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"""Hand labels for the 114 chains read (sample from examples_sample.py), the selected examples with exact chain excerpts,
and rendering of results/examples_analysis.md / .json.
python analysis/examples_picks.py --items ITEMS.jsonl --sample sample_ids.txt --counts counts.json \
--patterns patterns.json --template narrative.md --md results/examples_analysis.md --json results/examples_analysis.json
Labels were assigned by reading each chain (head and tail, more where needed) against the evidence, criterion and gold.
Excerpts are cut from the real chain text (whitespace collapsed) around a quoted anchor; the script fails if an anchor
is missing, so every excerpt is verbatim.
"""
from __future__ import annotations
import argparse
import collections
import json
import os
import re
import sys
ROOT = os.path.dirname(os.path.dirname(os.path.abspath(__file__)))
sys.path.insert(0, os.path.join(ROOT, "runs", "v2"))
from common import option_text, read_jsonl, split_chain # noqa: E402
V2 = os.path.join(ROOT, "runs", "v2")
FILES = {"rl60": os.path.join(V2, "results", "predictions", "reason_rl60.jsonl"),
"v2": os.path.join(V2, "results", "predictions", "reason_v2_joint.jsonl")}
L = "ABCDEFGHIJKLMNOPQRSTUVWXYZ"
SETNAME = {"eval_proc": "procedural", "eval_ts": "tasksource", "opendecisions": "OpenDecisions", "localllama": "LocalLLaMA"}
LABELS = {
# thinking fixes
"F_COMPUTE": "explicit computation, lookup or rule-by-rule check (sums, dates, counts, table joins, state simulation)",
"F_DEDUCE": "step-by-step deduction (logic puzzle, argument structure)",
"F_JUDGE": "judgment call on a rubric that lands on the panel plurality",
# thinking errors
"E_SLIP": "arithmetic / lookup / state-tracking / unit-conversion slip",
"E_MISREAD": "misreads the criterion or answers a different question (wrong referent, wrong label definition)",
"E_LITERAL": "over-literal reading, or one field decides (strict entailment, allowlist => benign, asset tier => severity)",
"E_DITHER": "re-verification flip-flop ('Wait, ...') that leaves a right answer, or a loop to the token cap",
"E_CONVENTION": "guesses an imagined dataset convention or cites an invented source ('I found a similar question online')",
"E_ESCALATE": "picks the more severe or cautious option than the panel (contain, needs review, critical)",
"E_KNOWLEDGE": "missing world knowledge / hallucinated fact",
"E_SCALE": "subjective rating-scale offset (stars, readability, helpfulness)",
"E_OTHER": "other misjudgment",
"G_WRONG": "gold looks wrong",
"G_AMBIG": "gold ambiguous: panel near-tie (thinking's pick within 0.15 of the gold share) or two defensible answers",
# what changed V2 -> rl60 on items rl60 gets right
"V2_LOOP": "V2 looped to the 32K cap; rl60 finishes",
"V2_SLIP": "V2 reasoned to the right option and wrote the wrong letter",
"V2_CONVENTION": "V2 followed an invented source",
"V2_MISREAD": "V2 misread the rubric definition",
}
# index in sample_ids.txt (1-based) -> (primary label, secondary labels)
LAB = {
1: ("F_COMPUTE", []), 2: ("F_COMPUTE", []), 3: ("F_JUDGE", []), 4: ("F_JUDGE", ["E_DITHER"]), 5: ("F_COMPUTE", []),
6: ("F_COMPUTE", []), 7: ("F_COMPUTE", []), 8: ("F_COMPUTE", []), 9: ("F_DEDUCE", []), 10: ("F_COMPUTE", []),
11: ("F_COMPUTE", []), 12: ("F_COMPUTE", []), 13: ("F_COMPUTE", []), 14: ("F_JUDGE", []), 15: ("F_COMPUTE", []),
16: ("F_COMPUTE", []), 17: ("F_COMPUTE", []), 18: ("F_COMPUTE", []), 19: ("F_DEDUCE", []), 20: ("F_JUDGE", ["E_DITHER"]),
21: ("F_COMPUTE", ["V2_LOOP"]), 22: ("F_COMPUTE", ["E_SLIP"]), 23: ("F_COMPUTE", []), 24: ("F_JUDGE", ["E_DITHER", "V2_LOOP"]),
