| { | |
| "holdout": { | |
| "xgboost": { | |
| "mae": 279.39, | |
| "rmse": 389.85, | |
| "mape": 12.24, | |
| "r2": 0.9716 | |
| }, | |
| "naive": { | |
| "lag_1": { | |
| "mae": 639.67, | |
| "rmse": 831.09, | |
| "mape": 31.24 | |
| }, | |
| "lag_24": { | |
| "mae": 873.04, | |
| "rmse": 1406.69, | |
| "mape": 61.3 | |
| }, | |
| "lag_168": { | |
| "mae": 270.05, | |
| "rmse": 418.94, | |
| "mape": 7.82 | |
| } | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| "walk_forward": { | |
| "xgboost_mae": 384.2, | |
| "naive_lag_168_mae": 427.32, | |
| "xgboost_per_fold_mae": [ | |
| 600.3, | |
| 402.5, | |
| 399.1, | |
| 252.6, | |
| 266.5 | |
| ], | |
| "beats_naive_walkforward": true | |
| }, | |
| "top_features": { | |
| "lag_1": 0.5144, | |
| "lag_168": 0.2505, | |
| "hour": 0.1141, | |
| "lag_24": 0.0448 | |
| }, | |
| "primary_metric": "walk_forward_mae" | |
| } |