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  1. report_for_15pct.md +98 -0
  2. runs/EfficientNetB0_Folds_1/repeated_holdout/stratified_holdout_v1/experiment_state.sqlite3-shm +0 -0
  3. runs/EfficientNetB0_Folds_1/repeated_holdout/stratified_holdout_v1/exports/aggregated_metrics_by_percent_strategy.csv +2 -1
  4. runs/EfficientNetB0_Folds_1/repeated_holdout/stratified_holdout_v1/exports/aggregated_metrics_by_percent_strategy.json +39 -16
  5. runs/EfficientNetB0_Folds_1/repeated_holdout/stratified_holdout_v1/exports/raw_run_metrics.csv +2 -0
  6. runs/EfficientNetB0_Folds_1/repeated_holdout/stratified_holdout_v1/exports/raw_run_metrics.json +44 -0
  7. runs/EfficientNetB0_Folds_1/repeated_holdout/stratified_holdout_v1/split_001/pct_015/repeat_03/strategy_3/final/checkpoints/best.pt.meta.json +20 -0
  8. runs/EfficientNetB0_Folds_1/repeated_holdout/stratified_holdout_v1/split_001/pct_015/repeat_03/strategy_3/final/checkpoints/latest.pt.meta.json +1 -1
  9. runs/EfficientNetB0_Folds_1/repeated_holdout/stratified_holdout_v1/split_001/pct_015/repeat_03/strategy_3/final/evaluation.json +620 -0
  10. runs/EfficientNetB0_Folds_1/repeated_holdout/stratified_holdout_v1/split_001/pct_015/repeat_03/strategy_3/final/evaluation_summary.json +4 -0
  11. runs/EfficientNetB0_Folds_1/repeated_holdout/stratified_holdout_v1/split_001/pct_015/repeat_03/strategy_3/final/history.json +0 -0
  12. runs/EfficientNetB0_Folds_1/repeated_holdout/stratified_holdout_v1/split_001/pct_015/repeat_03/strategy_3/final/low_iou_samples.csv +4 -0
  13. runs/EfficientNetB0_Folds_1/repeated_holdout/stratified_holdout_v1/split_001/pct_015/repeat_03/strategy_3/final/plots/alpha.png +3 -0
  14. runs/EfficientNetB0_Folds_1/repeated_holdout/stratified_holdout_v1/split_001/pct_015/repeat_03/strategy_3/final/plots/ce_loss.png +3 -0
  15. runs/EfficientNetB0_Folds_1/repeated_holdout/stratified_holdout_v1/split_001/pct_015/repeat_03/strategy_3/final/plots/dice.png +3 -0
  16. runs/EfficientNetB0_Folds_1/repeated_holdout/stratified_holdout_v1/split_001/pct_015/repeat_03/strategy_3/final/plots/dice_loss.png +3 -0
  17. runs/EfficientNetB0_Folds_1/repeated_holdout/stratified_holdout_v1/split_001/pct_015/repeat_03/strategy_3/final/predictions/BUSI_0001_B.png +3 -0
  18. runs/EfficientNetB0_Folds_1/repeated_holdout/stratified_holdout_v1/split_001/pct_015/repeat_03/strategy_3/final/predictions/BUSI_0006_B.png +3 -0
  19. runs/EfficientNetB0_Folds_1/repeated_holdout/stratified_holdout_v1/split_001/pct_015/repeat_03/strategy_3/final/predictions/BUSI_0008_B.png +3 -0
  20. runs/EfficientNetB0_Folds_1/repeated_holdout/stratified_holdout_v1/split_001/pct_015/repeat_03/strategy_3/final/predictions/BUSI_0009_B.png +3 -0
  21. runs/EfficientNetB0_Folds_1/repeated_holdout/stratified_holdout_v1/split_001/pct_015/repeat_03/strategy_3/final/predictions/BUSI_0012_M.png +3 -0
  22. runs/EfficientNetB0_Folds_1/repeated_holdout/stratified_holdout_v1/split_001/pct_015/repeat_03/strategy_3/final/predictions/BUSI_0015_B.png +3 -0
  23. runs/EfficientNetB0_Folds_1/repeated_holdout/stratified_holdout_v1/split_001/pct_015/repeat_03/strategy_3/final/predictions/BUSI_0016_B.png +3 -0
  24. runs/EfficientNetB0_Folds_1/repeated_holdout/stratified_holdout_v1/split_001/pct_015/repeat_03/strategy_3/final/predictions/BUSI_0023_M.png +3 -0
  25. runs/EfficientNetB0_Folds_1/repeated_holdout/stratified_holdout_v1/split_001/pct_015/repeat_03/strategy_3/final/predictions/BUSI_0025_M.png +3 -0
  26. runs/EfficientNetB0_Folds_1/repeated_holdout/stratified_holdout_v1/split_001/pct_015/repeat_03/strategy_3/final/predictions/BUSI_0030_B.png +3 -0
  27. runs/EfficientNetB0_Folds_1/repeated_holdout/stratified_holdout_v1/split_001/pct_015/repeat_03/strategy_3/final/predictions/BUSI_0040_M.png +3 -0
  28. runs/EfficientNetB0_Folds_1/repeated_holdout/stratified_holdout_v1/split_001/pct_015/repeat_03/strategy_3/final/predictions/BUSI_0046_M.png +3 -0
  29. runs/EfficientNetB0_Folds_1/repeated_holdout/stratified_holdout_v1/split_001/pct_015/repeat_03/strategy_3/final/predictions/BUSI_0056_M.png +3 -0
  30. runs/EfficientNetB0_Folds_1/repeated_holdout/stratified_holdout_v1/split_001/pct_015/repeat_03/strategy_3/final/predictions/BUSI_0057_B.png +3 -0
  31. runs/EfficientNetB0_Folds_1/repeated_holdout/stratified_holdout_v1/split_001/pct_015/repeat_03/strategy_3/final/predictions/BUSI_0059_B.png +3 -0
  32. runs/EfficientNetB0_Folds_1/repeated_holdout/stratified_holdout_v1/split_001/pct_015/repeat_03/strategy_3/final/predictions/BUSI_0060_B.png +3 -0
