Upload 3 files
Browse files- .gitattributes +1 -0
- app.py +127 -0
- data_and_sp500.csv +3 -0
- plots.py +212 -0
.gitattributes
CHANGED
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@@ -32,3 +32,4 @@ saved_model/**/* filter=lfs diff=lfs merge=lfs -text
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*.zip filter=lfs diff=lfs merge=lfs -text
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*.zst filter=lfs diff=lfs merge=lfs -text
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*tfevents* filter=lfs diff=lfs merge=lfs -text
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*.zip filter=lfs diff=lfs merge=lfs -text
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*.zst filter=lfs diff=lfs merge=lfs -text
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*tfevents* filter=lfs diff=lfs merge=lfs -text
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data_and_sp500.csv filter=lfs diff=lfs merge=lfs -text
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app.py
ADDED
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@@ -0,0 +1,127 @@
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import streamlit as st
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from datetime import date, timedelta
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#from rest_api.fetch_data import (get_symbol_data)
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import pandas as pd
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from plots import (
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beta,
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basic_portfolio,
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#display_portfolio_return,
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display_heat_map,
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ER,
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buble_interactive
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)
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def load_heading():
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"""The function that displays the heading.
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Provides instructions to the user
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"""
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with st.container():
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st.title('Dataminers')
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header = st.subheader('This App performs historical portfolio analysis and future analysis ')
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st.subheader('Please read the instructions carefully and enjoy!')
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# st.text('This is some text.')
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def get_choices():
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"""Prompts the dialog to get the All Choices.
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Returns:
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An object of choices and an object of combined dataframes.
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"""
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choices = {}
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tickers = st.sidebar.text_input('Enter 4 stock symbols.', 'GOOG,A,AA,AMD')
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# Set the weights
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weights_str = st.sidebar.text_input('Enter The Investment Quantities', '50,30,25,25')
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# Set Initial Investment
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investment = st.sidebar.number_input('Enter The Initial Investment', min_value=5000, max_value=25000, value=5000)
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# Every form must have a submit button.
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submitted = st.sidebar.button("Submit")
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symbols = []
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reset = False
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# Reusable Error Button DRY!
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#def reset_app(error):
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# st.sidebar.write(f"{error}!")
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# st.sidebar.write(f"Check The Syntax")
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# reset = st.sidebar.button("RESET APP")
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if submitted:
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# convert strings to lists
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tickers_list = tickers.split(",")
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weights_list = weights_str.split(",")
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#crypto_symbols_list = crypto_symbols.split(",")
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# Create the Symbols List
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symbols.extend(tickers_list)
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#symbols.extend(crypto_symbols_list)
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# Convert Weights To Decimals
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weights = []
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for item in weights_list:
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weights.append(float(item))
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if reset:
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# # Clears all singleton caches:
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tickers = st.sidebar.selectbox('Enter 11 stock symbols.', ('GOOG','D','AAP','BLK'))
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# crypto_symbols = st.sidebar.text_input('Enter 2 crypto symbols only as below', 'BTC-USD,ETH-USD')
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weights_str = st.sidebar.text_input('Enter The Investment Weights', '0.3,0.3 ,0.3')
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st.experimental_singleton.clear()
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else:
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# Submit an object with choices
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choices = {
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'symbols': symbols,
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'weights': weights,
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'investment': investment
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}
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# Load combined_df
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data = pd.read_csv('data_and_sp500.csv')
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combined_df = data[tickers_list]
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# return object of objects
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return {
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'choices': choices,
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'combined_df': combined_df,
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'data': data
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}
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def run():
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"""The main function for running the script."""
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load_heading()
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choices = get_choices()
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if choices:
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st.success('''** Selected Tickers **''')
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buble_interactive(choices['data'],choices['choices'])
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st.header('Tickers Beta')
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"""
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The Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) utilizes a formula to enable the application to calculate
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risk, return, and variability of return with respect to a benchmark. The application uses this
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benchmark, currently S&P 500 annual rate of return, to calculate the return of a stock using
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Figure 2 in Appendix A. Elements such as beta can be calculated using the formula in Appendix
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A Figure 1. The beta variable will serve as a variable to be used for calculating the variability of
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the stock with respect to the benchmark. This variability factor will prove useful for a variety of
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calculations such as understanding market risk and return. If the beta is equal to 1.0, the stock
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price is correlated with the market. When beta is smaller than 1.0, the stock is less volatile than
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the market. If beta is greater than 1.0, the stock is more volatile than the market.
