r""" train_v2.py — AtmosIQ training, faithful to SSL_ROADMAP v1.1 + MODEL_BLUEPRINT v1.1. Three stages (SSL_ROADMAP §0 pipeline): pretrain : masked-reconstruction (pre-pool, masked∧observed §2) + smoothness (§3), subgraph on PRUNED training graph (structural holdout §5). -> encoder ckpt probe : freeze encoder, Linear(d->7), full-graph held-out R² (§7), three-branch verdict finetune : LogStudentTHead (§8), Student-t NLL (horizons 0-3) + physics losses (§9, λ_phys) Auto-config from tensors/meta.json (n_landuse, calendar dim, n_grap). Run (GPU VM): python data\models\train_v2.py --tensors data\tensors --stage all """ from __future__ import annotations import os, sys, json, argparse, pathlib, time import numpy as np, torch, torch.nn as nn, torch.nn.functional as F torch.set_num_threads(os.cpu_count() or 8) sys.path.insert(0, str(pathlib.Path(__file__).resolve().parent)) from model import AtmosIQNet, student_t_nll, ssl_recon_loss from dataset_v2 import AtmosData, ssl_mask, recon_masked def grads_finite(net): for p in net.parameters(): if p.grad is not None and not torch.isfinite(p.grad).all(): return False return True def build_model(meta, dev): n_recon=9+meta["dimsB"]+meta["dimsC_static"]+meta["dimsC_yearly"] # A9 + B + C(static+yearly) cfg={"calendar_num_dim":meta["dimsD_num"],"n_recon_channels":n_recon, "categorical":{"land_use_class":4,"grap_stage":3,"n_landuse":meta["n_landuse"],"n_grap":meta["n_grap"]}} return AtmosIQNet(cfg).to(dev), cfg def smoothness(net, b, gm, h_seq): """§3: ||h_seq(x) - h_seq(x+δ)||² on continuous inputs (δ small Gaussian).""" noisy=[{k:(v+0.1*torch.randn_like(v) if k in ("satellite","meteorology","static_num","calendar_num") else v) for k,v in g.items()} for g in b["groups_t"]] h2=net.encode(noisy, b["ei"], b["e_hat"], b["n_hat"], b["wu"], b["wv"], b["blh"], gm) return ((h_seq-h2)**2).mean() def pretrain(data, net, meta, a, dev): opt=torch.optim.AdamW(net.parameters(), lr=a.lr, weight_decay=1e-4) days=[t for t in range(data.w-1, data.D)] for ep in range(a.ssl_epochs): net.train(); np.random.shuffle(days); tot=0; t0=time.time() used=days[:a.days_per_epoch] if a.days_per_epoch else days for i,t in enumerate(used): nodes,ei,eh,nh=data.subgraph(size=a.subgraph, fold=0) # PRUNED training graph b=data.window(t,nodes,ei,eh,nh) gm=ssl_mask(b["groups_t"]) # 3 modes, Group D never h_seq=net.encode(b["groups_t"],b["ei"],b["e_hat"],b["n_hat"],b["wu"],b["wv"],b["blh"],gm) recon=net.recon(h_seq) # [n,T,30] tgt,obs=data.recon_from_groups(b["groups_t"]) rmask=recon_masked(gm, data.RECON_GROUP).to(dev) L_rec=ssl_recon_loss(recon, tgt, rmask*obs) # masked ∧ observed loss=L_rec if a.lam_smooth>0 and (i % a.smooth_every==0): loss=loss + a.lam_smooth*smoothness(net,b,gm,h_seq) opt.zero_grad() if not torch.isfinite(loss): continue loss.backward() if not grads_finite(net): opt.zero_grad(); continue torch.nn.utils.clip_grad_norm_(net.parameters(), 5.0) opt.step(); tot+=L_rec.item() if (i+1)%a.log_every==0: print(f" [SSL {ep+1}] {i+1}/{len(used)} recon={tot/(i+1):.4f} {(time.time()-t0)/(i+1):.2f}s/it",flush=True) print(f"[SSL {ep+1}/{a.ssl_epochs}] recon_mse={tot/len(used):.4f} {time.time()-t0:.0f}s",flush=True) torch.save(net.state_dict(), pathlib.Path(a.tensors).parent/"encoder_pretrained.pt") print("-> encoder_pretrained.pt") def probe(data, net, meta, a, dev): """§7: freeze encoder, Linear(d->7), FULL-GRAPH held-out R². Three-branch vs M1 XGBoost.""" ck=pathlib.Path(a.tensors).parent/"encoder_pretrained.pt" if ck.exists(): net.load_state_dict(torch.load(ck,map_location=dev)); print("loaded