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ULpYWCagL8gSeeOyxKul | will-the-nasdaq-composite-index-fal | Will the NASDAQ Composite Index fall below 13,000 by the end of September 2024? | null | 1,709,832,977,956 | 1,727,733,540,000 | 1,727,760,454,798 | NO | 0.01 | 2,357.264588 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
9fvvmp08gv | will-the-manifold-senate-map-stop-b | Will the Manifold Senate map stop being messed up before the election? | null | 1,728,229,150,320 | 1,730,872,740,000 | 1,730,873,741,640 | NO | 0.082233 | 295 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
pUBw0uFIpWxlHE90m3I1 | will-someone-strengthen-our-goodhar | Will someone strengthen our Goodhart's Law result? | null | 1,684,614,073,202 | 1,711,954,740,000 | 1,729,018,351,930 | NO | 0.12 | 1,312.708854 | Technology | Computing & Software |
phUNPgtR5P | will-there-be-a-break-between-chain-SzRAlhyOOd | Will there be a break between Chainsaw Man chapters 185 and 186? | null | 1,732,063,688,464 | 1,732,694,340,000 | 1,732,695,126,677 | YES | 0.384957 | 264 | Entertainment | Books & Literature |
eD6mOL25408wS2VkZikE | will-the-winner-of-2024-us-presiden | Will the winner of 2024 US presidential election be less than 6ft (183cm) tall? | null | 1,693,847,134,073 | 1,730,887,630,636 | 1,730,887,630,636 | NO | 0.448195 | 1,299.403135 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
7do87q375n | will-manifold-have-100k-in-mana-sal | Will Manifold have $100k in mana sales before the election following our sweepstakes launch? | null | 1,726,622,405,646 | 1,730,497,655,198 | 1,730,497,655,198 | YES | 0.977139 | 72,774.285443 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
AjkvD5E0JbV7NtgtrVuM | will-chatgpt-get-the-monty-sprawl-p | Will ChatGPT get the Monty *Sprawl* problem correct on Dec. 1, 2024? | null | 1,701,414,530,722 | 1,733,118,448,720 | 1,733,118,448,720 | NO | 0.113913 | 361.314106 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
7MJVbMPdT7dL8vYVQf7L | will-donald-trump-publicly-condemn | Will Donald Trump publicly condemn the death of Alexei Navalny before Election Day? | null | 1,708,309,012,547 | 1,730,782,740,000 | 1,730,787,384,647 | NO | 0.016569 | 8,965.256563 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
MAKBjUL2JfSPp9oibm5X | will-the-new-york-yankees-win-more-499c823e4499 | Will the New York Yankees win more games than the New York Mets in the 2024 MLB season? | null | 1,709,570,709,590 | 1,727,662,814,494 | 1,727,662,814,494 | YES | 0.99 | 2,442.256755 | Sports | Team Sports |
zQIpgQzdsI | will-laura-loomer-be-given-a-positi | Will Laura Loomer be given a position in Trump's government or another named Trump organization by the end of November? | null | 1,731,562,037,370 | 1,733,014,789,633 | 1,733,014,789,633 | NO | 0.012355 | 941.819689 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
c0PyyOCEq9 | daniel-penny-serves-no-time-or-trum | Daniel Penny serves no time or Trump pardons him by mid 2026 | null | 1,731,459,522,332 | 1,733,794,214,478 | 1,733,794,214,478 | YES | 0.971935 | 5,764.197295 | Politics | Domestic Policy |
3DXAyR1kNHyokAdy3JqC | experimental-how-will-bitcoin-prefo | How will Bitcoin preform in 2024? | null | 1,709,615,740,134 | 1,733,367,479,879 | 1,733,367,479,879 | YES | 0.99 | 17,642.655549 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
