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ARENA ALFA
| 241
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2024-06-01
| 3,579
| 946
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2014-09-22
|
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I1PG0G4Ix7w
| 300
|
analisis tecnico bancolombia $cib 09 sep 14. muy buenos días vamos a hacer un análisis breve de la situación de bancolombia el día de ayer habíamos comentado perdón y al twitter privado que la grafica bancolombia y desde ahí ve en eeuu estaba en palabras mías horrible estaba rompiendo a la baja un hombro cabeza hombro se desmonten twitter este fue el tweet es el hombro cabeza hombro esta fue la ruptura se los advertimos cuando estaba 61 33 igual ya les había comentado que yo venía corto es de 64 dólares les había comentado el corto lo pueden encontrar también en la cuenta de twitter ahí está la señal de corto que les envié cuando abrí mi corto personal y ese corto nos cerramos hoy en 59 95 con una rentabilidad del 6.7 por ciento ya es la tercera el tercer trade que les he comentado como cuestión personal no en bancolombia sino en si ve que hemos hecho en eeuu todos positivos razón para decirlo en eeuu es que no tenemos ese efecto del dólar que como les había comentado el dólar está afectando mucho todos los títulos que tienen adr cotizan en canadá por ejemplo a pesar de la fuerte
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analisis tecnico bancolombia $cib 09 sep 14
|
I1PG0G4Ix7w
| 2,014
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I1PG0G4Ix7w-0
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ARENA ALFA
| 241
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2024-06-01
| 3,579
| 946
| 1
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2014-09-22
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I1PG0G4Ix7w
| 300
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dólar está afectando mucho todos los títulos que tienen adr cotizan en canadá por ejemplo a pesar de la fuerte caída que estamos bien que está volviendo hoy en eeuu que la pueden ver aquí es una caída del 2 50 por ciento la acción han llegado a soporte y a pesar de que la caída ha sido muy fuerte en eeuu en colombia no se ha visto tan fuerte porque por el dólar este nivel de 59 50 antes para banco lograr los 28 mil pesos ahorita están 29 mil entonces acá sí que hay hay una diferencia grande en precios por el efecto del dólar en este momento ya cerramos el corto estamos viendo una posible oportunidad de compra en esta zona de 59 50 en eeuu es un soporte antigua resistencia yo creo que lo aguantar puede que lo rompa pero creo que lo aguantar no les envía oportunidad de trading porque todavía no se me da un patrón de compra para limpiar en una oportunidad 37 de compra no solamente no solamente la señal de soporte entonces no puedo todavía enviarles una segunda oportunidad de compra pero si quiera probar el soporte es muy viable yo sería para eeuu 59 50 en colombia la situación es muy diferente en colombia vemos que la
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analisis tecnico bancolombia $cib 09 sep 14
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I1PG0G4Ix7w
| 2,014
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I1PG0G4Ix7w-1
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ARENA ALFA
| 241
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2024-06-01
| 3,579
| 946
| 2
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2014-09-22
|
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I1PG0G4Ix7w
| 300
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porte es muy viable yo sería para eeuu 59 50 en colombia la situación es muy diferente en colombia vemos que la calidad no ha sido tan pronunciada como les dije antes por el efecto del dólar lo que escuchan por ahí sonando y mi perro de radio por la granada está dorarnos una disculpa en colombia vemos no hemos ni siquiera un hombro cabeza hombro si no creemos un doblete hecho en 32 mil pesos ahorita cada nivel es de 29 mil en colombia no hay un soporte aquí realmente soy más psicológico un nivel psicológico y coincide con el soporte eeuu realmente el soporte en colombia está más en 28 mil pesos si llegara a que sería una buena compra en colombia lo que no sabemos es si llega aquí dado que el dólar dado que el dólar está siendo un efecto para que esto no caiga tanto entonces miren que las gráficas son completamente diferentes siendo la misma acción y esa diferencia se debe al dólar entonces uno podría probar esa compra basado en eeuu yo en lo personal tengo ganas de probar ese nivel en eeuu para comprar por un estómago estados y rock los 29 50 pero no les quieren bien la oportunidad de no ver un patrón de compra usted saben que
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analisis tecnico bancolombia $cib 09 sep 14
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I1PG0G4Ix7w
| 2,014
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I1PG0G4Ix7w-2
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ARENA ALFA
| 241
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2024-06-01
| 3,579
| 946
| 3
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2014-09-22
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I1PG0G4Ix7w
| 136
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estados y rock los 29 50 pero no les quieren bien la oportunidad de no ver un patrón de compra usted saben que con ustedes me gusta ser un poco más seguro en las recomendaciones y no me quiero ir a buscarle piso sin ver patrón de compras y de un patrón de compra vamos a probar trade acá si no voy a pasar de compra lo vamos a probar estén muy pendientes del twitter que cualquier oportunidad la estaremos enviando si me decido a abrir el 30 en eeuu también estar enviando a vía twitter entonces estén muy pendientes y estamos conversando
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analisis tecnico bancolombia $cib 09 sep 14
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I1PG0G4Ix7w
| 2,014
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I1PG0G4Ix7w-3
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|
ARENA ALFA
| 172
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2024-06-01
| 2,449
| 621
| 0
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2014-09-22
|
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uRnB41tY8RA
| 300
|
video analisis tecnico avianca 05 sept 14. buenas tardes por solicitud de nuestros clientes y pues dado que tenemos un trade abierto en avianca vamos a hacer un análisis aquí breve de la situación actual del título con avianca tenemos dos gráficos completamente diferentes colombia por ejemplo si bien se encuentra en un lateral que se puede ver muy claro entre 3950 y 3730 370 50 el título está rompiendo lanza promedios móviles digamos que esta es una corrección comprable les recuerdo que nosotros estamos comprados en promedio a 3.775 es decir estamos en esta zona de compra estamos todavía positivos y en colombia este retroceso sería un retroceso comprable la gráfica pinta bien ahora esto hasta que no rompa esta esta resistencia pues no se van a dar mayor valorizaciones están un lateral graves y rompe a la baja por ahora estamos manteniendo en estados unidos la situación es muy distinta ya les había enviado un correo de lo que está pasando con el dólar el dólar está afectando mucho todas las cotizaciones que tienen adn cotizan en canadá entonces la situación es otra miren que en estados unidos la gráfica está totalmente opuesta la de colombia la acción está rompiendo a la baja pero ha mantenido un soporte en 16 dólares con algunas ca
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video analisis tecnico avianca 05 sept 14
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uRnB41tY8RA
| 2,014
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uRnB41tY8RA-0
|
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ARENA ALFA
| 172
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2024-06-01
| 2,449
| 621
| 1
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2014-09-22
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uRnB41tY8RA
| 300
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uesta la de colombia la acción está rompiendo a la baja pero ha mantenido un soporte en 16 dólares con algunas caídas a 1580 y en este caso 15 50 estos niveles de 16 dólares de 1590 anteriormente eran 3.750 3770 más o menos con el alza del dólar ya estamos hablando que son niveles de 3.800 3.800 perdón como cerró hoy 3.860 3870 y esto ha sido por el dólar miren que aquí se ve la misma caída que en colombia pero el precio es mayor por el cambio entonces digamos que en ambas gráfica vemos un lateral pero el lateral de colombia es más positivo dado que está por encima de promedios móviles mientras que el lateral de estados unidos tiene un sesgo más bajista qué vamos a hacer con este título y lo mismo que que propusimos desde un principio si rompe la baja soporte nos estropeamos si rompe al alza la resistencia pues seguimos largos e incluso como el dólar ha subido podríamos correr los objetivos a niveles por encima de 4000 pesos por ahora mantenemos espero que les sea de utilidad les recuerdo que 24 y 25 de septiembre vamos a estar en bogotá con nuestro seminario vamos a
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video analisis tecnico avianca 05 sept 14
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uRnB41tY8RA
| 2,014
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uRnB41tY8RA-1
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ARENA ALFA
| 172
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2024-06-01
| 2,449
| 621
| 2
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2014-09-22
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uRnB41tY8RA
| 81
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sea de utilidad les recuerdo que 24 y 25 de septiembre vamos a estar en bogotá con nuestro seminario vamos a vamos a aprender todos estos conceptos técnicos los que se animen envían un correo les cuento que quedan poquitos cupos ya estamos casi llenos que tengan una buena tarde un buen feliz de semana y estamos conversando hasta luego
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video analisis tecnico avianca 05 sept 14
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uRnB41tY8RA
| 2,014
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uRnB41tY8RA-2
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ARENA ALFA
| 136
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2024-06-01
| 2,167
| 547
| 0
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2014-09-09
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kG30gkmkEZM
| 300
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video analisis canacol 04 sept 14. señores muy buenos días aprovechando esta nueva herramienta para que revisemos las acciones de canacol me han preguntado mucho por ella creo que hay mucha gente montada y si no mucha gente mirándola bueno lo más importante es que miremos qué canal cuál está ahorita en una tendencia bajista tanto por promedios móviles como por directriz como por canal la acción está muy bajista hay una formación de hombro-cabeza-hombro que rompió a la baja digamos no sea genera un pánico con ella caía debido a que salieron noticias y las noticias ayudar va a sostenerla lo más peligroso de canacol es mirar toda esta gente queda atrapada aquí por encima de siete dólares canadienses y los altos volúmenes uno desde la emisión que se negociaron entre ellos 8 con 850 toda esta gente que está aquí que son 8 meses están atrapados están perdiendo dinero eso significa que cada rebote la acciones son niveles la gente va a tratar de salir a vender esos niveles por encima de 12 mil pesos en colombia más o menos eso cambia con el dólar todos los días pero toda esta gente está ahorita atrapada entonces qué pasa cuando uno está atrapado
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video analisis canacol 04 sept 14
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kG30gkmkEZM
| 2,014
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kG30gkmkEZM-0
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|
ARENA ALFA
| 136
|
2024-06-01
| 2,167
| 547
| 1
|
2014-09-09
|
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kG30gkmkEZM
| 277
|
eso cambia con el dólar todos los días pero toda esta gente está ahorita atrapada entonces qué pasa cuando uno está atrapado por general espera que la acción se va a tratar de salir en tablas genera mucha presión vendedora recuerden que esto es una petrolera juniors salen noticias todos los días están pendientes varios pollos así que si bien el técnico es muy relevante pues una noticia positiva la podría disparar una noticia negativa pues la podrían tumbar aún más fuerte lo que hayamos visto entonces muy pendientes con este título revisen el correo que les envió ayer de niveles clave solo nivel a tener en cuenta por ahora no vamos a probar entrada no nos interesan los niveles actuales quizás esta zona de 620 630 se pueda probar con un patrón de compra pero en este punto que está actualmente de 650 640 es una zona muerta es una zona neutra bien podría uno comprar 11 400 para salieron 700 800 pero el riesgo-beneficio es poco no nos interesa así que por ahora estamos al margen muy pendiente de las noticias y que eso es lo que cambia todo y pues con el riesgo que no hay una compañía muy riesgosa estamos conversando a saber
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video analisis canacol 04 sept 14
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kG30gkmkEZM
| 2,014
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kG30gkmkEZM-1
|
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|
ARENA ALFA
| 99
|
2024-06-01
| 1,472
| 378
| 0
|
2014-09-03
|
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6uGldYqdh9Q
| 300
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analisis tecnico ecopetrol 03-sept-14. señores buenas tardes esta es la segunda prueba de nuestra zona de vídeos queríamos compartir simplemente aquí la gráfica de ecopetrol hemos comentado mucho que ya el tray técnico lo cerramos lo cerramos básicamente porque alcanzó esta zona que era nuestro objetivo de resistencia de 35 dólares a los que todavía tienen o quieren entrar en el título muy pendientes que de romper estos 35 iría a buscar los 36 o 35 70 inicialmente donde nuevamente va a encontrar resistencia la tendencia de control está cambiando este doble piso al que le apostamos efectivamente salió siendo un doble piso una señal de compra interesante pusimos los stop donde era el objetivo donde era ya lo que hay que ver aquí es como hacemos para volver a entrar la idea es volver a comprar ecopetrol yo soy de los que pienso que ecopetrol tiene potencial de volver a 3600 3.700 pesos no voy a dar un plazo no sé por ahora lo que nos interesa sería esperar una corrección de esta alza para niveles de 34 dólares que son más o menos unos 3.300 3.280 3.270 dependiendo de la volatilidad del dólar vamos a ver si se nos da si
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analisis tecnico ecopetrol 03-sept-14
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|
ARENA ALFA
| 99
|
2024-06-01
| 1,472
| 378
| 1
|
2014-09-03
|
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6uGldYqdh9Q
| 108
|
3.300 3.280 3.270 dependiendo de la volatilidad del dólar vamos a ver si se nos da si no se nos da pues desafortunadamente los podemos perder este rally de dos y medio por ciento adicional usted le podría apostar si ve que rompe los 35 puede probar una entrada en largo buscarle 100 pesos adicionales ya es decisión personal estaremos monitoreando y si veo alguna señal se las estaré enviando estamos conversando hasta luego
|
analisis tecnico ecopetrol 03-sept-14
|
6uGldYqdh9Q
| 2,014
|
6uGldYqdh9Q-1
|
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ARENA ALFA
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2024-06-01
| 3,422
| 826
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2019-10-24
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ds8BFU1HmtY
| 300
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vocabulario bursatil - como hablan los traders parte 1. y un saludo para todos vamos a hablar un poquito de términos que usan los inversionistas los traders recuerden seguirnos en nuestras redes en twitter en instagram y sin más vamos a comenzar pero el primer término que vamos a hablar es la palabra trading la palabra training viene de negociación de comercio es un concepto que define básicamente como el arte de negociar de especular en los mercados financieros con el objetivo de obtener rentabilidades prácticamente es comprar y vender un producto financiero acciones o bonos monedas el trader pues es la persona que realiza trading la persona que ejecuta que negocia los mercados hay trevín de divisas hay traders de divisas de monedas de acciones lo que hace con nosotros por ejemplo el broker es el intermediario en colombia' proyecto son las firmas comisionistas es por medio del cual vamos a realizar las operaciones los que invertimos hacemos trading el concepto de largos y cortos lo han escuchado mucho estar largo significa apostarle al alza el mercado comprar para vender más caro y estar corto es apostarle a la baja vender para comprar más barato y la enorme esa diferencia que puede estar largo apostando al alza y corto apostando a la baja ya sea al monedas en acciones ustedes quieran las
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vocabulario bursatil - como hablan los traders parte 1
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ds8BFU1HmtY
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ds8BFU1HmtY-0
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ARENA ALFA
| 230
|
2024-06-01
| 3,422
| 826
| 1
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2019-10-24
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ds8BFU1HmtY
| 300
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que puede estar largo apostando al alza y corto apostando a la baja ya sea al monedas en acciones ustedes quieran las puntas órdenes hacen referencia cuando ustedes van a comprar o vender un activo ustedes lo que hacen es poner orden es x precio x cantidad de acciones es donde conoce como las puntas cuando les preguntan cómo están las puntas es cómo están los compradores y los vendedores en x activo han escuchado también el concepto de toros y osos los socios hacen referencia a los mercados bajistas con las apuestas bajistas los toros en referencia a una postura alcista con el mercado entonces bullish es que tenga una postura alcista liveris es que tengo una postura bajista frente a un mercado o frente a un activo con base en eso también han escuchado que esa es la palabra rali cuando se habla de rally se habla de un alza fuerte en un mercado o en un activo un activo que están radios que están subiendo de manera fuerte y sostenía los estos son la pérdida máxima que un inversionista o trader está dispuesto a asumir ustedes digamos compran una acción en 100 pesos y su pérdida máxima y que están dispuestos a subir es 10 pesos entonces esto en 90 pesos el pullback o retroceso pues hace referencia cómo se
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vocabulario bursatil - como hablan los traders parte 1
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ds8BFU1HmtY
| 2,019
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ds8BFU1HmtY-1
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|
ARENA ALFA
| 230
|
2024-06-01
| 3,422
| 826
| 2
|
2019-10-24
|
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ds8BFU1HmtY
| 286
|
