balanced_200.csv

id,slug,question,firstGroup,createdTime,closeTime,resolvedTime,resolution,resolutionProbability,volume,pred_category,pred_subcategory
SqLCNO6yQq,will-the-us-impose-200-tariffs-on-e-UZRg90d0uO,Will the US impose 200%+ tariffs on european alcohol imports by the end of April 2025?,,1743015986585,1746143940000,1746148703178,NO,0.0132426661965063,1078.7173666960446,Geopolitics,Trade & Economics
echgx62svs,will-the-eighth-mission-impossible,Will the eighth Mission: Impossible film out gross Dead Reckoning Part One worldwide by the end of its theatrical run?,,1726856843003,1752027495337,1752027495337,YES,0.8370432417070253,1651.0884084993747,Entertainment,Movies & Television
t5PQQLE0pS,federal-reserve-cuts-interest-rates,Federal Reserve cuts interest rates at June 2025 FOMC meeting,,1749023801763,1750316979038,1750316979038,NO,0.01,1978.6579588703985,Finance,Economic Indicators
qE5qCyt9y2,champions-league-will-psg-advance-a,Champions League: Will PSG advance against Aston Villa?,,1742768869416,1744743600000,1744751327911,YES,0.9247689112926762,1574.0956268589484,Sports,Team Sports
4nlpu019vj,will-trump-publicly-mention-agi-or,Will Trump publicly mention AGI or Superintelligence before 2025?,,1727289168320,1735707540000,1735724192868,NO,0.0356629651701526,6569.198742491113,Politics,Public Policy & Social Issues
phq29Qqq29,will-anyone-get-charged-with-a-crim,Will anyone get charged with a crime for failing to certify the 2024 presidential election?,,1730654425620,1736236740000,1740075190344,NO,0.01,1034.6329705535577,Politics,Elections & Campaigns
6znr7fh7mm,will-any-israeli-aircraft-be-shot-d,Will any Israeli aircraft be shot down over Iranian airspace by the end of 2024?,,1728335540467,1735707540000,1739777684127,NO,0.0342386786796605,5331.041382862471,Geopolitics,Global Conflicts
jgytgofqlp,will-anthropic-release-a-strawberry,"Will Anthropic release a “Strawberry” (OpenAI 01) equivalent model by March 12, 2025?",,1726170002151,1741611571933,1741611571933,YES,0.9895849815615418,2399.431013407055,Technology,Emerging Technologies
ectafw6spf,will-an-ai-win-a-gold-medal-on-the-fc04e26738c6--cash,Will an AI win a gold medal on the IOI (competitive programming contest) before 2025?,,1726715563426,1735752347744,1735845827111,NO,0.0042121097137002,2998.6334208384906,Technology,Emerging Technologies
ctz2EdtCPQ,bitcoin-above-97k-on-february-21,Bitcoin above $97K on February 21?,,1739312586547,1740130262973,1740130262973,YES,0.9903822931348648,31880.38742543782,Finance,Markets & Trading
bRKNXg3f0EdzV2SlShQh,will-the-chinese-army-will-launch-a,Will China launch an attack on Taiwan in 2024?,,1716594389393,1735707540000,1736741035304,NO,0.0183508385968488,96012.5146532353,Geopolitics,Global Conflicts
zcEN9y5POZ,will-o3-be-added-to-the-chatbot-are,Will o3 be added to the chatbot arena leaderboard (lmarena.org) within 3 weeks of its release?,,1738968202764,1745454660620,1745454660620,YES,0.9897702373671226,16949.21191119727,Technology,Internet & Digital Services
6n9CzCcgPl,will-a-rider-who-starts-the-first-s,Will a rider who starts the first stage of the 2025 Tour de France fail to finish the stage?,,1751440916556,1751709600000,1751726751121,YES,0.677572087534616,1104.3862763260952,Sports,Team Sports
Lup0dt6tSI,was-the-plane-helicopter-crash-in-d,Was the plane - helicopter crash in DC over the Potomac intentional?,,1738209085518,1740805140000,1740865516597,NO,0.020990106287373,4702.786612401624,Geopolitics,Global Conflicts
excelfy5nd,will-bambu-lab-release-a-significan,Rumors: Will Bambu Lab release a significantly new printer in 2024?,,1720829304227,1735718340000,1735782062989,NO,0.0338419154177523,2010.0,Technology,Mobile & Consumer Electronics
AhQLzRl29O,will-the-nintendo-switch-2-or-other-ZtqdqN0hAn,"Will the ""Nintendo Switch 2"" (or other successor) be revealed before end of year?",,1730631509871,1735718340000,1735736036311,NO,0.0099999999999999,15092.715663479885,Technology,Gaming
sOOlp6Ot2u,tesla-stock-below-200-eom,Tesla stock below $200 EOM?,,1745260170478,1746124791850,1746124791850,NO,0.01,1816.2940879906448,Finance,Markets & Trading
cCgIAIpRPt,will-josh-allen-be-the-20242025-nfl--cash,Will Josh Allen be the 2024-2025 NFL MVP?,,1730485326896,1738908865690,1738908865690,YES,0.9937931497463318,2431.2986921354045,Sports,Professional Sports
px1bogbfs7,will-the-supreme-leader-of-iran-sey,Will the supreme leader of Iran (Seyyed Ali Hosseini Khamenei) be killed before the end of 2024,,1727813818626,1735682340000,1735706302365,NO,0.0145338473172596,16787.241578108937,Geopolitics,Global Conflicts
2hpyCnU8LN,india-conducts-limited-military-air,"India conducts limited military airstrikes inside Pakistan before May 5, 2025",,1745593625544,1746489540000,1746489693878,NO,0.0334307137185093,15178.468899631716,Geopolitics,Global Conflicts
gOLIRzg6l0,eric-adams-no-longer-identifies-as,"Eric Adams no longer identifies as a Democrat by December 31, 2025",,1737407961238,1744421376236,1744421393176,YES,0.99,18408.986297902546,Politics,Political Parties & Ideologies
3pz9ldxhye,will-i-saw-the-tv-glow-be-nominated,Will I Saw the TV Glow be nominated for any of the six major awards at the 97th Academy Awards?,,1724788443140,1737641173018,1737641173018,NO,0.0194690573298133,6129.0,Entertainment,Movies & Television
28hhPQ9ZIE,will-the-pittsburgh-steelers-hammer,Will the Pittsburgh Steelers hammer the Baltimore Ravens?,,1736127935836,1736654476282,1736654476282,NO,0.0040620317004856,19740.683587864605,Sports,Professional Sports
d1pyc7lyhn,will-kim-jong-un-go-abroad-in-2024--cash,Will Kim Jong Un go abroad in 2024?,,1727732633455,1735685940000,1735761724022,NO,0.0139599659522757,1060.393778599033,Geopolitics,Regional Affairs
