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main.py
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|
| 1 |
+
import json
|
| 2 |
+
import math
|
| 3 |
+
import random
|
| 4 |
+
from copy import deepcopy
|
| 5 |
+
from pathlib import Path
|
| 6 |
+
|
| 7 |
+
import ollama
|
| 8 |
+
|
| 9 |
+
|
| 10 |
+
# ============================================================
|
| 11 |
+
# Configuration
|
| 12 |
+
# ============================================================
|
| 13 |
+
|
| 14 |
+
LLM_MODEL = "gpt-oss:20b"
|
| 15 |
+
|
| 16 |
+
MAX_ROUNDS = 8
|
| 17 |
+
STOP_PROBABILITY = 0.95
|
| 18 |
+
NOISE_STD = 0.15
|
| 19 |
+
|
| 20 |
+
MODEL_MISMATCH_THRESHOLD = 2.5
|
| 21 |
+
|
| 22 |
+
random.seed(42)
|
| 23 |
+
|
| 24 |
+
OUTPUT_DIR = Path("runs_v04")
|
| 25 |
+
OUTPUT_DIR.mkdir(exist_ok=True)
|
| 26 |
+
|
| 27 |
+
|
| 28 |
+
# ============================================================
|
| 29 |
+
# Candidate boiling mass-transfer models
|
| 30 |
+
# ============================================================
|
| 31 |
+
|
| 32 |
+
MODEL_REGISTRY = {
|
| 33 |
+
"M0": {
|
| 34 |
+
"description": "linear interfacial mass-transfer closure",
|
| 35 |
+
"base": "linear",
|
| 36 |
+
"a": 0.80,
|
| 37 |
+
"corrections": [],
|
| 38 |
+
},
|
| 39 |
+
|
| 40 |
+
"M1": {
|
| 41 |
+
"description": "linear + quadratic mass-transfer closure",
|
| 42 |
+
"base": "linear",
|
| 43 |
+
"a": 0.80,
|
| 44 |
+
"corrections": [
|
| 45 |
+
{
|
| 46 |
+
"type": "quadratic",
|
| 47 |
+
"coefficient": 0.004,
|
| 48 |
+
}
|
| 49 |
+
],
|
| 50 |
+
},
|
| 51 |
+
|
| 52 |
+
"M2": {
|
| 53 |
+
"description": "saturating rational mass-transfer closure",
|
| 54 |
+
"base": "rational",
|
| 55 |
+
"a": 0.80,
|
| 56 |
+
"b": 0.01,
|
| 57 |
+
"corrections": [],
|
| 58 |
+
},
|
| 59 |
+
}
|
| 60 |
+
|
| 61 |
+
|
| 62 |
+
def model_to_string(model_name):
|
| 63 |
+
|
| 64 |
+
spec = MODEL_REGISTRY[model_name]
|
| 65 |
+
|
| 66 |
+
if spec["base"] == "linear":
|
| 67 |
+
expression = f"{spec['a']:.6g} * ΔT"
|
| 68 |
+
|
| 69 |
+
elif spec["base"] == "rational":
|
| 70 |
+
expression = (
|
| 71 |
+
f"{spec['a']:.6g} * ΔT "
|
| 72 |
+
f"/ (1 + {spec['b']:.6g} * ΔT)"
|
| 73 |
+
)
|
| 74 |
+
|
| 75 |
+
else:
|
| 76 |
+
raise ValueError(
|
| 77 |
+
f"Unknown base model: {spec['base']}"
|
| 78 |
+
)
|
| 79 |
+
|
| 80 |
+
for correction in spec["corrections"]:
|
| 81 |
+
|
| 82 |
+
if correction["type"] == "quadratic":
|
| 83 |
+
c = correction["coefficient"]
|
| 84 |
+
expression += f" + ({c:.6g}) * ΔT^2"
|
| 85 |
+
|
| 86 |
+
elif correction["type"] == "linear":
|
| 87 |
+
c = correction["coefficient"]
|
| 88 |
+
expression += f" + ({c:.6g}) * ΔT"
|
| 89 |
+
|
| 90 |
+
elif correction["type"] == "constant":
|
| 91 |
+
c = correction["coefficient"]
|
| 92 |
+
expression += f" + ({c:.6g})"
|
| 93 |
+
|
| 94 |
+
return expression
|
| 95 |
+
|
| 96 |
+
|
| 97 |
+
def physics_model(model_name, delta_T):
|
| 98 |
+
|
| 99 |
+
spec = MODEL_REGISTRY[model_name]
|
| 100 |
+
|
| 101 |
+
if spec["base"] == "linear":
|
| 102 |
+
|
| 103 |
+
y = spec["a"] * delta_T
|
| 104 |
+
|
| 105 |
+
elif spec["base"] == "rational":
|
| 106 |
+
|
| 107 |
+
y = (
|
| 108 |
+
spec["a"] * delta_T
|
| 109 |
+
/ (1.0 + spec["b"] * delta_T)
|
| 110 |
+
)
|
| 111 |
+
|
| 112 |
+
else:
|
| 113 |
+
|
| 114 |
+
raise ValueError(
|
| 115 |
+
f"Unknown base model: {spec['base']}"
|
| 116 |
+
)
|
| 117 |
+
|
| 118 |
+
for correction in spec["corrections"]:
|
| 119 |
+
|
| 120 |
+
correction_type = correction["type"]
|
| 121 |
+
coefficient = correction["coefficient"]
|
| 122 |
+
|
| 123 |
+
if correction_type == "quadratic":
|
| 124 |
+
|
| 125 |
+
y += coefficient * delta_T**2
|
| 126 |
+
|
| 127 |
+
elif correction_type == "linear":
|
| 128 |
+
|
| 129 |
+
y += coefficient * delta_T
|
| 130 |
+
|
| 131 |
+
elif correction_type == "constant":
|
| 132 |
+
|
| 133 |
+
y += coefficient
|
| 134 |
+
|
| 135 |
+
else:
|
| 136 |
+
|
| 137 |
+
raise ValueError(
|
| 138 |
+
f"Unknown correction: {correction_type}"
|
| 139 |
+
)
|
| 140 |
+
|
| 141 |
+
return y
|
| 142 |
+
|
| 143 |
+
|
| 144 |
+
# ============================================================
|
| 145 |
+
# Hidden boiling physical world
|
| 146 |
+
# ============================================================
|
| 147 |
+
|
| 148 |
+
def hidden_physics(delta_T: float) -> float:
|
| 149 |
+
"""
|
| 150 |
+
Synthetic boiling interfacial mass-transfer world.
|
| 151 |
+
|
| 152 |
+
The intelligence system never sees this equation.
|
| 153 |
+
|
| 154 |
+
The hidden world contains a nonlinear mass-transfer
|
| 155 |
+
contribution that is not represented exactly by the
|
| 156 |
+
initial candidate model class.
|
| 157 |
+
"""
|
| 158 |
+
|
| 159 |
+
return (
|
| 160 |
+
0.80 * delta_T
|
| 161 |
+
+ 0.002 * delta_T**2
|
| 162 |
+
)
|
| 163 |
+
|
| 164 |
+
|
| 165 |
+
def query_hidden_world(delta_T: float) -> dict:
|
| 166 |
+
|
| 167 |
+
clean = hidden_physics(delta_T)
|
| 168 |
+
|
| 169 |
+
noise = random.gauss(
|
| 170 |
+
0.0,
|
| 171 |
+
NOISE_STD,
|
| 172 |
+
)
|
| 173 |
+
|
| 174 |
+
return {
|
| 175 |
+
"delta_T": delta_T,
|
| 176 |
+
"observed_mass_transfer": clean + noise,
|
| 177 |
+
"noise_std": NOISE_STD,
|
| 178 |
+
}
|
| 179 |
+
|
| 180 |
+
|
| 181 |
+
# ============================================================
|
| 182 |
+
# Scientific state
|
| 183 |
+
# ============================================================
|
| 184 |
+
|
| 185 |
+
state = {
|
| 186 |
+
|
| 187 |
+
"scientific_question": (
|
| 188 |
+
"Determine an adequate constitutive closure for "
|
| 189 |
+
"boiling interfacial mass transfer as a function "
|
| 190 |
+
"of interfacial thermal driving ΔT. "
|
| 191 |
+
"Detect failure of the initial closure class and "
|
| 192 |
+
"construct a revised executable closure if required."