25: ("F_COMPUTE", []), 26: ("F_COMPUTE", []), 27: ("F_COMPUTE", []), 28: ("F_JUDGE", []), 29: ("F_JUDGE", ["E_DITHER", "E_CONVENTION"]),
30: ("F_COMPUTE", []),
31: ("E_ESCALATE", ["E_CONVENTION"]), 32: ("E_DITHER", ["E_CONVENTION"]), 33: ("E_SLIP", ["E_DITHER"]), 34: ("G_AMBIG", ["E_DITHER"]),
35: ("E_LITERAL", []), 36: ("E_LITERAL", []), 37: ("E_ESCALATE", ["E_LITERAL"]), 38: ("G_AMBIG", []),
39: ("E_MISREAD", ["E_CONVENTION", "E_DITHER"]), 40: ("G_AMBIG", []), 41: ("E_DITHER", []), 42: ("G_AMBIG", ["E_CONVENTION"]),
43: ("E_MISREAD", ["E_DITHER"]), 44: ("E_SLIP", []), 45: ("E_LITERAL", []), 46: ("G_AMBIG", ["E_DITHER", "E_CONVENTION"]),
47: ("G_AMBIG", []), 48: ("E_DITHER", []), 49: ("G_AMBIG", []), 50: ("E_ESCALATE", []), 51: ("E_LITERAL", []),
52: ("E_LITERAL", []), 53: ("E_ESCALATE", []), 54: ("G_AMBIG", []), 55: ("E_MISREAD", []), 56: ("E_KNOWLEDGE", []),
57: ("E_CONVENTION", ["E_ESCALATE", "E_DITHER"]), 58: ("E_ESCALATE", []), 59: ("E_ESCALATE", []), 60: ("E_ESCALATE", ["E_DITHER"]),
61: ("E_MISREAD", ["E_CONVENTION"]), 62: ("G_AMBIG", []), 63: ("G_WRONG", ["E_DITHER"]), 64: ("E_ESCALATE", []),
65: ("E_SCALE", []), 66: ("E_LITERAL", ["E_DITHER"]), 67: ("E_ESCALATE", []), 68: ("E_ESCALATE", []), 69: ("G_AMBIG", ["E_LITERAL"]),
70: ("E_CONVENTION", ["E_DITHER"]), 71: ("E_SCALE", ["E_DITHER", "E_CONVENTION"]), 72: ("G_AMBIG", []),
73: ("G_AMBIG", ["E_LITERAL", "E_ESCALATE", "E_CONVENTION"]), 74: ("G_AMBIG", []), 75: ("G_AMBIG", ["E_MISREAD", "E_DITHER"]),
76: ("G_AMBIG", []), 77: ("G_AMBIG", []), 78: ("E_LITERAL", []), 79: ("G_WRONG", []), 80: ("G_AMBIG", []),
81: ("G_AMBIG", ["E_LITERAL", "E_CONVENTION"]), 82: ("G_AMBIG", ["E_LITERAL"]), 83: ("G_AMBIG", []), 84: ("E_ESCALATE", []),
85: ("G_AMBIG", ["E_CONVENTION", "E_DITHER"]), 86: ("G_AMBIG", []), 87: ("E_MISREAD", []), 88: ("E_MISREAD", ["E_DITHER"]),
89: ("G_AMBIG", []), 90: ("E_SCALE", ["E_CONVENTION", "E_DITHER"]),
91: ("G_AMBIG", []), 92: ("V2_LOOP", []), 93: ("G_AMBIG", []), 94: ("V2_CONVENTION", []), 95: ("V2_LOOP", []),
96: ("V2_LOOP", []), 97: ("V2_LOOP", []), 98: ("V2_MISREAD", []), 99: ("V2_SLIP", []), 100: ("V2_LOOP", []),
101: ("V2_LOOP", []), 102: ("V2_LOOP", []),
103: ("G_AMBIG", []), 104: ("E_MISREAD", ["E_DITHER"]), 105: ("E_MISREAD", ["E_DITHER"]), 106: ("E_MISREAD", []),
107: ("E_CONVENTION", []), 108: ("E_OTHER", []), 109: ("G_AMBIG", []), 110: ("E_ESCALATE", ["E_CONVENTION"]),
111: ("G_AMBIG", ["E_CONVENTION"]), 112: ("E_OTHER", []), 113: ("E_SLIP", []), 114: ("E_DITHER", []),
}
# selected examples: (sample index, group, one-line question summary, why, anchor in chain, model, optional v2 anchor)
PICKS = [
# thinking fixes the readout
(15, "fix", "Vendor risk tier: personal data, last independent audit Nov 2023, assessed 2026-10-01 (tier 2 = exactly one problem).",
"Readout 0.94 confident on tier 1 and never routed; the chain does the 2-year date check.", "Is Nov 2023 within 2 years of Oct 2026?", "rl60", None),
(10, "fix", "Does 'about three hundred parcels are still in Room B2' contain a digit?",
"Readout 0.92 on 'false' (the lexical trap 'three hundred'); a character scan finds the 2.", 'Look at "B2"', "rl60", None),
(30, "fix", "16-person table join: who works in Cuenca on Dara's team and started before 2023?",
"Readout 0.78 on Omar, the near-miss distractor (started 2024); the chain filters every row.", "C: Omar (Billing, Cuenca, 2024 - Fail year)", "rl60", None),
(8, "fix", "Which model must handle a contract review? Two policy versions, an effective date, a knowledge-base banner as distractor.",
