sleeperscio commited on
Commit
da26a5a
·
verified ·
1 Parent(s): 071bd03

Upload 858 markdown files to data/part_2

Browse files
This view is limited to 50 files because it contains too many changes.   See raw diff
Files changed (50) hide show
  1. data/part_2/0009547581.md +271 -0
  2. data/part_2/0022585250.md +263 -0
  3. data/part_2/0038929716.md +30 -0
  4. data/part_2/0046272056.md +1346 -0
  5. data/part_2/0048107139.md +166 -0
  6. data/part_2/0065246442.md +0 -0
  7. data/part_2/0065491817.md +165 -0
  8. data/part_2/0086795411.md +34 -0
  9. data/part_2/0088483240.md +29 -0
  10. data/part_2/0100744003.md +25 -0
  11. data/part_2/0105230449.md +183 -0
  12. data/part_2/0114228201.md +1285 -0
  13. data/part_2/0127680614.md +30 -0
  14. data/part_2/0139672039.md +34 -0
  15. data/part_2/0146982198.md +30 -0
  16. data/part_2/0161329380.md +226 -0
  17. data/part_2/0161693789.md +0 -0
  18. data/part_2/0168979666.md +33 -0
  19. data/part_2/0182251128.md +32 -0
  20. data/part_2/0194256883.md +798 -0
  21. data/part_2/0198361654.md +25 -0
  22. data/part_2/0204770465.md +42 -0
  23. data/part_2/0219925334.md +320 -0
  24. data/part_2/0240558205.md +594 -0
  25. data/part_2/0263754002.md +60 -0
  26. data/part_2/0275663682.md +30 -0
  27. data/part_2/0279421338.md +1204 -0
  28. data/part_2/0279944426.md +30 -0
  29. data/part_2/0283579097.md +346 -0
  30. data/part_2/0288822151.md +1309 -0
  31. data/part_2/0289790596.md +34 -0
  32. data/part_2/0303733455.md +273 -0
  33. data/part_2/0333923335.md +586 -0
  34. data/part_2/0359075530.md +979 -0
  35. data/part_2/0363187075.md +977 -0
  36. data/part_2/0365367704.md +25 -0
  37. data/part_2/0369169362.md +30 -0
  38. data/part_2/0374050780.md +25 -0
  39. data/part_2/0380361659.md +237 -0
  40. data/part_2/0395827562.md +882 -0
  41. data/part_2/0401837588.md +30 -0
  42. data/part_2/0418665256.md +0 -0
  43. data/part_2/0430891262.md +29 -0
  44. data/part_2/0445014673.md +176 -0
  45. data/part_2/0457485811.md +380 -0
  46. data/part_2/0458045372.md +30 -0
  47. data/part_2/0483772714.md +320 -0
  48. data/part_2/0549955926.md +30 -0
  49. data/part_2/0550916300.md +29 -0
  50. data/part_2/0569948384.md +25 -0
data/part_2/0009547581.md ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,271 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ # 2014 Nutrition country profile: Hungary
2
+
3
+ **Source:** gardian_index
4
+ **URL:** https://cgspace.cgiar.org/rest/bitstreams/6ce02e5d-3b66-42b0-92d8-7b4a3f8d0a54/retrieve
5
+ **Language:** English
6
+ **Resource Type:** Brief
7
+ **Release Year:** 2014
8
+ **Rights:** N/A
9
+ **GARDIAN ID:** 103fea2e1671877fbc7e7351e28dc8f2
10
+ **DataNODE ID:** 35623cb0e45ac4dff545e89599a923c6
11
+ **Siever ID:** 33c390df-6e4c-46b2-b59f-3a74923df3e7
12
+ **Token Count:** 992
13
+ **Page Count:** 0
14
+
15
+ ## Keywords
16
+
17
+ birth weight, anaemia, nutrition policies, indicators, stunting, malnutrition, nutrition, trace elements, food supply, children, mortality, poverty, breastfeeding
18
+
19
+ ## Geography
20
+
21
+ - **Regions:** Eastern Europe, Europe, World
22
+ - **Countries:** Hungary
23
+
24
+ ## Content
25
+
26
+ FINANCIAL RESOURCES AND POLICY, LEGISLATION, AND INSTITUTIONAL ARRANGEMENTS
27
+ www.globalnutritionreport.org2014 Nutrition Country Profile
28
+ ECONOMICS AND DEMOGRAPHY
29
+ CHILD ANTHROPOMETRY
30
+ ADOLESCENT AND ADULT NUTRITION STATUS
31
+ Hungary
32
+ WORLD HEALTH ASSEMBLY INDICATORS: PROGRESS AGAINST GLOBAL WHA TARGETS
33
+ Under-5 stunting Under-5 wasting Under-5 overweight WRA anemia, 2011
34
+ NA NA NA Currently off course
35
+ Source: WHO 2014.
36
+ Notes: Currently it is only possible to determine whether a country is on or off course for four of the six WHA targets. The year refers to the most recent data available; on/off-course calculation is based on trend data.
37
+ WRA = women of reproductive age. NA = not available.
38
+ INCOME INEQUALITY
39
+ Gini index, 2000 27
40
+ Source: World Bank 2014.
41
+ Note: 0 = perfect equality, 100 = perfect inequality.
42
+ POPULATION
43
+ Population (000) 9,976 2012
44
+ Under-5 population (000) 491 2012
45
+ Urban (%) 69 2010
46
+ > 65 years (%) 17 2012
47
+ Source: UNPD 2013.
48
+ CHILD ANTHROPOMETRY
49
+ Number of children under 5 affected (000)
50
+ Stunting a NA NA
51
+ Wasting a NA NA
52
+ Overweight a NA NA
53
+ Percentage of children under 5 affected
54
+ Wasting a NA NA
55
+ Severe wasting a NA NA
56
+ Overweight a NA NA
57
+ Low birth weight b 9 2001
58
+ Sources: a UNICEF/WHO/WB 2014; b UNICEF 2014.
59
+ Note: NA = not available.
60
+ ADOLESCENT AND ADULT ANTHROPOMETRY (% POPULATION)
61
+ Adolescent overweight a NA NA
62
+ Adolescent obesity a NA NA
63
+ Women of reproductive age, thinness b NA NA
64
+ Women of reproductive age, short stature b NA NA
65
+ Sources: a WHO 2014; b DHS 2014.
66
+ Note: NA = not available.
67
+ MICRONUTRIENT STATUS OF POPULATION
68
+ Women of reproductive age with anemia a
69
+ Total population affected (000) 560 2011
70
+ Total population affected (%) 24 2011
71
+ Vitamin A deficiency in preschool-age children (%) b 7 NA
72
+ Population classification of iodine nutrition
73
+ (age group 6–12) c
74
+ NA NA
75
+ Sources: a Stevens et al. 2013; b WHO 2009; c WHO 2004.
76
+ Note: NA = not available.
77
+ CHANGES IN STUNTING PREVALENCE OVER TIME, BY WEALTH QUINTILE
78
+ Data not available
79
+ Source: DHS surveys 1990−2011 adapted from Bredenkamp et al. 2014.
80
+ PREVALENCE OF
81
+ UNDER-5 STUNTING (%)
82
+ Data not available
83
+ Source: UNICEF/WHO/WB 2014.
84
+ POVERTY RATES AND GDP
85
+ 1990 2000 2010 2013
86
+ US$1.25/day (%) US$2/day (%) GDP per capita
87
+ PPP ($)
88
+ 0.2
89
+ 0.4
90
+ 17,018 17,737
91
+ 21,998
92
+ 22,146
93
+ Source: World Bank 2014.
94
+ Note: PPP = purchasing power parity.
95
+ UNDER-5 MORTALITY RATE
96
+ Deaths per 1,000 live births
97
+ 19
98
+ 11
99
+ 7 6
100
+ 2012201020001990
101
+ Source: UN Inter-agency Group for Child Mortality Estimation 2013.
102
+ METABOLIC RISK FACTORS FOR DIET-RELATED
103
+ NONCOMMUNICABLE DISEASES, 2008 (%)
104
+ Raised blood pressure Raised blood glucose Raised blood cholesterol
105
+ Both sexes Male Female
106
+ 54
107
+ 9
108
+ 41
109
+ 55
110
+ 11
111
+ 50
112
+ 55
113
+ 10
114
+ 46
115
+ Source: WHO 2014.
116
+ PREVALENCE OF ADULT OVERWEIGHT AND OBESITY, 2008 (%)
117
+ Both sexes
118
+ Male
119
+ Female
120
+ Obesity (BMI ≥ 30)Overweight (BMI ≥ 25)
121
+ 49
122
+ 23
123
+ 66
124
+ 26
125
+ 58
126
+ 25
127
+ Source: WHO 2014.
128
+ Note: BMI = body mass index.
129
+ 1
130
+ INTERVENTION COVERAGE AND CHILD-FEEDING PRACTICES
131
+ UNDERLYING DETERMINANTS
132
+ FINANCIAL RESOURCES AND POLICY, LEGISLATION, AND INSTITUTIONAL ARRANGEMENTS
133
+ ECONOMICS AND DEMOGRAPHY
134
+ CHILD ANTHROPOMETRY
135
+ ADOLESCENT AND ADULT NUTRITION STATUS
136
+ 2014 Nutrition Country Profile
137
+ For complete source information: www.Globalnutritionreport.org/about/technical-notes. © 2014 International Food Policy Research Institute
138
+ Hungary
139
+ INTERVENTION COVERAGE (%)
140
+ Severe acute malnutrition, geographic coverage a NA NA
141
+ Vitamin A supplementation, full coverage b NA NA
142
+ Children under 5 with diarrhea receiving ORS b NA NA
143
+ Immunization coverage, DTP3 b 99 2012
144
+ Iodized salt consumption b NA NA
145
+ Sources: a UNICEF/Coverage Monitoring Network/ACF International 2012; b UNICEF 2014.
146
+ Notes: ORS = oral rehydration salts; DTP3 = 3 doses of combined diphtheria/tetanus/
147
+ pertussis vaccine. NA = not available.
148
+ INFANT AND YOUNG-CHILD FEEDING PRACTICES (% 6–23 MONTHS)
149
+ Minimum acceptable diet NA NA
150
+ Minimum dietary diversity NA NA
151
+ Source: DHS.
152
+ Note: NA = not available.
153
+ GENDER-RELATED DETERMINANTS
154
+ Early childbearing: births by age 18 (%) a NA NA
155
+ Gender Inequality Index (score*) b 0.247 2013
156
+ Gender Inequality Index (country rank) b 45 2013
157
+ Sources: a UNICEF 2014; b UNDP 2014.
158
+ Notes: *0 = low inequality, 1 = high inequality. NA = not available.
159
+ POPULATION DENSITY OF HEALTH WORKERS
160
+ PER 1,000 PEOPLE
161
+ Physicians 2.960 2011
162
+ Nurses and midwives 6.388 2011
163
+ Community health workers NA NA
164
+ Source: WHO 2014.
165
+ Note: NA = not available.
166
+ POLICY AND LEGISLATIVE PROVISIONS
167
+ National implementation of the International
168
+ Code of Marketing of Breast-milk Substitutes a
169
+ Many provisions
170
+ law
171
+ 2014
172
+ Extent of constitutional right to food b Medium-low 2003
173
+ Maternity protection (Convention 183) c Yes 2011
174
+ Wheat fortification legislation d No fortification NA
175
+ Undernutrition mentioned in national develop-
176
+ ment plans and economic growth strategies e
177
+ NA NA
178
+ Sources: a UNICEF 2014; b FAO 2003; c ILO 2013; d FFI 2014; e IDS 2014.
179
+ Note: NA = not available.
180
+ AVAILABILITY AND STAGE OF
181
+ IMPLEMENTATION OF GUIDELINES/
182
+ PROTOCOLS/STANDARDS FOR THE
183
+ MANAGEMENT OF NCDs
184
+ Diabetes
185
+ Available, fully
186
+ implemented
187
+ 2010
188
+ Hypertension
189
+ Available, fully
190
+ implemented
191
+ 2010
192
+ Source: WHO 2014.
193
+ Note: NCDs = noncommunicable diseases.
194
+ CONTINUUM OF CARE (%)
195
+ 99
196
+ 7
197
+ Unmet need for family planning, 1992-1993b
198
+ Continued breastfeeding at 1 yeara
199
+ Initiation of breastfeeding within 1 hour after birtha
200
+ Skilled attendant at birth, 2010a
201
+ Antenatal care (4+ visits)a
202
+ Sources: a UNICEF 2014; b UNPD 2014.
203
+ RATE OF EXCLUSIVE BREASTFEEDING
204
+ OF INFANTS UNDER 6 MONTHS (%)
205
+ Data not available
206
+ Source: UNICEF 2014.
207
+ FOOD SUPPLY
208
+ Undernourishment (%):
209
+ data for 1991, 2000,
210
+ 2010, 2014
211
+ Available calories
212
+ from nonstaples (%):
213
+ data for 1991, 2000,
214
+ 2009
215
+ Availability of fruits and
216
+ vegetables (grams):
217
+ data for 1990, 2000,
218
+ 2010, 2011
219
+ 1991 2000 2010 2014
220
+ 69
221
+ 70
222
+ 71
223
+ 437
224
+ 496
225
+ 364
226
+ 437
227
+ Source: FAOSTAT 2014.
228
+ FEMALE SECONDARY
229
+ EDUCATION ENROLLMENT (%)
230
+ 88
231
+ 97 99 101
232
+ 2012201020001990
233
+ Source: UNESCO Institute for Statistics 2014.
234
+ GOVERNMENT EXPENDITURES (%)
235
+ 1990 2000 2010 2012
236
+ Health
237
+ Education
238
+ Social protection
239
+ Agriculture
240
+ 2.7
241
+ 10.4 10.45.4
242
+ 11.0 11.3
243
+ 35.9
244
+ 31.2 35.9
245
+ 7.0
246
+ 3.3
247
+ 0.9
248
+ Source: IFPRI 2014.
249
+ SCALING UP NUTRITION (SUN) COUNTRY
250
+ INSTITUTIONAL TRANSFORMATIONS, 2014 (%)
251
+ Data not available
252
+ Source: SUN 2014.
253
+ IMPROVED DRINKING WATER COVERAGE (%)
254
+ 87 92
255
+ 9 74 1
256
+ 1990 2000 2012
257
+ Piped on premises
258
+ Other improved
259
+ Unimproved
260
+ Surface water
261
+ Source: WHO/UNICEF JMP 2014.
262
+ IMPROVED SANITATION COVERAGE (%)
263
+ 100 100 100
264
+ 1990 2000 2012
265
+ Improved facilities
266
+ Shared facilities
267
+ Unimproved facilities
268
+ Open defecation
269
+ Source: WHO/UNICEF JMP 2014.
270
+ 2
271
+
data/part_2/0022585250.md ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,263 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ # World food trends and future food security: meeting tomorrow's food needs without exploiting the environment
2
+
3
+ **Source:** gardian_index
4
+ **URL:** https://cgspace.cgiar.org/rest/bitstreams/7aa6c365-4b6b-46c7-b90d-bca23dbc2966/retrieve
5
+ **Language:** English
6
+ **Resource Type:** Brief
7
+ **Release Year:** 1994
8
+ **Rights:** N/A
9
+ **GARDIAN ID:** e5159d21fc134511be4bbeb3fbb25045
10
+ **DataNODE ID:** f4ee00a054875ed4a6cf16b45f795cc8
11
+ **Siever ID:** 391df0e3-93ed-4063-9d3e-fc9d8e30af5c
12
+ **Token Count:** 1459
13
+ **Page Count:** 0
14
+
15
+ ## Keywords
16
+
17
+ food supply, forecasting, food security, world, food, trends, needs, environment, production, population, prediction, hunger
18
+
19
+ ## Description
20
+
21
+ In World Food Trends and Future Food Security, an IFPRI Food Policy Statement, Director General Per Pinstrup-Andersen looks at recent world food trends and asks if the positive production trends of the past 30 years are likely to continue. Or, as 100 million new people are added to the world's population each year, will Malthus' prediction of increasing food scarcity come true? Will food scarcity, hunger, and disease related to malnutrition become even more widespread in the next 20-30 years?
22
+
23
+ ## Content
24
+
25
+ INTERNATIONAL
26
+ FOOD
27
+ POLICY
28
+ RESEARCH
29
+ IN&ITUTE
30
+ NUMBER 18 MARCH 1994
31
+ WORLD FOOD TRENDS AND FUTURE FOOD SECURITY
32
+ MEETING TOMORROW'S FOOD NEEDS
33
+ WITHOUT EXPLOITING THE ENVIRONMENT Per Pinstrup-Andersen
34
+ Malthus never fully anticipated the mlr­
35
+ ades of technological innovation, which,
36
+ despite population doubling and re­
37
+ doubling, have so far kept at bay the
38
+ threat of food supplies falling below the
39
+ level where life can be sustained. In­
40
+ stead, the 1980s saw a near balance in
41
+ growth of population and per capita
42
+ food production in many regions: in
43
+ fact, for the world as a whole, per cap­
44
+ ita food production increased by 5 per­
45
+ cent. Yields of major cereals have more
46
+ than doubled in the past few decades.
47
+ Today more than 700 million
48
+ people in developing
49
+ countries do not have access
50
+ to sufficient food to lead
51
+ healthy, productive lives.
52
+ As a consequence, marveling at
53
+ the miracle of the "green revolution"
54
+ has given way to a complacent assur­
55
+ ance that technological innovation will
56
+ always be able to conjure up adequate
57
+ supplies to feed a growing population.
58
+ Many countries and institutions have
59
+ even begun to cut back their invest­
60
+ ment in the very agricultural research
61
+ that has made it possible to feed the
62
+ world in the past.
63
+ In World Food Trends and Future
64
+ Food Security, an IFPRI Food Policy
65
+ Report, Director General Per Pinstrup­
66
+ Andersen looks at recent world food
67
+ trends and asks if the positive produc­
68
+ tion trends of the past 30 years are
69
+ likely to continue. Or, as 1 00 million
70
+ new people are added io the world's
71
+ population each year, will Malthus' pre­
72
+ diction of increasing food scarcity
73
+ come true? Will food scarcity, hunger,
74
+ and disease related to malnutrition be­
75
+ come even more widespread in the
76
+ next 20-30 years?
77
+ Overall positive trends disguise
78
+ wide disparities in production and dis­
79
+ tribution of food among regions. Today
80
+ more than 700 million people in devel­
81
+ oping countries do not have access to
82
+ sufficient food to lead healthy, produc­
83
+ tive lives. More than 180 million chil­
84
+ dren are underweight. As many as
85
+ 500,000 preschool children go blind
86
+ each year as a result of vitamin A defi­
87
+ ciency. Lack of micronutrients such as
88
+ vitamin A and iron not only causes suf­
89
+ fering and death but also cuts deeply
90
+ into productivity. Through research
91
+ and policy, diets could be changed to
92
+ eliminate much of this suffering.
93
+ Although enough food is now be­
94
+ ing produced to feed everyone if it
95
+ were evenly distributed, access to ade­
96
+ quate food is largely governed by in­
97
+ come. Of the 1.1 billion poor people in
98
+ developing countries in 1990, 50 per­
99
+ cent were in South Asia, 19 percent in
100
+ Sub-Saharan Africa, 15 percent in East
101
+ Asia, and 1 0 percent in Latin America.
102
+ In South Asia and Africa, 50 percent of
103
+ the regions' populations live in poverty.
104
+ While significant reductions are ex­
105
+ pected in both South and East Asia,
106
+ the poor in Africa are expected to in­
107
+ crease by 40 percent by the year 2000.
108
+ YIELD GAINS ARE KEY
109
+ Although food production increases of
110
+ 30 percent in the 1 980s seem impres­
111
+ sive, they are less so in the light of
112
+ population growth. On a per capita ba­
113
+ sis, 75 developing countries produced
114
+ less food per person at the end of the
115
+ 1980s than at the beginning. Except in
116
+ Africa, 80 percent of the production
117
+ gains came from increased yields in
118
+ major cereal crops. The area cultivated
119
+ has actually begun to decline in some
120
+ regions. From now on, however, even
121
+ Africa, which has always relied on cul­
122
+ tivation of new land for produ9tion in­
123
+ creases, will have to count on yield
124
+ gains or pay high financial and ecologi­
125
+ cal costs for expansion into areas not
126
+ yet cultivated.
127
+ On a per capita basis, 75
128
+ developing countries
129
+ produced less food per
130
+ person at the end of the
131
+ 1980s than at the beginning.
132
+ Yield trends have climbed steadily
133
+ upward in all major cereals since the
134
+ 1960s, but some experts detect a ta­
135
+ pering off. In China, for example, rice
136
+ yield growth rates have slowed from
137
+ more than 4 percent a year in the late
138
+ 1970s to about 1.6 percent a year dur­
139
+ ing the 1980s. Stagnation between
140
+ 1980 and 1993 in per capita grain pro­
141
+ duction in developing countries is
142
+ causing concern because factors in
143
+ 1200 SEVENTEENTH STREET, N.W. • WASHINGTON, D.C. 20036-3097 • U.S.A. 1-202/862-5600 • FAX 1-202/467-4439 • E-MAIL IFPRI@CGNET.COM
144
+ addition to population growth are push­
145
+ ing up demand. Expected growth in
146
+ world feedgrain demand is more than
147
+ twice the expected population growth.
148
+ Failure to invest in agricultural
149
+ research today will show up in
150
+ production shortfalls 1 0-20
151
+ years from now.
152
+ For more than 50 years food sup­
153
+ plies have been sufficient to assure
154
+ that international food prices increased
155
+ less than other prices. Recent projec­
156
+ tions indicate that real food prices are
157
+ unlikely to increase significantly during
158
+ the remainder of the 1990s. Low food
159
+ prices in the world market do not nec­
160
+ essarily mean that more people will be
161
+ fed, however. Poor people cannot ex­
162
+ press their demand for food because
163
+ they cannot afford to buy it. More than
164
+ 1 billion people live in households that
165
+ earn less than a dollar a day per per­
166
+ son. Clearly, they are not in a position
167
+ to convert their food needs to effective
168
+ market demand. Since price is a prod­
169
+ uct of both food supplies and economic
170
+ demand, low prices indicate the per­
171
+ sistence of poverty and a lack of suffi­
172
+ cient purchasing power as well as in­
173
+ creasing food production.
174
+ If a sustainable balance between
175
+ world food production and food needs
176
+ (as opposed to food demand) is to be
177
+ achieved in the coming years, four
178
+ conditions must be met: (1) Economic
179
+ growth must resume in the developing
180
+ world, especially in Sub-Saharan Africa;
181
+ (2) effective policies to reduce popula-
182
+ tion growth and to slow rural-to-urban
183
+ migration must be adopted; (3) re­
184
+ sources must be committed to devel­
185
+ opment of rural infrastructure, to con­
186
+ tinuation of international and national
187
+ agricultural research, and to provision
188
+ of credit and technical assistance to
189
+ give farmers access to modern inputs;
190
+ and (4) measures must be .developed
191
+ to manage natural resources and to
192
+ prevent environmental degradation.
193
+ NO TIME FOR
194
+ COMPLACENCY
195
+ At this point, international real food
196
+ prices are low, food surpluses exist in
197
+ developed countries, and there is rea­
198
+ son to believe that former Soviet Union
199
+ countries will increase their food pro­
200
+ duction in the decade to come. Yields
201
+ of wheat, rice, and maize are still in­
202
+ creasing in Asia and parts of Latin
203
+ America although at a lower rate than
204
+ before. All of these positive signs have
205
+ caused developed countries to reduce
206
+ their support for developing-country
207
+ agriculture, including investment in re­
208
+ search and technology.
209
+ . . . large areas of land are
210
+ being degraded and
211
+ deforested, largely due to
212
+ poverty, population growth,
213
+ and limited access to
214
+ appropriate technology.
215
+ Although the overall picture is
216
+ bright, about 700 million people are
217
+ food insecure today, and tomorrow
218
+ does not look so promising. Population
219
+ in Sub-Saharan Africa is expected to
220
+ grow at 3 percent a year and food
221
+ production at less than 2 percent. If
222
+ current trends in population growth
223
+ and food production continue, by the
224
+ year 2020, the World Bank estimates
225
+ that Africa alone will have a food short­
226
+ age of 250 million tons. And poverty
227
+ and the numbers of underfed children
228
+ will grow accordingly. Though less se­
229
+ vere, shortages are also likely in South
230
+ Asia. At the same time, large areas of
231
+ land are being degraded and defor­
232
+ ested, largely due to poverty, popula­
233
+ tion growth, and limited access to ap­
234
+ propriate technology.
235
+ Now is not the time for compla­
236
+ cency. Malthus' predictions have failed
237
+ to materialize so far because science
238
+ has been used to expand food produc­
239
+ tion. Failure to invest in agricultural re­
240
+ search today will show up in production
241
+ shortfalls 1 0-20 years from now. If en­
242
+ vironmental degradation continues un­
243
+ checked, shortfalls could occur much
244
+ sooner. But even if food supplies con­
245
+ tinue to be adequate to meet global
246
+ demand at low prices, complacency is
247
+ not in order. Unless more food is pro­
248
+ duced by the poor in the developing
249
+ countries where large increases in
250
+ population and poverty are expected,
251
+ food insecurity and its toll in human
252
+ misery will continue to increase. To
253
+ avoid future food crises, adequate in­
254
+ vestments in the components of agri­
255
+ cultural development such as rural in­
256
+ frastructure, research, and technology
257
+ must be made today.
258
+ Please send me the Food Policy Report, World Food Trends and Future Food Security, by Per Pinstrup-Andersen.
259
+ Organization--------------------------------------
260
+ Add~ss ________________________________________________________________________ ___
261
+ Publications are sent free of charge by surface airlift; allow three to four weeks for delivery. If you wish to receive a copy outside the United States within
262
+ two weeks, please enclose a check for US$3.00 to cover airmail/first class postage.
263
+
data/part_2/0038929716.md ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,30 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ # Agricultural trade and trade integration in the East African community
2
+
3
+ **Source:** gardian_index
4
+ **URL:** https://cgspace.cgiar.org/rest/bitstreams/38958584-cc47-46eb-b05c-4531bc83636e/retrieve
5
+ **Language:** English
6
+ **Resource Type:** Scientific Publication
7
+ **Release Year:** 2023
8
+ **Rights:** CC-BY
9
+ **GARDIAN ID:** 0d5f910133e7fa1f80643e5ac33fe8ea
10
+ **DataNODE ID:** 947107654e8c8e79d7d4f079d2eda662
11
+ **Siever ID:** b7af948a-2f2c-4f63-bd56-096cae81a494
12
+ **Token Count:** 311
13
+ **Page Count:** 0
14
+
15
+ ## Keywords
16
+
17
+ income, economic aspects, production, policies, investment, employment, regional planning, agriculture, trade, developing countries, trade agreements, democratic republic of the congo
18
+
19
+ ## Geography
20
+
21
+ - **Regions:** Eastern Africa, Sub-Saharan Africa, Africa, World, Northern Africa, Southern Africa, Western Africa
22
+ - **Countries:** Uganda, Tanzania, Sudan, Rwanda, Kenya, Burundi
23
+
24
+ ## Description
25
+
26
+ The East African Community (EAC) is a regional intergovernmental organization of seven partner states, comprising Burundi, Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC), Kenya, Rwanda, South Sudan, Tanzania, and Uganda, with its headquarters in Arusha, Tanzania. Like other regional trade agreements (RTAs), the EAC pursues economic and political objectives through regional integration. As Eken (1979) explains, there are two main justifications for regional integration, especially for developing countries. First, for economic reasons, regional integration may provide an important instrument of economic growth. Removing barriers to the free movement of goods, labor, and capital between countries leads to the expansion of trade, and therefore of incomes and employment. Large economic entities with their larger markets (people and space) should permit economies of scale in production, leading to an efficient allocation of resources (capital and labor) and attracting substantial foreign direct investment. Second, for political purposes, establishing regional economic communities (RECs) strengthens collective self-reliance and is therefore expected to reinforce the political independence of groups of countries and enlarge their economic and political role in international relations, a point especially important for developing countries. This chapter addresses five main issues concerning the EAC. It first presents the EAC’s origin and main achievements, and then highlights the EAC’s agricultural trade performance relative to other RECs in Africa by comparing agricultural trade indicators, assessing the composition of trade, and identifying the main destinations/origins of agricultural exports/imports across RECs. This section also compares the level of trade integration in the EAC to that of other African RECs to determine its main agricultural comparative advantages. The same analysis is then repeated at the country level. The following section assesses the magnitude of formal (registered) and informal cross-border agricultural trade within the EAC, discusses the factors of trade integration, and highlights the role of tariff and nontariff measures (NTMs), logistic performance, and exchange rates. The final section offers conclusions.
27
+
28
+ ## Content
29
+
30
+ The East African Community (EAC) is a regional intergovernmental organization of seven partner states, comprising Burundi, Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC), Kenya, Rwanda, South Sudan, Tanzania, and Uganda, with its headquarters in Arusha, Tanzania. Like other regional trade agreements (RTAs), the EAC pursues economic and political objectives through regional integration. As Eken (1979) explains, there are two main justifications for regional integration, especially for developing countries. First, for economic reasons, regional integration may provide an important instrument of economic growth. Removing barriers to the free movement of goods, labor, and capital between countries leads to the expansion of trade, and therefore of incomes and employment. Large economic entities with their larger markets (people and space) should permit economies of scale in production, leading to an efficient allocation of resources (capital and labor) and attracting substantial foreign direct investment. Second, for political purposes, establishing regional economic communities (RECs) strengthens collective self-reliance and is therefore expected to reinforce the political independence of groups of countries and enlarge their economic and political role in international relations, a point especially important for developing countries. This chapter addresses five main issues concerning the EAC. It first presents the EAC’s origin and main achievements, and then highlights the EAC’s agricultural trade performance relative to other RECs in Africa by comparing agricultural trade indicators, assessing the composition of trade, and identifying the main destinations/origins of agricultural exports/imports across RECs. This section also compares the level of trade integration in the EAC to that of other African RECs to determine its main agricultural comparative advantages. The same analysis is then repeated at the country level. The following section assesses the magnitude of formal (registered) and informal cross-border agricultural trade within the EAC, discusses the factors of trade integration, and highlights the role of tariff and nontariff measures (NTMs), logistic performance, and exchange rates. The final section offers conclusions.
data/part_2/0046272056.md ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,1346 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ # Guatemala, Strengthening and Evaluation of the Hogares Comunitarios Program in Guatemala City, 1999
2
+
3
+ **Source:** gardian_index
4
+ **URL:** https://dataverse.harvard.edu/api/access/datafile/:persistentId/?persistentId=doi:10.7910/DVN/GWWWEU/27A8VZ
5
+ **Language:** English
6
+ **Resource Type:** Dataset / Tabular
7
+ **Release Year:** 2001
8
+ **Rights:** CC-BY-NC
9
+ **GARDIAN ID:** dae842606311f84f5dfa16cf9138d025
10
+ **DataNODE ID:** 034fd15f1f68794cce1bbac6a75508c0
11
+ **Siever ID:** dd251863-c15f-420e-90b8-e1b9aa1f3244
12
+ **Token Count:** 2589
13
+ **Page Count:** 0
14
+
15
+ ## Keywords
16
+
17
+ impact assessment, anthropometry, gender, women, guatemala, central america, social capital, child care, household income, development policies, evaluation, assessment
18
+
19
+ ## Geography
20
+
21
+ - **Regions:** Southern Asia, Asia, World, Central America, Latin America and the Caribbean, Americas, Northern America
22
+ - **Countries:** United States of America, Guatemala, Bangladesh
23
+
24
+ ## Description
25
+
26
+ <br>This survey was designed to provide a qualitative and quantitative assessment of the operations and impact of the Hogares Comunitarios program, a day care program under the auspices of the office of the First Lady of Guatemala. Two surveys were carried out: a random sample of 1340 households in one municipio of Guatemala City; and an impact evaluation sample of 550 households divided into participating and control households. Topics in the random sample survey include mother's income and employment status and history; assets; social capital; literacy and schooling; children under seven and mother's anthropometry; household composition, child care arrangements; family history; and hygiene spot check. Topics in the impact evaluation sample survey include household income; employment; household value of consumed goods; assets; social capital; literacy and schooling; morbidity of children 2-5 years old; anthropometry of 2-5 year olds and mother; household composition; child care arrangements; hamily history; hygiene spot check; house construction material; availability of water, sanitation, garbage-removal services; and child's diet.
27
+ </br>
28
+ <br>This dataset, along with the KwaZulu-Natal Income Dynamics Survey dataset and the Bangladesh Commercial Vegetable and Fish Polyculture Production dataset, were collected with the objective of examining to what extent intrahousehold allocation processes would affect the outcome of development policies, with particular emphasis on gender as a determinant of intrahousehold allocation. Because the data were designed to make some analyses comparable across countries, several modules are si
29
+ milar for all three datasets. The common modules include: information on assets at marriage of husband and wife, family background information, individual education and anthropometric data. Other modules are different because each country study has a different emphasis. See Table 1 (PDF 65K) for a comparison of these datasets.
30
+ </br>
31
+
32
+ ## Content
33
+
34
+ Formulario 10a. Preparaciones en el hogar comunitario ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ 1
35
+ INCAP/IFPRI/Programa de Hogares Comunitarios 1999 Hogar Niño Niño Niño Niño Niño B/C
36
+
37
+ Página __ __ de __ __
38
+ Nombre de la cuidadora _________________________________________________________ Nombre de la madre _________________________________________________________
39
+
40
+
41
+ Fecha de la observación (d-m-a)
42
+
43
+ / /
44
+
45
+ Identificación de la Encuestadora
46
+
47
+
48
+
49
+ No.
50
+
51
+ 5. No. de
52
+ orden de la
53
+ prep.
54
+
55
+ 6. Código de la
56
+ preparación
57
+
58
+ Nombre de la
59
+ Preparación
60
+
61
+
62
+ 7. Peso del
63
+ recipiente
64
+
65
+ 8. Peso prep.
66
+ lista para comer
67
+ c/recip.
68
+
69
+ 9. Código de Ingrediente
70
+ Ingrediente
71
+
72
+ 10. Peso
73
+ bruto
74
+
75
+ 11. Peso
76
+ neto
77
+
78
+ 1
79
+
80
+
81
+
82
+ __ __ __ __ __
83
+
84
+
85
+
86
+ __ __ __ __
87
+
88
+ __ __ __ __ __
89
+
90
+ __ __ __ __ __
91
+
92
+ __ __ __ __
93
+
94
+ __ __ __ __
95
+
96
+ 2
97
+
98
+
99
+
100
+ __ __ __ __ __
101
+
102
+
103
+
104
+ __ __ __ __
105
+
106
+ __ __ __ __ __
107
+
108
+ __ __ __ __ __
109
+
110
+ __ __ __ __
111
+
112
+ __ __ __ __
113
+
114
+ 3
115
+
116
+
117
+
118
+ __ __ __ __ __
119
+
120
+
121
+
122
+ __ __ __ __
123
+
124
+ __ __ __ __ __
125
+
126
+ __ __ __ __ __
127
+
128
+ __ __ __ __
129
+
130
+ __ __ __ __
131
+
132
+ 4
133
+
134
+
135
+
136
+ __ __ __ __ __
137
+
138
+
139
+
140
+ __ __ __ __
141
+
142
+ __ __ __ __ __
143
+
144
+ __ __ __ __ __
145
+
146
+ __ __ __ __
147
+
148
+ __ __ __ __
149
+
150
+ 5
151
+
152
+
153
+
154
+ __ __ __ __ __
155
+
156
+
157
+
158
+ __ __ __ __
159
+
160
+ __ __ __ __ __
161
+
162
+ __ __ __ __ __
163
+
164
+ __ __ __ __
165
+
166
+ __ __ __ __
167
+
168
+ 6
169
+
170
+
171
+
172
+ __ __ __ __ __
173
+
174
+
175
+
176
+ __ __ __ __
177
+
178
+ __ __ __ __ __
179
+
180
+ __ __ __ __ __
181
+
182
+ __ __ __ __
183
+
184
+ __ __ __ __
185
+
186
+ 7
187
+
188
+
189
+
190
+ __ __ __ __ __
191
+
192
+
193
+
194
+ __ __ __ __
195
+
196
+ __ __ __ __ __
197
+
198
+ __ __ __ __ __
199
+
200
+ __ __ __ __
201
+
202
+ __ __ __ __
203
+
204
+ 8
205
+
206
+
207
+
208
+ __ __ __ __ __
209
+
210
+
211
+
212
+ __ __ __ __
213
+
214
+ __ __ __ __ __
215
+
216
+ __ __ __ __ __
217
+
218
+ __ __ __ __
219
+
220
+ __ __ __ __
221
+
222
+ 9
223
+
224
+
225
+
226
+ __ __ __ __ __
227
+
228
+
229
+
230
+ __ __ __ __
231
+
232
+ __ __ __ __ __
233
+
234
+ __ __ __ __ __
235
+
236
+ __ __ __ __
237
+
238
+ __ __ __ __
239
+
240
+ 10
241
+
242
+
243
+
244
+ __ __ __ __ __
245
+
246
+
247
+
248
+ __ __ __ __
249
+
250
+ __ __ __ __ __
251
+
252
+ __ __ __ __ __
253
+
254
+ __ __ __ __
255
+
256
+ __ __ __ __
257
+
258
+ 11
259
+
260
+
261
+
262
+ __ __ __ __ __
263
+
264
+
265
+
266
+ __ __ __ __
267
+
268
+ __ __ __ __ __
269
+
270
+ __ __ __ __ __
271
+
272
+ __ __ __ __
273
+
274
+ __ __ __ __
275
+
276
+ 12
277
+
278
+
279
+
280
+ __ __ __ __ __
281
+
282
+
283
+
284
+ __ __ __ __
285
+
286
+ __ __ __ __ __
287
+
288
+ __ __ __ __ __
289
+
290
+ __ __ __ __
291
+
292
+ __ __ __ __
293
+
294
+ 13
295
+
296
+
297
+
298
+ __ __ __ __ __
299
+
300
+
301
+
302
+ __ __ __ __
303
+
304
+ __ __ __ __ __
305
+
306
+ __ __ __ __ __
307
+
308
+ __ __ __ __
309
+
310
+ __ __ __ __
311
+
312
+ 14
313
+
314
+
315
+
316
+ __ __ __ __ __
317
+
318
+
319
+
320
+ __ __ __ __
321
+
322
+ __ __ __ __ __
323
+
324
+ __ __ __ __ __
325
+
326
+ __ __ __ __
327
+
328
+ __ __ __ __
329
+
330
+ Abreviaturas= Libra: lb. Onza: oz. Gramos: gr. Cuch. sopera: cda. Cucharita: cdta. Pequeño: p. Mediano: m. Grande: g. Manojo: mjo. Pedazo: pzo. Paquete:paq.
331
+ 9 enero 99
332
+
333
+ Formulario 10b. Preparaciones en el lugar de cuidado del niño control ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ 2
334
+ INCAP/IFPRI/Programa de Hogares Comunitarios 1999 Hogar Niño B/C
335
+
336
+ Página __ __ de __ __
337
+ Nombre de la cuidadora _________________________________________________________ Nombre de la madre _________________________________________________________
338
+
339
+
340
+ Fecha de la observación (d-m-a)
341
+
342
+ / /
343
+
344
+ Identificación de la Encuestadora
345
+
346
+
347
+
348
+ No.
349
+
350
+ 5. No. de
351
+ orden de la
352
+ prep.
353
+
354
+ 6. Código de la
355
+ preparación
356
+
357
+ Nombre de la
358
+ Preparación
359
+
360
+
361
+ 7. Peso del
362
+ recipiente
363
+
364
+ 8. Peso prep.
365
+ lista para comer
366
+ c/recip.
367
+
368
+ 9. Código de Ingrediente
369
+ Ingrediente
370
+
371
+ 10. Peso
372
+ bruto
373
+
374
+ 11. Peso
375
+ neto
376
+
377
+ 1
378
+
379
+
380
+
381
+ __ __ __ __ __
382
+
383
+
384
+
385
+ __ __ __ __
386
+
387
+ __ __ __ __ __
388
+
389
+ __ __ __ __ __
390
+
391
+ __ __ __ __
392
+
393
+ __ __ __ __
394
+
395
+ 2
396
+
397
+
398
+
399
+ __ __ __ __ __
400
+
401
+
402
+
403
+ __ __ __ __
404
+
405
+ __ __ __ __ __
406
+
407
+ __ __ __ __ __
408
+
409
+ __ __ __ __
410
+
411
+ __ __ __ __
412
+
413
+ 3
414
+
415
+
416
+
417
+ __ __ __ __ __
418
+
419
+
420
+
421
+ __ __ __ __
422
+
423
+ __ __ __ __ __
424
+
425
+ __ __ __ __ __
426
+
427
+ __ __ __ __
428
+
429
+ __ __ __ __
430
+
431
+ 4
432
+
433
+
434
+
435
+ __ __ __ __ __
436
+
437
+
438
+
439
+ __ __ __ __
440
+
441
+ __ __ __ __ __
442
+
443
+ __ __ __ __ __
444
+
445
+ __ __ __ __
446
+
447
+ __ __ __ __
448
+
449
+ 5
450
+
451
+
452
+
453
+ __ __ __ __ __
454
+
455
+
456
+
457
+ __ __ __ __
458
+
459
+ __ __ __ __ __
460
+
461
+ __ __ __ __ __
462
+
463
+ __ __ __ __
464
+
465
+ __ __ __ __
466
+
467
+ 6
468
+
469
+
470
+
471
+ __ __ __ __ __
472
+
473
+
474
+
475
+ __ __ __ __
476
+
477
+ __ __ __ __ __
478
+
479
+ __ __ __ __ __
480
+
481
+ __ __ __ __
482
+
483
+ __ __ __ __
484
+
485
+ 7
486
+
487
+
488
+
489
+ __ __ __ __ __
490
+
491
+
492
+
493
+ __ __ __ __
494
+
495
+ __ __ __ __ __
496
+
497
+ __ __ __ __ __
498
+
499
+ __ __ __ __
500
+
501
+ __ __ __ __
502
+
503
+ 8
504
+
505
+
506
+
507
+ __ __ __ __ __
508
+
509
+
510
+
511
+ __ __ __ __
512
+
513
+ __ __ __ __ __
514
+
515
+ __ __ __ __ __
516
+
517
+ __ __ __ __
518
+
519
+ __ __ __ __
520
+
521
+ 9
522
+
523
+
524
+
525
+ __ __ __ __ __
526
+
527
+
528
+
529
+ __ __ __ __
530
+
531
+ __ __ __ __ __
532
+
533
+ __ __ __ __ __
534
+
535
+ __ __ __ __
536
+
537
+ __ __ __ __
538
+
539
+ 10
540
+
541
+
542
+
543
+ __ __ __ __ __
544
+
545
+
546
+
547
+ __ __ __ __
548
+
549
+ __ __ __ __ __
550
+
551
+ __ __ __ __ __
552
+
553
+ __ __ __ __
554
+
555
+ __ __ __ __
556
+
557
+ 11
558
+
559
+
560
+
561
+ __ __ __ __ __
562
+
563
+
564
+
565
+ __ __ __ __
566
+
567
+ __ __ __ __ __
568
+
569
+ __ __ __ __ __
570
+
571
+ __ __ __ __
572
+
573
+ __ __ __ __
574
+
575
+ 12
576
+
577
+
578
+
579
+ __ __ __ __ __
580
+
581
+
582
+
583
+ __ __ __ __
584
+
585
+ __ __ __ __ __
586
+
587
+ __ __ __ __ __
588
+
589
+ __ __ __ __
590
+
591
+ __ __ __ __
592
+
593
+ 13
594
+
595
+
596
+
597
+ __ __ __ __ __
598
+
599
+
600
+
601
+ __ __ __ __
602
+
603
+ __ __ __ __ __
604
+
605
+ __ __ __ __ __
606
+
607
+ __ __ __ __
608
+
609
+ __ __ __ __
610
+
611
+ 14
612
+
613
+
614
+
615
+ __ __ __ __ __
616
+
617
+
618
+
619
+ __ __ __ __
620
+
621
+ __ __ __ __ __
622
+
623
+ __ __ __ __ __
624
+
625
+ __ __ __ __
626
+
627
+ __ __ __ __
628
+
629
+ Abreviaturas= Libra: lb. Onza: oz. Gramos: gr. Cuch. sopera: cda. Cucharita: cdta. Pequeño: p. Mediano: m. Grande: g. Manojo: mjo. Pedazo: pzo. Paquete:paq.
630
+ 9 enero 99
631
+
632
+ Formulario 11. Alimentos y/o preparaciones consumidos por el niño ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___
633
+ INCAP/IFPRI/Programa de Hogares Comunitarios 1999 Hogar Niño B/C
634
+
635
+ Nombre de la madre cuidadora (hogar) o de la cuidadora (control): ________________________________ Colonia donde esta el hogar (o cuidadora) _________ Pagina __ de __
636
+ Nombre de la madre del niño _____________________________________ Dirección __________________________________________ Dias que NO TRABAJA (especificar a.m. p.m.) _________________
637
+ Asistencia (Si=1; No=0) Hora que sale el niño del hogar _______________ p.m Preguntar al niño si le dieron algo de comer o de tomar antes de venir al hogar (1=si; 0=No) _____
638
+
639
+
640
+
641
+ Nombre del niño _________________________________________________________
642
+ Fechas de Solo niños beneficiarios
643
+ ID del niño ___ ___ ___ ___ / ___ ___ / ___ SEXO NIÑO (1=M: 2=F) _____ 1.Nacimiento: ___ ___ / ___ ___ / 9 ___ 3.Fecha de ingreso: ___ ___ / ___ ___ / 9 ___
644
+ ID de encuestadora ___ ___ 2. Observación: ___ ___ / ___ ___ / 9 9 4. Verificación: 1. Verificada 2. De memoria ____
645
+ No. 5.
646
+ Hora del
647
+ consumo
648
+ 6.
649
+ No. orden
650
+ de la prep.
651
+ (form. 10)
652
+ 7.
653
+ Código de
654
+ la prep. o
655
+ alimento
656
+
657
+ Nombre de la
658
+ preparación o
659
+ alimentos
660
+ 8.
661
+ Tipo de
662
+ preparación
663
+
664
+ 9.
665
+ Peso del
666
+ recipiente
667
+ 10.
668
+ Peso de la ración
669
+ c/recipiente
670
+ (1 ALIMENTO)
671
+ 11.
672
+ Peso restos
673
+ o desperdicios
674
+ (MAS DE 1 ALIMENTO)
675
+ Peso plato Plato + resto
676
+ 1
677
+ :
678
+
679
+
680
+
681
+
682
+
683
+
684
+
685
+
686
+
687
+
688
+
689
+ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __
690
+
691
+ 2
692
+
693
+ :
694
+
695
+
696
+
697
+
698
+
699
+
700
+
701
+
702
+
703
+
704
+
705
+ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __
706
+
707
+ 3
708
+
709
+ :
710
+
711
+
712
+
713
+
714
+
715
+
716
+
717
+
718
+
719
+
720
+
721
+ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __
722
+
723
+ 4
724
+
725
+ :
726
+
727
+
728
+
729
+
730
+
731
+
732
+
733
+
734
+
735
+
736
+
737
+ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __
738
+
739
+ 5
740
+
741
+ :
742
+
743
+
744
+
745
+
746
+
747
+
748
+
749
+
750
+
751
+
752
+
753
+ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __
754
+
755
+ 6
756
+
757
+ :
758
+
759
+
760
+
761
+
762
+
763
+
764
+
765
+
766
+
767
+
768
+
769
+ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __
770
+
771
+ 7
772
+
773
+ :
774
+
775
+
776
+
777
+
778
+
779
+
780
+
781
+
782
+
783
+
784
+
785
+ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __
786
+
787
+ 8
788
+
789
+ :
790
+
791
+
792
+
793
+
794
+
795
+
796
+
797
+
798
+
799
+
800
+
801
+ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __
802
+
803
+ 9
804
+
805
+ :
806
+
807
+
808
+
809
+
810
+
811
+
812
+
813
+
814
+
815
+
816
+
817
+ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __
818
+
819
+ 10
820
+
821
+ :
822
+
823
+
824
+
825
+
826
+
827
+
828
+
829
+
830
+
831
+
832
+
833
+ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __
834
+
835
+ 11
836
+
837
+ :
838
+
839
+
840
+
841
+
842
+
843
+
844
+
845
+
846
+
847
+
848
+
849
+ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __
850
+
851
+ 12
852
+
853
+ :
854
+
855
+
856
+
857
+
858
+
859
+
860
+
861
+
862
+
863
+
864
+
865
+ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __
866
+ Tipo de preparación: 1) Preparación del hogar 2) Preparación del hogar adaptada al niño 3) Alimento simple 4) Alimento o preparación que le niño trajo de su casa
867
+
868
+ ANTROPOMETRIA DEL NIÑO: 101. TALLA/LONGITUD (CM) 102. PESO (KG) 103. ROPA: 1) Liviana; 2) Mediana; 3) Gruesa
869
+ 1era ___ ___.___ ___ ___ ___.___ ____
870
+ 2nda ___ ___.___ ___ ___ ___.___
871
+ 3ra ___ ___.___ ___ ___ ___.___
872
+ Formulario 13. Recordatorio de noche y mañana ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___
873
+ INCAP/IFPRI/Programa de Hogares Comunitarios 1999 Hogar Niño B/C
874
+ Página 1
875
+
876
+ Unidad de la medida
877
+ 1. gramos
878
+ totales
879
+ 4. unidades peq. 7. tortilla peq. delgada 12. tortilla grande gruesa 15. Cuchara 15 rasa 18. Cuchara 17 llena 21. Cuchara 21 rasa 33. Medida peq. Nan*
880
+ llena
881
+ 2. onzas 5. unidades med. 8. tortilla peq. gruesa 13. Cuchara , level 16. Cuchara 15 llena 19. Cuchara 19 rasa 22. Cuchara 21 llena 34. Medida gde. Nan*
882
+ rasa
883
+ 3. gr / unidad 6. unidades grand. 11. tortilla grande delgada 14. Cuchara 13 llena 17. Cuchara 17 rasa 20. Cuchara 19 llena 32. Medida peq. Nan* rasa 35. Medida gde. Nan*
884
+ llena
885
+ * ‘Nan’ spoon pertains to the spoon that comes with a brand of powdered milk called “Nan”.
886
+ 23 de enero de 99
887
+ Nombre de la madre del niño o de la informante: Dirección: ______________________________________________________________________
888
+ Nombre del niño _________________________________________________________
889
+ Fechas de Solo niños beneficiarios
890
+ ID del niño ___ ___ ___ ___ / ___ ___ / ___ 1.Nacimiento: ___ ___ / ___ ___ / 9 ___ 3.Fecha de ingreso: ___ ___ / ___ ___ / 9 ___
891
+ ID de encuestadora ___ ___ 2. Observación: ___ ___ / ___ ___ / 9 9 4. Verificación: 1. Verificada 2. De memoria ____
892
+
893
+ 5. a.Niños beneficiarios: Habitualmente, antes de llegar al hogar comunitario, usted le da algo de comer o tomar a su niño? (No= 0;Si= 1; 9=no aplica) _____
894
+ b.Niños controles: Antes de las 6:00 de la mañana, usted le da algo de comer o tomar a su niño? (No= 0;Si= 1; 9=no aplica) _____
895
+ 6. a.Niños beneficiarios: Habitualmente, después de haber salido del hogar comunitario, hasta antes de ponerlo a irse a dormir, le da algo de comer o tomar a su niño? (No= 0;Si= 1; 9=no
896
+ aplica) _____
897
+ b. Niños controles: Habitualmente, después de las 4 de la tarde, hasta antes de dormirse le da algo de comer o de tomar a su niño? (No= 0;Si= 1; 9=no aplica) _____
898
+
899
+ Si acostumbra comer o tomar algo el niño antes de llegar al hogar comunitario (o a su lugar de cuidado), anotar lo que come o toma habitualmente:
900
+
901
+
902
+
903
+ No.
904
+
905
+ 7. Código de
906
+ la prep. o
907
+ alimento
908
+
909
+ Nombre de la
910
+ preparación o
911
+ alimentos
912
+
913
+ 8. Unidad de la
914
+ medida
915
+ utilizada
916
+
917
+ 9. Cantidad
918
+ servida
919
+
920
+ 10. Sobras
921
+
922
+ Observación
923
+
924
+ 1
925
+
926
+
927
+
928
+
929
+
930
+ _
931
+
932
+ .
933
+
934
+ .
935
+
936
+
937
+ 2
938
+
939
+
940
+
941
+
942
+
943
+ _
944
+
945
+ .
946
+
947
+ .
948
+
949
+
950
+ 3
951
+
952
+
953
+
954
+
955
+
956
+ _
957
+
958
+ .
959
+
960
+ .
961
+
962
+
963
+ 4
964
+
965
+
966
+
967
+ _
968
+
969
+ .
970
+
971
+ .
972
+
973
+
974
+ 5
975
+
976
+
977
+
978
+ _
979
+
980
+ .
981
+
982
+ .
983
+
984
+
985
+ 6
986
+
987
+
988
+
989
+ _
990
+
991
+ .
992
+
993
+ .
994
+
995
+
996
+ 7
997
+
998
+
999
+
1000
+
1001
+
1002
+ _
1003
+
1004
+ .
1005
+
1006
+ .
1007
+
1008
+
1009
+ 8
1010
+
1011
+
1012
+
1013
+
1014
+
1015
+ _
1016
+
1017
+ .
1018
+
1019
+ .
1020
+
1021
+
1022
+ Si acostumbra comer o tomar algo después de volver del hogar (o de su lugar de cuidado), hasta antes de dormirse anotar lo que come o toma habitualmente:
1023
+ Formulario 13. Recordatorio de noche y mañana ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___
1024
+ INCAP/IFPRI/Programa de Hogares Comunitarios 1999 Hogar Niño B/C
1025
+ Página 2
1026
+
1027
+ Unidad de la medida
1028
+ 1. gramos
1029
+ totales
1030
+ 4. unidades peq. 7. tortilla peq. delgada 12. tortilla grande gruesa 15. Cuchara 15 rasa 18. Cuchara 17 llena 21. Cuchara 21 rasa 33. Medida peq. Nan*
1031
+ llena
1032
+ 2. onzas 5. unidades med. 8. tortilla peq. gruesa 13. Cuchara , level 16. Cuchara 15 llena 19. Cuchara 19 rasa 22. Cuchara 21 llena 34. Medida gde. Nan*
1033
+ rasa
1034
+ 3. gr / unidad 6. unidades grand. 11. tortilla grande delgada 14. Cuchara 13 llena 17. Cuchara 17 rasa 20. Cuchara 19 llena 32. Medida peq. Nan* rasa 35. Medida gde. Nan*
1035
+ llena
1036
+ * ‘Nan’ spoon pertains to the spoon that comes with a brand of powdered milk called “Nan”.
1037
+ 23 de enero de 99
1038
+
1039
+
1040
+ No.
1041
+
1042
+ 11. Código de
1043
+ la prep. o
1044
+ alimento
1045
+
1046
+ Nombre de la
1047
+ preparación o
1048
+ alimentos
1049
+
1050
+ 12. Unidad de la
1051
+ medida
1052
+ utilizada
1053
+
1054
+ 13. Cantidad
1055
+ servida
1056
+
1057
+ 14. Sobras
1058
+
1059
+ Observaciones
1060
+
1061
+ 1
1062
+
1063
+
1064
+
1065
+
1066
+
1067
+ _
1068
+
1069
+ .
1070
+
1071
+ .
1072
+
1073
+
1074
+ 2
1075
+
1076
+
1077
+
1078
+
1079
+
1080
+ _
1081
+
1082
+ .
1083
+
1084
+ .
1085
+
1086
+
1087
+ 3
1088
+
1089
+
1090
+
1091
+
1092
+
1093
+ _
1094
+
1095
+ .
1096
+
1097
+ .
1098
+
1099
+
1100
+ 4
1101
+
1102
+
1103
+
1104
+
1105
+
1106
+ _
1107
+
1108
+ .
1109
+
1110
+ .
1111
+
1112
+
1113
+ 5
1114
+
1115
+
1116
+
1117
+
1118
+
1119
+ _
1120
+
1121
+ .
1122
+
1123
+ .
1124
+
1125
+
1126
+ 6
1127
+
1128
+
1129
+
1130
+ _
1131
+
1132
+ .
1133
+
1134
+ .
1135
+
1136
+
1137
+ 7
1138
+
1139
+
1140
+
1141
+
1142
+
1143
+ _
1144
+
1145
+ .
1146
+
1147
+ .
1148
+
1149
+
1150
+ 8
1151
+
1152
+
1153
+
1154
+
1155
+
1156
+ _
1157
+
1158
+ .
1159
+
1160
+ .
1161
+
1162
+
1163
+ Solamente para niños beneficiarios:
1164
+
1165
+ Si la madre manda al niño al hogar con algún tipo de alimento o preparación:
1166
+
1167
+ 15. ¿ Usted da algo de comida a su niño para que lo lleve al hogar (cada día o cada semana)? 0. No 1. Sí ______
1168
+
1169
+ 16. Si dice que Sí, ¿ qué le da? (marca, tipo):
1170
+
1171
+ Nombre de la preparación o alimentos
1172
+
1173
+
1174
+
1175
+
1176
+
1177
+
1178
+
1179
+ Formulario 20a. Menús del fín de semana ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___
1180
+ INCAP/Programa de Hogares Comunitarios / IFPRI 1999 Hogar Niño B/C
1181
+ ID encuestadora: ___ ___ Nombre de la madre: __________________
1182
+ Fecha de la entrevista: __ __ / __ __/ 9 __
1183
+ Nombre del niño: ______________________ Fecha de nacimiento: __ __ / __ __ / 9 __
1184
+
1185
+ C:/Formularios/Dieta/20a. Menus 12 de enero 99
1186
+ Sábado Domingo
1187
+ 1a. ¿Durante el fín de semana pasado, cómo estuvo su niño?
1188
+ 1. Sano 2. Enfermo
1189
+
1190
+ _____
1191
+
1192
+ _____
1193
+ 1.b. Si estuvo enfermo, ¿comió lo normal? 0. No 1. Si _____ _____
1194
+
1195
+ 2. ¿Estuvo el niño en la casa durante los tiempos de comida (1. Sí o 0. No)
1196
+ Desayuno Refacción mañana Almuerzo Refacción tarde Cena
1197
+ Sábado
1198
+ Domingo
1199
+
1200
+ 3.a. ¿Tomó pachas su niño? 0. No 1. Si _____ _____
1201
+ Sábado Sábado Domingo Domingo
1202
+ 3.b. Si tomó pachas ¿A qué
1203
+ horas?
1204
+ 9 am=09:00, 3:30pm=15:30
1205
+ __ __ : __ __
1206
+ __ __ : __ __
1207
+ __ __ : __ __
1208
+ __ __ : __ __
1209
+ __ __ : __ __
1210
+ __ __ : __ __
1211
+ __ __ : __ __
1212
+ __ __ : __ __
1213
+ __ __ : __ __
1214
+ __ __ : __ __
1215
+ __ __ : __ __
1216
+ __ __ : __ __
1217
+
1218
+ 4. ¿Qué comieron el día SABADO?
1219
+ Desayuno Almuerzo Cena
1220
+
1221
+
1222
+
1223
+
1224
+
1225
+
1226
+
1227
+
1228
+ Refacción de la mañana Refacción de la tarde Después de cenar Antes del desayuno
1229
+
1230
+
1231
+
1232
+
1233
+
1234
+ 5. ¿Qué comieron el día DOMINGO?
1235
+ Desayuno Almuerzo Cena
1236
+
1237
+
1238
+
1239
+
1240
+
1241
+
1242
+
1243
+
1244
+ Refacción de la mañana Refacción de la tarde Después de cenar Antes del desayuno
1245
+
1246
+
1247
+
1248
+
1249
+
1250
+ Formulario 20b. Recordatorio de fin de semana ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___
1251
+ INCAP/Programa de Hogares Comunitarios/ IFPRI 1999 Hogar Niño B/C
1252
+
1253
+ DIA RECORDADO: Sábado ____ Domingo ____ HOJA # _______ DE _______
1254
+ Nombre del niño _______________________________________________ FECHA DE NACIMIENTO DEL NINO (DD/MM/AA) _____ / _____ /_____ Error! Bookmark not defined.ID
1255
+ ENCUESTADORA: ____ _____
1256
+ Nombre del informante: __________________________________________ FECHA DE LA ENTREVISTA: __ __ /__ __ /__ __
1257
+
1258
+ PREPARACION ALIMENTOS USADOS DIETA FAMILIAR DIETA NINO
1259
+ 1
1260
+ No /
1261
+ Cód.
1262
+ de la
1263
+ prep.
1264
+ 2
1265
+ Nombre de la preparación
1266
+ 3
1267
+ Tie
1268
+ m
1269
+
1270
+
1271
+ 4
1272
+ Ori
1273
+ g
1274
+
1275
+
1276
+ 5
1277
+ Código
1278
+
1279
+
1280
+
1281
+ 5a 5
1282
+ b
1283
+ P
1284
+ N
1285
+ 6
1286
+ Nombre, tipo, color, precio
1287
+ 7
1288
+ Cantidad
1289
+ usada
1290
+ 8
1291
+ Cantidad
1292
+ preparada
1293
+
1294
+ 9
1295
+ Peso / vol
1296
+ de la
1297
+ cantidad
1298
+ preparada
1299
+ 10
1300
+ Unidad
1301
+ de la
1302
+ medida
1303
+ 11
1304
+ No. total
1305
+ de raciones
1306
+
1307
+ 12
1308
+ Ración
1309
+ NO
1310
+ consumida
1311
+
1312
+ 13
1313
+ Cantidad
1314
+ Servida
1315
+
1316
+
1317
+ 14
1318
+ Sobras
1319
+
1320
+
1321
+
1322
+ XX X X XXXXX X X X . X X XXX. X XX XX.XX XX.XX XX.XX XX.XX
1323
+ 1
1324
+ 2
1325
+ 3
1326
+ 4
1327
+ 5
1328
+ 6
1329
+ 7
1330
+ 8
1331
+ 9
1332
+ 10
1333
+ 11
1334
+ 12
1335
+ 13
1336
+ 14
1337
+ 15
1338
+ 16
1339
+ 17
1340
+ 18
1341
+
1342
+ OBSERVACIONES:
1343
+
1344
+
1345
+ C:/formularios/dieta/20b. Recordatorio FS 9 enero. 99Error! Bookmark not defined.
1346
+
data/part_2/0048107139.md ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,166 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ # Climate Change and Food Security in Southeast Asia: Issues and Policy Options
2
+
3
+ **Source:** gardian_index
4
+ **URL:** https://cgspace.cgiar.org/rest/bitstreams/383894d6-1923-4125-80e9-4d5c94ba2fcb/retrieve
5
+ **Language:** English
6
+ **Resource Type:** Poster / Presentation
7
+ **Release Year:** 2011
8
+ **Rights:** N/A
9
+ **GARDIAN ID:** 5f1bf09b72303eedd6b27f3e700a7733
10
+ **DataNODE ID:** a8f66040da3b4fbfe61c9ceefe6b9409
11
+ **Siever ID:** 78d6fc9f-4196-4496-b531-f70fe867a2fc
12
+ **Token Count:** 649
13
+ **Page Count:** 0
14
+
15
+ ## Keywords
16
+
17
+ climate change, food security, southeast asia, development
18
+
19
+ ## Geography
20
+
21
+ - **Regions:** Asia, World
22
+
23
+ ## Description
24
+
25
+ Ancha Srinivasan, Ph.D. Asian Development Bank
26
+
27
+ ## Content
28
+
29
+ Climate Change and Food
30
+ Security in Southeast Asia:
31
+ Issues and Policy Options
32
+ Ancha Srinivasan, Ph.D.
33
+ Asian Development Bank
34
+ Key Issues
35
+  High vulnerability
36
+  Physical and economic impacts
37
+  Food insecurity in SEA
38
+  Impacts of climate change on food security
39
+  Water stress and food security
40
+  Saltwater intrusion and food security
41
+  Impacts on the private sector & urban food
42
+ security
43
+  Non-climate stresses and food security
44
+ Southeast Asia is highly vulnerable to
45
+ climate change
46
+ • Highly exposed areas
47
+ (islands, deltas, coastal regions, steep slopes)
48
+  High concentration of population and economic
49
+ activity in coastal areas
50
+  High reliance on climate-sensitive sectors –
51
+ agriculture, water, energy (hydro), tourism
52
+  Millions of poor with low adaptive capacity
53
+  Rapid urbanization and high urban population in
54
+ vulnerable areas
55
+ Countries Identified as Vulnerable to
56
+ Climate Change in Southeast Asia
57
+ High Exposure
58
+ (temp >1.5oC; rainfall +/- 20%)
59
+ High
60
+ Sensitivity
61
+ (dependence on agriculture/fisheries)
62
+ Low Adaptive
63
+ Capacity
64
+ (income-related poverty)
65
+ Cambodia
66
+ Lao PDR
67
+ Indonesia
68
+ Malaysia
69
+ Myanmar
70
+ Philippines
71
+ Singapore
72
+ Thailand
73
+ Viet Nam
74
+ Cambodia
75
+ Indonesia
76
+ Lao PDR
77
+ Myanmar
78
+ Thailand
79
+ Timor-Leste
80
+ Viet Nam
81
+ Cambodia
82
+ Lao PDR
83
+ Myanmar
84
+ Timor-Leste
85
+ Current Vulnerability to Climate Change
86
+ Source: EEP 2009
87
+ Observed Physical Impacts
88
+  Indonesia: Wet season rainfall increased; dry
89
+ season rainfall decreased; Number of
90
+ floods/storms increased; Number of hot days
91
+ and warm nights increased; Intensity and
92
+ frequency of heat waves and forest fires
93
+ increased
94
+  Malaysia: Number of rainy days declined
95
+  Philippines: Increasing intensity and frequency
96
+ of events associated with El-Nino and La-Nina;
97
+ Annual frequency of cyclones increased by 4.2
98
+  Thailand: Decreasing rainfall; growing intensity
99
+ of storms
100
+  Viet Nam: Decrease in monthly rainfall (July-
101
+ Aug); rapid increase in extreme events
102
+ Observed Economic Impacts
103
+  Flood-related damages in Asia increased by 8 times
104
+ in the 1990s than in 1970s;
105
+  Direct damage costs from tropical cyclones in Asia
106
+ in the 1990s increased by 35 times more than in
107
+ 1970s;
108
+  Increased food prices and civil unrest in several
109
+ countries
110
+  Philippines: Typhoons in 2009 alone cost ~3% of
111
+ GDP
112
+  Thailand: 2008 - >200,000 people affected by water
113
+ borne diseases following storms
114
+  Viet Nam: Typhoon 2007 - $725m loss
115
+ Countries in Asia and the Pacific with Cultivated Crop Areas Lost in Excess of 100,000
116
+ Hectares, 1-Meter Sea-Level Rise
117
+ Climate Change Projections
118
+ Suggest that the worst is yet to come.
119
+
120
+ Without urgent action, mean temperature may increase by
121
+ 4.8oC and sea level by up to 70 cm by 2100 from the 1990 levels
122
+ Source: ADB 2009
123
+ Potential Economic Impact could be equivalent
124
+ to losing 6.7% of GDP each year by 2100
125
+ More than twice the global average loss
126
+ Source: ADB 2009
127
+ Three Dimensions of
128
+ Sustainable Food Security
129
+ Impact on Rice Production
130
+ Page 12
131
+ Climate induced percentage change in production in
132
+ 2050: Irrigated Rice in Asia
133
+ Change in production = -27% NCAR A2, no CF
134
+ Climate induced percentage change in production in
135
+ 2050: Rainfed Rice in Asia
136
+ Change in production = -12% NCAR A2, no CF
137
+ Estimated % Declines in Crop Yields
138
+ due to Climate Change by 2080
139
+ Adapted from Cline 2007
140
+ Impact on Calorie Availability
141
+ Page 16
142
+ 18% decline in calorie availability in Asian developing countries
143
+ due to climate change
144
+ Impacts on Food and Beverage
145
+ Sectors
146
+  Declining crop/animal yields & High prices for
147
+ agricultural inputs (water, chemical inputs)  High
148
+ agricultural commodity prices/price volatility
149
+  Increasing water scarcity  Adverse impacts on
150
+ operating efficiency/processing costs
151
+  Growing concerns on food safety and community
152
+ relations  Increasing reputational and legal risks
153
+ ◦ Shrimp farming in Thailand – Growing conflicts among sectors
154
+ ◦ Oil palm industry in Malaysia – New regulations on expansion
155
+ ◦ Vinamilk (Viet Nam Dairy) – Increasing variability in milk supply
156
+ Impacts of climate change on Food and Beverage sub-sectors
157
+ Policy Options
158
+  Mainstreaming climate concerns
159
+  Research on climate change and food sec.
160
+  Food-water-energy nexus
161
+  Adaptation technologies and investments
162
+  REDD+ strategies
163
+  Mitigation-Adaptation synergies
164
+  Regional cooperation & Trade liberalization
165
+ Thank you.
166
+
data/part_2/0065246442.md ADDED
The diff for this file is too large to render. See raw diff
 
data/part_2/0065491817.md ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,165 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ # Rural finance and poverty alleviation
2
+
3
+ **Source:** gardian_index
4
+ **URL:** https://cgspace.cgiar.org/rest/bitstreams/f7eb483a-61d1-47fb-94cf-b73a46e2a8e0/retrieve
5
+ **Language:** English
6
+ **Resource Type:** Brief
7
+ **Release Year:** 1998
8
+ **Rights:** N/A
9
+ **GARDIAN ID:** 2659090bf40e8dec5ee4d3015808c10d
10
+ **DataNODE ID:** 1ca0ec1a0be1ae2245a9d23d731caee7
11
+ **Siever ID:** 60abe183-1f54-492f-8716-71eb1967b2e8
12
+ **Token Count:** 1014
13
+ **Page Count:** 0
14
+
15
+ ## Keywords
16
+
17
+ poverty, agricultural credit, developing countries, rural finance, rural development, finance, poverty alleviation, informal sector (economics), financial institutions, household surveys, banks, cooperatives, lending
18
+
19
+ ## Geography
20
+
21
+ - **Regions:** Southern Asia, Asia, World, Middle Africa, Sub-Saharan Africa, Africa, Eastern Asia, Northern Africa, Western Africa, Eastern Africa, Oceania
22
+ - **Countries:** Pakistan, Nepal, Malawi, Madagascar, Ghana, Egypt, China, Cameroon, Bangladesh
23
+
24
+ ## Description
25
+
26
+ The authors examine the lessons that rural financial institutions such as banks and cooperatives can learn from the informal lending sector. They also considers the roles government should play in the provision of financial services. The report’s findings are gleaned from a series of detailed household surveys conducted in nine countries of Asia and Africa: Bangladesh, Cameroon, China, Egypt, Ghana, Madagascar, Malawi, Nepal, and Pakistan. Most of the poor in these countries could benefit from credit, savings, and insurance services, but what is available varies greatly from country to country.
27
+
28
+ ## Content
29
+
30
+ FOOD
31
+ POLICY
32
+ STATEMENT
33
+ NUMBEilll, SEPTEMBER 1998
34
+ 2013 K STRffT, N.W.
35
+ WASHINGTON, D.C . .200()6.1002
36
+ USA.
37
+ PHONE: 1·202-862·5600
38
+ FAX: 1·202..f67-Hl9
39
+ E·MAIL: II'PRI@CCNET.COM
40
+ WEB: "WWw.CGIAR.ORC/ IFPRJ
41
+ ~~~=CEAND POVERJtm~MV
42
+ MANFRED ZELLER AND MANOHAR SHARMA
43
+ SEP 2 2 1998
44
+ INT. FG0v POUCY
45
+ n many developing countries, poor rural households face se~&~· cf>d~itJiliifQ)ten
46
+ they seek credit from formal lending institutions. Formal financial services such as
47
+ those offered by banks are often not available to those below the poverty line because
48
+ of restrictions requiring that loans be backed by collateral. Nor do banks welcome
49
+ the small amounts the poor want to save. As a result, the poor usually turn first to informal
50
+ sources such as friends, relatives, or moneylenders, who loan small amounts for short peri­
51
+ ods, or to informal, indigenous institutions such as savings clubs and lending networks to
52
+ borrow enough to purchase food and other basic necessities. These informal networks are
53
+ frequently successful in tiding the poor over difficult times, such as a bad harvest, and they
54
+ enable poor households to build up savings for investments that can help lift them out of
55
+ poverty.
56
+ A recent Food Policy Report, Rural Finance and Poverty Alleviation, by Manfred Zeller
57
+ and Manohar Sharma, examines the lessons that rural financial institutions such as banks
58
+ and cooperatives can learn from the informal lending sector. It also considers the roles gov­
59
+ ernment should play in the provision of financial services. The report's findings are gleaned
60
+ from a series of detailed household surveys conducted in nine countries of Asia and Africa:
61
+ Bangladesh, Cameroon, China, Egypt, Ghana, Madagascar, Malawi, Nepal, and Pakistan.
62
+ Most of the poor in these countries could benefit from credit, savings, and insurance serv­
63
+ ices, but what is available varies greatly from country to country.
64
+ LESSONS TO BE LFARNED FROM INFORJ"AI I NOFRS
65
+ n looking at the lessons that can be learned from studying the relationship between infor­
66
+ mal lenders and their poor clients, the report finds the following: ( 1) A credible long­
67
+ term relationship is the key to enforcing loan repayment: the borrower will repay the loan if
68
+ he or she expects to be able to borrow again in the future. (2) Financial services should be
69
+ tailored to the demand patterns of the borrowers. For example, farm loans that can only be
70
+ used for seeds or fertilizer reduce the flexibility of the household to make the best use of the
71
+ loan. (3) Decisionmaking on loans granted should be made at the local level. ( 4) Institutions
72
+ ought to have clear plans for loan recovery before lending begins. (5) Group-based transac­
73
+ tions hold promise, but more research is needed to compare group lending and saving ac­
74
+ tivities with other member-based institutions such as credit unions and village banks.
75
+ (6) Saving services should be provided. (7) Incentives for managers of rural financial pro­
76
+ grams should be built into the programs.
77
+ INNOVATIONS KEY Tn FlNANCIAl SERVICES OR THE POOR
78
+ n recent years, micro finance institutions designed to serve the poor, such as the Gramecn
79
+ Bank in Bangladesh, have received wide attention, but these institutions depend on sub­
80
+ sidies from national governments and international donors. Zeller and Sharma argue that
81
+ these subsidies represent good investments of public funds on two counts: they enable serv­
82
+ ices to be offered that the marketplace is not willing to provide on its own, and they have
83
+ been proven to alleviate poverty.
84
+ Although excessive government
85
+ interference and rigid regulations have
86
+ suppressed innovation in financial
87
+ services, liberalization of financial
88
+ markets alone has not been able to trig­
89
+ ger the kinds of innovation that reduce
90
+ transaction costs for the poor. Rural fi­
91
+ nancial markets in developing coun­
92
+ tries have inherent problems that make
93
+ investments risky and costly: clients
94
+ ACCESS TO CREDIT OR
95
+ PARTICIPATION IN A CREDIT
96
+ PROGRAM POSITIVELY
97
+ AFFECTED HOUSEHOLD
98
+ INCOME IN FOUR OUT OF FIVE
99
+ COUNTRIES ASSESSED
100
+ are too scattered, rural clients all want
101
+ to borrow at the same time (in the pre­
102
+ harvest season) and to save immedi­
103
+ ately after the harvest, and the poor
104
+ own few assets to secure loans.
105
+ Private-sector financial institutions
106
+ are reluctant to take on these risks. In
107
+ the long run, however, innovations
108
+ that improve the usefulness of these
109
+ institutions to the rural poor will also
110
+ improve the efficiency and sustain­
111
+ ability of rural financial programs.
112
+ PUBLIC INVESTMENT PAYS OFF
113
+ illce the market, by itself, has not
114
+ U been able to stimulate much in­
115
+ stitutional research and experimentation
116
+ in rural areas, public support in the
117
+ development phase is critical. "Once vi­
118
+ able prototypes are identified, they will
119
+ eventually be adopted by the private
120
+ sector," the report says. "Well-directed
121
+ support to promising microfmance insti­
122
+ tutions is likely to have payoffs in both
123
+ services to the poor and reduced costs of
124
+ services in the long run."
125
+ Access to credit or participation
126
+ in a credit program positively affected
127
+ household income in four out of five
128
+ countries assessed, the report finds.
129
+ Households with improved access to
130
+ credit were also better able to adopt
131
+ technology; they spent more on food
132
+ and, in some cases, had higher calorie
133
+ intakes. Access to financial services
134
+ POOR HOUSEHOLDS STRIVE TO
135
+ REPAY LOANS SO THAT THEY
136
+ WILL BE ABLE TO BORROW
137
+ ANOTHER TIME.
138
+ improves the incomes of and opportu­
139
+ nities for the rural poor, and provides
140
+ support to tide families over difficult
141
+ times. And poor households strive to
142
+ repay loans so that they will be able to
143
+ borrow another time.
144
+ But, for the poorest of the poor,
145
+ the report indicates that financia l serv­
146
+ ices must be offered in combination
147
+ with other programs such as training in
148
+ basic literacy, enterprise management,
149
+ and education in nutrition, health, and
150
+ family planning.
151
+ The report makes a strong case for
152
+ strengthening rural financial markets
153
+ through appropriate public interven­
154
+ tion. In the long run, public investment
155
+ in institutional innovations will pay
156
+ off in efficient microfinance institu­
157
+ tions that offer full-fledged savings
158
+ and credit services to the rural poor.
159
+ __________________ ._,_,__ ___________ _
160
+ Please send the Food Policy Report Rural Finance and Poverty Alleviation, by Manfred Zeller and Manohar Sharma.
161
+ Name --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
162
+ Organization·---------------------------------------------------------------------------
163
+ Address -------------------------------------------------------------------------------
164
+ The report will be sent free of charge by surface airlift. Please allow 3-4 weeks for delivery.
165
+
data/part_2/0086795411.md ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,34 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ # Food as the “silent weapon”: Russia’s gains and Ukraine’s losses
2
+
3
+ **Source:** gardian_index
4
+ **URL:**
5
+ **Language:** English
6
+ **Resource Type:** Report
7
+ **Release Year:** 2024
8
+ **Rights:** CP
9
+ **GARDIAN ID:** a1f47401ccea189b5649c7a37ae91d34
10
+ **DataNODE ID:** 00ff62d6431d61fb7f5292b6da6be78a
11
+ **Siever ID:** 8a6aa85c-3697-40f6-965b-38db3f2097f5
12
+ **Token Count:** 258
13
+ **Page Count:** 0
14
+
15
+ ## Keywords
16
+
17
+ agriculture, armed conflicts, infrastructure, gross national product, food insecurity, war, gender equality, youth and social inclusion, nutrition, health and food security, systems transformation, food and agriculture organization, agricultural sector, food prices, agricultural production
18
+
19
+ ## Geography
20
+
21
+ - **Regions:** Eastern Europe, Europe, World, Northern Europe
22
+ - **Countries:** Ukraine, United Kingdom, Russia
23
+
24
+ ## Description
25
+
26
+ Russia’s war in Ukraine has caused the greatest military-related disruption to global agricultural markets in at least a century. Ukraine’s agricultural sector has been a major front in Russia’s war since February 2022, and the primary purpose of Russia’s targeting of Ukraine’s agricultural infrastructure is likely to undercut a main source of Ukraine’s income. Ukraine’s GDP contracted by more than 29 percent in 2022 compared to 2021, and the value of agriculture as a proportion of Ukraine’s GDP was 39 percent lower in 2022 than 2021.
27
+
28
+ The global disruptions to the agricultural market due to Ukraine’s diminished production and exports have been stark: world food prices reached all-time nominal highs in March 2022, according to the UN Food and Agriculture Organization Food Price Index. In 2022, 258 million people suffered from acute food insecurity, an all-time high, according to the Global Report on Food Crises. At the same time, the cost of addressing these challenges also soared due to concurrent shocks in the global energy and fertilizer markets brought on by Russia’s war. For example, the cost of the delivery of humanitarian assistance also peaked due to the increased cost of food and fuel for operations. At the same time, for countries hoping to address domestic food insecurity with domestic agricultural production, the increased cost of fertilizer became a limiting factor. Likewise, countries dealing with the high price of food imports, high prices of agricultural inputs, and high levels of food insecurity also had less fiscal space for social programs following the Covid-19 pandemic, which drained national budgets.
29
+
30
+ ## Content
31
+
32
+ Russia’s war in Ukraine has caused the greatest military-related disruption to global agricultural markets in at least a century. Ukraine’s agricultural sector has been a major front in Russia’s war since February 2022, and the primary purpose of Russia’s targeting of Ukraine’s agricultural infrastructure is likely to undercut a main source of Ukraine’s income. Ukraine’s GDP contracted by more than 29 percent in 2022 compared to 2021, and the value of agriculture as a proportion of Ukraine’s GDP was 39 percent lower in 2022 than 2021.
33
+
34
+ The global disruptions to the agricultural market due to Ukraine’s diminished production and exports have been stark: world food prices reached all-time nominal highs in March 2022, according to the UN Food and Agriculture Organization Food Price Index. In 2022, 258 million people suffered from acute food insecurity, an all-time high, according to the Global Report on Food Crises. At the same time, the cost of addressing these challenges also soared due to concurrent shocks in the global energy and fertilizer markets brought on by Russia’s war. For example, the cost of the delivery of humanitarian assistance also peaked due to the increased cost of food and fuel for operations. At the same time, for countries hoping to address domestic food insecurity with domestic agricultural production, the increased cost of fertilizer became a limiting factor. Likewise, countries dealing with the high price of food imports, high prices of agricultural inputs, and high levels of food insecurity also had less fiscal space for social programs following the Covid-19 pandemic, which drained national budgets.
data/part_2/0088483240.md ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,29 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ # Langt ude på landet i Latinamerika
2
+
3
+ **Source:** gardian_index
4
+ **URL:**
5
+ **Language:** Danish
6
+ **Resource Type:** Book / Monograph
7
+ **Release Year:** 2001
8
+ **Rights:** N/A
9
+ **GARDIAN ID:** 05f366e8aac303f3c1b2543b8b3328cc
10
+ **DataNODE ID:** 8ddbe29199f32b5a3944e5eb35a6c3ff
11
+ **Siever ID:** 47f9f330-901e-4c86-8817-90c3af51d7e4
12
+ **Token Count:** 136
13
+ **Page Count:** 0
14
+
15
+ ## Keywords
16
+
17
+ biological diversity, agricultural innovation, agricultural research, cgiar, agriculture, environmental factors, latin america, agricultural products, food crops, sweet potatoes, world, potatoes
18
+
19
+ ## Geography
20
+
21
+ - **Regions:** Latin America and the Caribbean, Americas, World
22
+
23
+ ## Description
24
+
25
+ Latin America has given the world many of its key agricultural products. Food crops like potatoes, sweet potatoes, maize, beans, and many, many others have traveled far and wide....[It] is one of the richest concentrations of biodiversity on the face of the globe.....Today, however, many people in rural Latin America live in extreme poverty....At the same time, the rich mountain and lowland ecosystems of the American tropics are threatened by degradation and loss of species.....Ebbe Schiøler -- an intrepid traveler and untiring observer of the CGIAR and of the work of the Future Harvest centers it supports -- has journeyed to seven countries to gather, first-hand, the stories of the men and women who benefit on a day-to-day basis from the research of the centers." (From Foreword by Hubert Zandstra, Chairman of the Board, Future Harvest)
26
+
27
+ ## Content
28
+
29
+ Latin America has given the world many of its key agricultural products. Food crops like potatoes, sweet potatoes, maize, beans, and many, many others have traveled far and wide....[It] is one of the richest concentrations of biodiversity on the face of the globe.....Today, however, many people in rural Latin America live in extreme poverty....At the same time, the rich mountain and lowland ecosystems of the American tropics are threatened by degradation and loss of species.....Ebbe Schiøler -- an intrepid traveler and untiring observer of the CGIAR and of the work of the Future Harvest centers it supports -- has journeyed to seven countries to gather, first-hand, the stories of the men and women who benefit on a day-to-day basis from the research of the centers." (From Foreword by Hubert Zandstra, Chairman of the Board, Future Harvest)
data/part_2/0100744003.md ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,25 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ # Sustainable intensification for food and nutrition security
2
+
3
+ **Source:** gardian_index
4
+ **URL:** https://cgspace.cgiar.org/rest/bitstreams/560bd74f-f760-4739-b0d2-6812d6d93e57/retrieve
5
+ **Language:** English
6
+ **Resource Type:** Poster / Presentation
7
+ **Release Year:** 2013
8
+ **Rights:** N/A
9
+ **GARDIAN ID:** e43a4008e193df9732f301318d3719ed
10
+ **DataNODE ID:** 5d0df115aba0642b55ffbbcc4cf4ca29
11
+ **Siever ID:** 9abe08f9-125d-4a8f-b361-9fdecb44dede
12
+ **Token Count:** 25
13
+ **Page Count:** 0
14
+
15
+ ## Keywords
16
+
17
+ sustainable intensification, nutrition security, food
18
+
19
+ ## Description
20
+
21
+ CIFOR-IFPRI Policy Seminar "Food, Forests, and Landscapes - Solutions for Sustainable Development" with Shenggen Fan, IFPRI, Peter Holmgren, CIFOR, and Geeta Sethi, The World Bank.
22
+
23
+ ## Content
24
+
25
+ CIFOR-IFPRI Policy Seminar "Food, Forests, and Landscapes - Solutions for Sustainable Development" with Shenggen Fan, IFPRI, Peter Holmgren, CIFOR, and Geeta Sethi, The World Bank.
data/part_2/0105230449.md ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,183 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ # Short-term impacts of COVID-19 in rural Guatemala: Call for a closer, continuous look at the food security and nutritional patterns of vulnerable families
2
+
3
+ **Source:** gardian_index
4
+ **URL:** https://cgspace.cgiar.org/rest/bitstreams/7f3b7a83-ac3a-46b0-9744-7bfc2370c119/retrieve
5
+ **Language:** English
6
+ **Resource Type:** Scientific Publication
7
+ **Release Year:** 2022
8
+ **Rights:** CC-BY
9
+ **GARDIAN ID:** 809c4977ed4aef3e409b09c39a69ee86
10
+ **DataNODE ID:** 93512b52a5f8ae23e5aa13140528cf95
11
+ **Siever ID:** 4f7c171f-80c9-45d7-95be-593a86943c62
12
+ **Token Count:** 1518
13
+ **Page Count:** 0
14
+
15
+ ## Keywords
16
+
17
+ value chains, income, agricultural products, policies, covid-19, health, social protection, nutrition, food security, poverty, rural areas, household consumption
18
+
19
+ ## Geography
20
+
21
+ - **Regions:** Central America, Latin America and the Caribbean, Americas, World, Northern America
22
+ - **Countries:** Guatemala
23
+
24
+ ## Description
25
+
26
+ In early 2020, Guatemala reacted swiftly to the unfolding COVID-19 pandemic. It was one of the first countries in Latin America to impose strict measures to contain the spread of infection, including travel restrictions and a six-month nationwide lockdown beginning March 21 (eight days after its first reported case), comprising a temporary halt of activities in the private and public sectors, suspension of public transportation, and mobility restrictions, with a strict curfew from 6 p.m. to 5 a.m. According to the Oxford COVID-19 Government Response Tracker (OxCGRT), the country’s measures were among the top five in Latin America in terms of stringency.
27
+
28
+ ## Content
29
+
30
+ From IFPRI’s COVID-19 Blog
31
+ 8. Short-term impacts of COVID-19
32
+ in rural Guatemala: Call for a closer,
33
+ continuous look at the food security and
34
+ nutritional patterns of vulnerable families
35
+ Francisco Ceballos, Manuel Hernandez, and Cynthia Paz
36
+ In early 2020, Guatemala reacted swiftly to the unfolding COVID-19 pandemic. It was one of the first
37
+ countries in Latin America to impose strict measures to contain the spread of infection, including
38
+ travel restrictions and a six-month nationwide lockdown beginning March 21 (eight days after its first
39
+ reported case), comprising a temporary halt of activities in the private and public sectors, suspension
40
+ of public transportation, and mobility restrictions, with a strict curfew from 6 p.m. to 5 a.m. According
41
+ to the Oxford COVID-19 Government Response Tracker (OxCGRT), the country’s measures were
42
+ among the top five in Latin America in terms of stringency.
43
+ In a country where, according to pre-pandemic statistics, nearly 6 out of 10 people live in poverty
44
+ and half of children under 5 are stunted, the economic and social consequences of COVID-19 and
45
+ corresponding control measures deserve close attention. Moreover, Guatemala’s existing structural
46
+ inequalities along cultural and geographic lines, institutional and public service deficiencies, and vul-
47
+ nerability to climate shocks (as shown by the devastating Eta and Iota hurricanes in November 2020),
48
+ all fan the flames of this crisis and call for continuous monitoring and rapid and innovative responses.
49
+ Our recent study closely examines the short-term effects of the COVID-19 lockdown on food secu-
50
+ rity and nutrition among rural households in Guatemala’s Western Highlands — possibly the country’s
51
+ most vulnerable region, with the highest poverty and stunting rates and characterized by smallholder
52
+ farming, low agricultural productivity, and reduced market access. The results indicate that incomes
53
+ fell, food insecurity doubled, and dietary diversity declined.
54
+ The analysis relies on a comprehensive panel dataset of 1,824 small agricultural households located
55
+ in the departments of Huehuetenango, Quiché, and San Marcos, collected pre- and post-lockdown
56
+ during November–December 2019 and May–June 2020. Post-lockdown data gathering was con-
57
+ ducted exclusively by phone, using numbers collected during the first round, and relying on commu-
58
+ nity leaders to contact households that did not answer repeated phone calls, as some of them had
59
+ lost or changed their numbers (a common practice in rural Guatemala).
60
+ Key findings
61
+ The lockdown’s direct economic consequences are evident at first glance: Almost two-thirds of the
62
+ interviewed households reported a decrease in agricultural and non-agricultural income (the latter
63
+ 54 Food Security & Poverty
64
+ EMBARGOED UNTIL MARCH 7, 2022
65
+ being sharper), while the large majority (94 percent) reported decreased receipt of remittances, con-
66
+ sistent with national reports during the first months after the outbreak. In aggregate, roughly three
67
+ out of every four households reported an unambiguous decrease in income (Figure 1).
68
+ Despite the relatively quick rollout of government support programs, the study finds that poor
69
+ households mostly relied on limited coping mechanisms to deal with these income reductions.
70
+ This, together with reported reduced food availability and higher food prices in local markets (a
71
+ result of disruptions in trade and logistics and labor shortages, despite the agriculture sector’s offi-
72
+ cial exemption from lockdown restrictions), appears to have reduced households’ food security and
73
+ dietary diversity.
74
+ The prevalence of food insecurity roughly doubled between the end of 2019 and mid-2020, the sur-
75
+ vey indicates. This pattern was observed consistently across all forms of food insecurity: mild (hav-
76
+ ing eaten only a few kinds of foods because of a lack of money or other resources), moderate (having
77
+ eaten less than they thought they should), and severe (not having eaten despite feeling hungry).
78
+ In addition, households’ dietary diversity fell overall, as indicated by a small but statistically significant
79
+ decrease from 6.9 to 6.4 in the Household Dietary Diversity Score (HDSS), defined as the number of
80
+ food groups consumed — ranging from 0 to 12 — in the 24 hours preceding the interview. Households
81
+ seemed to switch away from consumption of animal-source foods toward greater consumption of
82
+ fruits and vegetables, with no significant changes observed in other food groups, such as cereals
83
+ and grains or legumes and nuts (Figure 2). Unfortunately, the data did not permit us to determine net
84
+ changes in nutrient intake brought about by this dietary switch, as quantities consumed were not col-
85
+ lected during the surveys.
86
+ FIGure 1 Reported changes in income sources in Guatemala’s
87
+ Western Highlands
88
+ Reported changes in income sources
89
+ in Guatemala’s Western Highlands
90
+ 77%
91
+ 53%
92
+ 35%
93
+ 17%
94
+ 12%
95
+ 27%
96
+ 4%
97
+ 31%
98
+ 30%
99
+ 2%
100
+ 4%
101
+ 8%
102
+ Remittances
103
+ Non-agricultural
104
+ income
105
+ Agricultural
106
+ income
107
+ Decreased a lot Decreased a little Remains the same Increased
108
+ 55Food Security & Poverty
109
+ EMBARGOED UNTIL MARCH 7, 2022
110
+ At the individual level, dietary diversity among women ages 15–49 remained unchanged at around
111
+ 4.5 (on a range of 0–9 food groups) and increased among children ages 6–23 months from 3.3 to 3.9
112
+ (on a range of 0–7 food groups). This points toward potential changes in intrahousehold allocation of
113
+ foods in response to a shock, where young children may have been prioritized.
114
+ Interestingly, the study indicates that higher-income households reduced their dietary diversity more
115
+ than lower-income ones, and were also more prone to report a decrease in income. The lockdown
116
+ may thus have had relatively greater impacts on higher-income versus lower-income households,
117
+ which tend to depend more on subsistence farming and other small-scale, locally oriented activi-
118
+ ties less affected by the restrictions. Nonetheless, the latter could still have been worse off in abso-
119
+ lute terms, and exhibit additional vulnerabilities along several dimensions — acute malnutrition, for
120
+ example, more than doubled in Guatemala over the months after the start of the pandemic compared
121
+ to same period in 2019. Households located in communities that imposed additional access restric-
122
+ tions during the lockdown (over 75 percent of those sampled) also showed a larger decrease in their
123
+ dietary diversity compared with those in communities that did not.
124
+ FIGure 2 Household consumption before and after COVID-19
125
+ Household consumption changes in Guatemala’s
126
+ Western Highlands before and after COVID-19
127
+ 0% 10% 20% 30% 40%
128
+ Percentage of households
129
+ 50% 60% 70%
130
+ Other vegetables
131
+ Green leafy vegetables
132
+ Vegetables rich in vitamin A
133
+ Other fruits
134
+ Fruits rich in vitamin A
135
+ Dairy products
136
+ Eggs
137
+ Poultry
138
+ Beef and pork meat
139
+ Households’ animal-
140
+ source food consumption
141
+ Households’ fruits and
142
+ vegetables consumption
143
+ Sausages and cold meats
144
+ November – December 2019
145
+ May – June 2020
146
+ 56 Food Security & Poverty
147
+ EMBARGOED UNTIL MARCH 7, 2022
148
+ Policy responses and looking forward
149
+ Starting in April 2020, the government of Guatemala scaled up programs to contain the negative
150
+ effects of the crisis on livelihoods and food security. These included greater support for micro, small,
151
+ and medium enterprises, subsidies for public services, and price controls on foods included in the
152
+ basic food basket. Two COVID-19 programs provide direct assistance to vulnerable rural and urban
153
+ families: the Programa de Apoyo Alimentario (Food Support Program) distributes rations, prioritiz-
154
+ ing the procurement of basic grains from smallholder farmers; the Bono Familia provides an emer-
155
+ gency supplementary monthly income of around US$130. Despite these efforts, the study shows the
156
+ assistance may not be reaching many of its intended recipients. While 6 out of every 10 communities
157
+ received some form of public or private aid (as reported by community leaders), only 2 out of every
158
+ 10 households reported receiving aid. This suggests the need to intensify efforts to reach a larger
159
+ share of rural households affected by COVID-19.
160
+ Overall, the study suggests a complex array of impacts from the COVID-19 pandemic and related
161
+ control measures in the nutritionally compromised context of Guatemala’s Western Highlands —
162
+ including decreases in household food security and overall dietary diversity following reported
163
+ reductions in income, price increases, and lower food availability at local markets. While the pan-
164
+ demic impacts continue to evolve and present ongoing challenges, our findings call for a closer and
165
+ continuous look at the conditions rural families in the region face, together with their responses. A
166
+ second follow-up survey implemented in May–June 2021, which is part of an ongoing study, indicates
167
+ that the pandemic has continued to affect the incomes, food security, and dietary patterns of sur-
168
+ veyed households. Despite slight improvements across most dimensions compared to the 2020 sur-
169
+ vey, study households still report lower agricultural and non-agricultural income and remittances,
170
+ more food insecurity experiences, and a decrease in dietary diversity compared to pre-pandemic lev-
171
+ els. Similarly, given the prolonged nature of the COVID-19 pandemic, households reporting an unam-
172
+ biguous income decrease have shifted to more costly coping mechanisms (toward borrowing and
173
+ away from using savings or relying on friends and relatives). Moreover, households that reported a
174
+ decrease in income and dietary diversity in 2020 were found to be more prone to report a decrease
175
+ in 2021, pointing to persisting economic and nutritional effects of the pandemic on specific popula-
176
+ tion groups. A third, follow-up survey in 2022 will permit us to assess longer-term variations on food
177
+ security and nutritional patterns.
178
+ The paper discussed here is part of a COVID-19 special issue of Agricultural Economics edited by IFPRI’s Johan Swinnen and Rob Vos.
179
+ The study was funded by the U.S. Agency for International Development (USAID).
180
+ Originally published May 13, 2021, and updated January 4, 2022.
181
+ 57Food Security & Poverty
182
+ EMBARGOED UNTIL MARCH 7, 2022
183
+
data/part_2/0114228201.md ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,1285 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ # A&T Bangladesh Maternal Nutrition Endline Survey 2016: Shasthya Shebika (SS)
2
+
3
+ **Source:** gardian_index
4
+ **URL:** https://dataverse.harvard.edu/api/access/datafile/:persistentId/?persistentId=doi:10.7910/DVN/JQNLHJ/K1MQZB
5
+ **Language:** English
6
+ **Resource Type:** Dataset / Tabular
7
+ **Release Year:** 2016
8
+ **Rights:** CC-BY
9
+ **GARDIAN ID:** ecc062a5b5041aff523b53c2fca64c36
10
+ **DataNODE ID:** d7fdb97f343655b199d2c85ab5704b2e
11
+ **Siever ID:** 45545e84-03ae-4f7e-81b6-f3f6e1154fa3
12
+ **Token Count:** 13650
13
+ **Page Count:** 0
14
+
15
+ ## Keywords
16
+
17
+ endline surveys, frontline health workers, shasthya shebika, households, health, health communication, nutrition, nutrition education, supplements, anemia, diet, breast feeding, infant feeding, child feeding, mass media, hygiene, training, work satisfaction, motivation, developing countries, bangladesh, south asia, asia
18
+
19
+ ## Geography
20
+
21
+ - **Regions:** South-eastern Asia, Asia, World, Southern Asia
22
+ - **Countries:** Bangladesh, Indonesia
23
+
24
+ ## Description
25
+
26
+ This dataset is the result of the frontline health worker (FHW) survey conducted to gather data for the Maternal Nutrition Endline as a part of an impact evaluation study of Alive & Thrive (A&T) interventions delivered through Building Resources Across Communities' (BRAC) Essential Health Care (EHC) Program in Bangladesh. </p>
27
+
28
+ A&T is a global initiative that supports the scaling up of nutrition interventions to save lives, prevent illnesses, and contribute to healthy growth and development through improved maternal nutrition, breastfeeding and complementary feeding practices.</p>
29
+
30
+ In setting its country program goal for Bangladesh in this phase of its study, A&T decided to focus on demonstrating the feasibility of integrating a package of maternal nutrition interventions in a large-scale Maternal, Newborn, and Child Health (MNCH) program. Maternal nutrition should receive equal priority as child nutrition and the A&T program of BRAC already have developed an effective strategy through improving IYCF practices.</p>
31
+
32
+ The objective of this impact evaluation is to assess the impact of integrating nutrition-focused behavior change communication (BCC- interpersonal counselling and mass communication) and community mobilization into BRAC's rural MNCH program on: 1) coverage and utilization of key maternal nutrition interventions; 2) consumption of diversified and adequate amount of foods and micronutrients by pregnant and postpartum women; and 3) early breastfeeding practices. In addition, factors affecting integration of nutrition interventions into a well-established community-based MNCH program platform through frontline health workers and social mobilization were examined.</p>
33
+ The study used a cluster-randomized design with repeated cross-sectional surveys at baseline and endline. As with the baseline, the endline survey used the same ten subdistricts from four districts (Mymensingh, Rangpur, Kurigram, and Lalmonirhat) in which BRAC's existing rural MNCH project is in place have been selected randomly to provide intensified maternal nutrition interventions. Another 10 subdisctricts/upazilas from the same four districts have been selected as comparison for the evaluation. It was conducted between July–August 2016 by the team from International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI), in collaboration with the survey firm, Data Analysis and Technical Assistance, Ltd. (DATA). </p>
34
+
35
+ The endline survey had three components: 1) Household survey for recently delivered women (RDW) and their husbands, 2) Household survey for pregnant women (PW) (with detailed dietary recall), and 3) a Frontline health workers survey (Shasthya Shebika (SS) and Shasthya Kormi (SK)).</p>
36
+ The frontline health worker (FHW) survey gathered data on service provision by BRAC frontline health workers and other healthcare providers. Data were also gathered on health workers’ time commitment, knowledge and attitude and training related to maternal nutrition, and their job motivation, satisfaction, and supervision. In addition, questions on household assets and mass media habits were included. Two questionnaires were developed for frontline health workers survey—(i) Shasthya Shebika (SS) questionnaire, and (ii) Shasthya Kormi (SK) questionnaire.</p>
37
+ The data included here are from the survey of Shasthya Shebika (SS).
38
+
39
+ ## Content
40
+
41
+ Variable name Type Variable label
42
+ A01 double A1. SS
43
+ A03 int A3 Village (sample village)
44
+ A03_1 double A3_1 Is it respondent own village?:
45
+ A06 int A6 Union / Ward No
46
+ A07 byte A7 Thana/Upazila
47
+ A08 byte A8 District
48
+ A10 double A10 Religion
49
+ A14 double A14. Have taking interview in this SS at 2015?
50
+ A15 double A15 If yes, write ID of SS
51
+ B01Y double B01Y. How long have you been working as a BRAC SS in this community? (year)
52
+ B01M double B01M How long have you been working as a BRAC SS in this community? (month)
53
+ B02_01 byte main activities - SS - HH visits
54
+ B02_02 byte main activities - SS - Conduct health education forum
55
+ B02_03 byte main activities - SS - Check on immunization of children
56
+ B02_04 byte main activities - SS - Check TT for pregnant women
57
+ B02_05 byte main activities - SS - Provide ANC
58
+ B02_06 byte main activities - SS - Visit HH and providing pregnancy-related advice
59
+ B02_07 byte main activities - SS - Supervise the work of SS
60
+ B02_08 byte main activities - SS - Attend monthly refresher trainings for SS
61
+ B02_09 byte main activities - SS - Maintain coordination
62
+ B02_10 byte main activities - SS - Provide advice on water and sanitation
63
+ B02_11 byte main activities - SS - Provide advice on maternal nutrition
64
+ B02_12 byte main activities - SS - Demonstrate daily diet chart
65
+ B02_13 byte main activities - SS - Help with childbirth
66
+ B02_14 byte main activities - SS - Ensuring EBF
67
+ B02_15 byte main activities - SS - Ensuring EIBF
68
+ B02_16 byte main activities - SS - Provide free IFA tablets
69
+ B02_17 byte main activities - SS - provide free Calcium tablets
70
+ B02_18 byte main activities - SS - Sale IFA tablets
71
+ B02_19 byte main activities - SS - Sale Calcium tablets
72
+ B02_20 byte main activities - SS - other
73
+ B03 double B03 How many days of the month do you USUALLY work as a BRAC SS?
74
+ B04 double B04 How many days of the month do you USUALLY make home visits for your work as a BRAC SS?
75
+ B05 double B05 How many home visits do you USUALLY make each day on days that you make home visits?
76
+ B06 double B06 How long do you usually spend in each home that you visit (on average)
77
+ B07_01 byte main activities - visit a home - Supervise SS
78
+ B07_02 byte main activities - visit a home - Register new birth
79
+ B07_03 byte main activities - visit a home - Register pregnant women
80
+ B07_04 byte main activities - visit a home - Provide pregnancy-related advice
81
+ B07_05 byte main activities - visit a home - Provide advice about family planning
82
+ B07_06 byte main activities - visit a home - Take weight and height when pregnant
83
+ B07_07 byte main activities - visit a home - Check blood pressure
84
+ B07_08 byte main activities - visit a home - Advice on maternal nutrition
85
+ B07_09 byte main activities - visit a home - Provide advice on water and sanitation
86
+ B07_10 byte main activities - visit a home - Provide advice on hand washing
87
+ B07_11 byte main activities - visit a home - Provide free IFA tablets
88
+ B07_12 byte main activities - visit a home - provide free Calcium tablets
89
+ B07_13 byte main activities - visit a home - Sale IFA tablets
90
+ B07_14 byte main activities - visit a home - Sale Calcium tablets
91
+ B07_15 byte main activities - visit a home - other
92
+ B08 double
93
+ B08 Do you spend any time discussing maternal and child nutrition when you visit homes with
94
+ pregnant and lactating women?
95
+ B09 double
96
+ B09 On average, how long do you usually spend discussing maternal and child nutrition during your
97
+ home visits?
98
+ B10_HH double B10_HH How much time do you USUALLY spend on preparing reports each month?
99
+ B10_MM double B10_MM How much time do you USUALLY spend on preparing reports each month?
100
+ B11_HH double
101
+ B11_HH How long do you USUALLY spend when you attend the monthly SS refresher training
102
+ meetings?
103
+ B11_MM double
104
+ B11_MM How long do you USUALLY spend when you attend the monthly SS refresher training
105
+ meetings?
106
+ B12 double
107
+ B12 How many days in a month do you meet your supervisor (PO) who supervises you to discuss
108
+ your work?
109
+ B15 double B15 How satisfied are you overall with the volunteer work you do?
110
+ B17_YY double B17_YY When did you last receive training on maternal nutrition from BRAC?(year)
111
+ B17_MM double B17_MM When did you last receive training on maternal nutrition from BRAC?(month)
112
+ B18_01 byte topics discussed - last training - Objectives and overview of project
113
+ B18_02 byte topics discussed - last training - maternal health/nutrition,breastfeeding
114
+ B18_03 byte topics discussed - last training - Roles of SK, SS, PO, UM, Monitors
115
+ B18_04 byte topics discussed - last training - Importance of maternal nutrition & BF
116
+ B18_05 byte topics discussed - last training - priority interventions
117
+ B18_06 byte topics discussed - last training - Counselling PW and RDW
118
+ B18_07 byte topics discussed - last training - Preparing diet chart&calculating food budget
119
+ B18_08 byte topics discussed - last training - How to measure and record weight of the PW
120
+ B18_09 byte topics discussed - last training - Counting and recording of IFA& Ca consumption
121
+ B18_10 byte topics discussed - last training - How to engage husbands & other family members
122
+ B18_11 byte topics discussed - last training - Technique of counselling BF issue
123
+ B18_12 byte topics discussed - last training - How to express breastmilk
124
+ B18_13 byte topics discussed - last training - Early initiation of BF
125
+ B18_14 byte topics discussed - last training - How to prepare registers
126
+ B18_15 byte topics discussed - last training - Others
127
+ B19 double B19 Do you usually attend monthly refresher trainings from BRAC?