|
| 193 |
+
),
|
| 194 |
+
|
| 195 |
+
"physical_quantity": (
|
| 196 |
+
"normalized interfacial mass-transfer response"
|
| 197 |
+
),
|
| 198 |
+
|
| 199 |
+
"candidate_models": {},
|
| 200 |
+
|
| 201 |
+
"allowed_delta_T": [
|
| 202 |
+
2,
|
| 203 |
+
5,
|
| 204 |
+
8,
|
| 205 |
+
12,
|
| 206 |
+
16,
|
| 207 |
+
20,
|
| 208 |
+
24,
|
| 209 |
+
28,
|
| 210 |
+
],
|
| 211 |
+
|
| 212 |
+
"evidence": [],
|
| 213 |
+
|
| 214 |
+
"posterior": {},
|
| 215 |
+
|
| 216 |
+
"round": 0,
|
| 217 |
+
|
| 218 |
+
"revision_history": [],
|
| 219 |
+
}
|
| 220 |
+
|
| 221 |
+
|
| 222 |
+
def synchronize_state_models():
|
| 223 |
+
|
| 224 |
+
state["candidate_models"] = {
|
| 225 |
+
model_name: model_to_string(model_name)
|
| 226 |
+
for model_name in MODEL_REGISTRY
|
| 227 |
+
}
|
| 228 |
+
|
| 229 |
+
|
| 230 |
+
def reset_posterior():
|
| 231 |
+
|
| 232 |
+
n_models = len(MODEL_REGISTRY)
|
| 233 |
+
|
| 234 |
+
state["posterior"] = {
|
| 235 |
+
model_name: 1.0 / n_models
|
| 236 |
+
for model_name in MODEL_REGISTRY
|
| 237 |
+
}
|
| 238 |
+
|
| 239 |
+
|
| 240 |
+
synchronize_state_models()
|
| 241 |
+
reset_posterior()
|
| 242 |
+
|
| 243 |
+
|
| 244 |
+
# ============================================================
|
| 245 |
+
# Deterministic physics tools
|
| 246 |
+
# ============================================================
|
| 247 |
+
|
| 248 |
+
def prediction_table(state):
|
| 249 |
+
|
| 250 |
+
table = {}
|
| 251 |
+
|
| 252 |
+
for delta_T in state["allowed_delta_T"]:
|
| 253 |
+
|
| 254 |
+
table[delta_T] = {}
|
| 255 |
+
|
| 256 |
+
for model in state["candidate_models"]:
|
| 257 |
+
|
| 258 |
+
table[delta_T][model] = physics_model(
|
| 259 |
+
model,
|
| 260 |
+
delta_T,
|
| 261 |
+
)
|
| 262 |
+
|
| 263 |
+
return table
|
| 264 |
+
|
| 265 |
+
|
| 266 |
+
def discrimination_scores(state):
|
| 267 |
+
"""
|
| 268 |
+
Rank unused thermal conditions according to the minimum
|
| 269 |
+
pairwise separation between executable mass-transfer
|
| 270 |
+
closures, normalized by observational noise.
|
| 271 |
+
"""
|
| 272 |
+
|
| 273 |
+
used = {
|
| 274 |
+
obs["delta_T"]
|
| 275 |
+
for obs in state["evidence"]
|
| 276 |
+
}
|
| 277 |
+
|
| 278 |
+
scores = {}
|
| 279 |
+
|
| 280 |
+
for delta_T in state["allowed_delta_T"]:
|
| 281 |
+
|
| 282 |
+
if delta_T in used:
|
| 283 |
+
continue
|
| 284 |
+
|
| 285 |
+
predictions = [
|
| 286 |
+
physics_model(
|
| 287 |
+
model,
|
| 288 |
+
delta_T,
|
| 289 |
+
)
|
| 290 |
+
for model in state["candidate_models"]
|
| 291 |
+
]
|
| 292 |
+
|
| 293 |
+
if len(predictions) < 2:
|
| 294 |
+
scores[delta_T] = 0.0
|
| 295 |
+
continue
|
| 296 |
+
|
| 297 |
+
pairwise = []
|
| 298 |
+
|
| 299 |
+
for i in range(len(predictions)):
|
| 300 |
+
|
| 301 |
+
for j in range(
|
| 302 |
+
i + 1,
|
| 303 |
+
len(predictions),
|
| 304 |
+
):
|
| 305 |
+
|
| 306 |
+
separation = abs(
|
| 307 |
+
predictions[i]
|
| 308 |
+
- predictions[j]
|
| 309 |
+
)
|
| 310 |
+
|
| 311 |
+
pairwise.append(
|
| 312 |
+
separation / NOISE_STD
|
| 313 |
+
)
|
| 314 |
+
|
| 315 |
+
scores[delta_T] = min(pairwise)
|
| 316 |
+
|
| 317 |
+
return scores
|
| 318 |
+
|
| 319 |
+
|
| 320 |
+
# ============================================================
|
| 321 |
+
# Bayesian evidence update
|
| 322 |
+
# ============================================================
|
| 323 |
+
|
| 324 |
+
def gaussian_log_likelihood(
|
| 325 |
+
observed,
|
| 326 |
+
predicted,
|
| 327 |
+
sigma,
|
| 328 |
+
):
|
| 329 |
+
|
| 330 |
+
z = (
|
| 331 |
+
observed - predicted
|
| 332 |
+
) / sigma
|
| 333 |
+
|
| 334 |
+
return -0.5 * z**2
|
| 335 |
+
|
| 336 |
+
|
| 337 |
+
def update_posterior(
|
| 338 |
+
state,
|
| 339 |
+
observation,
|
| 340 |
+
):
|
| 341 |
+
|
| 342 |
+
old = state["posterior"]
|
| 343 |
+
|
| 344 |
+
log_weights = {}
|
| 345 |
+
|
| 346 |
+
for model in state["candidate_models"]:
|
| 347 |
+
|
| 348 |
+
prediction = physics_model(
|
| 349 |
+
model,
|
| 350 |
+
observation["delta_T"],
|
| 351 |
+
)
|
| 352 |
+
|
| 353 |
+
log_likelihood = gaussian_log_likelihood(
|
| 354 |
+
observation["observed_mass_transfer"],
|
| 355 |
+
prediction,
|
| 356 |
+
observation["noise_std"],
|
| 357 |
+
)
|
| 358 |
+
|
| 359 |
+
prior = max(
|
| 360 |
+
old.get(model, 1e-300),
|
| 361 |
+
1e-300,
|
| 362 |
+
)
|
| 363 |
+
|
| 364 |
+
log_weights[model] = (
|
| 365 |
+
math.log(prior)
|
| 366 |
+
+ log_likelihood
|
| 367 |
+
)
|
| 368 |
+
|
| 369 |
+
max_log_weight = max(
|
| 370 |
+
log_weights.values()
|
| 371 |
+
)
|
| 372 |
+
|
| 373 |
+
weights = {
|
| 374 |
+
model: math.exp(
|
| 375 |
+
value - max_log_weight
|
| 376 |
+
)
|
| 377 |
+
for model, value
|
| 378 |
+
in log_weights.items()
|
| 379 |
+
}
|
| 380 |
+
|
| 381 |
+
normalizer = sum(
|
| 382 |
+
weights.values()
|
| 383 |
+
)
|
| 384 |
+
|
| 385 |
+
return {
|
| 386 |
+
model: value / normalizer
|
| 387 |
+
for model, value
|
| 388 |
+
in weights.items()
|
| 389 |
+
}
|
| 390 |
+
|
| 391 |
+
|
| 392 |
+
def recompute_posterior_from_all_evidence():
|
| 393 |
+
|
| 394 |
+
reset_posterior()
|
| 395 |
+
|
| 396 |
+
for observation in state["evidence"]:
|
| 397 |
+
|
| 398 |
+
state["posterior"] = (
|
