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891998 | Who will Aryna Sabalenka face in the Brisbane International women’s singles final by January 11, 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-01-02. The Brisbane International is a professional tennis tournament held ahead of the Australian Open. The women’s singles final is played after the semifinals are completed. | <ul>
<li> <b>Source of Truth</b>: The official Brisbane International (WTA) published draw/match results page and/or the WTA official match results for the Brisbane International. </li>
<li> <b>Resolution Date</b>: January 11, 2026 (or earlier if the finalists are officially set earlier). </li>
<li> <b>Acce... | string (name) | Marta Kostyuk | https://www.aljazeera.com/sports/2026/1/10/sabalenkas-australian-open-prep-sets-up-brisbane-final-against-kostyuk?traffic_source=rss | Defending champion Aryna Sabalenka outclassed Karolina Muchova to seal a 6-3 6-4 win at the Brisbane International and reach the final of the Australian Open tune-up tournament for the third straight year.
In Sunday’s title clash, the Belarusian will face Ukrainian Marta Kostyuk, who cruised past world number six Jes... | 2026-01-10T00:00:00 | 2026-01-10T00:00:00 | Aryna Sabalenka beats Karolina Muchova to reach Brisbane Open final where she will defend title against Marta Kostyuk. | Sabalenka’s Australian Open prep sets up Brisbane final against Kostyuk | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-01-09T00:00:00 | 2026-01-02T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
464874 | Who will be Aryna Sabalenka’s next opponent (third round) at the Australian Open by 21 January 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-01-04. In a Grand Slam tournament, once a player wins a match, the next opponent is determined by the draw and the outcomes of nearby matches. | <ul>
<li><b>Source of Truth</b>: The official Australian Open women’s singles draw and/or official match reports listing Sabalenka’s scheduled third-round opponent.</li>
<li><b>Resolution Date</b>: 21 January 2026 (or earlier if the draw/next opponent is officially confirmed earlier).</li>
<li><b>Accepted Answer ... | string (name) | Anastasia Potapova | https://www.aljazeera.com/sports/2026/1/21/alcaraz-sabalenka-gauff-cruise-into-australian-open-third-round | Top-ranked Carlos Alcaraz and Aryna Sabalenka have powered into the third round at the Australian Open.
World number one Carlos Alcaraz fended off a series of “bombs” before surging into the Australian Open third round on Wednesday, where he was joined by Aryna Sabalenka and a near-flawless Coco Gauff.
Recommended Stor... | 2026-01-21T00:00:00 | 2026-01-21T00:00:00 | Top-ranked Carlos Alcaraz and Aryna Sabalenka progressed to the third round at the first Grand Slam of the year. | Alcaraz, Sabalenka, Gauff cruise into Australian Open third round | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-01-20T00:00:00 | 2026-01-04T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
279531 | What region will be described as the place where a “big armada” is forming by January 27, 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-01-10. In geopolitical reporting, large groupings of naval forces are sometimes described with terms like “armada,” and journalists typically specify the region where such forces are gathering. | <ul>
<li><b>Source of Truth</b>: The question will resolve based on consistent identification of the region in major international news reporting and/or official statements that use the “armada” description and name the region.</li>
<li><b>Resolution Date</b>: January 27, 2026 (end of day, UTC).</li>
<li><b>Accep... | string (location) | Middle East | https://www.aljazeera.com/news/liveblog/2026/1/27/live-us-iran-ratchet-up-rhetoric-as-big-armada-forms-in-the-middle-east?traffic_source=rss | 2026-01-27T00:00:00 | 2026-01-27T00:00:00 | USS Abraham Lincoln carrier’s arrival is ‘not going to affect Iran’s determination to defend the nation’, Tehran warns. | LIVE: US, Iran ratchet up rhetoric as ‘big armada’ forms in the Middle East | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-01-14T00:00:00 | 2026-01-10T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | ||
567250 | By January 10, 2026, which country’s embassy in Kyiv will report it was damaged during attacks? | Question Start Date: 2025-12-19. During armed conflicts, embassies in a capital city can sometimes be damaged by strikes or nearby explosions. Foreign ministries may issue public statements confirming any damage and whether staff are safe. | <ul>
<li> An official public statement (press release or verified social-media post) from the relevant country’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs confirming its embassy in Kyiv was damaged. </li>
<li> This question resolves on January 10, 2026, based on statements made public by that date. </li>
<li> The country... | string (country) | Qatar | https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/1/10/russia-ukraine-war-list-of-key-events-day-1416?traffic_source=rss | These are the key developments from day 1,416 of Russia’s war on Ukraine.
Share
Here is where things stand on Saturday, January 10:
Fighting:
The death toll from a massive Russian attack on Ukraine’s capital Kyiv that began on Thursday night has risen to four, the Ukrainian State Emergency Service wrote in an update sh... | 2026-01-10T00:00:00 | 2026-01-10T00:00:00 | These are the key developments from day 1,416 of Russia’s war on Ukraine. | Russia-Ukraine war: List of key events, day 1,416 | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-01-08T00:00:00 | 2025-12-19T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
71 | Who will be named to lead the Palestinian technocratic committee set to administer Gaza by January 2026? | Question Start Date: 2025-12-19. Mediators are working on arrangements for a possible second phase of a Gaza ceasefire, including interim civilian governance after the war. One open issue is who may head a nonpartisan Palestinian administrative committee for Gaza. | <ul>
<li>
<b>Source of Truth</b>: Official statements from the ceasefire mediators, the Palestinian Authority, or the committee itself. If no single official statement is available, matching reports from at least two major international news outlets may be used.
</li>
<li>
<b>Resolution Date</b>... | string (name) | Ali Shaath | https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/1/15/gaza-plan-phase-two-us-to-discuss-hamas-disarmament-israeli-withdrawal?traffic_source=rss | Hamas leaders and representatives of other Palestinian factions in Gaza are in the Egyptian capital Cairo for talks on the second phase of the United States-led Gaza ceasefire deal, amid a teetering ceasefire that Israel has repeatedly violated as its genocidal war continues.
Deep uncertainty remains over the next step... | 2026-01-15T00:00:00 | 2026-01-15T00:00:00 | The second phase of the ceasefire deal includes naming a panel of Palestinian technocrats to lead post-war Gaza. | Gaza plan phase two: US to discuss Hamas disarmament, Israeli withdrawal | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-01-13T00:00:00 | 2025-12-19T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
988168 | What social media platform will Emmy-winning Palestinian journalist Bisan Owda say by 31 January 2026 has permanently banned her account? | Question Start Date: 2026-01-09. Major social media companies are an important outlet for journalists reporting from conflict zones. High-profile account suspensions can sharply affect how those journalists reach international audiences. | <ul>
<li>
<b>Source of Truth</b>: Resolve using Bisan Owda’s public statements on her official social accounts, any public statement from the platform, and contemporaneous reporting from at least two reputable news outlets published by 31 January 2026.
</li>
<li>
<b>Resolution Date</b>: The ques... | string (platform) | TikTok | https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/1/29/palestinian-journalist-bisan-owda-with-1-4m-followers-reports-tiktok-ban | Award-winning Palestinian journalist Bisan Owda has said she has been permanently banned from TikTok, days after the social media platform was acquired by new investors in the United States.
Owda, an Emmy Award-winning journalist and contributor to Al Jazeera’s AJ+ from Gaza, shared a video on her Instagram and X accou... | 2026-01-29T00:00:00 | 2026-01-29T00:00:00 | Emmy-winning Owda points to changes in TikTok’s US ownership, remarks from Israel’s Benjamin Netanyahu to explain ban. | Palestinian journalist Bisan Owda with 1.4m followers reports TikTok ban | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-01-27T00:00:00 | 2026-01-09T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
709715 | Who will Volodymyr Zelenskyy appoint as Ukraine's economic development adviser by January 6, 2026? | Question Start Date: 2025-12-14. Ukraine is seeking outside expertise to support wartime economic policy and future investment. | <ul>
<li><b>Source of Truth</b>: An official announcement from the Office of the President of Ukraine or a public statement from the appointee, corroborated by major international news outlets.</li>
<li><b>Resolution Date</b>: This question resolves on the calendar date when the appointment is first publicly announ... | string (name) | Chrystia Freeland | https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/1/6/russia-ukraine-war-list-of-key-events-day-1412?traffic_source=rss | These are the key developments from day 1,412 of Russia’s war on Ukraine.
Share
Here is where things stand on Tuesday, January 6:
Fighting
Russia carried out five missile strikes on Ukraine’s second-biggest city, Kharkiv, on Monday, damaging energy infrastructure and wounding one person, according to Mayor Ihor Terekho... | 2026-01-06T00:00:00 | 2026-01-06T00:00:00 | These are the key developments from day 1,412 of Russia’s war on Ukraine. | Russia-Ukraine war: List of key events, day 1,412 | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-01-04T00:00:00 | 2025-12-14T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
261538 | In which city will Newcastle United play the first leg of its 2025-26 UEFA Champions League playoff tie in February 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-01-19. UEFA Champions League playoff ties are played over two legs. After the draw, UEFA publishes the fixture list, including which team hosts the first leg and the city where that match is played. | <ul>
<li><b>Source of Truth</b>: The official UEFA fixture schedule on UEFA.com. Newcastle United's official match schedule may be used as a secondary confirming source if necessary.</li>
<li><b>Resolution Date</b>: This question resolves when UEFA publishes the first-leg playoff fixture details, expected by Februa... | string (location) | Baku | https://www.aljazeera.com/sports/2026/1/30/uefa-champions-league-playoffs-real-madrid-draw-benfica-psg-get-monaco | Real Madrid must face their former manager Jose Mourinho again after being drawn with Benfica in the UEFA Champions League (UCL) playoff round, while reigning European champions Paris Saint-Germain will face domestic rivals Monaco.
In a dramatic finale to the league phase of this year’s competition, Mourinho’s Benfica ... | 2026-01-30T00:00:00 | 2026-01-30T00:00:00 | Real Madrid handed tough UEFA Champions League draw against Benfica, the team that consigned them to the playoffs. | UEFA Champions League playoffs: Real Madrid draw Benfica, PSG get Monaco | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-01-29T00:00:00 | 2026-01-19T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
651727 | Who will be sworn in as Venezuela’s interim president by January 2026? | Question Start Date: 2025-12-19. Venezuela is in a prolonged political crisis over leadership and state control. If a sudden disruption at the top occurs, a temporary national leader may be formally sworn in to manage the government. | <ul>
<li>This question resolves based on the first formal swearing-in announcement or official record from Venezuela’s National Assembly or other de facto national executive authority, corroborated by at least two major international news outlets.</li>
<li>The question resolves on the date a person is formally swor... | string (name) | Delcy Rodriguez | https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/1/6/what-to-know-about-trumps-plan-on-venezuela | Following the abduction of Venezuelan leader Nicolas Maduro on Saturday, United States President Donald Trump said Washington would “run” the Latin American country until a transition was complete, but a day later, his top diplomat said the US does not want to govern the country.
Secretary of State Marco Rubio said on ... | 2026-01-06T00:00:00 | 2026-01-06T00:00:00 | After US forces abducted Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro, it is unclear what Washington has planned. | What to know about Trump’s plan on Venezuela | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-01-02T00:00:00 | 2025-12-19T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
703511 | Which team will knock DR Congo out of AFCON 2025 in January 2026? | Question Start Date: 2025-12-19. The Africa Cup of Nations (AFCON) is Africa’s continental men’s football championship. DR Congo are one of the teams competing, and knockout matches decide which side advances. | <ul>
<li> Official Confederation of African Football (CAF) match records or tournament bracket for the knockout match in which DR Congo are eliminated. If needed, major news reports may be used as secondary confirmation. </li>
<li> This question resolves on the date DR Congo are officially eliminated from AFCON... | string (team) | Algeria | https://www.aljazeera.com/sports/2026/1/8/dr-congo-superfan-mboladinga-lumumba-vea-leaves-afcon-as-a-hero | The Democratic Republic of the Congo have exited the Africa Cup of Nations (AFCON) 2025 after a heartbreaking extra-time loss to Algeria, but their most famous supporter has made a lasting impact on football fans and players.
Michel Nkuka Mboladinga, who became an instant fan favourite and social media star for his uni... | 2026-01-08T00:00:00 | 2026-01-08T00:00:00 | Heartbroken after his team’s loss to Algeria, Mboladinga won over fans and left a lasting impact on the tournament. | DR Congo superfan Mboladinga ‘Lumumba Vea’ leaves AFCON as a hero | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-01-05T00:00:00 | 2025-12-19T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
369962 | Which armed group will Syria name as the target of a military operation in Aleppo by 31 January 2026? | Question Start Date: 2025-12-20. Multiple armed factions operate in and around Aleppo. Analysts are watching to see which force Syrian authorities may publicly identify as the target of a new operation there. | <ul>
<li> Resolve using the first official Syrian military or government announcement, or a contemporaneous report from a major international news outlet published by 31 January 2026, that explicitly names the armed group targeted by the operation. </li>
<li> The question resolves on the earliest date that the ... | string (armed group) | SDF | https://www.aljazeera.com/news/liveblog/2026/1/7/live-syria-to-launch-military-operation-against-sdf-in-aleppo?traffic_source=rss | The Syrian army has declared Aleppo’s Kurdish areas ‘closed military zones’ and ordered civilians to leave.
Video Duration 00 minutes 29 seconds play-arrow00:29
Share | 2026-01-07T00:00:00 | 2026-01-07T00:00:00 | The Syrian army has declared Aleppo’s Kurdish areas ‘closed military zones’ and ordered civilians to leave. | LIVE: Syria to launch military operation against SDF in Aleppo | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-01-05T00:00:00 | 2025-12-20T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
459037 | Which country will face host Morocco in the AFCON 2025 semifinal in Rabat on 14 January 2026? | Question Start Date: 2025-12-19. The Africa Cup of Nations is Africa’s main men’s international football tournament. As the knockout rounds unfold, the bracket will determine which team meets the host nation in the semifinal. | <ul>
<li><b>Source of Truth</b>: CAF’s official AFCON 2025 bracket and match schedule on CAFOnline.com. Major wire services such as Reuters or AP may be used for confirmation if needed.</li>
<li><b>Resolution Date</b>: This question resolves when CAF officially confirms Morocco’s semifinal opponent, expected by... | string (country) | Nigeria | https://www.aljazeera.com/sports/2026/1/12/nigeria-egypt-or-senegal-who-can-spoil-moroccos-afcon-2025-party | The Africa Cup of Nations (AFCON) has reached the semifinal stage, and a tournament devoid of shocks now offers two mouthwatering ties with hosts Morocco looking to see off the challenges of their fellow continental heavyweights.
Mohamed Salah’s Egypt, Victor Osimhen’s Nigeria and Sadio Mane’s Senegal remain in content... | 2026-01-12T00:00:00 | 2026-01-12T00:00:00 | Osimhen, Salah and Mane lead a star-studded showdown as hosts Morocco look to win the Africa Cup of Nations crown. | Nigeria, Egypt or Senegal: Who can spoil Morocco’s AFCON 2025 party? | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-01-09T00:00:00 | 2025-12-19T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
783773 | Which foreign country will Somalia's Minister of State for Foreign Affairs say gave support to separatist regions, in remarks reported by Al Jazeera by January 20, 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-01-03. Somalia faces political disputes involving regional authorities and secessionist claims. Senior officials sometimes speak publicly about whether outside governments are influencing these tensions. | <ul>
<li>
<b>Source of Truth</b>: The question resolves based on the Al Jazeera English report or associated interview/video first published by January 20, 2026 that quotes Somalia's Minister of State for Foreign Affairs on separatist divisions.