128
+ B20_DD double B20_YY When did you last attend monthly refresher training?
129
+ B20_MM double B20_MM When did you last attend monthly refresher training?
130
+ B21_01 byte topics discussed - refresher training - Objectives and overview of project
131
+ B21_02 byte topics discussed - refresher training - maternal health/nutrition,BF
132
+ B21_03 byte topics discussed - refresher training - Roles of SK, SS, PO, UM, Monitors
133
+ B21_04 byte topics discussed - refresher training - Importance of maternal nutrition & BF
134
+ B21_05 byte topics discussed - refresher training - priority interventions
135
+ B21_06 byte topics discussed - refresher training - Counselling PW and RDW
136
+ B21_07 byte topics discussed-refresher training-Preparing diet chart&calculating food budget
137
+ B21_08 byte topics discussed-refresher training-How to measure and record weight of the PW
138
+ B21_09 byte topics discussed-refresher training-Counting and recording of IFA & Ca consumption
139
+ B21_10 byte topics discussed-refresher training-How to engage husbands&other family members
140
+ B21_11 byte topics discussed - refresher training - Technique of counselling BF issue
141
+ B21_12 byte topics discussed - refresher training - How to express breastmilk
142
+ B21_13 byte topics discussed - refresher training - Early initiation of BF
143
+ B21_14 byte topics discussed - refresher training - How to prepare registers
144
+ B21_15 byte topics discussed - refresher training - Others
145
+ B22 double B22 Who is your direct supervisor?
146
+ B23 double B23 How many times in the last 30 days have you had contact with PO/SK?
147
+ B24 double
148
+ B24 Whom do you usually contact when you face a problem with your job as SS including problems
149
+ related to breast feeding and maternal nutrition and health of mothers?
150
+ B25_1 byte reason for contacting - Pregnancy related problems
151
+ B25_2 byte reason for contacting - Supplementation related problems
152
+ B25_3 byte reason for contacting - Breast problem
153
+ B25_4 byte reason for contacting - Breastfeeding related problems
154
+ B25_5 byte reason for contacting - others
155
+ B26A double B26A My supervisor keeps me informed about the follow-up of my concerns/worries
156
+ B26B double B26B My supervisor informs me about upcoming trainings/meetings, etc., in a timely fashion
157
+ B26C double B26C My supervisor respects my fixed monthly activities when planning other meetings
158
+ B26D double B26D My supervisor consults with me before making changes to the activities that I am involved in
159
+ B26E double B26E When I make a mistake on the job, my supervisor scolds me
160
+ B26F double B26F My supervisor praises me when I do something really well
161
+ B26G double B26G My supervisor helps me to organize my time and activities in an efficient manner
162
+ B27A double B27A My supervisor ensures that I have enough of the supplies that I need to do my daily work
163
+ B27B double B27B When I disagree with my supervisor I feel safe to express my opinion
164
+ B27C double B27C The way the supervisor provides feedback on my performance to the upper man
165
+ B27D double B27D My supervisor takes into account/considers my suggestions to improve things
166
+ B27E double B27E My supervisor works with me to identify solutions to program activity related problems
167
+ B27F double B27F I feel that my supervisor is sympathetic to my problems/cares about my problems
168
+ B27G double B27G My supervisor gives me enough guidance and structure to help me do my job
169
+ B27H double
170
+ B27H My supervisor uses times when I make mistakes or don?t perform well as opportunities to
171
+ help me improve my skills
172
+ C1_1 double C1_1 How many children between 0-6 months are there in your catchment area?
173
+ C1_2 double C1_2 How many pregnant women are there in your catchment area?
174
+ C1_3 double C1_3 How many recently delivered women are there in your area?
175
+ C1_4_1A double C1_4_1A Households with pregnant women in first trimester (0-3 months): Times/day
176
+ C1_4_1B double C1_4_1B Households with pregnant women in first trimester (0-3 months): Times/week
177
+ C1_4_1C double C1_4_1C Households with pregnant women in first trimester (0-3 months): Times/month
178
+ C1_4_2A double C1_4_2A Households with pregnant women in their second trimester (4-6 months): Times/day
179
+ C1_4_2B double C1_4_2B Households with pregnant women in their second trimester (4-6 months): Times/week
180
+ C1_4_2C double C1_4_2C Households with pregnant women in their second trimester (4-6 months): Times/month
181
+ C1_4_3A double C1_4_3A Households with pregnant women in their third trimester: Times/day
182
+ C1_4_3B double C1_4_3B Households with pregnant women in their third trimester: Times/week
183
+ C1_4_3C double C1_4_3C Households with pregnant women in their third trimester: Times/month
184
+ C1_4_4A double C1_4_4A Households with women who delivered within last 42 days: Times/day
185
+ C1_4_4B double C1_4_4B Households with women who delivered within last 42 days: Times/week
186
+ C1_4_4C double C1_4_4C Households with women who delivered within last 42 days: Times/months
187
+ C2_5_1 byte HH visits, whom do you talk to ab maternal nutrition, health -PW/RDW
188
+ C2_5_2 byte HH visits, whom do you talk to ab maternal nutrition, health -PW/RDW husband
189
+ C2_5_3 byte HH visits, whom do you talk to ab maternal nutrition, health -PW/RDW mother-in-law
190
+ C2_5_4 byte HH visits, whom do you talk to ab maternal nutrition, health -PW/RDW father-in-law
191
+ C2_5_5 byte HH visits, whom do you talk to ab maternal nutrition, health -relatives
192
+ C2_5_6 byte HH visits, whom do you talk to ab maternal nutrition, health -whoever is available
193
+ C2_5_7 byte HH visits, whom do you talk to ab maternal nutrition, health -No one
194
+ C2_5_8 byte C2_5 During your household visits, whom do you talk to about maternal nutrition and health?
195
+ C2_6_01 byte
196
+ message give when visit HH-Proper diet ensures weight gain & adequate growth of baby inside the
197
+ womb
198
+ C2_6_02 byte message give when visit HH-Proper diet ensures quick recovery of mothers
199
+ C2_6_03 byte message give when visit HH-Proper diet save costs on doctor and medicine
200
+ C2_6_04 byte message give when visit HH-Nutritious food is not always expensive
201
+ C2_6_05 byte message give when visit HH-Daily intake of 5 varieties of food and daal, rice
202
+ C2_6_06 byte message give when visit HH-PW/RDW have to eat fish/meat everyday
203
+ C2_6_07 byte message give when visit HH-PW/RDW have to eat an egg everyday
204
+ C2_6_08 byte message give when visit HH-PW/RDW have to eat milk/milk products everyday
205
+ C2_6_09 byte message give when visit HH-PW/RDW have to eat DGLV everyday
206
+ C2_6_10 byte message give when visit HH-PW/RDW have to eat yellow/orange fruits or vegetables
207
+ C2_6_11 byte message give when visit HH-PW/RDW have to eat thick daal everyday
208
+ C2_6_12 byte message give when visit HH-Take one IFA tablet everyday
209
+ C2_6_13 byte message give when visit HH-Take one calcium tablet every day
210
+ C2_6_14 byte message give when visit HH-Use iodized salt while cooking
211
+ C2_6_15 byte message give when visit HH-Take at least two hours of rest every afternoon
212
+ C2_6_16 byte message give when visit HH-PW have to weighed every month
213
+ C2_6_17 byte message give when visit HH-PW gain 10-12 kgs of weight during pregnancy
214
+ C2_6_18 byte message give when visit HH-PW avoid doing heavy work or lifting anything heavy
215
+ C2_6_19 byte message give when visit HH-Avoid tea-coffee during pregnancy
216
+ C2_6_20 byte message give when visit HH-Ensure EIBF
217
+ C2_6_21 byte message give when visit HH-Ensure EBF
218
+ C2_6_22 byte message give when visit HH-Daily consumption of fruits is essential
219
+ C2_6_23 byte message give when visit HH-Daily consumption of fish/meat/egg is essential
220
+ C2_6_24 byte message give when visit HH-Take anti-helminth tablet
221
+ C2_6_25 byte message give when visit HH-Drink at least 8 glasses of water everyday
222
+ C2_6_26 byte message give when visit HH-other
223
+ C2_7_1 byte message give to the members of the family when visit HH-To help the women with her work
224
+ C2_7_2 byte message give to the members of the family when visit HH-To feed her program prescribed diet
225
+ C2_7_3 byte message give to the members of the family when visit HH-To make her rest 2h everyday
226
+ C2_7_4 byte message give to the members of the family when visit HH-other
227
+ C2_8_01 byte
228
+ message give when visit HH-Proper diet ensures weight gain & adequate growth of baby inside the
229
+ womb
230
+ C2_8_02 byte message give when visit HH-Proper diet ensures quick recovery of mothers
231
+ C2_8_03 byte message give when visit HH-Proper diet save costs on doctor and medicine
232
+ C2_8_04 byte message give when visit HH-Nutritious food is not always expensive
233
+ C2_8_05 byte message give when visit HH-Daily intake of 5 varieties of food and daal, rice
234
+ C2_8_06 byte message give when visit HH-PW/RDW have to eat fish/meat everyday
235
+ C2_8_07 byte message give when visit HH-PW/RDW have to eat an egg everyday
236
+ C2_8_08 byte message give when visit HH-PW/RDW have to eat milk/milk products everyday
237
+ C2_8_09 byte message give when visit HH-PW/RDW have to eat DGLV everyday
238
+ C2_8_10 byte message give when visit HH-PW/RDW have to eat yellow/orange fruits or vegetables
239
+ C2_8_11 byte message give when visit HH-PW/RDW have to eat thick daal everyday
240
+ C2_8_12 byte message give when visit HH-Take one IFA tablet everyday
241
+ C2_8_13 byte message give when visit HH-Take one calcium tablet every day
242
+ C2_8_14 byte message give when visit HH-Use iodized salt while cooking
243
+ C2_8_15 byte message give when visit HH-Take at least two hours of rest every afternoon
244
+ C2_8_16 byte message give when visit HH-PW have to weighed every month
245
+ C2_8_17 byte message give when visit HH-PW gain 10-12 kgs of weight during pregnancy
246
+ C2_8_18 byte message give when visit HH-PW avoid doing heavy work or lifting anything heavy
247
+ C2_8_19 byte message give when visit HH-Avoid tea-coffee during pregnancy
248
+ C2_8_20 byte message give when visit HH-Ensure EIBF
249
+ C2_8_21 byte message give when visit HH-Ensure EBF
250
+ C2_8_22 byte message give when visit HH-Proper diet results in sufficient amount of milk for the baby
251
+ C2_8_23 byte message give when visit HH-Daily consumption of fruits is essential
252
+ C2_8_24 byte message give when visit HH-Daily consumption of fish/meat/egg
253
+ C2_8_25 byte message give when visit HH-Drink at least 8 glasses of water everyday
254
+ C2_8_26 byte message give when visit HH-Take vitamin A capsule within first 14 days after delivery
255
+ C2_8_27 byte message give when visit HH-other
256
+ C2_10 double
257
+ C2_10 In the last 30 days during home visits how many times have you demonstrated food intake
258
+ according to the diet chart?
259
+ C3_11_1 byte C3_11 common food related problems-Nausea or vomiting
260
+ C3_11_2 byte C3_11 common food related problems-Constipation/dark stool
261
+ C3_11_3 byte C3_11 common food related problems-Metallic taste
262
+ C3_11_4 byte C3_11 common food related problems-not feeling hungry/food tastes stale
263
+ C3_11_5 byte C3_11 common food related problems-Others
264
+ C3_12_1 byte C3_12 advice give when hear about nausea/vomiting-Take small, frequent meals
265
+ C3_12_2 byte C3_12 advice give when hear about nausea/vomiting-Drink a lot of water
266
+ C3_12_3 byte C3_12 advice give when hear about nausea/vomiting-Others
267
+ C3_13_1 byte C3_13 advice give when hear about constipation/dark stool-Eat a lot of fruits, vegetables
268
+ C3_13_2 byte C3_13 advice give when hear about constipation/dark stool-Drink a lot of water
269
+ C3_13_3 byte C3_13 advice give when hear about constipation/dark stool-Others
270
+ C3_13A double C3_13a Do you notice complication in neonate?s health in your catchment area?
271
+ C3_13B_01 byte kind of problem notice in neonate health-Child has difficulty in sucking milk
272
+ C3_13B_02 byte kind of problem notice in neonate health-Child has difficulty in swallowing milk
273
+ C3_13B_03 byte kind of problem notice in neonate health-Child has difficulty with breathing
274
+ C3_13B_04 byte kind of problem notice in neonate health-Child suffers from seizure
275
+ C3_13B_05 byte kind of problem notice in neonate health-Child is lethargic
276
+ C3_13B_06 byte kind of problem notice in neonate health-Child went in coma
277
+ C3_13B_07 byte kind of problem notice in neonate health-Child suffers from regular occurrence of fever
278
+ C3_13B_08 byte kind of problem notice in neonate health-Child suffers from hypothermia
279
+ C3_13B_09 byte kind of problem notice in neonate health-Child suffered from umbilical cord infection
280
+ C3_13B_10 byte kind of problem notice in neonate health-Child suffered from skin infection
281
+ C3_13B_11 byte kind of problem notice in neonate health-Child suffers from bleeding
282
+ C3_13B_12 byte kind of problem notice in neonate health-Child suffered from jaundice
283
+ C3_13B_13 byte kind of problem notice in neonate health-Child has a tendency to vomit
284
+ C3_13B_14 byte kind of problem notice in neonate health-Child suffers from frequent diarrhea
285
+ C3_13B_15 byte kind of problem notice in neonate health-OTHER
286
+ C3_14 double C3_14 Do you distribute free IFA tablets in your catchment area?
287
+ C3_15A double
288
+ C3_15A On average, how many IFA tablets do you provide to a postnatal mother over the whole
289
+ course of pregnancy and lactation?/number of tablets for RDW
290
+ C3_15B double
291
+ C3_15B On average, how many IFA tablets do you provide to a pregnant mother over the whole
292
+ course of pregnancy and lactation?/number of tablets for PW
293
+ C3_16 double C3_16 Do you distribute free Calcium tablets in your catchment area?
294
+ C3_17RDW double C3_17A On average, how many calcium tablets do you provide to a postnatal mother
295
+ C3_17PW double C3_17B On average, how many calcium tablets do you provide to a pregnant mother
296
+ C3_17A double C17a Do you provide anti-helminth tablet (medicine to remove worm) to pregnant women?
297
+ C3_17B double
298
+ C17b In which month of pregnancy do you provide anti-helminth tablet (medicine to remove worm)
299
+ to pregnant women?
300
+ C3_18 double C3_18 Do you provide breastfeeding related messages to pregnant women?
301
+ C3_19 double C3_19 Do recently delivered women tell you about problems regarding breastfeeding?
302
+ C3_20 double C3_20 Is there any baby with low weight in your catchment area?
303
+ C3_21_1 byte C3_21 advice give to RDW whose baby is low-weight-Feed the child frequently
304
+ C3_21_2 byte C3_21 advice give to RDW whose baby is low-weight-Keep the baby close to mother
305
+ C3_21_3 byte C3_21 advice give to RDW whose baby is low-weight-Keep the baby worm
306
+ C3_21_4 byte C3_21 advice give to RDW whose baby is low-weight-use express milk
307
+ C3_21_5 byte C3_21 advice give to RDW whose baby is low-weight-Use cup & spoon,avoid using bottle
308
+ C3_21_6 byte C3_21 advice give to RDW whose baby is low-weight-other
309
+ C4_25 double C4_25 Have you ever received incentive from BRAC?
310
+ C4_26 double C4_26 Did you ever received incentive from BRAC last month?
311
+ C4_27 double C4_27 How much incentive did you receive from BRAC last month (record in TAKA)?
312
+ C4_28_1 byte Why get incentive last month-ensure PW/RDW taking/eating at least 5 group of foods
313
+ C4_28_2 byte Why get incentive last month-ensure PW/RDW taking/eating recommended amount of food
314
+ C4_28_3 byte Why get incentive last month-ensure PW/RDW compliance of 30 IFA tablet and 30 Calcium tablet
315
+ C4_28_4 byte Why get incentive last month-took weight of all PW within her catchment area
316
+ C4_28_5 byte Why get incentive last month-ensure initiation of BF and no pre-lacteals
317
+ C4_28_6 byte Why get incentive last month-other
318
+ C4_29 double C4_29 How important is incentives in your decision to continue providing SS services?
319
+ D01_1 byte D01 Why is proper nutrition important-For adequate weight gain of PW
320
+ D01_2 byte D01 Why is proper nutrition important-For child inside the womb grows adequately/ healthy
321
+ D01_3 byte D01 Why is proper nutrition important-For a brainy child with bright future
322
+ D01_4 byte D01 Why is proper nutrition important-Quicker recovery after delivery
323
+ D01_5 byte D01 Why is proper nutrition important-Extra costs due to doctors and medicine will be saved
324
+ D01_6 byte D01 Why is proper nutrition important-It is a good investment in future
325
+ D01_7 byte D01 Why is proper nutrition important-To produce adequate breastmilk
326
+ D01_8 byte D01 Why is proper nutrition important-Others
327
+ D01_9 byte D01 Why is proper nutrition important-Dont know
328
+ D02A_01 byte How should PW/RDW eat to provide good nutrition-Eat more at each meal
329
+ D02A_02 byte How should PW/RDW eat to provide good nutrition-Eat more frequently
330
+ D02A_03 byte How should PW/RDW eat to provide good nutrition-Eat more animal foods
331
+ D02A_04 byte How should PW/RDW eat to provide good nutrition-Eat more eggs
332
+ D02A_05 byte How should PW/RDW eat to provide good nutrition-Eat more Yellow/orange vegetable
333
+ D02A_06 byte How should PW/RDW eat to provide good nutrition-Eat more Dark green leafy vegetable
334
+ D02A_07 byte How should PW/RDW eat to provide good nutrition-Eat more Any other vegetable
335
+ D02A_08 byte How should PW/RDW eat to provide good nutrition-Eat more vegetables in general
336
+ D02A_09 byte How should PW/RDW eat to provide good nutrition-Eat more Yellow/orange fruits
337
+ D02A_10 byte How should PW/RDW eat to provide good nutrition-Eat more Citreous/sour fruits
338
+ D02A_11 byte How should PW/RDW eat to provide good nutrition-Eat more Any other fruits
339
+ D02A_12 byte How should PW/RDW eat to provide good nutrition-Eat more fruits in general
340
+ D02A_13 byte How should PW/RDW eat to provide good nutrition-Eat more Milk/milk products
341
+ D02A_14 byte How should PW/RDW eat to provide good nutrition-Take one IFA tablet every day
342
+ D02A_15 byte How should PW/RDW eat to provide good nutrition-Take one Calcium tablet every day
343
+ D02A_16 byte How should PW/RDW eat to provide good nutrition-Others
344
+ D02A_17 byte How should PW/RDW eat to provide good nutrition-DK
345
+ D03 double D03 Have you heard about anemia?
346
+ D04_1 byte D04 how to recognize who has anemia-Less energy/weakness
347
+ D04_2 byte D04 how to recognize who has anemia-Paleness/pallor
348
+ D04_3 byte D04 how to recognize who has anemia-More likely to become sick
349
+ D04_4 byte D04 how to recognize who has anemia-Other
350
+ D04_5 byte D04 how to recognize who has anemia-Dont know
351
+ D07_1 byte Health risks for PW of a lack of iron-Develop anemia/less iron in blood
352
+ D07_2 byte Health risks for PW of a lack of iron-Difficult delivery
353
+ D07_3 byte Health risks for PW of a lack of iron-Risk of dying during or after pregnancy
354
+ D07_4 byte Health risks for PW of a lack of iron-Other
355
+ D07_5 byte Health risks for PW of a lack of iron-Dont know
356
+ D05_1 byte what causes anemia-Lack of iron in the diet/eat too little, not much
357
+ D05_2 byte what causes anemia-Sickness/infection
358
+ D05_3 byte what causes anemia-Heavy bleeding during menstruation
359
+ D05_4 byte what causes anemia-Other
360
+ D05_5 byte what causes anemia-Dont know
361
+ D06_1 byte How can anemia be prevented-Eat/feed iron-rich foods
362
+ D06_2 byte How can anemia be prevented-Eat/give vitamin-C-rich foods
363
+ D06_3 byte How can anemia be prevented-Take/give iron supplements
364
+ D06_4 byte How can anemia be prevented-Treat other causes of anemia
365
+ D06_5 byte How can anemia be prevented-Other
366
+ D06_6 byte How can anemia be prevented-Dont know
367
+ D08_1 byte food groups rich in iron-Organ meat
368
+ D08_2 byte food groups rich in iron-Flesh meat
369
+ D08_3 byte food groups rich in iron-Fish and seafood
370
+ D08_4 byte food groups rich in iron-Dark green vegetables
371
+ D08_5 byte food groups rich in iron-Other
372
+ D08_6 byte food groups rich in iron-Dont know
373
+ D09 double
374
+ D09 When taken during meals, certain foods help the body absorb and use iron. What are those
375
+ foods?
376
+ D10_1 byte D10 beverages decrease iron absorption-Coffee
377
+ D10_2 byte D10 beverages decrease iron absorption-Tea
378
+ D10_3 byte D10 beverages decrease iron absorption-Milk
379
+ D10_4 byte D10 beverages decrease iron absorption-Other
380
+ D10_5 byte D10 beverages decrease iron absorption-Dont know
381
+ D11 double D11 Have you ever heard about iron-folic acid (IFA) tablets?
382
+ D12 double D12 How many IFA tablets do you think a pregnant woman should take in one month?
383
+ D13 double D13 For how many months a pregnant woman should take IFA tablets?
384
+ D14_1 byte Why PW should take IFA-reduce the risk of anemia for PW
385
+ D14_2 byte Why PW should take IFA-reduce the risk of anemia for child
386
+ D14_3 byte Why PW should take IFA-reduce the risk of LBW
387
+ D14_4 byte Why PW should take IFA-help improve child intelligence
388
+ D14_5 byte Why PW should take IFA-reduce the risk of excessive blood loss during delivery
389
+ D14_6 byte Why PW should take IFA-reduce risk of excessive blood loss after delivery
390
+ D14_7 byte Why PW should take IFA-make mother healthy/strong
391
+ D14_8 byte Why PW should take IFA-Dont know
392
+ D15 double D15 Have you ever heard about calcium tablets?
393
+ D16 double D16 How many calcium tables do you think a pregnant woman should take in one month?
394
+ D17 double D17 For how many months a pregnant woman should take Calcium tablets?
395
+ D18_1 byte D18 Why PW should take Ca-recover the loss in PW
396
+ D18_2 byte D18 Why PW should take Ca-ensure adequate growth of child bones and teeth
397
+ D18_3 byte D18 Why PW should take Ca-reduce the risk of pre-eclampsia/ eclampsia
398
+ D18_4 byte D18 Why PW should take Ca-reduce the risk of hypertension
399
+ D18_5 byte D18 Why PW should take Ca-Dont know
400
+ D19_HH double D19_HH How much rest should a pregnant woman take every day?
401
+ D19_MM double D19_MM How much rest should a pregnant woman take every day?
402
+ D19A double D19a When should a pregnant woman take anti-helminth tablet?
403
+ D20 double D20 When should a woman take one vitamin A capsule?
404
+ D21 double D21 How much weight should a pregnant women gain during pregnancy?
405
+ D23_11 double kind of food women should eat every day during pregnancy-Rice-YN
406
+ D23_21 double quantity each day-Rice
407
+ D23_12 double kind of food women should eat every day during pregnancy-Bread-YN
408
+ D23_22 double quantity each day-Bread
409
+ D23_13 double kind of food women should eat every day during pregnancy-Puffed rice-YN
410
+ D23_23 double quantity each day-Puffed rice
411
+ D23_14 double kind of food women should eat every day during pregnancy-Thick daal-YN
412
+ D23_24 double quantity each day-Thick daal
413
+ D23_15 double kind of food women should eat every day during pregnancy-Yellow/orange vegetable-Yn
414
+ D23_25 double quantity each day-Yellow/orange vegetable
415
+ D23_16 double kind of food women should eat every day during pregnancy-Dark green leafy vegetable-YN
416
+ D23_26 double quantity each day-Dark green leafy vegetable
417
+ D23_17 double kind of food women should eat every day during pregnancy-Other vegetable-YN
418
+ D23_27 double quantity each day-Other vegetable
419
+ D23_18 double kind of food women should eat every day during pregnancy-Orange/yellow fruits-YN
420
+ D23_28 double quantity each day-Orange/yellow fruits
421
+ D23_19 double kind of food women should eat every day during pregnancy-Citreous/sour fruits-YN
422
+ D23_29 double quantity each day-Citreous/sour fruits
423
+ D23_110 double kind of food women should eat every day during pregnancy-Other fruits-YN
424
+ D23_210 double quantity each day-Other fruits
425
+ D23_111 double kind of food women should eat every day during pregnancy-Egg-YN
426
+ D23_211 double quantity each day-Egg
427
+ D23_112 double kind of food women should eat every day during pregnancy-Milk/ Milk products-YN
428
+ D23_212 double quantity each day-Milk/ Milk products
429
+ D23_113 double kind of food women should eat every day during pregnancy-Fish/ sea foods-YN
430
+ D23_213 double quantity each day-Fish/ sea foods
431
+ D23_114 double kind of food women should eat every day during pregnancy-Meat-YN
432
+ D23_214 double quantity each day-Meat
433
+ D23_115 double kind of food women should eat every day during pregnancy-Oil-YN
434
+ D23_215 double quantity each day-Oil
435
+ D23_116 double kind of food women should eat every day during pregnancy-Chips and chanachur-YN
436
+ D23_216 double quantity each day-Chips and chanachur
437
+ D23_117 double kind of food women should eat every day during pregnancy-Nutritious snacks-YN
438
+ D23_217 double quantity each day-Nutritious snacks
439
+ D23_118 double kind of food women should eat every day during pregnancy-Coke-YN
440
+ D23_218 double quantity each day-Coke
441
+ D25_2_1 double Proper diet every day during pregnancy ensures weight gain-ever heard
442
+ D25_3_1_01 byte Proper diet every day during pregnancy ensures weight gain-Hospital/UHC
443
+ D25_3_1_02 byte Proper diet every day during pregnancy ensures weight gain-Doctor
444
+ D25_3_1_03 byte Proper diet every day during pregnancy ensures weight gain-Nurse/Midwife
445
+ D25_3_1_04 byte Proper diet every day during pregnancy ensures weight gain-FWA/HA
446
+ D25_3_1_05 byte Proper diet every day during pregnancy ensures weight gain-FWV
447
+ D25_3_1_06 byte Proper diet every day during pregnancy ensures weight gain-CHCP
448
+ D25_3_1_07 byte Proper diet every day during pregnancy ensures weight gain-SS
449
+ D25_3_1_08 byte Proper diet every day during pregnancy ensures weight gain-SK
450
+ D25_3_1_09 byte Proper diet every day during pregnancy ensures weight gain-NGO workers
451
+ D25_3_1_10 byte Proper diet every day during pregnancy ensures weight gain-TTBA
452
+ D25_3_1_11 byte Proper diet every day during pregnancy ensures weight gain-TBA
453
+ D25_3_1_12 byte Proper diet every day during pregnancy ensures weight gain-Village Doctor
454
+ D25_3_1_13 byte Proper diet every day during pregnancy ensures weight gain-Homeopath doctor
455
+ D25_3_1_14 byte Proper diet every day during pregnancy ensures weight gain-Kabiraj/Herbal healer
456
+ D25_3_1_15 byte Proper diet every day during pregnancy ensures weight gain-Spiritual healer
457
+ D25_3_1_16 byte Proper diet every day during pregnancy ensures weight gain-Pharmacy
458
+ D25_3_1_17 byte Proper diet every day during pregnancy ensures weight gain-Husband
459
+ D25_3_1_18 byte Proper diet every day during pregnancy ensures weight gain-Mother/Mother-in-law
460
+ D25_3_1_19 byte Proper diet every day during pregnancy ensures weight gain-Other HH members
461
+ D25_3_1_20 byte Proper diet every day during pregnancy ensures weight gain-Neighbor/friends
462
+ D25_3_1_21 byte Proper diet every day during pregnancy ensures weight gain-Private clinic
463
+ D25_3_1_22 byte Proper diet every day during pregnancy ensures weight gain-Community clinic
464
+ D25_3_1_23 byte Proper diet every day during pregnancy ensures weight gain-EPI
465
+ D25_3_1_24 byte Proper diet every day during pregnancy ensures weight gain-No one/never needed advice
466
+ D25_3_1_25 byte Proper diet every day during pregnancy ensures weight gain-Radio/TV
467
+ D25_3_1_26 byte Proper diet every day during pregnancy ensures weight gain-Books/Newspaper/Poster/Billboard
468
+ D25_3_1_27 byte Proper diet every day during pregnancy ensures weight gain-Internet/website
469
+ D25_3_1_28 byte Proper diet every day during pregnancy ensures weight gain-Jatra/Pala/Cinema
470
+ D25_3_1_29 byte Proper diet every day during pregnancy ensures weight gain-BRAC training course
471
+ D25_3_1_30 byte Proper diet every day during pregnancy ensures weight gain-other
472
+ D25_2_2 double Proper diet every day during pregnancy ensures growth of baby-ever heard
473
+ D25_3_2_01 byte Proper diet every day during pregnancy ensures growth of baby-Hospital/UHC
474
+ D25_3_2_02 byte Proper diet every day during pregnancy ensures growth of baby-Doctor
475
+ D25_3_2_03 byte Proper diet every day during pregnancy ensures growth of baby-Nurse/Midwife
476
+ D25_3_2_04 byte Proper diet every day during pregnancy ensures growth of baby-FWA/HA
477
+ D25_3_2_05 byte Proper diet every day during pregnancy ensures growth of baby-FWV
478
+ D25_3_2_06 byte Proper diet every day during pregnancy ensures growth of baby-CHCP
479
+ D25_3_2_07 byte Proper diet every day during pregnancy ensures growth of baby-SS
480
+ D25_3_2_08 byte Proper diet every day during pregnancy ensures growth of baby-SK
481
+ D25_3_2_09 byte Proper diet every day during pregnancy ensures growth of baby-NGO workers
482
+ D25_3_2_10 byte Proper diet every day during pregnancy ensures growth of baby-TTBA
483
+ D25_3_2_11 byte Proper diet every day during pregnancy ensures growth of baby-TBA
484
+ D25_3_2_12 byte Proper diet every day during pregnancy ensures growth of baby-Village Doctor
485
+ D25_3_2_13 byte Proper diet every day during pregnancy ensures growth of baby-Homeopath doctor
486
+ D25_3_2_14 byte Proper diet every day during pregnancy ensures growth of baby-Kabiraj/Herbal healer
487
+ D25_3_2_15 byte Proper diet every day during pregnancy ensures growth of baby-Spiritual healer
488
+ D25_3_2_16 byte Proper diet every day during pregnancy ensures growth of baby-Pharmacy
489
+ D25_3_2_17 byte Proper diet every day during pregnancy ensures growth of baby-Husband
490
+ D25_3_2_18 byte Proper diet every day during pregnancy ensures growth of baby-Mother/Mother-in-law
491
+ D25_3_2_19 byte Proper diet every day during pregnancy ensures growth of baby-Other HH members
492
+ D25_3_2_20 byte Proper diet every day during pregnancy ensures growth of baby-Neighbor/friends
493
+ D25_3_2_21 byte Proper diet every day during pregnancy ensures growth of baby-Private clinic
494
+ D25_3_2_22 byte Proper diet every day during pregnancy ensures growth of baby-Community clinic
495
+ D25_3_2_23 byte Proper diet every day during pregnancy ensures growth of baby-EPI
496
+ D25_3_2_24 byte Proper diet every day during pregnancy ensures growth of baby-No one/never needed advice
497
+ D25_3_2_25 byte Proper diet every day during pregnancy ensures growth of baby-Radio/TV
498
+ D25_3_2_26 byte
499
+ Proper diet every day during pregnancy ensures growth of baby-
500
+ Books/Newspaper/Pooster/Billboard
501
+ D25_3_2_27 byte Proper diet every day during pregnancy ensures growth of baby-Internet/website
502
+ D25_3_2_28 byte Proper diet every day during pregnancy ensures growth of baby-Jatra/Pala/Cinema
503
+ D25_3_2_29 byte Proper diet every day during pregnancy ensures growth of baby-BRAC training course
504
+ D25_3_2_30 byte Proper diet every day during pregnancy ensures growth of baby-other
505
+ D25_2_3 double Proper diet every day ensures quick recovery of mothers-ever heard
506
+ D25_3_3_01 byte Proper diet every day ensures quick recovery of mothers-Hospital/UHC
507
+ D25_3_3_02 byte Proper diet every day ensures quick recovery of mothers-Doctor
508
+ D25_3_3_03 byte Proper diet every day ensures quick recovery of mothers-Nurse/Midwife
509
+ D25_3_3_04 byte Proper diet every day ensures quick recovery of mothers-FWA/HA
510
+ D25_3_3_05 byte Proper diet every day ensures quick recovery of mothers-FWV
511
+ D25_3_3_06 byte Proper diet every day ensures quick recovery of mothers-CHCP
512
+ D25_3_3_07 byte Proper diet every day ensures quick recovery of mothers-SS
513
+ D25_3_3_08 byte Proper diet every day ensures quick recovery of mothers-SK
514
+ D25_3_3_09 byte Proper diet every day ensures quick recovery of mothers-NGO workers
515
+ D25_3_3_10 byte Proper diet every day ensures quick recovery of mothers-TTBA
516
+ D25_3_3_11 byte Proper diet every day ensures quick recovery of mothers-TBA
517
+ D25_3_3_12 byte Proper diet every day ensures quick recovery of mothers-Village Doctor
518
+ D25_3_3_13 byte Proper diet every day ensures quick recovery of mothers-Homeopath doctor
519
+ D25_3_3_14 byte Proper diet every day ensures quick recovery of mothers-Kabiraj/Herbal healer
520
+ D25_3_3_15 byte Proper diet every day ensures quick recovery of mothers-Spiritual healer
521
+ D25_3_3_16 byte Proper diet every day ensures quick recovery of mothers-Pharmacy
522
+ D25_3_3_17 byte Proper diet every day ensures quick recovery of mothers-Husband
523
+ D25_3_3_18 byte Proper diet every day ensures quick recovery of mothers-Mother/Mother-in-law
524
+ D25_3_3_19 byte Proper diet every day ensures quick recovery of mothers-Other HH members
525
+ D25_3_3_20 byte Proper diet every day ensures quick recovery of mothers-Neighbor/friends
526
+ D25_3_3_21 byte Proper diet every day ensures quick recovery of mothers-Private clinic
527
+ D25_3_3_22 byte Proper diet every day ensures quick recovery of mothers-Community clinic
528
+ D25_3_3_23 byte Proper diet every day ensures quick recovery of mothers-EPI
529
+ D25_3_3_24 byte Proper diet every day ensures quick recovery of mothers-No one/never needed advice
530
+ D25_3_3_25 byte Proper diet every day ensures quick recovery of mothers-Radio/TV
531
+ D25_3_3_26 byte Proper diet every day ensures quick recovery of mothers-Books/Newspaper/Poster/Bilboard
532
+ D25_3_3_27 byte Proper diet every day ensures quick recovery of mothers-Internet/website
533
+ D25_3_3_28 byte Proper diet every day ensures quick recovery of mothers-Jatra/Pala/Cinema
534
+ D25_3_3_29 byte Proper diet every day ensures quick recovery of mothers-BRAC training course
535
+ D25_3_3_30 byte Proper diet every day ensures quick recovery of mothers-other
536
+ D25_2_4 double Proper diet every day save costs on doctor and medicine -ever heard
537
+ D25_3_4_01 byte Proper diet every day save costs on doctor and medicine -Hospital/UHC
538
+ D25_3_4_02 byte Proper diet every day save costs on doctor and medicine -Doctor
539
+ D25_3_4_03 byte Proper diet every day save costs on doctor and medicine -Nurse/Midwife
540
+ D25_3_4_04 byte Proper diet every day save costs on doctor and medicine -FWA/HA
541
+ D25_3_4_05 byte Proper diet every day save costs on doctor and medicine -FWV
542
+ D25_3_4_06 byte Proper diet every day save costs on doctor and medicine -CHCP
543
+ D25_3_4_07 byte Proper diet every day save costs on doctor and medicine -SS
544
+ D25_3_4_08 byte Proper diet every day save costs on doctor and medicine -SK
545
+ D25_3_4_09 byte Proper diet every day save costs on doctor and medicine -NGO workers
546
+ D25_3_4_10 byte Proper diet every day save costs on doctor and medicine -TTBA
547
+ D25_3_4_11 byte Proper diet every day save costs on doctor and medicine -TBA
548
+ D25_3_4_12 byte Proper diet every day save costs on doctor and medicine -Village Doctor
549
+ D25_3_4_13 byte Proper diet every day save costs on doctor and medicine -Homeopath doctor
550
+ D25_3_4_14 byte Proper diet every day save costs on doctor and medicine -Kabiraj/Herbal healer
551
+ D25_3_4_15 byte Proper diet every day save costs on doctor and medicine -Spiritual healer
552
+ D25_3_4_16 byte Proper diet every day save costs on doctor and medicine -Pharmacy
553
+ D25_3_4_17 byte Proper diet every day save costs on doctor and medicine -Husband
554
+ D25_3_4_18 byte Proper diet every day save costs on doctor and medicine -Mother/Mother-in-law
555
+ D25_3_4_19 byte Proper diet every day save costs on doctor and medicine -Other HH members
556
+ D25_3_4_20 byte Proper diet every day save costs on doctor and medicine -Neighbor/friends
557
+ D25_3_4_21 byte Proper diet every day save costs on doctor and medicine -Private clinic
558
+ D25_3_4_22 byte Proper diet every day save costs on doctor and medicine -Community clinic
559
+ D25_3_4_23 byte Proper diet every day save costs on doctor and medicine -EPI
560
+ D25_3_4_24 byte Proper diet every day save costs on doctor and medicine -No one/never needed advice
561
+ D25_3_4_25 byte Proper diet every day save costs on doctor and medicine -Radio/TV
562
+ D25_3_4_26 byte Proper diet every day save costs on doctor and medicine -Books/Newspaper/Poster/Billboard
563
+ D25_3_4_27 byte Proper diet every day save costs on doctor and medicine -Internet/website
564
+ D25_3_4_28 byte Proper diet every day save costs on doctor and medicine -Jatra/Pala/Cinema
565
+ D25_3_4_29 byte Proper diet every day save costs on doctor and medicine -BRAC training course
566
+ D25_3_4_30 byte Proper diet every day save costs on doctor and medicine -other
567
+ D25_2_5 double Nutritious food is not always expensive -ever heard
568
+ D25_3_5_01 byte Nutritious food is not always expensive -Hospital/UHC
569
+ D25_3_5_02 byte Nutritious food is not always expensive -Doctor
570
+ D25_3_5_03 byte Nutritious food is not always expensive -Nurse/Midwife
571
+ D25_3_5_04 byte Nutritious food is not always expensive -FWA/HA
572
+ D25_3_5_05 byte Nutritious food is not always expensive -FWV
573
+ D25_3_5_06 byte Nutritious food is not always expensive -CHCP
574
+ D25_3_5_07 byte Nutritious food is not always expensive -SS
575
+ D25_3_5_08 byte Nutritious food is not always expensive -SK
576
+ D25_3_5_09 byte Nutritious food is not always expensive -NGO workers
577
+ D25_3_5_10 byte Nutritious food is not always expensive -TTBA
578
+ D25_3_5_11 byte Nutritious food is not always expensive -TBA
579
+ D25_3_5_12 byte Nutritious food is not always expensive -Village Doctor
580
+ D25_3_5_13 byte Nutritious food is not always expensive -Homeopath doctor
581
+ D25_3_5_14 byte Nutritious food is not always expensive -Kabiraj/Herbal healer
582
+ D25_3_5_15 byte Nutritious food is not always expensive -Spiritual healer
583
+ D25_3_5_16 byte Nutritious food is not always expensive -Pharmacy
584
+ D25_3_5_17 byte Nutritious food is not always expensive -Husband
585
+ D25_3_5_18 byte Nutritious food is not always expensive -Mother/Mother-in-law
586
+ D25_3_5_19 byte Nutritious food is not always expensive -Other HH members
587
+ D25_3_5_20 byte Nutritious food is not always expensive -Neighbor/friends
588
+ D25_3_5_21 byte Nutritious food is not always expensive -Private clinic
589
+ D25_3_5_22 byte Nutritious food is not always expensive -Community clinic
590
+ D25_3_5_23 byte Nutritious food is not always expensive -EPI
591
+ D25_3_5_24 byte Nutritious food is not always expensive -No one/never needed advice
592
+ D25_3_5_25 byte Nutritious food is not always expensive -Radio/TV
593
+ D25_3_5_26 byte Nutritious food is not always expensive -Books/Newspaper/Poster/ Billboard
594
+ D25_3_5_27 byte Nutritious food is not always expensive -Internet/website
595
+ D25_3_5_28 byte Nutritious food is not always expensive -Jatra/Pala/Cinema
596
+ D25_3_5_29 byte Nutritious food is not always expensive -BRAC training course
597
+ D25_3_5_30 byte Nutritious food is not always expensive -other
598
+ D25_2_6 double Avoid hot foods -ever heard
599
+ D25_3_6_01 byte Avoid hot foods -Hospital/UHC
600
+ D25_3_6_02 byte Avoid hot foods -Doctor
601
+ D25_3_6_03 byte Avoid hot foods -Nurse/Midwife
602
+ D25_3_6_04 byte Avoid hot foods -FWA/HA
603
+ D25_3_6_05 byte Avoid hot foods -FWV
604
+ D25_3_6_06 byte Avoid hot foods -CHCP
605
+ D25_3_6_07 byte Avoid hot foods -SS
606
+ D25_3_6_08 byte Avoid hot foods -SK
607
+ D25_3_6_09 byte Avoid hot foods -NGO workers
608
+ D25_3_6_10 byte Avoid hot foods -TTBA
609
+ D25_3_6_11 byte Avoid hot foods -TBA
610
+ D25_3_6_12 byte Avoid hot foods -Village Doctor
611
+ D25_3_6_13 byte Avoid hot foods -Homeopath doctor
612
+ D25_3_6_14 byte Avoid hot foods -Kabiraj/Herbal healer
613
+ D25_3_6_15 byte Avoid hot foods -Spiritual healer
614
+ D25_3_6_16 byte Avoid hot foods -Pharmacy
615
+ D25_3_6_17 byte Avoid hot foods -Husband
616
+ D25_3_6_18 byte Avoid hot foods -Mother/Mother-in-law
617
+ D25_3_6_19 byte Avoid hot foods -Other HH members
618
+ D25_3_6_20 byte Avoid hot foods -Neighbor/friends
619
+ D25_3_6_21 byte Avoid hot foods -Private clinic
620
+ D25_3_6_22 byte Avoid hot foods -Community clinic
621
+ D25_3_6_23 byte Avoid hot foods -EPI
622
+ D25_3_6_24 byte Avoid hot foods -No one/never needed advice
623
+ D25_3_6_25 byte Avoid hot foods -Radio/TV
624
+ D25_3_6_26 byte Avoid hot foods -Books/Newspaper/Poster/ Billboard
625
+ D25_3_6_27 byte Avoid hot foods -Internet/website
626
+ D25_3_6_28 byte Avoid hot foods -Jatra/Pala/Cinema
627
+ D25_3_6_29 byte Avoid hot foods -BRAC training course
628
+ D25_3_6_30 byte Avoid hot foods -other
629
+ D25_2_6A double During pregnancy, women should eat less than usual -ever heard
630
+ D25_3_6A_01 byte During pregnancy, women should eat less than usual -Hospital/UHC
631
+ D25_3_6A_02 byte During pregnancy, women should eat less than usual -Doctor
632
+ D25_3_6A_03 byte During pregnancy, women should eat less than usual -Nurse/Midwife
633
+ D25_3_6A_04 byte During pregnancy, women should eat less than usual -FWA/HA
634
+ D25_3_6A_05 byte During pregnancy, women should eat less than usual -FWV
635
+ D25_3_6A_06 byte During pregnancy, women should eat less than usual -CHCP
636
+ D25_3_6A_07 byte During pregnancy, women should eat less than usual -SS
637
+ D25_3_6A_08 byte During pregnancy, women should eat less than usual -SK
638
+ D25_3_6A_09 byte During pregnancy, women should eat less than usual -NGO workers
639
+ D25_3_6A_10 byte During pregnancy, women should eat less than usual -TTBA
640
+ D25_3_6A_11 byte During pregnancy, women should eat less than usual -TBA
641
+ D25_3_6A_12 byte During pregnancy, women should eat less than usual -Village Doctor
642
+ D25_3_6A_13 byte During pregnancy, women should eat less than usual -Homeopath doctor
643
+ D25_3_6A_14 byte During pregnancy, women should eat less than usual -Kabiraj/Herbal healer
644
+ D25_3_6A_15 byte During pregnancy, women should eat less than usual -Spiritual healer
645
+ D25_3_6A_16 byte During pregnancy, women should eat less than usual -Pharmacy
646
+ D25_3_6A_17 byte During pregnancy, women should eat less than usual -Husband
647
+ D25_3_6A_18 byte During pregnancy, women should eat less than usual -Mother/Mother-in-law
648
+ D25_3_6A_19 byte During pregnancy, women should eat less than usual -Other HH members
649
+ D25_3_6A_20 byte During pregnancy, women should eat less than usual -Neighbor/friends
650
+ D25_3_6A_21 byte During pregnancy, women should eat less than usual -Private clinic
651
+ D25_3_6A_22 byte During pregnancy, women should eat less than usual -Community clinic
652
+ D25_3_6A_23 byte During pregnancy, women should eat less than usual -EPI
653
+ D25_3_6A_24 byte During pregnancy, women should eat less than usual -No one/never needed advice
654
+ D25_3_6A_25 byte During pregnancy, women should eat less than usual -Radio/TV
655
+ D25_3_6A_26 byte During pregnancy, women should eat less than usual -Books/Newspaper/Poster/ Billboard
656
+ D25_3_6A_27 byte During pregnancy, women should eat less than usual -Internet/website
657
+ D25_3_6A_28 byte During pregnancy, women should eat less than usual -Jatra/Pala/Cinema
658
+ D25_3_6A_29 byte During pregnancy, women should eat less than usual -BRAC training course
659
+ D25_3_6A_30 byte During pregnancy, women should eat less than usual -other
660
+ D25_2_7 double Daily consumption of fruits during pregnancy -ever heard
661
+ D25_3_7_01 byte Daily consumption of fruits during pregnancy -Hospital/UHC
662
+ D25_3_7_02 byte Daily consumption of fruits during pregnancy -Doctor
663
+ D25_3_7_03 byte Daily consumption of fruits during pregnancy -Nurse/Midwife
664
+ D25_3_7_04 byte Daily consumption of fruits during pregnancy -FWA/HA
665
+ D25_3_7_05 byte Daily consumption of fruits during pregnancy -FWV
666
+ D25_3_7_06 byte Daily consumption of fruits during pregnancy -CHCP
667
+ D25_3_7_07 byte Daily consumption of fruits during pregnancy -SS
668
+ D25_3_7_08 byte Daily consumption of fruits during pregnancy -SK
669
+ D25_3_7_09 byte Daily consumption of fruits during pregnancy -NGO workers
670
+ D25_3_7_10 byte Daily consumption of fruits during pregnancy -TTBA
671
+ D25_3_7_11 byte Daily onsumption of fruits during pregnancy -TBA
672
+ D25_3_7_12 byte Daily consumption of fruits during pregnancy -Village Doctor
673
+ D25_3_7_13 byte Daily consumption of fruits during pregnancy -Homeopath doctor
674
+ D25_3_7_14 byte Daily consumption of fruits during pregnancy -Kabiraj/Herbal healer
675
+ D25_3_7_15 byte Daily consumption of fruits during pregnancy -Spiritual healer
676
+ D25_3_7_16 byte Daily consumption of fruits during pregnancy -Pharmacy
677
+ D25_3_7_17 byte Daily consumption of fruits during pregnancy -Husband
678
+ D25_3_7_18 byte Daily consumption of fruits during pregnancy -Mother/Mother-in-law
679
+ D25_3_7_19 byte Daily consumption of fruits during pregnancy -Other HH members
680
+ D25_3_7_20 byte Daily consumption of fruits during pregnancy -Neighbor/friends
681
+ D25_3_7_21 byte Daily consumption of fruits during pregnancy -Private clinic
682
+ D25_3_7_22 byte Daily consumption of fruits during pregnancy -Community clinic
683
+ D25_3_7_23 byte Daily consumption of fruits during pregnancy -EPI
684
+ D25_3_7_24 byte Daily consumption of fruits during pregnancy -No one/never needed advice
685
+ D25_3_7_25 byte Daily consumption of fruits during pregnancy -Radio/TV
686
+ D25_3_7_26 byte Daily consumption of fruits during pregnancy -Books/Newspaper/Poster/ Billboard
687
+ D25_3_7_27 byte Daily consumption of fruits during pregnancy -Internet/website
688
+ D25_3_7_28 byte Daily consumption of fruits during pregnancy -Jatra/Pala/Cinema
689
+ D25_3_7_29 byte Daily consumption of fruits during pregnancy -BRAC training course
690
+ D25_3_7_30 byte Daily consumption of fruits during pregnancy -other
691
+ D25_2_8 double Daily consumption of fish/meat/egg -ever heard
692
+ D25_3_8_01 byte Daily consumption of fish/meat/egg -Hospital/UHC
693
+ D25_3_8_02 byte Daily consumption of fish/meat/egg -Doctor
694
+ D25_3_8_03 byte Daily consumption of fish/meat/egg -Nurse/Midwife
695
+ D25_3_8_04 byte Daily consumption of fish/meat/egg -FWA/HA
696
+ D25_3_8_05 byte Daily consumption of fish/meat/egg -FWV
697
+ D25_3_8_06 byte Daily consumption of fish/meat/egg -CHCP
698
+ D25_3_8_07 byte Daily consumption of fish/meat/egg -SS
699
+ D25_3_8_08 byte Daily consumption of fish/meat/egg -SK
700
+ D25_3_8_09 byte Daily consumption of fish/meat/egg -NGO workers
701
+ D25_3_8_10 byte Daily consumption of fish/meat/egg -TTBA
702
+ D25_3_8_11 byte Daily consumption of fish/meat/egg -TBA
703
+ D25_3_8_12 byte Daily consumption of fish/meat/egg -Village Doctor
704
+ D25_3_8_13 byte Daily consumption of fish/meat/egg -Homeopath doctor
705
+ D25_3_8_14 byte Daily consumption of fish/meat/egg -Kabiraj/Herbal healer
706
+ D25_3_8_15 byte Daily consumption of fish/meat/egg -Spiritual healer
707
+ D25_3_8_16 byte Daily consumption of fish/meat/egg -Pharmacy
708
+ D25_3_8_17 byte Daily consumption of fish/meat/egg -Husband
709
+ D25_3_8_18 byte Daily consumption of fish/meat/egg -Mother/Mother-in-law
710
+ D25_3_8_19 byte Daily consumption of fish/meat/egg -Other HH members
711
+ D25_3_8_20 byte Daily consumption of fish/meat/egg -Neighbor/friends
712
+ D25_3_8_21 byte Daily consumption of fish/meat/egg -Private clinic
713
+ D25_3_8_22 byte Daily consumption of fish/meat/egg -Community clinic
714
+ D25_3_8_23 byte Daily consumption of fish/meat/egg -EPI
715
+ D25_3_8_24 byte Daily consumption of fish/meat/egg -No one/never needed advice
716
+ D25_3_8_25 byte Daily consumption of fish/meat/egg -Radio/TV
717
+ D25_3_8_26 byte Daily consumption of fish/meat/egg -Books/Newspaper/Poster/ Billboard
718
+ D25_3_8_27 byte Daily consumption of fish/meat/egg -Internet/website
719
+ D25_3_8_28 byte Daily consumption of fish/meat/egg -Jatra/Pala/Cinema
720
+ D25_3_8_29 byte Daily consumption of fish/meat/egg -BRAC training course
721
+ D25_3_8_30 byte Daily consumption of fish/meat/egg -other
722
+ D25_2_9 double Avoid some kinds of fish -ever heard
723
+ D25_3_9_01 byte Avoid some kinds of fish -Hospital/UHC
724
+ D25_3_9_02 byte Avoid some kinds of fish -Doctor
725
+ D25_3_9_03 byte Avoid some kinds of fish -Nurse/Midwife
726
+ D25_3_9_04 byte Avoid some kinds of fish -FWA/HA
727
+ D25_3_9_05 byte Avoid some kinds of fish -FWV
728
+ D25_3_9_06 byte Avoid some kinds of fish -CHCP
729
+ D25_3_9_07 byte Avoid some kinds of fish -SS
730
+ D25_3_9_08 byte Avoid some kinds of fish -SK
731
+ D25_3_9_09 byte Avoid some kinds of fish -NGO workers
732
+ D25_3_9_10 byte Avoid some kinds of fish -TTBA
733
+ D25_3_9_11 byte Avoid some kinds of fish -TBA
734
+ D25_3_9_12 byte Avoid some kinds of fish -Village Doctor
735
+ D25_3_9_13 byte Avoid some kinds of fish -Homeopath doctor
736
+ D25_3_9_14 byte Avoid some kinds of fish -Kabiraj/Herbal healer
737
+ D25_3_9_15 byte Avoid some kinds of fish -Spiritual healer
738
+ D25_3_9_16 byte Avoid some kinds of fish -Pharmacy
739
+ D25_3_9_17 byte Avoid some kinds of fish -Husband
740
+ D25_3_9_18 byte Avoid some kinds of fish -Mother/Mother-in-law
741
+ D25_3_9_19 byte Avoid some kinds of fish -Other HH members
742
+ D25_3_9_20 byte Avoid some kinds of fish -Neighbor/friends
743
+ D25_3_9_21 byte Avoid some kinds of fish -Private clinic
744
+ D25_3_9_22 byte Avoid some kinds of fish -Community clinic
745
+ D25_3_9_23 byte Avoid some kinds of fish -EPI
746
+ D25_3_9_24 byte Avoid some kinds of fish -No one/never needed advice
747
+ D25_3_9_25 byte Avoid some kinds of fish -Radio/TV
748
+ D25_3_9_26 byte Avoid some kinds of fish -Books/Newspaper/Poster/ Billboard
749
+ D25_3_9_27 byte Avoid some kinds of fish -Internet/website
750
+ D25_3_9_28 byte Avoid some kinds of fish -Jatra/Pala/Cinema
751
+ D25_3_9_29 byte Avoid some kinds of fish -BRAC training course
752
+ D25_3_9_30 byte Avoid some kinds of fish -other
753
+ D25_2_10 double During pregnancy, take one IFA tablet everyday -ever heard
754
+ D25_3_10_01 byte During pregnancy, take one IFA tablet everyday -Hospital/UHC
755
+ D25_3_10_02 byte During pregnancy, take one IFA tablet everyday -Doctor
756
+ D25_3_10_03 byte During pregnancy, take one IFA tablet everyday -Nurse/Midwife
757
+ D25_3_10_04 byte During pregnancy, take one IFA tablet everyday -FWA/HA
758
+ D25_3_10_05 byte During pregnancy, take one IFA tablet everyday -FWV
759
+ D25_3_10_06 byte During pregnancy, take one IFA tablet everyday -CHCP
760
+ D25_3_10_07 byte During pregnancy, take one IFA tablet everyday -SS
761
+ D25_3_10_08 byte During pregnancy, take one IFA tablet everyday -SK
762
+ D25_3_10_09 byte During pregnancy, take one IFA tablet everyday -NGO workers
763
+ D25_3_10_10 byte During pregnancy, take one IFA tablet everyday -TTBA
764
+ D25_3_10_11 byte During pregnancy, take one IFA tablet everyday -TBA
765
+ D25_3_10_12 byte During pregnancy, take one IFA tablet everyday -Village Doctor
766
+ D25_3_10_13 byte During pregnancy, take one IFA tablet everyday -Homeopath doctor
767
+ D25_3_10_14 byte During pregnancy, take one IFA tablet everyday -Kabiraj/Herbal healer
768
+ D25_3_10_15 byte During pregnancy, take one IFA tablet everyday -Spiritual healer
769
+ D25_3_10_16 byte During pregnancy, take one IFA tablet everyday -Pharmacy
770
+ D25_3_10_17 byte During pregnancy, take one IFA tablet everyday -Husband
771
+ D25_3_10_18 byte During pregnancy, take one IFA tablet everyday -Mother/Mother-in-law
772
+ D25_3_10_19 byte During pregnancy, take one IFA tablet everyday -Other HH members
773
+ D25_3_10_20 byte During pregnancy, take one IFA tablet everyday -Neighbor/friends
774
+ D25_3_10_21 byte During pregnancy, take one IFA tablet everyday -Private clinic
775
+ D25_3_10_22 byte During pregnancy, take one IFA tablet everyday -Community clinic
776
+ D25_3_10_23 byte During pregnancy, take one IFA tablet everyday -EPI
777
+ D25_3_10_24 byte During pregnancy, take one IFA tablet everyday -No one/never needed advice
778
+ D25_3_10_25 byte During pregnancy, take one IFA tablet everyday -Radio/TV
779
+ D25_3_10_26 byte During pregnancy, take one IFA tablet everyday -Books/Newspaper/Poster/ Billboard
780
+ D25_3_10_27 byte During pregnancy, take one IFA tablet everyday -Internet/website
781
+ D25_3_10_28 byte During pregnancy, take one IFA tablet everyday -Jatra/Pala/Cinema
782
+ D25_3_10_29 byte During pregnancy, take one IFA tablet everyday -BRAC training course
783
+ D25_3_10_30 byte During pregnancy, take one IFA tablet everyday -other
784
+ D25_2_11 double During pregnancy, take one Ca tablet everyday -ever heard
785
+ D25_3_11_01 byte During pregnancy, take one Ca tablet everyday -Hospital/UHC
786
+ D25_3_11_02 byte During pregnancy, take one Ca tablet everyday -Doctor
787
+ D25_3_11_03 byte During pregnancy, take one Ca tablet everyday -Nurse/Midwife
788
+ D25_3_11_04 byte During pregnancy, take one Ca tablet everyday -FWA/HA
789
+ D25_3_11_05 byte During pregnancy, take one Ca tablet everyday -FWV
790
+ D25_3_11_06 byte During pregnancy, take one Ca tablet everyday -CHCP
791
+ D25_3_11_07 byte During pregnancy, take one Ca tablet everyday -SS
792
+ D25_3_11_08 byte During pregnancy, take one Ca tablet everyday -SK
793
+ D25_3_11_09 byte During pregnancy, take one Ca tablet everyday -NGO workers
794
+ D25_3_11_10 byte During pregnancy, take one Ca tablet everyday -TTBA
795
+ D25_3_11_11 byte During pregnancy, take one Ca tablet everyday -TBA
796
+ D25_3_11_12 byte During pregnancy, take one Ca tablet everyday -Village Doctor
797
+ D25_3_11_13 byte During pregnancy, take one Ca tablet everyday -Homeopath doctor
798
+ D25_3_11_14 byte During pregnancy, take one Ca tablet everyday -Kabiraj/Herbal healer
799
+ D25_3_11_15 byte During pregnancy, take one Ca tablet everyday -Spiritual healer
800
+ D25_3_11_16 byte During pregnancy, take one Ca tablet everyday -Pharmacy
801
+ D25_3_11_17 byte During pregnancy, take one Ca tablet everyday -Husband
802
+ D25_3_11_18 byte During pregnancy, take one Ca tablet everyday -Mother/Mother-in-law
803
+ D25_3_11_19 byte During pregnancy, take one Ca tablet everyday -Other HH members
804
+ D25_3_11_20 byte During pregnancy, take one Ca tablet everyday -Neighbor/friends
805
+ D25_3_11_21 byte During pregnancy, take one Ca tablet everyday -Private clinic
806
+ D25_3_11_22 byte During pregnancy, take one Ca tablet everyday -Community clinic
807
+ D25_3_11_23 byte During pregnancy, take one Ca tablet everyday -EPI
808
+ D25_3_11_24 byte During pregnancy, take one Ca tablet everyday -No one/never needed advice
809
+ D25_3_11_25 byte During pregnancy, take one Ca tablet everyday -Radio/TV
810
+ D25_3_11_26 byte During pregnancy, take one Ca tablet everyday -Books/Newspaper/Poster/ Billboard
811
+ D25_3_11_27 byte During pregnancy, take one Ca tablet everyday -Internet/website
812
+ D25_3_11_28 byte During pregnancy, take one Ca tablet everyday -Jatra/Pala/Cinema
813
+ D25_3_11_29 byte During pregnancy, take one Ca tablet everyday -BRAC training course
814
+ D25_3_11_30 byte During pregnancy, take one Ca tablet everyday -other
815
+ D25_2_12 double During pregnancy, take at least two hours of rest -ever heard
816
+ D25_3_12_01 byte During pregnancy, take at least two hours of rest -Hospital/UHC
817
+ D25_3_12_02 byte During pregnancy, take at least two hours of rest -Doctor
818
+ D25_3_12_03 byte During pregnancy, take at least two hours of rest -Nurse/Midwife
819
+ D25_3_12_04 byte During pregnancy, take at least two hours of rest -FWA/HA
820
+ D25_3_12_05 byte During pregnancy, take at least two hours of rest -FWV
821
+ D25_3_12_06 byte During pregnancy, take at least two hours of rest -CHCP
822
+ D25_3_12_07 byte During pregnancy, take at least two hours of rest -SS
823
+ D25_3_12_08 byte During pregnancy, take at least two hours of rest -SK
824
+ D25_3_12_09 byte During pregnancy, take at least two hours of rest -NGO workers
825
+ D25_3_12_10 byte During pregnancy, take at least two hours of rest -TTBA
826
+ D25_3_12_11 byte During pregnancy, take at least two hours of rest -TBA
827
+ D25_3_12_12 byte During pregnancy, take at least two hours of rest -Village Doctor
828
+ D25_3_12_13 byte During pregnancy, take at least two hours of rest -Homeopath doctor
829
+ D25_3_12_14 byte During pregnancy, take at least two hours of rest -Kabiraj/Herbal healer
830
+ D25_3_12_15 byte During pregnancy, take at least two hours of rest -Spiritual healer
831
+ D25_3_12_16 byte During pregnancy, take at least two hours of rest -Pharmacy
832
+ D25_3_12_17 byte During pregnancy, take at least two hours of rest -Husband
833
+ D25_3_12_18 byte During pregnancy, take at least two hours of rest -Mother/Mother-in-law
834
+ D25_3_12_19 byte During pregnancy, take at least two hours of rest -Other HH members
835
+ D25_3_12_20 byte During pregnancy, take at least two hours of rest -Neighbor/friends
836
+ D25_3_12_21 byte During pregnancy, take at least two hours of rest -Private clinic
837
+ D25_3_12_22 byte During pregnancy, take at least two hours of rest -Community clinic
838
+ D25_3_12_23 byte During pregnancy, take at least two hours of rest -EPI
839
+ D25_3_12_24 byte During pregnancy, take at least two hours of rest -No one/never needed advice
840
+ D25_3_12_25 byte During pregnancy, take at least two hours of rest -Radio/TV
841
+ D25_3_12_26 byte During pregnancy, take at least two hours of rest -Books/Newspaper/Poster/ Billboard
842
+ D25_3_12_27 byte During pregnancy, take at least two hours of rest -Internet/website
843
+ D25_3_12_28 byte During pregnancy, take at least two hours of rest -Jatra/Pala/Cinema
844
+ D25_3_12_29 byte During pregnancy, take at least two hours of rest -BRAC training course
845
+ D25_3_12_30 byte During pregnancy, take at least two hours of rest -other
846
+ D25_2_13 double Do not lay down on the bed, eat, cook during a lunar/ solar eclipses -ever heard
847
+ D25_3_13_01 byte Do not lay down on the bed, eat, cook during a lunar/ solar eclipses -Hospital/UHC
848
+ D25_3_13_02 byte Do not lay down on the bed, eat, cook during a lunar/ solar eclipses -Doctor
849
+ D25_3_13_03 byte Do not lay down on the bed, eat, cook during a lunar/ solar eclipses -Nurse/Midwife
850
+ D25_3_13_04 byte Do not lay down on the bed, eat, cook during a lunar/ solar eclipses -FWA/HA
851
+ D25_3_13_05 byte Do not lay down on the bed, eat, cook during a lunar/ solar eclipses -FWV
852
+ D25_3_13_06 byte Do not lay down on the bed, eat, cook during a lunar/ solar eclipses -CHCP
853
+ D25_3_13_07 byte Do not lay down on the bed, eat, cook during a lunar/ solar eclipses -SS
854
+ D25_3_13_08 byte Do not lay down on the bed, eat, cook during a lunar/ solar eclipses -SK
855
+ D25_3_13_09 byte Do not lay down on the bed, eat, cook during a lunar/ solar eclipses -NGO worker
856
+ D25_3_13_10 byte Do not lay down on the bed, eat, cook during a lunar/ solar eclipses -TTBA
857
+ D25_3_13_11 byte Do not lay down on the bed, eat, cook during a lunar/ solar eclipses -TBA
858
+ D25_3_13_12 byte Do not lay down on the bed, eat, cook during a lunar/ solar eclipses -Village Doctor
859
+ D25_3_13_13 byte Do not lay down on the bed, eat, cook during a lunar/ solar eclipses -Homeopath doctor
860
+ D25_3_13_14 byte Do not lay down on the bed, eat, cook during a lunar/ solar eclipses -Kabiraj/Herbal healer
861
+ D25_3_13_15 byte Do not lay down on the bed, eat, cook during a lunar/ solar eclipses -Spiritual healer
862
+ D25_3_13_16 byte Do not lay down on the bed, eat, cook during a lunar/ solar eclipses -Pharmacy
863
+ D25_3_13_17 byte Do not lay down on the bed, eat, cook during a lunar/ solar eclipses -Husband
864
+ D25_3_13_18 byte Do not lay down on the bed, eat, cook during a lunar/ solar eclipses -Mother/Mother-in-law
865
+ D25_3_13_19 byte Do not lay down on the bed, eat, cook during a lunar/ solar eclipses -Other HH members
866
+ D25_3_13_20 byte Do not lay down on the bed, eat, cook during a lunar/ solar eclipses -Neighbor/friends
867
+ D25_3_13_21 byte Do not lay down on the bed, eat, cook during a lunar/ solar eclipses -Private clinic
868
+ D25_3_13_22 byte Do not lay down on the bed, eat, cook during a lunar/ solar eclipses -Community clinic
869
+ D25_3_13_23 byte Do not lay down on the bed, eat, cook during a lunar/ solar eclipses -EPI
870
+ D25_3_13_24 byte Do not lay down on the bed, eat, cook during a lunar/ solar eclipses -No one/never needed advice
871
+ D25_3_13_25 byte Do not lay down on the bed, eat, cook during a lunar/ solar eclipses -Radio/TV
872
+ D25_3_13_26 byte
873
+ Do not lay down on the bed, eat, cook during a lunar/ solar eclipses -
874
+ Books/Newspaper/Poster/Billboard
875
+ D25_3_13_27 byte Do not lay down on the bed, eat, cook during a lunar/ solar eclipses -Internet/website
876
+ D25_3_13_28 byte Do not lay down on the bed, eat, cook during a lunar/ solar eclipses -Jatra/Pala/Cinema
877
+ D25_3_13_29 byte Do not lay down on the bed, eat, cook during a lunar/ solar eclipses -BRAC training course
878
+ D25_3_13_30 byte Do not lay down on the bed, eat, cook during a lunar/ solar eclipses -other
879
+ D25_2_14 double consume at least 1 food item from 5 different food groups -ever heard
880
+ D25_3_14_01 byte consume at least 1 food item from 5 different food groups -Hospital/UHC
881
+ D25_3_14_02 byte consume at least 1 food item from 5 different food groups -Doctor
882
+ D25_3_14_03 byte consume at least 1 food item from 5 different food groups -Nurse/Midwife
883
+ D25_3_14_04 byte consume at least 1 food item from 5 different food groups -FWA/HA
884
+ D25_3_14_05 byte consume at least 1 food item from 5 different food groups -FWV
885
+ D25_3_14_06 byte consume at least 1 food item from 5 different food groups -CHCP
886
+ D25_3_14_07 byte consume at least 1 food item from 5 different food groups -SS
887
+ D25_3_14_08 byte consume at least 1 food item from 5 different food groups -SK
888
+ D25_3_14_09 byte consume at least 1 food item from 5 different food groups -NGO workers
889
+ D25_3_14_10 byte consume at least 1 food item from 5 different food groups -TTBA
890
+ D25_3_14_11 byte consume at least 1 food item from 5 different food groups -TBA
891
+ D25_3_14_12 byte consume at least 1 food item from 5 different food groups -Village Doctor
892
+ D25_3_14_13 byte consume at least 1 food item from 5 different food groups -Homeopath doctor
893
+ D25_3_14_14 byte consume at least 1 food item from 5 different food groups -Kabiraj/Herbal healer
894
+ D25_3_14_15 byte consume at least 1 food item from 5 different food groups -Spiritual healer
895
+ D25_3_14_16 byte consume at least 1 food item from 5 different food groups -Pharmacy
896
+ D25_3_14_17 byte consume at least 1 food item from 5 different food groups -Husband
897
+ D25_3_14_18 byte consume at least 1 food item from 5 different food groups -Mother/Mother-in-law
898
+ D25_3_14_19 byte consume at least 1 food item from 5 different food groups -Other HH members
899
+ D25_3_14_20 byte consume at least 1 food item from 5 different food groups -Neighbor/friends
900
+ D25_3_14_21 byte consume at least 1 food item from 5 different food groups -Private clinic
901
+ D25_3_14_22 byte consume at least 1 food item from 5 different food groups -Community clinic
902
+ D25_3_14_23 byte consume at least 1 food item from 5 different food groups -EPI
903
+ D25_3_14_24 byte consume at least 1 food item from 5 different food groups -No one/never needed advice
904
+ D25_3_14_25 byte consume at least 1 food item from 5 different food groups -Radio/TV
905
+ D25_3_14_26 byte consume at least 1 food item from 5 different food groups -Books/Newspaper/Poster/Billboard
906
+ D25_3_14_27 byte consume at least 1 food item from 5 different food groups -Internet/website
907
+ D25_3_14_28 byte consume at least 1 food item from 5 different food groups -Jatra/Pala/Cinema
908
+ D25_3_14_29 byte consume at least 1 food item from 5 different food groups -BRAC training course
909
+ D25_3_14_30 byte consume at least 1 food item from 5 different food groups -other
910
+ D25_2_15 double Proper diet ensure that the child will be brainy -ever heard
911
+ D25_3_15_01 byte Proper diet ensure that the child will be brainy -Hospital/UHC
912
+ D25_3_15_02 byte Proper diet ensure that the child will be brainy -Doctor
913
+ D25_3_15_03 byte Proper diet ensure that the child will be brainy -Nurse/Midwife
914
+ D25_3_15_04 byte Proper diet ensure that the child will be brainy -FWA/HA
915
+ D25_3_15_05 byte Proper diet ensure that the child will be brainy -FWV
916
+ D25_3_15_06 byte Proper diet ensure that the child will be brainy -CHCP
917
+ D25_3_15_07 byte Proper diet ensure that the child will be brainy -SS
918
+ D25_3_15_08 byte Proper diet ensure that the child will be brainy -SK
919
+ D25_3_15_09 byte Proper diet ensure that the child will be brainy -NGO workers
920
+ D25_3_15_10 byte Proper diet ensure that the child will be brainy -TTBA
921
+ D25_3_15_11 byte Proper diet ensure that the child will be brainy -TBA
922
+ D25_3_15_12 byte Proper diet ensure that the child will be brainy -Village Doctor
923
+ D25_3_15_13 byte Proper diet ensure that the child will be brainy -Homeopath doctor
924
+ D25_3_15_14 byte Proper diet ensure that the child will be brainy -Kabiraj/Herbal healer
925
+ D25_3_15_15 byte Proper diet ensure that the child will be brainy -Spiritual healer
926
+ D25_3_15_16 byte Proper diet ensure that the child will be brainy -Pharmacy
927
+ D25_3_15_17 byte Proper diet ensure that the child will be brainy -Husband
928
+ D25_3_15_18 byte Proper diet ensure that the child will be brainy -Mother/Mother-in-law
929
+ D25_3_15_19 byte Proper diet ensure that the child will be brainy -Other HH members
930
+ D25_3_15_20 byte Proper diet ensure that the child will be brainy -Neighbor/friends
931
+ D25_3_15_21 byte Proper diet ensure that the child will be brainy -Private clinic
932
+ D25_3_15_22 byte Proper diet ensure that the child will be brainy -Community clinic
933
+ D25_3_15_23 byte Proper diet ensure that the child will be brainy -EPI
934
+ D25_3_15_24 byte Proper diet ensure that the child will be brainy -No one/never needed advice
935
+ D25_3_15_25 byte Proper diet ensure that the child will be brainy -Radio/TV
936
+ D25_3_15_26 byte Proper diet ensure that the child will be brainy -Books/Newspaper/Poster/ Billboard
937
+ D25_3_15_27 byte Proper diet ensure that the child will be brainy -Internet/website
938
+ D25_3_15_28 byte Proper diet ensure that the child will be brainy -Jatra/Pala/Cinema
939
+ D25_3_15_29 byte Proper diet ensure that the child will be brainy -BRAC training course
940
+ D25_3_15_30 byte Proper diet ensure that the child will be brainy -other
941
+ D25_2_16 double Avoid tea/coffee -ever heard
942
+ D25_3_16_01 byte Avoid tea/coffee -Hospital/UHC
943
+ D25_3_16_02 byte Avoid tea/coffee -Doctor
944
+ D25_3_16_03 byte Avoid tea/coffee -Nurse/Midwife
945
+ D25_3_16_04 byte Avoid tea/coffee -FWA/HA
946
+ D25_3_16_05 byte Avoid tea/coffee -FWV
947
+ D25_3_16_06 byte Avoid tea/coffee -CHCP
948
+ D25_3_16_07 byte Avoid tea/coffee -SS
949
+ D25_3_16_08 byte Avoid tea/coffee -SK
950
+ D25_3_16_09 byte Avoid tea/coffee -NGO workers
951
+ D25_3_16_10 byte Avoid tea/coffee -TTBA
952
+ D25_3_16_11 byte Avoid tea/coffee -TBA
953
+ D25_3_16_12 byte Avoid tea/coffee -Village Doctor
954
+ D25_3_16_13 byte Avoid tea/coffee -Homeopath doctor
955
+ D25_3_16_14 byte Avoid tea/coffee -Kabiraj/Herbal healer
956
+ D25_3_16_15 byte Avoid tea/coffee -Spiritual healer
957
+ D25_3_16_16 byte Avoid tea/coffee -Pharmacy
958
+ D25_3_16_17 byte Avoid tea/coffee -Husband
959
+ D25_3_16_18 byte Avoid tea/coffee -Mother/Mother-in-law
960
+ D25_3_16_19 byte Avoid tea/coffee -Other HH members
961
+ D25_3_16_20 byte Avoid tea/coffee -Neighbor/friends
962
+ D25_3_16_21 byte Avoid tea/coffee -Private clinic
963
+ D25_3_16_22 byte Avoid tea/coffee -Community clinic
964
+ D25_3_16_23 byte Avoid tea/coffee -EPI
965
+ D25_3_16_24 byte Avoid tea/coffee -No one/never needed advice
966
+ D25_3_16_25 byte Avoid tea/coffee -Radio/TV
967
+ D25_3_16_26 byte Avoid tea/coffee -Books/Newspaper/Poster/ Billboard
968
+ D25_3_16_27 byte Avoid tea/coffee -Internet/website
969
+ D25_3_16_28 byte Avoid tea/coffee -Jatra/Pala/Cinema
970
+ D25_3_16_29 byte Avoid tea/coffee -BRAC training course
971
+ D25_3_16_30 byte Avoid tea/coffee -other
972
+ D25_2_17 double Avoid alcohol/tobacco/betel leaf/betel nut -ever heard
973
+ D25_3_17_01 byte Avoid alcohol/tobacco/betel leaf/betel nut -Hospital/UHC
974
+ D25_3_17_02 byte Avoid alcohol/tobacco/betel leaf/betel nut -Doctor
975
+ D25_3_17_03 byte Avoid alcohol/tobacco/betel leaf/betel nut -Nurse/Midwife
976
+ D25_3_17_04 byte Avoid alcohol/tobacco/betel leaf/betel nut -FWA/HA
977
+ D25_3_17_05 byte Avoid alcohol/tobacco/betel leaf/betel nut -FWV
978
+ D25_3_17_06 byte Avoid alcohol/tobacco/betel leaf/betel nut -CHCP
979
+ D25_3_17_07 byte Avoid alcohol/tobacco/betel leaf/betel nut -SS
980
+ D25_3_17_08 byte Avoid alcohol/tobacco/betel leaf/betel nut -SK
981
+ D25_3_17_09 byte Avoid alcohol/tobacco/betel leaf/betel nut -NGO workers
982
+ D25_3_17_10 byte Avoid alcohol/tobacco/betel leaf/betel nut -TTBA
983
+ D25_3_17_11 byte Avoid alcohol/tobacco/betel leaf/betel nut -TBA
984
+ D25_3_17_12 byte Avoid alcohol/tobacco/betel leaf/betel nut -Village Doctor
985
+ D25_3_17_13 byte Avoid alcohol/tobacco/betel leaf/betel nut -Homeopath doctor
986
+ D25_3_17_14 byte Avoid alcohol/tobacco/betel leaf/betel nut -Kabiraj/Herbal healer
987
+ D25_3_17_15 byte Avoid alcohol/tobacco/betel leaf/betel nut -Spiritual healer
988
+ D25_3_17_16 byte Avoid alcohol/tobacco/betel leaf/betel nut -Pharmacy
989
+ D25_3_17_17 byte Avoid alcohol/tobacco/betel leaf/betel nut -Husband
990
+ D25_3_17_18 byte Avoid alcohol/tobacco/betel leaf/betel nut -Mother/Mother-in-law
991
+ D25_3_17_19 byte Avoid alcohol/tobacco/betel leaf/betel nut -Other HH members
992
+ D25_3_17_20 byte Avoid alcohol/tobacco/betel leaf/betel nut -Neighbor/friends
993
+ D25_3_17_21 byte Avoid alcohol/tobacco/betel leaf/betel nut -Private clinic
994
+ D25_3_17_22 byte Avoid alcohol/tobacco/betel leaf/betel nut -Community clinic
995
+ D25_3_17_23 byte Avoid alcohol/tobacco/betel leaf/betel nut -EPI
996
+ D25_3_17_24 byte Avoid alcohol/tobacco/betel leaf/betel nut -No one/never needed advice
997
+ D25_3_17_25 byte Avoid alcohol/tobacco/betel leaf/betel nut -Radio/TV
998
+ D25_3_17_26 byte Avoid alcohol/tobacco/betel leaf/betel nut -Books/Newspaper/Poster/ Billboard
999
+ D25_3_17_27 byte Avoid alcohol/tobacco/betel leaf/betel nut -Internet/website
1000
+ D25_3_17_28 byte Avoid alcohol/tobacco/betel leaf/betel nut -Jatra/Pala/Cinema
1001
+ D25_3_17_29 byte Avoid alcohol/tobacco/betel leaf/betel nut -BRAC training course
1002
+ D25_3_17_30 byte Avoid alcohol/tobacco/betel leaf/betel nut -other
1003
+ D25_2_18 double NB babies should be placed on breast immediately after delivery -ever heard
1004
+ D25_3_18_01 byte NB babies should be placed on breast immediately after delivery -Hospital/UHC
1005
+ D25_3_18_02 byte NB babies should be placed on breast immediately after delivery -Doctor
1006
+ D25_3_18_03 byte NB babies should be placed on breast immediately after delivery -Nurse/Midwife
1007
+ D25_3_18_04 byte NB babies should be placed on breast immediately after delivery -FWA/HA
1008
+ D25_3_18_05 byte NB babies should be placed on breast immediately after delivery -FWV
1009
+ D25_3_18_06 byte NB babies should be placed on breast immediately after delivery -CHCP
1010
+ D25_3_18_07 byte NB babies should be placed on breast immediately after delivery -SS
1011
+ D25_3_18_08 byte NB babies should be placed on breast immediately after delivery -SK
1012
+ D25_3_18_09 byte NB babies should be placed on breast immediately after delivery -NGO workers
1013
+ D25_3_18_10 byte NB babies should be placed on breast immediately after delivery -TTBA
1014
+ D25_3_18_11 byte NB babies should be placed on breast immediately after delivery -TBA
1015
+ D25_3_18_12 byte NB babies should be placed on breast immediately after delivery -Village Doctor
1016
+ D25_3_18_13 byte NB babies should be placed on breast immediately after delivery -Homeopath doctor
1017
+ D25_3_18_14 byte NB babies should be placed on breast immediately after delivery -Kabiraj/Herbal healer
1018
+ D25_3_18_15 byte NB babies should be placed on breast immediately after delivery -Spiritual healer
1019
+ D25_3_18_16 byte NB babies should be placed on breast immediately after delivery -Pharmacy
1020
+ D25_3_18_17 byte NB babies should be placed on breast immediately after delivery -Husband
1021
+ D25_3_18_18 byte NB babies should be placed on breast immediately after delivery -Mother/Mother-in-law
1022
+ D25_3_18_19 byte NB babies should be placed on breast immediately after delivery -Other HH member
1023
+ D25_3_18_20 byte NB babies should be placed on breast immediately after delivery -Neighbor/friend
1024
+ D25_3_18_21 byte NB babies should be placed on breast immediately after delivery -Private clinic
1025
+ D25_3_18_22 byte NB babies should be placed on breast immediately after delivery -Community clinic
1026
+ D25_3_18_23 byte NB babies should be placed on breast immediately after delivery -EPI
1027
+ D25_3_18_24 byte NB babies should be placed on breast immediately after delivery -No one/never needed advice
1028
+ D25_3_18_25 byte NB babies should be placed on breast immediately after delivery -Radio/TV
1029
+ D25_3_18_26 byte
1030
+ NB babies should be placed on breast immediately after delivery -
1031
+ Books/Newspaper/Poster/Billboard
1032
+ D25_3_18_27 byte NB babies should be placed on breast immediately after delivery -Internet/website
1033
+ D25_3_18_28 byte NB babies should be placed on breast immediately after delivery -Jatra/Pala/Cinema
1034
+ D25_3_18_29 byte NB babies should be placed on breast immediately after delivery -BRAC training course
1035
+ D25_3_18_30 byte NB babies should be placed on breast immediately after delivery -other
1036
+ D25_2_19 double No water, honey or sugar water -ever heard
1037
+ D25_3_19_01 byte No water, honey or sugar water -Hospital/UHC
1038
+ D25_3_19_02 byte No water, honey or sugar water -Doctor
1039
+ D25_3_19_03 byte No water, honey or sugar water -Nurse/Midwife
1040
+ D25_3_19_04 byte No water, honey or sugar water -FWA/HA
1041
+ D25_3_19_05 byte No water, honey or sugar water -FWV
1042
+ D25_3_19_06 byte No water, honey or sugar water -CHCP
1043
+ D25_3_19_07 byte No water, honey or sugar water -SS
1044
+ D25_3_19_08 byte No water, honey or sugar water -SK
1045
+ D25_3_19_09 byte No water, honey or sugar water -NGO workers
1046
+ D25_3_19_10 byte No water, honey or sugar water -TTBA
1047
+ D25_3_19_11 byte No water, honey or sugar water -TBA
1048
+ D25_3_19_12 byte No water, honey or sugar water -Village Doctor
1049
+ D25_3_19_13 byte No water, honey or sugar water -Homeopath doctor
1050
+ D25_3_19_14 byte No water, honey or sugar water -Kabiraj/Herbal healer
1051
+ D25_3_19_15 byte No water, honey or sugar water -Spiritual healer
1052
+ D25_3_19_16 byte No water, honey or sugar water -Pharmacy
1053
+ D25_3_19_17 byte No water, honey or sugar water -Husband
1054
+ D25_3_19_18 byte No water, honey or sugar water -Mother/Mother-in-law
1055
+ D25_3_19_19 byte No water, honey or sugar water -Other HH members
1056
+ D25_3_19_20 byte No water, honey or sugar water -Neighbor/friends
1057
+ D25_3_19_21 byte No water, honey or sugar water -Private clinic
1058
+ D25_3_19_22 byte No water, honey or sugar water -Community clinic
1059
+ D25_3_19_23 byte No water, honey or sugar water -EPI
1060
+ D25_3_19_24 byte No water, honey or sugar water -No one/never needed advice
1061
+ D25_3_19_25 byte No water, honey or sugar water -Radio/TV
1062
+ D25_3_19_26 byte No water, honey or sugar water -Books/Newspaper/Poster/ Billboard
1063
+ D25_3_19_27 byte No water, honey or sugar water -Internet/website
1064
+ D25_3_19_28 byte No water, honey or sugar water -Jatra/Pala/Cinema
1065
+ D25_3_19_29 byte No water, honey or sugar water -BRAC training course
1066
+ D25_3_19_30 byte No water, honey or sugar water -other
1067
+ D25_2_20 double only breastmilk for the first six months -ever heard
1068
+ D25_3_20_01 byte only breastmilk for the first six months -Hospital/UHC
1069
+ D25_3_20_02 byte only breastmilk for the first six months -Doctor
1070
+ D25_3_20_03 byte only breastmilk for the first six months -Nurse/Midwife
1071
+ D25_3_20_04 byte only breastmilk for the first six months -FWA/HA
1072
+ D25_3_20_05 byte only breastmilk for the first six months -FWV
1073
+ D25_3_20_06 byte only breastmilk for the first six months -CHCP
1074
+ D25_3_20_07 byte only breastmilk for the first six months -SS
1075
+ D25_3_20_08 byte only breastmilk for the first six months -SK
1076
+ D25_3_20_09 byte only breastmilk for the first six months -NGO workers
1077
+ D25_3_20_10 byte only breastmilk for the first six months -TTBA
1078
+ D25_3_20_11 byte only breastmilk for the first six months -TBA
1079
+ D25_3_20_12 byte only breastmilk for the first six months -Village Doctor
1080
+ D25_3_20_13 byte only breastmilk for the first six months -Homeopath doctor
1081
+ D25_3_20_14 byte only breastmilk for the first six months -Kabiraj/Herbal healer
1082
+ D25_3_20_15 byte only breastmilk for the first six months -Spiritual healer
1083
+ D25_3_20_16 byte only breastmilk for the first six months -Pharmacy
1084
+ D25_3_20_17 byte only breastmilk for the first six months -Husband
1085
+ D25_3_20_18 byte only breastmilk for the first six months -Mother/Mother-in-law
1086
+ D25_3_20_19 byte only breastmilk for the first six months -Other HH members
1087
+ D25_3_20_20 byte only breastmilk for the first six months -Neighbor/friends
1088
+ D25_3_20_21 byte only breastmilk for the first six months -Private clinic
1089
+ D25_3_20_22 byte only breastmilk for the first six months -Community clinic
1090
+ D25_3_20_23 byte only breastmilk for the first six months -EPI
1091
+ D25_3_20_24 byte only breastmilk for the first six months -No one/never needed advice
1092
+ D25_3_20_25 byte only breastmilk for the first six months -Radio/TV
1093
+ D25_3_20_26 byte only breastmilk for the first six months -Books/Newspaper/Poster/ Billboard
1094
+ D25_3_20_27 byte only breastmilk for the first six months -Internet/website
1095
+ D25_3_20_28 byte only breastmilk for the first six months -Jatra/Pala/Cinema
1096
+ D25_3_20_29 byte only breastmilk for the first six months -BRAC training course
1097
+ D25_3_20_30 byte only breastmilk for the first six months -other
1098
+ D25_2_21 double PW should not leave their houses in the evening -ever heard
1099
+ D25_3_21_01 byte PW should not leave their houses in the evening -Hospital/UHC
1100
+ D25_3_21_02 byte PW should not leave their houses in the evening -Doctor
1101
+ D25_3_21_03 byte PW should not leave their houses in the evening -Nurse/Midwife
1102
+ D25_3_21_04 byte PW should not leave their houses in the evening -FWA/HA
1103
+ D25_3_21_05 byte PW should not leave their houses in the evening -FWV
1104
+ D25_3_21_06 byte PW should not leave their houses in the evening -CHCP
1105
+ D25_3_21_07 byte PW should not leave their houses in the evening -SS
1106
+ D25_3_21_08 byte PW should not leave their houses in the evening -SK
1107
+ D25_3_21_09 byte PW should not leave their houses in the evening -NGO workers
1108
+ D25_3_21_10 byte PW should not leave their houses in the evening -TTBA
1109
+ D25_3_21_11 byte PW should not leave their houses in the evening -TBA
1110
+ D25_3_21_12 byte PW should not leave their houses in the evening -Village Doctor
1111
+ D25_3_21_13 byte PW should not leave their houses in the evening -Homeopath doctor
1112
+ D25_3_21_14 byte PW should not leave their houses in the evening -Kabiraj/Herbal healer
1113
+ D25_3_21_15 byte PW should not leave their houses in the evening -Spiritual healer
1114
+ D25_3_21_16 byte PW should not leave their houses in the evening -Pharmacy
1115
+ D25_3_21_17 byte PW should not leave their houses in the evening -Husband
1116
+ D25_3_21_18 byte PW should not leave their houses in the evening -Mother/Mother-in-law
1117
+ D25_3_21_19 byte PW should not leave their houses in the evening -Other HH members
1118
+ D25_3_21_20 byte PW should not leave their houses in the evening -Neighbor/friends
1119
+ D25_3_21_21 byte PW should not leave their houses in the evening -Private clinic
1120
+ D25_3_21_22 byte PW should not leave their houses in the evening -Community clinic
1121
+ D25_3_21_23 byte PW should not leave their houses in the evening -EPI
1122
+ D25_3_21_24 byte PW should not leave their houses in the evening -No one/never needed advice
1123
+ D25_3_21_25 byte PW should not leave their houses in the evening -Radio/TV
1124
+ D25_3_21_26 byte PW should not leave their houses in the evening -Books/Newspaper/Poster/ Billboard
1125
+ D25_3_21_27 byte PW should not leave their houses in the evening -Internet/website
1126
+ D25_3_21_28 byte PW should not leave their houses in the evening -Jatra/Pala/Cinema
1127
+ D25_3_21_29 byte PW should not leave their houses in the evening -BRAC training course
1128
+ D25_3_21_30 byte PW should not leave their houses in the evening -other
1129
+ E1_2 double E1_2 Do you have any other work outside the home (work other than being a BRAC SK)?
1130
+ E1_3 double E1_3 Is that work voluntary or you are paid for that?
1131
+ E1_4 double E1_4 How many hours do you spend on this other work (on AVERAGE PER DAY)?
1132
+ E1_5 double E1_5 How do you get compensated for this work?
1133
+ E1_6 double E1_6 Do you own a mobile phone?
1134
+ E1_7 double E1_7 Do you have a microcredit loan from BRAC?
1135
+ E1_8_YY double E1_8_YY If yes, how long have you had the loan?
1136
+ E1_8_MM double E1_8_MM If yes, how long have you had the loan?
1137
+ E1_9 double E1_9 Do you own the house you live in?
1138
+ E1_10 double E1_10 Main floor maternial
1139
+ E1_11 double E1_11 Main exterior wall material
1140
+ E1_12 double E1_12 Main roof material
1141
+ E1_13 double E1_13 Do you have a garden where you grow vegetables and/or fruits?
1142
+ E1_14 double E1_14 Does your household have any electricity?
1143
+ E1_15 double E1_15 Do you have any other kind of electric power? If yes, which type?
1144
+ E1_16 double E1_16 What type of fuel does your household mainly use for cooking?
1145
+ E1_18 double E1_18 What is the main source of drinking water for members of your household?
1146
+ E1_19 double E1_19 What is the main source of water used by your household for cooking?
1147
+ E1_20 double E1_20 What is the main source of water used by your household for bathing?
1148
+ E1_21 double E1_21 What is the main source of water used by your household for washing utensils?
1149
+ E1_22 double E1_22 What kind of toilet facility do members of your household usually use?
1150
+ E1_23 double E1_23 Do you share this toilet facility with other households?
1151
+ E17_21 double How many are in usable Condition - Metal cooking pots/pans
1152
+ E17_22 double How many are in usable Condition - Bucket
1153
+ E17_24 double How many are in usable Condition - Plates/Pans
1154
+ E17_25 double How many are in usable Condition - Cup/mug
1155
+ E17_26 double How many are in usable Condition - Bed/Khat/Chowki
1156
+ E17_27 double How many are in usable Condition - Mattress/blanket
1157
+ E17_28 double How many are in usable Condition - Table/ Chair
1158
+ E17_29 double How many are in usable Condition - Almirah
1159
+ E17_210 double How many are in usable Condition - Trunk / Suitcase
1160
+ E17_211 double How many are in usable Condition - Electric fan (Ceiling/Table)
1161
+ E17_212 double How many are in usable Condition - Table lamp
1162
+ E17_213 double How many are in usable Condition - Electric iron
1163
+ E17_214 double How many are in usable Condition - Radio
1164
+ E17_215 double How many are in usable Condition - Audio cassette/CD player
1165
+ E17_216 double How many are in usable Condition - TV
1166
+ E17_217 double How many are in usable Condition - Refrigerator
1167
+ E17_219 double How many are in usable Condition - Sewing machine
1168
+ E17_220 double How many are in usable Condition - Wall clock/wrist watch
1169
+ E17_221 double How many are in usable Condition - Camera
1170
+ E17_222 double How many are in usable Condition - Bicycle
1171
+ E17_223 double How many are in usable Condition - Motorcycle
1172
+ E17_225 double How many are in usable Condition - Rickshaw/Van
1173
+ E17_226 double How many are in usable Condition - Bullock cart/Push cart
1174
+ E17_229 double How many are in usable Condition - Phone/mobile phone
1175
+ E17_230 double How many are in usable Condition - Cow/buffalo
1176
+ E17_231 double How many are in usable Condition - Goat/sheep
1177
+ E17_232 double How many are in usable Condition - Chicken/duck
1178
+ E17_233 double How many are in usable Condition - other1
1179
+ E17_234 double How many are in usable Condition - other2
1180
+ E17_235 double How many are in usable Condition - other3
1181
+ F01 double F1 Do you ever watch TV?
1182
+ F02 double F2 How often do you watch TV?
1183
+ F03_1 byte What time of the day do you watch TV-6AM/ 12PM
1184
+ F03_2 byte What time of the day do you watch TV-12PM/ 6PM
1185
+ F03_3 byte What time of the day do you watch TV-6PM/ 12AM
1186
+ F03_4 byte What time of the day do you watch TV-12AM/ 6AM
1187
+ F04_1 byte Which programmes do you watch commonly-News
1188
+ F04_2 byte Which programmes do you watch commonly-Music
1189
+ F04_3 byte Which programmes do you watch commonly-Children’s program
1190
+ F04_4 byte Which programmes do you watch commonly-Sports
1191
+ F04_5 byte Which programmes do you watch commonly-Soap opera
1192
+ F04_6 byte Which programmes do you watch commonly-Movie
1193
+ F04_7 byte Which programmes do you watch commonly-Health/disease programs
1194
+ F04_8 byte Which programmes do you watch commonly-Religious program
1195
+ F04_9 byte Which programmes do you watch commonly-Other
1196
+ F05 double F5 Do you ever listen to the Radio?
1197
+ F06 double F6 How often do you listen to the Radio?
1198
+ F07_1 byte What time of the day do you listen to the Radio-6 AM/ 12 PM
1199
+ F07_2 byte What time of the day do you listen to the Radio-12 PM/ 6 PM
1200
+ F07_3 byte What time of the day do you listen to the Radio-6 PM/ 12 AM
1201
+ F07_4 byte What time of the day do you listen to the Radio-12 AM/ 6 AM
1202
+ F08_1 byte Which programmes do you listen commonly-News
1203
+ F08_2 byte Which programmes do you listen commonly-Music
1204
+ F08_3 byte Which programmes do you listen commonly-Children program
1205
+ F08_4 byte Which programmes do you listen commonly-Sports
1206
+ F08_5 byte Which programmes do you listen commonly-Soap opera
1207
+ F08_6 byte Which programmes do you listen commonly-Movie
1208
+ F08_7 byte Which programmes do you listen commonly-Health/disease programs
1209
+ F08_8 byte Which programmes do you listen commonly-Religious program
1210
+ F08_9 byte Which programmes do you listen commonly-Other
1211
+ F09 double F9 Have you ever seen this advertisement?
1212
+ F10 double F10 Have you seen this TV spot in the last 3 months?
1213
+ F11 double F11 Where have you seen it?
1214
+ F12_01 byte Key messages of TVC-saving money to buy fish
1215
+ F12_02 byte Key messages of TVC-grandchild healthy and intelligent
1216
+ F12_03 byte Key messages of TVC-PW eating properly & taking rest
1217
+ F12_04 byte Key messages of TVC-PW dont do hard work
1218
+ F12_05 byte Key messages of TVC-PW should eat five food groups
1219
+ F12_06 byte Key messages of TVC-PW should take one IFA tablet
1220
+ F12_07 byte Key messages of TVC-PW should take one Calcium tablet
1221
+ F12_08 byte Key messages of TVC-Do not take both IFA and calcium together
1222
+ F12_09 byte Key messages of TVC-Other
1223
+ F12_10 byte Key messages of TVC-DK
1224
+ F13 double F13 Have you ever seen this advertisement?
1225
+ F14 double F14 Have you seen this TV spot in the last 3 months?
1226
+ F15 double F15 Where have you seen it?
1227
+ F16_01 byte Key messages of TVC-to gain weight during pregnancy
1228
+ F16_02 byte Key messages of TVC-check weight regularly
1229
+ F16_03 byte Key messages of TVC-Proper nutrition ensure proper weight gain
1230
+ F16_04 byte Key messages of TVC-eat 5 types of nutritious food
1231
+ F16_05 byte Key messages of TVC-take 180 IFA tablets
1232
+ F16_06 byte Key messages of TVC-take 180 Calcium tablets
1233
+ F16_07 byte Key messages of TVC-IFA reduce the risk of anemia
1234
+ F16_08 byte Key messages of TVC-IFA reduce the risk of LBW
1235
+ F16_09 byte Key messages of TVC-IFA improve child intelligence
1236
+ F16_10 byte Key messages of TVC-IFA reduce the risk of excessive blood loss
1237
+ F16_11 byte Key messages of TVC-Calcium prevent high blood pressure and eclampsia
1238
+ F16_12 byte Key messages of TVC-Calcium help have strong bones and teeth
1239
+ F16_13 byte Key messages of TVC-Other
1240
+ F16_14 byte Key messages of TVC-DK
1241
+ F17 double F17 Have you ever seen this advertisement?
1242
+ F18 double F18 Have you seen this TV spot in the last 3 months?
1243
+ F19 double F19 Where have you seen it?
1244
+ F20_01 byte Key messages of TVC-eat 5 types of nutritious food
1245
+ F20_02 byte Key messages of TVC-Increase quantity of foods
1246
+ F20_03 byte Key messages of TVC-take iron folic acid everyday
1247
+ F20_04 byte Key messages of TVC-take calcium everyday
1248
+ F20_05 byte Key messages of TVC-IFA will prevent excessive blood loss
1249
+ F20_06 byte Key messages of TVC-Taking IFA will increase child development
1250
+ F20_07 byte Key messages of TVC-Taking calcium will prevent high BP
1251
+ F20_08 byte Key messages of TVC-Taking calcium make baby have strong bones and teeth
1252
+ F20_09 byte Key messages of TVC-Nutritious food not cost too much
1253
+ F20_10 byte Key messages of TVC-Husband should save money to buy food for his pregnant wife
1254
+ F20_11 byte Key messages of TVC-Using saving to buy nutritious foods for PW
1255
+ F20_12 byte Key messages of TVC-Nutritious foods can be produced at home
1256
+ F20_13 byte Key messages of TVC-Eat proper nutrition will have healthchild
1257
+ F20_14 byte Key messages of TVC-If child grows well, she will have education and earn enough money
1258
+ F20_15 byte Key messages of TVC-Other
1259
+ F20_16 byte Key messages of TVC-DK
1260
+ F21 double F21 Have you ever seen this advertisement?
1261
+ F22 double F22 Have you seen this TV spot in the last 3 months?
1262
+ F23 double F23 Where have you seen it?
1263
+ F24_1 byte Key messages of TVC-fed breast milk within an hour of birth
1264
+ F24_2 byte Key messages of TVC-fed BM immediately to protect from sicknesses
1265
+ F24_3 byte Key messages of TVC-Do not feed the baby anything exept breast milk
1266
+ F24_4 byte Key messages of TVC-Do not feed baby honey or sugar water
1267
+ F24_5 byte Key messages of TVC-BF immediately after birth keeps the baby healthy
1268
+ F24_6 byte Key messages of TVC-BF immediately after birth helps milk production
1269
+ F24_7 byte Key messages of TVC-Other
1270
+ F24_8 byte Key messages of TVC-DK
1271
+ F25 double F25 Have you ever seen this advertisement?
1272
+ F26 double F26 Have you seen this TV spot in the last 3 months?
1273
+ F27 double F27 Where have you seen it?
1274
+ F28_1 byte Key messages of TVC-Feeding foods in first six months can be harmful
1275
+ F28_2 byte Key messages of TVC-only breast milk is sufficient for the baby in 1st 6m
1276
+ F28_3 byte Key messages of TVC-Not to feed the baby anything
1277
+ F28_4 byte Key messages of TVC-Malnourished mothers can also sufficiently BF their child for 6moths
1278
+ F28_5 byte Key messages of TVC-Other
1279
+ F28_6 byte Key messages of TVC-DK
1280
+ agegr double SS age groups
1281
+ edu double SS education
1282
+ AT float Intervention
1283
+ tcode float cluster
1284
+ ATpaird float paird
1285
+
data/part_2/0127680614.md ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,30 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ # Constraints for small-scale private irrigation systems in the North Central zone of Nigeria: Insights from a typology analysis and a case study
2
+
3
+ **Source:** gardian_index
4
+ **URL:** https://cgspace.cgiar.org/rest/bitstreams/6f80e44b-e0d8-4527-974a-ffdc53f5bc40/retrieve
5
+ **Language:** English
6
+ **Resource Type:** Working Paper
7
+ **Release Year:** 2017
8
+ **Rights:** N/A
9
+ **GARDIAN ID:** feffd3176b4bec4bc434004c47664353
10
+ **DataNODE ID:** a5da436eb56875e9332db12490f9803c
11
+ **Siever ID:** a7232c0b-f650-425d-b880-4e5720790794
12
+ **Token Count:** 114
13
+ **Page Count:** 0
14
+
15
+ ## Keywords
16
+
17
+ irrigation systems, farm budgets, labour costs, typology, private sector, agricultural productivity, agricultural transformation, agricultural sector, irrigation schemes, constraints, nigeria, analysis
18
+
19
+ ## Geography
20
+
21
+ - **Regions:** Western Africa, Sub-Saharan Africa, Africa, World
22
+ - **Countries:** Nigeria
23
+
24
+ ## Description
25
+
26
+ Agricultural transformation has been slow in Nigeria despite relatively fast growth in the non-agricultural sector of the economy. The limited contributions of irrigation in the agricultural sector have been considered to be one of the causes of slow agricultural transformation in Nigeria. Irrigation is used in both public-sector and private-sector irrigation schemes. Information is, however, often limited regarding small-scale private irrigation systems and their expansion potential and constraints, as compared to information on public irrigation schemes. This paper aims to provide various qualitative indicators which can shed light on irrigation system diversity and its recent evolution in Nigeria, as well as key economic characteristics of a selected private irrigation system as a case study.
27
+
28
+ ## Content
29
+
30
+ Agricultural transformation has been slow in Nigeria despite relatively fast growth in the non-agricultural sector of the economy. The limited contributions of irrigation in the agricultural sector have been considered to be one of the causes of slow agricultural transformation in Nigeria. Irrigation is used in both public-sector and private-sector irrigation schemes. Information is, however, often limited regarding small-scale private irrigation systems and their expansion potential and constraints, as compared to information on public irrigation schemes. This paper aims to provide various qualitative indicators which can shed light on irrigation system diversity and its recent evolution in Nigeria, as well as key economic characteristics of a selected private irrigation system as a case study.
data/part_2/0139672039.md ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,34 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ # Building pathways out of poverty in Baidoa: Evidence from a randomized controlled trial at endline
2
+
3
+ **Source:** gardian_index
4
+ **URL:** https://cgspace.cgiar.org/rest/bitstreams/32a3a189-2255-46e4-9a71-5a8fa3821c46/retrieve
5
+ **Language:** English
6
+ **Resource Type:** Brief
7
+ **Release Year:** 2024
8
+ **Rights:** CC-BY
9
+ **GARDIAN ID:** 3e78e7139425f18bf14d7bd11d5e7c82
10
+ **DataNODE ID:** bee51b9f746139af1d12892f78bc5a6b
11
+ **Siever ID:** 4c5c786f-2dfa-4c08-bae5-41dba70304b1
12
+ **Token Count:** 201
13
+ **Page Count:** 0
14
+
15
+ ## Keywords
16
+
17
+ poverty, conflicts, natural disasters, displacement, women, unemployment, gender, nutrition, health and food security, poverty reduction, livelihoods and jobs, systems transformation, rural areas, sustainable livelihoods
18
+
19
+ ## Geography
20
+
21
+ - **Regions:** Western Africa, Sub-Saharan Africa, Africa, World, Eastern Africa
22
+ - **Countries:** Somalia, Mali
23
+
24
+ ## Description
25
+
26
+ Somalia is one of the poorest countries in the world, and severe poverty, ongoing armed conflict, and recurring droughts and floods have created a humanitarian crisis characterized by a high level of inter nal displacement. Baidoa city—the site of this evaluation—hosts 517 sites for internally displaced per sons (IDP), with almost 600,000 households, and 64 percent of the individuals living in these sites are women and girls. According to the second Somali High Frequency Survey (Pape and Karamba 2019), IDP settlements (along with rural areas) face a particularly high level of poverty, exacerbated by high unemployment rates and the absence of income-generating opportunities.
27
+
28
+ This brief reports on endline findings from a randomized controlled trial (RCT) evaluating the project Building Pathways Out of Poverty for Ultra-poor IDPs and Vulnerable Host Communities in Baidoa, an ultra-poor graduation (UPG) intervention implemented by World Vision and funded by the United States Agency for International Development’s Bureau for Humanitarian Assistance (BHA). The project seeks to enable ultra-poor internally displaced households to graduate from extreme poverty and begin the upward trajectory to self-reliance for displacement-affected communities by enabling gender-sensitive, context-appropriate, and sustainable livelihoods in an urban setting. IFPRI is collaborating with World Vision to conduct the trial.