i05d48l0bd | is-manifold-leagues-cohort-randomiz | Is Manifold Leagues' cohort randomization coded to put friends and people with similar trading interests together? | null | 1,727,980,134,451 | 1,728,619,140,000 | 1,728,664,220,376 | NO | 0.01 | 9,394.340863 | Technology | Computing & Software |
pt1byeeqfg | will-the-first-question-of-the-2024 | Will the first question of the 2024 Vice Presidential debate be about the Iran-Israel war? | null | 1,727,805,097,313 | 1,727,836,866,885 | 1,727,836,866,885 | YES | 0.99 | 11,791.636751 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
97qiy1j0pe | will-jd-vance-still-be-trumps-vp-ca | Will JD Vance still be Trump's VP candidate on election day? | null | 1,721,717,902,408 | 1,730,847,540,000 | 1,730,906,524,782 | YES | 0.99 | 2,965.617373 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
p5h4c0YKd3VY3KPdC3Qz | will-the-fda-approve-a-drug-to-prev | Will the FDA approve a drug to prevent migraine headaches by 2025? | null | 1,703,086,048,881 | 1,735,671,952,126 | 1,735,671,952,126 | YES | 0.92259 | 221.977267 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
bg3l470mwr | will-iowas-2024-presidential-vote-b | Will Iowa’s 2024 presidential vote be left of Arizona’s? | null | 1,727,137,445,823 | 1,730,817,153,296 | 1,731,254,488,834 | NO | 0.240056 | 384.884664 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
dxpo9zwj7p | will-the-european-central-bank-ecb | Will the European Central Bank (ECB) raise interest rates in October 2024? | null | 1,726,861,695,995 | 1,729,291,278,730 | 1,729,291,278,730 | NO | 0.03 | 633.056962 | Finance | Economic Indicators |
iTViY3ZwlMR1wCmU2wsz | will-metas-smart-glasses-be-conside | Will Meta's smart glasses be considered a success or failure in Oct 2024? | null | 1,695,882,917,399 | 1,730,408,786,709 | 1,730,408,786,709 | YES | 0.753631 | 282.615631 | Technology | Mobile & Consumer Electronics |
ig7iqfewyo | will-concord-relaunch-by-the-end-of | Will Concord re-launch by the end of 2026? | null | 1,725,552,555,016 | 1,730,721,885,011 | 1,730,721,885,011 | NO | 0.409299 | 227.355195 | Sports | Professional Sports |
py4W1Q608bDXWlVhO9hb | nfl-week-13-dec-1-2024-will-the-jac | NFL Week 13 (Dec 1 2024): Will the Jacksonville Jaguars (home) beat the Houston Texans (away)? | null | 1,715,834,473,529 | 1,733,248,800,000 | 1,733,810,628,187 | NO | 0.01 | 894.987437 | Sports | Professional Sports |
MwDowHgEN26Kq2no0qO3 | will-donald-trump-still-be-alive-wh | Will Donald Trump still be alive when September ends? | null | 1,710,880,221,860 | 1,727,733,540,000 | 1,727,734,475,930 | YES | 0.99 | 7,467.24551 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
vQNwkXqkw93PKAu4mgQ0 | the-mens-official-marathon-world-re | The men's official marathon world record time will be under 2 hours by the end of 2024 | null | 1,697,356,624,291 | 1,735,649,940,000 | 1,735,670,621,057 | NO | 0.021429 | 7,828.594471 | Sports | Individual Sports |
gNqd80plCz | will-this-market-get-at-least-30-un | Will this market get at least 30 unique traders? | null | 1,733,179,736,807 | 1,733,236,860,462 | 1,733,236,860,462 | YES | 0.989216 | 10,120.717437 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
fnvex5kmbj | israel-military-response-against-ir | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | null | 1,727,868,174,745 | 1,728,141,759,305 | 1,728,141,759,305 | NO | 0.01 | 1,144.948542 | Geopolitics | Global Conflicts |
