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oqhc621ary9 | false | a4Y150jRVKWdZnH0wnciZuENtjN2 | {
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} | Steve Sokolowski | 20VEF6SzC8Mzx4jS5TVR | public | contract | 1,716,489,925,845 | will-there-be-a-coherent-ai-safety | SteveSokolowski | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtc1UM2wtQThBuAPyurW8TD4Y7ydKGRN-eB7Xv8txFEH_g=s96-c | Will there be a coherent AI safety movement with leaders and an agenda in May 2029? | agz7s8qnmgd | 0.588812 | 56.733939 | NO | null |
9ofclk8xlnf | false | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | {
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} | Ziddletwix | SEkMPX5OleGguMKSG4OM | public | contract | 1,716,490,168,586 | when-will-stand-with-trump-gofundme-e04b16e76d5c | Ziddletwix | When will Stand with Trump Gofundme reach 1.5 millions donation? | fspz9agm4km | null | 309.064564 | YES | 85d4c2c6bc65 | |
2zi41i9t56y | false | Sq84uyj7audLjNIRcwPEGRelzni1 | {
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q6lr5hi5bn | false | FUccCOTtAHPByXkdRDhNp2K4DAw2 | {
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"text": "Is this more in the flavour of “one model will sometimes be able to create a coherent 5-min film” or “one model will consistently output numerous coherent 5-min films”? I would interpret it as the former. ",
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"text": " I just went down a lengthy rabbit hole reading about both forms, which turned out to be a bad idea because I could honestly see a viable argument for either at this point. my inclination is no; although it seems like the ETF is approved in principle with form 19b-4, it is just not available for the shares to be listed on the exchange until S-1 is accepted. is that your understanding as well?",
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jqs801olk9p | false | KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2 | {
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"text": " sure I don't think it's a matter of not issuing S-1, it just seems like the submitted forms needed a number of changes. if both are required for any approval, why wouldn't they hold out until all are received with amendments?",
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} | stefanie | 8DHpN28buuz71UW6YVmi | public | contract | 1,716,491,713,186 | will-the-polymarket-ethereum-etf-by | shankypanky | Will the Polymarket Ethereum ETF by May31 market resolve YES based on solely a 19b-4 SEC approval? | 7rdwy48fptr | 0.398308 | 0 | NO | null | |
s5hgwkacagq | false | KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2 | {
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"text": "notably they refer to 19b-4 as the aspect \"requiring approval\" and S-1 as \"going effective\" before trading can commence lol",
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} | stefanie | 8DHpN28buuz71UW6YVmi | public | contract | 1,716,491,899,991 | will-the-polymarket-ethereum-etf-by | shankypanky | Will the Polymarket Ethereum ETF by May31 market resolve YES based on solely a 19b-4 SEC approval? | 7rdwy48fptr | 0.398308 | 0 | NO | null | |
sdkxzlcba6o | false | FLHfNyjr8Yb13nv9jKFaU8qSF9m1 | {
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ic3s9zoc88r | false | Iiok8KHMCRfUiwtMq1tl5PeDbA73 | {
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l82cj7ln2cj | false | KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2 | {
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"text": "I mean my initial bet was No and there's a strong case for \"approved\" meaning that it has all required sign offs for trading obviously. but I think there's also a case for \"approved\" meaning the ETF is approved in principle and then just the formalities need to be confirmed so people can access it on the exchange. ",
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} | stefanie | 8DHpN28buuz71UW6YVmi | public | contract | 1,716,492,094,212 | will-the-polymarket-ethereum-etf-by | shankypanky | Will the Polymarket Ethereum ETF by May31 market resolve YES based on solely a 19b-4 SEC approval? | 7rdwy48fptr | 0.398308 | 0 | NO | null | |
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} | Rana G | 4osyMN49kEqSLESscbWZ | public | contract | 1,716,492,288,050 | will-rana-succeed-in-reaching-bmi-1 | RanaG | Will Rana succeed in reaching BMI 19 by end of November? | null | 0.68556 | 16,541.19947 | YES | null | |
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"text": " I agree with your assessment, but \"approved in principle only awaiting S-1\" implies not really approved in practice. Final approval after 19b-4 might be a foregone conclusion, but it's nonetheless not sufficient.",
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"text": "The market specifies SEC as the resolution source, and it's unlikely they will use loose language in this regard. If they approved 19b-4, but not the S-1, and said the equivalent of \"ETH ETF approved\" (and not more specific language indicating remaining steps), that'd be crazy.",
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} | Erik Bjäreholt | 8DHpN28buuz71UW6YVmi | public | contract | 1,716,492,516,895 | will-the-polymarket-ethereum-etf-by | ErikBjareholt | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxY3WjiQmTSiQyyl-djO6hzn41gfI9v4LR4-JZvrwo0=s96-c | Will the Polymarket Ethereum ETF by May31 market resolve YES based on solely a 19b-4 SEC approval? | 7rdwy48fptr | 0.398308 | 7,228.065774 | NO | null |
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} | Kakonomics | IJLhxLxYJrPfbw2GV8eG | public | contract | 1,716,492,562,904 | will-the-costs-for-creating-a-yesno | Yoae | Will the costs for creating a yes/no questions/markets of 1000 be reduced in 2024? | q4kazthrp8s | null | null | null | null | |
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"text": "Is this referring to any significant threat China poses to anyone? Or is it more specific, like the threat of a Chinese invasion of Taiwan? ",
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],
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} | Chris | aoFVJLgtMkMsc3HHVIwD | public | contract | 1,716,492,829,145 | what-news-stories-of-the-2020s-will | Christopher2001 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLNlmrsot8RrVW-AF9wedqd40iHu1i2INhUsNnbvQnrJ74=s96-c | What news stories of the 2020s will be included in respected history textbooks published in the 2050s? | null | null | 167.93351 | YES | 1b0ae9c6e21e |
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"text": " yeah I'm in the same camp as you there as well (tbc I'm just exploring a little as devil's advocate for the sake of curiosity - and I could give it another angle but it's not that important). resolving to communication from the SEC means to a release that will likely say 19b-4 was approved, or \"first step,\" etc? I do think news sites could call it approved but the SEC would be more granular. ",
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} | Bees | seWMU9Bu3WNqbN65alpN | public | contract | 1,716,492,880,691 | will-the-next-president-of-the-unit-79828d9c3dc5 | prodict | Will the next President of the United States die in office? | null | null | null | null | null | |
4k466d3xbt5 | false | 4juQfJkFnwX9nws3dFOpz4gc1mi2 | {
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