sIO2ZUQq5C,will-there-be-at-least-1000-deaths,"Will there be at least 1,000 deaths due to direct conflict between Israel and Iran in 2025?",,1737522114469,1751679951167,1751679951167,YES,0.99,31641.57975240944,Geopolitics,Global Conflicts
EPLyNAlLAs,will-a-tax-on-unrealized-capital-ga,Will a tax on unrealized capital gains take effect in Australia by 1 July?,,1749055809818,1751327940000,1751560563400,NO,0.018965110027287,13057.235886668246,Finance,Personal Finance
2hpgPZA62Q,will-iran-hit-israel-within-11-mont,Will Iran hit Israel within 11 months of being attacked by them?,,1738417384331,1749949721525,1749949721525,YES,0.9722410544476412,1118.4105071953882,Geopolitics,Global Conflicts
CEpNPhhpAy,iaea-confirms-russian-responsibilit,IAEA confirms Russian responsibility for Chernobyl drone attack by April 1st 2025,,1739558847453,1743465600000,1743691098812,NO,0.0216191881603007,6633.931798718651,Geopolitics,Global Conflicts
LNAnAUINO6,will-trump-end-the-russiaukraine-wa-RAy2L5I05I,Will Trump end the Russia-Ukraine war within 24 weeks of his inauguration?,,1739280443863,1751925540000,1751950409044,NO,0.01,117758.19005656852,Politics,Public Policy & Social Issues
0LSNQSpghz,biden-pardons-fauci,Biden pardons Fauci?,,1733194003471,1737405402979,1737405402979,YES,0.999882242678078,321633.4887905996,Politics,Public Policy & Social Issues
Lz5qsg09h5,kai-and-speed-win-fortnite-today-fe,Kai and Speed win Fortnite today? (Febuary 4th Eastern Time),,1738693449988,1738763749216,1738763749216,NO,0.01,1438.8986764207934,Entertainment,Gaming
lhptQ9psOg,will-contrapoints-release-a-new-mai-pZuNEcA0uc,Will Contrapoints release a new mainline video essay by the end of March 2025?,,1735775339376,1742906690567,1742906690567,YES,0.9946273737588378,15270.756566075604,Entertainment,Movies & Television
PZ5n6QNUu6,wwill-nvidia-outperform-the-sp-500,Will Nvidia outperform the S&P 500 in the first half of 2025?,,1738357847240,1751439540000,1751471131403,YES,0.991184652683381,1718.4156142332413,Finance,Markets & Trading
8NLypCtqpN,in-february-will-the-israel-defence,"In February, will the Israel Defence Forces (IDF) carry out  ≥5 fatal airstrikes in Gaza whilst a ceasefire is active?",,1737124534364,1740787140000,1743534717060,NO,0.2310627997608592,4755.216204011498,Geopolitics,Global Conflicts
teqvi72e91,-2024-ncaaf-will-billy-napier-still,"🏈 2024 NCAAF: Will Billy Napier still be the head coach of the Florida Gators on Jan 1st, 2025?",,1726102937280,1735751006051,1735751006051,YES,0.99,16868.32844608061,Sports,Professional Sports
cQINqIZU6Z,will-any-democratic-senator-vote-fo,Will any Democratic senator vote for government funding bill by Friday?,,1741976054146,1742183940000,1743392567906,YES,0.999554114035691,2352.5753530583384,Politics,Domestic Policy
znhERctQyl,will-alexander-volkanovski-defeat-d,Will Alexander Volkanovski defeat Diego Lopes at UFC 314?,,1740506763471,1744578959175,1744578959175,YES,0.99,67517.63380584458,Sports,Individual Sports
qCEd5uROsc,will-there-be-at-least-one-uci-cycl,Will there be at least one UCI cycling professional road race in the Netherlands before 1 September 2025?,,1732734101288,1745207075998,1745207075998,YES,0.99,11296.12276495338,Sports,Individual Sports
OQq9ZdL80U,ncaa-basketball-2025-will-duke-flor,"NCAA Basketball 2025: Will Duke, Florida, AND Alabama all win their games on 3/14?",,1741957476386,1742011681572,1742011681572,YES,0.99,11907.867343519054,Sports,Team Sports
l8NP9t6Agh,will-iran-use-iraq-to-stage-an-atta,Will Iran use Iraq to stage an attack on Israel before the end of 2024?,,1730433624850,1735718340000,1735720963428,NO,0.0343718385803057,4658.984343296264,Geopolitics,Global Conflicts
8LP0ll2Uz5,will-houthis-escalate-their-activit,Will houthis 🇾🇪 escalate their activities again before EOY 2025?,,1739358608099,1746725414369,1747164819388,YES,0.9843225424019272,1440.9517305210222,Geopolitics,Global Conflicts
GfK2KCXVZvnZgnnF2ZeG,will-snapchat-sign-a-partnership-wi,Will Snapchat sign a partnership with OpenAI before the end of 2024?,,1717192336706,1735707540000,1735963126602,NO,0.0950217790173916,2719.13598790281,Technology,Tech Industry & Business
lRZgUUl8As,iranian-rial-reaches-1-million-to-o,Iranian rial reaches 1 million to one USD in unofficial markets by end of 2025,,1734542446989,1742304638708,1742304638708,YES,0.7794099842225266,1059.706557608766,Finance,Economic Indicators
9SI5S2sERA,will-the-movie-wicked-hit-1-billion,Will the movie “wicked” hit 1 Billion in the box office?,,1732065866588,1740815940000,1741138700911,NO,0.01,1060.133176267626,Entertainment,Movies & Television
ovilyci3c4,will-keir-starmer-call-any-view-of,Will Keir Starmer call any view of UK anti-immigration protestors “legitimate” or “genuine” by the end of 2024?,,1723136311483,1735689540000,1735794107520,NO,0.0545073884857913,33530.03303523009,Politics,Political Parties & Ideologies
ae2zu7cf9c,will-most-businesses-have-access-to-quxyykkeo4,Will most businesses have access to buy ads on an OpenAI product by 1 July 2025?,,1728161418662,1751334581124,1751334581124,NO,0.0101248170462351,102772.42609677347,Technology,Tech Industry & Business
tN996z8UcN,will-ford-q1-2025-gross-profit-exce,"Will Ford Q1, 2025 Gross Profit exceed Tesla's",,1731412179160,1746734340000,1746768136748,YES,0.991704216463726,1135.5572593813558,Finance,Corporate Finance
IQqUZhuQSc,short-fuse-will-the-ten-current-fav,[SHORT FUSE] Will the ten current favorites be tomorrow's exact Best Picture lineup? (2025 Oscars),,1737573706362,1737629940000,1737643352175,NO,0.317165945581689,1211.9627783260205,Entertainment,Movies & Television
