release 12 (c7c011b97f)

.gitattributes

@@ -36,3 +36,4 @@ saved_model/**/* filter=lfs diff=lfs merge=lfs -text
 models/selectors/selector_20261003T201413Z.skops filter=lfs diff=lfs merge=lfs -text
 models/selectors/selector_20261023T075851Z.skops filter=lfs diff=lfs merge=lfs -text
 models/selectors/selector_20261024T160752Z.skops filter=lfs diff=lfs merge=lfs -text
+models/selectors/selector_20261026T112337Z.skops filter=lfs diff=lfs merge=lfs -text

models/policies/fly_20261026T112337Z.pt

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models/selectors/selector_20261026T112337Z.skops

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models/wallet_skill/2026-10-27.parquet

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models/wallet_skill/TABLE

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models/wallet_skill/TABLE.sha256

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release.json

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seed/release_seed.json

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187, \"first_day\": \"2026-04-19\", \"last_day\": \"2026-10-22\"}",
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+   "file": "selector_20261026T112337Z.skops",
+   "sha256": "ce5ece690558c843680bc6471620af6e4cbaf56220cdc97bc880ff32d6b7fa2d",
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0.3972746331236897, \"kelly\": 0.09}], \"selection\": {\"n\": 3815, \"win\": 0.418610747051114, \"pf\": 1.3241256060900268, \"total\": 169.53769310722942, \"mean\": 0.04443976228236682, \"weeks\": 11, \"weeks_pos\": 10, \"sign_ok\": true, \"admissible\": false, \"base_ok\": true, \"gate\": \"memecoin\"}, \"evaluation\": {\"n\": 5329, \"win\": 0.4635015950459749, \"pf\": 1.3654355935435227, \"total\": 266.2531313711588, \"mean\": 0.04996305711599903, \"weeks\": 11, \"weeks_pos\": 10, \"sign_ok\": true, \"admissible\": false, \"base_ok\": true, \"gate\": \"memecoin\"}}, \"capitulation\": {\"line\": 0.06415065631270384, \"hold_min\": 240, \"thr\": {\"neg_ret_1m\": null, \"top_sell_share_1m\": 0.7201443910598755, \"buyers_ret\": null}, \"high\": null, \"hours\": [], \"regimes\": [], \"sizing\": [{\"lo\": 0.0, \"n\": 787, \"mean\": 0.06376360671384244, \"win\": 0.4663278271918678, \"kelly\": 0.35000000000000003}, {\"lo\": 0.005217991769313812, \"n\": 787, \"mean\": 0.02759626687924303, \"win\": 0.409148665819568, \"kelly\": 0.11}, {\"lo\": 0.014101512730121613, \"n\": 787, \"mean\": 0.07861548767607546, \"win\": 0.44599745870393903, \"kelly\": 0.29}, {\"lo\": 0.03120937943458557, \"n\": 788, \"mean\": 0.07472622767360414, \"win\": 0.4263959390862944, \"kelly\": 0.18}], \"selection\": {\"n\": 3149, \"win\": 0.4369641155922515, \"pf\": 1.4702290023166773, \"total\": 192.65487672562972, \"mean\": 0.061179700452724584, \"weeks\": 11, \"weeks_pos\": 10, \"sign_ok\": true, \"admissible\": false, \"base_ok\": true, \"gate\": \"memecoin\"}, \"evaluation\": {\"n\": 4552, \"win\": 0.4677065026362039, \"pf\": 1.5364931734123555, \"total\": 313.7764169116872, \"mean\": 0.06893155028815624, \"weeks\": 11, \"weeks_pos\": 10, \"sign_ok\": true, \"admissible\": false, \"base_ok\": true, \"gate\": \"memecoin\"}}}, \"groups\": [\"skill\"], \"combine\": \"kelly\", \"veto\": null, \"fallback\": true, \"holdout\": {\"days\": [\"2026-10-02\", \"2026-10-22\"], \"rows\": 5363627, \"n\": 704, \"win\": 0.5866477272727273, \"pf\": 1.7751984812655084, \"total\": 54.143311675987206, \"mean\": 0.07690811317611819, \"weeks\": 3, \"weeks_pos\": 3, \"sign_ok\": false, \"admissible\": false, \"base_ok\": true, \"gate\": \"memecoin\", \"random_mean\": -0.03409828245639801}, \"chains\": {\"rh\": {\"days\": [\"2026-10-02\", \"2026-10-22\"], \"rows\": 488698, \"n\": 351, \"win\": 0.5754985754985755, \"pf\": 1.8486046732879287, \"total\": 26.254520017304458, \"mean\": 0.07479920232850273, \"weeks\": 3, \"weeks_pos\": 3, \"sign_ok\": false, \"admissible\": false, \"base_ok\": true, \"gate\": \"memecoin\", \"random_mean\": -0.04271039366722107, \"deployable\": true}, \"sol\": {\"days\": [\"2026-10-02\", \"2026-10-22\"], \"rows\": 4874929, \"n\": 353, \"win\": 0.5977337110481586, \"pf\": 1.7168250981515225, \"total\": 27.88879165868275, \"mean\": 0.07900507552034773, \"weeks\": 3, \"weeks_pos\": 3, \"sign_ok\": false, \"admissible\": false, \"base_ok\": true, \"gate\": \"memecoin\", \"random_mean\": -0.03740808740258217, \"deployable\": true}}, \"line\": 0.06030745718628166, \"costs\": \"real fees (pool fee by market cap, Jupiter 10 bps, network fee) + impact\", \"data\": {\"features\": 3, \"costs\": \"real-fees-sized-1\", \"selector\": \"multi-1\", \"cols\": \"86151dda\", \"skill\": \"h10-L30\", \"meta\": \"rug-1\", \"chains\": \"sol+rh-1\", \"rh_skill\": \"rh-h10-L30\", \"rh_costs\": \"pons-kyber-1:0.0445583:0.0222791:7.2e-06:0.0099\"}, \"deployable\": true, \"deploy_reason\": \"its backtest made +5.57% per trade after costs (random -4.69%); profit fallback (below 65 % winners)\", \"sizing\": [{\"lo\": 0.0, \"n\": 954, \"mean\": 0.033087956939179125, \"win\": 0.4329140461215933, \"kelly\": 0.15}, {\"lo\": 0.00405266135931015, \"n\": 953, \"mean\": 0.05407740008415178, \"win\": 0.4438614900314795, \"kelly\": 0.2}, {\"lo\": 0.01112888753414154, \"n\": 954, \"mean\": 0.03150095257640131, \"win\": 0.40041928721174, \"kelly\": 0.09}, {\"lo\": 0.02777288854122162, \"n\": 954, \"mean\": 0.05910284187543923, \"win\": 0.3972746331236897, \"kelly\": 0.09}], \"matched\": true, \"model\": {\"kind\": \"stack\", \"min_age_h\": 6.0, \"min_resq_sol\": 10.0, \"min_vol_15m_sol\": 5.0}, \"rows\": 45907757, \"days\": 187, \"first_day\": \"2026-04-19\", \"last_day\": \"2026-10-22\"}",
