Buckets:
| { | |
| "openreview_id": "MrIDZjIsNF", | |
| "arxiv": "2602.01381", | |
| "claims": [ | |
| { | |
| "claim_index": 1, | |
| "registered_claim": "Under Assumption 3.2 (uniform Bellman error bound ε), if ε = O(1/T), SMC-based inference-time scaling attains a target TV error with particle/time complexity that is polynomial rather than exponential in the horizon T (Section 5, Theorem 5.1, Corollary 5.2).", | |
| "source_status": "confirmed", | |
| "source_page": "4; 6", | |
| "anchor": "Assumption 3.2; Theorem 5.1; Corollary 5.2", | |
| "note": "The uniform Bellman-error assumption and particle bound imply polynomial complexity when ε scales as O(1/T); Corollary 5.2 states the corresponding naive-proposal SMC runtime.", | |
| "claim": 1 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "claim_index": 2, | |
| "registered_claim": "Without reward guidance, the number of samples needed to hit the target region grows as Ω(L^(2T/3)), an exponential lower bound in T (Section 4, Theorem 4.1).", | |
| "source_status": "misstated", | |
| "source_page": 5, | |
| "anchor": "Theorem 4.1 (LB1)", | |
| "note": "The Ω(L^(2T/3)) lower bound is correct, but the theorem's algorithm is given and may query V-hat satisfying the ratio-bound Assumption 3.1. Thus 'without reward guidance' is not the theorem's literal scope; the paper's contribution summary more narrowly calls it 'without intermediate guidance.'", | |
| "claim": 2 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "claim_index": 3, | |
| "registered_claim": "Even with a Bellman-error-bounded reward model, sampling complexity is lower-bounded by Ω((1+ε)^(2T/3)), showing guidance alone cannot remove exponential dependence unless ε shrinks with T (Section 4, Corollary 4.2).", | |
| "source_status": "confirmed", | |
| "source_page": 5, | |
| "anchor": "Corollary 4.2 (LB2)", | |
| "note": "Under Assumptions 3.1 and 3.2, the corollary gives Ω((1+ε)^(2T/3)); a fixed positive ε therefore retains exponential dependence.", | |
| "claim": 3 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "claim_index": 4, | |
| "registered_claim": "For single-particle guided SMC, the total-variation error is bounded by 2Tε, so guidance fails to control error once ε ≥ 1/(2T) (Section 4, Theorem 4.3).", | |
| "source_status": "ambiguous", | |
| "source_page": 5, | |
| "anchor": "Theorem 4.3 (SP-gSMC TV error) and following discussion", | |
| "note": "The theorem proves the upper bound ||π-tilde_t−π-hat_t||_TV ≤ 2tε. The text says this guarantee becomes non-informative around ε≥1/(2T), but an upper bound becoming vacuous does not prove that the algorithm's actual error is uncontrolled or that guidance necessarily fails.", | |
| "claim": 4 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "claim_index": 5, | |
| "registered_claim": "Theorem 5.1 establishes a particle complexity bound N ≥ L^6 T(1+ε)^(6(T-1))/(2δ_TV) for SMC to achieve TV error δ_TV (Section 5, Theorem 5.1).", | |
| "source_status": "confirmed", | |
| "source_page": 6, | |
| "anchor": "Theorem 5.1 (Particles Complexity)", | |
| "note": "The theorem displays the registered sufficient particle threshold for target total-variation error.", | |
| "claim": 5 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "claim_index": 6, | |
| "registered_claim": "A resampling-pool Metropolis-Hastings chain-based approach achieves the target accuracy with time complexity Õ(L T^3 log(1/δ) log(1/δ_TV)) (Section 6, Theorem 6.1).", | |
| "source_status": "confirmed", | |
| "source_page": 7, | |
| "anchor": "Algorithm 2; Theorem 6.1", | |
| "note": "The resampling-pool MH construction has the stated soft-O runtime on the theorem's good event, which holds with probability at least 1−δ.", | |
| "claim": 6 | |
| } | |
| ] | |
| } |
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