id stringlengths 8 13 | isApi bool 2 classes | userId stringlengths 28 28 | content dict | userName stringlengths 1 30 | contractId stringlengths 9 20 | visibility stringclasses 2 values | commentType stringclasses 1 value | createdTime int64 1,716B 1,720B | contractSlug stringlengths 5 48 | userUsername stringlengths 1 25 | userAvatarUrl stringlengths 50 1.03k | contractQuestion stringlengths 2 240 | replyToCommentId stringlengths 8 20 ⌀ | commentorPositionProb float64 0 50 ⌀ | commentorPositionShares float64 -0 6.25M ⌀ | commentorPositionOutcome stringclasses 2 values | commentorPositionAnswerId stringlengths 9 12 ⌀ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
y7d9ff58bc | false | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "np8aMwwuJcW0FeQ2g5iFWlENQHk1",
"label": "AlexZhao",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " it's #52. so this can resolve to 50 as the closest option",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": {
"alt": null,
"contractIds": null,
"deleteCallback": null,
"deleteNode": null,
"description": null,
"frameBorder": null,
"hideCloseButton": null,
"id": null,
"image": null,
"inputKey": null,
"language": null,
"level": null,
"src": "https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdefault%2FiME0zrIXMk.png?alt=media&token=f257f862-11ea-4f82-8bb6-d85e99ca25c5",
"start": null,
"title": null,
"tweetId": null,
"url": null
},
"content": null,
"type": "image"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Ziddletwix | ZEGYaOkcF3HYNJSHlAD3 | public | contract | 1,717,250,280,306 | what-will-be-the-approximate-rank-o | Ziddletwix | What will be the approximate rank of Lakeside School among all national private schools this year? | null | null | 1,280.43507 | YES | 610015200047 | |
r9qzgos893c | false | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "uyFbHRn5q9fq9DFSoHXIAhw7KrD3",
"label": "notarealuser",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " May is done, so I think the remaining can resolve?",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": {
"alt": null,
"contractIds": null,
"deleteCallback": null,
"deleteNode": null,
"description": null,
"frameBorder": null,
"hideCloseButton": null,
"id": null,
"image": null,
"inputKey": null,
"language": null,
"level": null,
"src": "https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdefault%2FNrPzCOPRrG.png?alt=media&token=16054871-06e9-4cf0-820c-bed0dddbda71",
"start": null,
"title": null,
"tweetId": null,
"url": null
},
"content": null,
"type": "image"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Palestine's 100 peak was May 2nd, so it resolves NO",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Ziddletwix | xSWZ4wEXnBhSKGuV1ubS | public | contract | 1,717,250,382,016 | which-of-these-terms-search-terms-w | Ziddletwix | Which of these search terms will reach a new 90 day high in the US by the end of May 2024? [Add Options] | null | null | 825.916343 | YES | 605f97a74484 | |
77bqx3jq3y | false | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "uyFbHRn5q9fq9DFSoHXIAhw7KrD3",
"label": "notarealuser",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " the peak was back in april, resolves NO ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": {
"alt": null,
"contractIds": null,
"deleteCallback": null,
"deleteNode": null,
"description": null,
"frameBorder": null,
"hideCloseButton": null,
"id": null,
"image": null,
"inputKey": null,
"language": null,
"level": null,
"src": "https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdefault%2F9TKhiwbi3J.png?alt=media&token=da7c62ba-4434-4b76-aca1-51a00e0f9fae",
"start": null,
"title": null,
"tweetId": null,
"url": null
},
"content": null,
"type": "image"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Ziddletwix | xSWZ4wEXnBhSKGuV1ubS | public | contract | 1,717,250,449,892 | which-of-these-terms-search-terms-w | Ziddletwix | Which of these search terms will reach a new 90 day high in the US by the end of May 2024? [Add Options] | null | null | 825.916343 | YES | 605f97a74484 | |
03wn0wybwwe3 | false | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "uyFbHRn5q9fq9DFSoHXIAhw7KrD3",
"label": "notarealuser",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " huge peak on may 30, resolves YES",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": {
"alt": null,
"contractIds": null,
"deleteCallback": null,
"deleteNode": null,
"description": null,
"frameBorder": null,
"hideCloseButton": null,
"id": null,
"image": null,
"inputKey": null,
"language": null,
"level": null,
"src": "https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdefault%2FsGW7p3Yu80.png?alt=media&token=25f7aaa7-28c3-4933-b0dc-180b5515aa5d",
"start": null,
"title": null,
"tweetId": null,
"url": null
},
"content": null,
"type": "image"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Ziddletwix | xSWZ4wEXnBhSKGuV1ubS | public | contract | 1,717,250,491,874 | which-of-these-terms-search-terms-w | Ziddletwix | Which of these search terms will reach a new 90 day high in the US by the end of May 2024? [Add Options] | null | null | 825.916343 | YES | 605f97a74484 | |
d9qieqqmi6t | false | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "uyFbHRn5q9fq9DFSoHXIAhw7KrD3",
"label": "notarealuser",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " the peak was back in march, resolves NO ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": {
"alt": null,
"contractIds": null,
"deleteCallback": null,
"deleteNode": null,
"description": null,
"frameBorder": null,
"hideCloseButton": null,
"id": null,
"image": null,
"inputKey": null,
"language": null,
"level": null,
"src": "https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdefault%2FMG8xBYcPcV.png?alt=media&token=0013ce55-3ced-4b26-a8f8-cd239260b42f",
"start": null,
"title": null,
"tweetId": null,
"url": null
},
"content": null,
"type": "image"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Ziddletwix | xSWZ4wEXnBhSKGuV1ubS | public | contract | 1,717,250,538,481 | which-of-these-terms-search-terms-w | Ziddletwix | Which of these search terms will reach a new 90 day high in the US by the end of May 2024? [Add Options] | null | null | 825.916343 | YES | 605f97a74484 | |
w2d0g67o1pr | false | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "uyFbHRn5q9fq9DFSoHXIAhw7KrD3",
"label": "notarealuser",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " peaked back in march, resolves NO ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": {
"alt": null,
"contractIds": null,
"deleteCallback": null,
"deleteNode": null,
"description": null,
"frameBorder": null,
"hideCloseButton": null,
"id": null,
"image": null,
"inputKey": null,
"language": null,
"level": null,
"src": "https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdefault%2F3pPwVjQ7o8.png?alt=media&token=0eb4729a-0db5-47c0-b265-a703bd825bec",
"start": null,
"title": null,
"tweetId": null,
"url": null
},
"content": null,
"type": "image"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Ziddletwix | xSWZ4wEXnBhSKGuV1ubS | public | contract | 1,717,250,583,340 | which-of-these-terms-search-terms-w | Ziddletwix | Which of these search terms will reach a new 90 day high in the US by the end of May 2024? [Add Options] | null | null | 825.916343 | YES | 605f97a74484 | |
477djw4vai2 | false | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "uyFbHRn5q9fq9DFSoHXIAhw7KrD3",