| 399 |
+
update_posterior(
|
| 400 |
+
state,
|
| 401 |
+
observation,
|
| 402 |
+
)
|
| 403 |
+
)
|
| 404 |
+
|
| 405 |
+
|
| 406 |
+
# ============================================================
|
| 407 |
+
# Model-class adequacy
|
| 408 |
+
# ============================================================
|
| 409 |
+
|
| 410 |
+
def model_mismatch_scores(state):
|
| 411 |
+
|
| 412 |
+
if len(state["evidence"]) < 3:
|
| 413 |
+
return {}
|
| 414 |
+
|
| 415 |
+
scores = {}
|
| 416 |
+
|
| 417 |
+
for model in state["candidate_models"]:
|
| 418 |
+
|
| 419 |
+
residuals = []
|
| 420 |
+
|
| 421 |
+
for obs in state["evidence"]:
|
| 422 |
+
|
| 423 |
+
predicted = physics_model(
|
| 424 |
+
model,
|
| 425 |
+
obs["delta_T"],
|
| 426 |
+
)
|
| 427 |
+
|
| 428 |
+
residual = (
|
| 429 |
+
obs["observed_mass_transfer"]
|
| 430 |
+
- predicted
|
| 431 |
+
)
|
| 432 |
+
|
| 433 |
+
residuals.append(
|
| 434 |
+
residual
|
| 435 |
+
)
|
| 436 |
+
|
| 437 |
+
rmse = math.sqrt(
|
| 438 |
+
sum(
|
| 439 |
+
r**2
|
| 440 |
+
for r in residuals
|
| 441 |
+
)
|
| 442 |
+
/ len(residuals)
|
| 443 |
+
)
|
| 444 |
+
|
| 445 |
+
scores[model] = (
|
| 446 |
+
rmse / NOISE_STD
|
| 447 |
+
)
|
| 448 |
+
|
| 449 |
+
return scores
|
| 450 |
+
|
| 451 |
+
|
| 452 |
+
def best_model_by_mismatch(state):
|
| 453 |
+
|
| 454 |
+
scores = model_mismatch_scores(
|
| 455 |
+
state
|
| 456 |
+
)
|
| 457 |
+
|
| 458 |
+
if not scores:
|
| 459 |
+
return None, None
|
| 460 |
+
|
| 461 |
+
best_model = min(
|
| 462 |
+
scores,
|
| 463 |
+
key=scores.get,
|
| 464 |
+
)
|
| 465 |
+
|
| 466 |
+
return (
|
| 467 |
+
best_model,
|
| 468 |
+
scores[best_model],
|
| 469 |
+
)
|
| 470 |
+
|
| 471 |
+
|
| 472 |
+
# ============================================================
|
| 473 |
+
# Residual analysis
|
| 474 |
+
# ============================================================
|
| 475 |
+
|
| 476 |
+
def residual_table(
|
| 477 |
+
state,
|
| 478 |
+
baseline_model,
|
| 479 |
+
):
|
| 480 |
+
|
| 481 |
+
table = []
|
| 482 |
+
|
| 483 |
+
for obs in state["evidence"]:
|
| 484 |
+
|
| 485 |
+
prediction = physics_model(
|
| 486 |
+
baseline_model,
|
| 487 |
+
obs["delta_T"],
|
| 488 |
+
)
|
| 489 |
+
|
| 490 |
+
residual = (
|
| 491 |
+
obs["observed_mass_transfer"]
|
| 492 |
+
- prediction
|
| 493 |
+
)
|
| 494 |
+
|
| 495 |
+
table.append({
|
| 496 |
+
"delta_T":
|
| 497 |
+
obs["delta_T"],
|
| 498 |
+
|
| 499 |
+
"observed_mass_transfer":
|
| 500 |
+
obs["observed_mass_transfer"],
|
| 501 |
+
|
| 502 |
+
"baseline_prediction":
|
| 503 |
+
prediction,
|
| 504 |
+
|
| 505 |
+
"residual":
|
| 506 |
+
residual,
|
| 507 |
+
})
|
| 508 |
+
|
| 509 |
+
return table
|
| 510 |
+
|
| 511 |
+
|
| 512 |
+
def fit_constant_correction(
|
| 513 |
+
state,
|
| 514 |
+
baseline_model,
|
| 515 |
+
):
|
| 516 |
+
|
| 517 |
+
residuals = []
|
| 518 |
+
|
| 519 |
+
for obs in state["evidence"]:
|
| 520 |
+
|
| 521 |
+
x = obs["delta_T"]
|
| 522 |
+
|
| 523 |
+
residuals.append(
|
| 524 |
+
obs["observed_mass_transfer"]
|
| 525 |
+
- physics_model(
|
| 526 |
+
baseline_model,
|
| 527 |
+
x,
|
| 528 |
+
)
|
| 529 |
+
)
|
| 530 |
+
|
| 531 |
+
return (
|
| 532 |
+
sum(residuals)
|
| 533 |
+
/ len(residuals)
|
| 534 |
+
)
|
| 535 |
+
|
| 536 |
+
|
| 537 |
+
def fit_linear_correction(
|
| 538 |
+
state,
|
| 539 |
+
baseline_model,
|
| 540 |
+
):
|
| 541 |
+
|
| 542 |
+
numerator = 0.0
|
| 543 |
+
denominator = 0.0
|
| 544 |
+
|
| 545 |
+
for obs in state["evidence"]:
|
| 546 |
+
|
| 547 |
+
x = obs["delta_T"]
|
| 548 |
+
|
| 549 |
+
residual = (
|
| 550 |
+
obs["observed_mass_transfer"]
|
| 551 |
+
- physics_model(
|
| 552 |
+
baseline_model,
|
| 553 |
+
x,
|
| 554 |
+
)
|
| 555 |
+
)
|
| 556 |
+
|
| 557 |
+
numerator += residual * x
|
| 558 |
+
denominator += x**2
|
| 559 |
+
|
| 560 |
+
if denominator == 0:
|
| 561 |
+
return 0.0
|
| 562 |
+
|
| 563 |
+
return numerator / denominator
|
| 564 |
+
|
| 565 |
+
|
| 566 |
+
def fit_quadratic_correction(
|
| 567 |
+
state,
|
| 568 |
+
baseline_model,
|
| 569 |
+
):
|
| 570 |
+
|
| 571 |
+
numerator = 0.0
|
| 572 |
+
denominator = 0.0
|
| 573 |
+
|
| 574 |
+
for obs in state["evidence"]:
|
| 575 |
+
|
| 576 |
+
x = obs["delta_T"]
|
| 577 |
+
|
| 578 |
+
residual = (
|
| 579 |
+
obs["observed_mass_transfer"]
|
| 580 |
+
- physics_model(
|
| 581 |
+
baseline_model,
|
| 582 |
+
x,
|
| 583 |
+
)
|
| 584 |
+
)
|
| 585 |
+
|
| 586 |
+
numerator += (
|
| 587 |
+
residual * x**2
|
| 588 |
+
)
|
| 589 |
+
|
| 590 |
+
denominator += x**4
|
| 591 |
+
|
| 592 |
+
if denominator == 0:
|
| 593 |
+
return 0.0
|
| 594 |
+
|
| 595 |
+
return (
|
| 596 |
+
numerator / denominator
|
| 597 |
+
)
|
| 598 |
+
|
| 599 |
+
|
| 600 |
+
def correction_fit_rmse(
|
| 601 |
+
state,
|
| 602 |
+
baseline_model,
|
| 603 |
+
correction_type,
|
| 604 |
+
coefficient,
|
| 605 |
+
):
|
| 606 |
+
|
| 607 |
+
errors = []
|
| 608 |
+
|
| 609 |
+
for obs in state["evidence"]:
|
| 610 |
+
|
| 611 |
+
x = obs["delta_T"]
|
| 612 |
+
|
| 613 |
+
baseline = physics_model(
|
| 614 |
+
baseline_model,
|
| 615 |
+
x,
|
| 616 |
+
)
|
| 617 |
+
|
| 618 |
+
if correction_type == "constant":
|
| 619 |
+
|
| 620 |
+
correction = coefficient