p4rxBVmoh58MwnMtnP1a | will-online-gambling-be-a-notable-i | Will online gambling be a notable issue in the 2024 US presidential election debates? | null | 1,671,748,574,698 | 1,730,678,340,000 | 1,730,753,442,669 | NO | 0.010111 | 9,743.577499 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
yq1fopdl66 | will-a-new-york-team-win-the-world--cash | Will the New York Yankees win the World Series? | null | 1,729,696,798,171 | 1,730,346,749,265 | 1,730,492,978,773 | NO | 0.010458 | 1,310.408991 | Sports | Professional Sports |
MlMo8Kz2b7HKZbKfGueP | will-china-invade-taiwan-in-the-202-54683401eb26 | Will China invade Taiwan in the 2024 October window? | null | 1,704,383,865,639 | 1,730,501,940,000 | 1,730,529,342,029 | NO | 0.01 | 1,815.960474 | Geopolitics | Global Conflicts |
of3pl472ua | will-bitcoin-be-higher-than-65850-a | Will bitcoin be higher than $65,850 at Sep 29th 5:20pm ET? | null | 1,727,644,093,668 | 1,727,644,837,248 | 1,727,644,837,248 | YES | 0.98 | 275,870.700483 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
frbyzs05rw | will-jd-vance-be-the-vice-president | Will JD Vance be the Vice Presidential candidate on Election Day 2024? | null | 1,722,358,718,411 | 1,730,926,055,270 | 1,730,926,055,270 | YES | 0.99 | 23,292.906193 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
Xi0o3HoF6vtPTibVydXI | will-the-winner-of-the-2024-preside-9611a79a6ab4 | Will the winner of the 2024 Presidential Election carry the state of Oregon? | null | 1,690,202,047,780 | 1,730,998,843,300 | 1,730,998,843,300 | NO | 0.010002 | 1,057.309618 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
1wOtpdjYH3MWaMyIZ0nL | will-donald-trump-beat-joe-biden-in | Will Trump beat Biden in every New York Times/Sienna national poll before election day? | null | 1,709,405,511,007 | 1,730,683,521,678 | 1,730,683,521,678 | YES | 0.976467 | 12,733.370258 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
o2zwrdcm4z | will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-qo04k1ilft | Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Sept 27 than it closed on Sept 20-=--5702.55? | null | 1,726,863,018,074 | 1,727,467,364,041 | 1,727,467,364,041 | YES | 0.99 | 813.472787 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
qhpOPtEpu2 | will-rory-mcilroy-and-scottie-schef--cash | Will Rory McIlroy and Scottie Scheffler win The Showdown on December 17? | null | 1,733,856,924,079 | 1,734,504,918,007 | 1,734,572,499,663 | YES | 0.990962 | 577.368036 | Sports | Individual Sports |
gdvSXWAjTxKZ2XSpf8x5 | will-a-nonpolitician-be-elected-for | Will a non-politician be elected for mayor of San Francisco in 2024? | null | 1,693,722,293,232 | 1,730,879,940,000 | 1,731,041,239,222 | YES | 0.657302 | 638.561396 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
9gqUIL02Ap | will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-08LEN5Ply5 | Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Dec 3 than it closed on Dec 2? | null | 1,733,172,065,891 | 1,733,259,746,154 | 1,733,259,746,154 | YES | 0.979009 | 1,021.720618 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
n6JWwdTbTGqW34pXbuyh | will-xi-jinping-visit-the-white-hou | Will Xi Jinping visit the White House by the end of 2024? | null | 1,683,659,641,754 | 1,735,681,797,072 | 1,735,681,797,072 | NO | 0.014605 | 37,888.226491 | Politics | Domestic Policy |