"label": "notarealuser",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " peaked in march, resolves NO ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": {
"alt": null,
"contractIds": null,
"deleteCallback": null,
"deleteNode": null,
"description": null,
"frameBorder": null,
"hideCloseButton": null,
"id": null,
"image": null,
"inputKey": null,
"language": null,
"level": null,
"src": "https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdefault%2FPXJjJHadey.png?alt=media&token=96cb1bb6-cba8-44e0-b61c-a8c585f0000d",
"start": null,
"title": null,
"tweetId": null,
"url": null
},
"content": null,
"type": "image"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "(this was a cool market! thanks for setting it up)",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Ziddletwix | xSWZ4wEXnBhSKGuV1ubS | public | contract | 1,717,250,630,869 | which-of-these-terms-search-terms-w | Ziddletwix | Which of these search terms will reach a new 90 day high in the US by the end of May 2024? [Add Options] | null | null | 825.916343 | YES | 605f97a74484 | |
19ovxif268ri | false | 2eLbfaaBmjeKLKMgnpV6TkDmCU83 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "n2lnghmjk0s",
"label": "mint",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " I know it's up to the creator, but I'd just like to say that it wouldn't be a reasonable interpretation of English to say that a parked fighter jet has been \"shot down\"",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Josh Wilkes | mn8vwsH83cg1dL6evAP4 | public | contract | 1,717,250,703,928 | will-russia-shoot-down-an-f16-over | JoshuaWilkes | Will Russia shoot down an F-16 over Ukraine before the end of 2025? | n2lnghmjk0s | 0.677797 | 209.833176 | YES | null | |
nd2ergiosa | false | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "4bJFWVY9E8QCMtL0ygDFkbfZ97y2",
"label": "DavidFWatson",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " may is over, there has been no major update here, and it can resolve NO. ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "(they've always occupied part of it, but in the comments there was clarification that they need to \"seize it significantly more than they already have\"—a quick news search reveals that there's been bluster but no substantive developments there)",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Ziddletwix | 3CGcc5LAeJR0ZKIydYbE | public | contract | 1,717,250,747,267 | will-china-attempt-to-seize-scarbor | Ziddletwix | Will China attempt to seize Scarborough Shoal by end of May | null | 0.091838 | 1,515.054621 | NO | null | |
08vs6e0xgq19 | false | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "resolves to Eilish (the dua lipa album wasn't very good imo)",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Ziddletwix | seYY7DSlBV4QUW6SckCZ | public | contract | 1,717,250,791,637 | dua-lipa-vs-billie-eilish-whose-alb-b02cc0818934 | Ziddletwix | Dua Lipa vs Billie Eilish: Whose album (releasing in May) will score higher on Metacritic? | null | null | 27,742.682586 | NO | f352c3b2944b | |
r036hrzpwnd | false | 3fZ60DMrJveoJj9AKoKcODTTTpc2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Are POW camps that follow the rules of war counted?",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Does detention in mainland facilities count?",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | MercurialGuesser | ReZ7dwhzJT61q5aX2MMu | public | contract | 1,717,250,794,084 | will-there-be-concentration-camps-i | OP | Will there be concentration camps in Taiwan before 2040? | null | 0.354589 | 74.698966 | NO | null | |
6ns38n3r9ec | false | p0cactq9vxepo3H1ZGnwhuoMOaB2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "It's June?",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | PredictordudeT | liO81A8ROlMc3gLKPK2D | public | contract | 1,717,250,822,365 | will-this-market-have-a-greater-num | PredictordudeT | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLcXY9NGAXuKZwudK-gwxb1MWVTYi1o-IlYuW8zjYbKilgi5g=s96-c | Will this market have a greater number of traders than percentage odds by June 2024? | null | 0.402743 | 161.721429 | YES | null |
0jdpc8w1pv9 | false | 6NjgcSqIYqdg4mID9976SHPNLAl2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "l8l86zx0vd",
"label": "PlasmaBallin",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " That's what I'm assuming.",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Patrik Cihal | yk2Oy6AK8j4n0Bh7mcfP | public | contract | 1,717,250,853,679 | which-of-the-following-is-true-of-e | patrik | Which of the following is true of Elon Musk? | 8sp8p4941zn | null | 1,849.456184 | NO | fdb3f2d22989 | |
cwe0q1htk7u | false | T8NlrAJopwPEGVtYNT632dG1T9w1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Am I I misremembering or didn't Oliver talk during the opening?",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Tony Gao | 87lkGGgrMKacchHN3GWr | public | contract | 1,717,250,874,225 | who-will-hold-an-event-or-a-present | TonyGao | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIpLUZiDF36FdJMiy0qk-FYuQsmXeN1d4n7tfVFMp7ZDbs=s96-c | Who will hold an event, talk, or a presentation at LessOnline 2024? | null | null | 87.659998 | YES | df1e5e16fcc5 |
4jt7iolhocl | false | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "WQJ92QkoqDPuyj6DAZ5lR6g1x573",
"label": "mods",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " ammon market (he's asked mods to resolve his), it's june 1st, the lead is 0.8 points, resolves to [0,2) option ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": {
"alt": null,
"contractIds": null,
"deleteCallback": null,
"deleteNode": null,
"description": null,
"frameBorder": null,
"hideCloseButton": null,
"id": null,
"image": null,
"inputKey": null,
"language": null,
"level": null,
"src": "https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdefault%2FEQnLV9cZ1g.png?alt=media&token=5c7f4316-db87-4160-bbbf-87375802e81a",
"start": null,
"title": null,
"tweetId": null,
"url": null
},
"content": null,
"type": "image"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Ziddletwix | vnSzmc1nEOmQqGJl2hqc | public | contract | 1,717,250,904,795 | how-much-lead-will-trump-has-over-b-82dfaa824d86 | Ziddletwix | How much lead will Trump have over Biden on June 1st, 2024? | null | null | 442.948248 | YES | 806b08a58b4a | |
6fza4sgxg1p | false | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "JEFF MITCHELL: ",
"type": "text"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "hardBreak"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": {
"alt": null,
"contractIds": null,
"deleteCallback": null,
"deleteNode": null,
"description": null,
"frameBorder": null,
"hideCloseButton": null,
"id": null,
"image": null,
"inputKey": null,
"language": null,
"level": null,
"src": "https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdefault%2FQDaqKddNht.png?alt=media&token=11ef0907-0920-4641-a6b4-ac9e485aef02",
"start": null,
"title": null,
"tweetId": null,
"url": null
},
"content": null,
"type": "image"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "THAT'S NUMBER THIRTY THREE. WITNESS HIM ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Ziddletwix | DUv8ftjMInHAbp7UgwqJ | public | contract | 1,717,251,108,376 | will-furiosa-a-mad-max-saga-2024-ha | Ziddletwix | Will "Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga" (2024) have a Rotten Tomatoes critics score >X%? | null | null | 8,209.364305 | YES | 341ff8d448a1 | |