|
| 621 |
+
|
| 622 |
+
elif correction_type == "linear":
|
| 623 |
+
|
| 624 |
+
correction = (
|
| 625 |
+
coefficient * x
|
| 626 |
+
)
|
| 627 |
+
|
| 628 |
+
elif correction_type == "quadratic":
|
| 629 |
+
|
| 630 |
+
correction = (
|
| 631 |
+
coefficient * x**2
|
| 632 |
+
)
|
| 633 |
+
|
| 634 |
+
else:
|
| 635 |
+
|
| 636 |
+
raise ValueError(
|
| 637 |
+
correction_type
|
| 638 |
+
)
|
| 639 |
+
|
| 640 |
+
prediction = (
|
| 641 |
+
baseline + correction
|
| 642 |
+
)
|
| 643 |
+
|
| 644 |
+
errors.append(
|
| 645 |
+
obs["observed_mass_transfer"]
|
| 646 |
+
- prediction
|
| 647 |
+
)
|
| 648 |
+
|
| 649 |
+
return math.sqrt(
|
| 650 |
+
sum(
|
| 651 |
+
error**2
|
| 652 |
+
for error in errors
|
| 653 |
+
)
|
| 654 |
+
/ len(errors)
|
| 655 |
+
)
|
| 656 |
+
|
| 657 |
+
|
| 658 |
+
def deterministic_revision_search(
|
| 659 |
+
state,
|
| 660 |
+
baseline_model,
|
| 661 |
+
):
|
| 662 |
+
"""
|
| 663 |
+
Search a deliberately small mathematical correction space.
|
| 664 |
+
|
| 665 |
+
The LLM may interpret the residual structure, but the
|
| 666 |
+
executable revised closure is selected and fitted by
|
| 667 |
+
deterministic numerical tools.
|
| 668 |
+
"""
|
| 669 |
+
|
| 670 |
+
candidates = {}
|
| 671 |
+
|
| 672 |
+
constant_c = fit_constant_correction(
|
| 673 |
+
state,
|
| 674 |
+
baseline_model,
|
| 675 |
+
)
|
| 676 |
+
|
| 677 |
+
candidates["constant"] = {
|
| 678 |
+
"coefficient": constant_c,
|
| 679 |
+
"rmse": correction_fit_rmse(
|
| 680 |
+
state,
|
| 681 |
+
baseline_model,
|
| 682 |
+
"constant",
|
| 683 |
+
constant_c,
|
| 684 |
+
),
|
| 685 |
+
}
|
| 686 |
+
|
| 687 |
+
linear_c = fit_linear_correction(
|
| 688 |
+
state,
|
| 689 |
+
baseline_model,
|
| 690 |
+
)
|
| 691 |
+
|
| 692 |
+
candidates["linear"] = {
|
| 693 |
+
"coefficient": linear_c,
|
| 694 |
+
"rmse": correction_fit_rmse(
|
| 695 |
+
state,
|
| 696 |
+
baseline_model,
|
| 697 |
+
"linear",
|
| 698 |
+
linear_c,
|
| 699 |
+
),
|
| 700 |
+
}
|
| 701 |
+
|
| 702 |
+
quadratic_c = fit_quadratic_correction(
|
| 703 |
+
state,
|
| 704 |
+
baseline_model,
|
| 705 |
+
)
|
| 706 |
+
|
| 707 |
+
candidates["quadratic"] = {
|
| 708 |
+
"coefficient": quadratic_c,
|
| 709 |
+
"rmse": correction_fit_rmse(
|
| 710 |
+
state,
|
| 711 |
+
baseline_model,
|
| 712 |
+
"quadratic",
|
| 713 |
+
quadratic_c,
|
| 714 |
+
),
|
| 715 |
+
}
|
| 716 |
+
|
| 717 |
+
best_type = min(
|
| 718 |
+
candidates,
|
| 719 |
+
key=lambda name:
|
| 720 |
+
candidates[name]["rmse"],
|
| 721 |
+
)
|
| 722 |
+
|
| 723 |
+
return (
|
| 724 |
+
best_type,
|
| 725 |
+
candidates[best_type]["coefficient"],
|
| 726 |
+
candidates,
|
| 727 |
+
)
|
| 728 |
+
|
| 729 |
+
|
| 730 |
+
# ============================================================
|
| 731 |
+
# Executable theory revision
|
| 732 |
+
# ============================================================
|
| 733 |
+
|
| 734 |
+
def register_revised_model(
|
| 735 |
+
parent_model,
|
| 736 |
+
correction_type,
|
| 737 |
+
coefficient,
|
| 738 |
+
):
|
| 739 |
+
|
| 740 |
+
new_index = len(
|
| 741 |
+
MODEL_REGISTRY
|
| 742 |
+
)
|
| 743 |
+
|
| 744 |
+
new_model_name = (
|
| 745 |
+
f"M{new_index}"
|
| 746 |
+
)
|
| 747 |
+
|
| 748 |
+
new_spec = deepcopy(
|
| 749 |
+
MODEL_REGISTRY[parent_model]
|
| 750 |
+
)
|
| 751 |
+
|
| 752 |
+
new_spec["description"] = (
|
| 753 |
+
f"revised boiling mass-transfer closure "
|
| 754 |
+
f"derived from {parent_model}"
|
| 755 |
+
)
|
| 756 |
+
|
| 757 |
+
new_spec["corrections"].append({
|
| 758 |
+
"type":
|
| 759 |
+
correction_type,
|
| 760 |
+
|
| 761 |
+
"coefficient":
|
| 762 |
+
coefficient,
|
| 763 |
+
})
|
| 764 |
+
|
| 765 |
+
MODEL_REGISTRY[
|
| 766 |
+
new_model_name
|
| 767 |
+
] = new_spec
|
| 768 |
+
|
| 769 |
+
synchronize_state_models()
|
| 770 |
+
|
| 771 |
+
return new_model_name
|
| 772 |
+
|
| 773 |
+
|
| 774 |
+
# ============================================================
|
| 775 |
+
# LLM interface
|
| 776 |
+
# ============================================================
|
| 777 |
+
|
| 778 |
+
def ask_agent(
|
| 779 |
+
system_prompt,
|
| 780 |
+
user_prompt,
|
| 781 |
+
):
|
| 782 |
+
|
| 783 |
+
response = ollama.chat(
|
| 784 |
+
model=LLM_MODEL,
|
| 785 |
+
messages=[
|
| 786 |
+
{
|
| 787 |
+
"role": "system",
|
| 788 |
+
"content": system_prompt,
|
| 789 |
+
},
|
| 790 |
+
{
|
| 791 |
+
"role": "user",
|
| 792 |
+
"content": user_prompt,
|
| 793 |
+
},
|
| 794 |
+
],
|
| 795 |
+
)
|
| 796 |
+
|
| 797 |
+
return (
|
| 798 |
+
response["message"]["content"]
|
| 799 |
+
)
|
| 800 |
+
|
| 801 |
+
|
| 802 |
+
# ============================================================
|
| 803 |
+
# Scientific agents
|
| 804 |
+
# ============================================================
|
| 805 |
+
|
| 806 |
+
def proposer(
|
| 807 |
+
state,
|
| 808 |
+
table,
|
| 809 |
+
):
|
| 810 |
+
|
| 811 |
+
prompt = f"""
|
| 812 |
+
SCIENTIFIC STATE
|
| 813 |
+
|
| 814 |
+
{json.dumps(state, indent=2)}
|
| 815 |
+
|
| 816 |
+
EXECUTABLE BOILING MASS-TRANSFER MODEL PREDICTIONS
|
| 817 |
+
|
| 818 |
+
{json.dumps(table, indent=2)}
|
| 819 |
+
|
| 820 |
+
You are the scientific hypothesis proposer.
