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Datasets:
AIcell
/
war-test-dataset

Tasks:
Question Answering
Text Generation
Modalities:
Text
Formats:
parquet
Languages:
English
Chinese
Size:
1K - 10K
ArXiv:
Tags:
geopolitics
forecasting
llm-evaluation
temporal-reasoning
Libraries:
Datasets
pandas
Polars
License:
Dataset card Data Studio Files
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1
+ {
2
+ "sections": [
3
+ {
4
+ "title": "T0: Feb 27, Operation Epic Fury",
5
+ "event_datetime": "2026-02-27T20:38:00Z",
6
+ "questions": [
7
+ {
8
+ "original_cn": "美国是否会真的进攻伊朗本土？",
9
+ "scenario_question_en": "Is the United States likely to conduct direct military strikes on Iranian territory?",
10
+ "answer": "Yes",
11
+ "type": "specific"
12
+ },
13
+ {
14
+ "original_cn": "美国是否会采用经济制裁？",
15
+ "scenario_question_en": "Could the United States prioritize economic sanctions or diplomatic pressure over military action?",
16
+ "answer": "No",
17
+ "type": "specific"
18
+ },
19
+ {
20
+ "original_cn": "这是否意味着战争的开始？",
21
+ "scenario_question_en": "Does the announcement of Operation Epic Fury signal the beginning of a broader military conflict?",
22
+ "answer": "Yes",
23
+ "type": "specific"
24
+ },
25
+ {
26
+ "original_cn": "美国和以色列未来可能的行动是什么？",
27
+ "scenario_question_en": "What are the potential future actions by the United States and Israel?",
28
+ "answer": "",
29
+ "type": "open"
30
+ },
31
+ {
32
+ "original_cn": "伊朗未来可能的行动是什么？",
33
+ "scenario_question_en": "What are the potential future actions by Iran?",
34
+ "answer": "",
35
+ "type": "open"
36
+ },
37
+ {
38
+ "original_cn": "其他主要国家可能的参与或反应是什么？",
39
+ "scenario_question_en": "What are the potential involvement or reactions from other major countries?",
40
+ "answer": "",
41
+ "type": "open"
42
+ },
43
+ {
44
+ "original_cn": "冲突是否会升级为全球战争？",
45
+ "scenario_question_en": "Will the conflict escalate into a global war?",
46
+ "answer": "",
47
+ "type": "open"
48
+ },
49
+ {
50
+ "original_cn": "伊美冲突最可能的降级或解决路径是什么？合理的时间线预期是怎样的？",
51
+ "scenario_question_en": "What is the most probable pathway to de-escalation or resolution of the Iran-US conflict, and what is a realistic timeline?",
52
+ "answer": "",
53
+ "type": "open"
54
+ }
55
+ ]
56
+ },
57
+ {
58
+ "title": "T1: Feb 28, Israeli-US Strikes",
59
+ "event_datetime": "2026-02-28T06:15:00Z",
60
+ "questions": [
61
+ {
62
+ "original_cn": "美国会不会继续扩大空袭？",
63
+ "scenario_question_en": "Are the Israeli-U.S. strikes likely to escalate into a broader military campaign?",
64
+ "answer": "Yes",
65
+ "type": "specific"
66
+ },
67
+ {
68
+ "original_cn": "伊朗会不会进行报复？",
69
+ "scenario_question_en": "Is Iran likely to retaliate militarily in response to the strikes?",
70
+ "answer": "Yes",
71
+ "type": "specific"
72
+ },
73
+ {
74
+ "original_cn": "如果伊朗决定报复，他的目标会是哪里？美军事基地，还是直接无差别轰炸？",
75
+ "scenario_question_en": "If Iran retaliates, is it more likely to indiscriminately bomb Israeli-U.S. territory than to target U.S. military bases?",
76
+ "answer": "No",
77
+ "type": "specific"
78
+ },
79
+ {
80
+ "original_cn": "海湾国家是否会成为伊朗的报复目标？",
81
+ "scenario_question_en": "Could Gulf states become direct targets of Iranian retaliation?",
82
+ "answer": "Yes",
83
+ "type": "specific"
84
+ },
85
+ {
86
+ "original_cn": "中东空域是否会关闭？",