eb82r61ydqr | false | 3fZ60DMrJveoJj9AKoKcODTTTpc2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Opposition parties have already been banned and elections have already been cancelled under martial law. There are widespread restrictions on the press. ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "What sort of actions could occur to make you resolve as a “yes”? Or is this more a question of whether the west will present him as illiberal?",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | MercurialGuesser | iFyBxunx3hPAUNm57cGH | public | contract | 1,717,251,152,149 | will-zelenskyy-be-illiberal-by-2030 | OP | Will Zelenskyy Be Illiberal by 2030? | null | null | null | null | null | |
vgo1o7w4co | false | 3fZ60DMrJveoJj9AKoKcODTTTpc2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "For those wondering, the election is in 2028.",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | MercurialGuesser | s5VKuXy8r3NxS808q275 | public | contract | 1,717,251,216,152 | will-there-be-a-change-of-power-in | OP | Will there be a change of power in China by 2025 | null | 0.152319 | 23.311483 | NO | null | |
luixqkucy | false | UhNLru5kyBYquOsZaisU2YG2RK02 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "l8l86zx0vd",
"label": "PlasmaBallin",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " I was thinking of resolving the others to the poll results but looking back I see I never made that clear. Not sure I can do that now, if everyone expects them to resolve No.",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | ClubmasterTransparent | yk2Oy6AK8j4n0Bh7mcfP | public | contract | 1,717,251,261,208 | which-of-the-following-is-true-of-e | ClubmasterTransparent | Which of the following is true of Elon Musk? | 8sp8p4941zn | null | 2,090.570122 | NO | 3492687fa606 | |
f4br2qjy8e9 | false | qnIAzz9RamaodeiJSiGZO6xRGC63 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "I don't really understand this market. Destiny is still streaming on kick regularly. Is this about whether destiny would stream on kick ",
"type": "text"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": [
{
"attrs": null,
"type": "italic"
}
],
"text": "exclusively",
"type": "text"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "?",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Agh | quqVyy8aFxshP1ZGHOqk | public | contract | 1,717,251,311,239 | will-destiny-stream-on-kick-permane | Agh | Will Destiny stream on kick permanently by June 2024? | null | null | null | null | null | |
zbtzj9tc19 | false | rcxJUyIV5MemJV3JtMSZSPjd1n53 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "y3x5ukn9bu",
"label": "FranklinBaldo",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " I did really have a lot of time, so I'll just have to suggest you reread my comment :)",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "I think the only part that might be missing is \"universal basic income\".",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Bruno | Q68NZDgtpRZbaagVJ827 | public | contract | 1,717,251,319,865 | will-brazil-lower-the-minimum-age-f | BrunoParga | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtcp4YClws611x-pjPwaG6BghkC9GDfS4J-yHY8qAoQ8z70=s96-c | Will Brazil lower the minimum age for retirement? | xjxtlv0r2g | null | null | null | null |
4k9vg9v31pw | false | j3DDsBlKwERpzRFeRIDRd5PSR6e2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "I think you meant to enter these on the two-words-anywhere version of this market",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Jim Hays | yDYbgNpoO1er14TAPm9M | public | contract | 1,717,251,358,732 | which-of-the-following-will-exactly | JimHays | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp5OSur1iRh2XJCBqWybZBd64MFALBZbO6xjTAxCmAM=s96-c | Which answers will *exactly* match a *full* New York Times front page headline before 2028? [READ DESCRIPTION] | null | null | 699.022353 | NO | 3oawkfowum |
o7hju9qprzd | false | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "WQJ92QkoqDPuyj6DAZ5lR6g1x573",
"label": "mods",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " ",
"type": "text"
},
{
"attrs": {
"id": "nvwiMP9zkuh9FQ2v8UH9xDCnSUe2",
"label": "JamesF",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " is off the site, has asked mods to resolve his markets. this can resolve NO. i'm not aware of anyone being banned for being under 18 years old.",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Ziddletwix | ih5mfBxoxZmy0h0AQfbu | public | contract | 1,717,251,660,571 | will-any-manifold-user-get-banned-f | Ziddletwix | Will any manifold user get banned for being under 18 years old before June | null | 0.023999 | 5,190.77588 | NO | null | |
xakuh9hw | false | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "mqx5cKiTKNY6m3VsR6Eiy2y4dGJ2",
"label": "BrendanTroadec",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " IPL resolves YES, everything else NO ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": {
"alt": null,
"contractIds": null,
"deleteCallback": null,
"deleteNode": null,
"description": null,
"frameBorder": null,
"hideCloseButton": null,
"id": null,
"image": null,
"inputKey": null,
"language": null,
"level": null,
"src": "https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdefault%2FnKuLhxJLyK.png?alt=media&token=0207b4a9-f6d1-4e71-8baa-e9760dd2304e",
"start": null,
"title": null,
"tweetId": null,
"url": null
},
"content": null,
"type": "image"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Ziddletwix | Y2aDWPKmCVLD4aaOwy3Y | public | contract | 1,717,251,740,006 | the-most-popular-wikipedia-article-81cd72a3d019 | Ziddletwix | The most popular Wikipedia article in May 2024? (no exclusions) | null | null | 102.952574 | NO | 3d49711ee599 | |
vq6x76acoae | false | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "yWKyDbMkNfSHZAIbK26aR58Nxji2",
"label": "AmHa",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " resolves to netanyahu",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Ziddletwix | DVzWLI8HndLbRKIZ55VV | public | contract | 1,717,251,761,702 | who-will-be-the-prime-minister-of-i | Ziddletwix | Who will be the Prime Minister of Israel on June 1, 2024? | null | null | 565.373534 | YES | 7b5a90c3e243 | |
3ospc4apwzv | false | nbI9r6hdKiT4j2qdWGK63g4UNsm1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Valves! Vaaaaaaaalves!",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Mqrius | C2J23KkfC6cJCPaCz1sy | public | contract | 1,717,251,765,218 | will-starliner-fly-before-starship | Mqrius | Will Starliner fly before Starship IFT-4? | null | 0.74618 | 0 | NO | null | |
f5mfgzxkm55 | false | oYKXAatHp3YN6vidj2KHdCFr91d2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "DKd6aEg45QV1SXzQKWXs",
"label": "ChrisEdwards",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " Marvel created a lot of different plot threads involving Kang and have clearly set up for more multiverse arcs. To ditch that entirely would be taking the MCU in a very different direction.",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | mongo | WHtNiDeC3YROGoLyKYrl | public | contract | 1,717,251,787,101 | which-actor-to-replace-jonathan-maj | mongo | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp7I_X--wyVrh_ZPix4FSV8YMpbXtxCdMU-qkPeUUA=s96-c | Which actor to replace Jonathan Majors in the role of Kang? | DKd6aEg45QV1SXzQKWXs | null | 80.500506 | NO | 024811aa4fe2 |
1m6x0kucz5m | false | BgCeVUcOzkexeJpSPRNomWQaQaD3 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "mw0bxg8xse",