</li>
<li>
<b>Resolution Date</b>: The question re... | string (country) | UAE | https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/1/14/somali-minister-blames-uae-support-for-fragmentation-of-somalia | “Somaliland, Puntland, Jubaland, all of them had some level of support from UAE.” Somalia’s Minister of State for Foreign Affairs told Al Jazeera that “external elements” are responsible for separatist divisions his country faces. | 2026-01-20T00:00:00 | 2026-01-14T00:00:00 | Somalia’s Minister of State for Foreign Affairs says “external elements” are responsible for separatist divisions. | Somali minister blames UAE support for ‘fragmentation’ of Somalia | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-01-11T00:00:00 | 2026-01-03T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
118127 | Which country will President Cyril Ramaphosa reportedly order excluded from South Africa's BRICS naval drills by January 9, 2026? | Question Start Date: 2025-12-19. South Africa is preparing to host a multinational naval exercise linked to BRICS. Participation by some foreign navies could become politically sensitive and may be affected by last-minute government decisions. | <ul>
<li>
<b>Source of Truth</b>: This question will resolve using public statements from the South African presidency or defence authorities, and if needed, corroborated reporting from established South African and international news outlets.
</li>
<li>
<b>Resolution Date</b>: The question reso... | string (country) | Iran | https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/1/23/why-is-south-africa-upset-about-iran-joining-brics-naval-drills | South Africa has launched an inquiry into Iran’s participation in joint naval drills with BRICS nations last week, apparently against the orders of President Cyril Ramaphosa.
BRICS is a group of 10 countries: Brazil, China, Egypt, Ethiopia, India, Indonesia, Iran, Russia, South Africa and the United Arab Emirates. The ... | 2026-01-23T00:00:00 | 2026-01-23T00:00:00 | South Africa’s government is facing backlash from the US and from within its own administration for hosting Iran’s navy. | Why is South Africa upset about Iran joining BRICS naval drills? | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-01-11T00:00:00 | 2025-12-19T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
176447 | Which Trump Commerce Secretary will released Epstein correspondence identify as arranging a visit to Epstein's island in December 2012, by January 2026? | Question Start Date: 2025-12-14. More Jeffrey Epstein records are expected to be released publicly. Analysts are watching whether the files reveal previously undisclosed contacts involving senior government or business figures. | <ul>
<li> This question will resolve based on the public release of the relevant Epstein correspondence by the US Department of Justice and consistent reporting from major news organizations that identify the official shown arranging the visit.</li>
<li> Resolve on the date the correspondence or contemporaneous... | string (name) | Howard Lutnick | https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/1/31/bill-gates-elon-musk-howard-lutnick-face-new-scrutiny-over-epstein-ties?traffic_source=rss | Newly released investigative files concerning the late financier and sex offender Jeffrey Epstein have cast more scrutiny on his connections with some of the US’s wealthiest and most powerful men, including moguls Bill Gates and Elon Musk.
The tranche of documents released by the US Department of Justice on Friday come... | 2026-01-31T00:00:00 | 2026-01-31T00:00:00 | New files suggest the men had more extensive contact with Epstein than previously known. | Bill Gates, Elon Musk, Howard Lutnick face new scrutiny over Epstein ties | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-01-29T00:00:00 | 2025-12-14T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
915183 | Which US state will officials describe as the site of the largest federal immigration enforcement operation ever carried out by January 25, 2026? | Question Start Date: 2025-11-30. The US federal government is conducting immigration enforcement operations in multiple jurisdictions. Officials may later characterize one state-level operation as unprecedented in scale. | <ul>
<li> statements from federal officials and reporting from major news organizations published by January 25, 2026. </li>
<li> this question resolves when the state tied to that description is clearly named in those sources, no later than January 25, 2026. </li>
<li> provide the name of a US state only. ... | string (location) | Minnesota | https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/1/25/who-was-alex-pretti-the-nurse-shot-dead-by-federal-agents-in-minneapolis | Family members have identified the man who was shot dead by federal immigration agents in the city of Minneapolis in the United States as Alex Jeffrey Pretti, a 37-year-old American citizen.
The shooting of Pretti on Saturday came as Minneapolis, the largest city in the state of Minnesota, continues to mourn the death ... | 2026-01-25T00:00:00 | 2026-01-25T00:00:00 | Two witnesses said in court filings that the victim did not brandish a gun, refuting claims by the Trump administration. | Who was Alex Pretti, the nurse shot dead by federal agents in Minneapolis? | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-01-05T00:00:00 | 2025-11-30T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
799398 | Which Morocco player will take and miss the stoppage-time penalty in the 2025 Africa Cup of Nations final on 18 January 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-01-14. The 2025 Africa Cup of Nations final is scheduled for 18 January 2026 between Morocco and Senegal. This question concerns any penalty awarded to Morocco during stoppage time of normal play, before extra time. | <ul>
<li><b>Source of Truth</b>: Resolve using the official CAF match report for the final. If the taker of the missed penalty is not clearly identified there, use contemporaneous Reuters or Associated Press match reports as secondary confirmation.</li>
<li><b>Resolution Date</b>: The question resolves when the mat... | string (name) | Brahim Diaz | https://www.aljazeera.com/sports/2026/1/18/senegal-beat-hosts-morocco-to-win-afcon-2025-after-farcical-walk-off?traffic_source=rss | Senegal stormed off the field in protest at a penalty awarded against them before returning to beat hosts Morocco 1-0 after extra time, and win the Africa Cup of Nations, amid farcical scenes in the final.
Midfielder Pape Gueye netted the 94th-minute winner on Sunday, after Morocco’s star player Brahim Diaz squande... | 2026-01-18T00:00:00 | 2026-01-18T00:00:00 | Pape Gueye scores in a 1-0 win following extra time after Senegal leave the field in protest at penalty decision. | Senegal beat hosts Morocco to win AFCON 2025 after farcical walk-off | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-01-17T00:00:00 | 2026-01-14T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
797906 | What military body will President Rashad al-Alimi announce to integrate anti-Houthi forces into Yemen’s military by January 2026? | Question Start Date: 2025-12-14. Yemen’s internationally recognised government is trying to unify multiple armed factions that oppose the Houthis. A new command structure may be announced as part of that effort. | <ul>
<li>
<b>Source of Truth</b>: Official statements from Yemen’s internationally recognised presidency or state media, corroborated by major international reporting such as Reuters, AP, or Al Jazeera.
</li>
<li>
<b>Resolution Date</b>: This question resolves on the date, no later than 31 Janua... | string (organization) | Supreme Military Committee | https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/1/14/is-yemeni-government-getting-ready-to-attack-the-houthis?traffic_source=rss | After years of being at the forefront of developments in Yemen – and the wider region – the Houthis have been watching recent events from the sidelines.
The Yemeni rebel group, which is backed and funded by Iran, has controlled the capital Sanaa and much of the country’s northwest since 2014. Many see it as being in pa... | 2026-01-14T00:00:00 | 2026-01-14T00:00:00 | Houthis weigh risks as Saudi-backed campaign to unite forces could challenge their decade-long hold on northwest Yemen. | Is the Yemeni government getting ready to attack the Houthis? | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-01-09T00:00:00 | 2025-12-14T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
278197 | Which federal agency will be identified as employing the agents accused in the fatal shooting of a woman in Minneapolis by 31 January 2026? | Question Start Date: 2025-12-31. Several U.S. federal agencies have law-enforcement roles, and breaking news coverage often turns on which agency was involved in a disputed local incident. This question asks for the agency short name that later reporting will attach to the agents in a fatal shooting case. | <ul>
<li><b>Source of Truth</b>: Resolve using official federal statements and consistent reporting from major news organizations identifying the agency involved in the shooting.</li>
<li><b>Resolution Date</b>: This question resolves by 31st January 2026, or earlier once the agency is publicly and consistently ide... | string (organization) | ICE | https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/1/8/witnesses-film-ice-killing-of-us-citizen-in-minneapolis | “Get the **** out of Minneapolis”. Anger is rising after ICE agents shot dead a 37-year-old American mother at point blank range in the city of Minneapolis. Renee Nicole Good was in her car when an agent opened fire. Witnesses filmed the killing. | 2026-01-08T00:00:00 | 2026-01-08T00:00:00 | “Get the **** out of Minneapolis”.
Anger is rising after ICE agents shot dead a 37-year-old American mother. | Witnesses film ICE killing of US citizen in Minneapolis | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-01-06T00:00:00 | 2025-12-31T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
876347 | What film will receive the most nominations when the 98th Academy Awards nominations are announced in January 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-01-09. The Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences is preparing to announce the nominations for the 98th Academy Awards later this month. One film will lead the field in total nominations. | <ul>
<li> <b>Source of Truth</b>: The official 98th Academy Awards nominations announcement published by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences, including Oscars.org and the Academy’s official nominations release. Reputable major news coverage may be used only as a backup if the official list is temporaril... | string (film title) | Sinners | https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/1/22/who-got-the-most-nods-the-complete-list-of-2026-oscar-nominations?traffic_source=rss | Director Ryan Coogler’s thriller Sinners makes history with a record 16 nominations, followed by One Battle After Another with 13.
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History was made as the nominations for the 98th annual Academy Awards were revealed at an announcement ceremony in Beverly Hills, California.
It was a moment of vindication for Sinne... | 2026-01-22T00:00:00 | 2026-01-22T00:00:00 | Ryan Coogler’s film Sinners makes history with a record 16 nominations, followed by One Battle After Another with 13. | Who got the most nods? The complete list of 2026 Oscar nominations | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-01-21T00:00:00 | 2026-01-09T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
892867 | Which Austrian alpine skier will be ruled out of the Milano Cortina Winter Olympics after a training crash, by 2 January 2026? | Question Start Date: 2025-12-09. Austria is preparing its alpine skiing team for the February 2026 Winter Olympics. Training accidents can still change which skiers are able to compete. | <ul>
<li><b>Source of Truth</b>: Official statements from the Austrian Ski Association are primary. If unavailable, Reuters or International Olympic Committee reporting that attributes the information to Austrian ski officials may be used.</li>
<li><b>Resolution Date</b>: This question resolves on the first dat... | string (name) | Katharina Liensberger | https://www.aljazeera.com/sports/2026/1/2/liensberger-to-miss-olympics-after-latest-serious-skiing-accident | Austria’s 2022 Olympic slalom silver medallist Katharina Liensberger will miss the Milano Cortina Winter Olympics after suffering a serious knee injury in a training crash.
The Austrian Ski Association said Liensberger would have surgery on Friday after medical examinations revealed a fracture of the tibial plateau,... | 2026-01-02T00:00:00 | 2026-01-02T00:00:00 | Austria’s Katharina Liensberger to miss Milano Cortina Winter Games after knee injury in alpine skiing training fall. | Liensberger to miss Olympics after latest serious skiing accident | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-01-01T00:00:00 | 2025-12-09T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
117844 | Who will be named as the Ukrainian opposition leader charged in a parliamentary bribery probe by January 15, 2026? | Question Start Date: 2025-12-31. Ukraine’s anticororruption authorities continue to investigate alleged wrongdoing involving lawmakers and political figures. Major cases can later publicly identify the person charged. | <ul>
<li>This question resolves based on public statements or releases from Ukraine’s National Anti-Corruption Bureau (NABU) or Specialised Anti-Corruption Prosecutor’s Office (SAPO), or if those do not directly name the person, consistent identification in Reuters reporting that cites the case and relevant officials... | string (name) | Yulia Tymoshenko | https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/1/14/ukraines-former-prime-minister-yulia-tymoshenko-accused-of-bribery-report | Ukraine’s former prime minister, Yulia Tymoshenko, has been accused of bribing members of the country’s parliament and running a vote-buying scheme, the National Anti-Corruption Bureau of Ukraine (NABU) said, according to media reports.
In a statement on the Telegram messaging application on Wednesday, NABU said it had... | 2026-01-14T00:00:00 | 2026-01-14T00:00:00 | Yulia Tymoshenko has served as Ukraine’s prime minister in 2005 and from 2007 to 2010. | Ukraine’s former Prime Minister Yulia Tymoshenko accused of bribery: Report | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-01-12T00:00:00 | 2025-12-31T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
243746 | Which federal agency will President Donald Trump say is investigating whether southern California wildfire recovery funds were awarded improperly by the end of January 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-01-01. There is ongoing debate over whether federal disaster money connected to California wildfire recovery has been distributed lawfully and fairly. The administration may direct the Office of Management and Budget to review those awards. | <ul>
<li><b>Source of Truth</b>: An official White House executive order, presidential statement, or transcript of public remarks identifying the agency assigned to examine the funding, with Reuters or Associated Press reporting used if needed for confirmation.</li>
<li><b>Resolution Date</b>: This question resolve... | string (organization) | FEMA | https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/1/28/trump-yanks-permitting-process-from-democrats-after-california-fires?traffic_source=rss | They were among the most costly wildfires in United States history, ravaging the densely populated metropolis of Los Angeles in southern California.
But almost a year after they were contained, the Eaton and Palisades fires are back in the headlines, as the administration of President Donald Trump seeks to wrest contro... | 2026-01-28T00:00:00 | 2026-01-28T00:00:00 | Democratic officials shot back that Trump has failed to deliver the federal funds needed for rebuilding efforts. | Trump yanks permitting process from Democrats after California fires | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-01-23T00:00:00 | 2026-01-01T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
944348 | Who will be named CEO of TikTok's new US joint-venture entity by January 31, 2026? | Question Start Date: 2025-12-14. TikTok's future in the United States remains uncertain as officials, investors, and the company discuss a possible restructuring that could allow the app to keep operating. If a new US-based entity is created, its top executive may be announced soon. | <ul>
<li><b>Source of Truth</b>: TikTok's official statement, press release, or corporate materials announcing the new US entity and its leadership. If those are unavailable or unclear, consistent reporting by major wire services or major business news outlets citing the announcement will be used.</li>
<li><b>Resol... | string (name) | Adam Presser | https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/1/23/who-controls-tiktoks-us-platform-under-new-deal | Social media platform TikTok has reached an agreement with investors to launch an independent US entity, enabling it to avoid a ban in the United States after years of wrangling over its fate.
The embattled short-video platform, which is used by more than 200 million Americans and 7.5 million businesses, announced the ... | 2026-01-23T00:00:00 | 2026-01-23T00:00:00 | It comes after TikTok faced years of intense scrutiny in the US due to concerns about user data privacy. | Who controls TikTok’s US platform under new deal? | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-01-21T00:00:00 | 2025-12-14T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
348570 | Which English club will rank highest in Deloitte's Football Money League for the 2024-25 season when the ranking is published in January 2026? | Question Start Date: 2025-12-31. Deloitte publishes a yearly Football Money League based on club revenue. English clubs are usually prominent in the ranking, and one of them will finish highest among all clubs from England in the 2024-25 edition. | <ul>
<li><b>Source of Truth</b>: Deloitte’s official 2024-25 Football Money League table or release. If the official table is unavailable, consistent coverage from major news organizations citing Deloitte may be used.</li>
<li><b>Resolution Date</b>: This question resolves when the 2024-25 Football Money League is ... | string (name) | Liverpool | https://www.aljazeera.com/sports/2026/1/22/liverpool-overtake-man-utd-but-real-madrid-remain-footballs-top-earners | Liverpool have overtaken Manchester United for the first time as the Premier League’s biggest-financial earners, but Real Madrid remained top performers in world football during the 2024-25 season, according to an annual financial list.