+   "source_id": 640
   },
   {
    "kind": "fly_selector",
-   "file": "fly_20261025T002640Z.pt",
-   "sha256": "fa998ffe7574292290e1d3a57e807ead71e0e9398648026223254f0713392cc4",
-   "note": "{\"mode\": \"matched\", \"S\": \"2026-10-23\", \"train_days\": [\"2026-04-19\", \"2026-10-22\"], \"train_through\": \"2026-10-22\", \"calibration_days\": null, \"line\": 0.09771357476711273, \"sizing\": [{\"lo\": 0.0, \"n\": 81, \"mean\": 0.19688254093103122, \"win\": 0.6172839506172839, \"kelly\": 0.97}, {\"lo\": 0.002965494990348816, \"n\": 80, \"mean\": 0.11558283678023144, \"win\": 0.6, \"kelly\": 0.71}, {\"lo\": 0.007459625601768494, \"n\": 80, \"mean\": 0.08505942010378931, \"win\": 0.55, \"kelly\": 0.37}, {\"lo\": 0.018756603822112083, \"n\": 81, \"mean\": 0.15791811909595574, \"win\": 0.5802469135802469, \"kelly\": 0.81}], \"lines\": {\"capitulation\": 0.09771357476711273}, \"chain_lines\": {\"rh\": {\"capitulation\": 0.09162341058254242}}, \"line_fit\": {\"rule\": \"match\", \"days\": [\"2026-09-23\", \"2026-10-22\"], \"rows\": 1656966, \"per_strategy\": {\"capitulation\": {\"line\": 0.09771357476711273, \"trades\": 322, \"mean\": 0.13910010563014782, \"total\": 44.790234012907604, \"hold_min\": 240, \"rule\": \"match\", \"teacher_trades\": 322, \"chain\": \"sol\", \"rows\": 1308689}, \"capitulation@rh\": {\"line\": 0.09162341058254242, \"trades\": 615, \"mean\": 0.09026781035832326, \"total\": 55.51470337036881, \"hold_min\": 240, \"rule\": \"match\", \"teacher_trades\": 615, \"chain\": \"rh\", \"rows\": 348277}}}, \"calibration\": {\"trades\": 485, \"mean\": 0.06646297394559651, \"total\": 32.23454236361431, \"source\": \"out of sample (the blind selector's own picks on the holdout days (no test fly))\"}, \"strategies\": [\"capitulation\"], \"rules\": {\"capitulation\": {\"thr\": {\"neg_ret_1m\": null, \"top_sell_share_1m\": 0.7201443910598755, \"buyers_ret\": null}, \"high\": null, \"hold_min\": 240}}, \"diagnostics\": {\"mbon_share\": 0.44139568083982084, \"mbon_saturated\": 0.010416666977107525, \"kc_active\": 0.0980706587433815, \"rows\": 15378, \"slope\": 1.037331732497466, \"rank_corr\": 0.9600102453836927}, \"gates_ok\": true, \"gate_failures\": [], \"fit\": {\"epochs\": [{\"epoch\": 0, \"mse\": 0.259820706897792, \"secs\": 4097.174347877502, \"rows\": 3353600, \"val_mse\": 0.17565241767319395, \"val_se\": 0.002556862302586521}, {\"epoch\": 1, \"mse\": 0.15289457679704854, \"secs\": 8339.783831834793, \"rows\": 3353600, \"val_mse\": 0.16553051068012486, \"val_se\": 0.0019874962214004063}, {\"epoch\": 2, \"mse\": 0.12445334718541334, \"secs\": 12547.947182893753, \"rows\": 3353600, \"val_mse\": 0.0988546346811898, \"val_se\": 0.001260754964410958}, {\"epoch\": 3, \"mse\": 0.10844374598380718, \"secs\": 16682.062430143356, \"rows\": 3353600, \"val_mse\": 0.1016186993084017, \"val_se\": 0.0011666289780841114}], \"stopped\": false, \"rows\": 3354106, \"training_rows\": 11082115, \"top_weight\": 10.0, \"strategies\": [\"capitulation\"], \"epochs_run\": 4, \"epoch_cap\": 40, \"val_rows\": 200000, \"val_mse\": 0.0988546346811898, \"early_stop\": \"epoch 3 moved the held-out error by -0.0028, inside its standard error 0.0012\"}, \"teacher\": \"matched stack: capitulation (line 0.0642, 240 min); fit on 2026-04-19..2026-10-22\", \"teacher_line\": 0.06415065631270384, \"teacher_stack\": null, \"data\": {\"features\": 3, \"costs\": \"real-fees-sized-1\", \"selector\": \"multi-1\", \"cols\": \"86151dda\", \"skill\": \"h10-L30\", \"meta\": \"rug-1\", \"chains\": \"sol+rh-1\", \"rh_skill\": \"rh-h10-L30\", \"rh_costs\": \"pons-kyber-1:0.0445583:0.0222791:7.2e-06:0.0099\", \"fly\": \"flynet-3-ch\", \"plastic\": \"mb4-ch\", \"teacher\": \"deployed-1\", \"calib\": \"match\", \"lines\": \"per-chain-1\"}, \"oos\": {\"days\": [\"2026-10-02\", \"2026-10-22\"], \"evidence\": {\"book\": \"the selector's own picks, every chain (no test fly; the live fly trades them at bootstrap)\", \"days\": [\"2026-10-02\", \"2026-10-22\"], \"trades\": 485, \"mean\": 0.06646297394559651, \"total\": 32.23454236361431, \"win\": 0.5484536082474227, \"random_mean\": -0.04057085141539574}, \"source\": \"the blind selector's own picks on the holdout days (no test fly)\"}, \"teacher_snapshot\": 595}",
-   "source_id": 604
+   "file": "fly_20261026T112337Z.pt",
