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| r""" | |
| build_group_d.py -> Group D calendar/event features (Data_Schema: COMPUTED from date, not stored). | |
| Encodes the AtmosIQ event reference (festivals, stubble-burning, monsoon, COVID, GRAP, holidays, | |
| heatwave) into a per-DATE feature matrix + grap_stage categorical. Node-independent (broadcast). | |
| Output (called by assemble.py): calendar_num [D, K], grap_stage [D]. | |
| Columns (K): doy_sin doy_cos month_sin month_cos dow_sin dow_cos is_weekend is_holiday | |
| festival_firecracker festival_biomass crop_burning_intensity | |
| days_since_monsoon_onset days_to_monsoon_withdrawal is_monsoon_active | |
| covid_lockdown_intensity heatwave_season | |
| grap_stage: 0..4 categorical (documented anchors; AQI-driven toggling approximated). | |
| NOTE: node-specific events (Kumbh at Prayagraj) are NOT Group D (date-only). Handle separately if needed. | |
| """ | |
| from __future__ import annotations | |
| import numpy as np, pandas as pd | |
| # ---- event dates (from AtmosIQ Group-D reference doc) ---- | |
| DIWALI = {2018:"11-07",2019:"10-27",2020:"11-14",2021:"11-04",2022:"10-24",2023:"11-12",2024:"10-31",2025:"10-20",2026:"11-08"} | |
| DUSSEHRA = {2018:"10-19",2019:"10-08",2020:"10-25",2021:"10-15",2022:"10-05",2023:"10-24",2024:"10-12",2025:"10-02",2026:"10-20"} | |
| HOLI = {2018:"03-02",2019:"03-21",2020:"03-10",2021:"03-29",2022:"03-18",2023:"03-08",2024:"03-25",2025:"03-14",2026:"03-04"} | |
| MONSOON_ONSET = {2018:"05-29",2019:"06-08",2020:"06-01",2021:"06-03",2022:"05-29",2023:"06-08",2024:"05-30",2025:"05-24",2026:"06-04"} | |
| MONSOON_WITHDRAW = {y:f"{y}-10-15" for y in range(2018,2027)} # withdrawal complete ~mid-Oct (doc) | |
| # COVID lockdown intensity (national approximation): date-range -> intensity 0..1 | |
| COVID = [("2020-03-25","2020-04-14",1.0),("2020-04-15","2020-05-03",0.9),("2020-05-04","2020-05-17",0.7), | |
| ("2020-05-18","2020-05-31",0.5),("2020-06-01","2020-10-31",0.25),("2021-04-19","2021-06-07",0.6)] | |
| # GRAP documented anchor blocks (stage active windows); pre-2021 coarse. (year-specific) | |
| GRAP = [("2022-10-05","2022-10-18",1),("2022-10-19","2022-10-28",2),("2022-10-29","2022-11-14",3),("2022-12-04","2022-12-31",3), | |
| ("2023-10-06","2023-11-01",1),("2023-11-02","2023-12-21",3),("2023-12-22","2024-01-01",3), | |
| ("2024-10-22","2024-11-14",2),("2024-11-15","2024-11-17",3),("2024-11-18","2024-12-16",4), | |
| ("2025-10-14","2025-12-12",1),("2025-12-13","2026-01-31",3), | |
| ("2018-11-01","2019-01-31",1),("2019-11-01","2020-01-31",1),("2020-11-01","2021-01-31",1),("2021-10-15","2022-01-31",1)] | |
| def _bump(dts, anchor_mmdd_by_year, sigma=2.0, pre=1, post=1): | |
| """gaussian proximity to a per-year event date (captures ±window).""" | |
| out=np.zeros(len(dts)) | |
| for i,d in enumerate(dts): | |
| y=d.year; mmdd=anchor_mmdd_by_year.get(y) | |
| if not mmdd: continue | |
| ev=pd.Timestamp(f"{y}-{mmdd}"); delta=(d-ev).days | |
| if -pre-3<=delta<=post+3: out[i]=np.exp(-(delta**2)/(2*sigma**2)) | |
| return out | |
| def build(dates): | |
| dts=pd.to_datetime(dates); n=len(dts) | |