|
| 821 |
+
|
| 822 |
+
The problem is constitutive modeling of interfacial mass
|
| 823 |
+
transfer in boiling.
|
| 824 |
+
|
| 825 |
+
The numerical predictions were computed by an external
|
| 826 |
+
physics tool and are authoritative.
|
| 827 |
+
|
| 828 |
+
Do NOT perform new arithmetic.
|
| 829 |
+
Do NOT invent additional models.
|
| 830 |
+
|
| 831 |
+
Using the current evidence:
|
| 832 |
+
|
| 833 |
+
1. identify which mass-transfer closures remain plausible,
|
| 834 |
+
2. explain their mathematical differences,
|
| 835 |
+
3. state what uncertainty remains.
|
| 836 |
+
|
| 837 |
+
Do not assign a microscopic boiling mechanism to a
|
| 838 |
+
mathematical term unless the evidence identifies it.
|
| 839 |
+
|
| 840 |
+
Be concise.
|
| 841 |
+
"""
|
| 842 |
+
|
| 843 |
+
return ask_agent(
|
| 844 |
+
"You are a rigorous boiling-physics hypothesis agent.",
|
| 845 |
+
prompt,
|
| 846 |
+
)
|
| 847 |
+
|
| 848 |
+
|
| 849 |
+
def critic(
|
| 850 |
+
state,
|
| 851 |
+
proposal,
|
| 852 |
+
scores,
|
| 853 |
+
):
|
| 854 |
+
|
| 855 |
+
prompt = f"""
|
| 856 |
+
SCIENTIFIC STATE
|
| 857 |
+
|
| 858 |
+
{json.dumps(state, indent=2)}
|
| 859 |
+
|
| 860 |
+
PROPOSER
|
| 861 |
+
|
| 862 |
+
{proposal}
|
| 863 |
+
|
| 864 |
+
COMPUTED TEST DISCRIMINATION SCORES
|
| 865 |
+
|
| 866 |
+
{json.dumps(scores, indent=2)}
|
| 867 |
+
|
| 868 |
+
You are an independent scientific critic evaluating
|
| 869 |
+
candidate boiling interfacial mass-transfer closures.
|
| 870 |
+
|
| 871 |
+
The numerical values were computed externally.
|
| 872 |
+
Do not recompute them.
|
| 873 |
+
|
| 874 |
+
Assess:
|
| 875 |
+
|
| 876 |
+
1. overclaiming,
|
| 877 |
+
2. evidence sufficiency,
|
| 878 |
+
3. surviving alternatives,
|
| 879 |
+
4. whether another thermal condition is required,
|
| 880 |
+
5. whether preference among existing closures could hide
|
| 881 |
+
model-class inadequacy.
|
| 882 |
+
|
| 883 |
+
Do not invent microscopic boiling physics.
|
| 884 |
+
"""
|
| 885 |
+
|
| 886 |
+
return ask_agent(
|
| 887 |
+
"You are a skeptical boiling-physics reviewer.",
|
| 888 |
+
prompt,
|
| 889 |
+
)
|
| 890 |
+
|
| 891 |
+
|
| 892 |
+
def select_next_test(
|
| 893 |
+
state,
|
| 894 |
+
proposal,
|
| 895 |
+
critique,
|
| 896 |
+
scores,
|
| 897 |
+
):
|
| 898 |
+
|
| 899 |
+
ranked = sorted(
|
| 900 |
+
scores.items(),
|
| 901 |
+
key=lambda x: x[1],
|
| 902 |
+
reverse=True,
|
| 903 |
+
)
|
| 904 |
+
|
| 905 |
+
prompt = f"""
|
| 906 |
+
CURRENT SCIENTIFIC STATE
|
| 907 |
+
|
| 908 |
+
{json.dumps(state, indent=2)}
|
| 909 |
+
|
| 910 |
+
PROPOSER
|
| 911 |
+
|
| 912 |
+
{proposal}
|
| 913 |
+
|
| 914 |
+
CRITIC
|
| 915 |
+
|
| 916 |
+
{critique}
|
| 917 |
+
|
| 918 |
+
AVAILABLE THERMAL CONDITIONS RANKED BY
|
| 919 |
+
COMPUTED MODEL DISCRIMINATION
|
| 920 |
+
|
| 921 |
+
{json.dumps(ranked, indent=2)}
|
| 922 |
+
|
| 923 |
+
Select ONE available Delta T condition for the next
|
| 924 |
+
synthetic boiling mass-transfer observation.
|
| 925 |
+
|
| 926 |
+
Return ONLY the numerical Delta T value.
|
| 927 |
+
"""
|
| 928 |
+
|
| 929 |
+
answer = ask_agent(
|
| 930 |
+
"You select informative falsification tests.",
|
| 931 |
+
prompt,
|
| 932 |
+
)
|
| 933 |
+
|
| 934 |
+
allowed = list(
|
| 935 |
+
scores.keys()
|
| 936 |
+
)
|
| 937 |
+
|
| 938 |
+
for value in sorted(
|
| 939 |
+
allowed,
|
| 940 |
+
reverse=True,
|
| 941 |
+
):
|
| 942 |
+
|
| 943 |
+
if str(value) in answer:
|
| 944 |
+
return value
|
| 945 |
+
|
| 946 |
+
return ranked[0][0]
|
| 947 |
+
|
| 948 |
+
|
| 949 |
+
def theory_revision_agent(
|
| 950 |
+
state,
|
| 951 |
+
best_model,
|
| 952 |
+
mismatch_score,
|
| 953 |
+
residuals,
|
| 954 |
+
revision_candidates,
|
| 955 |
+
):
|
| 956 |
+
|
| 957 |
+
prompt = f"""
|
| 958 |
+
SCIENTIFIC STATE
|
| 959 |
+
|
| 960 |
+
{json.dumps(state, indent=2)}
|
| 961 |
+
|
| 962 |
+
BEST CURRENT EXECUTABLE MASS-TRANSFER CLOSURE
|
| 963 |
+
|
| 964 |
+
{best_model}
|
| 965 |
+
|
| 966 |
+
NORMALIZED MODEL-MISMATCH SCORE
|
| 967 |
+
|
| 968 |
+
{mismatch_score}
|
| 969 |
+
|
| 970 |
+
COMPUTED RESIDUALS
|
| 971 |
+
|
| 972 |
+
{json.dumps(residuals, indent=2)}
|
| 973 |
+
|
| 974 |
+
DETERMINISTIC REVISION SEARCH
|
| 975 |
+
|
| 976 |
+
{json.dumps(revision_candidates, indent=2)}
|
| 977 |
+
|
| 978 |
+
The current model class is inadequate.
|
| 979 |
+
|
| 980 |
+
You are the theory-revision component of an autonomous
|
| 981 |
+
boiling-physics discovery system.
|
| 982 |
+
|
| 983 |
+
The numerical fitting was performed by external tools.