+   "sha256": "59115da694c311e19a2e2172f7528d153704f777c94a48ef2063240e03d200ca",
+   "note": "{\"mode\": \"matched\", \"S\": \"2026-10-23\", \"train_days\": [\"2026-04-19\", \"2026-10-22\"], \"train_through\": \"2026-10-22\", \"calibration_days\": null, \"line\": 0.1128254383802414, \"sizing\": [{\"lo\": 0.0, \"n\": 133, \"mean\": 0.0839435238231637, \"win\": 0.6015037593984962, \"kelly\": 0.35000000000000003}, {\"lo\": 0.0021251868456602097, \"n\": 132, \"mean\": 0.08941052311495172, \"win\": 0.5606060606060606, \"kelly\": 0.29}, {\"lo\": 0.006383981555700302, \"n\": 132, \"mean\": 0.13191620821210867, \"win\": 0.6060606060606061, \"kelly\": 0.6900000000000001}, {\"lo\": 0.019339893013238907, \"n\": 133, \"mean\": 0.22546534677448812, \"win\": 0.9022556390977443, \"kelly\": 0.91}], \"lines\": {\"ev\": 0.1128254383802414, \"capitulation\": 0.12153208255767822}, \"chain_lines\": {\"rh\": {\"ev\": 0.10905077308416367, \"capitulation\": 0.11564972251653671}}, \"line_fit\": {\"rule\": \"match\", \"days\": [\"2026-09-23\", \"2026-10-22\"], \"rows\": 7470832, \"per_strategy\": {\"ev\": {\"line\": 0.1128254383802414, \"trades\": 530, \"mean\": 0.1327669968389805, \"total\": 70.36650832465966, \"hold_min\": 240, \"rule\": \"match\", \"teacher_trades\": 530, \"chain\": \"sol\", \"rows\": 6543914}, \"capitulation\": {\"line\": 0.12153208255767822, \"trades\": 322, \"mean\": 0.1442631481976215, \"total\": 46.452733719634125, \"hold_min\": 240, \"rule\": \"match\", \"teacher_trades\": 322, \"chain\": \"sol\", \"rows\": 1308689}, \"ev@rh\": {\"line\": 0.10905077308416367, \"trades\": 635, \"mean\": 0.09675341033904747, \"total\": 61.438415565295145, \"hold_min\": 240, \"rule\": \"match\", \"teacher_trades\": 635, \"chain\": \"rh\", \"rows\": 926918}, \"capitulation@rh\": {\"line\": 0.11564972251653671, \"trades\": 615, \"mean\": 0.09303718049460606, \"total\": 57.217866004182724, \"hold_min\": 240, \"rule\": \"match\", \"teacher_trades\": 615, \"chain\": \"rh\", \"rows\": 348277}}}, \"calibration\": {\"trades\": 704, \"mean\": 0.07690811317611819, \"total\": 54.143311675987206, \"source\": \"out of sample (the blind selector's own picks on the holdout days (no test fly))\"}, \"strategies\": [\"ev\", \"capitulation\"], \"rules\": {\"ev\": {\"thr\": {}, \"high\": null, \"hold_min\": 240}, \"capitulation\": {\"thr\": {\"neg_ret_1m\": null, \"top_sell_share_1m\": 0.7201443910598755, \"buyers_ret\": null}, \"high\": null, \"hold_min\": 240}}, \"diagnostics\": {\"mbon_share\": 0.34932275798645124, \"mbon_saturated\": 0.0, \"kc_active\": 0.09907865524291992, \"rows\": 50000, \"slope\": 1.1438891206019919, \"rank_corr\": 0.8924766337297922}, \"gates_ok\": true, \"gate_failures\": [], \"fit\": {\"epochs\": [{\"epoch\": 0, \"mse\": 0.41433780406299714, \"secs\": 5535.879990816116, \"rows\": 4600832, \"val_mse\": 0.3416606606513155, \"val_se\": 0.004577206672439408}, {\"epoch\": 1, \"mse\": 0.2390157750613064, \"secs\": 11217.026780843735, \"rows\": 4600832, \"val_mse\": 0.24706094191301992, \"val_se\": 0.0036836532332472477}, {\"epoch\": 2, \"mse\": 0.1927580231211577, \"secs\": 16861.734134674072, \"rows\": 4600832, \"val_mse\": 0.30909202229706056, \"val_se\": 0.005535308074508508}], \"stopped\": false, \"rows\": 4601150, \"training_rows\": 36022996, \"top_weight\": 10.0, \"strategies\": [\"ev\", \"capitulation\"], \"epochs_run\": 3, \"epoch_cap\": 40, \"val_rows\": 200000, \"val_mse\": 0.24706094191301992, \"early_stop\": \"epoch 2 moved the held-out error by -0.0620, inside its standard error 0.0055\"}, \"teacher\": \"matched stack: ev (line 0.0603, 240 min), capitulation (line 0.0642, 240 min); fit on 2026-04-19..2026-10-22\", \"teacher_line\": 0.06030745718628166, \"teacher_stack\": null, \"oos\": {\"days\": [\"2026-10-02\", \"2026-10-22\"], \"evidence\": {\"book\": \"the selector's own picks, every chain (no test fly; the live fly trades them at bootstrap)\", \"days\": [\"2026-10-02\", \"2026-10-22\"], \"trades\": 704, \"mean\": 0.07690811317611819, \"total\": 54.143311675987206, \"win\": 0.5866477272727273, \"random_mean\": -0.03409828245639801}, \"source\": \"the blind selector's own picks on the holdout days (no test fly)\"}, \"data\": {\"features\": 3, \"costs\": \"real-fees-sized-1\", \"selector\": \"multi-1\", \"cols\": \"86151dda\", \"skill\": \"h10-L30\", \"meta\": \"rug-1\", \"chains\": \"sol+rh-1\", \"rh_skill\": \"rh-h10-L30\", \"rh_costs\": \"pons-kyber-1:0.0445583:0.0222791:7.2e-06:0.0099\", \"fly\": \"flynet-3-ch\", \"plastic\": \"mb4-ch\", \"teacher\": \"deployed-1\", \"calib\": \"match\", \"lines\": \"per-chain-1\"}, \"teacher_snapshot\": 640}",
+   "source_id": 641
   }
  ],
  "verdict": {
@@ -3929,7 +3929,7 @@
   ],
   "plastic_beats_frozen": true
  },
- "pinned_selector_sha256": "e339ba3fbeac5761351abec7a8c7ebe56e771e03238fc24ba28e74107b033e4d",
+ "pinned_selector_sha256": "ce5ece690558c843680bc6471620af6e4cbaf56220cdc97bc880ff32d6b7fa2d",
  "autostart": {
   "pumpstream": true,
   "runner": true,