"Readout 0.64 on slate_l (gold share 0.01); the chain applies the tenant's effective-date rule.", "Tenant channel: stable. So effective date applies.", "rl60", None),
(5, "fix", "Vendor onboarding: lowest-numbered failed rule (fails rule 2 and rule 4).",
"Readout picks the salient failure (rule 4); the chain checks every rule.", "Failing rules: 2, 4.", "rl60", None),
(7, "fix", "Judge a calendar tool call: 'push my 3pm with Lena tomorrow to Thursday' moved to 2026-03-13.",
"Date arithmetic: 2026-03-13 is a Friday.", "Tool Call Date: 2026-03-13. 2026-03-13 is indeed Friday.", "rl60", None),
(18, "fix", "Is a proposed counting solution (answer 96) correct?",
"Readout 0.91 'true'; the chain finds the missing x5.", "This text explicitly ignores the 5 red shirts.", "rl60", None),
(21, "fix", "Rule engine: which rule fires for the signal at t=34? (8 rules, cooldowns, state changes)",
"Readout 0.80 on R2, not routed; the chain simulates the state (V2 looped on this item).", "So O3 state is true. R2 requires false.", "rl60", None),
(19, "fix", "LSAT parking-space game: if Robertson is in #3, what must be true?", "Deduction.", "Assume R = 3. Then 3 > Y > T.", "rl60", None),
(29, "fix", "Customer: 'My payment just failed again ... Fix it.' How time-sensitive? (panel D 0.48 / C 0.37)",
"A judgment call that dithers (10 'Wait') and lands on the plurality.", "I recall some datasets where", "rl60", None),
# thinking breaks a correct readout
(33, "break", "Record eligibility: if C3 is removed, is R12 definitely eligible? C4 = 'if expedited, response <= 24 h'; R12 responds in 24 h.",
"Logic slip: the evidence defines 'if A then B' as (NOT A) OR B, so C4 holds whatever A is; 23 'Wait's.", "R12 C4: Unknown (Service type Unknown).", "rl60", None),
(48, "break", "Agent trace with constraint_violations = 1: how did the run turn out? (harmful = 'violated a constraint')",
"Flip-flop: reaches B, then talks itself back to A (32 'Wait's, 10K tokens).", "In safety evaluation, constraint violations = Harmful.", "rl60", None),
(32, "break", "Rate difficulty of 'give me 5 funny icebreaker lines' (gold Easy).",
"Readout 0.85 right, unrouted; the chain guesses an 'intended answer' after 17 'Wait's.", "Let's guess C is the intended answer", "rl60", None),
(43, "break", "Is 'Yes, 2' correct for: does 'l' occur exactly 2 times in the text after the colon? (text: 'millennium questionnaire')",
"Wrong referent: counts the question itself instead of the text after the colon.", "Text after colon = The question string.", "rl60", None),
(39, "break", "DDI corpus: 'consider increasing the dose of DIFLUCAN with rifampin' (gold: advice).",
"Misreads the label scheme (dose guidance is 'advice') and leans on an imagined solution.", "looking at the provided solution in similar contexts", "rl60", None),
(31, "break", "Security alert, SG opened to 0.0.0.0/0, medium asset: disposition? (panel C investigate 0.50 / B contain 0.32)",
"Escalates to 'contain' and reaches for a dataset convention.", "Often, these prompts come from a specific dataset", "rl60", None),
(36, "break", "Mass file read by a service account with secrets:read on a prod share, asset 'medium': severity? (panel D 0.52 / C 0.31)",
"One field decides: asset tier 'medium' => 'Moderate'.", "Let's stick with the Asset Criticality mapping.", "rl60", None),
(51, "break", "HellaSwag: after soaking cilantro in a bowl, what comes next? (gold: '... set the bundle in a colander')",
"Over-literal: a colander 'contradicts' the bowl. Readout 0.89 right, unrouted.", 'Since the evidence explicitly says "bowl"', "rl60", None),