87
+ "scenario_question_en": "Is regional airspace in the Middle East likely to face widespread closures due to security risks?",
88
+ "answer": "Yes",
89
+ "type": "specific"
90
+ },
91
+ {
92
+ "original_cn": "美国和以色列未来可能的行动是什么？",
93
+ "scenario_question_en": "What are the potential future actions by the United States and Israel?",
94
+ "answer": "",
95
+ "type": "open"
96
+ },
97
+ {
98
+ "original_cn": "伊朗未来可能的行动���什么？",
99
+ "scenario_question_en": "What are the potential future actions by Iran?",
100
+ "answer": "",
101
+ "type": "open"
102
+ },
103
+ {
104
+ "original_cn": "其他主要国家可能的参与或反应是什么？",
105
+ "scenario_question_en": "What are the potential involvement or reactions from other major countries?",
106
+ "answer": "",
107
+ "type": "open"
108
+ },
109
+ {
110
+ "original_cn": "冲突是否会升级为全球战争？",
111
+ "scenario_question_en": "Will the conflict escalate into a global war?",
112
+ "answer": "",
113
+ "type": "open"
114
+ },
115
+ {
116
+ "original_cn": "伊美冲突最可能的降级或解决路径是什么？合理的时间线预期是怎样的？",
117
+ "scenario_question_en": "What is the most probable pathway to de-escalation or resolution of the Iran-US conflict, and what is a realistic timeline?",
118
+ "answer": "",
119
+ "type": "open"
120
+ }
121
+ ]
122
+ },
123
+ {
124
+ "title": "T2: Feb 28, Iranian Strikes",
125
+ "event_datetime": "2026-02-28T06:40:00Z",
126
+ "questions": [
127
+ {
128
+ "original_cn": "这次伊朗打击是一次象征性报复，还是持续军事行动的第一波？",
129
+ "scenario_question_en": "Are the Iranian strikes likely to remain symbolic retaliation without sustained military operations?",
130
+ "answer": "No",
131
+ "type": "specific"
132
+ },
133
+ {
134
+ "original_cn": "霍尔木兹海峡是否会受到威胁？",
135
+ "scenario_question_en": "Could Iran attempt to disrupt shipping through the Strait of Hormuz?",
136
+ "answer": "Yes",
137
+ "type": "specific"
138
+ },
139
+ {
140
+ "original_cn": "受伊朗冲突影响的中东其他国家是否会参战？",
141
+ "scenario_question_en": "Are other countries in the region likely to become directly involved in the conflict?",
142
+ "answer": "Yes",
143
+ "type": "specific"
144
+ },
145
+ {
146
+ "original_cn": "中东空域是否会关闭？",
147
+ "scenario_question_en": "Is large-scale closure of Middle Eastern airspace likely following these strikes?",
148
+ "answer": "Yes",
149
+ "type": "specific"
150
+ },
151
+ {
152
+ "original_cn": "伊朗内部会不会发生叛乱？",
153
+ "scenario_question_en": "Could the conflict trigger internal rebel army within Iran?",
154
+ "answer": "No",
155
+ "type": "specific"
156
+ },
157
+ {
158
+ "original_cn": "美国和以色列未来可能的行动是什么？",
159
+ "scenario_question_en": "What are the potential future actions by the United States and Israel?",
160
+ "answer": "",
161
+ "type": "open"
162
+ },
163
+ {
164
+ "original_cn": "伊朗未来可能的行动是什么？",
165
+ "scenario_question_en": "What are the potential future actions by Iran?",
166
+ "answer": "",
167
+ "type": "open"
168
+ },
169
+ {
170
+ "original_cn": "其他主要国家可能的参与或反应是什么？",
171
+ "scenario_question_en": "What are the potential involvement or reactions from other major countries?",
172
+ "answer": "",
173
+ "type": "open"
174
+ },
175
+ {
176
+ "original_cn": "冲突是否会升级为全球战争？",
177
+ "scenario_question_en": "Will the conflict escalate into a global war?",
178
+ "answer": "",
179
+ "type": "open"
180
+ },
181
+ {
182
+ "original_cn": "伊美冲突最可能的降级或解决路径是什么？合理的时间线预期是怎样的？",