29
+
30
+ ## Content
31
+
32
+ Somalia is one of the poorest countries in the world, and severe poverty, ongoing armed conflict, and recurring droughts and floods have created a humanitarian crisis characterized by a high level of inter nal displacement. Baidoa city—the site of this evaluation—hosts 517 sites for internally displaced per sons (IDP), with almost 600,000 households, and 64 percent of the individuals living in these sites are women and girls. According to the second Somali High Frequency Survey (Pape and Karamba 2019), IDP settlements (along with rural areas) face a particularly high level of poverty, exacerbated by high unemployment rates and the absence of income-generating opportunities.
33
+
34
+ This brief reports on endline findings from a randomized controlled trial (RCT) evaluating the project Building Pathways Out of Poverty for Ultra-poor IDPs and Vulnerable Host Communities in Baidoa, an ultra-poor graduation (UPG) intervention implemented by World Vision and funded by the United States Agency for International Development’s Bureau for Humanitarian Assistance (BHA). The project seeks to enable ultra-poor internally displaced households to graduate from extreme poverty and begin the upward trajectory to self-reliance for displacement-affected communities by enabling gender-sensitive, context-appropriate, and sustainable livelihoods in an urban setting. IFPRI is collaborating with World Vision to conduct the trial.
data/part_2/0146982198.md ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,30 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ # Malaria control and elimination in Kenya: Economy-wide benefits and regional disparities
2
+
3
+ **Source:** gardian_index
4
+ **URL:**
5
+ **Language:** English
6
+ **Resource Type:** Scientific Publication
7
+ **Release Year:** 2023
8
+ **Rights:** CC-BY
9
+ **GARDIAN ID:** 683546923a4d3f2fffb3e21f3cd697b7
10
+ **DataNODE ID:** c64c1d877d438da0e433e9f9db019ea1
11
+ **Siever ID:** 1e4446f3-51c6-4e13-8ef2-39842b6d82d6
12
+ **Token Count:** 352
13
+ **Page Count:** 0
14
+
15
+ ## Keywords
16
+
17
+ research methods, policy innovation, households, human diseases, malaria, capacity development, economics, government, prices, public health, labor, sustainable development goals
18
+
19
+ ## Geography
20
+
21
+ - **Regions:** Eastern Africa, Sub-Saharan Africa, Africa, World
22
+ - **Countries:** Kenya
23
+
24
+ ## Description
25
+
26
+ Background Malaria remains a public health problem in Kenya despite several concerted control efforts. Empirical evidence regarding malaria effects in Kenya suggests that the disease imposes substantial economic costs, jeopardizing the achievement of sustainable development goals. The Kenya Malaria Strategy (2019–2023), which is currently being implemented, is one of several sequential malaria control and elimination strategies. The strategy targets reducing malaria incidences and deaths by 75% of the 2016 levels by 2023 through spending around Kenyan Shillings 61.9 billion over 5 years. This paper assesses the economy-wide implications of implementing this strategy. Methods An economy-wide simulation model is calibrated to a comprehensive 2019 database for Kenya, considering different epidemiological zones. Two scenarios are simulated with the model. The first scenario (GOVT) simulates the annual costs of implementing the Kenya Malaria Strategy by increasing government expenditure on malaria control and elimination programmes. The second scenario (LABOR) reduces malaria incidences by 75% in all epidemiological malaria zones without accounting for the changes in government expenditure, which translates into rising the household labour endowment (benefits of the strategy). Results Implementing the Kenya Malaria Strategy (2019–2023) enhances gross domestic product at the end of the strategy implementation period due to more available labour. In the short term, government health expenditure (direct malaria costs) increases significantly, which is critical in controlling and eliminating malaria. Expanding the health sector raises the demand for production factors, such as labour and capital. The prices for these factors rise, boosting producer and consumer prices of non-health-related products. Consequently, household welfare decreases during the strategy implementation period. In the long run, household labour endowment increases due to reduced malaria incidences and deaths (indirect malaria costs). However, the size of the effects varies across malaria epidemiological and agroecological zones depending on malaria prevalence and factor ownership. Conclusions This paper provides policymakers with an ex-ante assessment of the implications of malaria control and elimination on household welfare across various malaria epidemiological zones. These insights assist in developing and implementing related policy measures that reduce the undesirable effects in the short run. Besides, the paper supports an economically beneficial long-term malaria control and elimination effect.
27
+
28
+ ## Content
29
+
30
+ Background Malaria remains a public health problem in Kenya despite several concerted control efforts. Empirical evidence regarding malaria effects in Kenya suggests that the disease imposes substantial economic costs, jeopardizing the achievement of sustainable development goals. The Kenya Malaria Strategy (2019–2023), which is currently being implemented, is one of several sequential malaria control and elimination strategies. The strategy targets reducing malaria incidences and deaths by 75% of the 2016 levels by 2023 through spending around Kenyan Shillings 61.9 billion over 5 years. This paper assesses the economy-wide implications of implementing this strategy. Methods An economy-wide simulation model is calibrated to a comprehensive 2019 database for Kenya, considering different epidemiological zones. Two scenarios are simulated with the model. The first scenario (GOVT) simulates the annual costs of implementing the Kenya Malaria Strategy by increasing government expenditure on malaria control and elimination programmes. The second scenario (LABOR) reduces malaria incidences by 75% in all epidemiological malaria zones without accounting for the changes in government expenditure, which translates into rising the household labour endowment (benefits of the strategy). Results Implementing the Kenya Malaria Strategy (2019–2023) enhances gross domestic product at the end of the strategy implementation period due to more available labour. In the short term, government health expenditure (direct malaria costs) increases significantly, which is critical in controlling and eliminating malaria. Expanding the health sector raises the demand for production factors, such as labour and capital. The prices for these factors rise, boosting producer and consumer prices of non-health-related products. Consequently, household welfare decreases during the strategy implementation period. In the long run, household labour endowment increases due to reduced malaria incidences and deaths (indirect malaria costs). However, the size of the effects varies across malaria epidemiological and agroecological zones depending on malaria prevalence and factor ownership. Conclusions This paper provides policymakers with an ex-ante assessment of the implications of malaria control and elimination on household welfare across various malaria epidemiological zones. These insights assist in developing and implementing related policy measures that reduce the undesirable effects in the short run. Besides, the paper supports an economically beneficial long-term malaria control and elimination effect.
data/part_2/0161329380.md ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,226 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ # Agro-processing, food prices, and COVID-19: The case of rice mills in Myanmar
2
+
3
+ **Source:** gardian_index
4
+ **URL:** https://cgspace.cgiar.org/rest/bitstreams/fc282bb8-4460-48ec-9d57-366e68cb4361/retrieve
5
+ **Language:** English
6
+ **Resource Type:** Brief
7
+ **Release Year:** 2021
8
+ **Rights:** CC-BY
9
+ **GARDIAN ID:** 8bd72c4a2431d233bbadb4688a83c6ae
10
+ **DataNODE ID:** c164295149859ec8c03033f4e52adcd9
11
+ **Siever ID:** 74d417be-9f4c-410c-8c06-78ebfcfac5e9
12
+ **Token Count:** 1899
13
+ **Page Count:** 0
14
+
15
+ ## Keywords
16
+
17
+ agro-processing, surveys, covid-19, rice, food prices, byproducts, prices, resilience, milling, mills, myanmar, impacts, processing, accounts
18
+
19
+ ## Geography
20
+
21
+ - **Regions:** South-eastern Asia, Asia, World
22
+ - **Countries:** Myanmar
23
+
24
+ ## Description
25
+
26
+ This assesses the impacts of COVID-19 on the processing sector of Myanmar’s agri-food system. We focus on the milling of rice, Myanmar’s most important staple, which accounts for more than half of calories consumed and serves as one of the country’s leading export commodities. Using unique data collected from telephone surveys with more than 400 medium- and large-scale rice mils, we highlight the major disruptions caused by the pandemic.
27
+
28
+ ## Content
29
+
30
+ MYANMAR
31
+ Agro-processing, food prices, and
32
+ COVID-19
33
+ The case of rice mills in Myanmar
34
+ STRATEGY SUPPORT PROGRAM POLICY NOTE 46 MARCH 2021
35
+ This note assesses the impacts of COVID-19 on the processing sector of Myanmar’s agri-food
36
+ system. We focus on the milling of rice, Myanmar’s most important staple, which accounts for
37
+ more than half of calories consumed and serves as one of the country’s leading export
38
+ commodities. Using unique data collected from telephone surveys with more than 400
39
+ medium- and large-scale rice mils, we highlight the major disruptions caused by the pandemic.
40
+ Key findings
41
+ • The COVID-19 pandemic caused significant disruptions for medium- and large-scale rice
42
+ mills, including lower milling throughput, employee layoffs, and lower credit availability.
43
+ • Despite these issues, we find significant resilience in the sector. COVID-19 has been
44
+ associated with relatively small changes in processing margins. Any changes in rice prices
45
+ during the pandemic were mostly transmitted to rice farmers.
46
+ • Modern mills pay higher prices to their suppliers and sell rice more expensively due to
47
+ extra processing. Modern and traditional mills were similarly affected by the COVID-19
48
+ crisis, as seen in similar changes in the prices each paid to buy paddy and the prices they
49
+ received for their milled rice.
50
+ • Byproducts are very important for milling margins both before and during the COVID-19
51
+ pandemic. Without byproduct sales there would be a need for much higher margins
52
+ between paddy producer and rice consumer prices to assure the profitability of the mills.
53
+ Recommended actions
54
+ • Access to international markets has seemingly contributed to price stability in local
55
+ markets, indicating the importance of continued trade, albeit in a safe way, during shocks.
56
+ • Monitoring crucial processing nodes in agricultural value chains through high-frequency
57
+ inexpensive telephone interviews has allowed us to track a large sector of Myanmar’s
58
+ economy that has strong and wide links to producers and consumers. Similar survey set-
59
+ ups should be pursued in other sectors.
60
+ • Modernization of mills is associated with higher prices for farmers and, therefore, should
61
+ be encouraged. Further relaxation of restrictions on investments in agro-processing and
62
+ on international trade in the sector will foster increased modernization.
63
+ 2
64
+ Introduction
65
+ In the rice supply chain, mills are the most important actor and add significant value, which benefits
66
+ both consumers and producers. Mills process raw paddy into rice, which is the single most important
67
+ processed food in Myanmar by a wide margin, with average per capita consumption at 170 kg per
68
+ year.1 Rice is also an important export commodity and Myanmar was the sixth biggest rice exporter
69
+ worldwide in 2018, with about 2.7 million tons of milled rice exported. From a production perspective,
70
+ rice is Myanmar’s most important crop, accounting for more than 30 percent of all crop value.2 The
71
+ far-reaching upstream and downstream influences of rice milling highlight the importance of
72
+ understanding COVID-19’s impacts on the sector.
73
+ To learn about the effects of COVID-19 on Myanmar’s rice processing, we conducted phone
74
+ interviews with a sample of rice millers starting in July 2020 and continuing monthly through
75
+ November 2020. The sample covers six townships in three regions–Ayeyarwady, Bago, and
76
+ Yangon–which collectively account for 45 percent of the monsoon rice produced in Myanmar. The
77
+ phone surveys were designed as a panel across the five monthly interview rounds. Six-hundred and
78
+ fifty-seven mills were randomly selected as our sample. Each mill was called for the five rounds.
79
+ However, the number of interviews fluctuated across rounds due to mill closures, unavailable or
80
+ unreachable phone numbers, and interview refusals. The number of completed interviews for each
81
+ of the five rounds was approximately 400 per round.
82
+ Significant disruptions to the rice milling sector due to COVID-19
83
+ Mills reported large business disruptions caused by COVID-19 and the corresponding policy
84
+ responses implemented to mitigate its tremendous health burdens. In the August survey round,
85
+ 44 percent of the millers interviewed reported disruptions to buying paddy caused by transportation
86
+ restrictions. However, the downstream effects of these restrictions in selling rice were less
87
+ pronounced, with only 26 percent reporting such disruptions (Table 1). This likely reflects the
88
+ localized implementation of transport restrictions in Myanmar. Millers had more difficulty with
89
+ transport in the upstream sections of rice supply chains in obtaining paddy in production regions than
90
+ they did in downstream sections in supplying commodity exchange centers and wholesale markets
91
+ with milled rice. Moreover, 38 percent of the mills reduced the number of employees.
92
+ Table 1. Share of rice mills reporting operations changes and disruptions due to COVID-19
93
+ Share of mills reporting operations changes, August 2020 compared with August 2019 (%)
94
+ Decrease Same Increase Mean change
95
+ Rice throughput 51 46 3 -18
96
+ Demand for credit from farmers 1 86 13 4
97
+ Expected annual revenue 79 17 4 -28
98
+ Share of mills reporting business disruptions in August 2020 (%)
99
+ Transport restrictions in selling rice 26
100
+ Transport restrictions in buying paddy 44
101
+ Applied for COVID-19 relief loan 38
102
+ Reduced the number of employees 38
103
+ Reduced mill operating days 46
104
+ Closed for at least one week 19
105
+ Source: Mill survey
106
+
107
+ 1 USDA (United States Department of Agriculture). 2020. “Burma: Grain and Feed.” Annual report no. BM 2020-0003.
108
+ 2 CSO (Central Statistical Organization). 2019. “Myanmar agricultural statistics (2008-2019 to 2017-2018).” Ministry of Planning and
109
+ Finance. Nay Pyi Taw.
110
+ 3
111
+ The net effects of these challenges for the mills appear to be lower rice throughput and decreased
112
+ revenues. Only 3 percent reported higher daily throughput of rice in August 2020 compared to 2019,
113
+ while 51 percent of mills reported a year-on-year decline. Only 4 percent of millers expected a
114
+ revenue increase in 2020 compared to 2019. There were also increases in demand for credit, both
115
+ by mills–38 percent of millers applied for a government COVID-19 relief loan in August, the first
116
+ month that loans were made available to agribusinesses–and by farmers–13 percent of mills
117
+ reported increased demand for credit provision from the farmers supplying them paddy.
118
+ Resilience in the rice sector during the pandemic
119
+ Rice exports were almost at similar levels during the pandemic period as a year earlier.3 Rice prices
120
+ were generally higher in 2020 compared to 2019. Overall, these increases were passed through to
121
+ farmers as the prices paid for paddy were also higher (Figure 1). Varietal differences are shown to
122
+ matter tremendously in price setting. Pawsan, which is a variety mostly destined for local markets,
123
+ receives significantly higher prices than Emata, a variety mostly destined for international markets.
124
+ Gross margins for both Emata and Pawsan were slightly higher in 2020 than in 2019, but not by very
125
+ much, suggesting that challenges presented by the COVID-19 crisis have not had substantial
126
+ negative effects on milling margins. We further note that margins for the more expensive Pawsan
127
+ variety are higher, as noted in other settings for higher quality rice.4 Modern mills can achieve higher
128
+ rice quality, controlling for variety, through the use of polishers and color sorters, which translates to
129
+ higher margins of about 10 MMK per pound over traditional mills. A substantial portion–about
130
+ 50 percent–of the higher prices modern mills receive for head (whole grain) rice is passed through
131
+ to farmers in higher prices for paddy. In terms of price changes during the COVID-19 crisis, both
132
+ modern and traditional mills show similar patterns.
133
+ Figure 1. Rice prices before and during the COVID-19 pandemic (September 2019 versus
134
+ September 2020), by rice variety and type of rice mill
135
+ September 2019 September 2020
136
+
137
+ Source: Mill survey
138
+ Milling byproducts matter enormously for mill profits, including during the
139
+ pandemic
140
+ Figure 2 presents the average output revenues and paddy costs for Emata and Pawsan by year.
141
+ The importance of byproduct sales is evident in both years. The revenue from rice sales alone is
142
+
143
+ 3 USDA (United States Department of Agriculture). 2021. “Burma: Rice Trade – Monthly.” Report no. BM 2021-0004.
144
+ 4 Minten, B., K.A.S. Murshid, and T. Reardon. 2013. “Food quality changes and implications: Evidence from the rice value chain of
145
+ Bangladesh.” World Development, 42, February, 100-113.
146
+ 0
147
+ 100
148
+ 200
149
+ 300
150
+ 400
151
+ Before During Before During
152
+ Emata variety Pawsan variety
153
+ M
154
+ M
155
+ K
156
+ /l
157
+ b
158
+ Paddy Rice
159
+ 0
160
+ 100
161
+ 200
162
+ 300
163
+ 400
164
+ Before During Before During
165
+ Modern mill Traditional mill
166
+ M
167
+ M
168
+ K
169
+ /l
170
+ b
171
+ Paddy Rice
172
+ 4
173
+ less than the paddy cost in each case. Thus, without the ability to market byproducts, milling paddy-
174
+ to-rice margins would need to increase for mills to remain profitable, putting downward pressure on
175
+ paddy prices paid to farmers and upward pressure on milled rice prices to consumers.
176
+ Figure 2. Average milling paddy costs, revenues, and margins in MMK per 100 baskets of
177
+ paddy, Pawsan and Emata varieties for 2020 and 2019
178
+
179
+ Source: Mill survey
180
+ After head rice, broken rice is the main contributor to miller’s margins. Pawsan revenues from
181
+ broken rice are slightly higher than those for Emata. However, this is not because Pawsan broken
182
+ rice prices are higher, but because more broken rice is recovered from Pawsan varieties, as the final
183
+ consumer head rice is sold with a lower percentage of broken rice in it.
184
+ Bran is the third leading contributor to milling margins, but with total values of about one-third of
185
+ that of broken rice for Emata and one-quarter of broken rice for Pawsan. The value of husks is
186
+ negligible.
187
+ The overall expansion of marketing opportunities for byproducts, such as, for instance, for feed
188
+ in the rapidly growing aquaculture and poultry sectors in the country, and their stable or increasing
189
+ prices during the pandemic might have had important spillover effects and contributed to lower
190
+ paddy-to-rice processing margins. Overall, this resulted in reduced rice prices for consumers and
191
+ higher paddy prices for farmers.5
192
+
193
+
194
+ 5 Fang, P., B. Belton, X. Zhang, and H.E. Win. 2020. “Impacts of COVID-19 on Myanmar’s poultry sector: Implications for achieving the
195
+ sustainable development goals.” Myanmar SSP Discussion Paper 05. Washington DC: IFPRI (International Food Policy Research
196
+ Institute).
197
+ 5
198
+ ACKNOWLEDGMENTS
199
+ This work was undertaken as part of the Myanmar Agricultural Policy Support Activity (MAPSA) led
200
+ by the International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI) and in partnership with Michigan State
201
+ university (MSU). Funding support for this study was provided by the CGIAR Research Program on
202
+ Policies, Institutions, and Markets (PIM), the United States Agency of International Development
203
+ (USAID), and the Livelihoods and Food Security Fund (LIFT). This Policy Note has not gone through
204
+ IFPRI’s standard peer-review procedure. The opinions expressed here belong to the authors, and
205
+ do not necessarily reflect those of IFPRI, MSU, USAID, LIFT, or CGIAR.
206
+ INTERNATIONAL FOOD POLICY RESEARCH
207
+ INSTITUTE
208
+ 1201 Eye St, NW | Washington, DC 20005 USA
209
+ T. +1-202-862-5600 | F. +1-202-862-5606
210
+ ifpri@cgiar.org
211
+ www.ifpri.org | www.ifpri.info
212
+ IFPRI-MYANMAR
213
+ No. 99-E6 U Aung Kein Lane
214
+ Than Lwin Road, Bahan Township
215
+ Yangon, Myanmar
216
+ IFPRI-Myanmar@cgiar.org
217
+ www.myanmar.ifpri.info
218
+ The Myanmar Strategy Support Program (Myanmar SSP) is led by the International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI) in partnership
219
+ with Michigan State University (MSU). Funding support for Myanmar SSP is provided by the CGIAR Research Program on Policies,
220
+ Institutions, and Markets; the Livelihoods and Food Security Fund (LIFT); and the United States Agency for International Development
221
+ (USAID). This publication has been prepared as an output of Myanmar SSP. It has not been independently peer reviewed. Any opinions
222
+ expressed here belong to the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect those of IFPRI, MSU, LIFT, USAID, or CGIAR.
223
+ © 2021, Copyright remains with the author(s). This publication is licensed for use under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International
224
+ License (CC BY 4.0). To view this license, visit https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0.
225
+ IFPRI is a CGIAR Research Center | A world free of hunger and malnutrition
226
+
data/part_2/0161693789.md ADDED
The diff for this file is too large to render. See raw diff
 
data/part_2/0168979666.md ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,33 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ # Opening data with trust: Reflections on a holistic approach to data governance at IFPRI
2
+
3
+ **Source:** gardian_index
4
+ **URL:** https://cgspace.cgiar.org/rest/bitstreams/5de552c8-ee3e-4052-8c93-aa8298cdfa22/retrieve
5
+ **Language:** English
6
+ **Resource Type:** Poster / Presentation
7
+ **Release Year:** 2020
8
+ **Rights:** N/A
9
+ **GARDIAN ID:** c10172c12be227b2007e2faa6010c1b5
10
+ **DataNODE ID:** f02b13236f1aae3beb02b25199af59ba
11
+ **Siever ID:** fbf50a97-6a0f-4d46-a6f3-a642474845c3
12
+ **Token Count:** 305
13
+ **Page Count:** 0
14
+
15
+ ## Keywords
16
+
17
+ open data, governance, research data management, data repositories, data management, developing countries, household surveys, research projects, data, research, policies, protocols, processes, components
18
+
19
+ ## Description
20
+
21
+ IFPRI’s experience building overall data governance for Research Data Management (RDM) has helped us to build trust among IFPRI staff for opening their data. We will highlight how policies, protocols and processes are equally important components for opening data in addition to infrastructure and digital repositories.
22
+
23
+ The mandate of IFPRI is to provide research-based policy solutions to sustainably reduce poverty and end hunger and malnutrition in developing countries. In pursuit of that mandate, IFPRI generates data ranging from household surveys to process-produced data and makes those data available and easily accessible. IFPRI has moved progressively toward full FAIR compliance beginning with publicly available datasets hosted on the website in 1999, a published data policy in 2000, establishing a data repository through Dataverse in 2007, and a Data Governance Team (DGT) in 2017. Revisions to the data policy in 2005 required researchers to publish the datasets generated during research projects within two years of data collection/finalization. However, the intention of the institute did not lead to automatic compliance by research staff. The data policy was not observed consistently, and publishing datasets remained voluntary. Researchers repeatedly expressed hesitations for opening data widely.
24
+
25
+ To overcome resistance from research staff, respond to open data movements, regulations, and policies from donors and governments, and identify gaps in RDM within the institute, IFPRI established a term-limited DGT in 2017. The first undertaking of this team was launching a review of the data management practices by an external consultant. Based on the recommendations from the review, IFPRI established a permanent data governance body, Data Governance and Management Committee (DGMC). DGMC facilitates the implementation of other recommendations from the review and address staff concerns. IFPRI has established new policies, processes, incentives and systems for RDM. As a result, IFPRI has 420 well-documented open datasets, and researchers are more confident and trust the system.
26
+
27
+ ## Content
28
+
29
+ IFPRI’s experience building overall data governance for Research Data Management (RDM) has helped us to build trust among IFPRI staff for opening their data. We will highlight how policies, protocols and processes are equally important components for opening data in addition to infrastructure and digital repositories.
30
+
31
+ The mandate of IFPRI is to provide research-based policy solutions to sustainably reduce poverty and end hunger and malnutrition in developing countries. In pursuit of that mandate, IFPRI generates data ranging from household surveys to process-produced data and makes those data available and easily accessible. IFPRI has moved progressively toward full FAIR compliance beginning with publicly available datasets hosted on the website in 1999, a published data policy in 2000, establishing a data repository through Dataverse in 2007, and a Data Governance Team (DGT) in 2017. Revisions to the data policy in 2005 required researchers to publish the datasets generated during research projects within two years of data collection/finalization. However, the intention of the institute did not lead to automatic compliance by research staff. The data policy was not observed consistently, and publishing datasets remained voluntary. Researchers repeatedly expressed hesitations for opening data widely.
32
+
33
+ To overcome resistance from research staff, respond to open data movements, regulations, and policies from donors and governments, and identify gaps in RDM within the institute, IFPRI established a term-limited DGT in 2017. The first undertaking of this team was launching a review of the data management practices by an external consultant. Based on the recommendations from the review, IFPRI established a permanent data governance body, Data Governance and Management Committee (DGMC). DGMC facilitates the implementation of other recommendations from the review and address staff concerns. IFPRI has established new policies, processes, incentives and systems for RDM. As a result, IFPRI has 420 well-documented open datasets, and researchers are more confident and trust the system.
data/part_2/0182251128.md ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,32 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ # Ethiopia Feed the Future Innovation Lab for Small-Scale Irrigation (ILSSI) Baseline Survey, 2014
2
+
3
+ **Source:** gardian_index
4
+ **URL:**
5
+ **Language:** English
6
+ **Resource Type:** Dataset / Tabular
7
+ **Release Year:** 2017
8
+ **Rights:** CC-BY
9
+ **GARDIAN ID:** 2edade5b0b4e28ffa8698b4087646477
10
+ **DataNODE ID:** 1ca7f57c5f4a0822b254ad043f08b352
11
+ **Siever ID:** c2a449b5-4361-4fba-b6bf-084fceaa71de
12
+ **Token Count:** 190
13
+ **Page Count:** 0
14
+
15
+ ## Keywords
16
+
17
+ irrigation, households, agricultural production, nutrition, dietary diversity, anthropometry, health, gender, women's empowerment, decision making, ethiopia, east africa, africa south of sahara, africa
18
+
19
+ ## Geography
20
+
21
+ - **Regions:** Eastern Africa, Sub-Saharan Africa, Africa, World, Western Africa, Northern America, Americas
22
+ - **Countries:** United States of America, Tanzania, Ghana, Ethiopia
23
+
24
+ ## Description
25
+
26
+ The Feed the Future Innovation Lab on Small-Scale Irrigation (FTF-ILSSI) is a cooperative agreement funded by USAID under the Feed the Future program to undertake research aimed to increase food production, improve nutrition, accelerate economic development and contribute to the protection of the environment. The project seeks these objectives through identifying, testing and demonstrating technological options in small-scale irrigation and irrigated fodder, supported by a continual dialogue approach with stakeholders and capacity development toward sustained use of research approaches and evidence. Collaborators on this project include Texas A&M University, the International Water Management Institute (IWMI), the International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI), the International Livestock Research Institute (ILRI), North Carolina A&T State University (NCAT) and Texas A&M AgriLife Research (TAMUS). As part of this project, IFPRI is undertaking a study of irrigating and non-irrigating households in Ethiopia, Tanzania and Ghana to investigate the connections between irrigation, gender, nutrition and health. The survey explores these linkages through an in-depth household questionnaire with questions on agricultural production, nutrition and health, a WEAI module and a community questionnaire.
27
+ <p>This work forms part of the CGIAR Research Program on Water, Land and Ecosystems (WLE).
28
+
29
+ ## Content
30
+
31
+ The Feed the Future Innovation Lab on Small-Scale Irrigation (FTF-ILSSI) is a cooperative agreement funded by USAID under the Feed the Future program to undertake research aimed to increase food production, improve nutrition, accelerate economic development and contribute to the protection of the environment. The project seeks these objectives through identifying, testing and demonstrating technological options in small-scale irrigation and irrigated fodder, supported by a continual dialogue approach with stakeholders and capacity development toward sustained use of research approaches and evidence. Collaborators on this project include Texas A&M University, the International Water Management Institute (IWMI), the International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI), the International Livestock Research Institute (ILRI), North Carolina A&T State University (NCAT) and Texas A&M AgriLife Research (TAMUS). As part of this project, IFPRI is undertaking a study of irrigating and non-irrigating households in Ethiopia, Tanzania and Ghana to investigate the connections between irrigation, gender, nutrition and health. The survey explores these linkages through an in-depth household questionnaire with questions on agricultural production, nutrition and health, a WEAI module and a community questionnaire.
32
+ <p>This work forms part of the CGIAR Research Program on Water, Land and Ecosystems (WLE).
data/part_2/0194256883.md ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,798 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ # POSHAN's abstract digest on maternal and child nutrition research - Issue 35
2
+
3
+ **Source:** gardian_index
4
+ **URL:** https://cgspace.cgiar.org/rest/bitstreams/e40826e7-248b-43b5-97b9-fdcc36069712/retrieve
5
+ **Language:** English
6
+ **Resource Type:** Scientific Publication
7
+ **Release Year:** 2020
8
+ **Rights:** N/A
9
+ **GARDIAN ID:** 315a8f2f973a4061e9cab18d40bebc35
10
+ **DataNODE ID:** 074de625a1fb401861c7fa3b82c16bed
11
+ **Siever ID:** d63df223-adc7-4f28-bfb2-ddf8a0cb529c
12
+ **Token Count:** 7223
13
+ **Page Count:** 0
14
+
15
+ ## Keywords
16
+
17
+ child nutrition, health, covid-19, nutrition, maternal nutrition, data quality, research, stunting, countries, chhattisgarh, assessment, components, leaders
18
+
19
+ ## Geography
20
+
21
+ - **Regions:** Southern Asia, Asia, World
22
+ - **Countries:** India
23
+
24
+ ## Description
25
+
26
+ This issue of Abstract Digest brings to you a set of interesting articles on stunting burden, drivers, and learnings from countries that have been successful in reducing stunting, including a case study on Chhattisgarh. In addition, there are studies on anthropometric data quality assessment, and a study describing the health system components required for the delivery of nutrition-specific interventions. This issue also includes studies on COVID-19 and its implications for child nutrition. In this edition, we have included a Call for Action issued by leaders of four UN agencies to protect children's right to nutrition in the face of the COVID-19 pandemic. In India, a diverse group of nutrition stakeholders have pledged their renewed Commitment to Action for supporting efforts by the government and all of society.
27
+
28
+ ## Content
29
+
30
+ 1
31
+
32
+ NO. 35 | AUGUST 2020
33
+
34
+
35
+
36
+
37
+
38
+
39
+ EDITOR’S NOTE
40
+
41
+ This issue of Abstract Digest brings to you a set of interesting articles on stunting burden, drivers,
42
+ and learnings from countries that have been successful in reducing stunting, including a case study
43
+ on Chhattisgarh. In addition, there are studies on anthropometric data quality assessment, and a
44
+ study describing the health system components required for the delivery of nutrition-specific
45
+ interventions. This issue also includes studies on COVID-19 and its implications for child nutrition.
46
+
47
+ In this edition, we have included a Call for Action issued by leaders of four UN agencies to protect
48
+ children's right to nutrition in the face of the COVID-19 pandemic. In India, a diverse group of
49
+ nutrition stakeholders have pledged their renewed Commitment to Action for supporting efforts by
50
+ the government and all of society.
51
+
52
+ We would like to highlight that we, along with 19 partners, are preparing to co-host the third India-
53
+ focused implementation research conference on “Delivering for Nutrition in India: Insights from
54
+ Implementation Research”. This virtual event will include theme-based sessions convene academics,
55
+ implementers, development partners, and policy makers from multiple institutes on a common
56
+ platform to deliberate on selected research studies and implementation experiences focused on the
57
+ core pillars of POSHAN Abhiyaan, India’s National Nutrition Mission, and platforms supporting
58
+ actions for nutrition. The conference program features 3 outstanding plenary lectures with global
59
+ and local experts, and 12 thematic sessions based on selected and poster presentations, social
60
+ hangouts and panels with policymakers and research funders. We invite our readers to REGISTER
61
+ and participate in this event.
62
+
63
+ Given below is the list of peer-reviewed articles. Please click on the title if you wish to go straight to
64
+ the article or scroll down to explore the abstract in the pages that follow.
65
+
66
+ Stay safe and enjoy reading!
67
+
68
+
69
+ List of articles in this issue
70
+
71
+ Review of the 2019 novel coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2) based on current evidence
72
+ Wang et al. 2020. International Journal of Antimicrobial Agents 55(6): 105948.
73
+
74
+ Impacts of COVID-19 on childhood malnutrition and nutrition-related mortality
75
+ Headey et al. 2020. The Lancet.
76
+
77
+ Child malnutrition and COVID-19: the time to act is now
78
+ Fore et al. 2020. The Lancet.
79
+
80
+ Stunting among Preschool Children in India: Temporal Analysis of Age-Specific Wealth Inequalities
81
+ Rajpal et al. 2020. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health 17(13): 4702.
82
+
83
+ Stunting in childhood: an overview of global burden, trends, determinants, and drivers of decline
84
+ Vaivada et al. 2020. The American Journal of Clinical Nutrition.
85
+ Abstract Digest
86
+ ISSUE 35 | AUGUST 2020
87
+ 2
88
+
89
+ ABSTRACT DIGEST
90
+
91
+ How countries can reduce child stunting at scale: lessons from exemplar countries
92
+ Bhutta et al. 2020. The American Journal of Clinical Nutrition. nqaa153.
93
+
94
+ The role of the state government, civil society and programmes across sectors in stunting
95
+ reduction in Chhattisgarh, India, 2006–2016
96
+ Kohli et al. 2020. BMJ Global Health 5(7).
97
+
98
+ Antenatal Iron-Folic Acid Supplementation Is Associated with Improved Linear Growth and
99
+ Reduced Risk of Stunting or Severe Stunting in South Asian Children Less than Two Years of Age: A
100
+ Pooled Analysis from Seven Countries
101
+ Nisar et al. 2020. Nutrients 12 (9): 10.3390/nu12092632.
102
+
103
+ The Impact of Nutrition-Specific and Nutrition-Sensitive Interventions on Hemoglobin
104
+ Concentrations and Anemia: A Meta-review of Systematic Reviews
105
+ Moorthy et al. 2020. Advances in Nutrition.
106
+
107
+ Dietary Variation among Children Meeting and Not Meeting Minimum Dietary Diversity: An
108
+ Empirical Investigation of Food Group Consumption Patterns among 73,036 Children in India
109
+ Beckerman-Hsu et al. 2020. The Journal of Nutrition nxaa223.
110
+
111
+ High Coverage and Low Utilization of the Double Fortified Salt Program in Uttar Pradesh, India:
112
+ Implications for Program Implementation and Evaluation
113
+ Cyriac et al. 2020. Current Developments in Nutrition: nzaa133.
114
+
115
+ Making the health system work for the delivery of nutrition interventions
116
+ King et al. 2020. Maternal & Child Nutrition.
117
+
118
+ Anthropometric data quality assessment in multisurvey studies of child growth
119
+ Perumal et al. 2020. The American Journal of Clinical Nutrition nqaa162.
120
+
121
+ Anthropometric data quality assessment in multisurvey studies of child growth: A comparison of
122
+ the Indian diet with the EAT-Lancet reference diet
123
+ Sharma et al. 2020. BMC Public Health 20: 812.
124
+
125
+ Building Implementation Science in Nutrition
126
+ Warren et al. 2020. Advances in Nutrition nmaa066.
127
+
128
+ Identifying spatial variation in the burden of diabetes among women across 640 districts in India: a
129
+ cross-sectional study
130
+ Singh et al. 2020. Journal of Diabetes & Metabolic Disorders.
131
+
132
+
133
+
134
+
135
+
136
+ 3
137
+
138
+ NO. 35 | AUGUST 2020
139
+ PEER-REVIEWED
140
+ Comment
141
+ Review of the 2019 novel coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2) based on current evidence
142
+ Wang, L., Y. Wang, D.Ye, and Q. Liu. 2020. “Review of the 2019 novel coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2)
143
+ based on current evidence”. International Journal of Antimicrobial Agents 55(6): 105948.
144
+ https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijantimicag.2020.105948
145
+
146
+ COVID-19, the disease caused by SARS-CoV-2, is a highly contagious disease. The World Health
147
+ Organization has declared the ongoing outbreak to be a global public health emergency. Currently,
148
+ the research on SARS-CoV-2 is in its primary stages. Based on current published evidence, this review
149
+ systematically summarizes the epidemiology, clinical characteristics, diagnosis, treatment and
150
+ prevention of COVID-19. It is hoped that this review will help the public to recognize and deal with
151
+ SARS-CoV-2, and provide a reference for future studies.
152
+
153
+ Comment
154
+ Impacts of COVID-19 on childhood malnutrition and nutrition-related mortality
155
+ Headey, D., R. Heidkamp, S. Osendarp, M. Ruel, N. Scott, R. Black, M. Shekar, H. Bouis, A. Flory, L.
156
+ Haddad, and N. Walker on behalf of the Standing Together for Nutrition consortium. 2020. “Impacts
157
+ of COVID-19 on childhood malnutrition and nutrition-related mortality”. The Lancet.
158
+ https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(20)31647-0
159
+
160
+ The Standing Together for Nutrition consortium, a multidisciplinary consortium of nutrition,
161
+ economics, food, and health systems researchers, is working to estimate the scale and reach of
162
+ nutrition challenges related to COVID-19. These efforts link three approaches to model the
163
+ combined economic and health systems impacts from COVID-19 on malnutrition and mortality:
164
+ MIRAGRODEP's macroeconomic projections of impacts on per capita gross national income (GNI);4
165
+ microeconomic estimates of how predicted GNI shocks impact child wasting using data on 1·26
166
+ million children from 177 Demographic Health Surveys (DHS) conducted in 52 LMICs between 1990–
167
+ 2018; and the Lives Saved Tool (LiST), which links country-specific health services disruptions and
168
+ predicted increases in wasting to child mortality.
169
+
170
+ Comment
171
+ Child malnutrition and COVID-19: the time to act is now
172
+ Fore, H.H., Q. Dongyu, D.M. Beasley, and T.A. Ghebreyesus. 2020. “Child malnutrition and COVID-19:
173
+ the time to act is now”. The Lancet. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(20)31648-2
174
+
175
+ The leaders of four UN agencies have issued a call for action to protect children's right to nutrition in
176
+ the face of the COVID-19 pandemic. This requires a swift response and investments from
177
+ governments, donors, the private sector, and the UN.
178
+
179
+
180
+ Stunting among Preschool Children in India: Temporal Analysis of Age-Specific Wealth Inequalities
181
+ Rajpal, S., R. Kim, W. Joe, and S.V. Subramanian. 2020. “Stunting among preschool children in India:
182
+ Temporal analysis of age-specific wealth inequalities”. International Journal of Environmental
183
+ Research and Public Health 17(13): 4702. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph17134702
184
+
185
+ Adequate nutritional intake for mothers during pregnancy and for children in the first two years of
186
+ life is known to be crucial for a child’s lifelong physical and neurodevelopment. In this regard, the
187
+ global nutrition community has focused on strategies for improving nutritional intake during the first
188
+ 1,000 day period. This is largely justified by the observed steep decline in children’s height-for-age z
189
+ scores from birth to 23 months and presumed growth faltering at later ages as a reflection of earlier
190
+ 4
191
+
192
+ ABSTRACT DIGEST
193
+ deprivation that is accumulated and irreversible. Empirical evidence on the age-stratified burden of
194
+ child undernutrition is needed to re-evaluate the appropriate age for nutrition interventions to
195
+ target among children. Using data from two successive rounds of National Family Health Surveys
196
+ conducted in 2006 and 2016, the objective of this paper was to analyze intertemporal changes in the
197
+ age-stratified burden of child stunting across socioeconomic groups in India. We found that child
198
+ stunting in India was significantly concentrated among children entering preschool age (24 or above
199
+ months). Further, the temporal reduction in stunting was relatively higher among children aged 36–
200
+ 47 months compared to younger groups (below 12 and 12–23 months). Greater socioeconomic
201
+ inequalities persisted in stunting among children from 24 months or above age-groups, and these
202
+ inequalities have increased over time. Children of preschool age (24 or above months) from
203
+ economically vulnerable households experienced larger reductions in the prevalence of stunting
204
+ between 2006 and 2016, suggesting that policy research and strategies beyond the first 1000 days
205
+ could be critical for accelerating the pace of improvement of child nutrition in India.
206
+
207
+
208
+ Stunting in childhood: an overview of global burden, trends, determinants, and drivers of decline
209
+ Vaivada, T., N. Akseer, S. Akseer, A. Somaskandan, M. Stefopulos, and Z. A. Bhutta. 2020. “Stunting
210
+ in childhood: an overview of global burden, trends, determinants, and drivers of decline.” The
211
+ American Journal of Clinical Nutrition. https://doi.org/10.1093/ajcn/nqaa159
212
+
213
+ Background: Progress has been made worldwide in reducing chronic undernutrition and rates of
214
+ linear growth stunting in children under 5 y of age, although rates still remain high in many regions.
215
+ Policies, programs, and interventions supporting maternal and child health and nutrition have the
216
+ potential to improve child growth and development. Objective: This article synthesizes the available
217
+ global evidence on the drivers of national declines in stunting prevalence and compares the relative
218
+ effect of major drivers of stunting decline between countries. Methods: We conducted a systematic
219
+ review of published peer-reviewed and gray literature analyzing the relation between changes in key
220
+ determinants of child linear growth and contemporaneous changes in linear growth outcomes over
221
+ time. Results: Among the basic determinants of stunting assessed within regression-decomposition
222
+ analyses, improvement in asset index score was a consistent and strong driver of improved linear
223
+ growth outcomes. Increased parental education was also a strong predictor of improved child
224
+ growth. Of the underlying determinants of stunting, reduced rates of open defecation, improved
225
+ sanitation infrastructure, and improved access to key maternal health services, including optimal
226
+ antenatal care and delivery in a health facility or with a skilled birth attendant, all accounted for
227
+ substantially improved child growth, although the magnitude of variation explained by each differed
228
+ substantially between countries. At the immediate level, changes in several maternal characteristics
229
+ predicted modest stunting reductions, including parity, interpregnancy interval, and maternal
230
+ height. Conclusions: Unique sets of stunting determinants predicted stunting reduction within
231
+ countries that have reduced stunting. Several common drivers emerge at the basic, underlying, and
232
+ immediate levels, including improvements in maternal and paternal education, household
233
+ socioeconomic status, sanitation conditions, maternal health services access, and family planning.
234
+ Further data collection and in-depth mixed-methods research are required to strengthen
235
+ recommendations for those countries where the stunting burden remains unacceptably high.
236
+
237
+
238
+ How countries can reduce child stunting at scale: lessons from exemplar countries
239
+ Bhutta, Z. A., N. Akseer, E. C. Keats, T. Vaivada, S. Baker, S. E. Horton, J. Katz, P. Menon, E. Piwoz, M.
240
+ Shekar, C. Victora, and R. Black. 2020. “How countries can reduce child stunting at scale: lessons
241
+ from exemplar countries”. The American Journal of Clinical Nutrition nqaa153.
242
+ https://doi.org/10.1093/ajcn/nqaa153
243
+
244
+ 5
245
+
246
+ NO. 35 | AUGUST 2020
247
+ Background: Child stunting and linear growth faltering have declined over the past few decades and
248
+ several countries have made exemplary progress. Objectives: To synthesize findings from mixed
249
+ methods studies of exemplar countries to provide guidance on how to accelerate reduction in child
250
+ stunting. Methods: We did a qualitative and quantitative synthesis of findings from existing
251
+ literature and 5 exemplar country studies (Nepal, Ethiopia, Peru, Kyrgyz Republic, Senegal).
252
+ Methodology included 4 broad research activities: 1) a series of descriptive analyses of cross-
253
+ sectional data from demographic and health surveys and multiple indicator cluster surveys; 2)
254
+ multivariable analysis of quantitative drivers of change in linear growth; 3) interviews and focus
255
+ groups with national experts and community stakeholders and mothers; and 4) a review of policy
256
+ and program evolution related to nutrition. Results: Several countries have dramatically reduced
257
+ child stunting prevalence, with or without closing geographical, economic, and other population
258
+ inequalities. Countries made progress through interventions from within and outside the health
259
+ sector, and despite significant heterogeneity and differences in context, contributions were
260
+ comparable from health and nutrition sectors (40% of change) and other sectors (50%), previously
261
+ called nutrition-specific and -sensitive strategies. Improvements in maternal education, maternal
262
+ nutrition, maternal and newborn care, and reductions in fertility/reduced interpregnancy intervals
263
+ were strong contributors to change. A roadmap to reducing child stunting at scale includes several
264
+ steps related to diagnostics, stakeholder consultations, and implementing direct and indirect
265
+ nutrition interventions related to the health sector and nonhealth sector. Conclusions: Our results
266
+ show that child stunting reduction is possible even in diverse and challenging contexts. We propose
267
+ that our framework of organizing nutrition interventions as direct/indirect and inside/outside the
268
+ health sector should be considered when mapping causal pathways of child stunting and planning
269
+ interventions and strategies to accelerate stunting reduction to achieve the 2030 Sustainable
270
+ Development Goals.
271
+
272
+
273
+ The role of the state government, civil society and programmes across sectors in stunting
274
+ reduction in Chhattisgarh, India, 2006–2016
275
+ Kohli, N., P.H. Nguyen, R. Avula, and P. Menon. 2020. “The role of the state government, civil society
276
+ and programmes across sectors in stunting reduction in Chhattisgarh, India, 2006–2016”. BMJ Global
277
+ Health 5(7). http://dx.doi.org/10.1136/bmjgh-2019-002274
278
+
279
+ Introduction: Childhood stunting has declined in India between 2006 and 2016, but not uniformly
280
+ across all states. Little is known about what helped some states accelerate progress while others did
281
+ not. Insights on subnational drivers of progress are useful not just for India but for other
282
+ decentralised policy contexts. Thus, we aimed to identify the factors that contributed to declines in
283
+ childhood stunting (from 52.9% to 37.6%) between 2006 and 2016 in the state of Chhattisgarh, a
284
+ subnational success story in stunting reduction in India. Methods: We examined time trends in
285
+ determinants of stunting using descriptive and regression decomposition analysis of National Family
286
+ Health Survey data from 2005 to 2006 and 2015–2016. We reviewed nutrition-relevant policies and
287
+ programmes associated with the drivers of change to construct a policy timeline. Finally, we
288
+ interviewed multiple stakeholders in the state to understand the changes in the drivers of
289
+ undernutrition. Results: The regression decomposition analysis shows that multiple factors explain
290
+ 66% of the change in stunting between 2006 and 2016. Improvements in three key drivers—health
291
+ and nutrition services, household assets, and sanitation and hygiene—explained 47% of the change
292
+ in stunting. A shared vision for impact, political stability and capable bureaucracy, state-level
293
+ innovations, support from development partners and civil society, and community mobilisation were
294
+ found to contribute to improvements in programmes for health, poverty and sanitation. Conclusion:
295
+ Change in multiple sectors is important for stunting reduction and can be achieved in subnational
296
+ contexts. More work lies ahead to close gaps in various determinants of stunting.
297
+
298
+ 6
299
+
300
+ ABSTRACT DIGEST
301
+
302
+ Antenatal Iron-Folic Acid Supplementation Is Associated with Improved Linear Growth and
303
+ Reduced Risk of Stunting or Severe Stunting in South Asian Children Less than Two Years of Age: A
304
+ Pooled Analysis from Seven Countries
305
+ Nisar, Y. B., V. M. Aguayo, S. M. Billah, and M. J. Dibley. 2020. “Antenatal Iron-Folic Acid
306
+ Supplementation Is Associated with Improved Linear Growth and Reduced Risk of Stunting or Severe
307
+ Stunting in South Asian Children Less than Two Years of Age: A Pooled Analysis from Seven
308
+ Countries”. Nutrients 12(9): E2632. https://doi.org/10.3390/nu12092632
309
+
310
+ In South Asia, an estimated 38% of preschool-age children have stunted growth. We aimed to assess
311
+ the effect of WHO-recommended antenatal iron, and folic acid (IFA) supplements on smaller than
312
+ average birth size and stunting in South Asian children <2 years old. The sample was 96,512 mothers
313
+ with their most recent birth within two years, from nationally representative surveys between 2005
314
+ and 2016 in seven South Asian countries. Primary outcomes were stunting [length-for-age Z-score
315
+ (LAZ) < -2], severe stunting [length-for-age Z-score (LAZ) < -3], length-for-age Z score, and perceived
316
+ smaller than average birth size. Exposure was the use of IFA supplements. We conducted analyses
317
+ with Poisson, linear and logistic multivariate regression adjusted for the cluster survey design, and
318
+ 14 potential confounders covering the country of the survey, socio-demographic factors, household
319
+ economic status, maternal characteristics, and duration of respondent recall. The prevalence of
320
+ stunting was 33%, severe stunting was 14%, and perceived smaller than average birth size was 22%.
321
+ Use of antenatal IFA was associated with a reduced adjusted risk of being stunted by 8% (aRR 0.92,
322
+ 95% CI 0.89, 0.95), of being severely stunted by 9% (aRR 0.91, 95% CI 0.86, 0.96) and of being smaller
323
+ than average birth size by 14% (aRR 0.86, 95% CI 0.80, 0.91). The adjusted mean LAZ was
324
+ significantly higher in children whose mothers used IFA supplements. Maternal use of IFA in the first
325
+ four months gestation and consuming 120 or more supplements throughout pregnancy was
326
+ associated with the largest reduction in risk of child stunting. Antenatal IFA supplementation was
327
+ associated with a significantly reduced risk of stunting, severe stunting, and smaller than average
328
+ perceived birth size and improved LAZ in young South Asian children. The early and sustained use of
329
+ antenatal IFA has the potential to improve child growth outcomes in South Asia and other low-and-
330
+ middle-income countries with high levels of iron deficiency in pregnancy.
331
+
332
+
333
+ The Impact of Nutrition-Specific and Nutrition-Sensitive Interventions on Hemoglobin
334
+ Concentrations and Anemia: A Meta-review of Systematic Reviews
335
+ Moorthy, D., R. Merrill, S. Namaste, and L. Iannotti. 2020. “The Impact of Nutrition-Specific and
336
+ Nutrition-Sensitive Interventions on Hemoglobin Concentrations and Anemia: A Meta-review of
337
+ Systematic Reviews”. Advances in Nutrition: nmaa070. https://doi.org/10.1093/advances/nmaa070
338
+
339
+ Anemia is a multifactorial condition arising from inadequate nutrition, infection, chronic disease, and
340
+ genetic-related etiologies. Our aim was to assess the impact of nutrition-sensitive and nutrition-
341
+ specific interventions on hemoglobin (Hb) concentrations and anemia to inform the prioritization
342
+ and scale-up of interventions to address the multiple causes of anemia. We performed a meta-
343
+ review synthesis of information by searching multiple databases for reviews published between
344
+ 1990 and 2017 and used standard methods for conducting a meta-review of reviews, including
345
+ double independent screening, extraction, and quality assessment. Quantitative pooling and
346
+ narrative syntheses were used to summarize information. Hb concentration and anemia outcomes
347
+ were pooled in specific population groups (children aged <5 y, school-age children, and pregnant
348
+ women). Methodological quality of the systematic reviews was assessed using Assessing the
349
+ Methodological Quality of Systematic Reviews (AMSTAR) criteria. Of the 15,444 records screened,
350
+ we identified 118 systematic reviews that met inclusion criteria. Reviews focused on nutrition-
351
+ specific interventions (96%). Daily and intermittent iron supplementation, micronutrient powders,
352
+ 7
353
+
354
+ NO. 35 | AUGUST 2020
355
+ malaria treatment, use of insecticide-treated nets (ITNs), and delayed cord clamping were associated
356
+ with increased Hb concentration in children aged <5 y. Among children older than 5 y, daily and
357
+ intermittent iron supplementation and deworming, and in pregnant women, daily iron-folic acid
358
+ supplementation, use of ITNs, and delayed cord clamping, were associated with increased Hb
359
+ concentration. Similar results were obtained for the reduced risk of anemia outcome. This meta-
360
+ review suggests the importance of nutrition-specific interventions for anemia and highlights the lack
361
+ of evidence to understand the influence of nutrition-sensitive and multifaceted interventions on the
362
+ condition.
363
+
364
+
365
+ Dietary Variation among Children Meeting and Not Meeting Minimum Dietary Diversity: An
366
+ Empirical Investigation of Food Group Consumption Patterns among 73,036 Children in India
367
+ Beckerman-Hsu, J. P., R. Kim, S. Sharma, and S. V. Subramanian. 2020. “Dietary Variation among
368
+ Children Meeting and Not Meeting Minimum Dietary Diversity: An Empirical Investigation of Food
369
+ Group Consumption Patterns among 73,036 Children in India”. The Journal of Nutrition nxaa223.
370
+ https://doi.org/10.1093/jn/nxaa223
371
+
372
+ Background: Minimum Dietary Diversity (MDD) is a widely used indicator of adequate dietary
373
+ micronutrient density for children 6–23 mo old. MDD food-group data remain underutilized, despite
374
+ their potential for further informing nutrition programs and policies. Objectives: We aimed to
375
+ describe the diets of children meeting MDD and not meeting MDD in India using food group data,
376
+ nationally and subnationally. Methods: Food group data for children 6–23 mo old (n = 73,036) from
377
+ the 2015–16 National Family Health Survey in India were analyzed. Per WHO standards, children
378
+ consuming ≥5 of the following food groups in the past day or night met MDD: breast milk; grains,
379
+ roots, or tubers; legumes or nuts; dairy; flesh foods; eggs; vitamin A–rich fruits and vegetables; and
380
+ other fruits and vegetables. Children not meeting MDD consumed <5 food groups. We analyzed the
381
+ number and types of foods consumed by children meeting MDD and not meeting MDD at the
382
+ national and subnational geographic levels. Results: Nationally, children not meeting MDD most
383
+ often consumed breast milk (84.5%), grains, roots, and tubers (62.0%), and/or dairy (42.9%).
384
+ Children meeting MDD most often consumed grains, roots, and tubers (97.6%), vitamin A–rich fruits
385
+ and vegetables (93.8%), breast milk (84.1%), dairy (82.1%), other fruits and vegetables (79.5%),
386
+ and/or eggs (56.5%). For children not meeting MDD, district-level dairy consumption varied the most
387
+ (6.4%–79.9%), whereas flesh foods consumption varied the least (0.0%–43.8%). For children meeting
388
+ MDD, district-level egg consumption varied the most (0.0%–100.0%), whereas grains, roots, and
389
+ tubers consumption varied the least (66.8%–100.0%). Conclusions: Children not meeting MDD had
390
+ low fruit, vegetable, and protein-rich food consumption. Many children meeting MDD also had low
391
+ protein-rich food consumption. Examining the number and types of foods consumed highlights
392
+ priorities for children experiencing the greatest dietary deprivation, providing valuable
393
+ complementary information to MDD.
394
+
395
+
396
+ High Coverage and Low Utilization of the Double Fortified Salt Program in Uttar Pradesh, India:
397
+ Implications for Program Implementation and Evaluation
398
+ Cyriac, S., R. Haardörfer, L. M. Neufeld, A. W. Girard, U. Ramakrishnan, R. Martorell, and M. N. N.
399
+ Mbuya. 2020. “High Coverage and Low Utilization of the Double Fortified Salt Program in Uttar
400
+ Pradesh, India: Implications for Program Implementation and Evaluation”. Current Developments in
401
+ Nutrition: nzaa133. https://doi.org/10.1093/cdn/nzaa133
402
+
403
+ Background: Double Fortified Salt (DFS) is efficacious in addressing iron deficiency, but evidence of
404
+ its effectiveness is limited. The few published evaluations do not include details on program
405
+ implementation, limiting their utility for programmatic decisions. Objective: We sought to
406
+ 8
407
+
408
+ ABSTRACT DIGEST
409
+ characterize the coverage of a DFS program implemented through the Public Distribution System
410
+ (PDS) in Uttar Pradesh (UP), India, and understand the drivers of DFS adherence. Methods: After
411
+ eight months of implementation, we surveyed 1202 households in five districts and collected data
412
+ on sociodemographic characteristics, asset ownership, food security and regular PDS utilization. We
413
+ defined ‘DFS program coverage’ as the proportion of PDS beneficiaries who had heard of and
414
+ purchased DFS, and ‘DFS adherence’ as DFS use reported by households. We used principal
415
+ components analysis to create an asset-based index of relative wealth, and categorized households
416
+ into higher/lower relative wealth quintiles. We conducted path analyses to examine the drivers of
417
+ DFS adherence, particularly the mediated influence of household wealth on DFS adherence. The
418
+ evaluation is registered at RIDIE‐STUDY‐ID‐58f6eeb45c050. Results: The DFS program had good
419
+ coverage – 83% respondents had heard of DFS, 74% had purchased it at least once and yet, only 23%
420
+ exclusively used DFS. Respondents had low awareness about DFS benefits and considered DFS
421
+ quality as poor. Being in a lower household wealth quintile and being food insecure were significant
422
+ drivers of DFS adherence and regular PDS utilization acted as a mediator. Adherence was lower in
423
+ urban areas. Conclusions: We observed significant heterogeneity in DFS implementation as reflected
424
+ by high coverage and low adherence. Learnings from this process evaluation informed the design of
425
+ an adaptive impact evaluation, and provided generalizable insights for ensuring the potential for
426
+ impact is realized. Efforts are needed to increase awareness, improve product quality as well as
427
+ mitigate against the sensory challenges identified.
428
+
429
+
430
+ Making the health system work for the delivery of nutrition interventions
431
+ King, S. E., T. Sawadogo‐Lewis, R. E. Black, and T. Roberton. 2020. “Making the health system work
432
+ for the delivery of nutrition interventions”. Maternal & Child Nutrition.
433
+ https://doi.org/10.1111/mcn.13056.
434
+
435
+ Addressing malnutrition requires strategies that are comprehensive and multi‐sectoral. Within a
436
+ multi‐sectoral approach, the health system is essential to deliver 10 nutrition‐specific interventions,
437
+ which, if scaled up, could substantially reduce under‐5 deaths in high‐burden countries through
438
+ improving maternal and child undernutrition. This study identifies the health system components
439
+ required for the effective delivery of these interventions, highlighting opportunities and challenges
440
+ for nutrition programmes and policies. We reviewed implementation guidance for each nutrition‐
441
+ specific intervention, mapping the delivery process for each intervention and determining the health
442
+ system components required for their delivery. We integrated the components into a single health
443
+ systems framework for nutrition, illustrating the pathways by which health system components
444
+ influence household‐level determinants of nutrition and individual‐level health outcomes. Nutrition‐
445
+ specific interventions are typically delivered in one of four ways: (i) when nutrition interventions are
446
+ intentionally sought out, (ii) when care is sought for other, unrelated interventions, (iii) at a health
447
+ facility after active community case finding and referral, and (iv) in the community after active
448
+ community case finding. A health system enables these processes by providing health services and
449
+ facilitating care seeking for services, which together require a skilled and motivated health
450
+ workforce, an effective supply chain, demand for services and access to services. The nutrition
451
+ community should consider the processes by which nutrition‐specific interventions are delivered
452
+ and the health system components required for their success. Programmes should encourage the
453
+ delivery of nutrition interventions at every client–provider interaction and should actively generate
454
+ demand for services—in general, and for nutrition services specifically.
455
+
456
+ Anthropometric data quality assessment in multisurvey studies of child growth
457
+ Perumal, N., S. Namaste, H. Qamar, A. Aimone, D.G. Bassani, and D.E. Roth. 2020. “Anthropometric
458
+ data quality assessment in multisurvey studies of child growth”. The American Journal of Clinical
459
+ Nutrition. Doi: nqaa162. https://doi.org/10.1093/ajcn/nqaa162
460
+ 9
461
+
462
+ NO. 35 | AUGUST 2020
463
+
464
+ Background: Population-based surveys collect crucial data on anthropometric measures to track
465
+ trends in stunting [height-for-age z score (HAZ) < −2SD] and wasting [weight-for-height z score
466
+ (WHZ) < −2SD] prevalence among young children globally. However, the quality of the
467
+ anthropometric data varies between surveys, which may affect population-based estimates of
468
+ malnutrition. Objectives: We aimed to develop composite indices of anthropometric data quality for
469
+ use in multisurvey analysis of child health and nutritional status. Methods: We used anthropometric
470
+ data for children 0–59 mo of age from all publicly available Demographic and Health Surveys (DHS)
471
+ from 2000 onwards. We derived 6 indicators of anthropometric data quality at the survey level,
472
+ including 1) date of birth completeness, 2) anthropometric measure completeness, 3) digit
473
+ preference for height and age, 4) difference in mean HAZ by month of birth, 5) proportion of
474
+ biologically implausible values, and 6) dispersion of HAZ and WHZ distribution. Principal component
475
+ factor analysis was used to generate a composite index of anthropometric data quality for HAZ and
476
+ WHZ separately. Surveys were ranked from the highest (best) to the lowest (worst) index values in
477
+ anthropometric quality across countries and over time. Results: Of the 145 DHS included, the
478
+ majority (83 of 145; 57%) were conducted in Sub-Saharan Africa. Surveys were ranked from highest
479
+ to lowest anthropometric data quality relative to other surveys using the composite index for HAZ.
480
+ Although slightly higher values in recent DHS suggest potential improvements in anthropometric
481
+ data quality over time, there continues to be substantial heterogeneity in the quality of
482
+ anthropometric data across surveys. Results were similar for the WHZ data quality index.
483
+ Conclusions: A composite index of anthropometric data quality using a parsimonious set of
484
+ individual indicators can effectively discriminate among surveys with excellent and poor data quality.
485
+ These index can be used to account for variations in anthropometric data quality in multisurvey
486
+ epidemiologic analyses of child health.
487
+
488
+
489
+ Anthropometric data quality assessment in multisurvey studies of child growth: A comparison of
490
+ the Indian diet with the EAT-Lancet reference diet
491
+ Sharma, M., A. Kishore, D. Roy, and K. Joshi. 2020. “A comparison of the Indian diet with the EAT-
492
+ Lancet reference diet”. BMC Public Health 20: 812. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12889-020-08951-8
493
+
494
+ Background: The 2019 EAT-Lancet Commission report recommends healthy diets that can feed 10
495
+ billion people by 2050 from environmentally sustainable food systems. This study compares food
496
+ consumption patterns in India, from different income groups, regions and sectors (rural/urban), with
497
+ the EAT-Lancet reference diet and highlights the deviations. Methods: The analysis was done using
498
+ data from the Consumption Expenditure Survey (CES) of a nationally representative sample of 0.102
499
+ million households from 7469 villages and 5268 urban blocks of India conducted by the National
500
+ Sample Survey Organization (NSSO) in 2011–12. This is the most recent nationally representative
501
+ data on household consumption in India. Calorie consumption (kcal/capita/day) of each food group
502
+ was calculated using the quantity of consumption from the data and nutritional values of food items
503
+ provided by NSSO. Diets for rural and urban, poor and rich households across different regions were
504
+ compared with EAT-Lancet reference diet. Results: The average daily calorie consumption in India is
505
+ below the recommended 2503 kcal/capita/day across all groups compared, except for the richest 5%
506
+ of the population. Calorie share of whole grains is significantly higher than the EAT-Lancet
507
+ recommendations while those of fruits, vegetables, legumes, meat, fish and eggs are significantly
508
+ lower. The share of calories from protein sources is only 6–8% in India compared to 29% in the
509
+ reference diet. The imbalance is highest for the households in the lowest decile of consumption
510
+ expenditure, but even the richest households in India do not consume adequate amounts of fruits,
511
+ vegetables and non-cereal proteins in their diets. An average Indian household consumes more
512
+ calories from processed foods than fruits. Conclusions: Indian diets, across states and income
513
+ groups, are unhealthy. Indians also consume excess amounts of cereals and not enough proteins,
514
+ 10
515
+
516
+ ABSTRACT DIGEST
517
+ fruits, and vegetables. Importantly, unlike many countries, excess consumption of animal protein is
518
+ not a problem in India. Indian policymakers need to accelerate food-system-wide efforts to make
519
+ healthier and sustainable diets more affordable, accessible and acceptable.
520
+
521
+
522
+ Building Implementation Science in Nutrition
523
+ Warren, A.M., E.A. Frongillo, and R. Rawat. 2020. “Building Implementation Science in Nutrition”.
524
+ Advances in Nutrition. Doi: nmaa066. https://doi.org/10.1093/advances/nmaa066
525
+
526
+ The field of nutrition has been investing in the development of many nutrition-specific and -sensitive
527
+ policies and programs aimed at improving population-level malnutrition in all its forms. When there
528
+ is a need to learn about a new system, programmatic context, or target population to understand
529
+ how to effectively deploy an intervention to help improve nutrition, it is important to be able to ask
530
+ a broad range of questions, both in topic and in scope. Our aim is to provide a simple and
531
+ conceptually clear definition and principles to elaborate the science of implementation for nutrition
532
+ to distinguish it from other ways of knowing and learning and to serve as a guide to the articulation
533
+ of implementation science questions and methods. Implementation science is a body of
534
+ systematized knowledge about how to improve implementation that 1) is distinguished by its aims
535
+ to learn about the process of implementation, 2) uses methods that derive from and fit with the
536
+ aims, and 3) is built with tacit (as well as expert) knowledge and experiential learning.
537
+ Implementation science aims to generate the learning needed to improve implementation through
538
+ facilitating collaboration among stakeholders to articulate and pursue the aims; capturing and using
539
+ tacit knowledge and experiential learning from stakeholders, systems, providers, and recipients; and
540
+ applying a mix of methods suited to the aims. This elaboration of the science provides a simple way
541
+ to help those who already do, or want to do, implementation science understand and communicate
542
+ how this science is unique and the value that it adds to the current landscape of nutrition priorities,
543
+ innovations, and the attendant complex learning needs that follow. Implementation science
544
+ encompasses both discovery- and mission-oriented research, and centers implementation as the
545
+ object of study for the purposes of broad-based learning.
546
+
547
+
548
+ Identifying spatial variation in the burden of diabetes among women across 640 districts in India: a
549
+ cross-sectional study
550
+ Singh, S., P. Puri, and S.V. Subramanian. 2020. “Identifying spatial variation in the burden of diabetes
551
+ among women across 640 districts in India- a cross-sectional study”. Journal of Diabetes & Metabolic
552
+ Disorders. https://doi.org/10.1007/s40200-020-00545-w
553
+
554
+ Purpose: Diabetes is one of the leading causes of mortality and morbidity among women in India.
555
+ The burden of diabetes among women was found to increase with age and exposure to the post-
556
+ partum period. The present study examines the spatial variation in the prevalence of diabetes
557
+ among women in the late reproductive age-group of 35–49 years across 640 districts in India.
558
+ Methods: The study utilized data from the recent round of the National Family Health Survey, 2015–
559
+ 16. Age-standardized prevalence rates were calculated, followed by an examination of economic
560
+ inequality using the poor-rich-ratio (PRR) and Wagstaff’s concentration index. Spatial variation in the
561
+ prevalence of diabetes was explored with a series of quantile maps, univariate, and bivariate LISA
562
+ cluster maps. Further, to explore the district-level diabetes prevalence among women in the
563
+ country, Ordinary Least Square and Spatial Autoregressive (SAR) models were used. Results: The
564
+ study findings affirm the presence of spatial clustering in the burden of diabetes among women. The
565
+ burden is relatively higher among women from the Southern and Eastern parts of the country.
566
+ Findings establish obesity, hypertension, and living in urban areas as major correlates of diabetes.
567
+ Conclusion: Program with an aim to lower the intensity of community-based prevalence of diabetes,
568
+ 11
569
+
570
+ NO. 35 | AUGUST 2020
571
+ especially among women in their late reproductive ages, should adopt differential approaches across
572
+ different states/districts in the context of their lifestyle, dietary pattern, working pattern, and other
573
+ socio-cultural practices.
574
+
575
+ NON-PEER REVIEWED
576
+
577
+ Visit POSHAN website to explore issues of our COVID-19 Nutrition Digest – a collection of recently
578
+ published peer- and non-peer-reviewed resources, including research articles blogposts, opinion
579
+ pieces etc. These are collated from various sources, and analyze the impacts of COVID-19 pandemic
580
+ on the outcomes, determinants and coverage of interventions related to maternal and child
581
+ nutrition.
582
+ • COVID-19 Nutrition Digest (Aug 2020) - http://poshan.ifpri.info/2020/08/11/covid-19-
583
+ nutrition-digest-august-2020/
584
+ • COVID-19 Nutrition Digest (July 2020) - http://poshan.ifpri.info/2020/07/20/covid-19-
585
+ nutrition-digest-july-2020/
586
+ • COVID-19 Nutrition Digest (June 2020) - http://poshan.ifpri.info/2020/06/05/covid-19-
587
+ nutrition-digest-june-2020/
588
+ • COVID-19 Nutrition Digest (May 2020) - http://poshan.ifpri.info/2020/05/21/covid-19-
589
+ nutrition-digest-may-2020/
590
+
591
+
592
+ POSHAN COVID-19 Monitoring Report
593
+ UNICEF, IIT-B, IFPRI, World Food Programme and the World Bank. 2020. POSHAN COVID-19
594
+ Monitoring Report. New Delhi, UNICEF India. https://poshancovid19.in/Monitoring.html
595
+
596
+ The POSHAN COVID-19 Monitoring Report presents all relevant data to monitor the effects of
597
+ COVID-19 on nutrition/food security across both the most populous states affected by both the
598
+ pandemic and those with the largest burden of malnutrition. The purpose is to present available
599
+ data to policy makers and programme managers to strengthen the public health nutrition response
600
+ during the COVID-19 crisis. It is informed by various development partners working in the area of
601
+ food and nutrition security and compiled by UNICEF, IIT-B, IFPRI, World Food Programme and the
602
+ World Bank.
603
+
604
+
605
+ POSHAN COVID-19 Resources
606
+ UNICEF India. 2020. POSHAN COVID-19 Resources. New Delhi, UNICEF India.
607
+ https://poshancovid19.in/Resources.html
608
+
609
+ It is an online repository of government circulars, national and international guidelines and technical
610
+ documents on programming during the COVID-19 Pandemic. This compilation focuses on nutrition,
611
+ food security, early childhood development and related issues. The central and state-level policies
612
+ issued since the start of the COVID-19 outbreak, including those on the continuity of essential
613
+ services are provided.
614
+
615
+
616
+ Prevention, Early Detection and Treatment of Wasting in Children 0-59 Months through National
617
+ Health Systems in the Context of COVID-19
618
+ Prevention, Early Detection and Treatment of Wasting in Children 0-59 Months
619
+ through National Health Systems in the Context of COVID-19. United Nations Children’s Fund and
620
+ World Health Organization, New York, 2020.
621
+ 12
622
+
623
+ ABSTRACT DIGEST
624
+ https://aa9276f9-f487-45a2-a3e7-
625
+ 8f4a61a0745d.usrfiles.com/ugd/aa9276_f8ae809af929450780f08c98793badf5.pdf
626
+
627
+ This document serves as a tool for implementing the recommendations reflected in existing WHO
628
+ and UNICEF guidance on the delivery of services through national health systems for the prevention,
629
+ early detection and treatment of child wasting in the context of COVID-19. This note reflects broad
630
+ guidance for all levels of the health system, including community health services that offer
631
+ prevention, early detection and treatment services for child wasting. WHO and UNICEF recognize
632
+ that context-specific adaptations to these recommendations will be necessary depending on
633
+ transmission levels, population mobility restrictions, resources, and other national public health
634
+ measures to respond to and mitigate the effects of the pandemic across different countries. This
635
+ note therefore offers specific examples of programmatic changes or adaptations that may be
636
+ temporarily introduced to ensure the continuity and safety of prevention and treatment services.
637
+
638
+
639
+ The State of Food Security and Nutrition in the World 2020: Transforming food systems for
640
+ affordable healthy diets
641
+ FAO, IFAD, UNICEF, WFP and WHO. 2020. The State of Food Security and Nutrition in the World 2020.
642
+ Transforming food systems for affordable healthy diets. Rome, FAO.
643
+ https://doi.org/10.4060/ca9692en
644
+
645
+ Updates for many countries have made it possible to estimate hunger in the world with greater
646
+ accuracy this year. In particular, newly accessible data enabled the revision of the entire series of
647
+ undernourishment estimates for China back to 2000, resulting in a substantial downward shift of the
648
+ series of the number of undernourished in the world. Nevertheless, the revision confirms the trend
649
+ reported in past editions: the number of people affected by hunger globally has been slowly on the
650
+ rise since 2014. The report also shows that the burden of malnutrition in all its forms continues to be
651
+ a challenge. There has been some progress for child stunting, low birthweight and exclusive
652
+ breastfeeding, but at a pace that is still too slow. Childhood overweight is not improving and adult
653
+ obesity is on the rise in all regions.
654
+ The report complements the usual assessment of food security and nutrition with projections of
655
+ what the world may look like in 2030, if trends of the last decade continue. Projections show that
656
+ the world is not on track to achieve Zero Hunger by 2030 and, despite some progress, most
657
+ indicators are also not on track to meet global nutrition targets. The food security and nutritional
658
+ status of the most vulnerable population groups is likely to deteriorate further due to the health and
659
+ socio economic impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic.
660
+
661
+
662
+ Improving Young Children’s Diets (June 2020)
663
+ Nutrition Exchange (NEX) South Asia. 2020. Improving Young Children’s Diets. ENN & UNICEF.
664
+ https://mcusercontent.com/fb1d9aabd6c823bef179830e9/files/15066773-a82a-4c88-963c-
665
+ 719f647c1b7f/2020_ENN_and_UNICEF_NEX_South_Asia_on_improving_young_children_s_diets.pdf
666
+
667
+ The South Asia region continues to bear the highest burden of child malnutrition in the world, with
668
+ significant implications for global progress. As with the first issue, this issue follows on from a
669
+ regional conference, convened by SAARC (the South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation) and
670
+ UNICEF (United Nations Children’s Fund) on ‘Stop Stunting: Improving Young Children’s Diets in
671
+ South Asia’ in 2019 in Nepal. Poor complementary feeding practices are associated with high rates of
672
+ child malnutrition in the South Asia region and it is vital therefore to understand how related
673
+ national policies and programmes are being designed and implemented and share the lessons
674
+ learned. Through a partnership with UNICEF’s Regional Office for South Asia (ROSA), we have
675
+ 13
676
+
677
+ NO. 35 | AUGUST 2020
678
+ worked closely with a range of authors to support the development of nine articles from six
679
+ countries – Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Bhutan, India, Nepal and Pakistan – as well as an overview
680
+ from UNICEF ROSA and a regional perspective on tackling the double burden of malnutrition.
681
+
682
+
683
+ Marketing of breast-milk substitutes: National implementation of the International Code
684
+ (Status report 2020)
685
+ Marketing of breast-milk substitutes: national implementation of the international code, status
686
+ report 2020. Geneva: World Health Organization; 2020. Licence: CC BY-NC-SA 3.0 IGO.
687
+ https://www.unicef.org/sites/default/files/2020-05/Marketing-of-breast-milk-substitutes-status-
688
+ report-2020.pdf
689
+
690
+ Despite efforts to stop the harmful promotion of breast-milk substitutes, countries are still falling
691
+ short in protecting parents from misleading information. The report, produced by WHO, UNICEF and
692
+ the International Baby Food Action Network (IBFAN), provides an update on the status of
693
+ implementing the International Code of Marketing of Breast-milk Substitutes and subsequent
694
+ relevant World Health Assembly (WHA) resolutions (“the Code'”) in countries.
695
+ Of the 194 countries analysed, 136 have in place some form of legal measure related to "the Code".
696
+ However, the legal restrictions in most counties do not fully cover marketing that occurs in health
697
+ facilities. Only 79 countries prohibit the promotion of breast-milk substitutes in health facilities.
698
+ Given the important role of health workers in protecting pregnant women, mothers and their infants
699
+ from inappropriate promotion of breast-milk substitutes, the 2020 report provides an extensive
700
+ analysis of legal measures taken to prohibit promotion of breast-milk substitutes.
701
+
702
+
703
+ Cost-Benefit Analyses of Nutrition Interventions in India’s Policy Framework
704
+ Kumar, A., and W. Joe. 2020. “Cost-Benefit Analyses of Nutrition Interventions in India’s Policy
705
+ Framework”. 2020. IEG working paper no. 406. Population Research Centre, Institute of Economic
706
+ Growth, Delhi.
707
+ http://www.iegindia.org/upload/profile_publication/doc-190820_174628wp406.pdf
708
+
709
+ The Government of India has launched several important nutrition and health programmes and
710
+ interventions. This study is an attempt to estimate the costs and benefits accruing from the
711
+ implementation of the national interventions. The benefits are measured in terms of the number of
712
+ years of life saved due to decreased child mortality and valued at 3 times the value of GDP/capita.
713
+ Benefits also include the value of avoiding a brief period of life spent living with the disability arising
714
+ from nutrition related illness. Productivity benefits for those who avoid stunting have also been
715
+ estimated. Three alternate scenarios have been created on the basis of specific nutrition based
716
+ interventions which include counselling for behaviour change, supplementary food and an overall
717
+ package consisting of both the interventions. Estimated benefits for India from the overall package
718
+ at 3 times the value of per capita GDP and discounted at 3% are approximately $3070 and estimated
719
+ costs are approximately $159, resulting in a benefit/cost ratio of approximately 19.4. Every dollar
720
+ spent on nutrition can yield benefits of more than 19 dollars. To conclude, the coverage of nutrition-
721
+ based interventions for mothers is not the problem, but the low utilization poses a challenge. On the
722
+ other hand, the interventions for children need to be scaled up. Promotion and provision of timely
723
+ and appropriate complementary feeding practices can improve the health outcomes among
724
+ both women and children.
725
+
726
+
727
+
728
+
729
+ 14
730
+
731
+ ABSTRACT DIGEST
732
+ UPCOMING EVENTS & DEADLINES
733
+
734
+ Delivering for Nutrition in India: Insights from Implementation Research
735
+ When: September 14-18, 2020
736
+ Where: Virtual event
737
+ Registration open
738
+ For more information: http://poshan.ifpri.info/delivering-for-nutrition-in-india-insights-from-
739
+ implementation-research/
740
+
741
+
742
+ European Society Of Clinical Nutrition And Metabolism 42nd Congress 2020 (ESPEN 2020)
743
+ When: September 19-21, 2020
744
+ Where: Virtual event
745
+ For more information: https://espencongress.com/
746
+
747
+
748
+
749
+
750
+
751
+
752
+
753
+
754
+
755
+ Issue 19 December 2017
756
+
757
+
758
+
759
+
760
+
761
+
762
+
763
+
764
+
765
+
766
+
767
+
768
+ ABOUT POSHAN
769
+ Partnerships and Opportunities to Strengthen and Harmonize Actions for Nutrition in India (POSHAN) is a multi-year initiative that aims to build evidence on effective
770
+ actions for nutrition and support the use of evidence in decision-making. It is supported by the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation and led by IFPRI in India.
771
+
772
+ ABOUT ABSTRACT DIGEST
773
+ In each issue, the POSHAN Abstract Digest brings you some of the new and noteworthy studies on maternal and child nutrition. It focuses on India-specific studies and
774
+ also brings to you other relevant global or regional literature with broader implications for maternal and child nutrition. The Abstract Digest is based on literature searches
775
+ to identify selected studies that we think are most relevant to nutrition issues in India and to Indian programs and policies. We share with you a collection of abstracts
776
+ from articles published in peer-reviewed journals, as well as selected non-peer-reviewed articles by researchers in reputed academic and/or research institutions and
777
+ which demonstrated rigor in their research objectives, methodology, and analysis. The abstracts in this document are reproduced in their original form from their source,
778
+ and without editorial commentary about specific articles.
779
+
780
+ CONTACT US
781
+ Email us at IFPRI-POSHAN@cgiar.org
782
+ IFPRI-NEW DELHI
783
+ INTERNATIONAL FOOD POLICY RESEARCH INSTITUTE
784
+ NASC Complex, CG Block, Dev Prakash Shastri Road, Pusa, New Delhi 110012, India
785
+ T +91.11.66166565; F +91.11.66781699
786
+ http://poshan.ifpri.info/
787
+ IFPRI-HEADQUARTERS
788
+ INTERNATIONAL FOOD POLICY RESEARCH INSTITUTE
789
+ 2033 K Street, NW, Washington, DC 20006-1002 USA
790
+ T. +1.202.862.5600 F. +1.202.467.4439
791
+ Skype: IFPRIhomeoffice; Email: ifpri@cgiar.org
792
+ www.ifpri.org
793
+
794
+ This publication has been prepared by POSHAN with research assistance from Pratima Mathews, IFPRI, and has not been peer reviewed. Any opinions stated herein are
795
+ those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the policies of the International Food Policy Research Institute. Please contact Dr. Rasmi Avula for any questions.
796
+
797
+ Copyright © 2020 International Food Policy Research Institute. All rights reserved. For permission to republish, contact ifpri-copyright@cgiar.org.
798
+
data/part_2/0198361654.md ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,25 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ # 2015 Global Nutrition Report
2
+
3
+ **Source:** gardian_index
4
+ **URL:** https://cgspace.cgiar.org/rest/bitstreams/252290be-7796-4ea4-a647-b169baeebef9/retrieve
5
+ **Language:** English
6
+ **Resource Type:** Poster / Presentation
7
+ **Release Year:** 2015
8
+ **Rights:** N/A
9
+ **GARDIAN ID:** 7f2372a9d3c8ab0c96c58db2a947f754
10
+ **DataNODE ID:** 91c4e1c8c7b34c6c8293e6cc2ded2d53
11
+ **Siever ID:** 1e8ee609-eb04-452d-b08d-a59cf042a538
12
+ **Token Count:** 23
13
+ **Page Count:** 0
14
+
15
+ ## Keywords
16
+
17
+ nutrition, report, new york
18
+
19
+ ## Description
20
+
21
+ Presentation by IFPRI senior researcher Lawrence Haddad at 2015 Global Nutrition Report launch event held in New York City on September 22, 2015
22
+
23
+ ## Content
24
+
25
+ Presentation by IFPRI senior researcher Lawrence Haddad at 2015 Global Nutrition Report launch event held in New York City on September 22, 2015
data/part_2/0204770465.md ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,42 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ # ASTI Zimbabwe database
2
+
3
+ **Source:** gardian_index
4
+ **URL:**
5
+ **Language:** English
6
+ **Resource Type:** Dataset / Tabular
7
+ **Release Year:** 2014
8
+ **Rights:** CC0
9
+ **GARDIAN ID:** 7e5f0b70681501d27b21a39344ff7174
10
+ **DataNODE ID:** 4b2cb370d02aa179c0d17828ee6ba906
11
+ **Siever ID:** 77634499-169a-43ad-8465-4d98d4387deb
12
+ **Token Count:** 146
13
+ **Page Count:** 0
14
+
15
+ ## Keywords
16
+
17
+ zimbabwe, southern africa, africa south of sahara, africa, agricultural research, research and development, higher education, data collection, data, resources, information, research
18
+
19
+ ## Geography
20
+
21
+ - **Regions:** Eastern Africa, Sub-Saharan Africa, Africa, World
22
+ - **Countries:** Zimbabwe
23
+
24
+ ## Description
25
+
26
+ This dataset contains national-level data on financial, human, and institutional resources for agricultural research and development (R&D).
27
+ </br>
28
+ </br>
29
+ Accurate, reliable, and internationally comparable quantitative information on investments, human capacity, and the institutional structure of agricultural R&D is fundamental to understanding the contribution of research to agricultural growth in low- and middle-income countries. Providing such data is the mission of IFPRI’s Agricultural Science and Technology Indicators (ASTI) program. Through its large network of national, regional, and international partners, ASTI collects and analyzes data from government, higher education, nonprofit, and (where possible) private-sector agencies involved in agricultural R&D. The program conducts ongoing analysis of these datasets; disseminates the results of this analysis to promote advocacy and support policymaking; and builds national and regional capacity for data collection and analysis.<b><i>This data was collected in 2014 and made it to Dataverse in 2015.</i></b>
30
+ </br>
31
+ </br>
32
+ <Strong><u>Data File</u></strong>: <a href="http://www.asti.cgiar.org/zimbabwe">http://www.asti.cgiar.org/zimbabwe</a>
33
+
34
+ ## Content
35
+
36
+ This dataset contains national-level data on financial, human, and institutional resources for agricultural research and development (R&D).
37
+ </br>
38
+ </br>
39
+ Accurate, reliable, and internationally comparable quantitative information on investments, human capacity, and the institutional structure of agricultural R&D is fundamental to understanding the contribution of research to agricultural growth in low- and middle-income countries. Providing such data is the mission of IFPRI’s Agricultural Science and Technology Indicators (ASTI) program. Through its large network of national, regional, and international partners, ASTI collects and analyzes data from government, higher education, nonprofit, and (where possible) private-sector agencies involved in agricultural R&D. The program conducts ongoing analysis of these datasets; disseminates the results of this analysis to promote advocacy and support policymaking; and builds national and regional capacity for data collection and analysis.<b><i>This data was collected in 2014 and made it to Dataverse in 2015.</i></b>
40
+ </br>
41
+ </br>
42
+ <Strong><u>Data File</u></strong>: <a href="http://www.asti.cgiar.org/zimbabwe">http://www.asti.cgiar.org/zimbabwe</a>
data/part_2/0219925334.md ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,320 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ # Using participatory learning and action to empower women’s groups to improve feeding practices in Madhya Pradesh
2
+
3
+ **Source:** gardian_index
4
+ **URL:** https://cgspace.cgiar.org/rest/bitstreams/58e35d2b-d8da-4164-8360-2fed3d42a02e/retrieve
5
+ **Language:** English
6
+ **Resource Type:** Brief
7
+ **Release Year:** 2015
8
+ **Rights:** N/A
9
+ **GARDIAN ID:** ce41ac3754a0713eceda8822616a6262
10
+ **DataNODE ID:** ed76fce69d17955aae996ac91627643f
11
+ **Siever ID:** 50b8d282-696c-4955-9b4d-cda2b3f3e70d
12
+ **Token Count:** 1748
13
+ **Page Count:** 0
14
+
15
+ ## Keywords
16
+
17
+ gender, undernutrition, nutrition policies, malnutrition, nutrition, children, food security, capacity building, madhya pradesh, nongovernmental organizations, child development, public health
18
+
19
+ ## Geography
20
+
21
+ - **Regions:** Southern Asia, Asia, World
22
+ - **Countries:** India
23
+
24
+ ## Description
25
+
26
+ Participatory learning and action (PLA) is a promising approach to promote infant and young children feeding (IYCF) and other health, nutrition, water sanitation, and hygiene (HNWASH) practices. Since February 2014, PLA has been implemented in 14 blocks in eight districts of Madhya Pradesh through the Sanjhi Sehat program, which is led by the Government of Madhya Pradesh’s State Rural Livelihood Mission (SLRM). The mission implements Sanjhi Sehat in five districts, and district- level nongovernmental organizations (NGOs) implement it in three additional districts. Technical assistance is provided by the Madhya Pradesh Technical Assistance and Support Team (MPTAST) under the Department for International Development (DIFD)-supported Madhya Pradesh Health Systems Reforms program. Other partners include the Department of Health and Family Welfare and the Department of Women & Child Development, whose staff ensure that all services of the program are accessible and accountable to the community. The Public Health Engineering Department is responsible for the safe water and sanitation (toilet construction) infrastructure and services, which forms an important component of the HNWASH interventions.
27
+
28
+ ## Content
29
+
30
+ No. 18 | NOVEMBER 2015
31
+ Partnerships and Opportunities to Strengthen
32
+ and Harmonize Actions for Nutrition in India
33
+ Implementation Note
34
+ Using Participatory Learning and Action
35
+ to Empower Women’s Groups to Improve
36
+ Feeding Practices in Madhya Pradesh
37
+ BACKGROUND
38
+ Participatory learning and action (PLA) is a
39
+ promising approach to promote infant and young
40
+ children feeding (IYCF) and other health, nutrition,
41
+ water sanitation, and hygiene (HNWASH) practices.
42
+ Since February 2014, PLA has been implemented
43
+ in 14 blocks in eight districts of Madhya Pradesh
44
+ through the Sanjhi Sehat program, which is led by
45
+ the Government of Madhya Pradesh’s State Rural
46
+ Livelihood Mission (SLRM). The mission implements
47
+ Sanjhi Sehat in five districts, and district- level
48
+ nongovernmental organizations (NGOs) implement
49
+ it in three additional districts. Technical assistance
50
+ is provided by the Madhya Pradesh Technical
51
+ Assistance and Support Team (MPTAST) under
52
+ the Department for International Development
53
+ (DIFD)-supported Madhya Pradesh Health Systems
54
+ Reforms program. Other partners include the
55
+ Department of Health and Family Welfare and
56
+ the Department of Women & Child Development,
57
+ whose staff ensure that all services of the program
58
+ are accessible and accountable to the community.
59
+ The Public Health Engineering Department is
60
+ responsible for the safe water and sanitation (toilet
61
+ construction) infrastructure and services, which
62
+ forms an important component of the HNWASH
63
+ interventions.
64
+ APPROACHES AND METHODS FOR
65
+ IMPLEMENTATION
66
+ PLA is an approach for learning about and engaging
67
+ with communities. It combines participatory and
68
+ visual methods with engaging techniques, and is
69
+ intended to facilitate a process of collective analysis
70
+ and learning. The approach can be used to identify
71
+ needs and to plan, monitor, or evaluate projects
72
+ and programs. PLA goes beyond mere consultation
73
+ by promoting active participation of communities
74
+ in understanding issues, and prioritizing and
75
+ developing solutions that shape their lives. It has
76
+ been found to be effective in helping the rural
77
+ poor to unlock their ideas on the nature and
78
+ causes of the issues that affect them, prioritize,
79
+ and collectively arrive at realistic solutions based
80
+ on their knowledge of local conditions. It offers an
81
+ opportunity to the marginalized and excluded to be
82
+ heard and become partners in executing solutions
83
+ that benefit them.
84
+ The design of Sanjhi Sehat is based on previous
85
+ successful experiences using PLA by the NGO
86
+ Ekjutin Jharkhand and by the DFID-supported
87
+ Health Systems Strengthening program in Bihar and
88
+ Odisha. The design is based on evidence that PLA is
89
+ effective in improving health outcomes (Prost et al.
90
+ 2013).
91
+ The PLA approach involves a series of 20–22
92
+ meetings conducted fortnightly using interactive
93
+ modules developed by MPTAST. Each module is
94
+ devoted to a particular HNWASH topic, including
95
+ four devoted to IYCF practices. One module is
96
+ presented at each PLA meeting held with target
97
+ groups (for example, pregnant or lactating women,
98
+ mothers of preschool children, adolescent girls).
99
+ PLA meetings are conducted using the platform of
100
+ existing self-help groups (SHGs) of the SLRM. At
101
+ each meeting, a trained PLA facilitator takes the
102
+ group through a process of collective reflection
103
+ in which the group assesses current behaviors
104
+ and related social, cultural, and psychological
105
+ barriers related to the HNWASH topic; household
106
+ and community actions needed to address
107
+ the barriers; and creating demand for relevant
108
+ services. Participatory activities at the meetings
109
+ involve showing picture cards, playing games,
110
+ displaying age-appropriate quantities and varieties
111
+ of complementary foods, and discussing ways of
112
+ making meals richer in nutrients and calories. The
113
+ meetings also involve an annaprasan ceremony,
114
+ at which a group of six- to eight-month-olds are
115
+ fed an appropriate starter semi-solid food by their
116
+ mothers under the guidance of an anganwadi
117
+ worker (AWW).
118
+ Midway through and at the end of the series of
119
+ meetings (after 10 and 22 meetings, respectively),
120
+ a larger community meeting is held, where other
121
+ stakeholders and community leaders receive key
122
+ messages. At the end of the series, there is a session
123
+ on participatory evaluation, at which the community
124
+ evaluates the program’s implementation. Depending
125
+ on the results of the evaluation, additional meetings
126
+ are held as needed.
127
+ MPTAST trains, implements, monitors, and
128
+ evaluates the project. Trained facilitators from the
129
+ implementing NGOs and the SLRM (one facilitator
130
+ per 11–14 village clusters) plan and conduct the
131
+ meetings for each topic, maintain attendance data,
132
+ record meeting notes, and carry out follow-up
133
+ action, when needed. Community mobilizers
134
+ (one per village) assist facilitators with mobilizing
135
+ women and SHG members to attend the PLA
136
+ meetings. Local government health and Integrated
137
+ Child Development Services (ICDS) functionaries
138
+ actively participate in the PLA meetings. One cluster
139
+ coordinator is appointed for every 5–10 facilitators
140
+ to maintain quality and monitor the activity of
141
+ the meetings. Each cluster coordinator mentors
142
+ the facilitators as needed and resolves local issues
143
+ needing attention. A district PLA coordinator oversees
144
+ the functions of the PLA facilitators and cluster
145
+ coordinator by conducting monthly reviews of the
146
+ meetings, checking the management information
147
+ system, and serving as the link between state
148
+ MPTASTs and the field staff. The cluster coordinators
149
+ 2
150
+ Photo © UNICEF
151
+ IMPLEMENTATION NOTE
152
+ 3No. 18 | NOVEMBER 2015
153
+ and facilitators are contractual staff employed by
154
+ SLRM or NGOs in their respective districts.
155
+ With a view to ensuring sustainability, the program is
156
+ strategically led by an existing government program—
157
+ the SLRM— and builds upon an existing network
158
+ of SHGs. The intent is that essential elements of the
159
+ program can be carried forward by these SHGs after
160
+ the project ends, even if the form and frequency of
161
+ the structured PLA meetings change.
162
+ KEY FINDINGS
163
+ As of March 2015, 16,824 PLA meetings have been
164
+ held in the eight intervention districts. Some of
165
+ the key emerging findings given below are based
166
+ on routine monitoring data collected at each
167
+ meeting, where women are questioned about their
168
+ understanding, recall, and practice of the messages
169
+ of the previous meeting; a complied report of data
170
+ provided by seven cluster coordinators representing
171
+ 100 PLA facilitators (MPTAST and MPHSRP
172
+ 2015a); and a quantitative report summarizing
173
+ trends in ICDS service utilization before and after
174
+ the program based on monthly data collected
175
+ from AWWs in 14 blocks where the program is
176
+ implemented (MPTAST and MPHSRP 2015b).
177
+ ▶ Approximately 80 percent of PLA meetings
178
+ are being held with marginalized rural-tribal
179
+ communities, whose women have shown a high
180
+ receptivity to the PLA approach.
181
+ ▶ On average, 25–40 women attend meetings and
182
+ show high recall of the messages.
183
+ ▶ More than 80 percent of women attending IYCF
184
+ sessions report increased knowledge of how
185
+ to enrich complementary feeding and feed the
186
+ required quantity to the child.
187
+ ▶ There has been an increased uptake of ICDS
188
+ services, such as take-home rations and baby
189
+ weighing.
190
+ ▶ Groups practice local solutions, for example,
191
+ bringing their own complementary feeding
192
+ recipes from home and feeding their children.
193
+ ▶ Attendance of Department of Health-ICDS
194
+ functionaries in the PLA meetings (for example,
195
+ AWWs participate in more than half of the
196
+ meetings) has reduced social distance between
197
+ the families and the functionaries and enhances
198
+ the use of services.
199
+ ▶ Over time, men’s interest in PLA meetings and
200
+ their support to their women to attend these
201
+ meetings has increased.
202
+ One challenge in implementing the program has
203
+ been reaching those who are located far from the
204
+ meeting site in remote tribal hamlets or are unable
205
+ to attend the meetings because of seasonal heavy
206
+ workload in the harvesting or sowing periods. In
207
+ response, implementers have changed the meeting
208
+ venues as needed, have held the meetings early in
209
+ the morning or evening, and for migrant women,
210
+ have made home visits.
211
+ Another challenge has been the resistance on the
212
+ part of mothers-in-law to changing some of the
213
+ IYCF practices, such as increasing the quantity or
214
+ frequency of foods given to the child. In response,
215
+ implementers have encouraged these women
216
+ to attend the meetings, and their resistance has
217
+ decreased over time.
218
+ CONCLUSION
219
+ An endline evaluation report of Sanjhi Sehat will
220
+ be available in December 2015. However, experi-
221
+ ential learning from the field suggests that the PLA
222
+ approach appears to be effective in Madhya Pradesh,
223
+ especially in reaching marginalized communities and
224
+ facilitating group learning to change practices and
225
+ generate demand for services. The endline evalua-
226
+ tion will provide insights regarding the processes and
227
+ impact of this program on the vulnerable groups.
228
+ REFERENCES
229
+ MPTAST (Madhya Pradesh Technical Assistance
230
+ and Support Team) MPHSRP (Madhya Pradesh
231
+ Health Sector Reform Programme). 2015a.
232
+ What Is the Acceptance and Practice of IYCF
233
+ Messages in Modules 12-13 of Sanjhi Sehat
234
+ Program by Women—A Feedback from 100
235
+ PLA Facilitators in Seven Districts. Bhopal.
236
+ ———. 2015b. Analysis of ICDS MIS Data for
237
+ Sanjhi Sehat Blocks. Bhopal.
238
+ Prost, A., T. Colbourn, N. Seward, K. Azad,
239
+ A.Coomarasamy, A. Copas, T. A. J. Houweling,
240
+ et al. 2013. “Women’s Groups Practicing
241
+ Participatory Learning and Action to Improve
242
+ Maternal and Newborn Health in Low-Resource
243
+ Settings: A Systematic Review and Meta-
244
+ analysis.” Lancet 381 (9879): 1736–1746.
245
+ ABOUT POSHAN
246
+ Partnerships and Opportunities to
247
+ Strengthen and Harmonize Actions for
248
+ Nutrition in India (POSHAN) is a 4-year
249
+ initiative that aims to build evidence on
250
+ effective actions for nutrition and support
251
+ the use of evidence in decisionmaking. It
252
+ is supported by the Bill & Melinda Gates
253
+ Foundation and led by IFPRI in India.
254
+ ABOUT
255
+ IMPLEMENTATION NOTES
256
+ Implementation Notes summarize
257
+ experiences related to how specific
258
+ interventions or programs are delivered.
259
+ They are intended to share information
260
+ on innovations in delivery and are not
261
+ research products.
262
+ CONTACT US
263
+ Email us at IFPRI-POSHAN@cgiar.org
264
+ IFPRI-NEW DELHI
265
+ INTERNATIONAL FOOD POLICY
266
+ RESEARCH INSTITUTE
267
+ NASC Complex, CG Block,
268
+ Dev Prakash Shastri Road,
269
+ Pusa, New Delhi 110012, India
270
+ T+91.11.2584.6565 to 6567
271
+ F+91.11.2584.8008
272
+ IFPRI-HEADQUARTERS
273
+ INTERNATIONAL FOOD POLICY
274
+ RESEARCH INSTITUTE
275
+ 2033 K Street, NW,
276
+ Washington, DC 20006-1002 USA
277
+ T. +1.202.862.5600
278
+ F. +1.202.467.4439
279
+ Skype: IFPRIhomeoffice
280
+ ifpri@cgiar.org
281
+ www.ifpri.org
282
+ This publication has been prepared by
283
+ POSHAN. It has not been peer reviewed.
284
+ Any opinions stated herein are those of
285
+ the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect
286
+ the policies of the International Food
287
+ Policy Research Institute.
288
+ Copyright © 2015 International Food
289
+ Policy Research Institute. All rights
290
+ reserved. For permission to republish,
291
+ contact ifpri-copyright@cgiar.org.
292
+ Partnership members:
293
+ Institute of Development Studies (IDS)
294
+ Public Health Foundation of India (PHFI)
295
+ One World South Asia
296
+ Vikas Samvad
297
+ Coalition for Sustainable Nutrition Security in India
298
+ Save the Children, India
299
+ Public Health Resource Network (PHRN)
300
+ Vatsalya
301
+ Centre for Equity Studies
302
+ WRITTEN BY
303
+ Shubhada Kanani, FHI360–Madhya Pradesh Technical Assistance
304
+ and Support team
305
+ Rachna Singh, FHI360–Madhya Pradesh Technical Assistance and
306
+ Support team
307
+ Syed Baqar, FHI360–Madhya Pradesh Technical Assistance and
308
+ Support team
309
+ Uma Mahajan, FHI360–Madhya Pradesh Technical Assistance and
310
+ Support team
311
+ L. M. Belwal, State Rural Livelihood Mission, Government of
312
+ Madhya Pradesh
313
+
314
+ SUGGESTED CITATION
315
+ Kanani, S., R. Singh, S. Baqar, U. Mahajan, and L.M. Belwal. 2015.
316
+ Using Participatory Learning and Action to Empower Women’s
317
+ Groups to Improve Feeding Practices in Madhya Pradesh. POSHAN
318
+ Implementation Note No. 18. New Delhi: International Food Policy
319
+ Research Institute.
320
+
data/part_2/0240558205.md ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,594 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ # Regional analysis of communal river diversion: Potential for expansion in Sub-Saharan Africa
2
+
3
+ **Source:** gardian_index
4
+ **URL:** https://cgspace.cgiar.org/rest/bitstreams/176d1f19-be58-4dda-b21e-e0f17a20ec00/retrieve
5
+ **Language:** English
6
+ **Resource Type:** Brief
7
+ **Release Year:** 2012
8
+ **Rights:** N/A
9
+ **GARDIAN ID:** 928200f6b4ac2d3dee76f4175c28fc69
10
+ **DataNODE ID:** 99aac7167c566ad8560dc8a9396aabd0
11
+ **Siever ID:** c44b0488-8913-4b09-9e30-2c20f7240882
12
+ **Token Count:** 3241
13
+ **Page Count:** 0
14
+
15
+ ## Keywords
16
+
17
+ water management, irrigation, water use, climate change, models, soil quality, smallholders, rivers, geographical information systems, soil analysis, water analysis, dynamic models, river basins
18
+
19
+ ## Description
20
+
21
+ Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) faces great challenges in development, including the highest poverty rate in the world, food insecurity, and malnutrition. Given that agriculture is the single most important source of rural livelihood in Africa, an agricultural growth strategy will go a long way to reducing hunger and poverty on the subcontinent. Among the numerous challenges to enhancing agricultural production in SSA is the large spatial and temporal variability and availability of water resources. Currently, agriculture in SSA is predominantly rainfed. The limited access to water in arid areas or during dry seasons and drought spells often presents restrictions to farming and to improving agricultural productivity. Therefore, enhanced agricultural water management has been regarded as a promising solution to boost levels of agricultural productivity in SSA.
22
+
23
+ ## Content
24
+
25
+
26
+
27
+ Agricultural Water Management Regional Analysis Document
28
+ REGIONAL ANALYSIS OF
29
+ COMMUNAL RIVER DIVERSION
30
+ Potential for expansion in
31
+ Sub-Saharan Africa
32
+ awm-solutions.iwmi.org
33
+ JULY 2012
34
+
35
+
36
+
37
+ Introduction
38
+ Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) faces great challenges in
39
+ development, including the highest poverty rate in the world,
40
+ food insecurity, and malnutrition. Given that agriculture is the
41
+ single most important source of rural livelihood in Africa, an
42
+ agricultural growth strategy will go a long way to reducing
43
+ hunger and poverty on the subcontinent. Among the
44
+ numerous challenges to enhancing agricultural production in
45
+ SSA is the large spatial and temporal variability and
46
+ availability of water resources. Currently, agriculture in SSA is
47
+ predominantly rainfed. The limited access to water in arid
48
+ areas or during dry seasons and drought spells often presents
49
+ restrictions to farming and to improving agricultural
50
+ productivity. Therefore, enhanced agricultural water
51
+ management has been regarded as a promising solution to
52
+ boost levels of agricultural productivity in SSA.
53
+
54
+ Communal river diversion is a traditional irrigation method
55
+ that could potentially be improved and expanded
56
+ throughout the region. Communal river diversion refers to
57
+ di"erent schemes for diverting surface water from rivers
58
+ through traditional furrows or canals to farmers’ $elds.
59
+ Traditional communal river diversion schemes are initiated
60
+ and operated by farmers, without any external intervention.
61
+ They are often characterized by poor infrastructure, poor
62
+ water management, and low yields. Improved river diversion
63
+ schemes sometimes bene$t from external interventions like
64
+ construction of new canals, but they are still managed by the
65
+ communities.
66
+
67
+ Methodology
68
+ This brief is based on a study that uses an integrated
69
+ modeling system that combines geographic (GIS) data
70
+ analysis, biophysical and economic predictive modeling, and
71
+ crop mix optimization tools to assess the regional potential
72
+ for smallholder agricultural water management in SSA and
73
+ South Asia (SA). It focuses on the potential for the expansion
74
+ of communal river diversions throughout SSA.
75
+
76
+
77
+ The assessment process includes two components: ex-ante
78
+ GIS and predictive modeling analyses. The ex-ante analysis
79
+ uses a set of suitability criteria to identify areas where the
80
+ technology could potentially be applied, pixel by pixel, across
81
+ the region. The formulation of assessment criteria and the
82
+ scoring scheme were developed through expert
83
+ consultations and validation and re)ect the best available
84
+ expert knowledge. For communal diversions, the
85
+ environmental suitability criteria for ex-ante GIS analysis are
86
+ shown in Table 1.
87
+
88
+ A pixel with a score greater than 57 is considered to have
89
+ irrigation potential. The application areas derived from the
90
+ suitability analysis were also compared with the labor-
91
+ constrained application areas obtained from rural population
92
+ analysis at the basin level; the minimum of the two
93
+ application areas in a river basin was selected as the $nal ex-
94
+ ante estimates for the areas with irrigation potential in the
95
+ river basin.
96
+
97
+ The results derived from ex-ante GIS analysis are further
98
+ re$ned in an analysis that involves the application of two
99
+ biophysical and economic predictive modeling tools: the Soil
100
+ and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) and the model of
101
+ Dynamic Research Evaluation for Management (DREAM).
102
+ Currently, agriculture in SSA is dominantly rainfed and
103
+ farming activities concentrate in the rainy seasons. This
104
+ analysis assumes that communal diversions would enable
105
+ producers to extend crop production into the dry season,
106
+ when the irrigation demand is highest. Under this
107
+ assumption, the SWAT and DREAM models were run to
108
+ simulate the hydrology, estimate crop water demand and
109
+ agricultural productivity in the added dry growing season,
110
+ and forecast price shifts in agricultural commodities as a
111
+ result of increased supply. The results produced from the
112
+ SWAT–DREAM predictive analysis allow for quantitative water
113
+ balance and cost–bene$t analysis of irrigation activities. This
114
+ further constrains the potential for irrigation expansion
115
+ compared to the ex-ante analysis, based on physical scarcity
116
+ and economic viability.
117
+
118
+ awm-solutions.iwmi.org
119
+ Table 1. Ex-ante GIS analysis criteria for communal river diversions
120
+ Criteria for motor pumps Scoring scheme
121
+ FAO Fluvisols False = 0, 1 - 15 % = 6, 16 - 50 % = 11, 51 - 100 % = 17
122
+ Market access 5 km = 10 minutes = 17, 10 km = 20 minutes = 11, 20 km = 40 minutes = 6, 30 km = 60
123
+ minutes = 0, 60 km = 120 minutes = 0
124
+ Distance to surface water < 5 km = 16, >5 km = excluded
125
+ Topography 0-4% = 16, 4-10% = 8, 10% < = 0
126
+ Runo" 1 - 25 mm = 0, 25 - 45 mm = 4, 45 - 75 mm = 9, 75 - 110 mm = 13, > 110 mm = 17
127
+ Population density 0 - 5 = excluded, > 5 = 17
128
+
129
+
130
+
131
+
132
+ Other key assumptions in the predictive modeling
133
+ assessment include the following:
134
+
135
+ • Water Availability. No associated runo" storage capacity
136
+ is assumed for communal river diversions. Moreover, 20
137
+ percent of runo" is reserved for environmental )ows.