seed/seed.sql

@@ -1,6 +1,6 @@
 -- generated by tools/make_seed.py: the rows a fresh install needs to trade. Safe to re-run: nothing here overwrites.
-INSERT INTO brain_snapshots (id, ts, run_id, beat_id, path, sha256, kind, promoted_at, promoted_by, note) VALUES ('595', '2026-10-24 16:07:52.170082+00:00', NULL, NULL, '/app/data/brain/selectors/selector_20261024T160752Z.skops', 'e339ba3fbeac5761351abec7a8c7ebe56e771e03238fc24ba28e74107b033e4d', 'selector', NULL, NULL, '{"threshold": 0.06415065631270384, "horizon_min": 240, "trained_through": "2026-10-22", "walk_forward": {"n": 4552, "win": 0.4677065026362039, "pf": 1.5364931734123555, "total": 313.7764169116872, "mean": 0.06893155028815624, "weeks": 11, "weeks_pos": 10, "sign_ok": true, "admissible": false, "base_ok": true, "gate": "memecoin", "random_mean": -0.04184691235423088, "days": null}, "selection": {"n": 3148, "win": 0.43678526048284627, "pf": 1.470704754306509, "total": 192.80936273175553, "mean": 0.061248209254051944, "weeks": 11, "weeks_pos": 10, "sign_ok": true, "admissible": false, "base_ok": true, "gate": "memecoin"}, "random_baseline": {"mean": -0.04184691235423088}, "components": [{"name": "inputs: rug+flow+skill", "passed": false, "reason": "does not improve the ev strategy on the selection half", "selection": {}, "evaluation": null, "params": {"groups": ["rug", "flow", "skill"]}, "trials": 30, "best_seen": {"n": 14352, "win": 0.41680602006688966, "pf": 1.1287014263410529, "total": 191.9371692901277, "mean": 0.01337354858487512, "weeks": 11, "weeks_pos": 9, "sign_ok": true, "admissible": false, "base_ok": false, "gate": "memecoin"}}, {"name": "inputs: rug", "passed": false, "reason": "improves the ev strategy on the selection half, fails on the evaluation half", "selection": {"n": 2549, "win": 0.40800313848568065, "pf": 1.4282146239370004, "total": 136.5064732365222, "mean": 0.05355295144626214, "weeks": 11, "weeks_pos": 9, "sign_ok": true, "admissible": false, "base_ok": true, "gate": "memecoin"}, "evaluation": {"n": 2843, "win": 0.4621878297572986, "pf": 1.2370185587507287, "total": 87.06821277491326, "mean": 0.03062547055044434, "weeks": 11, 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-INSERT INTO brain_snapshots (id, ts, run_id, beat_id, path, sha256, kind, promoted_at, promoted_by, note) VALUES ('604', '2026-10-25 00:26:40.838741+00:00', NULL, NULL, '/app/data/brain/policies/fly_20261025T002640Z.pt', 'fa998ffe7574292290e1d3a57e807ead71e0e9398648026223254f0713392cc4', 'fly_selector', NULL, NULL, '{"mode": "matched", "S": "2026-10-23", "train_days": ["2026-04-19", "2026-10-22"], "train_through": "2026-10-22", "calibration_days": null, "line": 0.09771357476711273, "sizing": [{"lo": 0.0, "n": 81, "mean": 0.19688254093103122, "win": 0.6172839506172839, "kelly": 0.97}, {"lo": 0.002965494990348816, "n": 80, "mean": 0.11558283678023144, "win": 0.6, "kelly": 0.71}, {"lo": 0.007459625601768494, "n": 80, "mean": 0.08505942010378931, "win": 0.55, "kelly": 0.37}, {"lo": 0.018756603822112083, "n": 81, "mean": 0.15791811909595574, "win": 0.5802469135802469, "kelly": 0.81}], "lines": {"capitulation": 0.09771357476711273}, "chain_lines": {"rh": {"capitulation": 0.09162341058254242}}, "line_fit": {"rule": "match", "days": ["2026-09-23", "2026-10-22"], "rows": 1656966, "per_strategy": {"capitulation": {"line": 0.09771357476711273, "trades": 322, "mean": 0.13910010563014782, "total": 44.790234012907604, "hold_min": 240, "rule": "match", "teacher_trades": 322, "chain": "sol", "rows": 1308689}, "capitulation@rh": {"line": 0.09162341058254242, "trades": 615, "mean": 0.09026781035832326, "total": 55.51470337036881, "hold_min": 240, "rule": "match", "teacher_trades": 615, "chain": "rh", "rows": 348277}}}, "calibration": {"trades": 485, "mean": 0.06646297394559651, "total": 32.23454236361431, "source": "out of sample (the blind selector''s own picks on the holdout days (no test fly))"}, "strategies": ["capitulation"], "rules": {"capitulation": {"thr": {"neg_ret_1m": null, "top_sell_share_1m": 0.7201443910598755, "buyers_ret": null}, "high": null, "hold_min": 240}}, "diagnostics": {"mbon_share": 0.44139568083982084, "mbon_saturated": 0.010416666977107525, "kc_active": 0.0980706587433815, "rows": 15378, "slope": 1.037331732497466, "rank_corr": 0.9600102453836927}, "gates_ok": true, "gate_failures": [], "fit": {"epochs": [{"epoch": 0, "mse": 0.259820706897792, "secs": 4097.174347877502, "rows": 3353600, "val_mse": 0.17565241767319395, "val_se": 0.002556862302586521}, {"epoch": 1, "mse": 0.15289457679704854, "secs": 8339.783831834793, "rows": 3353600, "val_mse": 0.16553051068012486, "val_se": 0.0019874962214004063}, {"epoch": 2, "mse": 0.12445334718541334, "secs": 12547.947182893753, "rows": 3353600, "val_mse": 0.0988546346811898, "val_se": 0.001260754964410958}, {"epoch": 3, "mse": 0.10844374598380718, "secs": 16682.062430143356, "rows": 3353600, "val_mse": 0.1016186993084017, "val_se": 0.0011666289780841114}], "stopped": false, "rows": 3354106, "training_rows": 11082115, "top_weight": 10.0, "strategies": ["capitulation"], "epochs_run": 4, "epoch_cap": 40, "val_rows": 200000, "val_mse": 0.0988546346811898, "early_stop": "epoch 3 moved the held-out error by -0.0028, inside its standard error 0.0012"}, "teacher": "matched stack: capitulation (line 0.0642, 240 min); fit on 2026-04-19..2026-10-22", "teacher_line": 0.06415065631270384, "teacher_stack": null, "data": {"features": 3, "costs": "real-fees-sized-1", "selector": "multi-1", "cols": "86151dda", "skill": "h10-L30", "meta": "rug-1", "chains": "sol+rh-1", "rh_skill": "rh-h10-L30", "rh_costs": "pons-kyber-1:0.0445583:0.0222791:7.2e-06:0.0099", "fly": "flynet-3-ch", "plastic": "mb4-ch", "teacher": "deployed-1", "calib": "match", "lines": "per-chain-1"}, "oos": {"days": ["2026-10-02", "2026-10-22"], "evidence": {"book": "the selector''s own picks, every chain (no test fly; the live fly trades them at bootstrap)", "days": ["2026-10-02", "2026-10-22"], "trades": 485, "mean": 0.06646297394559651, "total": 32.23454236361431, "win": 0.5484536082474227, "random_mean": -0.04057085141539574}, "source": "the blind selector''s own picks on the holdout days (no test fly)"}, "teacher_snapshot": 595}') ON CONFLICT (id) DO NOTHING;