183
+ "scenario_question_en": "What is the most probable pathway to de-escalation or resolution of the Iran-US conflict, and what is a realistic timeline?",
184
+ "answer": "",
185
+ "type": "open"
186
+ }
187
+ ]
188
+ },
189
+ {
190
+ "title": "T3: Mar 1, Two Missiles towards British Bases on Cyprus",
191
+ "event_datetime": "2026-03-01T12:00:00Z",
192
+ "questions": [
193
+ {
194
+ "original_cn": "英国会不会正式介入战争？",
195
+ "scenario_question_en": "Is the United Kingdom likely to become directly involved in the conflict?",
196
+ "answer": "No",
197
+ "type": "specific"
198
+ },
199
+ {
200
+ "original_cn": "北约会不会被卷入，战争是否扩展到地中海战区？",
201
+ "scenario_question_en": "Is NATO become involved, expanding the conflict into the Mediterranean theater?",
202
+ "answer": "No",
203
+ "type": "specific"
204
+ },
205
+ {
206
+ "original_cn": "地中海航运是否受到影响？",
207
+ "scenario_question_en": "Could the conflict disrupt commercial shipping or maritime security in the Mediterranean?",
208
+ "answer": "Yes",
209
+ "type": "specific"
210
+ },
211
+ {
212
+ "original_cn": "美国和以色列未来可能的行动是什么？",
213
+ "scenario_question_en": "What are the potential future actions by the United States and Israel?",
214
+ "answer": "",
215
+ "type": "open"
216
+ },
217
+ {
218
+ "original_cn": "伊朗未来可能的行动是什么？",
219
+ "scenario_question_en": "What are the potential future actions by Iran?",
220
+ "answer": "",
221
+ "type": "open"
222
+ },
223
+ {
224
+ "original_cn": "其他主要国家可能的参与或反应是什么？",
225
+ "scenario_question_en": "What are the potential involvement or reactions from other major countries?",
226
+ "answer": "",
227
+ "type": "open"
228
+ },
229
+ {
230
+ "original_cn": "冲突是否会升级为全球战争？",
231
+ "scenario_question_en": "Will the conflict escalate into a global war?",
232
+ "answer": "",
233
+ "type": "open"
234
+ },
235
+ {
236
+ "original_cn": "伊美冲突最可能的降级或解决路径是什么？合理的时间线预期是怎样的？",
237
+ "scenario_question_en": "What is the most probable pathway to de-escalation or resolution of the Iran-US conflict, and what is a realistic timeline?",
238
+ "answer": "",
239
+ "type": "open"
240
+ }
241
+ ]
242
+ },
243
+ {
244
+ "title": "T4: Mar 1, Oil Refiner and Oil Tanker Was Attacked",
245
+ "event_datetime": "2026-03-01T22:00:00Z",
246
+ "questions": [
247
+ {
248
+ "original_cn": "伊朗是否会持续攻击更多邮轮，来进行事实上对霍尔木兹海峡的封锁？",
249
+ "scenario_question_en": "Is Iran likely to continue targeting oil tankers in an attempt to disrupt traffic through the Strait of Hormuz?",
250
+ "answer": "Yes",
251
+ "type": "specific"
252
+ },
253
+ {
254
+ "original_cn": "国际海军是否会建立护航行动？",
255
+ "scenario_question_en": "Could international naval forces establish escort missions to protect commercial shipping?",
256
+ "answer": "No",
257
+ "type": "specific"
258
+ },
259
+ {
260
+ "original_cn": "美国海军是否会建立护航行动？",
261
+ "scenario_question_en": "Could American naval forces establish escort missions to protect commercial shipping?",
262
+ "answer": "Yes",
263
+ "type": "specific"
264
+ },
265
+ {
266
+ "original_cn": "能源基础设施是否会成为主要战场，伊朗是否会攻击更多炼油厂水厂等能源相关设施？",
267
+ "scenario_question_en": "Are energy facilities such as refineries, desalination plants, and oil terminals likely to become primary targets?",
268
+ "answer": "Yes",
269
+ "type": "specific"
270
+ },
271
+ {
272
+ "original_cn": "油价是否会产生剧烈波动？",