"label": "TimothyJohnson5c16",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " The Senate and Gov candidates are both longtime Manchin allies. Yet he just left the Democratic Party and became an independent for seemingly no reason if it's not a calculated move to run statewide.",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Semiotic Rivalry | NrJjqVDyXkRQV9SOtm3U | public | contract | 1,717,251,825,844 | will-joe-manchin-run-for-governor-o-ypw3rg3wva | SemioticRivalry | Will Joe Manchin run for Governor of West Virginia as an Independent? | n3p5kdsyf9 | 0.223246 | 561.517349 | YES | null | |
28u4qwclva4h | false | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "STaLEOG3qgOevr1cXRzMUhwswMC2",
"label": "ColeWyeth",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " I believe this resolves to \"Iranian prison\" ",
"type": "text"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": [
{
"attrs": {
"class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decoration-primary-400",
"href": "https://www.rferl.org/a/iran-rapper-tataloo-sentenced-undisclosed-charges/32961249.html",
"target": "_blank"
},
"type": "link"
}
],
"text": "https://www.rferl.org/a/iran-rapper-tataloo-sentenced-undisclosed-charges/32961249.html",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Ziddletwix | irxUjgfSIjWjxTvmOaWU | public | contract | 1,717,251,848,863 | what-will-happen-to-amir-tataloo-by | Ziddletwix | What will happen to Amir Tataloo by June 2024? | null | null | 71.635017 | YES | 2b9571d46374 | |
k0wkuka4px | false | lcRGsjN51pbwM4T0sAwOVu01fPg1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Interesting! This could have resolved yes due to the Gaza aid pier construction, but Biden ordered troops not to step foot on the Gaza shore. (via Times of Israel)",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Laya | 5aGCPGV8OLil7UpbyQBr | public | contract | 1,717,251,910,250 | will-there-be-900-us-army-soldiers | Laya | Will there be 900+ US Army soldiers on the ground in Israel or Gaza by June 1 2024? | null | 0.084613 | 160.33598 | NO | null | |
u8sruj0daj | false | qNyAyreBy9QUeN5RwQSTSFIrLU12 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "They're loading up on the launchpad and this market's below 60%, really says something about the collective confidence in this vehicle.",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | robm | C2J23KkfC6cJCPaCz1sy | public | contract | 1,717,251,976,530 | will-starliner-fly-before-starship | robm | Will Starliner fly before Starship IFT-4? | null | null | null | null | null | |
k7bd1vgvarh | false | 3fZ60DMrJveoJj9AKoKcODTTTpc2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "To clarify, where would welfare/incentive payments to families sit? ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Also, where does the general practice of surrogate mothers come in? It’s illegal in China, but if it’s legalised (or an underground ring is found), will this question resolve to “yes” if 200 people (‘civil society’) used surrogates?",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | MercurialGuesser | W3qVU2bAjiqS9HL3TONR | public | contract | 1,717,252,053,380 | the-ccp-itself-will-directly-produc | OP | The CCP itself will directly produce and raise children | null | 0.312037 | 70.401274 | NO | null | |
b6jb9fjlyq5 | false | W02e6ok1haOPFbK9dv14zzIdBb03 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "\"Or otherwise\" is problematic to me.",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Frederick Norris | ZD7bzVqwUAZEJ5SlnY3w | public | contract | 1,717,252,182,740 | if-trump-wins-the-election-will-viv | FrederickNorris | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtc1nG8JLEomMagK6stKR9jLtLP2h-QTJkMxC9Qz-tJy8A=s96-c | If Trump wins the election, will Vivek Ramaswamy be given a government position (cabinet or otherwise) by EOY 2025? | null | null | null | null | null |
q0cypvrbj1 | false | nbI9r6hdKiT4j2qdWGK63g4UNsm1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "To be fair a lot about it is new.",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "But yes.",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Mqrius | C2J23KkfC6cJCPaCz1sy | public | contract | 1,717,252,222,177 | will-starliner-fly-before-starship | Mqrius | Will Starliner fly before Starship IFT-4? | u8sruj0daj | 0.74618 | 0 | NO | null | |
1g161rekv0k | false | EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "zbtzj9tc19",
"label": "BrunoParga",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " Thanks for the suggestion, but charades isn't really my thing.",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Franklin Baldo | Q68NZDgtpRZbaagVJ827 | public | contract | 1,717,252,236,882 | will-brazil-lower-the-minimum-age-f | FranklinBaldo | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucry6frpI5BKtmRvdVqmUQnkFdfnFn-LeH3bdV64feY=s96-c | Will Brazil lower the minimum age for retirement? | xjxtlv0r2g | null | 89.041388 | NO | 5zv02bbw0s |
o4n047iggfc | false | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "lmao",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Ziddletwix | kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx | public | contract | 1,717,252,324,429 | what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene | Ziddletwix | Manifest 2024 Prop Bets | null | null | 1,223.631451 | NO | 9dbcde390667 | |
fu2svrb7rj | false | nbI9r6hdKiT4j2qdWGK63g4UNsm1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "q0cypvrbj1",
"label": "Mqrius",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " (Also tbh I just decided to take my limited win and run, not sure if I wanna babysit this bet, considering going to touch grass instead)",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Mqrius | C2J23KkfC6cJCPaCz1sy | public | contract | 1,717,252,350,636 | will-starliner-fly-before-starship | Mqrius | Will Starliner fly before Starship IFT-4? | u8sruj0daj | 0.74618 | 0 | NO | null | |
xq2w9q3hdyk | false | JlVpsgzLsbOUT4pajswVMr0ZzmM2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "o4n047iggfc",
"label": "Ziddletwix",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " Oh hey are you here?",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Joshua | kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx | public | contract | 1,717,252,352,459 | what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene | Joshua | Manifest 2024 Prop Bets | o4n047iggfc | null | 39.416532 | NO | a3a1c1011005 | |
vp698if1crm | false | 3fZ60DMrJveoJj9AKoKcODTTTpc2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "This means formal notice of withdrawal given, rather than suspending operations with it?",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | MercurialGuesser | 8TKYmIKaJsxy5XPqZs9k | public | contract | 1,717,252,410,568 | will-armenia-withdraw-from-the-coll-0a455eae5eac | OP | Will Armenia withdraw from the Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO) by the end of 2027? | null | 0.806052 | 94.156528 | NO | null | |
sgsprzj00x | false | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "xq2w9q3hdyk",