The Spanish club topped Deloitte’s Football Money League, published on Thursday, wi... | 2026-01-22T00:00:00 | 2026-01-22T00:00:00 | Real Madrid remain the top earner in world football but Liverpool leap in ranking, while Manchester United slide. | Real Madrid remain football’s top earners but Liverpool overtake Man Utd | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-01-21T00:00:00 | 2025-12-31T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
69214 | Which Iranian province will state television say lost 30 police and security personnel during the protests, by 11th January 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-01-01. Protest activity is taking place in multiple parts of Iran. State media and official outlets may later identify where reported casualties among security forces are concentrated. | <ul>
<li>The question resolves based on Iranian state television or state media reports, or on reliable news coverage clearly attributing the claim to Iranian state television.</li>
<li>The question resolves when the relevant state television report is publicly available, and no later than 11th January 2026.</li>
... | string (location) | Isfahan | https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/1/11/iran-says-dozens-of-officers-killed-as-protesters-defy-government-crackdown?traffic_source=rss | Iran’s state media says dozens of security forces have been killed during protests in the sanctions-hit country against a severe economic crisis, as the parliament speaker warned the United States and Israel of retaliatory strikes if Washington attacks the Islamic Republic.
State television said on Sunday 30 members of... | 2026-01-11T00:00:00 | 2026-01-11T00:00:00 | Parliament speaker warns US against any attack after Trump threatens military strikes amid nationwide protests. | Iran says over 100 officers killed as protesters defy government crackdown | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-01-10T00:00:00 | 2026-01-01T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
400561 | Who will reach the Australian Open women's fourth round in her first main-draw appearance and then face Aryna Sabalenka by 23 January 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-01-14. Aryna Sabalenka is in the women's singles draw at the Australian Open. Young players sometimes make deep runs in their first appearance in a Grand Slam main draw and set up a second-week match against a top contender. | <ul>
<li><b>Source of Truth</b>: Official Australian Open women's singles draw and match results on ausopen.com. If needed, WTA records or same-day Reuters coverage may be used as secondary confirmation.</li>
<li><b>Resolution Date</b>: This question resolves when the women's fourth-round matchup involving Sabalenk... | string (name) | Victoria Mboko | https://www.aljazeera.com/sports/2026/1/23/alcaraz-shines-in-100th-grand-slam-match-as-sabalenka-grinds-through | Aryna Sabalenka and Coco Gauff took a rocky path to the fourth round of the Australian Open on Friday, but Carlos Alcaraz’s road was paved with gold in his 100th Grand Slam match.
A day after 40-year-old Stan Wawrinka led a parade of yesterday’s heroes into the third round, the TikTok generation had their moment in t... | 2026-01-23T00:00:00 | 2026-01-23T00:00:00 | Carlos Alcaraz marches on towards goal of youngest winner of all four majors as he powers on at Australian Open. | Alcaraz shines in 100th Grand Slam match as Sabalenka and Gauff stutter | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-01-21T00:00:00 | 2026-01-14T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
628026 | What town outside Charlotte, North Carolina, will authorities name by January 2026 as the planned location of the alleged New Year's Eve attack? | Question Start Date: 2025-12-09. Communities around Charlotte, North Carolina, are preparing for holiday travel and year-end gatherings. This question asks which town authorities may later publicly identify as the alleged site of a disrupted New Year's Eve attack plot. | <ul>
<li><b>Source of Truth</b>: Official statements, press releases, charging documents, or court records from the US Department of Justice, the FBI, or related federal authorities; if necessary, consistent reporting from major wire services based on those official sources.</li>
<li><b>Resolution Date</b>: Thi... | string (location) | Mint Hill | https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/1/2/us-authorities-arrest-18-year-old-accused-of-plotting-isil-inspired-attack?traffic_source=rss | Federal authorities in the United States have accused an 18-year-old of plotting to carry out a “potential terrorist attack” on New Year’s Eve in the suburban town of Mint Hill, North Carolina, outside Charlotte.
On Friday, officials from the US Attorney’s Office and the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI) identified... | 2026-01-02T00:00:00 | 2026-01-02T00:00:00 | Officials announced the suspect has been charged with attempting to provide ‘material support’ for ‘terrorism’. | US authorities arrest 18-year-old accused of plotting ISIL-inspired attack | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-01-01T00:00:00 | 2025-12-09T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
822586 | Where will Mark Carney travel immediately after Beijing on his international trip in January 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-01-04. Canada's prime minister is seeking investors and export markets beyond the United States. If he makes a multi-stop overseas trip this month, the next country after Beijing will signal another diplomatic and economic priority. | <ul>
<li>
<b>Source of Truth</b>: The official itinerary or travel announcements from the Office of the Prime Minister of Canada, or consistent reporting from Reuters, AP, or other major international news outlets published in January 2026.
</li>
<li>
<b>Resolution Date</b>: This question resolv... | string (location) | Qatar | https://www.aljazeera.com/economy/2026/1/15/canadas-mark-carney-seeks-reset-on-pivotal-trip-to-china | Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney has arrived in China for a visit that comes at a pivotal moment in relations between the two countries.
Carney, the first Canadian leader to visit China since 2017, is set to meet with Chinese President Xi Jinping and Chinese Premier Li Qiang.
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list... | 2026-01-15T00:00:00 | 2026-01-15T00:00:00 | Canadian leader’s visit comes after nearly a decade of strained ties between Ottawa and Beijing. | Canada’s Mark Carney seeks reset on pivotal trip to China | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-01-07T00:00:00 | 2026-01-04T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
972999 | Which country will say it is set to provide Ukraine with combat planes shortly by January 17, 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-01-02. Ukraine is seeking more military help from allies to defend against drone and missile attacks. Decisions on sending aircraft remain politically sensitive among European partners. | <ul>
<li>
<b>Source of Truth</b>: Resolve using an official statement from the relevant government or head of state, or matching reporting from major outlets such as Reuters or AP, published by January 17, 2026, identifying the country that says it is set to provide combat planes to Ukraine shortly.
</li>... | string (country) | Czech Republic | https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/1/17/russia-ukraine-war-list-of-key-events-day-1423?traffic_source=rss | These are the key developments from day 1,423 of Russia’s war on Ukraine.
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Here is where things stand on Saturday, January 17 :
Fighting
Russian forces attacked the Ukrainian city of Nikopol in the Dnipropetrovsk region, killing two women and injuring six people, the head of the regional administration, Oleksandr ... | 2026-01-17T00:00:00 | 2026-01-17T00:00:00 | These are the key developments from day 1,423 of Russia’s war on Ukraine. | Russia-Ukraine war: List of key events, day 1,423 | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-01-15T00:00:00 | 2026-01-02T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
93950 | Which U.S. state will report that its measles outbreak has grown to 185 cases by January 2026? | Question Start Date: 2025-11-30. State public health agencies in the United States publish official case totals when measles outbreaks expand. | <ul>
<li><b>Source of Truth</b>: Official public updates from U.S. state health departments or equivalent state public health agencies. CDC summaries or major wire-service reports may be used only to confirm an official state release.</li>
<li><b>Resolution Date</b>: This question resolves when an official state pu... | string (location) | South Carolina | https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/1/2/south-carolina-measles-outbreak-grows-to-185-cases-amid-vaccination-worries?traffic_source=rss | Officials in the United States have announced that the measles outbreak in the southern state of South Carolina has grown to 185 cases, up nine from earlier this week.
In Friday’s update, state officials specified that 172 of the cases involved patients who had not received the measles, mumps and rubella (MMR) vaccine,... | 2026-01-02T00:00:00 | 2026-01-02T00:00:00 | The outbreak comes after the US charted its highest number of annual measles cases in more than three decades in 2025. | South Carolina measles outbreak grows to 185 cases amid vaccination worries | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-01-01T00:00:00 | 2025-11-30T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
24182 | Who will be named as the first member of UFC's 2026 Hall of Fame class by January 25, 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-01-16. The UFC Hall of Fame honors major figures in mixed martial arts. Each year, the promotion may announce new inductees for different Hall of Fame categories. | <ul>
<li>
<b>Source of Truth</b>: An official UFC Hall of Fame announcement, UFC press release, or UFC broadcast coverage that publicly names the first member of the 2026 class.
</li>
<li>
<b>Resolution Date</b>: This question resolves on the calendar date when the UFC first publicly identifies ... | string (name) | Dominick Cruz | https://www.aljazeera.com/sports/2026/1/25/gaethje-batters-pimblett-to-win-interim-lightweight-title-at-ufc-324 | Justin Gaethje survived a five-round war with a relentless Paddy Pimblett to claim the interim UFC lightweight championship by unanimous decision in a bloody and bruising fight in Las Vegas.
The experienced American’s win put an end to Pimblett’s nine-fight winning run at the UFC 324 main event on Saturday, but Gaet... | 2026-01-25T00:00:00 | 2026-01-25T00:00:00 | Rising MMA star Paddy Pimblett’s nine-fight winning streak ends in a bloodied bout against the UFC’s American icon. | Gaethje batters Pimblett to win interim lightweight title at UFC 324 | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-01-23T00:00:00 | 2026-01-16T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
465445 | Who will Tyson Fury announce as the opponent for his April 11, 2026 comeback fight by January 31, 2026? | Question Start Date: 2025-12-31. Tyson Fury is a former heavyweight boxing champion. Boxing fans are watching for any official announcement about a possible return bout in 2026. | <ul>
<li><b>Source of Truth</b>: This question resolves using the first official public announcement from Tyson Fury, his verified representatives, his promoter, or the event broadcaster that names the opponent for Fury's scheduled April 11, 2026 comeback fight. Major news wires may be used only to confirm the conten... | string (name) | Arslanbek Makhmudov | https://www.aljazeera.com/sports/2026/1/28/tyson-fury-announces-comeback-fight-in-april-against-arslanbek-makhmudov?traffic_source=rss | Former heavyweight world champion Tyson Fury will face Arslanbek Makhmudov in his comeback fight in April, weeks after saying he would come out of retirement.
The bout between Fury and Canada-based Russian Makhmudov will take place in the United Kingdom on April 11, with no venue yet announced, and will be broadcast on... | 2026-01-28T00:00:00 | 2026-01-28T00:00:00 | After months of speculation, the ex-heavyweight boxing champion has made his comeback official and will fight April 11. | Tyson Fury announces comeback fight in April against Arslanbek Makhmudov | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-01-27T00:00:00 | 2025-12-31T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
423343 | Where will Israeli forces raid a Palestinian wedding ceremony and detain several men, as reported by January 11, 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-01-03. Security incidents involving Israeli forces and Palestinian civilians continue during the ongoing conflict. This question asks for the location of a reported raid on a Palestinian wedding gathering. | <ul>
<li><b>Source of Truth</b>: The question resolves using the published news report dated January 11, 2026 about a raid on a Palestinian wedding ceremony, along with any directly cited official or eyewitness statements in that report.</li>
<li><b>Resolution Date</b>: January 11, 2026, when the incident report id... | string (location) | occupied East Jerusalem | https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/1/11/israeli-forces-raid-palestinian-wedding-in-occupied-east-jerusalem?traffic_source=rss | Israeli forces raided a Palestinian wedding ceremony in occupied East Jerusalem, firing live ammunition and stun grenades at attendees. Several men, including the groom, were detained. | 2026-01-11T00:00:00 | 2026-01-11T00:00:00 | Israeli forces raided a Palestinian wedding ceremony in occupied East Jerusalem, firing live bullets and stun grenades. | Israeli forces raid Palestinian wedding in occupied East Jerusalem | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-01-08T00:00:00 | 2026-01-03T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
267761 | Which country will Donald Trump threaten with a US tariff increase from 15% to 25% by January 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-01-04. The US president can announce changes to import tariffs on specific trading partners, sometimes before any formal legal order is issued. | <ul>
<li>
<b>Source of Truth</b>: Resolve using the first authoritative public statement from Donald Trump or the White House announcing a rise from 15% to 25% on a named country's exports, corroborated by major reporting such as Reuters or AP.
</li>
<li>
<b>Resolution Date</b>: This question resolves on ... | string (country) | South Korea | https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/1/27/trump-says-he-is-raising-tariffs-on-south-korea-to-25?traffic_source=rss | United States President Donald Trump has threatened to hike tariffs on South Korean exports, accusing the East Asian ally of failing to ratify its trade deal with Washington fast enough.
In a post on Truth Social on Monday, Trump said he would raise his tariffs from 15 percent to 25 percent, due to the failure of South... | 2026-01-27T00:00:00 | 2026-01-27T00:00:00 | US president says he is raising tariffs from 15 percent due to Seoul’s failure to ratify a trade deal. | Trump says he is raising tariffs on South Korea to 25% | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-01-25T00:00:00 | 2026-01-04T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
630728 | Who will Denmark and Greenland request a meeting with by January 13, 2026, over the Greenland dispute? | Question Start Date: 2026-01-04. The United States, Denmark, and Greenland are in a growing diplomatic dispute over Greenland. Senior officials in Denmark and Greenland are considering direct talks with Washington. | <ul>
<li>
<b>Source of Truth</b>: This question resolves based on an official statement from the Danish government or Greenlandic authorities, or consistent reporting from major outlets such as Reuters, AP, or Al Jazeera identifying the U.S. official whose meeting is being requested.
</li>
<li>
... | string (name) | Marco Rubio | https://www.aljazeera.com/features/2026/1/13/we-do-not-want-to-be-americans-greenlanders-fear-us-threat-to-annex?traffic_source=rss | Copenhagen, Denmark – An international camera crew is being ushered out of Aaja Chemnitz’s office in the Danish parliament to make room for the next interview. Politely but firmly, the journalists are asked to leave – quickly. The busy Greenlandic politician – one of the two MPs with seats in the Danish parliament – is... | 2026-01-13T00:00:00 | 2026-01-13T00:00:00 | US President Donald Trump’s latest moves to acquire Greenland are rattling Nuuk and Copenhagen. | ‘We do not want to be Americans’: Greenlanders fear US threat to annex | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-01-05T00:00:00 | 2026-01-04T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
812287 | Which aircraft carrier will U.S. media report was diverted from maneuvers in the South China Sea to the Middle East by January 31, 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-01-02. The U.S. Navy operates aircraft carriers around the world, and carrier strike groups can be reassigned between regions during international crises. | <ul>
<li>Resolve based on Pentagon statements, official U.S. Navy communications, or consistent reporting from major U.S. news organizations published by 31 January 2026 identifying the carrier involved.</li>
<li>This question resolves when the carrier's identity is publicly and clearly reported, and no later than 31 J... | string (name) | USS Abraham Lincoln | https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/1/23/trump-says-us-still-watching-iran-as-massive-fleet-heads-to-gulf-region | United States President Donald Trump said a US naval “armada” was heading towards the Gulf region, with Iran being the focus, as officials said an aircraft carrier strike group and other assets would arrive in the Middle East in the coming days.
“We’re watching Iran,” Trump told reporters on Air Force One on Thursday a... | 2026-01-23T00:00:00 | 2026-01-23T00:00:00 | US president says ‘big force going towards Iran’ but he would ‘rather not see anything happen’ amid tension with Tehran. | Trump says US still ‘watching Iran‘ as ‘massive’ fleet heads to Gulf region | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-01-08T00:00:00 | 2026-01-02T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
468637 | What country will Bangladesh ask the ICC to move its 2026 Men’s T20 World Cup matches to by 7 January 2026? | Question Start Date: 2025-12-19. The ICC Men’s T20 World Cup 2026 is scheduled for February 2026. National cricket boards can ask for venue changes if they have travel or security concerns. | <ul>
<li><b>Source of Truth</b>: Official statements from the Bangladesh Cricket Board or the ICC, or consistent reporting from major cricket news outlets such as Reuters or ESPNcricinfo published on or before 7 January 2026.</li>
<li><b>Resolution Date</b>: This question resolves on the first public report or offi... | string (country) | Sri Lanka | https://www.aljazeera.com/sports/2026/1/7/bangladesh-to-work-with-icc-on-t20-world-cup-security-concerns-in-india?traffic_source=rss | Cricket authorities in Bangladesh have agreed to “work closely” with the International Cricket Council (ICC) to resolve security concerns regarding their team’s participation in the upcoming T20 World Cup in India.