xima y que están dispuestos a subir es 10 pesos entonces esto en 90 pesos el pullback o retroceso pues hace referencia cómo se rompe lo dice a una acción que viene subiendo bajando y uno espera un pullback o un retroceso hasta cierto nivel para el que luego continúe su alza pues un caída es como una especie de pausa el apalancamiento hace referencia al crédito digamos que un mercado muy apalancados un mercado que tiene mucho crédito mucha deuda en colombia hablamos de red pues cuando hay muchos retos en el mercado ya que el mercado está muy apalancado el rebote del gato muerto hace referencia a que muchas veces un activo cae y rebota y lo que se espera es que siga cayendo entonces a ese rebote pequeño que hace se le denomina como rebote gato muerto es decir es un rebote que no va a durar y que va a conseguir a continuar cayendo pues el activo vuelve acá pero les agradezco su tiempo espero que este informe les sea de utilidad recuerden seguirnos en nuestras redes cuando alcancemos los 600 suscriptores vamos a subir un vídeo sobre inversión en los mercados internacionales así que los invito a suscribirse y muchas gracias
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vocabulario bursatil - como hablan los traders parte 1
|
ds8BFU1HmtY
| 2,019
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ds8BFU1HmtY-2
|
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|
ARENA ALFA
| 914
|
2024-06-01
| 13,355
| 3,098
| 0
|
2019-10-16
|
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=axW3yp9fWPA
| 300
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diversificacion: conceptos basicos - diversificacion de mercado - concepto diversificacion. un saludo para todos hoy vamos a hablar un poquito sobre diversificación de portafolio sobre diversificación de acciones va a ser algo muy básico esto es un tema que requiere prácticamente un curso entero para profundizar para mirar para mirar los modelos matemáticos que existen toda la fundamentación que hay detrás de esto pero en este caso pues vamos a hacer simplemente una mirada rápida a conceptos básicos de diversificación cómo se puede diversificar un portafolio de una manera digamos sencilla teniendo en cuenta ciertos parámetros antes de comenzar recuerden que esto es un vídeo netamente educativo y no una recomendación de ningún tipo y recuerden seguirnos en nuestras redes nuestra página arena alfa punto por donde tenemos nuestros servicios por suscripción y seminarios en twitter arena al vector o de arena y en instagram arenal educación bueno cuando hablamos de diversificación me gusta comenzar con esta frase de warren buffett donde dice la diversificación es protección contra la ignorancia si sabes lo que haces no tiene sentido diversificar esto lo dice buffett entonces ahí se pregunta a uno porque el portafolio de buffet es tan diversificado es decir esta frase contradice un poco lo que hace porque realmente uno ve que él tiene un portafolio bastante diversificado
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diversificacion: conceptos basicos - diversificacion de mercado - concepto diversificacion
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ARENA ALFA
| 914
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2024-06-01
| 13,355
| 3,098
| 1
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2019-10-16
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=axW3yp9fWPA
| 300
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buffet es tan diversificado es decir esta frase contradice un poco lo que hace porque realmente uno ve que él tiene un portafolio bastante diversificado y yo creo que la frase de alguna manera se tiene como dos interpretaciones y es cuando hablamos de la diversificación es una protección contra la ignorancia y la realidad es que en bolsa por más expertos que llevamos por más experiencia que tengamos todos somos ignorantes por el simple hecho de que ninguno de nosotros podemos digamos predecir el futuro o conocer el futuro y pues eso nos hace a todos de alguna manera ignorantes entonces yo creo que es importante es importante diversificar precisamente para protegernos contra la ignorancia por eso siempre se debería diversificar que diversificar básicamente es viéndolo de una manera simple no poner todos los huevos en la misma canasta es decir no poner todos nuestros ahorros todo nuestro dinero en una misma inversión llámese vivienda llámese acciones llámese una empresa no debería tener un portafolio diversificado en la medida pues de sus posibilidades entonces la pregunta es cómo diversificar digamos que no existe una estrategia de diversificación perfecta pero lo importante es no jugarle todo a una sola inversión o apuesta si usted lo hace pues ya se atiene a las consecuencias que yo pueda tener y pues algunos ejemplos son interbolsa fácil y rubiales fraudes en
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diversificacion: conceptos basicos - diversificacion de mercado - concepto diversificacion
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axW3yp9fWPA
| 2,019
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axW3yp9fWPA-1
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|
ARENA ALFA
| 914
|
2024-06-01
| 13,355
| 3,098
| 2
|
2019-10-16
|
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=axW3yp9fWPA
| 300
|
se atiene a las consecuencias que yo pueda tener y pues algunos ejemplos son interbolsa fácil y rubiales fraudes en acciones chinas que se los he comentado en otros ejemplos fondo premium etc si usted tenía todo su dinero en interbolsa se perdió todo su dinero si tenía todos hicieron pacific rubiales usted perdió todo su dinero y aquí es cuando uno aprende pues que en acciones que es una inversión de alto riesgo pues uno debe pensar siempre en diversificar ahora tampoco existe una regla un modelo genérico para diversificar digamos que para todos la forma diversificar diferente si usted tiene 10 millones a si tiene 100 mil millones tendrá que diversificar diferente y eso dependerá a su perfil de riesgo el tamaño de su portafolio su edad su horizonte y otras variables por eso yo no puedo darles aquí a ustedes una estrategia perfecta o única para diversificar simplemente unos conceptos unas ideas ya ustedes tendrán que profundizar digamos basado en sus características de su perfil de inversión yo personalmente nunca invierto más del 25 a 30% en mi portafolio en una sola acción es más difícilmente llegó al 30 por ciento más entre el 15 y el 20 personalmente digamos que he tenido aprendizaje ya con esto les contaba alguna vez que en el 2010
|
diversificacion: conceptos basicos - diversificacion de mercado - concepto diversificacion
|
axW3yp9fWPA
| 2,019
|
axW3yp9fWPA-2
|
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|
ARENA ALFA
| 914
|
2024-06-01
| 13,355
| 3,098
| 3
|
2019-10-16
|
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=axW3yp9fWPA
| 300
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15 y el 20 personalmente digamos que he tenido aprendizaje ya con esto les contaba alguna vez que en el 2010 2011 cuando salió todo este fraude de acciones en china que quieran aprender un poquito más puede ir a netflix hay un documental que llama de china casos ahí pueden ver un poquito lo que pasó hay una uno aprende con eso pues que no debe tener un portafolio diversificado entonces basado en eso pues yo tengo estas reglas nunca invertir más del 25 a 30 por ciento hoy por hoy lo hago mucho menos difícilmente dual 20 pero digamos que esto no les va a aplicarse su portafolio es un portafolio pequeño de 510 millones de pesos ustedes no pueden pues no tendría sentido comprar dos millones de pesos en una acción 2 millones de pesos en otra digamos que no aplica para montos pequeños desafortunadamente a menor capital menor diversificación y más riesgo ella es una realidad mientras menor sea su capital usted va a tener que correr más riesgos en acciones porque el solo hecho de no poder diversificar debemos poder diversificar lo a limitar un poco entonces cuando usted va a armar un portafolio pues tenga pérez tenga presente no tener todo ligado el mismo riesgo les pongo un ejemplo ustedes me dicen para comprar ecopetrol cuando existía pacific o carac
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diversificacion: conceptos basicos - diversificacion de mercado - concepto diversificacion
|
axW3yp9fWPA
| 2,019
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axW3yp9fWPA-3
|
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|
ARENA ALFA
| 914
|
2024-06-01
| 13,355
| 3,098
| 4
|
2019-10-16
|
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=axW3yp9fWPA
| 300
|
ligado el mismo riesgo les pongo un ejemplo ustedes me dicen para comprar ecopetrol cuando existía pacific o caracol y esta es mi de sindicación estas tres empresas digamos que es identifico riesgo empresa cuando pacific sé que europa es usted tenía otras dos inversiones no perdió todo su dinero pero al final todas dependían del petróleo que digamos que el momento en que el petróleo se cayó pues estas tres acciones las tres se fueron al piso esta es a esta no fue capaz de seguir estas dos sí pero el riesgo era básicamente el mismo todas estaban ligadas a un activo como el petróleo que de alto riesgo de diversificar no solamente es tener diferentes acciones sino diferentes sectores energía financiero retail tener riesgos diferentes sitios diferentes por actividades diferentes eso es muy importante no todo el riesgo se puede manejar con una misma volatilidad de uno puedo tener todo mi portafolio en alto riesgo porque ya no solamente al estar en acciones ya estoy corriendo un alto riesgo y si además me voy a acciones de alto riesgo que se me quiera poner exponencial y si su portafolio se lo permite es muy bueno tener activos en diferentes monedas y países igualmente que les traigo un ejemplo ya digamos mirándolo por país como arman dif y los diferentes gestores un portaf
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diversificacion: conceptos basicos - diversificacion de mercado - concepto diversificacion
|
axW3yp9fWPA
| 2,019
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axW3yp9fWPA-4
|
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|
ARENA ALFA
| 914
|
2024-06-01
| 13,355
| 3,098
| 5
|
2019-10-16
|
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=axW3yp9fWPA
| 300
|
y países igualmente que les traigo un ejemplo ya digamos mirándolo por país como arman dif y los diferentes gestores un portafolio si usted tiene un perfil muy conservador probablemente la mayoría de su portafolio estará invertido en deuda de corto plazo deuda a largo plazo bonos etc ahí tendrá el 90 por ciento de su inversión por ser muy conservador usted no tolera la volatilidad que pasa que es rendimiento esperado si era menor digamos que cuando usted está muy expuesto a renta fija pues es obtener unos rendimientos esperados menores que lo que podría tener una persona muy arriesgada que quiere todo en la bolsa no quiere deuda de corto plazo no quiere dos a largo plazo quiere todo en la bolsa digamos que el rendimiento esperado podría ser 34 veces mayor a lo que tendrían una renta fija pero aquí si hay volatilidad y aquí el rendimiento podría ser positivo o negativo y pues dentro de estos dos perfiles de muy conservador o muy arriesgado pues empiezan a hacerse unas composiciones de portafolio el 70 en renta fija al 30 en bolsa o el 50 50 ya dependiendo de su perfil de su edad pues éste se irá moviendo en esto normalmente las personas más jóvenes estarán por aquí agres
|
diversificacion: conceptos basicos - diversificacion de mercado - concepto diversificacion
|
axW3yp9fWPA
| 2,019
|
axW3yp9fWPA-5
|
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|
ARENA ALFA
| 914
|
2024-06-01
| 13,355
| 3,098
| 6
|
2019-10-16
|
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=axW3yp9fWPA
| 300
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iendo de su perfil de su edad pues éste se irá moviendo en esto normalmente las personas más jóvenes estarán por aquí agresivos muy agresivos pueden arriesgar están jóvenes y las personas de más de mayor edad pues tendrán un perfil más conservador quieren ya es conservar sus ahorros proteger sus ahorros usted a los 60 70 años no tiene ninguna necesidad de estar arriesgando lo que ya ganó así no protegiéndolo y usted a sus 20 años si debería arriesgar si debería correr más riesgos y si debería ser más agresivos entonces miren que la diversificación del tipo de perfil pues va a depender de un montón de variables aquí solamente hablan de deuda y bolsa hay otros activos propiedad raíz negocios activos productivos tener dinero en liquidez estar expuesto al dólar estar después por mercados internacionales digamos que hay muchas formas y no solamente es renta fija renta variable sino que ahí también salen otros negocios en los que también uno debe empezar a diversificar en la medida de sus posibilidades para terminar entonces es importante algunos a la bolsa de colombia mucha gente le dice a uno pero yo quiero diversificar entonces no va a comprar más van colombianas nutre zona sur hay un hogar finas arcos ahí usted no
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diversificacion: conceptos basicos - diversificacion de mercado - concepto diversificacion
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axW3yp9fWPA
| 2,019
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axW3yp9fWPA-6
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|
ARENA ALFA
| 914
|
2024-06-01
| 13,355
| 3,098
| 7
|
2019-10-16
|
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=axW3yp9fWPA
| 300
|
yo quiero diversificar entonces no va a comprar más van colombianas nutre zona sur hay un hogar finas arcos ahí usted no está haciendo nada porque está metiendo todo en el mismo grupo económico entonces sur adueñaban colombia tienen tres arcos tiene un la una a la otra entonces entre ellas son dueñas de ellas mismas por unos y enroques unas digamos unas holding que son dueñas de casi todas ellas mismas entonces aquí usted no está diversificando por grupo económico si está diversificando por empresa pero digamos que si a una están les va mal va a tener efectos en las demás entonces aquí hay una diversificación poco interesante por el grupo económico aquí podemos hablar también un poquito del colcap básicamente ya lo hablamos casi que la mitad del índice es un grupo económico se genera un riesgo sistémico ya lo hemos hablado en otros vídeos en nuestras ocasiones entonces una forma de diversificar ese grupo económico bien en que en esta bolsa pues hay muchas acciones de sarmiento muchas acciones del gea sería bueno pues no me estar solamente ligado en riesgo sector ya lo hablamos retail financiero energía petróleo oro tratar de tener un portafolio que tenga diferentes sectores y ojalá con diferentes sitios digamos que el ciclo económico afecta diferente a cada sector y pues por eso es importante tener sectores
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diversificacion: conceptos basicos - diversificacion de mercado - concepto diversificacion
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axW3yp9fWPA
| 2,019
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axW3yp9fWPA-7
|
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|
ARENA ALFA
| 914
|
2024-06-01
| 13,355
| 3,098
| 8
|
2019-10-16
|
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=axW3yp9fWPA
| 300
|
ores y ojalá con diferentes sitios digamos que el ciclo económico afecta diferente a cada sector y pues por eso es importante tener sectores cíclicos sectores anticíclicos para proteger las inversiones digamos en caso de una recesión entonces uno tendría que saber qué tipos de activos se protegen más entran frente a una recesión y qué tipos de activos en no tanto entonces es importante diversificar por ciento plazo usted puede diversificar por el brazo tener inversiones a largo plazo y personas a corto plazo con eso también está generando una diversificación de portafolio también se puede diversificar por tipo de estrategia usted puede tener un porcentaje que negocia por análisis técnico y un porcentaje por análisis fundamental o por psicología o por ciclos entra si está diversificando un poco su estilo de inversión yo utilizo esto me gusta tener un porcentaje muy value muy de valor muy de largo plazo y me gusta tener un porcentaje muy especulativo muy de análisis técnico muy de corto plazo entonces miren como utilizó el plazo lo junto con el tipo de estrategia y puede obtener una estrategia mía personal que diversifica las estrategias ya eso también se le puede meter riesgo y liquidez digamos que hay acciones de más alto riesgo especulativas por ejemplo un avianca que tiene un ries
|
diversificacion: conceptos basicos - diversificacion de mercado - concepto diversificacion
|
axW3yp9fWPA
| 2,019
|
axW3yp9fWPA-8
|
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|
ARENA ALFA
| 914
|
2024-06-01
| 13,355
| 3,098
| 9
|
2019-10-16
|
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=axW3yp9fWPA
| 300
|
meter riesgo y liquidez digamos que hay acciones de más alto riesgo especulativas por ejemplo un avianca que tiene un riesgo muy distinto a un nutresa y pues la idea no es tener todo el portafolio en una acción de alto riesgo y tampoco a no sé si será muy defensivo pues estar metido en acción lenta defensiva como nutresa entonces no puedes diversificar también por riesgo dentro del portafolio de acciones aquí estamos hablando de acciones y por liquidez digamos que a mí personalmente me gustan mucho las acciones y líquidas no porque sea ni líquida sino porque desafortunadamente en colombia las líquidas en donde hay más valor entonces me voy a las acciones de baja liquidez porque al día de valor pero no tendría sentido tener todo mi dinero invertido en una acción de baja liquidez porque eso me me restaría movilidad para mi estrategia personal que tiene un porcentaje de corto plazo como se nos contaba puede que ustedes estén invirtiendo a cinco años y quieran tener todo en baja liquidez perfectamente válido es una estrategia válida pero a mí no me funciona personalmente porque a mí me gusta usar una parte especulativa de análisis técnico moverme entre yo también diversificó un poco con la liquidez tengo algunas acciones portar un portafolio grande en baja
|
diversificacion: conceptos basicos - diversificacion de mercado - concepto diversificacion
|
axW3yp9fWPA
| 2,019
|
axW3yp9fWPA-9
|
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|
ARENA ALFA
| 914
|
2024-06-01
| 13,355
| 3,098
| 10
|
2019-10-16
|
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=axW3yp9fWPA
| 300
|
isis técnico moverme entre yo también diversificó un poco con la liquidez tengo algunas acciones portar un portafolio grande en baja liquidez pero también tengo otro portador en acciones más líquidas que puedo estar moviendo aquí llegamos estamos hablando todo dentro de un mismo mercado pero qué pasaría si nos ocurre algo como lo de venezuela que el pp y que el país se destruye que la moneda se destruye desde usted estaba todo invertido en su país todo invertido en su moneda está una expuesta al riesgo país entonces cuando usted empieza a llegar a ciertos niveles de capital y necesita protegerse aún más pero ya sigue el siguiente paso que es diversificar también el país y la moneda digamos que si usted invertía en venezuela todo su dinero que es básicamente es el embolado todo pero si usted tenía unas inversiones en otros países que digamos no va a tener tantos problemas entonces miren lo importante diversificó de diversificar efectivamente uno diversifica porque uno es ignorante porque uno no conoce el futuro uno no sabe qué va a pasar miren casos en colombia acciones empresas que siempre fueron muy fuertes nombres muy fuertes como con concreto como porfi call de un momento a otro en una investigación un escándalo en escándalo como lo de esto de esto y las acciones pierden el 50% del valor qué pasa
|
diversificacion: conceptos basicos - diversificacion de mercado - concepto diversificacion
|
axW3yp9fWPA
| 2,019
|
axW3yp9fWPA-10
|
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|
ARENA ALFA
| 914
|
2024-06-01
| 13,355
| 3,098
| 11
|
2019-10-16
|
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=axW3yp9fWPA
| 128