"label": "Joshua",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " Nope not getting there til Friday, just Manifest for me! (I mean I'll be not that far away for family stuff, but that's just because I live in the bay area). LO looks fun! ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Ziddletwix | kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx | public | contract | 1,717,252,426,041 | what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene | Ziddletwix | Manifest 2024 Prop Bets | o4n047iggfc | null | 1,796.538128 | NO | 9dbcde390667 | |
j54u94qzd5 | false | OEbsAczmbBc4Sl1bacYZNPJLLLc2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "kgmernpi65e",
"label": "ErwinRossen",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " Time Zone is stated in the description.",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | SirCryptomind | DsZQy2YXZILFW6bbAWQQ | public | contract | 1,717,252,517,710 | how-many-spacex-launches-will-occur-7466ab05ac98 | SirCryptomind | 🚀 How Many SPACEX Launches Will Occur During May 2024? | dh2kvbtux65 | null | 0 | NO | 049ba686f9ff | |
8bpo617ook3 | false | oErqbndZHmbaRJNtMqJ1IzFX7Gu2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "If this is truly conditionally based on models up to GPT4 as stated (those released on or before Apr 11, 2023), I don't see this happening",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Stephen Stroup | ZI9cj9TfYJjjbVR8pFux | public | contract | 1,717,252,544,581 | will-an-agentized-llm-cause-some-ch | StephenStroup | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLv5ULXPgEZROx3C453JFMWQ4dNJdSxstlUNzm_TYDxdK08iapzag=s96-c | Will an agentized LLM cause some chaos? | null | null | null | null | null |
q1t284m81d | false | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "WQJ92QkoqDPuyj6DAZ5lR6g1x573",
"label": "mods",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " mattyb market, so mods will need to resolve. quick clarification—I'm assuming a big group photo (like one i saw for last year) counts right? it doesn't have to be a pic taken explicitly for this market?",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Ziddletwix | uXAscPxSyspYj0QEZ9FY | public | contract | 1,717,252,580,677 | manifest-multiperson-mixer-bingo | Ziddletwix | Manifest Multi-Person Mixer Bingo! | null | null | 17.142857 | YES | 918c9e0116c1 | |
casbbw47o6d | false | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "q1t284m81d",
"label": "Ziddletwix",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " and ",
"type": "text"
},
{
"attrs": {
"id": "JlVpsgzLsbOUT4pajswVMr0ZzmM2",
"label": "Joshua",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " could maybe add this to the manifest dashboard, if mods plan to run this market?",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Ziddletwix | uXAscPxSyspYj0QEZ9FY | public | contract | 1,717,252,600,660 | manifest-multiperson-mixer-bingo | Ziddletwix | Manifest Multi-Person Mixer Bingo! | q1t284m81d | null | 17.142857 | YES | 918c9e0116c1 | |
jqrwz3b2qb | false | rcxJUyIV5MemJV3JtMSZSPjd1n53 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "1g161rekv0k",
"label": "FranklinBaldo",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " UBI smart, lower retirement age dumb.",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Bruno | Q68NZDgtpRZbaagVJ827 | public | contract | 1,717,252,641,762 | will-brazil-lower-the-minimum-age-f | BrunoParga | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtcp4YClws611x-pjPwaG6BghkC9GDfS4J-yHY8qAoQ8z70=s96-c | Will Brazil lower the minimum age for retirement? | xjxtlv0r2g | null | null | null | null |
7trzapqoaly | false | rcxJUyIV5MemJV3JtMSZSPjd1n53 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "The description as currently written is confusing. What I get from it is:",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "The question resolves YES whenever jury selection starts in any of the mentioned cases, and if it still hasn't resolved on November 5 it resolves NO.",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Bruno | 0eyHWQbaW9qLWJzy9761 | public | contract | 1,717,252,882,851 | will-any-of-the-other-donald-trump | BrunoParga | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtcp4YClws611x-pjPwaG6BghkC9GDfS4J-yHY8qAoQ8z70=s96-c | Will any of the other Donald Trump criminal trials (Jury Selection) start before the November Presidential election? | null | null | null | null | null |
e5gk9wahha | false | rcxJUyIV5MemJV3JtMSZSPjd1n53 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Any reason for this to be unlinked?",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Bruno | ve2DjbUNGEB5h3IzK1zB | public | contract | 1,717,252,945,621 | nba-finals-dallas-mavericks-vs-bost | BrunoParga | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtcp4YClws611x-pjPwaG6BghkC9GDfS4J-yHY8qAoQ8z70=s96-c | NBA Finals: Dallas Mavericks vs Boston Celtics (EXACT SERIES OUTCOME) | null | null | null | null | null |
mslpjpz86x8 | false | OMOOYjINzrPde7dm1Tr1H3vmC752 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "i8gz9q4588o",
"label": "JonathanRay",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " dude, I posted two adoption studies that directly counter the single researcher you mentioned. ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "This cartoon isn't explicitly about the US, it's actually on a kiwi website. You're also arguing against art made to illustrate broader patterns (which doesn't even say one of its fictional character is starving but whatever). There's eating and there's eating ",
"type": "text"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": [
{
"attrs": null,
"type": "italic"
}
],
"text": "well",
"type": "text"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " – that is, being provided with fresh, balanced meals that not everyone gets, having to buy ready made or get takeout because they're time-poor etc.",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "You're also skipping over the crucial element that often we don't know what we don't know. People with poor financial literacy often don't know that they don't know about index funds, for example. To know what you need to learn, you need a degree of awareness that it exists in the first place, and this awareness is often contingent upon socioeconomic background. ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Annoyingly I actually agree with you that people shouldn't take loans on anything and am a firm believer in living below means. But I'm in fortunate enough economic circumstances (and live in a city with great public transit) so I can make that choice. In America people ",
"type": "text"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": [
{
"attrs": null,
"type": "italic"
}
],
"text": "need",
"type": "text"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " cars to function. Some of them are probably overspending. But it's also a necessity which adds another layer to families' financial burdens.",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Bubbles | yk2Oy6AK8j4n0Bh7mcfP | public | contract | 1,717,253,031,882 | which-of-the-following-is-true-of-e | Lorelai | Which of the following is true of Elon Musk? | lgq1fdgda18 | null | 1,990.144514 | YES | 59a364c55d2c | |
27ez9x6w11c | false | EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "jqrwz3b2qb",
"label": "BrunoParga",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " I'm not sure about that. Lowering the retirement age might be easier to pass as legislation and could be a practical first step rather than taking no action at all.",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Franklin Baldo | Q68NZDgtpRZbaagVJ827 | public | contract | 1,717,253,399,915 | will-brazil-lower-the-minimum-age-f | FranklinBaldo | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucry6frpI5BKtmRvdVqmUQnkFdfnFn-LeH3bdV64feY=s96-c | Will Brazil lower the minimum age for retirement? | xjxtlv0r2g | null | 89.041388 | NO | 5zv02bbw0s |