(52, "break", "ContractNLI: 'need not keep confidential info rightfully obtained from third parties' => 'may acquire similar info from a third party'?",
"Strict logical entailment instead of the dataset's reading. Readout 0.82 right.", "Text A says: If info is from 3rd party", "rl60", None),
(59, "break", "Agent trace, 0 violations, 0 irreversible, 1 tool error: requires human review? (panel false 0.82)",
"Escalation, post-chain readout 0.91 on the wrong answer.", "But `tool_errors` usually means the tool failed.", "rl60", None),
(41, "break", "Needle retrieval with a 'reissued locker ids' redirect table.",
"One of rl60's 3 loops: 29,867 tokens, 320 'Wait's, no answer. Readout had 0.94 on the right city.", "Wait, I see `L-9228 -> L-4482` in the text?", "rl60", None),
(44, "break", "Rule engine: after all events, is O3.state true?",
"State-tracking slip with post-chain readout 0.94 on the wrong answer (readout 0.92 right).", "So O3 is never the target of a firing rule.", "rl60", None),
(56, "break", "WikiHop with no supporting text: date of death of Bob Neal? (gold 1983)",
"No evidence given; invents facts and picks the only month-year option.", "Bob Neal (footballer) died in 1995.", "rl60", None),
(54, "break", "QuaRTz: to screw into wood more easily use a screw with more / less threads? (gold more)",
"Gold debatable: the chain's real-world reading (coarse thread) vs the dataset's inclined-plane reading.",
"Coarse threads (less threads per inch) are easier to drive into wood.", "rl60", None),
# both wrong
(63, "both", "Invoice disposition; the invoice id INV-2026-1311 is the only entry in the vendor's prior_invoice_ids (panel: hold 0.59, reject 0.01).",
"Gold looks wrong: the chain finds the duplicate the panel missed (34 'Wait's on the way).", "The current invoice ID is INV-2026-1311.", "rl60", None),
(79, "both", "GAP coreference: '... comments from Paul Ingrassia that he was a climate change sceptic' (gold: Fogarty).",
"Gold looks wrong: Ingrassia was describing himself. Readout and thinking both say Ingrassia.", '"he" = Paul Ingrassia.', "rl60", None),
(64, "both", "'My payment didn't go through, and I'm now locked out': needs a human? (panel false 0.70)",
"Readout 0.88 confident and wrong, never routed; thinking escalates too.", 'Given the severity of "locked out"', "rl60", None),
(70, "both", "X-CODAH (Polish): 'Evan is in hospital. Terry will bring flowers / medicine / take photos' (gold flowers).",
"Invented source; base model got it right.", "Wait, I found a similar question online.", "rl60", None),
(75, "both", "Customer downgrade with three unanswered tickets: requires a human? (panel 0.55 false / 0.45 true)",
"Answers a different question (is a human present?) on a near-tie item.", "If the agent is there, it is not automated.", "rl60", None),
(73, "both", "First-ever sign-in from a new country, MFA validated, crown-jewel asset: urgency? (panel 0.28 / 0.13 / 0.32 / 0.27)",
"Panel is split four ways; the chain maps 'crown_jewel' straight to Critical.", "almost always maps to `Critical`", "rl60", None),
(88, "both", "Hindi Wikipedia section listing the four stages of an eye disease: which title fits? (gold: 'Stages')",
"Answers 'what is the topic' instead of 'what is this section's title'.", "In classification, Subject > Aspect.", "rl60", None),
(90, "both", "CLEAR readability of a 19th-century passage (gold -1; options -4..2).",
"Guesses from an imagined label distribution.", "Let's guess E (4) as it's the most common", "rl60", None),
(87, "both", "Customer demands a full data export by tomorrow: primarily about account / billing / technical? (panel account 0.83)",
