context construction |

**Per turn:** user input → Cortex classifies it → Sieve scores every stored
chunk → Membrane deduplicates and checks the topic → Retention applies decay
and the remembrance pass → Focal assembles a bounded context → the backend
generates → the reply is observed back into the store.

### The four postulates

1. **Context curation** - for a fixed token budget, a relevance-ranked
   selection from the full history dominates a contiguous window of the same
   size, and the gap widens with conversation length.
2. **Managed decay** - forgetting is a design parameter, not a failure mode;
   escalating friction beats both unbounded growth and uniform forgetting.
3. **Separation** - bidirectional encoders for comprehension, an
   autoregressive decoder for generation, is the better allocation of the
   same compute.
4. **Ground-truth bootstrap** - an LLM auditor asked about *context
   utilization* (not answer correctness) agrees with human labels 90.25% of
   the time, which is enough to drive parameter tuning without a human
   labelling pass.

## The harness that runs it, and the pipeline that manages it

The memory system is a library; the **HiveBench Studio** is the harness
that runs it, and it is where the management pipeline lives.

### The management pipeline

A long-horizon memory has to be *managed*: every knob that decides what
the model sees used to live in three different menus, and a wrong setting
was invisible. The Studio has one place for all of it - the **Global
harness controls** - and every block of it is a *baseline* that the more
specific thing beats:

| block | what it decides |
|---|---|
| **the encoder** | which small model does the retrieval and the memory management - you choose it, and the next conversation runs on it (no restart) |
| **Memory & RAG** | the curation baseline: the context window, the stale wall, the dedup and drift thresholds, the comb, the medium drone |
| **Quality** | the cascade's judge, repair, gate and escalation - the defaults every run starts from |
| **MCP** | what an external client may read and write of the memory |
| **Runtime** | the sampling a reply is drawn with, and the context, GPU layers and threads an engine is launched with |

The point is not tidiness. It is that **a setting which is not consulted
is indistinguishable from a setting which does not work**, and the only
way to know which one you have is to wire them and then measure.

### The harness itself

| | |
|---|---|
| the console | Home, Settings, Global, Cascade, and a "More tools" group (Agent, Engines, Local library, Providers, Hub, Inspector, Training) |
| the chat | Splinter mode (one curated reply) or Agent mode (the tool loop); the reply says who produced it |
| the launch panel | llama.cpp or Strata, per engine, from the profiles; stop closes the connection so the *engine* stops; unload gives the VRAM back and retires the orphans |
| the cascade console | every runner knob in one form, with the Global tab's Quality block as its starting values |
| the harvest | every turn (the query, the reply, the curation that was used) written to a jsonl, off by default - this is the data the encoder is trained on |

### Answer quality reporting and API escalation

The curation's effect is not only felt, it is reported. Every cascade run
writes a per-item report (the verdict, the detector findings, the repair
attempt, the ladder's resolution), a provenance manifest (the model
sha256, the stack, the git commit, the task-set sha, the decode
settings) and a generated model card; and the escalation lane harvests
every ladder-resolved item to `escalation.jsonl` next to the report -
training-side only, and read by nothing in the runtime.

The escalation ladder itself is the last stage: an answer the local
verifiers still flag can go to a human gate (verbose on the first
trigger, compact afterwards) and then to an API tier, with the served
answer, the cost and the reason recorded. The companion paper
(*The Hive Cascade*) documents the loop, the gold-free runtime contract
and the measured verdicts; the benchmark and the run reports are
published next to this card.

## The evidence, hypothesis by hypothesis

| | Hypothesis | Verdict |
|---|---|---|
| P1 | Constant throughput over 500 turns | **PASS** |
| P2 | Retrieval precision ≥85% at ≥90% recall | **SPLIT** - recall PASS (90.3%), precision FAIL (the encoder ceiling) |
| P3 | Context sufficiency ≥80% of turns vs. an equal-size FIFO window | **PASS** (85.1% on the 27B); on the 35B-A3B the answer-level result is a tie (88.4% at-least-as-good, 13 strict wins to 17) - see §7.3 |
| P4 | Domain-dependent decay curve (code vs. prose separate) | **PASS** (code m90 1.8 vs. prose 1.2) |
| P5 | Targeted masking | **PASS** |
| P6 | Confidence escalation | **FAIL** |
| P7 | Auditor-human agreement ≥90% | **PASS** (90.25% on 400 items) |
| P8 | Heuristic routing floor | **PASS** (100%) |
| P9 | Densest-duplicate survives deduplication | **PASS** |
| P10 | Drift reset | **FAIL** |
| P11 | Comb resurrection of returned topics | **PASS** (deterministic and live-validated) |
| P12 | Store-time fact distillation | protocol only |