  33. runs/EfficientNetB0_Folds_1/repeated_holdout/stratified_holdout_v1/split_001/pct_015/repeat_03/strategy_3/final/predictions/BUSI_0065_B.png +3 -0
  34. runs/EfficientNetB0_Folds_1/repeated_holdout/stratified_holdout_v1/split_001/pct_015/repeat_03/strategy_3/final/predictions/BUSI_0082_M.png +3 -0
  35. runs/EfficientNetB0_Folds_1/repeated_holdout/stratified_holdout_v1/split_001/pct_015/repeat_03/strategy_3/final/predictions/BUSI_0090_B.png +3 -0
  36. runs/EfficientNetB0_Folds_1/repeated_holdout/stratified_holdout_v1/split_001/pct_015/repeat_03/strategy_3/final/predictions/BUSI_0119_B.png +3 -0
  37. runs/EfficientNetB0_Folds_1/repeated_holdout/stratified_holdout_v1/split_001/pct_015/repeat_03/strategy_3/final/summary.json +26 -0
  38. runs/EfficientNetB0_Folds_1/repeated_holdout/stratified_holdout_v1/split_001/pct_030/repeat_01/norm_stats_BUSI_with_classes_stratified_80_10_10_030pct_repeat01.json +163 -0
  39. runs/EfficientNetB0_Folds_1/repeated_holdout/stratified_holdout_v1/split_001/pct_030/repeat_01/strategy_2/final/checkpoints/best.pt.meta.json +59 -0
  40. runs/EfficientNetB0_Folds_1/repeated_holdout/stratified_holdout_v1/split_001/pct_030/repeat_01/strategy_2/final/checkpoints/latest.pt.meta.json +39 -0
  41. runs/EfficientNetB0_Folds_1/repeated_holdout/stratified_holdout_v1/split_001/pct_030/repeat_01/strategy_2/final/evaluation.json +620 -0
  42. runs/EfficientNetB0_Folds_1/repeated_holdout/stratified_holdout_v1/split_001/pct_030/repeat_01/strategy_2/final/evaluation_results.xlsx +0 -0
  43. runs/EfficientNetB0_Folds_1/repeated_holdout/stratified_holdout_v1/split_001/pct_030/repeat_01/strategy_2/final/evaluation_summary.json +4 -0
  44. runs/EfficientNetB0_Folds_1/repeated_holdout/stratified_holdout_v1/split_001/pct_030/repeat_01/strategy_2/final/history.json +0 -0
  45. runs/EfficientNetB0_Folds_1/repeated_holdout/stratified_holdout_v1/split_001/pct_030/repeat_01/strategy_2/final/low_iou_samples.csv +5 -0
  46. runs/EfficientNetB0_Folds_1/repeated_holdout/stratified_holdout_v1/split_001/pct_030/repeat_01/strategy_2/final/run_config.json +61 -0
  47. runs/EfficientNetB0_Folds_1/repeated_holdout/stratified_holdout_v1/split_001/pct_030/repeat_01/strategy_2/final/summary.json +20 -0
  48. runs/EfficientNetB0_Folds_1/repeated_holdout/stratified_holdout_v1/split_001/pct_030/repeat_01/strategy_3/final/checkpoints/best.pt.meta.json +41 -0
  49. runs/EfficientNetB0_Folds_1/repeated_holdout/stratified_holdout_v1/split_001/pct_030/repeat_01/strategy_3/final/checkpoints/latest.pt.meta.json +41 -0
  50. runs/EfficientNetB0_Folds_1/repeated_holdout/stratified_holdout_v1/split_001/pct_030/repeat_01/strategy_3/final/run_config.json +91 -0
report_for_15pct.md ADDED
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+ # 15% Repeated-Holdout Report
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+
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+ Comparison of `strategy_3` vs `strategy_2` on `split_001`, across matched repeats `01`–`03`, using **test** metrics from:
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+
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+ - [pct_015 split_001](/workspace/runs/EfficientNetB0_Folds_1/repeated_holdout/stratified_holdout_v1/split_001/pct_015)
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+
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+ Paired comparisons were done within each repeat on matched `per_sample[].sample_id`.
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+
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+ ## Setup
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+
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+ - Split: `001`
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+ - Percent: `15%`
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+ - Repeats: `3`
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+ - Samples per repeat:
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+ - `65` paired test samples for most metrics
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+ - `hd95` uses finite paired values only, so `n` is slightly smaller in some repeats
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+ - Interpretation:
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+ - Positive gain means `strategy_3` is better
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+ - For `hd95`, lower is better, so positive beneficial gain means `strategy_3` reduced `hd95`