The Bangladesh Cricket Board (BCB) will cooperate with the tournament’s organisers in order to ensure the... | 2026-01-07T00:00:00 | 2026-01-07T00:00:00 | BCB refutes reports saying ICC had issued an ultimatum over Bangladesh’s refusal to play its World Cup games in India. | Bangladesh to ‘work with ICC’ on T20 World Cup security concerns in India | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-01-02T00:00:00 | 2025-12-19T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
980781 | Who will Jannik Sinner face in the second round of the 2026 Australian Open men's singles tournament by January 20, 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-01-07. The Australian Open men's singles event is starting in Melbourne. As first-round matches are completed, the official tournament draw will show each advancing player's next opponent. | <ul>
<li><b>Source of Truth</b>: The official Australian Open men's singles draw/results page will be primary. ATP Tour match coverage or other major wire-service reports may be used as backup if needed.</li>
<li><b>Resolution Date</b>: This question resolves on the first date that Sinner's round-two opponent is of... | string (name) | James Duckworth | https://www.aljazeera.com/sports/2026/1/20/naomi-osakas-outfit-entrance-and-win-headline-australian-open-day-three | Naomi Osaka has made a breathtaking start to her Australian Open 2026 campaign as the tennis star walked onto the court for her opening match of the Grand Slam wearing a wide-brim hat with a long veil and holding a white umbrella to leave fans stunned at the Rod Laver Arena in Melbourne.
Once the buzz had settled on Os... | 2026-01-20T00:00:00 | 2026-01-20T00:00:00 | Former champion Osaka’s walkout steals the show in Melbourne as holder Jannik Sinner eases into the second round. | Naomi Osaka’s outfit, entrance and win headline Australian Open day three | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-01-19T00:00:00 | 2026-01-07T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
138247 | What organization will Syrian intelligence sources say contributed fighters to new reinforcements near Maskana and Deir Hafer, by January 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-01-04. Syrian authorities say they are monitoring armed movements in eastern Aleppo countryside, and public statements may name a non-state organization said to have contributed fighters. | <ul>
<li>
<b>Source of Truth</b>: Resolve using a Syrian military or state-media statement citing intelligence sources, corroborated by major international reporting, that names the organization said to have supplied some fighters in the reinforcements near Maskana and Deir Hafer.
</li>
<li>
<b>... | string (organization) | Kurdistan Workers’ Party | https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/1/13/syrian-army-sends-troops-to-rural-aleppo-to-stop-any-sdf-attempt-to-regroup?traffic_source=rss | The Syrian army has sent reinforcements to rural eastern Aleppo, after observing the arrival of more Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) forces in the area, following days of deadly battles inside the city itself and the departure of the SDF.
The official news agency SANA broadcast footage on Monday of Syrian army troops he... | 2026-01-13T00:00:00 | 2026-01-13T00:00:00 | The SDF denies accusations that it deployed military forces to the Deir Hafer front in the eastern Aleppo countryside. | Syrian army sends troops to rural Aleppo to stop any SDF attempt to regroup | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-01-11T00:00:00 | 2026-01-04T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
974205 | Which city will be the target of the assault that the SDF will be bracing for by 18 January 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-01-07. The SDF is a Kurdish-led military coalition in Syria. In northern Syria, fighting may soon center on an assault against a major city. | <ul>
<li>
<b>Source of Truth</b>: This question resolves using the first clear public reporting on or before 18 January 2026 from major international news organizations and/or official statements from the SDF or other directly involved forces naming the city that is expected to face the assault.
</li>
... | string (location) | Raqqa | https://www.aljazeera.com/news/liveblog/2026/1/18/syria-fighting-live-sdf-braces-for-raqqa-assault-as-govt-troops-march-on?traffic_source=rss | 2026-01-18T00:00:00 | 2026-01-18T00:00:00 | Syria’s military says it captured the strategic town of Tabqah from the Kurdish-led SDF during its whirlwind offensive. | Syria fighting live: SDF braces for Raqqa assault as gov’t troops march on | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-01-16T00:00:00 | 2026-01-07T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | ||
343689 | Which Morocco player will be out of the tournament with a calf injury before the quarterfinal against Cameroon on January 9, 2026? | Question Start Date: 2025-12-31. The Africa Cup of Nations knockout stage is approaching. Injuries can remove important players from a team’s plans, and this question asks for the Morocco player officially unavailable because of a calf problem. | <ul>
<li>
<b>Source of Truth</b>: Official Morocco team announcements, official CAF team news, or official match documentation released before the Cameroon vs Morocco quarterfinal.
</li>
<li>
<b>Resolution Date</b>: This question resolves when Morocco’s official squad status for the quarterfinal... | string (name) | Azzedine Ounahi | https://www.aljazeera.com/sports/2026/1/8/cameroon-vs-morocco-preview-afcon-2025-team-news-start-time-lineups-diaz-mbeumo | Who: Cameroon vs Morocco
What: CAF Africa Cup of Nations
Where: Prince Moulay Abdellah Stadium in Rabat, Morocco
When: Friday, January 9 at 8pm (19:00 GMT)
How to follow: We’ll have all the build-up on Al Jazeera Sport from 16:00 GMT in advance of our live score and text commentary stream.
Few gave Cameroon much of a c... | 2026-01-08T00:00:00 | 2026-01-08T00:00:00 | Pressure piles on hosts Morocco as they take on five-time champions Cameroon in AFCON’s heavyweight quarterfinal. | Cameroon vs Morocco: AFCON 2025 - team news, start time and lineups | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-01-03T00:00:00 | 2025-12-31T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
406433 | Which club will be reported to have agreed in principle to sign Marc Guehi by January 2026? | Question Start Date: 2025-12-31. Marc Guehi is an England defender and club captain attracting transfer interest during the winter transfer window. Several top clubs are being discussed as possible destinations. | <ul>
<li> <b>Source of Truth</b>: Resolve based on official club announcements if the transfer is completed by 31 January 2026; otherwise use clear reporting from major news outlets stating that a deal in principle has been agreed for Guehi's move. </li>
<li> <b>Resolution Date</b>: This question resolves on th... | string (club name) | Manchester City | https://www.aljazeera.com/sports/2026/1/16/man-utd-target-glasner-to-leave-palace-while-guehi-set-to-sign-for-city?traffic_source=rss | Oliver Glasner will not extend his contract with Crystal Palace , which is due to expire at the end of the season, the Austrian manager has confirmed.
Glasner guided Palace to victory in the FA Cup last season, the first major trophy of their 164-year-old history, as well as the Community Shield in August.
Recomm... | 2026-01-16T00:00:00 | 2026-01-16T00:00:00 | Oliver Glasner, who has been heavily linked with a move to Manchester United, confirms he will leave Crystal Palace. | Man Utd target Glasner to leave Palace, while Guehi set to sign for City | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-01-15T00:00:00 | 2025-12-31T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
956334 | Which West African country will have all political parties dissolved by the end of January 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-01-04. Several West African states are under military rule after coups. Political parties are groups that compete in elections, and analysts are watching whether any junta will take the extraordinary step of abolishing them nationwide. | <ul>
<li>
<b>Source of Truth</b>: An official decree, communiqué, or government announcement from the relevant country, corroborated by at least one major international news outlet such as Reuters, AP, AFP, BBC, or Al Jazeera.
</li>
<li>
<b>Resolution Date</b>: This question resolves on the firs... | string (country) | Burkina Faso | https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/1/29/burkina-faso-military-government-dissolves-political-parties | Burkina Faso’s military-led government has issued a decree dissolving all political parties that had already been forced to suspend activities after a coup four years ago.
The West African nation’s council of ministers passed the decree on Thursday amid the government’s ongoing crackdown on dissenting voices as it stru... | 2026-01-29T00:00:00 | 2026-01-29T00:00:00 | Interior Minister says multiplication of political parties has fuelled divisions and weakened social cohesion. | Burkina Faso’s military government dissolves political parties | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-01-28T00:00:00 | 2026-01-04T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
165622 | Who will Chelsea appoint as its next permanent head coach by January 31, 2026? | Question Start Date: 2025-12-25. Chelsea are an English top-flight football club. Clubs sometimes change permanent head coaches during the season and announce new appointments through official club channels. | <ul>
<li>
<b>Source of Truth</b>: This question will resolve based on Chelsea FC’s first official announcement naming its next permanent head coach on the club’s official website or verified social media channels, with a major wire service such as Reuters as backup if needed.
</li>
<li>
<b>Resol... | string (name) | Liam Rosenior | https://www.aljazeera.com/sports/2026/1/6/rosenior-confirms-chelsea-deal-to-replace-maresca-at-premier-league-club | Premier League club Chelsea have announced the appointment of Strasbourg boss Liam Rosenior as their new head coach to replace Enzo Maresca.
The Englishman, who has signed a contract until 2032, said in a club statement on Tuesday that he was “extremely humbled and honoured to be appointed”.
“This is a club with a uniq... | 2026-01-06T00:00:00 | 2026-01-06T00:00:00 | Liam Rosenior, who has signed a contract with the club until 2032, will bring his assistants from Strasbourg. | Chelsea announce Rosenior as new manager of Premier League club | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-01-01T00:00:00 | 2025-12-25T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
286957 | Who will eliminate defending women’s champion Madison Keys from the 2026 Australian Open by January 26, 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-01-12. The Australian Open women’s singles tournament is underway in Melbourne. The defending champion is still in the field, and a single loss will end her title defense. | <ul>
<li><b>Source of Truth</b>: Official women’s singles results and draw updates published by the Australian Open on ausopen.com will be the primary source. Reputable coverage from Reuters or the WTA may be used as secondary confirmation if needed.</li>
<li><b>Resolution Date</b>: This question resolves when Madi... | string (name) | Jessica Pegula | https://www.aljazeera.com/sports/2026/1/26/sinner-in-australian-open-quarters-womens-holder-keys-booted-out | Jannik Sinner has secured a place in the quarterfinals at the Australian Open in his campaign to defend his title, hours after women’s defending champion Madison Keys was knocked out by Jessica Pegula.
The Italian beat compatriot Luciano Darderi in three sets on Monday to book a place in the last eight.
Recommended Sto... | 2026-01-26T00:00:00 | 2026-01-26T00:00:00 | Amanda Anisimova and Jessica Pegula, who ousted Keys, set up all-American women’s quarterfinal in Melbourne. | Sinner in Australian Open quarters; women’s holder Keys booted out | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-01-24T00:00:00 | 2026-01-12T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
377358 | Which national football association will say by January 27, 2026, that it has no immediate plans to withdraw from the 2026 World Cup, even after more than 100,000 fans sign a boycott petition? | Question Start Date: 2026-01-07. In Europe, some football supporters are organizing petitions asking their national teams to boycott the 2026 World Cup. National football associations may soon clarify whether they plan to pull out or remain in the tournament. | <ul>
<li>
<b>Source of Truth</b>: This question resolves based on an official statement from the relevant national football association, or on major international or national news reporting that clearly attributes the position to that association, by January 27, 2026.
</li>
<li>
<b>Resolution Da... | string (organization) | KNVB | https://www.aljazeera.com/sports/2026/1/27/blatter-urges-fifa-world-cup-boycott-over-trump-administration-policies?traffic_source=rss | Former FIFA chief Sepp Blatter has backed a proposed fan boycott of World Cup 2026 matches in the United States because of the conduct of President Donald Trump and his administration at home and abroad.
Blatter is the latest international football figure to call into question the suitability of the US as a host countr... | 2026-01-27T00:00:00 | 2026-01-27T00:00:00 | Ex-FIFA boss Sepp Blatter joins politicians, football experts calling on fans not to travel to US for 2026 World Cup. | Blatter urges FIFA World Cup boycott over Trump administration policies | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-01-19T00:00:00 | 2026-01-07T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
269293 | Where will Danish and Greenlandic diplomats visit for talks with senior U.S. officials on Greenland by January 14, 2026? | Question Start Date: 2025-12-30. Diplomats from Denmark and Greenland may soon hold talks in Washington with senior U.S. officials about Arctic policy. The meeting venue is expected to be a significant governmental site. | <ul>
<li><b>Source of Truth</b>: Official U.S. government schedules or meeting readouts, corroborated by a major newswire such as Reuters or AP.</li>
<li><b>Resolution Date</b>: This question resolves when the venue of the talks is publicly identified, no later than 14th January 2026.</li>
<li><b>Accepted Answer ... | string (location) | White House | https://www.aljazeera.com/news/liveblog/2026/1/14/live-trump-says-control-of-greenland-vital-ahead-of-white-house-meeting | Trump’s comments come as Danish and Greenlandic diplomats visit the White House for talks on Greenland with Vice President JD Vance and Secretary of State Marco Rubio. | 2026-01-14T00:00:00 | 2026-01-14T00:00:00 | Trump’s comments come as Danish, Greenland diplomats meet with Vice President JD Vance and Secretary of State Marco. | LIVE: Trump says control of Greenland ‘vital’ amid White House talks | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-01-07T00:00:00 | 2025-12-30T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
756891 | Which armed group will Syrian authorities say sent fighters with new reinforcements near eastern Aleppo by January 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-01-07. Military tensions remain high in eastern Aleppo countryside. In the coming days, Syrian officials may publicly identify outside armed actors they say are involved in reinforcement movements near the front lines. | <ul>
<li><b>Source of Truth</b>: Official Syrian statements, including state media or military statements, and corroborating English-language reporting from outlets such as Al Jazeera, Reuters, or AP published by 31st January 2026.</li>
<li><b>Resolution Date</b>: The question resolves on the first date the allegat... | string (organization) | PKK | https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/1/13/syrian-army-sends-troops-to-rural-aleppo-to-stop-any-sdf-attempt-to-regroup | The Syrian army has sent reinforcements to rural eastern Aleppo, after observing the arrival of more Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) forces in the area, following days of deadly battles inside the city itself and the departure of the SDF.
The official news agency SANA broadcast footage on Monday of Syrian army troops he... | 2026-01-13T00:00:00 | 2026-01-13T00:00:00 | The SDF denies accusations that it deployed military forces to the Deir Hafer front in the eastern Aleppo countryside. | Syrian army sends troops to rural Aleppo to stop any SDF attempt to regroup | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-01-11T00:00:00 | 2026-01-07T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
80352 | Which cabinet department’s funding bill will Senate Democrats insist must be rewritten before they help pass the spending package by January 31, 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-01-02. Congress is negotiating a large US spending package to keep federal agencies open. Some senators are debating whether support for one part of the package should depend on new limits related to environmental regulations. | <ul>
<li>
<b>Source of Truth</b>: Resolve using official statements from Senate Democratic leaders or caucus members, official congressional summaries or bill text, and consistent reporting from major news organizations such as AP or Reuters.
</li>
<li>
<b>Resolution Date</b>: This question reso... | string (organization) | Department of Homeland Security | https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/1/29/will-killings-by-immigration-agents-cause-another-us-government-shutdown?traffic_source=rss | The United States could be careening towards another government shutdown, in which federal agencies are forced to close because Congress cannot pass legislation to fund them.