RqdUc9E2UC,users-codeforces-rating-reaches-can,User's Codeforces rating reaches Candidate Master (1900+) by February 2025,,1733526128521,1740700800000,1740720324291,NO,0.01,1686.041971021024,Sports,Individual Sports
ZOS0sNnzQ6,russiaukraine-ceasefire-by-easter,Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by Easter?,,1742737047371,1745193540000,1745194925628,NO,0.0100636157105931,7296.772368588462,Geopolitics,Global Conflicts
buismz3qc2,will-joe-biden-ultimately-give-jimm,"Will Joe Biden ultimately give Jimmy Carter's eulogy, as per Carter's request?",,1721678625149,1737250745715,1737250745715,YES,0.99,11167.618380262911,Politics,Elections & Campaigns
jbxlw97ork,will-openai-use-a-different-name-fo,Will OpenAI use a different name for an AI model this year than the names it already used with incremental numbers?,,1726234459324,1735682340000,1741734950797,YES,0.9769434581335223,1445.611496167612,Technology,Emerging Technologies
g92z0ZC9Ip,will-david-lynch-be-alive-at-the-en-E8O2RqLnRn,Will David Lynch be alive at the end of 2025?,,1735776156670,1737052312594,1737052312594,NO,0.0099999999999999,1122.251588050015,Entertainment,Celebrity & Pop Culture
CqEgy2Z8Qz,will-fox-news-report-about-the-isra,Will fox news report about an Israeli sniper killing a young Palestinian child despite ceasefire?,,1737745433795,1740373140000,1740845224084,NO,0.010015586831093,1013.3223456750288,Politics,Public Policy & Social Issues
69hCA9up9Z,will-the-next-pope-take-a-first-tim,Will the next Pope take a first time name?,,1745336735542,1746724812244,1746724812244,NO,0.014357397775008,1631.834718895739,Politics,Government Structure
90Nldz6QSI,iran-bombs-us-military-bases-in-mid,Iran bombs US military bases in Middle East by end of June 2025?,,1750683792634,1751327940000,1751487256203,NO,0.0188481482108748,2799.815068701969,Geopolitics,Global Conflicts
l8NUULdE0z,will-novak-djokovic-be-a-finalist-a,Will Novak Djokovic be a finalist at the 2025 Australian Open?,,1736778335165,1737709288079,1737709288079,NO,0.0038275897028155,1858.358214158108,Sports,Individual Sports
Pulc8uNPhc,will-trump-announce-a-new-tariff-pa,Will Trump announce a new tariff pause by April 9th?,,1743988464196,1744220687283,1744220687283,YES,0.989226879313934,8407.811427837863,Politics,Domestic Policy
LPEZU6ZQtC,will-openai-reference-anthropics-mo,Will OpenAI Reference Anthropic’s Model Context Protocol (MCP) by the End of 2025?,,1732588409367,1743028939354,1743028939354,YES,0.9566314515217648,7052.85410137006,Technology,Emerging Technologies
25pLzIdg25,germany-withdraws-gold-from-us-in-a,Germany Withdraws Gold from US in April?,,1743837476061,1746082740000,1746083743394,NO,0.0334264435228484,6081.270036968385,Geopolitics,Trade & Economics
ZI8CsNuQsA,grok-3-api-available-to-developers,"Grok 3 API available to developers before April 15, 2025",,1740678583845,1744253294552,1744253294552,YES,0.982371683735947,1558.4361783464092,Technology,Emerging Technologies
ZQdNlAzl8N,will-the-eo-barring-transgender-us,Will the EO barring transgender US citizens from renewing passports be even partially overturned by end of 2025?,,1738632501583,1751463993693,1751463993693,YES,0.7661591309780358,4507.975365021169,Politics,Domestic Policy
nAvTzimJUQkew3sqpOLU,will-the-median-home-sold-price-in,Will the median home sold price in San Francisco be higher in April 2025 than April 2024?,,1715153313684,1747378740000,1750217842103,YES,0.6747643256119439,4429.837426695686,Finance,Economic Indicators
09u0IZdS5Q,will-a-switch-version-of-metroid-pr,Will a Switch version of Metroid Prime 2: Echoes release before March?,,1738347985567,1740787140000,1740811071930,NO,0.0114311801019889,9307.493418685242,Entertainment,Gaming
tO9u0ytpLu,will-the-reserve-bank-of-australia-CIREph2qpP,Will the Reserve Bank of Australia cut rates in February 2025?,,1738927906728,1739849525181,1739849525181,YES,0.9899484224911944,9855.0,Finance,Economic Indicators
gzugN292RN,next-pope-has-a-diacritic-in-their,Next Pope has a diacritic in their name?,,1745753130568,1746975919145,1746975919145,NO,0.01,1875.2951900824376,Politics,Government Structure
AgEl0URcCP,will-btc-hit-95000-before-the-end-o,"Will BTC hit $95,000 before the end of April 2025?",,1743496743529,1745769920919,1745769920919,YES,0.99,6424.796423336765,Finance,Markets & Trading
4dxz1c7p8f,will-toyota-announce-a-sixth-genera-xdnasn9gdf,Will Toyota announce a sixth generation RAV4 in 2024?,,1724097866556,1735718340000,1735746171934,NO,0.026270605362807,89469.68602158595,Technology,Mobile & Consumer Electronics
2ZS0858su5,will-alien-life-be-discovered-on-eu,Will Alien Life be discovered on Europa before June 30?,,1750542308340,1751291953248,1751291953248,NO,0.0121752372305798,1873.1971613259243,Geopolitics,Regional Affairs
3uyv5qt9n3,will-kirill-shevchenko-be-banned-fr,Will Kirill Shevchenko be banned from FIDE for six months or more by the end of 2025?,,1728934864058,1746982063593,1746982063593,YES,0.9891308202692872,8888.086973741538,Sports,Individual Sports
uqQd6UdC8l,will-dogecoin-reach-1-before-the-en,Will Dogecoin reach $1 before the end of the year (2024)?,,1731651364250,1735682340000,1735915765654,NO,0.0259606062210282,11842.189080236089,Finance,Markets & Trading
r3c29h8106,will-thailand-formally-join-brics-i,Will Thailand formally join BRICS in 2024?,,1718736171305,1735707540000,1735857114044,NO,0.040435449757111,7257.576134753657,Politics,Public Policy & Social Issues
uR9SOCgIRd,will-inter-beat-napoli-this-afterno,Will Inter beat Napoli this afternoon?,,1740831118492,1740950455927,1740950455927,NO,0.01,1686.2092352041836,Sports,Team Sports