273
+ "scenario_question_en": "Could these attacks lead to significant volatility in global oil prices?",
274
+ "answer": "Yes",
275
+ "type": "specific"
276
+ },
277
+ {
278
+ "original_cn": "美国和以色列未来可能的行动是什么？",
279
+ "scenario_question_en": "What are the potential future actions by the United States and Israel?",
280
+ "answer": "",
281
+ "type": "open"
282
+ },
283
+ {
284
+ "original_cn": "伊朗未来可能的行动是什么？",
285
+ "scenario_question_en": "What are the potential future actions by Iran?",
286
+ "answer": "",
287
+ "type": "open"
288
+ },
289
+ {
290
+ "original_cn": "其他主要国家���能的参与或反应是什么？",
291
+ "scenario_question_en": "What are the potential involvement or reactions from other major countries?",
292
+ "answer": "",
293
+ "type": "open"
294
+ },
295
+ {
296
+ "original_cn": "冲突是否会升级为全球战争？",
297
+ "scenario_question_en": "Will the conflict escalate into a global war?",
298
+ "answer": "",
299
+ "type": "open"
300
+ },
301
+ {
302
+ "original_cn": "伊美冲突最可能的降级或解决路径是什么？合理的时间线预期是怎样的？",
303
+ "scenario_question_en": "What is the most probable pathway to de-escalation or resolution of the Iran-US conflict, and what is a realistic timeline?",
304
+ "answer": "",
305
+ "type": "open"
306
+ }
307
+ ]
308
+ },
309
+ {
310
+ "title": "T5: Mar 4, Qatar Halts Energy Production",
311
+ "event_datetime": "2026-03-02T06:00:00Z",
312
+ "questions": [
313
+ {
314
+ "original_cn": "欧洲或亚洲是否会出现天然气短缺风险？",
315
+ "scenario_question_en": "Could Qatar's decision lead to natural gas shortages in Europe or Asia?",
316
+ "answer": "Yes",
317
+ "type": "specific"
318
+ },
319
+ {
320
+ "original_cn": "全球天然气价格是否会大幅上涨？",
321
+ "scenario_question_en": "Are global natural gas prices likely to increase significantly as a result?",
322
+ "answer": "Yes",
323
+ "type": "specific"
324
+ },
325
+ {
326
+ "original_cn": "海湾地区其他LNG或炼油设施是否会遭到攻击?",
327
+ "scenario_question_en": "Could other LNG facilities or energy infrastructure in the Gulf region become targets?",
328
+ "answer": "Yes",
329
+ "type": "specific"
330
+ },
331
+ {
332
+ "original_cn": "欧洲和亚洲国家是否会寻找替代能源供应？",
333
+ "scenario_question_en": "Are major energy-importing countries likely to seek alternative supply sources?",
334
+ "answer": "Yes",
335
+ "type": "specific"
336
+ },
337
+ {
338
+ "original_cn": "美国和以色列未来可能的行动是什么？",
339
+ "scenario_question_en": "What are the potential future actions by the United States and Israel?",
340
+ "answer": "",
341
+ "type": "open"
342
+ },
343
+ {
344
+ "original_cn": "伊朗未来可能的行动是什么？",
345
+ "scenario_question_en": "What are the potential future actions by Iran?",
346
+ "answer": "",
347
+ "type": "open"
348
+ },
349
+ {
350
+ "original_cn": "其他主要国家可能的参与或反应是什么？",
351
+ "scenario_question_en": "What are the potential involvement or reactions from other major countries?",
352
+ "answer": "",
353
+ "type": "open"
354
+ },
355
+ {
356
+ "original_cn": "冲突是否会升级为全球战争？",
357
+ "scenario_question_en": "Will the conflict escalate into a global war?",
358
+ "answer": "",
359
+ "type": "open"
360
+ },
361
+ {
362
+ "original_cn": "伊美冲突最可能的降级或解决路径是什么？合理的时间线预期是怎样的？",
363
+ "scenario_question_en": "What is the most probable pathway to de-escalation or resolution of the Iran-US conflict, and what is a realistic timeline?",
364
+ "answer": "",
365
+ "type": "open"