The failures are kept in the paper with their evidence. A pre-registered
protocol that only reports passes is not evidence.

## 7. The encoder: what we measured on our own traffic

> **Correction (2026-10-21).** The corpus behind this section included an
> ingested knowledge-base attachment: 17 of its 82 files were chunked
> `[block n/m]` documents (5,531 of 6,977 chunks), and one conversation
> was loaded from two state directories. The drift figures below (the
> 0.945 AUC and the "fires on 571 of 628 turns" mechanism) are
> **withdrawn**, and the tuned encoder was rejected by the replay (see
> below). The shipped encoder and the shipped 0.92 stay. The correction
> and the clean measurement are in `AB-RESULTS.md` §2C-septies; the
> retrieval results elsewhere in this card come from different runs and
> are unaffected.

The harness gives its encoder three jobs, and only one of them is a ranking:

| job | question | where |
|---|---|---|
| **rank** | which stored chunk answers this query? | the sieve |
| **dedup** | do these two chunks say the same thing? | the membrane (cosine > 0.92) |
| **drift** | did the conversation change topic? | the membrane (1 - cosine > 0.6) |

The prior encoder comparison measured **rank** only, on the synthetic
fixtures, and found that six encoders (a 22M MiniLM, a 400MB cross-encoder,
a 568M retrieval-specialised encoder and two contrastively tuned variants)
all landed on the same top-K curve - so it concluded the ceiling was
*data-structural* and that the remedy was "stop looking for a better
encoder".

We re-measured all three jobs on the harness's **own** traffic - 81
conversations, 6,975 stored chunks, 4,056 duplicate pairs and 6,533
topic-change cases, labelled lexically so the label is independent of the
encoder being measured (`experiments/encoder_suite.py`). The result
changes the picture, and it is not about the ranking:

**The thresholds that ship with the harness were calibrated for a different
encoder.** The production drone was swapped from `all-MiniLM-L6-v2` to
`paraphrase-MiniLM-L3-v2` on 2026-08-23; the membrane's two thresholds were
not re-derived.

| operating point | measured |
|---|---|
| dedup at the shipped threshold (0.92) | precision 1.00, **recall 0.03** - the duplicate test almost never fires |
| dedup at its own best threshold (~0.56) | F1 **0.75** (precision 0.62, recall 0.95) |
| drift at the shipped threshold (0.6) | precision 0.08, **recall 0.96** - the topic-change test fires on almost every turn |
| drift as a *ranking* signal | **withdrawn** - measured on the pre-correction corpus (79% an ingested attachment), see above |

### 7.1 The F1 is the wrong target, and the threshold is not the lever

The obvious conclusion - "move the thresholds to the encoder's optimum" -
is **falsified** by a deterministic replay of the corpus through the real
pipeline (50 conversations, 493 measurable turns, the P2 diagnostic's own
notion of a fact; `experiments/threshold_ab.py`):

| arm | dedup / drift | fact recall | context | verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| shipped | 0.92 / 0.6 | **50.6%** | 159 tok | - |
| the dedup alone | 0.57 / 0.6 | **39.7%** | 90 tok | **falsified** |
| the drift alone | 0.92 / 0.77 | **50.6%** | 159 tok | **survives** |

**The duplicate test's two errors are not interchangeable.** A duplicate
test that fires wrongly *deletes* a chunk, and the fact inside it is gone
irreversibly; a duplicate test that fails to fire only leaves a redundant
chunk in the context, which costs budget and nothing else. F1 weights
them equally, so F1 points at the wrong threshold: at 0.57 the encoder
merges chunks that are *about* the same thing but carry *different* facts,
and the fact recall falls by a fifth. The shipped 0.92 is conservative
**for a reason** - its precision is 1.00, so it never deletes a fact - at
the price of catching only 5% of the redundancy.