83j3j2wp1a,will-apple-be-the-largest-company-i,Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap at the end of 2024?,,1718946981146,1735707540000,1735860011841,YES,0.99,4824.759724465326,Finance,Markets & Trading
N9t6htRp6p,new-pope-announced-before-may-18,New Pope announced before May 18?,,1745313239375,1746730749982,1746730749982,YES,0.99,4339.331973291138,Politics,Government Structure
6unavmpfjd,will-we-learn-that-joe-biden-has-pa,Will we learn that Joe Biden has Parkinson's disease before the end of 2024?,,1720298970505,1735718340000,1736406441514,NO,0.0126059421432498,63144.46139446399,Politics,Elections & Campaigns
9gROU6cPIl,will-brooklyn-mirage-be-open-in-tim,Will Brooklyn Mirage be open in time for Sara Landry on May 1st,,1745539150342,1746147754235,1746147754235,NO,0.01,9724.404767935615,Entertainment,Music & Audio
zyuZLOQgNL,both-lamar-jackson-and-nikola-jokic,Both Lamar Jackson and Nikola Jokic to repeat as MVP in 2024-25?,,1731295388267,1741965863209,1741965863209,NO,0.01,1268.7719948525107,Sports,Individual Sports
5uyS0h2zP8,will-south-korean-president-yoon-su,"Will South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol be in police custody before February 1, 2025?",,1735903586338,1736918139041,1736918139041,YES,0.9870963965969296,13372.153508492516,Politics,Domestic Policy
I2PnPLzUsA,will-trump-pardon-enrique-tarrio,Will Trump pardon Enrique Tarrio?,,1733497049386,1739400986384,1739400986384,YES,0.9785979212333186,4655.399350601307,Politics,Elections & Campaigns
s9s6R2CyR6,scott-alexander-publishes-a-post-on,Scott Alexander publishes a post on ACX before Tuesday midnight PST?,,1748681078374,1748879765346,1748879765346,YES,0.9899606791401092,9507.450940882554,Entertainment,Books & Literature
t2LRSSIg90,will-the-last-minute-breakdown-of-t,"Will the ""last minute"" breakdown of the Israel-Hamas ceasefire last until January 31, 2025?",,1737019433486,1737291348499,1737291348499,NO,0.0386006980253393,8924.150281475222,Geopolitics,Global Conflicts
ESzClcS2II,will-bitcoin-cross-90000-this-month,"Will bitcoin cross 90,000 $ this month ?",,1743505441707,1745373241332,1745373241332,YES,0.9802106845551533,65073.017158006776,Finance,Markets & Trading
gOhsSysEdh,will-the-rtx-5090-be-2000-usd-msrp,Will the RTX 5090 be >=2000$ USD MSRP?,,1735885298503,1736229586958,1736229586958,NO,0.0589831183505407,1110.5753689928954,Technology,Mobile & Consumer Electronics
dj01wpyf2t,will-the-trapped-nasa-iss-barry-wil,Will the trapped NASA ISS (Barry Wilmore and Sunita Williams) astronauts be brought back in a SpaceX shuttle?,,1722943609575,1742877888138,1742877888138,YES,0.99,11038.146468873734,Technology,Mobile & Consumer Electronics
qtudbliwjj,did-the-idf-intentionally-kill-isra,Did the IDF intentionally kill Israelis on October 7th as part of the Hannibal Directive?,,1720496314884,1739030116308,1739030116308,YES,0.7695371346620274,21432.58398835508,Geopolitics,Global Conflicts
NlggEy5AyC,will-proof-team-top-11-at-mathcount,will proof team top 11 at mathcounts state,,1740938989938,1742681505952,1742681505952,YES,0.99,1036.3110212339902,Sports,Team Sports
5hdESARgtz,us-nonfarm-payroll-higher-in-may-20,US non-farm payroll higher in May 2025 than April 2025?,,1746200020428,1749213221846,1749213221846,NO,0.0099999999999999,9085.874371066198,Finance,Economic Indicators
tt00NhtZzp,ras2025-will-samsung-feature-smart,RAS2025: Will Samsung feature smart glasses at the Unpacked event?,,1736520151471,1737500399000,1737639262664,NO,0.8968877727137612,6636.632952730179,Technology,Mobile & Consumer Electronics
StzOQ85yls,tariffs-on-china-above-150-by-end-o,Tariffs on China above 150% by end of June,,1744371405892,1751327940000,1751336499839,NO,0.0274814335786875,3581.1631056756137,Finance,Trade & Economics
7OAsOZv8QahwdewRy0gs,will-we-see-any-cp0-member-in-chapt-f833c4cb9781,Will we see any cp0 member in chapter 1115?,,1715267714440,1716501540000,1751069680958,YES,0.4519752815458243,8273.864989118229,Entertainment,Movies & Television
qAPqLzR6gh,will-the-clements-invitational-be-m,Will the Clements Invitational be more than an hour delayed?,,1744912365449,1745218320000,1746165637062,YES,0.9896722908942166,9737.892789417658,Sports,Individual Sports
yZ9zQu6Z6t,president-trump-will-release-jfk-fi,President Trump will release JFK files within the first week of the presidency?,,1731055108033,1738079183616,1738079190079,NO,0.01,2869.9169860681613,Politics,Domestic Policy
PdOOZtLACZ,10-year-treasury-yield-at-45-on-712,10 Year Treasury Yield at 4.5%+ on 7/1/2025?,,1749630169540,1751327940000,1751422082410,NO,0.0821107438378134,3551.8518358008005,Finance,Economic Indicators
e26aakw5my,will-the-ny-times-launch-their-zors,Will the NY Times launch their Zorse game in the US in 2024?,,1728424365725,1735718340000,1735842906409,NO,0.022179953182694,1028.0,Entertainment,Gaming
nuox4c2v42,will-yann-lecun-remain-the-head-of,Will Yann LeCun remain the head of AI at Meta (Facebook) on July 1st 2025?,,1721665347948,1751405002470,1751405002470,YES,0.9851942906104432,62369.79845110211,Technology,Tech Industry & Business
iqliqhey5n,will-the-texas-longhorns-make-it-to,Will the Texas Longhorns make it to the CFP final?,,1729455030534,1736573400000,1736575126000,NO,0.01,2646.0664640395894,Sports,Team Sports
eg6pdxigjh,will-david-zaslav-resign-or-be-fire,Will David Zaslav remain CEO and president of Warner Bros. Discovery for all of 2024?,,1723100226285,1735711140000,1735714014113,YES,0.99,10494.379328305084,Entertainment,Celebrity & Pop Culture
L98Lp6t0Z6,will-sam-fender-play-glastonbury-20,Will Sam Fender play Glastonbury 2025?,,1734051879420,1751237940000,1751383526756,NO,0.1037304151932206,2238.548686783324,Entertainment,Music & Audio
