#!/usr/bin/env bash ############################################################################### # StepProbe — Baseline restoration comparison. # # Tests the value of the silver-bullet selection by training two baseline # adapters and evaluating all three on the same benchmark cell: # # silver_bullet — failed problems, error-type-proportional (the paper's method) # failed_only — failed problems, uniform random (strip the balancing) # random — ALL problems (incl. correct), uniform (strip the diagnosis) # # If silver_bullet ≈ random, the paper's restoration contribution collapses. # If silver_bullet > random, the paper has a defensible novelty claim. # # Output: results/baselines/_//... # figures/paper/fig_paper_7_baselines.pdf # # Usage: # bash run_baselines.sh # MODEL_TAG=r1-qwen-1.5b bash run_baselines.sh # # Expected runtime: 3 × (~20 min training + ~10 min inference) ≈ 90 min on a 3090 Ti. # (silver_bullet at N=500 is reused from phase 7 if present — skip included.) ############################################################################### set -euo pipefail PROJECT_DIR="$(cd "$(dirname "$0")" && pwd)" cd "$PROJECT_DIR" export CUDA_VISIBLE_DEVICES="${CUDA_VISIBLE_DEVICES:-1}" export HF_HUB_DOWNLOAD_TIMEOUT=300 MODEL_HF="${MODEL_HF:-Qwen/Qwen2.5-7B-Instruct}" MODEL_TAG="${MODEL_TAG:-qwen25-7b}" QUANT_TAG="${QUANT_TAG:-gptq_w4}" BENCHMARK="${BENCHMARK:-math500}" N_SAMPLES="${N_SAMPLES:-500}" PY="${PY:-python}" GPU_MEM="${GPU_MEM:-0.55}" # Drop MAX_SEQ_LEN=1024 or LORA_RANK=8 if training OOMs while another GPU # process is resident (e.g. ollama holding ~13 GB). MAX_SEQ_LEN="${MAX_SEQ_LEN:-2048}" LORA_RANK="${LORA_RANK:-16}" BASELINE_ROOT="${PROJECT_DIR}/results/baselines/${MODEL_TAG}_${QUANT_TAG}" DIAG_DIR="${PROJECT_DIR}/results/diagnosis/${QUANT_TAG}/${MODEL_TAG}" REF_DIR="${PROJECT_DIR}/results/segmented/fp16/${MODEL_TAG}" LOG_DIR="${PROJECT_DIR}/logs" TIMESTAMP=$(date +%Y%m%d_%H%M%S) LOG_FILE="${LOG_DIR}/baselines_${TIMESTAMP}.log" mkdir -p "$BASELINE_ROOT" "$LOG_DIR" log() { echo "[$(date '+%H:%M:%S')] $1" | tee -a "$LOG_FILE"; } run_or_skip() { local desc=$1 skip=$2 cmd=$3 if eval "$skip"; then log "SKIP: $desc"; else log "RUN: $desc"; eval "$cmd" 2>&1 | tee -a "$LOG_FILE"; fi } log "==============================================" log "Baseline restoration sweep" log " Model: $MODEL_HF ($MODEL_TAG)" log " Quant: $QUANT_TAG" log " Benchmark: $BENCHMARK" log " N samples: $N_SAMPLES" log " Strategies: silver_bullet, failed_only, random" log "==============================================" [[ -d "$DIAG_DIR" ]] || { log "ERROR: missing $DIAG_DIR (run phase 5)"; exit 1; } [[ -d "$REF_DIR" ]] || { log "ERROR: missing $REF_DIR (run phase 4)"; exit 1; } for STRATEGY in silver_bullet failed_only random; do log "" log "==============================================" log "Strategy: $STRATEGY" log "==============================================" CFG_DIR="${BASELINE_ROOT}/${STRATEGY}" ADAPTER="${CFG_DIR}/qlora/adapter" MERGED="${CFG_DIR}/qlora/merged_fp16" INF_DIR="${CFG_DIR}/inference" OUT_FILE="${INF_DIR}/${BENCHMARK}_run0.jsonl" # 1. Train restoration with this sampling strategy. run_or_skip "QLoRA ($STRATEGY, N=$N_SAMPLES, seq=$MAX_SEQ_LEN, r=$LORA_RANK)" \ "[[ -f '${ADAPTER}/adapter_model.safetensors' ]]" \ "$PY -m stepprobe.restore \ --model '$MODEL_HF' \ --diagnosis '$DIAG_DIR' \ --ref '$REF_DIR' \ --output '$CFG_DIR' \ --method qlora \ --max-samples $N_SAMPLES \ --sampling-strategy $STRATEGY \ --epochs 3 \ --lr 2e-4 \ --batch-size 4 \ --max-seq-length $MAX_SEQ_LEN \ --lora-rank $LORA_RANK" # 2. Merge + inference (skip entirely if inference output exists). if [[ -f "$OUT_FILE" ]]; then log "SKIP: inference ($STRATEGY) — $OUT_FILE exists" else run_or_skip "Merge adapter → FP16 ($STRATEGY)" \ "[[ -f '${MERGED}/config.json' ]]" \ "$PY ${PROJECT_DIR}/scripts/merge_adapter.py \ --model '$MODEL_HF' \ --adapter '$ADAPTER' \ --output '$MERGED'" $PY -c "import torch; torch.cuda.empty_cache() if torch.cuda.is_available() else None" 2>&1 | tee -a "$LOG_FILE" run_or_skip "vLLM inference ($STRATEGY)" \ "[[ -f '$OUT_FILE' ]]" \ "$PY ${PROJECT_DIR}/scripts/run_inference.py \ --model '$MERGED' \ --quant bnb_nf4 --bits 4 \ --benchmark $BENCHMARK \ --output '$INF_DIR' \ --max-tokens 4096 --num-runs 1 \ --gpu-memory-utilization $GPU_MEM" fi # 3. Segment + diagnose so accuracy can be read from a diagnosed jsonl. SEG_DIR="${CFG_DIR}/segmented" DIAG_OUT="${CFG_DIR}/diagnosis" run_or_skip "Segment ($STRATEGY)" \ "[[ -f '${SEG_DIR}/${BENCHMARK}_run0.jsonl' ]]" \ "$PY -m stepprobe.segment --input '$INF_DIR' --output '$SEG_DIR' --quant '${QUANT_TAG}_${STRATEGY}'" run_or_skip "Diagnose ($STRATEGY)" \ "[[ -f '${DIAG_OUT}/${BENCHMARK}_run0.jsonl' ]]" \ "$PY -m stepprobe.diagnose --ref '$REF_DIR' --hyp '$SEG_DIR' --output '$DIAG_OUT' --alignment dtw" # 4. Disk hygiene. if [[ -d "$MERGED" ]]; then log "Cleaning up merged FP16 dir: $MERGED" rm -rf "$MERGED" fi $PY -c "import torch; torch.cuda.empty_cache() if torch.cuda.is_available() else None" 2>&1 | tee -a "$LOG_FILE" done log "" log "==============================================" log "Rendering fig_paper_7_baselines.pdf" log "==============================================" $PY ${PROJECT_DIR}/scripts/make_baselines_figure.py \ --baseline-root "$BASELINE_ROOT" \ --model "$MODEL_TAG" \ --quant "$QUANT_TAG" \ --benchmark "$BENCHMARK" \ --metrics "${PROJECT_DIR}/results/metrics" \ --segmented "${PROJECT_DIR}/results/segmented" \ --output "${PROJECT_DIR}/figures/paper/fig_paper_7_baselines.pdf" 2>&1 | tee -a "$LOG_FILE" log "" log "==============================================" log "DONE — compare silver_bullet vs failed_only vs random" log " Figure: figures/paper/fig_paper_7_baselines.pdf" log " Log: $LOG_FILE" log "=============================================="