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en una investigación un escándalo en escándalo como lo de esto de esto y las acciones pierden el 50% del valor qué pasa si usted tenía todo su dinero ahí cuál es el golpe cuál fue el riesgo de no diversificar y pues es imposible uno saber a ciencia cierta si las cosas se están haciendo bien o mal y por eso es súper importante la diversificación no espero pues que este vídeo les sea de utilidad que saquen lo bueno de él recuerden seguirnos en nuestras redes recuerden suscribirse y hasta una próxima salva
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diversificacion: conceptos basicos - diversificacion de mercado - concepto diversificacion
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axW3yp9fWPA
| 2,019
|
axW3yp9fWPA-11
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|
ARENA ALFA
| 856
|
2024-06-01
| 12,937
| 3,070
| 0
|
2019-10-01
|
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_gncNYNC724
| 300
|
¿cuanto dinero necesito para invertir en la bolsa de valores de colombia? 2020. ah muy buenos días hoy vamos a tratar de responder esta pregunta que nos hacen mucho en nuestras redes y es cuánto dinero necesito para comenzar a invertir en la bolsa de valores de colombia les traje algunas cifras algunos ejemplos para que nos hagamos una idea de más o menos cuánto se necesita para comenzar en bertiz pregunta lo primero que tenemos que entender es que para negociar en bolsa pues usted es lo primero que necesita es tener una cuenta con una firma comisionista por medio de ellos es por donde ustedes van a poder negociar acciones y allí dependiendo de sus requerimientos o de su capital se van a ofrecer la opción del trading o la opción del corredor de bolsa en otro capítulo en otro vídeo vamos a analizar los pros y contras de cada una de esas alternativas por ahora vamos a ir con unos esquemas más de trading que es como lo que está diseñado para las personas naturales cuál es el problema con el trading que en colombia tenemos unos costos muy altos los costos son muy altos comparados por el resto del mundo las comisiones son muy altas comparadas con el resto del mundo comisiones entre 30 mil a 50 mil pesos más impuestos entonces ustedes están pagando un m
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¿cuanto dinero necesito para invertir en la bolsa de valores de colombia? 2020
|
_gncNYNC724
| 2,019
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_gncNYNC724-0
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|
ARENA ALFA
| 856
|
2024-06-01
| 12,937
| 3,070
| 1
|
2019-10-01
|
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_gncNYNC724
| 300
|
comparadas con el resto del mundo comisiones entre 30 mil a 50 mil pesos más impuestos entonces ustedes están pagando un monto digamos alto comparado con otros países por lo tanto que se hace poco rentable negociar directamente con montos inferiores a 10 millones de pesos aquí ya empezamos a resolver un poco esa pregunta digamos que empezar con menos de 10 millones es complicado y además mientras menor sea el monto de la inversión menor va a ser la diversificación por lo tanto mientras usted menos dinero tenga pues mayores riesgos va a estar corriendo si invierte en el mercado colombiano aquí les tengo un ejemplo de comprar 10 millones de pesos en acciones de ecopetrol la comisión de entrada esta es la mínima 30 mil aquí pues me fui como el mejor escenario pero algunas plataformas de españa' por los 50 mil más el iva de la comisión más la comisión de salida más el iva de la comisión digamos que el total de usted comprar y vender bien millones de pesos en ecopetrol en una plataforma de trading dentro de mejor precio le está costando el punto 7 por ciento ahora el mismo ejemplo con cinco millones de pesos el costo se le duplica al 1.42 por ciento esto es una comisión suprema de alta para una operación en bolsa 1.42 es muy alto a nivel mundial estamos
|
¿cuanto dinero necesito para invertir en la bolsa de valores de colombia? 2020
|
_gncNYNC724
| 2,019
|
_gncNYNC724-1
|
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|
ARENA ALFA
| 856
|
2024-06-01
| 12,937
| 3,070
| 2
|
2019-10-01
|
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_gncNYNC724
| 300
|
por ciento esto es una comisión suprema de alta para una operación en bolsa 1.42 es muy alto a nivel mundial estamos manejando ya comisiones de 12 dólares comisiones del punto 1.2 por lo tanto un 1.42 por ciento ya es una barrera de entrada digamos que si usted no tiene un buen capital en la bolsa de valores de colombia usted tiene un filtro además tenga en cuenta también que las firmas tienen unos montos mínimos y digamos que de alguna manera se han empeñado en alejar a las personas naturales con bajos montos aquí les quiero mostrar cómo van cambiando las comisiones en la medida que va aumentando el monto de inversión usted tiene un millón de pesos la comisión de entrada y salida va a ser 7% eso no tiene sentido usted va a en perder dinero en todas la operaciones entonces esto está fuera siquiera el del análisis de la discusión dos millones de pesos comisión de entrada y salida 3.7 3.57 está fuera de la discusión y así nos vamos yendo llegando digamos a valores un poco menos graves igual muy altos en 7 millones de pesos ya la comisión de entrada y salida del uno por ciento es decir comisión de entrada punto cinco comisión de salida 2.5 esto sigue siendo muy alto en mi opinión pero
|
¿cuanto dinero necesito para invertir en la bolsa de valores de colombia? 2020
|
_gncNYNC724
| 2,019
|
_gncNYNC724-2
|
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|
ARENA ALFA
| 856
|
2024-06-01
| 12,937
| 3,070
| 3
|
2019-10-01
|
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_gncNYNC724
| 300
|
uno por ciento es decir comisión de entrada punto cinco comisión de salida 2.5 esto sigue siendo muy alto en mi opinión pero digamos que si usted invierte digamos de largo plazo sus objetivos sus metas no son el trading es vivir del trading de centraría sino de invertir digamos que un 1% puede manejar pero sigue siendo muy alto y ya en 10 millones pues se baja al punto 7 digamos que esto es más manejable no es una comisión buena no es barata pero ya apuntó 35 por operación si se puede manejar reitero no me parece que sirva para hacer trading para vivir de esto pero digamos se puede manejar entonces aquí vamos a tener otros aspectos en cuenta además de todo este problema de que hay barreras de entrada de que usted las firmas le van a exigir un monto mínimo y ese monto mínimo varía en cada firma también le van a cobrar unos costos de custodia yo recuerdo que había un proyecto para que los costos de custodia se eliminarán le soy sincero no recuerdo si eso ya se está aplicando sé que o en proyecto para las personas que tienen bajos montos porque digamos que muchas personas tenían sus inversiones en ecopetrol o están comprando el largo plazo y la firma comisionista cada equis tiempo cada tres meses o cada semestre o cada año
|
¿cuanto dinero necesito para invertir en la bolsa de valores de colombia? 2020
|
_gncNYNC724
| 2,019
|
_gncNYNC724-3
|
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|
ARENA ALFA
| 856
|
2024-06-01
| 12,937
| 3,070
| 4
|
2019-10-01
|
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_gncNYNC724
| 300
|
etrol o están comprando el largo plazo y la firma comisionista cada equis tiempo cada tres meses o cada semestre o cada año les cobra un dinero por mantener esas acciones con ellos este dinero pues básicamente se les come la rentabilidad o les quitan los dividendos y los usan para sus puestos de custodia y esto es fatal para el mercado esto debería desaparecer esto es duro esto elimina el incentivo a una persona a ahorrar digamos que una persona que quieren comenzar a invertir en bolsa joven y le dicen que le van a cobrar solamente por tener los títulos ya se va a desanimar no va a querer invertir en tres de estos costos de custodia son nefastos para el mercado son una barrera de entrada para el pequeño inversionista para la persona natural y pues hay que tenerlos en cuenta cuando averigüe en su firma comisionista pregunté si le van a cobrar con sus depósitos ya como les digo no recuerdo si finalmente esto se aprobó o no eso sí se quedó el proyecto pero esto es mortal para la inversión otro aspecto muy importante tener en cuenta en la diversificación al invertir digamos que si usted quiere invertir en esto como ya sea para vivir o para invertir de largo plazo la diversificación es clave no es muy difícil tener un solo activo en
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¿cuanto dinero necesito para invertir en la bolsa de valores de colombia? 2020
|
_gncNYNC724
| 2,019
|
_gncNYNC724-4
|
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|
ARENA ALFA
| 856
|
2024-06-01
| 12,937
| 3,070
| 5
|
2019-10-01
|
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_gncNYNC724
| 300
|
esto como ya sea para vivir o para invertir de largo plazo la diversificación es clave no es muy difícil tener un solo activo en el portafolio ya que todos los riesgos están ligados a ese activo lo ideal sería poder tener un portafolio de gabo diversificado donde usted tenga diferentes activos diferentes sectores diferentes riesgos y el día pues que suceda algo negativo que no tenga todo en la misma canasta entonces si usted tiene poco capital pues claramente no va a poder diversificar mucho porque ya vimos el tema de los costos de invertir el otro aspecto muy importante que es otra barrera de entrada es que la recomendación que se hace con la bolsa con las acciones es que no debería invertir excedentes de capital uno no debería tener en la bolsa el dinero del mercado el dinero del ambiente el dinero de la casa el dinero del cual se vive por el riesgo por la volatilidad debe ser un dinero que sobra un excedente de liquidez que se fue a invertir con tranquilidad que se pueda invertir de largo plazo y que no se necesite para el día a día entonces pues también esto limita la capacidad de inversión de muchas personas entonces aquí ya vamos a tratar un poco de responder a esta pregunta de cuánto dinero necesito realmente para empezar a invertir en la bolsa valores de colombia aquí les dejo
|
¿cuanto dinero necesito para invertir en la bolsa de valores de colombia? 2020
|
_gncNYNC724
| 2,019
|
_gncNYNC724-5
|
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ARENA ALFA
| 856
|
2024-06-01
| 12,937
| 3,070
| 6
|
2019-10-01
|
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_gncNYNC724
| 300
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responder a esta pregunta de cuánto dinero necesito realmente para empezar a invertir en la bolsa valores de colombia aquí les dejo mi opinión con cifras ya vimos el tema de comisiones esto es una opinión personal de carácter educativo pero en mi opinión personal 5 millones de pesos es muy bajo para pagar muchas comisiones y no va a poder diversificar la cifra de millones de pesos es con lo que mucha gente empieza digamos que si no hay más pues se puede empezar con esto pero usted no podrá diversificar por lo tanto usted va a correr más riesgos de hecho estará obligado a correr más riesgos y pues si quiere diversificar pues ya le tocará pagar altas comisiones por hacerlo y eso puede hacer que no sea rentable 20 millones de pesos creo yo que es una cifra ya digamos manejable usted puede tener una mínima diversificación yo creo que máximo 2 activos ya va sería difícil pero ya por lo menos estaba teniendo dos activos en su portafolio y pagando unas comisiones medianamente de 130 millones de pesos esa es mi opinión personal lo ideal para empezar con 30 millones de pesos ya puede comprar tres acciones tener un portafolio diversificado de hecho si les gustan los hoteles pueden comprar un ff ya no se va a sentir tan presionado por tener
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¿cuanto dinero necesito para invertir en la bolsa de valores de colombia? 2020
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_gncNYNC724
| 2,019
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_gncNYNC724-6
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|
ARENA ALFA
| 856
|
2024-06-01
| 12,937
| 3,070
| 7
|
2019-10-01
|
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_gncNYNC724
| 300
|
afolio diversificado de hecho si les gustan los hoteles pueden comprar un ff ya no se va a sentir tan presionado por tener todo su portafolio en un solo activo sino que ya puede tener varios y creo yo que es una cifra relativamente buena son más o menos poco menos de diez mil dólares que es lo que exigen en muchas partes del a nivel mundial desde 500 desde 2000 dólares se pueden abrir cuentas pero como les digo los costos son distintos y aquí tuviéramos menores costos de comisión pues uno podría invertir menos menos dinero pero digamos que hay una restricción hay barreras de entrada a las firmas comisionistas la bolsa todavía no están abiertas a las personas naturales ni a los montos bajos y allá deberíamos emigrar allá deberíamos llegar a la gente vería poder invertir desde 5 millones de pesos con facilidad pero no se puede en ese momento como les digo en mi opinión 30 millones es como lo ideal para empezar no se asusten si tienen estos montos hay alternativas se puede pero como les digo es una opinión personal ya con 50 millones de usted ya puede diversificar de hecho puede obtener mejores comisiones con 50 millones de algunas firmas les pueden ofrecer hasta el punto 2 por ciento de comisión y
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¿cuanto dinero necesito para invertir en la bolsa de valores de colombia? 2020
|
_gncNYNC724
| 2,019
|
_gncNYNC724-7
|
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|
ARENA ALFA
| 856
|
2024-06-01
| 12,937
| 3,070
| 8
|
2019-10-01
|
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_gncNYNC724
| 300
|
puede obtener mejores comisiones con 50 millones de algunas firmas les pueden ofrecer hasta el punto 2 por ciento de comisión y va a poder operar más tranquilamente le va a costar menos va a poder diversificar más y por lo tanto pues va a correr menos riesgos entonces digamos que de aquí para arriba pues no empieza a tener un monto con el que puede empezar a crear de manera más profesional mientras que en estos montos que eso no tiene muchas limitantes desafortunadamente es en nuestro mercado y pues por las alternativas que hay entonces si yo no tengo aún ese dinero que puedo hacer resulta que hay otras alternativas no tan interesantes pero que también está bien tenerlas en cuentas que son las por ejemplo las carteras colectivas que ustedes pueden comprar un 5 un fondo de inversión inviertan acciones y ahí pueden invertir desde un millón de pesos de hecho creo que ya están lanzando en el proyecto este fin tech alternativas desde 200 mil pesos para empezar a invertir en fondos en acciones esto es una buena herramienta para empezar para conocer el mercado no tampoco les engañan las carteras colectivas es una herramienta interesante como anécdota cuando yo empecé a invertir en bolsa en 2014 mi primera inversión fue un fondo de inversión ese fondo fue lo que me lleva a mí
|
¿cuanto dinero necesito para invertir en la bolsa de valores de colombia? 2020
|
_gncNYNC724
| 2,019
|
_gncNYNC724-8
|
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|
ARENA ALFA
| 856
|
2024-06-01
| 12,937
| 3,070
| 9
|
2019-10-01
|
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_gncNYNC724
| 300
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a invertir en bolsa en 2014 mi primera inversión fue un fondo de inversión ese fondo fue lo que me lleva a mí a aprender del mercado apasionarme por el mercado y las rentabilidades en esa época pues fueron muy buenas digamos que los últimos años no han sido tan buenas pero no le tengan miedo las carteras colectivas de ustedes de hecho pueden entrar y salir de una cartera colectiva analizando el mercado cuando lo vean barato pueden entrar cuando lo vean claro pueden salir desde alguna manera usted le pueden hacer trading a las carteras colectivas entonces es una alternativa interesante si usted no tiene un buen monto es una alternativa interesante para aprender y es una alternativa interesante para comenzar hay otra alternativa que es l d efe los este efe por ejemplo el icon caps digamos que tiene 10 millones quiere comprar una cartera de acciones usted puede comprar un té efe iba a quedar expuesto no a una acción sino a un a una cartera un índice y digamos que es otra alternativa si usted no tiene mucha forma de diversificar tiene pros y contras bailes récord irá a ver el vídeo de los re balanceados para que me tengan los pros y los contras y la otra forma que ustedes pueden ingresar al mercado de acciones es con una emisión de acciones digamos que a que
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¿cuanto dinero necesito para invertir en la bolsa de valores de colombia? 2020
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_gncNYNC724
| 2,019
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_gncNYNC724-9
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|
ARENA ALFA
| 856
|
2024-06-01
| 12,937
| 3,070
| 10
|
2019-10-01
|
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_gncNYNC724
| 300
|
pros y los contras y la otra forma que ustedes pueden ingresar al mercado de acciones es con una emisión de acciones digamos que a que ustedes pueden ingresar con montos bajos sin comisiones pero aquí pues vuelven juega el tema de costos de custodia hay que ver si dónde van a tener las acciones van a cobrar costos de custodia porque se los van a cobrar pues posiblemente su inversión en el tiempo que le estaba quitando los dividendos cobrando unos costos y fue para no hacer renta 2 entonces digamos que estas son las diferentes opciones a invertir directamente como les digo son buenas alternativas yo sé que todos queremos empezar a invertir directamente en el mercado comprar acciones vender acciones volvernos traders pero créanme no es fácil créanme se necesita capital se necesita experiencia y por eso pues de estas alternativas sólo son buenas también para tener las 50 espero que el vídeo les sea de utilidad si tienen dudas con mucho gusto me las pueden mandar vía twitter o en los comentarios del vídeo estamos respondiendo casi todo lo que nos envían y pues la invitación nuevamente visítenos en nuestras redes arenal facultó com tenemos un servicio por suscripción muy interesante para quienes invierten en bolsa para quienes están aprendiendo de educación financiera de muy alta calidad tenemos seminarios cursos presenciales
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¿cuanto dinero necesito para invertir en la bolsa de valores de colombia? 2020
|
_gncNYNC724
| 2,019
|
_gncNYNC724-10
|
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|
ARENA ALFA
| 856
|
2024-06-01
| 12,937
| 3,070
| 11
|
2019-10-01
|
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_gncNYNC724
| 100
|
ante para quienes invierten en bolsa para quienes están aprendiendo de educación financiera de muy alta calidad tenemos seminarios cursos presenciales en twitter arena al facturó de arena y en instagram arena alfa educación síganos suscríbase al canal mientras usted nos apoyen yo sigo subiendo vídeos la idea es compartir también ustedes ayúdennos a compartir a los otros a difundir y que tengan un muy feliz día hasta la próxima
|
¿cuanto dinero necesito para invertir en la bolsa de valores de colombia? 2020
|
_gncNYNC724
| 2,019
|
_gncNYNC724-11
|
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|
ARENA ALFA
| 308
|
2024-06-01
| 4,198
| 1,010
| 0
|
2019-09-30
|
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wVcOSu_JWpM
| 300
|