138
+
139
+ • Cultivation of Particular Crops. The assessment assumes
140
+ that communal diversions are used for the cultivation of
141
+ a series of crops based on evidence from $eld studies
142
+ including: tomatoes, onions, peppers, cabbages, beans,
143
+ peas, potatoes, sweet potatoes, sugarcane, ground nuts,
144
+ maize, wheat, and rice.
145
+
146
+ • Fertilizer Input. Agricultural production in SSA is
147
+ characterized by the wide presence of low-input farming
148
+ systems. However, because there exists strong synergy
149
+ between water and nutrient management—that is,
150
+ farmers need to provide an appropriate amount of
151
+ nutrients to the soil, especially nitrogen, to ensure
152
+ irrigation is e"ective in improving crop yields—medium
153
+ rates of nitrogen fertilizer applications were assumed in
154
+ the crop simulation. The assumed amount of nitrogen
155
+ fertilizer applied to each crop type is shown in Table 2.
156
+ The estimated yields of selected crops cultivated under
157
+ irrigation and assumed nitrogen fertilizer applications (as
158
+ opposed to the estimated yields in low-input farming
159
+ systems in SSA) are shown in Table 3.
160
+
161
+ • Production and Irrigation Costs. Assumed costs of
162
+ production for the selected crops are shown in Table 2.
163
+ A cost for irrigation of US$640 per hectare per year was
164
+ also assumed, with average amortized capital
165
+ investment costs of $440/ha-yr (original capital
166
+ investment: $3,500 and reinvestment timeframe of 35
167
+ years) and labor and operating costs of $200/ha-yr. The
168
+ cost–bene$t results are very sensitive to these cost
169
+ assumptions. A sensitivity analysis in which irrigation
170
+ costs were increased or decreased by 50 percent was,
171
+ therefore, conducted.
172
+ It is expected that irrigation will boost agricultural
173
+ productivity and increase the supply of agricultural
174
+ commodities, while also lowering their prices. To account for
175
+ the e"ect of price changes on the economic pro$tability of
176
+ irrigation development, the DREAM model is used to forecast
177
+ price shifts. Baseline data for the model were obtained from
178
+ FAOSTAT Food Balance sheets, FAO PriceSTAT, and the IFPRI
179
+ IMPACT model.
180
+
181
+ It was found that the estimated irrigation potential is also
182
+ sensitive to changes in initial crop prices. A 30 percent
183
+ increase and a 30 percent decrease in initial crop prices were
184
+ implemented as additional sensitivity analyses.
185
+
186
+ Potential for expansion of communal river
187
+ diversions in SSA
188
+ The ex-ante assessment shows that communal river
189
+ diversions could be expanded to 82 million ha, potentially
190
+ reaching a rural population of 457 million people. The
191
+ potential for expansion of communal river diversions is
192
+ highest in the Gulf of Guinea region, with potential
193
+ expansion of over 25 million ha reaching 132 million people,
194
+ driven largely by huge potential in Nigeria. The Eastern and
195
+ Central regions also show considerable potential for
196
+ expansion of the technology, with 122 and 85 million people
197
+ potentially reached in these regions, respectively. After
198
+ Nigeria, the potential is greatest in the Democratic Republic
199
+ of the Congo and Ethiopia (Table 4).
200
+
201
+ awm-solutions.iwmi.org
202
+ Table 2. Nitrogen fertilizer application rates and
203
+ nonirrigation production costs assumed in the crop
204
+ simulation and crop mix optimization
205
+ Crops
206
+ N fertilizer
207
+ (KG/ha)
208
+ Costs
209
+ (US$/ha-yr)
210
+ Tomatoes 100 3,500
211
+ Onions 100 3,500
212
+ Peppers 100 3,000
213
+ Cabbage 100 4,000
214
+ Beans 0 1,000
215
+ Peas 0 500
216
+ Potatoes 80 3,000
217
+ Sweet potatoes 60 2,500
218
+ Groundnuts 0 1,000
219
+ Sugarcane 80 1,500
220
+ Wheat 50 700
221
+ Maize 60 600
222
+ Rice (paddy) 80 1,000
223
+ Source: IFPRI Team based on project inputs and secondary sources
224
+
225
+ Figure 1: Suitable area for expansion of communal river diversions,
226
+ ex-ante results
227
+ Source: IFPRI Team
228
+
229
+
230
+
231
+ awm-solutions.iwmi.org
232
+ Table 3. Yield improvement of estimated high-input (HI) yields of selected crops cultivated under irrigation and assumed nitrogen
233
+ fertilizer applications compared to low-input (LI) rainfed yields
234
+ Country
235
+ Sweet potato Green bean Maize Paddy rice Groundnut
236
+ LI HI LI HI LI HI LI HI LI HI
237
+ Rainfed
238
+ yield
239
+ (t/ha)
240
+ Irrigated
241
+ yield
242
+ (% increase)
243
+ Rainfed
244
+ yield
245
+ (t/ha)
246
+ Irrigated
247
+ yield
248
+ (% increase)
249
+ Rainfed
250
+ yield
251
+ (t/ha)
252
+ Irrigated
253
+ yield
254
+ (% increase)
255
+ Rainfed
256
+ yield
257
+ (t/ha)
258
+ Irrigated
259
+ yield
260
+ (% increase)
261
+ Rainfed
262
+ yield
263
+ (t/ha)
264
+ Irrigated
265
+ yield
266
+ (% increase)
267
+ Central Africa
268
+ Angola 2.2 547 0.2 385 0.3 1,195 - - 0.1 2,432
269
+ Cameroon 8.1 68 0.5 -62 1.3 215 1.0 327 0.3 647
270
+ Central African
271
+ Republic
272
+ 6.8 36 - - 1.1 274 1.2 218 0.8 155
273
+ Republic of Congo - - 0.5 -55 0.8 378 0.7 348 0.4 410
274
+ Democratic Republic
275
+ of Congo
276
+ -
277
+ -
278
+ 0.4 59 0.9 349 0.7 441 0.8 153
279
+ Equatorial Guinea 2.6 309 - - - - - - 0.8 137
280
+ Gabon 6.8 58 - - 0.9 329 1.0 223 0.7 142
281
+ Eastern and Indian Ocean countries
282
+ Burundi 6.4 157 0.4 102 1.0 349 - - 0.7 289
283
+ Ethiopia - - 0.6 40 1.1 262 - - 0.5 446
284
+ Kenya 6.8 155 0.5 88 1.0 352 - - 1.4 72
285
+ Madagascar 6.0 171 0.5 63 1.1 298 1.0 496 - -
286
+ Rwanda 5.9 202 0.4 138 0.7 615 1.3 277 1.1 151
287
+ Tanzania 1.5 990 0.5 66 1.8 140 1.8 184 0.6 308
288
+ Uganda 4.5 215 0.5 15 1.8 128 1.4 263 0.7 288
289
+ Gulf of Guinea
290
+ Benin 7.3 56 0.4 -81 1.2 226 1.3 200 0.6 202
291
+ Côte d'Ivoire 4.9 153 - - 1.0 302 1.6 159 0.7 195
292
+ Ghana 6.5 73 - - 1.1 268 1.5 163 0.7 185
293
+ Guinea 7.6 49 - - 1.1 254 1.3 220 0.7 173
294
+ Guinea-Bissau - - - - 1.0 284 1.2 177 1.2 47
295
+ Liberia - - - - - - 1.2 243 0.6 271
296
+ Nigeria 14.2 -15 - - 1.5 167 1.4 191 1.7 30
297
+ Sierra Leone 2.8 327 - - 1.1 270 1.1 282 0.7 186
298
+ Togo 6.1 81 0.3 -72 1.2 246 1.1 240 0.5 275
299
+ Botswana - - 0.01 1,466 0.1 4,322 - - 1.0 163
300
+ Lesotho - - 0.4 291 1.8 148 - - - -
301
+ Malawi 11.8 23 0.3 148 1.5 183 1.2 309 0.7 326
302
+ Mozambique 30.9 -57 0.2 98 1.1 277 0.3 1,384 0.4 524
303
+ Namibia - - 0.2 329 0.8 429 - - 0.4 529
304
+ South Africa 9.1 88 1.4 -23 1.7 176 - - 1.1 189
305
+ Swaziland 1.8 956 0.2 405 0.9 410 3.4 61 - -
306
+ Zambia 8.1 76 - - 1.1 301 0.9 448 0.4 602
307
+ Southern Africa
308
+
309
+
310
+
311
+
312
+ Table 3. Yield improvement of estimated high-input (HI) yields of selected crops cultivated under irrigation and assumed nitrogen
313
+ fertilizer applications compared to low-input (LI) rainfed yields (cont’d)
314
+ Country
315
+ Sweet potato Green beans Maize Paddy rice Groundnut
316
+ LI HI LI HI LI HI LI HI LI HI
317
+ Rainfed
318
+ yield
319
+ (t/ha)
320
+ Irrigated
321
+ yield
322
+ (% increase)
323
+ Rainfe
324
+ d
325
+ yield
326
+ (t/ha)
327
+ Irrigated
328
+ yield
329
+ (% increase)
330
+ Rainfed
331
+ yield
332
+ (t/ha)
333
+ Irrigated
334
+ yield
335
+ (% increase)
336
+ Rainfed
337
+ yield
338
+ (t/ha)
339
+ Irrigated
340
+ yield
341
+ (% increase)
342
+ Rainfed
343
+ yield
344
+ (t/ha)
345
+ Irrigated
346
+ yield
347
+ (% increase)
348
+ Zimbabwe 2.2 546 0.4 49 1.6 163 2.2 129 0.7 270
349
+ Sudano-Sahelian region
350
+ Burkina Faso 9.8 9 - - 1.3 221 1.4 179 0.5 292
351
+ Chad 6.2 57 0.3 -68 0.8 434 0.8 326 0.6 272
352
+ Eritrea - - 0.3 20 0.7 507 - - - -
353
+ Gambia - - - - 1.2 246 1.4 126 0.7 140
354
+ Mali 14.3 -21 - - 0.8 433 0.8 396 0.7 213
355
+ Mauritania 1.9 284 0.9 -94 0.9 396 - - 0.6 225
356
+ Niger 13.9 -9 0.4 -42 0.5 904 1.8 147 0.2 791
357
+ Senegal 5.3 68 - - 1.1 287 0.7 394 0.7 149
358
+ Somalia - - 0.3 -77 0.7 525 - - 0.7 179
359
+ Sudan 2.6 251 1.9 -86 0.8 448 1.6 124 0.5 376
360
+ Source: IFPRI Team
361
+ Note: LI rainfed yields are derived from the Spatial Production Allocation Model (SPAM).
362
+
363
+ Taking river basin hydrology, environmental constraints,
364
+ yield improvements, costs of the investment, and price
365
+ impacts of expanding crop production into account results
366
+ in considerably lower potential for adoption of communal
367
+ river diversions in the region compared to the ex-ante
368
+ assessment (Figure 2). The results of the SWAT–DREAM
369
+ assessment for communal river diversions are summarized in
370
+ Table 5 for the baseline scenario.
371
+ The results indicate a potential area expansion of 20 million
372
+ ha, reaching 113 million people, with the greatest potential
373
+ found in the Gulf of Guinea region.
374
+ This represents about one quarter of the area potential
375
+ shown in the ex-ante analysis, suggesting that there are
376
+ considerable environmental and economic constraints to
377
+ the expansion of communal river diversion schemes
378
+ throughout the region.
379
+
380
+ Total net revenues as a result of the expansion of communal
381
+ river diversions throughout the region would be US$14
382
+ billion per year, with revenues highest in the Eastern and
383
+ Southern regions. The total increase in water consumption
384
+ as a result of the expansion of communal river diversions in
385
+ SSA is estimated at 61 billion m3/yr, representing an increase
386
+ of 89 percent over current water consumption.
387
+
388
+ Country Name
389
+ Potential
390
+ application
391
+ area (1000 ha)
392
+ Rural population
393
+ reached
394
+ (thousand people)
395
+ Central 15,005 84,618
396
+ Eastern and Indian
397
+ Ocean Countries
398
+ 21,821 122,280
399
+ Gulf of Guinea 25,050 132,470
400
+ Southern Africa 9,848 49,383
401
+ Sudano-Sahelian 9,997 68,731
402
+ All SSA 81,721 457,481
403
+ Table 4. Ex-ante potential for the expansion of
404
+ communal river diversions in SSA, assuming 100
405
+ percent adoption
406
+ Source: IFPRI team
407
+ Figure 2: Suitable Area for expansion of communal river
408
+ diversions, SWAT-DREAM results
409
+ Source: IFPRI Team.
410
+ awm-solutions.iwmi.org
411
+
412
+
413
+
414
+ awm-solutions.iwmi.org
415
+ Table 5. Predictive modeling results for the potential expansion of communal river diversions, baseline scenario results
416
+ Country
417
+ Application area
418
+ (thousand ha)
419
+ Net revenue
420
+ (US$ billion/yr)
421
+ Rural population
422
+ reached
423
+ (thousand people)
424
+ Water consumption
425
+ (billion m3/yr)
426
+ Water consumption
427
+ Increase
428
+ %
429
+ Angola 876 0.40 4,965 3.89 494.4
430
+ Cameroon 97 0.03 536 0.16 17.3
431
+ Central African Republic 405 0.07 1,982 0.94 798.9
432
+ Congo 531 0.29 2,302 0.53 108.3
433
+ Congo, DRC 2,278 0.75 13,163 6.26 1,798.9
434
+ Equatorial Guinea 11 0.002 106 0.01 10.7
435
+ Gabon 81 0.01 424 0.07 133.2
436
+ Central Africa 4,280 1.55 23,479 11.85 421.5
437
+ Burundi 48 0.07 271 0.18 49.2
438
+ Ethiopia 2,398 2.71 13,858 8.40 472.1
439
+ Kenya 512 0.62 2,619 1.31 78.5
440
+ Madagascar 76 0.01 406 0.26 8.3
441
+ Rwanda 56 0.10 281 0.17 129.6
442
+ Tanzania 923 0.77 5,332 3.50 199.2
443
+ Uganda 1,399 0.68 7,928 2.39 355.5
444
+ Eastern and Indian
445
+ Ocean Countries
446
+ 5,413 4.94 30,695 16.21 171.4
447
+ Benin 99 0.02 585 0.20 83.9
448
+ Côte d'Ivoire 680 0.11 4,307 1.59 298.6
449
+ Ghana 1,690 0.69 7,512 4.16 1,461.5
450
+ Guinea 198 0.05 1,321 0.55 121.7
451
+ Guinea-Bissau 41 0.17 289 0.05 58.2
452
+ Liberia 317 0.09 2,007 0.71 3,231.1
453
+ Nigeria 2,416 0.41 12,350 4.44 34.4
454
+ Sierra Leone 271 0.08 1,808 0.92 101.1
455
+ Togo 180 0.04 1,120 0.32 290.3
456
+ Gulf of Guinea 5,893 1.67 31,299 12.93 83.2
457
+ Botswana 7 0.002 32 0.02 15.0
458
+ Lesotho 139 0.07 650 0.06 147.7
459
+ Malawi 1,196 3.14 6,243 5.54 937.0
460
+ Mozambique 290 0.54 1,451 1.14 116.0
461
+ Namibia 2 0.001 13 0.01 4.9
462
+ South Africa 503 0.59 2,234 1.36 22.3
463
+ Swaziland 16 0.01 94 0.05 7.7
464
+ Zambia 1,480 0.68 7,892 7.98 715.0
465
+
466
+
467
+
468
+
469
+ awm-solutions.iwmi.org
470
+
471
+ Table 5. Predictive modeling results for the potential expansion of communal river diversions, baseline scenario
472
+ Results (cont’d)
473
+ Country
474
+ Application
475
+ area
476
+ (thousand ha)
477
+ Net revenue
478
+ (US$ billion/yr)
479
+ Rural population
480
+ reached
481
+ (thousand people)
482
+ Water consumption
483
+ (billion m3/yr)
484
+ Water consumption
485
+ Increase
486
+ %
487
+ Burkina Faso 632 0.12 4,706 1.82 148.8
488
+ Chad 169 0.02 994 0.24 33.8
489
+ Eritrea 7 0.003 38 0.04 39.7
490
+ Mali 21 0.002 130 0.03 0.4
491
+ Mauritania 3 0.001 22 0.005 0.5
492
+ Niger 6 0.004 43 0.02 0.9
493
+ Senegal 57 0.03 653 0.10 7.4
494
+ Somalia 25 0.01 157 0.07 2.7
495
+ Sudan 145 0.23 1,.000 0.45 3.2
496
+ The Gambia 9 0.001 155 0.01 20.4
497
+ Sudano-Sahelian region 1,074 0.42 7,897 2.77 9.5
498
+ All SSA 20,442 13.70 112,743 60.65 89.0
499
+ Source: IFPRI Team
500
+ Zimbabwe 149 0.07 763 0.74 49.7
501
+ Southern Africa 3,782 5.12 19,372 16.89 149.5
502
+ Table 6. Predictive modeling results for the potential expansion of communal river diversions, scenario results
503
+ Baseline
504
+ -50% irrigation
505
+ cost
506
+ + 50% irrigation
507
+ costs
508
+ -30% initial crop
509
+ price
510
+ + 30% initial crop
511
+ price
512
+ Area (thousand ha.) 20,442 26,097 10,929 6,151 25,926
513
+ Rural population reached (thousand people) 112,743 143,636 59,210 33,227 142,629
514
+ Net revenue (US$ billion) 13.70 21.39 8.66 3.81 28.71
515
+ Water consumption (billion m3 /yr) 60.65 71.36 39.24 23.18 73.92
516
+ Irrigation water consumption increase (%) 88.98 104.69 57.57 34.01 108.46
517
+ Source: IFPRI Team
518
+ Note: Results shown are for all of SSA
519
+ The results of the sensitivity analysis (Table 6) show that the
520
+ estimated application areas, net revenues, and rural
521
+ population reached increase with decreasing irrigation costs
522
+ and higher food prices, and vice versa. With a 50 percent
523
+ reduction in the cost of irrigation, the application area
524
+ would increase by 6 million ha, net revenues would increase
525
+ by $8 billion per year, and rural population reached would
526
+ increase by 31 million.
527
+
528
+ Conversely, application area decreases by 10 million ha, net
529
+ revenues decline by $5 billion, and the number of people
530
+ reached decreases by 54 million when irrigation costs
531
+ increase by 50 percent.
532
+
533
+ Under the di"erent crop price scenarios, a 30 percent
534
+ increase in initial crop price results in an additional potential
535
+ application area of 5 million ha, an increase in net revenues
536
+ of $15 billion annually, and an additional 30 million people
537
+ reached; while a decrease in the initial crop price results in a
538
+ lower application area (by 14 million ha), a reduction in net
539
+ revenues (by $10 billion), and fewer people reached (by 80
540
+ million), compared to the baseline
541
+
542
+
543
+ awm-solutions.iwmi.org
544
+
545
+ Table 7. Ex-ante and predictive modeling results for the potential expansion of communal river diversions under
546
+ climate change
547
+ SWAT+DREAM
548
+ Baseline Csia Cnra Baseline Csia Cnra
549
+ Area (thousand ha) 81,720 81,553 81,671 20,442 17,993 21,471
550
+ Rural population reached (thousand people) 457,481 455,615 456,057 112,743 99,703 118,175
551
+ Net revenue (billion dollars) - - - 13.70 12.52 12,75
552
+ Water consumption (billion m3/year) - - - 60.65 58.65 69.47
553
+ Irrigation water consumption increase (%) - - - 88.98 86.06 101.92
554
+ Source IFPRI Team.
555
+ Note: Results shown are for all of SSA.
556
+ Ex-Ante
557
+ Water consumption increases signi$cantly under scenarios
558
+ resulting in an expansion of communal river diversions. A 50
559
+ percent decrease in irrigation costs or a 30 percent increase in
560
+ initial crop price would increase water use by an additional 11
561
+ billion or 13 billion m3/yr, respectively, compared to the
562
+ baseline.
563
+
564
+ The impacts of climate change on the application potential of
565
+ communal river diversions across SSA were also estimated
566
+ under two climate scenarios projected by the CSIRO-Mk3.0
567
+ model (Csia) and the CNRM-CM3 model (Cnra) (Table 7). In a
568
+ preliminary analysis, the two scenarios were identi$ed as the
569
+ “driest” and “wettest” scenarios, respectively, among 12 future
570
+ climate change scenarios projected by general circulation
571
+ models for SSA. Both scenarios use the SRES A2 emissions
572
+ scenario, which is considered moderate.
573
+
574
+ The results in Table 7 show that changes in the estimated
575
+ application area due to climate change range from -12 percent
576
+ to +5 percent.
577
+
578
+
579
+ Conclusions
580
+ The ex-ante analysis reveals large expansion potential for
581
+ communal river diversions in SSA in terms of application area
582
+ and rural population reached. However, when additional
583
+ constraints are introduced, the potential is signi$cantly
584
+ reduced—from 82 million ha to 20 million ha.
585
+
586
+ The main constraint to the expansion of communal river
587
+ diversions is the limited availability of runo", as no associated
588
+ storage capacity is assumed and 20 percent of runo" is reserved
589
+ for environmental )ows. Moreover, investment costs are also
590
+ signi$cant.
591
+
592
+ Creating a river diversion need not be sophisticated. Here, a
593
+ simple channel for diverting river water has been dug in the mud.
594
+
data/part_2/0263754002.md ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,60 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ # Ghana: Local Public Finance and Decentralization, 1994-2004
2
+
3
+ **Source:** gardian_index
4
+ **URL:** https://dataverse.harvard.edu/api/access/datafile/:persistentId/?persistentId=doi:10.7910/DVN/HBHIP2/EHUJCP
5
+ **Language:** English
6
+ **Resource Type:** Dataset / Tabular
7
+ **Release Year:** 2012
8
+ **Rights:** CC-BY-NC
9
+ **GARDIAN ID:** d4fb0e15be47733fec5a38bc4357d995
10
+ **DataNODE ID:** 98bedae6cee65d72a1fdcfff78f842f0
11
+ **Siever ID:** 968578d2-27c1-44fe-a6a8-79d21e4f1d29
12
+ **Token Count:** 292
13
+ **Page Count:** 0
14
+
15
+ ## Keywords
16
+
17
+ decentralization, inter-governmental transfers, local government, internally generated revenues, ghana, public finance, data compilation, public investment, rural development, data management, data, research, environment, researchers
18
+
19
+ ## Geography
20
+
21
+ - **Regions:** Western Africa, Sub-Saharan Africa, Africa, World
22
+ - **Countries:** Ghana
23
+
24
+ ## Description
25
+
26
+ <br>The purpose of this data compilation effort was to use the data for research on fiscal decentralization and public investment in Ghana. The dataset, which consists of district-level observations, covers all of Ghana’s 110 districts in existence during the period 1994 to 2004. (Since then, the number of districts in Ghana has grown as the result of administrative rearrangements.) The dataset was compiled from administrative data sources of the Ministry of Local Government, Rural Development,
27
+ and Environment (MLGRDE) of Ghana, Inspectorate Division (under the then-leadership of Mr. Johnson Alifo). Some of the data were obtained directly from the Ministry, while other parts of the data had been previously obtained from the Ministry by researchers at the Institute for Statistical Social and Economic Research (ISSER) in the University of Ghana, Accra. These data are secondary, “raw” data, however were compiled and organized by IFPRI staff from both electronic sources, as well as from hardcopy
28
+ sources available only in Ghanaian government physical archival records. Additional data management activities undertaken were the compilation of the data into a consistent format (e.g. each row represents a district), the application of the same spelling of districts across files, and the use of a consistent variable name across files.
29
+ </br> <br>The values in the dataset were denoted in ‘old’ cedi, not the new Ghana cedi (GHC), which was introduced in July 2007. One new GHC is equivalent to 10,000 ‘old’ cedi. The dataset retains the denomination used in the original dataset (which pertains to the years 1994-2004, before the introduction of the GHC). The values are nominal (not adjusted for inflation). No questionnaires or other survey instruments have been used, since this was a collection of secondary administrative data.</b
30
+ r>
31
+
32
+ ## Content
33
+
34
+ Ghana: Local Public Finance and Decentralization, 1994-2004
35
+
36
+ Acknowledgements
37
+ IFPRI requests that users of the data acknowledge the source of the Local Public Finance and
38
+ Decentralization in Ghana dataset in all publications, conference papers, and manuscripts. The
39
+ dataset was compiled from administrative data of the Ministry of Local Government, Rural
40
+ Development, and Environment (MLGRDE) of Ghana, Inspectorate Division, from Ghana
41
+ government physical archives, and from data previously collected from MLGRDE by researchers
42
+ at the Institute for Statistical Social and Economic Research (ISSER) in the University of Ghana,
43
+ Accra. The funding for the survey was provided by IFPRI’s Ghana Strategy Support Program
44
+ (GSSP), which is financially supported by the United States Agency for International
45
+ Development (USAID).
46
+
47
+ Disclaimer
48
+ The International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI) encourages the use of the Local Public
49
+ Finance and Decentralization in Ghana dataset, but emphasizes that the attached data files are
50
+ secondary, “raw” data. There is no information that would allow individuals to be identified; all
51
+ other information remains in the data files. The decision not to alter the contents of the data files
52
+ means that the user of these files will need to take care in handling missing observations, outlier
53
+ values, and violations of logical consistency. The authorized use of these data is limited to
54
+ government, academic, research or other institutions (or individuals associated with these
55
+ institutions) to be used for informing and improving government policy or for educational
56
+ purposes. The data is not authorized to be used for commercial purposes. The data are provided
57
+ ‘as is’ and in no event shall IFPRI be liable for any damages resulting from use of the data. While
58
+ great effort was taken to obtain high quality data, the accuracy or reliability of the data is not
59
+ guaranteed or warranted in any way.
60
+
data/part_2/0275663682.md ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,30 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ # Rural institutions and producer organizations in imperfect markets: experiences from producer marketing groups in semi-arid eastern Kenya
2
+
3
+ **Source:** gardian_index
4
+ **URL:** https://cgspace.cgiar.org/rest/bitstreams/bec70f66-6d72-4b65-86ee-eb448c884c87/retrieve
5
+ **Language:** English
6
+ **Resource Type:** Working Paper
7
+ **Release Year:** 2006
8
+ **Rights:** N/A
9
+ **GARDIAN ID:** a8d26270f7d872a9906bc5b38632dcc5
10
+ **DataNODE ID:** 294139274df33ed9762ccd50bebae74a
11
+ **Siever ID:** 58cde15e-8b0c-4d3a-a5d4-4ba965ff7a84
12
+ **Token Count:** 247
13
+ **Page Count:** 0
14
+
15
+ ## Keywords
16
+
17
+ markets, imperfect competition, transaction costs, institutions, semiarid zones, marketing, governance, collective action, producer organizations, marketing groups, sub-saharan africa, smallholder farmers
18
+
19
+ ## Geography
20
+
21
+ - **Regions:** Eastern Africa, Sub-Saharan Africa, Africa, World
22
+ - **Countries:** Kenya
23
+
24
+ ## Description
25
+
26
+ Many countries in sub-Saharan Africa have liberalized markets to improve efficiency and enhance market linkages for smallholder farmers. The expected positive response by the private sector in areas with limited market infrastructure has however been disappointing. The functioning of markets is constrained by high transaction costs and coordination problems along the production-to-consumption value chain. New kinds of institutional arrangements are needed to reduce these costs and fill the vacuum left when governments withdrew from markets in the era of structural adjustments. One of these institutional innovations has been the strengthening of producer organizations and formation of collective marketing groups as instruments to remedy pervasive market failures in rural economies. The analysis presented here with a case study from eastern Kenya has shown that while collective action – embodied in Producer Marketing Groups (PMGs) – is feasible and useful, external shocks and structural constraints that limit the volume of trade and access to capital and information require investments in complementary institutions and coordination mechanisms to exploit scale economies. The effectiveness of PMGs was determined by the level of collective action in the form of increased participatory decision making, member contributions and initial start-up capital. Failure to pay on delivery, resulting from lack of capital credit, is a major constraint that stifles PMG competitiveness relative to other buyers. These findings call for interventions that improve governance and participation; mechanisms for improving access to operating capital; and effective strategies for risk management and enhancing the business skills of the PMGs.
27
+
28
+ ## Content
29
+
30
+ Many countries in sub-Saharan Africa have liberalized markets to improve efficiency and enhance market linkages for smallholder farmers. The expected positive response by the private sector in areas with limited market infrastructure has however been disappointing. The functioning of markets is constrained by high transaction costs and coordination problems along the production-to-consumption value chain. New kinds of institutional arrangements are needed to reduce these costs and fill the vacuum left when governments withdrew from markets in the era of structural adjustments. One of these institutional innovations has been the strengthening of producer organizations and formation of collective marketing groups as instruments to remedy pervasive market failures in rural economies. The analysis presented here with a case study from eastern Kenya has shown that while collective action – embodied in Producer Marketing Groups (PMGs) – is feasible and useful, external shocks and structural constraints that limit the volume of trade and access to capital and information require investments in complementary institutions and coordination mechanisms to exploit scale economies. The effectiveness of PMGs was determined by the level of collective action in the form of increased participatory decision making, member contributions and initial start-up capital. Failure to pay on delivery, resulting from lack of capital credit, is a major constraint that stifles PMG competitiveness relative to other buyers. These findings call for interventions that improve governance and participation; mechanisms for improving access to operating capital; and effective strategies for risk management and enhancing the business skills of the PMGs.
data/part_2/0279421338.md ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,1204 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ # Determinants of household water and energy access and their impacts on food security and health outcomes in Sudan
2
+
3
+ **Source:** gardian_index
4
+ **URL:** https://cgspace.cgiar.org/rest/bitstreams/39c7539a-e85b-44f7-8004-5911025af516/retrieve
5
+ **Language:** English
6
+ **Resource Type:** Working Paper
7
+ **Release Year:** 2025
8
+ **Rights:** N/A
9
+ **GARDIAN ID:** 6c2b823b09e21e2d8f229d8bd098b3a3
10
+ **DataNODE ID:** 93e84db0e0b77f995b9fb91ff013436e
11
+ **Siever ID:** 7b381162-5ae5-4856-8468-a4013dd4f532
12
+ **Token Count:** 11042
13
+ **Page Count:** 0
14
+
15
+ ## Keywords
16
+
17
+ energy policies, food security, health, households, socioeconomics, water, water policies, environmental health and biodiversity, climate adaptation and mitigation, nutrition, health and food security, systems transformation, rural areas, energy
18
+
19
+ ## Geography
20
+
21
+ - **Regions:** Northern Africa, Africa, World
22
+ - **Countries:** Sudan
23
+
24
+ ## Description
25
+
26
+ This study investigates the determinants of access to safe water and reliable energy for households in Sudan using nationally representative data from a recent labor market survey. The results show that urbanization, education, and wealth significantly enhance the access households have to these essential services, while rural areas and less developed regions, particularly in the Darfur and Kordofan regions, face substantial challenges. Access to reliable energy correlates with better food security and health outcomes within households, and improved access to safe water significantly enhances the health of household members. Policy recommendations supported by these research results include targeted rural infrastructure investments, educational improvements, and regional interventions to address disparities in household access to safe water and reliable energy across Sudan.
27
+
28
+ ## Content
29
+
30
+ IFPRI Discussion Paper 02338
31
+ May 2025
32
+ Determinants of Household Water and Energy Access and Their Impacts on
33
+ Food Security and Health Outcomes in Sudan
34
+ Oliver Kiptoo Kirui
35
+ Mosab Ahmed
36
+ Mariam Raouf
37
+ Hala Abushama
38
+ Khalid Siddig
39
+ Development Strategy and Governance Unit
40
+ INTERNATIONAL FOOD POLICY RESEARCH INSTITUTE
41
+ The International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI), established in 1975, provides research-based
42
+ policy solutions to sustainably reduce poverty and end hunger and malnutrition. IFPRI’s strategic research
43
+ aims to foster a climate-resilient and sustainable food supply; promote healthy diets and nutrition for all;
44
+ build inclusive and efficient markets, trade systems, and food industries; transform agricultural and rural
45
+ economies; and strengthen institutions and governance. Gender is integrated in all the Institute’s work.
46
+ Partnerships, communications, capacity strengthening, and data and knowledge management are essential
47
+ components to translate IFPRI’s research from action to impact. The Institute’s regional and country
48
+ programs play a critical role in responding to demand for food policy research and in delivering holistic
49
+ support for country-led development. IFPRI collaborates with partners around the world.
50
+ AUTHORS
51
+ Oliver Kiptoo Kirui (o.k.kirui@cgiar.org) is a Research Fellow in the Development Strategy and
52
+ Governance (DSG) Unit of the International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI) and Country Program
53
+ Leader for IFPRI Nigeria, Abuja, Nigeria.
54
+ Mosab Ahmed is a Social Policy Specialist at UNICEF, Portsudan, Sudan.
55
+ Mariam Raouf (mariam.raouf234@gmail.com) is an Assistant Professor of Economics, International
56
+ Economic Relations Center, Institute of National Planning, Cairo, Egypt.
57
+ Hala Abushama (h.abushama@cgiar.org) is a Research Analyst in IFPRI’s DSG Unit, Cairo, Egypt.
58
+ Khalid Siddig (k.siddig@cgiar.org) is a Senior Research Fellow in IFPRI’s DSG Unit and the Leader of
59
+ IFPRI’s Sudan Strategy Support Program, Nairobi, Kenya, and Associate Professor at the University of
60
+ Khartoum, Sudan.
61
+ Notices
62
+ 1 IFPRI Discussion Papers contain preliminary material and research results and are circulated in order to stimulate discussion
63
+ and critical comment. They have not been subject to a formal external review via IFPRI’s Publications Review Committee. Any
64
+ opinions stated herein are those of the author(s) and are not necessarily representative of or endorsed by IFPRI.
65
+ 2 The boundaries and names shown and the designations used on the map(s) herein do not imply official endorsement or
66
+ acceptance by the International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI) or its partners and contributors. The opinions expressed
67
+ are fully those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect those of IFPRI.
68
+ 3 Copyright remains with the authors. The authors are free to proceed, without further IFPRI permission, to publish this paper, or
69
+ any revised version of it, in outlets such as journals, books, and other publications.
70
+ iii
71
+ CONTENTS
72
+ 1 INTRODUCTION ..................................................................................................................................... 1
73
+ 2 LITERATURE REVIEW .......................................................................................................................... 2
74
+ 2.1 Determinants of clean water and reliable energy access .................................................................... 2
75
+ 2.2 Effects of poor access to clean water and reliable energy on household well-being ......................... 3
76
+ 2.3 Gender dimensions to household water and energy access ............................................................... 4
77
+ 2.4 Methods of analysis of water and energy access and their effects on household well-being ............ 5
78
+ 3 ACCESS TO CLEAN WATER AND RELIABLE ENERGY IN SUDAN .............................................. 7
79
+ 4 METHODOLOGY .................................................................................................................................... 9
80
+ 4.1 Data sources and sample characteristics ............................................................................................ 9
81
+ 4.2 Determinants of access to clean water and reliable energy ............................................................. 12
82
+ 4.3 Effect of access to clean water and reliable energy on selected household outcomes ..................... 12
83
+ 5 RESULTS AND DISCUSSIONS ............................................................................................................ 14
84
+ 5.1 Summary statistics and t-tests .......................................................................................................... 14
85
+ 5.2 Regression analysis on determinants of household access to clean water and reliable energy ....... 17
86
+ 5.2.1 Access to clean water ......................................................................................................... 19
87
+ 5.2.2 Access to reliable energy .................................................................................................... 20
88
+ 5.2.3 Combined access to clean water and energy ...................................................................... 21
89
+ 5.2.4 Summary of the analyses of the determinants of household access to clean water and
90
+ reliable energy in Sudan .................................................................................................... 21
91
+ 5.3 Effects on household welfare of access to clean water and reliable energy .................................... 22
92
+ 6 CONCLUSIONS AND POLICY RECOMMENDATIONS ................................................................... 25
93
+ REFERENCES ........................................................................................................................................... 27
94
+ TABLES
95
+ Table 3.1 Access to water in Sudan, Egypt, Ethiopia, and South Africa, in 2015 and 2022 ........................ 7
96
+ Table 3.2 Access to energy in Sudan, Egypt, Ethiopia, and South Africa in 2015 and 2022 ....................... 8
97
+ Table 4.1 Analytical variables used, descriptive statistics .......................................................................... 11
98
+ Table 5.1 Clean water access—explanatory variables t-tests ..................................................................... 15
99
+ Table 5.2 Reliable energy access—explanatory variables t-tests ............................................................... 16
100
+ Table 5.3 Both clean water and reliable energy access—explanatory variables t-tests .............................. 17
101
+ Table 5.4 Determinants of improved water and improved energy access .................................................. 18
102
+ Table 5.6 Effects of improved water and improved energy on household food security and health .......... 24
103
+ FIGURES
104
+ Figure 5.1 Overlap plots for covariate distributions of households with access and those without access to
105
+ clean water and energy sources ........................................................................................................ 23
106
+
107
+
108
+ ABSTRACT
109
+ This study investigates the determinants of access to safe water and reliable energy for households in
110
+ Sudan using nationally representative data from a recent labor market survey. The results show that
111
+ urbanization, education, and wealth significantly enhance the access households have to these essential
112
+ services, while rural areas and less developed regions, particularly in the Darfur and Kordofan regions,
113
+ face substantial challenges. Access to reliable energy correlates with better food security and health
114
+ outcomes within households, and improved access to safe water significantly enhances the health of
115
+ household members. Policy recommendations supported by these research results include targeted rural
116
+ infrastructure investments, educational improvements, and regional interventions to address disparities in
117
+ household access to safe water and reliable energy across Sudan.
118
+ Keywords: Water-energy access, Sudan, socioeconomic disparities, rural-urban divide, food security,
119
+ health
120
+
121
+
122
+
123
+
124
+
125
+
126
+ ACKNOWLEDGMENTS
127
+ This work was carried out under the CGIAR Initiative on NEXUS Gains, which is grateful for the support
128
+ of CGIAR Trust Fund contributors: www.cgiar.org/funders. Funding for the SSSP is graciously provided
129
+ by the United States Agency for International Development (USAID).
130
+ 1
131
+ 1 INTRODUCTION
132
+ Water, energy, and food are all interrelated, with numerous connections between them. The water-energy-
133
+ food nexus is the term used to describe this idea (Ringler et al. 2013; Hlahla 2022). Natural resources are
134
+ becoming scarce. This could impede efforts to achieve goals related to human well-being and economic
135
+ progress. Nexus thinking has emerged from these considerations. Shortages of water, energy, and food
136
+ could result from strains on available resources, particularly for weaker members of society. This may
137
+ negatively affect economic development, social cohesion, and the environment (Ringler et al. 2013).
138
+ The water-food linkage is particularly important, given that irrigated agriculture remains a significant
139
+ global user of freshwater, making up over 70 percent of global withdrawals, 90 percent of consumptive
140
+ usage, and 40 percent of total grain output (Ringler et al. 2013). Water is essential to produce food and
141
+ energy, particularly hydroelectricity, which is a significant energy source, as well as for maintaining the
142
+ ecosystems that have an impact on agriculture and other economic sectors vital for ensuring food security.
143
+ Food production and the provision of water, including its extraction, purification, and delivery, depend on
144
+ energy (Hlahla 2022). Electricity is a key driver of economic growth and poverty reduction in developing
145
+ countries. Electricity can drive economic and social development by increasing productivity, enabling
146
+ new types of job-creating enterprises, and reducing household workloads, thereby freeing up time for paid
147
+ work (Pueyo and Maestre 2019).
148
+ The energy-water nexus is increasingly being studied, as both resources are becoming scarcer in many
149
+ contexts. Changes in the availability of one are influencing the availability of the other. Looking at a
150
+ developing country context, this study investigates household access to water and energy in Sudan and the
151
+ impact of differing levels of access on household food security and health status.
152
+ In section 2, we provide a review of relevant literature related to access to water and energy, the
153
+ determinants of such access, the impact of restricted access to water and energy on household food
154
+ security and health, any gender dimensions to these associations, and the methods used to assess them.
155
+ Section 3 provides an overview of access to clean water and reliable energy in Sudan. Section 4 covers
156
+ the data and methods used in this research. Section 5 presents the results of the research, while Section 6
157
+ concludes and draws some policy recommendations.
158
+ 2
159
+ 2 LITERATURE REVIEW
160
+ While the water-energy-food nexus is increasingly recognized as vital for sustainable development,
161
+ research findings that incorporate the concept still needs to be expanded, particularly in the context of
162
+ monitoring progress towards the SDGs (Nkiaka et al. 2022). The water-energy-food nexus is complex,
163
+ involving multiple scales across several dimensions—spatial (local, national, regional, or global),
164
+ temporal (present or future), and institutional (transboundary river basin, sub-regional, or other). This
165
+ complexity makes it challenging to assess and address the interdependencies between water, energy, and
166
+ food comprehensively.
167
+ Nkiaka et al. (2022) developed a multidimensional index to investigate the determinants of access to
168
+ water, energy, and food, incorporating indicators of water security, energy security, and food security.
169
+ Their analysis identified seven key socioeconomic variables as potential drivers of water, energy, and
170
+ food security—GDP per capita, government effectiveness as proxied by the Government Effectiveness
171
+ Index (World Bank 2024), human development as proxied by the Human Development Index (UNDP
172
+ 2024), the urban population as a share of the total population, infrastructural development, foreign direct
173
+ investment levels, and official development assistance directed to water supply and sanitation, agriculture,
174
+ and energy.
175
+ 2.1 Determinants of clean water and reliable energy access
176
+ Access to water is universally recognized as a human right, as emphasized in the global Sustainable
177
+ Development Goals (SDG)—SDG-6 focuses on the provision of universal and equitable access to safe
178
+ and affordable drinking water. This goal is particularly pertinent in low- and middle-income countries
179
+ where marginalized groups, such as women and those living in remote rural communities, often face
180
+ additional challenges in accessing water. Poor water, sanitation, and hygiene services and practices
181
+ disproportionately affect these populations (UNICEF and WHO 2023).
182
+ Several studies have explored the determinants of access to clean and safe water at household level,
183
+ particularly in developing and least-developed countries. Adil et al. (2021) identified key factors
184
+ influencing access to safe drinking water and improved sanitation in Punjab. Their analysis revealed that
185
+ media exposure, education level of the household head, household wealth, and ethnic background
186
+ significantly impact the degree of access households have to safe drinking water. Notably, the study
187
+ found that household wealth plays a critical role, with wealthier households enjoying better access to safe
188
+ drinking water.
189
+ 3
190
+ In Nepal, Behera, Rahut, and Sethi (2020) observed a significant decline in the proportion of
191
+ households using piped water in urban areas. Their study concluded that education level, economic status,
192
+ and location are key determinants of household access to improved drinking water, sanitation, and waste
193
+ disposal services.
194
+ Antunes and Martins (2020) focused on countries with national water supply service coverage below
195
+ 95 percent. The study found that investments in infrastructure, particularly in urban areas, education, and
196
+ encouraging paid female employment positively impact water access. They also noted that countries with
197
+ a large agricultural share in their GDP tend to have lower water access, highlighting the need for targeted
198
+ efforts to achieve universal water access.
199
+ Energy access, defined as the ability to reliably use energy, is crucial for socioeconomic development.
200
+ Saputri, Setyonugroho, and Hartono (2024) investigated household-level energy poverty in Indonesia.
201
+ They found that energy prices and household economic conditions and demographic characteristics are
202
+ closely linked to energy poverty. Specifically, household wealth and higher income significantly reduce
203
+ the likelihood of energy poverty. Larger household sizes and higher education levels also play important
204
+ roles in improving household access to energy. The study also noted that households with male heads are
205
+ more likely to experience energy poverty, while women's involvement in energy-related decisions
206
+ decreases this likelihood.
207
+ In a study of energy poverty in Ethiopia, Alema and Demekeb (2020) emphasized the impact of rising
208
+ kerosene prices, a primary cooking fuel in urban areas, on energy poverty. A 10 percent increase in
209
+ kerosene prices was found to have resulted in a 1.8 percent increase in energy poverty, underscoring the
210
+ vulnerability of low-income Ethiopian households to energy price fluctuations.
211
+ 2.2 Effects of poor access to clean water and reliable energy on household well-being
212
+ Inadequate access to clean water and reliable energy, as well as to several other basic services, can lead to
213
+ significant health and economic costs, particularly for low-income households. Lack of access to safe
214
+ drinking water can result in waterborne diseases, increasing medical expenses for the households and
215
+ reducing members’ ability to work, thereby reducing household well-being. Poor sanitation further
216
+ compounds these challenges, posing serious threats to public health and environmental sustainability
217
+ (Behera, Rahut, and Sethi 2020).
218
+ Similarly, energy poverty—characterized by the inability to reliably obtain affordable energy—has
219
+ substantial implications for human development, affecting the economic productivity, health, and
220
+ education of household members. Improved access to cleaner burning fuels can reduce indoor air
221
+ pollution, a leading cause of premature death in developing countries. In 2012, household air pollution
222
+ 4
223
+ from biomass-based fuels accounted for 4.3 million deaths, mostly among women and children,
224
+ representing 7.7 percent of global mortality (Smith et al. 2005). In sub-Saharan Africa, the death toll
225
+ from indoor air pollution surpasses that of tuberculosis and is comparable to malaria.
226
+ 2.3 Gender dimensions to household water and energy access
227
+ Women in many countries are responsible for providing food for their households, gathering fuelwood for
228
+ cooking, and fetching potable water, all of which are unpaid productive activities (Villamor et al. 2018).
229
+ Therefore, there are significant gender dimensions to exploring the interlinkages between water and
230
+ energy access and household food security and health. Disparities are seen not only across regions but
231
+ also between the sexes. The challenges that women face in obtaining reliable access to clean water align
232
+ with two of the SDGs—SDG-5 on gender equality and SDG-6 on clean water and sanitation. The water
233
+ and sanitation sector has the potential to contribute to redressing inequality and can greatly improve the
234
+ social, political, and economic position of women (WSP 2010).
235
+ Despite their primary responsibility for managing the water supply and sanitation for the household
236
+ and for safeguarding the health of household members, women face significant inequities in access to
237
+ water resources. In Malawi and Ethiopia, for example, schoolgirls often lack access to adequate sanitation
238
+ and hygiene facilities, such as clean water supplies and sufficient latrines (Hlahla 2022). Additionally,
239
+ women and girls in rural areas are frequently compelled to walk long distances to fetch water, a task that
240
+ consumes time and energy—the average distance for a water collection trip in sub-Saharan Africa is
241
+ estimated at between 4 and 5 kilometers, taking approximately 33 minutes each way (Connell 2017). For
242
+ women, inadequate access to water is particularly detrimental, as it increases their vulnerability to
243
+ waterborne illnesses and reduces their time for other productive activities. Proximity to water sources can
244
+ enhance household and personal cleanliness and improve health outcomes, particularly in resource-
245
+ limited regions like eastern Zimbabwe, where gathering water can take over 10 hours per week (Connell
246
+ 2017). The connections between gender, water, and health are well-documented. Poor access to water and
247
+ sanitation for women generally results in increased health costs (Kayser et al. 2019).
248
+ In addition, rural women bear the primary responsibility within the household for energy-related tasks
249
+ (Hlahla 2022). The time spent by women in Benin in collecting fuelwood was shown to be four times
250
+ greater than it was for men (Köhlin et al. 2011). In rural Gujarat, India, women spend up to 40 percent of
251
+ their day engaged either in fuel collection or cooking (WLPGA 2014). Studies have also highlighted the
252
+ benefits for women of investing in clean fuels and improved cookstoves, which can enhance efficiency,
253
+ reduce pollution, and yield significant health and economic benefits (World Bank 2017).
254
+ 5
255
+ These daily burdens significantly limit the opportunities of women and girls to engage in other activities,
256
+ such as education. These gendered challenges to household well-being highlight the need for targeted
257
+ interventions to improve water and energy access, particularly for women and girls.
258
+
259
+ 2.4 Methods of analysis of water and energy access and their effects on household well-
260
+ being
261
+ The determinants of water and energy access, and their combined effects on household well-being,
262
+ have been widely studied using diverse methodological approaches. These methods focus on
263
+ understanding access disparities and their implications for food security and health, particularly among
264
+ vulnerable populations.
265
+ Several studies have employed regression-based methods to explore access patterns. For instance, Adil
266
+ et al. (2021) used binomial logistic regression to examine access to safe drinking water and improved
267
+ sanitation in Punjab, emphasizing the role of socio-economic and regional disparities. Similarly, Behera,
268
+ Rahut, and Sethi (2020) applied multinomial logistic regression to analyze factors influencing access to
269
+ water, sanitation, and waste management in Nepal over three decades, providing insights into how access
270
+ evolves over time and across socio-economic groups.
271
+ Other studies have incorporated techniques to address causality and initial conditions. Antunes and
272
+ Martins (2020) used a linear multivariate regression model with lagged independent variables to study
273
+ global water access, highlighting the impact of historical conditions and policy interventions on current
274
+ access levels. Saputri, Setyonugroho, and Hartono (2024) analyzed energy poverty in Indonesia using
275
+ logistic regression with district-level fixed effects, accounting for regional heterogeneity and emphasizing
276
+ the role of energy pricing and socio-economic factors.
277
+ Innovative thresholds for defining energy poverty have also been explored. For instance, Alema and
278
+ Demekeb (2020) employed the Minimum Energy Consumption Threshold Approach, defining energy
279
+ poverty as consumption below 50 kilograms of oil equivalent annually for cooking and lighting. This
280
+ method, although debated, offers a benchmark for identifying households lacking basic energy needs.
281
+ This study builds on existing literature by applying a doubly robust estimation method to examine the
282
+ effects of access to clean water and reliable energy on household well-being, specifically food security
283
+ and health outcomes. The doubly robust approach combines propensity score weighting and regression
284
+ adjustment, ensuring unbiased estimates even if one of the two models is mis-specified. This method
285
+ addresses potential endogeneity and selection bias, which are common challenges in analyzing access to
286
+ 6
287
+ essential services. By using this advanced technique, our study extends prior work by providing more
288
+ accurate and policy-relevant insights into how water and energy access influences key well-being
289
+ indicators. Furthermore, the focus on combined access to both resources offer a holistic perspective on
290
+ their synergistic effects, an area often overlooked in earlier research.
291
+
292
+ 7
293
+ 3 ACCESS TO CLEAN WATER AND RELIABLE ENERGY IN SUDAN
294
+ This study focuses on Sudan. Millions of Sudanese do not have access to reliable energy, safe drinking
295
+ water, or sanitation facilities. In part as a result, one-fourth of Sudan's population is malnourished. Sudan
296
+ has a huge discrepancies within its population in access to water, energy, and food nexus. The country’s
297
+ population is projected to continue to expand rapidly, further increasing demand for water, energy, and
298
+ food.
299
+ In Sudan, 71.4 percent of the population has access to basic improved water (Table 3.1). However,
300
+ rural households face much greater challenges in obtaining safe water—only 64 percent of rural
301
+ households have access to basic improved water, compared to 78 percent of urban households. There also
302
+ are sharp disparities between states—only about one-third of households have access to safe water in Red
303
+ Sea, White Nile, and Gedaref, compared to 90 percent in Khartoum and Northern. Insufficient funding
304
+ and inadequate management underlies the poor supply of safe drinking water to Sudanese households.
305
+ Table 3.1 Access to water in Sudan, Egypt, Ethiopia, and South Africa, in 2015 and 2022
306
+ Sudan Egypt Ethiopia South Africa
307
+ Indicators 2015 2022 2015 2022 2015 2022 2015 2022
308
+ Access to drinking water, at least basic, % 91.8 94.5 98.7 98.8 41.5 51.5 57.1 64.9
309
+ Access to drinking water, limited (more than 30
310
+ mins), % 2.8 2.7 <1.0 <1.0 21.4 28.0 25.3 28.9
311
+ Access to drinking water, unimproved, % 2.0 1.1 1.0 <1.0 24.3 16.0 12.1 3.9
312
+ Access to drinking water, surface water, % 3.4 1.6 <1.0 <1.0 12.8 4.5 5.5 2.3
313
+ Access to drinking water, annual rate of change in
314
+ at least basic, %/year nd 0.5 nd 0.0 nd 1.5 nd 0.9
315
+ Drinking water, share of population using improved
316
+ water supplies, accessible on premises, % 74.5 79.3 96.8 97.7 14.8 21.7 36.3 41.2
317
+ Drinking water, share of population using improved
318
+ water supplies, available when needed, % 73.6 71.4 79.7 82.4 51.7 66.9 45.8 55.1
319
+ Drinking water, share of population using improved
320
+ water supplies, piped, % nd 90.5 97.0 98.7 34.9 44.1 46.5 nd
321
+ Drinking water, share of population using improved
322
+ water supplies, non-piped, % nd 6.8 2.0 <1.0 28.0 35.4 35.9 nd
323
+ Basic drinking water services, share of population
324
+ using at least, % nd 64.9 98.7 98.8 41.5 51.5 91.8 nd
325
+ Source: UNICEF and WHO (2023).
326
+ Note: nd = “no data”.
327
+ Thirteen million Sudanese are estimated to still use unimproved and unsafe sources of drinking water
328
+ (UNICEF 2017). These sources include surface water and groundwater from open or damaged
329
+ groundwater wells. Chemical or bacterial contamination often reduces the quality of the water sources.
330
+ These contaminants are mostly derived from industrial, commercial, and domestic waste, including
331
+ 8
332
+ excreta, urine, and grey water, which is washed into surface water bodies or injected into groundwater
333
+ aquifers. National and state-level acts to prevent harmful pollutants have been legislated in Sudan, but
334
+ they are rarely activated and enforced. Access to improved water sources has increased over the last 30
335
+ years in Sudan. However, this access is gradually being eroded due to the country’s high population
336
+ growth, limited investment in housing, water, and sanitation infrastructure, and climate change
337
+ compromising existing water supplies. The ongoing conflict which started in April 2023 has also reduced
338
+ access to safe water supplies for many Sudanese households (IFPRI and UNDP 2024)
339
+ Only 53 percent of rural households have improved drinking water sources within a 30-minute walk,
340
+ while 28 percent have even less access and must travel farther to safe water sources. The rest of the rural
341
+ population uses dirty water from shallow waterholes (O’Brien 2023). This lack of access to safe water,
342
+ combined with poor sanitation and inadequate hygiene practices, poses serious risks to children and has a
343
+ considerable impact on rising malnutrition rates, illness outbreaks, and needless deaths. In 2022, over
344
+ 3 million children under five years of age in Sudan suffered from acute malnutrition, half of which was
345
+ associated with recurring diarrhea or worm infections caused by poor water, sanitation, and hygiene
346
+ conditions (UNICEF 2023).
347
+ In parallel, Sudan’s energy sector is underdeveloped, making household access to energy one of the
348
+ country’s greatest obstacles to social and economic development. Many people in Sudan rely largely on
349
+ traditional biomass fuels, like wood, charcoal, dung, and agricultural waste, for cooking and heating. Only
350
+ around 60 percent of the population has access to electricity or other clean cooking fuels (Table 3.2).
351
+ Moreover, there are significant variations across Sudan in per capita energy consumption, particularly
352
+ between urban and rural households.
353
+ Table 3.2 Access to energy in Sudan, Egypt, Ethiopia, and South Africa in 2015 and 2022
354
+ Sudan Egypt Ethiopia South Africa
355
+ Indicators 2015 2022 2015 2022 2015 2022 2015 2022
356
+ Modern renewable sources, share in total
357
+ final energy consumption, %
358
+ 23.3 22.9
359
+ (2020)
360
+ 2.2 3.3
361
+ (2020)
362
+ 2.5 3.0
363
+ (2020)
364
+ 2.4 3.9
365
+ (2020)
366
+
367
+ Access to clean cooking fuel, share of
368
+ population, % 47.2 61.9 99.8 99.7 4.2 7.6 83.8 89.1
369
+ Access to clean fuels and technologies for
370
+ cooking, share of population, % 48.0 65.6 99.9 99.9 4.3 8.8 83.8 89.4
371
+ Total electricity access rate, share of
372
+ population % 48.0 63.2 99.3 100.0 29.0 55.0 85.3 86.5
373
+ Source: IEA, IRENA, UNSD, World Bank, and WHO (2023).
374
+ 9
375
+ 4 METHODOLOGY
376
+ The objectives of this study are twofold. First, we investigate the status and determinants of clean water
377
+ and reliable energy access for Sudanese households. Second, the analysis is then extended to estimate the
378
+ effect of access to clean water and reliable energy sources on selected household welfare outcomes,
379
+ particularly food security and general health and well-being.
380
+ In this study, access to improved water refers to the use of "at least basic" drinking water services, as
381
+ defined by UNICEF and WHO (2023). This includes improved sources such as piped water, boreholes, or
382
+ protected wells that are accessible within no more than 30 minutes round trip, including queuing time.
383
+ Households that require more than 30 minutes to collect water are categorized as having limited access,
384
+ while those relying on unimproved sources or surface water are considered to have no access to improved
385
+ water sources. Access to improved energy sources is defined as a household’s ability to use energy from a
386
+ reliable grid or off-grid source (e.g., electricity, solar, or diesel generator) for lighting and basic domestic
387
+ needs. This measure reflects functional access – that is, energy that is both available and usable – rather
388
+ than mere connection to a supply network.
389
+ 4.1 Data sources and sample characteristics
390
+ The data used for this study is the 2022 Sudan Labor Market Panel Survey (SLMPS), which was
391
+ implemented by the Economic Research Forum in collaboration with Sudan's Central Bureau of Statistics.
392
+ SLMPS is a comprehensive, national household survey designed to capture a wide range of socio-
393
+ economic variables pertinent to the Sudanese labor market (Krafft, Assaad, and Cheung 2023). It is the
394
+ first wave of a planned longitudinal study aimed at understanding human resource development and
395
+ deployment in Sudan. The survey is modeled after similar labor market surveys conducted in Egypt,
396
+ Jordan, and Tunisia. The survey questionnaire includes modules from the Living Standards Measurement
397
+ Study Plus household survey program to collect gender-disaggregated information on asset ownership,
398
+ employment, and entrepreneurship activities, including household enterprises. The survey is designed to
399
+ be nationally representative, providing estimates at the national level, for urban and rural areas, and across
400
+ all states of Sudan. The SLMPS sample is made up of approximately 5,000 households. Information is
401
+ collected on all household members aged five years and above.
402
+ The SLMPS 2022 survey instruments encompass a broad range of topics essential for understanding
403
+ the socio-economic landscape of Sudan. These include information on parental background, education
404
+ attainment of household members, housing and access to services for the household, residential mobility
405
+ and migration, and the time use of household members of working age. Questions are asked in the survey
406
+ on the food security of the household and the health status of its members. The survey also explores
407
+ 10
408
+ marriage patterns, fertility, and women’s empowerment, and provides detailed data on employment,
409
+ unemployment, and earnings of household members of working age. Additionally, it examines the
410
+ operation of household enterprises and farms, community infrastructure, and the use of social safety nets.
411
+ The survey also captures household vulnerability and the strategies members use to cope with shocks to
412
+ the household. Notably, it includes a significant number of retrospective questions about major life
413
+ events, including residential moves, employment changes, marriage, and fertility. This allows for a
414
+ comprehensive understanding of the timing and context of these events. Overall, the survey aims to
415
+ provide a detailed and nationally representative picture of Sudan's labor market and related socio-
416
+ economic processes, covering a diverse range of issues that affect the Sudanese population.
417
+ A random stratified cluster sampling technique was used to create the sample for SLMPS 2022. The
418
+ survey is representative across several strata, including refugee camps, internally displaced persons (IDP)
419
+ camps, and urban and rural areas. Two hundred fifty primary sampling units (PSU) were initially selected,
420
+ with backup PSUs also selected for use if logistical challenges in surveying any of the initially selected
421
+ PSUs arose during fieldwork. Data collection was conducted through face-to-face interviews from June to
422
+ November 2022. Multiple visits were made to each household to ensure that information was collected
423
+ directly from all members aged five years and older. The survey instruments included a household
424
+ questionnaire and an individual questionnaire, both of which contained multiple modules to capture
425
+ detailed socio-economic data.
426
+ Sample weights were generated to ensure national representativeness. The weights accounted for the
427
+ probability of PSU selection and household inclusion within the selected PSUs. Detailed efforts were
428
+ made to address potential biases due to non-response or logistical challenges during fieldwork.
429
+ Table 1 presents descriptive statistics on the sample households. Most of the households are headed by
430
+ middle-aged males with very limited formal education. Table 1 also shows that most household heads in
431
+ Sudan are either not employed or are self-employed.
432
+ 11
433
+ Table 4.1 Analytical variables used, descriptive statistics
434
+ Variable Mean
435
+ Dependent variables
436
+ Access to clean water and reliable energy (1= yes, 0 =otherwise) 0.386
437
+ Access to improved energy sources (1= yes, 0 =otherwise) 0.322
438
+ Access to both improved water and improved energy sources (1= yes, 0 =otherwise) 0.250
439
+ Independent variables
440
+ Urban household (0/1) 0.50
441
+ Female head of household (0/1) 0.23
442
+ Age of household head (years) 47.07
443
+ THousehold members (adult equivalent units) 5.22
444
+ Dependents in household (number) 2.49
445
+ Females in household (number) 2.65
446
+ Education level of household head (share of all household heads)
447
+ Did not complete primary school, cannot read or write 0.43
448
+ Did not complete primary school, but can read and write 0.19
449
+ Completed primary school 0.19
450
+ Completed secondary school 0.11
451
+ Completed post-secondary schooling (not university) 0.01
452
+ Completed university 0.06
453
+ Completed postgraduate education 0.01
454
+ Employment of household head
455
+ Wage worker 0.61
456
+ Employer 0.07
457
+ Self-employed 0.26
458
+ Unpaid family worker 0.05
459
+ Has no employment 0.02
460
+ Sector of employment of household head
461
+ Agricultural sector 0.19
462
+ Manufacturing sector 0.04
463
+ Services sector 0.44
464
+ Not employed 0.32
465
+ Wealth index (5 = wealthiest; based on principal component analysis)1 3.22
466
+ Travel time to work (minutes) 32.53
467
+ Number of Observations 4,741
468
+ Source: Authors’ weighted analysis of the 2022 Sudan Labor Market Panel Survey.
469
+ Note: In the analysis, state-level dummy variables were included for all 18 states of Sudan.
470
+
471
+
472
+ 1 The wealth index used to rank households was constructed using Principal Component Analysis (PCA), a common method for
473
+ creating composite indices based on household asset ownership, housing characteristics, and access to services. PCA assigns
474
+ weights to various indicators, creating a standardized index to rank households into wealth quintiles. For details on this
475
+ methodology, see Filmer and Pritchett (2001) and Vyas and Kumaranayake (2006).
476
+ 12
477
+ 4.2 Determinants of access to clean water and reliable energy
478
+ To assess the determinants of access to clean water sources and reliable energy sources in Sudan, we
479
+ estimated a binary logistic regression model using cross-sectional data from the SLMPS for 2022. The
480
+ binary logistic model is appropriate for our analysis as it is designed to predict the probability of a binary
481
+ outcome, i.e., access to clean water, access to reliable energy, or both, based on one or more predictor
482
+ variables.
483
+ The model estimates the probability that a given observation falls into one of these categories. The
484
+ reduced form of the binary logistic model applied in our study is given by:
485
+ logit(P(Y=1)) = β0 + β1X1 + β2X2 + ⋯ + βnXn + ϵi (1)
486
+ where Y is the dependent variable (access to clean water; access to reliable energy; or both); β0 is the
487
+ intercept; β1, β2, ⋯ βn are the coefficients for the independent variables; and ϵi is the error term. The
488
+ independent variables for the analyses include the range of demographic, socio-economic, and regional
489
+ factors described in Table 4.1.
490
+ 4.3 Effect of access to clean water and reliable energy on selected household outcomes
491
+ The second objective of this study is to estimate the effects of access to clean water and reliable energy on
492
+ household food security and the overall health status of the household. The model used to estimate these
493
+ effects can be expressed as:
494
+ Yi =β0 + β1Ti + β2Xi + ϵi (2)
495
+ Yi represents the outcome variable for household i. We use two different outcome variables. The food
496
+ security status of the household is based on the Food Insecurity Experience Scale (FIES) (Cafiero,
497
+ Viviani, and Nord 2018, FAO 2021). The second outcome, the overall health status of the household, is
498
+ based on a multinomial variable measured across five levels in ascending order from “very poor” to
499
+ “excellent.” It is expected that households with access to clean water and reliable energy sources will
500
+ have better health outcomes because of reduced incidences of waterborne diseases and respiratory-related
501
+ illnesses.
502
+ The main explanatory variable of interest is Ti, which is measured as a binary treatment variable taking
503
+ the value of one if a household accessed clean water or reliable energy sources, or both, and zero
504
+ otherwise. Xi denotes a vector of covariates, including a range of demographic, socio-economic, and
505
+ regional factors as described in Table 4.1. ϵi is a random error term, and the βs are the parameters to be
506
+ estimated.
507
+ 13
508
+ We recognize that there is a potential selection bias problem when estimating the effects of access to
509
+ clean water, reliable energy, or both (equation (2)), given that access to water or energy is not based on
510
+ random assignment. To reduce this potential bias, we apply the inverse-probability regression adjustment
511
+ method, which is also known as the doubly robust estimation technique (Wooldridge 2010). While this
512
+ method can correct for selection bias due to observable characteristics, it cannot control unobserved
513
+ heterogeneity. Unfortunately, the access to clean water and reliable energy being assessed here is not
514
+ based on experimental design, which can properly address unobserved heterogeneity bias. Furthermore,
515
+ we are unable to rely on an instrumental variable (IV) approach to correct for selection bias problems
516
+ because of the difficulty in identifying valid instruments based on the secondary nature of our data. Thus,
517
+ we refer to the estimated relationships between Ti and Yi in equation (2) as correlations rather than causal
518
+ impacts.
519
+ The doubly robust method follows three steps.
520
+ • First, logit regression models are used to estimate the probability of a household accessing
521
+ clean water, reliable energy, or both, i.e., the treatment model.
522
+ • Second, using inverse-probability weights obtained from the first step, weighted outcome
523
+ models are fitted to obtain the predicted outcomes for the households with access and those
524
+ without access (outcome models). Note that the outcome models are fitted using linear, probit,
525
+ and Poisson regression models for continuous, binary, and count outcome variables,
526
+ respectively.
527
+ • Finally, the means of the predicted outcomes are then used to estimate the average treatment
528
+ effect on the treated (ATET), which quantifies the effects on household food security or
529
+ general health status of access to clean water or reliable energy sources.
530
+ These three steps of the doubly robust method are jointly estimated using the teffects ipwra command
531
+ in the Stata statistical software package.
532
+ In this instance, the doubly robust method is superior to other commonly used selection-on-observable
533
+ estimators, such as propensity score matching (PSM). This is because the doubly robust property ensures
534
+ that if either one of the treatment or outcome models is misspecified, the ATET estimates will still be
535
+ consistent (Imbens and Wooldridge 2009).
536
+ 14
537
+ 5 RESULTS AND DISCUSSIONS
538
+ 5.1 Summary statistics and t-tests
539
+ We constructed three different binary outcome variables for this study—access to clean water sources,
540
+ access to reliable energy sources, and access to both clean water and reliable energy sources. We
541
+ conducted t-tests to compare the means of the explanatory variables across the access and no-access
542
+ groups for the three different outcome variables.
543
+ For access to clean water, the t-tests show significant differences between households with and
544
+ without clean water access for several explanatory variables (Table 5.1). Households with clean water
545
+ access are more likely to be urban and to have heads that are male and relatively older. Additionally,
546
+ households with lower ratios of dependents in the household lower are more likely to be able to access
547
+ clean water. Higher educational attainment of the household head is significantly associated with clean
548
+ water access across all education levels—households with heads that have not completed primary
549
+ education are more likely not to have access to clean water. Households with wage workers and
550
+ employers are significantly likely to have access to clean water, as are households with workers employed
551
+ in the services sector. Wealthier households are more likely to have access to clean water.
552
+ 15
553
+ Table 5.1 Clean water access—explanatory variables t-tests
554
+ Variable
555
+ Overall
556
+ mean
557
+ Clean water access
558
+ Difference p-value
559
+ Clean
560
+ water
561
+ Unclean
562
+ water
563
+ Urban household 0.503 0.707 0.378 -0.328 0.000
564
+ Female head of household 0.226 0.167 0.262 0.095 0.000
565
+ Age of household head 47.070 49.750 45.830 -3.920 0.000
566
+ Household members 5.224 5.195 5.241 0.046 0.260
567
+ Dependents in household 2.487 2.184 2.674 0.489 0.000
568
+ Females in household 2.653 2.597 2.687 0.090 0.021
569
+ Cannot read write 0.425 0.224 0.549 0.324 0.000
570
+ No ed–can read write 0.194 0.176 0.205 0.030 0.005
571
+ Completed primary 0.191 0.275 0.139 -0.136 0.000
572
+ Completed secondary 0.106 0.172 0.066 -0.106 0.000
573
+ Completed post-sec 0.011 0.023 0.004 -0.020 0.000
574
+ Completed university 0.055 0.101 0.027 -0.074 0.000
575
+ Completed postgrad 0.008 0.020 0.000 -0.020 0.000
576
+ Wage worker 0.186 0.280 0.128 -0.152 0.000
577
+ Employer 0.045 0.064 0.033 -0.031 0.000
578
+ Self-employed 0.283 0.302 0.271 -0.032 0.010
579
+ Unpaid family worker 0.047 0.022 0.062 0.040 1.000
580
+ Has no employment 0.286 0.223 0.325 0.102 1.000
581
+ Agricultural sector employ 0.188 0.102 0.242 0.140 1.000
582
+ Manufacturing sector employ 0.035 0.047 0.028 -0.019 0.001
583
+ Services sector employ 0.432 0.579 0.342 -0.237 0.000
584
+ Wealth quintile 3.216 4.204 2.607 -1.597 0.000
585
+ Travel time to work 32.529 26.613 36.170 9.558 1.000
586
+ No. of observations 4,741 1,806 2,935
587
+ Source: Authors’ analysis.
588
+ The t-tests for access to reliable energy similarly reveal significant differences for the explanatory
589
+ variables for households with and without such access (Table 5.2). Households with access to reliable
590
+ energy are significantly more likely to be urban, with older or more educated household heads. Wealthier
591
+ households are more likely to have access to reliable energy.
592
+ 16
593
+ Table 5.2 Reliable energy access—explanatory variables t-tests
594
+ Variable
595
+ Overall
596
+ mean
597
+ Energy access
598
+ Difference p-value
599
+ Reliable
600
+ sources
601
+ Unreliable
602
+ sources
603
+ Urban household 0.503 0.706 0.409 -0.296 0.000
604
+ Female head of household 0.226 0.154 0.259 0.105 1.000
605
+ Age of household head 47.019 49.737 45.758 -3.979 0.000
606
+ Household members 5.224 5.190 5.239 0.050 0.749
607
+ Dependents in household 2.487 2.136 2.650 0.514 1.000
608
+ Females in household 2.653 2.599 2.678 0.079 0.959
609
+ Cannot read write 0.425 0.160 0.548 0.387 1.000
610
+ No ed–can read write 0.194 0.171 0.205 0.034 0.997
611
+ Completed primary 0.106 0.194 0.066 -0.128 0.000
612
+ Completed secondary 0.011 0.024 0.005 -0.019 0.000
613
+ Completed post-sec 0.055 0.123 0.024 -0.098 0.000
614
+ Completed university 0.008 0.023 0.001 -0.022 0.000
615
+ Completed postgrad 0.186 0.278 0.144 -0.134 0.000
616
+ Wage worker 0.045 0.075 0.031 -0.044 0.000
617
+ Employer 0.000 0.312 0.269 -0.042 0.002
618
+ Self-employed 0.047 0.022 0.059 0.037 1.000
619
+ Unpaid family worker 0.286 0.218 0.318 0.100 1.000
620
+ Has no employment 0.188 0.098 0.230 0.132 1.000
621
+ Agricultural sector employ 0.035 0.051 0.028 -0.023 0.000
622
+ Manufacturing sector employ 0.432 0.605 0.352 -0.252 0.000
623
+ Services sector employ 0.432 0.605 0.352 -0.252 1.000
624
+ Wealth quintile 3.216 4.487 2.626 -1.860 0.000
625
+ Rooms per adult 0.636 0.787 0.566 -0.221 0.000
626
+ Travel time to work 32.529 29.196 34.075 4.880 1.000
627
+ No. of observations 4,741 1,502 3,239
628
+ Source: Authors’ analysis.
629
+ For access to both clean water and reliable energy (Table 5.3), significant differences are observed for
630
+ multiple variables. Urban households are significantly more likely to have combined access. Households
631
+ with older household heads and with lower dependents ratios are both associated with combined access.
632
+ Households with heads with relatively higher educational attainment are significantly more likely to have
633
+ access to both clean water and reliable energy. Wealthier households are significantly more likely to have
634
+ combined access.
635
+ 17
636
+ Table 5.3 Both clean water and reliable energy access—explanatory variables t-tests
637
+ Variable Overall mean
638
+ Both clean water and reliable
639
+ energy access
640
+ Difference p-value
641
+ Access
642
+ to both
643
+ Does not have
644
+ access to both
645
+ Urban household 0.503 0.726 0.431 -0.295 0.000
646
+ Female head of household 0.226 0.148 0.251 0.104 0.000
647
+ Age of household head 47.019 50.559 45.866 -4.693 0.000
648
+ Household members 5.146 5.146 5.249 0.103 0.096
649
+ Dependents in household 2.487 2.069 2.623 0.555 0.000
650
+ Females in household 2.653 2.568 2.680 0.112 0.011
651
+ Cannot read write 0.425 0.126 0.522 0.396 0.000
652
+ No ed–can read write 0.194 0.153 0.207 0.055 0.000
653
+ Completed primary 0.191 0.311 0.152 -0.159 1.000
654
+ Completed secondary 0.106 0.207 0.074 -0.134 1.000
655
+ Completed post-sec 0.011 0.029 0.005 -0.024 1.000
656
+ Completed university 0.055 0.137 0.029 -0.108 1.000
657
+ Completed postgrad 0.008 0.029 0.001 -0.028 1.000
658
+ Wage worker 0.186 0.296 0.150 -0.146 1.000
659
+ Employer 0.045 0.075 0.036 -0.039 1.000
660
+ Self-employed 0.283 0.326 0.269 -0.057 1.000
661
+ Unpaid family worker 0.047 0.021 0.055 0.034 0.000
662
+ Has no employment 0.286 0.193 0.316 0.123 0.000
663
+ Agricultural sector employ 0.188 0.097 0.218 0.121 0.000
664
+ Manufacturing sector employ 0.035 0.050 0.030 -0.019 0.997
665
+ Services sector employ 0.432 0.614 0.373 -0.241 1.000
666
+ Wealth quintile 3.216 4.573 2.774 -1.799 1.000
667
+ Travel time to work 32.529 26.145 34.607 8.462 0.000
668
+ No. of observations 4,741 1,164 3,557
669
+ Source: Authors’ analysis.
670
+ 5.2 Regression analysis on determinants of household access to clean water and reliable
671
+ energy
672
+ We estimated three logistic regression models to examine the determinants of the access that Sudanese
673
+ households have to clean water, to reliable energy, and to both clean water and reliable energy. The
674
+ results (odds-ratios) are presented in Table 5.4.
675
+ 18
676
+ Table 5.4 Determinants of improved water and improved energy access
677
+
678
+ (a)
679
+
680
+ Clean water access
681
+ (b)
682
+
683
+ Reliable energy access
684
+ (c)
685
+ Access to both clean
686
+ water and reliable
687
+ energy
688
+ Coefficient Stnd.
689
+ error
690
+ Coefficient Stnd.
691
+ error
692
+ Coefficient Stnd.
693
+ error
694
+ Urban household 1.633*** 0.121 0.483*** 0.135 1.067*** 0.142
695
+ Female head of household 0.160 0.137 -0.266 0.167 -0.223 0.182
696
+ Age of household head 0.016*** 0.004 0.000 0.004 0.007 0.005
697
+ Household members -0.057 0.042 0.020 0.048 -0.027 0.050
698
+ Dependents in household -0.056 0.042 -0.026 0.049 -0.050 0.051
699
+ Females in household -0.008 0.051 -0.062 0.060 -0.033 0.063
700
+ No ed–can read write 0.381*** 0.144 0.450*** 0.170 0.420** 0.190
701
+ Completed primary 0.697*** 0.142 0.893*** 0.158 1.152*** 0.173
702
+ Completed secondary 0.777*** 0.177 0.967*** 0.192 1.238*** 0.204
703
+ Completed post-sec 1.559*** 0.534 1.653*** 0.560 1.734*** 0.541
704
+ Completed university 0.574** 0.232 1.430*** 0.262 1.315*** 0.255
705
+ Completed postgrad 3.333*** 1.098 4.218*** 1.211 4.506*** 1.174
706
+ Employer -0.189 0.232 -0.004 0.247 -0.295 0.255
707
+ Self-employed 0.005 0.126 0.036 0.144 -0.103 0.148
708
+ Unpaid family worker -0.212 0.303 -0.115 0.384 -0.280 0.428
709
+ Employer 0.075 0.141 0.351** 0.164 0.297 0.182
710
+ Manuf. sector employ -0.173 0.255 -0.123 0.296 -0.562* 0.296
711
+ Services sector employ 0.225** 0.110 -0.045 0.129 0.068 0.140
712
+ Wealth quintile 0.870*** 0.054 1.634*** 0.088 1.786*** 0.105
713
+ Rooms per adult -0.138 0.124 0.414** 0.163 -0.004 0.147
714
+ Travel time to work -0.012*** 0.002 -0.004* 0.002 -0.013*** 0.003
715
+ Central Darfur -0.780*** 0.299 0.000 a 0.000 0.000 a 0.000
716
+ East Darfur -2.363*** 0.235 -3.900*** 0.324 -3.379*** 0.362
717
+ North Darfur -2.410*** 0.246 -3.703*** 0.344 -2.904*** 0.372
718
+ South Darfur -2.377*** 0.229 -3.821*** 0.320 -3.294*** 0.360
719
+ West Darfur -3.494*** 0.378 -3.819*** 0.490 -3.559*** 0.637
720
+ North Kordofan -1.097*** 0.227 -3.430*** 0.290 -3.066*** 0.314
721
+ South Kordofan -5.318*** 1.021 0.000b 0.000 0.000 b 0.000
722
+ West Kordofan -3.668*** 0.406 -5.510*** 0.661 -4.386*** 0.676
723
+ Sennar 1.309*** 0.261 -1.511*** 0.237 -0.415* 0.241
724
+ Gedaref -1.923*** 0.256 -2.242*** 0.286 -2.564*** 0.334
725
+ Blue Nile -0.769*** 0.231 -3.638*** 0.332 -2.942*** 0.356
726
+ White Nile -2.905*** 0.279 -2.818*** 0.292 -4.421*** 0.621
727
+ Northern 0.957*** 0.290 0.783** 0.377 0.742*** 0.281
728
+ River Nile 1.650*** 0.304 2.306*** 0.429 2.867*** 0.385
729
+ Aj Jazirah 1.508*** 0.226 -1.878*** 0.208 -0.924*** 0.205
730
+ Kassala -0.017 0.229 -1.837*** 0.252 -1.057*** 0.260
731
+ Red Sea -5.390*** 0.398 -1.017*** 0.256 -5.291*** 0.418
732
+ Constant -3.758*** 0.340 -5.937*** 0.445 -7.797*** 0.530
733
+ No. of observations 4,741
734
+
735
+ 4,365
736
+
737
+ 4,365
738
+
739
+ Chi-squared 3547.8
740
+
741
+ 3573.1
742
+
743
+ 3234.8
744
+
745
+ Adjusted R-squared 0.563
746
+
747
+ 0.636
748
+
749
+ 0.639
750
+
751
+ p-value 0.000
752
+
753
+ 0.000
754
+
755
+ 0.000
756
+
757
+ Source: Authors’ analysis.
758
+ Note: The analytical variables ‘Cannot read write’, ‘Wage worker’, ‘Agricultural sector employ’, and ‘Khartoum’ were dropped
759
+ from the regression analyses to avoid overspecification.
760
+ a, b: Central Darfur and South Kordofan have zeros in the reliable energy and combined access models due to insufficient data or
761
+ lack of variation in access levels in these regions.
762
+
763
+ 19
764
+ 5.2.1 Access to clean water
765
+ The logistic regression results for household access to clean water identify several significant predictors
766
+ (Table 5.4, panel (a)). Urban households are notably more likely to have access to sources of clean water
767
+ compared to rural households, highlighting the disparity in infrastructure and resource allocation between
768
+ urban and rural areas. Urban centers typically benefit from higher investments and better governance,
769
+ which improve access to essential services and infrastructure for urban households. This is consistent with
770
+ findings by Antunes and Martins (2020), who emphasize the importance of infrastructure investments and
771
+ governance in urban areas for improving water access.
772
+ Examining specific determinants of household access to clean water, the age of the head of the
773
+ household shows a positive and significant effect on access to clean water—households with older heads
774
+ are more likely to have such access, possibly due to their generally greater financial stability. The
775
+ educational attainment of the head emerges as another crucial determinant of water access, aligning with
776
+ findings by Bamou Tankoua (2021) and Adams et al. (2016). It is particularly households with heads that
777
+ cannot read and write that are likely not to have access to clean water. All of the variables on educational
778
+ attainment used in the regression show positive coefficients relative to the base case of households with
779
+ heads that cannot read and write. These results underscore the role of education in enhancing household
780
+ welfare and access to essential services, as educated individuals are more likely to understand the benefits
781
+ of clean water sources and navigate the systems to obtain them. Furthermore, there is a noticeable trend
782
+ that higher education levels correlate with better access to water.
783
+ Wealth, as indicated by the household's wealth quintile, is another significant positive predictor of
784
+ clean water access. Households with greater wealth have the financial capacity to invest in better water
785
+ sources, either through direct infrastructure investments or by residing in areas with superior public
786
+ services.
787
+ The “Travel time to work" variable is used as a proxy for the quality of local infrastructure. This
788
+ variable has a significant negative effect on access to clean water access. Longer travel times suggest poor
789
+ local infrastructure, which hinders the access of households to clean water sources.
790
+ Spatially across the states of Sudan, several exhibit significantly lower odds of households having
791
+ access to clean water compared to the reference category of Khartoum—East Darfur, North Darfur, South
792
+ Darfur, West Darfur, South Kordofan, and West Kordofan states are particularly disadvantaged in their
793
+ access to clean water. These regional disparities highlight the need for targeted interventions to improve
794
+ access to clean water in order to resolve underlying spatial inequalities. Conversely, certain regions show
795
+ significantly higher odds of households having access to clean water relative to Khartoum—households in
796
+ Sennar, Aj Jazirah, River Nile, and Northern states all have relatively good access to clean water sources.
797
+ 20
798
+ A common factor among these states is their location within the Nile Basin, with the river providing a
799
+ reliable water source. Additionally, these states generally have smaller populations compared to the
800
+ densely populated capital, Khartoum, which may reduce the strain in each on the provision and
801
+ continuing maintenance of clean water infrastructure.
802
+ 5.2.2 Access to reliable energy
803
+ The findings for access to reliable energy are detailed in Table 5.4, panel (b). The results indicate that
804
+ urban households are significantly more likely to have access to improved energy sources than their rural
805
+ counterparts. This mirrors the pattern observed in access to clean water, further emphasizing the urban–
806
+ rural divide in the availability of essential services. Unlike other factors, the sex of the household head
807
+ does not significantly impact energy access, suggesting it is not a determining factor for households in
808
+ securing access to reliable energy sources. This pattern was also seen in the analysis of the determinants
809
+ of household access to clean water.
810
+ As with access to clean water, education is also a key predictor of household access to reliable energy,
811
+ with a pattern similar to that seen for clean water—households that are headed by individuals who can
812
+ read or write or have completed some education are significantly more likely to have access to reliable
813
+ energy. These findings highlight the pivotal role of education in household welfare and the accessibility
814
+ of modern energy services, as educated individuals tend to be more knowledgeable about the benefits and
815
+ methods of obtaining improved and reliable energy.
816
+ Wealth is another significant positive determinant of access by households to reliable energy.
817
+ Households with greater financial resources are better able to afford the higher costs associated with
818
+ accessing reliable energy sources. Additionally, the number of rooms in a household serves as an
819
+ indicator of better living conditions, so the variable is positively correlated with a household having
820
+ access to reliable energy. As with access to clean water, poor local infrastructure quality, as measured by
821
+ the "Travel time to work" variable, negatively affects the access of local households to reliable energy.
822
+ Longer travel times to work suggest poorer infrastructure, which, in turn, hampers the ability of
823
+ households to access sources of reliable energy.
824
+ As with access to clean water, households in most of the states in the Darfur and Kordofan regions
825
+ face challenges in accessing reliable energy sources. However, households in several other states also are
826
+ found to face significant difficulties in accessing reliable energy, even though their access to clean water
827
+ is relatively good—notably, Gedaref, Blue Nile, and White Nile. This pattern should motivate efforts to
828
+ enhance energy infrastructure across Sudan and address the inequalities in access to reliable energy.
829
+ However, several states stand out for households in them having relatively good access to reliable
830
+ 21
831
+ energy—River Nile, particularly, but also Northern state exhibit significantly higher odds of securing
832
+ better energy sources compared to Khartoum. Even after accounting for other factors, these states appear
833
+ to have better access to reliable energy.
834
+ 5.2.3 Combined access to clean water and energy
835
+ The results for combined access to clean water and energy are presented in Table 5.4, panel (c). Urban
836
+ households exhibit higher odds of having combined access to clean water and reliable energy compared to
837
+ rural households. This result, consistent with the previous models, highlights the substantial advantages
838
+ urban households have over rural ones in accessing essential services.
839
+ Education remains a consistent and significant predictor across all levels. Households where the head
840
+ can read and write or has received any education are more likely to have combined access to clean water
841
+ and energy than households in which the head cannot read or write. This underscores the overarching
842
+ importance of education in securing better living conditions and access to services.
843
+ Wealth significantly increases the likelihood of a Sudanese household having combined access to
844
+ clean water and reliable energy—wealthier households are better able than poorer ones to afford both
845
+ clean water and reliable energy. Infrastructure development, as indicated by the time spent commuting to
846
+ work, shows a significant negative effect on combined access, suggesting that that households resident in
847
+ areas with poorer local infrastructure face greater barriers in obtaining both clean water and reliable
848
+ energy.
849
+ The regional disparities seen with access to clean water and reliable energy, respectively, persist when
850
+ considering combined access to both. Again, households in most of the states in the Darfur and Kordofan
851
+ regions have poor access. However, households in many of the other states also face challenges in
852
+ accessing both clean water and reliable energy. Only households in Northern and River Nile states are
853
+ more likely than households in Khartoum to have access to both clean water and reliable energy. These
854
+ results highlight the compounded disadvantage faced by households in most states in Sudan, necessitating
855
+ comprehensive regional development strategies to address the multifaceted nature of deprivation in access
856
+ to essential services, including clean water and reliable energy.
857
+ 5.2.4 Summary of the analyses of the determinants of household access to clean water and
858
+ reliable energy in Sudan
859
+ The logistic regression analyses provide critical insights into the determinants of access to clean water
860
+ and reliable energy for the population of Sudan. Urbanization, education, and wealth emerge as
861
+ significant positive predictors, highlighting the disparities between urban and rural areas and the
862
+ importance of socioeconomic status in securing basic services. Urban households consistently show
863
+ 22
864
+ higher access to both clean water and reliable energy. This underscores the need for rural development
865
+ programs to bridge the gap in service provision between urban and rural areas. Investment in rural
866
+ infrastructure and services is essential to ensure equitable access to essential services across different
867
+ geographic locations.
868
+ Education is a powerful determinant of access to clean water and energy. Higher levels of education
869
+ achieved by household heads are associated with significantly better access for their households to both.
870
+ This indicates that educational attainment enhances the ability of individuals and their households to
871
+ navigate and benefit from available resources and services, including clean water and reliable energy.
872
+ These findings suggest that policies aimed at improving educational outcomes could have far-reaching
873
+ effects on access to essential services and overall household welfare.
874
+ Wealth also plays a crucial role in determining access to clean water and reliable energy. Wealthier
875
+ households can better afford the costs associated with accessing and maintaining these services. This
876
+ finding highlights the need for economic policies that promote income growth and reduce poverty to
877
+ enhance access to such essential services.
878
+ The significant regional disparities in access to clean water and reliable energy, particularly in the
879
+ Darfur and Kordofan regions, point to the need for targeted regional interventions. The states in these
880
+ regions face compounded disadvantages that require comprehensive development strategies addressing
881
+ infrastructure and public services.
882
+ 5.3 Effects on household welfare of access to clean water and reliable energy
883
+ Before examining the doubly robust estimation results on the effects of access to clean water and energy
884
+ on household food security and health, we first ensure that the estimated models pass essential diagnostic
885
+ tests. Figure 5.1 shows sufficient overlap in the covariate distributions of households with access and
886
+ those without access to clean water and reliable energy sources. This suggests a non-violation of the
887
+ overlap or common support condition (Imbens 2004). Furthermore, following Imai and Ratkovic (2014),
888
+ we present corroborating balance diagnostic test results in Table 5.5. Those results show insignificant
889
+ Chi-squared statistics, which confirm that the first step of the doubly robust model successfully balanced
890
+ the covariates by weighting.
891
+
892
+ 23
893
+ Figure 5.1 Overlap plots for covariate distributions of households with access and those without
894
+ access to clean water and energy sources
895
+ Clean water access Reliable energy access
896
+ Clean water and
897
+ reliable energy access
898
+
899
+ Source: Authors’ analysis.
900
+ Table 5.5 Covariate balancing test results
901
+ Treatment variable Chi-squared p-value
902
+ Food security
903
+ Access to clean water sources 68.74 0.7865
904
+ Access to reliable energy sources 46.48 0.1130
905
+ Access to clean water and reliable energy sources 8.66 0.9997
906
+ Household health status
907
+ Access to clean water sources 71.09 0.7848
908
+ Access to reliable energy sources 46.52 0.1127
909
+ Access to clean water and reliable energy sources 8.65 0.9997
910
+ Source: Authors’ analysis.
911
+ The results in Table 5.6 show that access to clean water is positively correlated with food security and
912
+ health. However, the treatment effect estimate is only significant for the health status of the household—
913
+ households with access to clean water have a 54 percent higher likelihood of having better health status
914
+ than households without access. On the other hand, access to reliable energy is positively and
915
+ significantly correlated with both the food security and the health status of households. Specifically, the
916
+ analysis shows that households using reliable energy sources have a 19 percent and 72 percent higher
917
+ likelihood of having better food security and health status, respectively, than households without access to
918
+ reliable energy. Furthermore, households with access to both clean water and reliable energy sources
919
+ show positive correlations with both food security and health status, though only the effect on health
920
+ status is marginally statistically significant, with a 46 percent higher likelihood of having better health
921
+ status than households with access to neither clean water nor reliable energy.
922
+ 0
923
+ 2
924
+ 4
925
+ 6
926
+ 8
927
+ D
928
+ en
929
+ si
930
+ ty
931
+ 0 .2 .4 .6 .8 1
932
+ Propensity score for water access
933
+ Not Improved Improved
934
+ 0
935
+ 10
936
+ 20
937
+ 30
938
+ 40
939
+ D
940
+ en
941
+ si
942
+ ty
943
+ 0 .2 .4 .6 .8 1
944
+ Propensity score for improved energy access
945
+ Not Improved Improved
946
+ 0
947
+ 10
948
+ 20
949
+ 30
950
+ 40
951
+ 50
952
+ D
953
+ en
954
+ si
955
+ ty
956
+ 0 .2 .4 .6 .8 1
957
+ Propensity score for improved water and energy access
958
+ Not Improved Improved
959
+ 24
960
+ Table 5.6 Effects of improved water and improved energy on household food security and health
961
+ Outcome
962
+ Variable
963
+ Clean
964
+ water access
965
+ Reliable
966
+ energy access
967
+ Both clean water and
968
+ reliable energy access
969
+ ATET
970
+ Robust
971
+ SE
972
+ ATET in
973
+ % ATET
974
+ Robust
975
+ SE
976
+ ATET in
977
+ % ATET
978
+ Robust
979
+ SE
980
+ ATET in
981
+ %
982
+ Food security (1/0) 0.082 0.024 118.5 0.446*** 0.052 19.0 0.054 0.050 23.5
983
+ Health status (1/0) 0.025* 0.018 54.4 0.047*** 0.021 72.4 0. 060* 0.032 46.2
984
+ Source: Authors’ analysis.
985
+ Notes: ***p < 0.01, **p < 0.05, *p < 0.1.
986
+ ATET = “average treatment effect on the treated”, SE = “standard error”.
987
+ These findings align with the research literature indicating that access to clean water and reliable
988
+ energy sources is crucial for enhancing household well-being. For instance, Hutton and Haller (2004)
989
+ found that access to clean water and sanitation reduces the incidence of waterborne diseases, thereby
990
+ improving overall health. Similarly, the World Health Organization (WHO 2006) reported that improved
991
+ and more reliable energy sources, such as electricity and clean cooking fuels, reduce indoor air pollution
992
+ and related health risks, contributing to better health outcomes. Additionally, studies by Guarcello, Lyon,
993
+ and Rosati (2008) show that clean water and reliable energy infrastructure can enhance food security by
994
+ increasing agricultural productivity and reducing the time burden on household members, particularly
995
+ women, allowing them more time for food production and other income-generating activities.
996
+ 25
997
+ 6 CONCLUSIONS AND POLICY RECOMMENDATIONS
998
+ This study explored the determinants of household access to clean water and reliable energy in Sudan,
999
+ drawing on data from the 2022 Sudan Labor Market Panel Survey. By employing binary logistic
1000
+ regression models and the doubly robust estimation technique, the analysis revealed critical insights into
1001
+ the disparities in household access to these essential resources and their impact on food security and
1002
+ health outcomes.
1003
+ The analysis identified several key determinants of the access of households to clean water and
1004
+ reliable energy in Sudan. Urban households are significantly more likely to have access to these resources
1005
+ than rural ones, highlighting the urban-rural divide. Education also emerged as a crucial determinant, with
1006
+ higher educational attainment by the head of the household being strongly associated with better access
1007
+ by the household to both water and energy. Wealthier households were found to have a greater ability to
1008
+ secure clean water and reliable energy services, underscoring the importance of economic resources in
1009
+ obtaining these essential services. Additionally, regional disparities were evident, particularly in the
1010
+ Darfur and Kordofan states, where access to clean water and reliable energy is notably lower compared to
1011
+ other states. These findings underscore the urgent need for targeted interventions to ensure equitable
1012
+ access to essential services across Sudan.
1013
+ The impact of access to clean water and reliable energy on food security and health outcomes was also
1014
+ a key focus of this study. The results indicated that households with access to improved energy were more
1015
+ likely to experience better food security and health outcomes. In contrast, access to improved water was
1016
+ strongly associated with better health outcomes, but a less important driver of improved household food
1017
+ security. These findings align with the broader literature, emphasizing the importance of clean water and
1018
+ reliable energy access in enhancing household well-being and reducing vulnerability to health risks.
1019
+ Given the disparities and the critical role of water and energy access in improving livelihoods, several
1020
+ policy recommendations emerge from these findings. There is a pressing need for investments in rural
1021
+ infrastructure, particularly in the water and energy sectors. Expanding access to these services in rural
1022
+ areas can significantly enhance living standards and economic opportunities, helping to bridge the urban-
1023
+ rural divide. Strengthening educational systems, particularly in rural areas, should be a priority. Education
1024
+ is a powerful tool in improving access to essential services, as higher educational attainment is closely
1025
+ linked to better access to water and energy. Policies aimed at improving educational outcomes could have
1026
+ a multiplier effect on household welfare and access to resources.
1027
+ Enhancing household incomes through economic growth and poverty reduction strategies is vital.
1028
+ Wealth is a significant determinant of access to clean water and reliable energy. Policies that promote
1029
+ 26
1030
+ economic development and reduce poverty can help more households secure these essential services.
1031
+ Significant regional disparities in the access households have to clean water and reliable energy require
1032
+ targeted interventions to eliminate. These should include investments in infrastructure, improved
1033
+ governance, and tailored public services that address the unique challenges faced by disadvantaged
1034
+ regions. Such comprehensive development strategies are necessary to mitigate the compounded
1035
+ deprivations experienced by households in these areas.
1036
+ In conclusion, addressing the multifaceted challenges of water and energy access by households in
1037
+ Sudan is critical for improving the quality of life for all its citizens. By implementing the recommended
1038
+ policy measures, Sudan can make significant strides toward achieving equitable access to essential
1039
+ services, thereby fostering greater social and economic development across the country.
1040
+
1041
+ 27
1042
+ REFERENCES
1043
+ Adams, E.A., G.O. Boateng, and J.A. Amoyaw. 2016. “Socioeconomic and Demographic Predictors of Potable
1044
+ Water and Sanitation Access in Ghana.” Social Indicators Research, 126: 673–687.
1045
+ https://doi.org/10.1007/s11205-015-0912-y
1046
+ Adil, S., M. Nadeem, and I. Malik. 2021.” Exploring the Important Determinants of Access to safe Drinking
1047
+ Water and Improved Sanitation in Punjab, Pakistan.” Water Policy, 23 (4): 970–984.
1048
+ https://doi.org/10.2166/wp.2021.001
1049
+ Alema, Y., and E. Demekeb. 2020. “The Persistence of Energy Poverty: A Dynamic Probit Analysis.” Energy
1050
+ Economics, 90: 104789. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eneco.2020.104789
1051
+ Antunes, M., and R. Martins. 2020. “Determinants of Access to Improved Water Sources: Meeting the
1052
+ MDGs.” Utilities Policy, 63: 101019. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jup.2020.101019
1053
+ Bamou Tankoua, L. 2021. “Determinants of Access, Use and Sustainability of Improved Water Sources by
1054
+ Households in Cameroon.” In Leal Filho, W., R. Pretorius, and L.O. de Sousa (eds). Sustainable
1055
+ Development in Africa. World Sustainability Series. Cham: Springer. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-
1056
+ 74693-3_23
1057
+ Behera, B., D.B. Rahut, and N. Sethi. 2020. “Analysis of Household Access to Drinking Water, Sanitation, and
1058
+ Waste Disposal Services in Urban Areas of Nepal.” Utilities Policy, 62: 100996.
1059
+ https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jup.2019.100996
1060
+ Cafiero, C., S. Viviani, and M. Nord. 2018. "Food Security Measurement in a Global Context: The Food
1061
+ Insecurity Experience Scale." Measurement 116: 146-152.
1062
+ https://doi.org/10.1016/j.measurement.2017.10.065.
1063
+ Connell, A. 2017. “Water Access is a Gender Equality Issue.” New York: Council on Foreign Relations.
1064
+ https://www.cfr.org/blog/water-access-gender-equality-issue
1065
+ FAO (Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations). 2021. "The Food Insecurity Experience
1066
+ Scale." Voices of the Hungry—The Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO).
1067
+ https://www.fao.org/in-action/voices-of-the-hungry/fies/en/.
1068
+ Filmer, D., & Pritchett, L. H. (2001). Estimating wealth effects without expenditure data—or tears: An
1069
+ application to educational enrollments in states of India. Demography, 38(1), 115-132.
1070
+ Guarcello, L., S. Lyon, and F.C. Rosati. 2008. Child Labour and Education for All: An Issue Paper.
1071
+ Understanding Children's Work Project working paper series. Washington, DC: World Bank.
1072
+ http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/320611468315295389/Child-labour-and-education-for-all-an-
1073
+ issue-paper .
1074
+ Hlahla, S. 2022. “Gender Perspectives of the Water, Energy, Land, and Food Security Nexus in Sub-Saharan
1075
+ Africa.” Frontiers in Sustainable Food Systems, 6: 719913. https://doi.org/10.3389/fsufs.2022.719913
1076
+ Hutton, G., and L. Haller. 2004. Evaluation of the Costs and Benefits of Water and Sanitation Improvements at
1077
+ the Global Level. Geneva: World Health Organization.
1078
+ https://iris.who.int/bitstream/handle/10665/68568/WHO_SDE_WSH_04.04.pdf
1079
+ IEA, IRENA, UNSD, World Bank, and WHO (International Energy Agency, International Renewable Energy
1080
+ Agency, United Nations Statistics Division, World Bank, and World Health Organization). 2023. Tracking
1081
+ SDG 7: The Energy Progress Report. Washington, DC: World Bank.
1082
+ https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/9b89065a-ccb4-404c-a53e-084982768baf/SDG7-Report2023-
1083
+ FullReport.pdf.
1084
+ IFPRI and UNDP (International Food Policy Research Institute and United Nations Development Programme).
1085
+ 2024. Livelihoods in Sudan Amid Armed Conflict: Evidence from a National Rural Household Survey.
1086
+ Washington, DC and New York: IFPRI and UNDP. https://hdl.handle.net/10568/140797
1087
+ Imai, K., and M. Ratkovic. 2014. “Covariate Balancing Propensity Score.” Journal of the Royal Statistical
1088
+ Society. B 76 (1): 243–263.
1089
+ 28
1090
+ Imbens, G.W. 2004. “Nonparametric Estimation of Average Treatment Effects Under Exogeneity: A Review.”
1091
+ The Review of Economics and Statistics, 86 (1): 4–29.
1092
+ Imbens, G.W., and J.M. Wooldridge. 2009. “Recent Developments in the Econometrics of Program
1093
+ Evaluation.” Journal of Economic Literature, 47 (1): 5–86.
1094
+ https://www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=10.1257/jel.47.1.5
1095
+ Kayser, G.L, N. Rao, R. Jose, and A. Raj. 2019. “Water, Sanitation and Hygiene: Measuring Gender Equality
1096
+ and Empowerment.” Bulletin of the World Health Organization, 97 (6): 438–440.
1097
+ http://dx.doi.org/10.2471/BLT.18.223305
1098
+ Köhlin, G., E.O. Sills, S.K. Pattanayak, and C. Wilfon. 2011. Energy, Gender and Development: What Are the
1099
+ Linkages? Where is the Evidence? World Bank Policy Research Working Paper 5800. Washington, DC:
1100
+ World Bank.
1101
+ Krafft, C., R. Assaad, and R. Cheung. 2023. Introducing the Sudan Labor Market Panel Survey 2022.
1102
+ Economic Research Forum (ERF) Working Paper No. 1647. Giza, Egypt: ERF.
1103
+ https://erf.org.eg/app/uploads/2023/08/1694936971_591_2459234_1647.pdf
1104
+ Nkiaka, E., R.G. Bryant, S. Manda, and M. Okumah. 2022. «A Quantitative Understanding of the State and
1105
+ Determinants of Water-Energy-Food Security in Africa.” Environmental Science and Policy, 137: 187–198.
1106
+ https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsci.2022.12.015
1107
+ O’Brien, M. 2023 “A Reality Check Which Ignites #Foreverychild—Striving for Universal Access to Water in
1108
+ Sudan.” Khartoum: UNICEF–Sudan. https://www.unicef.org/sudan/press-releases/reality-check-which-
1109
+ ignites-foreverychild-striving-universal-access-water-sudan
1110
+ Pueyo, A. and M. Maestre. 2019. “Linking Energy Access, Gender and Poverty: A Review of the Literature on
1111
+ Productive Uses of Energy.” Energy Research and Social Science 53: 170–181.
1112
+ https://doi.org/10.1016/j.erss.2019.02.019
1113
+ Ringler, C., A. Bhaduri, and R. Lawford. 2013. “The Nexus across Water, Energy, Land and Food (WELF):
1114
+ Potential for Improved Resource Use Efficiency?” Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability, 5 (6):
1115
+ 617–624. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cosust.2013.11.002
1116
+ Saputri, N.K., L.D. Setyonugroho, and D. Hartono. 2024. “Exploring the Determinants of Energy Poverty in
1117
+ Indonesia’s Households: Empirical Evidence from the 2015–2019 SUSENAS.” Humanities and Social
1118
+ Sciences Communications, 11 (60). https://doi.org/10.1057/s41599-023-02514-z
1119
+ Smith, K., J. Rogers, and S.C. Cowlin. 2005. Household Fuels and Ill-Health in Developing Countries: What
1120
+ Improvements Can Be Brought by LP Gas. Paris: World LP Gas Association and Intermediate Technology
1121
+ Development Group.
1122
+ UNDP (United Nations Development Programme). 2024. “Human Development Reports | Human
1123
+ Development Index (HDI)”. New York: UNDP. https://hdr.undp.org/data-center/human-development-
1124
+ index#/indicies/HDI
1125
+ UNICEF (United Nations Children’s Fund). 2017. “World Water Day: 68 Percent of Sudan’s Population With
1126
+ Access to Basic Improved Drinking Water.” Khartoum: UNICEF Sudan.
1127
+ https://reliefweb.int/report/sudan/world-water-day-68-percent-sudan-s-population-access-basic-improved-
1128
+ drinking-water-enar
1129
+ UNICEF (United Nations Children’s Fund). 2023. Sudan—Humanitarian Action for Children, 2023.
1130
+ Khartoum: UNICEF Sudan. https://www.unicef.org/media/131721/file/2023-HAC-Sudan(1).pdf
1131
+ UNICEF and WHO (United Nations Children’s Fund and World Health Organization). 2023. Progress on
1132
+ Household Drinking Water, Sanitation and Hygiene 2000–2022: Special Focus on Gender. New York:
1133
+ UNICEF and WHO.
1134
+ Villamor, G.B., G. Dawit, D. Utkur, and M. Alisher. 2018. Gender Specific Perspectives Among Smallholder
1135
+ Farm Households on Water-Energy-Food Security Nexus Issues in Ethiopia. ZEF-Discussion Papers on
1136
+ Development Policy No. 258. Bonn: Center for Development Research (ZEF), University of Bonn.
1137
+ https://www.zef.de/uploads/tx_zefnews/zef_dp_258.pdf
1138
+ 29
1139
+ Vyas, S., & Kumaranayake, L. (2006). Constructing socio-economic status indices: How to use principal
1140
+ component analysis. Health Policy and Planning, 21(6), 459-468.
1141
+ WHO (World Health Organization). 2006. Fuel for Life: Household Energy and Health. Geneva: WHO Press.
1142
+ WLPGA (World Liquefied Petroleum Gas Association). 2014. World LPG Association—Annual Report 2014.
1143
+ Neuilly-sur-Seine, France:WLPGA. https://www.worldliquidgas.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/01/wlpga-
1144
+ ar2014.pdf
1145
+ Wooldridge, J.M. 2010. Econometric Analysis of Cross Section and Panel Data. second ed. Cambridge, MA:
1146
+ MIT Press.
1147
+ World Bank. 2017. “Putting Clean Cooking on the Front Burner.” Washington, DC: World Bank.