That was not always the case. At first, it seemed like Friday’s deadline to pass a new spending package would pass without much fuss.
Recommended... | 2026-01-29T00:00:00 | 2026-01-29T00:00:00 | The death of Alex Pretti has prompted a shift among Democratic senators, who are willing to risk a shutdown for reforms. | Will killings by immigration agents cause another US government shutdown? | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-01-11T00:00:00 | 2026-01-02T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
223607 | Which party will say it may reconsider taking part in Bangladesh's February 12, 2026 election because of the fight over who is allowed to run, by January 20, 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-01-04. Bangladesh is moving toward a national election on 12 February 2026. Political parties are watching closely for signs that election rules are being applied fairly, and some could threaten legal or political action if they believe the process is biased. | <ul>
<li><b>Source of Truth</b>: Public statements by party leaders or spokespersons, party press briefings, and corroborating reports from major news organizations.</li>
<li><b>Resolution Date</b>: This question resolves upon the first clear public statement, made no later than January 20, 2026, that a party may r... | string (party name) | National Citizen Party | https://www.aljazeera.com/features/2026/1/20/dual-citizenship-bangladeshs-latest-political-flashpoint-before-elections?traffic_source=rss | Dhaka, Bangladesh — Chanting slogans outside the headquarters of the Bangladesh Election Commission (BEC) on Sunday, student activists of the Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP) accused the body of bias, as police and border guards stood watch.
Ahead of the February 12 national vote, the members of the Jatiyatabadi Chha... | 2026-01-20T00:00:00 | 2026-01-20T00:00:00 | A divide over whether dual citizens should be allowed to contest is threatening Bangladesh’s February elections. | Dual citizenship: Bangladesh’s latest political flashpoint before elections | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-01-17T00:00:00 | 2026-01-04T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
976773 | Which country will be named as requesting a special UN nuclear watchdog meeting on Ukraine by January 30, 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-01-09. Member states of the IAEA can ask for special board meetings when they believe an urgent nuclear safety issue needs formal discussion. | <ul>
<li><b>Source of Truth</b>: Resolve using an official IAEA meeting notice, agenda, chair summary, or public government statement identifying which member state requested the meeting, with major international news reporting as secondary confirmation.</li>
<li><b>Resolution Date</b>: The question resolves on the... | string (country) | Netherlands | https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/1/30/un-nuclear-watchdog-discusses-ukraine-nuclear-safety-risks?traffic_source=rss | The United Nations nuclear watchdog has held a special session on Ukraine amid growing fears that Russian attacks on its energy facilities could trigger a nuclear accident.
Rafael Grossi, director-general of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), said at the start of Friday’s extraordinary board meeting in Vien... | 2026-01-30T00:00:00 | 2026-01-31T00:00:00 | Russian attacks on Ukraine’s electrical substations could cut power to nuclear plants, increasing risks of meltdown. | UN nuclear watchdog discusses Ukraine nuclear safety risks | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-01-26T00:00:00 | 2026-01-09T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
77915 | What city will the oncoming train be reported to be traveling to in a deadly southern Spain rail collision by 31 January 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-01-09. Spain’s long-distance rail network connects Madrid with many cities in the south. This question asks forecasters to identify the destination city that would later be named for one of the trains if a deadly collision were reported before the end of January 2026. | <ul>
<li> Official reporting from Spanish transport or police authorities, supported by at least two major news outlets by 31 January 2026. </li>
<li> 31 January 2026 </li>
<li> Provide the city name only, without province, region, or country. </li>
</ul> | string (location) | Huelva | https://www.aljazeera.com/gallery/2026/1/19/deadly-high-speed-train-collision-in-spain-kills-dozens | At least 39 people have been confirmed dead in a high-speed train collision in the south of Spain, according to police, and rescue efforts are continuing.
The crash occurred on Sunday when the rear of a train carrying about 300 passengers from Malaga to the capital, Madrid, came off the rails about 7:45pm (18:45 GMT) .... | 2026-01-19T00:00:00 | 2026-01-19T00:00:00 | Rescue efforts continue after high-speed train crash in southern Spain kills at least 39 and injures more than 150. | Deadly high-speed train collision in Spain kills dozens | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-01-17T00:00:00 | 2026-01-09T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
45659 | Which country will become the first in the world to formally ban the AI chatbot Grok by 12 January 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-01-01. Governments are debating how to regulate generative AI chatbots that can create realistic text and images. If a country formally bans such a tool, the decision is likely to be announced by an official government body and then reported by major news outlets. | <ul>
<li>
<b>Source of Truth</b>: Official statements, orders, or announcements from national governments or national regulators, with corroboration from major international news reporting.
</li>
<li>
<b>Resolution Date</b>: This question resolves when a country is publicly identified as the fir... | string (country) | Indonesia | https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/1/12/malaysia-blocks-musks-grok-amid-uproar-over-non-consensual-sexual-images?traffic_source=rss | Malaysia has blocked access to Elon Musk’s artificial intelligence model Grok amid a global uproar over the chatbot’s ability to create sexually explicit images of people without their consent.
The Malaysian Communications and Multimedia Commission (MCMC) said on Sunday it had temporarily banned Grok after ordering the... | 2026-01-12T00:00:00 | 2026-01-12T00:00:00 | Malaysian Communications and Multimedia Commission says ban comes after failure to comply with formal notices. | Malaysia blocks Grok amid uproar over nonconsensual sexualised images | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-01-09T00:00:00 | 2026-01-01T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
238071 | In which Sudanese state will the town be located when Sudan's military says its siege has been broken, by January 31, 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-01-09. Fighting in Sudan is affecting multiple towns and transport links. If a besieged town is reported to have been reached or relieved, news coverage may specify the state where that town is located. | <ul>
<li><b>Source of Truth</b>: Resolution will be based on Reuters reporting published by January 31, 2026, with official Sudanese military statements or equivalent major news reporting used only for corroboration if necessary.</li>
<li><b>Resolution Date</b>: The question resolves on the first date by Januar... | string (location) | South Kordofan | https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/1/27/celebrations-after-sudan-military-says-broken-siege-of-key-town | Sudan’s military shared video of residents celebrating with soldiers after it claimed to have broken a nearly two-year siege by the paramilitary Rapid Support Forces on a key town in the Kordofan region. | 2026-01-27T00:00:00 | 2026-01-27T00:00:00 | Sudan’s military claimed to have broken a siege by the paramilitary Rapid Support Forces on a key town in South Kordofan | Celebrations after Sudan military says broken siege of key town | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-01-25T00:00:00 | 2026-01-09T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
935533 | Which country will receive free Starlink broadband service through February 3, 2026, according to SpaceX? | Question Start Date: 2026-01-01. Space-based internet companies sometimes temporarily waive fees in places affected by sudden political or security disruptions. | <ul>
<li><b>Source of Truth</b>: Official SpaceX or Starlink information, or consistent reporting by major news outlets by February 3, 2026, identifying the country where free Starlink broadband service is available through that date.</li>
<li><b>Resolution Date</b>: February 3, 2026.</li>
<li><b>Accepted A... | string (country) | Venezuela | https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/1/14/is-starlink-helping-iranians-break-internet-blackout-and-how-does-it-work | Elon Musk’s Starlink is reportedly offering free service to users in Iran, where a communications blackout is under way amid widespread antigovernment protests.
The satellite communication service from SpaceX is one of the few ways that images and videos of the protests and the ensuing government crackdown have made th... | 2026-01-14T00:00:00 | 2026-01-14T00:00:00 | Experts say Starlink is helping Iranians get information out about the protests. But Iran is also trying to jam signals. | Is Starlink helping Iranians break internet blackout, and how does it work? | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-01-03T00:00:00 | 2026-01-01T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
1877 | Which U.S. skier will be airlifted to hospital after crashing in the women's World Cup downhill at Crans-Montana by January 30, 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-01-22. A women's Alpine skiing World Cup downhill is scheduled in Crans-Montana, Switzerland, one week before the Milan Cortina Winter Olympics. Several top U.S. speed skiers are expected to compete. | <ul>
<li><b>Source of Truth</b>: This question resolves using official race-day communications from the International Ski and Snowboard Federation (FIS), event-organizer statements, the official race broadcast, and consistent reporting from major news organizations identifying the U.S. skier who is airlifted to hospi... | string (name) | Lindsey Vonn | https://www.aljazeera.com/sports/2026/1/30/vonn-airlifted-to-hospital-after-crash-at-cancelled-final-pre-olympic-race?traffic_source=rss | Lindsey Vonn crashed in her final downhill before the Milan Cortina Winter Olympics and was left limping and keeping weight off her left knee before being airlifted to hospital – throwing into doubt the 41-year-old’s spectacular skiing comeback.
Vonn – who was expected to be one of the stars of the Olympics but now fac... | 2026-01-30T00:00:00 | 2026-01-30T00:00:00 | United States skier Lindsey Vonn among three crashes in Crans-Montana in Switzerland with race eventually cancelled. | Vonn airlifted to hospital after crash at cancelled final pre-Olympic race | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-01-29T00:00:00 | 2026-01-22T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
744407 | Near which town will authorities report that two high-speed trains collided in southern Spain by January 19, 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-01-09. Spain has an extensive high-speed rail network, and major rail incidents are publicly identified by transport and emergency authorities. This question asks for the nearby town named in official reporting if a fatal collision is reported by the stated date. | <ul>
<li><b>Source of Truth</b>: Resolve using the first official location description released by Spanish rail or emergency authorities after the collision, with consistent confirmation from major Spanish or international news outlets if needed.</li>
<li><b>Resolution Date</b>: This question resolves no later than... | string (location) | Adamuz | https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/1/18/two-high-speed-trains-collide-in-spain-killing | At least 10 people have been killed after two high-speed trains collided in southern Spain, authorities say.
Spain’s ADIF rail body said in a post on X that a train travelling on Sunday from coastal Malaga to the capital, Madrid, derailed near Adamuz, crossing onto the other track. It crashed into an oncoming train, wh... | 2026-01-18T00:00:00 | 2026-01-18T00:00:00 | Authorities have deployed mobile intensive care units to the crash site near Adamuz, where 25 people are injured. | Two high-speed trains collide in Spain, killing at least 10 | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-01-17T00:00:00 | 2026-01-09T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
756639 | Which Southeast Asian U.S. treaty ally will be included in an indefinite U.S. pause on immigrant visa processing by the end of January 2026? | Question Start Date: 2025-12-14. The United States can change immigrant visa processing rules for selected countries. If such a change affects a long-standing American ally in Southeast Asia, it could have major consequences for families, workers, and bilateral relations. | <ul>
<li>
<b>Source of Truth</b>: An official announcement, notice, or country list from the U.S. Department of State or the White House describing the immigrant visa processing pause. Major contemporaneous reporting may be used only to confirm the official list if needed.
</li>
<li>
<b>Resoluti... | string (country) | Thailand | https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/1/23/in-us-ally-thailand-feelings-of-betrayal-after-trumps-visa-freeze?traffic_source=rss | Bangkok, Thailand – For Thai national Khaochat Mankong, 2026 was meant to be the biggest year of her life.
After filing the necessary paperwork with the United States embassy in Bangkok, Khaochat, 27, was poised to start a new life with her American husband in California.
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list 1 of 4... | 2026-01-23T00:00:00 | 2026-01-24T00:00:00 | Thais who planned to build a life in the US express shock at inclusion on list of blacklisted countries. | In US ally Thailand, feelings of betrayal after Trump’s visa freeze | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-01-13T00:00:00 | 2025-12-14T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
942671 | What shopping centre will be named as the site of Karachi’s biggest fire in more than a decade by January 31, 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-01-08. Karachi is Pakistan’s largest city and a major commercial hub. A major fire in a crowded retail building would likely draw broad media coverage and official identification of the affected site. | <ul>
<li> This question resolves based on official statements from Karachi or Sindh authorities, or consistent reporting from at least two major news organisations, identifying the commercial building where the fire occurred. </li>
<li> The question resolves when the site is publicly named, no later than Januar... | string (building name) | Gul Plaza | https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/1/20/gul-plaza-fire-how-a-deadly-inferno-exposed-karachis-safety-failures | Islamabad, Pakistan – A fire that tore through a shopping centre over the weekend in Pakistan’s largest city, Karachi, has killed at least 23 people, including a firefighter, as rescuers race to find dozens more still missing.
The city’s biggest fire in more than a decade broke out late on Saturday at Gul Plaza, a thre... | 2026-01-20T00:00:00 | 2026-01-20T00:00:00 | Karachi’s deadliest fire in years raises urgent questions about building safety, rescue capacity and urban governance. | Gul Plaza fire: How a deadly inferno exposed Karachi’s safety failures | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-01-16T00:00:00 | 2026-01-08T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
666021 | Which country will Somalia say it has severed all agreements with by January 2026? | Question Start Date: 2025-12-19. Somalia is a federal country in the Horn of Africa. It has security, trade, and infrastructure agreements with foreign states. A dispute over sovereignty or regional politics could lead its federal government to cancel such agreements. | <ul>
<li><b>Source of Truth</b>: This question resolves based on the first public statement from Somalia’s Council of Ministers, Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Ministry of Defence, or another official federal government channel, or on consistent reporting by Reuters, AP, AFP, or Al Jazeera quoting that official decisio... | string (country) | United Arab Emirates | https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/1/12/somalia-cancels-all-agreements-with-uae-over-alleged-sovereignty-violations?traffic_source=rss | Somalia has severed all agreements with the United Arab Emirates, annulling deals spanning key port operations, security cooperation and defence, citing “harmful actions” that undermine the country’s unity and sovereignty.
After the Council of Ministers announced the decision on Monday, Defence Minister Ahmed Moallim F... | 2026-01-12T00:00:00 | 2026-01-12T00:00:00 | Mogadishu accuses Abu Dhabi of undermining national unity as rift deepens over breakaway regions. | Somalia cancels all agreements with UAE over alleged sovereignty violations | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-01-11T00:00:00 | 2025-12-19T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
922844 | Who will Zeynep Sonmez face in the third round of the 2026 Australian Open by January 21, 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-01-14. The Australian Open is the first major tennis tournament of the season. Zeynep Sonmez is part of the women’s singles bracket, and this question asks for the identity of her opponent in the next round if she reaches that stage during the first week. | <ul>
<li>
<b>Source of Truth</b>: The official Australian Open women’s singles draw after Sonmez’s second-round result is posted. If necessary, official tournament communications or major wire-service reports may be used as backup confirmation.
</li>
<li>
<b>Resolution Date</b>: This question re... | string (name) | Yulia Putintseva | https://www.aljazeera.com/sports/2026/1/21/turkiyes-sonmez-storms-into-australian-open-2026-third-round | Amid deafening cheers and a sea of red flags, Turkiye’s Zeynep Sonmez has entered the third round of the Australian Open by defeating Anna Bondar in straight sets in the first tennis Grand Slam of the year.
Playing at one of the smaller show courts at Melbourne Park, the world number 112 wrapped up the 6-2, 6-4 win in ... | 2026-01-21T00:00:00 | 2026-01-21T00:00:00 | Zeynep Sonmez wins in straight sets to enter the third round of a Grand Slam for the second time in six months. | Turkiye’s Sonmez storms into Australian Open 2026 third round | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-01-20T00:00:00 | 2026-01-14T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
39911 | What foreign basketball league will U.S. prosecutors say was targeted in the alleged game-rigging scheme by 15 January 2026? | Question Start Date: 2025-12-14. Basketball betting investigations can involve both U.S. college games and overseas competitions. This question asks which non-U.S. league, if any, will be publicly identified in a federal game-rigging case by the resolution date. | <ul>
<li><b>Source of Truth</b>: The question will resolve based on the first official U.S. Department of Justice announcement, the unsealed federal indictment, or consistent reporting from major news organizations that directly cites those charging documents.</li>
<li><b>Resolution Date</b>: The question resol... | string (league name) | Chinese Basketball Association | https://www.aljazeera.com/sports/2026/1/15/prosecutors-charge-15-former-ncaa-players-in-latest-basketball-rigging-case?traffic_source=rss | Federal prosecutors in the United States have charged 20 people, including 15 former college basketball players, in what they call a betting scheme to rig National Collegiate Athletic Association (NCAA) and Chinese Basketball Association (CBA) games.