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The CAPM model was run for 9 stocks, using 10-year daily historical data for initial test analysis.
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With this initial analysis, beta was calculated to determine the stock’s risk by measuring the
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price changes to the benchmark. By using CAPM model, annual expected return and portfolio
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return is calculated. The model results can be found in Appendix A.
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"""
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beta(choices['data'], choices['choices'])
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ER(choices['data'], choices['choices'])
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basic_portfolio(choices['combined_df'])
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display_heat_map(choices['combined_df'])
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#display_portfolio_return(choices['combined_df'], choices['choices'])
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if __name__ == "__main__":
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run()
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data_and_sp500.csv
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@@ -0,0 +1,3 @@
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version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1
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oid sha256:bb09e57e52edd4e875610fe2ed494af095e682ff26af6f6f7d33bc88b2771e98
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size 18857073
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plots.py
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import pandas as pd
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import seaborn as sns
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import streamlit as st
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import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
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import numpy as np
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import altair as alt
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def beta(stock_df, choices):
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symbols, weights, investment = choices.values()
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tickers = symbols
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tickers.append('sp500')
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#print(tickers)
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quantity = weights
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selected_stocks = stock_df[tickers]
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# calculating daily return
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# loops through each stocks
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# loops through each row belonging to the stock
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# calculates the percentage change from previous day
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# sets the value of first row to zero since there is no previous value
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df_stocks = selected_stocks.copy()
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for i in selected_stocks.columns[1:]:
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for j in range(1, len(selected_stocks)):
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df_stocks[i][j] = ((selected_stocks[i][j] - selected_stocks[i][j - 1]) / selected_stocks[i][j - 1]) * 100
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df_stocks[i][0] = 0
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# calculate Beta and alpha for a single stock
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# used sp500 as a benchmark
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# used polyfit to calculate beta
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beta_list = []
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alpha_list = []
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stocks_daily_return = df_stocks
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for i in stocks_daily_return.columns:
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if i != 'Date' and i != 'sp500':
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# stocks_daily_return.plot(kind = 'scatter', x = 'A', y = i)
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b, a = np.polyfit(stocks_daily_return['sp500'], stocks_daily_return[i], 1)
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# plt.plot(stocks_daily_return['sp500'], b * stocks_daily_return['sp500'] + a, '-', color = 'r')
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beta_list.append(round(b, 2))
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alpha_list.append(round(a, 2))
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# plt.show()
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# Formats the results
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symbols.remove('sp500')
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beta = {'Assets': symbols, 'Beta': beta_list}