tipos de analisis para invertir parte 2. habíamos hablado un poco sobre los análisis que realizó en mi ópera tiba en este vamos a profundizar un poquito más y les quería traer este ejemplo de mineros mineros es una acción que por ingreso al top 5 para las favoritas de la clase arena alfa en 1.400 pesos la posición la empezamos a montar desde 1400 pero realmente el promedio final lo tenemos los lados de 1900 pesos que es la zona donde ya hicimos un cubrimiento más fuerte con nuestros alumnos a nivel personal esta es la zona donde tengo no fue hace un año de acción estuvo por mucho tiempo cotizando en este rango es una acción que estudiamos por fundamentales que comentamos de lo barata que estaba entonces para contarles un poco más sobre la operativa la forma en la que yo negocio invierto pues la hemos venido aguantando teníamos la oposición pero con un porcentaje de ella vamos jugando vamos moviéndonos y para eso usamos el análisis técnico por ejemplo en el caso de mineros están una clarísima tendencia alcista haciendo máximos y mínimos mayores pero la acción llegó a una resistencia de largo plazo que se observa en esta gráfica de más largo plazo por aquí tiene una resistencia que en 400
|
tipos de analisis para invertir parte 2
|
wVcOSu_JWpM
| 2,019
|
wVcOSu_JWpM-0
|
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|
ARENA ALFA
| 308
|
2024-06-01
| 4,198
| 1,010
| 1
|
2019-09-30
|
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wVcOSu_JWpM
| 300
|
resistencia de largo plazo que se observa en esta gráfica de más largo plazo por aquí tiene una resistencia que en 4000 tiene otra entonces lo que yo hago con mi portafolio personales es que es que en la medida que el título ha llegando a resistencias voy tomando un poco de utilidades con un porcentaje del portafolio yo no vendo toda la oposición generalmente la mantengo a no ser que alcancen el precio objetivo fundamental entonces en mineros hemos reducido la posiciones de documentos y a mis alumnos nos vendió algunas en tres mil quinientos cincuenta más vendió algunas entre 1400 incluso aquí cuando veíamos la resistencia en 3200 aquí también vendimos alguna posición de lo que yo hago es ello ir vendiendo escalonadamente en resistencias y luego espero retrocesos que la acción de oro ponga nuevamente barato que vaya un poco la euforia la sobrecompra y empiezo a recomprar con eso a veces logró ganar a alfa a veces como en el caso de 3200 pues vender sigue subiendo eso sucede pero esa es una estrategia escalonada que a mí me ha funcionado bastante bien y después la estrategia que utilizó hace ya muchísimos años otro tema que se habló en el vídeo anterior fue el tema de ciclos como ustedes pueden
|
tipos de analisis para invertir parte 2
|
wVcOSu_JWpM
| 2,019
|
wVcOSu_JWpM-1
|
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|
ARENA ALFA
| 308
|
2024-06-01
| 4,198
| 1,010
| 2
|
2019-09-30
|
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wVcOSu_JWpM
| 300
|
utilizó hace ya muchísimos años otro tema que se habló en el vídeo anterior fue el tema de ciclos como ustedes pueden ver en la gráfica pues la economía y la bolsa tiene ciclos lo importante de estos ciclos es saber identificar en el momento de entrada y de salida pueden ver como normalmente la bolsa se anticipa al ciclo económico y para mis análisis es muy importante desafortunadamente solamente sirve cada ciertos años porque los sitios de estar dar años en desarrollarse de hecho aquí en colombia les traigo pues el ejemplo del con caps en donde yo les decía que han habido una oportunidad muy interesante recientemente miren en esta gráfica en esta gráfica por ejemplo el 2015 la caída fuerte que tuvo el mercado y la gran oportunidad que dio y luego en el diciembre del 2018 la gran oportunidad que dio solamente haber invertido en esos momentos específicos y usted pueda lograr rentabilidades del orden del 40 100 por ciento algunas acciones del 2015 habéis han valorizado más del 100 por ciento y han habido oportunidades derrota y lograr rentabilidades de más del 200 por ciento eso no es un chiste eso es real lo hemos visto lo hemos logrado simplemente siguiendo un análisis de ciclos apoyado por fundamentales y por valor
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tipos de analisis para invertir parte 2
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wVcOSu_JWpM
| 2,019
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wVcOSu_JWpM-2
|
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|
ARENA ALFA
| 308
|
2024-06-01
| 4,198
| 1,010
| 3
|
2019-09-30
|
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wVcOSu_JWpM
| 200
|
eso es real lo hemos visto lo hemos logrado simplemente siguiendo un análisis de ciclos apoyado por fundamentales y por valor es decir no se trata solamente de encontrar el ciclo sino que empresas que activos están altamente sus valorados y tienen un potencial alto de valorización y bueno finalmente un tema que también tratamos en el vídeo anterior y en este no fue el análisis fundamental ese es un tema un poco más largo que vamos a dejar para otro vídeo para tocarlo más en detalle no nos quede muy extenso es importante que recuerden que este vídeo este informe tiene una finalidad netamente educativa ninguna de los comentarios aquí representan una recomendación de compra venta y menos una asesoría la única finalidad es educativa les cuento casos reales ejemplos personales como les digo con una finalidad netamente educativa recuerden seguirnos en nuestras redes y los vemos en una próxima saludo
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tipos de analisis para invertir parte 2
|
wVcOSu_JWpM
| 2,019
|
wVcOSu_JWpM-3
|
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ARENA ALFA
| 251
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2024-06-01
| 3,497
| 806
| 0
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2019-09-26
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Boa6IPO-lNQ
| 300
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analisis fundamental? analisis tecnico? que analisis utilizo para mis inversiones?. muy buenos días hoy vamos a hablar un poquito de técnicas de estrategias de inversión de tipos de análisis es un vídeo corto es un video breve estoy ensayando una aplicación nueva de como yo espero que les guste recuerden visitarnos en nuestras redes en twitter como arena alfa como toro de arena instagram y a quienes les interese nuestro servicio en la arena alfa puntocom la primera pregunta que mucha gente me hace es qué tipo de análisis y utilizamos en nuestras inversiones para esta pregunta lo primero que yo utilizo es el análisis técnico el análisis técnico lo utilizamos más que todo para evaluar niveles soportes resistencias y evaluar las tendencias pero mi utilización principal de la ley es técnico es para generar alfa en el portafolio que es el alfa es una rentabilidad adicional al comportamiento del es un índice con la misma acción [música] por ejemplo un título que yo compro de largo plazo una acción que me gusta mucho por fundamentales llega una resistencia importante y lo que hacemos es evaluar la toma de utilidades para luego comprarla más abajo como lo hago normalmente lo que hago es que mantengo un porcentaje de la posición que no toco y usualmente del 50 por c
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analisis fundamental? analisis tecnico? que analisis utilizo para mis inversiones?
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Boa6IPO-lNQ
| 2,019
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Boa6IPO-lNQ-0
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ARENA ALFA
| 251
|
2024-06-01
| 3,497
| 806
| 1
|
2019-09-26
|
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Boa6IPO-lNQ
| 300
|
hago normalmente lo que hago es que mantengo un porcentaje de la posición que no toco y usualmente del 50 por ciento y el restante y hago trading buscando alfa buscando comprar y vender en cuanto al análisis fundamental esta es mi principal eje de inversión yo me enfoco mucho en el valor entonces lo que hacemos es buscar empresas que estén altamente sus valoradas con muy buenos rendimientos dividendos y buscar invertir allí es de largo plazo las valoraciones normalmente la realizó con múltiples y un modelo que utilizas de 15 años con excelentes resultados es un modelo que está enfocado 100% en valor pero como les decía antes también aplicamos técnicos con el fin de generar alfa es decir a pesar de que tenemos una posición enfocada en valor le hacemos análisis técnico y compramos y vendemos constantemente intentando generar un alza adicional en el portafolio pero los múltiplos más utilizados son solamente unos cuantos son precio utilidades precio valor en libros el evita la deuda vida y el precio ingresos esto depende de cada sector depende de cada acción como les digo tengo un modelo para hacerlo y esto es relativo a cada tipo de inversión otro tipo de inversión que de análisis que realizan las deficientes ciclos y el análisis de contras tendencia
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analisis fundamental? analisis tecnico? que analisis utilizo para mis inversiones?
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Boa6IPO-lNQ
| 2,019
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Boa6IPO-lNQ-1
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ARENA ALFA
| 251
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2024-06-01
| 3,497
| 806
| 2
|
2019-09-26
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Boa6IPO-lNQ
| 266
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tipo de inversión otro tipo de inversión que de análisis que realizan las deficientes ciclos y el análisis de contras tendencia este análisis es muy relevante digamos que una persona podría básicamente solamente invertir con análisis de sitios análisis contra tendencias son estudios muy importantes y realmente es tan importante que yo casi que podría resumir el éxito como trader o conversión is está en tres años en la crisis del 2009 en la oportunidad histórica de la bbc en 2015 y en la reciente oportunidad de en 2018 en diciembre esos tres años han sido claves para hacer el capital básicamente se trata de comprar pánico de vender euforia pero no solamente esto sino que se trata de buscar sitios donde las valoraciones son extremas y sin sentido ya sean por su valoración o por sobre valoración bueno muchas gracias y muy pendientes de la segunda parte como les decía antes este vídeo me quedó un poco corto estaba ensayando con una aplicación nueva no me gustó mucho me permite digamos extenderme en los temas entonces qué vamos a hacer un poco más de profundización al tema en otro vídeo espero publicarlo con otras semanas pero finalmente muchísimas gracias por su tiempo a saber
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analisis fundamental? analisis tecnico? que analisis utilizo para mis inversiones?
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Boa6IPO-lNQ
| 2,019
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Boa6IPO-lNQ-2
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ARENA ALFA
| 381
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2024-06-01
| 5,365
| 1,325
| 0
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2019-09-23
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BPnwXm3kHuo
| 300
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como van las acciones en la bolsa de valores de colombia? (sept-2019). muy buenos días hacer un vídeo muy corto para revisar cómo ha sido el comportamiento de las acciones en la bolsa de valores de colombia desde diciembre del 2018 porque desde diciembre del 2018 porque en diciembre del 2018 habíamos realizado un par de eventos en la ciudad de medellín y bogotá advirtiendo de la oportunidad histórica de inversión que está volviendo en la bolsa de valores de colombia por eso queremos tomar esta fecha como red como referencia porque este evento fue clave y queremos estudiar la hipótesis de si había o no una oportunidad histórica en la bolsa nosotros creemos que sí existía y pues por eso queremos ver el comportamiento del mercado desde diciembre bueno lo primero es coltejer la acción de coltejer ha tenido un alza del 300 87 por ciento desde entonces ha sido el activo con mejor desempeño o sea valores de colombia gracias a las acciones que está recogiendo la empresa la opa que se realizó digamos que fue una inversión muy interesante la acción llegó a cotizar a niveles absurdos casi punto una vez su valor en libros lo que era pues ya bastante atípico y pues por eso encabeza la lista de rebotes los reb
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como van las acciones en la bolsa de valores de colombia? (sept-2019)
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BPnwXm3kHuo
| 2,019
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BPnwXm3kHuo-0
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|
ARENA ALFA
| 381
|
2024-06-01
| 5,365
| 1,325
| 1
|
2019-09-23
|
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BPnwXm3kHuo
| 300
|
una vez su valor en libros lo que era pues ya bastante atípico y pues por eso encabeza la lista de rebotes los rebotes los sigue con concreto con un alza en ciento 3.6 por ciento pero también un alza bastante importante un título que puede bastar re castigado que incluso y sigue bastante castigado por los temas de distrito algo y pues por las investigaciones que aún están en curso otro título con un desempeño excepcional es la bolsa mercantil con el 97 por ciento mineros con un 80 y 6.5 por ciento otro título que tenga una subvaloración extrema en diciembre llegó a niveles absurdos el mercado no descontado la calidad del al perdón el alza del oro el ancho del dólar ahorita existe también la posibilidad de que al colca por eso también viene con una alza agua con unas alzas y unas demandas importantes entonces minero es coronarse bien importante aquí no se tienen en cuenta los dividendos si uno suma dividendos pues de lanza sería todavía más importante la acción de isa sorprende también con un 70 y 1.4 por ciento digamos que esta es la que está sacando la cara por los activos de alta liquidez porque como vamos a ver más adelante que están teniendo buen desempeño aquí todo
|
como van las acciones en la bolsa de valores de colombia? (sept-2019)
|
BPnwXm3kHuo
| 2,019
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BPnwXm3kHuo-1
|
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|
ARENA ALFA
| 381
|
2024-06-01
| 5,365
| 1,325
| 2
|
2019-09-23
|
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BPnwXm3kHuo
| 300
|
la cara por los activos de alta liquidez porque como vamos a ver más adelante que están teniendo buen desempeño aquí todo el tema posiblemente de participación del gobierno y demás por fríjol también fue extremamente castigada con un 69.8 por ciento y así van siguiendo un preferencial de cortico de preferencial de bancolombia éxito con un 47 por ciento también impulsada por la opa el promedio de rebote de el grupo de acciones que seguimos desde el 30.8 por ciento que ha sido el promedio y el colcap desde entonces se ha valorizado un 23.4 por ciento por lo que sorprende la calidad la cantidad de activos que están superando al colcap y si miran muchos de los activos que están superando alcohol que no pertenecen al colcap lo que también es bastante significativo y ha demostrado pues que este año ha sido un año de mucho enfoque en el valor no en la liquidez y no en el valor muchos activos superando los activos que más suben casi todos son de baja liquidez bueno por el lado negativo de la acción de peor desempeño es pal río último negociado tres pesos acá hay un 70 y 8.4 por ciento perverso el comportamiento de pazrío habían
|
como van las acciones en la bolsa de valores de colombia? (sept-2019)
|
BPnwXm3kHuo
| 2,019
|
BPnwXm3kHuo-2
|
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|
ARENA ALFA
| 381
|
2024-06-01
| 5,365
| 1,325
| 3
|
2019-09-23
|
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BPnwXm3kHuo
| 300
|
negociado tres pesos acá hay un 70 y 8.4 por ciento perverso el comportamiento de pazrío habían expectativas con la venta que quería hacer infiboy pero pues una cosa es querer vender y otra cosa quien quiera comprar y claramente no encontraron quien quiera comprar incluso bajando el precio casi a la mitad la segunda acción con peor desempeño avianca una caída del 21 puntos no es en por ciento también conocemos la difícil situación fue muy cerca de una situación un evento de liquidez estévez la tercera con un 3% creemos que ahí pueden ser las expectativas el ex las elecciones en bogotá ahora lo que les comentaba el eje a 2 con un desempeño muy inferior al mercado gruposura preferencial de gruposura preferencial de grupo argos con desempeños muy flojos respecto al mercado respecto al promedio respecto al colcap podría hacer estas preferenciales una oportunidad interesante eso lo estamos estudiando con nuestros alumnos recuerden que ustedes pueden ser alumnos nuestros y tener acceso a todos los informes ahí les estamos contando porque muchas de las acciones favoritas que teníamos estudiadas con alumnos han tenido rentabilidades muy buenas y estamos buscando el momento de cumplir estas hipótesis y buscar nuevas hipótesis por lo
|
como van las acciones en la bolsa de valores de colombia? (sept-2019)
|
BPnwXm3kHuo
| 2,019
|
BPnwXm3kHuo-3
|
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|
ARENA ALFA
| 381
|
2024-06-01
| 5,365
| 1,325
| 4
|
2019-09-23
|
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BPnwXm3kHuo
| 245
|
ido rentabilidades muy buenas y estamos buscando el momento de cumplir estas hipótesis y buscar nuevas hipótesis por lo que algunas acciones de las que están rezagadas podrían entrar en esas hipótesis y entonces a los interesados en nuestro servicio pues visite nuestra página y me encuentra en el servicio muy económico otras acciones con desempeño podría sido de copetrol pero recordemos que el copetrol tuvo un muy buen 2018 la acción venía en un fuerte rally por lo que no es de extrañarse que el desempeño no sea mi gran de ciencia preferencial desde marcos nutresa todas estas por debajo del desempeño del colca y del promedio del mercado creemos consideramos pues que si existió una oportunidad histórica en el mercado adicional a esto creemos que también se están dando unas oportunidades muy interesantes tanto para toma de utilidades como para out la recomposición de portafolios todos los temas los estaremos estudiando recuerden nuevamente seguirnos en nuestras redes por allá los esperamos y espero que sea de utilidad
|
como van las acciones en la bolsa de valores de colombia? (sept-2019)
|
BPnwXm3kHuo
| 2,019
|
BPnwXm3kHuo-4
|
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|
ARENA ALFA
| 1,459
|
2024-06-01
| 21,896
| 5,448
| 0
|
2019-09-20
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UurnxB-ItFw
| 300
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rebalanceos e indices, que son y como funcionan. . hoy vamos a hablar un poquito sobre los balanceos y los índices con un enfoque digamos en el colcap sobre todo en el rebalanceo de índices en colombia por qué pero es un tema del que se habla mucho pero muchas personas realmente no entienden bien qué son estos rebalanceo se confunden los índices con los 7 ejes con los fondos entonces en este nuevo vídeo pues vamos a hablar un poquito de estos temas nuevamente les recuerdo que nos pueden visitar en nuestra página www punto arena alfa puntocom ahí encuentran información sobre nuestro servicio tenemos un servicio muy bueno de educación donde enviamos hipótesis estudios sobre el mercado colombiano casos reales unos resultados muy positivos también recuerden seguirnos en redes en twitter como arena al factor de arena mi cuenta personal gran en alfa educación en instagram ya en este vídeo pues podrán ver que mejora un poquito el tema edición todavía tenga un poco de paciencia porque estoy aprendiendo pero la idea de entregarles contenidos de calidad y no necesariamente los más bonitos bueno para hablar de rebalanceo lo primero que tenemos que entender es que es un índice hay una diferencia entre índices fondos y edf y muchas personas piensan que los índices compran o vend
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rebalanceos e indices, que son y como funcionan.