Of the defendants, 15 played basketball for Division 1 NCAA schools a... | 2026-01-15T00:00:00 | 2026-01-15T00:00:00 | Former players among those charged in alleged scheme to rig basketball games in US and China. | Fifteen former NCAA players charged in US-China basketball rigging case | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-01-14T00:00:00 | 2025-12-14T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
2176 | Who will Carlos Alcaraz face in the second round of the 2026 Australian Open men's singles by January 18, 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-01-14. The Australian Open is the first Grand Slam tennis tournament of the year. In the men's singles draw, first-round results determine which player the top seed will meet in round two. | <ul>
<li><b>Source of Truth</b>: Official 2026 Australian Open men's singles draw and results pages. Secondary confirmation may come from ATP Tour match records if needed.</li>
<li><b>Resolution Date</b>: This question resolves when the tournament officially lists Carlos Alcaraz's second-round opponent, expected by... | string (name) | Yannick Hanfmann | https://www.aljazeera.com/sports/2026/1/18/alcaraz-sabalenka-make-stuttering-starts-to-australian-open-2026 | Top seeds Carlos Alcaraz and Aryna Sabalenka have entered the second round of the Australian Open despite some early scares as the main draw of the first tennis Grand Slam of 2026 got under way in Melbourne.
Alcaraz was pushed in the second round by home qualifier Adam Walton despite a straight-sets win for the world n... | 2026-01-18T00:00:00 | 2026-01-18T00:00:00 | Top seeds are pushed despite straight-sets wins as the tennis Grand Slam gets under way on a hot day in Melbourne. | Alcaraz, Sabalenka make stuttering starts to Australian Open 2026 | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-01-17T00:00:00 | 2026-01-14T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
207522 | On which island will archaeologists report finding the world's oldest known paintings by 22 January 2026? | Question Start Date: 2025-11-30. Archaeologists are studying prehistoric cave paintings in Southeast Asia, and new dating work may change which site is considered home to the oldest known paintings in the world. | <ul>
<li>
<b>Source of Truth</b>: This question resolves using the first public research announcement, peer-reviewed study, or major international news report available by 22 January 2026 that identifies the island where the newly dated record-setting paintings were found.
</li>
<li>
<b>Resoluti... | string (location) | Muna island | https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/1/22/worlds-oldest-cave-art-discovered-in-indonesias-muna-island?traffic_source=rss | Archaeologists have found that handprints stencilled on limestone caves on the Indonesian island of Muna could be up to 67,800 years old, making them the oldest known paintings in the world.
The tan-coloured drawings analysed by Indonesian and Australian researchers were made by blowing pigment over hands placed agains... | 2026-01-22T00:00:00 | 2026-01-22T00:00:00 | Indonesia and the surrounding region is known for some of the world’s most ancient archaeological finds. | World’s oldest cave art discovered in Indonesia’s Muna island | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-01-20T00:00:00 | 2025-11-30T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
474377 | Who will take charge of Manchester United in the Manchester derby against Manchester City on January 17, 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-01-10. Manchester United are scheduled to play Manchester City in a Premier League derby in mid-January. Official club and league pre-match materials will identify who is leading United for that match. | <ul>
<li><b>Source of Truth</b>: Official Manchester United match materials, the Premier League match centre, and widely cited post-match reports from major sports news outlets.</li>
<li><b>Resolution Date</b>: This question resolves on January 17, 2026, when Manchester United officially list the person in charge f... | string (name) | Michael Carrick | https://www.aljazeera.com/sports/2026/1/16/manchester-united-vs-manchester-city-premier-league-teams-start?traffic_source=rss | Who: Manchester United vs Manchester City
What: English Premier League
Where: Old Trafford, Manchester, United Kingdom
When: Saturday, January 17, at 12:30pm (12:30 GMT)
How to follow: We will have all the build-up on Al Jazeera Sport from 09:30 GMT, in advance of our text commentary stream.
Michael Carrick will step ... | 2026-01-16T00:00:00 | 2026-01-16T00:00:00 | Michael Carrick’s first United game sees Pep Guardiola’s Premier League hopefuls visit in the Manchester derby. | Manchester United vs Manchester City: Premier League - teams, start | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-01-11T00:00:00 | 2026-01-10T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
793465 | Who will defeat Venus Williams in the first round of the 2026 Australian Open women’s singles tournament in January 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-01-06. The Australian Open women’s singles main draw is about to begin in Melbourne. First-round matches will decide which veterans and former champions continue in the tournament. | <ul>
<li> <b>Source of Truth</b>: The official Australian Open women’s singles results page will be the primary source. WTA records or major wire-service reports may be used as backup if needed. </li>
<li> <b>Resolution Date</b>: This question resolves when Venus Williams’s first-round women’s singles result is... | string (name) | Olga Danilovic | https://www.aljazeera.com/sports/2026/1/18/alcaraz-sabalenka-make-stuttering-starts-to-australian-open-2026?traffic_source=rss | Top seeds Carlos Alcaraz and Aryna Sabalenka have entered the second round of the Australian Open despite some early scares as the main draw of the first tennis Grand Slam of 2026 got under way in Melbourne.
Alcaraz was pushed in the second round by home qualifier Adam Walton despite a straight-sets win for the world n... | 2026-01-18T00:00:00 | 2026-01-18T00:00:00 | Top seeds are pushed despite straight-sets wins as the tennis Grand Slam gets under way on a hot day in Melbourne. | Alcaraz, Sabalenka make stuttering starts to Australian Open 2026 | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-01-14T00:00:00 | 2026-01-06T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
694686 | Who will be the starting quarterback of the NFC team that reaches Super Bowl 2026 by January 26, 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-01-17. The NFL playoffs are in the conference-championship stage. The quarterback officially starting for the NFC champion will be a key figure in that team’s path to Super Bowl 2026. | <ul>
<li>
<b>Source of Truth</b>: The official NFL gamebook, box score, or game recap for the NFC championship game on NFL.com. Official team publications and major wire-service reports such as AP or Reuters may be used as secondary confirmation.
</li>
<li>
<b>Resolution Date</b>: This question ... | string (person name) | Sam Darnold | https://www.aljazeera.com/sports/2026/1/26/seahawks-defeat-rams-to-set-up-super-bowl-rematch-against-patriots?traffic_source=rss | The Seattle Seahawks have defeated the Los Angeles Rams in a high-scoring shootout to set up a Super Bowl rematch with the New England Patriots.
In Seattle, Seahawks quarterback Sam Darnold outduelled Rams counterpart Matthew Stafford in a 31-27 thriller on Sunday to clinch the NFC championship, which doubles as an NFL... | 2026-01-26T00:00:00 | 2026-01-26T00:00:00 | Seattle Seahawks edge Los Angeles Rams 31-27 after New England Patriots score a 10-7 win over the Denver Broncos. | Seahawks defeat Rams to set up Super Bowl 2026 against Patriots | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-01-24T00:00:00 | 2026-01-17T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
9493 | Which Greek city will be named by January 31, 2026, as the location of the overnight factory explosion that kills at least four workers? | Question Start Date: 2026-01-14. When a major industrial accident happens, follow-up reporting usually identifies the specific city where the event took place. | <ul>
<li><b>Source of Truth</b>: Resolve using Reuters coverage and/or official Greek authority statements published by January 31, 2026, that clearly state the city where the explosion occurred.</li>
<li><b>Resolution Date</b>: This question resolves on the first date by January 31, 2026, when the city is explicit... | string (location) | Trikala | https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/1/26/biscuit-factory-explosion-in-greece-kills-at-least-four | An overnight explosion at a biscuit factory in Trikala, Greece, has killed at least four workers. Investigators are working to determine the cause of the blast, which authorities believe may have originated near the factory’s ovens. | 2026-01-26T00:00:00 | 2026-01-26T00:00:00 | An overnight explosion at a biscuit factory in Trikala, Greece, has killed at least four workers. | Biscuit factory explosion in Greece kills at least four | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-01-25T00:00:00 | 2026-01-14T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
110125 | What city will authorities identify as the site of the explosive-device attack on an Indigenous rights protest by January 31, 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-01-19. Public demonstrations connected to January 26 are expected in Australia, including rallies about Indigenous rights. If a major security incident occurs at one of these events, police and news outlets are likely to identify the city where it happened. | <ul>
<li>Official statements from the relevant state police force, court records, or consistent reporting from major Australian or international news outlets published by January 31, 2026.</li>
<li>This question resolves on the first date by January 31, 2026 when a reliable source clearly names the city where t... | string (location) | Perth | https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/1/29/police-probe-explosive-device-thrown-at-indigenous-protest-in-australia | Police may investigate an alleged bombing attempt during an Indigenous rights protest in Perth, Western Australia, as a possible “terrorist” incident, following calls from Indigenous leaders and human rights groups for a more robust response from authorities.
The Australian Broadcasting Corporation (ABC) reported on Th... | 2026-01-29T00:00:00 | 2026-01-29T00:00:00 | Man charged with throwing explosive device into a crowd at Invasion Day protest in Western Australia’s Perth. | Police probe explosive device thrown at Indigenous protest in Australia | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-01-25T00:00:00 | 2026-01-19T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
273948 | Where will rescue workers search for survivors after a landslide at a tourist spot in northern New Zealand, in January 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-01-15. Northern New Zealand has popular coastal tourist areas and outdoor recreation sites. Severe weather can sometimes cause landslides and emergency search operations. | <ul>
<li>This question will resolve based on the earliest consistent identification of the incident location in official statements from New Zealand emergency authorities or police, or in major wire-service reporting published by 31 January 2026.</li>
<li>The question resolves on the date the specific place of the ... | string (location) | Mount Maunganui | https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/1/22/several-missing-after-landslide-at-popular-tourist-spot-in-new-zealand | Several people, including children, are missing after heavy rain triggered a landslide at a campsite in Mount Maunganui in northern New Zealand. Eyewitness videos and aerial footage show the aftermath as rescue workers search the area for survivors. | 2026-01-22T00:00:00 | 2026-01-22T00:00:00 | Several missing after landslide at popular tourist spot in New Zealand | Several missing after landslide at popular tourist spot in New Zealand | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-01-21T00:00:00 | 2026-01-15T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
48762 | Which city will host three-way talks between officials from Ukraine, Russia, and the United States on January 23-24, 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-01-15. Diplomats connected to the war between Russia and Ukraine are discussing possible face-to-face talks involving multiple governments in late January 2026. | <ul>
<li><b>Source of Truth</b>: Official schedules or public statements from the governments involved, or, if those are unclear, consistent reporting from major international news organizations identifying the host city for the planned January 23-24, 2026 talks.</li>
<li><b>Resolution Date</b>: This question r... | string (location) | Abu Dhabi | https://www.aljazeera.com/news/liveblog/2026/1/23/ukraine-talks-live?traffic_source=rss | President Volodymyr Zelenskyy says officials from Ukraine, Russia and the United States will hold trilateral meetings in the UAE on Friday and Saturday. | 2026-01-23T00:00:00 | 2026-01-23T00:00:00 | Volodymyr Zelenskyy says officials from Ukraine, Russia and the US will hold trilateral meetings in the UAE. | LIVE: Attacks continue in Russia, Ukraine before talks in Abu Dhabi | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-01-21T00:00:00 | 2026-01-15T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
857643 | What peace body will Qatar's prime minister say Qatar has been invited to join in January 2026? | Question Start Date: 2025-12-30. Gulf states continue to play diplomatic roles in Middle East negotiations, and officials may announce participation in any new peace mechanism later this month. | <ul>
<li>Reuters' contemporaneous report on the Qatari prime minister's January 2026 remarks will be the primary source. If necessary, an official transcript, video, or government statement may be used to verify that the same body is being referenced, but Reuters' naming controls.</li>
<li>This question resolves wh... | string (initiative name) | Board of Peace | https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/1/20/israeli-withdrawal-from-gaza-a-top-priority-qatari-pm-says?traffic_source=rss | Qatar’s prime minister told the World Economic Forum that Israeli withdrawal from Gaza and a return to normalcy for the strip’s residents should be the “key focus” of Donald Trump’s “Board of Peace”. He added that Qatar has been invited to join. | 2026-01-20T00:00:00 | 2026-01-20T00:00:00 | Qatar’s prime minister said that Israeli withdrawal from Gaza should be a “key focus” of Trump’s “Board of Peace”. | Israeli withdrawal from Gaza a top priority, Qatari PM says | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-01-06T00:00:00 | 2025-12-30T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
85609 | Which club will Real Madrid be drawn to face in the UEFA Champions League playoff round by January 30, 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-01-14. The UEFA Champions League is using a league phase followed by a playoff round for clubs that do not go straight to the round of 16. A draw later in January is set to determine several knockout matchups. | <ul>
<li>
<b>Source of Truth</b>: UEFA's official Champions League draw results, bracket, or fixture list published on UEFA.com will be used.
</li>
<li>
<b>Resolution Date</b>: This question resolves when UEFA publicly confirms Real Madrid's opponent for the playoff round, expected on or about J... | string (club name) | Benfica | https://www.aljazeera.com/sports/2026/1/30/uefa-champions-league-playoffs-real-madrid-draw-benfica-psg-get-monaco?traffic_source=rss | Real Madrid must face their former manager Jose Mourinho again after being drawn with Benfica in the UEFA Champions League (UCL) playoff round, while reigning European champions Paris Saint-Germain will face domestic rivals Monaco.
In a dramatic finale to the league phase of this year’s competition, Mourinho’s Benfica ... | 2026-01-30T00:00:00 | 2026-01-30T00:00:00 | Real Madrid handed tough UEFA Champions League draw against Benfica, the team that consigned them to the playoffs. | UEFA Champions League playoffs: Real Madrid draw Benfica, PSG get Monaco | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-01-29T00:00:00 | 2026-01-14T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
836984 | Which Ukrainian city will Russia say it struck with an Oreshnik missile by January 2026? | Question Start Date: 2025-12-14. Russia’s war in Ukraine is ongoing, and long-range missile attacks remain a major risk. The Oreshnik is a Russian missile system whose combat use could affect regional security. | <ul>
<li>
<b>Source of Truth</b>: This question resolves based on an official Russian government or defence statement identifying the Ukrainian city targeted in the relevant Oreshnik strike, with confirmation from major international reporting such as Reuters, AP, BBC, or comparable outlets.
</li>
<li... | string (location) | Lviv | https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/1/10/russia-hits-ukraine-with-oreshnik-hypersonic-missile-why-it-matters?traffic_source=rss | Russia fired its hypersonic Oreshnik missile overnight at Ukraine, Moscow confirmed on Friday, striking a city barely miles away from the Ukrainian border with Poland, at a time when efforts to forge a peace deal are sputtering.