+INSERT INTO brain_snapshots (id, ts, run_id, beat_id, path, sha256, kind, promoted_at, promoted_by, note) VALUES ('640', '2026-10-26 11:23:37.316796+00:00', NULL, NULL, '/app/data/brain/selectors/selector_20261026T112337Z.skops', 'ce5ece690558c843680bc6471620af6e4cbaf56220cdc97bc880ff32d6b7fa2d', 'selector', NULL, NULL, '{"threshold": 0.06030745718628166, "horizon_min": 240, "trained_through": "2026-10-22", "walk_forward": {"n": 5804, "win": 0.4703652653342522, "pf": 1.4181068216419366, "total": 323.09947367423047, "mean": 0.05566841379638705, "weeks": 11, "weeks_pos": 11, "sign_ok": true, "admissible": false, "base_ok": true, "gate": "memecoin", "random_mean": -0.04685316979885101, "days": null}, "selection": {"n": 3861, "win": 0.4346024346024346, "pf": 1.3634279272221406, "total": 187.4208206071978, "mean": 0.04854204107930531, "weeks": 11, "weeks_pos": 10, "sign_ok": true, "admissible": false, "base_ok": true, "gate": "memecoin"}, "random_baseline": {"mean": -0.04685316979885101}, 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true, "reason": "its bands grow the evaluation half''s bankroll faster than the EV margin''s (+26.3 vs +17.1 bp a trade over 1024 trades); they size the strategy", "selection": {"n": 3861, "win": 0.4346024346024346, "pf": 1.3634279272221406, "total": 187.4208206071978, "mean": 0.04854204107930531, "weeks": 11, "weeks_pos": 10, "sign_ok": true, "admissible": false, "base_ok": true, "gate": "memecoin"}, "evaluation": {"n": 5804, "win": 0.4703652653342522, "pf": 1.4181068216419366, "total": 323.09947367423047, "mean": 0.05566841379638705, "weeks": 11, "weeks_pos": 11, "sign_ok": true, "admissible": false, "base_ok": true, "gate": "memecoin", "growth_per_trade": {"ev_bands": 0.001712223381164623, "correctness_bands": 0.0026271901935137863, "n_ev": 1024, "n_correctness": 1024, "below_cut": 0, "no_pclean": 0}}, "params": {"p0": 0.04147522523999214, "cut": 0.04147522523999214, "table": [{"lo": 0.0, "n": 787, "mean": 0.06061256972047152, "win": 0.3684879288437103, "kelly": 0.09}, {"lo": 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788, "mean": 0.07472622767360414, "win": 0.4263959390862944, "kelly": 0.18}], "selection": {"n": 3149, "win": 0.4369641155922515, "pf": 1.4702290023166773, "total": 192.65487672562972, "mean": 0.061179700452724584, "weeks": 11, "weeks_pos": 10, "sign_ok": true, "admissible": false, "base_ok": true, "gate": "memecoin"}, "evaluation": {"n": 4552, "win": 0.4677065026362039, "pf": 1.5364931734123555, "total": 313.7764169116872, "mean": 0.06893155028815624, "weeks": 11, "weeks_pos": 10, "sign_ok": true, "admissible": false, "base_ok": true, "gate": "memecoin"}}}, "groups": ["skill"], "combine": "kelly", "veto": null, "fallback": true, "holdout": {"days": ["2026-10-02", "2026-10-22"], "rows": 5363627, "n": 704, "win": 0.5866477272727273, "pf": 1.7751984812655084, "total": 54.143311675987206, "mean": 0.07690811317611819, "weeks": 3, "weeks_pos": 3, "sign_ok": false, "admissible": false, "base_ok": true, "gate": "memecoin", "random_mean": -0.03409828245639801}, "chains": {"rh": {"days": ["2026-10-02", "2026-10-22"], "rows": 488698, "n": 351, "win": 0.5754985754985755, "pf": 1.8486046732879287, "total": 26.254520017304458, "mean": 0.07479920232850273, "weeks": 3, "weeks_pos": 3, "sign_ok": false, "admissible": false, "base_ok": true, "gate": "memecoin", "random_mean": -0.04271039366722107, "deployable": true}, "sol": {"days": ["2026-10-02", "2026-10-22"], "rows": 4874929, "n": 353, "win": 0.5977337110481586, "pf": 1.7168250981515225, "total": 27.88879165868275, "mean": 0.07900507552034773, "weeks": 3, "weeks_pos": 3, "sign_ok": false, "admissible": false, "base_ok": true, "gate": "memecoin", "random_mean": -0.03740808740258217, "deployable": true}}, "line": 0.06030745718628166, "costs": "real fees (pool fee by market cap, Jupiter 10 bps, network fee) + impact", "data": {"features": 3, "costs": "real-fees-sized-1", "selector": "multi-1", "cols": "86151dda", "skill": "h10-L30", "meta": "rug-1", "chains": "sol+rh-1", "rh_skill": "rh-h10-L30", "rh_costs": "pons-kyber-1:0.0445583:0.0222791:7.2e-06:0.0099"}, "deployable": true, "deploy_reason": "its backtest made +5.57% per trade after costs (random -4.69%); profit fallback (below 65 % winners)", "sizing": [{"lo": 0.0, "n": 954, "mean": 0.033087956939179125, "win": 0.4329140461215933, "kelly": 0.15}, {"lo": 0.00405266135931015, "n": 953, "mean": 0.05407740008415178, "win": 0.4438614900314795, "kelly": 0.2}, {"lo": 0.01112888753414154, "n": 954, "mean": 0.03150095257640131, "win": 0.40041928721174, "kelly": 0.09}, {"lo": 0.02777288854122162, "n": 954, "mean": 0.05910284187543923, "win": 0.3972746331236897, "kelly": 0.09}], "matched": true, "model": {"kind": "stack", "min_age_h": 6.0, "min_resq_sol": 10.0, "min_vol_15m_sol": 5.0}, "rows": 45907757, "days": 187, "first_day": "2026-04-19", "last_day": "2026-10-22"}') ON CONFLICT (id) DO NOTHING;