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alpha = {'Assets': symbols, 'Alpha': alpha_list}
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# Creates a header for streamlit
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st.subheader('Beta and Alpha of Assets Compared to S&P500 index')
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col1, col2 = st.columns(2)
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with col1:
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st.dataframe(beta)
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with col2:
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st.dataframe(alpha)
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def ER(stock_df, choices):
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symbols, weights, investment = choices.values()
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symbols_ =symbols
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tickers = symbols
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tickers.append('sp500')
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#print(tickers)
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quantity = weights
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selected_stocks = stock_df[tickers]
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# calculating daily return
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# loops through each stocks
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# loops through each row belonging to the stock
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# calculates the percentage change from previous day
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# sets the value of first row to zero since there is no previous value
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df_stocks = selected_stocks.copy()
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for i in selected_stocks.columns[1:]:
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for j in range(1, len(selected_stocks)):
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df_stocks[i][j] = ((selected_stocks[i][j] - selected_stocks[i][j - 1]) / selected_stocks[i][j - 1]) * 100
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df_stocks[i][0] = 0
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beta = {}
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alpha = {}
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stocks_daily_return = df_stocks
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# print(df_stocks)
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for i in stocks_daily_return.columns:
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if i != 'Date' and i != 'sp500':
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# stocks_daily_return.plot(kind = 'scatter', x = 'A', y = i)
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b, a = np.polyfit(stocks_daily_return['sp500'], stocks_daily_return[i], 1)
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# plt.plot(stocks_daily_return['sp500'], b * stocks_daily_return['sp500'] + a, '-', color = 'r')
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| 83 |
+
beta[i] = round(b, 2)
|
| 84 |
+
alpha[i] = round(a, 2)
|
| 85 |
+
# plt.show()
|
| 86 |
+
|
| 87 |
+
# calculating camp for a stock
|
| 88 |
+
keys = list(beta.keys())
|
| 89 |
+
ER_ = []
|
| 90 |
+
# rf = 0 assuming risk-free rate of 0
|
| 91 |
+
rf = 0
|
| 92 |
+
# rm - annualize retun
|
| 93 |
+
rm = stocks_daily_return['sp500'].mean() * 252
|
| 94 |
+
for i in keys:
|
| 95 |
+
ER_.append( round(rf + (beta[i] * (rm - rf)), 2))
|
| 96 |
+
|
| 97 |
+
#for i in keys:
|
| 98 |
+
# print('Expected Return based on CAPM for {} is {}%'.format(i, ER_[i]))
|
| 99 |
+
#print(ER)
|
| 100 |
+
symbols.remove('sp500')
|
| 101 |
+
st.subheader('Expected Annual Return Based on CAPM Model')
|
| 102 |
+
|
| 103 |
+
Expected_return = {'Assets': symbols, 'Expected Annual Return': ER_}
|
| 104 |
+
# Creates a header for streamlit
|
| 105 |
+
st.dataframe(Expected_return)
|
| 106 |
+
|
| 107 |
+
|
| 108 |
+
# calculate expected return for the portfolio
|
| 109 |
+
# portfolio weights assume equal
|
| 110 |
+
portfolio_weights = []
|
| 111 |
+
current_cash_value = 0
|
| 112 |
+
total_portfolio_value = 0
|
| 113 |
+
cash_value_stocks =[]
|
| 114 |
+
for i in range(len(tickers) ):
|
| 115 |
+
stocks_name = tickers[i]
|
| 116 |
+
current_cash_value = selected_stocks[stocks_name].iloc[-1]
|
| 117 |
+
stocks_quantity = quantity[i]
|
| 118 |
+
cash_value = stocks_quantity * current_cash_value
|
| 119 |
+
cash_value_stocks.append(cash_value)
|
| 120 |
+
total_portfolio_value += cash_value
|
| 121 |
+
portfolio_weights.append(cash_value)
|
| 122 |
+
#print(portfolio_weights)
|
| 123 |
+
portfolio_weights = (portfolio_weights / total_portfolio_value)*100
|
| 124 |
+
ER_portfolio= []
|
| 125 |
+
ER_portfolio = sum(list(ER_) * portfolio_weights)/100
|
| 126 |
+
print('aaa',ER_portfolio)
|
| 127 |
+
|
| 128 |
+
st.subheader('Expected Portfolio Return Based on CAPM Model')
|
| 129 |
+
# Creates a header for streamlit
|
| 130 |
+
st.write('Expected Portfolio Return is:', ER_portfolio)
|
| 131 |
+
return beta, cash_value_stocks
|
| 132 |
+
|
| 133 |
+
|
| 134 |
+
|
| 135 |
+
def basic_portfolio(stock_df):
|
| 136 |
+
"""Uses the stock dataframe to graph the normalized historical cumulative returns of each asset.