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UurnxB-ItFw
| 2,019
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UurnxB-ItFw-0
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|
ARENA ALFA
| 1,459
|
2024-06-01
| 21,896
| 5,448
| 1
|
2019-09-20
|
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UurnxB-ItFw
| 300
|
índice hay una diferencia entre índices fondos y edf y muchas personas piensan que los índices compran o venden acciones no los índices son simplemente una herramienta donde se reúnen una serie de activos y se les da un peso específico a cada uno de ellos con el fin de medir el comportamiento de una canasta es decir un índice es una herramienta estadística el índice no compra acciones el índice no vende acciones en el índice no se invierte simplemente es un reflejo de un comportamiento estadístico de una canasta digamos para el caso de las acciones pero lo que puede hacer es tomar una dos tres diez acciones por ejemplo 20 acciones formó una canasta con ellas y es eso y ese es el índice ahora y eso es un índice entonces un índice realmente es una recopilación de activos con una participación o ponderación y es algo estadístico refleja un comportamiento del mercado un sector pero no como les digo es los índices no invierten esos son los siete ejes de los fondos índice simplemente es un reflejo cuando hablamos del índice es que se nos viene a la cabeza lo más conocido pues por ejemplo el dow jones es un índice donde las acciones tienen ciertas participaciones eso no está
|
rebalanceos e indices, que son y como funcionan.
|
UurnxB-ItFw
| 2,019
|
UurnxB-ItFw-1
|
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|
ARENA ALFA
| 1,459
|
2024-06-01
| 21,896
| 5,448
| 2
|
2019-09-20
|
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UurnxB-ItFw
| 300
|
a la cabeza lo más conocido pues por ejemplo el dow jones es un índice donde las acciones tienen ciertas participaciones eso no está actualizado al día pueden ya haber cambiado un poco las ponderaciones entonces uno de que por ejemplo visa pérez a un 9.4 por ciento entonces el peso de visa en el índice goldman sachs pesa a un 6% entonces este es el este es el porcentaje o es cada acción miren que cada acción tiene un peso dentro del índice y lo que debemos graficar es el comportamiento de todo este conjunto de acciones desde el dow jones y es un indicio pues que no se está reflejando el comportamiento de una canasta de acciones este índice no está comprando y vendiendo esas simplemente es un reflejo estadístico y pues cada acción tiene su peso para el caso de colombia pues el más relevante es el colcap este si está actualizado donde tenemos por ejemplo que la preferencial de bancolombia tiene una participación del 14.2 por ciento ecopetrol pesa al 14.2 también y ya tiene un peso del 8 y así sucesivamente entonces cada título digamos tiene una participación dentro de ese índice esa participación depende de factores de los ponderadores y los criterios del índice algunos son por liquidez otros son por tamaño
|
rebalanceos e indices, que son y como funcionan.
|
UurnxB-ItFw
| 2,019
|
UurnxB-ItFw-2
|
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|
ARENA ALFA
| 1,459
|
2024-06-01
| 21,896
| 5,448
| 3
|
2019-09-20
|
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UurnxB-ItFw
| 300
|
esa participación depende de factores de los ponderadores y los criterios del índice algunos son por liquidez otros son por tamaño otros son por precio y pues van ganando o perdiendo participación según el criterio 3 el colcap es el índice y el colcap es el f ld efe si invierte el etc si compra y vende el colcap no el colcap simplemente es el índice que refleja el comportamiento de esta canasta de activos cuáles son los índices más importantes a nivel mundial pues en eeuu tenemos el dow jones el nasdaq standard and poor's en españa el ibex el dax alemán el japonés en el nikkei en el bovespa en brasil el ipc en méxico y así cada mercado digamos tiene algunos índices principales existen miles de índices no solamente son de mercados que reflejan países sino que hay índices que reflejan también sectores entonces puede haber un índice que refleje el sector de energía un índice que reprime el petróleo otro índice que refleje electro eléctricos lo que se les ocurra existen índices en colombia' digamos son más pocos pero a nivel mundial si tenemos pues una gran variedad de índices y como les digo ustedes pueden armar
|
rebalanceos e indices, que son y como funcionan.
|
UurnxB-ItFw
| 2,019
|
UurnxB-ItFw-3
|
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|
ARENA ALFA
| 1,459
|
2024-06-01
| 21,896
| 5,448
| 4
|
2019-09-20
|
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UurnxB-ItFw
| 300
|
amos son más pocos pero a nivel mundial si tenemos pues una gran variedad de índices y como les digo ustedes pueden armar un índice con lo que quieran y lo que hacen la firma de ese en el puesto un montón de índices que reflejan el comportamiento de sectores entonces cuál es la diferencia con lt efe ld efe es un fondo que cotiza en la bolsa es ustedes pueden invertir en el este que ustedes pueden comprar y vender en lt efe básicamente es un híbrido porque es un fondo de inversión y una acción de saben que los fondos de inversión de usted lo que hacen es entregar su dinero este dinero va a un fondo y ese fondo es invertido por los administradores en lt efe ustedes simplemente compran lt efe en bolsa a cierto valor y ese y eso es administrado igualmente de acuerdo a las ponderaciones la diferencia cual es pues que el que lte se cotiza en bolsa lo que lo hace ser un híbrido y el fondo normalmente pues no cotiza la justicia en bolsa es simplemente lte fe tiene una canasta de activos que cotizan en bolsa y cuando complete fp es el en sería como el equivalente a comprar esa canasta antes de ustedes compran el colcap lo que ustedes están haciendo es comprar la canasta que
|
rebalanceos e indices, que son y como funcionan.
|
UurnxB-ItFw
| 2,019
|
UurnxB-ItFw-4
|
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|
ARENA ALFA
| 1,459
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2024-06-01
| 21,896
| 5,448
| 5
|
2019-09-20
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UurnxB-ItFw
| 300
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como el equivalente a comprar esa canasta antes de ustedes compran el colcap lo que ustedes están haciendo es comprar la canasta que vimos hace un poco sobre el colca mientras cuando ustedes compran el licor cabe están comprando 14% bancolombia 14 en el control aproximadamente porque están invirtiendo en esa canasta de activos entonces esa es la diferencia es la importancia de distinguir el fondo y lte efe como se negocia pues simplemente ustedes van a la rueda de acciones y van a ver que el colcap cotiza como una acción simplemente ustedes compran y venden como dijeron acción común y corriente es bastante fácil no tiene mucha dificultad estos fondos pues han tenido un crecimiento bastante grande en colombia y se han vuelto muy relevantes por su tamaño y por los movimientos que generan en el mercado como pueden ver aquí pues ya está la composición del edf aquí ya si empezamos a ver el valor entonces esos son los aproximados bancolombia a pesar 14.20 y el valor nominal de los 800 puñado de pesos ecopetrol isa miren que aquí ya si empezamos a ver valores de inversión él ya los pesos si tienen un valor y a esto súmele además que no solamente l d efe réplica alcohol cap sino que también existen
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rebalanceos e indices, que son y como funcionan.
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UurnxB-ItFw
| 2,019
|
UurnxB-ItFw-5
|
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|
ARENA ALFA
| 1,459
|
2024-06-01
| 21,896
| 5,448
| 6
|
2019-09-20
|
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UurnxB-ItFw
| 300
|
si tienen un valor y a esto súmele además que no solamente l d efe réplica alcohol cap sino que también existen fondos indexados a estos existen muchos fondos de firmas comisionistas de pensiones que también tratan de replicar el comportamiento del colca entonces en la medida que el colca va cambiando ponderaciones pues estos fondos también entonces cuando en el índice cambia la composición por ejemplo bancolombia y pierde pierde peso pues aquí hay una suma que también se tiene que ajustar entonces tendrán que salir a vender esas acciones si preferencia al día va al ganará peso entonces tendrán que salir a aumentar esa participación porque el lt efe debe seguir el comportamiento debe tratar de imitar el comportamiento del índice y es por eso que cuando hablamos de rebalanceo después estamos viendo que algunas acciones las venden duro otras acciones las compras y eso pues depende de lo que pasa con el índice que se le te efe lo que está haciendo y replicando lo que va pasando con el índice y existen otros fondos pues indexados que también los replique entonces hablemos de los re balanceos ya han escuchado mucho aquí digamos en colombia se ha vuelto una especie de obsesión perseguir rebalanceo es prácticamente gente que ya sólo está pend
|
rebalanceos e indices, que son y como funcionan.
|
UurnxB-ItFw
| 2,019
|
UurnxB-ItFw-6
|
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|
ARENA ALFA
| 1,459
|
2024-06-01
| 21,896
| 5,448
| 7
|
2019-09-20
|
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UurnxB-ItFw
| 300
|
en colombia se ha vuelto una especie de obsesión perseguir rebalanceo es prácticamente gente que ya sólo está pendiente de eso las firmas entonces qué es lo que ocurre de acuerdo a su modelo de ponderación del índice las acciones las acciones o los activos que tienen pues van a cambiar sus participaciones cuando la participación de un activo aumentado 10 millones disminuye en el índice pues los fondos y los siete ejes que están indexados deben salir a rebalancear se debe salir a comprar o vender es de activo para poder replicar el índice entonces y bancolombia bajará del 14 al 10 pues el ep efe tendrá que salir a vender una gran parte bancolombia para bajarse el 14 al 10 y no sólo el edf sino también los otros fondos que siguen el comportamiento del índice igualmente se realizan también una recomposición de índices aquí ya no se habla solamente de cambiar porcentajes sino que las acciones o los activos pueden salir del índice o pueden entrar al índice por ejemplo aquí en colombia pues ahorita en octubre tenemos la recomposición del colcap donde se espera que salgan posiblemente salgan algunos activos las acciones posiblemente entren otras posiblemente no pase nada eso se va
|
rebalanceos e indices, que son y como funcionan.
|
UurnxB-ItFw
| 2,019
|
UurnxB-ItFw-7
|
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|
ARENA ALFA
| 1,459
|
2024-06-01
| 21,896
| 5,448
| 8
|
2019-09-20
|
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UurnxB-ItFw
| 300
|
salgan posiblemente salgan algunos activos las acciones posiblemente entren otras posiblemente no pase nada eso se va estimando con el paso del tiempo entonces tenemos rebalanceo de post de peso en el índice y también recomposición si hay salida o entrada que pasa que en un mercado tan líquido como el colombiano entonces eso genera gran impacto porque los rebalanceo generalmente se realizan el último día de corte entonces por ejemplo el día corte mañana también hay un rebalanceo lo que el artículo cel el 20 de lo que van a hacer es que mañana posiblemente en el último minuto de la rueda en la subasta de cierre pues van a salir a cruzar un gran gran número de acciones desde estos rebalanceo si pre se realiza el último día corte y en la subasta de cierre que pasa que en un mercado tan el líquido puede generar movimientos muy grandes pero también que pasa que ya los rebalanceo entonces están cubriendo casi todas las firmas y muchos jugadores del mercado que lo que hacen es que se anticipan entre digamos que ya un mes antes o quince días antes ya mucha gente sabe lo que va a pasar en el rebalanceo se anticipa comprando vendiendo las acciones entonces aquí está por ello que el colca va y un rebalanceo trimestral y hay una recomposición anual esta recom
|
rebalanceos e indices, que son y como funcionan.
|
UurnxB-ItFw
| 2,019
|
UurnxB-ItFw-8
|
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|
ARENA ALFA
| 1,459
|
2024-06-01
| 21,896
| 5,448
| 9
|
2019-09-20
|
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UurnxB-ItFw
| 300
|
iendo las acciones entonces aquí está por ello que el colca va y un rebalanceo trimestral y hay una recomposición anual esta recomposición en la que les digo a ocurrir pronto en octubre la máxima participación por acciones del 20 por ciento sumando acciones ordinarias y preferenciales si miran por ejemplo la tabla que les presenté ahorita bancolombia tiene 14 por ciento en preferenciales y 6 por ciento en ordinaria antes están en límites desde 20 por ciento y pues cada índice tendrá su rebalanceo y su recomposición según la app que es como se compuso cierto índice entonces es muy pendiente de eso en la recomposición se dan eliminaciones de ingresos en el rebalanceo lo que sea es cambio de pesos y posición es importante que tengan estos muy presentes lo que les decía hace un momento ya los rebalanceo si los índices se empiezan a pronosticar o se empiezan a estimar lo que va a suceder pues las firmas comisionistas lo que empiezan a sacar es informes como estos es un informe de crédito es un informe en casa de bolsa y le empiezan a decir a uno vea aquí va a haber un cambio de participación esta va a ganar participación que se espera un flujo
|
rebalanceos e indices, que son y como funcionan.
|
UurnxB-ItFw
| 2,019
|
UurnxB-ItFw-9
|
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|
ARENA ALFA
| 1,459
|
2024-06-01
| 21,896
| 5,448
| 10
|
2019-09-20
|
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UurnxB-ItFw
| 300
|
iezan a decir a uno vea aquí va a haber un cambio de participación esta va a ganar participación que se espera un flujo de compra de tanto la acción de ella va a perder participación se espera un flujo de venta de tantos no no recuerdo estas tablas de que son cada uno antes no lo tengan presente para lo que viene porque no sé si son para lo que viene son viejas pero lo que se hace aquí es estimar unos flujos entonces te dan el monto estimado y lo que esperan que se vaya a comprar o vender y los días promedio de negociación qué significan los días promedios de negociación toman el volumen que se ha negociado en los últimos 30 60 90 días dependiendo de cada firma y dicen bueno esa acción ha negociado en promedio un millón de acciones los millones de acciones y lo comparan con el flujo de venta y entonces le dicen a uno vea por ejemplo la acción de la empresa energy a bogotá van a comprar en 1800 millones de mil 600 millones que equivale más o menos a tres días promedio de negociación mientras mayor sea el número promedio de negociación pues mayor va a ser el impacto 3 por ejemplo 8 días promedio de negociación sería un impacto fuerte de venta estamos hablando de ocho días promedio a pesar de que el flu
|
rebalanceos e indices, que son y como funcionan.
|
UurnxB-ItFw
| 2,019
|
UurnxB-ItFw-10
|
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|
ARENA ALFA
| 1,459
|
2024-06-01
| 21,896
| 5,448
| 11
|
2019-09-20
|
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UurnxB-ItFw
| 300
|
promedio de negociación sería un impacto fuerte de venta estamos hablando de ocho días promedio a pesar de que el flujo realmente no es muy grande son cuatro mil millones pero para clh 4.000 millones con muy líquida que ésta tiene un impacto grande y así se ve pues así lo presenta casa de bolsa ejecución promedio entonces aquí hablan de excelencia que va a haber un flujo de venta de 7200 millones y por la ponderación a 90 o 180 días son aproximadamente 8 puntos 6 días promedio de tres a cuatro puntos días promedio y así entonces mientras más ejecución promedio sea mientras la ecuación promedio sea más alta mayor el impacto que va a tener ese flujo de compraventa entonces según esto pues ya las firmas personas los especuladores los inversionistas empiezan a anticiparse digamos que el rebalanceo del colcap es el del octubre y ya hay mucha gente que empieza a especular ahí bueno yo creo que va a entrar esta acción entonces empecemos a comprarla participarnos oa venderla y pues con base en eso pues es posible que incluso el día del rebalanceo ni siquiera pase mayor cosa o no se dé mayor movimiento porque ya al mercado se anticipó hace unos años los rebalanceo serían impactos muy grandes no veía variaciones muy grandes ya no
|
rebalanceos e indices, que son y como funcionan.