+INSERT INTO brain_snapshots (id, ts, run_id, beat_id, path, sha256, kind, promoted_at, promoted_by, note) VALUES ('641', '2026-10-26 11:23:37.316796+00:00', NULL, NULL, '/app/data/brain/policies/fly_20261026T112337Z.pt', '59115da694c311e19a2e2172f7528d153704f777c94a48ef2063240e03d200ca', 'fly_selector', NULL, NULL, '{"mode": "matched", "S": "2026-10-23", "train_days": ["2026-04-19", "2026-10-22"], "train_through": "2026-10-22", "calibration_days": null, "line": 0.1128254383802414, "sizing": [{"lo": 0.0, "n": 133, "mean": 0.0839435238231637, "win": 0.6015037593984962, "kelly": 0.35000000000000003}, {"lo": 0.0021251868456602097, "n": 132, "mean": 0.08941052311495172, "win": 0.5606060606060606, "kelly": 0.29}, {"lo": 0.006383981555700302, "n": 132, "mean": 0.13191620821210867, "win": 0.6060606060606061, "kelly": 0.6900000000000001}, {"lo": 0.019339893013238907, "n": 133, "mean": 0.22546534677448812, "win": 0.9022556390977443, "kelly": 0.91}], "lines": {"ev": 0.1128254383802414, "capitulation": 0.12153208255767822}, "chain_lines": {"rh": {"ev": 0.10905077308416367, "capitulation": 0.11564972251653671}}, "line_fit": {"rule": "match", "days": ["2026-09-23", "2026-10-22"], "rows": 7470832, "per_strategy": {"ev": {"line": 0.1128254383802414, "trades": 530, "mean": 0.1327669968389805, "total": 70.36650832465966, "hold_min": 240, "rule": "match", "teacher_trades": 530, "chain": "sol", "rows": 6543914}, "capitulation": {"line": 0.12153208255767822, "trades": 322, "mean": 0.1442631481976215, "total": 46.452733719634125, "hold_min": 240, "rule": "match", "teacher_trades": 322, "chain": "sol", "rows": 1308689}, "ev@rh": {"line": 0.10905077308416367, "trades": 635, "mean": 0.09675341033904747, "total": 61.438415565295145, "hold_min": 240, "rule": "match", "teacher_trades": 635, "chain": "rh", "rows": 926918}, "capitulation@rh": {"line": 0.11564972251653671, "trades": 615, "mean": 0.09303718049460606, "total": 57.217866004182724, "hold_min": 240, "rule": "match", "teacher_trades": 615, "chain": "rh", "rows": 348277}}}, "calibration": {"trades": 704, "mean": 0.07690811317611819, "total": 54.143311675987206, "source": "out of sample (the blind selector''s own picks on the holdout days (no test fly))"}, "strategies": ["ev", "capitulation"], "rules": {"ev": {"thr": {}, "high": null, "hold_min": 240}, "capitulation": {"thr": {"neg_ret_1m": null, "top_sell_share_1m": 0.7201443910598755, "buyers_ret": null}, "high": null, "hold_min": 240}}, "diagnostics": {"mbon_share": 0.34932275798645124, "mbon_saturated": 0.0, "kc_active": 0.09907865524291992, "rows": 50000, "slope": 1.1438891206019919, "rank_corr": 0.8924766337297922}, "gates_ok": true, "gate_failures": [], "fit": {"epochs": [{"epoch": 0, "mse": 0.41433780406299714, "secs": 5535.879990816116, "rows": 4600832, "val_mse": 0.3416606606513155, "val_se": 0.004577206672439408}, {"epoch": 1, "mse": 0.2390157750613064, "secs": 11217.026780843735, "rows": 4600832, "val_mse": 0.24706094191301992, "val_se": 0.0036836532332472477}, {"epoch": 2, "mse": 0.1927580231211577, "secs": 16861.734134674072, "rows": 4600832, "val_mse": 0.30909202229706056, "val_se": 0.005535308074508508}], "stopped": false, "rows": 4601150, "training_rows": 36022996, "top_weight": 10.0, "strategies": ["ev", "capitulation"], "epochs_run": 3, "epoch_cap": 40, "val_rows": 200000, "val_mse": 0.24706094191301992, "early_stop": "epoch 2 moved the held-out error by -0.0620, inside its standard error 0.0055"}, "teacher": "matched stack: ev (line 0.0603, 240 min), capitulation (line 0.0642, 240 min); fit on 2026-04-19..2026-10-22", "teacher_line": 0.06030745718628166, "teacher_stack": null, "oos": {"days": ["2026-10-02", "2026-10-22"], "evidence": {"book": "the selector''s own picks, every chain (no test fly; the live fly trades them at bootstrap)", "days": ["2026-10-02", "2026-10-22"], "trades": 704, "mean": 0.07690811317611819, "total": 54.143311675987206, "win": 0.5866477272727273, "random_mean": -0.03409828245639801}, "source": "the blind selector''s own picks on the holdout days (no test fly)"}, "data": {"features": 3, "costs": "real-fees-sized-1", "selector": "multi-1", "cols": "86151dda", "skill": "h10-L30", "meta": "rug-1", "chains": "sol+rh-1", "rh_skill": "rh-h10-L30", "rh_costs": "pons-kyber-1:0.0445583:0.0222791:7.2e-06:0.0099", "fly": "flynet-3-ch", "plastic": "mb4-ch", "teacher": "deployed-1", "calib": "match", "lines": "per-chain-1"}, "teacher_snapshot": 640}') ON CONFLICT (id) DO NOTHING;
 SELECT setval('brain_snapshots_id_seq', GREATEST((SELECT max(id) FROM brain_snapshots), 1));
 INSERT INTO ui_settings (key, value) VALUES ('fly_replay', '{"S": "2026-09-09", "data": {"agg": 4, "fly": "flynet-3-ch", "cols": "86151dda", "meta": "rug-1", "calib": "match", "costs": "real-fees-sized-1", "lines": "per-chain-1", "score": "teacher", "skill": "h10-L30", "chains": "sol+rh-1", "rh_agg": 1, "plastic": "mb4-ch", "teacher": "deployed-1", "features": 3, "rh_costs": "pons-kyber-1:0.0445583:0.0222791:7.2e-06:0.0099", "rh_skill": "rh-h10-L30", "selector": "multi-1"}, "secs": 38337.81323695183, "alpha": 0.0001, "chains": {"rh": {"edge_p": 0.0005, "frozen": {"n": 1477, "pf": 1.2590082935365987, "win": 0.4685172647257955, "days": 16, "mean": 0.026347791776061058, "median": -0.012595674954354763, "days_positive": 11}, "passed": true, "random": {"n": 26586, "pf": 0.5751959068792711, "win": 0.3041450387421951, "mean": -0.046134307980537415, "median": -0.06115628033876419}, "reason": "its backtest made +2.66% per trade after costs over 1477 trades (random -4.61%; 0.1% of day resamples at or below zero)", "evaluation": {"n": 1477, "pf": 1.2612278943579527, "win": 0.4685172647257955, "days": 16, "mean": 0.02657903917133808, "median": -0.012595674954354763, "days_positive": 11}}, "sol": {"edge_p": 0.004, "frozen": {"n": 308, "pf": 1.4669271249617488, "win": 0.512987012987013, "days": 16, "mean": 0.0377873033285141, "median": 0.005911512766033411, "days_positive": 11}, "passed": true, "random": {"n": 6091, "pf": 0.458730469095968, "win": 0.5076342144147102, "mean": -0.04378599673509598, "median": 0.00037788774352520704}, "reason": "its backtest made +3.78% per trade after costs over 308 trades (random -4.38%; 0.4% of day resamples at or below zero)", "evaluation": {"n": 308, "pf": 1.4669271249617488, "win": 