#!/usr/bin/env bash ############################################################################### # StepProbe — multi-seed robustness check. # # The main paper reports per-problem bootstrap CIs from a single greedy seed. # Reviewers at NeurIPS/ICLR tier routinely ask for seed-level variance too. # This script runs 3 seeds at temperature 0.6 on a primary configuration and # plots cross-seed accuracy (mean ± std) next to a paired-bootstrap CI, so # readers can compare within-cell variance (bootstrap) against across-seed # variance (sampling). # # Scope is intentionally tight — primary model, primary benchmark, one method # on both base and restored. Expected runtime: ~2-2.5 h on a 3090 Ti. # # Override via env: # MODEL_TAG / MODEL_HF / QUANT_TAG / BENCHMARK / SEEDS ############################################################################### set -euo pipefail PROJECT_DIR="$(cd "$(dirname "$0")" && pwd)" cd "$PROJECT_DIR" export CUDA_VISIBLE_DEVICES="${CUDA_VISIBLE_DEVICES:-1}" export HF_HUB_DOWNLOAD_TIMEOUT=300 MODEL_HF="${MODEL_HF:-Qwen/Qwen2.5-7B-Instruct}" MODEL_TAG="${MODEL_TAG:-qwen25-7b}" QUANT_TAG="${QUANT_TAG:-gptq_w4}" BENCHMARK="${BENCHMARK:-math500}" TEMPERATURE="${TEMPERATURE:-0.6}" SEEDS_STR="${SEEDS:-0 1 2}" IFS=' ' read -r -a SEEDS <<< "$SEEDS_STR" PY="${PY:-python}" GPU_MEM="${GPU_MEM:-0.55}" # Resolve the quantized-base model path and the restored-adapter path from # the main pipeline's results, so we don't duplicate those artefacts. # # Derive the base vLLM --quant flag from QUANT_TAG: a GPTQ model on disk # has a compressed-tensors config that conflicts with --quant bnb_nf4, so # the base path has to match the on-disk quantization. For bnb_nf4_w4 the # base model is the original HF FP16 (runtime-quantized by vLLM), since # BnB is not offline-quantized to disk. case "$QUANT_TAG" in gptq_w*|awq_w*) BASE_QUANT=${QUANT_TAG%%_w*} # gptq_w4 -> gptq QUANT_MODEL="${PROJECT_DIR}/results/quantized_models/${MODEL_TAG}_${QUANT_TAG}" ;; bnb_nf4_w*) BASE_QUANT="bnb_nf4" QUANT_MODEL="$MODEL_HF" ;; *) echo "ERROR: unknown QUANT_TAG=$QUANT_TAG — expected awq_w*, gptq_w*, or bnb_nf4_w*" exit 1 ;; esac BASE_BITS=${QUANT_TAG##*_w} # gptq_w4 -> 4 ADAPTER="${PROJECT_DIR}/results/restored/${QUANT_TAG}/${MODEL_TAG}/qlora/adapter" REF_DIR="${PROJECT_DIR}/results/segmented/fp16/${MODEL_TAG}" MS_ROOT="${PROJECT_DIR}/results/multi_seed/${MODEL_TAG}_${QUANT_TAG}" LOG_DIR="${PROJECT_DIR}/logs" TIMESTAMP=$(date +%Y%m%d_%H%M%S) LOG_FILE="${LOG_DIR}/multi_seed_${TIMESTAMP}.log" mkdir -p "$MS_ROOT" "$LOG_DIR" log() { echo "[$(date '+%H:%M:%S')] $1" | tee -a "$LOG_FILE"; } log "==============================================" log "Multi-seed robustness (temperature=$TEMPERATURE)" log " Model: $MODEL_HF ($MODEL_TAG)" log " Quant: $QUANT_TAG" log " Benchmark: $BENCHMARK" log " Seeds: ${SEEDS[*]}" log "==============================================" # For BnB NF4 the "quant model" is the original HF FP16; we only need the # disk dir when using AWQ / GPTQ. if [[ "$BASE_QUANT" != "bnb_nf4" ]]; then [[ -d "$QUANT_MODEL" ]] || { log "ERROR: missing quantized model at $QUANT_MODEL (run phase 1b)"; exit 1; } fi [[ -d "$REF_DIR" ]] || { log "ERROR: missing FP16 reference at $REF_DIR (run phase 4)"; exit 1; } [[ -d "$ADAPTER" ]] || { log "ERROR: missing adapter at $ADAPTER (run phase 7)"; exit 