|
| 984 |
+
Do NOT recompute coefficients.
|
| 985 |
+
|
| 986 |
+
Interpret the evidence.
|
| 987 |
+
|
| 988 |
+
Answer concisely:
|
| 989 |
+
|
| 990 |
+
MATHEMATICAL INFERENCE:
|
| 991 |
+
What residual structure is supported?
|
| 992 |
+
|
| 993 |
+
MODEL REVISION:
|
| 994 |
+
What minimal constitutive correction is justified?
|
| 995 |
+
|
| 996 |
+
PHYSICAL HYPOTHESIS:
|
| 997 |
+
What, if anything, can be inferred about missing
|
| 998 |
+
interfacial mass-transfer physics?
|
| 999 |
+
|
| 1000 |
+
FALSIFICATION:
|
| 1001 |
+
What observation would most strongly challenge the
|
| 1002 |
+
revised closure?
|
| 1003 |
+
|
| 1004 |
+
Do not claim a specific microscopic boiling mechanism
|
| 1005 |
+
unless the evidence actually identifies one.
|
| 1006 |
+
"""
|
| 1007 |
+
|
| 1008 |
+
return ask_agent(
|
| 1009 |
+
(
|
| 1010 |
+
"You revise inadequate boiling mass-transfer "
|
| 1011 |
+
"closures using falsifiable numerical evidence."
|
| 1012 |
+
),
|
| 1013 |
+
prompt,
|
| 1014 |
+
)
|
| 1015 |
+
|
| 1016 |
+
|
| 1017 |
+
def final_evaluator(state):
|
| 1018 |
+
|
| 1019 |
+
mismatch_scores = (
|
| 1020 |
+
model_mismatch_scores(state)
|
| 1021 |
+
)
|
| 1022 |
+
|
| 1023 |
+
prompt = f"""
|
| 1024 |
+
FINAL SCIENTIFIC STATE
|
| 1025 |
+
|
| 1026 |
+
{json.dumps(state, indent=2)}
|
| 1027 |
+
|
| 1028 |
+
FINAL NORMALIZED MODEL-MISMATCH SCORES
|
| 1029 |
+
|
| 1030 |
+
{json.dumps(mismatch_scores, indent=2)}
|
| 1031 |
+
|
| 1032 |
+
You are the final scientific evaluator.
|
| 1033 |
+
|
| 1034 |
+
This is a synthetic benchmark for autonomous discovery
|
| 1035 |
+
of a boiling interfacial mass-transfer closure.
|
| 1036 |
+
|
| 1037 |
+
Use only the supplied numerical evidence.
|
| 1038 |
+
|
| 1039 |
+
Answer:
|
| 1040 |
+
|
| 1041 |
+
1. Which executable closure is best supported?
|
| 1042 |
+
2. Is it adequate within the observational uncertainty?
|
| 1043 |
+
3. Was the original model class falsified?
|
| 1044 |
+
4. Was a revised executable closure generated?
|
| 1045 |
+
5. What should be tested next?
|
| 1046 |
+
|
| 1047 |
+
Do not invent microscopic physics.
|
| 1048 |
+
"""
|
| 1049 |
+
|
| 1050 |
+
return ask_agent(
|
| 1051 |
+
"You are an evidence-based scientific judge.",
|
| 1052 |
+
prompt,
|
| 1053 |
+
)
|
| 1054 |
+
|
| 1055 |
+
|
| 1056 |
+
# ============================================================
|
| 1057 |
+
# Persistent scientific memory
|
| 1058 |
+
# ============================================================
|
| 1059 |
+
|
| 1060 |
+
trace = []
|
| 1061 |
+
|
| 1062 |
+
|
| 1063 |
+
def save_state():
|
| 1064 |
+
|
| 1065 |
+
with open(
|
| 1066 |
+
OUTPUT_DIR / "scientific_state.json",
|
| 1067 |
+
"w",
|
| 1068 |
+
) as f:
|
| 1069 |
+
|
| 1070 |
+
json.dump(
|
| 1071 |
+
state,
|
| 1072 |
+
f,
|
| 1073 |
+
indent=2,
|
| 1074 |
+
)
|
| 1075 |
+
|
| 1076 |
+
with open(
|
| 1077 |
+
OUTPUT_DIR / "trace.json",
|
| 1078 |
+
"w",
|
| 1079 |
+
) as f:
|
| 1080 |
+
|
| 1081 |
+
json.dump(
|
| 1082 |
+
trace,
|
| 1083 |
+
f,
|
| 1084 |
+
indent=2,
|
| 1085 |
+
)
|
| 1086 |
+
|
| 1087 |
+
with open(
|
| 1088 |
+
OUTPUT_DIR / "model_registry.json",
|
| 1089 |
+
"w",
|
| 1090 |
+
) as f:
|
| 1091 |
+
|
| 1092 |
+
json.dump(
|
| 1093 |
+
MODEL_REGISTRY,
|
| 1094 |
+
f,
|
| 1095 |
+
indent=2,
|
| 1096 |
+
)
|
| 1097 |
+
|
| 1098 |
+
|
| 1099 |
+
# ============================================================
|
| 1100 |
+
# Closed self-revising discovery loop
|
| 1101 |
+
# ============================================================
|
| 1102 |
+
|
| 1103 |
+
print("\n" + "=" * 72)
|
| 1104 |
+
print("BOILING INTELLIGENCE v0.4")
|
| 1105 |
+
print("Executable Mass-Transfer Closure Discovery")
|
| 1106 |
+
print("=" * 72)
|
| 1107 |
+
|
| 1108 |
+
|
| 1109 |
+
original_model_class_failed = False
|
| 1110 |
+
revision_generated = False
|
| 1111 |
+
revision_count = 0
|
| 1112 |
+
|
| 1113 |
+
MAX_REVISIONS = 1
|
| 1114 |
+
|
| 1115 |
+
|
| 1116 |
+
for round_id in range(
|
| 1117 |
+
1,
|
| 1118 |
+
MAX_ROUNDS + 1,
|
| 1119 |
+
):
|
| 1120 |
+
|
| 1121 |
+
state["round"] = round_id
|
| 1122 |
+
|
| 1123 |
+
print("\n" + "=" * 72)
|
| 1124 |
+
print(f"ROUND {round_id}")
|
| 1125 |
+
print("=" * 72)
|
| 1126 |
+
|
| 1127 |
+
table = prediction_table(
|
| 1128 |
+
state
|
| 1129 |
+
)
|
| 1130 |
+
|
| 1131 |
+
scores = discrimination_scores(
|
| 1132 |
+
state
|
| 1133 |
+
)
|
| 1134 |
+
|
| 1135 |
+
if not scores:
|
| 1136 |
+
|
| 1137 |
+
print(
|
| 1138 |
+
"\nNo unused thermal conditions remain."