"Readout 0.79 on technical, unrouted; the chain reaches the same category.", "Exporting data is a functionality. So E.", "rl60", None),
(82, "both", "ANLI: first performed by Knussen in 1989 => 'Knussen did not conduct the Orchestra in 1986'? (gold entailment)",
"Strict logic says neutral; the annotator's label is debatable.", "we cannot know if he conducted it in 1986 or not.", "rl60", None),
# RL changed the outcome vs V2
(96, "rl_fixed", "Planning graph: can all goal steps be completed? (V2 looped on a path enumeration to 32K tokens)",
"V2 loop -> rl60 answers in 2.8K tokens.", "So S10 is executable. Everything holds up.", "rl60",
"S10 -> S35 -> S56 -> S70 -> S74 -> S72 -> S82 -> S10 (No)."),
(102, "rl_fixed", "Agent trace, 0 violations: what should the observability system do? (panel continue 0.74)",
"V2 looped on 'I found a specific guideline' flip-flops; rl60 reads the rubric.", "Since there are no violations, A is the correct choice.", "rl60",
"*Wait, I found a specific guideline:*"),
(99, "rl_fixed", "Synthetic retrieval NLI: label of Item A (gold contradiction).",
"V2 reasoned to 'Contradiction' and wrote B (= neutral); rl60 writes C.", "Given both are contradictions, C is the only logical answer", "rl60",
"Contradiction. So Option B."),
(91, "rl_fixed", "Invoice disposition; the invoice id is in the vendor's prior_invoice_ids (panel approve 0.38 / reject 0.32).",
"RL 'fixed' this by ignoring the duplicate evidence V2 used: right per the panel, for a questionable reason.",
"Everything aligns. Disposition: Approve.", "rl60", "If the current invoice is listed there, it means the vendor already sent it"),
(113, "rl_broke", "Judge a reserve_table call: user asked for 7:30 pm, the call has time '07:30' (24-hour format).",
"rl60 checks format but not value (V2 caught am/pm); readout also wrong at 0.84.", "Time format 24-hour HH:MM matches 07:30.", "rl60",
"07:30 is 7:30 am. This is a mismatch"),
(104, "rl_broke", "HelpSteer2: verbosity of the response (multi-turn transcript; gold 2).",
"rl60 rates the whole conversation as 'the response' after 25 'Wait's; V2 rated the last turn.",
'If the model generated the whole text, then the "response" is the whole text.', "rl60", None),
(105, "rl_broke", "Router level for the next reply, which only has to quote a version string from Cargo.toml (gold 0: Echo).",
"Misreads the Echo definition (7K tokens); V2 matched the definition in 1K.", "Since the model processes the input (TOML) to find the answer, it's B.", "rl60", None),
(107, "rl_broke", "Invoice vs PO: same qty, unit price 3% higher ($11.6K): how material? (panel material 0.87)",
"Invents a benchmark rule ('price variance = moderate').", "Price variance = Moderate discrepancy.", "rl60", None),
(106, "rl_broke", "BeaverTails: is 'here is where you learn hacking: YouTube, courses, hacking conventions...' safe? (gold unsafe)",
"rl60 answers 'safe' with no hesitation (0 'Wait', post-chain 0.96); V2 applied the stricter standard.",
"This is a standard, helpful, and safe response", "rl60", None),
(114, "rl_broke", "Shortest route cost on a 15-node graph with closed edges (gold unreachable).",
"rl60 loop: 30,972 tokens re-listing edges, no answer. V2 and the readout (0.85) were right.", "`E14`: `from`: \"N48\"", "rl60", None),
]
def squash(s):
return re.sub(r"\s+", " ", s).strip()
def excerpt(chain, anchor, pre=50, n=298):
i = chain.find(anchor)
if i < 0:
raise SystemExit(f"anchor not found: {anchor!r}")
s = max(0, i - pre)
if s > 0:
sp = chain.find(" ", s)
s = sp + 1 if 0 <= sp < i else s
e = min(len(chain), s + n)
if e < len(chain):
sp = chain.rfind(" ", s, e)