oShplIs6GhacPCu0O5V5 | will-haas-finish-the-2024-formula-1 | Will HAAS finish the 2024 Formula 1 season with more points-per-race than the 2023 season? | null | 1,708,317,831,684 | 1,734,235,330,357 | 1,734,235,330,357 | YES | 0.99 | 449.460867 | Sports | Professional Sports |
whum9iw7l7 | mlb-postseason-2024-105-nlds-game-1 | MLB Postseason 2024 ⚾️ 10/5 NLDS Game 1 Mets @ Phillies: Will there be a run scored in the 1st Inning? | null | 1,728,149,960,279 | 1,728,159,494,422 | 1,728,159,494,422 | YES | 0.99 | 9,521.506612 | Sports | Professional Sports |
L56qI9NzOy | ganare-la-siguiente-partida-de-jueg | Ganaré la siguiente partida de juego de mesa con los panas? | null | 1,734,797,521,201 | 1,734,908,340,000 | 1,734,909,551,250 | NO | 0.452489 | 10 | Gaming | Gaming Culture |
Y81hnOg4knKl57dntzIg | will-any-major-social-platform-inte | Will any major social platform integrate OpenAI’s metadata to visibly indicate AI-generated images in 2024? | null | 1,707,251,046,951 | 1,734,510,300,084 | 1,734,510,304,579 | YES | 0.99 | 16,471.053462 | Technology | Internet & Digital Services |
0adficjjzt | will-rfk-jr-be-removed-from-the-bal | Will RFK Jr be removed from the ballot in North Carolina? | null | 1,725,452,958,339 | 1,729,011,181,001 | 1,729,011,181,001 | YES | 0.98 | 14,257.730412 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
ct75KHMKUlgWwRlyHie5 | 3-the-terms-large-language-model-an | 3) The terms “large language model” and “LLM” will become less common. | null | 1,703,511,126,305 | 1,734,453,602,922 | 1,734,453,602,922 | NO | 0.01 | 8,219.475171 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
Uq9UPEd8PR | if-drallylouks-posts-her-x-income-w | If @DrAllyLouks posts her X income, will she make more than $1000 this time? | null | 1,734,731,834,706 | 1,735,032,195,694 | 1,735,032,195,694 | NO | 0.010345 | 9,795.541597 | Finance | Personal Finance |
Yp5ayf6MXWYSkGziIDkd | will-i-think-that-scheming-benchmar | Will I think that scheming benchmarks are more promising than game theory benchmarks (for defining trusted) in 1y? | null | 1,702,492,228,697 | 1,734,163,140,000 | 1,734,192,670,515 | YES | 0.629052 | 116.813259 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
s5yAzcsSlA | will-waukesha-county-vote-45-democr | Will Waukesha County, WISCONSIN vote >43% DEMOCRATIC in 2024 election? | null | 1,730,161,034,865 | 1,731,246,300,721 | 1,731,246,300,721 | NO | 0.027027 | 500 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
SeRCYby169f9BhIW4akC | will-joe-manchin-be-on-a-thirdparty | Will Joe Manchin be on a third-party presidential ticket in 2024? | null | 1,699,560,013,423 | 1,731,201,800,230 | 1,731,201,800,230 | NO | 0.01 | 6,689.943165 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
URRVFpt5WURptUSnb5jb | will-nancy-mace-be-renominated-to-u | Will Nancy Mace be renominated to US House? | null | 1,697,907,576,704 | 1,727,757,510,293 | 1,727,757,510,293 | YES | 0.92 | 929.9517 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
7t5yvmyy5w | will-joe-biden-resign-the-us-presid | Will Joe Biden resign the US Presidency before the election November 5, 2024? | null | 1,721,601,391,398 | 1,730,869,140,000 | 1,730,896,160,419 | NO | 0.020285 | 27,811.917093 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