1148
+ https://www.worldbank.org/en/news/feature/2017/12/21/putting-clean-cooking-on-the-front-burner
1149
+ World Bank. 2024. “DataBank | Metadata Glossary | Government Effectiveness: Estimate” Washington, DC:
1150
+ World Bank. https://databank.worldbank.org/metadataglossary/worldwide-governance-
1151
+ indicators/series/GE.EST
1152
+ WSP (Water and Sanitation Program). 2010. Gender in Water and Sanitation. Nairobi: WSP, World Bank.
1153
+ https://resources.peopleinneed.net/documents/301-wsp-2010-mainstreaming-gender-in-water-and-
1154
+ sanitation.pdf
1155
+
1156
+
1157
+ ALL IFPRI DISCUSSION PAPERS
1158
+
1159
+
1160
+ All discussion papers are available here
1161
+
1162
+ They can be downloaded free of charge.
1163
+
1164
+
1165
+
1166
+
1167
+
1168
+
1169
+
1170
+
1171
+
1172
+
1173
+
1174
+
1175
+
1176
+
1177
+
1178
+
1179
+
1180
+
1181
+
1182
+
1183
+
1184
+
1185
+
1186
+
1187
+
1188
+
1189
+
1190
+
1191
+
1192
+
1193
+
1194
+
1195
+ INTERNATIONAL FOOD POLICY RESEARCH INSTITUTE
1196
+ www.ifpri.org
1197
+
1198
+ IFPRI HEADQUARTERS
1199
+ 1201 Eye Street, NW
1200
+ Washington, DC 20005 USA
1201
+ Tel.: +1-202-862-5600
1202
+ Fax: +1-202-862-5606
1203
+ Email: ifpri@cgiar.org
1204
+
data/part_2/0279944426.md ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,30 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ # Stuck in the middle? Structural change and productivity growth in Botswana
2
+
3
+ **Source:** gardian_index
4
+ **URL:** https://cgspace.cgiar.org/rest/bitstreams/34db90d8-0bf9-4d98-b6e1-d38ca8e3537f/retrieve
5
+ **Language:** English
6
+ **Resource Type:** Scientific Publication
7
+ **Release Year:** 2017
8
+ **Rights:** CC-BY-NC-ND
9
+ **GARDIAN ID:** d2d5bb906946a2d6d75fc6150618837c
10
+ **DataNODE ID:** 9d0220e91da0e2b3f0e43747cb762c72
11
+ **Siever ID:** 9d638e8a-0058-4334-938b-68091ebc8e4d
12
+ **Token Count:** 153
13
+ **Page Count:** 0
14
+
15
+ ## Keywords
16
+
17
+ structural adjustment, education, trade liberalization, economic growth, economic development, health, institutions, trade policies, productivity, structural change, world bank, growth
18
+
19
+ ## Geography
20
+
21
+ - **Regions:** Southern Africa, Sub-Saharan Africa, Africa, World, Eastern Asia, Asia, Northern America, Americas
22
+ - **Countries:** United States of America, China, Botswana
23
+
24
+ ## Description
25
+
26
+ In 1966 when Botswana gained independence, it was one of the poorest countries in the world. But by 1986, Botswana had achieved middle-income status, and in 2005, the World Bank classified it as an upper-middle-income country. The only other country to enjoy such rapid economic growth over such a long period is China—an average of 9 percent between 1968 and 2010. Botswana has also maintained democracy throughout its recent history, and this combination of economic and political success has earned it the reputation of an “African success story” (Acemoglu, Johnson, and Robinson 2002). Botswana’s rapid economic growth has nonetheless left many individuals behind. Unemployment is a major issue, particularly among the young. Income inequality is extremely high, as is poverty. As such, it is important to understand the sources of Botswana’s economic growth to better appreciate where it may come from in the future and what prospects it has for being more inclusive.
27
+
28
+ ## Content
29
+
30
+ In 1966 when Botswana gained independence, it was one of the poorest countries in the world. But by 1986, Botswana had achieved middle-income status, and in 2005, the World Bank classified it as an upper-middle-income country. The only other country to enjoy such rapid economic growth over such a long period is China—an average of 9 percent between 1968 and 2010. Botswana has also maintained democracy throughout its recent history, and this combination of economic and political success has earned it the reputation of an “African success story” (Acemoglu, Johnson, and Robinson 2002). Botswana’s rapid economic growth has nonetheless left many individuals behind. Unemployment is a major issue, particularly among the young. Income inequality is extremely high, as is poverty. As such, it is important to understand the sources of Botswana’s economic growth to better appreciate where it may come from in the future and what prospects it has for being more inclusive.
data/part_2/0283579097.md ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,346 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ # Biofortification: harnessing agricultural technology to improve the health of the poor
2
+
3
+ **Source:** gardian_index
4
+ **URL:** https://cgspace.cgiar.org/rest/bitstreams/103d768d-c720-4d2e-870f-41653a8d9b82/retrieve
5
+ **Language:** English
6
+ **Resource Type:** Brief
7
+ **Release Year:** 2002
8
+ **Rights:** N/A
9
+ **GARDIAN ID:** fd46af38ef9d5ea5fa814415c47d180e
10
+ **DataNODE ID:** 015a3f5f2cf345c882586ee487ad2611
11
+ **Siever ID:** bb8dadaa-a0c1-4dcb-a8d3-5bdd14ff11c9
12
+ **Token Count:** 1912
13
+ **Page Count:** 0
14
+
15
+ ## Keywords
16
+
17
+ crops, nutrition, genetic engineering, plant breeding, innovation, nutritional disorders, malnutrition, rice, maize, wheat, vitamin deficiencies, iron deficiency chlorosis, trace elements, developing countries
18
+
19
+ ## Description
20
+
21
+ This brief discusses a new breed of ultra-nourishing crops capable of alleviating malnutrition in even the most hard-to-reach populations—crops such as rice loaded with iron, maize packed with zinc, and wheat strengthened with vitamin A. These staples would need no commercial fortification, and could be grown on family plots throughout the developing world. It is now possible to breed plants for increased vitamin and mineral content, making “biofortified™” crops one of the most promising new tools in the fight to end malnutrition and save lives. The authors conclude that biofortification makes sense as part of an integrated food systems approach to reducing malnutrition. It addresses the root causes of micronutrient malnutrition, targets the poorest people, uses built-in delivery mechanisms, is scientifically feasible and cost-effective, and complements other on-going methods of dealing with micronutrient deficiencies.
22
+
23
+ ## Content
24
+
25
+ S
26
+ uch crops are no longer imaginary.
27
+ It is now possible to breed plants for
28
+ increased vitamin and mineral content,
29
+ making “biofortified™” crops one of the
30
+ most promising new tools in the fight to end
31
+ malnutrition and save lives.
32
+ Micronutrient Malnutrition:
33
+ The Hidden Hunger
34
+ More than 840 million people do not have
35
+ enough food to meet their basic daily energy
36
+ needs. Far more—an estimated 3 billion—suffer
37
+ the insidious effects of micronutrient deficien-
38
+ cies because they lack money to buy enough
39
+ meat, fish, fruits, lentils, and vegetables.
40
+ Women and children in Sub-
41
+ Saharan Africa, South and
42
+ Southeast Asia, Latin America
43
+ and the Caribbean are
44
+ especially at risk of
45
+ disease, premature
46
+ death, and
47
+ impaired cognitive
48
+ abilities because
49
+ of diets poor in
50
+ crucial
51
+ nutrients,
52
+ particularly
53
+ iron, vitamin
54
+ A, iodine, and
55
+ zinc.
56
+ Current efforts to combat micronutrient
57
+ malnutrition in the developing world focus on
58
+ providing vitamin and mineral supplements for
59
+ pregnant women and young children, and on
60
+ fortifying foods through post-production pro-
61
+ cessing. These approaches have accomplished
62
+ much. In regions with adequate infrastructure
63
+ and well-established markets for food process-
64
+ ing and delivery, food fortification has greatly
65
+ improved the micronutrient intake of vulnerable
66
+ populations, particularly the urban poor.
67
+ Unfortunately, there are limits to commercial
68
+ fortification and supplementation. In the
69
+ poorest countries, consumption of commercially
70
+ fortified foods is minimal.
71
+ Furthermore, the recurrent
72
+ costs associated with supple-
73
+ mentation and commercial
74
+ fortification are signifi-
75
+ cant.
76
+ By conservative
77
+ estimates, providing
78
+ vitamin A supple-
79
+ ments and iron-
80
+ fortified foods to one
81
+ half of those in
82
+ need would cost
83
+ $100 million every
84
+ year in South Asia
85
+ alone.
86
+ BIOFORTIFICATIONHARNESSING AGRICULTURAL TECHNOLOGY
87
+ TO IMPROVE THE HEALTH OF THE POOR
88
+ Plant Breeding to Combat Micronutrient Deficiency
89
+ Imagine a new breed of ultra-nourishing crops capable of alleviating malnutrition
90
+ in even the most hard-to-reach populations—crops such as rice loaded with iron,
91
+ maize packed with zinc, and wheat strengthened with vitamin A. These staples
92
+ would need no commercial fortification, and could be grown on family plots
93
+ throughout the developing world.
94
+ BIOFORTIFICATION:
95
+ A New Paradigm for Agriculture and
96
+ a Tool for Improved Human Health
97
+ The introduction of biofortified crops—varieties
98
+ bred for increased mineral and vitamin
99
+ content—would complement existing nutrition
100
+ approaches by offering a sustainable and low-
101
+ cost way to reach people with poor access to
102
+ formal markets or health care systems.
103
+ Biofortification can provide ongoing benefits
104
+ throughout the developing world at a fraction
105
+ of the recurring cost of either supplementation
106
+ or post-production fortification.
107
+ The biofortification approach is backed by
108
+ sound science. Research funded by Danish
109
+ International Development Assistance (Danida)
110
+ and coordinated by the International Food
111
+ Policy Research Institute (IFPRI) has examined
112
+ the feasibility of a plant breeding approach for
113
+ improving the micronutrient content of staple
114
+ crops and found that:
115
+ • substantial useful genetic variation exists in
116
+ key staple crops;
117
+ • breeding programs can readily manage
118
+ nutritional quality traits, which for some
119
+ crops are highly heritable and simple to
120
+ screen for;
121
+ • desired traits are sufficiently stable across a
122
+ wide range of growing environments; and
123
+ • traits for high nutrient content can be
124
+ combined with superior agronomic charac-
125
+ teristics and high yields.
126
+ The ability of crop research to screen for and
127
+ improve the nutrient content of staple crops
128
+ has also been amply demonstrated by the
129
+ Future Harvest international agricultural
130
+ research institutes and their partners. Ability
131
+ exists today to further improve and more
132
+ widely disseminate these crucial varieties:
133
+ • Iron-rich rice (International Rice Research
134
+ Institute, Philippines)
135
+ • Quality protein maize (International Maize
136
+ and Wheat Improvement Center, Mexico)
137
+ • High-carotene sweet potato (International
138
+ Potato Center, Peru)
139
+ • High-carotene cassava (International Center
140
+ for Tropical Agriculture, Colombia)
141
+ Biofortified Crops for
142
+ Improved Human Nutrition
143
+ It is time to move forward with a strong
144
+ program to develop nutrient-rich crop
145
+ varieties, demonstrate their impact on
146
+ human nutrition, and distribute them to the
147
+ people who need them most.
148
+ These tasks will be accomplished by a new
149
+ international coalition bringing together an
150
+ extraordinary range of knowledge and ability,
151
+ including expertise in plant breeding, plant genomics,
152
+ human nutrition, social behavior, and policy analysis. CIAT and
153
+ IFPRI will coordinate the plant breeding, nutrition, crop dissemi-
154
+ nation, and policy analysis activities, which will be carried out at
155
+ eight international agricultural research centers, numerous
156
+ national agricultural research and extension institutions, and
157
+ departments of plant science and human nutrition at universities
158
+ in developing and developed countries. Nongovernmental organi-
159
+ zations (NGOs) in developed and developing countries, farmer
160
+ organizations, and private sector partnerships will strengthen the
161
+ alliance and provide linkages to consumers.
162
+ Initial biofortification efforts will focus on six staple crops for
163
+ which prebreeding feasibility studies have been completed: beans,
164
+ cassava, maize, rice, sweet potatoes, and wheat.The project will
165
+ also examine the potential for nutrient enhancement in 11
166
+ additional crops important in the diets of those suffering from
167
+ micronutrient deficiencies: bananas, barley, cowpeas, groundnuts,
168
+ lentils, millet, pigeon peas, plantains, potatoes, sorghum, and yams.
169
+ The objectives of the biofortification project are bold but realistic:
170
+ SHORT TERM (1-4 years)
171
+ • Determine nutritionally optimal breeding objectives.
172
+ • Screen CGIAR germplasm for high iron, zinc, and beta-carotene
173
+ levels. Initiate crosses of high-yielding adapted germplasm for
174
+ selected crops. Clarify genotype-by-environment interactions
175
+ and cultural and food processing practices, and their effect on
176
+ micronutrient content and bioavailability.
177
+ • Discern the genetics of high micronutrient levels, and identify
178
+ markers available to facilitate the transfer of traits through
179
+ conventional or novel means or both. Undertake in vitro and
180
+ animal studies of the bioavailability of enhanced micronutrients
181
+ in promising lines.
182
+ • Begin bioefficacy studies to determine biofortified crops’ effect
183
+ on micronutrient status of human subjects.
184
+ • Initiate study of trends in the dietary quality of poor people
185
+ and the underlying factors driving these trends.
186
+ • Conduct benefit-cost analysis of plant breeding and of other
187
+ food-based interventions to reduce micronutrient malnutrition.
188
+ The Future HarvestSM centers, located around the
189
+ scientists, and policymakers to help alleviate pover
190
+ resource base. The Future HarvestSM centers are pri
191
+ tions, and regional and international organization
192
+ Agricultural Research (CGIAR).
193
+ Once the genes controlling nutrient levels have
194
+ been identified, marker-assisted selection can
195
+ be used to transfer genes for high content of
196
+ desired micronutrients into new varieties.
197
+ Meanwhile, researchers will begin to measure
198
+ the impacts of micronutrient-rich varieties on
199
+ human nutrition.
200
+ Winning Acceptance of Biofortified Crops
201
+ A major advantage of biofortification is that this
202
+ strategy does not require a change in behavior
203
+ by farmers or consumers. The crops are
204
+ already widely produced and consumed by poor
205
+ households in the developing world. Changes in
206
+ mineral content will not necessarily alter their
207
+ appearance, taste, texture, or cooking qualities.
208
+ In cases where scientists can combine high
209
+ micronutrient content with high yield, farmer
210
+ adoption and market success of nutritionally
211
+ improved varieties is virtually guaranteed. In
212
+ fact, research showing that high levels of trace
213
+ minerals in seeds also aid plant nutrition has
214
+ fueled expectations of increased productivity in
215
+ biofortified strains.
216
+ MEDIUM TERM (5-7 years)
217
+ • Continue bioefficacy studies to determine how improved
218
+ varieties affect the micronutrient status of human subjects in
219
+ test sites in Africa,Asia, and Latin America.
220
+ • Initiate farmer participatory breeding.
221
+ • Adapt high-yielding, conventionally bred, micronutrient-dense
222
+ lines for South Asia, East Africa, Central America, and Brazil.
223
+ • Release new conventionally biofortified varieties to farmers.
224
+ • Identify gene systems with potential for increasing nutritional
225
+ value beyond traditional breeding methods.
226
+ • Produce transgenic lines at experimental level and screen for
227
+ micronutrients.Test for compliance with biosafety regulations.
228
+ • Implement effective social marketing and communications to
229
+ promote nutritionally improved varieties.
230
+ • Begin production and distribution of improved varieties.
231
+ LONG TERM (8-10 years)
232
+ • Scale up production and distribution of improved varieties.
233
+ • Undertake nutritional impact studies to identify factors affecting
234
+ the adoption of biofortified crops, the impact on household
235
+ resources, and the health effects on individuals.
236
+ Through the deployment of just six micronutrient-enhanced
237
+ staple crops the biofortification approach could reach roughly 90
238
+ percent of the population at risk from micronutrient malnutrition
239
+ in the developing world.Achieving these objectives will require a
240
+ one-time investment of about $8 million per major staple crop
241
+ over 10 years.These investments not only will generate returns
242
+ in the billions of dollars, but also will improve the health and lives
243
+ of billions of people.
244
+ AN INTERNATIONAL CONSORTIUM OF COLLABORATIVE PARTNERS
245
+ Collaborating Future HarvestSM Research Centers:
246
+ International Center for Tropical Agriculture (CIAT), International Maize and
247
+ Wheat Improvement Center (CIMMYT), International Potato Center (CIP),
248
+ International Center for Agricultural Research in the Dry Areas (ICARDA),
249
+ International Crops Research Institute for the Semi-Arid Tropics (ICRISAT),
250
+ International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI®), International Institute
251
+ of Tropical Agriculture (IITA), International Rice Research Institute (IRRI).
252
+ Partner Collaborating Institutions:
253
+ National agricultural research systems (NARS) in developing countries;
254
+ departments of human nutrition in developing- and developed-country
255
+ universities; NGOs; University of Adelaide; University of Freiburg; Michigan
256
+ State University; Plant, Soil, and Nutrition Laboratory, U.S. Department of
257
+ Agriculture, Agricultural Research Service (USDA-ARS); Childrens' Nutrition
258
+ Research Center, USDA-ARS.
259
+ Research Generously Supported By:
260
+ Asian Development Bank (ADB), Australian Center for International
261
+ Agricultural Research (ACIAR), Danish International Development
262
+ Assistance (DANIDA), Micronutrients Initiative (MI), and the U.S. Agency
263
+ for International Development (USAID).
264
+ e world, conduct research in partnership with farmers,
265
+ rty and increase food security while protecting the natural
266
+ incipally funded through the 58 countries, private founda-
267
+ ns that make up the Consultative Group on International CGIAR
268
+ One way to ensure that farmers will like the
269
+ new varieties is to give them a say in what
270
+ traits are bred into the plants. Experience
271
+ suggests that “participatory plant breeding,”
272
+ in which scientists take farmers’ perspectives
273
+ and preferences into account during the
274
+ breeding process, can sometimes be more
275
+ cost-effective than confining breeding to
276
+ research stations.
277
+ Distributing the New Varieties
278
+ A common problem faced by supplementation
279
+ and fortification programs is the lack of
280
+ delivery systems to get products to the poorest
281
+ people. This constraint is being met through
282
+ seed-based technologies inherent in the biofor-
283
+ tification approach. When households grow
284
+ micronutrient-rich crops, the delivery system
285
+ is built into the existing food
286
+ production and marketing
287
+ process. Little intervention or
288
+ investment is needed once
289
+ farmers have adopted the new
290
+ seed. And micronutrient-
291
+ rich seed can easily be
292
+ saved and shared by
293
+ even the poorest
294
+ households.
295
+ Through their ongoing
296
+ work with seed systems
297
+ and their contributions to
298
+ disaster-response, Future
299
+ Harvest centers have gained valuable experi-
300
+ ence in building and promoting local seed
301
+ distribution systems. These established
302
+ systems offer a natural route for disseminat-
303
+ ing biofortified seed. Local agricultural
304
+ research committees and small farmer seed
305
+ enterprises, in particular, will play a crucial
306
+ role in getting micronutrient-rich varieties into
307
+ the hands of growers.
308
+ It Makes Sense
309
+ The ultimate solution to eradicating malnutri-
310
+ tion in developing countries, of course, is to
311
+ substantially increase the consumption of
312
+ meat, fish, fruits, legumes, and vegetables
313
+ among the poor. Achieving this will take many
314
+ decades and untold billions of dollars.
315
+ Meanwhile, biofortification makes sense as
316
+ part of an integrated food systems approach to
317
+ reducing malnutrition. It addresses the root
318
+ causes of micronutrient malnutrition, targets
319
+ the poorest people, uses built-in delivery
320
+ mechanisms, is scientifically feasible and cost-
321
+ effective, and complements other on-
322
+ going methods of dealing with
323
+ micronutrient deficiencies.
324
+ It is an obvious first
325
+ step in enabling rural
326
+ households to improve
327
+ family health and
328
+ nutrition in sustain-
329
+ able ways.
330
+ Contact: Bonnie McClafferty or Nathan Russell • Email: b.mcclafferty@cgiar.org or n.russell@cgiar.org
331
+ Copyright © 2002 International Food Policy Research Institute. All rights reserved. This brief may be reproduced without the express
332
+ permission of but with acknowledgment to the International Food Policy Research Institute.
333
+ A.A. 6713,Cali, Colombia
334
+ Phone: 57-2-445-0000 (direct)
335
+ 1-650-833-6625 (via USA)
336
+ Fax: 57-2-455-0073 (direct)
337
+ 1-650-833-6626 (via USA)
338
+ E-mail: ciat@cgiar.org Web: www.ciat.cgiar.org
339
+ INTERNATIONAL FOOD
340
+ POLICY RESEARCH INSTITUTE
341
+ sustainable options for ending hunger and poverty
342
+ 2033 K Street, NW, Washington, DC 20006-1002 USA
343
+ Phone: 1-202-862-5600 Fax: 1-202-467-4439
344
+ E-mail: ifpri@cgiar.org Web: www.ifpri.org
345
+ Revised October 2002
346
+
data/part_2/0288822151.md ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,1309 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ # Land management, crop production, and household income in the highlands of Tigray, northern Ethiopia: An econometric analysis
2
+
3
+ **Source:** gardian_index
4
+ **URL:** https://cgspace.cgiar.org/rest/bitstreams/223184cf-a07c-4467-8d2b-ca16dfb18d3c/retrieve
5
+ **Language:** English
6
+ **Resource Type:** Scientific Publication
7
+ **Release Year:** 2006
8
+ **Rights:** N/A
9
+ **GARDIAN ID:** 66c601bf47c2e3297ed9c8366ae9836d
10
+ **DataNODE ID:** 0a67e1fff4a998a16331b1ba21e6b52a
11
+ **Siever ID:** 641ce93b-de5c-4531-a87e-68ff3a8ee09e
12
+ **Token Count:** 12830
13
+ **Page Count:** 0
14
+
15
+ ## Keywords
16
+
17
+ economic analysis, land management, plant production, socioeconomic environment, econometric models, households, income, highlands, nrm, research, crop production, household income
18
+
19
+ ## Geography
20
+
21
+ - **Regions:** Eastern Africa, Sub-Saharan Africa, Africa, World
22
+ - **Countries:** Ethiopia
23
+
24
+ ## Description
25
+
26
+ This paper is divided in sections. The first section deals with empirical model, methods, and hypotheses and looks into methods, data Sources, econometric approach, and predicted Impacts of selected variables. The second one discusses agriculture and land management in the highlands of Tigray with particular emphasis on biophysical and socioeconomic conditions, results of econometric analysis, and direct and indirect effects on production and income. The third section, key findings and implications examines population pressure, access to roads and markets, income strategies, irrigation, agricultural extension and credit, and endowments of physical, human, and social capital. The study is based on econometric analysis of household and plot-level surveys conducted in 100 villages in 50 tabias (the lowest administrative unit in Tigray, usually comprising four or five villages) in the highlands of Tigray during 1999-2000. It builds on a prior study based on tabia- and village-level surveys in the same communities in 1998-99 (Pender et al. 2001), which were used in the empirical work Reported in Chapter 4. This broad sample and the information collected at different levels enable investigation of the impacts of community-level factors such as population density, investments in irrigation and roads, as well as household and plot-level factors such as household wealth, education., education, land tenure, and other factors on land management and the implications for agricultural productivity and land degradation.
27
+
28
+ ## Content
29
+
30
+ C h a p t e r 5
31
+ Land Management, Crop Production,
32
+ and Household Income in the Highlands
33
+ of Tigray, Northern Ethiopia:
34
+ An Econometric Analysis
35
+ John Pender and Berhanu Gebremedhin
36
+ L ow agricultural productivity, poverty, and land degradation are critical and
37
+ closely related problems in the Ethiopian highlands. These problems are
38
+ particularly severe in the highlands of Tigray in northern Ethiopia. Cereal
39
+ yields average less than 1 ton per hectare in this region, and over half of the area of
40
+ the Tigray highlands has been characterized as severely degraded, according to one
41
+ study (Hurni 1988).1 The average farm size is only 1 hectare, and most households
42
+ subsist on incomes of less than $1 per day (based on results of the survey discussed
43
+ in this chapter).
44
+ In recognition of these problems, the regional government of Tigray has under-
45
+ taken a massive program of investment and resource conservation since the fall of
46
+ the Derg regime in 1991. The regional development strategy of conservation-based
47
+ agricultural development–led industrialization has focused on promoting conser-
48
+ vation of natural resources and improvement of agricultural productivity and wel-
49
+ fare through a broad program of rehabilitation of natural resources, investment in
50
+ infrastructure, agricultural extension, education, and other services. These efforts
51
+ built on the philosophy of self-reliance and strategies of local democratic participa-
52
+ tion and community mobilization for local conservation and development efforts
53
+ that were initiated during the struggle of the Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF)
54
+ against the Derg regime (Young 1996; Hagos, Pender, and Gebreselassie 1999; Hailu
55
+ and Haile 2001) and have been given high priority as a result of the recurrent famines
56
+ in the region.
57
+ Empirical evidence of the impacts of these policies and identification of spe-
58
+ cific areas where problems need to be addressed are needed. Addressing this infor-
59
+ mation need is the primary objective of this study.
60
+ This study is based on econometric analysis of household and plot-level sur-
61
+ veys conducted in 100 villages in 50 tabias (the lowest administrative unit in Tigray,
62
+ usually comprising four or five villages) in the highlands of Tigray during 1999–
63
+ 2000.2 It builds on a prior study based on tabia- and village-level surveys in the
64
+ same communities in 1998–99 (Pender et al. 2001a), which were used in the empir-
65
+ ical work reported in Chapter 4. This broad sample and the information collected
66
+ at different levels enable investigation of the impacts of community-level factors
67
+ such as population density, investments in irrigation and roads, as well as house-
68
+ hold and plot-level factors such as household wealth, education, land tenure, and
69
+ other factors on land management and the implications for agricultural productivity
70
+ and land degradation.
71
+ Empirical Model, Methods, and Hypotheses
72
+ Empirical Model
73
+ The key outcomes of interest in this study are agricultural production and per
74
+ capita income.3 We consider the proximate causes of each of these, including house-
75
+ hold choices regarding income strategies, land management, and other decisions,
76
+ and the underlying determinants of these choices.
77
+ Crop production. For agricultural production, we focus on the value of crop
78
+ production per hectare. We assume that the value of crop production by household
79
+ h on plot p ( yhp) is determined by the amount of inputs (labor, ox power, fertilizer,
80
+ seeds) used (INhp);4 the land management practices (manure or compost, burning,
81
+ contour plowing, reduced tillage, intercropping) used (LMhp); the “natural capital”
82
+ of the plot (NChp) (biophysical characteristics and presence of land investments);
83
+ the tenure characteristics of the plot (Thp) (how plot was acquired, i.e., whether
84
+ allocated in prior land distribution, inherited, leased [sharecropped in almost all
85
+ cases], received as gift, or borrowed); the household’s endowments of physical cap-
86
+ ital (PCh) (land, livestock, radio [reflecting access to information as well as wealth],
87
+ human capital (HCh) (education, age, and gender of household head, size of house-
88
+ hold), financial capital (use of credit and accumulation of savings), and “social cap-
89
+ ital” (SCh) (assets in form of relationships, indicated by participation in programs
90
+ 108 JOHN PENDER AND BERHANU GEBREMEDHIN
91
+ and organizations); the household’s income strategy (ISh) (primary and secondary
92
+ income sources); village-level factors that determine local comparative advantages
93
+ (Xv) (agro-ecological conditions, access to markets and infrastructure, and popula-
94
+ tion density); and random factors (uyhp):
95
+ yhp = y(INhp, LMhp, NChp, Thp, PCh, HCh, FCh, SCh, ISh, Xv, uyhp) (5.1)
96
+ Equation (5.1) is not a production function but rather a gross revenue func-
97
+ tion. As such, it aggregates the value of production per hectare of different crops
98
+ and depends on the farm-level prices of the crops produced.5 Because different
99
+ crops are produced by different households in different locations in Ethiopia, we
100
+ do not explicitly include crop prices as determinants of crop revenue per hectare;
101
+ this would result in many missing observations for farm level prices. Instead, we
102
+ assume that farm-level prices are determined by village-level factors determining
103
+ local supply, demand, and transportation costs of commodities (Xv) and household-
104
+ level factors affecting households’ transactions costs and marketing abilities (HCh,
105
+ FCh, SCh, ISh). Land tenure (Thp) can affect productivity, for example, by affect-
106
+ ing incentives to apply labor effort and other inputs to sharecropped land compared
107
+ to owner-operated land (Shaban 1987).6 Household endowments of physical cap-
108
+ ital (PCh) can also affect crop production if there are imperfect factor markets. For
109
+ example, ownership of oxen may influence crop production even after controlling
110
+ for the amount of ox labor used because owners of oxen have preferential access to
111
+ ox power at times of peak demand. In addition, agro-ecological conditions, house-
112
+ holds’ human and social capital, and their farming experience may also influence
113
+ agricultural productivity, even if these factors have no impact on prices.
114
+ Input use and land management. In equation (5.1), input use and land man-
115
+ agement are choices in the current year, determined by the natural capital and tenure
116
+ of the plot; the household’s endowments of physical, human, social, and finan-
117
+ cial capital at the beginning of the year; the household’s income strategy; agro-
118
+ ecological conditions, access to markets and infrastructure, and population density
119
+ (Xv); and unobservable factors (uINhp and uLMhp):
120
+ INhp = IN(NChp, Thp, PCh, HCh, SCh, FCh, ISh, Xv, uINhp) (5.2)
121
+ LMhp = LM(NChp, Thp, PCh, HCh, SCh, FCh, ISh, Xv, uLMhp) (5.3)
122
+ Most of the determinant factors in equations (5.2) and (5.3) are either exoge-
123
+ nous to the household (e.g., Xv) or state variables that are predetermined at the
124
+ AN ECONOMETRIC ANALYSIS IN THE HIGHLANDS OF TIGRAY 109
125
+ beginning of each year (e.g., NChp, PCh, HCh, and FCh). Income strategies may
126
+ change from year to year but are usually slow to change because of irreversible
127
+ investments in human and social capital (required for such changes as development
128
+ of new skills and investments in developing market connections are needed to
129
+ shift from subsistence to cash crop production).7 Thus, we assume that households’
130
+ current income strategies are determined by fixed or slowly changing factors and
131
+ therefore are predetermined in equations (5.1)–(5.3).
132
+ Participation in programs and organizations (SCh) and use of credit (FCh)
133
+ may be partly or wholly determined in the current year and hence potentially
134
+ affected by current decisions about input use and land management. In the econo-
135
+ metric analysis (discussed in more detail below), we use predicted participation in
136
+ programs and organizations and predicted use of credit as instrumental variables to
137
+ address this potential endogeneity concern. We predict participation in programs
138
+ and organizations and use of credit using village-level factors affecting local com-
139
+ parative advantages and placement of programs (Xv), household endowments of
140
+ land (NCh), and human capital (HCh).8 For example, membership in an agricul-
141
+ tural cadre requires literacy and some experience in modern agricultural practices,
142
+ access to credit may depend on the household’s endowment of land, and placement
143
+ of programs may depend on local comparative advantages.
144
+ SCh = SC(HCh, NCh, Xv) (5.4)
145
+ FCh = FC(HCh, NCh, Xv) (5.5)
146
+ The determinants of value of crop production will be estimated using the struc-
147
+ tural model (accounting for potential endogeneity bias, as discussed below) repre-
148
+ sented by equation (5.1) as well as in reduced form. The reduced form is obtained
149
+ by substituting equations (5.2)–(5.5) into equation (5.1):
150
+ yhp = y ′(NChp, Thp, PCh, HCh, ISh, Xv, u′yhp) (5.6)
151
+ Per capita income. We assume that household per capita income is determined
152
+ by the same endowments that determine land management and input use deci-
153
+ sions, except that plot-level factors are aggregated to the household level:9
154
+ Ih = I(NCh, Th, PCh, HCh, SCh, FCh, ISh, Xv, uIh) (5.7)
155
+ Equation (5.7) is a reduced-form equation because we do not include endoge-
156
+ nous decisions that affect income such as input use and land management practices,
157
+ 110 JOHN PENDER AND BERHANU GEBREMEDHIN
158
+ as in equation (5.1). It is not a fully reduced form, however, because it includes FCh
159
+ and SCh, which are potentially endogenous variables as noted above. These vari-
160
+ ables are included in this specification because we want to investigate the impacts
161
+ of these factors on household income. Substituting equations (5.4) and (5.5) into
162
+ equation (5.6), we also can derive the fully reduced form version of equation (5.7):
163
+ Ih = I ′(NCh, Th, PCh, HCh, ISh, Xv, u′Ih) (5.8)
164
+ Equations (5.1)–(5.8) are the basis for the econometric estimations.
165
+ Methods
166
+ Data Sources
167
+ This study is based on a survey of 500 households in 100 villages in 50 commu-
168
+ nities (tabias) in the highlands of Tigray conducted in 1999 and 2000. Tabias less
169
+ than 1,500 meters above sea level elevation were excluded from the sample frame.
170
+ A random sample of tabias was used, stratified by distance to the woreda (district)
171
+ town and whether an irrigation project was present in the tabia. Two villages were
172
+ randomly selected within each sample tabia, and five households were randomly
173
+ selected from each village. In addition to household-level information, information
174
+ was collected on all plots owned or operated by the respondent households. The
175
+ survey data were supplemented by data from tabia and village surveys on prices and
176
+ other factors, secondary data from the 1994 Population Census on the population
177
+ of each tabia, and maps of the boundaries of each tabia (used to calculate popula-
178
+ tion density).
179
+ Econometric Approach
180
+ The dependent variables analyzed in this study include the amounts of inputs used
181
+ on each plot in 1998 (labor, draft animal power, and seeds), adoption of the most
182
+ common crop and land management practices in 1998 (use of fertilizer, improved
183
+ seeds, manure or compost, burning to clear the plot, contour plowing, reduced
184
+ tillage, and intercropping or mixed cropping), the value of crop production on the
185
+ plot, per capita income of the household, and whether the household head partici-
186
+ pated in the extension program, used formal or informal credit, or participated as a
187
+ member in certain community organizations (tabia council, village council, mar-
188
+ keting cooperative, or agricultural cadre).10 The econometric model used depends
189
+ on the nature of the dependent variable. For use of labor, ox-power, and seeds, the
190
+ value of crop production, and per capita income, least-squares regressions were used.
191
+ AN ECONOMETRIC ANALYSIS IN THE HIGHLANDS OF TIGRAY 111
192
+ For explaining whether various land management practices were used, whether
193
+ the household participated in agricultural extension, various organizations, or used
194
+ credit, probit models were used.
195
+ The explanatory variables include indicators of agricultural potential (average
196
+ rainfall and altitude); population density; access to roads and markets (walking time
197
+ to nearest all-weather road and to the woreda [district] town); wealth (land and
198
+ livestock owned); human capital (gender, age, and education of household head,
199
+ and household size, a proxy for family labor endowment); income strategy (pri-
200
+ mary and secondary income source); ownership of a radio (a determinant of access
201
+ to information); availability of cash savings; household social capital (membership in
202
+ various organizations); use of formal or informal credit; contact of the household
203
+ with the agricultural extension program; and various plot-level factors, including
204
+ land use of cultivated plots11 (whether homestead, rain-fed, or irrigated), land
205
+ tenure (how plot acquired), presence of investments on the plot (stone terrace, soil
206
+ bund, fence), and several indicators of different aspects of quality of the plot (size
207
+ of plot, distance of the plot to the farmer’s residence, plot slope, position on slope,
208
+ soil depth, color, texture, and presence of gullies).
209
+ In the crop production regression and the input use regressions, we used a log-
210
+ arithmic Cobb-Douglas specification. We included interaction terms between fer-
211
+ tilizer use and presence of a stone terrace, a soil bund, or irrigation to test whether
212
+ there is complementarity between fertilizer use and these investments, because
213
+ of the expected impact of these investments on soil moisture availability. Because
214
+ inputs and land management practices are endogenous choice variables in the crop
215
+ production regression, and participation in programs and organizations and use of
216
+ credit may be endogenous, we use instrumental variables (IV) estimation, using
217
+ instruments for input use, land management practices, participation in programs
218
+ and organizations, and use of credit. We also estimate the full model using ordinary
219
+ least squares (OLS) and test for endogeneity bias using a Hausman (1978) test.
220
+ Predicted values of the endogenous discrete explanatory variables from probit regres-
221
+ sions (equations [5.2]–[5.5]) were used as instrumental variables. Exclusion restric-
222
+ tions for other instrumental variables excluded from the regression were based on
223
+ joint statistical Wald tests (only variables that were jointly statistically insignificant
224
+ at the 20 percent level or greater in both OLS and IV models were excluded). We
225
+ also estimate the reduced form (RF) specified in equation (5.6) and report the
226
+ robustness of our results across specifications.12 The reduced form gives an indi-
227
+ cation of the total effect of underlying explanatory variables on crop production,
228
+ allowing for change in input use, land management practices, participation in pro-
229
+ grams and organizations, and use of credit. We also investigate indirect effects using
230
+ simulations as discussed below.
231
+ 112 JOHN PENDER AND BERHANU GEBREMEDHIN
232
+ We also use IV estimation in the input use and income per capita regressions
233
+ to account for possible endogeneity of participation in programs and organizations
234
+ and use of credit, as noted above, and report the robustness of our results. In the
235
+ land management (probit) regressions, IV estimation could not be used.13 We used
236
+ predicted values of the potentially endogenous variables as explanatory variables.
237
+ Because of space limitations, we do not report the results of the probit regressions
238
+ used to predict participation in programs and organizations and use of credit.14 As
239
+ for the value of crop production, we also estimate the determinants of per capita
240
+ income in reduced form (equation [5.8]).
241
+ We tested the regression specifications for problems of multicollinearity but
242
+ found this not to be a serious problem in any of the specifications.15 Various regres-
243
+ sion diagnostics were used to identify outliers and influential observations and to find
244
+ and correct data errors. All models used the Huber-White estimator of the covari-
245
+ ance matrix, which is robust to heteroskedasticity, accounted for clustering of the
246
+ data by household (i.e., estimated standard errors are robust to nonindependence
247
+ of observations from the same household), and accounted for the stratification and
248
+ probability of sampling each village and household in the sample frame (StataCorp
249
+ 2003). The results are thus robust to potential problems of heteroskedasticity and
250
+ nonindependence and are statistically representative of the highlands of Tigray.
251
+ Predicted Impacts of Selected Variables
252
+ In a complex structural model, such as estimated in this study, a change in a partic-
253
+ ular causal factor may have impacts on outcomes of interest through many different
254
+ channels, given the many intervening response variables that may be affected. For
255
+ example, improvements in education may affect agricultural productivity directly
256
+ by affecting farmers’ ability to use technologies that affect productivity. But it may
257
+ also influence productivity indirectly, for example, by affecting households’ choice
258
+ of land management practices or participation in extension. Such indirect effects
259
+ must be accounted for if we are to understand the full effect of causal factors on
260
+ agricultural production and income.
261
+ In studies in which the empirical relationships are linear and involve continu-
262
+ ous variables, the predicted total impacts of changes in explanatory variables can
263
+ be determined using total differentiation of the system (Fan, Hazell, and Thorat
264
+ 1999). In this study, this approach is not practical because of the nonlinear limited
265
+ dependent variable models estimated. To address this issue, we simulate the pre-
266
+ dicted responses implied by the estimated econometric relationships under alterna-
267
+ tive assumptions about the values of the explanatory variables for the entire sample
268
+ and carry these predicted responses forward to determine their influence on subse-
269
+ quent relationships in the system.16
270
+ AN ECONOMETRIC ANALYSIS IN THE HIGHLANDS OF TIGRAY 113
271
+ Agriculture and Land Management in the
272
+ Highlands of Tigray
273
+ Biophysical and Socioeconomic Conditions
274
+ The average annual rainfall is generally less than 1,000 millimeters in the semiarid
275
+ highlands of Tigray and averages about 650 millimeters for all sample households
276
+ (Table 5.1). Altitude in the highlands averages 2,174 meters above sea level and
277
+ ranges from 1,500 to well over 3,000 meters above sea level.
278
+ The rural population is growing rapidly at more than 3 percent per annum,
279
+ and population pressure is high in the Tigray highlands, with average population
280
+ density of 137 persons per square kilometer in the sample communities. As a result,
281
+ the average farm size in the Tigray highlands is only 1 hectare. Land is relatively
282
+ equally distributed in the Ethiopian highlands because of the radical land reform
283
+ program begun in 1975 by the Derg regime (Rahmato 1984; Bruce, Hoben, and
284
+ Rahmato 1994; Abate 1995; Amare 1995) and the continued prohibition of land
285
+ sales and mortgages under the current government of the Ethiopian Peoples Revo-
286
+ lutionary Democratic Front (EPRDF), a policy enshrined in the new Ethiopian
287
+ constitution.17 Hence, the maximum farm size in our sample was only about 4
288
+ hectares. Almost all households own livestock, with cattle most important (in value
289
+ terms), followed by sheep and goats. The average household size is 5.4.
290
+ Access to roads, transportation, and other services has improved substantially
291
+ in Tigray since 1991. Nevertheless, most households are still far from roads, trans-
292
+ portation services, and markets. In 1998, the average walking time (the dominant
293
+ mode of transport) to the nearest all-weather road was more than 2 hours, while
294
+ walking time to the nearest woreda town averaged 3.5 hours.
295
+ Education has improved dramatically in Tigray since 1991 as a result of the
296
+ greatly increased number of schools and literacy campaigns. Still, only about 15
297
+ percent of household heads had formal schooling by 1998 (only 6 percent had
298
+ more than 2 years), and 7 percent had participated in a literacy campaign.
299
+ The availability of agricultural extension and credit services has also greatly
300
+ expanded. Nearly three-fifths of households had access to credit from formal sources
301
+ in 1998. Development agents of the extension service were involved in virtually
302
+ every community, though only about 11 percent of sample households had direct
303
+ contact with an extension agent.
304
+ About 6 percent of households have members in a marketing cooperative that
305
+ is involved in marketing agricultural (mainly crop) outputs and providing inputs.
306
+ About 2 percent of households have a member in an agricultural cadre that focuses
307
+ on improving agricultural production. A similar small proportion of households
308
+ are involved as community leaders in the local tabia or village council.
309
+ 114 JOHN PENDER AND BERHANU GEBREMEDHIN
310
+ AN ECONOMETRIC ANALYSIS IN THE HIGHLANDS OF TIGRAY 115
311
+ Table 5.1 Descriptive statistics of households in Tigray highlands survey, 1998
312
+ Variable Number of observations Mean (standard error)
313
+ Annual rainfall (millimeters) 480 652 (5)
314
+ Altitude (meters above sea level) 500 2,174 (22)
315
+ Population density (persons/km2) 490 136.8 (4.4)
316
+ Female head of household 500 21.8 (2.2)
317
+ Age of household head (years) 500 46.0 (0.7)
318
+ Household size (number) 500 5.4 (0.1)
319
+ Education of household head (percentage of households)
320
+ 1–2 years 500 9.2 (1.6)
321
+ 3+ years 500 6.1 (1.3)
322
+ Literacy campaign 500 7.3 (1.5)
323
+ Walking time to nearest (hours)
324
+ All-weather road 496 2.33 (0.l3)
325
+ Woreda town 497 3.54 (0.17)
326
+ Ownership of assets
327
+ Land (hectares) 477 0.98 (0.04)
328
+ Oxen (number) 496 1.12 (0.05)
329
+ Other cattle (number) 496 2.71 (0.16)
330
+ Small ruminants (number) 496 4.95 (0.54)
331
+ Pack animals (number) 496 0.71 (0.06)
332
+ Radio (percentage owning) 500 13.2 (1.9)
333
+ Cash savings (percentage having) 500 54.4 (2.7)
334
+ Secondary income source (percentage of households)
335
+ No secondary source 496 20.6 (2.2)
336
+ Cereals 496 2.9 (0.9)
337
+ Perishable annuals 496 3.3 (1.1)
338
+ Perennial crops 496 3.6 (1.2)
339
+ Cattle 496 35.0 (0.9)
340
+ Small ruminants 496 2.2 (0.9)
341
+ Beekeeping 496 0.4 (0.3)
342
+ Food-for-work 496 6.1 (1.1)
343
+ Salary employment 496 1.6 (0.6)
344
+ Farm employment 496 1.4 (0.6)
345
+ Trading 496 6.5 (1.3)
346
+ Food/other assistance 496 6.5 (1.3)
347
+ Other nonfarm 496 10.0 (1.7)
348
+ Membership in organizations (percentage of households)
349
+ Tabia council 500 1.6 (0.7)
350
+ Village council 500 2.0 (0.9)
351
+ Marketing cooperative 500 6.4 (1.2)
352
+ Agricultural cadre 500 1.6 (0.7)
353
+ Use of credit (percentage of households)
354
+ Formal credit 500 57.7 (2.7)
355
+ Informal credit 500 18.9 (2.1)
356
+ Contact with extension (percentage of households) 500 11.4 (1.7)
357
+ Household income (birr) 477 1,924 (120)
358
+ Per capita income (birr) 477 388 (22)
359
+ Poverty is severe in the highlands of Tigray. Average per capita income among
360
+ the sample households was only 388 EB in 1998 (less than $60).18 Per capita income
361
+ is even lower among female-headed households and larger households.
362
+ Income strategies. For at least 2,000 years, the predominant farming system and
363
+ income strategy in the northern Ethiopian highlands has been cereal cultivation sup-
364
+ ported by ox-plow tillage (McCann 1995). Not surprisingly, the dominant source
365
+ of income in the highlands of Tigray is still cereal crop production, which is the
366
+ primary source of income for 97 percent of sample households. Different income
367
+ strategies are thus distinguished more by differences in the secondary source of
368
+ income. One-fifth of households have no secondary source of income; cereal
369
+ crop production is their sole income source. In about one-third of households, the
370
+ secondary source of income is cattle production. Nonfarm activities—including
371
+ trading activities, food-for-work, salary employment, and other nonfarm activities—
372
+ are the secondary income source of about one-fourth of households. Other less
373
+ common secondary sources of income include production of perishable annual or
374
+ perennial crops, small ruminants, beekeeping, farm wage labor, and food aid and
375
+ other forms of assistance.19
376
+ Land management. Preharvest labor use in crop production averaged 86 per-
377
+ son-days per hectare, most of this for plowing, planting, and weeding (Table 5.2).
378
+ Draft animal use (mainly oxen) averaged 25 animal days per hectare. Seed use
379
+ averages 118 kilograms per hectare. Fertilizer was used on 27 percent of plots, and
380
+ manure or compost on about 20 percent of plots in 1998. Improved seeds were
381
+ used on only about 2 percent of plots.
382
+ The most common investments in land improvement in Tigray are stone ter-
383
+ races and soil bunds. Stone terraces existed on nearly 37 percent of cultivated plots
384
+ in 1998, while soil bunds existed on about 8 percent. These investments have been
385
+ widely promoted in Tigray during the past few decades through food-for-work pro-
386
+ grams and community labor mass mobilization campaigns,20 as well as resulting
387
+ from farmers’ own private investment initiatives (Hagos, Pender, and Gebreselassie
388
+ 1999; Kinfe 2002; Hagos and Holden 2005). Although public conservation invest-
389
+ ments are most common, private soil and water conservation investments are also
390
+ relatively common, and the intensity of such investment is greater where private
391
+ investment is involved (Hagos and Holden 2005). Other less common investments
392
+ included constructing a fence or planting a live fence, and planting trees.
393
+ Several land management practices are commonly used in Tigray, including con-
394
+ tour plowing, burning to prepare fields, reduced tillage, and intercropping or mixed
395
+ cropping. Contour plowing is very common, practiced on nearly 90 percent of plots.
396
+ 116 JOHN PENDER AND BERHANU GEBREMEDHIN
397
+ Table 5.2 Descriptive statistics of plots in Tigray highlands survey, 1998
398
+ Variable Number of observations Mean (standard error)
399
+ Land investments (percentage of plots)
400
+ Stone terrace 1,785 36.5 (1.9)
401
+ Soil bund 1,785 8.3 (1.0)
402
+ Constructed fence 1,785 3.8 (0.7)
403
+ Live fence or barrier 1,785 3.1 (0.6)
404
+ Land use (percentage of plots)
405
+ Homestead 1,785 19.7 (1.0)
406
+ Rainfed cultivated 1,785 73.7 (1.1)
407
+ Irrigated cultivated 1,785 6.6 (1.0)
408
+ Use of inputs
409
+ Labor (person-days/hectare) 1,785 86.4 (9.5)
410
+ Oxen power (animal-days/hectare) 1,785 25.3 (1.9)
411
+ Seed (kilogram/hectare) 1,785 118.1 (7.7)
412
+ Improved seed (percentage of plots) 1,785 2.4 (0.5)
413
+ Fertilizer (percentage of plots) 1,785 27.0 (1.6)
414
+ Use of land management practices (percentage of plots)
415
+ Burning to prepare field 1,785 11.0 (1.3)
416
+ Contour plowing 1,785 87.5 (1.6)
417
+ Reduced tillage 1,785 12.3 (1.2)
418
+ Intercropping/mixed cropping 1,785 11.4 (1.2)
419
+ Manure or compost 1,785 22.8 (1.3)
420
+ Value of crop production (EB/hectare) 1,593 1816 (176)
421
+ How plot acquired (percentage of plots)
422
+ Leased in 1,785 13.7 (1.3)
423
+ Allocated by tabia 1,785 84.0 (1.4)
424
+ Inherited 1,785 1.4 (0.5)
425
+ Received as gift/other 1,785 0.9 (0.3)
426
+ Plot area (hectares) 1,508 0.30 (0.01)
427
+ Walking time to residence (hours) 1,780 0.39 (0.02)
428
+ Plot slope (percentage of plots)
429
+ Flat 1,779 57.8 (2.0)
430
+ Gentle 1,779 32.3 (2.0)
431
+ Steep 1,779 9.9 (1.4)
432
+ Position on slope (percentage of plots)
433
+ Top 1,785 13.1 (1.4)
434
+ Middle 1,785 21.1 (1.6)
435
+ Bottom 1,785 28.0 (2.2)
436
+ Not on slope 1,785 37.9 (2.2)
437
+ Soil depth (percentage of plots)
438
+ Deep 1,767 21.9 (1.4)
439
+ Medium 1,767 38.1 (1.7)
440
+ Shallow 1,767 40.0 (1.8)
441
+ Soil color (percentage of plots)
442
+ Black 1,767 27.8 (2.2)
443
+ Brown 1,767 12.4 (1.1)
444
+ Grey 1,767 22.9 (1.8)
445
+ Red 1,767 36.8 (2.0)
446
+ Soil texture (percentage of plots)
447
+ Clay 1,767 27.6 (2.2)
448
+ Loam 1,767 31.7 (2.0)
449
+ Sand 1,767 29.7 (1.8)
450
+ Silt 1,767 11.1 (1.3)
451
+ Gullies on plot (percentage of plots) 1,785 5.1 (0.7)
452
+ Crop production. The average estimated value of crop production on surveyed
453
+ plots was 1,815 EB per hectare in 1998.21 The average value of production was
454
+ higher on plots where inorganic fertilizer was applied (2,184 EB/hectare) than
455
+ where no fertilizer was applied (1,684 EB/hectare). The average value of produc-
456
+ tion was substantially higher on irrigated plots (6,726 EB/hectare) than on non-
457
+ irrigated homestead plots (1,838 EB/hectare) or rain-fed field plots (1,428 EB/
458
+ hectare). These figures are the total value of production during the year, including
459
+ multiple crops, which is why the irrigated production value was so much higher.
460
+ These differences may also result from other factors besides fertilizer use or irriga-
461
+ tion (such as differences in cropland quality); multivariate analysis is needed to
462
+ control for such factors.
463
+ Results of Econometric Analysis
464
+ Input use and land management practices. Population pressure is associated with higher
465
+ use of labor and animal draft power per hectare and with a higher probability of use
466
+ of fertilizer and intercropping (Table 5.3). We also find that households that own
467
+ more land are less likely to apply fertilizer to a particular plot and more likely to use
468
+ 118 JOHN PENDER AND BERHANU GEBREMEDHIN
469
+ Table 5.3 Determinants of input use and land management practices in crop production, 1998
470
+ Labor Oxen
471
+ ln(person ln(animal- Seeds
472
+ Variablea days/ha)b days/ha)b ln(kg/ha)b Fertilizerc
473
+ ln(Population density/km2) 0.122**+ 0.154***+++ 0.079 0.076**++
474
+ Female head of household –0.415***––– –0.207***–– 0.241** –0.050
475
+ ln(Age of household head) (years) 0.224**++ –0.045 0.216 0.071
476
+ ln(Household size) (number) 0.123* 0.061 0.152* –0.019
477
+ Education of household head
478
+ 3+ years 0.319***++ –0.001 0.201 –0.009
479
+ Literacy campaign 0.047 0.119 –0.005 –0.012
480
+ Walking time to (hours)
481
+ All-weather road –0.081***––– –0.016 –0.001 –0.048***–––
482
+ Woreda town 0.016 –0.044***––– –0.009 0.006
483
+ Plot from residence –0.125 –0.026 0.077 –0.095**––
484
+ Ownership of assets
485
+ Land (tsimad) 0.015 –0.005 –0.025 –0.059**–
486
+ Oxen (number) 0.087**+ 0.071**++ 0.039 0.013
487
+ Other cattle (number) 0.012 0.007 0.022*+++ 0.011**++
488
+ Small ruminants (number) –0.008**–– –0.006***–– –0.014***––– –0.002
489
+ Pack animals (number) –0.004 –0.009 0.026 –0.015––
490
+ Radio (yes/no) 0.028 –0.127**–– 0.096 0.052+
491
+ Cash savings (yes/no) 0.080+ –0.008 0.125 0.058*+++
492
+ reduced tillage. These findings support the Boserup (1965) hypothesis that popu-
493
+ lation pressure causes farmers to intensify use of labor and other inputs and to
494
+ adopt more intensive land management practices, and are consistent with the find-
495
+ ings of Kruseman, Ruben, and Tesfay in Chapter 4.22
496
+ Access to roads, markets, and farmers’ fields also affects the intensity of land
497
+ management. Households closer to an all-weather road use more labor per hectare
498
+ and are more likely to use fertilizer, burning, and contour plowing, also consistent
499
+ with findings in Chapter 4.23 Households closer to a woreda town use more draft
500
+ animal power per hectare but are less likely to contour plow. Farmers are more
501
+ likely to use fertilizer, improved seeds, and manure or compost on plots closer to
502
+ their residence, probably because of the difficulty of transporting inputs to distant
503
+ plots. This is consistent with the findings of Gebremedhin and Swinton (2003a),
504
+ who found that farmers in central Tigray were more likely to use stone terraces on
505
+ plots nearer to the homestead, in the sense that more intensive land management is
506
+ used on plots closer to the residence.
507
+ Income strategies affect land management. Households for which cereals are
508
+ a secondary income source use less ox power per hectare and are more likely to use
509
+ AN ECONOMETRIC ANALYSIS IN THE HIGHLANDS OF TIGRAY 119
510
+ Intercropping/
511
+ Improved Manuring/ Burning to Contour Reduced mixed
512
+ seedc composting prepare fieldc plowingc tillagec croppingc
513
+ 0.0002 0.0491* –0.0025 –0.0048 –0.0160 0.0605***+++
514
+ –0.0018 –0.0871***––– 0.0245 –0.1112*** 0.0018 –0.0199
515
+ 0.0024*+++ –0.0464 0.0347*+++ 0.0466*++ –0.0325 0.0182+++
516
+ –0.0006 –0.0138 –0.0043++ 0.0049 –0.0472* 0.0199++
517
+ 0.0014+++ 0.0171 0.0220+++ 0.0278++ –0.0126 –0.0148++
518
+ 0.0020 0.0489 0.0442+++ –0.0075 –0.0118 –0.0063
519
+ 0.0009 –0.0097 0.0156***––– –0.0143**– 0.0069 0.0049
520
+ –0.0012* 0.0061 0.0054+++ 0.0114**++ –0.0036 –0.0110**
521
+ 0.0082***––– –0.3178***––– 0.0106 –0.0317*– 0.0381 –0.0280–
522
+ –0.0009 –0.0136 0.0072 0.0276** 0.0551***++ –0.0082
523
+ 0.0008+ 0.0388***++ 0.0097 0.0378***+++ –0.0359***–– 0.0153*+
524
+ 0.0000 0.0043 0.0046**+ 0.0000 0.0021 0.0024
525
+ –0.0001 0.0017 –0.0028***––– 0.0009 0.0018 –0.0019**–
526
+ –0.0014***––– –0.0143 –0.0056 0.0064 0.0026 –0.0195***––
527
+ –0.0014 0.0051 –0.0150 –0.0030 0.0402 –0.0362*––
528
+ 0.0003 –0.0659**–– 0.0058 –0.0231 –0.0063 –0.0050
529
+ (continued )
530
+ 120 JOHN PENDER AND BERHANU GEBREMEDHIN
531
+ Table 5.3 (continued)
532
+ Labor Oxen
533
+ ln(person ln(animal- Seeds
534
+ Variablea days/ha)b days/ha)b ln(kg/ha)b Fertilizerc
535
+ Secondary income source
536
+ Cereals –0.112 –0.404**–– 0.003 –0.009
537
+ Perishable annuals 0.534** –0.108 0.004 –0.012
538
+ Perennial crops 0.247*+ 0.039 0.001 –0.009
539
+ Cattle –0.188**–– –0.211***–– 0.145 –0.012
540
+ Small ruminants/beekeeping –0.272*– –0.215 0.163 –0.009
541
+ Food-for-work/farm work –0.438***––– –0.368***––– 0.248* –0.012
542
+ Salary employment 0.129 –0.067 0.192 –0.009
543
+ Trading 0.019 –0.119 –0.189 –0.012*
544
+ Food/other assistance –0.310* –0.351***––– 0.321* –0.009
545
+ Other nonfarm 0.006 –0.099 0.083 –0.012
546
+ Contact with extension –0.095 –0.120*– –0.061 –0.046
547
+ Membership in organizations
548
+ Tabia council –0.041 –0.036 –0.263 –0.057
549
+ Village council 0.644***+++ 0.178 0.243 0.119
550
+ Marketing cooperative –0.111 0.007 0.250*+ 0.013
551
+ Agricultural cadre –0.301** 0.079 –0.778*** 0.191
552
+ Use of credit
553
+ Formal credit 0.023 –0.006 0.179** 0.191***
554
+ Informal credit 0.048 –0.064 –0.066 0.038
555
+ Land use (cf. rain-fed plot)
556
+ Homestead plot 0.426***+++ 0.160***+++ 0.236***+++ 0.006
557
+ Irrigated plot 0.875***+++ 0.308**++ –0.025 0.160*+
558
+ Initial investment on plot
559
+ Stone terrace 0.023 –0.028 0.068 0.091***+++
560
+ Soil bund 0.064 0.090++ 0.024 0.052
561
+ Fence (live or constructed) 0.367***+++ 0.002 0.053 0.016
562
+ Intercept 7.215***+++ 6.652***+++ 3.394 NR
563
+ Number of observations 1,402 1,353 1,435 1,607
564
+ Mean of dependent variable 3.932 3.184 4.229 0.2698
565
+ Mean predicted dependent variable 3.932 3.184 4.229 0.2685
566
+ R2 or pseudo-R2 0.5314 0.3357 0.4913 0.2125
567
+ Note: NR means that the intercept is not reported by the Stata procedure showing marginal effects in probit models.
568
+ *, **, *** mean coefficient is statistically significant at 10 percent, 5 percent, and 1 percent levels, respectively.
569
+ +, ++, +++ and –, – –, – – – mean coefficient is positive (negative) and statistically significant at 10 percent, 5 percent, and
570
+ 1 percent levels, respectively in IV regressions and probit models using predicted values of participation in extension, credit,
571
+ and organizations.
572
+ aCoefficients of biophysical variables (annual rainfall, altitude, plot slope, position on slope, soil depth, soil color, soil texture,
573
+ and presence of gullies), plot area, and how plot acquired not reported to save space. Full results available upon request.
574
+ AN ECONOMETRIC ANALYSIS IN THE HIGHLANDS OF TIGRAY 121
575
+ Intercropping/
576
+ Improved Manuring/ Burning to Contour Reduced mixed
577
+ seedc composting prepare fieldc plowingc tillagec croppingc
578
+ –0.0005 –0.1002 –0.0192 –0.0439 0.1922**++ –0.0356*
579
+ 0.1522***+++ 0.0180 0.0123 –0.1398* 0.1838**++ 0.0631
580
+ 0.0592***+++ –0.0790 –0.0377*–– –0.0248 –0.0255 d
581
+ 0.0044*+ –0.0092 –0.0681***–– –0.0367 0.0295 –0.0419**
582
+ d –0.0935**–– 0.0271 0.0578 0.0501 –0.0493***–––
583
+ 0.0163**+ –0.0520 –0.0337*– –0.0711* 0.0715++ 0.0015
584
+ 0.0041 –0.0981*– –0.0291 –0.0043 –0.0445 –0.0112
585
+ 0.0079 –0.0193 –0.0277 0.0245 0.1383**+++ 0.0025
586
+ 0.0087+ –0.0852**–– –0.0448**––– –0.0561 0.0407 –0.0430**––
587
+ 0.0088 –0.0667 –0.0142 –0.0391 –0.0011 0.0238
588
+ 0.0013––– –0.0207 –0.0190––– 0.0171– –0.0039–– 0.0185–
589
+ d –0.0713– 0.0349 e 0.0312 d
590
+ 0.2415***++ 0.2785***+++ d e –0.0476 0.2535**+
591
+ 0.0001 0.0174 –0.0326*–– –0.0110 0.0389 0.0189
592
+ –0.0017* –0.0755– 0.0548 –0.0036 –0.0265 0.0007––
593
+ 0.0024**+ 0.0060 0.0183– 0.0305* 0.0001 –0.0249
594
+ –0.0011+++ –0.0304 0.0238++ 0.0143+ 0.0292+ –0.0224+
595
+ –0.0028***––– 0.4402***+++ 0.0092 0.0365*+ 0.0371 0.0228
596
+ 0.0156**++ 0.1125 0.0380 –0.0171 0.125***+++ –0.0382
597
+ –0.0004 0.0274 0.0137 0.0361**++ 0.0193 0.0068
598
+ –0.0015– –0.0188 0.0773***+++ 0.0387 0.0196 0.0154
599
+ 0.0020 0.2783***+++ 0.0096 0.0375 –0.0259 0.0015
600
+ NR NR NR NR NR NR
601
+ 1,528 1,607 1,559 1,524 1,588 1,528
602
+ 0.0236 0.2429 0.1078 0.8803 0.1181 0.1176
603
+ 0.0233 0.2437 0.1078 0.8674 0.1182 0.1171
604
+ 0.3512 0.4241 0.2717 0.2951 0.1748 0.2747
605
+ bLeast squares regression. Coefficients and standard errors adjusted for sampling weights, clustering, and stratification.
606
+ Hausman test failed to reject OLS model in all cases (P = 1.000).
607
+ cProbit regression. Reported coefficients represent effect of a unit change in explanatory variable on probability of use at the
608
+ mean of the explanatory variables.
609
+ dNo positive values of dependent variable for positive values of the explanatory variable. Observations with positive values
610
+ of the explanatory variable dropped from the regression.
611
+ eOnly positive values of dependent variable for positive values of the explanatory variable. Observations with positive values
612
+ of the explanatory variable dropped from the regression.
613
+ reduced tillage. Producers of perishable annuals and perennial crops are more likely
614
+ to use improved seed than cereals-only producers. Producers of perishable annuals
615
+ also are more likely to use reduced tillage. Cattle producers use less labor and draft
616
+ power in crop production than cereals-only farmers and are less likely to use burn-
617
+ ing, suggesting that cattle producers are less focused on intensive crop production
618
+ than cereals-only producers. Similarly, small ruminant producers are less likely to
619
+ apply manure or compost or to use intercropping. Households dependent on food-
620
+ for-work or farm employment use less labor and draft power than cereals-only pro-
621
+ ducers but are more likely to use improved seeds. Households involved in trading are
622
+ more likely to use reduced tillage, probably because of labor and capital constraints.
623
+ Households dependent on food aid or other assistance use less draft power and are
624
+ less likely to apply manure or compost, to use burning, or to use intercropping.
625
+ Such households apparently lack the ability to farm as intensively as others.
626
+ As expected, irrigation increases use of labor, ox power, improved seeds, and
627
+ fertilizer (impact on fertilizer weakly significant at the 10 percent level) because of
628
+ the production of multiple crops per year.24 Irrigation also promotes reduced tillage.
629
+ Fertilizer use and contour plowing are more likely on plots with a stone terrace,
630
+ suggesting complementarity of such soil and water conservation investments with
631
+ use of inputs and contour plowing. Labor use and use of manure and compost are
632
+ greater on plots that have a fence, suggesting that fences help to promote labor-
633
+ intensive practices. Burning is more common on plots with soil bunds; perhaps
634
+ such bunds contribute to problems with weeds (Herweg 1993b).
635
+ Not surprisingly, use of formal-sector credit is strongly associated with greater
636
+ use of fertilizer and improved seeds. This is because this credit is used primarily to
637
+ purchase such crop inputs.25 Informal credit is not significantly associated with use
638
+ of any crop inputs or land management practices, perhaps because informal credit
639
+ is used for other purposes than agricultural production. Surprisingly, contact with
640
+ the extension program is not significantly associated with use of inputs or land
641
+ management practices. It appears that it is not the extension program per se that is
642
+ leading to significant increases in use of fertilizer in Tigray but, rather, availability
643
+ of credit and other factors.
644
+ Ownership of livestock and other assets affects land management. Households
645
+ that own more oxen use more labor and ox draft power per hectare, suggesting
646
+ that oxen and labor are complements and that imperfect markets for hiring oxen
647
+ constrain households that own fewer oxen. Greater ox ownership also increases use
648
+ of manure and compost and contour plowing but decreases use of reduced tillage.
649
+ Greater ownership of other types of cattle is associated with greater use of seeds and
650
+ fertilizer, probably because income generated from cattle products helps farmers
651
+ afford to buy these inputs. Consistent with this explanation, households with cash
652
+ 122 JOHN PENDER AND BERHANU GEBREMEDHIN
653
+ savings are more likely to use fertilizer and less likely to use manure and compost,
654
+ suggesting that cash constraints limit use of fertilizer. By contrast, greater owner-
655
+ ship of small ruminants is associated with less use of labor, draft power, seeds, and
656
+ burning. This suggests that small ruminant producers focus less of their effort on
657
+ crop production.
658
+ Human capital affects land management. Female-headed households use sig-
659
+ nificantly less labor and draft power, probably because of labor constraints and a
660
+ cultural taboo against women plowing and threshing in Tigray.26 Consistent with
661
+ this, female-headed households also are less likely to apply manure or compost and
662
+ less likely to use contour plowing. Older household heads use more labor, probably
663
+ because of greater availability of family labor old enough to be involved in crop
664
+ production. Farmers who have completed three years of education use more labor
665
+ than uneducated heads.
666
+ Social capital also affects land management. Households with members of a
667
+ village council use more labor per hectare and are more likely to use improved
668
+ seeds, manure or compost, and intercropping. Such households appear to be more
669
+ oriented toward intensive crop production than other households.
670
+ Crop production. The amounts of seed and ox power used have relatively large
671
+ and statistically significant positive impacts on production (elasticities of 0.27 and
672
+ 0.20 in the OLS model) (Table 5.4). By contrast, the impact of human labor is
673
+ quantitatively small (elasticity = 0.04) and statistically insignificant. This suggests
674
+ that surplus labor exists in crop production in Tigray, with additional labor yield-
675
+ ing little positive impact, although capital and seed inputs are key constraints. This
676
+ is not surprising, given the very small farm sizes and marginal agricultural condi-
677
+ tions in Tigray, and it implies that population growth can have very negative con-
678
+ sequences for human welfare because the additional labor may not be productively
679
+ used in agriculture (Lewis 1954). Of course, as we have seen, population pressure
680
+ and small farm sizes contribute to adoption of more intensive practices such as use
681
+ of oxen and fertilizer, which can increase yields. Thus, the negative consequences of
682
+ population pressure can be mitigated to some extent by such Boserupian responses.
683
+ We investigate the extent of this mitigation below.
684
+ Several land investments and land management practices have large and statis-
685
+ tically significant influences on the value of crop production. The predicted value
686
+ of production is 23 percent higher on plots with stone terraces controlling for labor
687
+ use, land management practices, and other factors.27 Use of burning to prepare
688
+ the field is associated with 29 percent lower yields, and reduced tillage with 45 per-
689
+ cent higher yields. Use of fertilizer is associated with 14 percent higher yields, and
690
+ manure or compost with 13 percent higher yields (both effects statistically significant
691
+ AN ECONOMETRIC ANALYSIS IN THE HIGHLANDS OF TIGRAY 123
692
+ 124 JOHN PENDER AND BERHANU GEBREMEDHIN
693
+ Table 5.4 Determinants of value of crop production per hectare, 1998
694
+ ln(Value of crop production/hectare)
695
+ Variablea OLSb IVb RF
696
+ ln(Population density/km2) –0.013 –0.154 0.016
697
+ Female head of household –0.551*** –0.478** –0.481***
698
+ ln(Age of household head) (years) –0.148 c –0.090
699
+ ln(Household size) (number) –0.145* –0.212* –0.090
700
+ Education of household head
701
+ 3+ years 0.139 c 0.235*
702
+ Literacy campaign 0.003 c 0.066
703
+ Walking time to (hours)
704
+ All-weather road 0.017 c 0.014
705
+ Woreda town –0.056** –0.028 –0.069***
706
+ Plot from residence 0.066 c 0.052
707
+ Ownership of assets
708
+ Land (hectares) –0.009 c –0.019
709
+ Oxen (number) –0.043 c –0.035
710
+ Other cattle (number) 0.052*** 0.014 0.063***
711
+ Small ruminants (number) 0.006 c 0.005
712
+ Pack animals (number) –0.046* c –0.032
713
+ Radio (yes/no) –0.147* c –0.078
714
+ Cash savings (yes/no) 0.098 c 0.027
715
+ Secondary income source (cf. none)
716
+ Cereals 0.263 c 0.121
717
+ Perishable annuals –0.250 –0.413 –0.337
718
+ Perennial crops 0.269* d 0.199
719
+ Cattle –0.226* –0.245* –0.223*
720
+ Small ruminants/beekeeping 0.049 c 0.080
721
+ Food-for-work/farm employment 0.007 c 0.133
722
+ Salary employment –0.197 c –0.190
723
+ Trading 0.106 c 0.193
724
+ Food/other assistance 0.403** 0.319 0.604***
725
+ Other nonfarm –0.016 c –0.009
726
+ Contact with extension –0.142* 0.104 e
727
+ Membership in organizations
728
+ Tabia council 0.435** d e
729
+ Village council 0.227 c e
730
+ Marketing cooperative 0.342*** 0.073 e
731
+ Agricultural cadre –0.130 c e
732
+ Use of credit
733
+ Formal credit 0.067 c e
734
+ Informal credit –0.067 c e
735
+ Land use (cf. rain-fed plot)
736
+ Homestead plot 0.147** –0.359 0.425***
737
+ Irrigated plot –0.173 –0.714 0.134
738
+ Initial investment on plot
739
+ Stone terrace 0.206*** 0.397*** 0.163**
740
+ Soil bund 0.153 –0.458 –0.100
741
+ Fence (live or constructed) 0.083 0.086 0.068
742
+ only at the 10 percent level). Presence of a soil bund reduces the predicted return
743
+ to fertilizer. This may be because of weed or pest problems caused by the combina-
744
+ tion of these technologies.
745
+ Almost all of these impacts are robust to the regression specification. The im-
746
+ pacts of stone terraces, fertilizer, seed, ox labor, and reduced tillage are still statistically
747
+ and quantitatively significant in the IV model.28 Stone terraces also have a significant
748
+ positive impact on crop production in the reduced form specification.
749
+ AN ECONOMETRIC ANALYSIS IN THE HIGHLANDS OF TIGRAY 125
750
+ Table 5.4 (continued)
751
+ ln(Value of crop production/hectare)
752
+ Variablea OLSb IVb RF
753
+ Use of inputs
754
+ Fertilizer (1 = yes) 0.130* 0.799* e
755
+ Fertilizer × stone terrace –0.076 –0.804** e
756
+ Fertilizer × soil bund –0.455*** 0.369 e
757
+ Fertilizer × irrigation 0.131 0.663 e
758
+ ln(Seed/hectare) (kilograms/hectare) 0.268*** 0.617*** e
759
+ Improved seed (1 = yes) 0.162 0.352 e
760
+ ln(Labor/hectare) (days/hectare) 0.040 –0.124 e
761
+ ln(Oxen labor/hectare) (days/hectare) 0.199*** 0.819* e
762
+ Use of land management practices
763
+ Burning to prepare field –0.336*** –0.728 e
764
+ Contour plowing 0.099 0.276 e
765
+ Reduced tillage 0.375*** 1.571*** e
766
+ Intercropping/mixed cropping –0.043 –0.048 e
767
+ Manure or compost 0.125* 0.628 e
768
+ Intercept 18.159*** 11.231** 23.124***
769
+ Number of observations 1,160 1,020 1,340
770
+ R2 0.4948 0.0735 0.3758
771
+ Note: Least-squares regressions. Coefficients and standard errors adjusted for sampling weights, clustering, and
772
+ stratification.
773
+ *, **, *** mean coefficient is statistically significant at 10 percent, 5 percent, and 1 percent levels, respectively.
774
+ aCoefficients of biophysical variables (annual rainfall, altitude, plot slope, position on slope, soil depth, soil color, soil
775
+ texture, and presence of gullies), plot area and how plot acquired not reported to save space. Full results available on
776
+ request.
777
+ bHausman test failed to reject OLS model (P = 1.000).
778
+ cVariables jointly statistically insignificant in full version of both OLS and IV models dropped from reported version of
779
+ IV model.
780
+ dVariable coefficient not estimable due to multicollinearity. Variable dropped in IV estimation.
781
+ eEndogenous variable excluded from reduced form.
782
+ Population pressure and farm sizes have a small and statistically insignificant
783
+ impact on crop production per hectare in all regressions, even though we found
784
+ that higher population density and smaller farm size promote greater use of some
785
+ inputs. Larger households attain lower crop yields (significant at the 10 percent
786
+ level). These findings do not support the Boserupian optimistic perspective about
787
+ the responses of households to population pressure leading to increased yields and
788
+ suggest that food production per capita will not keep pace with increasing popula-
789
+ tion as farm sizes decline because there is very little possibility to expand area under
790
+ crop production in the densely populated highlands of Tigray. Unless households
791
+ are able to depend on alternative livelihoods, food insecurity is thus likely to worsen
792
+ as population continues to grow.
793
+ Households with better access to a woreda town had higher values of crop pro-
794
+ duction, probably because of greater production of high-value products closer to
795
+ towns. For example, teff (the highest value cereal produced in Tigray) production is
796
+ negatively correlated with distance to the nearest woreda town (correlation = 0.12,
797
+ 0.6 percent significance level).29
798
+ Most income strategies have an insignificant impact on crop production. One
799
+ exception is households dependent on food aid or other assistance, whose yields
800
+ are surprisingly significantly higher than those of other households. We also find
801
+ that households dependent on food aid and other assistance have higher incomes
802
+ per capita than cereals-only households (results for income discussed in the next
803
+ subsection). These findings may be related to a lack of targeting of food aid in
804
+ Ethiopia, as has been observed by other authors (Clay, Molla, and Habtewold
805
+ 1999; Jayne, Strauss, and Yamano 2002; Barrett and Clay 2003; Gebremedhin and
806
+ Swinton 2003b).
807
+ We do not find a statistically significant effect of irrigation on the value of crop
808
+ production, other factors being equal. However, irrigation increases crop produc-
809
+ tion indirectly by increasing the use of inputs, including labor, oxen, fertilizer, and
810
+ improved seeds. Below, we estimate the impacts of these indirect effects of irriga-
811
+ tion and other factors.
812
+ Use of credit (formal or informal) is not associated with significant increases in
813
+ crop production, even though we found that formal credit promotes use of fertil-
814
+ izer. This is consistent with the fact that our evidence shows only limited impacts of
815
+ fertilizer on crop production. Contact with the agricultural extension program also
816
+ has insignificant impact on crop production.
817
+ Ownership of cattle other than oxen is associated with higher crop productivity.
818
+ This may be related to greater deposition of manure on plots operated by house-
819
+ holds owning more livestock (especially homestead plots).
820
+ 126 JOHN PENDER AND BERHANU GEBREMEDHIN
821
+ Female-headed households achieve 42 percent lower crop yields than male-
822
+ headed households with similar use of labor, ox power, and other inputs. Thus, not
823
+ only are female-headed households disadvantaged in terms of their ability to apply
824
+ inputs, but their productivity in using inputs is lower.
825
+ Households with members of a marketing cooperative attain substantially
826
+ higher output value per hectare, probably because they focus on higher-value crops
827
+ and have more timely availability of inputs. For example, members of marketing
828
+ cooperatives produce nearly three times as much teff (the highest value cereal in
829
+ Tigray), on average, as nonmembers.
830
+ Income. Many of the same factors that affect the value of crop production also
831
+ affect per capita income (Table 5.5). Households with better access to a woreda
832
+ town earn higher income (significant only in the IV regression), consistent with the
833
+ result that value of crop production is higher closer to towns. This result is consis-
834
+ tent with the findings of Kruseman, Ruben, and Tesfay in Chapter 4 that housing
835
+ quality (as measured by proportion of households with a metal roof) is better in areas
836
+ closer to markets. Households with more cattle (other than oxen) earn higher in-
837
+ come, whereas female-headed households earn significantly lower income per capita.
838
+ Members of a marketing cooperative earn significantly higher income than other
839
+ households (significant only in the OLS regression). Larger households earn less
840
+ income per capita. Population density, farm size, other assets, and access to credit
841
+ and extension have statistically insignificant impacts on per capita income.30
842
+ Households pursuing many types of income strategies earn higher incomes
843
+ than cereals-only producers. This includes households for whom cereals are a sec-
844
+ ondary income source and households whose secondary income source is cattle,
845
+ food-for-work or farm employment, salary employment, trading, other nonfarm
846
+ activities, and food aid or other assistance. In general, households with secondary
847
+ income sources earn higher income per capita than those solely dependent on cereal
848
+ production. The fact that households dependent on food aid or other assistance
849
+ earn higher incomes (excluding such aid as income) is consistent with the finding
850
+ discussed above that these households have higher crop yields and with the argu-
851
+ ment that food aid is not well targeted.
852
+ Direct and Indirect Effects on Production and Income
853
+ The predicted direct and indirect effects of changes in selected policy-relevant fac-
854
+ tors on crop production and per capita income are shown in Table 5.6. The factors
855
+ considered include increase in population density, improved access to an all-weather
856
+ road or to a woreda town, increased education, increased access to extension or formal
857
+ AN ECONOMETRIC ANALYSIS IN THE HIGHLANDS OF TIGRAY 127
858
+ 128 JOHN PENDER AND BERHANU GEBREMEDHIN
859
+ Table 5.5 Determinants of per capita income, 1998 (birr)
860
+ Variablea OLS IV RF
861
+ Population density (persons/km2) –0.36 –0.36 –0.36
862
+ Female head of household –108.76* –110.82** –106.23*
863
+ Age of household head (years) –0.02 b 0.58
864
+ Household size (number) –74.27*** –71.14*** –73.78***
865
+ Education of household head (cf. <3 years)
866
+ 3+ years 101.15 b 93.70
867
+ Literacy campaign 185.11* 173.50 175.5*
868
+ Walking time to (hours)
869
+ All weather road –7.96 b –9.41
870
+ Woreda town –20.53 –25.83** –19.76
871
+ Plot from residence 59.00 b 66.42
872
+ Ownership of assets
873
+ Land (hectares) 24.58 b 21.86
874
+ Oxen (number) 6.55 b 3.18
875
+ Other cattle (number) 12.48* 18.63** 15.15**
876
+ Small ruminants (number) –0.39 b –0.50
877
+ Pack animals (number) 27.30 b 24.49
878
+ Radio (yes/no) 49.55 b 47.38
879
+ Cash savings (yes/no) 30.45 b 19.12
880
+ Secondary income source (cf. none)
881
+ Cereals 213.10** 272.38*** 256.72***
882
+ Perishable annuals –93.50 –99.15 –90.61
883
+ Perennial crops 84.36 103.78 85.10
884
+ Cattle 127.20** 148.49** 135.16**
885
+ Small ruminants/beekeeping 372.22 425.59* 411.00
886
+ Food-for-work/farm employment 200.80*** 191.54*** 202.78***
887
+ Salary employment 251.63*** 241.93*** 267.01***
888
+ Trading 149.20* 243.32* 206.37**
889
+ Food/other assistance 313.93** 344.18*** 327.76**
890
+ Other nonfarm 152.63** 178.41*** 159.38**
891
+ Contact with extension 32.00 b c
892
+ Membership in organizations
893
+ Tabia council –223.03 b c
894
+ Village council –64.58 b c
895
+ Marketing cooperative 195.92** –137.19 c
896
+ Agricultural cadre 14.31 b c
897
+ Use of credit
898
+ Formal credit –13.32 b c
899
+ Informal credit –38.48 b c
900
+ Land use (cf. rain-fed plots) (proportion of area)
901
+ Homestead plots –28.15 –57.74 –33.39
902
+ Irrigated plots 151.72 229.14 194.61
903
+ Initial investment on plot in 1998 (proportion of area)
904
+ Stone terrace 93.10 89.32 93.72
905
+ Soil bund 73.16 76.09 89.23
906
+ Fence (live or constructed) –107.32 –39.94 –94.29
907
+ Intercept 662.32* 851.47*** 658.51**
908
+ credit, increased participation in marketing cooperatives, investment in irrigation
909
+ or stone terraces, or increased ox or cattle ownership.
910
+ Participation in marketing cooperatives has the largest predicted impacts on
911
+ both crop production and income, increasing both by more than 40 percent.
912
+ Investment in stone terraces also has relatively large and positive predicted impacts
913
+ on both crop production and income (around 14 percent), though the impacts on
914
+ income are statistically insignificant. Improved access to a woreda town (by up to
915
+ one hour walking time) is predicted to increase both the value of crop production
916
+ and income by about 5–6 percent. Increased ownership of cattle (by one cow) also
917
+ is predicted to increase crop production and income moderately. All of these
918
+ scenarios represent possible “win-win” outcomes, increasing both productivity and
919
+ incomes.
920
+ Many of the changes considered have relatively small (less than 5 percent
921
+ change) and statistically insignificant predicted quantitative effects on crop pro-
922
+ duction and income. This includes the influences of population growth (10 per-
923
+ sons/km2 increase), improved access to an all-weather road (up to one hour closer),
924
+ universal access to formal credit, and increased ox ownership (by one ox). Some of
925
+ the changes have quantitatively large but statistically insignificant effects, including
926
+ investment in primary education (large positive influences on both crop production
927
+ and income), extension (negative effect on crop production but positive effect on
928
+ income), and irrigation (small effect on crop production but large influence on in-
929
+ come). However, given the statistical insignificance of the coefficients on which these
930
+ predicted influences are based, not too much should be made of their magnitudes.
931
+ These results suggest that the most promising investments for increasing agri-
932
+ cultural productivity and incomes in the highlands of rural Tigray are in marketing
933
+ institutions, improved access to markets, in soil and water conservation measures
934
+ such as stone terraces, and in cattle (other than oxen). Investments in roads, extension,
935
+ AN ECONOMETRIC ANALYSIS IN THE HIGHLANDS OF TIGRAY 129
936
+ Table 5.5 (continued)
937
+ Variablea OLS IV RF
938
+ Number of observations 436 425 436
939
+ R2 0.2604 0.2129 0.2445
940
+ Note: Least squares regressions. Coefficients and standard errors adjusted for sampling weights, clustering, and strat-
941
+ ification. The Hausman test result was inconclusive (negative test statistic).
942
+ *, **, *** mean coefficient is statistically significant at 10 percent, 5 percent, and 1 percent levels, respectively.
943
+ aCoefficients of biophysical variables (annual rainfall, altitude, plot slope, position on slope, soil depth, soil color, soil
944
+ texture, and presence of gullies); how plot acquired not reported to save space. Full results available upon request.
945
+ bVariables jointly statistically insignificant in full version of both OLS and IV models dropped from reported IV model.
946
+ cEndogenous variable excluded from reduced form.
947
+ Table 5.6 Simulated impacts of changes in selected variables on value of crop production and per capita income
948
+ Value of crop production Per capita income
949
+ Mean of selected variable (plot level) (percentage) (percentage)
950
+ Variable Scenario Before change After change Direct effects Total effects Direct effects Total effects
951
+ Population density (persons/km2) 10 persons/km2 increase 137 147 –0.1 +0.4 –1.0 –1.1
952
+ Access to all-weather road (hours walking) Maximum 1 hour closer 2.3 1.3 –1.4 –1.2 +1.7 +2.8
953
+ Access to market town (hours walking) Maximum 1 hour closer 3.5 2.5 +5.5** +6.8R +5.3++ +5.6
954
+ Primary education (proportion of household heads) Minimum 3 years for household 0.06 0.92 +12.0 +17.6 +23.4 +23.4
955
+ heads with less
956
+ Access to extension (proportion of household) Universal access 0.11 1.00 –11.1* –14.0 +7.6 +7.6
957
+ Access to formal credit (proportion of household) Universal access 0.58 1.00 +2.0 +3.9 –1.5 –1.5
958
+ Participation in marketing cooperative (proportion Universal participation 0.06 1.00 +33.7*** +45.5 +48.7** +48.7
959
+ of household)
960
+ Irrigation (proportion of plots) All rain-fed plots irrigated 0.07 0.80 –10.7 –1.2 +25.8 +19.0
961
+ Stone terraces (proportion of plots) All plots terraced 0.37 1.00 +13.6***+++ +13.8R +14.5 +14.5
962
+ Oxen ownership (number owned) 1 additional ox owned 1.1 2.1 –4.2 –2.4 +1.8 +1.8
963
+ Other cattle ownership (number owned) 1 additional animal owned 2.7 3.7 +5.4***+ +6.2R +3.3*++ +3.3R
964
+ Note: Values are percentage change in mean predicted values. Simulation results for direct effects based on predictions from OLS model regressions reported in Tables 5.4 and 5.5. Results of OLS
965
+ and probit regressions predicting input use and land management practices were used to predict indirect effects on crop production. Results of probit regressions for determinants of use of credit,
966
+ participation in extension, and organizations used to predict indirect effects on income.
967
+ *, **, *** mean direct effect is based on a coefficient that is statistically significant in the OLS regression at 10 percent, 5 percent, or 1 percent level, respectively.
968
+ +, ++, +++ and –, – –, – – – mean direct effect is of the sign shown and statistically significant in the IV regression at 10 percent, 5 percent, or 1 percent level, respectively.
969
+ RCoefficient is of the same sign and statistically significant at 5 percent level in the reduced form regression.
970
+ and credit are of less clear benefit. The effects of education may be large and positive,
971
+ though we cannot be confident of its influence based on our results.
972
+ Key Findings and Implications
973
+ Here we summarize key findings with regard to our hypotheses and their implica-
974
+ tions. The qualitative findings are summarized in Table 5.7.
975
+ Population Pressure
976
+ Population pressure, as reflected by higher population density, is associated with
977
+ more intensive use of labor, ox power, fertilizer, and intercropping. Smaller farms
978
+ are also more likely to use fertilizer on a given plot and less likely to use reduced
979
+ tillage. These findings are consistent with the predictions of population-induced
980
+ intensification, as hypothesized by Boserup (1965) and her followers. However, in-
981
+ creased farming intensity in more densely populated areas was not found to lead to
982
+ significantly higher crop yields. In addition, population pressure at the household
983
+ level, in terms of larger household size, is associated with lower yields and lower
984
+ income per capita. These findings suggest that population growth, larger house-
985
+ holds, and smaller farm sizes will lead to reduced food production and income
986
+ per capita because options for expanding crop production onto new land are very
987
+ limited in the highlands of Tigray. The negative implications of population pres-
988
+ sure are consistent with findings of other recent studies in the Ethiopian highlands
989
+ (Grepperud 1996; Pender et al. 2001a).
990
+ Access to Roads and Markets
991
+ Better access to an all-weather road contributes to more intensive use of labor, fer-
992
+ tilizer, burning, and contour plowing. However, we find little impact of better road
993
+ access on the value of crop production or income. This probably is because even in
994
+ areas with relatively better road access, most households are still quite far from
995
+ roads and rely primarily on walking and donkeys to transport commodities and
996
+ inputs. The impacts of improved road access are quite limited in such a setting.
997
+ Households with better access to a woreda town use more ox draft power
998
+ but less contour plowing and obtain higher values of crop production and higher
999
+ per capita income than households in more remote locations (though impact on per
1000
+ capita income was significant only in IV regression). In contrast to road access,
1001
+ access to even small urban markets makes a difference for rural livelihoods.
1002
+ Income Strategies
1003
+ As expected, different income strategies are associated with differences in input use
1004
+ and land management practices. For example, households having several types of
1005
+ AN ECONOMETRIC ANALYSIS IN THE HIGHLANDS OF TIGRAY 131
1006
+ Table 5.7 Summary of qualitative empirical results
1007
+ Labor Capital intensity Value of crop Per capita
1008
+ Factor intensity (oxen, purchased inputs) Land management practices production income
1009
+ Population pressure
1010
+ Population density + + oxen, fertilizer + intercropping 0 0
1011
+ Smaller farm size 0 + fertilizer – reduced tillage 0 0
1012
+ Household size 0 0 0 0 –
1013
+ Access to roads + + fertilizer + burning, contour plowing 0 0
1014
+ Access to markets 0 + oxen – contour plowing + 0
1015
+ Income strategies
1016
+ Cattle – – oxen – burning 0 +
1017
+ Nonfarm 0 – oxen + reduced tillage 0 +
1018
+ High-value crops 0 + improved seeds + reduced tillage 0 0
1019
+ Food-for-work/farm work – – oxen, + improved seeds 0 0 +
1020
+ Food/other aid 0 – oxen – manure, burning, intercropping + +
1021
+ Irrigation + + oxen, improved seed + reduced tillage 0 0
1022
+ Credit 0 + improved seed 0 0 0
1023
+ Extension 0 0 0 0 0
1024
+ Physical capital 0
1025
+ Oxen + + oxen + manure, contour plowing, – reduced tillage 0 0
1026
+ Other cattle 0 + seeds, fertilizer + burning + +
1027
+ Small ruminants – – oxen, seeds –burning, intercropping 0 0
1028
+ Human capital
1029
+ Primary education + 0 0 0 0
1030
+ Female head – – oxen – manure – –
1031
+ Financial capital (savings) 0 + fertilizer – manure 0 0
1032
+ Natural capital
1033
+ Stone terrace 0 + fertilizer + contour plowing + 0
1034
+ Soil bund 0 0 + burning 0 0
1035
+ Social capital
1036
+ Village council + + improved seed + manure, intercropping 0 0
1037
+ Marketing cooperative 0 0 – burning + 0
1038
+ Note: + Positive (– negative) and statistically significant impact (5 percent level) in at least one specification and significant at 10 percent level in two specifications. 0 impact not statistically
1039
+ significant and robust.
1040
+ noncrop income use labor and ox draft power less intensively than cereals-only pro-
1041
+ ducers, whereas producers of perennials and perishable annuals are more likely to
1042
+ use improved seeds. Despite such differences in cropping practices, we find no sig-
1043
+ nificant difference among most income strategies in value of crop production,
1044
+ except (surprisingly) households dependent on food aid and other assistance, which
1045
+ have higher crop production. These aid-dependent households also earn higher
1046
+ income per capita than cereals-only households (suggesting lack of targeting of
1047
+ food aid and other assistance), as do households pursuing many other income
1048
+ strategies. In general, households with more diversified income sources have higher
1049
+ incomes per capita.
1050
+ Irrigation
1051
+ As expected, irrigation increases the intensity of input use in crop production,
1052
+ including labor, ox power, fertilizer, and improved seeds. Surprisingly, however,
1053
+ we do not find that irrigation contributes to higher value of crop production or
1054
+ income, even after accounting for the indirect effects of increased intensity of pro-
1055
+ duction. There are many problems affecting the performance of small-scale irriga-
1056
+ tion in Tigray, including problems of inadequate access to irrigation water when
1057
+ needed, salinity buildup as a result of seepage and poor drainage, lack of experience
1058
+ in using irrigation, and other factors (Tesfay et al. 2000). These problems are cer-
1059
+ tainly limiting the potential of small-scale irrigation in Tigray. But our inability to
1060
+ identify an independent effect of irrigation may also be caused by multicollinearity
1061
+ and an inadequate sample of irrigated plots.31 We have a relatively small sample of
1062
+ irrigated plots in our sample (91 plots), and irrigation is correlated with other plot
1063
+ quality factors, especially plot size. Further research on the influence of small-scale
1064
+ irrigation in Tigray and the policy, institutional, and technical factors affecting its
1065
+ effectiveness, is needed.
1066
+ Agricultural Extension and Credit
1067
+ The agricultural extension and credit program has sought to boost productivity
1068
+ largely by promoting use of fertilizer and improved seeds. The evidence presented
1069
+ shows some influence of fertilizer use on crop production (though the impact is
1070
+ statistically weak and not robust), increasing predicted value of production by 250
1071
+ EB/hectare on average, other factors remaining constant. This yield increase is
1072
+ insufficient to cover the average costs of fertilizer (about 280 EB/hectare in 1998),
1073
+ indicating that fertilizer use was unprofitable on average and explaining why farmers
1074
+ are reluctant to adopt it, despite substantial efforts to promote its use. In a semiarid
1075
+ environment as in the highlands of Tigray, use of fertilizer can be risky as well as
1076
+ unprofitable if adequate soil moisture cannot be assured. Given the heavy emphasis
1077
+ AN ECONOMETRIC ANALYSIS IN THE HIGHLANDS OF TIGRAY 133
1078
+ of the agricultural extension and credit program on promoting fertilizer use at the
1079
+ time of the study, it is not surprising that these programs were found to have little
1080
+ influence on crop production and income.
1081
+ Although the return to fertilizer is low, there are indigenous technologies with
1082
+ potential to substantially increase crop yields. Stone terraces increase crop produc-
1083
+ tivity by an estimated 23 percent. Because stone terraces help to conserve soil mois-
1084
+ ture, they also increase the benefit of using fertilizer, which is probably why we find
1085
+ more fertilizer adoption on plots that have stone terraces. The estimated average
1086
+ rate of return to stone terraces is 46 percent, based on the predicted increase in
1087
+ annual value of crop production and our data on costs of constructing these ter-
1088
+ races. This is comparable to the estimated rate of return to stone terraces in south
1089
+ central Tigray by Gebremedhin, Swinton, and Tilahun (1999), who estimated a 50
1090
+ percent rate of return to stone terraces, and shows that investment in stone terraces
1091
+ is fairly profitable in Tigray. Several other low external input land management
1092
+ practices, including application of manure and compost, reduced tillage, and no
1093
+ burning also could have substantial impacts on crop productivity. Promotion of such
1094
+ technologies by the extension program could yield greater benefits than the emphasis
1095
+ on fertilizer and improved seeds.
1096
+ Endowments of Physical, Human, and Social Capital
1097
+ Livestock ownership significantly influences land management. Households that
1098
+ own more oxen use more ox draft power, are more likely to use contour plowing
1099
+ and to apply manure, and are less likely to use reduced tillage. Despite these dif-
1100
+ ferences, we find no significant differences in crop production or income per capita
1101
+ resulting from differences in ox ownership, suggesting that informal arrangements
1102
+ to share or lease oxen work relatively well in Tigray. Thus, although ox draft power
1103
+ is a critical component of the farming system in northern Ethiopia (some argue
1104
+ it is the most critical component), and most households are not able to own as
1105
+ many oxen as desired (Bauer 1977; Amare 1995, 2003; McCann 1995), many
1106
+ households are able to overcome this constraint through ox-sharing arrangements,
1107
+ especially between households owning only one ox (e.g., Amare 1995), and house-
1108
+ holds without any oxen will often sharecrop out their land. Ownership of other
1109
+ cattle is associated with greater use of seed and fertilizer, perhaps because this helps
1110
+ to relax financial constraints. Households with more cattle (other than oxen)
1111
+ obtain higher yields and incomes, supporting Aune’s (Chapter 12 of this volume)
1112
+ argument that milking animals are more profitable than oxen in the highlands of
1113
+ Ethiopia. Ownership of small ruminants appears to reduce intensity of crop pro-
1114
+ duction; small ruminants are associated with less use of labor, ox power, burning,
1115
+ and intercropping.
1116
+ 134 JOHN PENDER AND BERHANU GEBREMEDHIN
1117
+ Primary education is associated with more intensive use of labor, though the
1118
+ reason for this is not clear. We find generally insignificant impacts of education on
1119
+ other aspects of land management, crop yields, and income, probably because of the
1120
+ generally low levels of education among all households in the sample. By contrast,
1121
+ gender is very important in affecting land management and outcomes. Female-
1122
+ headed households use much less labor and ox power, are less likely to apply
1123
+ manure, and obtain substantially lower crop yields and incomes than male-headed
1124
+ households. A cultural taboo against women using oxen for plowing is one factor
1125
+ disadvantaging female-headed households. Moreover, women are not usually in-
1126
+ cluded in agricultural extension programs. Priority should be given to promoting
1127
+ changes in such attitudes as well as assisting female-headed households to pursue
1128
+ alternative livelihoods.
1129
+ Some forms of social capital, as measured by involvement in local organiza-
1130
+ tions, have a significant influence on crop production. Members of a village council
1131
+ farm with greater labor intensity and are more likely to use improved seeds, manure,
1132
+ and intercropping than other households. Members of a marketing cooperative use
1133
+ less burning and attain substantially higher value of crop production per hectare,
1134
+ probably because they focus on producing higher-value crops and/or have better
1135
+ access to input and output markets than other farmers.
1136
+ Conclusions
1137
+ We have investigated the impacts of many factors commonly hypothesized to affect
1138
+ land management and agricultural productivity in the highlands of Tigray. Some of
1139
+ these factors, including population pressure, small landholdings, access to roads,
1140
+ irrigation, and extension and credit programs, have weaker influences on agricul-
1141
+ tural production and incomes than often hypothesized. Most of these factors do
1142
+ affect the intensity of agricultural production and adoption of various land man-
1143
+ agement practices. However, these effects on intensity do not add up to much
1144
+ influence on total crop production, in part because of the low marginal product of
1145
+ labor in crop production and limited productivity effect of inputs such as fertilizer
1146
+ that have been promoted by some of these factors.
1147
+ Some land management practices were found to substantially increase crop
1148
+ production, including construction of stone terraces, reduced burning, and reduced
1149
+ tillage. These practices possibly contribute to productivity by helping to conserve
1150
+ soil moisture and organic matter. Greater ownership of cattle (other than oxen)
1151
+ is also strongly associated with increased crop productivity, probably as a result of
1152
+ increased manure availability, and higher income. Promotion of such conservation
1153
+ practices and exploitation of complementary livestock production show more
1154
+ AN ECONOMETRIC ANALYSIS IN THE HIGHLANDS OF TIGRAY 135
1155
+ promise to boost crop production and incomes than large application of modern
1156
+ inputs such as inorganic fertilizer and improved seeds. However, there do appear to
1157
+ be opportunities to exploit complementarities between use of such inputs (espe-
1158
+ cially fertilizer) and investment in stone terraces.
1159
+ Livelihood diversification is a key to reducing poverty in the highlands of Tigray
1160
+ because of population pressure and the low productivity of land. Households that
1161
+ focus only on cereal production earn significantly lower incomes than households
1162
+ having more diversified income sources, including livestock, off-farm employment,
1163
+ and nonfarm activities.
1164
+ Special attention to the problems of female-headed households is needed. Efforts
1165
+ to change attitudes about women plowing, enhance their farming skills, and to
1166
+ promote alternative livelihoods for women are needed to address the low levels of
1167
+ agricultural productivity and income of this vulnerable group.
1168
+ Overall, the findings of this study show that profitable opportunities exist to
1169
+ increase agricultural production and incomes and to achieve more sustainable land
1170
+ management in the highlands of Tigray. These opportunities include improvement
1171
+ of crop production using low-external-input investments and practices such as ter-
1172
+ races, reduced tillage, and reduced burning and improved livestock management.
1173
+ The comparative advantage of people in the Tigray highlands appears not to be in
1174
+ input-intensive cereal crop production but more in low-external-input technologies
1175
+ and alternative livelihood activities, such as livestock raising and nonfarm activities.
1176
+ As a result, greater emphasis on developing these alternatives in agricultural exten-
1177
+ sion and other development programs is needed. Food crop production should not
1178
+ be ignored in the development strategy, especially if more drought-resistant vari-
1179
+ eties can be developed, but more prudent use of external inputs such as fertilizer
1180
+ and improved seeds, and greater emphasis on low-external-input sustainable land
1181
+ management practices would be helpful.
1182
+ Notes
1183
+ 1. There is considerable variation in estimates of the size and impacts of soil erosion and
1184
+ other forms of land degradation in the Ethiopian highlands, causing controversy about the exact
1185
+ magnitude of these impacts (FAO 1986; Hurni 1988; Hurni and Perich 1992; Sutcliffe 1993; Böjo
1186
+ and Cassells 1995; Kappel 1996; Sonneveld 2002). For example, the Ethiopian Highlands Recla-
1187
+ mation Study (FAO 1986) estimated an average rate of soil loss of 35 tons per hectare per year in the
1188
+ highlands, with much higher rates on cultivated land (130 tons/hectare per year), leading to a pre-
1189
+ dicted loss of 7.6 million hectares of productive cropland and a loss of 2.6 million tons of annual
1190
+ crop production by the year 2010. Hurni (1988) estimated much lower rates of soil erosion, averag-
1191
+ ing 42 tons/hectare per year on cropland but reaching as high as 300 tons/hectare per year on some
1192
+ steeply sloping lands, based on measurements of soil erosion taken at several sites throughout the
1193
+ highlands under the Soil Conservation Research Project (SCRP). Studies in specific locations in
1194
+ 136 JOHN PENDER AND BERHANU GEBREMEDHIN
1195
+ Tigray have also estimated high average but widely varying rates of erosion (Eweg, van Lammeren,
1196
+ and Yifter 1997; Hengsdijk, Meijerink, and Mosugu 2005) and soil nutrient depletion (Abegaz
1197
+ 2005). Hurni and Perich (1992) estimated that Tigray’s soils have lost 30–50 perecnt of their origi-
1198
+ nal productive capacity as a result of land degradation. Subsequent studies have argued that both
1199
+ FAO’s and Hurni’s estimates overstate the impact of soil erosion because they do not account for
1200
+ deposition of eroded soils elsewhere in the landscape (Sutcliffe 1993; Böjo and Cassells 1995).
1201
+ Based on assumptions about the amount of soil deposition and the influence of net soil loss on pro-
1202
+ ductivity, Böjo and Cassells estimated the cumulative gross discounted economic losses caused by
1203
+ soil erosion in the Ethiopian highlands to be between EB 3 billion and EB 7 billion, and Kappel
1204
+ (1996) estimated these losses to be somewhat larger ($1.25 billion). Considering the value of soil
1205
+ nutrients lost via burning of dung and crop residues, Böjo and Cassells estimated that the dis-
1206
+ counted economic losses through nutrient depletion were even greater than those from erosion (EB
1207
+ 8 billion). Regardless of the variation in estimates, there seems little dispute that land degradation
1208
+ and its costs are severe in many locations in the Ethiopian highlands, though these vary greatly
1209
+ across locations and land uses (Keeley and Scoones 2004; Nyssen et al. 2004).
1210
+ 2. Highlands were defined to include areas at or above 1,500 meters above sea level.
1211
+ 3. This empirical model is based on a theoretical dynamic household model that is presented
1212
+ in Nkonya et al. (2004).
1213
+ 4. In the econometric work, we use dummy variables for whether the household applied fer-
1214
+ tilizer or improved seeds, rather than the quantities of these inputs, because of zero values of these
1215
+ inputs for many households, making it difficult to account for the amount of use in a logarithmic
1216
+ production function as estimated in this chapter.
1217
+ 5. We did not estimate separate production functions for each crop produced in order to
1218
+ simplify the analysis because that would result in much smaller sample sizes for each crop (hence
1219
+ reduced statistical power) and because intercropping or mixed cropping cannot be modeled with
1220
+ single-output production functions. The revenue function is an aggregation of production and local
1221
+ price functions and hence depends on the variables that influence both production and prices. That
1222
+ is, if production of crop i on plot p depends on a vector of inputs and biophysical conditions (Xp)
1223
+ according to the production function fi(Xp), and the farm level price of crop i depends on a vector
1224
+ of conditions related to market access and household-level transaction costs and marketing abilities
1225
+ (Zh) according to the relationship pi(Zh), then revenue from plot p of household h is equal to
1226
+ Σpi(Zh)fi(Xp), which we define as the revenue function y (Zh, Xp).
1227
+ 6. If labor effort and other inputs are measured perfectly, these effects would be reflected in
1228
+ the effects of these inputs on production. However, if they are measured imperfectly, tenure may
1229
+ have a greater influence on productivity.
1230
+ 7. Fewer than 3 perecnt of households in our sample changed their primary source of
1231
+ income between 1991 and 1998, and only one-fifth changed their secondary income source.
1232
+ 8. We do not include other, more variable factors such as ownership of physical assets as
1233
+ determinants of participation in programs or use of credit because these may not be predetermined
1234
+ relative to decisions about participation or credit use, which may have occurred before the current
1235
+ year.
1236
+ 9. For example, in the income regression, we use share of farmland of different tenure, slope,
1237
+ and soil type classes.
1238
+ 10. Members of agricultural cadres are supposed to be innovative farmers who are contact
1239
+ farmers for technical assistance programs.
1240
+ 11. Pasture, woodlots, and fallow plots were excluded from the analysis.
1241
+ AN ECONOMETRIC ANALYSIS IN THE HIGHLANDS OF TIGRAY 137
1242
+ 12. Except where noted, the results discussed below are statistically significant at the 5 percent
1243
+ level in at least two of the specifications.
1244
+ 13. Normal IV estimation requires a continuous uncensored dependent variable, which we do
1245
+ not have in the case of the land management regressions. Instrumental variables estimation
1246
+ approaches have been developed for probit models (e.g., Smith and Blundell 1986; Blundell and
1247
+ Smith 1989), but these approaches assume that the endogenous explanatory variables are continu-
1248
+ ous uncensored variables, or that they are continuous, uncensored latent variables (Maddala 1983).
1249
+ Neither assumption holds in our models.
1250
+ 14. These regression results are available on request.
1251
+ 15. The maximum variance inflation factor was less than five in all cases (except when pre-
1252
+ dicted values of explanatory variables were used, in which case multicollinearity was a problem).
1253
+ 16. The method used to predict direct and indirect influences is explained fully in Nkonya et al.
1254
+ (2004).