|
| 1139 |
+
)
|
| 1140 |
+
|
| 1141 |
+
break
|
| 1142 |
+
|
| 1143 |
+
|
| 1144 |
+
# --------------------------------------------------------
|
| 1145 |
+
# 1. Hypothesis proposer
|
| 1146 |
+
# --------------------------------------------------------
|
| 1147 |
+
|
| 1148 |
+
print("\n[1] HYPOTHESIS PROPOSER")
|
| 1149 |
+
|
| 1150 |
+
proposal = proposer(
|
| 1151 |
+
state,
|
| 1152 |
+
table,
|
| 1153 |
+
)
|
| 1154 |
+
|
| 1155 |
+
print(proposal)
|
| 1156 |
+
|
| 1157 |
+
|
| 1158 |
+
# --------------------------------------------------------
|
| 1159 |
+
# 2. Critic
|
| 1160 |
+
# --------------------------------------------------------
|
| 1161 |
+
|
| 1162 |
+
print("\n[2] SCIENTIFIC CRITIC")
|
| 1163 |
+
|
| 1164 |
+
critique = critic(
|
| 1165 |
+
state,
|
| 1166 |
+
proposal,
|
| 1167 |
+
scores,
|
| 1168 |
+
)
|
| 1169 |
+
|
| 1170 |
+
print(critique)
|
| 1171 |
+
|
| 1172 |
+
|
| 1173 |
+
# --------------------------------------------------------
|
| 1174 |
+
# 3. Falsification-test designer
|
| 1175 |
+
# --------------------------------------------------------
|
| 1176 |
+
|
| 1177 |
+
print("\n[3] TEST DESIGNER")
|
| 1178 |
+
|
| 1179 |
+
delta_T = select_next_test(
|
| 1180 |
+
state,
|
| 1181 |
+
proposal,
|
| 1182 |
+
critique,
|
| 1183 |
+
scores,
|
| 1184 |
+
)
|
| 1185 |
+
|
| 1186 |
+
print(
|
| 1187 |
+
f"Selected ΔT = {delta_T}"
|
| 1188 |
+
)
|
| 1189 |
+
|
| 1190 |
+
|
| 1191 |
+
# --------------------------------------------------------
|
| 1192 |
+
# 4. Synthetic boiling physical world
|
| 1193 |
+
# --------------------------------------------------------
|
| 1194 |
+
|
| 1195 |
+
print(
|
| 1196 |
+
"\n[4] EXECUTABLE BOILING WORLD"
|
| 1197 |
+
)
|
| 1198 |
+
|
| 1199 |
+
observation = query_hidden_world(
|
| 1200 |
+
delta_T
|
| 1201 |
+
)
|
| 1202 |
+
|
| 1203 |
+
print(
|
| 1204 |
+
"Observed normalized mass transfer = "
|
| 1205 |
+
f"{observation['observed_mass_transfer']:.6f}"
|
| 1206 |
+
)
|
| 1207 |
+
|
| 1208 |
+
|
| 1209 |
+
# --------------------------------------------------------
|
| 1210 |
+
# 5. Evidence update
|
| 1211 |
+
# --------------------------------------------------------
|
| 1212 |
+
|
| 1213 |
+
print("\n[5] EVIDENCE UPDATE")
|
| 1214 |
+
|
| 1215 |
+
state["evidence"].append(
|
| 1216 |
+
observation
|
| 1217 |
+
)
|
| 1218 |
+
|
| 1219 |
+
state["posterior"] = (
|
| 1220 |
+
update_posterior(
|
| 1221 |
+
state,
|
| 1222 |
+
observation,
|
| 1223 |
+
)
|
| 1224 |
+
)
|
| 1225 |
+
|
| 1226 |
+
for model, probability in sorted(
|
| 1227 |
+
state["posterior"].items(),
|
| 1228 |
+
key=lambda x: x[1],
|
| 1229 |
+
reverse=True,
|
| 1230 |
+
):
|
| 1231 |
+
|
| 1232 |
+
print(
|
| 1233 |
+
f"{model}: "
|
| 1234 |
+
f"P = {probability:.4f}"
|
| 1235 |
+
)
|
| 1236 |
+
|
| 1237 |
+
|
| 1238 |
+
best_posterior_model = max(
|
| 1239 |
+
state["posterior"],
|
| 1240 |
+
key=state["posterior"].get,
|
| 1241 |
+
)
|
| 1242 |
+
|
| 1243 |
+
best_probability = (
|
| 1244 |
+
state["posterior"][
|
| 1245 |
+
best_posterior_model
|
| 1246 |
+
]
|
| 1247 |
+
)
|
| 1248 |
+
|
| 1249 |
+
|
| 1250 |
+
# --------------------------------------------------------
|
| 1251 |
+
# 6. Model adequacy
|
| 1252 |
+
# --------------------------------------------------------
|
| 1253 |
+
|
| 1254 |
+
best_model, mismatch = (
|
| 1255 |
+
best_model_by_mismatch(
|
| 1256 |
+
state
|
| 1257 |
+
)
|
| 1258 |
+
)
|
| 1259 |
+
|
| 1260 |
+
if mismatch is not None:
|
| 1261 |
+
|
| 1262 |
+
print(
|
| 1263 |
+
"\nBest closure by adequacy: "
|
| 1264 |
+
f"{best_model}"
|
| 1265 |
+
)
|
| 1266 |
+
|
| 1267 |
+
print(
|
| 1268 |
+
"Normalized mismatch = "
|
| 1269 |
+
f"{mismatch:.3f} sigma"
|
| 1270 |
+
)
|
| 1271 |
+
|
| 1272 |
+
|
| 1273 |
+
round_record = {
|
| 1274 |
+
|
| 1275 |
+
"round":
|
| 1276 |
+
round_id,
|
| 1277 |
+
|
| 1278 |
+
"proposal":
|
| 1279 |
+
proposal,
|
| 1280 |
+
|
| 1281 |
+
"critique":
|
| 1282 |
+
critique,
|
| 1283 |
+
|
| 1284 |
+
"test_scores":
|
| 1285 |
+
scores,
|
| 1286 |
+
|
| 1287 |
+
"selected_delta_T":
|
| 1288 |
+
delta_T,
|
| 1289 |
+
|
| 1290 |
+
"observation":
|
| 1291 |
+
observation,
|
| 1292 |
+
|
| 1293 |
+
"posterior":
|
| 1294 |
+
state["posterior"].copy(),
|
| 1295 |
+
|
| 1296 |
+
"best_model_by_adequacy":
|
| 1297 |
+
best_model,
|
| 1298 |
+
|
| 1299 |
+
"mismatch_score":
|
| 1300 |
+
mismatch,
|
| 1301 |
+
}
|
| 1302 |
+
|
| 1303 |
+
trace.append(
|
| 1304 |
+
round_record
|
| 1305 |
+
)
|
| 1306 |
+
|
| 1307 |
+
save_state()
|
| 1308 |
+
|
| 1309 |
+
|
| 1310 |
+
print(
|
| 1311 |
+
"\nCurrent Bayesian best candidate:",
|
| 1312 |
+
best_posterior_model,
|
| 1313 |
+
f"(P={best_probability:.4f})",
|
| 1314 |
+
)
|
| 1315 |
+
|
| 1316 |
+
|
| 1317 |
+
# --------------------------------------------------------
|
| 1318 |
+
# 7. Open-set model-class failure
|
| 1319 |
+
# --------------------------------------------------------
|
| 1320 |
+
|
| 1321 |
+
if (
|
| 1322 |
+
mismatch is not None
|
| 1323 |
+
and mismatch >= MODEL_MISMATCH_THRESHOLD
|
| 1324 |
+
and revision_count < MAX_REVISIONS
|
| 1325 |
+
):
|
| 1326 |
+
|
| 1327 |
+
print("\n" + "=" * 72)
|
| 1328 |
+
print("MODEL-CLASS FAILURE DETECTED")
|
| 1329 |
+
print("=" * 72)
|
| 1330 |
+
|
| 1331 |
+
original_model_class_failed = True
|
| 1332 |
+
|
| 1333 |
+
residuals = residual_table(
|
| 1334 |
+
state,
|
| 1335 |