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+
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+ ## Per-Repeat All-Metric Results
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+
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+ ### Repeat 01
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+
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+ | Metric | n | S2 test mean | S3 test mean | Beneficial gain | t p | Wilcoxon p | Cohen dz | Verdict |
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+ |---|---:|---:|---:|---:|---:|---:|---:|---|
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+ | `biou` | 65 | 0.1112 | 0.1273 | +0.0160 | 0.0630 | 0.0166 | +0.235 | Mild positive signal |
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+ | `dice` | 65 | 0.7066 | 0.7082 | +0.0017 | 0.8080 | 0.4261 | +0.030 | Negligible |
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+ | `hd95` | 64 | NA | NA | +1.3167 | 0.1591 | 0.1885 | +0.178 | No clear difference |
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+ | `iou` | 65 | 0.6126 | 0.6178 | +0.0052 | 0.4839 | 0.3920 | +0.087 | Small positive, not significant |
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+ | `ppv` | 65 | 0.7720 | 0.7893 | +0.0173 | 0.0073 | 0.0196 | +0.344 | Significant positive |
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+ | `sen` | 65 | 0.7290 | 0.7200 | -0.0090 | 0.1938 | 0.0864 | -0.163 | Slight negative tendency |
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+
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+ ### Repeat 02
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+
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+ | Metric | n | S2 test mean | S3 test mean | Beneficial gain | t p | Wilcoxon p | Cohen dz | Verdict |
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+ |---|---:|---:|---:|---:|---:|---:|---:|---|
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+ | `biou` | 65 | 0.1330 | 0.1278 | -0.0053 | 0.4646 | 0.3126 | -0.091 | No clear difference |
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+ | `dice` | 65 | 0.7376 | 0.7444 | +0.0068 | 0.1233 | 0.0698 | +0.194 | Positive tendency |
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+ | `hd95` | 64 | NA | 15.4551 | +0.3862 | 0.2359 | 0.4158 | +0.150 | No clear difference |
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+ | `iou` | 65 | 0.6429 | 0.6478 | +0.0049 | 0.3429 | 0.1515 | +0.119 | Small positive, not significant |
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+ | `ppv` | 65 | 0.8238 | 0.7988 | -0.0250 | <0.0001 | <0.0001 | -0.789 | Significant negative |
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+ | `sen` | 65 | 0.7363 | 0.7706 | +0.0343 | <0.0001 | <0.0001 | +1.052 | Significant positive |
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+
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+ ### Repeat 03
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+
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+ | Metric | n | S2 test mean | S3 test mean | Beneficial gain | t p | Wilcoxon p | Cohen dz | Verdict |
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+ |---|---:|---:|---:|---:|---:|---:|---:|---|
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+ | `biou` | 65 | 0.0935 | 0.1288 | +0.0353 | 0.0005 | <0.0001 | +0.456 | Significant positive |
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+ | `dice` | 65 | 0.7208 | 0.7232 | +0.0024 | 0.7209 | 0.1424 | +0.045 | Negligible |
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+ | `hd95` | 64 | 17.1104 | NA | +0.0026 | 0.9976 | 0.6428 | +0.000 | Negligible |
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+ | `iou` | 65 | 0.6196 | 0.6298 | +0.0102 | 0.1795 | 0.0963 | +0.168 | Positive tendency |
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+ | `ppv` | 65 | 0.7476 | 0.7898 | +0.0422 | <0.0001 | <0.0001 | +0.589 | Significant positive |
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+ | `sen` | 65 | 0.7862 | 0.7561 | -0.0301 | 0.0003 | 0.0002 | -0.471 | Significant negative |
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+
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+ ## Repeat-Level Variability
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+
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+ This asks whether the gains are stable when the 15% experiment is repeated within the same split.