EPyC8lOPls,ronen-bar-removed-as-shin-bet-chief,"Ronen Bar removed as Shin Bet chief before April 30, 2025",,1742318423938,1745971200000,1746001785216,NO,0.0099999999999999,1132.1880622888534,Politics,Government Structure
Octct9Ry9p,will-kanye-release-a-coin-before-th,Will kanye release a coin before the new pope releases?,,1740419921594,1746721391344,1746721391344,NO,0.0099999999999999,1129.058927495291,Entertainment,Celebrity & Pop Culture
zuPLOLSnly,will-the-bank-of-canada-raise-inter-l9tn8tyE90,Will the Bank of Canada raise interest rates in Q2 2025?,,1743493405774,1751327940000,1751474906556,NO,0.0099999999999999,1003.6923504364796,Finance,Economic Indicators
RyUAUtUPRc,will-the-2025-french-open-have-a-fi,Will the 2025 French Open have a first time men's major finalist?,,1748226946652,1749223695914,1749223695914,NO,0.0099999999999999,14243.599372890129,Sports,Individual Sports
gNL85uPdsA,will-the-buffalo-bills-win-the-supe--cash,Will the Buffalo Bills win the Super Bowl in 2025?,,1730485321991,1737997980383,1737997980383,NO,0.0098809867665873,1402.7936717867078,Sports,Professional Sports
90Olqqu2gz,will-ishiba-be-prime-minister-of-ja,Will Ishiba be Prime Minister of Japan by the End of Golden Week 2025?,,1732717698907,1746543540000,1746831672321,YES,0.99,2165.6209933190894,Politics,Elections & Campaigns
UC9pu9cAhp,will-the-philadelphia-eagles-swoop-IAPZqhzypP, Super Bowl LIX: Will the Philadelphia Eagles win?,,1737943197845,1739157678861,1739157678861,YES,0.995645418067404,713956.2112450564,Sports,Professional Sports
khhzuqbefx,will-the-game-rimworld-receive-a-ne,Will the game Rimworld have a new DLC announced in 2025?,,1724611847883,1749505960872,1749505960872,YES,0.99,1131.8029100454687,Entertainment,Gaming
uLnu006AlU,tariff-on-chinese-goods-is-100-or-h,Tariff on Chinese goods is 100% or higher?,,1738620757043,1744168160554,1744168160554,YES,0.9744146349644376,13905.61739774481,Finance,Trade & Economics
glI2NUEE2A,will-labor-win-the-australian-feder,Will Labor win the 2025 Australian federal election?,,1733152152577,1746268517051,1746268517051,YES,0.989689406875274,187179.3336338905,Politics,Elections & Campaigns
ntPhN82s8E,will-the-ufl-complete-their-2025-se,Will the UFL complete their 2025 season?,,1735951933688,1749959940000,1749984419782,YES,0.9899999957517984,9192.906539572485,Sports,Professional Sports
2Od6EdECNg,will-ohio-state-beat-texas-in-the-c,Will Ohio state beat Texas in the CFB playoffs ?,,1736496748505,1736612077150,1736612077150,YES,0.9897028749458752,16352.223376734768,Sports,Team Sports
On5tNsSIyU,will-there-be-any-break-between-one-ntdRtZ9sgN,Will there be any break between One Piece chapters 1153 and 1154?,,1750701278961,1751241540000,1751246176827,YES,0.7568527604489887,14234.26618765056,Entertainment,Books & Literature
pttQ5yny6I,openai-releases-o3pro-this-week,OpenAI releases o3-pro this week?,,1749540084753,1749591195533,1749591195533,YES,0.99,1805.4402355218715,Technology,Tech Industry & Business
1qriku6ak2,will-a-la-liga-regular-season-match-4e6bn123bi,Will a La Liga regular season match be played in the United States this year?,,1723817397865,1735772340000,1735772522072,NO,0.01,10740.15228590849,Sports,Professional Sports
NIlZhzcnLy,will-iran-announceby-june-4that-it,Will Iran announce by June 4 that it has developed a nuclear weapons capability?,,1737080509271,1749129996135,1749129996135,NO,0.01,1730.5182739479533,Geopolitics,Global Conflicts
L6Rhzd0U0d,angus-taylor-leader-of-liberal-part,Angus Taylor leader of Liberal party after Dutton?,,1746269156558,1747100272537,1747100272537,NO,0.0097589322978375,10967.648419407951,Politics,Political Parties & Ideologies
9gCC60y6Ed,bbc-reports-american-deaths-from-ir,BBC reports American deaths from Iranian attacks in June 2025?,,1750719473888,1751353200001,1751392972730,NO,0.0228288091210319,62546.89123035147,Geopolitics,Global Conflicts
toi4wk169h,will-nvidia-be-the-largest-company-7kj1eys2yc,Will Nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on Juneteenth 2025?,,1718734182747,1750346656865,1750346656865,NO,0.0084040054362448,5238.240950293297,Finance,Markets & Trading
5Zp9PhC8En,ncaa-basketball-march-madness-round,NCAA Basketball 🏀 March Madness Round 1: Will BOTH Florida(v. Norfolk St) AND Houston (v.SIU Edwardsville) win by 10+?,,1742218669740,1742605143819,1742605143819,YES,0.99,9166.01503868197,Sports,Team Sports
9k9wu6u6ga,will-more-than-five-people-be-succe,Will more than five people be successfully prosecuted for the viral Chase bank check fraud?,,1725269456602,1747601940000,1749345496872,NO,0.0706367960867821,2291.0270704762565,Finance,Banking & Financial Services
ENtSIsAQ60,will-the-federal-reserve-change-the,Will the Federal Reserve change the fed funds rate in their May 6th-7th meeting?,,1746493512572,1746641006383,1746641006383,NO,0.01,56335.34568243712,Finance,Economic Indicators
ynVXMvvaemmypx9EeFUE,will-trump-face-any-significant-rep,Will Trump Face Significant Repercussions (Incarceration or Political Restrictions) from Hush Money Verdict?,,1717106554501,1736640309597,1736640309597,NO,0.01,15069.189682324271,Politics,Elections & Campaigns
EASQCht5Ut,will-there-be-an-upset-in-the-20242,Will there be an upset in the 2024-25 NFL divisional round?,,1736792319543,1737260744429,1737260744429,YES,0.99,1086.3411037442745,Sports,Professional sports
8uj95y2gpd,did-adrian-wojnarowski-retire-becau,Did Adrian Wojnarowski retire because of a scandal that will shortly be revealed about him?,,1726672677722,1740815940000,1740875518624,NO,0.1226294132047354,1812.727190805379,Sports,Sports Culture & Recreation
gygcR9Ut8P,will-the-minecraft-movie-get-over-5,Will the Minecraft movie get over 55% on Rotten Tomatoes?,,1739427276021,1744422468764,1744422468764,NO,0.0099999999999999,2260.0465930123896,Entertainment,Movies & Television