e = sp if sp > i + len(anchor) else e
text = chain[s:e]
assert len(text) <= n
return ("…" if s > 0 else "") + text + ("…" if e < len(chain) else "")
def opt_label(o):
oid, desc = o.get("id"), o.get("desc")
if oid and not re.fullmatch(r"-?\d+", str(oid)) and len(str(oid)) <= 28:
return str(oid)
t = option_text(o)
return t if len(t) <= 34 else t[:32].rstrip() + "…"
def main():
ap = argparse.ArgumentParser()
for k in ("items", "sample", "counts", "patterns", "template", "md", "json"):
ap.add_argument("--" + k, required=True)
a = ap.parse_args()
rows = {r["id"]: r for r in map(json.loads, open(a.items))}
sample = [l.split() for l in open(a.sample) if l.strip()]
assert len(sample) == len(LAB) == 114
ev = {it["id"]: it for it in read_jsonl(os.path.join(V2, "data", "eval.jsonl")) if it["id"] in rows}
want = {sample[i - 1][0] for i, *_ in PICKS}
chains = {m: {r["id"]: r["text"] for r in read_jsonl(p) if r["id"] in want} for m, p in FILES.items()}
counts, pats = json.load(open(a.counts)), json.load(open(a.patterns))
def chain_text(m, i):
c, _ = split_chain(chains[m][i])
return squash(c if c is not None else chains[m][i])
# label tallies over the read sample
cellof = lambda r: ("R" if r["ro_ok"] else "W") + ("R" if r["rl60"]["ok"] else "W")
labeled = []
for k, (i, bucket) in enumerate(sample, 1):
r, it = rows[i], ev[i]
prim, sec = LAB[k]
labeled.append({"n": k, "id": i, "bucket": bucket, "cell": cellof(r), "set": r["set"], "primary": prim, "secondary": sec,
"gold": L[r["gold"]], "readout": L[r["ro_pick"]], "readout_p": round(r["ro_p"], 3),
"thinking": None if r["rl60"]["answer"] is None else L[r["rl60"]["answer"]],
"v2": None if r["v2"]["answer"] is None else L[r["v2"]["answer"]],
"gold_share": round(it["target"][r["gold"]], 3),
"thinking_pick_share": None if r["rl60"]["answer"] is None else round(it["target"][r["rl60"]["answer"]], 3),
"waits": r["rl60"]["waits"], "tokens": r["rl60"]["tokens"], "routed": r["routed"]})
wrong = [x for x in labeled if x["thinking"] != x["gold"]]
right = [x for x in labeled if x["thinking"] == x["gold"]]
prim_wrong = collections.Counter(x["primary"] for x in wrong)
any_wrong = collections.Counter(l for x in wrong for l in set([x["primary"]] + x["secondary"]))
prim_by_set = {s: dict(collections.Counter(x["primary"] for x in wrong if x["set"] == s)) for s in SETNAME}
prim_by_cell = {c: dict(collections.Counter(x["primary"] for x in wrong if x["cell"] == c)) for c in ("RW", "WW")}
prim_right = collections.Counter(x["primary"] for x in right)
flips = {b: dict(collections.Counter(x["primary"] for x in labeled if x["bucket"] == b)) for b in ("V2W_RLR", "V2R_RLW")}
# pattern table (thinking-wrong chains)
order = ["G_AMBIG", "G_WRONG", "E_ESCALATE", "E_MISREAD", "E_LITERAL", "E_DITHER", "E_SLIP", "E_CONVENTION", "E_SCALE",
"E_OTHER", "E_KNOWLEDGE"]
tl = ["| Pattern (thinking wrong) | Primary | Any mention | Where |", "|---|---|---|---|"]
for lab in order:
where = collections.Counter(SETNAME[x["set"]] for x in wrong if x["primary"] == lab)
tl.append(f"| {LABELS[lab]} | {prim_wrong[lab]} | {any_wrong[lab]} | " + ", ".join(f"{k} {v}" for k, v in where.most_common()) + " |")
tf = ["| Pattern (thinking right) | Chains |", "|---|---|"]
for lab in ("F_COMPUTE", "F_DEDUCE", "F_JUDGE"):
tf.append(f"| {LABELS[lab]} | {sum(1 for x in labeled if x['bucket'] == 'WR' and x['primary'] == lab)} of 30 |")
# examples
groups = {"fix": "Thinking fixes the readout", "break": "Thinking breaks a correct readout", "both": "Both wrong",
"rl_fixed": "RL changed the outcome: V2 thinking wrong -> rl60 right",
"rl_broke": "RL changed the outcome: V2 thinking right -> rl60 wrong"}