8m5dkdsisls | false | rcxJUyIV5MemJV3JtMSZSPjd1n53 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "27ez9x6w11c",
"label": "FranklinBaldo",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " doing bad things reduces political will to do good things.",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "It mostly won't matter anyway, since once there's AGI very little of that kind of thing matters.",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Bruno | Q68NZDgtpRZbaagVJ827 | public | contract | 1,717,253,523,273 | will-brazil-lower-the-minimum-age-f | BrunoParga | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtcp4YClws611x-pjPwaG6BghkC9GDfS4J-yHY8qAoQ8z70=s96-c | Will Brazil lower the minimum age for retirement? | xjxtlv0r2g | null | null | null | null |
zzqka21aslh | false | rcxJUyIV5MemJV3JtMSZSPjd1n53 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "27ez9x6w11c",
"label": "FranklinBaldo",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " lower retirement age -> reduced labor supply -> higher wages -> higher threshold below which replacing a worker with AI is profitable -> higher unemployment and also slightly faster AI capability growth",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Bruno | Q68NZDgtpRZbaagVJ827 | public | contract | 1,717,253,636,744 | will-brazil-lower-the-minimum-age-f | BrunoParga | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtcp4YClws611x-pjPwaG6BghkC9GDfS4J-yHY8qAoQ8z70=s96-c | Will Brazil lower the minimum age for retirement? | xjxtlv0r2g | null | null | null | null |
4qhpxpnw3y | false | JsoHnF7zq8Phr6J0K2qKXimVcrs2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "8v2pltf3fmd",
"label": "JessicaEvans",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " You realize 135 only top 1% right?",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "hardBreak"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Either people are really bad at estimaing IQ or just really hate Elon.",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Shai | U1t6nrLFr52JiJPf04FH | public | contract | 1,717,253,782,731 | what-is-elon-musks-iq | Shai | What is Elon Musk's IQ? | 8v2pltf3fmd | null | null | null | null | |
suoc5xsz1r | false | rcxJUyIV5MemJV3JtMSZSPjd1n53 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "27ez9x6w11c",
"label": "FranklinBaldo",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " and, as I said, we're a stupid country, so of course it's easier to pass stupid laws.",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Bruno | Q68NZDgtpRZbaagVJ827 | public | contract | 1,717,253,817,342 | will-brazil-lower-the-minimum-age-f | BrunoParga | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtcp4YClws611x-pjPwaG6BghkC9GDfS4J-yHY8qAoQ8z70=s96-c | Will Brazil lower the minimum age for retirement? | xjxtlv0r2g | null | null | null | null |
jxlet7vl7cj | false | nbI9r6hdKiT4j2qdWGK63g4UNsm1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "MOAR VALVES",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Mqrius | C2J23KkfC6cJCPaCz1sy | public | contract | 1,717,253,854,725 | will-starliner-fly-before-starship | Mqrius | Will Starliner fly before Starship IFT-4? | null | 0.75386 | 0 | NO | null | |
6b3lfgfmbi | false | lUGDbuJVTpPyYsXTYXpd4139sE43 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Sold out because now I've granted a chunk of money towards Starknet port so probably should be neutral in the market.",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "The team promised to complete ZK-STARKs within a month. You can bet whether that leads to an L2 publicly started!",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Ender Ting | wdfVqy7WncaRPrZaH2Hz | public | contract | 1,717,253,855,270 | will-there-be-starknet-l2-over-ton | AnT | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtcWkbPJnNa7oUkYFwveuKh1CoCbDrksUco-QNBP=s96-c | Will there be Starknet L2 over TON by the end of 2026? | null | 0.381191 | 48.924967 | NO | null |
5apf2t1gdi3 | false | nbI9r6hdKiT4j2qdWGK63g4UNsm1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "jxlet7vl7cj",
"label": "Mqrius",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " \"oops we accidentally started venting the helium tank\"",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Mqrius | C2J23KkfC6cJCPaCz1sy | public | contract | 1,717,253,917,990 | will-starliner-fly-before-starship | Mqrius | Will Starliner fly before Starship IFT-4? | jxlet7vl7cj | 0.75386 | 181.964339 | NO | null | |
0gevou1amqib | false | rcxJUyIV5MemJV3JtMSZSPjd1n53 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Does this have to be under room temperature and standard pressure?",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Bruno | B5lelBOEqhtXzXhMZLre | public | contract | 1,717,253,957,779 | will-a-superconductor-beat-a-super | BrunoParga | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtcp4YClws611x-pjPwaG6BghkC9GDfS4J-yHY8qAoQ8z70=s96-c | Will a superconductor beat a super grandmaster playing chess by 2025? | null | null | null | null | null |
d625snwrnu7 | false | JsoHnF7zq8Phr6J0K2qKXimVcrs2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Is there a credible source on IQ / SAT scores of startup founders? Or perhaps another group we could compare to?",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Shai | U1t6nrLFr52JiJPf04FH | public | contract | 1,717,254,073,651 | what-is-elon-musks-iq | Shai | What is Elon Musk's IQ? | null | 0.539424 | 1,138.771265 | YES | null | |
8hcm1g8s2tp | false | qNyAyreBy9QUeN5RwQSTSFIrLU12 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"alt": null,
"contractIds": null,
"deleteCallback": null,
"deleteNode": null,
"description": null,
"frameBorder": null,
"hideCloseButton": null,
"id": null,
"image": null,
"inputKey": null,
"language": null,
"level": null,
"src": "https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdefault%2Ff1cjQoBW8k.gif?alt=media&token=622cbbf9-491b-4fc6-80fe-9f259cacd205",
"start": null,
"title": null,
"tweetId": null,
"url": null
},
"content": null,
"type": "image"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | robm | C2J23KkfC6cJCPaCz1sy | public | contract | 1,717,254,128,344 | will-starliner-fly-before-starship | robm | Will Starliner fly before Starship IFT-4? | jxlet7vl7cj | 0.532233 | 981.211661 | NO | null | |
jrd3hefvuuf | false | G4JTSx4yXAYll9JkJOj0z0qNNBt1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "4qhpxpnw3y",
"label": "Shai",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " He is not above top 1%",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Jessica Evans | U1t6nrLFr52JiJPf04FH | public | contract | 1,717,254,260,633 | what-is-elon-musks-iq | JessicaEvans | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJ09N-L0VcH3A2_jFbvwzXuPQH7Z8dtC_qkPe9VUC3kHfs=s96-c | What is Elon Musk's IQ? | 8v2pltf3fmd | null | null | null | null |