Qp6q0UtdRO,will-the-righteous-gemstones-season,"Will 'The Righteous Gemstones' Season 4 receive a Rotten Tomatoes critic score above 85% by June 1, 2025?",,1744284720843,1748822340000,1749892397186,YES,0.9886344251442498,4686.61182257901,Entertainment,Movies & Television
UOOtzz8s6U,will-the-iphone-se-debut-next-week,Will the iPhone SE debut next week?,,1738920634971,1739733878887,1739733878887,NO,0.0101090956805954,22002.640822385914,Technology,Mobile & Consumer Electronics
zx705wvc9j,will-the-nfl-202425-season-be-highe,Will the NFL 2024/25 season be higher scoring than 2023/24?,,1723930529949,1739692740000,1739747419944,YES,0.99,9261.822478380576,Sports,Professional Sports
uQQ0UELRzL,if-there-is-an-offered-ceasefire-an,"If there is an offered ceasefire and Russia doesn't accept, will the US pressure Russia in any way April 30th?",,1741859142965,1746053940000,1746101967762,NO,0.0918402901193709,16881.39148795151,Geopolitics,Global Conflicts
qhNntsL6EU,will-march-2025-be-the-hottest-marc,Will March 2025 be the hottest March ever? [NCEI],,1734106231984,1744297200000,1744552562487,NO,0.0347320516700096,17640.558354219665,Finance,Economic Indicators
oOXo53dEmCvcKkiXnPLa,will-the-aimo-artificial-intelligen,Will the AIMO (Artificial Intelligence Mathematical Olympiad) Grand Prize be won before 2025?,,1715998610033,1735685940000,1735753626906,NO,0.0880549506305362,4893.405546442774,Technology,Emerging Technologies
tstNs5tsnt,will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-gQtzNpLUEA,Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Feb 18 than it closed on Feb 14?,,1739795485064,1739912415272,1739912415272,YES,0.9738662309412494,8626.005244160597,Finance,Markets & Trading
1h8q34oqdu,trump-to-impose-60-tariff-on-china,Trump to impose 60% tariff on China in first year?,,1722688245710,1747043720530,1747043720530,YES,0.9976260058790136,38670.35605440472,Geopolitics,Trade & Economics
q6xg106zka,will-cmc-play-in-10-or-more-games-i,Will CMC play in 10 or more games in the 2024-2025 season including playoffs?,,1726290362606,1736697778362,1736697778362,NO,0.0125796234046057,7860.0,Sports,Professional sports
NZz8ttcUUt,will-the-spx-sp-500-reach-6000-by-e-Cl9yOg28NC,will the SPX / S&P 500 reach 6000 by end of June?,,1748673583368,1749222123062,1749222123062,YES,0.99,2385.612628912613,Finance,Markets & Trading
S5SdSUqIS9,will-mathieu-van-der-poel-lead-the,Will Mathieu van der Poel lead the 2025 Criterium du Dauphine after Stage 4?,,1749615210411,1749650400000,1749660871352,NO,0.3229540231497287,1372.4285714285725,Sports,Individual Sports
ycS8LRIAEy,will-mark-rober-post-a-video-by-jun,Will Mark Rober post a video by June 19th,,1748901847355,1750366961450,1750366961450,NO,0.0599999999999999,2841.976726081679,Entertainment,Celebrity & Pop Culture
p9g8CdAES8,will-trump-impose-any-sort-of-tarif,Will Trump impose any sort of Tariff on Canada by the end of February?,,1737436953871,1740709920000,1741307471032,NO,0.0142596494360809,7332.96922607515,Politics,Domestic Policy
I6t6dhPCys,bitcoin-hits-100k-1-month-into-trum,"Bitcoin hits $100k, 1 month into Trump's Second Term",,1733789161206,1738081087926,1738081087926,YES,0.99,1583.535992358155,Finance,Markets & Trading
2052tsOhZU,will-luka-doncic-get-a-triple-doubl,Will Luka Dončić get a Triple Double tonight?,,1739215982971,1739282050272,1739282050272,NO,0.0099999999999999,8969.874371066195,Sports,Individual Sports
oaiz5l6s9t,will-reddit-put-a-subreddit-behind,Will Reddit put any subreddit behind a paywall in 2024?,,1723055755741,1735718340000,1739214757884,NO,0.0611419525632763,5487.782178348949,Technology,Internet & Digital Services
4d3c2fe60v,will-the-number-of-monthly-active-u,"Will the number of monthly active users on Manifold drop between November 30th, 2024 and December 31st, 2024? ",,1721606258416,1735707540000,1736192713745,YES,0.9694397688259138,5380.959761849949,Technology,Internet & Digital Services
8n8prosolx,will-apple-release-a-homepod-powere,Will Apple release a HomePod powered with Apple Intelligence before the end of 2024?,,1718622384432,1735649940000,1735999412956,NO,0.0315855798722571,60654.60731835757,Technology,Mobile & Consumer Electronics
gP6ypIII8t,will-bitcoin-surpass-112500-before,"Will bitcoin surpass $112,500 before the end of 2024?",,1734482063325,1735707540000,1735736768726,NO,0.0128400448172946,4224.762175932696,Finance,Markets & Trading
n2UdcP0ggI,israels-current-operations-against,Israel's current operations against Iran last more than 14 days?,,1749814397245,1750748796041,1750748796041,NO,0.5708566822421595,3562.075720087864,Geopolitics,Global Conflicts
oss1pml9cq,will-there-be-a-disaster-this-year,"Will there be a disaster this year with an economic cost of over $100 billion as of December 31, 2024?",,1721237425837,1735707540000,1739773068257,NO,0.0335189472211445,19395.93707875632,Finance,Economic Indicators
s63cnkvgxu,zygmunt-solorz-dead-before-february,Zygmunt Solorz dead before February 2025?,,1728345592516,1738364340000,1738526837355,NO,0.087064889740402,2365.0,Entertainment,Celebrity & Pop Culture
hplNNh02pI,will-justin-trudeau-resign-today,Will Justin Trudeau resign TODAY?,,1736168383759,1736179902532,1736179902532,YES,0.978145169949812,55037.1382936602,Politics,Elections & Campaigns
suSNN9LpZS,will-a-tropical-or-subtropical-stor-OR98LELzzl,Will a tropical or subtropical storm be named Tony in 2024?,,1731622787024,1735718340000,1735729717997,NO,0.0116134227576256,24844.640443788085,Geopolitics,Regional Affairs