|
| 137 |
+
"""
|
| 138 |
+
# Calculates the daily returns of the inputted dataframe
|
| 139 |
+
daily_return = stock_df.dropna().pct_change()
|
| 140 |
+
# Calculates the cumulative return of the previously calculated daily return
|
| 141 |
+
cumulative_return = (1 + daily_return).cumprod()
|
| 142 |
+
|
| 143 |
+
# Creates the title for streamlit
|
| 144 |
+
st.subheader('Portfolio Historical Normalized Cumulative Returns')
|
| 145 |
+
# Graphs the cumulative returns
|
| 146 |
+
st.line_chart(cumulative_return)
|
| 147 |
+
|
| 148 |
+
|
| 149 |
+
def display_heat_map(stock_df):
|
| 150 |
+
"""Uses the stock dataframe to calculate the correlations between the different assets and display them as a heatmap.
|
| 151 |
+
"""
|
| 152 |
+
# Calcuilates the correlation of the assets in the portfolio
|
| 153 |
+
price_correlation = stock_df.corr()
|
| 154 |
+
|
| 155 |
+
# Creates the title for streamlit
|
| 156 |
+
st.subheader('Heatmap Showing Correlation Of Assets')
|
| 157 |
+
# Generates a figure for the heatmap
|
| 158 |
+
fig, ax = plt.subplots()
|
| 159 |
+
sns.heatmap(price_correlation, ax=ax)
|
| 160 |
+
# Displays the heatmap on streamlit
|
| 161 |
+
st.write(fig)
|
| 162 |
+
# Creates a header for the correlation data
|
| 163 |
+
st.subheader('Correlation Data')
|
| 164 |
+
# Displays the correlation data on streamlit
|
| 165 |
+
st.dataframe(price_correlation)
|
| 166 |
+
|
| 167 |
+
|
| 168 |
+
#def display_portfolio_return(stock_df, choices):
|
| 169 |
+
"""Uses the stock dataframe and the chosen weights from choices to calculate and graph the historical cumulative portfolio return.
|
| 170 |
+
"""
|
| 171 |
+
# symbols, weights, investment = choices.values()
|
| 172 |
+
|
| 173 |
+
# Calculates the daily percentage returns of the
|
| 174 |
+
# daily_returns = stock_df.pct_change().dropna()
|
| 175 |
+
# Applies the weights of each asset to the portfolio
|
| 176 |
+
# portfolio_returns = daily_returns.dot(weights)
|
| 177 |
+
# Calculates the cumulative weighted portfolio return
|
| 178 |
+
# cumulative_returns = (1 + portfolio_returns).cumprod()
|
| 179 |
+
# Calculates the cumulative profit using the cumulative portfolio return
|
| 180 |
+
# cumulative_profit = investment * cumulative_returns
|
| 181 |
+
|
| 182 |
+
# Graphs the result, and displays it with a header on streamlit
|
| 183 |
+
# st.subheader('Portfolio Historical Cumulative Returns Based On Inputs!')
|
| 184 |
+
# st.line_chart(cumulative_profit)
|
| 185 |
+
|
| 186 |
+
def buble_interactive(stock_df,choices):
|
| 187 |
+
import plotly.express as px
|
| 188 |
+
symbols, weights, investment = choices.values()
|
| 189 |
+
beta,cash_value_weights = ER(stock_df,choices)
|
| 190 |
+
my_list = []
|
| 191 |
+
for i in beta.values():
|
| 192 |
+
my_list.append(i)
|
| 193 |
+
|
| 194 |
+
df_final =pd.DataFrame()
|
| 195 |
+
df_final['ticker'] = symbols
|
| 196 |
+
df_final['quantities'] = weights
|
| 197 |
+
df_final['cash_value'] =cash_value_weights
|
| 198 |
+
df_final['Beta'] = my_list
|
| 199 |
+
|
| 200 |
+
fig = px.scatter(
|
| 201 |
+
df_final,
|
| 202 |
+
x="quantities",
|
| 203 |
+
y="Beta",
|
| 204 |
+
size="cash_value",
|
| 205 |
+
#color="continent",
|
| 206 |
+
hover_name="ticker",
|
| 207 |
+
log_x=True,
|
| 208 |
+
size_max=60,
|
| 209 |
+
)
|
| 210 |
+
fig.update_layout(title="Beta ----write something")
|
| 211 |
+
# -- Input the Plotly chart to the Streamlit interface
|
| 212 |
+
st.plotly_chart(fig, use_container_width=True)
|