+
best_model,
|
| 1336 |
+
)
|
| 1337 |
+
|
| 1338 |
+
(
|
| 1339 |
+
correction_type,
|
| 1340 |
+
coefficient,
|
| 1341 |
+
revision_candidates,
|
| 1342 |
+
) = deterministic_revision_search(
|
| 1343 |
+
state,
|
| 1344 |
+
best_model,
|
| 1345 |
+
)
|
| 1346 |
+
|
| 1347 |
+
print(
|
| 1348 |
+
"\nDeterministic residual search:"
|
| 1349 |
+
)
|
| 1350 |
+
|
| 1351 |
+
for name, result in (
|
| 1352 |
+
revision_candidates.items()
|
| 1353 |
+
):
|
| 1354 |
+
|
| 1355 |
+
print(
|
| 1356 |
+
f"{name:10s} "
|
| 1357 |
+
f"c={result['coefficient']:.6g} "
|
| 1358 |
+
f"RMSE={result['rmse']:.6g}"
|
| 1359 |
+
)
|
| 1360 |
+
|
| 1361 |
+
|
| 1362 |
+
print(
|
| 1363 |
+
"\n[6] THEORY REVISION AGENT"
|
| 1364 |
+
)
|
| 1365 |
+
|
| 1366 |
+
revision_text = (
|
| 1367 |
+
theory_revision_agent(
|
| 1368 |
+
state,
|
| 1369 |
+
best_model,
|
| 1370 |
+
mismatch,
|
| 1371 |
+
residuals,
|
| 1372 |
+
revision_candidates,
|
| 1373 |
+
)
|
| 1374 |
+
)
|
| 1375 |
+
|
| 1376 |
+
print(revision_text)
|
| 1377 |
+
|
| 1378 |
+
|
| 1379 |
+
# ----------------------------------------------------
|
| 1380 |
+
# 8. Compile revision into executable closure
|
| 1381 |
+
# ----------------------------------------------------
|
| 1382 |
+
|
| 1383 |
+
print(
|
| 1384 |
+
"\n[7] EXECUTABLE MODEL REVISION"
|
| 1385 |
+
)
|
| 1386 |
+
|
| 1387 |
+
new_model = register_revised_model(
|
| 1388 |
+
best_model,
|
| 1389 |
+
correction_type,
|
| 1390 |
+
coefficient,
|
| 1391 |
+
)
|
| 1392 |
+
|
| 1393 |
+
revision_count += 1
|
| 1394 |
+
revision_generated = True
|
| 1395 |
+
|
| 1396 |
+
revision_record = {
|
| 1397 |
+
|
| 1398 |
+
"parent_model":
|
| 1399 |
+
best_model,
|
| 1400 |
+
|
| 1401 |
+
"new_model":
|
| 1402 |
+
new_model,
|
| 1403 |
+
|
| 1404 |
+
"correction_type":
|
| 1405 |
+
correction_type,
|
| 1406 |
+
|
| 1407 |
+
"coefficient":
|
| 1408 |
+
coefficient,
|
| 1409 |
+
|
| 1410 |
+
"equation":
|
| 1411 |
+
model_to_string(
|
| 1412 |
+
new_model
|
| 1413 |
+
),
|
| 1414 |
+
|
| 1415 |
+
"agent_interpretation":
|
| 1416 |
+
revision_text,
|
| 1417 |
+
}
|
| 1418 |
+
|
| 1419 |
+
state[
|
| 1420 |
+
"revision_history"
|
| 1421 |
+
].append(
|
| 1422 |
+
revision_record
|
| 1423 |
+
)
|
| 1424 |
+
|
| 1425 |
+
trace.append({
|
| 1426 |
+
"event":
|
| 1427 |
+
"executable_model_revision",
|
| 1428 |
+
|
| 1429 |
+
**revision_record,
|
| 1430 |
+
})
|
| 1431 |
+
|
| 1432 |
+
|
| 1433 |
+
print(
|
| 1434 |
+
f"Created {new_model}"
|
| 1435 |
+
)
|
| 1436 |
+
|
| 1437 |
+
print(
|
| 1438 |
+
"Executable closure:"
|
| 1439 |
+
)
|
| 1440 |
+
|
| 1441 |
+
print(
|
| 1442 |
+
f"{new_model}: "
|
| 1443 |
+
f"{model_to_string(new_model)}"
|
| 1444 |
+
)
|
| 1445 |
+
|
| 1446 |
+
|
| 1447 |
+
# ----------------------------------------------------
|
| 1448 |
+
# Re-evaluate all accumulated evidence with M3
|
| 1449 |
+
# ----------------------------------------------------
|
| 1450 |
+
|
| 1451 |
+
recompute_posterior_from_all_evidence()
|
| 1452 |
+
|
| 1453 |
+
save_state()
|
| 1454 |
+
|
| 1455 |
+
|
| 1456 |
+
print(
|
| 1457 |
+
"\nRe-entering revised closure "
|
| 1458 |
+
"into falsification loop."
|
| 1459 |
+
)
|
| 1460 |
+
|
| 1461 |
+
continue
|
| 1462 |
+
|
| 1463 |
+
|
| 1464 |
+
# --------------------------------------------------------
|
| 1465 |
+
# Stop only when revised model has survived testing
|
| 1466 |
+
# --------------------------------------------------------
|
| 1467 |
+
|
| 1468 |
+
if (
|
| 1469 |
+
revision_generated
|
| 1470 |
+
and mismatch is not None
|
| 1471 |
+
and mismatch < MODEL_MISMATCH_THRESHOLD
|
| 1472 |
+
and round_id >= 4
|
| 1473 |
+
):
|
| 1474 |
+
|
| 1475 |
+
print("\n" + "=" * 72)
|
| 1476 |
+
print("REVISED CLOSURE SURVIVES FALSIFICATION")
|
| 1477 |
+
print("=" * 72)
|
| 1478 |
+
|
| 1479 |
+
print(
|
| 1480 |
+
f"{best_model}: "
|
| 1481 |
+
f"{model_to_string(best_model)}"
|
| 1482 |
+
)
|
| 1483 |
+
|
| 1484 |
+
break
|
| 1485 |
+
|
| 1486 |
+
|
| 1487 |
+
# ============================================================
|
| 1488 |
+
# Final assessment
|
| 1489 |
+
# ============================================================
|
| 1490 |
+
|
| 1491 |
+
print("\n" + "=" * 72)
|
| 1492 |
+
print("FINAL EVALUATION")
|
| 1493 |
+
print("=" * 72)
|
| 1494 |
+
|
| 1495 |
+
assessment = final_evaluator(
|
| 1496 |
+
state
|
| 1497 |
+
)
|
| 1498 |
+
|
| 1499 |
+
print(
|
| 1500 |
+
assessment
|
| 1501 |
+
)
|
| 1502 |
+
|
| 1503 |
+
|
| 1504 |
+
with open(
|
| 1505 |
+
OUTPUT_DIR / "final_assessment.txt",
|
| 1506 |
+
"w",
|
| 1507 |
+
) as f:
|
| 1508 |
+
|
| 1509 |
+
f.write(
|
| 1510 |
+
assessment
|
| 1511 |
+
)
|
| 1512 |
+
|
| 1513 |
+
|
| 1514 |
+
with open(
|
| 1515 |
+
OUTPUT_DIR / "discovered_models.txt",
|
| 1516 |
+
"w",
|
| 1517 |
+
) as f:
|
| 1518 |
+
|
| 1519 |
+
for model_name in MODEL_REGISTRY:
|
| 1520 |
+
|
| 1521 |
+
f.write(
|
| 1522 |
+
f"{model_name}: "
|
| 1523 |
+
f"{model_to_string(model_name)}\n"
|
| 1524 |
+
)
|
| 1525 |
+
|
| 1526 |
+
|
| 1527 |
+
print("\n" + "=" * 72)
|
| 1528 |
+
|
| 1529 |
+
if revision_generated:
|
| 1530 |
+
|
| 1531 |
+
print(
|
| 1532 |
+
"SELF-REVISING BOILING DISCOVERY LOOP COMPLETE"
|
| 1533 |
+
)
|
| 1534 |
+
|
| 1535 |
+
else:
|
| 1536 |
+
|
| 1537 |
+
print(
|
| 1538 |
+
"BOILING DISCOVERY LOOP COMPLETE"
|
| 1539 |
+
)
|
| 1540 |
+
|
| 1541 |
+
print("=" * 72)
|