The topic-drift test is the opposite case: it only *penalises* the
off-topic chunks, it never deletes them, so its recalibration is free.

**The model is not the lever either.** A small encoder tuned on the
harness's own traffic (17M parameters, one epoch, the dedup task only)
raises the dedup decision at 0.92 from a recall of 0.046 to 0.986 on the
held-out job test. The replay then prices that decision: at the shipped
0.92 the tuned encoder keeps **32.66%** of the facts against the stock's
**60.51%**, for a context 2.7x smaller. The decision improved; the
curation nearly halved. The shipped encoder and the shipped 0.92 stay.

The reason is structural: a true duplicate merged is a fact deleted from
the context, so improving the dedup decision is improving the deletion.
The threshold and the model are two dials on the same trade-off curve,
and the fact-preservation constraint fixes where on it the system sits.
The clean replay and the three failed fine-tunes are in `AB-RESULTS.md`
§2C-quater through §2C-septies.

### 7.4 The curation's cost grows with the conversation it curates

The stability run - 2,000 turns of a growing conversation, the real drone,
no model (`experiments.stability_500.py`):

| turns | the store | the assembled context | the curation's cost (p50) | the peak RSS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 250 | 212 chunks | 322 tok | 22.8 ms | 519 MB |
| 500 | 412 chunks | 320 tok | 37.3 ms | 564 MB |
| 1,000 | 812 chunks | 335 tok | 89.7 ms | 594 MB |
| 2,000 | 1,612 chunks | 332 tok | 156.8 ms | 667 MB |

**The context is flat and the cost is not.** The assembled context moves
by 10 tokens across a 7.6x range of store - the curation's promise holds
✓✓ - and nothing is OOM-killed over 2,000 turns ✓. But the curation's
per-turn cost is **linear in the store**: about 7x for 7.6x the chunks,
because every chunk is scored every turn.

So the memory's trade is explicit, and the published "≈18 ms added per
turn" is the *small-store* number: the prompt stays bounded (the
expensive part for the model) while the curation gets more expensive as
the conversation grows. The two costs trade against each other, and the
crossover - the point where curating costs more than the tokens it saves
- is a measurement the system does not yet make.

### 7.3 The curation's advantage is generator-dependent

The paired A/B - the same model, the same turns, the curated context
against the last-4k-token window of the same history - is the memory
system's headline measurement (P3). It was measured on a 27B, and it has
now been measured on the **35B-A3B ternary** (180 measurable turns):

| | the curated arm | the FIFO arm |
|---|---|---|
| the answer's fact recall | 81.1% | 81.7% |
| the context fidelity (the answer's terms sourced from its own context) | **0.241** | 0.208 |
| the turns where the answer is at least as good | **88.4%** (the bar: 80%) | - |
| the strictly-better turns | 13 | 17 |
| the context sufficiency (P3-style) | **97.5%** >= FIFO | - |

**On the 27B the curated arm won 115 turns outright to 26 (4.4:1). On the
35B it is 13 to 17** - a tie - and the answers are equal (81.1% against
81.7%). The "neither" bucket collapses too (145 of 175 on the 27B, 34 of
180 here): the 35B answers from *whatever* context it is given.

**The scoping result: the better the generator is at long context, the
less the curation has to add.** The FIFO window is the most recent turns
verbatim, and a model that uses them well does not need a curation to find
them. This is what Postulate 3 (the separation) implies - the curation is
a substitute for a *weaker* reader - and it is the first thing the
measurements had not tested.

**What survives.** The curated context is still sufficient on 97.5% of the
turns, its fidelity is ahead, and - the part the numbers above do not
touch - the curation is what keeps the context **bounded**: the FIFO arm
is 4k tokens of pure recency, and the two arms are equal *at that
budget*. The honest claim for a strong generator is the bounded context
and the cost, not the better answers.