0.512987012987013, "days": 16, "mean": 0.0377873033285141, "median": 0.005911512766033411, "days_positive": 11}}}, "chosen": {"mean": 0.030173424631357193, "alpha": 0.0001, "total": 89.58489990234375, "config": 1, "trades": 2969, "governance": {"ic": 35, "any": 35, "drift": 0, "checks": 1482, "shadow": 0}, "half_life_days": 1.0}, "frozen": {"n": 1785, "pf": 1.2885933084122407, "win": 0.47619047619047616, "days": 16, "mean": 0.02832167036831379, "median": -0.009349760599434376, "random": {"n": 34226, "pf": 0.5107005230232796, "win": 0.47361654882253257, "mean": -0.0425419919192791, "median": -0.0014032165054231882}, "days_positive": 12}, "passed": true, "random": {"n": 34226, "pf": 0.5107005230232796, "win": 0.47361654882253257, "mean": -0.0425419919192791, "median": -0.0014032165054231882}, "reason": "sol: passed \u2014 its backtest made +3.78% per trade after costs over 308 trades (random -4.38%; 0.4% of day resamples at or below zero); rh: passed \u2014 its backtest made +2.66% per trade after costs over 1477 trades (random -4.61%; 0.1% of day resamples at or below zero)", "configs": [{"mean": 0.03036709874868393, "alpha": 0.0, "total": 91.28350067138672, "config": 0, "trades": 3006, "governance": {"ic": 0, "any": 0, "drift": 0, "checks": 0, "shadow": 0}, "half_life_days": null}, {"mean": 0.030173424631357193, "alpha": 0.0001, "total": 89.58489990234375, "config": 1, "trades": 2969, "governance": {"ic": 35, "any": 35, "drift": 0, "checks": 1482, "shadow": 0}, "half_life_days": 1.0}, {"mean": 0.032286640256643295, "alpha": 0.0001, "total": 67.99566650390625, "config": 2, "trades": 2106, "governance": {"ic": 28, "any": 29, "drift": 0, "checks": 1482, "shadow": 1}, "half_life_days": 3.0}, {"mean": 0.03781268000602722, "alpha": 0.0001, "total": 55.92495346069336, "config": 3, "trades": 1479, "governance": {"ic": 17, "any": 69, "drift": 0, "checks": 1482, "shadow": 52}, "half_life_days": 7.0}, {"mean": 0.04063548520207405, "alpha": 0.0001, "total": 48.437496185302734, "config": 4, "trades": 1192, "governance": {"ic": 7, "any": 40, "drift": 0, "checks": 1482, "shadow": 33}, "half_life_days": 30.0}, {"mean": 0.03773646801710129, "alpha": 0.0003, "total": 79.32205200195312, "config": 5, "trades": 2102, "governance": {"ic": 30, "any": 31, "drift": 0, "checks": 1482, "shadow": 1}, "half_life_days": 1.0}, {"mean": 0.04369469732046127, "alpha": 0.0003, "total": 42.51494216918945, "config": 6, "trades": 973, "governance": {"ic": 16, "any": 53, "drift": 0, "checks": 1482, "shadow": 37}, "half_life_days": 3.0}, {"mean": 0.05426740273833275, "alpha": 0.0003, "total": 37.17317199707031, "config": 7, "trades": 685, "governance": {"ic": 8, "any": 62, "drift": 0, "checks": 1482, "shadow": 54}, "half_life_days": 7.0}, {"mean": 0.034157898277044296, "alpha": 0.0003, "total": 20.494739532470703, "config": 8, "trades": 600, "governance": {"ic": 0, "any": 58, "drift": 0, "checks": 1482, "shadow": 58}, "half_life_days": 30.0}, {"mean": 0.04557060822844505, "alpha": 0.001, "total": 51.90492248535156, "config": 9, "trades": 1139, "governance": {"ic": 20, "any": 20, "drift": 0, "checks": 1482, "shadow": 0}, "half_life_days": 1.0}, {"mean": 0.03615965694189072, "alpha": 0.001, "total": 22.129711151123047, "config": 10, "trades": 612, "governance": {"ic": 5, "any": 53, "drift": 0, "checks": 1482, "shadow": 48}, "half_life_days": 3.0}, {"mean": 0.04262426868081093, "alpha": 0.001, "total": 21.3121337890625, "config": 11, "trades": 500, "governance": {"ic": 0, "any": 78, "drift": 0, "checks": 1482, "shadow": 78}, "half_life_days": 7.0}, {"mean": 0.023908229544758797, "alpha": 0.001, "total": 10.639162063598633, "config": 12, "trades": 445, "governance": {"ic": 0, "any": 66, "drift": 0, "checks": 1482, "shadow": 66}, "half_life_days": 30.0}, {"mean": 0.04726389795541763, "alpha": 0.003, "total": 46.224090576171875, "config": 13, "trades": 978, "governance": {"ic": 6, "any": 58, "drift": 0, "checks": 1482, "shadow": 52}, "half_life_days": 1.0}, {"mean": 0.03016720339655876, "alpha": 0.003, "total": 20.634366989135742, "config": 14, "trades": 684, "governance": {"ic": 0, "any": 137, "drift": 0, "checks": 1482, "shadow": 137}, "half_life_days": 3.0}, {"mean": 0.034875430166721344, "alpha": 0.003, "total": 21.832019805908203, "config": 15, "trades": 626, "governance": {"ic": 0, "any": 136, "drift": 0, "checks": 1482, "shadow": 136}, "half_life_days": 7.0}, {"mean": 0.03963538631796837, "alpha": 0.003, "total": 23.345243453979492, "config": 16, "trades": 589, "governance": {"ic": 0, "any": 199, "drift": 0, "checks": 1482, "shadow": 199}, "half_life_days": 30.0}], "per_day": {"2026-09-24": {"n": 120, "pf": 1.2096282469078616, "win": 0.4666666666666667, "mean": 0.019853290170431137, "median": -0.008774115703999996}, "2026-09-25": {"n": 130, "pf": 1.2343648703740158, "win": 0.46923076923076923, "mean": 0.022507645189762115, "median": -0.015695948153734207}, "2026-09-26": {"n": 159, "pf": 0.9110357851981143, "win": 0.4528301886792453, "mean": -0.010142914019525051, "median": -0.02541925199329853}, "2026-09-27": {"n": 134, "pf": 1.4929109749231875, "win": 0.44029850746268656, "mean": 0.046415600925683975, "median": -0.021206816658377647}, "2026-09-28": {"n": 146, "pf": 1.4797542117441214, "win": 0.3904109589041096, "mean": 0.06142570450901985, "median": -0.05863966420292854}, "2026-09-29": {"n": 128, "pf": 0.8905144422024887, "win": 0.4453125, "mean": -0.012050645425915718, "median": -0.02929481491446495}, "2026-09-30": {"n": 130, "pf": 2.164358561365056, "win": 0.5615384615384615, "mean": 0.0869135931134224, "median": 0.03113124519586563}, "2026-10-01": {"n": 94, "pf": 1.0760464155183325, "win": 0.48936170212765956, "mean": 0.008363611996173859, "median": -0.0028990297578275204}, "2026-10-02": {"n": 105, "pf": 0.9110992827614596, "win": 