366
+ }
367
+ ]
368
+ },
369
+ {
370
+ "title": "T6: Mar 2, Natanz Nuclear Facility Damaged",
371
+ "event_datetime": "2026-03-02T10:00:00Z",
372
+ "questions": [
373
+ {
374
+ "original_cn": "美国以色列是否会持续的攻击核设施？",
375
+ "scenario_question_en": "Are the United States and Israel likely to continue targeting Iranian nuclear facilities?",
376
+ "answer": "Yes",
377
+ "type": "specific"
378
+ },
379
+ {
380
+ "original_cn": "以色列核设施会不会遭到破坏",
381
+ "scenario_question_en": "Will Isreal nuclear-related infrastructure be damaged?",
382
+ "answer": "No",
383
+ "type": "specific"
384
+ },
385
+ {
386
+ "original_cn": "伊朗是否会退出核不扩散框架？",
387
+ "scenario_question_en": "Is Iran likely to withdraw from nuclear non-proliferation commitments?",
388
+ "answer": "No",
389
+ "type": "specific"
390
+ },
391
+ {
392
+ "original_cn": "核武器是否会在战争中被使用？",
393
+ "scenario_question_en": "Could nuclear weapons or nuclear-related threats emerge as part of the conflict?",
394
+ "answer": "Yes",
395
+ "type": "specific"
396
+ },
397
+ {
398
+ "original_cn": "美国和以色列未来可能的行动是什么？",
399
+ "scenario_question_en": "What are the potential future actions by the United States and Israel?",
400
+ "answer": "",
401
+ "type": "open"
402
+ },
403
+ {
404
+ "original_cn": "伊朗未来可能的行动是什么？",
405
+ "scenario_question_en": "What are the potential future actions by Iran?",
406
+ "answer": "",
407
+ "type": "open"
408
+ },
409
+ {
410
+ "original_cn": "其他主要国家可能的参与或反应是什么？",
411
+ "scenario_question_en": "What are the potential involvement or reactions from other major countries?",
412
+ "answer": "",
413
+ "type": "open"
414
+ },
415
+ {
416
+ "original_cn": "冲突是否会升级为全球战争？",
417
+ "scenario_question_en": "Will the conflict escalate into a global war?",
418
+ "answer": "",
419
+ "type": "open"
420
+ },
421
+ {
422
+ "original_cn": "伊美冲突最可能的降级或解决路径是什么？合理的时间线预期是怎样的？",
423
+ "scenario_question_en": "What is the most probable pathway to de-escalation or resolution of the Iran-US conflict, and what is a realistic timeline?",
424
+ "answer": "",
425
+ "type": "open"
426
+ }
427
+ ]
428
+ },
429
+ {
430
+ "title": "T7: Mar 3, U.S. Begins Evacuation of Citizens from the Middle East",
431
+ "event_datetime": "2026-03-03T11:55:00Z",
432
+ "questions": [
433
+ {
434
+ "original_cn": "其他国家是否也会紧随着撤侨？",
435
+ "scenario_question_en": "Are other countries likely to begin evacuating their citizens from the region as well?",
436
+ "answer": "Yes",
437
+ "type": "specific"
438
+ },
439
+ {
440
+ "original_cn": "美国是否会开动地面部队？",
441
+ "scenario_question_en": "Could the United States deploy ground forces if the conflict escalates further?",
442
+ "answer": "Yes",
443
+ "type": "specific"
444
+ },
445
+ {
446
+ "original_cn": "其他国家是否会关闭或缩减外交使馆？",
447
+ "scenario_question_en": "Are foreign governments likely to close or reduce operations at diplomatic missions in the region?",
448
+ "answer": "Yes",
449
+ "type": "specific"
450
+ },
451
+ {
452
+ "original_cn": "美国和以色列未来可能的行动是什么？",
453
+ "scenario_question_en": "What are the potential future actions by the United States and Israel?",
454
+ "answer": "",
455
+ "type": "open"
456
+ },
457
+ {
458
+ "original_cn": "伊朗未来可能的行动是什么？",
459
+ "scenario_question_en": "What are the potential future actions by Iran?",
460
+ "answer": "",
461
+ "type": "open"