|
UurnxB-ItFw
| 2,019
|
UurnxB-ItFw-11
|
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|
ARENA ALFA
| 1,459
|
2024-06-01
| 21,896
| 5,448
| 12
|
2019-09-20
|
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UurnxB-ItFw
| 300
|
movimiento porque ya al mercado se anticipó hace unos años los rebalanceo serían impactos muy grandes no veía variaciones muy grandes ya no se ven tan grandes porque ya se anticipa mucho el mercado vamos a hablar sobre las fallas de los de estos 7 efe si el colcap por ejemplo el / efe el ico el cabezón etb que compra caro y vende barato porque porque es unete efe que las acciones perdón es un índice donde las acciones ganan peso gran participación debido a su capitalización bursátil y su liquidez esto qué significa en la medida que las acciones suben ganan capitalización bursátil y normalmente también liquidez entonces mientras la acción sube más y en relación están más cara más peso para ganar en el índice que significa que el índice va a estar comprando siempre las acciones en máximos job o costosas porque ahí están porque ahí tienen mayor capitalización y lo opuesto para vender en la medida que las acciones bajan pierden market cap y pierden liquidez el fondo vende entonces lo que hemos visto el colcap pues eran los 7 ene efe si los fondos vendiendo y compre dos manos 100 mil pesos porque la ponderación de ecopetrol bajó mucho a mil pesos perdió muchos puestos en 3-d enviado muchas acciones a
|
rebalanceos e indices, que son y como funcionan.
|
UurnxB-ItFw
| 2,019
|
UurnxB-ItFw-12
|
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|
ARENA ALFA
| 1,459
|
2024-06-01
| 21,896
| 5,448
| 13
|
2019-09-20
|
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UurnxB-ItFw
| 300
|
porque la ponderación de ecopetrol bajó mucho a mil pesos perdió muchos puestos en 3-d enviado muchas acciones a 1000 a 1200 a 1500 para luego salir a comprarlas con el control en tres mil tres mil doscientos 3400 entonces es muy es muy evidente y es un desastre pero estos fondos tienden a comprar caro y vender barato por su tipo de ponderaciones se recuerden mientras más caras está la acción más gana peso y mientras más liquida más gana peso y pues eso contradice como los principios que uno tiene como de inversión de aprovechar cuando están baratas y líquidas y comprar y vender cuando están eufóricas y costosas después el índice hace todo lo contrario esto es bueno o malo pues es malo para el índice es malo para los que invierten en el df es malo para los fondos para usted como inversionista pues es bueno porque usted se puede aprovechar de eso se puede aprovecharse de esas oportunidades y hacer lo opuesto que es venderles a ellos arriba y comprarles abajo pues es bien interesante estaba que un ejemplo donde les quiero ilustrar lo que les acabo de decir muy claro esto promigás ese es un estudio caso de estudio aquí ya empieza a especular con qué promigás iba a entrar alcohol
|
rebalanceos e indices, que son y como funcionan.
|
UurnxB-ItFw
| 2,019
|
UurnxB-ItFw-13
|
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|
ARENA ALFA
| 1,459
|
2024-06-01
| 21,896
| 5,448
| 14
|
2019-09-20
|
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UurnxB-ItFw
| 300
|
claro esto promigás ese es un estudio caso de estudio aquí ya empieza a especular con qué promigás iba a entrar alcohol cap 2017 nació en kenia muerta y líquida empieza a aumentar el volumen porque es aumentar la capitalización el valor entonces la gente empieza a especular que eso antón alcohol que la acción empieza a subir desde más o menos marzo febrero del 2017 y personación que estaba en 5000 5100 5200 empieza a subir a 6000 las siguen especulando porque van del alcohol cada subida siete mil y finalmente se ingresa alcohol cap después de subir de cinco mil a más de ocho mil pesos ingresa al colca por aquí entonces miren como el colcap lo compro cuando estaba barata sino que iba a comprar esta acción por encima de 8 mil pesos aquí se ve el volumen y pega la gente la venía anticipando y pues mucha gente primitivos de abajo antes de que ingresan al colca pues miren como ingresa al colca por aquí en 8 mil pesos empieza a perder valor a perder valor a perder liquidez dicen como la liquidez ya va al piso inmediatamente y la acción se desploma al desplomarse pierde liquidez y pierde capital
|
rebalanceos e indices, que son y como funcionan.
|
UurnxB-ItFw
| 2,019
|
UurnxB-ItFw-14
|
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|
ARENA ALFA
| 1,459
|
2024-06-01
| 21,896
| 5,448
| 15
|
2019-09-20
|
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UurnxB-ItFw
| 300
|
ya va al piso inmediatamente y la acción se desploma al desplomarse pierde liquidez y pierde capitalización bursátil entonces qué ocurre sale el colcap desde el colcap que estuvo comprando acciones por aquí en ocho mil 7500 7.600 sale a venderlas por aquí nuevamente en cinco mil 205 mil 500 pesos aquí tienen los volúmenes de salida del colca entonces aquí se observa claramente como el colcap compra caro y como el colca termina vendiendo barato esto ocurre en muchos activos si muchas veces el colcap compra caro luego compra más caro luego compra más caro y logra ganarse las alzas desde el periódico pero ocurre que normalmente pues en las mayores euforias es cuando más compran y en los mayores pánico si es cuando más venden entonces este es un caso muy sencillo ahorita nuevamente se está especulando de una posible entrada al colcap de promigás por eso viene subiendo y pues si llega a entrar al colca pues nuevamente vamos a algún título por aquí en por encima de ocho mil pesos y el colocado nuevamente comprando lo que vendió en cinco mil entonces compraron ocho mil y siete mil en 37 mil 508 mil compraron la reventaron más o menos
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rebalanceos e indices, que son y como funcionan.
|
UurnxB-ItFw
| 2,019
|
UurnxB-ItFw-15
|
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|
ARENA ALFA
| 1,459
|
2024-06-01
| 21,896
| 5,448
| 16
|
2019-09-20
|
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UurnxB-ItFw
| 300
|
ió en cinco mil entonces compraron ocho mil y siete mil en 37 mil 508 mil compraron la reventaron más o menos cinco mil 205 mil seiscientos y ahorita la van a volver a comprar quién sabe a qué precio entonces esa es la falacia desde el error del colcap es muy destructivo muy malo para el mercado mi opinión pero así funciona y es importante que ustedes entiendan este concepto además de esto pues el colca vi los siete jefes y fondos indexados pues tienen unos otros efectos negativos es la concentración de activos estamos viendo que cinco empresas pesan casi el 55 por ciento del índice y las acciones que no están en el colca pues están perdiendo toda su liquidez este es un índice muy concentrado muy nocivo para el mercado está generando mucha liquidez en muchas acciones que son muy interesantes y nadie la admira porque no hacen parte el colcap el mercado se está volviendo absurdamente dependiente de los rebalanceo locales también muy nocivo y pues un montón de operadores están todos indexando ese alcohol café entonces en vez de hacer la tarea de dar de asesorar de buscar acciones con valor con futuro simplemente todos se ponen a seguir alcohol cap y ya vimos el desastre de la forma en la que compra y vende el colcap otro
|
rebalanceos e indices, que son y como funcionan.
|
UurnxB-ItFw
| 2,019
|
UurnxB-ItFw-16
|
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|
ARENA ALFA
| 1,459
|
2024-06-01
| 21,896
| 5,448
| 17
|
2019-09-20
|
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UurnxB-ItFw
| 300
|
todos se ponen a seguir alcohol cap y ya vimos el desastre de la forma en la que compra y vende el colcap otro tema que a mí me preocupa es el riesgo sistémico cinco empresas son casi el 55 por ciento del índice y un grupo económico que es el ejea tiene casi el 40 por ciento del índice entonces el colcap te está midiendo un p porcentaje de empresas que están ligadas entre sí que unasur folding de otras por ejemplo el ejea con estos enroques que tiene son todas una mezcla de todas un daño un problema con eso y el riesgo sistémico es grande ya vimos lo que pasó con la salida de harbour en el 2018 como el mercado se destruyó y pues esta concentración es muy negativa que sugerimos nosotros desde nuestro punto de vista educativo la experiencia que tenemos en el mercado hace más de 15 años es aumentar el número de emisores y de participantes de lete efe perdón del del índice por ende lt efe y que se puedan tener más acciones 25-30 acciones para que se recoja todo el mercado y se le dé liquidez a las demás y para eso reducir la participación máxima al 15% al reducir la participación máxima al 15% se reduce mucho el riesgo sistémico se
|
rebalanceos e indices, que son y como funcionan.
|
UurnxB-ItFw
| 2,019
|
UurnxB-ItFw-17
|
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|
ARENA ALFA
| 1,459
|
2024-06-01
| 21,896
| 5,448
| 18
|
2019-09-20
|
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UurnxB-ItFw
| 300
|
participación máxima al 15% al reducir la participación máxima al 15% se reduce mucho el riesgo sistémico se le genera liquidez a otras empresas y tendríamos un índice con mayor número de acciones más diversificados se le daría liquidez a otros activos que están sin liquidez que están muy sus valorados y sería muy positivo para el mercado ojalá eso se considerara lo hemos comentado mucho sería muy positivo para el mercado y luego tres a valores criterios de ponderación y tratar de que este índice deje de ser una herramienta de comprar caro y vender barato que no tiene sentido para los accionistas y quienes están indexados a esto entonces que concluimos los fondos indexados a los dt efe probablemente comprarán cambio venderán barato la mayor parte del tiempo se darán buenas oportunidades de venta en rebalanceo de compra y se harán buenas oportunidades de compra en re balanceados de venta es decir cuando uno sabe que una acción la van a vender duro en un rebalanceo uno puede mirar si vale la pena comprar y cuando una acción la van a comprar muy duro en el rebalanceo y se dispara es una buena opción para uno quizás tomar utilidades muy importante entender que el mercado se anticipa los re balanceados cada vez más por lo tanto si usted no se anticip
|
rebalanceos e indices, que son y como funcionan.
|
UurnxB-ItFw
| 2,019
|
UurnxB-ItFw-18
|
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|
ARENA ALFA
| 1,459
|
2024-06-01
| 21,896
| 5,448
| 19
|
2019-09-20
|
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UurnxB-ItFw
| 300
|
uno quizás tomar utilidades muy importante entender que el mercado se anticipa los re balanceados cada vez más por lo tanto si usted no se anticipa y espera hasta el final probablemente ya no le va a tocar nada y pues la otra función es que el call cabeza generando unos efectos muy nocivos en el mercado entonces básicamente son los rebalanceo si estamos llenos de rebalanceo es porque no solamente es el colcap también está el rebalanceo el msc ahí también está el rebalanceo el del fce del consell hay un montón de rebalanceo ya en colombia entonces casi que todos los meses estamos con un cuento distinto y en mi opinión es un absurdo que un mercado se esté moviendo por rebalanceo sino por fundamentales o técnicos pero a eso estamos llegando recuerden también clave es torre balanceados estar ocurriendo en el día de corte más que todo en la subasta de cierre y pues bueno estoy muy pendiente de lo que va a pasar mañana para que instruyen de pronto el tema que tratamos aquí mañana es 20 de septiembre estén pendientes de octubre con el rebalanceo y la recomposición del colcap que pueden pasar cosas interesantes recuerden visitarnos recuerden suscribirse les recordamos que la finalidad de este informe es netamente educativa espero les hayan sido
|
rebalanceos e indices, que son y como funcionan.
|
UurnxB-ItFw
| 2,019
|
UurnxB-ItFw-19
|
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|
ARENA ALFA
| 1,459
|
2024-06-01
| 21,896
| 5,448
| 20
|
2019-09-20
|
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UurnxB-ItFw
| 48
|
os recuerden suscribirse les recordamos que la finalidad de este informe es netamente educativa espero les hayan sido de mucha utilidad y nos vemos en un próximo vídeo muchísimas gracias
|
rebalanceos e indices, que son y como funcionan.
|
UurnxB-ItFw
| 2,019
|
UurnxB-ItFw-20
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|
ARENA ALFA
| 448
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2024-06-01
| 6,622
| 1,662
| 0
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2019-09-17
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=j_-Qbk-ufsU
| 300
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¿como funciona la subasta de cierre en la bvc? . buenos días como les había prometido en este vídeo queremos es quitarles un poquito cómo funciona la subasta de cierre y lo que están viendo en ese momento es la rueda y funcionando porque me parece interesante explicarles cómo funciona la subasta en tiempo real bueno lo primero es que la subasta comienza cinco minutos antes del cierre del mercado y hoy con el horario actual son las 2 y 55 y va hasta las 3 de la tarde y el cierre tiene un rango aleatorio de 60 segundos y menos 60 segundos es decir puedes cerrar puede cerrar un minuto antes de un minuto después es aleatorio el cierre y esto pues se hace para que para que no se sepa la hora exacta del cierre y un poco la manipulación pues que igual sea bastante yo lo que estamos viendo aquí es ecopetrol si pueden ver las demandas y aquí pueden ver las ofertas tienen la cantidad de acciones y el precio en compra y el precio y la cantidad de acciones en venta ya entramos en subasta por lo que miren que los precios no calzan no se hacen negociación el último operado fue 3000 5 antes de la subasta y están comprando a 3 mil 85 y hay gente vendiendo 2700 de mucha gente pregunta por qué
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¿como funciona la subasta de cierre en la bvc?
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j_-Qbk-ufsU
| 2,019
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j_-Qbk-ufsU-0
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|
ARENA ALFA
| 448
|
2024-06-01
| 6,622
| 1,662
| 1
|
2019-09-17
|
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=j_-Qbk-ufsU
| 300
|
antes de la subasta y están comprando a 3 mil 85 y hay gente vendiendo 2700 de mucha gente pregunta por qué están vendiendo por debajo del precio de mercado y por qué están comprando por encima del precio del mercado el action no se negocia esto se debe a que en la subasta funciona con precio de equilibrio y se cruza el precio donde más operaciones se van o se van dando entonces la gente lo que va haciendo aquí es poniendo órdenes de compra de venta van entrando al libro de dos de órdenes y vamos viendo aquí un precio indicativo este precio indicativo es clave porque nos va diciendo a qué precio cerraría la acción en ese momento entonces bien que en ese momento el precio es 3000 lo que nos dice que la acción cerraría en ese momento si cerrara el mercado a 3.000 porque 3.000 porque 3.000 según el algoritmo sería el precio donde más acciones se negociarían miren que hay cambio a 3.010 que significa que aumentó la demanda o bajo la la oferta entonces qué pasa si cierran tres mil diez todo el que esté comprando por encima de tres mil diez va a poder comprar esta gente de 3.085 va a poder comprar y los que estén vendiendo por debajo de tres mil diez van a poder vender el que
|
¿como funciona la subasta de cierre en la bvc?
|
j_-Qbk-ufsU
| 2,019
|
j_-Qbk-ufsU-1
|
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|
ARENA ALFA
| 448
|
2024-06-01
| 6,622
| 1,662
| 2
|
2019-09-17
|
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=j_-Qbk-ufsU
| 300
|
3.085 va a poder comprar y los que estén vendiendo por debajo de tres mil diez van a poder vender el que se vendiendo a tres mil veinte en ese momento no vende el que esté vendiendo a tres mil treinta 90 y el que se compran en ese momento a tres mil uno compra quienes compran los que están comprando a 3.015 3.020 3.085 esos son los que los que van a estar comprando acciones a 3.010 es posible que compren todos o solamente algunos eso eso no se puede terminar tocaría sumar y restar todo pero así básicamente es como funciona la subasta entonces esto cómo se maneja lo que hay que estar mirando es el precio indicativo que nos dice a qué precio cerraría a tentativamente él va cambiando dinero es por ejemplo había operado a 3.300 en este momento es en realidad tres mil 345 bogotá 76 mil miren que cada acción que va a cruzar puede existir un precio distinto una lente ky copetrol bajó a 3000 nuevamente que significa que ese sería el precio indicativo de cierre entonces todo el que esté comprando por encima de ese precio va a comprar y el que esté vendiendo a ese precio por debajo puede vender entonces ella es una subasta aquí la la se las quería mostrar
|
¿como funciona la subasta de cierre en la bvc?
|
j_-Qbk-ufsU
| 2,019
|
j_-Qbk-ufsU-2
|
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ARENA ALFA
| 448
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2024-06-01
| 6,622
| 1,662
| 3
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2019-09-17
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=j_-Qbk-ufsU
| 300
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y el que esté vendiendo a ese precio por debajo puede vender entonces ella es una subasta aquí la la se las quería mostrar en tiempo real estoy pues improvisando no tengo un libreto entonces pues pueden ver algunos errores la plataforma que están viendo la plataforma de credicorp es les agradecemos a ellos usarla para para mostrarles este ejemplo el tema de aprender un poco cómo funciona por eso se los quería mostrar en tiempo real vamos a irnos de estos últimos dos minutos para ver cómo cierran observen cómo van cambiando unos precios indicativos por ejemplo terpel dice 0 porque no se van a cruzar ninguna orden de compra y de venta en este momento el grupo de energía de bogotá 2.170 se sería el precio del cierre en este momento recuerden que cambia y pues que puedes llegar a las 59 59 con 37 es aleatorio entonces ustedes pueden poner puntas al precio casi que quieran dentro de los rangos de negociaciones ustedes podrían poner una punta comprando a 3100 para asegurar su compra y comprarían porque se va a negociar a 3000 entonces si usted pone en 3100 va a comprar a 3100 y se pone 3100 va a comprar a 3000 si usted pone una punta como está vendiendo dos mil 715 va a vender a 2.715 no también va
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¿como funciona la subasta de cierre en la bvc?