efLFt0KKb95ptuYme7Ni | will-dade-phelan-win-in-the-novembe | Will Dade Phelan win in the November 5 Texas general election? | null | 1,709,497,771,983 | 1,730,959,140,000 | 1,730,959,584,849 | YES | 0.96 | 3,649.005667 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
2khv900wcx | will-one-candidate-win-all-7-swing | Will one candidate win all 7 swing states? | null | 1,728,803,161,490 | 1,731,059,367,575 | 1,731,059,367,575 | YES | 0.991139 | 91,797.831629 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
Lzaavs8RpXxH1vme9Kh3 | nfl-week-16-dec-22-2024-will-the-se | NFL Week 16 (Dec 22 2024): Will the Seattle Seahawks (home) beat the Minnesota Vikings (away)? | null | 1,715,834,629,628 | 1,735,074,300,000 | 1,735,164,058,325 | NO | 0.01 | 1,201.528714 | Sports | Professional Sports |
rb1nrg5u4y | will-iranproxies-bomb-major-civilia-sd1zpf0wig | Will Iran/proxies bomb major civilian infrastructure in Israel before November | null | 1,727,798,375,992 | 1,730,415,540,000 | 1,730,419,305,042 | NO | 0.010425 | 1,466.372603 | Geopolitics | Global Conflicts |
vAIEN5qvHbO172JS9RYx | nfl-week-11-nov-17-2024-will-the-te | NFL Week 11 (Nov 17 2024): Will the Tennessee Titans (home) beat the Minnesota Vikings (away)? | null | 1,715,834,246,891 | 1,731,897,116,529 | 1,731,897,116,529 | NO | 0.01 | 2,649.72448 | Sports | Team Sports |
zSpxJs3uUD5hZxWdGdpZ | will-kim-kardashian-be-in-attendanc | Will Kim Kardashian attend a Baltimore Ravens game in September 2024? | null | 1,707,427,522,619 | 1,727,658,138,023 | 1,727,658,138,023 | NO | 0.01 | 7,413.270007 | Entertainment | Celebrity & Pop Culture |
z9SxicVUAdVzdZY1EbjV | will-49ers-win-superbowl-59 | Will 49ers win Superbowl 59 | null | 1,707,715,876,392 | 1,735,343,493,149 | 1,735,343,493,149 | NO | 0.01 | 2,544.972528 | Sports | Professional Sports |
l0tSOaXlZrKRY6PVSw61 | will-ilhan-omar-win-reelection-to-t | Will Ilhan Omar win re-election to the House in 2024? | null | 1,702,662,673,746 | 1,731,212,950,095 | 1,731,212,950,095 | YES | 0.982697 | 25,946.509614 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
yQvuhs8PPa7gNNfPfmDZ | will-donald-trump-be-on-the-2024-ge | Will Donald Trump be on the 2024 general election ballot in Hawaii? | null | 1,707,334,677,362 | 1,730,282,677,915 | 1,730,282,677,915 | YES | 0.978408 | 4,383.92762 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
8lIpuuyPUE | daily-coin-flip-5050-chance | Daily Coin Flip 50/50 chance | null | 1,735,077,616,439 | 1,735,102,740,000 | 1,735,150,501,387 | YES | 0.5 | 0 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
vul52nvqkx | will-wikileaks-post-a-new-leak-befo | Will Wikileaks post a new leak before the election? | null | 1,725,724,150,366 | 1,731,214,740,000 | 1,731,214,812,509 | NO | 0.01 | 12,722.547551 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
jbxutlrwq4 | will-telegram-founder-pavel-durov-j | Will Telegram founder Pavel Durov "jump bail" and leave France before October 1st? | null | 1,724,877,871,984 | 1,727,927,940,000 | 1,727,929,978,034 | NO | 0.01 | 131,175.962109 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
ngEidcAE3XNIBQG3so6Z | 20240830-will-amd-close-above-260 | 2024-08-30: Will AMD close above $260? | null | 1,717,529,775,280 | 1,725,076,740,000 | 1,727,804,248,273 | NO | 0.01 | 942.740542 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