Some experts say that Moscow carried out this attack to intimidate Ukraine’s European and W... | 2026-01-10T00:00:00 | 2026-01-10T00:00:00 | The Oreshnik missile struck close to Ukraine’s border with Poland, a NATO member. | Russia hits Ukraine with Oreshnik hypersonic missile: Why it matters | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-01-08T00:00:00 | 2025-12-14T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
841822 | Which company will Indonesian officials identify as operating the missing fisheries surveillance plane by 17 January 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-01-09. Indonesia uses chartered aircraft for some government transport and surveillance work. If a domestic government-chartered flight loses contact, early official updates usually identify the company operating the aircraft. | <ul>
<li><b>Source of Truth</b>: Official statements from Indonesia's Ministry of Marine Affairs and Fisheries, Indonesia's search and rescue authorities, the aircraft operator, or consistent reporting by Reuters or Antara quoting those sources.</li>
<li><b>Resolution Date</b>: This question resolves on the fir... | string (organization) | Indonesia Air Transport | https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/1/17/indonesia-searches-for-missing-plane-with-at-least-10-on-board | Indonesian authorities are searching for a plane carrying three government workers and at least seven crew members after contact with the aircraft was lost, officials said.
The fisheries surveillance aircraft had been heading to Makassar, the capital of South Sulawesi, after departing from Yogyakarta Province, before ... | 2026-01-17T00:00:00 | 2026-01-17T00:00:00 | Fisheries minister says three employees from ministry on board plane, operated by Indonesia Air Transport. | Indonesia searches for missing plane with at least 10 on board | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-01-16T00:00:00 | 2026-01-09T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
291796 | Which Indian state will India report as having the two confirmed Nipah virus cases recorded since December 2025, by January 2026? | Question Start Date: 2025-12-12. Nipah virus is a zoonotic disease that can spread from animals to humans and through close contact. Indian health authorities are monitoring for any newly confirmed infections and may identify the affected state. | <ul>
<li>
<b>Source of Truth</b>: Official statements from India’s Ministry of Health and Family Welfare or the relevant state health department. A Reuters report directly citing these authorities is acceptable if the original statement text is not easily available.
</li>
<li>
<b>Resolution Date... | string (location) | West Bengal | https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/1/29/why-is-indias-nipah-virus-outbreak-spooking-the-world | An outbreak of the Nipah virus in India’s eastern state of West Bengal has heightened concerns in China and several Southeast Asian countries, prompting them to tighten health screening operations at airports as millions prepare to travel for the Lunar New Year holiday.
Since December 2025, two confirmed cases of the v... | 2026-01-29T00:00:00 | 2026-01-29T00:00:00 | The virus spreads from animals to humans, via person-to-person contact or through consuming contaminated food. | Why is India’s Nipah virus outbreak spooking the world? | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-01-10T00:00:00 | 2025-12-12T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
599463 | Which governor will the US Department of Justice open an investigation into by January 31, 2026, for alleged conspiracy to impede immigration enforcement? | Question Start Date: 2026-01-09. Conflicts between state leaders and the federal government over immigration enforcement can escalate into formal legal or political investigations. This question asks which governor will later be publicly named in such a federal investigation. | <ul>
<li>
<b>Source of Truth</b>: This question resolves based on an official US Department of Justice announcement, court filings, or consistent reporting from major news organizations such as AP, Reuters, or comparable national outlets.
</li>
<li>
<b>Resolution Date</b>: The question resolves ... | string (name) | Tim Walz | https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/1/21/public-opinion-shifts-on-ice-as-advocates-warn-of-us-inflection-point | Washington, DC – Advocates have called on US lawmakers to seize on the tanking public approval of President Donald Trump’s aggressive immigration enforcement drive as outrage continues to grow over the killing of a United States citizen by an immigration agent in Minnesota.
During a news conference on Wednesday, severa... | 2026-01-21T00:00:00 | 2026-01-21T00:00:00 | Amid growing unrest in wake of Minnesota killing, rights observers say US Congress must take action to curtail agency. | Public opinion shifts on ICE as advocates warn of US ‘inflection point’ | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-01-15T00:00:00 | 2026-01-09T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
789844 | Who will Carlos Alcaraz face in the Australian Open men's singles fourth round by January 23, 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-01-14. The Australian Open is the first Grand Slam tennis tournament of the year, played in Melbourne. Carlos Alcaraz is one of the leading men's singles contenders, and his fourth-round opponent will be determined by the results in his section of the draw. | <ul>
<li><b>Source of Truth</b>: The question resolves using the official Australian Open men's singles draw and results pages, with ATP Tour reporting as a backup source if needed.</li>
<li><b>Resolution Date</b>: 23 January 2026, when Alcaraz's fourth-round opponent is officially set and listed after the relevant... | string (name) | Tommy Paul | https://www.aljazeera.com/sports/2026/1/23/alcaraz-shines-in-100th-grand-slam-match-as-sabalenka-grinds-through?traffic_source=rss | Aryna Sabalenka and Coco Gauff took a rocky path to the fourth round of the Australian Open on Friday, but Carlos Alcaraz’s road was paved with gold in his 100th Grand Slam match.
A day after 40-year-old Stan Wawrinka led a parade of yesterday’s heroes into the third round, the TikTok generation had their moment in t... | 2026-01-23T00:00:00 | 2026-01-23T00:00:00 | Carlos Alcaraz marches on towards goal of youngest winner of all four majors as he powers on at Australian Open. | Alcaraz shines in 100th Grand Slam match as Sabalenka and Gauff stutter | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-01-22T00:00:00 | 2026-01-14T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
227432 | Who will Volodymyr Zelenskyy nominate as Ukraine's defence minister by January 31, 2026? | Question Start Date: 2025-12-14. Ukraine remains at war with Russia, and the president can reshuffle top national security posts, including the defence ministry. | <ul>
<li>This question resolves based on the first official public announcement from the Ukrainian presidency or government naming the president's nominee for defence minister, with major international outlets such as Reuters, AP, or AFP used as confirmation if needed.</li>
<li>The question resolves on the date the... | string (name) | Mykhailo Fedorov | https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/1/2/russia-ukraine-war-list-of-key-events-day-1409?traffic_source=rss | These are the key developments from day 1,409 of Russia’s war on Ukraine.
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Here is where things stand on Saturday, January 3:
Fighting
Two people were killed, including a three-year-old child, and at least 31 people were wounded in a Russian ballistic missile attack on a five-storey residential building in the cen... | 2026-01-02T00:00:00 | 2026-01-03T00:00:00 | These are the key developments from day 1,409 of Russia’s war on Ukraine. | Russia-Ukraine war: List of key events, day 1,409 | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-01-01T00:00:00 | 2025-12-14T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
287417 | Who will Aryna Sabalenka face in the Australian Open women’s singles quarterfinals by January 25, 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-01-12. The Australian Open is underway in Melbourne. In women’s singles, quarterfinal matchups are set once the relevant fourth-round matches are completed. | <ul>
<li><b>Source of Truth</b>: The official Australian Open women’s singles draw or match schedule/results page on the tournament’s official website. If needed, a Reuters match report may be used as a secondary source.</li>
<li><b>Resolution Date</b>: This question resolves when Aryna Sabalenka’s quarterfinal opp... | string (name) | Iva Jovic | https://www.aljazeera.com/sports/2026/1/25/sabalenka-alcaraz-and-gauff-book-australian-open-quarterfinals | Aryna Sabalenka has extended her reign as tiebreak queen to book a fourth successive appearance in the Australian Open quarterfinals before Carlos Alcaraz reached the last eight with a Tommy Paul takedown.
Third-seeded Coco Gauff also advanced to her third quarterfinals in a row on Sunday with a pulsating 6-1, 3-6, ... | 2026-01-25T00:00:00 | 2026-01-25T00:00:00 | Sabalenka beats Mboko to advance to quarterfinal against teen sensation Jovic as Gauff drops set but overcomes Muchova. | Sabalenka, Alcaraz and Gauff book Australian Open quarterfinals | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-01-24T00:00:00 | 2026-01-12T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
172391 | What festival will Syria declare a paid national holiday by January 18, 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-01-14. Syrian authorities are considering legal changes related to cultural celebrations. National holidays may be created through presidential decree or another formal government action. | <ul>
<li><b>Source of Truth</b>: An official Syrian decree or public government announcement, corroborated by major news reporting such as Reuters, AP, AFP, or Al Jazeera.</li>
<li><b>Resolution Date</b>: This question resolves by the end of January 18, 2026, when public reporting clearly names the festival designa... | string (holiday) | Newroz | https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/1/18/syrian-army-advances-on-sdf-stronghold-of-raqqa-whats-the-latest | The Syrian army is advancing towards Raqqa, the stronghold of the United States-trained, Kurdish-led Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF), after capturing the northern strategic city of Tabqa and its military airport on the Euphrates River in a lightning offensive.
Government forces captured the Euphrates Dam, also known as ... | 2026-01-18T00:00:00 | 2026-01-18T00:00:00 | Military takes control of Tabqa in Raqqa governorate, and President al-Sharaa signs a decree recognising Kurdish rights. | Syrian army advances on SDF stronghold of Raqqa: What’s the latest? | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-01-15T00:00:00 | 2026-01-14T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
579233 | What language will Syria formally declare a "national language" by January 17, 2026? | Question Start Date: 2025-12-31. Syria's leadership is considering legal and constitutional changes affecting minority rights, citizenship, and the status of languages in public life. | <ul>
<li><b>Source of Truth</b>: This question resolves using the official Syrian presidential decree or other authoritative reporting published no later than January 17, 2026 that identifies the language granted "national language" status.</li>
<li><b>Resolution Date</b>: The question resolves on the date the decr... | string (language) | Kurdish | https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/1/17/syrian-army-takes-control-of-east-aleppo-towns-as-kurdish-fighters-withdraw | Syria’s army says its forces have taken control of dozens of towns in the east of Aleppo governorate after the Kurdish-led Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) withdrew from the areas.
After driving out Kurdish forces from Aleppo city last week following deadly clashes, Syria’s army deployed reinforcements near Deir Hafer an... | 2026-01-17T00:00:00 | 2026-01-17T00:00:00 | Military says it seized 34 villages and towns in the region as it keeps taking over territories from Kurdish fighters. | Syrian army takes control of east Aleppo towns as Kurdish fighters withdraw | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-01-15T00:00:00 | 2025-12-31T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
316535 | Who will be named as Pat Cummins's replacement in Australia's ICC Men's T20 World Cup squad by January 31, 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-01-09. Australia is finalizing its squad for the ICC Men's T20 World Cup. Injuries can force late changes before the tournament begins. | <ul>
<li><b>Source of Truth</b>: Official squad announcements from Cricket Australia or the ICC. If needed, official team lists published for the tournament by these bodies may be used as a secondary source.</li>
<li><b>Resolution Date</b>: This question resolves on the date Australia officially confirms the replac... | string (name) | Ben Dwarshuis | https://www.aljazeera.com/sports/2026/1/31/injured-pat-cummins-out-of-australias-t20-world-cup-squad?traffic_source=rss | Australian fast bowler Pat Cummins has been ruled out of the ICC Twenty20 World Cup after failing to recover from a nagging back injury, with Ben Dwarshuis named as his replacement in the tournament starting next month.
“With Pat needing more time to recover from his back injury, Ben is a ready replacement who offer... | 2026-01-31T00:00:00 | 2026-01-31T00:00:00 | Left-arm pacer Ben Dwarshuis will replace Cummins after he failed to recover in time for the tournament. | Injured Pat Cummins out of Australia’s T20 World Cup squad | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-01-30T00:00:00 | 2026-01-09T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
359260 | Which pro-Israel group will agree to wind down its operations in New York under a settlement announced by January 2026? | Question Start Date: 2025-12-15. New York state regulators can investigate nonprofit groups accused of harassment, bias, or unlawful intimidation and can negotiate settlements that restrict a group’s future activity in the state. | <ul>
<li><b>Source of Truth</b>: An official public statement from the New York State Office of the Attorney General, the settlement agreement itself, or official New York nonprofit records released on or before 31st January 2026.</li>
<li><b>Resolution Condition</b>: This question resolves to the name of the p... | string (organization) | Betar US | https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/1/14/far-right-pro-israel-group-betar-us-to-end-activity-in-new-york-ny-ag-says?traffic_source=rss | New York Attorney General Letitia James says that her office has reached a settlement with the pro-Israel group Betar US over the alleged harassment of pro-Palestinian activists that will see the far-right Zionist group gradually shutter its operations in the state.
James said in a statement on Tuesday that an investig... | 2026-01-14T00:00:00 | 2026-01-14T00:00:00 | Attorney General says Betar US engaged in ‘widespread persecution’ of Muslim, Arab, Palestinian, and Jewish New Yorkers. | Far-right pro-Israel group Betar US to end activity in New York: NY AG says | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-01-12T00:00:00 | 2025-12-15T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
621718 | Who will Donald Trump say he reached a Greenland deal framework with by January 31, 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-01-14. Donald Trump is pushing for a new US arrangement involving Greenland, the self-governing Arctic territory within the Kingdom of Denmark. Allied leaders are watching for any public statement naming the counterpart in such talks. | <ul>
<li> Resolve using Trump’s own public statements issued on or before January 31, 2026, including Truth Social posts, White House transcripts or readouts, and televised interview transcripts. If needed, major contemporaneous reporting such as Reuters or CNBC may be used to confirm the wording. </li>
<li> Th... | string (name) | Mark Rutte | https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/1/22/trumps-greenland-framework-deal-what-we-know-about-it-what-we-dont?traffic_source=rss | United States President Donald Trump announced on Wednesday that he had reached a “framework of a future deal” on Greenland with NATO Secretary-General Mark Rutte.
He also withdrew his threat to impose 10 percent trade tariffs on eight European nations objecting to the sale of Greenland to the US – set to rise to 25 pe... | 2026-01-22T00:00:00 | 2026-01-22T00:00:00 | Trump says he reached a ‘framework of a future deal’ on Greenland during a meeting with NATO’s Mark Rutte in Davos. | Trump’s Greenland ‘framework’ deal: What we know about it, what we don’t | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-01-20T00:00:00 | 2026-01-14T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
679570 | Who will Naomi Osaka face in the Australian Open women's singles third round, according to the official draw by 22 January 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-01-11. The Australian Open is an annual Grand Slam tennis tournament in Melbourne. In the women's singles draw, third-round matchups will be set by the outcomes of the opening rounds. | <ul>
<li> This question will resolve using the official Australian Open website's women's singles draw and completed match results. If needed, WTA records may be used as a secondary confirmation source. </li>
<li> The question resolves on the date Osaka's relevant second-round match is completed and her officia... | string (name) | Maddison Inglis | https://www.aljazeera.com/sports/2026/1/22/sinner-osaka-through-to-the-third-round-at-australian-open?traffic_source=rss | Two-time defending champion Jannik Sinner has outclassed home wildcard James Duckworth 6-1, 6-4, 6-2 to stroll into the third round of the Australian Open.
The Italian world number two was in no mood on Thursday for an extended shift on a cool Rod Laver Arena as he set up a last-32 clash with American Eliot Spizzir... | 2026-01-22T00:00:00 | 2026-01-22T00:00:00 | Defending champion Jannik Sinner wins easily against James Duckworth while Naomi Osaka overcomes Sorana Cirstea. | Sinner, Osaka through to the third round at Australian Open | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-01-21T00:00:00 | 2026-01-11T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
214384 | Which northeastern US state will be named as the target of a newly announced ICE immigration crackdown by January 22, 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-01-09. US Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) sometimes carries out enforcement actions focused on a particular state. This question asks which northeastern state will be publicly identified as the location of a new crackdown before the resolution date. | <ul>
<li> Resolve using the first official statement or announcement from the US Department of Homeland Security or ICE describing the operation, with contemporaneous corroboration from major news outlets such as AP, Reuters, or Al Jazeera if needed. </li>
<li> This question resolves on the date, no later than ... | string (location) | Maine | https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/1/22/catch-of-the-day-trump-launches-new-ice-immigration-crackdown-in-maine?traffic_source=rss | The administration of United States President Donald Trump has announced its latest immigration enforcement operation, this time in the northeastern state of Maine.