0.45714285714285713, "mean": -0.0093840342015028, "median": -0.004047797992825508}, "2026-10-03": {"n": 89, "pf": 1.5717055834211324, "win": 0.5393258426966292, "mean": 0.046940337866544724, "median": 0.02129359170794487}, "2026-10-04": {"n": 111, "pf": 1.5649065404247118, "win": 0.4864864864864865, "mean": 0.049075424671173096, "median": -0.005090842954814434}, "2026-10-05": {"n": 113, "pf": 1.2647730391586305, "win": 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1.2904917167018137, "win": 0.47619047619047616, "days": 16, "mean": 0.028513016179203987, "median": -0.009349760599434376, "days_positive": 12}, "strategies": ["capitulation"], "finished_at": "2026-10-10T23:37:21.188648+00:00", "trades_file": "/Users/bryce/Documents/code/fly-trader/data/brain/replay/trades_20261010T233728Z.json", "per_strategy": {"capitulation": {"alpha": 0.0001, "chosen": {"mean": 0.030173424631357193, "alpha": 0.0001, "total": 89.58489990234375, "config": 1, "trades": 2969, "governance": {"ic": 35, "any": 35, "drift": 0, "checks": 1482, "shadow": 0}, "half_life_days": 1.0}, "configs": [{"mean": 0.03036709874868393, "alpha": 0.0, "total": 91.28350067138672, "config": 0, "trades": 3006, "governance": {"ic": 0, "any": 0, "drift": 0, "checks": 0, "shadow": 0}, "half_life_days": null}, {"mean": 0.030173424631357193, "alpha": 0.0001, "total": 89.58489990234375, "config": 1, "trades": 2969, "governance": {"ic": 35, "any": 35, "drift": 0, "checks": 1482, "shadow": 0}, "half_life_days": 1.0}, {"mean": 0.032286640256643295, "alpha": 0.0001, "total": 67.99566650390625, "config": 2, "trades": 2106, "governance": {"ic": 28, "any": 29, "drift": 0, "checks": 1482, "shadow": 1}, "half_life_days": 3.0}, {"mean": 0.03781268000602722, "alpha": 0.0001, "total": 55.92495346069336, "config": 3, "trades": 1479, "governance": {"ic": 17, "any": 69, "drift": 0, "checks": 1482, "shadow": 52}, "half_life_days": 7.0}, {"mean": 0.04063548520207405, "alpha": 0.0001, "total": 48.437496185302734, "config": 4, "trades": 1192, "governance": {"ic": 7, "any": 40, "drift": 0, "checks": 1482, "shadow": 33}, "half_life_days": 30.0}, {"mean": 0.03773646801710129, "alpha": 0.0003, "total": 79.32205200195312, "config": 5, "trades": 2102, "governance": {"ic": 30, "any": 31, "drift": 0, "checks": 1482, "shadow": 1}, "half_life_days": 1.0}, {"mean": 0.04369469732046127, "alpha": 0.0003, "total": 42.51494216918945, "config": 6, "trades": 973, "governance": {"ic": 16, "any": 53, "drift": 0, "checks": 1482, "shadow": 37}, "half_life_days": 3.0}, {"mean": 0.05426740273833275, "alpha": 0.0003, "total": 37.17317199707031, "config": 7, "trades": 685, "governance": {"ic": 8, "any": 62, "drift": 0, "checks": 1482, "shadow": 54}, "half_life_days": 7.0}, {"mean": 0.034157898277044296, "alpha": 0.0003, "total": 20.494739532470703, "config": 8, "trades": 600, "governance": {"ic": 0, "any": 58, "drift": 0, "checks": 1482, "shadow": 58}, "half_life_days": 30.0}, {"mean": 0.04557060822844505, "alpha": 0.001, "total": 51.90492248535156, "config": 9, "trades": 1139, "governance": {"ic": 20, "any": 20, "drift": 0, "checks": 1482, "shadow": 0}, "half_life_days": 1.0}, {"mean": 0.03615965694189072, "alpha": 0.001, "total": 22.129711151123047, "config": 10, "trades": 612, "governance": {"ic": 5, "any": 53, "drift": 0, "checks": 1482, "shadow": 48}, "half_life_days": 3.0}, {"mean": 0.04262426868081093, "alpha": 0.001, "total": 21.3121337890625, "config": 11, "trades": 500, "governance": {"ic": 0, "any": 78, "drift": 0, "checks": 1482, "shadow": 78}, "half_life_days": 7.0}, {"mean": 0.023908229544758797, "alpha": 0.001, "total": 10.639162063598633, "config": 12, "trades": 445, "governance": {"ic": 0, "any": 66, "drift": 0, "checks": 1482, "shadow": 66}, "half_life_days": 30.0}, {"mean": 0.04726389795541763, "alpha": 0.003, "total": 46.224090576171875, "config": 13, "trades": 978, "governance": {"ic": 6, "any": 58, "drift": 0, "checks": 1482, "shadow": 52}, "half_life_days": 1.0}, {"mean": 0.03016720339655876, "alpha": 0.003, "total": 20.634366989135742, "config": 14, "trades": 684, "governance": {"ic": 0, "any": 137, "drift": 0, "checks": 1482, "shadow": 137}, "half_life_days": 3.0}, {"mean": 0.034875430166721344, "alpha": 0.003, "total": 21.832019805908203, "config": 15, "trades": 626, "governance": {"ic": 0, "any": 136, "drift": 0, "checks": 1482, "shadow": 136}, "half_life_days": 7.0}, {"mean": 0.03963538631796837, "alpha": 0.003, "total": 23.345243453979492, "config": 16, "trades": 589, "governance": {"ic": 0, "any": 199, "drift": 0, "checks": 1482, "shadow": 199}, "half_life_days": 30.0}], "plastic": true, "hold_min": 240, "half_life_days": 1.0}}, "half_life_days": 1.0, "selection_days": ["2026-09-09", "2026-09-23"], "evaluation_days": ["2026-09-24", "2026-10-09"], "plastic_beats_frozen": true}'::jsonb) ON CONFLICT (key) DO NOTHING;
 INSERT INTO ui_settings (key, value) VALUES ('autostart', '{"pumpstream": true, "runner": true, "train": false, "replay": false, "discover": false, "vault": true, "rh_stream": true}'::jsonb) ON CONFLICT (key) DO NOTHING;

tests/test_strategies.py

@@ -74,6 +74,8 @@ def test_stack_finds_the_planted_edge_and_decides_like_it(monkeypatch):
     assert set(np.unique(d["reason"])) <= ({"trade", "no strategy fires", "win filter (meta-label)"}
                                            | {r for r in d["reason"] if "veto" in r or "gated" in r or r.startswith("correctness")})
     assert any(n.startswith("correctness: ") for n in names)          # the correctness component is judged (kept or not)
+    book = next(c for c in st.components if c["name"] == "combination")
+    assert f"the walk-forward's last {S.RECENT_BOOK_DAYS} days" in book["reason"]   # memecoins choose the book on recent weeks
 
 
 def test_a_fit_that_clears_nothing_records_what_it_reached(monkeypatch):