SNUEQpnUAQ | will-albany-teachers-strike-report | Will Albany teachers strike (report to picket lines) on Tuesday? | null | 1,730,838,425,144 | 1,731,484,740,000 | 1,731,535,102,109 | YES | 0.755099 | 126 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
6P1grAyikRQsK95tHrtX | will-ufouap-be-brought-up-by-any-ca | Will UFO/UAP be brought up by any candidate during televised debates Democratic or Republican prez primaries? | null | 1,690,408,242,102 | 1,724,731,140,000 | 1,729,484,910,961 | NO | 0.06 | 3,537.047093 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
aljundAxJ9LMlnRPm8PJ | will-the-winner-of-the-2024-preside-cd74b7b30892 | Will the winner of the 2024 Presidential Election carry Nebraska's 2nd congressional district? | null | 1,690,201,580,052 | 1,730,951,433,511 | 1,730,951,433,511 | NO | 0.010015 | 1,034.517149 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
EwpOuzClsBjv7RWkU59b | will-neurips-have-an-acceptance-rat-cede1c1082e9 | Will NeurIPS have an acceptance rate of at least 25% in 2024? | null | 1,695,633,622,489 | 1,730,415,540,000 | 1,735,624,982,252 | YES | 0.890674 | 1,914.931184 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
9BgLVfpZlOnNRPiJqa6Y | will-the-us-have-a-republican-presi | Will the U.S. have a Republican president before 2038? | null | 1,699,412,034,785 | 1,730,902,758,930 | 1,730,902,758,930 | YES | 0.935312 | 1,301.06706 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
6cctzhkfvc | is-lily-ashwood-lilyofashwood-on-x | Is Lily Ashwood (@lilyofashwood on X) an AI? | null | 1,723,910,901,343 | 1,729,245,822,494 | 1,729,245,822,494 | NO | 0.13 | 1,631 | Entertainment | Celebrity & Pop Culture |
66titfsgih | will-claude-35-opus-be-released-in | Will Claude 3.5 Opus be released in October? | null | 1,727,853,317,062 | 1,730,444,340,000 | 1,730,526,275,879 | NO | 0.01373 | 23,515.428184 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
5c2CRprHUIcdbJFH689v | will-taylor-swift-make-3-or-more-tw-1afe9a9cba0e | Will Taylor Swift make 3 or more Tweeter(X) posts in Nov 2024? | null | 1,707,011,728,204 | 1,733,029,196,395 | 1,734,029,612,089 | NO | 0.02434 | 606.854424 | Entertainment | Celebrity & Pop Culture |
q8SJ37mxqvwdDGKnd5QK | will-jimmy-cater-outlive-the-curren | Will Jimmy Carter outlive the current Pope? | null | 1,680,875,322,192 | 1,735,507,429,251 | 1,735,507,429,251 | NO | 0.01 | 6,744.380559 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
b8ozzbfkqc | one-month-from-today-will-kamala-be-9f37k7zptd | One month from today Will Kamala be above Donald Trump on Polymarket? | null | 1,726,817,052,893 | 1,729,483,140,000 | 1,729,483,571,901 | NO | 0.01 | 29,490.29208 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
3RZDS3q3ejkHoDV35kB2 | will-the-european-commission-propos | Will the European Commission propose EU regulation banning all types of cages for egg-laying hens by Oct 31st 2024? | null | 1,682,166,272,673 | 1,730,419,140,000 | 1,730,786,920,746 | NO | 0.019483 | 1,051.233497 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
7NWRmJTAMwWweQORFZ1i | will-trump-endorse-desantis-for-pre | Will Trump endorse DeSantis (for president)? | null | 1,678,503,423,490 | 1,730,851,140,000 | 1,731,322,111,604 | NO | 0.01333 | 6,820.778046 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