tunixmtj1u | false | rNVW9sNdznbeEiOEvWjw0ZmMSXZ2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "The human nose detects smoke by the smoke bonding with proteins, whereas a smoke detector detects smoke by how light interacts with the smoke. In order for this market to be resolved does the AI need to use proteins or something similar, or is using light and other methods a valid approach? The human nose has around 400 unique sensors which can be triggered independently, leaving the potential for around 100,000 smells that humans could potentially distinguish, but in practice I'd be surprised if the average person could get better than around 50, how many smells does the AI need to distinguish to resolve this market? Does it have to sense the same chemicals that humans can sense or does distinguishing any chemicals count? Does the AI have to be capable of describing the smell in casual human language (ie. Earthy), or is simply listing the chemicals present enough?",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | blue rat | 30B1VGn7QXnDSRKme3MR | public | contract | 1,717,254,713,546 | will-agi-be-achieved-before-ais-are | bluerat | Will AGI be achieved before AIs are able to smell? | null | 0.444739 | 99.817732 | YES | null | |
m719wqei9un | false | JsoHnF7zq8Phr6J0K2qKXimVcrs2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "jrd3hefvuuf",
"label": "JessicaEvans",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " I can't spit at my university without hitting someone that's top 1% iq. Most of them will never found 1 successful tech startup let alone 5. ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Shai | U1t6nrLFr52JiJPf04FH | public | contract | 1,717,254,750,918 | what-is-elon-musks-iq | Shai | What is Elon Musk's IQ? | 8v2pltf3fmd | 0.539424 | 1,138.771265 | YES | null | |
a33vgh7kam | false | e1vpMsZfzASlIASX1xPtLxyAFnA2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "1m6x0kucz5m",
"label": "SemioticRivalry",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " If he were planning to run, wouldn't he wait to change his voter registration until he's ready to announce that he's running?",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Timothy Johnson | NrJjqVDyXkRQV9SOtm3U | public | contract | 1,717,254,773,237 | will-joe-manchin-run-for-governor-o-ypw3rg3wva | TimothyJohnson5c16 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxYY1maA_aMEcew3CXHdOWt6elNschJLRt5gE5D8AQ=s96-c | Will Joe Manchin run for Governor of West Virginia as an Independent? | n3p5kdsyf9 | 0.223246 | 883.941126 | NO | null |
2sqol54fx02 | false | YGZdZUSFQyM8j2YzPaBqki8NBz23 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "9sdhy6vhkhi",
"label": "nuclearD",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " the crime isn't hush money. The crime is falsifying business records. That crime is made more serious because it was conducted in service of other crimes, such as the illegal campaign contributions described in the above comment.",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "The news keeps calling it the hush money case because that part sounds much less dry than falsifying business records.",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Jack | HSFwQ8o6np4QWbvBWPZg | public | contract | 1,717,254,835,941 | what-will-trumps-sentence-for-his-f | jack | What will Trump's sentence for his hush money felony convictions include? | 9sdhy6vhkhi | null | 58.624047 | NO | 45966ps9r9 | |
en80tqetpie | false | BgCeVUcOzkexeJpSPRNomWQaQaD3 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "a33vgh7kam",
"label": "TimothyJohnson5c16",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " i think it makes sense to do it a few weeks/months in advance so that it looks less calculated to the voters. ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Semiotic Rivalry | NrJjqVDyXkRQV9SOtm3U | public | contract | 1,717,254,913,523 | will-joe-manchin-run-for-governor-o-ypw3rg3wva | SemioticRivalry | Will Joe Manchin run for Governor of West Virginia as an Independent? | n3p5kdsyf9 | 0.223246 | 561.517349 | YES | null | |
65w52bi8hdc | false | OEbsAczmbBc4Sl1bacYZNPJLLLc2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"alt": "",
"contractIds": null,
"deleteCallback": null,
"deleteNode": null,
"description": null,
"frameBorder": null,
"hideCloseButton": null,
"id": null,
"image": null,
"inputKey": null,
"language": null,
"level": null,
"src": "https://media3.giphy.com/media/OtACFXZ84Q2szeBmpi/giphy.gif?cid=5ff1f1caaaq6kbbu6gge8hhxifu2y663258h01vya7ouvzim&ep=v1_gifs_search&rid=giphy.gif&ct=g",
"start": null,
"title": null,
"tweetId": null,
"url": null
},
"content": null,
"type": "image"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | SirCryptomind | Vfbh1SIHiVchCo5TuogD | public | contract | 1,717,255,079,591 | how-many-spacex-launches-will-occur-a6470c3e84d7 | SirCryptomind | 🚀 How Many SPACEX Launches Will Occur During June 2024? | null | null | null | null | null | |
s1xghts1mw | false | JSnusX572NOjY5ATVh26mXKaJAX2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Interesting amount of space between this and \"the final book\" being published (the one by Jack). Though the Jack McPherson one has a similar estimate. ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": {
"alt": null,
"contractIds": "puNvdG9asK12KzLyVosx,2rXdAW7YyIuGjN2JjKAD,HvOi4AMe0I90kZauKfO2",
"deleteCallback": null,
"deleteNode": null,
"description": null,
"frameBorder": null,
"hideCloseButton": null,
"id": null,
"image": null,
"inputKey": null,
"language": null,
"level": null,
"src": null,
"start": null,
"title": null,
"tweetId": null,
"url": null
},
"content": null,
"type": "gridCardsComponent"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Eric Moyer | ccXtLycHGZmJrMRnH2xR | public | contract | 1,717,255,164,598 | will-the-winds-of-winter-be-publish-ebbf60145e06 | EricMoyer | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GjWjh_0AlJeItIHCWFiBI-AEJbSBiMR0SlAv_Na0w=s96-c | Will "The Winds of Winter" be published while George R. R. Martin is alive | null | null | null | null | null |
3i4fhqm98c8 | false | xQqqZqlgcoSxTgPe03BiXmVE2JJ2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "tunixmtj1u",
"label": "bluerat",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " very good questions - i don't expect machines to smell using the same mechanisms humans use, it is not like they can see or speak the same way we do. However, I do expect them to be better than the average human at distinguishing smells, whatever this means. They don't have to use words such as earthy to describe the chemicals but they should be able to derive at least as much information as the average human would, e.g. something is rotten",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Soli ꩜ | 30B1VGn7QXnDSRKme3MR | public | contract | 1,717,255,328,908 | will-agi-be-achieved-before-ais-are | Soli | Will AGI be achieved before AIs are able to smell? | tunixmtj1u | null | null | null | null | |
ufcdzjro8g | false | byEds8x9SMYgX0BuPMufdcpbSIH2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "dgf28h7utoi",
"label": "strutheo",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " Resolved.",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | PREDYX | 8Pa2cuxirFzmN1A8mWQZ | public | contract | 1,717,255,364,618 | will-bitcoin-dip-to-48k-in-may-2024 | predyx_markets | Will Bitcoin dip to $48K in May 2024? | dgf28h7utoi | null | null | null | null | |
