docs: add model card, add input_size to metadata
Browse files- README.md +157 -0
- training_metadata.json +2 -1
README.md
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| 1 |
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---
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| 2 |
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license: mit
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| 3 |
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language:
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- en
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tags:
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- welfare
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- forecasting
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- time-series
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- pytorch
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- ethics
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- phi-humanity
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library_name: pytorch
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pipeline_tag: time-series-forecasting
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datasets:
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- synthetic
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metrics:
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- mse
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model-index:
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- name: PhiForecasterGPU
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results:
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- task:
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type: time-series-forecasting
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name: Welfare Trajectory Forecasting
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metrics:
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- name: Best Validation Loss (MSE)
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type: mse
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value: 0.000196
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---
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# PhiForecasterGPU β Welfare Trajectory Forecaster
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A CNN+LSTM+Attention model that forecasts **Phi(humanity)** welfare trajectories β predicting how 8 ethical constructs (care, compassion, joy, purpose, empathy, love, protection, truth) evolve over time.
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## Model Description
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PhiForecasterGPU takes a 50-timestep window of 36 welfare signal features and predicts the next 10 timesteps for both the aggregate Phi score and all 8 individual constructs.
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| Property | Value |
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|----------|-------|
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| **Architecture** | CNN1D (2-layer) β Stacked LSTM (2-layer) β Additive Attention β Dual heads |
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| **Parameters** | ~1.3M |
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| **Input** | 50 timesteps Γ 36 features |
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| **Output** | 10-step Phi forecast + 10-step Γ 8 construct forecast + attention weights |
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| **Formula** | Phi v2.1 (recovery-aware floors) |
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| **Training** | 100 epochs, 44,800 sequences from 8 scenario types Γ 50 seeds |
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| **Best Val Loss** | 0.000196 MSE |
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### Architecture
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```
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Input (50 Γ 36)
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β
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CNN1D (2 conv layers, kernel=3, hidden=256)
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β
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Stacked LSTM (2 layers, hidden=256)
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β
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Additive Attention (query-key-value)
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β
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βββββββββββββββββ¬βββββββββββββββββββββ
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β Phi Head β Construct Head β
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β (MLP β 10) β (MLP β 10 Γ 8) β
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βββββββββββββββββ΄βββββββββββββββββββββ
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```
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### 36 Input Features
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- **8 raw constructs:** c, kappa, j, p, eps, lam_L, lam_P, xi
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- **8 volatility signals:** rolling 20-step standard deviation per construct
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- **8 momentum signals:** 10-step price momentum per construct
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- **5 synergy signals:** geometric mean of construct pairs (careΓlove, compassionΓprotection, joyΓpurpose, empathyΓtruth, loveΓtruth)
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- **5 divergence signals:** squared difference of construct pairs
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- **phi:** aggregate welfare score
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- **dphi_dt:** first derivative of phi
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### Graph-Enhanced Mode (43 features)
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When trained with `graph_features_enabled=True`, the model accepts 43 features (36 base + 7 graph topology features from the detective knowledge graph):
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| Feature | Description |
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|---------|-------------|
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| graph_density | Edge density of the full graph |
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| entity_pagerank | PageRank centrality of focal entity |
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| entity_degree | Normalized degree of focal entity |
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| entity_clustering | Clustering coefficient |
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| community_size | Fraction of graph in same community |
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| avg_neighbor_conf | Mean edge confidence to neighbors |
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| hub_score | HITS hub score (normalized) |
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## The Phi(humanity) Formula
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Phi is a rigorous ethical-affective objective function grounded in care ethics (hooks 2000), capability theory (Sen 1999), and Ubuntu philosophy:
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```
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Phi(humanity) = f(lam_L) Β· [prod(x_tilde_i ^ w_i)] Β· Psi_ubuntu Β· (1 - Psi_penalty)
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```
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- **f(lam_L):** Community solidarity multiplier
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- **x_tilde_i:** Recovery-aware effective inputs (below-floor constructs get community-mediated recovery)
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- **w_i:** Inverse-deprivation weights (Rawlsian maximin)
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- **Psi_ubuntu:** Relational synergy term + curiosity coupling (love Γ truth)
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- **Psi_penalty:** Structural distortion penalty for mismatched construct pairs
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## Training Scenarios
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| Scenario | Description |
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|----------|-------------|
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| stable_community | Baseline β all constructs ~0.5 |
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| capitalism_suppresses_love | Love declines as purpose erodes |
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| surveillance_state | Truth rises while love collapses |
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| willful_ignorance | Love rises while truth collapses |
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| recovery_arc | Collapse then community-led recovery |
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| sudden_crisis | Compassion + protection crash mid-scenario |
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| slow_decay | Gradual institutional erosion |
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| random_walk | Correlated random walks with mean-reversion |
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## Usage
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```python
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import torch
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from huggingface_hub import hf_hub_download
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# Download checkpoint
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path = hf_hub_download("crichalchemist/phi-forecaster", "phi_forecaster_best.pt")
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# Load model (see spaces/maninagarden/model.py for class definitions)
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from model import PhiForecasterGPU
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model = PhiForecasterGPU(input_size=36, hidden_size=256, n_layers=2, pred_len=10)
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model.load_state_dict(torch.load(path, map_location="cpu", weights_only=True))
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model.eval()
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# Inference: (batch, seq_len=50, features=36) -> phi, constructs, attention
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X = torch.randn(1, 50, 36)
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phi_pred, construct_pred, attn = model(X)
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# phi_pred: (1, 10, 1) β next 10 Phi values
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# construct_pred: (1, 10, 8) β next 10 values for each construct
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# attn: (1, 50) β attention weights over input window
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```
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## Live Demo
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Try it at [crichalchemist/maninagarden](https://huggingface.co/spaces/crichalchemist/maninagarden) β interactive scenario explorer, custom forecasting, and experiment comparison.
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## Citation
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This model implements the Phi(humanity) welfare function formalized in the detective-llm project. Key theoretical foundations:
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- hooks, b. (2000). *All About Love: New Visions*. William Morrow.
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- Sen, A. (1999). *Development as Freedom*. Oxford University Press.
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| 149 |
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- Fricker, M. (2007). *Epistemic Injustice*. Oxford University Press.
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- Metz, T. (2007). Toward an African moral theory. *Journal of Political Philosophy*.
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## Limitations
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- Trained on **synthetic data** β real-world calibration pending
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- Phi is a **diagnostic tool**, not an optimization target (Goodhart's Law)
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- 8-construct taxonomy is Western-situated; requires adaptation for diverse philosophical frameworks
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- Recovery-aware floors add theoretical richness but the model has not yet been retrained to fully leverage them
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training_metadata.json
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"random_walk"
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],
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"scenarios_per_type": 50,
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-
"formula_version": "2.1-recovery-floors"
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}
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"random_walk"
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],
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"scenarios_per_type": 50,
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"formula_version": "2.1-recovery-floors",
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"input_size": 36
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}
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