tKvxLCNRh4ZPwUAN38D7 | a-tesla-supercharger-in-central-nv | A Tesla Supercharger in central NV comes online through 2024 | null | 1,694,630,895,779 | 1,733,184,826,078 | 1,733,184,826,078 | YES | 0.976982 | 1,216.36535 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
ymyOR9fJJ1CJQldw34pN | will-bitcoin-hit-100000-before-the | Will Bitcoin Hit $100,000 Before The End Of 2024? | null | 1,708,709,054,817 | 1,733,418,888,910 | 1,733,418,888,910 | YES | 0.998527 | 43,442.743094 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
k90FnQ9GIVm8GvyHQhz7 | will-shine-technologies-ipo-before | Will SHINE Technologies IPO before December 31, 2024? | null | 1,691,615,769,586 | 1,735,624,740,000 | 1,735,657,797,390 | NO | 0.040007 | 286 | Technology | Tech Industry & Business |
v38wyfi86d | one-month-from-today-will-jimmy-car-2qhom4htu6 | One month from today, will Jimmy Carter still be alive? | null | 1,729,140,211,967 | 1,731,819,540,000 | 1,731,823,560,335 | YES | 0.99 | 927.794006 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
9F7u6bK6pNGW39fmzMxl | will-gladiator-2-achieve-a-tomatome | Will Gladiator 2 achieve a Tomatometer score of ≥70%? | null | 1,683,197,305,648 | 1,735,167,540,000 | 1,735,173,094,981 | YES | 0.99 | 9,322.512693 | Entertainment | Movies & Television |
lqQpaXdTvUPRWLF1xUuf | london-breed-is-reelected-mayor-of | London Breed is re-elected Mayor of San Francisco in 2024 | null | 1,690,959,274,267 | 1,731,274,924,973 | 1,731,274,924,973 | NO | 0.01 | 16,393.035516 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
t91npknjp5 | will-anyone-say-childless-cat-ladie--cash | Will anyone say "childless cat ladies" during the VP debate? | null | 1,727,813,997,825 | 1,727,837,807,596 | 1,727,894,052,121 | NO | 0.04 | 1,085.152644 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
5e39tbzv9o | will-october-2024-be-the-hottest-oc-xe4n98b94o | Will October 2024 be the hottest October ever? [NCEI] | null | 1,725,377,401,642 | 1,731,513,504,310 | 1,731,513,504,310 | NO | 0.01 | 22,959.008127 | Geopolitics | Economic Indicators |
Si1DxLpnQfU4JDEBcmtn | will-trump-ever-run-as-an-independe | Will Trump ever run as an independent in the 2024 presidential election? | null | 1,672,341,189,884 | 1,730,953,355,592 | 1,730,953,355,592 | NO | 0.019498 | 11,953.40607 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
huLFNWopJzEfLaV2817w | will-bitcoin-reach-100k-usd-before | Will Bitcoin reach $100K USD before the end of 2025? | null | 1,714,678,859,343 | 1,733,371,144,547 | 1,733,371,144,547 | YES | 0.99 | 2,557.888035 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
16FLwUCPAqQGBBcaAyxx | does-caroline-ellison-get-1-years-s | Does Caroline Ellison get >=1 years sentence? | null | 1,670,894,444,596 | 1,727,218,453,758 | 1,727,218,453,758 | YES | 0.98 | 26,765.038904 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
SrgSnl9aInDBpC50shlW | nfl-week-12-nov-24-2024-will-the-gr | NFL Week 12 (Nov 24 2024): Will the Green Bay Packers (home) beat the San Francisco 49ers (away)? | null | 1,715,834,442,151 | 1,732,656,300,000 | 1,733,810,574,640 | YES | 0.99 | 913.810705 | Sports | Professional Sports |
jUOcVBvl4LHEhkK7GBuG | will-the-raiders-trade-davante-adam | Will the Raiders trade Davante Adams in 2024? | null | 1,714,779,577,350 | 1,729,480,361,334 | 1,729,480,361,334 | YES | 0.99 | 1,332.066772 | Sports | Professional Sports |