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j_-Qbk-ufsU
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j_-Qbk-ufsU-3
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|
ARENA ALFA
| 448
|
2024-06-01
| 6,622
| 1,662
| 4
|
2019-09-17
|
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=j_-Qbk-ufsU
| 300
|
3000 si usted pone una punta como está vendiendo dos mil 715 va a vender a 2.715 no también va a vender a 3000 todo lo que se alcance alcanzar va a alcanzar al precio indicativo no al precio de compra y de ventas es importante que lo entienda porque mucha gente cree que si pone aquí por ejemplo 2.715 para vender a 2.715 no vende a 3000 vendería 2.715 si el precio indicativo fuera 2.715 los mismos los compradores vamos a ver el caso de mineros cómo en el caso de minero es precio indicativo 3.345 este que está comprando tres mil 350 compraría tres mil 345 y este que está vendiendo a tres mil trescientos vendería a tres mil 345 mil en que las órdenes se pueden poner pues a precios superiores o inferiores importantes del precio al que se va a dar el calce ya son las tres es decir en cualquier momento pues estos sierras y se harían los descalces al precio indicativo vamos a seguir con el ejemplo ecopetrol para ver cómo cambian las puntas en este momento de precio indicativo sigue siendo 3.000 esto es muy importante sobre todo en los rebalanceo si le preguntan mucho a uno por qué se dan tantos cambios porque en el rebalanceo salen
|
¿como funciona la subasta de cierre en la bvc?
|
j_-Qbk-ufsU
| 2,019
|
j_-Qbk-ufsU-4
|
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|
ARENA ALFA
| 448
|
2024-06-01
| 6,622
| 1,662
| 5
|
2019-09-17
|
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=j_-Qbk-ufsU
| 300
|
sobre todo en los rebalanceo si le preguntan mucho a uno por qué se dan tantos cambios porque en el rebalanceo salen ofertas y demandas muy grandes entonces suele pasar que en estos cinco minutos se dan grandes variaciones muy buenos ahí cerros el precio indicativo fue 3000 miren que todos los que están comprando por encima de 3000 compraron y los que estaban vendiendo por debajo de 3000 vendieron esta persona no alcanzó a vender queda una oferta por 2 millones 600 mil acciones que no había quién se las comprará y 3000 pues fue el precio que el algoritmo demostró que era el precio que más volumen que más acciones se iban a negociar entonces miren cómo quedan todos los que estaban comprando aquí no compraron y los que están vendiendo por encima del 3 indicativo pues tampoco el índice está básicamente es el funcionamiento de las uvas exactas espero les haya quedado claro si tienen dudas me pueden escribir en twitter o aquí en youtube estamos volviendo a lanzar este canal espero que nos sigan espero que esto les ayude con las dudas que tengan estaré subiendo vídeos de educación financiera en la medida que veamos el apoyo de ustedes que compartan los vídeos que nos sigan a seguir generando pues contenido
|
¿como funciona la subasta de cierre en la bvc?
|
j_-Qbk-ufsU
| 2,019
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j_-Qbk-ufsU-5
|
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|
ARENA ALFA
| 448
|
2024-06-01
| 6,622
| 1,662
| 6
|
2019-09-17
|
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=j_-Qbk-ufsU
| 42
|
ación financiera en la medida que veamos el apoyo de ustedes que compartan los vídeos que nos sigan a seguir generando pues contenido les agradezco por su tiempo y hasta una próxima
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¿como funciona la subasta de cierre en la bvc?
|
j_-Qbk-ufsU
| 2,019
|
j_-Qbk-ufsU-6
|
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ARENA ALFA
| 744
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2024-06-01
| 12,008
| 3,080
| 0
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2020-12-31
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W1h_GUZNFGg
| 300
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como le fue a las acciones en la bolsa de colombia en 2020? expectativas bvc 2021. un saludo para todos en este vídeo vamos a ver cómo le fue a la bolsa de colombia en el 2020 cuáles fueron las acciones que más bajaron las acciones que más subieron como nos fue con respecto a la región y al final les voy a contar un poquito las expectativas para el 2021 en dólar y en acciones así que los invito a quedarse regalen nos un comentario que esperan del 2021 cómo les fue en 2020 déjenos un saludo de sus comentarios y sus likes nos ayudan mucho y si les gusta la educación financiera el trading las finanzas los invito a suscribirse al canal ah ah bueno antes que nada feliz año para todos darles un agradecimiento de todo corazón por acompañarnos en este canal en las cuentas por apoyar el trabajo que hacemos un abrazo para todos los que nos ayudan a compartir el contenido a difundir esta comunidad de educación financiera feliz año y que el año que viene sea excelente en todo sentido especialmente mucha salud y pues mucha mucha prosperidad bueno hablemos de qué pasó con la bolsa de colombia en el 2020 y qué pasó en diciembre los invito también a que se queden hasta el final
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como le fue a las acciones en la bolsa de colombia en 2020? expectativas bvc 2021
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W1h_GUZNFGg
| 2,020
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W1h_GUZNFGg-0
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ARENA ALFA
| 744
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2024-06-01
| 12,008
| 3,080
| 1
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2020-12-31
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W1h_GUZNFGg
| 300
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la bolsa de colombia en el 2020 y qué pasó en diciembre los invito también a que se queden hasta el final porque vamos a hablar un poquito de las expectativas para 2021 por lo menos dar como unas ideas de que esperamos para el próximo año bueno en diciembre tuvimos el mayor alza en la bolsa de colombia colcap en más de una década 14.3 por ciento subí el colcap en diciembre lo interesante de esto es que el récord pasado se había hecho en noviembre entonces aquí cuando digo una década pues estamos diciendo que el récord se había roto en noviembre en noviembre vimos el 10 y punta y ese fue el récord de una década ahorita lo acabamos de batir el 10 es decir noviembre de diciembre han sido los dos meses más alcistas en la bolsa de colombia en casi una década para que también miremos pues la magnitud del alza fuimos la segunda bolsa que más subió en diciembre en el mundo pasamos de ser una de las peores bolsas del mundo a tener en diciembre la segunda bolsa que más subió tuvimos un comportado un desempeño bastante bastante potente aquí hice 15 realmente fue un 14 y 14 y piquito entonces bastante bien la bolsa de colombia otra buena not
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como le fue a las acciones en la bolsa de colombia en 2020? expectativas bvc 2021
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W1h_GUZNFGg
| 2,020
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W1h_GUZNFGg-1
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ARENA ALFA
| 744
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2024-06-01
| 12,008
| 3,080
| 2
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2020-12-31
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W1h_GUZNFGg
| 300
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ente aquí hice 15 realmente fue un 14 y 14 y piquito entonces bastante bien la bolsa de colombia otra buena noticia ya no somos la bolsa que más cae en el mundo si vemos aquí la gráfica ya estamos en el puesto no sé 10 12 los peores nos hemos alejado bastante ya estamos ganándole por ejemplo a países como españa reino unido uruguay ya estamos por encima digamos de muchas bolsas lo que lo que demuestra que hemos tenido una recuperación muy importante sobre todo en los meses de noviembre y diciembre pues que han sido bastante bastante alcistas a nivel de la región a ese rezago que teníamos y que hablamos en el vídeo pasado ya se está eliminando el índice de emergentes va volando ya lleva un 15 por ciento en el año brasil y méxico- ya están positivos con rentabilidades como hay entre el 0 el 1 por ciento nosotros alcanzamos a chile chile nos venía borrando ya lo alcanzamos estamos con rentabilidades muy cercanas a las de chile lo cual digamos ya estamos borrando esa diferencia si nos igualamos con brasil todavía nos faltaría de subir otro poquito que brasil corrija otro poco yo personalmente me la juego más porque nos encontremos en el medio que la
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como le fue a las acciones en la bolsa de colombia en 2020? expectativas bvc 2021
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W1h_GUZNFGg
| 2,020
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W1h_GUZNFGg-2
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|
ARENA ALFA
| 744
|
2024-06-01
| 12,008
| 3,080
| 3
|
2020-12-31
|
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W1h_GUZNFGg
| 300
|
ir otro poquito que brasil corrija otro poco yo personalmente me la juego más porque nos encontremos en el medio que la bolsa de colombia de pronto es u otro poquito que la bolsa de brasil y méxico- corrijan un poquito después de estas fuertes alzas pero ya no somos la peor bolsa de la región ya estamos más alineados con con chile que es un mercado más o menos similar entonces ya digamos es algo que teníamos que lo hablamos mucho en los vídeos pasados ya se borró y eso pues digamos es positivo lo que más subió y bajó en diciembre nuevamente en diciembre la del valor le dio cátedra a la liquidez hace cinco años lo venimos demostrando mes a mes año a año las acciones que más han subido en colombiano son las de alta liquidez son las de baja liquidez donde está el valor por eso el llamado ese enfoque en 100 valor y la mayor lección la de esta acción cita clh clh pues las firmas comisionistas y muchos asesores en bolsa salieron a decir que había que vender en la opa porque iba a perder la liquidez pues la acción subió perdió la liquidez y subió 43 por ciento sin liquidez es decir el título ha tenido
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como le fue a las acciones en la bolsa de colombia en 2020? expectativas bvc 2021
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W1h_GUZNFGg
| 2,020
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W1h_GUZNFGg-3
|
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|
ARENA ALFA
| 744
|
2024-06-01
| 12,008
| 3,080
| 4
|
2020-12-31
|
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W1h_GUZNFGg
| 300
|
la acción subió perdió la liquidez y subió 43 por ciento sin liquidez es decir el título ha tenido un mejor desempeño sin liquidez que con liquidez lo cual pues es bastante bastante positivo una lección nuevamente que le al mercado volvemos y lo repetimos lo importante en las inversiones no es la liquidez es el valor y clh pues le dio una patada en el culo a todos porque realmente desde que perdió la liquidez empezó a subir bien importante ese tema en cuanto a se le hace para dejar ese debate en muy quieto a mí no me interesa si alguien dice venda o compra eso es irrelevante cualquiera se puede equivocar lo relevante es ver firmas comisionistas diciendo que la acción vale seis mil seis mil quinientos pesos y en 3.000 recomendar venta para mí eso es la parte delicada decir que es una acción para sobreponderar porque el precio objetivo es 6000 y luego salir a decir venda por la liquidez en tres mil la parte como que no comparto y eso no lo dijo sobre una firma eso le dijeron muchas lo dijo mucha gente que había que vender por la liquidez la liquidez es un criterio importante al invertir pero no es lo único en él lo más importante y pues lección creo que no sé si lo habr
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como le fue a las acciones en la bolsa de colombia en 2020? expectativas bvc 2021
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W1h_GUZNFGg
| 2,020
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W1h_GUZNFGg-4
|
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|
ARENA ALFA
| 744
|
2024-06-01
| 12,008
| 3,080
| 5
|
2020-12-31
|
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W1h_GUZNFGg
| 300
|
es un criterio importante al invertir pero no es lo único en él lo más importante y pues lección creo que no sé si lo habrán aprendido pero importante otra que dio otra lección en café otro activo de muy baja liquidez subió 61 por ciento en el mes de diciembre interesante porque intentaron hacer o para a un precio ridículo en caso nación de 13 14 pesos por acción mínimo intentaron comprar a 10 no les vendió nadie se quedaron con los crespos hechos viene subiendo subió 61 por ciento la mejor la de mejor desempeño en diciembre también tuvo en desempeño la vivienda muy buen desempeño estos tres estos bancos bancolombia vivienda pues habían estado con los peores desempeños casi que en el año diciembre fue como la salvación en diciembre les dieron durísimo al alza ya recuperaron muy buena parte del camino se marcos preferencial de sura y villas el banquito más barato que hay en el mercado en este momento por el lado negativo solamente hubo dos acciones negativas que fue canacol con una caída del 6 por ciento fabricato con una caída también del 6% y estas tres pues que no tuvieron variaciones respecto a lo que va corrido del año aquí esta tabla no incluye dividiénd
|
como le fue a las acciones en la bolsa de colombia en 2020? expectativas bvc 2021
|
W1h_GUZNFGg
| 2,020
|
W1h_GUZNFGg-5
|
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|
ARENA ALFA
| 744
|
2024-06-01
| 12,008
| 3,080
| 6
|
2020-12-31
|
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W1h_GUZNFGg
| 300
|
y estas tres pues que no tuvieron variaciones respecto a lo que va corrido del año aquí esta tabla no incluye dividiéndose incluyéramos dividendo es una acción como minero sería creo que la que más sube por el dividendo tan grande también ganaría bastante celia ganaría bastante corficol también ganaría casi 10 por ciento al alza entonces aquí no hay dividendos si pusiéramos dividendos habrían muchos más títulos positivos por ejemplo de benceno serial 2 sino que sería por ahí un 8 entonces no están los dividendos fue una muy buena estrategia tener acciones con altos dividendos porque dieron un colchón y en mi caso personal pues me ayudaron mucho tenemos buenas rentabilidades las acciones que más subieron is a 31% minero es el 28 grupo de energía 19 en cal 18 energía energía y oro nuevamente son las protagonistas clh se metió a las positivas con un +5 gas también con un buen desempeño de la bbc que es una belleza de activos 40 éxitos ahí también positivo y equipo auto negativo el promedio de este universo de acciones que tengo aquí gráfica 2 menos punto 5 en el año el colca bajo un 13.5 que significa que tuvieron mejor desempe
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como le fue a las acciones en la bolsa de colombia en 2020? expectativas bvc 2021
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W1h_GUZNFGg
| 2,020
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W1h_GUZNFGg-6
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|
ARENA ALFA
| 744
|
2024-06-01
| 12,008
| 3,080
| 7
|
2020-12-31
|
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W1h_GUZNFGg
| 300
|
áfica 2 menos punto 5 en el año el colca bajo un 13.5 que significa que tuvieron mejor desempeño otros activos que el colcap colocar nuevamente mostró cierta ineficiencia y eso que en diciembre le ayudaron mucho pues algunas acciones a nivel de repuesto tenemos más o menos 180.000 millones de pesos en cuanto a las que más bajaron pues obviamente avianca 89 por ciento para río 39 ecopetrol menos 32 ha recuperado mucho pero sigue siendo de las más negativas siguen la shura que son dos títulos que están bastante bastante rezagados espero que estos deben de que hablar el año que viene están muy subvaloradas muy interesantes preferencial de bancolombia que caiga al menos cuarenta y pico ya menos 23 ya se han recuperado muchos activos el colcap -12 de aquí lo que vean de esta línea roja para acá pues superó al promedio lo que vean de esta línea roja para allá pues estuvo peor que el problema entonces así cerramos el año menos 13% recordemos que en algún momento fuimos la bolsa que más caía en el mundo callamos menos 43 menos 45 no recuerdo vamos a cerrar en un -13 o ya no vamos les recuerdo también en marzo hicimos uno para un evento
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como le fue a las acciones en la bolsa de colombia en 2020? expectativas bvc 2021
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W1h_GUZNFGg
| 2,020
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W1h_GUZNFGg-7
|
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ARENA ALFA
| 744
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2024-06-01
| 12,008
| 3,080
| 8
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2020-12-31
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W1h_GUZNFGg
| 300
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menos 45 no recuerdo vamos a cerrar en un -13 o ya no vamos les recuerdo también en marzo hicimos uno para un evento que se llama oportunidad histórica claro que fue una oportunidad histórica de acciones que ya han subido 50 100 por ciento hay acciones que han subido 150 por ciento pronto vamos a hacer un vídeo analizando si había una oportunidad histórico no creo que fue clarísimo que allí el que logró entrar en abril marzo excelentes rentabilidades recuerden que si les gusta la educación financiera las inversiones en la bolsa y si nos dejan un like nos ayuda muchísimo al canal y pues los invito a que se suscriban al canal para estar al tanto de lo que vamos subiendo en cuanto a las expectativas para el 2021 realmente yo no no soy muy amigo de tirar así expectativas a las heridas es como tratar de adivinar una bolita de cristal veo doblar a 3.100 veo el colca va tanto eso es difícil los mercados no se mueven linealmente los mercados tienen muchas fluctuaciones y pues pueden pasar muchas cosas sin embargo pues uno como analista pues le toca hacer cierto tipo de hipótesis mis hipótesis para el 2021 sigue siendo la misma que les vengo diciendo hace ya un tiempo y es un posible cambio del
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como le fue a las acciones en la bolsa de colombia en 2020? expectativas bvc 2021
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W1h_GUZNFGg
| 2,020
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W1h_GUZNFGg-8
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ARENA ALFA
| 744
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2024-06-01
| 12,008
| 3,080
| 9
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2020-12-31
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W1h_GUZNFGg
| 300