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+
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+ | Metric | Repeat beneficial gains | Mean gain | SD | CV | Pos/Neg repeats | Repeat-level p vs 0 | 95% CI | Variability |
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+ |---|---|---:|---:|---:|---|---:|---|---|
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+ | `biou` | `+0.0160, -0.0053, +0.0353` | +0.0154 | 0.0203 | 1.32 | 2 / 1 | 0.3204 | `[-0.0351, +0.0658]` | High |
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+ | `dice` | `+0.0017, +0.0068, +0.0024` | +0.0036 | 0.0028 | 0.76 | 3 / 0 | 0.1518 | `[-0.0033, +0.0105]` | Moderate |
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+ | `hd95` | `+1.3167, +0.3862, +0.0026` | +0.5685 | 0.6758 | 1.19 | 3 / 0 | 0.2824 | `[-1.1102, +2.2472]` | High |
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+ | `iou` | `+0.0052, +0.0049, +0.0102` | +0.0067 | 0.0030 | 0.44 | 3 / 0 | 0.0588 | `[-0.0006, +0.0141]` | Moderate |
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+ | `ppv` | `+0.0173, -0.0250, +0.0422` | +0.0115 | 0.0340 | 2.95 | 2 / 1 | 0.6164 | `[-0.0728, +0.0959]` | Very high |
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+ | `sen` | `-0.0090, +0.0343, -0.0301` | -0.0016 | 0.0328 | 20.73 | 1 / 2 | 0.9410 | `[-0.0832, +0.0800]` | Very high |
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+
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+ ## Interpretation
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+
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+ At `15%`, the story is a bit cleaner than at `5%`, especially for the main metric `iou`:
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+
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+ - `iou` is positive in all 3 repeats
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+ - the repeat-level mean IoU gain is `+0.0067`
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+ - the repeat-level variability for `iou` is lower than at `5%`
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+ - but the repeat-level p-value is still `0.0588`, so it is not quite strong enough to call proven
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+
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+ Metric-by-metric:
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+
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+ - `iou`: consistently positive but still modest in size
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+ - `dice`: consistently positive and fairly stable, but very small
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+ - `biou`: mostly positive, but one repeat flips negative
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+ - `ppv`: unstable, with one strong negative repeat and two positive repeats
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+ - `sen`: mixed and unstable
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+ - `hd95`: all beneficial gains are positive, but variability is still large and the aggregate test is inconclusive
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+
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+ ## Final Conclusion
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+
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+ For `15%` on `split_001`:
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+
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+ - `strategy_3` looks **more promising** than it did at `5%`
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+ - the main metric `iou` is **positive in all 3 repeats**
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+ - repeat-to-repeat variability is **lower for IoU** than at `5%`, but still not negligible
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+ - the evidence is **suggestive**, not definitive
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+
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+ Most defensible summary:
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+
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+ > At `15%`, `strategy_3` shows a more consistent positive trend than at `5%`, especially on test IoU, but with only 3 repeats from one split the repeat-level evidence is still not strong enough to conclusively rule out noise.
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@@ -69,26 +69,49 @@
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