encoder_pretrained.pt") for p in net.parameters(): p.requires_grad=False d=meta.get("d_model",96); lin=nn.Linear(d,7).to(dev) opt=torch.optim.Adam(lin.parameters(), lr=1e-2) all_nodes=torch.arange(data.N,device=data.store) # native to resident store ei=data.ei.to(dev); eh,nh=data.e_hat.to(dev),data.n_hat.to(dev) tr_days=data.target_days(0) import time as _t for ep in range(a.probe_epochs): np.random.shuffle(tr_days); tot=0; t0=_t.time(); dd=tr_days[:a.probe_days] for i,t in enumerate(dd): b=data.window(t, all_nodes, ei, eh, nh) with torch.no_grad(): z=net.encode(b["groups_t"],b["ei"],b["e_hat"],b["n_hat"],b["wu"],b["wv"],b["blh"])[:,-1] pred=lin(z) # [N,7] (horizon-0 proxy) y=b["y"][:,0,:]; m=b["m"][:,0,:]*(data.split==0).float().unsqueeze(-1).to(dev) loss=((pred-torch.log(y.clamp_min(0)+1e-3))**2*m).sum()/m.sum().clamp_min(1) opt.zero_grad(); loss.backward(); opt.step(); tot+=loss.item() if (i+1)%10==0: print(f" [PROBE {ep+1}] {i+1}/{len(dd)} mse={tot/(i+1):.3f} {(_t.time()-t0)/(i+1):.2f}s/it",flush=True) print(f"[PROBE {ep+1}/{a.probe_epochs}] {_t.time()-t0:.0f}s",flush=True) # full-graph held-out eval (§7): every held-out node gets a prediction net.eval(); ys=[];ps=[];ms=[] for t in data.target_days(2)[:a.probe_days]: b=data.window(t, all_nodes, ei, eh, nh) with torch.no_grad(): z=net.encode(b["groups_t"],b["ei"],b["e_hat"],b["n_hat"],b["wu"],b["wv"],b["blh"])[:,-1] pred=lin(z) te=(data.split==2).float().unsqueeze(-1).to(dev) ys.append(torch.log(b["y"][:,0,:].clamp_min(0)+1e-3)); ps.append(pred); ms.append(b["m"][:,0,:]*te) Y=torch.cat(ys);P=torch.cat(ps);M=torch.cat(ms) print("\n§7 LINEAR PROBE — spatial-held-out R² per pollutant:") POLL=["pm2_5","pm10","no2","so2","co","o3","nh3"] refs=json.load(open(a.refs)) if a.refs and os.path.exists(a.refs) else {} for j,pn in enumerate(POLL): mm=M[:,j]>0 if mm.sum()<5: print(f" {pn}: n<5 skip"); continue y=Y[mm,j];p=P[mm,j]; r2=1-((y-p)**2).sum()/((y-y.mean())**2).sum() xg=refs.get(pn,{}).get("xgboost"); tag=f" (xgb {xg:+.2f})" if xg is not None else "" print(f" {pn}: probe R²={r2.item():+.3f}{tag}") print(" branch: FROZEN if probe≥xgboost on PM2.5 ∧ ≥1 sparse; REFUTED if <50% gap; else INCONCLUSIVE") def physics_losses(pred_log, b): """§9 fine-tune physics (ablatable): BLH-trapping + rain washout on horizon-0 PM.""" pm=pred_log[:,0,0] # log pm2_5 horizon 0 blh=b["blh"][-1]; rain=b["groups_t"][-1]["meteorology"][:,7] # era5_rainfall (std) # low BLH -> higher conc: penalize positive corr of pm with BLH (want negative) pm=torch.nan_to_num(pm); blh=torch.nan_to_num(blh); rain=torch.nan_to_num(rain) L_blh=F.relu((pm-pm.mean())*(blh-blh.mean())).mean().clamp(max=10.0) L_rain=F.relu((pm-pm.mean())*(rain-rain.mean())).mean().clamp(max=10.0) return torch.nan_to_num(L_blh+L_rain) def finetune(data, net, meta, a, dev, ylm=None, yls=None): for p in net.parameters(): p.requires_grad=True # unfreeze (probe may have frozen in --stage all) ck=pathlib.Path(a.tensors).parent/"encoder_pretrained.pt" if ck.exists(): net.load_state_dict(torch.load(ck,map_location=dev),strict=False); print("loaded pretrained encoder") opt=torch.optim.AdamW(net.parameters(), lr=a.lr, weight_decay=a.weight_decay) tr=data.target_days(0); va=data.target_days(1); bad=0 trn=(data.split==0).float().view(-1,1,1).to(dev); van=(data.split==1).float().view(-1,1,1).to(dev) best=1e9 for ep in range(a.ft_epochs): net.train(); np.random.shuffle(tr); tot=0; t0=time.time() for i,t in enumerate(tr[:a.days_per_epoch or