### 7.2 What we changed, and what we did not

- The shipped configuration stays: the stock encoder at the shipped
  thresholds, because that is the configuration the published evidence was
  produced with.
- The next fine-tune weights a false merge above a missed merge
  (precision-weighted at the operating point) instead of optimising F1 -
  the asymmetry makes F1 the wrong target - and is measured on a held-out
  split, because the current one was trained and measured on the same
  traffic (a fit, not a generalisation).
- The full sweep, the fine-tune runs and the replay are in
  `docs/ENCODER-NOTES.md` in [`splinter/`](https://github.com/sky-is-green/hive/tree/main/splinter).

## Limits, honestly

- **Precision is the open question.** The context that reaches the model is
  fatter than it needs to be. The recall evidence says the facts the model
  stated are in there; an independent, non-circular precision number is
  still open.
- **The auditor sees the answer.** P7's agreement check mitigates the
  circularity but does not remove it: the auditor is the same model family
  that produced the answer.
- **Synthetic-corpus bias.** The long-horizon corpus is generated. The
  measurement in §7 is on real traffic; the P1-P12 verdicts mostly are not.
- **Cross-conversation contamination and hedge-replies** are harness-level
  failure modes that look like architectural failures if you do not
  isolate conversations per store and filter refusals out of the store.
- **The decay curve is an engineering heuristic** with cognitive-science
  inspiration, not a validated model of human forgetting.
- **The large tier is a state, not a model.** The 176B-A6B answers at
  60-73 tok/s warm and 3 tok/s cold, on the same engine and the same
  request: a fresh prompt read costs 5 tok/s and a reused prefix 71, and
  the cold phase is the OS pulling 60 GB of expert weights off the NVMe
  (the file is 20.8% page-cached on a 30 GB box). Warm and alone it
  answers the cascade's 28 tasks in 26.9 s an item; co-sited with the
  small tier, in 229.7 s. A deployment that measures the large tier
  cold, or with another engine resident, measures the box and not the
  model. Two levers pay and the rest do not: keep it warm, and run it
  alone. A whole-file prefetch does not - a 13 GB page cache cannot hold
  a 60 GB file, and the kernel's `WILLNEED` left it at 0% cached for
  80 s. The engine's resident tier (`--resident-budget-gib`) does: it
  keeps what the VRAM cache cannot hold in ordinary RAM, and the storage
  read on the second request falls from 1.4 GB to 146 MB.

## Reproduce

```bash
# the offline suite (deterministic diagnostics, no model needed)
pytest tests/unit tests/integration -q

# the encoder sweep on your own traffic
python -m experiments.encoder_suite --encoders l3 l6 bge-small e5-small gte-small

# the threshold replay (deterministic: no model, no generation)
python -m experiments.threshold_ab

# the cascade pilot (local model, deterministic verifiers)
open http://127.0.0.1:8765/cascade
```

The repository ships the run bundles, the event logs and the label files, so
a verdict can be traced back to the bytes that produced it.

### The artifacts

| artifact | what it is |
|---|---|
| `SkyIsNotGreen/splinter-memory` | this paper, the figures, the license and the citation |
| `SkyIsNotGreen/splinter-encoder` | the tuned drone encoder, its card, its configuration and its gate results |
| `SkyIsNotGreen/hive-cascade` | the cascade's benchmark (a 70/30 split) and two full run reports |
| `SkyIsNotGreen/Scion-35B-A3B` | the ternary 35B-A3B model and its decision head |
| `SkyIsNotGreen/Scion-FlashNext-176B-A6B` | the ternary 176B-A6B model |

The releases are private while the results are being refreshed; they open
when the refreshed numbers are in.

## License and citation

MIT. See `LICENSE` and `CITATION.cff` in this repository.

```
@misc{splinter-memory-2026,
  title  = {Splinter Memory: A Managed-Decay Context Curation Architecture
            for Long-Horizon LLM Conversations},
  author = {sky-is-green},
  year   = {2026},
  url    = {https://github.com/sky-is-green/hive/tree/main/splinter}
}
```

**Community invitation.** The protocol is written to be challenged: every
prediction has a logic chain, a measurement and a falsification condition.
If your hardware produces a different verdict, that is a result - open an
issue with the run bundle.