1255
+ 17. As a result of the predominant risti land tenure system that existed in northern Ethiopia
1256
+ before the 1975 land reform (which also involved periodic land redistribution and prohibited land
1257
+ sales and mortgages), land ownership was not greatly unequal in most places even before 1975 (Bruce,
1258
+ Hoben, and Rahmato 1994).
1259
+ 18. The official exchange rate averaged about 7 EB per U.S. dollar in 1998.
1260
+ 19. Remittance income from family members residing elsewhere accounted for less than
1261
+ 1 percent of household income of our sample households. This is consistent with Bauer’s (1977)
1262
+ description of a high degree of individualism in Tigray society.
1263
+ 20. In Tigray, adults are required to contribute 20 days per year to community labor mass-
1264
+ mobilization campaigns, which are used to construct conservation measures, plant trees, build
1265
+ roads, and for other activities (Hagos, Pender, and Gebreselassie 1999). During the 1980s up to four
1266
+ months of such labor contribution was expected, but this was reduced to 20 days in 1992 (Hagos,
1267
+ Pender, and Gebreselassie 1999).
1268
+ 21. To compute the value of production, we used average prices in Tigray based on community-
1269
+ and household-level surveys. We were not able to compute value of production using local prices
1270
+ because of a limited number of observations for many crops. Thus, the data represent a weighted
1271
+ production index, where regional prices are used to weight production of different crops and do not
1272
+ reflect local variation in prices.
1273
+ 22. In Chapter 4, Kruseman, Ruben, and Tesfay found that higher population density is asso-
1274
+ ciated with a greater proportion of households who use fertilizer and pesticides and a smaller propor-
1275
+ tion who use fallow.
1276
+ 23. Kruseman, Ruben, and Tesfay found a positive impact of road access on fertilizer use in
1277
+ Chapter 4.
1278
+ 24. This contrasts with the results in Chapter 4, in which the presence of irrigation institutions
1279
+ was positively but not significantly correlated with the proportion of households using inputs such
1280
+ as fertilizer and improved seeds; this may reflect weaker statistical power of community survey results
1281
+ to explain household- and plot-level technology adoption.
1282
+ 25. Again, the relationship between formal credit and use of fertilizer and improved seed was
1283
+ positive but not statistically significant in Chapter 4.
1284
+ 26. The prohibition against women plowing and threshing is a long-standing one that, accord-
1285
+ ing to Bauer (1977), is based on “an indigenous theory that their participation in these activities
1286
+ would decrease the amount of crops produced” (Bauer 1977, p. 98). These attitudes may be chang-
1287
+ ing in Tigray as some female-headed households have had the need and courage to challenge such
1288
+ 138 JOHN PENDER AND BERHANU GEBREMEDHIN
1289
+ norms, though this can be difficult, and such women may be subject to ridicule or intimidation
1290
+ (Abay et al. 2001).
1291
+ 27. Because of the logarithmic specification for the dependent variable, the predicted impact
1292
+ of stone terraces using the OLS specification is exp(0.206) = 1.229, or a 23 percent increase.
1293
+ 28. The Hausman test failed to reject the OLS model (P = 1.000), so the OLS model is the
1294
+ preferred model.
1295
+ 29. In Chapter 4, Kruseman, Ruben, and Tesfay also found greater production of teff closer to
1296
+ markets.
1297
+ 30. These results contrast with the findings of Kruseman, Ruben, and Tesfay in Chapter 4
1298
+ that higher population density is associated with better housing quality. That finding may reflect the
1299
+ influence of household-level variables that are correlated with income and wealth and may also be
1300
+ correlated with population density, such as education, which are included as explanatory variables
1301
+ in our analysis but were not controlled for in their analysis. Consistent with this explanation, Kruse-
1302
+ man, Ruben, and Tesfay found that indicators of education were greater in more densely populated
1303
+ communities.
1304
+ 31. Recall that the value of crop production per hectare was much higher on irrigated plots
1305
+ than on rain-fed or homestead plots in our descriptive analysis. Such differences are not found in
1306
+ the econometric analysis when plot size and land quality indicators are included.
1307
+ AN ECONOMETRIC ANALYSIS IN THE HIGHLANDS OF TIGRAY 139
1308
+
1309
+
data/part_2/0289790596.md ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,34 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ # Leveraging the role of MSMEs for healthier diets and nutrition: Insights from fruit and vegetable value chain studies across five countries
2
+
3
+ **Source:** gardian_index
4
+ **URL:** https://cgspace.cgiar.org/rest/bitstreams/39e71b57-38f5-4bc5-9a0e-ccce275c1766/retrieve
5
+ **Language:** English
6
+ **Resource Type:** Working Paper
7
+ **Release Year:** 2024
8
+ **Rights:** CC-BY
9
+ **GARDIAN ID:** 474c65413c1975b6dde1db5b4a442e74
10
+ **DataNODE ID:** 02d706d0402c7343b5c166ed6c78192c
11
+ **Siever ID:** 09b9c952-3fc7-49b4-ba57-7b5fcda5a1a0
12
+ **Token Count:** 224
13
+ **Page Count:** 0
14
+
15
+ ## Keywords
16
+
17
+ food systems, small and medium enterprises, sustainability, healthy diets, value chains, fruits, vegetables, food environment, markets, nutrition, health and food security, systems transformation, informal sector, rural areas
18
+
19
+ ## Geography
20
+
21
+ - **Regions:** Western Africa, Sub-Saharan Africa, Africa, World, Eastern Africa, South-eastern Asia, Asia
22
+ - **Countries:** Viet Nam, Tanzania, Philippines, Ethiopia, Benin
23
+
24
+ ## Description
25
+
26
+ In most low and middle-income countries (LMICs) the food system falls short in providing sufficient amounts of healthy foods to a burgeoning population. The growing awareness of how food systems are stressing planetary boundaries and failing to provide sustainable healthy diets and livelihoods has prompted the widespread call to transform the global food system (Béné 2022; FAO et al. 2020, 2024; Webb et al. 2020). Transforming food systems requires engaging various groups of actors with diverse perspectives and challenges (Leeuwis et al. 2021), including setting up alliances with the informal sector (Brouwer & Ruben 2021) and a strengthened focus on the role of micro-, small- and medium-sized enterprises (MSMEs).
27
+
28
+ Globally, MSMEs represent about 90 percent of all businesses and account for 60 to 70 percent of employment and 50 percent of GDP. In the current food system, by being present at all value chain stages and better linking small-scale farmers to markets, MSMEs can offer affordable food to both urban and rural areas, create jobs and opportunities for young and female entrepreneurs, and support sustainable, circular food practices (IFAD 2021). These promises can be fulfilled if certain barriers that can hinder their contributions, such as high rates of food loss and waste (FLW), food safety concerns, and the uncertain informal context in which the majority of them operate are addressed (Termeer et al. 2024).
29
+
30
+ ## Content
31
+
32
+ In most low and middle-income countries (LMICs) the food system falls short in providing sufficient amounts of healthy foods to a burgeoning population. The growing awareness of how food systems are stressing planetary boundaries and failing to provide sustainable healthy diets and livelihoods has prompted the widespread call to transform the global food system (Béné 2022; FAO et al. 2020, 2024; Webb et al. 2020). Transforming food systems requires engaging various groups of actors with diverse perspectives and challenges (Leeuwis et al. 2021), including setting up alliances with the informal sector (Brouwer & Ruben 2021) and a strengthened focus on the role of micro-, small- and medium-sized enterprises (MSMEs).
33
+
34
+ Globally, MSMEs represent about 90 percent of all businesses and account for 60 to 70 percent of employment and 50 percent of GDP. In the current food system, by being present at all value chain stages and better linking small-scale farmers to markets, MSMEs can offer affordable food to both urban and rural areas, create jobs and opportunities for young and female entrepreneurs, and support sustainable, circular food practices (IFAD 2021). These promises can be fulfilled if certain barriers that can hinder their contributions, such as high rates of food loss and waste (FLW), food safety concerns, and the uncertain informal context in which the majority of them operate are addressed (Termeer et al. 2024).
data/part_2/0303733455.md ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,273 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ # The diffusion of agricultural technologies within social networks: Evidence from composting in Mali
2
+
3
+ **Source:** gardian_index
4
+ **URL:** https://cgspace.cgiar.org/rest/bitstreams/04cc70eb-c7da-4dda-ae17-b78c30697ae9/retrieve
5
+ **Language:** French
6
+ **Resource Type:** Brief
7
+ **Release Year:** 2014
8
+ **Rights:** CP
9
+ **GARDIAN ID:** 825f3ef96560758a042e875f592395d6
10
+ **DataNODE ID:** e0a923c54ec7aa20c9053bc908ea331f
11
+ **Siever ID:** 7ccee9de-b4dc-41eb-8bc6-5a5bf11f6050
12
+ **Token Count:** 1919
13
+ **Page Count:** 0
14
+
15
+ ## Keywords
16
+
17
+ gender, environmental factors, social networks, assets, climate change adaptation, resilience, women, climate change, diffusion of information, diffusion, composting, mali
18
+
19
+ ## Geography
20
+
21
+ - **Regions:** Western Africa, Sub-Saharan Africa, Africa, World
22
+ - **Countries:** Mali
23
+
24
+ ## Description
25
+
26
+ This policy note summarizes research on the effect of social network characteristics and gender on the diffusion of information about an agricultural technology.
27
+
28
+ ## Content
29
+
30
+ POLICY NOTE | SEPTEMBER 2014
31
+ CL IMATE CHANGE ,
32
+ & WOMEN’S ASSETS
33
+ COLLECTIVE ACTION,
34
+ IFPRI
35
+ Eight Agricultural Development Interventions
36
+ in Africa and South Asia
37
+ Diffusion des technologies agricoles
38
+ via les réseaux sociaux :
39
+ l’exemple du compostage au Mali
40
+ Lori Beaman et Andrew Dillon
41
+ EN L’ABSENCE D’INSTITUTIONS FORMELLES, LES RÉSEAUX SOCIAUX SONT UN VÉHICULE
42
+ primordial de l’information, notamment pour les agriculteurs des pays en développement.
43
+ La difficulté majeure de la promotion de nouvelles technologies réside dans l’effort coûteux et à forte
44
+ intensité de main-d’œuvre nécessaire pour sensibiliser les agriculteurs à ces technologies. L’approche la
45
+ plus courante consiste à mettre en œuvre des programmes de formation basés sur le groupe à l’échelle
46
+ des villages par le biais d’associations ou de coopératives agricoles. En effet, ces programmes considèrent
47
+ implicitement que les réseaux sociaux des agriculteurs renforcent les messages de vulgarisation tout en
48
+ promouvant l’adoption de nouvelles technologies. Ils sont parfois plus rentables que des visites directes aux
49
+ agriculteurs dans leurs champs, bien que les membres vulnérables ou moins influents de la communauté
50
+ puissent ne pas en bénéficier au vu de l’impact des normes sociales ou de la composition hommes/femmes
51
+ des groupes ciblés. Nous en savons encore très peu sur la manière dont les réseaux sociaux diffusent
52
+ des informations sur les technologies agricoles, mais les implications politiques de cette question sont
53
+ essentielles pour déterminer si les approches basées sur le groupe peuvent promouvoir l’adoption de
54
+ technologies d’atténuation des risques climatiques favorables à l’égalité des sexes. Cette note d’orientation
55
+ propose une synthèse des recherches sur l’impact des caractéristiques des réseaux sociaux et du genre sur
56
+ la diffusion d’informations relatives à une technologie agricole.
57
+ CONTEXTE DE L’ÉTUDE
58
+ Cette étude vise à vérifier l’impact des structures
59
+ des réseaux sociaux sur la diffusion de l’information
60
+ relative au compostage chez les agriculteurs maliens.
61
+ L’adoption de pratiques améliorées de gestion des
62
+ sols, notamment le compostage, est importante non
63
+ seulement pour la fertilité et la productivité à long
64
+ terme des sols, mais aussi parce qu’elle atténue les
65
+ risques à long terme du changement climatique. Les
66
+ avantages tirés de l’application de compost dans le
67
+ sol, comme il est le cas de nombreuses pratiques
68
+ agricoles, restent encore incertains. Des intrants
69
+ complémentaires ainsi qu’une connaissance de la
70
+ pratique en question par les agriculteurs sont encore
71
+ nécessaires. Le compostage présente l’avantage
72
+ NOTE D’ORIENTATION RE
73
+ HANGEMENT CLIMATIQUE,
74
+ ACTIFS DES FEMMES
75
+ ACTION COLLECTIVE &
76
+ IFPRI
77
+ 2
78
+ d’augmenter la stabilité de la matière organique
79
+ dans le sol, ce qui peut modifier le pH et le taux
80
+ d’humidité du sol, augmenter la biomasse et réduire
81
+ le ruissellement des eaux. Ces avantages dépendent
82
+ des caractéristiques du sol avant application du
83
+ compost, des composants mêmes du compost et
84
+ de la qualité de ce dernier avant application. À
85
+ titre d’exemple, les composts à base de résidus
86
+ de récolte libèrent des nutriments dans le sol sur
87
+ une durée plus longue que ceux produits avec
88
+ des déchets animaux. Ainsi, les avantages à long
89
+ terme sont potentiellement plus importants, mais ils
90
+ s’accumulent à un rythme plus lent.
91
+ Pour mieux comprendre l’impact de la structure
92
+ du réseau social sur la diffusion des informations
93
+ agricoles, des calendriers expliquant les techniques
94
+ de compostage et de fabrication des engrais
95
+ organiques ont été distribués de façon aléatoire aux
96
+ agriculteurs afin d’observer leur propagation via les
97
+ réseaux domestiques. Ces calendriers ont été choisis
98
+ parce que les Maliens les considèrent souvent comme
99
+ des objets décoratifs et aiment à les conserver chez
100
+ eux pendant plusieurs années.
101
+ MÉTHODOLOGIE EXPÉRIMENTALE
102
+ Cette recherche expérimentale visait principalement
103
+ à randomiser la probabilité qu’un ménage reçoive
104
+ des informations soit directement soit via un
105
+ réseau social ; les données ont permis de vérifier
106
+ si les nœuds les plus influents (à savoir les points
107
+ de contact au sein du réseau social) pouvaient
108
+ augmenter la probabilité de diffusion.
109
+ La première étape de l’étude réalisée en 2008 a
110
+ consisté dans la collecte de données de référence
111
+ sur les réseaux sociaux. Dans chaque village, tous
112
+ les ménages et chacun de leurs membres ont été
113
+ recensés au cours d’une première visite. Les maris
114
+ et leurs épouses ont été invités à recenser tous leurs
115
+ liens sociaux dans le village, à savoir les personnes
116
+ avec lesquelles ils discutent fréquemment de
117
+ questions agricoles ou ont conclu des transactions
118
+ financières, ou encore des parents proches ou des
119
+ organisations auxquelles ils sont affiliés. Par ailleurs,
120
+ les caractéristiques démographiques et relatives au
121
+ bien-être des deux nœuds de chaque lien social ont
122
+ été prises en compte.
123
+ Chaque village s’est vu attribuer de façon aléatoire
124
+ un des trois traitements suivants. Deux traitements
125
+ se sont basés sur les caractéristiques du réseau social
126
+ pour déterminer les bénéficiaires des calendriers,
127
+ tandis que le troisième s’est basé sur une distribution
128
+ aléatoire des informations dans le village. Deux
129
+ caractéristiques du réseau social ont été retenues :
130
+ le degré – le nombre de liens auxquels le nœud est
131
+ relié –, et l’intermédiarité, à savoir la part des chemins
132
+ les plus courts provenant de toutes les paires de
133
+ nœuds du réseau qui sont reliées à ce ménage. En
134
+ bref, le degré a mesuré la connectivité potentielle des
135
+ ménages, et l’intermédiarité l’influence potentielle
136
+ du réseau. Dans le premier traitement, les deux
137
+ femmes et les deux hommes ayant le degré le plus
138
+ élevé dans le village ont été choisis pour recevoir
139
+ des calendriers ; dans le deuxième traitement, les
140
+ ménages avec la mesure d’intermédiarité la plus
141
+ élevée ont été choisis, sans savoir si le bénéficiaire
142
+ du calendrier au sein du ménage était l’homme ou la
143
+ femme. Dans le traitement aléatoire, la moitié de tous
144
+ les bénéficiaires des calendriers étaient des femmes.
145
+ Vingt-trois villages « aléatoires », 15 villages
146
+ de « degré » et 15 « d’intermédiarité » ont été
147
+ dénombrés. L’expérience a été menée dans
148
+ 30 villages en 2010 (15 aléatoires et 15 de
149
+ degré) et 23 villages en 2011 (8 aléatoires et
150
+ 15 d’intermédiarité). Des tests d’équilibrage ont
151
+ également été réalisés afin de déterminer si les
152
+ caractéristiques observables des bénéficiaires du
153
+ calendrier différaient par genre – indiquant que
154
+ 3
155
+ Pa
156
+ n
157
+ o
158
+ s/
159
+ R
160
+ .
161
+ Jo
162
+ n
163
+ es
164
+ cela pouvait être seulement un des mécanismes qui
165
+ influence la diffusion des informations. Les tests
166
+ d’équilibrage hommes-femmes ont montré que les
167
+ actifs, la taille du ménage et l’expérience des cultures
168
+ primaires cultivées dans ces villages n’étaient pas
169
+ statistiquement différents par genre, un résultat
170
+ compatible avec ceux des villages aléatoires et des
171
+ villages de degré et d’intermédiarité.
172
+ Le protocole a été uniformisé dans tous les
173
+ villages. Après la première distribution aléatoire
174
+ de calendriers, les nœuds initiaux ont reçu trois
175
+ nouveaux calendriers à distribuer à d’autres villageois
176
+ après leur formation initiale sur le calendrier des
177
+ pratiques de compostage. Tous les ménages d’un
178
+ même village ont reçu une nouvelle visite un
179
+ mois plus tard ; ils ont également subi un test de
180
+ connaissances sur le compostage pour déterminer
181
+ si des informations justes avaient été propagées et
182
+ suivre la distribution des calendriers.
183
+ IMPLICATIONS POLITIQUES
184
+ Bien que la stratégie empirique du ciblage des
185
+ réseaux sociaux puisse différer des modalités
186
+ de mise en œuvre des approches basées sur le
187
+ groupe dans les programmes de développement (ils
188
+ peuvent utiliser des groupes plus petits), l’analyse
189
+ menée pour cette étude montre que les liens et
190
+ leurs caractéristiques de genre sont des facteurs
191
+ déterminants dans la propagation des connaissances.
192
+ Sans une compréhension des caractéristiques des
193
+ réseaux sociaux, au niveau du village ou dans un
194
+ groupe plus petit, l’inégalité des connaissances peut
195
+ affecter l’efficacité de la stratégie d’adaptation ou
196
+ l’intervention générale du programme.
197
+ Les résultats montrent que la propagation des
198
+ connaissances était fonction de la distance entre
199
+ le ménage et le nœud initial, mais que les femmes
200
+ étaient moins susceptibles de recevoir un calendrier
201
+ que les hommes. Toutefois, dans le sous-échantillon
202
+ des femmes, la probabilité que les femmes reçoivent
203
+ un calendrier était beaucoup plus égale à travers les
204
+ distances du réseau social que pour les hommes.
205
+ Concernant la connaissance du compostage, la
206
+ distance du réseau social des femmes par rapport au
207
+ nœud initial a eu un effet beaucoup plus important
208
+ que pour les hommes. Les femmes positionnées
209
+ à quatre liens d’un nœud initial avaient 79 % de
210
+ connaissances en moins par rapport à la situation
211
+ contrefactuelle, alors que les hommes positionnés
212
+ à quatre liens d’un nœud initial n’avaient que
213
+ 35 % de connaissances en moins par rapport à
214
+ leur situation contrefactuelle. En outre, les femmes
215
+ ciblées en fonction de l’influence du réseau social des
216
+ membres de leur village avaient nettement moins de
217
+ connaissances que les femmes ciblées dans les villages
218
+ sur la base du nombre de contacts des villageois.
219
+ Les résultats donnent des indications importantes sur
220
+ l’efficacité potentielle d’un ciblage de l’information
221
+ sur l’efficience allocative des biens publics et sur les
222
+ technologies agricoles. Alors que les réseaux sociaux,
223
+ ou les approches basées sur le groupe reposant
224
+ sur des réseaux à l’intérieur des groupes offrent la
225
+ Ce projet bénéficie de l’appui du ministère fédéral allemand de la Coopération économique et du Développement. Il s’inscrit dans le cadre du
226
+ Programme de recherche du CGIAR sur les Politiques, Institutions et Marchés (PIM).
227
+ Lori Beaman (l-beaman@northwestern.edu) est maître de conférences au Department of Economics du Northwestern University, Evanston,
228
+ IL, États-Unis. Andrew Dillon (dillona6@msu.edu) est maître de conférences au Agricultural, Food, and Resource Economics Department du
229
+ Michigan State University, East Lansing, États-Unis.
230
+ possibilité de propager des informations à moindre
231
+ coût et de façon efficace, la diffusion de l’information
232
+ basée sur le réseau peut creuser les inégalités dans
233
+ la zone ou dans la population ciblée si les nœuds
234
+ visés sont influents, mais reliés seulement à un sous-
235
+ ensemble de villageois, ou si l’information circule
236
+ inégalement entre hommes et femmes. Cela peut se
237
+ produire lorsque des informations ou des ressources
238
+ ne se propagent pas équitablement au sein d’un
239
+ réseau ou si des membres de la communauté – en
240
+ l’occurrence les femmes – sont socialement exclus
241
+ et de ce fait privés des liens sociaux nécessaires
242
+ pour bénéficier de l’intervention. Des recherches
243
+ supplémentaires sur l’effet de la structure du réseau
244
+ social sur la diffusion de technologies seront cruciales
245
+ pour mieux comprendre les stratégies d’adaptation
246
+ au changement climatique et la conception des
247
+ politiques potentielles, sachant que les éventuelles
248
+ inégalités sociales et entre hommes et femmes auront
249
+ une incidence sur la diffusion.
250
+ LECTURES COMPLÉMENTAIRES
251
+ T. Conley et C. Udry, « The Adoption of New
252
+ Agricultural Technologies in Ghana », American
253
+ Journal of Agricultural Economics 83 (3), pp. 668-
254
+ 673, 2004.
255
+ M. Fafchamps et F. Gubert, « The Formation of
256
+ Risk Sharing Networks », Journal of Development
257
+ Economics 83 (2), pp. 326-350, 2007.
258
+ M. Jackson et L. Yariv, « The Diffusion of Behavior
259
+ and Equilibrium Structure on Social Networks »,
260
+ American Economic Review, Papers and Proceedings
261
+ Issue 97 (2), pp. 92-98, 2007.
262
+ INTERNATIONAL FOOD POLICY RESEARCH INSTITUTE
263
+ Un monde sans faim ni malnutrition
264
+ 2033 K Street, NW, Washington, DC 20006-1002 USA | T. +1.202.862.5600 | F. +1.202.467.4439 | Skype: IFPRIhomeoffice | ifpri@cgiar.org | www.ifpri.org
265
+ Cette publication a été préparée dans le cadre du projet Enhancing Women’s Assets to Manage Risk under Climate Change: Potential for Group-Based Approaches
266
+ (Renforcement des actifs des femmes pour gérer les risques liés au changement climatique : le potentiel des approches basées sur le groupe). Elle n’a pas fait l’objet
267
+ d’un examen collégial. Les opinions exprimées ici sont celles des auteurs ; elles ne représentent pas nécessairement l’opinion ni la position de l’Institut international
268
+ de recherche sur les politiques alimentaires.
269
+ Cet ouvrage est une traduction d’un texte original publié en anglais par l’IFPRI. En cas de divergence entre le texte original et la traduction, la version originale fait
270
+ foi. Référence anglaise exacte : Beaman, L., and A. Dillon. 2014. The Diffusion of Agricultural Technologies within Social Networks: Evidence from Composting in Mali.
271
+ Washington, DC: International Food Policy Research Institute.
272
+ Copyright © 2014 International Food Policy Research Institute. Tous droits réservés. Pour solliciter une autorisation de reproduction, veuillez contacter ifpri-copyright@cgiar.org.
273
+
data/part_2/0333923335.md ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,586 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ # Food crisis and export taxation: Revisiting the adverse effects of noncooperative aspect of trade policies
2
+
3
+ **Source:** gardian_index
4
+ **URL:** https://cgspace.cgiar.org/rest/bitstreams/6e8cd3c6-d35d-4090-ad2c-575bd71eddcc/retrieve
5
+ **Language:** English
6
+ **Resource Type:** Scientific Publication
7
+ **Release Year:** 2016
8
+ **Rights:** CC-BY-NC
9
+ **GARDIAN ID:** ce9ac911d0a724efc60c2aec5bc562fb
10
+ **DataNODE ID:** b0aa257244757daf0c4fb832e19761cb
11
+ **Siever ID:** aa86b3e1-479a-4061-9f8d-88f165501b89
12
+ **Token Count:** 6327
13
+ **Page Count:** 0
14
+
15
+ ## Keywords
16
+
17
+ models, computable general equilibrium models, wto, trade agreements, food security, trade policies, food, taxation, effects
18
+
19
+ ## Content
20
+
21
+
22
+
23
+
24
+
25
+
26
+
27
+ Food crisis and export taxation: Revisiting the adverse
28
+ effects of noncooperative aspect of trade policies
29
+
30
+ Citation Bouët, Antoine; and Laborde Debucquet, David. 2016. Food crisis and
31
+ export taxation: Revisiting the adverse effects of noncooperative aspect
32
+ of trade policies. In Food price volatility and its implications for food
33
+ security and policy, eds. Matthias Kalkuhl, Joachim von Braun, and
34
+ Maximo Torero. Chapter 8, pp. 167 - 179. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-
35
+ 3-319-28201-5_8
36
+
37
+ DOI
38
+
39
+ http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-28201-5_8
40
+ Access
41
+ through
42
+ IFPRI e-
43
+ brary
44
+
45
+ http://ebrary.ifpri.org/cdm/ref/collection/p15738coll5/id/5342
46
+
47
+ Terms of
48
+ Use
49
+ IFPRI uploaded the final published version to the institutional repository
50
+ and is made available under the copyright law of the United States
51
+ (Title 17, United States Code) which governs "fair use" or the making of
52
+ photocopies or other reproductions of copyrighted material. Photocopy
53
+ or reproduction is not to be “used for any purpose other than private
54
+ study, scholarship, or research.”
55
+ Permitted
56
+ Re-Use
57
+ Permitted re-use of this open access article is determined by the
58
+ author’s choice of user license.
59
+ e-Access to IFPRI Research
60
+ IFPRI has made this chapter openly available. If this access benefits you or your community
61
+ share your story with ifpri-km@cgiar.org.
62
+ 8Food Crisis and Export Taxation: Revisiting
63
+ the Adverse Effects of Noncooperative Aspect
64
+ of Trade Policies
65
+ Antoine Bouët and David Laborde Debucquet
66
+ 8.1 Introduction
67
+ Export restrictions are a common practice in the current world trading system.
68
+ For instance, some developing countries implemented export taxes and export
69
+ restrictions during the recent food crisis (2006–2008). But beyond crisis periods,
70
+ export restrictions are, in fact, trade measures that are permanently adopted by some
71
+ countries: export taxes implemented by Indonesia on palm oil; by Madagascar on
72
+ vanilla, coffee, pepper, and cloves; by Pakistan on raw cotton; by the Philippines on
73
+ copra and coconut oil; and by Argentina on crops and meat.
74
+ At a first glance, from a mercantilist point of view, it might be difficult to under-
75
+ stand why countries implement so many export restrictions. Indeed, policymakers
76
+ tend to favor exports and discourage imports. However, a more thorough analysis
77
+ revealed several justifications.
78
+ In this chapter, we consider these justifications and study how export taxation
79
+ may worsen a food crisis. It is important to keep in mind that reducing import duties
80
+ may also amplify food crisis and that these policy options form the basis of an
81
+ asymmetric game.
82
+ A. Bouët • D. Laborde Debucquet ()
83
+ International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI), Washington, DC, USA
84
+ University of Bordeaux, Bordeaux, France
85
+ e-mail: a.bouet@cgiar.org
86
+ © The Author(s) 2016
87
+ M. Kalkuhl et al. (eds.), Food Price Volatility and Its Implications for Food Security
88
+ and Policy, DOI 10.1007/978-3-319-28201-5_8
89
+ 167
90
+ 168 A. Bouët and D. Laborde Debucquet
91
+ We also focus on institutional aspects and, in particular, why export taxes can
92
+ be so easily raised. It appears that countries have a considerably large degree
93
+ of freedom when implementing such taxes as the WTO does not prohibit export
94
+ taxes and other forms of export restrictions. As stated by Crosby (2008), “general
95
+ WTO rules do not discipline Members’ application of export taxes,” but “they can
96
+ agree—and several recently acceded countries, including China, have agreed—to
97
+ legally binding commitments in this regard.” The Uruguay Round Agreement on
98
+ Agriculture only stipulates that, when implementing a new export restriction, a
99
+ WTO member must (1) consider the implications of these policies on food security
100
+ in importing countries, (2) give notice to the Committee on Agriculture, and (3)
101
+ consult with WTO members that have an interest. The agreement does not institute
102
+ any penalty for countries ignoring the rules. Restrictive export policies do not
103
+ receive much attention from the public or the academic establishment.
104
+ Section 8.2 provides the various justifications for export restrictions. Section 8.3
105
+ investigates the role of export taxes in worsening a food crisis. Section 8.4 focuses
106
+ on the limited institutional role of WTO in the topic of restrictive export policies.
107
+ Section 8.5 concludes this chapter.
108
+ 8.2 Why Do Countries Implement Export Restrictions?
109
+ Before discussing the policy justifications for export restrictions, it is noteworthy
110
+ that, from a theoretical point of view, export taxes and export quotas are equivalent:
111
+ quotas could raise revenue if quota allocations are not issued for free but auctioned
112
+ under competitive conditions. However, in the real world, export licenses are given
113
+ to domestic producers and do not generate public revenue. Therefore, export taxes
114
+ and export quotas are not equivalent in the real world.1
115
+ The first justification is the terms-of-trade argument and the desire to increase
116
+ export prices. This is perhaps the most important justification from a theoretical
117
+ point of view. By restricting its exports, a country that supplies a significant share
118
+ of a commodity to the world market may raise the world price of that commodity.
119
+ This implies an improvement in that country’s terms of trade. The reasoning behind
120
+ this argument is very similar to the optimum tariff argument, which states that, by
121
+ implementing a tariff on its imports, a “large” country can significantly decrease
122
+ the demand for a commodity that it imports; this therefore leads to a decrease in
123
+ the commodity’s world price, which is again an improvement in the terms of trade
124
+ (Bickerdike 1906; Johnson 1953).
125
+ When considering the final consumption of food products, the second justifi-
126
+ cation is food security: export taxes reduce domestic prices. When considering a
127
+ food product which is an important commodity in a country’s national consumption
128
+ 1Let us mention that export quota and export taxes are also not equivalent under retaliation, that
129
+ is to say if implemented during a trade war between large countries (see Rodriguez 1974; Tower
130
+ 1975).
131
+ 8 Food Crisis and Export Taxation: Revisiting the Adverse Effects. . . 169
132
+ structure and is also exported, by imposing an export tax, a government creates
133
+ a wedge between the world price and the country’s domestic price. This can
134
+ lower the final domestic consumption price by reorienting domestic supply toward
135
+ the domestic market. Piermartini (2004) cited the Indonesian government as an
136
+ example. The Indonesian government frequently imposes export taxes on palm oil
137
+ products, in particular on palm cooking oil, as it considers cooking oil an “essential
138
+ commodity” for local households. This rationale was often used by governments
139
+ during the food crisis of 2006–2008 to justify implementing export taxes and other
140
+ forms of export restrictions. Some examples of which are as follows: Bangladesh,
141
+ Brazil, Cambodia, China, Egypt, and India implemented restrictive policies on rice
142
+ and Argentina, India, and Kazakhstan on wheat. Export restrictions are anticyclical
143
+ trade policy instruments: when international prices are high, local consumers are
144
+ hurt by high domestic prices; implementing export restrictions decreases local prices
145
+ but contributes to the rise of international prices.
146
+ The third justification takes into account the existence of intermediate consumers
147
+ (firms) of the taxed products in a country. If a raw commodity is exported
148
+ and is also used by the local processing industry, imposing export taxes on
149
+ this primary commodity indirectly subsidizes the local processing industry by
150
+ lowering the domestic price of inputs compared to the commodity’s world price,
151
+ which is nondistorted. It has the same mechanism as the previous reason: export
152
+ taxation gives local producers more incentive to sell their product domestically.
153
+ For example, in Indonesia, an export tax on lumber promoted the development
154
+ of the domestic wood-processing industry; the development was judged to be
155
+ excessive for environmental reasons as it contributed to the depletion of forests
156
+ (World Bank 1998). In 1988, Pakistan imposed an export tax on raw cotton in
157
+ order to stimulate the development of the yarn cotton industry. Export taxes on
158
+ palm oil are imposed in Indonesia and Malaysia to support the development of
159
+ downstream industries (biodiesel and cooking oil; see Amiruddin 2003). According
160
+ to this line of reasoning, export taxes may also be applied to a whole value chain
161
+ by decreasing the level of taxation along the value chain. This is called differential
162
+ export tax (DET) rates: the policy of imposing high export taxes on raw commodities
163
+ and low export taxes on processed goods. This policy generates public revenues
164
+ and promotes production at the later stages of a value chain. Bouët et al. (2014)
165
+ studied the theoretical justification of this trade policy, and then they developed a
166
+ partial equilibrium model of the global oilseed value chain and simulated the total
167
+ elimination of DETs in Argentina and Indonesia and the independent removal of
168
+ export taxes at various stages of production in the two countries. Their estimations
169
+ showed that removing export taxes along the entire value chain in Argentina and
170
+ Indonesia reduced the local biofuel production; they also point out that the DETs
171
+ were implemented to raise public revenues.
172
+ The fourth justification is also a “raison d’être” for export taxes. Export taxes
173
+ provide a source of revenue to developing countries that have limited capacity to
174
+ rely on domestic taxation. This is a second-best argument because the imposition
175
+ of lump-sum taxes is a first-best policy (Ramsey 1927; Diamond 1975). It is
176
+ noteworthy that only export taxes (and not export quotas) serve this objective.
177
+ 170 A. Bouët and D. Laborde Debucquet
178
+ As with all trade policy, export taxes may serve the purpose of redistributing
179
+ income. This is the fifth justification of this policy instrument combining different
180
+ aspects from the three previous arguments. Like import tariffs, export taxes are
181
+ measures that imply distribution of income. Here, this is detrimental to domestic
182
+ producers of the taxed commodity but benefits domestic consumers and public
183
+ revenues.
184
+ So we arrive at the first conclusion: export taxes are attractive policy instruments
185
+ since they may serve different positive purposes for a government.
186
+ This is the reason why export taxes are relatively common in the current global
187
+ trading system. Some studies have estimated their importance. Laborde et al. (2013)
188
+ used a new detailed global data set on export taxes at the HS6 level and the MIRAGE
189
+ global CGE model to assess the impact of export taxes on the world economy.
190
+ They found that the average export tax on global merchandise trade was 0.48 %
191
+ in 2007, with the bulk of these taxes imposed on energy products. Moreover, the
192
+ removal of these taxes would increase global welfare by 0.23 %, a larger figure than
193
+ the gains projected by the Doha Round. Both developed and emerging economies,
194
+ such as China and India, would gain from removing export taxes. Medium and
195
+ small food-importing countries without market power (such as the least-developed
196
+ countries) would also benefit from the elimination of export restrictions. The export
197
+ taxes implemented by the countries in the Commonwealth of Independent States
198
+ on their energy sector appear to play a critical role in the overall economic impact
199
+ of the removal of these taxes. However, some countries, such as Argentina, would
200
+ experience income losses.
201
+ In the next section, we focus on using food security as a justification for export
202
+ taxation. We show how implementing this policy instrument is a noncooperative
203
+ trade policy when food prices are high. During a food crisis, governments of food-
204
+ exporting countries are tempted to alleviate high food prices by restricting exports to
205
+ encourage local producers to sell food items domestically and decrease local prices.
206
+ But in doing so, these countries decrease the food supply on the world markets,
207
+ causing world food prices to increase. This worsens the food crisis and is typically
208
+ a “beggar-thy-neighbor” policy.
209
+ But in times of food crisis, restricting exports is not the only noncooperative
210
+ trade policy. Food-importing countries are, at the same time, tempted to decrease
211
+ domestic food prices by decreasing import duties. In doing so, they increase their
212
+ national demand on the world market, reinforcing the upward pressure on world
213
+ food prices. This is another noncooperative aspect of trade policies in periods of
214
+ food crisis.
215
+ The combination of export taxes and reduced import duties increases the upward
216
+ pressure on world prices when food prices are high. On the contrary, when world
217
+ agricultural prices are low, food-exporting countries may be tempted to decrease
218
+ export taxes and food-importing countries to increase import duties. This increases
219
+ food supply and reduces food demand on world markets and therefore once again
220
+ increases the downward pressure on world prices. It may appear that trade policies
221
+ make world markets structurally more volatile.
222
+ 8 Food Crisis and Export Taxation: Revisiting the Adverse Effects. . . 171
223
+ 8.3 ToWhat Extent Does Export Taxation Amplify Food Price
224
+ Volatility?
225
+ Economic literature helps to explain why large food-exporting countries implement
226
+ export taxes and large food-importing countries implement import duties. The first
227
+ reason is terms of trade. Bouët and Laborde (2012) designed a general equilibrium
228
+ model of international trade between four countries—two large (1 and 2) and two
229
+ small (3 and 4)—which trade the two commodities A (agricultural commodity) and
230
+ I (industrial good). Countries 1 and 4 have a comparative advantage in A, while
231
+ countries 2 and 3 have a comparative advantage in I. Import duties on the industrial
232
+ good are assumed to be bound at 0, which implies that countries 1 and 4 will not
233
+ use this policy instrument.
234
+ Using this simple framework, it is easy to show that if governments’ objective
235
+ is to maximize real income (welfare), the Nash equilibrium is a combination of a
236
+ positive import duty in country 2 (the large food-importing country) and a positive
237
+ export tax in country 1 (the large food-exporting country), while free trade is the
238
+ best policy for both small countries. The results point out that large countries may
239
+ manipulate world prices by imposing import duties or export taxes, depending on
240
+ their export status. This Nash equilibrium implies a reduction in world real income,
241
+ but large countries may benefit by having augmented real income. It is important to
242
+ note that an import duty in the large food-importing country tends to decrease the
243
+ world price of the agricultural commodity, while an export tax in the large food-
244
+ exporting country tends to increase it. If at the Nash equilibrium, the world price
245
+ of this commodity is increased, the small food-importing country’s real income is
246
+ reduced, while the small food-exporting country’s real income is augmented. This
247
+ teaches us that (1) export taxes on agricultural commodity improves terms of trade
248
+ of large food-exporting countries and (2) when combined with import duties in large
249
+ food-importing countries, world trade is drastically reduced and world real income
250
+ is hurt with no policy option for small countries.
251
+ Bouët and Laborde (2012) also showed that if a government’s objective is to
252
+ achieve stable domestic agricultural goods prices during a food crisis, the best
253
+ response is to decrease import taxes for a large food-importing country and to
254
+ increase export taxes for a large food-exporting country. Both policies increase the
255
+ world price of agricultural goods, thereby hurting a small food-importing country
256
+ while increasing a small food-exporting country’s real income.
257
+ Consequently, a collective action problem emerges from this simple theoretical
258
+ framework: in case of a food price spike, governments which are concerned with
259
+ establishing domestic food security and stabilizing domestic food prices are tempted
260
+ to reduce import duties on food items if they are food importers and to increase
261
+ export taxes on food items if they are food exporters. Both policy reactions tend
262
+ to reinforce the increase in food world prices. Martin and Anderson (2012) also
263
+ pointed out this inefficiency. Gouel (2014) designed a simple stochastic partial
264
+ equilibrium model and concluded that countercyclical trade policies are inefficient
265
+ 172 A. Bouët and D. Laborde Debucquet
266
+ at the global level: these trade policies increase world prices when the prices are
267
+ relatively high, while they reduce world prices when the prices are relatively low.2
268
+ How much these trade policies amplify world price spikes remains to be known.
269
+ In the same paper, Bouët and Laborde (2012) used the MIRAGE model of the world
270
+ economy to evaluate this point. The study uses the static version of MIRAGE under
271
+ perfect competition with 27 regions and 25 sectors.3 They simulated a demand
272
+ shock which led to a 10 % increase of the world wheat price. In the first policy
273
+ scenario, countries that are net wheat exporters implement export taxes such that
274
+ the real domestic price of wheat is constant. This led to additional export taxes in
275
+ the range of 16–25 %. This policy reaction also caused the world wheat price to
276
+ increase by 16.8 % rather than 10 %. In the second scenario, countries that are
277
+ net wheat importers implemented import taxes (import subsidies are forbidden)
278
+ such that the real domestic wheat price remained constant (the domestic price is
279
+ not constant if the strategic rigidity—i.e., no import subsidies—is binding). Import
280
+ duties are decreased by between 13 and 30 % age points, and the world price of
281
+ wheat increased by 12.6 %. If both policy reactions are allowed (increasing export
282
+ taxes and reducing import duties without implementing import subsidies), additional
283
+ export taxes between 19 and 50 % were implemented, and the world price of wheat
284
+ increased by 20.6 %: implementing these trade policies caused the world price to
285
+ more than double.
286
+ Concerning countries’ national real income, net wheat exporters’ economic wel-
287
+ fare is positively affected by the initial shock and their policy response (increasing
288
+ export taxes), while that of net wheat importers’ welfare is negatively affected. The
289
+ economic welfare of Argentina as well as those of Australia, Canada, and Ukraine
290
+ significantly increased under all shocks, in particular under the shock that combines
291
+ endogenous export taxes and import tariffs. On the other hand, net wheat importers,
292
+ such as Egypt and Eastern Africa, are significantly hurt by these shocks in terms of
293
+ real income.
294
+ This collective action problem necessitates an institutional response: the next
295
+ section examines to what extent the WTO may provide a framework adapted to
296
+ discipline these inefficient trade policies.
297
+ 2In case of food glut on world markets, world prices are relatively low: in the model designed by
298
+ Gouel (2014), import duties may be increased in the large food-importing country and export taxes
299
+ may be decreased in the large food-exporting country since governments have also an objective of
300
+ domestic price smoothing.
301
+ 3The use of a dynamic version of MIRAGE could open the door for new analyses and new
302
+ policy conclusions. In the long term, export restrictions diminish sector profitability and, as such,
303
+ may decrease investment in these sectors. This means less supply in following periods of time
304
+ with a potentially higher risk of increased domestic price which could lead local governments to
305
+ implement new export restrictions. This increases the long-term cost of these policies with the
306
+ extreme situation where a net-exporting country turns into a net-importing country.
307
+ 8 Food Crisis and Export Taxation: Revisiting the Adverse Effects. . . 173
308
+ 8.4 Can Export Restrictions Be Disciplined in theWTO
309
+ Framework?
310
+ There is a clear trade-off between import duties and export taxes with a double
311
+ asymmetry. First, in times of food crisis, export taxes are raised while import
312
+ duties are reduced. Second, while increasing export taxes is clearly identified as a
313
+ noncooperative policy, it is much more difficult to criticize a country when it reduces
314
+ its import duties. However, both policy reactions have the same impact on world
315
+ prices, and both policies hurt poor food-importing countries. While reducing import
316
+ duties cannot be opposed from an institutional point of view, the policy reaction may
317
+ be considered as a “beggar-thy-neighbor” policy when analyzed from an economic
318
+ perspective.
319
+ The literature clearly reflects this dilemma. While Martin and Anderson (2012)
320
+ and Bouët and Laborde (2012) underlined that reducing import duties also affects
321
+ world price variability, Josling (2014) noted that “such impact : : : [is] : : : likely
322
+ minor compared to the positive benefits for domestic consumers. Exporters : : : [are]
323
+ also benefiting from the reduction in protection levels and it would therefore not
324
+ : : : [make] sense to develop rules that : : : [inhibit] countries from making increased
325
+ use of imports when domestic prices are high” (Josling 2014, p. 6). On the contrary,
326
+ Gouel (2014) concluded that “export restrictions do not play a more important
327
+ role : : : [in recent food price spikes] than tariffs. : : : they both contribute to shift
328
+ volatility to partners’ markets” (Gouel 2014, p. 18).4
329
+ While the WTO gives its members total freedom to decrease import duties
330
+ (even import subsidies are tolerated), the institution forbids the implementation of
331
+ quantitative export restrictions (Article X1:1). However, international law makes an
332
+ exception for temporary export quotas in times of critical shortages of food items
333
+ (Article XI:2). Export taxes are not prohibited, but the WTO requires its members to
334
+ consider how their export taxes will affect their trading partners and to notify when
335
+ implementing export taxes.
336
+ Anania (2014) considered that the provisions concerning export restrictions,
337
+ which was included in the agricultural “modalities” issued in December 2008,
338
+ reflected a broad agreement on this issue and are not ambitious. He proposed
339
+ modifying Article XI.2 by limiting the export prohibitions and restrictions which
340
+ are allowed under Article XI to a certain time frame. He wrote: “Existing export
341
+ prohibitions and restrictions in foodstuffs and feeds under Article XI.2 (a) of GATT
342
+ 1994 shall be eliminated by the end of the first year of implementation” and “any
343
+ new export prohibitions or restrictions under Article XI.2 (a) of GATT 1994 should
344
+ not normally be longer than 12 months, and shall only be longer than 18 months with
345
+ the agreement of the affected importing Members.” He also highlighted the need to
346
+ 4However, Gouel (2014) also concludes that export restrictions may be more damaging in the
347
+ real world because of the asymmetry of world price distribution (commodity prices are positively
348
+ skewed).
349
+ 174 A. Bouët and D. Laborde Debucquet
350
+ strengthen the consultation and notification procedures so that they are performed
351
+ within 90 days of introducing a new restrictive export measure.
352
+ Anania (2014) recommended two options, which he deemed realistic and can
353
+ potentially be included in a low-ambition Doha Agreement. First, as proposed
354
+ by many other observers, the commitment to shelter noncommercial interventions
355
+ from export restrictions made by the G20 at the 2011 Cannes Summit5 needs to
356
+ be transformed into a legal commitment at the WTO. Unfortunately, at the 2011
357
+ WTO Ministerial Conference in Geneva, the proposal6 to adopt this approach at a
358
+ multilateral level was opposed by key countries including Argentina, Brazil, China,
359
+ India, and South Africa7, which are all G20 members. And without a consensus, the
360
+ proposal was not adopted. Even though it is not legally binding, a statement made
361
+ during a Ministerial Conference would have been the first step toward the inclusion
362
+ of this basic requirement in the final Doha package—avoiding export restrictions
363
+ because they adversely affect food aid. Indeed, food purchases by international
364
+ organizations concern mainly key staple products and a few processed products for
365
+ emergency reasons.8 They represent a limited amount of total worldwide traded
366
+ quantities of these food items. Second, making existing disciplines enforceable
367
+ essentially involves clarifying the definition of the conditions under which export
368
+ quantitative restrictions are allowed. The exact wording of Article XI is imprecise:
369
+ “temporarily applied to prevent or relieve critical shortages of foodstuffs or other
370
+ products essential to the exporting contracting party” (Article XI:2a of GATT 1994).
371
+ In particular, the words “temporarily” and “critical” need to be clearly defined.
372
+ However bringing discipline into the area of export restrictions is a complex issue.
373
+ Cardwell and Kerr (2014) adopted a pessimistic view on this issue. They opined
374
+ that any disciplinary measures to deal with export taxes would neither be effective
375
+ nor have any deterrent effects. Trade disputes, including export restrictions, occur
376
+ over a different time frame than the other disputes. Any disputes arising from export
377
+ restrictions during a period of high food prices are unlikely to be resolved before the
378
+ prohibited restriction is lifted. Moreover, the authors also believed that retaliatory
379
+ 5“According to the Action Plan, we agree to remove food export restrictions or extraordinary
380
+ taxes for food purchased for noncommercial humanitarian purposes by the World Food Program
381
+ and agree not to impose them in the future.” G20 Cannes Summit, 3–4 November 2011. This
382
+ commitment was based on the G20 Action Plan defined on 23 June 2011 and was based on Rec-
383
+ ommendation #5 from the international organizations report for the G20 on “Price volatility in food
384
+ and agricultural markets: policy responses.” Available at http://www.amis-outlook.org/fileadmin/
385
+ templates/AMIS/documents/Interagency_Report_to_the_G20_on_Food_Price_Volatility.pdf.
386
+ 6The proposal was supported by Australia, Canada, Chile, Costa Rica, the European Union, Korea,
387
+ Indonesia, Japan, Mexico, Norway, Saudi Arabia, Singapore, Switzerland, and Turkey.
388
+ 7See Bridges, Volume 15-number 37. Available at http://ictsd.org/i/news/bridgesweekly/117348.
389
+ 8For instance, the World Food Program, in 2013, procured mainly rice, maize, wheat,
390
+ wheat flour, pulses, vegetable oil, sorghum, maize meal, sugar, and blended food. The lat-
391
+ ter includes pasta, high-energy biscuits, emergency rations, and ready-to-use supplementary
392
+ foods (breast milk supplement)(see http://documents.wfp.org/stellent/groups/public/documents/
393
+ communications/wfp264134.pdf).
394
+ 8 Food Crisis and Export Taxation: Revisiting the Adverse Effects. . . 175
395
+ measures are difficult to design; retaliation for an export restriction in a particular
396
+ sector should be carried out in another sector, and the retaliation should amount to
397
+ the same value as the lost exports. This is likely difficult to implement when there is
398
+ great disparity between the countries concerned, such as in the case of trade between
399
+ poor net food-importing countries and countries having imposed export restrictions.
400
+ 8.5 Concluding Remarks: Looking for a Solution
401
+ As discussed in Sect. 8.2, export restrictions play an important role in increasing
402
+ price volatility and magnifying the impact of natural weather variability on agricul-
403
+ tural markets. It greatly contributes to policy uncertainty and therefore undermines
404
+ private investments in domestic agricultural supply, and in trade-related infrastruc-
405
+ ture and network. The binding process of import tariffs at the WTO was particularly
406
+ aimed at reducing this policy instability, creating a more secure environment for the
407
+ private sector and fostering investments. At the same time, it limits the possibility
408
+ of a retaliation and prevents noncooperative outcomes and the so-called trade wars
409
+ from emerging.9 However, the current system is quite asymmetric at the WTO, as
410
+ mentioned in Sect. 8.3, while import restrictions are severely dealt with by a set
411
+ of disciplinary measures, export restrictions do not face the same constraints. On
412
+ the import side, a clear framework is provided by the binding of tariffs (100 % in
413
+ agriculture); tariffication and elimination of quantitative import restrictions (GATT
414
+ article XI), exceptional conditions notwithstanding; and stringent rules framing the
415
+ use of contingent protection (antidumping duties in GATT article 6, safeguards
416
+ GATT article 19, etc.). On the export side, only quantitative export restrictions are
417
+ currently disciplined, and the policy space to use them remains large, especially
418
+ for food products. Because supplier countries do not face similar disciplines, this
419
+ asymmetry undermines the pursuit of global integration of agricultural markets,
420
+ and it strengthens the arguments of countries that do not want to reduce their
421
+ tariffs and increase their reliance on world markets. Indeed, the current framework
422
+ provides an unbalanced distribution of risks between importers and exporters, and
423
+ it also lets suppliers increase their market power. It could potentially even have
424
+ worse consequences: the overall price instability and the asymmetry in disciplinary
425
+ measures could lead to the relaxation of disciplinary actions against contingent
426
+ 9In fact, applying the game theory to trade policy leads to the conclusion that to facilitate the
427
+ emergence of cooperation, there is a choice of either institutionalizing a discipline that forbids
428
+ noncooperation (a world institution that forbids countries to implement beggar-thy-neighbor trade
429
+ policies) or allowing countries to use retaliatory measures to prevent other countries from being
430
+ noncooperative. The threat of retaliation is viewed as a powerful means of encouraging cooperation
431
+ (see Axelrod 1981; Bouët 1992). The reality of the trading system today lies somewhere between
432
+ these two options since the WTO forbids the use of some policy instruments (import duties) but
433
+ authorizes the use of others (export restrictions). Moreover, a global institution is necessary since
434
+ trading partners differ in size and capacity to hurt other countries.
435
+ 176 A. Bouët and D. Laborde Debucquet
436
+ import measures, as with the special safeguard mechanism introduced by the G-33,
437
+ instead of strengthening regulations on contingent export restrictions.
438
+ In this context, it is important to discuss potential solutions by means of new
439
+ WTO regulations or experimenting with new concepts found in some bilateral
440
+ agreements. Indeed, the elimination of export restrictions can be seen as a first-
441
+ best solution, but domestic political economy will make it unrealistic to attain such
442
+ outcome in the short run, especially for countries with weak institutions. This is
443
+ because these countries will need time to reform their tax system to replace export
444
+ taxes by production taxes.
445
+ If not at the multilateral level, a solution may be reached at least on a plurilateral
446
+ basis.10 Looking at recent bilateral agreements reveals that some of these features
447
+ are already included in both North–North and North–South deals. As an example of
448
+ a North–North deal, the Comprehensive Trade and Economic Agreement (CETA)
449
+ between the EU and Canada states its position on restrictive trade policies in certain
450
+ terms; Article 7 of the agreement eliminates duties and taxes on exports: “Neither
451
+ Party may maintain or institute any duties, taxes or other fees and charges imposed
452
+ on, or in connection with, the exportation of goods to the other Party, or any internal
453
+ taxes or fees and charges on goods exported to the other Party, that are in excess
454
+ of those that would be imposed on those goods when destined for internal sale.”
455
+ The Dominican Republic–Central America Free Trade Agreement (CAFTA-DR) is
456
+ a free trade agreement between the USA, five Central American countries, and the
457
+ Dominican Republic. The agreement’s key principle is to bind existing measures,
458
+ granting them a “grandfathering” clause, and ban new export taxes (export bans are
459
+ still subject to Article XI of the GATT); Article 3.8 of the agreement states: “[ : : : ]no
460
+ Party may adopt or maintain any prohibition or restriction on [ : : : ] the exportation
461
+ or sale for export of any good destined for the territory of another Party, except in
462
+ accordance with Article XI of the GATT 1994.” Article 3.11 indicates clearly that
463
+ discriminatory practices are banned: “Export Taxes Except as provided in Annex
464
+ 3.11, no Party may adopt or maintain any duty, tax, or other charge on the export of
465
+ any good to the territory of another Party, unless such duty, tax, or charge is adopted
466
+ or maintained on any such good: (a) when exported to the territories of all other
467
+ Parties; and (b) when destined for domestic consumption.”
468
+ The Economic Partnership Agreement, negotiated between the EU and some
469
+ members of the Southern African Development Community (2015), also expresses
470
+ its position in firm language while still maintaining some flexibility for the less-
471
+ advanced economies. Article 26.1 follows the binding approach: “No new customs
472
+ duties or taxes imposed on or in connection with the exportation of goods shall be
473
+ introduced, nor shall those already applied be increased, in the trade between the
474
+ 10If a plurilateral approach on all commodities is not achievable, a commodity-by-commodity
475
+ approach following the sectoral initiatives could be considered. The main limit is that for most
476
+ of the key staple commodities, one of the major exporters is very defensive regarding export taxes
477
+ regulations (e.g., Russia, Argentina, and India on wheat).
478
+ 8 Food Crisis and Export Taxation: Revisiting the Adverse Effects. . . 177
479
+ Parties from the date of entry into force of this Agreement, except as otherwise
480
+ provided for in this Article.” Article 26:2 recognizes that “In exceptional circum-
481
+ stances, [ : : : ] where essential for the prevention or relief of critical general or local
482
+ shortages of foodstuffs or other products essential to ensure food security Botswana,
483
+ Lesotho, Namibia, Mozambique and Swaziland may introduce, after consultation
484
+ with the EU, temporary customs duties or taxes imposed on or in connection with
485
+ the exportation of goods, on a limited number of additional products.” So, in this
486
+ agreement, the largest economies (South Africa, the EU) have strong commitments
487
+ to fulfill, while the others benefit from a special and differentiated treatment.
488
+ Sections 6–10 of Article 26 provide an interesting framework for how to prevent
489
+ products exempted from export taxes from being reexported to third parties on a
490
+ bilateral basis.
491
+ So, what can be done, especially in the context of restricting contingent,
492
+ short-term export restrictions? As previously discussed, humanitarian interventions
493
+ should be shielded from these measures in any basic WTO decisions, but attempts to
494
+ change international laws have faced strong opposition. In this context, the first basic
495
+ step is to enforce a strong monitoring and notifications process,11 aimed at reducing
496
+ asymmetry of information. To keep both private and public agents informed, there
497
+ are ongoing efforts to create agricultural market information systems aimed at
498
+ providing updated policy changes for key agricultural commodities not only at the
499
+ WTO but also at the G20, with its AMIS initiative.12 However, the lack of automatic
500
+ sanctions when countries fail to notify, which is a larger issue facing the WTO
501
+ than export restrictions, is still a major problem. The second step is to develop a
502
+ system that focuses on protecting small and vulnerable economies (SVEs). SVEs
503
+ are generally more open and have lower income, poorer consumers, and no capacity
504
+ to retaliate. Also, their demand, even when aggregated, cannot be considered as a
505
+ major driver of global price increase. To ensure healthy global trade, protecting these
506
+ countries and limiting negative externalities coming from other larger countries
507
+ should be prioritized.
508
+ A natural way to address this issue is the “reversed” tariff quota approach. For
509
+ normal import levels (e.g., the average bilateral import volume in the last 3 years),
510
+ SVEs should be able to import food products without quantitative restrictions and
511
+ additional export taxes. This would guarantee normal market access conditions
512
+ even when world market turmoil causes major traders to change their policies.
513
+ Beyond the “historical” level of imports, exporters would be free to apply short-
514
+ term restrictions.
515
+ 11This issue was emphasized in the WTO agricultural committee meeting on 21 June 2011: “These
516
+ require the restricting country to take into account the impact on importing countries’ food security,
517
+ to notify the WTO as soon as possible, and as far in advance as possible, to be prepared to discuss
518
+ the restriction with importing countries and to supply them with detailed information when asked
519
+ for it.”
520
+ 12http://www.amis-outlook.org/home/en/
521
+ 178 A. Bouët and D. Laborde Debucquet
522
+ Another solution is to replace rigid legislation by a price mechanism and to
523
+ apply a Pigouvian tax on the negative externalities of short-term surges in export
524
+ restrictions. When a country, at least a G20 country, implements a new export
525
+ restriction on food products, it would have to pay a fee. If more sophisticated pricing
526
+ rules can be developed, a first approximation could be the historical amount of taxes
527
+ collected from goods imported by an SVE from this exporter. The automaticity
528
+ of the payment is ensured by the effective revenue collected by the exporting
529
+ countries13 and will address the key problems of (1) a lengthy dispute settlement at
530
+ the WTO and (2) the lack of retaliation capacity by the SVE. The income generated
531
+ through collecting this fee could be directly channeled toward helping SVEs pay
532
+ their surging food import bills and fund their emergency safety nets. Alternatively,
533
+ the income could also be used to provide the World Food Program with extra
534
+ resources so that the program can cope with an increase in world food prices
535
+ and develop targeted interventions. Similarly, a market for authorizing quantitative
536
+ restrictions (like the “permits to pollute”) can allow exporters to restrict their export
537
+ quantities, while SVEs would have “importing rights” calculated based on historical
538
+ import levels and could sell these licenses to exporters, thereby generating income
539
+ to cover their import bills. These different measures are designed to provide an
540
+ international insurance mechanism against harmful policies by reducing incentives
541
+ to implement them (additional costs to exporters) and providing remedies for the
542
+ most vulnerable countries.
543
+ Open Access This chapter is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-
544
+ Noncommercial 2.5 License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/2.5/) which permits any
545
+ noncommercial use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author(s)
546
+ and source are credited.
547
+ The images or other third party material in this chapter are included in the work’s Creative
548
+ Commons license, unless indicated otherwise in the credit line; if such material is not included
549
+ in the work’s Creative Commons license and the respective action is not permitted by statutory
550
+ regulation, users will need to obtain permission from the license holder to duplicate, adapt or
551
+ reproduce the material.
552
+ References
553
+ Amiruddin MN (2003) Palm oil products exports, prices and export duties: Malaysia and Indonesia
554
+ compared. Oil Palm Ind Econ J 3(2):15–20
555
+ Anania G (2014) Export restrictions and food security. In: Melendez-Ortiz R, Bellmann C,
556
+ Hepburn J (eds) Tackling agriculture in the post-Bali context. ICTSD, Geneva
557
+ Axelrod R (1981) The evolution of cooperation. Basic Books, New York
558
+ Bickerdike CF (1906) The theory of incipient taxes. Econ J 16:529–535
559
+ Bouët A (1992) Représailles et Commerce International Stratégique. Economica, Paris
560
+ Bouët A, Laborde D (2012) Food crisis and export taxation: the cost of non-cooperative trade
561
+ policies. Rev World Econ 148(1):209–233
562
+ 13For short-run export taxes during an episode of high price volatility, tax revenue is rarely the
563
+ main objective of a government applying such measures.
564
+ 8 Food Crisis and Export Taxation: Revisiting the Adverse Effects. . . 179
565
+ Bouët A, Estrades C, Laborde D (2014) Differential export taxes along the oilseeds value chain: a
566
+ partial equilibrium analysis. Am J Agric Econ 96(3):924–938
567
+ Cardwell R, Kerr WA (2014) Can export restrictions be disciplined through the world trade
568
+ organization? World Econ 37(8):1186–1196
569
+ Crosby D (2008) WTO legal status and evolving practice of export taxes. Bridges 12(5)
570
+ Diamond PA (1975) A many-person Ramsey rule. J Public Econ 4:335–342
571
+ Gouel C (2014) Trade policy coordination and food price volatility. CEPII Working Paper 2014-23
572
+ Johnson HG (1953) Optimum tariffs and retaliation. Rev Econ Stud 21:142–153
573
+ Josling T (2014) The WTO, food security and the problem of collective action. In: Paper presented
574
+ at the World Bank seminar on Food Security
575
+ Laborde D, Estrades C, Bouët A (2013) A global assessment of the economic effects of export
576
+ taxes. World Econ 36(10):1333–1354
577
+ Martin W, Anderson K (2012) Export restrictions and price insulation during commodity price
578
+ booms. Am J Agric Econ 94(2):422–427
579
+ Piermartini R (2004) The role of export taxes in the field of primary commodities. WTO Discussion
580
+ Paper. World Trade Organization, Geneva
581
+ Ramsey FP (1927) A contribution to the theory of taxation. Econ J 37:47–61
582
+ Rodriguez C (1974) The non-equivalence of tariffs and quotas under retaliation. J Int Econ 4:295–
583
+ 298
584
+ Tower E (1975) The optimum quota and retaliation. Rev Econ Stud 42(4):623–630
585
+ World Bank (1998) Indonesia, strengthening forest conservation. World Bank, Washington, DC
586
+
data/part_2/0359075530.md ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,979 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ # The impact of cash and food transfers: Evidence from a randomized intervention in Niger
2
+
3
+ **Source:** gardian_index
4
+ **URL:** https://cgspace.cgiar.org/rest/bitstreams/65d2aa8b-ff84-44b8-ae98-29311fd92b11/retrieve
5
+ **Language:** English
6
+ **Resource Type:** Scientific Publication
7
+ **Release Year:** 2013
8
+ **Rights:** N/A
9
+ **GARDIAN ID:** 85385b8a41c97682a7537f36940a9786
10
+ **DataNODE ID:** ee7e38304c9faaaa0ce6fa6e3ca63582
11
+ **Siever ID:** 98f1fc7a-7ca9-411f-b20b-72c64538e5c6
12
+ **Token Count:** 7933
13
+ **Page Count:** 0
14
+
15
+ ## Keywords
16
+
17
+ cash transfers, food aid, food security, experimental design, food, niger
18
+
19
+ ## Geography
20
+
21
+ - **Regions:** Western Africa, Sub-Saharan Africa, Africa, World
22
+ - **Countries:** Niger
23
+
24
+ ## Content
25
+
26
+
27
+
28
+
29
+
30
+
31
+
32
+ The impact of cash and food transfers: Evidence from a randomized intervention in
33
+ Niger
34
+
35
+
36
+ John Hoddinott
37
+ International Food Policy Research Institute
38
+
39
+ Susanna Sandström
40
+ World Food Programme and Abo Akademi University, Turku, Finland
41
+
42
+ Joanna Upton
43
+ Cornell University
44
+
45
+
46
+
47
+ Selected Paper prepared for presentation at the Agricultural & Applied
48
+ Economics Association’s 2013 AAEA & CAES Joint Annual Meeting, Washington,
49
+ DC, August 4-6, 2013.
50
+
51
+
52
+
53
+
54
+
55
+
56
+ Acknowledgements:
57
+ We are grateful to Kountche Boubacar Idrissa for supervising the survey team, to Lynn Brown, Gianluca
58
+ Ferrera, Giorgi Dolidze, Marco Sanguineti and other staff at the World Food Programme for valuable support
59
+ and conversations and seminar participants at Cornell University for comments on an earlier draft. We
60
+ gratefully acknowledge funding from the Government of Spain received through the World Food Programme.
61
+ Errors are ours.
62
+
63
+ Corresponding author: John Hoddinott, 2033 K St. N.W., Washington D.C. 20006. J.Hoddinott@cgiar.org
64
+
65
+ Key words: cash and food transfers; food security; Niger; randomized intervention
66
+
67
+ Copyright 2013 by John Hoddinott, Susanna Sandström and Joanna Upton. All rights reserved. Readers may
68
+ make verbatim copies of this document for non-commercial purposes by any means, provided that this
69
+ copyright notice appears on all such copies.
70
+
71
+ Abstract
72
+
73
+ We assess the relative impacts of receiving cash versus food transfers using a
74
+ randomized design. Drawing on data collected in eastern Niger, we find that
75
+ households randomized to receive a food basket experienced larger, positive
76
+ impact on measures of food consumption and diet quality than those
77
+ receiving the cash transfer. Other outcomes showed greater variation by
78
+ season. Receiving food reduced the use of a number of coping strategies but
79
+ this effect was more pronounced during the height of the lean season.
80
+ Households receiving cash spent more money repairing their dwellings prior
81
+ to the start of the rainy season and spent more on agricultural inputs during
82
+ the growing season. Less than five percent of food was sold or exchanged for
83
+ other goods. Food and cash were delivered with the same degree of
84
+ frequency and timeliness but the food transfers cost 15 percent more to
85
+ implement.
86
+
87
+
88
+ JEL classification: D04, I38, O12
89
+
90
+ 1. Introduction
91
+ Interest in providing cash transfers for food assistance has been increasing in recent years.
92
+ Cash transfers have known advantages relative to food transfers with respect to timeliness
93
+ of delivery (Gentilini 2007; Lentz et al forthcoming).The other potential benefits and
94
+ drawbacks of each form of transfer, across a range of criteria, depend on the context and
95
+ objectives of the program (Upton and Lentz 2011). It is widely supposed that--as predicted
96
+ by economic theory--recipients would prefer to receive cash; provided that cash transfers
97
+ integrate the transaction costs involved in obtaining a comparable food transfer, recipients
98
+ can better meet their diverse needs with a cash transfer. However, there is little rigorous
99
+ evidence on the comparative impacts of cash and food transfers on food security and food
100
+ related outcomes. There are numerous studies on the impact of cash transfers (see
101
+ summaries in Fiszbein et al 2009 and DfID 2011) and numerous studies on the impact of
102
+ food transfers (see Margolies and Hoddinott 2011). However, as Hidrobo et al (2012) note
103
+ comparisons of these impacts is confounded by differences in program design, the
104
+ magnitude of the transfer, and the frequency of the transfer.1
105
+ This paper contributes to our understanding of the impact of cash and food transfers
106
+ on household food security. It uses a randomized design implemented by the World Food
107
+ Programme (WFP) in the Zinder region of Niger. Niger is an appropriate venue for such a
108
+ study. Following a famine in 2005, it has become a significant recipient of food assistance
109
+ (WFP 2012). There are sharp seasonal dimensions to food insecurity in Niger and our
110
+ evaluation design allows us to assess whether the impact of food and cash transfers varies
111
+ by season.
112
+ We find that food and cash have different impacts on measures of food security.
113
+ Households in villages randomized to receive the food basket experienced larger, positive
114
+ impact on measures of food consumption and diet quality than those receiving the cash
115
+ transfer. The likelihood of attaining an acceptable food consumption score was 10.9
116
+ percentage points higher for food households in July and 12.1 in percentage points higher in
117
+ October. By contrast, households randomized to receive cash were more likely to make bulk
118
+ purchases of grains. Other outcomes, however, showed greater variation by season.
119
+ Receiving food reduced the use of a number of coping strategies but this effect was more
120
+
121
+ 1
122
+ See Hidrobo et al (2012) for a review of recent studies including work by Sharma (2006) and Cunha, De
123
+ Giorgi, & Jayachandran (2011).
124
+ pronounced during the lean season. Households receiving cash spent more money repairing
125
+ their dwellings prior to the start of the rainy season and spent more on agricultural inputs
126
+ during the growing season. Less than five percent of food was sold or exchanged for other
127
+ goods. Both food and cash were delivered with the same degree of frequency and
128
+ timeliness but the food transfers cost 15 percent more to implement.
129
+
130
+ 2. Contexts
131
+ Zinder region, Niger
132
+ Niger is one of the poorest countries in the world. It is the fifth poorest when ranked by
133
+ gross national income per capita (PPP dollars), 172 of 187 when ranked on life expectancy
134
+ and 186 of 187 on the Human Development Index (UNDP 2012). Poverty in Niger is
135
+ endemic; 65 percent of the population falls under the national poverty line of $1.65 PPP per
136
+ day, and the Human Development Report headcount index ranks nearly 93 percent of the
137
+ population as suffering from deprivation (UNDP 2012). Only about 11 percent of Niger’s
138
+ land is considered arable, and crops suffer from volatility in rainfall and frequent drought.
139
+ Even when food is available, there are systemic and periodic problems with access and use.
140
+ Severe food crises affected parts of Niger in 2005-2006, 2010, and again in 2012.
141
+ The Zinder region is by Nigerian standards relatively well off.2 It is in the southern
142
+ part of the country that receives more rain than the arid north. Approximately 40 percent
143
+ of Niger’s millet production comes from Zinder and the nearby region of Maradi, and Zinder
144
+ is a surplus production zone for millet and cowpeas, two key staples (FEWS 2010). Many
145
+ inhabitants are agro-pastoralists, mixing agriculture with the raising of livestock primarily
146
+ small ruminants. It is also a key commercial hub, in part due to its close proximity and close
147
+ cultural ties to Nigeria (Eilerts 2006). Yet the region has frequently been among the hardest
148
+ hit by food crises, and chronically suffers some of the highest rates of malnutrition (Grobler-
149
+ Tanner 2006). During the 2005 famine, daily mortality rates were higher in Zinder than in
150
+ any other region, and an estimated 65% of the population had to resort to ‘irreversible’
151
+ coping strategies such as selling large livestock or production tools (Reza et al 2008). These
152
+ challenging conditions are embedded in a complex cultural landscape. Zinder is culturally
153
+ dominated by the Hausa people, a traditionally agricultural people who speak the Hausa
154
+
155
+ 2
156
+ Outside of the capital, Niamey, Niger is divided into seven regions which in turn are divided into 36
157
+ departements which are further divided into communes.
158
+ language. They share Zinder with several smaller ethnic groups including the agro-pastoral
159
+ Kanuri and the pastoral Peulh, Touareg, and Toubou.
160
+
161
+ Experimental design
162
+ In late 2010, the Government of Niger’s (GoN) famine early warning system identified the
163
+ Mirriah departement in Zinder as a place where humanitarian assistance would be required
164
+ during the six month period before the September 2011 harvest. Given the availability of
165
+ grains in local markets, WFP determined that it would be feasible to provide both food and
166
+ cash to beneficiaries in this area.3
167
+ Within Mirrah, WFP in cooperation with the GoN identified 126 villages both in need
168
+ of assistance and suitable for the public works envisaged as part of this intervention. Some
169
+ villages were subsequently dropped because another organization was planning to provide
170
+ food assistance to them or because the villages themselves declined to participate. Further
171
+ investigation indicated that 13 villages had such poor market access that it was
172
+ inappropriate to provide them with cash. These villages received transfers but were not
173
+ included in the surveys leaving 79 villages that were both suitable for the project and that
174
+ could receive either food or cash transfers. Implementing parties deemed that it would be
175
+ too complicated and/or lead to tension if proximate villages—especially that shared a
176
+ worksite during the public works phase—received different forms of transfer. Hence
177
+ randomization was done at the worksite level. This led to 52 village or village cluster
178
+ randomization units. Randomization was done through a procedure that assured an
179
+ approximately equal distribution of villages/worksites by zone and size receiving each
180
+ transfer.
181
+ The project was implemented in two phases over a six month period, from April
182
+ through September 2011. Phase 1 involved public works activities that took place from April
183
+ to June. Every household in participating villages was guaranteed 75 day’s work on these
184
+ projects.4 Most worksites were located near the targeted villages. While participation in
185
+ public works was voluntary, almost all households in these villages too part in work activities
186
+
187
+ 3
188
+ A market assessment in May 2011 confirmed that most traders in Zinder were still purchasing grain from
189
+ local sources. Unlike the northern and western parts of Niger, Zinder is relatively secure which meant that
190
+ heavily armed escorts would not be needed for cash disbursements.
191
+ 4
192
+ A small number of households such as those with a young mother and young children were exempted from
193
+ the work requirement and given an unconditional payment.
194
+ (98 percent in the food transfer zone and 95 percent in the cash transfer zone). The
195
+ registered beneficiary, who was usually the household head, was paid twice-monthly. In
196
+ cash villages, they received 1000 FCFA (roughly 2 USD) per day worked to a maximum of
197
+ 25000 FCFA per month. Food payments were provided in the form of a food basket of
198
+ commodities similar to those typically eaten in the region. A day payment provided a full
199
+ ration of food for the average household size of seven people, including 3.5 kg of grain
200
+ (primarily maize in the first transfer period and sorghum in the second), 0.72 kg of pulses
201
+ (cowpeas, red beans, or lentils), 0.14 kg of vegetable oil, and 0.035 kg of salt. Based on the
202
+ average monthly prices of these commodities between April and September 2010, the
203
+ average monthly cost of this food basket to recipients was 24000 FCFA. During the design
204
+ phase, respondents told project staff that it would cost approximately 800 FCFA to make
205
+ four trips per month to markets to buy food. Subtracting these transport costs made the
206
+ value of the food basket and the cash transfer equivalent.5 The transport, storage and
207
+ distribution of food and cash payments were contracted out to several Nigerian non-
208
+ governmental organizations. For the cash transfers, they charged WFP a fixed percentage of
209
+ the total amount of cash distributed. For food transfers, they charged a monetary fee based
210
+ on the quantity of food delivered. These transport, storage and distribution costs were 15.4
211
+ per cent higher for food relative to the cash payments.6
212
+ During the second phase, from July through September, 50 percent of households in
213
+ each village were selected to continue to receive the same transfer without having to fulfill
214
+ a work requirement; this was dropped out of concern that public works activities would
215
+ interfere with the planting and weeding of crops during the agricultural season. Targeting of
216
+ unconditional transfer recipients was undertaken using a combination of demographic
217
+
218
+ 5
219
+ Respondents at the community level indicated that on average it cost 480 FCFA (roughly 1 USD) to transport
220
+ 100kg of cereals from the market to home, or otherwise1920 FCFA for the transfer period (four trips). This
221
+ figure, however, does not take into account households pooling transport costs, which could significantly
222
+ reduce the per-household cost. The average cost for obtaining the food transfers by beneficiaries was reported
223
+ to be only 60 CFA per trip.
224
+ 6
225
+ These calculations abstract from a number of fixed costs associated with setting up these payments. For
226
+ example each smart card used for the cash payments cost $6.00 and there were additional costs associated
227
+ with writing the computer programs needed to dispense payments through the mobile ATMs. Costs such as
228
+ these are not included in the calculations reported here. We exclude costs that were common to both the food
229
+ and cash payments such as costs associated with implementing the public works, identifying the beneficiaries,
230
+ program sensitization, identification of implementing partners and contract negotiations with MFIs selected to
231
+ implement this intervention.
232
+ targeting and a participatory approach.7 A locality selected to receive cash(food) used
233
+ cash(food) for both public works and unconditional transfer payments.
234
+
235
+ 3. Data
236
+ The first survey was implemented in July, at the conclusion of the public works but before
237
+ the roll-out of the unconditional transfer.8 All households in all villages were administered a
238
+ basic questionnaire. A randomly selected sample of 2268 households who had been
239
+ targeted for the unconditional transfers was interviewed in greater depth. A follow up
240
+ survey was then administered to the sampled households at the conclusion of the
241
+ unconditional transfers, with 2209 being successfully traced and interviewed, an attrition
242
+ rate of 2.6 percent.
243
+ In both rounds household and community surveys were administered. The
244
+ household survey instruments included questions on demographic characteristics,
245
+ livelihoods, assets, livestock, agricultural production, and public works participation. Pre-
246
+ intervention characteristics (ie as of April 2011) including household composition, asset
247
+ ownership and indebtedness were retrospectively assessed as part of July survey. Food
248
+ security impacts and intra-household sharing were captured in modules on food
249
+ consumption, coping strategies and children’s food consumption. The survey instrument
250
+ also included questions on non-food expenditures, debt, inter-household transfers,
251
+ migration, and labor force participation. The community survey instrument collected
252
+ information on access to services, proximity and distance of markets, prices on key staples
253
+ and livestock, and criteria for selection of beneficiaries for the unconditional transfers.
254
+ Table 1 provides pre-intervention descriptive statistics of households using
255
+ information found in the retrospective components of the survey instrument.9 These data
256
+ are reported as worksite means, disaggregated by whether the locality was randomized to
257
+
258
+ 7
259
+ The implementing agencies made the selection in partnership with village leadership committees, with
260
+ reference to a set of categorical indicators such as households with children under the age of 24 months,
261
+ single parent household, etc.
262
+ 8
263
+ Impact evaluations usually have baseline surveys prior to the start of the intervention, though as McKenzie
264
+ (2012) notes, this is not always necessary. In our case, several factors prevented us from doing so. The security
265
+ situation in Niger at the start of 2012 was poor and this severely limited access by the research team to the
266
+ study sites. There was considerable uncertainty regarding take-up if public works and the targeting of
267
+ unconditional recipients had not been fully completed prior to first payments being made in April 2012.
268
+ 9
269
+ We provide unweighted statistics. Using sampling weights that reflect the inclusion probability of the
270
+ households in the sample have a minor impact on the results.
271
+ receive food or cash. Households are relatively large. About third are either polygamous or
272
+ female headed. They are poor. Fewer than 10 percent of heads have any formal schooling.10
273
+ While nearly all households own or rent farmland, and average operating sizes look large,
274
+ this is land of very low quality. Housing quality is poor and the vast majority of households
275
+ own little in the way of productive assets or consumer durables. We summarize these in the
276
+ form of an asset index. Around 30 per cent of households report that they own no livestock
277
+ and another 12 percent own only chickens or one ruminant. We convert data on livestock
278
+ holdings to Tropical Livestock Units (TLU). Households own, on average, one TLU. There are
279
+ no statistically significant differences across treatment arms when we look at a wide range
280
+ of household demographic, asset, or livelihood characteristics.
281
+ Table 1 also provides information on locality characteristics aggregated at the
282
+ worksite level. About two-thirds of villages are accessible by road. It typically takes just
283
+ under one hour to reach a road and about the same time to access a market. There are
284
+ relatively few food markets in these villages. Nearly all have cell phone coverage. There are
285
+ no statistically significant differences across treatment arms in infrastructure.
286
+ The survey module on household food security identified which foods were
287
+ consumed and the frequency of their consumption over the previous seven days. The
288
+ specific items selected were based on previous survey work in this area as well as
289
+ discussions with key informants. While the survey instrument did not collect information on
290
+ quantities consumed, it distinguished between foods that are served as a separate item and
291
+ foods that are used only as a sauce or condiment. We use these data to construct two
292
+ measures of household food security: the Dietary Diversity Index (DDI) and the Food
293
+ Consumption Score (FCS). DDI is calculated by simply summing the number of distinct food
294
+ categories consumed by the household in the previous seven days. The household
295
+ questionnaire covers 25 such food categories, and thus the DDI in this survey ranges from 0
296
+ to 25. Hoddinott and Yohannes (2002) show that the DDI correlates well with both
297
+ household dietary quantity and quality. Next, we aggregate these 25 food categories into
298
+ eight groups: staples, pulses, vegetables, fruit, meat/fish, milk/dairies, sugar/honey,
299
+ oils/fats. The FCS is calculated by summing the number of days each food group was
300
+
301
+ 10
302
+ Formal education refers to the completion of at least one year of primary schooling. We exclude attendance
303
+ at Koranic schools because individuals attending these do not necessarily learn to read and write.
304
+ consumed then multiplying those frequencies by a predetermined set of weights designed
305
+ to reflect the heterogeneous dietary quality of each food group (Weismann et al 2009).11
306
+ Three considerations motivate our use of these outcome variables. First, the FCS is
307
+ considered a “core” indicator by WFP (WFP 2008) and the success of interventions such as
308
+ the one evaluated here is measured by improvements in this outcome. Second, validation
309
+ studies show that the FCS is highly correlated with measures of food security that draw on
310
+ more detailed food consumption data such as per capita caloric availability derived from
311
+ seven day recall of food quantities consumed (Wiesmann et al 2009). Third, logistical
312
+ constraints meant that we needed to keep the survey instrument as simple as possible. It
313
+ was simply impractical to include a more detailed consumption module.
314
+ Table 2 describes these outcomes variables by both round and modality. The DDI
315
+ shows us that in July 2011 households consumed on average 8.2 foods out of the list of 25
316
+ items, and in October (following the 2011 harvest) on average 9.2. When we compare
317
+ individual food groups over time, we see increases of five to 15 percentage points in the
318
+ proportion of households consuming vegetables, oils, pulses, dairy, sugars, tubers and
319
+ meats. There is no meaningful change in the proportion of households consuming fruit, fish
320
+ or eggs.
321
+ WFP classifies households as having poor food security when the FCS falls below 21,
322
+ borderline when it lies between 21 and 35, and acceptable if over 35. Loosely, a cut-off of 35
323
+ corresponds to daily per capita caloric availability of around 1950 kcal. Food insecurity is
324
+ widespread in this sample in July 2011; while the full sample average is 40.8, 33 percent of
325
+ households have borderline food insecurity and 24.7 percent have poor food insecurity.
326
+ These figures improve significantly in October, with the full sample average FCS up to 47.3,
327
+ those with borderline down four percentage points to 29 per cent and those with poor
328
+ down to only 9 per cent. Figure1 shows the density of FCS by transfer modality in July and
329
+ October, with the rightward shifts in October indicating improvement for both cash and
330
+ food households. Table 1 shows that households in localities that were randomized to
331
+ receive food have higher mean levels of DDI and FCS.
332
+ We also consider a second measure of food security, household coping strategies.
333
+ These actions taken by individuals or households who, under stress, restrict expenditures or
334
+
335
+ 11
336
+ Weights are: staples, 2; pulses, 3; vegetables, 1; fruit, 1; meat, poultry, fish and eggs, 4; dairy 4; sugars, 0.5;
337
+ oils and fats, 0.5
338
+ generate additional resources so as to acquire basic consumption goods (food, shelter)
339
+ while protecting existing asset holdings. As Devereux and others have stressed (e.g.
340
+ Devereux, 1993), these exist along a continuum from those that involve relatively modest
341
+ shifts in consumption patterns to more extreme behaviors such as going without food for a
342
+ full day. The household survey instrument contained a set of questions on household coping
343
+ strategies. We look in turn at a range of food-related coping strategies, such as not having to
344
+ borrow or beg for the means to purchase food, consuming undesirable foods, or reducing
345
+ portion sizes or the number of meals. We then construct a Coping Strategies Index (CSI)
346
+ following Maxwell and Caldwell (2008), as an aggregate measure of food security. Each
347
+ strategy is given a frequency score depending on the number of times it was used and a
348
+ weight reflecting its severity. There is significant improvement in the coping strategies index
349
+ over the course of the second round of intervention between July and October, from an
350
+ average of 5.4 to an average of only 0.8. There are significant differences in both periods
351
+ between cash and food households, but this gap closes between July and October.
352
+ We hypothesized that beneficiaries might use their transfers to buy food in bulk.
353
+ Since the notion of a “bulk” purchase is somewhat subjective, in both survey rounds we
354
+ asked this in an open ended fashion. For example, in the July survey this was phrased as
355
+ “Depuis avril 2011, avez-vous acheté des graines en plus grande quantité que vos achats de
356
+ grains habituels? (“Since April 2011, have you purchased grains in larger quantities than you
357
+ usually purchase?”) In July, 504 out of 2,263 households (22.2 percent) indicated that they
358
+ had made such a purchase, 85 percent of whom were households in villages randomly
359
+ assigned to receive cash. We then asked the cash value of such purchases. We also
360
+ examined non-food expenditures across a range of categories. There are some differences
361
+ between cash and food households, as well as between periods, but most are small in
362
+ magnitude (Table 3). Cash households spend more for example on wages, veterinary
363
+ products, and seeds, in both July and October, while food households spend somewhat
364
+ more on a few other items. Cash households do however spend significantly more on
365
+ average on bulk grains; they are nearly 30 percentage points more likely to invest in ‘larger
366
+ quantities of grain than usual,’ and spend larger sums, in both periods.
367
+
368
+ 4. Methods
369
+ We begin with a single difference model of the form
370
+
371
+ (1)
372
+
373
+ where is the outcome of interest for household at worksite after the intervention
374
+ and is a dummy variable equal to one if a household lives in a village
375
+ receiving food (and 0 otherwise). The parameter is the parameter of primary interest. It
376
+ tells us the impact on outcomes of being randomized into a village receiving food relative to
377
+ being randomized into a village receiving cash. We allow for the error terms to be correlated
378
+ by clustering at the worksite (randomization) level. The randomization of the modality
379
+ ensures that E(food villagei εiw) equals 0 and thus that δ is an unbiased estimate of impact.
380
+ Because we do not observe pre-intervention food security outcomes, we cannot
381
+ estimate a double difference model. McKenzie (2012) argues that difference-in-difference
382
+ estimators are preferable to a post-intervention estimator only when the autocorrelation of
383
+ the outcome variables is relatively high. He notes that this will not be the case for outcomes
384
+ such as consumption that fluctuate over time. Further, he notes that conditioning on
385
+ variables that are correlated with the dependent variable can reduce the variance of the
386
+ treatment estimator. Accordingly, we estimate the following model
387
+
388
+ (2)
389
+
390
+ where is a vector of household baseline covariates and village characteristics. These
391
+ include household demographics such as size and head characteristics such as sex, age and
392
+ level of education. We control for ethnicity and for ownership of durables which acts as a
393
+ proxy for household wealth. We control for livelihood zone (agricultural, agro-pastoral),
394
+ whether or not there is a market and a cereal bank in the village, the price of millet at the
395
+ end of the transfer period and the change in the price of millet over the transfer period. We
396
+ also control for cattle prices (milk cows and a goats) as reported in our community surveys.
397
+ We control for the distance to a main highway and whether or not the village has mobile
398
+ network coverage and for commune fixed effects.12 We estimate (2) separately for
399
+ outcomes measured in July and in October. We use OLS for outcomes that are continuous,
400
+
401
+ 12
402
+ For brevity, we only report δ in our tables. Full results are available on request.
403
+ probits where they are dichotomous, Poisson regressions where we have count data and
404
+ tobits where the outcome is continuous but also censored at zero. Estimates of are
405
+ transformed into marginal effects where the estimator is non-linear. Standard errors are
406
+ calculated accounting for clustering at the unit of randomization.
407
+
408
+ 5. Results
409
+ a. Food security
410
+ Table 4 shows the impact of residing in a village whose worksite was randomized to receive
411
+ food transfers on the DDI, FCS and whether the FCS was above the WFP cut-off for a
412
+ minimally acceptable diet.
413
+ We begin with the DDI. There is a small, positive impact of being in a village receiving
414
+ food on the DDI, an additional 0.36 food items in July and 0.54 items in October. But these
415
+ magnitudes are relatively small, corresponding to increases of 4.9 and 6.7 percent
416
+ respectively. By contrast, there are large, positive and statistically significant impacts of the
417
+ receipt of food on the FCS. After controlling for household and village characteristics,
418
+ households in localities receiving food have an FCS on average 3.9 points higher than cash
419
+ households in July and 4.6 points higher in October, relative to an over-all mean FCS in July
420
+ of 40.8. The likelihood of having an acceptable food consumption score is 10.9 percentage
421
+ points higher for food households in July and 12.1 percentage points higher in October.
422
+ Table 5 reports the impact of access to food transfers on the likelihood and
423
+ frequency of consumption of selected food groups in the seven days prior to the survey. We
424
+ find that relative to households receiving cash, households in villages randomly assigned to
425
+ receive food consumed more of the items given to them in the food basket: cereals, pulses
426
+ and oil. They also increased the frequency of their consumption of these items: increasing
427
+ their consumption of oils by one day and pulses by 0.6 days. By contrast, their consumption
428
+ of cheap, starchy calories from tubers declines. There is no differential effect on the
429
+ frequency of consumption of meat, dairy, fruit or vegetables. This is consistent with
430
+ information food recipients provided to us. Only 5 percent of food recipients reported that
431
+ they sold some of the food, and 13 percent that they exchanged some of the payment for
432
+ other food or non-food items. Just 1.2 percent of all food received was sold and only 3.7
433
+ percent exchanged.
434
+ Table 6 shows the results of estimating our single difference equations for the July
435
+ and October survey rounds where the dependent variables are the likelihood of making a
436
+ large grain purchase and the value of this purchase. In the three months prior to the
437
+ July(October) survey, households in food localities were 27(40) percentage points less likely
438
+ to make these purchases relative to households in cash localities. The marginal impact was a
439
+ reduction in the value of such purchases of 14,289 FCFA in July and 25,015 FCFA in October.
440
+ In other words, it appears that relative to households in food localities, households receiving
441
+ cash used a significant proportion of their transfers to purchase the cheapest form of
442
+ calories available.
443
+ One reason lies in the sharply seasonal nature of grain prices in this region.
444
+ Agriculture production is characterized by volatile conditions and one fairly short growing
445
+ season. The climate is hot and dry year round, but hottest in May, right before the brief but
446
+ at times intense rainy season of June to August. Field preparation may start as early as April
447
+ but peaks between July and September, the pre-harvest period known as the soudure or
448
+ hungry season. Millet, the dominant food produced and consumed throughout Niger, is
449
+ surplus in production throughout much of the southern part of the country, especially
450
+ Zinder, where millet is sourced for much of the country. Niger often produces a deficit,
451
+ however, and imports millet from Nigeria, Benin, and Burkina Faso during the hungry
452
+ season. The seasonality of production patterns and trade flows leads to inter-seasonal
453
+ fluctuations in the prices of key staple commodities in Zinder.
454
+ This seasonality, as is shown in Figures 2a and 2b, provides clues as to why we may
455
+ be observing these bulk purchases of grains by households in cash villages. Figure 2a shows
456
+ that historically grain prices in the survey area, both millet and maize, rise between January
457
+ and August. They fall sharply during the harvest period before starting to rise again in
458
+ November. Figure 2a also shows that this pattern was somewhat different in the year prior
459
+ to the intervention. Not only were grain prices significantly above historical averages, millet
460
+ prices rose faster than the historical average. Figure 2b shows that in the four months prior
461
+ to the start of the intervention, both millet and maize prices were again rising, with April
462
+ 2011 prices already equal to or higher than the highest price typically observed during the
463
+ peak of the hungry season. Given this historical experience, it is understandable that may
464
+ cash households may have felt compelled to buy large grain quantities rather than risk
465
+ exposure to uncertain food price changes.
466
+
467
+ b. Coping strategies and non-food expenditures
468
+ Table 7 examines the coping strategy index (CSI) and individual coping strategies used by
469
+ households to acquire food. Recall that the higher the CSI, the more severe the coping
470
+ strategies used. Households in food localities have a lower CSI than cash households in July
471
+ and October. In July, food households were less likely to report that they consumed less
472
+ preferred foods, were less likely to report that they reduce portion sizes served to children
473
+ or that household members went to be hungry. While the marginal effects look small, they
474
+ are relatively large compared to the mean values reported in Table 3. However, these
475
+ effects on more severe coping strategies are less marked in October as the harvest period
476
+ begins.
477
+ We considered whether households in food and cash villages had different patterns
478
+ of expenditures on non-food items (Table 8). Across all items, the marginal impact of being
479
+ in a food village is to raise monthly expenditures on all non-food items by 1874 FCFA in July.
480
+ This is equivalent to about eight percent of the value of the monthly transfer. There is no
481
+ statistically significant impact on all non-food items in October. Across the individual items,
482
+ it is difficult to discern consistent patterns. Only eight of the 18 coefficients are statistically
483
+ significant at the 10 percent level or higher and the magnitude of two of these (firewood
484
+ and other fuels; soap, perfumes and hair products) is small, less than 500 FCFA. The most
485
+ noteworthy finding is that households in cash villages spent more on agricultural inputs in
486
+ both the lead up and during the main cropping season and the magnitude of this effect
487
+ especially in October (5819 FCFA or just over 20 percent of the monthly transfer) was large.
488
+ Also, households in cash villages spent some of their transfers on repairing their dwellings in
489
+ the three months prior to the July survey, in advance of the rains.
490
+
491
+ c. Additional results
492
+ We considered whether there were larger changes over time in households residing in
493
+ localities assigned to receive food. To do so, we also estimated models of the following
494
+ form:
495
+
496
+ (3)
497
+
498
+ Generally, across the outcomes we consider, is not statistically significant when we
499
+ estimate (3), that is, we do not reject the null hypothesis that changes in outcomes over
500
+ time are different in food and cash villages. The exception to this are the results for specific
501
+ coping strategies where is negative and significant for a number of the more severe
502
+ coping strategies such as reducing children’s portion sizes and going a whole day without
503
+ eating.
504
+ We looked for evidence of heterogeneous impacts along two dimensions, household
505
+ wealth and the gender of the household head. Across all outcomes we consider and across
506
+ both survey rounds, we do not find any evidence that the interaction terms between gender
507
+ of head and residing in a village receiving food are statistically significant. Across all
508
+ outcomes measured in the July round, the interaction terms between wealth (measured in
509
+ tertiles, quartiles or quintiles) and residing in a village receiving food are not statistically
510
+ significant. In the October round, households in the lowest quartile and in food villages
511
+ obtained greater improvements in the FCS measure and were less likely to have poor food
512
+ security status. Overall, however, we found little evidence of heterogeneous impacts across
513
+ wealth categories and gender of head.
514
+
515
+ 6. Conclusions
516
+ In this paper, we have used a randomized design to inform debates regarding the use of
517
+ cash and in-kind transfers as a means of improving household food security. With respect to
518
+ the short term food security objectives of this intervention, the food basket had clear
519
+ advantages. Households in localities randomized to receive the food basket experienced
520
+ larger, positive impacts on measures of food security and dietary diversity than those
521
+ receiving the cash transfer. One reason that the cash recipients had less diverse diets lies in
522
+ their choice of purchasing grains in bulk, a reflection we perceive of both the extreme
523
+ poverty found in this area and uncertainty regarding future food prices. While these
524
+ differences held in both periods, other outcomes showed greater variation by season.
525
+ Households receiving food resorted to fewer coping strategies, and this effect was more
526
+ pronounced during the height of the lean season than during the growing season. Food
527
+ recipients did not trade their transfers to any large extent; less than five percent of food was
528
+ sold or exchanged for other goods. Households receiving cash spent more money repairing
529
+ their dwellings during the lean season, prior to the start of the rains, but spent more on
530
+ agricultural inputs during the growing season. Both food and cash were delivered with the
531
+ same degree of frequency and timeliness, but the food transfers cost 15 percent more to
532
+ implement.
533
+ While food recipients experienced greater food security benefits in the short term,
534
+ we cannot assess the relative benefits in the long term; the fact that beneficiaries receiving
535
+ cash spent more on agricultural inputs may mean that these households have higher
536
+ incomes in the future. Finally, the specific context of this study is important. Our results are
537
+ informative about the relative impacts of food and cash transfers in an extremely poor, rural
538
+ setting, but caution should be exercised in extrapolating them to settings much different
539
+ than those found in rural Niger.
540
+
541
+ 8. References
542
+ Cunha, J. M., G. De Giorgi, and S. Jayachandran (2011). The Price Effects of Cash Versus In-
543
+ Kind Transfers. NBER Working Paper No. 17456.
544
+ Department for International Development (2011). Cash Transfers – Literature Review.
545
+ Policy Division, Department for International Development.
546
+ Devereux, S. (1993). Goats before Ploughs: Dilemmas of Household Response Sequencing
547
+ During Food Shortages. IDS Bulletin, 24(4): 52-59.
548
+ Eilerts, G. (2006). Niger 2005: Not a Famine, But Something Much Worse. Humanitarian
549
+ Exchange Magazine, Issue 33, April.
550
+ Famine Early Warning System (2010). Rapport Spécial : Fonctionnement des marchés et
551
+ sécurité alimentaire en 2010 dans le département de Zinder.
552
+ Fiszbein, A., N. Shady, F.H.G. Ferreira, M. Grosh, N. Keleher, P. Olinto and E. Skoufias (2009).
553
+ Conditional Cash Transfers: Reducing Present and Future Poverty. Washington, DC:
554
+ World Bank.
555
+ Gentilini, U. (2007). Cash and Food Transfers: A Primer. Occasional Papers No. 18. World
556
+ Food Programme.
557
+ Grober-Tanner, C. (2006). Understanding Nutrition Data and the Causes of Malnutrition in
558
+ Niger: A Special Report by the Famine Early Warning Systems Network. USAID/FEWS.
559
+ Harvey, P. (2007). Cash-based Responses in Emergencies. HPG Report 24. Overseas
560
+ Development Institute.
561
+ Hidrobo, M., J. Hoddinott, A. Peterman, A. Margolies, and V. Moreira (2012). Cash, Food, or
562
+ Vouchers? Evidence from a Randomized Experiment in Northern Ecuador. Mimeo.
563
+ International Food Policy Research Institute.
564
+ Hoddinott, J. and Y. Yohannes (2002). Dietary Diversity as a Food Security Indicator. FCND
565
+ Discussion Paper No. 136. Food Consumption and Nutrition Division, International
566
+ Food Policy Research Institute.
567
+ Kennedy, G., T. Ballard and M.C. Dop (2011). Guidelines for Measuring Household and
568
+ Individual Dietary Diversity. Nutritional and Consumer Protection Division, Food and
569
+ Agriculture Organization.
570
+ Lentz, E.C., S. Passarelli, and C.B. Barrett, (forthcoming). The Timeliness and Cost
571
+ Effectiveness of the Local and Regional Procurement of Food Aid. World
572
+ Development.
573
+ Margolies, A. and J. Hoddinott (2011). Mapping the Impacts of Food Aid – Current
574
+ Knowledge and Future Directions. WIDER Working Paper 2012/34. World Institute
575
+ for Development Economics Research.
576
+ Maxwell, D. and R. Caldwell (2008). The Coping Strategies Index: Field Methods Manual.
577
+ Second Edition.
578
+ McKenzie, D. (2012). Beyond Baseline and Follow-up: The Case for More T in Experiments.
579
+ Journal of Development Economics 99 (2012): 210-221.
580
+ Reza, A., B. Tomczyk, V. Aguayo, N. Zagré, K. Goumbi, C. Blanton, and L. Talley (2008).
581
+ Retrospective Determination of Whether Famine Existed in Niger, 2005: Two State
582
+ Cluster Survey. BMJ 337:a1622.
583
+ Sharma, M. (2006). An Assessment of the Effects of the Cash Transfer Pilot project on
584
+ Household Consumption Patterns in Tsunami-affected Areas of Sri Lanka.
585
+ International Food Policy Research Institute.
586
+ United Nations Development Program (2012). Human Development Index. Available on line
587
+ at: http://hdr.undp.org/en/statistics/.
588
+ Upton, J. and E. Lentz (2011). Expanding the Food Assistance Toolbox. Chapter 5 in Barrett,
589
+ C.B., A. Binder and J. Steets (Eds). Uniting on Food Assistance: The Case for
590
+ Transatlantic Policy Convergence. London: Routledge.
591
+ Wiesmann, D. L. Bassett., T. Benson, and J. Hoddinott (2009). Validation of the World Food
592
+ Programme's Food Consumption Score and Alternative Indicators of Household Food
593
+ Security. IFPRI Discussion Paper 00870. International Food Policy Research Institute.
594
+ World Food Programme (2012). Integrated Food Aid Information System. Available on line
595
+ at www.wfp\interfais.org.
596
+ World Food Programme (2010). Draft Terms of Reference: EMOP 200170: Saving Lives and
597
+ Improving Nutrition in Niger. Evaluation and Quality Assurance System, WFP, 5
598
+ November 2010.
599
+ World Food Programme (2008). Calculation and Use of the Food Consumption Score in Food
600
+ Security Analysis. Vulnerability Analysis and Mapping Branch, World Food
601
+ Programme.
602
+
603
+
604
+ Figure 1: Density function of FCS by transfer modality
605
+
606
+
607
+
608
+
609
+
610
+ 0
611
+ .0
612
+ 1
613
+ .0
614
+ 2
615
+ .0
616
+ 3
617
+ 0 20 40 60 80 100
618
+ Food Consumption Score
619
+ Cash, July Food, July
620
+ Cash, October Food, October
621
+ Poor Borderline
622
+ Figure 2a
623
+
624
+
625
+ Figure 2b
626
+
627
+
628
+
629
+
630
+ 0.20
631
+ 0.25
632
+ 0.30
633
+ 0.35
634
+ 0.40
635
+ 0.45
636
+ 0.50
637
+ Ja
638
+ n
639
+ u
640
+ ar
641
+ y
642
+ Fe
643
+ b
644
+ ru
645
+ ar
646
+ y
647
+ M
648
+ ar
649
+ ch
650
+ A
651
+ p
652
+ ri
653
+ l
654
+ M
655
+ ay
656
+ Ju
657
+ n
658
+ e
659
+ Ju
660
+ ly
661
+ A
662
+ u
663
+ gu
664
+ st
665
+ Se
666
+ p
667
+ te
668
+ m
669
+ b
670
+ e
671
+ r
672
+ O
673
+ ct
674
+ o
675
+ b
676
+ e
677
+ r
678
+ N
679
+ o
680
+ ve
681
+ m
682
+ b
683
+ e
684
+ r
685
+ D
686
+ e
687
+ ce
688
+ m
689
+ b
690
+ er
691
+ P
692
+ ri
693
+ ce
694
+ , U
695
+ SD
696
+ /K
697
+ G
698
+
699
+ Average Grain Prices
700
+ Retail, Zinder
701
+ Millet-Avg 2000-2009
702
+ Millet-2010
703
+ Maize - Avg 2000-2009
704
+ Maize - 2010
705
+ 0.20
706
+ 0.25
707
+ 0.30
708
+ 0.35
709
+ 0.40
710
+ 0.45
711
+ 0.50
712
+ P
713
+ ri
714
+ ce
715
+ s,
716
+ U
717
+ SD
718
+ /K
719
+ G
720
+
721
+ Average Grain Prices in Zinder
722
+ 2010 and 2011
723
+ Maize - 2010
724
+ Maize - 2011
725
+ Millet-2010
726
+ Millet - 2011
727
+ Table 1: Pre-intervention characteristics by transfer modality
728
+
729
+
730
+ Demographic characteristics
731
+ CASH work
732
+ sites
733
+ FOOD work
734
+ sites
735
+ P-value
736
+ Household size (average) 7.0 6.9 0.55
737
+ Polygamous household (percentage) 13.2 15.7 0.24
738
+ Households belonging to ethnic majority (percentage) 90.4 87.7 0.49
739
+ Female household heads (percentage) 18.3 17.5 0.80
740
+ Age of head (average) 44.6 45.1 0.60
741
+ Heads with formal education (percentage) 7.2 6.1 0.56
742
+
743
+ Livelihoods and assets
744
+
745
+ Percentage households growing crops (percentage) 96.9 97.2 0.76
746
+ Area cultivated (ha) 4.6 5.3 0.34
747
+ Tropical Livestock Units 0.9 1.0 0.65
748
+ Asset Score -0.1 0.2 0.22
749
+
750
+ Land allocation to crops
751
+
752
+ Millet Allocation (percentage) 64.4 62.0 0.49
753
+ Sorghum Allocation (percentage) 17.5 16.9 0.80
754
+ Cowpeas Allocation (percentage) 11.7 14.1 0.19
755
+ Peanuts Allocation (percentage) 4.5 4.8 0.86
756
+
757
+ Infrastructure
758
+
759
+ Road Accessible in All Seasons (percentage) 68.6 64.4 0.74
760
+ Distance to Main Road (minutes) 57.5 53.0 0.65
761
+ Market in Village (percentage) 11.1 8.7 0.77
762
+ Time to Reach Market if NOT in village (minutes) 62.5 72.3 0.47
763
+ Cell Phone Service in Village (percentage) 86.6 96.0 0.23
764
+ Notes: P values are from t tests where the null hypothesis is that the work site means are equal. There are 27
765
+ worksites that received food and 25 that received cash.
766
+
767
+
768
+
769
+
770
+
771
+
772
+ Table 2: Food security measures and coping strategies by survey round and transfer modality
773
+
774
+ July October
775
+ Cash villages Food villages P-value of
776
+ t-test
777
+ Cash villages Food villages P-value of
778
+ t-test
779
+ HDDI 7.8 8.7 0.00 8.9 9.6 0.00
780
+ FCS (average) 37.6 44.4 0.00 44.4 50.6 0.00
781
+ FCS categories (percentage of households)
782
+ Poor 31.4 17.1 0.00 11.4 6.6 0.00
783
+ Borderline 34.9 31.6 0.09 34.7 23.4 0.00
784
+ Acceptable 33.6 51.3 0.00 53.9 70 0.00
785
+ Food Groups Consumed (percentage of HHs)
786
+ Cereals 100.0 100.0 . 100.0 100.0 .