EzZStygL2u,largescale-cyber-attack-on-iran-or,Large-scale cyber attack on Iran or Israel before Aug 2025?,,1749798969196,1750356988258,1750356988258,YES,0.7782897727015452,1605.230723704345,Geopolitics,Global Conflicts
4y57ykvT7eIY4Wuty44z,will-meta-release-a-llama-3-405b-mu,Will Meta release a Llama 3 405B multi-modal open source before the  end of 2024?,,1715153506830,1735718340000,1735771252755,NO,0.0514990730896535,5782.69930773357,Technology,Emerging Technologies
ndd6f1mex2,will-curtis-yarvin-return-to-a-publ,Will Curtis Yarvin return to a public role with the Urbit project in the remainder of 2024?,,1723768398909,1735718340000,1743456286399,YES,0.778613924601596,1515.4627141057238,Technology,Internet & Digital Services
lSpAtILdIu,will-south-korea-be-under-martial-l,Will South Korea be under martial law on January 1st 2025?,,1733235197547,1735624800000,1735765904856,NO,0.0154839761470314,11710.082797689169,Geopolitics,Regional Affairs
g0s8j8znb7,will-gta6-be-delayed,Will GTA6 be delayed?,,1726101189130,1748229883524,1748229883524,YES,0.99,2472.1760972388256,Entertainment,Gaming
Ln6tzscRPu,will-silksong-be-a-switch-2-launch,Will Silksong be a Switch 2 launch title (or be available within a month of launch)?,,1739924561794,1751774340000,1751798370750,NO,0.0026026214444077,5915.721762984459,Entertainment,Gaming
dAspnCUsNC,will-bitcoin-surpass-95000-by-the-e,"Will bitcoin surpass $95,000 by the end of March 2025?",,1741001601207,1743506701550,1743506701550,NO,0.0099999999999999,1900.045369671476,Finance,Markets & Trading
7wry6bcg4k,will-the-next-long-march-6a-launch,Will the next Long March 6A launch create space debris?,,1723331440926,1735714740000,1735916588540,NO,0.1069294438108285,1905.0,Technology,Emerging Technologies
ZSQg28zuZQ,will-any-state-have-more-than-10000-zRtNRLOdsU,"Will any state have more than 100,000 customers without power (red on US Power Outage Map) before the end of 2024?",,1732412244472,1735707540000,1735742066270,NO,0.0099002207220708,24156.09816797992,Politics,Public Policy & Social Issues
s2ZNN2PEAl,will-the-minecraft-movie-get-over-5-SltuhcQC0s,Will the Minecraft movie get over 50% on Rotten Tomatoes?,,1739939882463,1744422446188,1744422446188,NO,0.01,2122.136725576653,Entertainment,Movies & Television
hzRh25stS9,pturkey-launches-major-ground-offen,Turkey launches major ground offensive into Syria before March 1st 2025,,1734941496840,1740780000000,1740787729277,NO,0.0099999999999999,1156.6630823627725,Geopolitics,Global Conflicts
6zOcnTq3aXWMItQAhOMM,will-florida-power-light-company-fp,Will Florida Power & Light Company (FPL) announce intent to build an AP1000 at Turkey Point in 2024?,,1718009559841,1735707540000,1735963015436,NO,0.0419344438992066,38528.88141206837,Technology,Emerging Technologies
QgZCLZZQtl,merab-dvalishvili-submits-sean-omal,Merab Dvalishvili submits Sean O’Malley at UFC 316?,,1748296702263,1749364895560,1749364895560,YES,0.99,1272.0062640436229,Sports,Individual Sports
UOUEgL2qqO,will-mats-applications-open-in-marc,Will MATS applications open in March?,,1742146024703,1742490400313,1742490400313,YES,0.991537676152679,10677.656332946204,Technology,Computing & Software
gEQygUsypE,will-tiktok-be-on-the-app-store-by,Will TikTok be on the App Store by Friday?,,1737505885970,1737716340000,1737825161156,NO,0.01,12759.954306790913,Technology,Internet & Digital Services
qjtbjiu91k,is-ukraines-offensive-in-the-kursk,Is Ukraine's offensive in the Kursk region a diversion?,,1723576390831,1735738944441,1735738944441,NO,0.09673955092112,4159.73728910102,Geopolitics,Global Conflicts
6RZ99CpUPt,will-trump-coin-official-trump-surp,Will $Trump coin (Official Trump) surpass the fully diluted valuation of $DOGE (Dogecoin) by April 2025?,,1737268840666,1737277478164,1737277478164,YES,0.9610689743622596,4450.0,Finance,Markets & Trading
yt2bmirad7,will-trump-sell-50-or-more-of-his-t,Will Trump sell 50% or more of his Truth Social $DJT shares by the end of 2024?,,1723418577440,1735707540000,1735780841401,NO,0.0371906468602224,5740.764427603326,Politics,Elections & Campaigns
yUqu6URtqu,will-ethereum-eth-reach-2900-in-may,"Will Ethereum (ETH) reach $2,900 in May?",,1747162917743,1748735940000,1748749937741,NO,0.01,35752.70490287284,Finance,Markets & Trading
9y1gxuntth,will-openai-dissolve-by-july-2025,Will OpenAI dissolve by July 2025?,,1719347314275,1751432340000,1751473381109,NO,0.0108444271511395,13443.801707345609,Technology,Tech Industry & Business
z08qm5fsvu,will-nvidia-nvda-end-22-at-or-above,Will Nvidia NVDA end 2/2 at or above $222 USD per share?,,1719152076271,1738558740000,1738645437871,NO,0.0098147570663862,2157.180436053517,Finance,Markets & Trading
NzQdush9h6,will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-g5glIunUnh,Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Mar 25than it closed on Mar 24?,,1742909602757,1742932815133,1742932815133,YES,0.99,35380.23778198693,Finance,Markets & Trading
zcyN0qLu2y,does-vladimir-putin-show-up-in-pers,"Does Vladimir Putin show up in person to cease fire talks in Türkiye May 15, 2025?",,1746985518144,1747408549070,1747408549070,NO,0.012063773953536,3337.456686268931,Geopolitics,International Relations
Ic520qIRpQ,will-wicked-2024-gross-750-million,"Will ""Wicked"" (2024) gross >$750 million? (worldwide)",,1732123713490,1744922131076,1744922131076,YES,0.9988592329830132,5538.454746488842,Entertainment,Movies & Television
2QCh0ZRL68,bitcoin-below-90k-in-december,Bitcoin below $90K in December?,,1733114420195,1735718340000,1735718469000,NO,0.0105233224038322,60425.98773154846,Finance,Markets & Trading
9p4wtr0tyi,will-any-1-seed-lose-on-the-first-w-rp01yrpiwl,Will any #1 seed lose on the first weekend of March Madness 2025?,,1729456480212,1742788740000,1742852900411,NO,0.03276091314333,4602.556675075938,Sports,Team Sports