c26fb89nsw | bounty-market-will-bounties-be-reen | Bounty market: will bounties be reenabled this week? | null | 1,728,271,601,993 | 1,728,536,386,927 | 1,728,536,386,927 | YES | 0.99 | 12,681.56057 | Gaming | Gaming Culture |
cyPMykWlDtNqIjC4sQgm | will-ted-cruz-be-backed-by-donald-t | Will Ted Cruz be backed by Donald Trump for any office he runs for? | null | 1,672,426,110,532 | 1,730,851,140,000 | 1,731,810,980,089 | YES | 0.983974 | 830.426491 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
TMT2REc2UH6frRPDRrwv | will-daniel-ricciardo-finish-ahead | Will Daniel Ricciardo finish ahead of Oliver Bearman in the 2024 WDC? | null | 1,711,642,761,079 | 1,733,671,105,996 | 1,733,671,105,996 | YES | 0.966147 | 5,837.628583 | Sports | Formula 1 |
txrcneyvfs | well-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h | Well the S&{P 500 stock index close higher on Oct 11 than it closed on Oct 4---(5751.07)? | null | 1,728,072,748,585 | 1,728,676,994,497 | 1,728,676,994,497 | YES | 0.99 | 2,435.165505 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
5OSZq5Ig9U | will-bitcoin-hit-100000-before-dec | Will Bitcoin hit $100,000 before Dec 1? | null | 1,732,230,754,980 | 1,733,029,594,977 | 1,733,029,594,977 | NO | 0.00922 | 4,803.051697 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
VN367Tfye4jUCUEZgrkZ | will-an-effective-altruist-be-the-d | Will an Effective Altruist be the Democratic Party nominee for a US Congress seat in the 2024 elections? | null | 1,674,187,702,732 | 1,731,472,869,066 | 1,731,472,869,066 | NO | 0.056324 | 708.80139 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
SOMdE8FNnNo6kJOO8M0N | will-manifold-reach-15000-daily-act | Will Manifold reach 15,000 daily active users (7-day average) before Oct 1st? | null | 1,708,423,189,534 | 1,727,765,940,000 | 1,727,886,125,306 | NO | 0.01 | 1,317,509.355551 | Technology | Internet & Digital Services |
2QptQs2yP0 | will-haoqi-score-90-or-more-on-the | Will Haoqi score 75 or more on the 2024 AMC 10A? | null | 1,730,866,871,649 | 1,730,923,140,000 | 1,731,131,738,423 | NO | 0.493133 | 427.050939 | Sports | Individual Sports |
5dfWX5Lh1DmrzZmb2R5t | will-taylor-swift-make-3-or-more-tw-64a9a6e1a55a | Will Taylor Swift make 3 or more Tweeter(X) posts in Sep 2024? | null | 1,707,011,705,284 | 1,727,755,196,395 | 1,727,788,580,730 | NO | 0.01 | 1,070.238848 | Entertainment | Celebrity & Pop Culture |
O2Pn99SRQy | -world-series-game-5-dodgers-yankee | ⚾️ World Series Game 5 Dodgers @ Yankees: Will there be a run scored in the 1st inning? | null | 1,730,291,367,547 | 1,730,333,979,953 | 1,730,333,979,953 | YES | 0.99 | 10,299.871289 | Sports | Professional Sports |
UCEg2EcIhR | will-pakistan-win-the-2nd-odi-again | Will Pakistan win the 2nd ODI against Australia in their 2024-25 tour? | null | 1,730,725,161,946 | 1,731,147,023,692 | 1,731,147,023,692 | YES | 0.842277 | 230 | Sports | Team Sports |
lviway83fm | will-trump-win-door | Will Trump win Door? | null | 1,725,747,686,565 | 1,730,872,740,000 | 1,731,257,275,535 | NO | 0.39878 | 235 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
Zk061MvIU7VfSUfcYujX | will-any-foreign-bank-loan-trump-mo | Will any foreign bank loan Trump money to pay any of his civil judgements before the general election? | null | 1,709,749,589,902 | 1,731,351,674,193 | 1,731,351,674,193 | NO | 0.125072 | 2,799.965185 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
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