| | import pandas as pd
|
| | import numpy as np
|
| | from sklearn.model_selection import train_test_split
|
| | from sklearn.preprocessing import StandardScaler
|
| | import tensorflow as tf
|
| | from tensorflow.keras.models import Sequential
|
| | from tensorflow.keras.layers import Dense, Conv1D, MaxPooling1D, Flatten, Dropout
|
| | import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
|
| |
|
| |
|
| | df = pd.read_csv("sp500_ratios.csv")
|
| |
|
| |
|
| | df = df.drop(columns=["Date", "Ticker"])
|
| | df = df.dropna()
|
| |
|
| |
|
| | target_column = "ROE - Return On Equity"
|
| | X = df.drop(columns=[target_column]).values
|
| | y = df[target_column].values
|
| |
|
| |
|
| | scaler = StandardScaler()
|
| | X_scaled = scaler.fit_transform(X)
|
| |
|
| |
|
| | X_scaled = X_scaled.reshape((X_scaled.shape[0], X_scaled.shape[1], 1))
|
| |
|
| |
|
| | X_train, X_test, y_train, y_test = train_test_split(X_scaled, y, test_size=0.2, random_state=42)
|
| |
|
| |
|
| | model = Sequential([
|
| | Conv1D(32, kernel_size=3, activation='relu', input_shape=(X_train.shape[1], 1)),
|
| | MaxPooling1D(pool_size=2),
|
| | Conv1D(64, kernel_size=3, activation='relu'),
|
| | MaxPooling1D(pool_size=2),
|
| | Flatten(),
|
| | Dense(128, activation='relu'),
|
| | Dropout(0.3),
|
| | Dense(1)
|
| | ])
|
| |
|
| | model.compile(optimizer='adam', loss='mse', metrics=['mae'])
|
| |
|
| |
|
| | history = model.fit(X_train, y_train, validation_split=0.2, epochs=50, batch_size=32, verbose=1)
|
| |
|
| |
|
| | loss, mae = model.evaluate(X_test, y_test)
|
| | print(f"\n✅ Test MAE: {mae:.4f}")
|
| |
|
| |
|
| | plt.plot(history.history['mae'], label='MAE Treino')
|
| | plt.plot(history.history['val_mae'], label='MAE Validação')
|
| | plt.xlabel("Épocas")
|
| | plt.ylabel("Erro Absoluto Médio")
|
| | plt.title("Performance do Modelo")
|
| | plt.legend()
|
| | plt.grid()
|
| | plt.tight_layout()
|
| | plt.show()
|
| |
|