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mis hipótesis para el 2021 sigue siendo la misma que les vengo diciendo hace ya un tiempo y es un posible cambio del ciclo de rotación estructural donde empiezan los emergentes a brillar las acciones de los países como eeuu europa que han venido cuenta para los desempeños a salir flujos hacia emergentes ese cambio de ciclo implica dos cosas el dólar probablemente siga cayendo mi hipótesis es que quizás veamos 1 rango entre tres mil pesos tres mil cuatrocientos pesos creo yo que podría ser el el rango del año eso no significa que el mercado no pueda rebotar por ejemplo creo que antes de ver este rango vamos a ver unos niveles de un sustito en 3600 creo que el dólar le falta como un último rebote y continuar su caída pero a nivel de tendencia que es como lo importante en lo que falta del año creo que veremos un dólar que seguirá bajando en cuanto a las acciones en colombia creo que vamos a ver esos 1600 del colcap creo que las acciones en la medida que baja el dólar que entre dinero emergentes pues el colca va a seguir también valorizándose aquí también tengo una hipótesis que no soy muy optimista con enero y febrero ojalá me equivoque ojalá siga subiendo pero creo que después de los
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como le fue a las acciones en la bolsa de colombia en 2020? expectativas bvc 2021
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W1h_GUZNFGg
| 2,020
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W1h_GUZNFGg-9
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|
ARENA ALFA
| 744
|
2024-06-01
| 12,008
| 3,080
| 10
|
2020-12-31
|
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W1h_GUZNFGg
| 300
|
soy muy optimista con enero y febrero ojalá me equivoque ojalá siga subiendo pero creo que después de los dos mejores meses de la bolsa en mucho tiempo es posible ver un descanso entonces quizás antes de 1600 pues tengamos una corrección no sé 1.300 podría ser un nivel 1250 no sé el nivel exacto y si sería pues tratar de adivinar pero creo que antes de ir a buscar ese 1600 sería muy sano y muy bueno pues una corrección pero el objetivo para mí es claro dólar bajando acciones subiendo objetivo para el colca inicialmente en 1600 todo esto puede cambiar en cualquier momento miren que el 2020 fue un año que empezó muy bien todo venía súper bonito subiendo llegó una pandemia echado de todo se fue a la 2021 es un año que no sabemos qué va a pasar entonces uno aquí da ciertas hipótesis basado en la información que tiene pero pues aquí nadie es un mago ni un grupo dentro de un escenario normal sin eventos pandémicos y sin de negros pues esperaría un dólar bajando y esperaría un colcap subiendo no soy de los que veo con caben 2000 mil 900 me parece un poquito yo creo que 1600 sería un objetivo prudente por el momento y esas son
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como le fue a las acciones en la bolsa de colombia en 2020? expectativas bvc 2021
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W1h_GUZNFGg
| 2,020
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W1h_GUZNFGg-10
|
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ARENA ALFA
| 744
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2024-06-01
| 12,008
| 3,080
| 11
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2020-12-31
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W1h_GUZNFGg
| 110
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2000 mil 900 me parece un poquito yo creo que 1600 sería un objetivo prudente por el momento y esas son como las expectativas que tengo nuevamente los invito a suscribirse regalarnos un like déjenme sus comentarios a ustedes que esperan que ven para el 2021 como les apareció el canal déjenos un saludo cualquier cosa cualquier comentario si sea una carita feliz nos ayuda y nuevamente un agradecimiento nos vemos el otro año
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como le fue a las acciones en la bolsa de colombia en 2020? expectativas bvc 2021
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W1h_GUZNFGg
| 2,020
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W1h_GUZNFGg-11
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|
ARENA ALFA
| 847
|
2024-06-01
| 13,419
| 3,457
| 0
|
2020-12-17
|
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GtvUsFBgIZs
| 300
|
tesla inclusion al sp500 - se acerca el estallido de la burbuja. un saludo para todos vamos a hablar nuevamente sobre tesla la que considero una de las mayores burbujas en la historia de la bolsa vamos a mirar cifras vamos a hablar sobre la institucional standard and poor's voy a mostrar mi corto cuando estoy perdiendo y vamos a mirar unos datos muy interesantes sobre esta gran burbuja los invitó a quedarse hasta el final les agradezco que nos dejen sus comentarios un saludo nos ayuda mucho con los vídeos y regalarnos un like y suscríbete al canal si te gusta el trading de educación financiera ah bueno un saludo hoy nuevamente vamos a hablar de texto otra vez vamos a hablar de este título otra vez les voy a contar la historia pueden echarme el cuento de que me equivocaba con tesla yo me equivoco con tesla en mi opinión con tesla porque si ustedes me siguen en la cuenta de toro de arena que se publica o algunos trades bastante exitosos que hemos tenido el último no está éxito es el último está negativo al final del vídeo les voy a contar cómo está esa posición como la estoy gestionando pero finalmente me parece importante hablar de esta burbuja creo que tesla y bitcoin y otro montón ni o nicolás no u otro mont
|
tesla inclusion al sp500 - se acerca el estallido de la burbuja
|
GtvUsFBgIZs
| 2,020
|
GtvUsFBgIZs-0
|
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|
ARENA ALFA
| 847
|
2024-06-01
| 13,419
| 3,457
| 1
|
2020-12-17
|
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GtvUsFBgIZs
| 300
|
finalmente me parece importante hablar de esta burbuja creo que tesla y bitcoin y otro montón ni o nicolás no u otro montón de acciones representan la burbuja que estamos viviendo actualmente pero si quiero dejar aquí digamos las hipótesis de esta burbuja las cifras que quede registro de esta burbuja porque es una burbuja sin precedentes me parece muy interesante entonces entrando en materia pues básicamente tenemos que las acciones de las ruedas de seiscientos treinta y cinco por ciento en lo que va corrido del año como pueden ver un alza parabólica por aquí parecía encontrar piso pero sale una noticia de inclusión al standard and poor's y se disparó ya vamos a hablar un poquito de eso entonces tenemos pues unas acciones que han subido 630 por ciento en el año de gente que piensa que esto apenas está comenzando yo creo que el final está muy cerca que la caída de tesla se aproxima que estamos viendo los techos quizás lo veamos hoy quizás lo veamos mañana con la inclusión al standard and poor's vamos a dejar a que un poquito la hipótesis me gustó mucho este titular millones de americanos pronto tendrán una participación en el suceso de los montes la ellos no lo saben todavía yo creo que esto esto les va a disparar en contra
|
tesla inclusion al sp500 - se acerca el estallido de la burbuja
|
GtvUsFBgIZs
| 2,020
|
GtvUsFBgIZs-1
|
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|
ARENA ALFA
| 847
|
2024-06-01
| 13,419
| 3,457
| 2
|
2020-12-17
|
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GtvUsFBgIZs
| 300
|
ación en el suceso de los montes la ellos no lo saben todavía yo creo que esto esto les va a disparar en contra creo que realmente lo que está pasando con tesla es que van a masificar la burbuja entre todos los americanos todos los que tengan pensiones todos los que estén indexados a un índice está yo creo que la inclusión más significativa de una acción al estándar por el tamaño de la empresa creo que la empresa más grande que ingresó antes de detectar una empresa como de ciento y pico de billones tesla va a ingresar al standard and poor's con una valoración de 600 billones eso es una locura han habido muchas críticas mucha gente se ha quejado diciendo que qué locura cómo es posible que este título vaya a entrar al stand grampus con semejante valoración tan absurda tan burbu lenta pero ahí es donde vuelve a jugar lo que les ha hablado mucho la burbuja de los fondos pasivos del standard and poor's y los que siguen al standard and poor's los 7 efe y los fondos indexados tienen que comprar obligatoriamente tesla es decir los van a obligar a comprar esta acción al precio que sea mañana si mañana la acción por decir cualquier barrabasada se subía a mil dólares estos fondos van a tener
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tesla inclusion al sp500 - se acerca el estallido de la burbuja
|
GtvUsFBgIZs
| 2,020
|
GtvUsFBgIZs-2
|
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|
ARENA ALFA
| 847
|
2024-06-01
| 13,419
| 3,457
| 3
|
2020-12-17
|
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GtvUsFBgIZs
| 300
|
al precio que sea mañana si mañana la acción por decir cualquier barrabasada se subía a mil dólares estos fondos van a tener que salir a comprar a mil dólares esa es la burbuja de los fondos pasivos fondos que no miran él cuando él como él porque ni la valoración sino que simplemente compran porque les toca porque hay flujos de compra y de venta entonces creo que eso va a ser como ese hito en tesla del empacaron esta burbuja a todos los americanos a todos los fondos indexados y la metieron al standard and poor's creo que es una completa locura pero marca un hito histórico para mí existe una posibilidad de que mañana de pronto las acciones con la inclusión ni siquiera suban puede que bajen están estimando los estimados son muy variados dicen que mañana pueden haber flujos de compra entre 50 a 140 billones de dólares en comprar en tela de todos estos fondos indexados que tendrán que salir a comprar eso suena muy grande hecho una cifra muy grande pero tendrás una acción muy líquida te la mueven un día 20 billones de dólares 40 entonces realmente estamos hablando más o menos de 3 a 4 días promedio de negociación de tesla no es tampoco algo muy fuera lo que negocia tela como está tan eufó
|
tesla inclusion al sp500 - se acerca el estallido de la burbuja
|
GtvUsFBgIZs
| 2,020
|
GtvUsFBgIZs-3
|
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|
ARENA ALFA
| 847
|
2024-06-01
| 13,419
| 3,457
| 4
|
2020-12-17
|
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GtvUsFBgIZs
| 300
|
4 días promedio de negociación de tesla no es tampoco algo muy fuera lo que negocia tela como está tan eufórica muy grandes volúmenes yo me pregunto lleva más de un mes desde que se anunció la inclusión ningún fondo está comprando para vender mañana a nadie se espera el corto nadie espera vender yo creo que esto está muy descontado puede que mañana ayuda a 10 por ciento puede que mañana suba 50 por ciento pero también es posible que mañana esto coja y venga la acción ha subido 60 por ciento desde que se anunció la inclusión en el en el índice para mí esto está sumamente descontado pero mañana es donde veremos si esta participación de la burbuja la va a tumbar o la subir hablemos también un poquito de esto que salió recientemente sobre tesla me sorprendió ver a james y morgan advirtiendo sobre la burbuja normalmente estas firmas siempre están apoyando y empujando las burbujas y el hype y morgan dicen que tesla la valoración de tesla es de 90 dólares yo estoy totalmente de acuerdo con yale y morgan creo claro claro si son de tesla es mucho mucho menor pero yo digamos por la euforia por el icono que stella y toda esta cosa le
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tesla inclusion al sp500 - se acerca el estallido de la burbuja
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GtvUsFBgIZs
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GtvUsFBgIZs-4
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|
ARENA ALFA
| 847
|
2024-06-01
| 13,419
| 3,457
| 5
|
2020-12-17
|
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GtvUsFBgIZs
| 300
|
claro si son de tesla es mucho mucho menor pero yo digamos por la euforia por el icono que stella y toda esta cosa le daría un poquito más yo creo que es una acción que puede valer 120 150 dólares con una valoración sumamente optimista para jaypee morgan que es la de caer un 85% para llegar a su precio justo es decir de caer desde aquí hasta donde estaba a principio de año es que ni siquiera lo que es donde está battle a principio de año sino que se le fue una completa locura una euforia una exuberancia irracional entonces para ello simplemente te la debe perder lo ganado este año yo creo que es una acción que puede cotizar por aquí y también tener una fuerte caída en cualquier momento vamos a ver cuando revienta bitcoin igual están 23 mil dólares todo el mundo está loco comprando acciones la burbuja sigue inflando si la burbuja no ha terminado y pues hasta que la burbuja no estalle pues es difícil que te las talles pero yo sí creo que esto está bastante cerca hablemos también de las emisiones de tetla tesla es una empresa que por años ha perdido dinero creo que 2020 por primera vez está ganando dinero pero ya los mosca aprendió algo aprendió a ganar dinero con tesla cómo ganar más dinero con teclas em
|
tesla inclusion al sp500 - se acerca el estallido de la burbuja
|
GtvUsFBgIZs
| 2,020
|
GtvUsFBgIZs-5
|
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|
ARENA ALFA
| 847
|
2024-06-01
| 13,419
| 3,457
| 6
|
2020-12-17
|
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GtvUsFBgIZs
| 300
|
está ganando dinero pero ya los mosca aprendió algo aprendió a ganar dinero con tesla cómo ganar más dinero con teclas emitiendo que es emitir sacar acciones de la nada y vendérselas a la gente entonces ahorita aprovechando esta mega euforia está que lleva tu emisión 5 billones de dólares hace 3 meses llega tu emisión 5 billones de dólares en febrero lleva tu emisión 2 billones de dólares lo que está haciendo tesla es aprovechar la euforia del mercado que paga cualquier precio para venderles venderles emitir acciones esa es una muy mala señal eso es una señal demasiado negativa están sacando más papel aprovechando la euforia que es la sabe que no vale 600 billones pero está aprovechando todos los robin hoover son los eufóricos todos disruptivos del mundo que están comprando y pagando lo que sea y les está metiendo papel para que para conseguir que hagas una jugada muy inteligente de tesla ojalá fuera más agresivo 9 emitido 5 y ahora emitió 15 o 20 billones y aprovechar esa euforia y meterles acciones a todos y empacar las acciones a todos debía haber aprovechado imagínense que para recaudar esto que ha logrado te slam em
|
tesla inclusion al sp500 - se acerca el estallido de la burbuja
|
GtvUsFBgIZs
| 2,020
|
GtvUsFBgIZs-6
|
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|
ARENA ALFA
| 847
|
2024-06-01
| 13,419
| 3,457
| 7
|
2020-12-17
|
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GtvUsFBgIZs
| 300
|
empacar las acciones a todos debía haber aprovechado imagínense que para recaudar esto que ha logrado te slam emisiones vía utilidades este año se tardaría más o menos 20 años así de cara esta tela que para conseguir está este dinero de misiones tardaría 20 años dentro yo lo que digo después hombre tesla aprendió a ganar dinero simplemente emita acciones venda de acciones a la gente quieren acciones venda les más quieres más venda les más aprovecha y gane dinero con eso que ya la gente pues será responsable de la locura que está cometiendo decía kostolany si en el mercado hay más tontos que papel la bolsa a su vez si hay más papel que tontos la bolsa baja sigamos hablando de tesla los cortos dicen que están masacrando los cortos todos están largos pero los cortos los están masacrando los cortos están en mínimos históricos en tela ya no quedan cortos en tela creo que quedó yo y otros cuatro patos muy poquito corto en tela ya digamos la masacre ocurrió hace mucho tiempo tesla llegó a tener el 30 por ciento de su flotante en corto ya tiene una mínima porción en corto hay un indicador que se llama day to cover que es cuánto tardarían en cerrarse todos los cortos en tes
|
tesla inclusion al sp500 - se acerca el estallido de la burbuja
|
GtvUsFBgIZs
| 2,020
|
GtvUsFBgIZs-7
|
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|
ARENA ALFA
| 847
|
2024-06-01
| 13,419
| 3,457
| 8
|
2020-12-17
|
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GtvUsFBgIZs
| 300
|
en corto hay un indicador que se llama day to cover que es cuánto tardarían en cerrarse todos los cortos en tesla tardarían un día es decir en tesla no hay cortos aquí no están masacrando a ningunos cortos porque ya no hay esta gráfica que la pongo mucho sobre tesla la capitalización hoy superó los 600 billones vale más que ford honda bmw w general motors daimler volkswagen y toyota juntos cuál es la diferencia que los ingresos son apenas el 1 por ciento la venta de vehículos de tesla que vale más que todo este asunto está más o menos en el 1 por ciento de lo que venden todos los puntos es una completa locura oit es la valeria general mortors 17 force 28 nissan cotiza a 1.220 años utilidades 12 siglos de utilidades cotizadas tesla y 28 veces los ingresos una completa locura es una valoración de burbuja de tulipán de burbuja puntocom del 2000 absurdo de todo absurdo la valoración de tesla ahorita en 650 dólares el argumento que me dice todo el mundo te es la no en de carro de una empresa tecnológica el 85% de los ingresos de tesla son por venta de carros incluso cuando la comparamos
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tesla inclusion al sp500 - se acerca el estallido de la burbuja
|
GtvUsFBgIZs
| 2,020
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GtvUsFBgIZs-8
|
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|
ARENA ALFA
| 847
|
2024-06-01
| 13,419
| 3,457
| 9
|
2020-12-17
|
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GtvUsFBgIZs
| 300
|
carro de una empresa tecnológica el 85% de los ingresos de tesla son por venta de carros incluso cuando la comparamos con las tecnológicas que ya está aquí ya están las empresas más caras del mundo ya se compara con facebook con google con esto que éste es la tiene unos ingresos de 25 billones gana apenas unos 500 millones de decirte unos márgenes miniaturas facebook que ya casi la va a alcanzar vende 80 billones facebook cotizada 30-40 años de utilidades que es la cotiza 1.200 o sea si la comparo con los carros es una mega hiper burbuja si la comparo con tecnológicas es una burbuja lake de o sea es una burbuja por donde uno la mire si la valuó como tecnológica es burbuja si la ve como empresa de carros de burbuja por donde uno evalúe tesla es una tremenda urbe tesla crece mucho es la compañía la galaxia que más crece el año pasado creció 14% este año crecerá también un 15 a 20 por ciento versus un alza del 630 por ciento no es se justifica por ningún lado el alza con el crecimiento de 3 la burbuja totalmente por ese lado y esta gráfica que me gusta mucho en el último vídeo que hice y
|
tesla inclusion al sp500 - se acerca el estallido de la burbuja
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GtvUsFBgIZs
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