len(tr)]): nodes,ei,eh,nh=data.subgraph(size=a.subgraph, fold=0) b=data.window(t,nodes,ei,eh,nh) out=net(b["groups_t"],b["ei"],b["e_hat"],b["n_hat"],b["wu"],b["wv"],b["blh"],b["comp"]) nll=student_t_nll(out["mu"],out["log_sigma"],out["nu"],b["y"],b["m"],ylm,yls) phys=physics_losses(out["mu"],b) if a.lam_phys>0 else torch.tensor(0.,device=dev) loss=nll+a.lam_phys*phys opt.zero_grad() if not torch.isfinite(loss): continue # forward guard loss.backward() if not grads_finite(net): # BACKWARD guard (the real culprit) -> skip, no NaN inject opt.zero_grad(); continue torch.nn.utils.clip_grad_norm_(net.parameters(), 5.0) opt.step(); tot+=nll.item() if (i+1)%a.log_every==0: print(f" [FT {ep+1}] {i+1} nll={tot/(i+1):.3f} {(time.time()-t0)/(i+1):.2f}s/it",flush=True) # val (full graph, val nodes) net.eval(); vt=0; alln=torch.arange(data.N,device=data.store) ei_g,eh_g,nh_g=data.ei.to(dev),data.e_hat.to(dev),data.n_hat.to(dev) with torch.no_grad(): for t in va[:a.val_days]: b=data.window(t,alln,ei_g,eh_g,nh_g) out=net(b["groups_t"],b["ei"],b["e_hat"],b["n_hat"],b["wu"],b["wv"],b["blh"],b["comp"]) vt+=student_t_nll(out["mu"],out["log_sigma"],out["nu"],b["y"],b["m"]*van,ylm,yls).item() vm=vt/max(len(va[:a.val_days]),1); print(f"[FT {ep+1}/{a.ft_epochs}] train_nll={tot/len(tr[:a.days_per_epoch or len(tr)]):.3f} val_nll={vm:.3f} {time.time()-t0:.0f}s",flush=True) if vm=a.patience: print(f"early stop (no val improve for {a.patience} epochs)"); break print(f"done. best val_nll={best:.3f} -> atmosiq_best.pt") def main(): ap=argparse.ArgumentParser() ap.add_argument("--tensors",default="data/tensors"); ap.add_argument("--stage",default="all", choices=["pretrain","probe","finetune","all"]) ap.add_argument("--window",type=int,default=7); ap.add_argument("--subgraph",type=int,default=512) ap.add_argument("--ssl_epochs",type=int,default=10); ap.add_argument("--probe_epochs",type=int,default=20) ap.add_argument("--ft_epochs",type=int,default=30); ap.add_argument("--lr",type=float,default=5e-4) ap.add_argument("--lam_smooth",type=float,default=0.1); ap.add_argument("--lam_phys",type=float,default=0.1) ap.add_argument("--smooth_every",type=int,default=4,help="apply smoothness every k steps (speed)") ap.add_argument("--days_per_epoch",type=int,default=0); ap.add_argument("--log_every",type=int,default=100) ap.add_argument("--refs",default="data/models/refs.json") ap.add_argument("--probe_days",type=int,default=60,help="cap full-graph probe train/eval days (speed)") ap.add_argument("--val_days",type=int,default=20,help="cap finetune full-graph val days (speed)") ap.add_argument("--patience",type=int,default=4,help="early-stop if val_nll no improve for N epochs") ap.add_argument("--weight_decay",type=float,default=1e-3,help="stronger reg vs overfit") a=ap.parse_args() dev="cuda" if torch.cuda.is_available() else "cpu"; print("device:",dev) meta=json.load(open(pathlib.Path(a.tensors)/"meta.json")) print(f"config: n_landuse={meta['n_landuse']} dimsD_num={meta['dimsD_num']} n_grap={meta['n_grap']}") data=AtmosData(a.tensors, window=a.window, device=dev) nz=np.load(pathlib.Path(a.tensors)/"norm.npz") ylm=torch.tensor(nz["y_logmean"]).float().to(dev) if "y_logmean" in nz else None yls=torch.tensor(nz["y_logstd"]).float().to(dev) if "y_logstd" in nz else None net,cfg=build_model(meta,dev) print(f"model params: {sum(p.numel() for p in net.parameters()):,}") if a.stage in ("pretrain","all"): pretrain(data,net,meta,a,dev) if a.stage in ("probe","all"): probe(data,net,meta,a,dev) if a.stage in ("finetune","all"): finetune(data,net,meta,a,dev,ylm,yls) if __name__=="__main__": main()