On Wednesday, the Department of Homeland Security confirmed that immigration raids had begun a day earlier, under the name “Operation Catch of the Day”.
Re... | 2026-01-22T00:00:00 | 2026-01-22T00:00:00 | The Trump administration singles out Maine Governor Janet Mills, a Democrat, as one of the reasons for ICE’s operation. | ‘Catch of the day’: Trump launches new ICE immigration crackdown in Maine | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-01-13T00:00:00 | 2026-01-09T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
521564 | By 31 January 2026, who will be identified as the migrant worker whose death in police custody sparks mass protests? | Question Start Date: 2026-01-11. When a death in detention becomes a major public controversy, later reporting usually identifies the person at the center of the case. This question asks for that person's full name. | <ul>
<li>
<b>Source of Truth</b>: This question resolves using Reuters reporting published no later than 31 January 2026 about the protests and the death in custody. If Reuters is unavailable, consistent reporting from another major international news agency may be used.
</li>
<li>
<b>Resolution... | string (name) | El Hacen Diarra | https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/1/26/protests-in-paris-over-death-of-migrant-worker-in-police-custody?traffic_source=rss | Thousands of people are demanding justice in Paris after videos surfaced showing the violent arrest of Mauritian migrant worker El Hacen Diarra, shortly before he died in police custody. | 2026-01-26T00:00:00 | 2026-01-26T00:00:00 | Thousands of people are demanding justice in Paris after videos surfaced of the violent arrest of a Mauritian migrant. | Protests in Paris over death of migrant worker in police custody | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-01-14T00:00:00 | 2026-01-11T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
904367 | Which city will the Syrian army say it has brought under complete control after clashes in northeast Syria by January 19, 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-01-07. Control of territory in northeastern Syria can change quickly during fighting, and public claims by armed actors may soon identify which city they say they fully hold. | <ul>
<li>
<b>Source of Truth</b>: Resolve based on the first clear public statement from the Syrian army or Syrian state media, corroborated by contemporaneous reporting from major outlets such as Al Jazeera, Reuters, or AP, identifying the city the army says is under its "complete control" after the relevant... | string (location) | al-Shaddadi | https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/1/19/isil-fighters-flee-jail-as-syrian-army-clashes-with-kurdish-led-sdf?traffic_source=rss | The Syrian army has announced a curfew in the city of al-Shaddadi in the country’s northeast after the escape of ISIL (ISIS) fighters from the city’s prison amid clashes with the Kurdish-led Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF), according to the state news agency, SANA.
The Syrian army told Al Jazeera Arabic on Monday that i... | 2026-01-19T00:00:00 | 2026-01-19T00:00:00 | Syrian army tells Al Jazeera Arabic it is now in complete control of city of al-Shaddadi in northeast Syria. | ISIL fighters flee jail as Syrian army clashes with Kurdish-led SDF | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-01-18T00:00:00 | 2026-01-07T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
672298 | Who will United Democracy Project spend about $2.2m to oppose by 4th February 2026 in central New Jersey’s special House Democratic primary? | Question Start Date: 2026-01-09. A crowded Democratic primary is underway for a special US House election in central New Jersey. Outside groups often try to shape primaries through large independent ad buys against specific candidates. | <ul>
<li><b>Source of Truth</b>: Federal Election Commission independent expenditure filings from United Democracy Project, the group’s official advertising disclosures, and matching reporting from major reputable news outlets covering the race.</li>
<li><b>Resolution Date</b>: This question resolves on 4th Februar... | string (name) | Tom Malinowski | https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/2/4/aipac-linked-pac-ups-pressure-on-moderate-us-democrat-in-new-strategy | Washington, DC – A super PAC linked to the American Israel Public Affairs Committee (AIPAC) has made its first major venture into the United States midterm elections.
But this time around, the pro-Israel lobby group is not targeting a progressive candidate pushing to reset US-Israel policy, but a so-called “moderate” D... | 2026-02-04T00:00:00 | 2026-02-05T00:00:00 | Critics claim AIPAC spending aims to intimidate candidates questioning unconditional US support for Israeli policies. | Pro-Israel lobby group pressures ‘moderate’ US Democrat in new strategy | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-01-16T00:00:00 | 2026-01-09T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
320138 | Which app will a suspect say was used to recruit him for the attempted Paris bank bombing by March 31, 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-03-14. Investigators in Europe are examining whether online and mobile platforms are being used to contact or direct people for violent acts. | <ul>
<li><b>Source of Truth</b>: This question will resolve based on police statements or major news-agency reporting that cites investigators or law-enforcement sources by March 31, 2026.</li>
<li><b>Resolution Date</b>: The question resolves on the first date, no later than March 31, 2026, when the platform a... | string (platform) | Snapchat | https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/3/30/french-police-make-2-more-arrests-over-suspected-attack-on-bank-of-america?traffic_source=rss | French police have arrested two more people over a foiled attack on Bank of America’s Paris headquarters as authorities probe a suspected link with the Iran war.
The National Anti-Terrorism Prosecutor’s Office (PNAT) said that five suspects are now being held in custody, including three minors arrested after Saturday’s... | 2026-03-30T00:00:00 | 2026-03-30T00:00:00 | Prosecutors investigating suspected link to Iran war due to similarities with other recent attempted attacks in Europe. | French police make two more arrests over foiled attack on Bank of America | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-03-27T00:00:00 | 2026-03-14T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
886103 | Who will direct the film that enters the 2026 Academy Awards by March 15, 2026, with a record 16 nominations? | Question Start Date: 2025-12-31. The Academy Awards honor films and the people who make them. Official nominations and film credits identify which filmmakers are tied to the most-nominated films each year. | <ul>
<li>The official 2026 Academy Awards nominations on Oscars.org will identify the film, and the Academy's official nominee materials or the film's official credits will identify its director.</li>
<li>This question resolves no later than March 15, 2026, after the 2026 Oscar nominations are publicly available.</... | string (person name) | Ryan Coogler | https://www.aljazeera.com/news/liveblog/2026/3/15/oscars-2026-live-sinners-one-battle-after-another-race-for-academy-gold?traffic_source=rss | Ryan Coogler’s Sinners enters tonight’s race with a record 16 Academy Award nominations, including for Best Picture and Best Director.
Share | 2026-03-15T00:00:00 | 2026-03-15T00:00:00 | Sinners enters tonight’s race with a record 16 Academy Award nominations, including for Best Picture and Best Director. | Oscars 2026 live: Sinners, One Battle After Another race for Academy gold | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-01-21T00:00:00 | 2025-12-31T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
995305 | Which city will be reported by 3 February 2026 as the location of a huge fire at a market? | Question Start Date: 2026-01-26. Sudden emergencies in crowded business districts can disrupt transport, commerce, and daily life. This question asks which city will later be identified in news reporting as the location of a major market incident. | <ul>
<li> Resolve based on the earliest widely circulated English-language news report published on or about 3 February 2026 about this incident, with later major-outlet reporting used only for confirmation if needed. </li>
<li> This question resolves on 3 February 2026, when the city location is publicly ident... | string (city) | Tehran | https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/2/3/huge-fire-breaks-out-at-tehran-market?traffic_source=rss | 2026-02-03T00:00:00 | 2026-02-03T00:00:00 | Huge fire breaks out at Tehran market | Huge fire breaks out at Tehran market | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-02-02T00:00:00 | 2026-01-26T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | ||
48811 | Which synagogue will authorities identify as being involved in a reported active shooter situation in the Detroit area by March 12, 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-03-04. A major public-safety emergency could occur near a Jewish house of worship in the Detroit area. This question asks for the specific synagogue name that officials or major news reports identify by the resolution date. | <ul>
<li><b>Source of Truth</b>: Official statements from the FBI, local law enforcement, or consistent reporting from major news organizations published on or before March 13, 2026.</li>
<li><b>Resolution Date</b>: The question resolves on the first date the synagogue involved in the incident is clearly identified... | string (place name) | Temple Israel | https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/3/12/fbi-reports-active-shooter-situation-at-detroit-area-synagogue-in-the-us | The Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI) in the United States has responded to an “active shooter situation” near a synagogue in the Detroit metropolitan area in Michigan.
FBI Director Kash Patel indicated that his agency was working with local law enforcement to secure the area.
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li... | 2026-03-12T00:00:00 | 2026-03-12T00:00:00 | Law enforcement officials have reported gunfire near the Temple Israel Synagogue in West Bloomfield Township, Michigan. | FBI reports ‘active shooter situation’ at Detroit-area synagogue in the US | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-03-11T00:00:00 | 2026-03-04T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
768526 | Which country will Volodymyr Zelenskyy say made a specific request for Ukrainian help against drones in the Middle East, by March 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-02-19. Ukraine has several years of wartime experience countering Iranian-designed attack drones. If regional fighting widens, another government may seek Ukrainian technical assistance for drone defence. | <ul>
<li>
<b>Source of Truth</b>: Public statements from the Ukrainian presidency, the relevant requesting government, and reporting by major international outlets such as Reuters or Al Jazeera quoting those official statements.
</li>
<li>
<b>Resolution Date</b>: This question resolves on the fi... | string (country) | United States | https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/3/6/we-know-shaheds-ukraine-touts-drone-expertise-in-us-israel-war-with-iran?traffic_source=rss | Kyiv, Ukraine – Experts estimate that Iran has tens of thousands of Shahed drones.
Recently released footage from Iranian media appears to show vast supplies stored in underground production facilities, signalling that Iran could deploy the weapons long into the foreseeable future.
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l... | 2026-03-06T00:00:00 | 2026-03-06T00:00:00 | Ukraine, which has years of experience in downing Russia’s Iran-made drones, wants to assist the US and Israel. | ‘We know Shaheds’: Ukraine touts drone expertise in US-Israel war with Iran | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-03-03T00:00:00 | 2026-02-19T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
57193 | Which state will the U.S. Supreme Court let keep its new congressional map by February 2026 after rejecting a Republican lawsuit? | Question Start Date: 2026-01-14. The U.S. Supreme Court is reviewing disputes over mid-decade congressional maps ahead of the 2026 midterm elections. A ruling could determine whether one state's newly drawn U.S. House map stays in effect. | <ul>
<li><b>Source of Truth</b>: The official order list or docket of the Supreme Court of the United States in the relevant redistricting case, with major reporting outlets used only for confirmation if needed.</li>
<li><b>Resolution Date</b>: This question resolves on the date the Court issues the order, no l... | string (location) | California | https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/2/4/us-supreme-court-rejects-challenge-to-california-redistricting-bid?traffic_source=rss | The United States Supreme Court has ruled in favour of a California redistricting measure meant to net the Democratic Party more congressional seats, rejecting a challenge from the state Republican Party.
There was no dissent in Wednesday’s decision, and the conservative-majority court did not offer any explanation for... | 2026-02-04T00:00:00 | 2026-02-04T00:00:00 | Redrawing of electoral maps along partisan lines taken in response to similar measures in Republican-led states. | US Supreme Court rejects challenge to California redistricting effort | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-02-03T00:00:00 | 2026-01-14T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
903473 | Which Benfica player will Vinicius Jr accuse of making a racist remark during Benfica vs Real Madrid on February 17, 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-02-09. Benfica and Real Madrid are scheduled to meet in a UEFA Champions League knockout playoff first leg. FIFA has an antiracism procedure that allows a referee to interrupt a match if discriminatory abuse is alleged. | <ul>
<li><b>Source of Truth</b>: Official post-match statements from UEFA, Benfica, Real Madrid, or Vinicius Jr; if no official statement names the player, the earliest widely cited contemporaneous match report from a major wire service such as Associated Press or Reuters that clearly identifies the accused Benfica p... | string (name) | Gianluca Prestianni | https://www.aljazeera.com/sports/2026/2/17/vinicius-earns-real-madrid-1-0-win-at-benfica-in-match-marred-by-racism-row?traffic_source=rss | Vinicius Jr scored a sublime second-half winner as Real Madrid beat Benfica 1-0 in their Champions League playoff first leg, a night overshadowed by the Brazilian accusing Benfica’s Gianluca Prestianni of directing a racist slur at him.
The alleged incident occurred moments after Vinicius had curled Real ahead, five ... | 2026-02-17T00:00:00 | 2026-02-18T00:00:00 | Match interrupted for several minutes after Madrid’s goalscorer Vinicius Jr accused opponent of racially insulting him. | Vinicius earns Real Madrid 1-0 win at Benfica in match marred by racism row | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-02-16T00:00:00 | 2026-02-09T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
578870 | Which Beirut district will an Israeli strike on an apartment that kills at least four people hit by March 8, 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-03-01. Military tensions involving Israel, Lebanon, and Iran-linked actors remain high. If a strike occurs in Beirut, later reporting may identify the district where the hit apartment is located. | <ul>
<li> <b>Source of Truth</b>: This question will resolve based on Reuters reporting published on or by March 8, 2026 about the relevant Israeli strike in Beirut. If Reuters issues a correction or clarification, the corrected Reuters version will control. Lebanese official statements may be used only to confirm ... | string (location) | Raouche | https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/3/8/smoke-rises-over-beirut-after-israeli-strike-on-raouche-building | Smoke rose over Beirut after an Israeli strike hit an apartment in the Ramada Hotel building in the Raouche district, killing at least four people and wounding ten others, according to Lebanon’s health ministry. Israel said the attack targeted commanders from Iran’s Quds Force operating in the Lebanese capital. | 2026-03-08T00:00:00 | 2026-03-08T00:00:00 | Smoke rose over Beirut after an Israeli strike hit an apartment in the Ramada Hotel building in the Raouche district. | Smoke rises over Beirut after Israeli strike on Raouche building | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-03-07T00:00:00 | 2026-03-01T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | |
207951 | Which broadcaster will confirm that it removed from its website a Winter Olympics commentary segment about Israel's bobsleigh team by February 17, 2026? | Question Start Date: 2026-02-09. Broadcasters covering the Winter Olympics sometimes post commentary clips online and may later edit or remove them after complaints or editorial review. | <ul>
<li>
<b>Source of Truth</b>: A public statement from the broadcaster that aired the commentary, or consistent reporting by major news outlets quoting that broadcaster, confirming that the online segment was removed.
</li>
<li>
<b>Resolution Date</b>: This question resolves on the first publ... | string (organization) | RTS | https://www.aljazeera.com/sports/2026/2/17/swiss-commentator-slams-zionist-israeli-bobsleigh-team-at-winter-olympics | A Swiss sports journalist has found himself at the centre of a storm for his no-holds-barred commentary during the Israeli team’s participation in the bobsleigh event at the 2026 Winter Olympics in Italy.
Sports commentator Stefan Reina, of Radio Television Suisse (RTS), called the Israeli team’s pilot Adam Jeremy Edel... | 2026-02-17T00:00:00 | 2026-02-17T00:00:00 | Stefan Reina’s commentary on the Israeli team’s run in Cortina focused on the athletes’ support of the genocide in Gaza. | Swiss commentator slams ‘Zionist’ Israeli bobsleigh team at Winter Olympics | news_generated | aljazeera | 2026-02-16T00:00:00 | 2026-02-09T00:00:00 | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... | You will be asked a forecasting question (which might be from the past). You have to come up with the best guess for the final answer. Please provide your reasoning before stating your final answer and also express how likely you think your answer is to be correct (your confidence in your answer).
Question Tit... |
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