1; } # Merge restored adapter once up front (reused across all seeds). MERGED="${MS_ROOT}/merged_fp16" if [[ ! -f "${MERGED}/config.json" ]]; then log "Merging adapter → FP16 (one-time)" $PY ${PROJECT_DIR}/scripts/merge_adapter.py \ --model "$MODEL_HF" --adapter "$ADAPTER" --output "$MERGED" 2>&1 | tee -a "$LOG_FILE" else log "SKIP: merged FP16 already exists at $MERGED" fi run_inference() { # $1: config_name, $2: model path, $3: out_dir, $4: --quant flag, $5: --bits local cfg=$1 model_path=$2 out_dir=$3 quant_arg=$4 bits_arg=$5 mkdir -p "$out_dir" for SEED in "${SEEDS[@]}"; do local out_file="${out_dir}/${BENCHMARK}_run${SEED}.jsonl" if [[ -f "$out_file" ]]; then log "SKIP: inference [$cfg seed=$SEED] — $out_file exists" continue fi log "RUN: inference [$cfg seed=$SEED, T=$TEMPERATURE, quant=$quant_arg]" $PY ${PROJECT_DIR}/scripts/run_inference.py \ --model "$model_path" \ --quant "$quant_arg" --bits "$bits_arg" \ --benchmark "$BENCHMARK" \ --output "$out_dir" \ --max-tokens 4096 \ --num-runs 1 \ --run-offset "$SEED" \ --seed-start "$SEED" \ --temperature "$TEMPERATURE" \ --top-p 0.95 \ --gpu-memory-utilization "$GPU_MEM" 2>&1 | tee -a "$LOG_FILE" done } BASE_DIR="${MS_ROOT}/base/inference" REST_DIR="${MS_ROOT}/restored/inference" # Base path uses the on-disk quantization (matches how phase 3 produced # the main-pipeline base numbers). Restored path uses merged FP16 + NF4 # at load time (matches phase 8). run_inference "base" "$QUANT_MODEL" "$BASE_DIR" "$BASE_QUANT" "$BASE_BITS" run_inference "restored" "$MERGED" "$REST_DIR" "bnb_nf4" "4" # Segment + diagnose each seed. for CFG in base restored; do IN_DIR="${MS_ROOT}/${CFG}/inference" SEG_DIR="${MS_ROOT}/${CFG}/segmented" DIAG_DIR="${MS_ROOT}/${CFG}/diagnosis" mkdir -p "$SEG_DIR" "$DIAG_DIR" for SEED in "${SEEDS[@]}"; do local_in="${IN_DIR}/${BENCHMARK}_run${SEED}.jsonl" local_seg="${SEG_DIR}/${BENCHMARK}_run${SEED}.jsonl" local_diag="${DIAG_DIR}/${BENCHMARK}_run${SEED}.jsonl" [[ -f "$local_in" ]] || continue if [[ ! -f "$local_seg" ]]; then log "RUN: segment [$CFG seed=$SEED]" # stepprobe.segment iterates all jsonls in the input dir, so we # isolate a single seed per call by temporary-moving the others. # Simpler: feed the whole dir and let it process all at once. : fi done # Batch: one segment + one diagnose call over all seeds. log "RUN: segment [$CFG, all seeds]" $PY -m stepprobe.segment --input "$IN_DIR" --output "$SEG_DIR" \ --quant "${QUANT_TAG}_${CFG}_ms" 2>&1 | tee -a "$LOG_FILE" log "RUN: diagnose [$CFG, all seeds]" $PY -m stepprobe.diagnose --ref "$REF_DIR" --hyp "$SEG_DIR" \ --output "$DIAG_DIR" --alignment dtw 2>&1 | tee -a "$LOG_FILE" done # Clean up merged dir. if [[ -d "$MERGED" ]]; then log "Cleaning up merged FP16 dir" rm -rf "$MERGED" fi log "" log "==============================================" log "Rendering fig_paper_9_multi_seed.pdf" log "==============================================" $PY ${PROJECT_DIR}/scripts/make_multi_seed_figure.py \ --multiseed-root "$MS_ROOT" \ --model "$MODEL_TAG" --quant "$QUANT_TAG" --benchmark "$BENCHMARK" \ --metrics "${PROJECT_DIR}/results/metrics" \ --output "${PROJECT_DIR}/figures/paper/fig_paper_9_multi_seed.pdf" 2>&1 | tee -a "$LOG_FILE" log "" log "DONE — multi-seed robustness check" log " Figure: figures/paper/fig_paper_9_multi_seed.pdf" log " Log: $LOG_FILE"