787
+ Tubers 30.7 20.9 0.00 32.7 28.3 0.03
788
+ Vegetables 94.2 94.3 0.95 99.8 100 0.19
789
+ Fruit 8.6 14.2 0.00 5.9 11.0 0.00
790
+ Meat 22.7 30.4 0.00 28.8 34.5 0.00
791
+ Eggs 2.5 2.3 0.79 1.3 1.2 0.82
792
+ Fish 2.8 4.9 0.01 3.9 5.2 0.13
793
+ Pulses 76.5 85.3 0.00 96.0 99.1 0.00
794
+ Dairy 55.8 61.1 0.01 73.8 68.9 0.01
795
+ Oils 80.3 94.5 0.00 87.3 96.6 0.00
796
+ Sugars 48.0 54.5 0.00 60.2 60.2 0.99
797
+ Coping strategy index (Average) 7.3 3.1 0.00 1.0 0.6 0.02
798
+ Individual Coping Strategies (percentage of HHs)
799
+ Relied on less preferred foods (w=1)* 28.8 18.6 0.00 6.7 6.0 0.51
800
+ Borrowed food from relatives, neighbors or friends (w=2) 18.9 8.5 0.00 6.3 5.4 0.40
801
+ Purchased food on credit (w=2) 17.4 8.5 0.00 5.1 3.2 0.03
802
+ Consumed more than usual of shortage food (w=4) 9.8 3.2 0.00 0.4 0.0 0.04
803
+ Consumed seed stock (w=3) 11.0 7.1 0.00 1.5 0.5 0.02
804
+ Had to beg (w=4) 1.8 0.7 0.03 0.1 0.3 0.25
805
+ Reduced portion sizes for adults (w=2) 16.7 6.6 0.00 2.5 0.6 0.00
806
+ Reduced portion sizes for children (w=1) 10.5 3.9 0.00 1.4 1.1 0.54
807
+ Had to reduce number of meals per day (w=2) 14.3 5.9 0.00 2.2 0.6 0.00
808
+ Had entire days without eating (w=4)) 6.2 1.7 0.00 0.4 0.3 0.60
809
+ Had to cancel debt repayments to buy food 13.4 6.4 0.00 1.9 1.3 0.25
810
+ Number of households 1198 1070 1179 1030
811
+ *w refers to severity weight used for calculating the CSI (if strategy included in the index)
812
+
813
+
814
+ Table 3: Household expenditures by survey round and transfer modality
815
+
816
+ July October
817
+ Cash
818
+ villages
819
+ Food
820
+ villages
821
+ P-value of
822
+ t-test
823
+ Cash
824
+ villages
825
+ Food
826
+ villages
827
+ P-value of
828
+ t-test
829
+ Bulk Grain Purchases
830
+ Household has purchased larger quantities of grain than usual, prior 3
831
+ mos. (percentage)
832
+ 36.0 7 0 32 2 0
833
+ Average monthly purchase of lumpy grain, Apr-Jun / Jul-Sep (FCFA) 3419 644 0 3434 219 0
834
+ Non-Food Purchases (FCFA)
835
+ Total spending, past 3 months (all households) 27349 30742 0.07 25981 27372 0.39
836
+ Firewood, charcoal/ Oil, gas, batteries/ Fuel, lubricants 518 707 0.00 746 948 0.24
837
+ Bodycare (soap, perfumes, braids) 1807 1926 0.13 1818 1899 0.30
838
+ Communication/transports 2525 3294 0.27 2576 3153 0.24
839
+ Wages, veterinary products and seeds 4413 3534 0.01 3635 2553 0.02
840
+ Health 5272 5185 0.89 5242 5595 0.51
841
+ Education 1329 975 0.05 333 234 0.20
842
+ Clothing, footwear 5346 6762 0.00 7757 8466 0.06
843
+ Ceremonials, funerals, festivities 6591 9454 0.00 5819 7007 0.07
844
+ Construction, repair, housing 2289 2000 0.39 1013 860 0.45
845
+ Number of households 1198 1070 1179 1030
846
+
847
+ 24 | P a g e
848
+
849
+
850
+ Table 4: Impact of food transfers, relative to cash, on food security outcomes by survey round
851
+
852
+
853
+ Food Security Outcome July October
854
+ Dietary Diversity Index (DDI) 0.356* 0.544**
855
+ (0.207) (0.229)
856
+ Food Consumption Score (FCS) 3.923*** 4.647***
857
+ (1.424) (1.139)
858
+ Household has FCS above WFP cut-off 0.109** 0.121***
859
+ (0.043) (0.041)
860
+ Notes: Controls included but not reported are: age, sex, education and ethnicity of household head; household size; asset score;
861
+ whether household is located in pastoral zone; infrastructure, whether village has market, health clinic, mobile phone coverage;
862
+ distance to main road; livestock prices; change in millet price during period; millet price at end of period; and commune fixed
863
+ effects. Standard errors, shown in parentheses, are calculated accounting for clustering at the worksite level. *, significant at the
864
+ 10% level; **, significant at the 5% level; ***, significant at the 1% level. Sample sizes are 2256 for July round and 2187 for
865
+ October round. Marginal effects are reported where the outcome is dichotomous.
866
+
867
+
868
+
869
+ 25 | P a g e
870
+
871
+ Table 5: Marginal effects of food transfers, relative to cash, on consumption of selected food groups by survey
872
+ round
873
+
874
+ In the last seven days
875
+ Were items in this food group
876
+ consumed
877
+ Number of days items in this food
878
+ group were consumed
879
+ Food Group July October July October
880
+ Cereals - - 0.093* 0.109***
881
+ (0.051) (0.035)
882
+ Pulses 0.064** 0.021 0.638** 0.820***
883
+ (0.032) (0.013) (0.314) (0.168)
884
+ Oils 0.106*** 0.042** 0.959*** 1.010***
885
+ (0.033) (0.017) (0.258) (0.186)
886
+ Tubers -0.080*** -0.040 -0.301*** -0.106
887
+ (0.026) (0.030) (0.082) (0.069)
888
+ Meat 0.036 -0.012 0.072 0.001
889
+ (0.031) (0.030) (0.098) (0.073)
890
+ Dairy 0.013 -0.067** 0.015 -0.005
891
+ (0.035) (0.027) (0.207) (0.175)
892
+ Vegetables - - 0.051 0.018
893
+ (0.112) (0.048)
894
+ Fruits -0.034 0.046 -0.052 0.055
895
+ (0.037) (0.030) (0.107) (0.042)
896
+ Sugar 0.030 0.006 0.008 0.197
897
+ (0.031) (0.026) (0.176) (0.138)
898
+ Notes: Consumption of items estimated using a probit. Number of days consumed estimated using a Poission model. Results are
899
+ reported as marginal effects. Also see Table 4 notes.
900
+
901
+ Table 6: Marginal effects of food transfers, relative to cash, on purchase of large quantities of grain
902
+
903
+ Did household make purchase Expenditure on this item
904
+ July October July Oct
905
+ Purchase of grains in bulk -0.273*** -0.400*** -14289.4*** -25015.1***
906
+ (0.020) (0.034) (1570.8) (432.0)
907
+ Notes: Purchase of items estimated using a probit. Expenditures estimated using a tobit. Results are reported as marginal
908
+ effects. Also see Table 4 notes.
909
+
910
+ 26 | P a g e
911
+
912
+
913
+ Table 7: Impact of food transfers, relative to cash, on coping strategies by survey round
914
+
915
+ July October
916
+ Coping Strategies Index -3.708* -3.168***
917
+ (1.916) (0.411)
918
+ Selected coping strategies
919
+ Relied on less preferred foods -0.039* 0.024
920
+ (0.022) (0.020)
921
+ Borrowed food from relatives, neighbors or friends -0.082*** -0.022
922
+ (0.024) (0.021)
923
+ Purchased food on credit -0.058*** -0.027
924
+ (0.018) (0.019)
925
+ Had to rely on aid from outside the household 0.003 0.030
926
+ (0.015) (0.020)
927
+ Had to cancel debt repayments -0.038** 0.057***
928
+ (0.017) (0.009)
929
+ Consumed seed stock -0.006 0.052
930
+ (0.020) (0.036)
931
+ Had to ask other households for food to feed the children -0.007 0.002
932
+ (0.017) (0.011)
933
+ Reduced portion sizes for adults -0.025 -0.046***
934
+ (0.025) (0.014)
935
+ Reduced portion sizes for children -0.038** -0.023
936
+ (0.018) (0.016)
937
+ Had to reduce number of meals per day -0.025 -0.036**
938
+ (0.024) (0.015)
939
+ Had entire days without eating -0.030* 0.007
940
+ (0.016) (0.010)
941
+ Had to go to bed hungry -0.023* 0.005
942
+ (0.013) (0.010)
943
+ Notes: See Table 4.
944
+
945
+
946
+ 27 | P a g e
947
+
948
+
949
+
950
+ Table 8: Marginal effects of food transfers, relative to cash, on non-food expenditures
951
+
952
+ Did household make purchase Expenditure on this item
953
+ July October July Oct
954
+ Total monthly non-food expenditures - - 1874.7*** -592.0
955
+ (502.0) (1010.7)
956
+ Firewood, charcoal, gas, batteries, lubricants 0.035 -0.087*** 245.28 -223.2
957
+ (0.032) (0.021) (129.2) (288.5)
958
+ Bodycare (soap, perfumes, braids) -0.010 -0.002 257.7*** 80.2
959
+ (0.008) (0.008) (87.4) (125.2)
960
+ Communication and transport -0.059** -0.036 -1909.8 -1140.1
961
+ (0.025) (0.028) (1818.3) (1576.6)
962
+ Wages, veterinary products and seeds -0.105*** -0.090*** -1778.8** -5819.3**
963
+ (0.035) (0.029) (816.2) (2604.0)
964
+ Health -0.056** -0.049* 547.2 -957.6
965
+ (0.022) (0.027) (920.2) (852.6)
966
+ Education 0.081** -0.025* 3642.1*** -3253.0*
967
+ (0.033) (0.014) (253.7) (1953.9)
968
+ Clothing, footwear -0.025 -0.006 738.2 48.5
969
+ (0.021) (0.018) (665.1) (616.9)
970
+ Ceremonials, funerals, feasts 0.028 -0.013 3424.3** 68.3
971
+ (0.028) (0.026) (1551.1) (1125.2)
972
+ Construction, repair, housing -0.034* 0.002 -2870.8* 495.2
973
+ (0.021) (0.016) (1686.3) (403.9)
974
+ Notes: Purchase of items estimated using a probit. Expenditures estimated using a tobit. Results are reported as marginal
975
+ effects. Also see Table 4 notes.
976
+
977
+
978
+
979
+
data/part_2/0363187075.md ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,977 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ # The rapid rise in domestic value chains of nutrient-dense foods (fruits, vegetables, and animal products) in Sub-Saharan Africa: Policy implications
2
+
3
+ **Source:** gardian_index
4
+ **URL:** https://cgspace.cgiar.org/rest/bitstreams/8f885757-9f53-44b4-9c3c-709247fae503/retrieve
5
+ **Language:** English
6
+ **Resource Type:** Working Paper
7
+ **Release Year:** 2023
8
+ **Rights:** N/A
9
+ **GARDIAN ID:** ca70d819bb35fb0db7e4e11bb3fd310d
10
+ **DataNODE ID:** 9a816422fec5af58d9dc952165777de5
11
+ **Siever ID:** f94d83c8-43e7-453d-81ab-fd9079a99f81
12
+ **Token Count:** 11269
13
+ **Page Count:** 0
14
+
15
+ ## Keywords
16
+
17
+ supply chains, foods, agricultural production, vegetables, nutrients, fruits, infrastructure, consumers, farm production, food, nutrition, health and food security, systems transformation, value chains
18
+
19
+ ## Geography
20
+
21
+ - **Regions:** Africa, World
22
+
23
+ ## Description
24
+
25
+ Despite African consumers under-consuming nutrient dense fruits and vegetables (FV) and animal products (AP), and the farm production and supply chains of these products are fraught with constraints that keep them from operating optimally, we find abundant recent evidence of dynamism in these sectors. To wit: (1) consumption of these products in levels and shares is already substantial and growing rapidly; (2) supply of these products is growing rapidly, just not yet much faster than population growth; (3) supply growth is manifested in a number of countries by dynamic “meso booms” with diffusion of farming and growth in midstream ("Hidden Middle") value chain segments; these booms are “grassroots” driven, without subsidy or management by government or NGOs or large companies. We reviewed recent survey-based evidence of these booms and discussed the drivers. The policy implications are the need for governments to invest in the conditions we found to be enabling these booms, that is, roads and wholesale markets and electrification and other infrastructure hard and soft.
26
+
27
+ ## Content
28
+
29
+ The rapid rise in domestic value chains of
30
+ nutrient-dense foods (fruits, vegetables,
31
+ and animal products) in Sub-Saharan
32
+ Africa: Policy implications
33
+ Thomas Reardon, Saweda Liverpool-Tasie, Ben Belton, Michael Dolislager,
34
+ Bart Minten, Barry Popkin, and Rob Vos
35
+
36
+
37
+
38
+ INITIATIVE TECHNICAL PAPER 1 AUGUST 2023
39
+ 1
40
+ Abstract
41
+ Despite African consumers under-consuming nutrient dense fruits and vegetables (FV) and animal
42
+ products (AP), and the farm production and supply chains of these products are fraught with constraints
43
+ that keep them from operating optimally, we find abundant recent evidence of dynamism in these sec-
44
+ tors. To wit: (1) consumption of these products in levels and shares is already substantial and growing
45
+ rapidly; (2) supply of these products is growing rapidly, just not yet much faster than population growth;
46
+ (3) supply growth is manifested in a number of countries by dynamic “meso booms” with diffusion of
47
+ farming and growth in midstream ("Hidden Middle") value chain segments; these booms are “grass
48
+ roots” driven, without subsidy or management by government or NGOs or large companies. We re-
49
+ viewed recent survey-based evidence of these booms and discussed the drivers. The policy implica-
50
+ tions are the need for governments to invest in the conditions we found to be enabling these booms,
51
+ that is, roads and wholesale markets and electrification and other infrastructure hard and soft.
52
+
53
+
54
+
55
+
56
+
57
+
58
+
59
+
60
+
61
+
62
+
63
+
64
+
65
+
66
+
67
+
68
+
69
+
70
+
71
+
72
+ 2
73
+ CONTENTS (TOC Heading, 14pt)
74
+ Abstract............................................................................................................................................ 1
75
+ 1. Introduction ...................................................................................................................................... 3
76
+ 2. Macro View of supply of FV and AP: lingering per capita inadequacy but Asia-matching total
77
+ growth .................................................................................................................................................. 4
78
+ 3. Substantial consumption of fruits/vegetables (FV) and animal products (AP) in SSA: view
79
+ from household data ........................................................................................................................... 5
80
+ 3.1 Urban SSA shares of AP+FV already exceed those of starchy staples – and are similar to
81
+ developing Asia ................................................................................................................................ 5
82
+ 3.2 Rural SSA shares of AP+FV are still below those of starchy staples – and are just a bit below
83
+ those of developing Asia .................................................................................................................. 6
84
+ 3.3 Focus on FV: SSA countries have substantial (and in some zones or countries growing) shares
85
+ and levels of FV in household consumption ..................................................................................... 6
86
+ 3.4 Focus on AP: SSA countries have substantial (and in some zones or countries growing) shares
87
+ and levels of AP in household consumption ..................................................................................... 8
88
+ 4. Meso booms in Animal Product clusters and domestic VCs ........................................................ 9
89
+ 4.1 Fish in Nigeria ............................................................................................................................ 9
90
+ 4.2 Dairy in Ethiopia ....................................................................................................................... 10
91
+ 5. Meso booms in vegetable clusters and domestic value chains: Tanzania, Zambia, Ethiopia,
92
+ Zambia ................................................................................................................................................ 11
93
+ 5.1 Vegetables in Tanzania ............................................................................................................ 11
94
+ 5.2 Vegetables in Zambia .............................................................................................................. 13
95
+ 5.3 Vegetables in Ethiopia ............................................................................................................. 15
96
+ 6. Conclusions and policy implications ........................................................................................... 17
97
+ About the Authors ............................................................................................................................. 19
98
+ Acknowledgments ............................................................................................................................. 19
99
+ References ......................................................................................................................................... 20
100
+
101
+
102
+
103
+
104
+ 3
105
+ 1. INTRODUCTION
106
+ The supply and demand of nutrient-dense foods, such as fruits and vegetables (FV) and animal prod-
107
+ ucts (AP), have been found to be inadequate and too expensive for most consumers in Sub-Saharan
108
+ Africa (SSA) (FAO, IFAD, UNICEF, WFP, WHO, 2023). The international debate has mainly focused on
109
+ the constraints and problems fueling this inadequacy. While we acknowledge the challenges and inade-
110
+ quacies, we believe that the debate’s focus on them has led to inadequate attention to the rapid growth
111
+ of consumption and supply of these products, and to a widespread reference to a “missing middle”, the
112
+ idea that there has been little to no growth in the midstream segments of domestic value chains (VCs)
113
+ of the products in SSA.
114
+ By contrast, we find substantial levels and rapid growth of both demand and domestic supply of these
115
+ products, and “meso booms” including rapid growth in farming of these products and dynamism in the
116
+ growth of the midstream of their VCs. We contend that rather than a “missing middle” there is a “hidden
117
+ middle” (Reardon 2015; Reardon et al. 2021), as the dynamism of the midstream, and the rural produc-
118
+ tion that fuels it, has been “hidden” from the debate. We believe that the debate’s focus on the con-
119
+ straints has caused a relative neglect of the evidence of this growth. That neglect limits the international
120
+ debate’s ability to learn policy lessons from these booms and better support the growth of these value
121
+ chains in a way that can improve the per capita consumption of these products.
122
+ In this paper we lay out evidence of substantial (but still inadequate) and growing consumption and
123
+ supply of these products. We use a mix of macro supply data, micro consumption and enterprise sur-
124
+ vey findings, and “meso” level analysis of findings from survey data on spontaneous (as opposed to
125
+ government or NGO managed) clusters of farms and midstream firms, supplying inputs and agricultural
126
+ services, wholesaling and processing output, and providing third-party logistics or 3PLS.
127
+ Our case illustrations focus on “meso booms” that feature “endogenous growth”, that is, spontaneous
128
+ and “grass roots” rapid development in situations where enabling conditions were present. We chose
129
+ this focus for three reasons. First, we want to show that when enabling conditions exist, in particular
130
+ where there is a demand pull from urban growth and governments invested in roads, electricity and
131
+ wholesale markets, rapid spontaneous growth in local SMEs occurred. That challenges the myth that
132
+ domestic SMEs are stymied and not demand responsive. That further opens the debate about how to
133
+ get governments to make more of these crucial investments. Second, we want to show that SME farms
134
+ and midstream firms made their own investments when the enabling conditions were in place. This
135
+ counters what we think is a skewed focus in international debate on investments made “for them” by
136
+ external actors (like big companies or agroparks or NGOs or government subsidy projects).
137
+ We pointedly do not discuss cases where NGOs or governments or large companies set up and/or sub-
138
+ sidized growth, because we think these cases are already very visible in the debate and literature, and
139
+ these programs form a small share of supply. We seek to show what the market actors are doing in
140
+ non-artificial (non-subsidized) situations where only the enabling environment was in place. We focus
141
+ on domestic markets, not export markets. This is again because we want to consider the most common
142
+ situations; exports are less than 1% of output of FV and AP in SSA (Awokuse et al. 2019). We also fo-
143
+ cus on cases of proliferation and growth of small and medium enterprise (SME) farms and midstream
144
+ firms. This is because the great majority of the SSA food economy is in the “transition stage” of VC
145
+ transformation where SMEs dominate. The “modern stage” is still small and just emerging in Africa
146
+ (Reardon et al. 2019), although there is evidence of its emergence spurring inclusive development in
147
+ some situations (Maertens and Swinnen, 2009).
148
+ 4
149
+ We proceed as follows. Section 2 shows macro data concerning the growth in supply (and consump-
150
+ tion) of FV and AP foods in SSA. Section 3 reviews micro data showing substantial levels (though still
151
+ inadequate) and growth in consumption of FV and AP. Sections 4 and 5 present recent survey-based
152
+ studies of “meso booms” of farms and firms in value chains (VCs) of FV and AP in various countries in
153
+ SSA: fish in Nigeria, dairy in Ethiopia, and vegetables in Tanzania, Zambia, and Ethiopia. Section 6
154
+ concludes with policy implications and an agenda for further research.
155
+
156
+ 2. MACRO VIEW OF SUPPLY OF FV AND AP: LINGERING
157
+ PER CAPITA INADEQUACY BUT ASIA-MATCHING TOTAL
158
+ GROWTH
159
+ Dolislager et al. (forthcoming) shows macro data adapted from FAO Food Balance Sheets for domestic
160
+ output and imports and the degree of adequacy (relative to requirements for a healthy diet drawn from
161
+ Harris et al. 2022). They cover 10 years (2020 versus 2010). Several points stand out.
162
+ First, the great majority of supply (and consumption) of animal products, fruit, and vegetables in SSA is
163
+ from domestic supply: 90% of animal products, 98% of fruit, and 96% of vegetables. Imports (in ton-
164
+ nage terms) form only 10%, 2%, and 4% of the consumption by disappearance of these three product
165
+ categories in SSA. The low shares of imports for FV and AP are at odds with what we believe to be the
166
+ widespread view that SSA is strongly import dependent for these products. SSA’s import shares are
167
+ close to those in Asia and both are below the average import shares globally.
168
+ Second, SSA’s per capita supply of AP and FV is starkly below (about half) that of Asia and the world. It
169
+ is also well below (33%, 40%, and 55%) the healthy-diet adequacy level for AP, fruits, and vegetables,
170
+ respectively. Asia by contrast is above adequacy by 18% and 9% for AP and vegetables, but in fruit in-
171
+ adequate in a degree similar to SSA. SSA’s degree of adequacy in these products barely changed from
172
+ 2010 to 2020.
173
+ Third, in contrast to the problems of adequacy and stagnancy per capita over a decade, total output of
174
+ these products soared over the decade in SSA: 29% for animal products (versus 31% in Asia), 43% for
175
+ fruits (versus 26% in Asia), and 35% in vegetables (versus 25% in Asia).
176
+ We next explore the trends with a longer time lens, focusing on AP. Delgado (2003) noted that there
177
+ had been a “livestock revolution” - a rapid growth in AP consumption per capita in developing countries
178
+ from the 1970s to the mid-1990s, driven by increases in population, urbanization, and incomes. The in-
179
+ crease in meat and milk consumption was more than twice the market value of the increase in cereals
180
+ consumption that occurred in the “Green Revolution.” While the growth was rapid, by the late 1990s,
181
+ consumption per capita was still only one third the meat and one fifth the milk consumed in developed
182
+ countries.
183
+ In sharp contrast to Asia, SSA’s meat and milk consumption stagnated per capita in the 1980s-1990s
184
+ (Delgado 2003). We analyzed FAOSTAT FBS (food budget sheet) data comparing 2000 to 2020 to see
185
+ if the situation had improved. Keep in mind that SSA population increased nearly 2-fold over those two
186
+ decades.
187
+ We found that in absolute terms output grew rapidly but did not exceed population growth in red meat
188
+ (whose output increased 2-fold) and fish and seafood (whose output grew 1.7-fold). Thus though both
189
+ 5
190
+ sets grew fast they just kept up with population growth so per capita output did not grow. By contrast,
191
+ dairy output grew 2.6-fold and poultry and eggs, 3.8 fold, both faster than population growth, so output
192
+ per capita grew.
193
+ This points to an important paradox. While SSA is experiencing major success in increasing total sup-
194
+ ply (still largely domestic), SSA still has limitations in the adequacy of these nutrient-dense foods. This
195
+ inadequacy is because supply (though increasing) is not yet outpacing population growth except in fruit
196
+ and dairy and poultry. The good news is that there is rapid growth in these foods and this is reflected in
197
+ a number of booms at the meso level in the supply of these products. The challenge is that the growth
198
+ of these products in the aggregate is not yet sufficient to remove the macro level inadequacy – and thus
199
+ the need for domestic supply to grow even faster.
200
+
201
+ 3. SUBSTANTIAL CONSUMPTION OF
202
+ FRUITS/VEGETABLES (FV) AND ANIMAL PRODUCTS (AP)
203
+ IN SSA: VIEW FROM HOUSEHOLD DATA
204
+ 3.1 Urban SSA shares of AP+FV already exceed those of starchy staples –
205
+ and are similar to developing Asia
206
+ Dolislager et al. (forthcoming) analyzed LSMS consumption data for 11 SSA countries and compared
207
+ “high-food-budget countries” (in relative terms), including Côte d’Ivoire, Ethiopia, Mali, Nigeria, and
208
+ Senegal with “low-food-budget countries” (including Benin, Burkina Faso, Guinea-Bissau, Malawi, Ni-
209
+ ger, and Togo). Note that these are not higher income and lower income countries, just higher food
210
+ budget and lower food budget. Here we examine their urban findings.
211
+ Consumption patterns in urban SSA are of special interest for several reasons: (1) urban areas con-
212
+ sume around 50-60% of all food consumed in SSA and 60-70% of marketed food (Liverpool-Tasie et al.
213
+ 2021); (2) urban areas form the main market for farmers and thus are crucial in creating the incentives
214
+ for farmers to produce AP & FV; (3) while consumption patterns in urban areas usually have higher
215
+ rates of consumption of AP and FV than rural areas (in part because of Bennett’s Law; Popkin and Bis-
216
+ grove, 1988), historically it is common for the rural consumption patterns to eventually shift toward the
217
+ urban ones.
218
+ For urban areas of high-food-budget SSA countries, Dolislager et al. (forthcoming) found that the con-
219
+ sumption share of AP+FV 1 exceeds that of starchy staples (grains and roots and tubers): 34% (AP+FV)
220
+ versus 30% (starchy staples). Urban areas of low-food-budget SSA countries show a surprising similar-
221
+ ity with the high-food-budget countries. Again, the consumption share of AP+FV exceeds that of
222
+ starchy staples: 40% versus 28% (starchy staples).
223
+ These urban patterns are similar to those of developing Asia. For example, Indonesia urban food con-
224
+ sumption is 37% AP+FV versus 26% for starchy staples; Nepal urban food consumption is 39% AP+FV
225
+ versus 28% for starchy staples (Reardon et al. 2014).
226
+
227
+
228
+ 1 For at-home consumption, as food-away-from-home is a category unto itself without a product breakdown.
229
+ 6
230
+ 3.2 Rural SSA shares of AP+FV are still below those of starchy staples –
231
+ and are just a bit below those of developing Asia
232
+ In upper-food-budget SSA countries the share of AP+FV is 26% versus 42% for starchy staples. Again
233
+ surprisingly, in lower-food-budget countries the shares are close, with 29% of AP+FV versus 43% for
234
+ starchy staples. If one can call a diet where starchy staples dominate diversification foods a “traditional
235
+ diet”, the rural areas are still in that mode, but arguably more diversified than decades ago.
236
+ As with urban areas, there is a similarity, but somewhat lower in AP+FV of rural SSA compared with
237
+ developing Asia. For example, in Indonesia in rural areas AP+FV form 37% and starchy staples, 34%.
238
+ In Nepal, the shares are 35% for AP+FV versus 36% for starchy staples (Reardon et al. 2014).
239
+
240
+ 3.3 Focus on FV: SSA countries have substantial (and in some zones or
241
+ countries growing) shares and levels of FV in household consumption
242
+ Normal First, there are several studies that show substantial shares of FV in food consumption. Using
243
+ LSMS data, Dolislager et al. (forthcoming) show for high-food-budget countries that 15% of urban, 13%
244
+ of peri-urban, and 12% rural of rural food consumption (in value terms) is in FV. Low-food-budget coun-
245
+ tries show 17%, 16%, and 15% for the three areas, respectively. This is interesting for several reasons:
246
+ (1) the shares are similar to developing Asia (as discussed below); (2) contrary to the conventional
247
+ view, the shares are similar over urban and rural areas and over high and low food-budget countries.
248
+ There is thus evidence of convergence in patterns of behavior.
249
+ There is of course substantial variation over countries. For instance, in Ethiopia, Minten et al. (2020)
250
+ show, using HCES data for 2016, a share of FV of 9% overall (but 19% in the capital city, Addis Ab-
251
+ aba). By contrast, for Senegal, Faye et al. (2023) show 27% for urban areas and 17% for rural areas;
252
+ interestingly, they show there is little variation in shares over zones of the rural area, with rural peri-ur-
253
+ ban at 17%, intermediate zones at 16%, and hinterland (far from towns) at 16%, suggesting penetration
254
+ of FV supply chains deep into rural areas. Amfo et al. (2019) found 34% for urban Ghana. Smale et al.
255
+ (2020) found 13% in rural and 20% in urban areas in Mali. In earlier work, Ruel et al. (2005) found (we
256
+ round)14% for FV for rural and urban together in Mozambique, 12% in Tanzania, 10% in Kenya and
257
+ 11% in Ghana. Ayieko et al. (2005) found 26% for Nairobi.
258
+ Again, we note that these FV shares in Africa, despite variation over countries and zones, are substan-
259
+ tial and roughly similar to findings from developing Asia. Examples include in Nepal where 15% of food
260
+ consumption in value terms is in FV in urban areas and 14% in rural areas, and in Indonesia, 15% ur-
261
+ ban, and 17% rural.
262
+ Second, Bennett’s Law and the few regression studies of FV shares (e.g., Faye et al. 2023) show that
263
+ the share of non-staples in the diet rise with income. Yet survey evidence also shows that this increase
264
+ starts even among households with incomes below the poverty level (Dolislager et al. 2022).
265
+ Moreover, lumping fruits and vegetables masks differences between fruit (usually a luxury) and vegeta-
266
+ bles (usually a necessity) in the few studies that break down these by income groups or income elastici-
267
+ ties. For example, in Nigeria, Parkhi et al. (2023) find most vegetables to be income inelastic while fruit
268
+ is highly income elastic. Dolislager et al. (forthcoming) found for "high food-budget countries” in Africa
269
+ that vegetables had a steady 11% over income terciles, while the share of fruit went from 2% for the
270
+ lower and middle tercile to 3% for the upper. In low-food-budget countries, the share of vegetables in
271
+ 7
272
+ food consumption dropped with income tercile, from 14% to 13% to 13%. This makes sense when one
273
+ thinks of fruit mainly as a dessert in those food cultures while vegetables are a basic element of sauces
274
+ for lunch and dinner.
275
+ Third, as expected from Bennett’s Law, macro data show that FV consumption is growing much faster
276
+ than cereals consumption in SSA. For Senegal, cereal consumption grew 2.6-fold and FV consumption
277
+ grew 4.4-fold over 1990 to 2018 (Faye et al. 2023). The few household survey studies that show FV
278
+ shares over time have often shown a rise. For Ethiopia, Minten et al. (2020) show the share rose from
279
+ 4.5% to 9% over 2000-2016; Hassen et al. (2017) show the rise in the share FV was partly at the ex-
280
+ pense of the cereals share; the latter dropped from 46% in 1996 to 36% in 2011.
281
+ The evolution of FV shares can differ by the level of economic development of a country’s region and
282
+ by fruits versus vegetables. Parkhi et al. (2023) for Nigeria show over 2010-2019 that the share of
283
+ households consuming fruits (a relative luxury) jumped from 32% to 63% in the poorer North, versus 58
284
+ to 83% in the richer South (while the share of households consuming vegetables stayed near 100%
285
+ over the period in both regions). The share of FV in overall food consumption stayed at around 12-13%
286
+ over the decade in the combined urban plus rural North versus growing from 13 to 16% in the richer
287
+ south.
288
+ Fourth, levels of FV consumption have risen, even in per capita terms in some countries and zones (but
289
+ with levels still inadequate when with the WHO-recommended minimum consumption of 146kg/capita
290
+ of FV per year; Harris et al. 2022). For example, for Ethiopia, Bachewe and Minten (2023) show that
291
+ consumption of FV per capita grew 1.6-fold in urban and 1.3-fold in rural areas from 2011 to 2016. This
292
+ is rapid growth, but it should be noted that it starts from a low base and reaches a still-inadequate con-
293
+ sumption level of 59 kg/capita overall in 2016 (with urban at 72 and rural at 56kg).
294
+ For Senegal, consumption per capita is 80kg/year (similar to Ruel et al. (2005) finding for Ghana of
295
+ 75kg/year), with urban Senegal at 128kg and rural Senegal at 63kg by 2018. Note that in Dakar the
296
+ consumption is at 137/kg, near to adequacy levels (although it is below the 177kg/capita found by
297
+ Ayieko et al. (2005) for Nairobi, a higher average income city than Dakar).
298
+ For Nigeria, Parkhi et al. (2023) found for 2019 FV consumption at 89kg/capita in the richer South, and
299
+ 54 in the poorer North (as low as rural Ethiopia). Moreover, they show that the North had even declined
300
+ over the decade from 58 to 54, while the South had increased from 65 to 89, a 1.4-fold increase in a
301
+ decade.
302
+ Fifth, another indicator of rapid transformation is that the composition of FV consumption in Africa has
303
+ changed over several decades. It has undergone what can be called “Westernization” with a shift from
304
+ a focus on traditional vegetables (such as African eggplant, okra, and indigenous green leafy vegeta-
305
+ bles) to non-indigenous vegetables and fruits especially tomatoes, onions, and chili peppers, now the
306
+ dominant vegetables in the diet (e.g., in Senegal, Faye et al. (2023), and Nigeria, Parkhi et al. (2023)).
307
+ An important driver of the rise of tomatoes/onions/chili peppers is that they are versatile to adapt to tra-
308
+ ditional dish forms as well as relatively new (over a half century) dishes such as rice jollof in Nigeria.
309
+ Sixth, purchases now form a high, even majority share of rural FV consumption in SSA (for Senegal,
310
+ Faye et al. 2023; Mali, Smale et al. 2020; Nigeria, Parkhi et al. 2023). This jibes with Sibhatu and Qaim
311
+ (2018) finding that there is little correlation in SSA between diversity of diet (such as in FV) and own-
312
+ farming of FV. For example, in Senegal, in rural peri urban areas, 75% of FV (in value terms) is pur-
313
+ chased; that share is 78% in intermediate rural areas and 75% in hinterland rural (Faye et al. 2023).
314
+ 8
315
+ Much of SSA’s FV production takes place in a few commercial zones (focused on domestic markets)
316
+ supplying via medium to long VCs the urban areas (and other rural areas). Examples include vegeta-
317
+ bles from the Rift Valley three hours to Addis Ababa (and other cities) (Minten et al. 2020), tomatoes
318
+ from a few main irrigated tomato zones to consumers all around Tanzania (Ijumba et al. 2023), and to-
319
+ matoes mainly from a few areas in Northern Nigeria to Southern Nigeria (Liverpool-Tasie et al. 2023b).
320
+
321
+ 3.4 Focus on AP: SSA countries have substantial (and in some zones or
322
+ countries growing) shares and levels of AP in household consumption
323
+ First, there are several studies that show substantial shares of AP in food consumption in SSA. Using
324
+ LSMS data, Dolislager et al. (forthcoming) shows for high-food-budget countries that 19% of urban,
325
+ 14% of peri-urban, and 14% rural of rural food consumption (in value terms) is in AP. Low-food-budget
326
+ countries show 23%, 16%, and 14% for the three areas, respectively. As with FV, these findings for AP
327
+ are interesting because contrary to the conventional view, the shares are similar over urban and rural
328
+ areas and over high and low food-budget countries.
329
+ Keep in mind that the above shares of AP are underestimated. This is because food-away-from-home
330
+ is an important share of food consumption in high-food-budget countries (averaging 11%) and 5% in
331
+ low-budget countries, and that many “food service” dishes at street vendors have animal products in
332
+ them (such as dairy with grain porridge; meat in traditional sauces; and the popular “chicken with chips”
333
+ found in many SSA cities). LSMS data in SSA generally do not show the composition of food away from
334
+ home.
335
+ Shares of AP in food consumption in SSA are only (we say "only" because we feel the conventional
336
+ wisdom is that there are sharp differences with Asia) a bit below findings from developing Asia. Rear-
337
+ don et al. (2014) shows the AP shares in food consumption in Indonesia as 22% in urban and 20% in
338
+ rural; in Nepal, 24% in urban and 21% in rural.
339
+ Second, Dolislager et al. (forthcoming) found for "high food-budget countries” in SSA that AP in food
340
+ consumption was 10% for low, 14% for middle, and 19% for upper tercile households. In low-food-
341
+ budget countries, the pattern was similar: 11%, 15%, and 23% over the three terciles. The finding of AP
342
+ as luxury foods is expected (and similar to other findings in SSA, such as for Ethiopia (Abegaz et al.
343
+ 2018), and in developing Asia, Reardon et al. 2014).
344
+ Third, as expected from Bennett’s Law, macro data show that AP consumption is growing much faster
345
+ than cereals consumption in SSA. Moreover, the few household survey studies that show AP shares
346
+ over time have shown a rise in the share. For example, for Ethiopia, Minten et al. (2020) show the
347
+ share rose from 8% to 13% over the period 2000-2016.
348
+ Fourth, levels of AP consumption have risen over 2000-2020, during which dairy macro data showed
349
+ for overall SSA a 2.4-fold rise in consumption per capita. Some micro studies reflect this. For Ethiopia
350
+ dairy, Minten et al. (2020) show for Addis Ababa that annual intake per adult equivalent increased by
351
+ 31% in only 10 years (2005-2016). For fish in Nigeria, Liverpool-Tasie et al. (2021b) show that the
352
+ share of households consuming fish rose from 59 to 72% over just 5 years, 2010-2015. That masks
353
+ sharp regional differences: in the poorer North the share only went from 46 to 49%; while in the south,
354
+ from 71 to 90% in those 5 years. In the North, the kg/capita stayed at about 6.3kg, while in the richer
355
+ South, from 17 to 18.7 kg.
356
+ 9
357
+ For chicken and eggs, in Ethiopia, Abegaz et al. (2018) show that intake doubled from 3.8 birr/capita
358
+ per year to 7.1 in 15 years (1996-2011). In Ghana, Knößlsdorfer and Qaim (2023) show that intake of
359
+ chicken rose from 40,000 tons in 1999 to 260,000 tons in 2018, although 75% is supplied by imports.
360
+ The latter is far higher than the all-SSA share of imports in chicken/egg consumption of 22%, with an
361
+ even lower rate (15%) in Nigeria (Ogunleye et al. 2016).
362
+
363
+ 4. MESO BOOMS IN ANIMAL PRODUCT CLUSTERS AND
364
+ DOMESTIC VCS
365
+ 4.1 Fish in Nigeria
366
+ Research is emerging on fish-capture and aquaculture clusters and rapid development (“booms”) in do-
367
+ mestic supply in SSA, such as in Kenya (Naziri et al. 2023) and in Nigeria, which we illustrate here. Ni-
368
+ gerian domestic fish output in tons (per FAOSTAT data) grew 4.1-fold (twice the pan-SSA rate noted
369
+ above). Imports into Nigeria rose only 2-fold. These data point to a boom in domestic fish supply. By
370
+ 2020 this supply was 75% by (equal parts) marine capture and inland capture and 25% by aquaculture
371
+ (which was nearly 0% in 2000) (Liverpool-Tasie et al. 2023).
372
+ a) Fish Production clusters supplying short and long supply chains in Nigeria
373
+
374
+ There are several important aquaculture and capture fishery clusters feeding the fish supply
375
+ boom in Nigeria. We focus here on three, in the Southwest in Oyo State (near Ibadan and La-
376
+ gos), the Southeast in Ebonyi, and in the North in Kebbi State, drawing on a rapid reconnais-
377
+ sance study of hundreds of supply chain actors (Liverpool-Tasie et al. 2023); and Gona et al.
378
+ (2018) based on a “meso inventory” with a 10-year recall of supply chain actors in the four main
379
+ fishing/fish farming clusters in Kebbi State.
380
+
381
+ All three of these cluster-sets: (1) are based in areas with good enabling conditions for fish pro-
382
+ duction (well-watered); (2) due to government investments are well-connected by highways to
383
+ major cities near and far and well served by wholesale markets; (3) have displayed dynamic
384
+ transformation of both the structure and the conduct of the value chains/clusters; (4) are charac-
385
+ terized by dominance of SMEs who responded to increasing demand and favorable conditions;
386
+ (5) supply in their large majority domestic markets in general and urban markets in particular.
387
+
388
+ b) Diffusion of capture fishers and fish farms
389
+
390
+ To illustrate the size and growth of primary producers in these clusters, we focus on findings
391
+ from the Kebbi State clusters (one big cluster and a few smaller ones), by 2018 around 21,000
392
+ fishers and fish farmers. (Small scale farms form 61% and medium farms 28% of the total).
393
+ Over the prior 10 years there had been a 182% increase in fishers and a 200% increase in fish
394
+ farmers (Gona et al. 2018). This growth rate was even greater than a boom qualified as a “Quiet
395
+ Revolution” in aquaculture in Bangladesh (Hernandez et al. 2018).
396
+
397
+ There has been transformation of the conduct of primary producers in the Kebbi as well as the
398
+ Oyo and Ebonyi clusters, in particular intensification of aquaculture (Liverpool-Tasie et al. 2023).
399
+ 10
400
+ Examples include: (1) diffusion of mobile fiber and tarpaulin tanks to adapt to small landholdings
401
+ and high pond construction costs; (2) and diffusion of antibiotics and commercial fish feed use
402
+ (at all scales of farms).
403
+
404
+ c) Growth in the midstream of farm inputs VC
405
+
406
+ There has been rapid growth in the fish farm inputs value chains (Liverpool-Tasie et al. 2023):
407
+ (1) emergence of long-distance (cross state) trade in fish seed from clusters of hatcheries in ar-
408
+ eas with good environmental conditions and transport (similar to what happened in Bangladesh,
409
+ see Hernandez et al. 2018); (2) emergence of markets for broodstock for hatcheries; (3) emer-
410
+ gence of specialized long-distance fingerling traders; (4) spillovers from poultry feed sector (pro-
411
+ cessing and marketing) development to supplying fish farms, again, similar to what has hap-
412
+ pened in Asia; (5) emergence of “rural-hub one-stop-shops” such as Chi Farms in Oyo that sells
413
+ and distributes juveniles, live catfish, frozen catfish, fillet, and fish feed to fish farmers and pro-
414
+ vides training to farmers.
415
+
416
+ d) Growth in the midstream and downstream of the fish VCs
417
+
418
+ There were nearly 9,000 midstream actors (wholesalers, processors, and transport logistics) in
419
+ the Kebbi clusters by 2018. Growth in these segments was dynamic. For example, the number
420
+ of rural and urban wholesalers in the clusters grew 1.3-fold over the decade (as fish producers
421
+ increased 1.9-fold, this implies an increase in trader scale over the decade). Urban fish retailers
422
+ in the state jumped 2.5-fold. These midstream intermediaries were in urban and rural retail mar-
423
+ kets, rural and urban wholesale markets, farmgate markets, and trader collection points totaling
424
+ around 255 over the period (Gona et al. 2018).
425
+
426
+ The conduct of midstream actors transformed in the Kebbi as well as the Oyo and Ebonyi clus-
427
+ ters (Liverpool-Tasie et al. 2023). Examples include: (1) indigenous innovation in processing,
428
+ such as locally manufactured kilns and adoption of gas burners for fish frying (reducing wood
429
+ use); (2) lengthening of value chains of smoked fish to markets around Nigeria and to neighbor-
430
+ ing countries; (3) improvements in cold storage infrastructure by private and public investments;
431
+ (4) rapid development of third party logistics (3PLS) in private and public transport (again, simi-
432
+ lar to what occurred in Asia, for Myanmar see Belton et al. (2018)).
433
+
434
+ 4.2 Dairy in Ethiopia
435
+ Above we noted that in one decade (2005-2016), dairy consumption per capita in Addis Ababa (a city of
436
+ 4.5 million) grew 31%. The city was expanding and household incomes were rising quickly in that dec-
437
+ ade and it became the demand, and partly the supply, center of a boom in dairy. To supply this in-
438
+ crease there was a rise in dairy farming and processing.
439
+ a) Dairy farming grew quickly in one decade – SME-dominated but with increasing concen-
440
+ tration
441
+
442
+ Milk farming has developed quickly both inside and around the city. Minten et al. (2020) found
443
+ that 31% of the city’s supply comes from 29,000 dairy cows inside the city: 26% from suburban
444
+ 11
445
+ areas, and 37% from rural areas. 89% of the milk supplied to Addis comes from small farms
446
+ (below 25 cows).
447
+
448
+ Medium farms with more than 25 cows supply 11% of the milk supply but are growing much
449
+ more quickly than small farmers: they increased 8-fold from 2007-17 (mainly in the suburban
450
+ areas). Moreover, medium farms have nearly 5 times greater productivity per cow and 15 times
451
+ higher per worker than small farms. Productivity is also correlated with proximity to Addis: milk
452
+ yields are 5 times higher for farms close to Addis versus those far out. Milk yields among me-
453
+ dium farms grew substantially over the decade while those of small farms stagnated. The me-
454
+ dium farms tend to be urban or peri-urban; this phenomenon has also been noted in India (Bur-
455
+ kitbayeva et al. 2023). Medium farms are the “change agents” driving the boom in the farm sec-
456
+ tor of the dairy supply chain to Addis. Minten et al. (2020) show that the medium farms are
457
+ much more likely to undertake capital-led intensification: (1) cross-bred cows rather than tradi-
458
+ tional breeds; (2) use artificial insemination; (3) commercial feed; (4) access to animal health
459
+ and dairy-related extension services. These in turn were supplied by growing input and services
460
+ supply chains, and the proliferation of commercial feed mills.
461
+
462
+
463
+ b) Midstream boom – with increasing concentration
464
+
465
+ Minten et al. (2020) noted that milk processing firms tripled (from 8 to 25) in only 10 years; this
466
+ rapid growth is similar to what Minten et al. (2016) documented for teff processors, transporters,
467
+ and wholesalers in and to the Addis market in the same decade. Dairy processing reached
468
+ 200,000 liters of milk per day.
469
+
470
+ As expected, concentration in processing has proceeded faster and further than in the farming
471
+ sector: the four largest processors produced three-quarters of the pasteurized milk. The concen-
472
+ tration is far less among processors producing unpasteurized milk as expected. Cooperatives
473
+ only have a 5% share in processing.
474
+
475
+ 5. MESO BOOMS IN VEGETABLE CLUSTERS AND
476
+ DOMESTIC VALUE CHAINS: TANZANIA, ZAMBIA,
477
+ ETHIOPIA, ZAMBIA
478
+ 5.1 Vegetables in Tanzania
479
+ Aggregate supply of domestic FV grew very rapidly over the past several decades: Tanzanian FV out-
480
+ put in tons (per FAOSTAT data) increased 4.1-fold from 1990 to 2020; vegetable output grew 2.3 times
481
+ and fruit output, 7-fold. This rapid growth kept up with population growth (2.4-fold) in for vegetables and
482
+ well exceeded it for fruit. Fruit supply responded to growth in fruit demand which is income-elastic while
483
+ for vegetables is inelastic. Tanzanian income per capita increased 6-fold in constant dollars over the 3
484
+ decades (per World Bank data).
485
+ 12
486
+ This domestic supply growth translated nearly fully into domestic consumption growth: less than 1% of
487
+ SSA agricultural output is exported and less than 1% of consumption is imported. The composition of
488
+ vegetable output changed, with tomatoes shifting from 9% to 17%, and onions from 3% to 7%, mirror-
489
+ ing a consumption shift toward tomatoes and onions in Tanzania as in other SSA countries (as dis-
490
+ cussed above). Tomato output leapt 4.4-fold in those three decades. These macro trends were re-
491
+ flected in evidence of meso booms as follows.
492
+ a) Rapid ingress of farmers into FV at the national level
493
+
494
+ Farmers were responsive to the growth in domestic demand. There was a rapid diffusion of FV
495
+ farming per agricultural census data (NBS 2021). In 2008, 9.5% of Tanzania farms grew FV; just
496
+ 12 years later (2020) the share doubled to 21%. The fastest shift was among small farmers,
497
+ from 8% of farms to 20%. For medium farms, the shift was from 24% to 38%, and large farms,
498
+ from 16% to 26%. Overall, area under FV jumped 130% - adding 240,000 hectares in that dec-
499
+ ade. Half of that increase in area was a jump in area under tomatoes. By contrast, cereal area
500
+ expanded only 27%.
501
+
502
+ b) Rapid rise of zone-specific clusters of FV production linked by long supply chains to
503
+ consumption centers
504
+ While green leafy vegetables are grown throughout Tanzania in small plots in rural areas or
505
+ near cities, most of the other main vegetables and fruits are grown on farms clustered in specific
506
+ zones with favorable climates and soils and water. Examples are citrus and bananas in the hot
507
+ areas of the coast; and tomatoes in well-watered areas mainly in the interior and near highways.
508
+ The combination of similar FV consumption patterns all over Tanzania (Ijumba 2021) combined
509
+ with FV-growing farms (apart from green leafy vegetables) producing in specific “lead zones”
510
+ has meant that these commercial FV zones send FV all over the country in long supply chains.
511
+ An example is the clusters of irrigated tomato farms, such as in the center of the country
512
+ (Morogoro-Dodoma), in the Southern Highlands (such as Iringa), and in the eastern region of
513
+ Dar es Salaam, send out tomatoes to cities and rural areas all over the country. These findings
514
+ are similar to what we show below for Zambia and Ethiopia, and what was found in Nigeria for
515
+ the case of tomato; Liverpool-Tasie et al. 2023b).
516
+
517
+ This reality is in sharp contrast to the traditional view of FV produced in backyard gardens (an
518
+ image dating from decades ago when most FV consumption was subsistence and most of the
519
+ population rural and little purchased) or small bands of “peri-urban horticulture” around the few
520
+ cities such as in the 1990s and 2000s in Tanzania.
521
+
522
+ c) Rapid growth in domestic value chains with a proliferation of wholesalers & public in-
523
+ vestment in wholesale markets
524
+
525
+ The long supply chains noted above feed an urban population that has been growing rapidly:
526
+ from 1990 to 2020 the urban population grew 4.5-fold and went from 19 to 35% of the popula-
527
+ tion (World Bank). The urban share of consumption of FV reached 60% by 2012 and nearly
528
+ 100% of urban consumption of FVs comes from purchases from supply chains (Ijumba 2021).
529
+ Long supply chains are not aimed only at cities. Ijumba (2021) found that nearly 60% of rural
530
+ consumption of FV is from purchases and most of those purchases of a given zone are of FV
531
+ (like tomatoes and onions) that are not grown in that rural zone.
532
+ 13
533
+
534
+ Urban and rural consumers are supplied via retailers who are in turn supplied via urban and
535
+ peri-urban FV wholesale markets. These markets have spread very quickly in a short time,
536
+ keeping pace with rapid urbanization and income increases. The first multiple city survey of
537
+ these markets was undertaken in 2023 (Ijumba et al. 2023). They found 55 FV wholesale mar-
538
+ kets in 8 cities in Tanzania, of which 31 wholesale tomatoes. Nearly all started in the past 3 dec-
539
+ ades and two-thirds of them in only the past 20 years: about 10 of those markets were started in
540
+ each of the past 3 decades. 84% of the markets were started by municipal/district governments
541
+ and represent important public investments in the “enabling environment” over time. Moreover,
542
+ the number of wholesalers in these 31 markets nearly doubled in just the past 10 years.
543
+
544
+ 5.2 Vegetables in Zambia
545
+ a) Vegetable farming and commercialization boom over a decade
546
+
547
+ First, there has been a rapid ingress of SME farmers into horticulture as well as commercial hor-
548
+ ticulture per se. Kabwe et al. (2023) shows that the share of SME farms growing fruits and vege-
549
+ tables jumped from 38% in 2007 to 79% in 2018; the share of SME commercial farms in the total
550
+ of SME farms (growing all crops) jumped from 18 to 30% over those 10 years.
551
+
552
+ The latter implies a 1.6-fold leap in a decade in the number of commercialized farms. In absolute
553
+ numbers, 664,000 started horticulture, of which 188,000 farmers entered commercial horticulture.
554
+ The result was that by 2018, 1.3 million farmers produced fruits and vegetables, and 486 thousand
555
+ sold them. This boom in SME commercial horticulture can be compared with the only 1.1-fold
556
+ increase in maize farmers, and 1.4-fold increase in maize sellers, to 1.4 million maize farmers
557
+ and 489 thousand maize sellers. Moreover, the commercial horticulture farmers are 3.8 times
558
+ more numerous than cotton sellers (although cotton commercial farming dominates the debate
559
+ on “cash cropping”).
560
+
561
+ Second, the farming boom has involved in some cases shifting from grain farming into vegetables
562
+ for some plots while staying in the traditional communal farming areas, and in other cases starting
563
+ vegetable farms outside communal areas, in peri-urban areas, along rivers, and near roads to
564
+ access water and transport to urban markets. These new areas became “spontaneous clusters”
565
+ of vegetable farms with complementary services such as input retailers, rural traders, and truck-
566
+ ers. They were not formed by or coordinated by large firms, any NGOs, or the government.
567
+
568
+ Third, vegetable commercial farmers early in the decade were mainly small scale; over the dec-
569
+ ade many scaled up into medium and even some large commercial farms. While there are many
570
+ small farms participating, the bulk of the vegetable marketed volume is formed by medium farms.
571
+ Many have sunk boreholes for irrigation both in communal and non-communal lands.
572
+
573
+ Fourth, vegetable farm output composition diversified and “climbed the value ladder” over the
574
+ decade, from half tomatoes, a quarter leafy greens (“low entry costs” basic greens, cabbage and
575
+ rape), and a tenth other (high value) vegetables, to two-fifths tomatoes, a quarter greens, and a
576
+ quarter, other vegetables. The other tenth is fruit.
577
+
578
+ 14
579
+ Fifth, vegetable farming has intensified. Compared with traditional off-season vegetable farming
580
+ in communal villages, which relies little on inputs other than labor, the vegetable boom clusters
581
+ grow vegetables with irrigation (from rivers or from the ground via boreholes and pumps) and with
582
+ external inputs (seeds, including hybrid tomato seeds, fertilizer, fungicides, and insecticides to
583
+ control the heavy disease pressure during the growing season).
584
+
585
+ b) Growth of midstream of the VC
586
+
587
+ Vegetable farming has commercialized with a concomitant growth in the VC midstream. There
588
+ has been a shift of over time from the bulk of vegetables being home produced and consumed in
589
+ rural households decades ago to the commercialized SME producers mainly selling their produce.
590
+ Most is sold to urban areas such as Lusaka, a city with a metro area of 3 million, or Kitwe, a city
591
+ of nearly a million, as well as a dozen other large and medium cities and to Kasumbalesa the
592
+ border town in the Democratic Republic of Congo.
593
+
594
+ The great bulk of vegetables are sold through wholesale markets by wholesalers, with the great
595
+ majority going to the domestic market (Tschirley and Hichaambwa 2010). The wholesale markets
596
+ are crucial public goods in the rapidly expanding and already huge volume of marketed vegeta-
597
+ bles. But one should keep in mind what an achievement the markets and the wholesalers working
598
+ them have made: the total sales volume jumped 4-fold in just 10 years, a massive influx that the
599
+ markets handled to feed cities. Moreover, the government has upgraded the infrastructure of sev-
600
+ eral large markets such as the Soweto Wholesale Market in Lusaka in the past decade.
601
+
602
+
603
+ c) Non-government drivers of the boom
604
+
605
+ Kabwe et al. (2023) outline non-governmental drivers of the boom. First has been the massive
606
+ and growing demand from urban areas, and overall income growth. The urban population of Zam-
607
+ bia tripled in 20 years from 3.5 million to 9 million. Average per capita GDP nearly doubled in 2
608
+ decades from 774 (constant USD) in 2000 to 1274 in 2021.
609
+
610
+ Second, rural nonfarm employment and migration remittances funded at least in part the start and
611
+ development of SME vegetable farmers. Formal credit sources played little to no role. After start-
612
+ ing, own savings were important to funding the farming development, such as for purchase of
613
+ pumps.
614
+
615
+ Third, private input suppliers such as sellers of pumps and seeds and chemicals, and seedling
616
+ producers played an important role. Government and NGO sources of these were minor or nil.
617
+
618
+ Fourth, there was little role played either by NGOs or donor schemes, in terms of the share of
619
+ total vegetable output affected, and no role by multinational firms, except for supermarket chains
620
+ buying a small share of the vegetables. It was a “grass roots”, SME-driven spontaneous under-
621
+ taking.
622
+
623
+
624
+
625
+
626
+ 15
627
+ d) Government investment and policy drivers of the boom
628
+
629
+ Kabwe et al. (2023) outline several public sector drivers of the above boom. First, clusters of
630
+ farms, seedling nurseries, wholesalers, and truckers spontaneously formed in the main vegetable
631
+ areas near cities and rivers and main roads, there was no “management” of those clusters by
632
+ government. Moreover, there were no government subsidies of any kind for the vegetable boom,
633
+ not for pumps, nor inputs, nor land.
634
+
635
+ Second, however, government investment in infrastructure was crucial, in particular in rural elec-
636
+ trification (important for pumps), wholesale markets, and roads. But the government National Ag-
637
+ ricultural Research System (NARS) has so far played little role in the vegetable boom. The hybrid
638
+ tomatoes were the main varietal innovation and those were adopted from foreign seed sources.
639
+ There was also little role of public extension services as the latter are focused on foodgrains in
640
+ Zambia.
641
+
642
+ 5.3 Vegetables in Ethiopia
643
+
644
+ a) Ingress of small and medium farmers and boom structure
645
+
646
+ Minten et al. (2020) present survey findings regarding a vegetable farming boom in the Rift Valley
647
+ of Ethiopia. They showed rapid entry of SME farmers and growth of output and commercialization.
648
+ A “spontaneous cluster” developed of vegetable farms, wholesalers, input retailers, and outsource
649
+ agricultural services. This cluster mainly supplies the huge Addis Ababa market, with none of the
650
+ products exported; moreover, the Addis vegetable market is mainly supplied by this cluster. The
651
+ main findings are as follows.
652
+
653
+ First, there was a rapid increase in vegetable production in the 2010s in the Rift Valley. The boom
654
+ was driven on the supply side by private (farmer) investment in pump irrigation. The irrigated area
655
+ in the cluster more than doubled over a 10-year period.
656
+
657
+ Second, while 40% of the area is operated by small farms, almost 60% of the vegetable area is
658
+ cultivated by medium-scale tenant (land renting) farmers who produce 70% of the vegetable out-
659
+ put of the cluster. The medium farms cultivate on average almost 5 hectares of vegetables. The
660
+ area operated by the medium farmers tripled over the decade, pointing to concentration in farm-
661
+ ing.
662
+
663
+ b) Conduct: value ladder and technological change (intensification)
664
+
665
+ Minten et al. (2020) found that the small farms in this cluster, as shown for Zambia above, spe-
666
+ cialize in “easy entry” (low investment) green leafy vegetables such as Ethiopian kale. The me-
667
+ dium farms specialize in vegetables that require more investment, such as (high return) tomatoes.
668
+ Tomatoes require more labor and spraying than do other vegetables like onions. But tomatoes
669
+ and onions are both higher value and have higher production costs than leafy greens, so medium
670
+ farmers grow the two former items.
671
+
672
+ 16
673
+ Second, the farms in the cluster have undertaken rapid intensification of production, with large
674
+ investments in pump irrigation, purchase of seedlings, fertilizers, and pesticides. Farming costs
675
+ for the medium farmers were twice those for small farmers of vegetables. But these costs are
676
+ about 10 times more than costs for producing staple grains and thus there are significant entry
677
+ costs. The great majority of seeds, including hybrid seeds, as well as pesticides, are from private
678
+ agro-dealers (with the government supported cooperatives playing a small role). Fertilizer is
679
+ bought mainly from the cooperatives.
680
+
681
+ Pump ownership a decade before was about half by the farmers themselves; a decade later three-
682
+ quarters were owned by the farmers themselves. The pumps are mainly imported from China.
683
+ Minten et al. (2020) cite Hossain (2009) who noted that the availability of cheap pumps (imported)
684
+ was crucial to the intensification and yield increase of rice in Bangladesh. Minten et al. note the
685
+ similarity with the drivers of the vegetable boom in Ethiopia.
686
+
687
+ c) Booms in the midstream of the agricultural services and output value chains
688
+
689
+ First, driven by the medium farmers requiring heavy inputs of labor and inputs, combined with
690
+ their assets constraints (equipment and skills), SME outsource services have rapidly developed
691
+ and sell the farmers the following: (1) equipment and labor teams (managing migrant labor) for
692
+ digging wells and ponds; (2) mechanized plowing; (3) planting seedlings; (4) applying chemicals;
693
+ (5) harvesting; (6) loading of trucks; (7) marketing. This is similar to “one-stop-shop” outsource
694
+ services in mango areas in Asia (e.g., for Indonesia, Qanti et al., 2017).
695
+
696
+ Second, the commercialized SME farmers in the cluster market the great majority of their vege-
697
+ tables to urban areas, especially to Addis Ababa, a city of 5 million. In Ethiopia, the great majority
698
+ of vegetables are sold through wholesale markets by wholesalers. The wholesale markets are
699
+ crucial public goods in the rapidly expanding and already huge volume of marketed vegetables.
700
+
701
+ d) Non-government drivers
702
+
703
+ First, of fundamental importance to the vegetable boom in the Rift Valley has been the large and
704
+ growing demand from urban areas, and overall income growth. The urban population of Ethiopia
705
+ nearly tripled in 20 years from 10 million to 26 million. Average per capita income in Ethiopia has
706
+ nearly doubled in 2 decades: Ethiopian GDP/capita more than tripled from 262 (constant USD) in
707
+ 2000 to 852 in 2021.
708
+
709
+ As one can predict from Bennett’s Law, with such rapid increase in income/capita, the FV share
710
+ in consumption baskets doubled over 10 years, from 4.5% in 2006 to 9% in 2016. FV consumption
711
+ per capita increased 1.3-fold in urban areas and 1.4-fold in rural areas between 2011 and 2016.
712
+ In the case of Addis Ababa, 19% of the food basket was going towards vegetables in 2020, sig-
713
+ nificantly higher than national levels. In 2020, per the survey in Minten et al. (2020), almost three-
714
+ quarters of the four main vegetables in Addis Ababa were procured from the Rift Valley vegetable
715
+ cluster.
716
+
717
+ Second, there was a major role by private input suppliers such as sellers of pumps and imported
718
+ seeds and chemicals, and seedling producers. The outsource services noted above were major
719
+ facilitators of the boom.
720
+ 17
721
+
722
+ Third, factor markets have played major roles. On the one hand, there has been a major influx of
723
+ intra-Ethiopian migrant labor into the vegetable cluster. About 4300 workers are employed in the
724
+ cluster. On the other hand, land markets especially for rental land have been crucial as many
725
+ medium farmers entered by renting land.
726
+
727
+ Fourth, there was very little role played either by NGOs or donor schemes, nor by microcredit
728
+ institutions or banks. It was a “grass roots”, SME-driven spontaneous undertaking.
729
+
730
+ Fifth, the natural and constructed context was favorable to the rise of the cluster. The Central Rift
731
+ Valley is near lakes and crossed by rivers and endowed with shallow water tables, all good for
732
+ irrigation. The area is on a good road and a three-hour drive to Addis Ababa. It is close to three
733
+ major secondary cities. The area’s climate zone (sub-tropical semi-arid) is good for vegetable
734
+ farming when irrigation water is available.
735
+
736
+ e) Government’s role
737
+
738
+ First, there was no “management” of that cluster by government or any entity. Moreover, there
739
+ were no government subsidies of any kind for the vegetable boom, not for pumps, nor inputs, nor
740
+ land.
741
+
742
+ Second, government investment in infrastructure has been crucial, in particular in rural electrifi-
743
+ cation (important for pumps), ICT infrastructure, wholesale markets, and roads (Dorosh and
744
+ Minten, 2020).
745
+
746
+ Third, the government National Agricultural Research System (NARS) played little role in the veg-
747
+ etable boom. Hybrid tomatoes were the main varietal innovation and those were adopted from
748
+ foreign seed sources. There was also little role of public extension services as the latter are fo-
749
+ cused on foodgrains in Ethiopia.
750
+
751
+ 6. CONCLUSIONS AND POLICY IMPLICATIONS
752
+ This paper showed that despite the incontrovertible facts that SSAs under-consume nutrient dense
753
+ fruits and vegetables (FV) and animal products (AP), and the farm production and supply chains of
754
+ these products are fraught with constraints that keep them from operating optimally, there is abundant
755
+ recent evidence of dynamism in these sectors. To wit: (1) consumption of these products in levels and
756
+ shares is already substantial and growing rapidly; (2) supply of these products is growing rapidly, just
757
+ not yet much faster than population growth; (3) supply growth is manifested in a number of countries
758
+ by dynamic “meso booms” with diffusion of farming and growth in midstream VC segments. We re-
759
+ viewed recent survey-based evidence of these booms and discussed the drivers of them. That leads to
760
+ policy implications as follows.
761
+ First, the policy debate itself has to “refresh” and take into account the dynamism that already exists
762
+ along value chains across Africa where the enabling conditions are present. The policy debate also
763
+ needs to recognize that this dynamism is “grass roots”, that is, it is a product mainly of domestic SME
764
+ farms and midstream enterprises investing vigorously and spreading and growing. There is little need to
765
+ 18
766
+ “reinvent the wheel” based on what we contend is a myth that there is a missing middle, that growth is
767
+ absent. Rather, transformation is afoot and rapid, spontaneous clusters are emerging over the past
768
+ several decades, and the middle is not missing but rather is a “hidden middle.” (Reardon 2015).
769
+ Second, the SME farms and midstream firms discussed in the cases presented were responding to the
770
+ enormous pull of both urban and rural demand of consumers to purchase FVs and APs. We contend
771
+ that demand is the builder of both incentives and eventually capacity for this supply response and we
772
+ emphasize the massive domestic market opportunity in SSA fueling these booms.
773
+ Third, there was a fascinating consistency over the five case studies (and more that we did not have
774
+ space to include) in the elements of the enabling environment of the meso booms. Important is what
775
+ was consistently absent; i.e., the direct “hand” of the government actually starting and managing the
776
+ clusters, or the hand of NGO microcredit actions or contracts and help from large companies, or gov-
777
+ ernment subsidies, or special economic zones or “agroparks”.
778
+ Rather, government investment was always an important context and foundation of the booms: govern-
779
+ ment investment usually at the district and municipal level (not national level) in wholesale markets; na-
780
+ tional government investment in roads and in some cases electrification; in some cases government
781
+ investment in NARS providing adapted breeds of cows and varieties of tomatoes. Not directly noted
782
+ was government provision of a modicum of security at least for the immediate clusters. We did not dis-
783
+ cuss policies of certification and registration because the great majority of the actors in all segments of
784
+ these chains were informal and small to medium.
785
+ There is much left out of this paper and much still to do in research; the most glaring and promising
786
+ ones follow. First, there is more research to do to study these spontaneous clusters in the meso booms
787
+ from the perspective of “empirical industrial organization”, understanding their effects on the efficiency
788
+ of value chains bringing food to consumers, on consumer pricing, on sector restructuring, and on the
789
+ development of “relational contracts” between these SME clusters and small farms (Macchiavello et al.
790
+ 2022; Liverpool-Tasie et al. 2020) as well as their resilience to climate shocks and violent conflict
791
+ (Reardon and Zilberman, 2018; Vargas et al. 2023).
792
+ Second, there is research to do on what might be constraining the further growth and proliferation of
793
+ these meso supply booms such as input costs and transaction costs. That would also help to point the
794
+ way to further development of policies and public investments.
795
+ Third, there is more research to do on the implications for employment of youth and women and allevia-
796
+ tion of poverty by these growth cases, including how “inclusive” they are of the asset poor in these ar-
797
+ eas, and what conditions their degree of inclusion.
798
+ Fourth, there is more research to do on food safety and hygiene, as well as environment issues facing
799
+ these clusters and the existing and potential institutional arrangements that could improve on the ability
800
+ of these clusters to be an environment where affordable, safe and nutritious foods could be accessed
801
+ by consumers. These crucial issues could imply important trade-offs between food quality, environ-
802
+ ment-friendly practices and affordability of and access to food, that requires further research to assess
803
+ the dynamic growth seen on merits against these multiple food system objectives.
804
+
805
+
806
+ 19
807
+
808
+ ABOUT THE AUTHORS
809
+ Thomas Reardon is a University Distinguished Professor in the Department of Agricultural, Food and
810
+ Resource Economics at Michigan State University (MSU). He is also a non-resident Senior Research
811
+ Fellow with the International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI)’s Markets, Trade, and Institutions
812
+ (MTI) Unit.
813
+ Saweda Liverpool-Tasie is an MSU Foundation Professor in the Department of Agricultural, Food, and
814
+ Resource Economics. She is also Senior Researcher at the International Institute of Tropical Agricul-
815
+ ture (IITA).
816
+ Ben Belton is an Associate Professor with MSU’s Department of Agricultural, Food, and Resource Eco-
817
+ nomics. He is also a Research Fellow with IFPRI’s Development Strategies and Governance (DSG) Di-
818
+ vision.
819
+ Michael Dolislager is an Associate Professor of Economics and Economic Development at Messiah
820
+ University.
821
+ Bart Minton is a Senior Research Fellow with IFPRI’s DSG Division.
822
+ Barry Popkin is a Distinguished Professor of nutrition University of North Carolina’s Gillings School of
823
+ Global Public Health.
824
+ Rob Vos is the lead for CGIAR research initiative on Rethinking Food Markets. He also serves as the
825
+ Director for MTI Unit within IFPRI.
826
+ ACKNOWLEDGMENTS
827
+ This work is part of the CGIAR Research Initiative on Rethinking Food Markets and Value Chains for
828
+ Inclusion and Sustainability. Launched in January 2022, the Rethinking Food Markets initiative is a col-
829
+ laborative effort of seven CGIAR centers, including the International Food Policy Research Institute
830
+ (IFPRI), the Alliance of Bioversity International and the International Center for Tropical Agriculture (Alli-
831
+ ance Bioversity-CIAT), the International Institute of Tropical Agriculture (IITA), the International Maize
832
+ and Wheat Improvement Center (CIMMYT), the International Center for Agricultural Research in the Dry
833
+ Areas (ICARDA), International Water Management Institute (IWMI), and WorldFish. The initiative further
834
+ collaborates with national and international partners to leverage innovations and policies that improve
835
+ the functioning of food markets and value chains in order to address food insecurity and malnutrition,
836
+ reduce poverty and income inequality, and minimize food systems’ ecological footprint.
837
+ The initiative is currently undertaking research testing the effectiveness and scalability of market and
838
+ value chain innovations in seven countries in Africa, Asia, and Latin America. In partnership with the
839
+ ISEAL Alliance, the initiative has further launched the Knowledge Platform for Inclusive and Sustainable
840
+ Food Markets and Value Chains (KISM) to help farmer organizations, food businesses, governments,
841
+ and practitioners make better-informed investment and policy decisions on inclusive and sustainable food
842
+ value chains. The Initiative’s leadership thanks all funders for supporting this research through their con-
843
+ tributions to the CGIAR Trust Fund, and in particular also the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation for
844
+ 20
845
+ designated funds received. Barry Popkin is grateful to the Global Food Research Program at the Univer-
846
+ sity of North Carolina Chapel Hill for financial support.
847
+ REFERENCES
848
+ Abegaz, G.A., I.W. Hassen, B. Minten. 2018. Consumption of animal-source foods in Ethiopia: Patterns, changes, and determinants. IFPRI
849
+ and Ethiopian Development Research Institute, Strategy Support Program Working Paper 113, January.
850
+ Amfo, B., I.G.K. Ansah, S.A. Donkoh. 2019. The effects of income and food safety perception on vegetable expenditure in the Tamale Metrop-
851
+ olis, Ghana. Journal of agribusiness in developing and emerging economies. 9(3): 276-293. https://doi.org/10.1108/JADEE-07-2018-0088
852
+ Awokuse, T., T. Reardon, A.O. Salami, N.A. Mukasa, T. Tecle, F. Lange. 2019.“Agricultural trade in Africa in an era of food system transfor-
853
+ mation: Policy implications,” In The Hidden Middle: A Quiet Revolution in the Private Sector Driving Agricultural Transformation. Africa
854
+ Agricultural Status Report 2019. Nairobi: AGRA. https://agra.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/09/AASR2019-The-Hidden-Middleweb.pdf
855
+ Ayieko, M.W., Tschirley, D. and Mathenge, M.W. (2005), “Fresh fruit and vegetable consumption patterns and supply chain systems in urban
856
+ Kenya: implications for policy and investment priorities”, Working Paper 16, Tegemeo Institute of Agricultural Policy and Development,
857
+ Egerton University, Nairobi.
858
+ Bachewe, F.N., B. Minten B. 2023. Towards understanding vegetable and fruit markets for improved consumption and nutrition: The case of
859
+ Ethiopia. Food Security. 1-17. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12571-023-01367-3
860
+ Belton, B., A. Hein, K. Htoo, L. Seng Kham, A. Sandar Phyoe, T. Reardon. 2018. The emerging quiet revolution in Myanmar’s aquaculture
861
+ value chain. Aquaculture. 493: 384-394. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.aquaculture.2017.06.028
862
+ Burkitbayeva, S., E. Janssen, J. Swinnen. 2023. Hiding in plain sight: the emergence of modern dairy farms in India. Journal of Agribusiness in
863
+ Developing and Emerging Economies, 13(2): 194-210. https://doi.org/10.1108/JADEE-05-2021-0113
864
+ Delgado, C.L. 2003. Rising consumption of meat and milk in developing countries has created a new food revolution. The Journal of Nutrition.
865
+ 133(11), November: 3907S-3910S. https://doi.org/10.1093/jn/133.11.3907S
866
+ Dolislager, M.J., Holleman, C., Liverpool-Tasie, L.S.O. & Reardon, T. (forthcoming). Evidence and analysis of food demand and supply across
867
+ the rural–urban continuum for selected countries in Africa. Background paper for The State of Food Security and Nutrition in the World
868
+ 2023. FAO Agricultural Development Economics Technical Study. Rome, FAO.
869
+ Dolislager, M. LSO Liverpool-Tasie, N.M. Mason, T. Reardon, D. Tschirley. 2022. Consumption of healthy and unhealthy foods by the African
870
+ poor: evidence from Nigeria, Tanzania, and Uganda. Agricultural Economics. August. https://doi.org/10.1111/agec.12738
871
+ Dorosh, P., B. Minten (eds.). 2020. Ethiopia’s Agrifood System: Past trends, present challenges, and future scenarios. Washington, D.C.:
872
+ IFPRI. https://doi.org/10.2499/9780896296916
873
+ FAO, IFAD, UNICEF, WFP and WHO. 2023. The State of Food Security and Nutrition in the World 2023. Urbanization, agrifood systems
874
+ transformation and healthy diets across the rural–urban continuum. Rome, FAO. https://doi.org/10.4060/cc3017en
875
+ Faye, N.F., T. Fall, T. Reardon, V. Theriault, Y. Ngom, M.B. Barry, M.R. Sy. 2023. Consumption of fruits and vegetables by types and sources
876
+ across urban and rural Senegal. Journal of Agribusiness in Developing and Emerging Economies. Published online March11.
877
+ https://doi.org/10.1108/JADEE-05-2022-0090
878
+ Gona, A., G. Woji, S. Norbert, H. Muhammad, LSO Liverpool-Tasie, T. Reardon, B. Belton. 2018. The Rapid Transformation of the Fish Value
879
+ Chain in Nigeria: Evidence from Kebbi State. September 16. Feed the Future Innovation Lab for Food Security Policy Research Paper
880
+ 115. East Lansing: Michigan State University
881
+ Harris, J., W. Tan, J.E. Raneri, P. Schreinemachers, A. Herforth. 2022. Food and Nutrition Bulletin. 43(2): 232-248.
882
+ https://doi.org/10.1177/03795721211068652
883
+ Hassen, I.W., M. Dereje, B. Minten, K. Hirvonen. 2017. Diet transformation in Africa: the case of Ethiopia. Agricultural Economics. 48 supple-
884
+ ment: 73-86.
885
+ Hernandez, R.A., B. Belton, T. Reardon, C. Hu, X. Zhang, A. Ahmed. 2018. The ‘quiet revolution’ in the aquaculture value chain in Bangla-
886
+ desh. Aquaculture. 493: 456-468. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.aquaculture.2017.06.006
887
+ Hossain, M. 2009. “Pumping up production: Shallow tubewells and rice in Bangladesh.” In Millions Fed: Proven Successes in Agricultural De-
888
+ velopment, edited by D.J. Spielman, and R. Pandya-Lorch, 71-76. Washington, DC: International Food Policy Research Institute.
889
+ Ijumba, C. 2021. Importance of consumption and supply chains of domestic fruits and vegetables: Evidence from HBS. Powerpoint presenta-
890
+ tion at the 7th Annual Agricultural Policy Conference, Dodoma, Tanzania, August 4.
891
+ Ijumba, C., E. Domonko, E. Lazaro, S. Ahmad, T. Reardon, A. Wineman, M. Maredia, D. Nyange, LSO Liverpool-Tasie, D. Tschirley. 2023.
892
+ Tomato wholesale markets across Tanzania: survey findings & policy implications. Staff Paper, Department of Agricultural, Food, and
893
+ Resource Economics, Michigan State University.
894
+ Kabwe, S., A. Chapoto, M. Hichaambwa, S. Haggblade, T. Reardon, D. Tschirley. 2023. Rapid diffusion of small-scale horticultural farming in
895
+ Zambia. Staff Paper, Department of Agricultural, Food, and Resource Economics, Michigan State University.
896
+ Knößlsdorfer, I., M. Qaim. 2023. Cheap chicken in Africa: Would import restrictions be pro-poor? Food Security. 15(3): 791-804.
897
+ https://doi.org/10.1007/s12571-022-01341-5
898
+ Liverpool-Tasie, LSO, T. Reardon, A. Sanou, W. Ogunleye, I. Ogunbayo, B.T. Omonona. 2017. The transformation of value chains in Africa:
899
+ Evidence from the first large survey of maize traders in Nigeria. Research Paper 91. Nigeria Agricultural Policy Project. Feed the Future
900
+ Innovation Lab for Food Security Policy. East Lansing: Michigan State University. December.
901
+ 21
902
+ Liverpool-Tasie, L.S.O., A. Wineman, S. Young, J. Tambo, C. Vargas, T. Reardon, G.S. Adjognon, J. Porciello, N. Gathoni, L. Bizikova, A.
903
+ Galiè, A. Celestin. 2020. A scoping review of market links between value chain actors and small-scale producers in developing regions.
904
+ Nature Sustainability. October. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41893-020-00621-2
905
+ Liverpool-Tasie, LSO., R.I. Yau, A. Ibrahim, A.Y. Bashir, V. Olunmogun, O. Oyediji, I.E. Martins; R. Onyeneke, M. Amadi, C. Emenekwe, A.
906
+ Wineman, O. Tasie, T. Reardon. 2023. Transformation in vegetable value chains in Nigeria: rapid reconnaissance. RSM2SNF Project.
907
+ Powerpoint. May 23.
908
+ Liverpool-Tasie, L.S.O, T. Reardon, B. Belton. 2021. “Essential non-essentials”: COVID-19 policy missteps in Nigeria rooted in persistent
909
+ myths about African food value chains. Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy. 43(1), March: 205-224.
910
+ https://doi.org/10.1002/aepp.13139
911
+ Liverpool-Tasie, LSO, A. Sanou, T. Reardon, B. Belton. 2021b. Demand for Imported versus Domestic Fish in Nigeria: Panel Data Evidence.
912
+ Journal of Agricultural Economics. 1-23. https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1111/1477-9552.12423
913
+ Liverpool-Tasie, LSO, A. Wineman; M. Amadi, A. Gona, C. Emenekwe, S. Norbert, O. Olunuga, R. Onyeneke, M. Taiwo, T. Reardon, B. Bel-
914
+ ton. 2023. Transformation in the fish value chain in Nigeria. Powerpoint Presentation. RSM2SNF Project, Ibadan, Nigeria. May 23.
915
+ Macchiavello, R., T. Reardon, T. Richards. 2022. Empirical Industrial Organization Economics to Analyze Developing Country Food Value
916
+ Chains. Annual Review of Resource Economics. 14, October: 193-220. https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-resource-101721-023554
917
+ Maertens, M., JFM Swinnen. 2009. Trade, standards, and poverty: Evidence from Senegal. World Development. 37(1): January: 161-178.
918
+ https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2008.04.006
919
+ Minten, B., Y. Habte, S. Tamru, A. Tesfaye. 2020. The transforming dairy sector in Ethiopia. PLoS ONE 15(8): e0237456.
920
+ https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0237456
921
+ Minten, B., B. Mohammed, S. Tamru. 2020. Emerging Medium-Scale Tenant Farming, Gig Economies, and the COVID-19 Disruption: The
922
+ Case of Commercial Vegetable Clusters in Ethiopia. The European Journal of Development Research. 32: 1402-1429.
923
+ Minten, B., Tamru, E., Engida, E., Tadesse, K. 2016. Feeding Africa's cities: The case of the supply chain of teff to Addis Ababa, Economic
924
+ Development and Cultural Change, 64(2): 265-297
925
+ Naziri, D., B. Belton, S.A. Loison, T. Reardon, K.M. Shikuku, W. Kaguongo, K. Maina, E. Ogello, K. Obiero. 2023. COVID-19 disruptions and
926
+ pivoting in SMEs in the hidden middle of Kenya’s potato and fish value chains. International Food and Agribusiness Management Re-
927
+ view. published in press. http://doi.org/10.22434/IFAMR2022.0120
928
+ National Bureau of Statistics. 2021. National Sample Census of Agriculture 2019/2020. Tanzanian National Bureau of Statistics.
929
+ https://www.nbs.go.tz/index.php/en/census-surveys/agriculture-statistics/661-2019-20-national-sample-census-of-agriculture-main-report
930
+ Ogunleye, W.O., A. Sanou, LSO Liverpool-Tasie, T. Reardon. 2016. Contrary to Conventional Wisdom, Smuggled Chicken Imports are not
931
+ Holding Back Rapid Development of the Chicken Value Chain in Nigeria. Feed the Future Innovation Lab for Food Security Policy Re-
932
+ search Brief 19. East Lansing: Michigan State University. November.
933
+ Parkhi, C.M., LSO Liverpool-Tasie, T. Reardon, M. Dolislager. Heterogeneous consumption patterns of fruits and vegetables in Nigeria: A
934
+ panel data analysis. Policy Research Brief 2. Feed the Future Nigeria Agricultural Policy Activity. East Lansing: Michigan State University.
935
+ July. https://www.canr.msu.edu/fsg/publications/Nigeria_Policy%20Brief_Fruits_Vegetable%20Consumption%201.pdf
936
+ Popkin, B.M., Bisgrove, E.Z., 1988. Urbanization and nutrition in low-income countries. Food Nutr. Bull. 10(1), 3–23.
937
+ Qanti, S.R., T. Reardon, A. Iswariyadi. 2017. Triangle of linkages among modernizing markets, sprayer traders, and mango-farming intensifi-
938
+ cation in Indonesia. Bulletin of Indonesian Economic Studies. 53(2): 187-208. http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/00074918.2017.1299923
939
+ Reardon, T. 2015. The Hidden Middle: The Quiet Revolution in the Midstream of Agrifood Value Chains in Developing Countries. Oxford Re-
940
+ view of Economic Policy.31(1), Spring: 45-63. https://doi.org/10.1093/oxrep/grv011
941
+ Reardon, T., R. Echeverría, J. Berdegué, B. Minten, S. Liverpool-Tasie, D. Tschirley, D. Zilberman. 2019. Rapid transformation of Food Sys-
942
+ tems in Developing Regions: Highlighting the role of agricultural research & innovations. Agricultural Systems. 172 (June): 47-59.
943
+ https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agsy.2018.01.022
944
+ Reardon, T., L.S.O. Liverpool-Tasie, B. Minten. 2021. Quiet Revolution by SMEs in the midstream of value chains in developing regions:
945
+ wholesale markets, wholesalers, logistics, and processing. Food Security. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12571-021-01224-1
946
+ Reardon, T., D. Tschirley, M. Dolislager, J. Snyder, C. Hu, and S. White. 2014. Urbanization, Diet Change, and Transformation of Food Supply
947
+ Chains in Asia, White Paper, Michigan State University Project of the Global Center for Food Systems Innovation and the USAID Food
948
+ Security Policy Innovation Lab.
949
+ Reardon, T., D. Zilberman. 2018. Climate smart food supply chains in developing countries in an era of rapid dual change in agrifood systems
950
+ and the climate. In Lipper, L., McCarthy, N., Zilberman, D., Asfaw, S., Branca, G. (Eds.), Climate Smart Agriculture: Building resilience to
951
+ climate change. FAO and Springer: Series on Natural Resource Management and Policy, volume 52: pages 335-351.
952
+ https://link.springer.com/chapter/10.1007/978-3-319-61194-5_15
953
+ Ruel, M.T., Minot, N. and Smith, L. (2005), Patterns and Determinants of Fruit and Vegetable Consumption in Sub-Saharan Africa: A Multi-
954
+ country Comparison, WHO, Geneva.
955
+ Sibhatu K.T., Qaim, M. (2018) Meta-analysis of the association between production diversity, diets, and nutrition in smallholder farm house-
956
+ holds. Food Policy. 77, May: 1-18. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.foodpol.2018.04.013
957
+ Smale, M., Theriault, V. and Vroegindewey, R. 2020. Nutritional implications of dietary patterns in Mali. African Journal of Agricultural and
958
+ Resource Economics, 15(3): 177-193. doi: 10.22004/ag.econ.307628.
959
+ Tschirley, D., M. Hichaambwa. 2010. The structure and behavior of vegetable markets serving Lusaka: Main report. Working Paper 46. Food
960
+ Security Research Project. http://dx.doi.org/10.22004/ag.econ.93006
961
+ Vargas, C.M., LSO Liverpool-Tasie, T. Reardon. 2023. Violence incidence in Food Supply Chains: the case of Nigerian Maize Traders. Policy
962
+ Research Brief 1. Feed the Future Nigeria Agricultural Policy Activity. East Lansing: Michigan State University. June.
963
+ 22
964
+ https://www.canr.msu.edu/fsg/projects/Nigeria%20-%20Policy%20Brief%20Violence%20in%20the%20mid-
965
+ stream%20of%20value%20chains%20June%202023.pdf
966
+
967
+
968
+ © Copyright of this publication remains with the authors and IFPRI.
969
+ This publication has been prepared as an output of the CGIAR Research Initiative on Rethinking Food Markets and has not been inde-
970
+ pendently peer reviewed. Any opinions expressed here belong to the author(s) and are not necessarily representative of or endorsed by IFPRI
971
+ or CGIAR.
972
+ INTERNATIONAL FOOD POLICY RESEARCH INSTITUTE
973
+ A world free of hunger and malnutrition
974
+ IFPRI is a CGIAR Research Center
975
+ 1201 Eye Street, NW, Washington, DC 20005 USA | T. +1-202-862-5600 | F. +1-202-862-5606 | Email: ifpri@cgiar.org | www.ifpri.org | www.ifpri.info
976
+ © 2023, copyright remains with the author(s). All rights reserved.
977
+
data/part_2/0365367704.md ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,25 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ # The Water-Energy-Food Nexus: Opportunities for the Eastern Nile
2
+
3
+ **Source:** gardian_index
4
+ **URL:** https://cgspace.cgiar.org/rest/bitstreams/1086e9bc-51f9-41b4-a3f6-dc1c732d428d/retrieve
5
+ **Language:** English
6
+ **Resource Type:** Poster / Presentation
7
+ **Release Year:** 2017
8
+ **Rights:** N/A
9
+ **GARDIAN ID:** 4c34b34a77c3355a5851850364d096dd
10
+ **DataNODE ID:** 1a3dbd69ef707b4cafbc570a2f13b2b0
11
+ **Siever ID:** b95d901e-7531-4ff3-a032-e19496c521d4
12
+ **Token Count:** 19
13
+ **Page Count:** 0
14
+
15
+ ## Keywords
16
+
17
+ agriculture, water, irrigation, food, africa, energy, nexus, development
18
+
19
+ ## Description
20
+
21
+ Presented by Claudia Ringler, IFPRI, and Helen Berga, ZEF, at the Nile Basin Development Forum on October 24, 2017.
22
+
23
+ ## Content
24
+
25
+ Presented by Claudia Ringler, IFPRI, and Helen Berga, ZEF, at the Nile Basin Development Forum on October 24, 2017.
data/part_2/0369169362.md ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,30 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ # Does rural non-farm employment relieve or exacerbate the agricultural diversification-farm efficiency tradeoff: The case of aquaculture in Bangladesh
2
+
3
+ **Source:** gardian_index
4
+ **URL:** https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/pdf/10.1080/13657305.2024.2446142
5
+ **Language:** English
6
+ **Resource Type:** Scientific Publication
7
+ **Release Year:** 2025
8
+ **Rights:** CC-BY-NC-ND
9
+ **GARDIAN ID:** f41d593b901ac9e54fcd38c15ae91664
10
+ **DataNODE ID:** b94e95bf7047c390afecfa7f0b3b8d57
11
+ **Siever ID:** 7caa0de8-824d-44ee-a5e1-4c9b4acfc509
12
+ **Token Count:** 116
13
+ **Page Count:** 0
14
+
15
+ ## Keywords
16
+
17
+ rural employment, agriculture, diversification, aquaculture, efficiency, labour allocation, poverty reduction, livelihoods and jobs, administrative management, fish, fish production, income, labor, off-farm employment, bangladesh, allocative efficiency, productivity, rnfe, technical efficiency, tradeoff
18
+
19
+ ## Geography
20
+
21
+ - **Regions:** Southern Asia, Asia, World
22
+ - **Countries:** Bangladesh
23
+
24
+ ## Description
25
+
26
+ This paper studies how rural non-farm employment conditions the relationship between agricultural diversification and fish production efficiency. Competition for scarce productive resources typically implies a compromise between agricultural diversification and efficiency. Yet, the potential for non-farm income to resolve this tradeoff remains understudied. Cash from non-farm sources may support productivity-enhancing input purchase, thereby improving efficiency. On the other hand, by diversifying both on- and off-farm, household resources such as labor may be stretched too thin, lowering fish production efficiency. Using micro-level data on fish farming households in Southern Bangladesh, we show that at higher levels of the non-farm income share, diversification into crops results in significant allocative inefficiencies. Results are inconclusive for the technical efficiency measure.
27
+
28
+ ## Content
29
+
30
+ This paper studies how rural non-farm employment conditions the relationship between agricultural diversification and fish production efficiency. Competition for scarce productive resources typically implies a compromise between agricultural diversification and efficiency. Yet, the potential for non-farm income to resolve this tradeoff remains understudied. Cash from non-farm sources may support productivity-enhancing input purchase, thereby improving efficiency. On the other hand, by diversifying both on- and off-farm, household resources such as labor may be stretched too thin, lowering fish production efficiency. Using micro-level data on fish farming households in Southern Bangladesh, we show that at higher levels of the non-farm income share, diversification into crops results in significant allocative inefficiencies. Results are inconclusive for the technical efficiency measure.
data/part_2/0374050780.md ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,25 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ # The changing challenges of hidden hunger: Micronutrients within the nutrition and development landscapes
2
+
3
+ **Source:** gardian_index
4
+ **URL:** https://cgspace.cgiar.org/rest/bitstreams/869c3932-2dfa-42ec-ac1f-5f61c23ea999/retrieve
5
+ **Language:** English
6
+ **Resource Type:** Poster / Presentation
7
+ **Release Year:** 2020
8
+ **Rights:** N/A
9
+ **GARDIAN ID:** a348c911cdfceed02d49e1d841b32028
10
+ **DataNODE ID:** 862c337f4a311a791235ddd2e9b40a67
11
+ **Siever ID:** 2b693e7e-9f3a-4a8f-8f33-c9861016251f
12
+ **Token Count:** 24
13
+ **Page Count:** 0
14
+
15
+ ## Keywords
16
+
17
+ agriculture, climate change, development, systems, climate, sustainability, nutrition, food systems, food, policy, biofortification, aquaculture, impact, change, hunger, micronutrients, nutrition security, diets, globalization, micronutrient
18
+
19
+ ## Description
20
+
21
+ Saskia Osendarp POLICY SEMINAR The changing challenges of hidden hunger: Micronutrients within the nutrition and development landscapes Co-Organized by the Micronutrient Forum and IFPRI
22
+
23
+ ## Content
24
+
25
+ Saskia Osendarp POLICY SEMINAR The changing challenges of hidden hunger: Micronutrients within the nutrition and development landscapes Co-Organized by the Micronutrient Forum and IFPRI
data/part_2/0380361659.md ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,237 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
0
  $ )
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ # Las Calamidades Ambientales de la Tierra: Es la Agricultura Parte del Problema o Parte de la Solución?
2
+
3
+ **Source:** gardian_index
4
+ **URL:** https://cgspace.cgiar.org/rest/bitstreams/40d37bcc-6ab5-44d4-ad2e-0a40502ede2a/retrieve
5
+ **Language:** Spanish
6
+ **Resource Type:** Scientific Publication
7
+ **Release Year:** 2002
8
+ **Rights:** N/A
9
+ **GARDIAN ID:** f65a0e31965551f9cce57a277b6c99d0
10
+ **DataNODE ID:** 8f506173c74e6b8a085a4b68bdf5b8b0
11
+ **Siever ID:** a8142a7c-f34a-4f49-9eed-3a519338ae22
12
+ **Token Count:** 1985
13
+ **Page Count:** 0
14
+
15
+ ## Keywords
16
+
17
+ agriculture, para
18
+
19
+ ## Geography
20
+
21
+ - **Regions:** South-eastern Asia, Asia, World, Northern America, Americas
22
+ - **Countries:** United States of America, Indonesia
23
+
24
+ ## Description
25
+
26
+ En las últimas décadas, el mundo ha hecho un progreso impresionante para mejorar la calidad de vida de millones de personas; sin embargo, todavía sigue inconclusa la tarea de garantizar la seguridad alimentaria a los más pobres de una manera sostenible. La explosión demográfica, la expansión urbana, la desnutrición y la mala salud persistentes, las tierras agrícolas degradadas y el agua escasa, la carencia de poder de las mujeres, la globalización acelerada y la rápida aparición de nuevas tecnologías - todos estos y muchos otros factores están influenciando este esfuerzo continuo. Este libro compila docenas de resúmenes y artículos para presentar las perspectivas de los expertos sobre estos tópicos vitales. Producidas como parte de la iniciativa "Visión de la alimentación, la agricultura y el medio ambiente en el año 2020," del Instituto Internacional de Investigaciones sobre Políticas Alimentarias, las piezas coleccionadas aquí ofrecen una representación completa de los temas de política que el mundo debe abordar si ha de superar la pobreza, el hambre y la degradación ambiental; y le señalan además el camino a las acciones de política que deben ejecutarse para lograr estos objetivos.
27
+
28
+ ## Content
29
+
30
+
31
+
32
+
33
+ $
34
+ . (
35
+
36
+ "
37
+ #
38
  $ )
39
+ $
40
+
41
+ N
42
+
43
+
44
+
45
+
46
+
47
+
48
+
49
+
50
+
51
+ /
52
+ Una de las principales causas del estrés ambiental en los
53
+ países en desarrollo es la pobreza, y una de las principales
54
+ causas de la pobreza es el estrés ambiental
55
+
56
+ ada año se destruyen cerca de 17 millones de hectáreas de bosque tropical, se pier-
57
+ den miles de variedades de plantas que no pueden reemplazarse y millones de
58
+ hectáreas de tierra se transforman en desiertos.
59
+ Se intensificarán estos severos problemas ambientales como resultado de un aumen-
60
+ to en la producción agrícola y el mayor uso asociado de fertilizantes, pesticidas, irrigación,
61
+ y maquinaria? En pocas palabras, la meta de satisfacer las futuras necesidades de alimento
62
+ del mundo está en conflicto con la meta de proteger el ambiente?
63
+ De acuerdo con los investigadores, una de las principales causas del estrés ambi-
64
+ ental en los países en desarrollo es la pobreza, y una de las principales causas de la pobreza
65
+ es el estrés ambiental.
66
+ “La relación entre la pobreza y la degradación ambiental es estrecha y complica-
67
+ da,” dijo Per Pinstrup-Andersen, director general del IFPRI. “Entre un 40 y un 85 por
68
+ ciento del ingreso de los pobres de las áreas rurales depende de la agricultura, y por lo
69
+ tanto de los recursos naturales. La degradación ambiental se da cuando los pobres pier-
70
+ den la capacidad de sostenerse a sí mismos, de manera sostenible, con su base de recur-
71
+ sos naturales. La presiones de la población y la carencia de tecnologías agrícolas
72
+ $
73
+
74
+
75
+ adecuadas, entre otros factores, son fuerzas importantes que conducen a los pobres tomar
76
+ decisiones desesperadas.”
77
+ La relación negativa entre pobreza, población y degradación ambiental se puede
78
+ terminar solamente, de acuerdo con los investigadores, con la ayuda de una agricultura
79
+ más productiva en la áreas que ya han sido cultivadas por los pobres. Esto desacelerará
80
+ la invasión de los bosques tropicales, de las laderas y de los márgenes de los desiertos.
81
+ Pero al mismo tiempo, se necesita hacer cambios donde la agricultura es más avan-
82
+ zada, tal como en las antiguas tierras de la Revolución Verde. Para reducir el impacto
83
+ ambiental negativo de la intensificación de la agricultura, es preciso hacer un manejo
84
+ ambientalmente adecuado de los fertilizantes, de los pesticidas y de la irrigación.
85
+ Para satisfacer las necesidades futuras de alimento del mundo, es esencial aumen-
86
+ tar la productividad agrícola tanto en las áreas degradadas como en las áreas más pro-
87
+ ductivas del mundo en desarrollo. En opinión de los investigadores, esta es una de las
88
+ formas más importantes para hacer un mejor manejo de los recursos naturales del
89
+ mundo.
90
+ !
91
+ De acuerdo con el reporte de 1994 del UNICEF sobre el Estado de los Niños del
92
+ Mundo, “La tierra que se obtiene quemando los bosques, pierde fertilidad y estabilidad
93
+ en pocos años; las laderas empinadas se erosionan rápidamente si no se realizan inver-
94
+ siones en la conservación de los suelos; las tierras agrícolas marginales se hacen grad-
95
+ ualmente estériles cuando quienes las cultivan no disponen de los medios para fertilizarlas
96
+ o para permitirles períodos de descanso. . . .”
97
+ Antes la costumbre era que los agricultores permitieran que el suelo se recuperara
98
+ en áreas frágiles entre las rotaciones de los cultivos; sin embargo, está práctica se está con-
99
+ virtiendo rápidamente en un lujo, debido a las presiones de la población. Mucha de esa
100
+ presión de la población viene de la emigración de la gente debido a las guerras, a los con-
101
+ flictos sociales y a la degradación ambiental. Según un reporte del IFPRI, 500 millones
102
+ de personas viven en laderas severamente degradadas, 200 millones viven en bosques llu-
103
+ viosos tropicales y 850 millones viven en regiones secas amenazadas por la desertificación.
104
+ A medida que la densidad de la población aumenta, los agricultores deben producir
105
+ aun más alimentos que antes. Para poder hacerlo, no les queda más alternativa que
106
+ devolverle los nutrientes a los suelos. Los métodos para hacerlo, sin embargo, todavía
107
+ son motivo de debate entre los defensores de la agricultura y los ambientalistas. Hay
108
+ métodos inorgánicos y orgánicos—el uso de fertilizantes sintéticos y el uso de materi-
109
+ ales orgánicos tales como el compost y las leguminosas fijadoras de nitrógeno, los cuales
110
+ le agregan nutrientes a los suelos.
111
+ De acuerdo con Carlos Baanante, director de la División de Investigación y
112
+ Desarrollo del Centro Internacional para el Desarrollo de Fertilizantes, “Los fertilizantes
113
+ orgánicos, tales como estiércol animal y residuos vegetales convertidos en compost, ayu-
114
+
115
+
116
+
117
+
118
+
119
+
120
+
121
+
122
+
123
+
124
+
125
+ $
126
+ dan a mantener la materia orgánica del suelo y a suministrarle nutrientes. Sin embargo
127
+ estos nutrientes pueden no ser suficientes. Por lo tanto, la mejor práctica de manejo es
128
+ el uso tanto de fuentes orgánicas como inorgánicas de nutrientes.”
129
+ Sin embargo, algunos miembros de la comunidad ambientalista no están de acuer-
130
+ do. “El argumento de que debemos agregar fertilizante nitrogenado a los suelos
131
+ indefinidamente es débil,” dijo Jonathon Landeck, director de programas interna-
132
+ cionales del Instituto Rodale. “La agricultura ideal es aquella que no incorpora del todo
133
+ químicos sintéticos. A aquellos que dicen que los fertilizantes orgánicos no son viables
134
+ en el largo plazo, debo señalarles que el uso de fertilizantes sintéticos alcanzará igualmente
135
+ niveles donde los rendimientos no crecerán más. Adicionalmente, el uso de los orgáni-
136
+ cos podría significar menores requerimientos de energía, lo que los haría más baratos
137
+ que los químicos sintéticos. Sin embargo, esto no lo sabemos porque no hemos estado
138
+ invirtiendo igualmente en agricultura que esté libre de químicos sintéticos.”
139
+ Según los investigadores, otras cosas que se necesitan en zonas frágiles son: sistemas
140
+ de cultivo diversificados en vez de monocultivos anuales intensivos, mejor integración
141
+ del ganado y de los fertilizantes verdes en los sistemas agrícolas y la creación de fuentes
142
+ de ingreso fuera de la finca. Otras reformas necesarias incluyen cambios en los derechos
143
+ de tenencia de la tierra. “En muchos casos,” afirmó Pinstrup-Andersen, “los pobres no
144
+ son propietarios de la tierra que cultivan. Por lo tanto, tienen poco o ningún incentivo
145
+ para conservar los suelos, para proteger el agua del subsuelo o para conservar los árboles.”
146
+
147
+ "$
148
+ Las áreas frágiles no sólo le suministran a los pobres alimento, combustible, agua e ingre-
149
+ so, sino que también son el hogar de algunas de las colecciones de biodiversidad más
150
+ importantes del mundo. La organización The Nature Conservancy (TNC), a través de
151
+ su ayuda a organizaciones del mundo en desarrollo para comprar y conservar tierra
152
+ ecológicamente valiosa, continuamente debe debatirse con el dilema de “la gente con-
153
+ tra los árboles.”
154
+ Según Alan Randall, director de un importante programa de desarrollo de TNC,
155
+ “Nuestra filosofía es hacer de estas reservas un instrumento de desarrollo económico y
156
+ de empleo para la gente que vive alrededor de ellas, más que un instrumento para despo-
157
+ jarlos de la tierra. La realidad es que una reserva forestal o un parque no pueden existir
158
+ si están rodeados de pobreza.”
159
+ TNC está trabajando con la Fundación Bertoni, un grupo conservacionista, para
160
+ proteger la Reserva de Bosque Natural Mbaracayu—una reserva de 146,000 acres ubi-
161
+ cada en el Paraguay. La tierra se compró a tiempo a una compañía que planeaba arran-
162
+ car los árboles para convertir la tierra en plantaciones a escala industrial de soya y de
163
+ algodón. En vez de oponerse a los agricultores pobres que reclamaban la tierra de la reser-
164
+ va, la Fundación Bertoni está asistiendo a miembros de la comunidad para que llenen
165
+ $
166
+
167
+
168
+ reclamos de tierra en las áreas de amortiguamiento fuera de la reserva, y para que
169
+ adopten prácticas agrícolas sostenibles.
170
+ La fundación y TNC también le están ayudando a la comunidad a desarrollar
171
+ fuentes alternativas de ingreso que no degraden la tierra, tales como la producción aví-
172
+ cola y apícola. También están estimulando la extracción sostenible de productos no
173
+ maderables del bosque de la reserva, tales como la hoja de te. Como subproductos indi-
174
+ rectos de la reserva , el gobierno ha mejorado los caminos rurales y ha llevado la elec-
175
+ trificación a la aldea local.
176
+ ;
177
+
178
+ Hay quiénes perciben a la agricultura como un enemigo ambiental. En algunas de las
179
+ áreas altamente productivas de Revolución Verde, los dramáticos incrementos en la pro-
180
+ ducción de alimentos han sido asociados con la degradación ambiental: saturación de
181
+ agua y de sales en los suelos irrigados; contaminación de las aguas superficiales y de los
182
+ acuíferos; pérdida de insectos beneficiosos; aparición de resistencias químicas en malas
183
+ hierbas y en insectos; envenenamiento de los trabajadores agrícolas con pesticidas; y pér-
184
+ dida de variedades de plantas como resultado de la siembra de monocultivos. Según los
185
+ investigadores, estos males no tienen que venir necesariamente de la mano del desarrollo
186
+ agrícola.
187
+ “Los ‘insumos’ agrícolas—irrigación, fertilizantes y pesticidas—han sido fuerte-
188
+ mente subsidiados por los gobiernos, haciéndolos demasiado baratos, y conduciendo a
189
+ muchos a usarlos en exceso,” dijo Peter Hazell del IFPRI. “Por ejemplo, entre el 10 y el
190
+ 24 por ciento de la tierra irrigada sufre de saturación de sales ocasionada por el exceso
191
+ de riego. En la India, cerca de 7 millones de hectáreas han sido abandonadas debido a
192
+ estas sales.”
193
+ Lo que se necesita, según Hazell, son mejores diseño y manejo de los sistemas de
194
+ riego, menos subsidios a los fertilizantes y a los pesticidas, desarrollo de incentivos
195
+ económicos para reducir el uso excesivo de agua e insumos químicos, programas de
196
+ reproducción de cultivos regionalmente diversificados, y educación a los agricultores
197
+ sobre la manera segura de aplicar, almacenar y eliminar los pesticidas.
198
+ “El riego y los insumos químicos, aplicados adecuadamente, en el momento cor-
199
+ recto y con moderación, no tienen por qué degradar el ambiente,” agregó Hazell. “Así
200
+ mismo, el uso de los químicos que están diseñados específicamente para el problema que
201
+ se quiere resolver, reducirá el impacto ambiental negativo.”
202
+ Algunos estudios han encontrado que los pesticidas se necesitan sólo en pequeñas
203
+ cantidades, y se está avanzando en encontrar formas de sustituirlos por completo. Dice
204
+ Hazell: “Hay un cambio hacia el control biológico—usando predadores naturales en vez
205
+ de pesticidas para controlar las plagas. Se están introduciendo en las plantas resistencias
206
+ naturales a pestes y enfermedades.
207
+
208
+
209
+
210
+
211
+
212
+
213
+
214
+
215
+
216
+
217
+
218
+ $'
219
+ “Los defensores de la agricultura y los ambientalistas se están informando mejor,”
220
+ continuó Hazell. “Pocos defensores de la agricultura piensan que tecnología de la
221
+ Revolución Verde debe aplicarse en áreas frágiles. Por otra parte, más ambientalistas están
222
+ de acuerdo en que en áreas altamente productivas, se debe continuar con el uso de
223
+ insumos modernos; pero de forma ambientalmente responsable. Mirando hacia el
224
+ futuro, la biotecnología suministrará más y más sustitutos de los químicos. Quién sabe,
225
+ quizás algún día se pueda introducir un gene para la fijación de nitrógeno en el trigo y
226
+ el arroz.”
227
+ Sin embargo, de acuerdo con el abogado del Consejo para la Defensa de los
228
+ Recursos Naturales, Jacob Scherr, los diseñadores de política también deben mirar más
229
+ allá de la tecnología, a los aspectos políticos y sociales que afectan la protección del ambi-
230
+ ente, la pobreza y la oferta de alimentos. “Por ejemplo, tomemos África,” dijo Scherr.