462
+ },
463
+ {
464
+ "original_cn": "其他主要国家可能的参与或反应是什么？",
465
+ "scenario_question_en": "What are the potential involvement or reactions from other major countries?",
466
+ "answer": "",
467
+ "type": "open"
468
+ },
469
+ {
470
+ "original_cn": "冲突是否会升级为全球战争？",
471
+ "scenario_question_en": "Will the conflict escalate into a global war?",
472
+ "answer": "",
473
+ "type": "open"
474
+ },
475
+ {
476
+ "original_cn": "伊美冲突最可能的降级或解决路径是什么？合理的时间线预期是怎样的？",
477
+ "scenario_question_en": "What is the most probable pathway to de-escalation or resolution of the Iran-US conflict, and what is a realistic timeline?",
478
+ "answer": "",
479
+ "type": "open"
480
+ }
481
+ ]
482
+ },
483
+ {
484
+ "title": "T8: Mar 3, Nine Countries Involved and Israeli Ground Invasion",
485
+ "event_datetime": "2026-03-04T06:00:00Z",
486
+ "questions": [
487
+ {
488
+ "original_cn": "战争是否会进一步扩大化，是否会有更多的国家被卷入？",
489
+ "scenario_question_en": "Is the conflict likely to expand further, involving additional countries?",
490
+ "answer": "Yes",
491
+ "type": "specific"
492
+ },
493
+ {
494
+ "original_cn": "是否各个国家之间都会产生地面入侵？",
495
+ "scenario_question_en": "Could multiple countries initiate ground operations as the war escalates?",
496
+ "answer": "No",
497
+ "type": "specific"
498
+ },
499
+ {
500
+ "original_cn": "伊朗是否会扩大对真主党的支持？",
501
+ "scenario_question_en": "Is Iran likely to increase military or logistical support for Hezbollah?",
502
+ "answer": "Yes",
503
+ "type": "specific"
504
+ },
505
+ {
506
+ "original_cn": "美国和以色列未来可能的行动是什么？",
507
+ "scenario_question_en": "What are the potential future actions by the United States and Israel?",
508
+ "answer": "",
509
+ "type": "open"
510
+ },
511
+ {
512
+ "original_cn": "伊朗未来可能的行动是什么？",
513
+ "scenario_question_en": "What are the potential future actions by Iran?",
514
+ "answer": "",
515
+ "type": "open"
516
+ },
517
+ {
518
+ "original_cn": "其他主要国家可能的参与或反应是什么？",
519
+ "scenario_question_en": "What are the potential involvement or reactions from other major countries?",
520
+ "answer": "",
521
+ "type": "open"
522
+ },
523
+ {
524
+ "original_cn": "冲突是否会升级为全球战争？",
525
+ "scenario_question_en": "Will the conflict escalate into a global war?",
526
+ "answer": "",
527
+ "type": "open"
528
+ },
529
+ {
530
+ "original_cn": "伊美冲突最可能的降级或解决路径是什么？合理的时间线预期是怎样的？",
531
+ "scenario_question_en": "What is the most probable pathway to de-escalation or resolution of the Iran-US conflict, and what is a realistic timeline?",
532
+ "answer": "",
533
+ "type": "open"
534
+ }
535
+ ]
536
+ },
537
+ {
538
+ "title": "T9: Mar 3, Mojtaba Khamenei Becomes Supreme Leader",
539
+ "event_datetime": "2026-03-04T10:00:00Z",
540
+ "questions": [
541
+ {
542
+ "original_cn": "新最高领袖是否会扩大报复行动？是否会寻求外交谈判或停火？",
543
+ "scenario_question_en": "Is the new leadership more likely to escalate military retaliation rather than pursue negotiations?",
544
+ "answer": "Yes",
545
+ "type": "specific"
546
+ },
547
+ {
548
+ "original_cn": "美国和以色列是否会继续针对新领导层实施打击？",
549
+ "scenario_question_en": "Are the United States and Israel likely to target the new leadership structure in further strikes?",
550
+ "answer": "Yes",
551
+ "type": "specific"
552
+ },
553
+ {
554
+ "original_cn": "伊朗国内是否会出现政治动荡或抗议？",
555