8syen48a46,will-dan-clancey-still-be-ceo-of-tw--cash,Will Dan Clancy still be CEO of Twitch at the end of 2024?,,1729695622566,1735707540000,1735761690413,YES,0.984979334950764,1699.0079315981875,Technology,Tech Industry & Business
qgQUdRcl0c,pope-francis-say-urbi-et-orbi-in-pu,Pope Francis say 'Urbi et Orbi' in public this Easter?,,1744884613368,1745150488484,1745150488484,YES,0.99,1198.7294684816848,Politics,Public Policy & Social Issues
hR8lhRO9gz,do-professional-economic-forecaster,Do professional economic forecasters expect a US recession (two quarters negative GDP growth) to begin in 2025?,,1745456790092,1747404313512,1747404313512,NO,0.01,201827.8029479236,Finance,Economic Indicators
EhZqc0qqyh,will-there-be-another-major-plane-a,Will there be another major plane accident before the weekend arrives.,,1739986521641,1740073396372,1740073396372,YES,0.9889610622216384,1015.0,Sports,Sports Culture & Recreation
tShQ8R2QUn,will-elon-musk-buy-hasbro-within-6,Will Elon Musk buy Hasbro within 6 months?,,1732812655425,1748451540000,1748520292624,NO,0.01,22647.888897734792,Technology,Tech Industry & Business
tdqtntsLqO,will-there-be-any-break-between-one-8INN68q6lz,Will there be any break between One Piece chapters 1138 and 1139?,,1737904780722,1738509474520,1738509477447,NO,0.2024910269997555,12796.29717779931,Entertainment,Books & Literature
ys2cPu99AE,will-the-dow-jones-industrial-avera-ldpN9AtS8S,Will the Dow Jones Industrial Average fall more than 2000 points at any point on February 3?,,1738512174394,1738645140000,1738670072603,NO,0.0104916724809193,1322.8830131302486,Finance,Markets & Trading
zhyys5lLzO,will-barcelona-fc-win-the-champions,Will Barcelona FC win the Champions League 2024/2025?,,1742179629971,1746889846807,1746889846807,NO,0.0017382671320401,4359.689551652726,Sports,Professional Sports
tSmI97iXzTCHLh61JPTs,will-ross-ulbricht-be-pardoned-or-h,Will Ross Ulbricht be pardoned or have his sentence commuted to time served before March 2025?,,1716783511071,1737561797030,1737561797030,YES,0.9989716970643596,170564.6528690694,Politics,Public Policy & Social Issues
IIgl9NcS0s,will-jalen-hurts-score-a-touchdown,Will Jalen Hurts score a touchdown in Super Bowl LIX?,,1738332591450,1739146282029,1739146282029,YES,0.99,9821.660309298486,Sports,Professional Sports
nOq6RPZ8Qp,will-biden-have-granted-more-pardon,Will Biden have granted more pardon petitions than Trump (2017-2021)?,,1733305649982,1737500340000,1738419645830,NO,0.1049467170916886,23784.827826110675,Politics,Domestic Policy
LI5hO69LEI,trump-admin-official-held-in-contem,Trump admin official held in contempt before end of June?,,1744831625748,1751327940000,1751337638058,NO,0.0247190864338274,14132.167796514674,Politics,Domestic Policy
PR2SSuhcPu,will-the-senate-judiciary-committee-AtCg9ug8Qp,Will the Senate Judiciary Committee get to view the House Ethics Committee report on Matt Gaetz?,,1731703601710,1738483140000,1738511654660,YES,0.9900844158780612,1201.5303549678038,Politics,Government Structure
AEzO2Pzysg,iran-nuclear-deal-in-2-months,iran nuclear deal in 2 months,,1742405237972,1747713540000,1747758803636,NO,0.0099999999999999,11931.726981922428,Geopolitics,International Relations
t26AS2UAR2,will-russia-agree-to-the-ceasefire,Will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine within the next 30 days?,,1741784477358,1744408740000,1744412053876,NO,0.0082771864329755,1982.981699524366,Geopolitics,Global Conflicts
sLsUS0c9NQ,will-the-supreme-court-grant-cert-i-yP8UCqyyRq,Will the Supreme Court grant cert in Perez v. United States?,,1740596216401,1743487140000,1743515872712,NO,0.1691055756059147,1257.0,Politics,Government Structure
UpfNoFH6Q6sU3HAZ2SzR,will-scarlett-johansson-sue-openai,Will Scarlett Johansson sue OpenAI and/or Sam Altman personally in 2024?,,1716253939279,1735711140000,1735742241678,NO,0.0140167401601392,79139.72651269539,Technology,Tech Industry & Business
s7z05zlksn,will-grok-3-release-before-mamma-mi,Will Grok 3 release before Mamma Mia 3?,,1724644209504,1740369232075,1740369232075,YES,0.9849394760032844,1102.0062608038745,Entertainment,Movies & Television
6hSlnszqOO,will-o3-pro-be-released-before-apri,Will o3 pro be released before April?,,1738881404712,1743544740000,1743551043886,NO,0.01,2217.9322505259006,Technology,Mobile & Consumer Electronics
lE2c9y8q6l,war-in-ukraine-ends-by-may-9-2025,"War in Ukraine ends by May 9, 2025?",,1737993433138,1746849540000,1746869114492,NO,0.0080130955633176,3656.2758347518593,Geopolitics,Global Conflicts
PZNEuPI2Cn,national-injunctions-banned-by-the,National injunctions banned by the Supreme Court?,,1747323172934,1751037213191,1751037213191,YES,0.2667470659731061,2202.970056302553,Politics,Domestic Policy
2BAH7MUvyu2FO43UNj9g,will-one-of-the-top-10-highest-gros,Will one of the top 10 highest grossing movies of 2024 be from China?,,1715658883630,1735723767039,1735723767039,YES,0.988426160284672,1107.1331729064952,Entertainment,Movies & Television
QgLsq0OgUg,vladimir-putin-attends-brics-summit,Vladimir Putin attends BRICS Summit in Brazil July 6-7?,,1750640006062,1751935920000,1752092650108,NO,0.0099691772305978,1607.776223545775,Geopolitics,Regional Affairs
0sULs82R29,will-bluesky-have-70-million-or-mor,Will Bluesky have 70 million or more users at the end of 2024?,,1731741525095,1735707540000,1735877434807,NO,0.0100141376246804,1003.0000070760832,Technology,Internet & Digital Services
QdpyOs0Q5t,will-eric-adams-have-an-approval-ra,Will Eric Adams have an approval rating under 20% by June?,,1739236115804,1741212149095,1741212149095,YES,0.9899999999999998,1148.9115460984858,Politics,Domestic Policy