| doy=dts.dayofyear.values; mo=dts.month.values; dow=dts.dayofweek.values | |
| two=lambda x,p:(np.sin(2*np.pi*x/p),np.cos(2*np.pi*x/p)) | |
| s1,c1=two(doy,365.25); s2,c2=two(mo,12); s3,c3=two(dow,7) | |
| is_weekend=(dow>=5).astype(float) | |
| # holidays: fixed national + major festival days (low industrial activity) | |
| fixed={(1,26),(8,15),(10,2),(12,25)} | |
| is_holiday=np.array([1.0 if (d.month,d.day) in fixed else 0.0 for d in dts]) | |
| firecracker=np.maximum.reduce([_bump(dts,DIWALI,2.0,1,2), _bump(dts,DUSSEHRA,1.5,0,1)]) # firecracker/effigy | |
| biomass=_bump(dts,HOLI,1.5,1,0) + np.array([1.0 if (d.month,d.day)==(1,13) else 0.0 for d in dts]) # Holi + Lohri | |
| biomass=np.clip(biomass,0,1) | |
| # crop burning: smooth ramp 25 Sep -> 30 Nov, peak 25 Oct-15 Nov | |
| def cb(d): | |
| doyv=d.dayofyear; start,pk0,pk1,end=268,298,319,334 # ~Sep25,Oct25,Nov15,Nov30 | |
| if doyv<start or doyv>end: return 0.0 | |
| if doyv<pk0: return (doyv-start)/(pk0-start) | |
| if doyv<=pk1: return 1.0 | |
| return max(0.0,(end-doyv)/(end-pk1)) | |
| crop=np.array([cb(d) for d in dts]) | |
| # monsoon phase | |
| dso=np.zeros(n); dtw=np.zeros(n); active=np.zeros(n) | |
| for i,d in enumerate(dts): | |
| y=d.year; on=pd.Timestamp(f"{y}-{MONSOON_ONSET[y]}"); wd=pd.Timestamp(MONSOON_WITHDRAW[y]) | |
| dso[i]=np.clip((d-on).days/120.0,-1,2); dtw[i]=np.clip((wd-d).days/120.0,-1,2) | |
| active[i]=1.0 if on<=d<=wd else 0.0 | |
| # covid | |
| covid=np.zeros(n) | |
| for a,b,v in COVID: | |
| m=(dts>=pd.Timestamp(a))&(dts<=pd.Timestamp(b)); covid[m]=np.maximum(covid[m],v) | |
| # heatwave season (Apr-Jun ramp, O3 relevant) | |
| heat=np.array([max(0.0,1-abs(d.dayofyear-135)/60.0) for d in dts]) # peak ~mid-May | |
| # grap_stage categorical | |
| grap=np.zeros(n,dtype=np.int64) | |
| for a,b,st in GRAP: | |
| m=(dts>=pd.Timestamp(a))&(dts<=pd.Timestamp(b)); grap[m]=np.maximum(grap[m],st) | |
| cal=np.column_stack([s1,c1,s2,c2,s3,c3,is_weekend,is_holiday,firecracker,biomass, | |
| crop,dso,dtw,active,covid,heat]).astype(np.float32) # K=16 | |
| return cal, grap | |
| COLS=["doy_sin","doy_cos","month_sin","month_cos","dow_sin","dow_cos","is_weekend","is_holiday", | |
| "festival_firecracker","festival_biomass","crop_burning_intensity", | |
| "days_since_monsoon_onset","days_to_monsoon_withdrawal","is_monsoon_active", | |
| "covid_lockdown_intensity","heatwave_season"] | |
| if __name__=="__main__": | |
| d=pd.date_range("2018-01-01","2026-07-18").strftime("%Y-%m-%d").tolist() | |
| cal,grap=build(d) | |
| print(f"Group D: {cal.shape} num cols + grap_stage (0..{grap.max()})") | |
| import pandas as pd | |
| df=pd.DataFrame(cal,columns=COLS); df["date"]=d; df["grap"]=grap | |
| for c in ["festival_firecracker","crop_burning_intensity","covid_lockdown_intensity"]: | |
| print(f" {c}: nonzero days = {(df[c]>0).sum()}, max {df[c].max():.2f}") | |
| print(" grap_stage counts:", pd.Series(grap).value_counts().sort_index().to_dict()) | |
| print(" Diwali 2021-11-04 firecracker:", round(float(df[df.date=='2021-11-04'].festival_firecracker.iloc[0]),2)) | |
| print(" crop peak 2021-11-01:", round(float(df[df.date=='2021-11-01'].crop_burning_intensity.iloc[0]),2)) |