231
+ “Si se considera su base de recursos, este continente debería estar en capacidad de satis-
232
+ facer todas sus necesidades de alimentos. Sin embargo, África experimenta escasez de
233
+ alimentos, la cual se espera que llegue a ser peor. La solución no vendrá de una ‘bala mág-
234
+ ica’ de la Revolución Verde. El tema de la oferta adecuada de alimentos en África es extra-
235
+ ordinariamente complejo. Involucra a los mercados, la distribución, las políticas de los
236
+ gobiernos—todos los cuales son susceptibles a la inestabilidad política. Se van a necesi-
237
+ tar más que semillas mejoradas para evitar el hambre crónica y la escasez de alimentos.”
238
+
data/part_2/0395827562.md ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,882 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ # Insurance opportunities against weather risks for smallholder farmers in Africa
2
+
3
+ **Source:** gardian_index
4
+ **URL:** https://cgspace.cgiar.org/rest/bitstreams/f2280bdc-82bc-4d10-9cd3-554b311729f1/retrieve
5
+ **Language:** English
6
+ **Resource Type:** Scientific Publication
7
+ **Release Year:** 2017
8
+ **Rights:** CC-BY-NC-ND
9
+ **GARDIAN ID:** 80f1a9a75f5c3e50f59e01e371ef7726
10
+ **DataNODE ID:** 56ae7f11ca5aabbc7ff114022f9848b4
11
+ **Siever ID:** 35409867-765f-4415-adda-1de381e3bae8
12
+ **Token Count:** 8437
13
+ **Page Count:** 0
14
+
15
+ ## Keywords
16
+
17
+ insurance, risk management, weather hazards, low income groups, agricultural sector, agricultural policies, sustainable livelihoods, agricultural insurance, smallholders, nutrition, agricultural development, food security, resilience, climate-smart agriculture, climate change
18
+
19
+ ## Description
20
+
21
+ Chapter 6 provides important insights into the promises and limits of production risk management through financial mechanisms. In particular the authors investigate the role that weather index insurance can play in generating better adaptation pathways to weather shocks for smallholder farmers than existing ones. Evidence from several pilot insurance programs shows that although the potential for innovative insurance mechanisms is real, additional work to understand their effectiveness and substantial scale-up efforts will be needed to achieve a sustainable expansion of efficient agricultural insurance markets in Africa.
22
+
23
+ ## Content
24
+
25
+ 2016 ReSAKSS Annual Trends and Outlook Report 69
26
+
27
+
28
+
29
+ CHAPTER 6
30
+ Insurance Opportunities
31
+ against Weather Risks for
32
+ Smallholder Farmers in Africa
33
+ Francisco Ceballos, John M. Ulimwengu, Tsitsi Makombe,
34
+ and Miguel Robles
35
+ 70 resakss.org
36
+ I
37
+ n Africa, agriculture is the dominant source of livelihood for the poor,
38
+ particularly in rural areas, where the majority resides. This sector
39
+ employed about 60 percent of Africa’s labor force in 2010, and more
40
+ than 80 percent in some countries (FAO 2017). African agriculture is
41
+ typically rainfed and occurs predominantly on smallholder farms of less
42
+ than 2 hectares. In Africa south of the Sahara (SSA), rainfed agriculture
43
+ accounts for more than 95 percent of farmed land (Wani, Rockström,
44
+ and Oweis 2009), and smallholder farms represent 80 percent of all
45
+ farms and up to 90 percent of production in some countries (Wiggins
46
+ 2009). Smallholder farmers largely grow for subsistence purposes, usually
47
+ using few to no modern inputs (such as fertilizer, high-yielding seeds,
48
+ or irrigation), with some growing cash crops for income or engaging in
49
+ livestock rearing, a combination of crop and livestock farming, or off-farm
50
+ activities.
51
+ Extreme weather events can devastate crop yields and food production,
52
+ adversely impact food security and nutrition, and erode the livelihoods and
53
+ assets of the poor. The rainfed nature of African agriculture is often charac-
54
+ terized by low productivity and thus subject to a wide range of weather risks
55
+ such as extreme temperatures or rainfall, as well as weather-related hazards
56
+ such as pests, diseases, and reduced accessibility to cultivated fields and
57
+ roads. Weather-related hazards can also be transmitted to other segments
58
+ of the agricultural supply chain, such as processors, wholesalers, and trans-
59
+ porters, and also to other sectors that support agriculture, such as banking,
60
+ for instance through loan defaults (Ceballos and Robles 2014).
61
+ In this context, the poor are disproportionately affected by extreme
62
+ weather. Total crop and livestock loss can threaten the food security and
63
+ nutritional status of entire communities. Moreover, the poor are at higher
64
+ risk from vector- and waterborne diseases. Through their effects on health
65
+ condition and nutritional intake, temporary weather shocks can thus
66
+ induce permanent negative shocks to human capital.25 Finally, a decrease
67
+ in nonfarm employment availability may follow extreme weather events,
68
+ further damaging the poor’s livelihoods and their ability to recover.
69
+ For instance, the 2011 /2012 drought in the Horn of Africa severely
70
+ impacted food production as well as livestock and pastoral systems. The
71
+ drought induced alarming rates of malnutrition among young children and
72
+ an estimated 13 million people in need of humanitarian assistance (Slim
73
+ 2012). The 2015/2016 El Niño cycle was related to both droughts in southern
74
+ and eastern Africa and flooding in parts of eastern Africa, devastating
75
+ agricultural production and threatening the food security and well-being
76
+ of millions of people. Extreme weather events can also cause long-lasting
77
+ damage to poor communities through the destruction of infrastructure
78
+ (roads, schools, and hospitals), with staggering costs of recovery and
79
+ rebuilding. For example, the 2013 flooding in Mozambique damaged
80
+ health clinics and resulted in humanitarian and recovery costs estimated
81
+ at US$30.6 million (UNRCO Mozambique 2013). In Kenya, the 2008–2011
82
+ drought caused a total of US$10.7 billion in damages and losses, of which
83
+ nearly US$9.0 billion was in the livestock subsector alone, US$91.0 million
84
+ in the food processing industry, US$1.5 billion in crops, US$53.0 million in
85
+ fisheries, and US$85.0 million in nutrition (FAO 2015).
86
+ Climate change is projected to result in more frequent and intense
87
+ droughts and heat extremes in central and southern Africa as well as
88
+ 25 Mclntosh (2015) highlighted considerable drops in consumption and food security resulting from
89
+ the effects of severe weather shocks on the agricultural sector in Uganda.
90
+ 2016 ReSAKSS Annual Trends and Outlook Report 71
91
+ increased precipitation and flooding in the Horn of Africa and other parts
92
+ of eastern Africa (World Bank 2013). Moreover, climate change will likely
93
+ exacerbate cyclical weather events such as La Niña and El Niño, resulting
94
+ in even more frequent and severe droughts and floods. In addition, climate
95
+ change is projected to increase risks from vector- and waterborne diseases
96
+ in Africa (World Bank 2013).
97
+ In this context, it is crucial for smallholder farmers to rely on efficient
98
+ protection mechanisms against these impending risks. But traditional
99
+ indemnity agricultural insurance has not been able to reach rural com-
100
+ munities in Africa at a large scale, mainly due to high distribution and loss
101
+ verification costs and information asymmetry problems between farmers
102
+ and insurers.
103
+ In the absence of well-functioning weather insurance markets, African
104
+ smallholder farmers have typically resorted to informal and semi-formal
105
+ risk-coping strategies to deal with weather-related shocks. However, tradi-
106
+ tional informal strategies such as savings, credit, borrowing from friends
107
+ and relatives, and diversifying income sources have shortcomings. Savings
108
+ can easily be diverted to more pressing household demands before weather
109
+ shocks occur, credit can be expensive and out of reach for poor farming
110
+ households, and extreme weather events can affect entire geographic areas
111
+ and thus preclude the possibility of seeking help from social networks or
112
+ off-farm activities.
113
+ Therefore, innovative strategies and insurance mechanisms are needed
114
+ to help smallholder farmers adapt to the effects of extreme weather events.
115
+ Over the past few decades, weather index insurance has been increas-
116
+ ingly regarded as an important alternative for protecting farmers against
117
+ weather shocks and for enabling investment and growth in the agricultural
118
+ sector (Greatrex et al. 2015). Weather index insurance can thus become
119
+ an important part of the climate-smart tool kit for increasing agricultural
120
+ productivity and incomes by allowing smallholder farmers to adapt and
121
+ build resilience to weather shocks. In addition, the safeguards provided
122
+ by insurance may enable farmers to access credit and adopt riskier but
123
+ higher-yielding technologies, raising their productivity and improving
124
+ their incomes.
125
+ Against this backdrop, this chapter highlights insurance opportuni-
126
+ ties for protecting smallholder farmers against weather-related risks. It is
127
+ organized as follows: the next two sections outline the different types of,
128
+ respectively, traditional and formal coping strategies against weather risk.
129
+ Subsequent sections discuss Africa’s experience with formal risk-coping
130
+ strategies, including weather index insurance, and explore linkages and
131
+ complementarities between weather-related risk-coping strategies and
132
+ climate-smart agriculture, as well as new developments and opportunities
133
+ for scaling up weather index insurance. The final section highlights key
134
+ messages and policy implications for achieving the Malabo Declaration goal
135
+ of enhancing the resilience of livelihoods to weather shocks.
136
+ Traditional Risk-Coping Strategies
137
+ In the absence of efficient and widespread tools to cope with weather risks,
138
+ rural households in developing countries have traditionally resorted to a
139
+ number of different informal risk-coping mechanisms for protecting their
140
+ livelihoods from unexpected shocks.
141
+ The most universal of these is probably savings. Households around
142
+ the world understand the benefits and generally pursue the holding of
143
+ 72 resakss.org
144
+ savings. Savings, however, can take several forms: although many people
145
+ save in cash, others save by building up assets (even small-scale assets, such
146
+ as poultry or livestock); although many prefer saving in a bank, some still
147
+ choose saving under a mattress. A buffer of savings can certainly help when
148
+ a negative event affects the household. Yet there are drawbacks. Banks fail;
149
+ animals age and become sick; money stuck away can catch fire, get flooded,
150
+ or become food for insects and other creatures. In addition, households
151
+ exist socially, and readily available stocks of money are regularly under
152
+ pressure for alternative uses by the household or for the needs of others.
153
+ A second strategy, closely related to savings, is formal or informal
154
+ credit. Savings and credit are both mechanisms that turn a stream of small
155
+ amounts of money into one larger lump sum. The difference is that in credit,
156
+ the lump sum comes first, with the stream of small payments following it,
157
+ whereas for savings, the process is the reverse. In addition, credit bears a
158
+ cost in the form of interest, but so do savings, which are prone to the above-
159
+ mentioned risks and subject to loss of value through inflation (in the case of
160
+ cash) and price fluctuations (in the case of savings in kind).
161
+ However, neither credit nor savings is a good form of insurance,
162
+ principally for reasons of timing: when needs arise unexpectedly, credit
163
+ may be in high demand or simply not available, and savings stocks may
164
+ not yet be sufficient to be of help. Moreover, formal credit is not available to
165
+ all, particularly the poorest households, who often lack required collateral.
166
+ Informal credit (that is, from local moneylenders) generally comes with
167
+ high interest rates that can quickly turn a small, temporary shock into an
168
+ untenable burden if not handled appropriately—particularly a problem
169
+ in poor rural communities with low education levels and a lack of overall
170
+ financial literacy.
171
+ To overcome these limitations, households resort to other types of
172
+ informal mechanisms when disaster strikes, usually borrowing from other
173
+ households in their social network, including family and friends. This type
174
+ of informal insurance can be effective, timely, and overall, inexpensive
175
+ relative to other alternatives. Nevertheless, though loans and gifts from
176
+ other households have the potential to protect from idiosyncratic shocks
177
+ (that is, unexpected losses that affect a limited number of households within
178
+ a locality or social network), they are ill suited to protect against systemic
179
+ (or generalized) shocks, which affect most households in a given region and
180
+ thus undermine their capacity to support each other.
181
+ Certain types of semiformal insurance have sprouted over the last few
182
+ decades (though they have much older historical roots). One example is
183
+ burial societies, particularly common in Africa, whereby households come
184
+ together into informal groups and regularly contribute a small amount in
185
+ exchange for a—generally fixed—larger payment in the event of a death in
186
+ the family. Unfortunately, these kinds of institutions are rarely available to
187
+ handle agricultural risks. Other semiformal institutions prolific in Africa
188
+ are rotating savings and credit associations (ROSCAs), which consist of
189
+ a self-organized group of individuals who contribute a small amount of
190
+ money at fixed periods of time (such as every week), the total of which is
191
+ assigned each period to a different member of the ROSCA as a lump sum to
192
+ be used at the individual’s will. Even though several variations exist on the
193
+ ROSCA model, they all generally suffer from the same issues as the other
194
+ strategies mentioned above, such as imperfect timing and an inability to
195
+ help under systemic shocks that affect all households.
196
+ A final important way in which agricultural households regularly
197
+ protect themselves from weather and other risks is by diversifying their
198
+ 2016 ReSAKSS Annual Trends and Outlook Report 73
199
+ income sources. Diversification can take shape either through carrying out
200
+ different agricultural activities (such as staggering the planting of crops
201
+ or choosing a mix of crops with different sensitivities to weather events)
202
+ or through engaging in other agricultural and rural nonfarm activities.
203
+ A related strategy is that of reducing agricultural risk exposure by either
204
+ planting crops less vulnerable to weather risks or choosing more resilient
205
+ crop varieties. Unfortunately, these alternatives often generate lower profit
206
+ and have lower yield potential, thus precluding the household from increas-
207
+ ing its income and escaping poverty.
208
+ All in all, though they are important and essential for dealing with a
209
+ large array of shocks, most traditional risk-coping strategies are costly and
210
+ have limited risk-mitigation potential for systemic weather risks (Townsend
211
+ 1994). Informal savings are perhaps too costly for a population that probably
212
+ should better invest its resources in assuring adequate food intake for
213
+ household members, in improving human capital, and in seizing productive
214
+ opportunities. In addition, diversification strategies may come at an effi-
215
+ ciency cost—that is, they may impede rural farmers from capturing the full
216
+ range of benefits from specialization or keep them from investing in risky
217
+ capital and technology with higher expected incomes.
218
+ Formal Risk-Coping Strategies
219
+ Formal risk-sharing mechanisms take advantage of the fact that, across a
220
+ large enough population, only a fraction of individuals may suffer a negative
221
+ shock. For example, in a given year, only a small fraction of drivers will
222
+ be involved in a car accident. By pooling risks within a large population,
223
+ formal insurance programs can provide an efficient risk-sharing mechanism
224
+ in which all contribute with premiums but only those who experience a
225
+ loss get compensated. Furthermore, because insurance markets can pool
226
+ risks across a broad scope of activities and large geographic areas, they can
227
+ lower the costs of dealing with systemic risks through diversification. The
228
+ most common type of insurance is known as indemnity insurance, whereby
229
+ compensation relies on identifying specific losses and indemnifying the
230
+ individual against them.
231
+ Although in theory, the same principles should be applied to weather
232
+ risks and rural populations, the reality is that most countries lack standard
233
+ indemnity agricultural insurance markets (with the exception of certain
234
+ developed countries or large subsidized systems in a few developing ones,
235
+ usually involving considerable public intervention). Multiple-peril crop
236
+ insurance, for example, which can protect against any source of risk affect-
237
+ ing yields, has been unsuccessful commercially without large subsidies.
238
+ Single-peril crop insurance, which covers against a specific factor affecting
239
+ the crop (such as hail or wind), has had more success, though it has been
240
+ developed only at modest scales (Smith and Goodwin 2010).
241
+ There are a number of reasons why agricultural indemnity insurance
242
+ has failed to expand successfully in developing countries, including those in
243
+ Africa. Possibly the most important is that among small farmers the costs
244
+ of loss verification, which typically requires a site visit, can be substantial
245
+ relative to the sum being insured, especially when rural infrastructure is
246
+ inadequate. Moreover, the lack of formal financial service networks and
247
+ legal records may add to the cost of premium collection and compensation
248
+ disbursement. Second, indemnity insurance is prone to significant informa-
249
+ tion asymmetry problems, such as adverse selection (whereby only the most
250
+ at-risk farmers purchase insurance) and moral hazard (whereby an insured
251
+ 74 resakss.org
252
+ farmer may not exert optimal effort to reduce risk or mitigate its impact),
253
+ both of which generally result in an increased cost (Hazell, Pomareda, and
254
+ Valdes 1986).
255
+ In view of these market failures, an increasing trend has been to explore
256
+ an alternative type of weather insurance product for smallholder farmers
257
+ (Hazell et al. 2010). Under weather index insurance, a somewhat recent
258
+ innovation that is possibly more suitable for rural areas in developing coun-
259
+ tries, farmers get a pre-specified compensation according to the value of a
260
+ particular weather variable (the index).26 For instance, an index insurance
261
+ product against drought would pay farmers when rainfall (as measured
262
+ at a specific weather station or by satellite images) is less than a certain
263
+ predefined “trigger,” generally with higher payments the lower the recorded
264
+ rainfall is. The key assumption is that by carefully selecting a weather index,
265
+ one should be able to estimate agricultural losses with a sufficient level of
266
+ confidence.
267
+ Some regard index-based insurance as having great potential to reach
268
+ smallholder farmers in developing countries because (1) payouts are
269
+ based only on publicly observed data (the index), drastically reducing loss
270
+ verification costs; (2) adverse selection and moral hazard problems are
271
+ 26 A slightly different type of index insurance, area-yield insurance, does not rely on a weather
272
+ variable as its index but instead focuses on whether the average yield over a specified area is
273
+ greater or less than a threshold.
274
+ minimized;27 and (3) compensations can be automatically determined
275
+ and thus disbursed quickly to farmers, making insurance easier and
276
+ cheaper to administer, and thus potentially more affordable for the rural
277
+ poor. These characteristics of index insurance have attracted donors and
278
+ governments alike. Over the past two decades, many international organi-
279
+ zations, researchers, and microfinance institutions have conducted pilots
280
+ in developing countries, including several African ones, to demonstrate the
281
+ advantages of index insurance and learn the best implementation practices,
282
+ with the general aim of scaling up these pilots (Hazell et al. 2010).
283
+ In general, index insurance pilots in developing countries have repeat-
284
+ edly experienced low uptake, which has been linked to certain constraints
285
+ such as lack of trust in the insurance company, lack of understanding of
286
+ the product, and liquidity constraints (Cole et al. 2013, Matul et al. 2013).
287
+ Though all of these constraints are also applicable to traditional indemnity
288
+ insurance, there is one disadvantage that is unique to index insurance: basis
289
+ risk. Basis risk arises due to an index’s inadequacy to perfectly capture the
290
+ individual losses of an insured farmer, which can be related to a number
291
+ of factors. First, the index is generally measured at a local weather station
292
+ (or through not-fully-accurate satellite imagery), not at the farmer’s plot.
293
+ 27 Because losses are assessed not directly but only through the value of an objective index, the
294
+ farmer’s effort does not affect the probability of a payout—thus moral hazard considerations
295
+ are dealt with. Additionally, because the probability of a payout is assessed objectively from the
296
+ historical values of the index, the insurance company should not be concerned about which
297
+ type of farmer buys this insurance—thus adverse selection is dealt with. However, under
298
+ some circumstances, temporal adverse selection may still be present, whereby farmers buy
299
+ the insurance product only in seasons in which payouts are expected to be higher (relying, for
300
+ instance, on weather forecasts or levels of soil moisture at the beginning of the season). Although
301
+ such behavior would tend to undermine an insurance product’s sustainability, it can be generally
302
+ dealt with by, for instance, controlling the time frame during which farmers can purchase
303
+ insurance.
304
+ 2016 ReSAKSS Annual Trends and Outlook Report 75
305
+ Second, a simple weather index cannot capture the interplay of weather
306
+ variables (temperature, rainfall, humidity, evapotranspiration, winds,
307
+ and the like), nor can it account for variability in crop variety, soil quality,
308
+ and farming practices. Third, other, nonweather events, such as pests and
309
+ diseases, may impact crop growth. Hence there is a chance that a farmer,
310
+ after having paid the premium, will not get a compensation even after
311
+ experiencing a loss. On the other hand, it is also possible that a farmer will
312
+ get compensation without experiencing a loss.
313
+ Despite these obstacles, there have indeed been a number of seemingly
314
+ successful implementations of index insurance. In India alone, more than 9
315
+ million farmers annually purchase these hedging products to insure against
316
+ weather risk (Clarke et al. 2012), although this high uptake can be partly
317
+ explained by the fact that agricultural insurance is mandatory in order
318
+ to gain access to subsidized agricultural loans from the government. In
319
+ the United States, a large federal index-based insurance program protects
320
+ farmers against a variety of weather risks, although the system is highly
321
+ subsidized. In Africa, some index insurance experiences have been relatively
322
+ successful, such as the R4 Rural Resilience Initiative, which has helped to
323
+ increase the resilience of farming households to weather-related shocks in
324
+ Ethiopia and Senegal. This and other examples of Africa’s experience with
325
+ risk-coping strategies are discussed next.
326
+ Africa’s Experience with Risk-Coping
327
+ Strategies
328
+ Insurance services are still very much underprovided in Africa. According
329
+ to Assah and others (2017), in Senegal, 18,540 producers benefited from a
330
+ policy against drought in 2015, whereas close to 700,000 farmers remained
331
+ without coverage. In Mali, only 30,000 farmers, fewer than 1 percent of the
332
+ total, were insured in 2014. In addition to information asymmetry problems,
333
+ other factors constraining the development of insurance markets in Africa
334
+ include illiteracy among farmers, their inability to service loans, limited
335
+ solvency among insurers, and a hostile regulatory environment in some
336
+ countries (Assah et al. 2017). Mahul and Stutley (2010) reported that gov-
337
+ ernment support for agricultural insurance premiums is very small in Africa.
338
+ For example, governments cover only 3 percent of agricultural insurance
339
+ premiums on the African continent, compared with 50 percent in Asia and
340
+ 73 percent in the United States and Canada.
341
+ Nonetheless, promising examples are burgeoning across Africa, thanks
342
+ to financial and technological innovations in the insurance sector, as well
343
+ as overall economic progress. As argued above, one of the most promising
344
+ innovations in agricultural insurance is index-based insurance. Therefore
345
+ we focus below on successful index insurance case studies on the continent.
346
+ R4 Rural Resilience Initiative in Ethiopia, Malawi,
347
+ Senegal, and Zambia (Formerly Horn of Africa Risk
348
+ Transfer for Adaptation Project–HARITA)
349
+ In Ethiopia, several projects tackling agricultural resilience have incor-
350
+ porated index-based insurance (Table 6.1). Examples of these programs
351
+ include the R4 Rural Resilience Initiative, the Horn of Africa Risk Transfer
352
+ for Adaptation project (HARITA), and the Rural Resilience Enhancement
353
+ Project, which have been implemented by the Ethiopian Insurance
354
+ Corporation, the World Bank, the UN World Food Programme (WFP),
355
+ Oxfam America, and the Japan International Cooperation Agency.
356
+ 76 resakss.org
357
+ TABLE 6.1—PILOT AGRICULTURE INSURANCE PROJECTS IN ETHIOPIA
358
+ Subsector Weather index insurance Indemnity insurance
359
+ Crops • World Bank initiative for maize in Alaba woreda
360
+ • Nyala Insurance Company (NISCO) / World Food
361
+ Programme / Lume Adama Farmers Cooperative Union
362
+ for beans in Bofa (Boset woreda)
363
+ • Horn of Africa Risk Transfer for Adaptation program by
364
+ Oxfam America and consortium of partners in Tigray
365
+ Region
366
+ • International Food Policy Research Institute and
367
+ consortium of partners for bundle of prevalent crops in
368
+ SNNPR and Oromia regions
369
+ NISCO multiperil crop insurance
370
+ for teff, wheat, lentils, beans, and
371
+ chickpeas in Oromia Region
372
+ Livestock International Livestock Research Institute’s (ILRI) index-
373
+ based livestock insurance (IBLI)
374
+ Pilot of high-value livestock
375
+ insurance by World Bank and
376
+ Association for Ethiopian
377
+ Microfinance Institutions
378
+ Source: Bhushan et al. (2016).
379
+ Note: A woreda is a local administrative division in Ethiopia. SNNPR = Southern Nations, Nationalities, and Peoples’ Region.
380
+ TABLE 6.2—EXPANSION OF HORN OF AFRICA RISK TRANSFER FOR
381
+ ADAPTATION (HARITA) PROJECT / R4 RURAL RESILIENCE INITIATIVE
382
+ Year
383
+ Number
384
+ of farmers
385
+ insured
386
+ Total
387
+ premiums
388
+ (in US$)
389
+ Total sum
390
+ insured
391
+ (in US$)
392
+ Total
393
+ payouts
394
+ (in US$)
395
+ Countries
396
+ 2009 200 2,500 10,200 0 Ethiopia
397
+ 2010 1,300 27,000 73,000 0 Ethiopia
398
+ 2011 13,000 215,000 940,000 17,000 Ethiopia, Senegal
399
+ 2012 18,000 275,000 1,300,000 320,000 Ethiopia, Senegal
400
+ 2013 20,000 283,000 1,200,000 24,000 Ethiopia, Senegal
401
+ 2014 26,000 306,000 1,500,000 38,000 Ethiopia, Senegal
402
+ 2015 32,000 370,000 2,200,000 450,000 Ethiopia, Senegal, Malawi, Zambia
403
+ Source: WFP (2017).
404
+ R4, in Ethiopia and Senegal, is perhaps one of the most suc-
405
+ cessful initiatives for enhancing agricultural resilience. Before
406
+ launching R4 in 2011, however, the Ethiopian Insurance
407
+ Corporation, in partnership with the World Bank, had
408
+ launched an index insurance program for Ethiopian farmers in
409
+ the form of a deficit rainfall index insurance for maize in 2006.
410
+ Unfortunately, this initiative encountered many challenges—
411
+ especially lack of sufficient data—that limited its expansion.
412
+ Greatrex and others (2015), for instance, highlighted inefficien-
413
+ cies in data collection from weather stations, limited financial
414
+ capacity of cooperatives, and limited bank involvement due to
415
+ the cost and time associated with incorporating weather risk
416
+ assessments into their procedures.
417
+ Then in 2009, Oxfam America and the Relief Society of
418
+ Tigray launched HARITA, initially covering 200 Ethiopian
419
+ farmers. Building on the success of HARITA, Oxfam America
420
+ and partners launched R4 in Ethiopia in 2011 and eventually
421
+ expanded it to Senegal (Greatrex et al. 2015). By 2014, growth
422
+ of the program was impressive: more than 24,000 farmers
423
+ in Ethiopia and 2,000 in Senegal were covered (Table 6.2).
424
+ And in 2015, R4 distributed about US$450,000 in payouts to
425
+ 43,000 farmers in Ethiopia, Senegal, and Malawi. One of the
426
+ key features that R4 borrowed from HARITA that is perhaps
427
+ responsible for a large portion of its success was the concept
428
+ of “insurance for work,” which allowed poor farmers to
429
+ afford insurance by paying for it through their own labor in
430
+ resilience-related community projects.
431
+ 2016 ReSAKSS Annual Trends and Outlook Report 77
432
+ Currently operating in Ethiopia, Malawi, Senegal, and Zambia, the
433
+ R4 program is based on four risk-management strategies: building risk
434
+ reserves (savings); promoting risk reduction (through growth of assets);
435
+ prudent risk taking (relying on microfinance and diversification); and risk
436
+ transfer (index insurance), which allows for the transfer of components of
437
+ risk that cannot be mitigated by using the other strategies. In addition, the
438
+ program is complemented by training for farmers on the properties and
439
+ application of index insurance and on risk management principles.
440
+ Madajewicz, Tsegay, and Norton (2013) evaluated the impact of the R4
441
+ program and found that among insured farmers, the level of grain reserves
442
+ had increased, savings had more than doubled (a 123 percent increase
443
+ on average), and the number of oxen owned had increased by 25 percent.
444
+ Vulnerable groups, particularly women farmers, had benefited significantly
445
+ from the program. In comparison, uninsured farmers did not fare as well.
446
+ In Senegal, an impact evaluation by WFP and Oxfam America (2015)
447
+ revealed that in the presence of the same shocks, farmers who had enrolled
448
+ in the R4 initiative fared better in maintaining their food security than
449
+ those who had not enrolled.28
450
+ 28 In particular, enrollees’ food consumption score (FCS) dropped from 59.02 to 56.24 between
451
+ 2013 and 2015, whereas nonparticipants’ FCS witnessed a decrease from 56.2 to 28.6 in the same
452
+ period.
453
+ Agriculture and Climate Risk Enterprise (ACRE)
454
+ in Kenya, Rwanda, and Tanzania (formerly
455
+ Kilimo Salama)
456
+ In 2009, the Syngenta Foundation launched Kilimo Salama in Kenya, with a
457
+ pilot project offering index insurance to 200 farmers. By 2012, the insurance
458
+ program had more than 51,000 subscribers in Kenya and 14,000 in Rwanda
459
+ (IFC 2013). In Kenya, premium payments averaged 19 million Kenya
460
+ shillings (KSh) in 2011 and KSh 33 million in 2012. In 2014, the program
461
+ was transferred to Agriculture and Climate Risk Enterprise Inc. (ACRE), a
462
+ for-profit enterprise. By 2016, ACRE had more than 1 million subscribed
463
+ farmers in Kenya, Rwanda, and Tanzania, insuring more than US$56 million
464
+ in crops against various types of weather risks (ACRE 2017).
465
+ ACRE is an insurance agent and surveyor based in Kenya, Rwanda, and
466
+ Tanzania. It operates as an intermediary institution among different stake-
467
+ holders along the agricultural insurance value chain. ACRE’s primary goal
468
+ is to help insurance companies add index products to their portfolios, using
469
+ actuarial and product development expertise. Participating stakeholders
470
+ include local insurers (who carry risk, document policies, and pay claims),
471
+ reinsurers (who price policies and reinsure risk), farmers (who access insur-
472
+ ance services), and farmer aggregators (organizations insured on behalf of
473
+ farmers, such as banks, microfinance institutions, and agribusinesses).
474
+ ACRE is considered the largest commercial (that is, with farmers paying
475
+ a market premium) index insurance program in developing countries and
476
+ the largest agricultural insurance program in SSA (Greatrex et al. 2015). It
477
+ is also the first-ever agricultural insurance program to reach smallholder
478
+ farmers using mobile phones. ACRE offers a wide range of products, such
479
+ as indemnity coverage, dairy insurance, hybrid seed index insurance, and
480
+ 78 resakss.org
481
+ multiperil crop insurance, and uses several data sources for its indexes,
482
+ including automatic weather stations and remote sensing technologies.
483
+ Targeted crops under the program include maize, sorghum, coffee, sun-
484
+ flowers, wheat, cashew nuts, and potatoes, with coverage against drought,
485
+ excess rain, and large storms. The insurance operates through three main
486
+ channels: the distribution of seeds via mobile phone network location
487
+ services; agribusinesses; and banks, microfinance institutions, and credit
488
+ cooperatives along the agricultural value chain. By facilitating enrollment
489
+ and electronic payment, M-Pesa29 is arguably one of the most important
490
+ factors behind the program’s success. Overall, ACRE’s success is credited
491
+ to the involvement of a wide range of partners, including government
492
+ institutions (ministries of agriculture and national meteorological services),
493
+ financial institutions, mobile network companies, research institutions, and
494
+ insurance and reinsurance companies.
495
+ Index-Based Livestock Insurance (IBLI) in Kenya
496
+ and Ethiopia
497
+ The index-based livestock insurance (IBLI) program in Ethiopia and Kenya
498
+ was launched in 2010 with the objective of improving the resilience of
499
+ pastoralist households against droughts and facilitating investments in live-
500
+ stock and access to credit (Mude et al. 2010; Miranda and Mulangu 2016).
501
+ The International Livestock Research Institute (ILRI) teamed up with the
502
+ University of California, Davis, to design an index-based livestock insurance
503
+ relying on the normalized difference vegetation index (NVDI). The NVDI
504
+ is calculated from remotely sensed satellite measurements and used to
505
+ 29 M-Pesa is a mobile phone–based money transfer, financing, and microfinancing service, launched
506
+ in 2007 by Vodafone for Safaricom and Vodacom, the largest mobile network operators in Kenya
507
+ and Tanzania.
508
+ estimate the availability of forage for livestock. The project derived a statisti-
509
+ cal relationship between the NVDI and livestock mortality data to serve as a
510
+ basis for insurance payouts. In February 2017, the government of Kenya, in
511
+ partnership with Kenyan insurers, announced payments to more than 12,000
512
+ pastoral households under IBLI.
513
+ At least 4,000 pastoralists in both Ethiopia and Kenya were covered
514
+ by IBLI in 2015. The program provided substantial benefits to households,
515
+ who were less likely to sell their livestock and in some cases increased their
516
+ number of livestock and improved their overall food security (Janzen and
517
+ Carter 2013). Thanks to the substantial learning process from experiences
518
+ on the ground, the IBLI initiative keeps expanding across Kenya. After the
519
+ historic 2016 drought in northern Kenya, which caused the worst forage
520
+ scarcity in the region for 16 years, more than KSh 214 million was disbursed
521
+ in payouts to 12,000 pastoral households in 6 counties.
522
+ In 2015, the government of Kenya, supported by the World Bank,
523
+ launched the Kenya Livestock Insurance Program (KLIP) using a design
524
+ based on the NVDI. In October 2015, KLIP covered the livestock of 5,000
525
+ pastoralists in 2 counties (ILRI 2017). Further expansions are planned in
526
+ 2017.
527
+ Other Index Insurance Experiences in Africa
528
+ As a whole, the African continent has been at the vanguard of index
529
+ insurance’s upward trend during the past decade. Though the previous sub-
530
+ sections have focused on the most important experiences, a detailed account
531
+ of the remaining ones is beyond the scope of this chapter. In order to fill this
532
+ gap, Table 6.3 summarizes other weather index insurance projects conducted
533
+ across a number of African countries.
534
+ 2016 ReSAKSS Annual Trends and Outlook Report 79
535
+ TABLE 6.3—SUMMARY OF KEY AGRICULTURAL INSURANCE INITIATIVES IN AFRICA
536
+ Country Description
537
+ Ghana • Under the Ministry of Food and Agriculture, the government launched the Ghana Agricultural Insurance Pool in 2011, with 19 Ghanaian insurance companies participating.
538
+ • Pool products focus on drought index insurance for maize, soybeans, sorghum, and millet; however, there are few multiperil crop insurance plans for risk experienced by
539
+ commercial farmers and plantations.
540
+ Kenya • In addition to the projects described above, the government of Kenya launched the Kenya National Agricultural Insurance Program (KNAIP) in March 2016, focusing on insurance
541
+ for maize and wheat crops and for livestock.
542
+ • KNAIP will follow the area yield–based approach: the farming area is divided into insurance units, and if the average production in an insurance unit falls below a threshold yield
543
+ (based on the historical average yield for that unit), the insured farmers within the insurance unit receive a payout.
544
+ • Implementation of the program started in three counties, Bungoma, Embu, and Nakuru, and will be extended to 33 of the country’s 47 counties by 2020.
545
+ Malawi • In 2005, the World Bank, in collaboration with Malawi’s National Association of Small Farmers, developed an index-based crop insurance contract.
546
+ • The pilot was implemented in the areas of Kasungu, Nhkotakota, Lilongwe North, and Chitedze.
547
+ • In 2005, 892 groundnut farmers purchased weather-based crop insurance policies for total premiums of US$36,600.
548
+ • In 2007, the pilot was expanded to cash crops. By 2008, the number of participants had increased significantly, with 2,600 farmers buying policies worth US$2.5 million.
549
+ Mali • PlaNet Guarantee (an international microinsurance facilitator) sold its first insurance products in 2011 for maize crops; roughly 14,000 farmers were insured in 2014.
550
+ • A second product was launched in 2011, a satellite-based index insurance for maize and cotton in partnership with Allianz; 17,481 policies were sold in 2014.
551
+ Mozambique • In late 2012, two pilot projects were started by Guy Carpenter & Company LLC in conjunction with the Asia Risk Centre, including weather index–based insurance products
552
+ covering two crops: maize in the district of Chimoio and cotton in the districts of Lalaua and Monapo.
553
+ • 43,000 cotton farmers and a small number of maize farmers were insured in 2012/2013; a total of 43,500 policies were sold.
554
+ • In the future, the Cotton Institute of Mozambique plans to expand index insurance coverage to all cotton farmers in Mozambique, numbering approximately 200,000.
555
+ Nigeria • The Nigeria Agricultural Insurance Corporation (NAIC) is the primary agency providing insurance.
556
+ • Crop insurance packages currently cover 17 crops, including maize, rice, cassava, yams, and sorghum.
557
+ • Livestock insurance packages currently cover 14 types of livestock, including cattle, poultry, pigs, rabbits, and sheep.
558
+ • In May 2013, NAIC paid more than 500 million Nigerian naira (N) in claims to insured farmers who had suffered losses in the floods in 2012.
559
+ • In 2014, NAIC paid N 80 million in compensation to a sugar farm in Adamawa State following natural disasters.
560
+ South Africa • In South Africa, agriculture insurance began in the 1970s, operating at two levels: commercial and subsistence farming.
561
+ • The government has implemented subsidized crop insurance to make it affordable to farmers.
562
+ • Currently, South Africa has insurance against hail and winds, but not drought. Under the existing scenario, farmers in good agricultural areas with low risk do not need subsidized
563
+ insurance.
564
+ • Agri SA, a federation of South African agricultural organizations, focuses its insurance efforts on commercial farmers, who number about 40,000, representing 20 percent of the
565
+ farming population and producing 80 percent of the country’s food.
566
+ • The livestock insurance market in South Africa, although limited, is growing; racehorses are insured, and there is a market for insurance of wildlife in game parks.
567
+ Tanzania • Apart from the pilot projects mentioned above, agricultural insurance for smallholder farmers is generally absent from the market.
568
+ • The National Insurance Corporation launched a livestock insurance product in 1996 targeting only zero-grazing livestock keepers. The program failed because the majority of
569
+ livestock herders were migratory pastoralists.
570
+ Source: Authors’ summary from Bhushan et al. (2016).
571
+ 80 resakss.org
572
+ Africa’s successful experiences with smallholder agricultural insurance
573
+ against extreme weather events shows the importance of investments in
574
+ weather station infrastructure, widespread and inexpensive distribution
575
+ networks for collecting premiums and disbursing payouts, and reliable and
576
+ timely data collection and analysis to help reduce basis risk (Hill 2010).
577
+ Educating smallholder farmers on weather insurance and its benefits is key
578
+ to increasing its uptake and thus making insurance less costly. In cases in
579
+ which selling insurance on its own has been less successful, the example of
580
+ Malawi shows the potential benefits of tying insurance to credit, which can
581
+ encourage a virtuous cycle of credit, enabling farmers to purchase modern
582
+ agricultural inputs and increase their productivity (Leftley 2009).
583
+ Despite these successful experiences, agricultural insurance is still
584
+ largely at the pilot stage in several countries, including Benin, Ethiopia,
585
+ Mali, Mozambique, Senegal, and Tanzania (Bhushan et al. 2016). Moreover,
586
+ countries continue to depend on international assistance to deal with the
587
+ effects of extreme weather, and governments have not made the much-
588
+ needed investments to help develop effective insurance markets. Among
589
+ these investments, creating an enabling policy and regulatory environment
590
+ that supports the expansion of insurance markets and programs should be
591
+ high on the agenda, including developing insurance products that better
592
+ serve the needs of smallholder farmers. Governments will also need to lead
593
+ the way in insurance infrastructure investments (such as weather stations
594
+ and product distribution networks), building the capacity of insurance
595
+ companies, and training farmers on insurance products (Hill 2010). Finally,
596
+ some form of government insurance subsidy may be required to enable
597
+ higher uptake of insurance, such as the uptake rates seen in developed
598
+ countries with highly subsidized insurance programs.
599
+ The Road Ahead and Opportunities
600
+ The African experience shows that index insurance has potential as a
601
+ formal, efficient risk management tool for farmers in developing countries.
602
+ However, for it to be truly brought to scale globally, its limitations have to be
603
+ addressed. This section describes a broad set of issues related to the opportu-
604
+ nities for index insurance and the main innovations to consider in the future.
605
+ Complementarities with climate-smart agriculture. Climate-smart
606
+ agriculture (CSA) has gained popularity during the past decade as an essen-
607
+ tial step toward climate adaptation by rural farming communities. CSA
608
+ refers to agricultural technologies that are well suited to increase farmers’
609
+ livelihoods in the face of a changing climate by (1) raising agricultural pro-
610
+ ductivity, (2) building the resilience of livelihoods and farming systems, and
611
+ (3) reducing carbon emissions. In some cases, these technologies involve
612
+ reducing the vulnerability of crops to certain weather risks. In this regard,
613
+ CSA shares a similar objective with crop insurance. Due to the similarities
614
+ between these two families of technologies, a recent strand of work has
615
+ focused on evaluating the potential for complementarities between them.
616
+ One of the most important examples of a complementarity between
617
+ weather index insurance and a CSA technology is drought-tolerant (DT)
618
+ seed varieties. DT seed varieties represent an important avenue of progress
619
+ in seed breeding and are now available for a number of crops across several
620
+ agroclimatic zones. DT seeds are particularly interesting from a develop-
621
+ ment point of view because they can potentially bring about improved food
622
+ security and protect rural livelihoods in the face of prolonged droughts.
623
+ Although the main characteristic of such seed varieties is their resis-
624
+ tance to mild or moderate lack of soil moisture, crop failure is generally an
625
+ inevitable result under an extreme drought, with the added consequence
626
+ 2016 ReSAKSS Annual Trends and Outlook Report 81
627
+ of farmers’ being worse off due to having to repay the higher cost of DT
628
+ seeds. Weather index insurance, on the other hand, is not very well suited
629
+ to handle moderate drought because it tends to be expensive under a high
630
+ frequency of loss (insurance premiums must be high to account for frequent
631
+ payouts). Nevertheless, because extreme drought events occur much more
632
+ rarely and are generally easier to identify through an index (compared with
633
+ more moderate events that may or may not damage crops), weather index
634
+ insurance boasts natural comparative advantages to handle this layer of risk.
635
+ It is natural to see, thus, that a holistic system—wherein farmers rely first on
636
+ DT seeds to inexpensively cover more frequent and milder drought risks,
637
+ and in addition rely on reduced-cost
638
+ catastrophic index insurance against
639
+ extreme events—could provide farmers
640
+ with more complete protection against
641
+ all potential scenarios, thus more effi-
642
+ ciently handling drought risk at a much
643
+ lower cost than any of the above stand-
644
+ alone technologies would be able to
645
+ achieve (Lybbert and Carter 2015; Ward
646
+ et al. 2015). Figure 6.1 shows a visual
647
+ representation of this complementarity.
648
+ Other aspects of the synergies
649
+ between CSA and index insurance
650
+ are starting to be explored. One such
651
+ exploration looked at a CSA practice
652
+ known as conservation agriculture
653
+ (CA) in a project in the wheat-rice
654
+ system in the Indo-Gangetic Plain of India. Under CA, rice residue is left on
655
+ the field at harvest and wheat seeds are sown directly through the residue
656
+ into the soil using special machinery. Sowing the wheat seeds through this
657
+ layer of residue has several advantages, including increased tolerance to high
658
+ temperatures and reduced risk of lodging (bending of the plant due to wet
659
+ soil and winds), because the plant sits deeper in the soil than under other
660
+ planting methods. Similar to the DT scenario described above, adopting
661
+ CA technology can inexpensively protect wheat from mild but frequent
662
+ risks, and index insurance can complement this advantage by providing less
663
+ expensive coverage against more extreme events.
664
+ FIGURE 6.1—COMPLEMENTARITY BETWEEN DROUGHT-TOLERANT SEEDS AND DROUGHT
665
+ INDEX INSURANCE
666
+ Drought pressure
667
+ No drought
668
+ Drought-tolerant
669
+ seeds (DT)
670
+ Drought
671
+ probability
672
+ density
673
+ function
674
+ Drought index
675
+ insurance (II)
676
+ Bundled DT + II
677
+ Moderate Severe Extreme
678
+ Te
679
+ ch
680
+ no
681
+ lo
682
+ gy
683
+ ’s
684
+ pa
685
+ yo
686
+
687
+ re
688
+ la
689
+ ti
690
+ ve
691
+ to
692
+ s
693
+ ta
694
+ tu
695
+ s
696
+ qu
697
+ o
698
+ Source: Adapted from Lybbert and Carter (2015).
699
+ 82 resakss.org
700
+ Finally, another way in which index insurance can partner with CSA
701
+ technologies is by encouraging CSA adoption. Many farmers generally
702
+ refrain from adopting CSA practices due to the inevitable uncertainty and
703
+ higher perceived risks than keeping to more traditional practices. In these
704
+ contexts, index insurance can give a farmer the necessary peace of mind
705
+ to try out a new technology. Such an approach could either complement
706
+ or substitute for standard subsidies for encouraging CSA adoption; more
707
+ research is needed to understand the optimal interplay between the two
708
+ mechanisms.
709
+ New developments in index insurance. Confronted with the issue
710
+ of low uptake and high basis risk, index insurance researchers and prac-
711
+ titioners have developed some promising new ways to deal with these
712
+ limitations.
713
+ An interesting new project led by the International Food Policy
714
+ Research Institute (IFPRI) is Picture-Based Crop Insurance (PBI), currently
715
+ being tested in the states of Punjab and Haryana, India. Under PBI, farmers
716
+ take pictures of their insured plots every week using their own smartphones
717
+ and a specially designed app that keeps the frame of view fixed on the
718
+ same portion of the field. Using the pictures recorded over time, a farmer
719
+ can then make a claim for any loss experienced, which can be assessed by
720
+ agronomic experts or an automated machine-learning algorithm, based
721
+ on the pictures and auxiliary information. This type of product can greatly
722
+ reduce basis risk and encourage uptake by instilling in the farmer a sense
723
+ of ownership of the insurance product and its results. Initial results are
724
+ very promising, in terms of both the feasibility of the approach (Kramer,
725
+ Ceballos, Hufkens, et al. 2017) and its sustainability, with no evidence of
726
+ moral hazard or adverse selection (as would be expected from the product’s
727
+ resemblance to indemnity-based insurance), nor of picture tampering or
728
+ fraud (Kramer, Ceballos, Krupoff, et al. 2017).
729
+ Another strand of projects has explored the potential of allowing for
730
+ more flexibility as an alternative to current rigid, one-size-fits-all index
731
+ insurance designs. Traditionally, index insurance products have involved a
732
+ number of parameters and predetermined payout functions. These features
733
+ sometimes make a product difficult to understand for farmers lacking suf-
734
+ ficient education. More important, because the payout functions are fixed,
735
+ the insurance product cannot adapt to the risk profile of many farmers
736
+ the way an indemnity product would. In this context, a team at IFPRI has
737
+ proposed a novel approach, wherein an array of much simpler products is
738
+ offered, each covering against a specific timing and intensity of risk. Under
739
+ such an approach, a farmer can create a portfolio of products (with different
740
+ triggers, calibrated to protect against weather events of various intensities,
741
+ and for different coverage periods) to suit his or her individual crop risk
742
+ profile. Evidence from three projects suggests that farmers do indeed value
743
+ this simplicity and flexibility.30
744
+ Gap insurance, consisting of a second tier of indemnity insurance
745
+ on top of a regular index product, has been considered as a promising
746
+ alternative to traditional index products.31 Under such a program, when the
747
+ first-tier index product is not triggered, farmers have the right to call for
748
+ 30 For a theoretical framework and evidence from field experiments in Ethiopia, see Hill and Robles
749
+ (2011). A pilot application of this approach in India is described in Hill, Robles, and Ceballos
750
+ (2016). For a description of a commercial rollout in Uruguay, together with a structural analysis of
751
+ the demand for these products, see Ceballos and Robles (2017).
752
+ 31 For an application of gap insurance in Ethiopia, see, for instance, Berhane et al. (2015).
753
+ 2016 ReSAKSS Annual Trends and Outlook Report 83
754
+ crop cuts in a reduced geographic area in order to assess losses locally.32
755
+ A related idea is multiscale (or double-trigger) area yield insurance, under
756
+ which a product combines two area yield indexes measured at different geo-
757
+ graphic levels—a broader geographic index with a higher trigger and a local
758
+ index with a lower trigger—with payouts occurring when both indexes fall
759
+ below their corresponding triggers.33 Measuring yields at a very local level
760
+ reduces basis risk, and the broader area index helps reduce moral hazard.
761
+ Finally, the increasing affordability of automatic weather stations and
762
+ the expanding technologies for remote sensing of weather variables and
763
+ crop growth (such as microsatellites and unmanned aerial vehicles) have
764
+ an enormous potential to underpin innovative insurance products with
765
+ reduced basis risk in the near future.
766
+ Meso-level products. A different approach to minimizing basis risk that
767
+ has gained traction recently entails a shift from insuring individual farmers
768
+ to insuring so-called aggregators—such as farmer associations, other formal
769
+ or informal groups, and microfinance institutions.34 For instance, an institu-
770
+ tion holding a significant portfolio of agricultural loans may be interested in
771
+ insuring it against severe systemic shocks that may otherwise result in large
772
+ loan write-offs. An advantage of such systems is that, with efficient mecha-
773
+ nisms to identify individual losses and appropriate payout practices by the
774
+ aggregators, individual (idiosyncratic) negative and positive basis risks can
775
+ largely offset each other in the aggregate portfolio.
776
+ 32 Taking crop cuts is a procedure to obtain an objective measure of crop yield by cutting a small,
777
+ random sample of the field (for example, 1 square meter) right before harvest and weighing the
778
+ produce in this sample. The process is repeated across random samples in an area to obtain an
779
+ objective estimate of the area’s yield for a given crop.
780
+ 33 See, for instance, Elabed et al. (2013).
781
+ 34 See de Janvry, Dequiedt, and Sadoulet (2014) and Dercon et al. (2014).
782
+ Macro-level products. One of the most important elements behind
783
+ limited crop insurance uptake in developing and developed countries alike
784
+ has perhaps been the state’s traditional role as risk absorber of last resort.
785
+ Once a major weather shock hits, it is fairly common for national, regional,
786
+ or local governments to give in to the pressure for emergency assistance.
787
+ This type of assistance is generally inefficient, difficult to administer,
788
+ and prone to political favoritism and corruption. Most important, it is
789
+ often uncertain—there is no guarantee that adequate assistance will be
790
+ provided when there is a crop failure or livestock loss. Moreover, in many
791
+ of these emergencies the state’s budget capacity is also reduced due to
792
+ lower economic activity and tax revenues. In this context, there has been
793
+ an increasing trend around the world toward ex ante budgeting for natural
794
+ disasters (through risk-coping instruments such as insurance), to the detri-
795
+ ment of ex post assistance after a disaster strikes (Clarke and Dercon 2016).
796
+ One natural option has been macro-level insurance against weather
797
+ risks, whereby the insured parties can be either different government levels
798
+ (from national to local) or specialized government agencies. This type of
799
+ insurance generally relies on an index and, upon the occurrence of an
800
+ extreme weather event, makes a direct payout to the insured agency or local
801
+ government to implement emergency relief and food security programs.
802
+ Such arrangements are already being implemented in developed countries
803
+ and are expanding into developing countries, particularly those prone to
804
+ natural catastrophes (Hazell et al. 2010). Sometimes this type of instrument
805
+ can be channeled directly through the international financial markets,
806
+ through the issuing of so-called catastrophe (or cat) bonds. Such instru-
807
+ ments resemble regular sovereign bonds in that the issuing government
808
+ promises to pay the bearer (generally attractive) interest under normal
809
+ 84 resakss.org
810
+ scenarios, but under disaster scenarios, determined through well-specified
811
+ conditions tied to the index, investors forgo the interest and some or all
812
+ of the principal, in an arrangement resembling the structure of a typical
813
+ insurance product.
814
+ The creation of regional risk pools is another approach that has been
815
+ gaining steam. Under such a system, subscribing sovereign states commit
816
+ funds, receiving in return a type of macro-level insurance. These regional
817
+ risk pools are generally funded through specialized trust funds supported
818
+ by international donors, or through reinsurance agreements. The way they
819
+ work is similar to the macro-level products described above, whereby upon
820
+ the occurrence of a negative weather event (generally defined in terms of
821
+ and captured through specific weather indexes), the sovereign state receives
822
+ financial assistance to put toward social protection and reconstruction
823
+ costs. African Risk Capacity (ARC), established in 2012 as an agency of
824
+ the African Union, is an example of such a pool. In addition to covering
825
+ member states against the devastating consequences of droughts, it provides
826
+ technical and financial assistance to state governments for early response
827
+ systems and emergency management plans.
828
+ Conclusions
829
+ In the face of climate change, improving the resilience of African smallholder
830
+ farmers should constitute a top priority in policy makers’ agendas. In this
831
+ regard, CSA constitutes a crucial step in the right direction. However, formal
832
+ insurance mechanisms are needed to complete farmers’ tool kit to cope with
833
+ weather shocks.
834
+ Even though traditional crop indemnity insurance has not really taken
835
+ off on the continent, other options have been brought forward in recent
836
+ decades. Weather index insurance is a promising alternative with several
837
+ advantages. First, it avoids moral hazard issues by decoupling insurance
838
+ payouts from the farmer’s behavior. Second, it is not subject to adverse
839
+ selection: payouts depend on objective, readily and publicly available infor-
840
+ mation, and are independent of the characteristics of the pool of insured
841
+ farmers. Furthermore, the implementation and administration of index
842
+ insurance is cheaper than that of traditional indemnity insurance because
843
+ it does not require the insurance company to verify loss claims before
844
+ making payouts.
845
+ Nevertheless, index insurance has its own limitations, especially in
846
+ relation to basis risk: because payouts are based on the observed index, any
847
+ given farmer’s actual loss may not be completely compensated. Although
848
+ a number of new developments intend to sort out this and other obstacles,
849
+ it is perhaps too soon to take stock and understand whether they will be
850
+ able to help improve smallholder farmers’ resilience in an efficient and
851
+ sustainable way.
852
+ Evidence from several insurance pilot programs shows that although
853
+ the potential for innovative insurance mechanisms is real, additional work
854
+ to understand their effectiveness and substantial scale-up efforts will be
855
+ needed to achieve a sustainable expansion of efficient agricultural insurance
856
+ markets in Africa. Across the continent, a growing pool of experts and
857
+ professionals from both public and private institutions are actively engaged
858
+ in bringing in innovations, improving index products, and finding effective
859
+ ways to scale up insurance programs. Importantly, in the face of shifting
860
+ 2016 ReSAKSS Annual Trends and Outlook Report 85
861
+ weather patterns due to climate change, rating methodologies for index
862
+ insurance products must adapt or run the risk of encouraging oversubscrip-
863
+ tion and thus undermining long-term sustainability.
864
+ Governments, in particular, have an important role to play in creating
865
+ an enabling policy and regulatory environment for the expansion of insur-
866
+ ance markets and development of insurance products that better serve the
867
+ needs of smallholder farmers. They will also need to lead the way in invest-
868
+ ing in weather stations, building the capacity of insurance companies, and
869
+ training farmers on insurance products. By supporting the implementation
870
+ of innovative weather insurance products aimed at addressing prevailing
871
+ challenges, policy makers can actively contribute to the resilience of the
872
+ rural poor facing weather extremes and provide them with much-needed
873
+ opportunities to escape poverty through farming.
874
+ In this context, African policy makers should consider innovative
875
+ weather index insurance tools as part of a comprehensive CSA package
876
+ to help African farmers manage weather risks, especially in light of
877
+ the potential complementarities between weather index insurance and
878
+ agricultural technologies aimed at raising productivity and incomes.
879
+ Such efforts can go a long way in helping the continent meet the Malabo
880
+ Declaration commitment to enhance the resilience of farming livelihoods
881
+ by 2025.
882
+
data/part_2/0401837588.md ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,30 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ # Gender, climate change, and group-based approaches to adaptation
2
+
3
+ **Source:** gardian_index
4
+ **URL:** https://cgspace.cgiar.org/rest/bitstreams/1f9ef53c-e971-4757-9c2a-6efce771e45f/retrieve
5
+ **Language:** French
6
+ **Resource Type:** Brief
7
+ **Release Year:** 2014
8
+ **Rights:** N/A
9
+ **GARDIAN ID:** f65008de1f7c2ad32f1a7972d0803f69
10
+ **DataNODE ID:** 75f8bb0947ae2033cb79a7d4263a1954
11
+ **Siever ID:** ec3947cc-cf71-4ce8-9ce0-12d5c3c7dee4
12
+ **Token Count:** 41
13
+ **Page Count:** 0
14
+
15
+ ## Keywords
16
+
17
+ gender, environmental factors, assets, developing countries, climate change adaptation, rural areas, resilience, women, climate change, literature reviews, approaches, adaptation
18
+
19
+ ## Geography
20
+
21
+ - **Regions:** Eastern Africa, Sub-Saharan Africa, Africa, World, Southern Asia, Asia, Western Africa
22
+ - **Countries:** Ethiopia, Mali, Bangladesh, Kenya
23
+
24
+ ## Description
25
+
26
+ This policy note summarizes the findings of two literature reviews on the gender-differentiated impacts of climate change and the scope for community-based adaptation. It also outlines the framework used to guide these analyses and the other papers summarized in this series.
27
+
28
+ ## Content
29
+
30
+ This policy note summarizes the findings of two literature reviews on the gender-differentiated impacts of climate change and the scope for community-based adaptation. It also outlines the framework used to guide these analyses and the other papers summarized in this series.
data/part_2/0418665256.md ADDED
The diff for this file is too large to render. See raw diff
 
data/part_2/0430891262.md ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,29 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ # Commentaries on Marketing Systems
2
+
3
+ **Source:** gardian_index
4
+ **URL:** https://cgspace.cgiar.org/rest/bitstreams/781d2ea0-27ac-4c0c-a42b-e8f76932e8ff/retrieve
5
+ **Language:** English
6
+ **Resource Type:** Scientific Publication
7
+ **Release Year:** 1987
8
+ **Rights:** N/A
9
+ **GARDIAN ID:** e3247590ab57dd29ef07ca9a79da29d6
10
+ **DataNODE ID:** c0c79b7884e9f241d3c5d509ae358a75
11
+ **Siever ID:** c3520b06-d3ef-4050-9ac0-3ee000c6ddec
12
+ **Token Count:** 76
13
+ **Page Count:** 0
14
+
15
+ ## Keywords
16
+
17
+ food production, conferences, agricultural policies, sub-saharan africa, agricultural production, marketing, systems, growth, environment, development, policies, technology
18
+
19
+ ## Geography
20
+
21
+ - **Regions:** Sub-Saharan Africa, Africa, World
22
+
23
+ ## Description
24
+
25
+ Poor agricultural growth in sub-Saharan Africa is sometimes attributed to the absence of major technological breakthroughs suited to its agroclimatic environment. This implies that there is little room for growth in agricultural production in the existing technological environment. Viewed in this way, development of superior technologies becomes the most important issue in policies for accelerating agricultural growth in sub-Saharan Africa. Without belittling the importance of improved technology, the two chapters under discussion caution against this position.
26
+
27
+ ## Content
28
+
29
+ Poor agricultural growth in sub-Saharan Africa is sometimes attributed to the absence of major technological breakthroughs suited to its agroclimatic environment. This implies that there is little room for growth in agricultural production in the existing technological environment. Viewed in this way, development of superior technologies becomes the most important issue in policies for accelerating agricultural growth in sub-Saharan Africa. Without belittling the importance of improved technology, the two chapters under discussion caution against this position.
data/part_2/0445014673.md ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,176 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ # Uttar Pradesh district nutrition profile: Etah
2
+
3
+ **Source:** gardian_index
4
+ **URL:** https://cgspace.cgiar.org/rest/bitstreams/84a8ace3-bff3-49d7-b31a-bfc06754bb78/retrieve
5
+ **Language:** Hindi
6
+ **Resource Type:** Brief
7
+ **Release Year:** 2022
8
+ **Rights:** N/A
9
+ **GARDIAN ID:** fcfbb63bf52b4e41a0d1ad3b685f2f0b
10
+ **DataNODE ID:** 36d2b3b7490c41a0ae60fd6b9593cab2
11
+ **Siever ID:** 27d482c6-1534-4345-91eb-f5552342a502
12
+ **Token Count:** 223
13
+ **Page Count:** 0
14
+
15
+ ## Keywords
16
+
17
+ nutrition, health, indicators, uttar pradesh
18
+
19
+ ## Geography
20
+
21
+ - **Regions:** Southern Asia, Asia, World
22
+ - **Countries:** India
23
+
24
+ ## Content
25
+
26
+ ETAH | UTTAR PRADESH MARCH 2022
27
+ Uttar Pradesh
28
+ Etah
29
+ 2019 Etah
30
+ 1,047/1,000 528,763 61,694
31
+ 28,196 21,521 235,886
32
+ Etah,
33
+ Uttar Pradesh
34
+ Etah
35
+ Uttar Pradesh
36
+ 2016
37
+ 2020
38
+ NA
39
+ 115,042
40
+ 35,265
41
+ 19,696
42
+ 72,157
43
+ 8,822
44
+ 164,009
45
+ 235,886
46
+ 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
47
+ NA
48
+ NA
49
+ 51%
50
+ 49%
51
+ 10%
52
+ 15%
53
+ 2%
54
+ 8%
55
+ 32%
56
+ 31%
57
+ 1%
58
+ 4%
59
+ 40%
60
+ 77%
61
+ Etah
62
+ Uttar Pradesh
63
+ 2016
64
+ 2020
65
+ 99,037
66
+ 107,921
67
+ 86,453
68
+ 32,572
69
+ 296,213
70
+ 27,528
71
+ 61,694
72
+ 528,763
73
+ 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
74
+ 23%
75
+ 19%
76
+ 17%
77
+ 20%
78
+ 7%
79
+ 16%
80
+ NA
81
+ 6%
82
+ 36%
83
+ 56%
84
+ 38%
85
+ 45%
86
+ 2
87
+ Etah
88
+ Uttar Pradesh
89
+ 2016
90
+ 2020
91
+ 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
92
+ 11%
93
+ 20%
94
+ 1%
95
+ 5%
96
+ 22%
97
+ 30%
98
+ 48%
99
+ 57%
100
+ NA
101
+ NA
102
+ 24%
103
+ 26%
104
+ 4%
105
+ 5%
106
+ NA
107
+ NA
108
+ NA
109
+ NA
110
+ NA
111
+ NA
112
+ NA
113
+ NA
114
+ NA
115
+ NA
116
+ Etah
117
+ Uttar Pradesh
118
+ 2016
119
+ 2020
120
+ 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
121
+ 31%
122
+ 39%
123
+ 27%
124
+ 20%
125
+ 9%
126
+ 4%
127
+ 25%
128
+ 63%
129
+ 100%
130
+ 100%
131
+ NA
132
+ NA
133
+ NA
134
+ NA
135
+ 8%
136
+ 13%
137
+ 3
138
+ Etah
139
+ 2016
140
+ 2020
141
+ 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
142
+ 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
143
+ NA NA
144
+ 96%75%
145
+ 90% 96%
146
+ 50% 54%
147
+ 17% 34%
148
+ NA NA
149
+ NA NA
150
+ NA NA
151
+ 82% 92%
152
+ 85%
153
+ 22%
154
+ NA NA
155
+ 62% 77%
156
+ 33%
157
+ 62% 81%
158
+ 53% 60%
159
+ 34% 62%
160
+ NA NA
161
+ NA NA
162
+ NA NA
163
+ 48% 55%
164
+ 39% 70%
165
+ NA NA
166
+ NA NA
167
+ NA NA
168
+ NA NA
169
+ NA NA
170
+ 20% 48%
171
+ 3% 29%
172
+ 61%47%
173
+ NA NA
174
+ NA NA
175
+ 4
176
+
data/part_2/0457485811.md ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,380 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ # The role of collective action and property rights in climate change strategies
2
+
3
+ **Source:** gardian_index
4
+ **URL:** https://cgspace.cgiar.org/rest/bitstreams/13eb6c33-8dbc-4fdd-ac5d-d795d444017c/retrieve
5
+ **Language:** English
6
+ **Resource Type:** Scientific Publication
7
+ **Release Year:** 2010
8
+ **Rights:** N/A
9
+ **GARDIAN ID:** 4e1cb0630b755d5d37bc63dfbc006b62
10
+ **DataNODE ID:** 6e897c6cc587fd95d6be6b215e443805
11
+ **Siever ID:** 640b7fde-ef1d-4d54-85c9-e5a2cc31f738
12
+ **Token Count:** 3048
13
+ **Page Count:** 0
14
+
15
+ ## Keywords
16
+
17
+ sustainable development goals, property rights, capacity development, collective action, climate change, developing countries, strategies, effects, flooding, world, institutions, communities
18
+
19
+ ## Geography
20
+
21
+ - **Regions:** Northern America, Americas, World
22
+ - **Countries:** United States of America
23
+
24
+ ## Description
25
+
26
+ The well-documented threats posed by climate change are serious and potentially devastating to the global community. The geographic areas that are most susceptible to the effects of climate change episodes such as increased droughts and flooding are also the regions where the majority of the world's poor live. Evidence suggests that these effects may be especially severe for Importance of Institutions in Addressing Climate Change disadvantaged communities in developing countries. The poor have few assets and few income diversification opportunities, which severely limit their ability to cope or adapt to climate changes.
27
+
28
+ ## Content
29
+
30
+ 183The Role of Collective Action and Property Rights in Climate Change Strategies
31
+ The Role of Collective Action
32
+ and Property Rights in
33
+ Climate Change Strategies
34
+ The well-documented threats posed by climate
35
+ change are serious and potentially devastating
36
+ to the global community. The geographic areas
37
+ that are most susceptible to the effects of cli-
38
+ mate change episodes such as increased droughts
39
+ and flooding are also the regions where the ma-
40
+ jority of the world’s poor live. Evidence suggests
41
+ that these effects may be especially severe for
42
+ Importance of Institutions in Addressing Climate Change
43
+ SOURCE:
44
+ Meinzen-Dick, R., H. Markelova and K. Moore. The Role
45
+ of Collective Action and Property Rights in Climate
46
+ Change Strategies. CGIAR CAPRi Policy Brief 7,
47
+ International Food Policy Research Institute,
48
+ Washington, D.C.
49
+ disadvantaged communities in developing countries. The poor have few assets and few income
50
+ diversification opportunities, which severely limit their ability to cope or adapt to climate changes.
51
+ Ensuring that poor people can adapt to climate change and benefit from mitigation measures such
52
+ as payments for carbon sequestration requires more than technology. Key institutions must also be
53
+ in place.
54
+ 184 Resources, Rights and Cooperation
55
+ A Sourcebook on Property Rights and Collective Action for Sustainable Development
56
+ The Structure of Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies
57
+ Climate change has two manifestations: global warming and an increased number of extreme
58
+ environmental events. Response strategies are usually divided into mitigation and adaptation (see
59
+ Figure 1).
60
+ Collective Action, Property Rights, and Climate Change Responses
61
+ Mitigation refers to strategies utilized to reduce the probability of climate change through sus-
62
+ tainable practices that mitigate the increased occurrence, severity, and unpredictability of weather
63
+ resulting from climate change. The two major forms of climate change mitigation are emissions
64
+ reduction and carbon sequestration. Emissions can be reduced through a range of technologies,
65
+ regulations, or economic incentives such as cap and trade systems. Other mechanisms include
66
+ energy diversification to renewable sources or those that do not emit carbon or other greenhouse
67
+ gases. Mitigation options for rural smallholders include energy diversification through develop-
68
+ ment of biofuels and alternative energy sources, such as solar-powered stoves. Carbon can be
69
+ sequestered through afforestation, avoided deforestation and degradation, as well as through sus-
70
+ tainable land management practices such as restoring degraded organic soils or using zero- or low-
71
+ till farming practices.
72
+ Payments for environmental services (PES) were introduced to provide incentives for land users to
73
+ engage in sustainable practices, especially those that sequester carbon above or below ground, and
74
+ to provide them with some form of compensation for the positive externalities of their actions.
75
+ Carbon sequestration can receive financial rewards as carbon offsets in carbon markets (such as the
76
+ Clean Development Mechanism [CDM] set up by the Kyoto protocol), government instituted
77
+ markets, and voluntary carbon markets. Soil carbon sequestration and avoided deforestation projects,
78
+ which are important for climate change mitigation in many African countries, were excluded from
79
+ the CDM but may be covered through new proposals for Reducing Emissions from Deforestation
80
+ and Forest Degradation in Developing Countries (REDD).
81
+ Figure 1. Responses to Climate Change.
82
+ Mitigation
83
+ GHG Emission
84
+ Reduction
85
+ • Energy
86
+ diversification
87
+ • Regulations
88
+ including Cap
89
+ and Trade
90
+ Carbon
91
+ Sequestration
92
+ • CDM
93
+ Payments for
94
+ Environmental
95
+ Services
96
+ • Voluntary
97
+ Emission
98
+ Reductions
99
+ • Voluntary
100
+ Carbon
101
+ Markets
102
+ • REDO
103
+ Within Agriculture
104
+ • Raised awareness
105
+ of climate change
106
+ on agriculture and
107
+ resources
108
+ • Community-based
109
+ weather monitoring
110
+ and forecasting
111
+ • Natural resource
112
+ management
113
+ • Drought and pest
114
+ resistant crops
115
+ • Sale of agricultural
116
+ assets
117
+ Coping
118
+ Strategies
119
+ • Local
120
+ safety nets
121
+ • Insurance
122
+ • Sale of
123
+ non-
124
+ agricultural
125
+ assets
126
+ Disaster
127
+ Management
128
+ • Early warning
129
+ systems
130
+ • Disaster
131
+ preparedness
132
+ • Disaster and
133
+ emergency
134
+ response
135
+ Out of Agriculture
136
+ • Occupational
137
+ diversification
138
+ • Migration
139
+ • Remittances
140
+ Climate Change
141
+ Adaptation
142
+ 185The Role of Collective Action and Property Rights in Climate Change Strategies
143
+ Many compensation payments, however, are available to land owners but not to people with
144
+ customary tenure, and carbon sequestration plans usually require that land remains unused for
145
+ other livelihood activities, such as agriculture, livestock raising, or harvesting natural resources
146
+ such as firewood. As a result, not only do such schemes exclude millions of poor people, but also
147
+ they also have on occasion, resulted in the displacement of households and communities that do
148
+ not hold the formal title but depend on that land for their livelihoods. Such communities are
149
+ pushed out when governments or private interests acquire the land to participate in reward schemes.
150
+ Adaptation involves actions that communities and individuals can undertake in response to chang-
151
+ ing conditions. These approaches include strategies within agriculture such as raising awareness of
152
+ climate change, community-based climate monitoring and forecasting, changing planting dates, crop
153
+ varieties, or cropping patterns, and implementing water harvesting or irrigation schemes. Adapta-
154
+ tion strategies within agriculture are connected with effective natural resource management (NRM),
155
+ such as improved land and water management practices. People may also adapt to climate change by
156
+ moving out of agriculture through occupational diversification of some or all members of the house-
157
+ hold, or temporary or permanent migration, with increased reliance on remittances. Coping strate-
158
+ gies for short-term climate-related shocks such as floods or droughts include reliance on local safety
159
+ nets or mutual insurance schemes, as well as disaster management, which entails early warning
160
+ systems, disaster preparedness, and emergency responses. Overall, a community’s capacity to adapt
161
+ requires a number of collective action institutions and property rights arrangements that would
162
+ enable the smallholders to accumulate various types of assets and knowledge.
163
+ To identify the institutional arrangements relevant for climate change response strategies, it is
164
+ useful to look at the spatial and time scales of each action or program. Figure 2 provides examples
165
+ of several common response strategies involving natural resource management practices. The spa-
166
+ tial scale helps to identify what types of institutions are required, both for policy development to
167
+ set the enabling conditions, and for actions to carry out the necessary activities. These can vary
168
+ from the global to the national, local, or even individual level.
169
+ Actions at the individual level, such as planting a drought-resistant annual crop or building a farm
170
+ pond, generally do not require much in the way of institutions for coordination, though coordina-
171
+ tion at higher levels may be needed to produce the new varieties and develop seed systems that
172
+ distribute them. Moving up to response options at the group or community level, such as a com-
173
+ munity pond or small reservoir, some form of coordination becomes necessary. At the local level,
174
+ collective action institutions are often the most appropriate. Some state institutions may also be
175
+ relevant, for example, to provide technical advice to a group of farmers constructing or operating
176
+ the reservoir.
177
+ At higher spatial scales, local governments or other state agencies become increasingly important
178
+ for coordination, although collective action institutions may still be relevant, as in Nepal’s Na-
179
+ tional Federation of Forest User Groups. The relative roles of state and collective action are illus-
180
+ trated by the triangles on the right-hand side of Figure 2. In general, if the relevant scale for policies
181
+ or action is the global level, then international institutions are required for coordination, either
182
+ through existing international bodies such as UN agencies, or by creating new institutions such as
183
+ the carbon credit exchanges formed after the Kyoto Protocol in 1997.
184
+ The time frame for actions also provides insight into the nature of institutional arrangements
185
+ needed. While climate change response schemes need to be set in motion very soon, some will
186
+ show results in the short term (a year or two), others over the medium term (two to ten years),
187
+ and still others have a much longer time horizon. The longer the time lag between actions and
188
+ results, the more difficult it will be to gain and maintain support and to monitor progress. Some
189
+ 186 Resources, Rights and Cooperation
190
+ A Sourcebook on Property Rights and Collective Action for Sustainable Development
191
+ actions, such as responses to crises like drought or flooding, will only be intermittent. These call for
192
+ institutional structures for preparedness and ability to respond quickly, but do not need to operate
193
+ all the time. The time scale may also indicate the relevance of property rights issues when there is
194
+ a significant lag between an action and its outcomes, especially between investment and returns
195
+ such as for planting trees.
196
+ Figure 2: Role of Institutions in Climate Change Responses.
197
+ Time longshort
198
+ C
199
+ oo
200
+ rd
201
+ in
202
+ at
203
+ io
204
+ n
205
+ Sp
206
+ ac
207
+ e
208
+ Global
209
+ Plot
210
+ Nation
211
+ Community
212
+ Carbon Markets
213
+ Transboundary
214
+ River Basins
215
+ Terracing
216
+ Irrigation
217
+ Forests
218
+ Reservoirs
219
+ Watershed
220
+ Management
221
+ Seed
222
+ SystemsPonds
223
+ IPM
224
+ Property Rights
225
+ International
226
+ New Seeds Soil Carbon Agroforestry
227
+ C
228
+ ol
229
+ le
230
+ ct
231
+ iv
232
+ e
233
+ Ac
234
+ tio
235
+ n
236
+ State
237
+ Policy Implications
238
+ Recognize the Importance of Collective Action for Successful Mitigation and
239
+ Adaptation Strategies
240
+ Research and practice have shown that collective action institutions are very important for tech-
241
+ nology transfer in agriculture and natural resource management among smallholders and resource-
242
+ dependent communities. In the same way, they will also be important for spreading information,
243
+ technologies and practices for various climate change response strategies, both for mitigation and
244
+ adaptation.
245
+ Smallholder groups can facilitate effective implementation of PES schemes focused on carbon se-
246
+ questration. Cooperatives or other forms of collective action among smallholders can help to achieve
247
+ economies of scale in overcoming transaction costs in verification and payment. Groups of
248
+ smallholders cover more area, and the cooperatives assume the transaction costs of developing
249
+ and enforcing contracts with individuals. Fondo Bioclimatico in Mexico provides an example of a
250
+ program that restores land, previously deemed useless because of soil degradation, to profitability
251
+ through use of agroforestry and forestry systems that sequester carbon. Additionally, it is a cost-
252
+ effective strategy for collective income generation because the contracts are created and brokered
253
+ by the farmers, allowing them to design, manage, and monitor their programs on individual or
254
+ communal land. External assistance can help to make the initial contacts between smallholders
255
+ and CDM programs, and to develop the capacity of local groups to negotiate and meet technical
256
+ monitoring criteria.
257
+ 187The Role of Collective Action and Property Rights in Climate Change Strategies
258
+ Local institutions are also important for helping farmers adapt to climate change through knowledge
259
+ and information sharing. Research shows that improved information on climate change increases a
260
+ farmer’s likelihood of adapting. For example, in several Andean communities farmers have devel-
261
+ oped a knowledge system on climate change and its potential effects on their productivity through
262
+ community education and sharing observations on gradually changing weather patterns. For areas
263
+ that are most vulnerable to sudden natural disasters such as hurricanes or typhoons, collective action
264
+ can help to disseminate information through community meetings, volunteer emergency response
265
+ teams, and community response plans that include an early warning system.
266
+ Enhancing resilience to climate-related shocks is a goal of many adaptation strategies employed by
267
+ smallholders. Local safety nets built on collective action can help poor people cope with climate-
268
+ related shocks, for example, by turning to a neighbor for emergency funds or using food reserves
269
+ and seed banks. Mutual insurance schemes such as funeral societies that have traditionally served
270
+ as a coping mechanism for illness or death in the family are now being used to cope with climatic
271
+ shocks such as drought. However, local collective action is less able to deal with shocks that affect
272
+ many people in a community; for severe and widespread shocks, national or even international
273
+ assistance is needed.
274
+ Ensure that Tenure Insecurity does not Exclude the Poor from Mitigation
275
+ and Adaptation Strategies
276
+ The focus of most mitigation and adaptation programs has been on the global and national level.
277
+ For climate change policies to be sound development policies, however, the impact of response
278
+ strategies on the poor needs to be examined. In many cases, customary property rights need to be
279
+ recognized and made more secure if millions of smallholders are to benefit.
280
+ Adopting perennial crops that withstand drought and pests, sequester carbon, or hold moisture,
281
+ requires land and perhaps also water rights to guarantee a return on these investments. Secure
282
+ property rights are also important for natural resource management practices like tree planting and
283
+ Coping strategies for short-term climate-related shocks also include
284
+ reliance on collective action in disaster preparedness.
285
+ 188 Resources, Rights and Cooperation
286
+ A Sourcebook on Property Rights and Collective Action for Sustainable Development
287
+ water harvesting that involve long-term invest-
288
+ ment in land and promote sustainable use. Se-
289
+ cure tenure can also allow people to migrate or
290
+ diversify their occupations to pursue alternative
291
+ income sources. Finally, disaster preparedness
292
+ requires a certain amount of investment, not only
293
+ in public infrastructure, but also for protecting
294
+ livelihoods through practices such as seawall
295
+ containment, irrigation canals, erosion preven-
296
+ tion, and watershed management, all of which
297
+ require secure property rights.
298
+ The rise in demand for land by international fuel
299
+ developers for biofuel production can weaken
300
+ local institutions and lead to people with inse-
301
+ cure tenure losing rights to land and water re-
302
+ sources. There have been reports of land seizures
303
+ and denial of customary land rights related to
304
+ biofuel cultivation in parts of Africa (Tanzania,
305
+ Knowledge and information sharing increase
306
+ adaptation.
307
+ Mozambique), Latin America (Colombia, Brazil), India, and Papua New Guinea. Water use for
308
+ biofuel plantations is also threatening community resource bases. In other instances, land acquisi-
309
+ tions of areas considered underutilized or unused take place, even though these lands may be used
310
+ for animal grazing or fuel wood collection by the poor. Despite their contributions to climate
311
+ change mitigation, land acquisitions and land clearings for biofuel production may have detrimen-
312
+ tal impacts on the livelihoods of the resource-dependent poor.
313
+ To allow rural poor to benefit from biofuel production, an array of options for tenure security must
314
+ be available. Allowing communal systems to participate in the local biofuels market is particularly
315
+ important. For example, the Kavango Biofuel Project in Namibia is a collaborative effort between
316
+ local farmers and a Namibian company to grow jatropha on communal land. The company pro-
317
+ vides capital costs, food, and cash for the farmers to replace annual maize and millet crops with
318
+ perennial jatropha. Those community members without access to land can participate in other
319
+ jobs made available through the project, such as working in the processing plants or in product
320
+ transport.
321
+ The design of many carbon payment schemes has excluded small farmers who lack clear land
322
+ ownership. Whether new REDD schemes will affect smallholders and forest communities posi-
323
+ tively or negatively will depend on the provisions made for the allocation of benefits from carbon
324
+ trading. If the land tenure of forest-dependent communities is not secure, and governance around
325
+ land tenure is not effective, there is a danger that the benefits from REDD projects will be appro-
326
+ priated by governments, the private sector, and even conservation NGOs. Secure tenure rights will
327
+ give local people more leverage in negotiating the terms of these schemes; insecure rights could
328
+ lead to dispossession because REDD will increase land values.
329
+ As for adaptation mechanisms, property rights are critical in facilitating income diversification
330
+ because secure tenure will provide a fallback option in case the other sources fail, or can be used as
331
+ a collateral for other livelihood activities. Without secure property rights, smallholders may not
332
+ have sufficient capital or a fall-back option to support diversification.
333
+ 189The Role of Collective Action and Property Rights in Climate Change Strategies
334
+ Consider Various Levels of Governance in Designing and Choosing Mitigation
335
+ and Adaptation Strategies
336
+ The need to consider the wide-ranging effects of climate change policies and programs, including
337
+ their impact on the rural poor, calls for the participation of various levels of governance in design-
338
+ ing and choosing response strategies. For example, effective carbon payments will require interna-
339
+ tional market mechanisms to match those who wish to pay to offset their emissions with those
340
+ who will sequester carbon; national governments that will broker agreements, such as through a
341
+ Designated National Authority (DNA) as currently employed for CDM agreements; and collective
342
+ action groups to monitor compliance among local smallholders. While local collective action can
343
+ provide an effective means of measuring and ensuring compliance, whether a group will continue
344
+ to fulfill this role on an ongoing basis will depend on whether there is an incentive to do so. Long-
345
+ term participation is more likely if the group has been involved in the negotiations, has had a say
346
+ in setting the rules, and receives a substantial benefit, either for the group or its members. Experi-
347
+ ence with collective action in other types of natural resource management suggests that systems
348
+ that are developed in a top-down manner and do not engage local people in the design of rules
349
+ and systems are unlikely to create viable institutions that operate at the local level in the long run.
350
+ Additionally, local policy responses are necessary to complement national policies that do not
351
+ specify benefits or support for smallholders. This provides a caution against focusing only on na-
352
+ tional-level negotiations and systems for climate change mitigation or adaptation, because they
353
+ are unlikely to create effective institutions to execute the programs, especially among smallholders.
354
+ A range of central and local institutions, public and private, is therefore needed. Rather than
355
+ focusing exclusively on any single type of institution, policies need to develop harmonious, multi-
356
+ level governance arrangements in which multiple institutions each play a role. Through coordina-
357
+ tion among different institutions, institutional as well as ecological resilience will be created and
358
+ the poverty impacts of climate change will be targeted more effectively.
359
+ The lack of property rights will discourage people from planting
360
+ perennials that better withstand climate change, sequester
361
+ carbon and hold moisture, and require land (and water) rights to
362
+ guarantee a return on investments.
363
+ 190 Resources, Rights and Cooperation
364
+ A Sourcebook on Property Rights and Collective Action for Sustainable Development
365
+ Suggested Readings
366
+ Cotula, L., N. Dyer, S. Vermeulen. 2008. Fuelling Exclusion? The Biofuels Boom and Poor
367
+ People’s Access to Land. IIED and FAO. Rome: FAO.
368
+ Knox, A., Meinzen-Dick, R., and P. Hazell. 1998. Property Rights, Collective Action, and
369
+ Technology for Natural Resource Management. CAPRi Working Paper 1. Washington, D.C.:
370
+ International Food Policy Research Institute,
371
+ Swallow, B. and R. Meinzen-Dick. 2009. Payment for Environmental Services: Interactions with
372
+ Property Rights and Collective Action. In Institutions and Sustainability, ed. V. Beckmann
373
+ and M. Padmanabhan, eds. Dordrecht, The Netherlands: Springer.
374
+ Ruth Meinzen-Dick (r.meinzen-dick@cgiar.org) is a senior research fellow at the International
375
+ Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI) and coordinator of CAPRi. Helen Markelova
376
+ (h.markelova@cgiar.org) is a research analyst with IFPRI/CAPRi. Kelsey Moore
377
+ (kamoore@uw.edu) was a consultant to the CAPRi program.
378
+ Sourcebook on Resources, Rights, and Cooperation, produced by the CGIAR Program
379
+ on Collective Action and Property Rights (CAPRi)
380
+
data/part_2/0458045372.md ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,30 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ # Zambia [in Strategies and priorities for African agriculture]
2
+
3
+ **Source:** gardian_index
4
+ **URL:** https://cgspace.cgiar.org/rest/bitstreams/b8e7970e-7281-44d2-a77a-e3d26116e825/retrieve
5
+ **Language:** English
6
+ **Resource Type:** Scientific Publication
7
+ **Release Year:** 2012
8
+ **Rights:** N/A
9
+ **GARDIAN ID:** 1f9005657ce4c78d778cb1e40b4c6441
10
+ **DataNODE ID:** 4cd1c8d06d584a80597d5d4c4a350a0a
11
+ **Siever ID:** d31edd45-a044-4b02-8832-5b76ba226dd4
12
+ **Token Count:** 172
13
+ **Page Count:** 0
14
+
15
+ ## Keywords
16
+
17
+ economic growth, agriculture, agricultural sector, farming, poverty, livestock, rural development, public investment, agricultural growth, public expenditure, world bank, zambia, strategies
18
+
19
+ ## Geography
20
+
21
+ - **Regions:** Eastern Africa, Sub-Saharan Africa, Africa, World, Southern Africa
22
+ - **Countries:** Zambia
23
+
24
+ ## Description
25
+
26
+ Zambia was classified as a middle-income country after it gained independence in the 1960s. However, the economy deteriorated into low-income status over the next two decades, culminating in a major macroeconomic crisis in the late 1980s (World Bank 2010). The 1990s marked the advent of painful structural reforms, during which the state’s ubiquitous interventions were removed and markets were liberalized. Comprehensive agricultural reforms entailed the removal of food and input subsidies and pan-territorial maize pricing (McCulloch, Baulch, and Cherel-Robson 2001). In many parts of the country these reforms led to a reallocation of productive resources away from maize and to more naturally suitable crops (for example, cassava in Northern Province) (Zulu et al. 2000). Eventually, liberalization encouraged the emergence of new export crops, such as cotton, which is now grown by one-fifth of all farm households (Jayne et al. 2007) and is credited with having reduced poverty in Eastern Province (see McCulloch et al. 2001). However, the reforms were not universally beneficial and did not address all constraints facing smallholders (Seshamani 1999).
27
+
28
+ ## Content
29
+
30
+ Zambia was classified as a middle-income country after it gained independence in the 1960s. However, the economy deteriorated into low-income status over the next two decades, culminating in a major macroeconomic crisis in the late 1980s (World Bank 2010). The 1990s marked the advent of painful structural reforms, during which the state’s ubiquitous interventions were removed and markets were liberalized. Comprehensive agricultural reforms entailed the removal of food and input subsidies and pan-territorial maize pricing (McCulloch, Baulch, and Cherel-Robson 2001). In many parts of the country these reforms led to a reallocation of productive resources away from maize and to more naturally suitable crops (for example, cassava in Northern Province) (Zulu et al. 2000). Eventually, liberalization encouraged the emergence of new export crops, such as cotton, which is now grown by one-fifth of all farm households (Jayne et al. 2007) and is credited with having reduced poverty in Eastern Province (see McCulloch et al. 2001). However, the reforms were not universally beneficial and did not address all constraints facing smallholders (Seshamani 1999).
data/part_2/0483772714.md ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,320 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ # Assam district nutrition profile: Bongaigaon
2
+
3
+ **Source:** gardian_index
4
+ **URL:** https://cgspace.cgiar.org/rest/bitstreams/9990766e-2928-45be-93bd-268dc5440f3b/retrieve
5
+ **Language:** English
6
+ **Resource Type:** Brief
7
+ **Release Year:** 2022
8
+ **Rights:** N/A
9
+ **GARDIAN ID:** 8ba5d3c722c044ff34da2223e3619054
10
+ **DataNODE ID:** 5767b6a19ff07f96b58704a55b3523e7
11
+ **Siever ID:** a431468e-ca82-47bb-9de9-54b0efbd7ed1
12
+ **Token Count:** 1256
13
+ **Page Count:** 0
14
+
15
+ ## Keywords
16
+
17
+ malnutrition, nutrition, child nutrition, food security, households, health, maternal and child health, assam
18
+
19
+ ## Geography
20
+
21
+ - **Regions:** Southern Asia, Asia, World
22
+ - **Countries:** India
23
+
24
+ ## Content
25
+
26
+ DISTRICT NUTRITION PROFILE
27
+ BONGAIGAON | ASSAM SEPTEMBER 2022
28
+ About District Nutrition Profiles:
29
+ District Nutrition Profiles (DNPs) are available for 707 districts in India.
30
+ They present trends for key nutrition and health outcomes and their
31
+ cross-sectoral determinants in a district. The DNPs are based on data
32
+ from the National Family Health Survey NFHS-4 (2015-2016) and
33
+ NFHS-5 (2019-2021). They are aimed primarily at district administrators,
34
+ state functionaries, local leaders, and development actors working at
35
+ the district-level.
36
+ Figure 1: Map highlights district Bongaigaon
37
+ in the state/UT of Assam
38
+ Source: Adapted from Black et al. (2008)
39
+ What factors lead to child undernutrition?
40
+ Given the focus of India’s national nutrition mission on child
41
+ undernutrition, the DNPs focus on the determinants of child
42
+ undernutrition (Figure on the left). Multiple determinants of
43
+ suboptimal child nutrition and development contribute to the
44
+ outcomes seen at the district-level. Different types of
45
+ interventions can influence these determinants. Immediate
46
+ determinants include inadequacies in food, health, and care for
47
+ infants and young children, especially in the first two years of
48
+ life. Nutrition-specific interventions such as health service
49
+ delivery at the right time during pregnancy and early childhood
50
+ can affect immediate determinants. Underlying and basic
51
+ determinants include women’s status, household food security,
52
+ hygiene, and socio-economic conditions. Nutrition-sensitive
53
+ interventions such as social safety nets, sanitation programs,
54
+ women’s empowerment, and agriculture programs can affect
55
+ underlying and basic determinants.
56
+ District demographic profile, 2019 Bongaigaon
57
+ 998/1,000
58
+ Sex ratio (females per 1,000
59
+ males) of the total population
60
+ 227,195
61
+ Number of women of
62
+ reproductive age (15–49 yrs)
63
+ 15,378
64
+ Total number of pregnant
65
+ women registered for ANC
66
+ 14,176
67
+ Number of live births
68
+ 13,595
69
+ Number of
70
+ institutional births
71
+ 79,699
72
+ Total number of children
73
+ under 5 yrs
74
+ Source:
75
+ IFPRI estimates - Headcount = Prevalence x Eligible projected population for each district in 2019. Prevalence estimates: NFHS-4 (2015-16) & NFHS-5 (2019-21) state/district
76
+ factsheets, national/state reports and IFPRI estimates using unit-level data. Projected population for 2019 (children <5 yrs and women 15-49 yrs) was estimated using Census 2011
77
+ Data on number of pregnant women, live births, and institutional deliveries are from HMIS. NA: unavailable/implausible data
78
+ Citation: Singh. N., P.H. Nguyen, A. Pant, A. Christopher, M. Jangid, S.K. Singh, R. Sarwal, N. Bhatia, R. Johnston, W. Joe, and P. Menon. 2022. District Nutrition Profile: Bong-
79
+ aigaon, Assam. New Delhi, India: International Food Policy Research Institute.
80
+ Acknowledgement: Financial support was provided by the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation through POSHAN, led by the International Food Policy Research Institute. We thank
81
+ Amit Jena (Independent Researcher) for design and programming support and IFPRI research analysts for cross checks.
82
+ The state of nutrition outcomes among children (<5 years) Bongaigaon
83
+ Assam
84
+ 2016
85
+ 2020
86
+ Burden of nutrition outcomes (2020)
87
+ Indicators No. of children (<5 yrs)
88
+ Low-birth weight 12,650
89
+ Stunted 36,821
90
+ Wasted 16,099
91
+ Severely wasted 5,898
92
+ Underweight 28,134
93
+ Overweight/obesity 7,021
94
+ Anemia 55,271
95
+ Total children 79,699
96
+ 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
97
+ Low-birth weight
98
+ Stunted
99
+ Wasted
100
+ Severely wasted
101
+ Underweight
102
+ Overweight/obesity
103
+ Anemia
104
+ 14%
105
+ 16%
106
+ 39%
107
+ 46%
108
+ 24%
109
+ 20%
110
+ 13%
111
+ 7%
112
+ 33%
113
+ 35%
114
+ 6%
115
+ 9%
116
+ 34%
117
+ 77%
118
+ Note: NA refers to data unavailable for a given round of NFHS/Census.
119
+ Points of discussion:
120
+ • What are the trends in undernutrition among children under five years of age (stunting, wasting, underweight, and anemia)?
121
+ • What are the trends in overweight/obesity among children under five years of age in the district?
122
+ The state of nutrition outcomes among women (15-49 years) Bongaigaon
123
+ Assam
124
+ 2016
125
+ 2020
126
+ Burden of nutrition outcomes (2020)
127
+ Indicators No. of women (15-49 yrs)
128
+ Underweight 29,763
129
+ Overweight/obesity 38,464
130
+ Hypertension 30,899
131
+ Diabetes 28,672
132
+ Anemia (non-preg) 162,217
133
+ Anemia (preg) 7,874
134
+ Total women (preg) 15,378
135
+ Total women 227,195
136
+ 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
137
+ Underweight (BMI <18.5 kg/m²)
138
+ Overweight/obesity
139
+ Hypertension
140
+ Diabetes
141
+ Anemia (non-pregnant)
142
+ Anemia (pregnant)
143
+ 19%
144
+ 13%
145
+ 13%
146
+ 17%
147
+ 24%
148
+ 14%
149
+ NA
150
+ 13%
151
+ 48%
152
+ 71%
153
+ 40%
154
+ 51%
155
+ Note: NA refers to data unavailable for a given round of NFHS/Census.
156
+ Points of discussion:
157
+ • What are the trends in underweight and anemia among women (15-49 yrs) in the district?
158
+ • What are the trends in overweight/obesity and other nutrition-related non-communicable diseases in the district?
159
+ 2
160
+ Immediate determinants Bongaigaon
161
+ Assam
162
+ 2016
163
+ 2020
164
+ 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
165
+ Consumed IFA 100+ days (pregnant women)
166
+ Consumed IFA 180+ days (pregnant women)
167
+ Early initiation of breastfeeding (0-23 m)
168
+ Exclusive breastfeeding (0-6 m)
169
+ Continued breastfeeding (12-23 m)
170
+ Timely introduction of complementary foods
171
+ Adequate diet (0-23 m)
172
+ Dietary diversity (0-23 m)
173
+ Minimum meal frequency (0-23 m)
174
+ Eggs and/or flesh foods consumption (6-23 m)
175
+ Sweet beverage consumption (6-23 m)
176
+ Bottle feeding of infants (0-23 m)
177
+ 36%
178
+ 47%
179
+ 8%
180
+ 22%
181
+ 74%
182
+ 50%
183
+ 68%
184
+ NA
185
+ 87%
186
+ 97%
187
+ NA
188
+ NA
189
+ 13%
190
+ 15%
191
+ 29%
192
+ 35%
193
+ 32%
194
+ 24%
195
+ 37%
196
+ 33%
197
+ 6%
198
+ 7%
199
+ 12%
200
+ 25%
201
+ Note: NA refers to data unavailable for a given round of NFHS/Census.
202
+ Points of discussion:
203
+ • What are the trends in infant and young child feeding (early initiation of breastfeeding, exclusive breastfeeding, timely initiation of
204
+ complementary feeding, and adequate diet)? What can be done to improve infant and young child feeding?
205
+ • What are the trends in IFA consumption among pregnant women in the district? How can the consumption be improved?
206
+ • What additional data are needed to understand diets and/or other determinants?
207
+ Underlying determinants Bongaigaon
208
+ Assam
209
+ 2016
210
+ 2020
211
+ 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
212
+ Women with ≥10 years of education
213
+ Women 20-24 years married before the age of 18
214
+ Women 15-19 years with child or pregnant
215
+ HHs using improved sanitation facility
216
+ HHs with improved drinking water source
217
+ Safe disposal of feces
218
+ HHs with below poverty line (BPL) card
219
+ HHs with health insurance
220
+ 24%
221
+ 29%
222
+ 42%
223
+ 42%
224
+ 22%
225
+ 15%
226
+ 47%
227
+ 72%
228
+ 76%
229
+ 95%
230
+ 15%
231
+ 11%
232
+ 39%
233
+ 45%
234
+ 9%
235
+ 58%
236
+ Note: NA refers to data unavailable for a given round of NFHS/Census.
237
+ Points of discussion:
238
+ • How can the district increase women’s literacy, and reduce early marriage, if needed?
239
+ • How does the district perform on providing drinking water and sanitation to its residents? Since sanitation and hygiene play an
240
+ important role in improving nutrition outcomes, how can all aspects of sanitation be improved?
241
+ • How can programs that address underlying and basic determinants (education, poverty, gender) be strengthened?
242
+ • What additional data are needed on food systems, poverty or other underlying determinants?
243
+ 3
244
+ Trends in coverage of interventions across the first 1,000 days Bongaigaon
245
+ 2016
246
+ 2020
247
+ 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
248
+ 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
249
+ Demand for FP satisfied
250
+ Iodized salt
251
+ Pregnancy registered (MCP card)
252
+ ANC first trimester
253
+ ≥ 4 ANC visits
254
+ Weighing
255
+ Birth preparedness counselling
256
+ Breastfeeding counselling
257
+ Tetanus injection
258
+ Received IFA tab/syrup
259
+ Deworming
260
+ Food supplementation
261
+ Institutional birth
262
+ Financial assistance (JSY)
263
+ Skilled birth attendant
264
+ Postnatal care for mothers
265
+ Postnatal care for babies
266
+ Food supplementation
267
+ Health & nutrition education
268
+ Health checkup (ICDS)
269
+ Full immunization
270
+ Vitamin A
271
+ Pediatric IFA
272
+ Deworming
273
+ Food supplementation (6-35 m)
274
+ Weighing
275
+ Counselling on child growth
276
+ ORS during diarrhea
277
+ Zinc during diarrhea
278
+ Careseeking for ARI
279
+ Preschool at AWC
280
+ Health checkup from AWC
281
+ 56% 61%
282
+ 100%98%
283
+ 98% 99%
284
+ 55% 65%
285
+ 24% 34%
286
+ 99% 99%
287
+ 1% 2%
288
+ 86%81%
289
+ 88% 92%
290
+ 69% 95%
291
+ 8% 14%
292
+ 63%62%
293
+ 67% 85%
294
+ 67%32%
295
+ 70% 89%
296
+ 48% 57%
297
+ 14% 63%
298
+ 55% 57%
299
+ 31% 42%
300
+ 29% 49%
301
+ 42% 68%
302
+ 56% 65%
303
+ 21%15%
304
+ 31%20%
305
+ 70% 75%
306
+ 52%50%
307
+ 69%59%
308
+ NA NA
309
+ NA NA
310
+ 14% 47%
311
+ 55% 59%
312
+ 57% 59%
313
+ Note: NA refers to data unavailable for a given round of NFHS/Census.
314
+ Points of discussion:
315
+ • How does the district perform on health and nutrition interventions along the continuum of care? Does it adequately provide both
316
+ prenatal and postnatal services to women of reproductive age, pregnant women, new mothers and newborns?
317
+ • How has access to health and ICDS services changed over time (food supplementation, health and nutrition education and health
318
+ checkups)?
319
+ 4
320
+
data/part_2/0549955926.md ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,30 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ # Joint water quantity/quality management analysis in a biofuel production area: Using an integrated economic-hydrologic model
2
+
3
+ **Source:** gardian_index
4
+ **URL:** https://cgspace.cgiar.org/rest/bitstreams/f8cbc922-4f0f-4b3d-9a58-bee8b9fba260/retrieve
5
+ **Language:** English
6
+ **Resource Type:** Working Paper
7
+ **Release Year:** 2009
8
+ **Rights:** N/A
9
+ **GARDIAN ID:** 2cd1c6de25c966a6d04936d1b80ef2e4
10
+ **DataNODE ID:** 76ce91f798b743e96b533e66d31f4e4f
11
+ **Siever ID:** 8b90b90c-21db-4c45-938f-95c6351cd484
12
+ **Token Count:** 149
13
+ **Page Count:** 0
14
+
15
+ ## Keywords
16
+
17
+ water quality, models, modelling, biofuels, water resources, environmental impact, water management, water allocation, water, management, analysis, production
18
+
19
+ ## Geography
20
+
21
+ - **Regions:** South America, Latin America and the Caribbean, Americas, World
22
+ - **Countries:** Brazil
23
+
24
+ ## Description
25
+
26
+ Water management in the Pirapama River Basin in northeastern Brazil is affected by both water quantity and water quality constraints. The region is known for significant sugarcane-based ethanol production—which is key to the Brazilian economy and expected to grow dramatically under recent global changes in energy policy. Sugarcane production in the region goes hand in hand with controlled fertirrigation practices with potentially significant adverse impacts on the environment. To assess sustainable water allocation in the basin, an integrated hydrologic-economic basin model is adapted to study both water quantity and water quality aspects. The model results show that incorporating water quality aspects into water allocation decisions leads to a substantial reduction in application of vinasse to sugarcane fields. To enforce water quality restrictions, the shadow price for maintaining water in the reservoir could be used as a pollution tax for fertirrigated areas, which are currently not subject to pollution charges.
27
+
28
+ ## Content
29
+
30
+ Water management in the Pirapama River Basin in northeastern Brazil is affected by both water quantity and water quality constraints. The region is known for significant sugarcane-based ethanol production—which is key to the Brazilian economy and expected to grow dramatically under recent global changes in energy policy. Sugarcane production in the region goes hand in hand with controlled fertirrigation practices with potentially significant adverse impacts on the environment. To assess sustainable water allocation in the basin, an integrated hydrologic-economic basin model is adapted to study both water quantity and water quality aspects. The model results show that incorporating water quality aspects into water allocation decisions leads to a substantial reduction in application of vinasse to sugarcane fields. To enforce water quality restrictions, the shadow price for maintaining water in the reservoir could be used as a pollution tax for fertirrigated areas, which are currently not subject to pollution charges.
data/part_2/0550916300.md ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,29 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ # A Framework for analyzing institutions
2
+
3
+ **Source:** gardian_index
4
+ **URL:** https://cgspace.cgiar.org/rest/bitstreams/9d640cc7-cef7-4764-a291-c5f1dff83559/retrieve
5
+ **Language:** English
6
+ **Resource Type:** Scientific Publication
7
+ **Release Year:** 2009
8
+ **Rights:** N/A
9
+ **GARDIAN ID:** 8466135ad704ebb83312695cd891b099
10
+ **DataNODE ID:** b57aeec03b54863f04fc5380c364c609
11
+ **Siever ID:** 579060e5-1531-48b0-885f-4ee9542bef0f
12
+ **Token Count:** 101
13
+ **Page Count:** 0
14
+
15
+ ## Keywords
16
+
17
+ economic development, agricultural development, case studies, natural resources management, smallholders, poverty alleviation, economic growth, governance, collective action, common property, institutions, markets
18
+
19
+ ## Geography
20
+
21
+ - **Regions:** Sub-Saharan Africa, Africa, World
22
+
23
+ ## Description
24
+
25
+ The remainder of this book develops and applies this theory to address the challenges set out in Chapter 1, examining practical issues regarding the roles and effectiveness of markets, state action, and collective action in promoting agricultural developmental in different circumstances. Before embarking on this effort, however, we need to develop a conceptual framework for applying the theories described in Chapter 2 to analyze the evolution, functions, and economic and social outcomes of specific institutions, such as those governing the management of common property resources, those bringing players together in market exchange, or those assisting in the enforcement of credit contracts.
26
+
27
+ ## Content
28
+
29
+ The remainder of this book develops and applies this theory to address the challenges set out in Chapter 1, examining practical issues regarding the roles and effectiveness of markets, state action, and collective action in promoting agricultural developmental in different circumstances. Before embarking on this effort, however, we need to develop a conceptual framework for applying the theories described in Chapter 2 to analyze the evolution, functions, and economic and social outcomes of specific institutions, such as those governing the management of common property resources, those bringing players together in market exchange, or those assisting in the enforcement of credit contracts.
data/part_2/0569948384.md ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,25 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ # Operationalizing household food security in development projects: an introduction
2
+
3
+ **Source:** gardian_index
4
+ **URL:** https://cgspace.cgiar.org/rest/bitstreams/0cb72251-3b13-4f67-aba1-004f7c3c402c/retrieve
5
+ **Language:** English
6
+ **Resource Type:** Book / Monograph
7
+ **Release Year:** 1999
8
+ **Rights:** N/A
9
+ **GARDIAN ID:** 4e3a69263486eb6a854f454d6b43a606
10
+ **DataNODE ID:** 4e98b62469ff08e3b1ce82bf4dcb603b
11
+ **Siever ID:** 8fe847c3-5fd3-45f5-9b50-64e7bc599654
12
+ **Token Count:** 161
13
+ **Page Count:** 0
14
+
15
+ ## Keywords
16
+
17
+ development policies, food security, households, household food security, monitoring and evaluation, development projects, developing countries, nutrition, projects, information, individuals, constraints
18
+
19
+ ## Description
20
+
21
+ This introductory guide provides a brief introduction to the concept of food security. (An introduction to nutrition issues is found in Technical Guide #5.) It outlines the links between the types of projects often designed and their impact on food security and nutrition. By doing so, it provides a framework for thinking about what projects would be most appropriate in a given situation and indicates what types of information are needed in order to maximize impact on food security. It can also be the case that collaborators in developing countries are not always fully conversant with food security concepts. The material presented in this guide can also be used to sensitize such individuals. It also introduces the remaining ten guides, showing how using these can assist in easing information constraints often faced by development practitioners. By doing so, it should be possible to improve the targeting of interventions, to understand their likely effects, and to develop improved monitoring and evaluation methods.
22
+
23
+ ## Content
24
+
25
+ This introductory guide provides a brief introduction to the concept of food security. (An introduction to nutrition issues is found in Technical Guide #5.) It outlines the links between the types of projects often designed and their impact on food security and nutrition. By doing so, it provides a framework for thinking about what projects would be most appropriate in a given situation and indicates what types of information are needed in order to maximize impact on food security. It can also be the case that collaborators in developing countries are not always fully conversant with food security concepts. The material presented in this guide can also be used to sensitize such individuals. It also introduces the remaining ten guides, showing how using these can assist in easing information constraints often faced by development practitioners. By doing so, it should be possible to improve the targeting of interventions, to understand their likely effects, and to develop improved monitoring and evaluation methods.