+ "scenario_question_en": "Could the leadership transition trigger domestic unrest or protests in Iran?",
556
+ "answer": "Yes",
557
+ "type": "specific"
558
+ },
559
+ {
560
+ "original_cn": "美国和以色列未来可能的行动是什么？",
561
+ "scenario_question_en": "What are the potential future actions by the United States and Israel?",
562
+ "answer": "",
563
+ "type": "open"
564
+ },
565
+ {
566
+ "original_cn": "伊朗未来可能的行动是什么？",
567
+ "scenario_question_en": "What are the potential future actions by Iran?",
568
+ "answer": "",
569
+ "type": "open"
570
+ },
571
+ {
572
+ "original_cn": "其他主要国家可能的参与或反应是什么？",
573
+ "scenario_question_en": "What are the potential involvement or reactions from other major countries?",
574
+ "answer": "",
575
+ "type": "open"
576
+ },
577
+ {
578
+ "original_cn": "冲突是否会升级为全球战争？",
579
+ "scenario_question_en": "Will the conflict escalate into a global war?",
580
+ "answer": "",
581
+ "type": "open"
582
+ },
583
+ {
584
+ "original_cn": "伊美冲突最可能的降级或解决路径是什么？合理的时间线预期是怎样的？",
585
+ "scenario_question_en": "What is the most probable pathway to de-escalation or resolution of the Iran-US conflict, and what is a realistic timeline?",
586
+ "answer": "",
587
+ "type": "open"
588
+ }
589
+ ]
590
+ },
591
+ {
592
+ "title": "T10: Mar 6, Iranian Apology to Neighboring Countries",
593
+ "event_datetime": "2026-03-05T18:00:00Z",
594
+ "questions": [
595
+ {
596
+ "original_cn": "伊朗是否会停止对其他海湾国家的进攻？",
597
+ "scenario_question_en": "Is Iran likely to reduce or halt attacks on neighboring Gulf states?",
598
+ "answer": "No",
599
+ "type": "specific"
600
+ },
601
+ {
602
+ "original_cn": "伊朗是否会需求停火谈判？",
603
+ "scenario_question_en": "Could Iran begin pursuing ceasefire negotiations or diplomatic talks?",
604
+ "answer": "No",
605
+ "type": "specific"
606
+ },
607
+ {
608
+ "original_cn": "欧洲或联合国是否会利用这一信号推动谈判？",
609
+ "scenario_question_en": "Are international actors such as the EU or the United Nations likely to push for negotiations following this signal?",
610
+ "answer": "No",
611
+ "type": "specific"
612
+ },
613
+ {
614
+ "original_cn": "是否整体的冲突会降级？",
615
+ "scenario_question_en": "Could the overall intensity of the conflict begin to decrease?",
616
+ "answer": "No",
617
+ "type": "specific"
618
+ },
619
+ {
620
+ "original_cn": "美国和以色列未来可能的行动是什么？",
621
+ "scenario_question_en": "What are the potential future actions by the United States and Israel?",
622
+ "answer": "",
623
+ "type": "open"
624
+ },
625
+ {
626
+ "original_cn": "伊朗未来可能的行动是什么？",
627
+ "scenario_question_en": "What are the potential future actions by Iran?",
628
+ "answer": "",
629
+ "type": "open"
630
+ },
631
+ {
632
+ "original_cn": "其他主要国家可能的参与或反应是什么？",
633
+ "scenario_question_en": "What are the potential involvement or reactions from other major countries?",
634
+ "answer": "",
635
+ "type": "open"
636
+ },
637
+ {
638
+ "original_cn": "冲突是否会升级为全球战争？",
639
+ "scenario_question_en": "Will the conflict escalate into a global war?",
640
+ "answer": "",
641
+ "type": "open"
642
+ },
643
+ {
644
+ "original_cn": "伊美冲突最可能的降级或解决路径是什么？合理的时间线预期是怎样的？",
645
+ "scenario_question_en": "What is the most probable pathway to de-escalation or resolution of the Iran-US conflict, and what is a realistic timeline?",
646
+ "answer": "",
647
+ "type": "open"
648
+ }
649
+ ]
650
+ }
651
+ ]
652
+ }