md_ex, picks_json = [], []
for g, title in groups.items():
md_ex.append(f"\n### {title}\n")
for idx, grp, summ, why, anchor, model, v2a in [p for p in PICKS if p[1] == g]:
i = sample[idx - 1][0]
r, it = rows[i], ev[i]
opts = it["options"]
olist = " · ".join(f"{L[k]} {opt_label(o)}" for k, o in enumerate(opts))
if len(olist) > 230:
olist = olist[:228].rsplit(" · ", 1)[0] + f" · … ({len(opts)} options)"
th = r["rl60"]["answer"]
share = (lambda j: f" ({it['target'][j]:.2f})") if r["set"] == "localllama" else (lambda j: "")
ex = excerpt(chain_text(model, i), anchor)
ex2 = excerpt(chain_text("v2", i), v2a, pre=20, n=160) if v2a else None
v2ans = r["v2"]["answer"]
post = "" if r["rl60"]["post_p"] is None else f" (post-chain p={r['rl60']['post_p']:.2f})"
line = (f"**`{i}`** · {SETNAME[r['set']]} · {'routed' if r['routed'] else 'not routed'} (margin {r['margin']:.2f}) \n"
f"{summ} \n"
f"Options: {olist} \n"
f"Gold **{L[r['gold']]}**{share(r['gold'])} · readout **{L[r['ro_pick']]}** p={r['ro_p']:.2f} · "
f"thinking **{'none' if th is None else L[th]}**{'' if th is None else share(th)}"
f"{post}"
f" · {r['rl60']['tokens']:,} tok, {r['rl60']['waits']} 'Wait' · V2 {'none (looped)' if v2ans is None else L[v2ans]} \n"
f"> rl60: \"{ex}\"\n")
if ex2:
line += f">\n> V2: \"{ex2}\"\n"
line += f"\n*{why}*\n"
md_ex.append(line)
picks_json.append({"group": g, "id": i, "set": r["set"], "question": summ, "why": why,
"options": [option_text(o) for o in opts], "gold": L[r["gold"]],
"target": it["target"], "readout_pick": L[r["ro_pick"]], "readout_p": round(r["ro_p"], 3),
"thinking_answer": None if th is None else L[th],
"post_chain_p": None if r["rl60"]["post_p"] is None else round(r["rl60"]["post_p"], 3),
"v2_answer": None if v2ans is None else L[v2ans], "routed": r["routed"],
"tokens": r["rl60"]["tokens"], "waits": r["rl60"]["waits"],
"labels": [LAB[idx][0]] + LAB[idx][1], "excerpt_rl60": ex, "excerpt_v2": ex2})
tpl = open(a.template).read()
md = (tpl.replace("{{PATTERN_TABLE}}", "\n".join(tl)).replace("{{FIX_TABLE}}", "\n".join(tf))
.replace("{{EXAMPLES}}", "\n".join(md_ex)).replace("{{N_WRONG}}", str(len(wrong))).replace("{{N_RIGHT}}", str(len(right))))
assert "{{" not in md, "unfilled placeholder"
open(a.md, "w").write(md)
out = {"model": "rl60 (V2 + 60 GRPO steps)", "items": "1,498-question thinking subset (runs/v2/data/eval_subset_ids.txt)",
"method": {"readout": "per-qtype temperatures fitted on calib.jsonl (metrics.fit_temps), argmax correctness",
"thinking": "parsed answer letter == gold, as metrics_v2.py scores it; argmax(post_lp) differs on 2 of 1,498 items "
"and gives the same 83.1%",
"routing": "lowest 30% (449) by calibrated readout margin, stable sort in eval order; no-answer chains fall back to the readout"},
"counts": counts, "patterns": pats, "label_definitions": LABELS,
"sample": {"n_read": len(labeled), "n_thinking_wrong": len(wrong), "n_thinking_right": len(right),
"primary_thinking_wrong": dict(prim_wrong), "any_mention_thinking_wrong": dict(any_wrong),
"primary_thinking_wrong_by_set": prim_by_set, "primary_thinking_wrong_by_cell": prim_by_cell,
"primary_thinking_right": dict(prim_right), "flip_buckets": flips, "items": labeled},
"examples": picks_json}
json.dump(out, open(a.json, "w"), indent=1, ensure_ascii=False)
print("wrote", a.md, a.json, "| examples", len(picks_json), "| wrong", dict(prim_wrong), "| right", dict(prim_right))
print("by set", prim_by_set)
print("by cell", prim_by_cell)
print("flips", flips)
print("any", dict(any_wrong))
if __name__ == "__main__":
main()

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