uez0ut8dcr | false | JSnusX572NOjY5ATVh26mXKaJAX2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "OpenAI's sign-in is AWFUL. It is forever telling me that I've been logged out.",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Eric Moyer | cHNbmkPkW9fpx8vhYAI4 | public | contract | 1,717,255,552,582 | will-signin-with-openai-be-announce | EricMoyer | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GjWjh_0AlJeItIHCWFiBI-AEJbSBiMR0SlAv_Na0w=s96-c | Will sign-in with OpenAI be announced in before end of 2025? | null | null | null | null | null |
vl3uvmafgf | false | wFJFI2zWYLXWBk8ntc1c0HQUyVB3 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": [
{
"attrs": {
"class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decoration-primary-400",
"href": "https://x.com/dearmoonproject/status/1796759847817625933?t=yYDbQEHIv7UAvSwXSAtpHw&s=19",
"target": "_blank"
},
"type": "link"
}
],
"text": "https://x.com/dearmoonproject/status/1796759847817625933?t=yYDbQEHIv7UAvSwXSAtpHw&s=19",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Tom Finnie | BX4Helj63itRuCT9L9AS | public | contract | 1,717,255,779,227 | will-the-dearmoon-project-launch-to | TomFinnie | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AATXAJzTFcrM10lyXi4iPstf5HI3KioX-B-cOeePVyX2=s96-c | Will the dearMoon project launch to the moon in 2024? | null | 0.021236 | 2,068.993494 | NO | null |
19ztbhfy8yb | false | UhNLru5kyBYquOsZaisU2YG2RK02 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "I love karaoke, there should be more joy and fun in the world, but what’s the logic behind making this a Prize Market? Wasn’t the whole idea of that to broaden the userbase? By raising the overall utility of markets? Not meant as a gripe — I’m seriously confused.",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | ClubmasterTransparent | 9tu4sZ68WIwjs4LQrcIA | public | contract | 1,717,256,061,159 | who-will-win-manifests-karaoke-komp | ClubmasterTransparent | Who will win Manifest's Karaoke Kompetition? | null | null | null | null | null | |
xgzklumnivp | false | ADbUe3UA8VeQscv6vWhTsPwCBgi1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "hRbPwezgxnat6GpJQxoFxq1xgUZ2",
"label": "AmmonLam",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " resolves no ",
"type": "text"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": [
{
"attrs": {
"class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decoration-primary-400",
"href": "https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-primary-elections/maryland-president-results",
"target": "_blank"
},
"type": "link"
}
],
"text": "https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-primary-elections/maryland-president-results",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | blue | mpY6qIYK3HspmYIBrBwK | public | contract | 1,717,256,064,766 | if-trump-is-still-in-the-race-will-6e2914c7214d | bluefrog | If Trump is still in the race, will Nikki Haley win the 2024 Maryland Republican presidential primary? | null | 0.010169 | 57.698754 | NO | null | |
0ng0tl5h05h | false | OcQJOdj0RPRna74hkfLfB6QL2dC2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "As a relatively small startup, I think OpenAI is too focused on building AI to prioritize making yet another way to log into things.",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Caleb Biddulph | cHNbmkPkW9fpx8vhYAI4 | public | contract | 1,717,256,183,758 | will-signin-with-openai-be-announce | CDBiddulph | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJfnooldvqsfyLB7ZRjdJceJURCVsUcLn8Ir7VvJneRY2A=s96-c | Will sign-in with OpenAI be announced in before end of 2025? | null | 0.435489 | 245.594263 | NO | null |
rzt2ict5oqg | false | xQqqZqlgcoSxTgPe03BiXmVE2JJ2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "0ng0tl5h05h",
"label": "CDBiddulph",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " how does the gpt-store fit into this? ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Soli ꩜ | cHNbmkPkW9fpx8vhYAI4 | public | contract | 1,717,256,289,056 | will-signin-with-openai-be-announce | Soli | Will sign-in with OpenAI be announced in before end of 2025? | 0ng0tl5h05h | 0.435489 | 2,168.833445 | YES | null | |
tmf73pzx1me | false | X1xu1kvOxuevx09xuR2urWfzf7i1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "i6ztqp3273l",
"label": "EstMtz",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " Yeah it cost me 3,750 mana for the games yesterday. I got 3,246 mana back, if I don't close early I only get 375 mana back. The daily streak bonus covers one game and I get a bit of mana from trading fee. So on average I break even over multiple days.",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Keenen W | rpINgNCUuLZiHkvZkGjZ | public | contract | 1,717,256,401,925 | major-league-baseball-mlb-regular-s | KeenenW | Major League Baseball (MLB) ⚾Regular Season Matches | i6ztqp3273l | null | 3,040.955545 | YES | 162e3349d21b | |
pnravrf4zxf | false | xQqqZqlgcoSxTgPe03BiXmVE2JJ2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "uez0ut8dcr",
"label": "EricMoyer",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " interesting, i had this problem at the beginning in december 2022 but i don't have it anymore",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Soli ꩜ | cHNbmkPkW9fpx8vhYAI4 | public | contract | 1,717,256,414,813 | will-signin-with-openai-be-announce | Soli | Will sign-in with OpenAI be announced in before end of 2025? | uez0ut8dcr | 0.377407 | 2,712.6609 | YES | null | |
0dihkb72a01 | false | OcQJOdj0RPRna74hkfLfB6QL2dC2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "rzt2ict5oqg",
"label": "Soli",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " The GPT store is clearly AI-related. I don't see a good reason for OpenAI to want to give you another way to log into arbitrary websites",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Caleb Biddulph | cHNbmkPkW9fpx8vhYAI4 | public | contract | 1,717,256,480,660 | will-signin-with-openai-be-announce | CDBiddulph | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJfnooldvqsfyLB7ZRjdJceJURCVsUcLn8Ir7VvJneRY2A=s96-c | Will sign-in with OpenAI be announced in before end of 2025? | 0ng0tl5h05h | 0.377407 | 245.594263 | NO | null |
9w14ycq38kc | false | 9gBkOzYZQAUG7Mj7EFTFFza0lw22 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "A blockade that affects the whole of Taiwan? Or does the blockade of individual ports or offshore islands also count?",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Jan | MnHrajBT05pqRgmUecix | public | contract | 1,717,256,515,898 | will-china-blockade-taiwan-between | Jan53274 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLZcSW6bpjqDQvELRglfn-UDKtyWOEMRwTOdJHuRLELfCA=s96-c | Will China blockade Taiwan between the US election and the next Presidential inauguration? | null | 0.307369 | 138.800706 | NO | null |
0gz1rq4rsp14 | false | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "resolves no ",
"type": "text"
},
{
"attrs": {
"id": "WQJ92QkoqDPuyj6DAZ5lR6g1x573",
"label": "mods",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " inactive",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | chris (strutheo) | yz4ZIse9H3SjqJTp2nCM | public | contract | 1,717,256,690,124 | will-gta-6-be-released-before-june | strutheo | Will GTA 6 be released before June 2024? | null | 0.01 | 41.039478 | NO | null | |
ik4ftchjdxl | false | mqx5cKiTKNY6m3VsR6Eiy2y4dGJ2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "xakuh9hw",
"label": "Ziddletwix",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " It's May... ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Brendan Troadec | Y2aDWPKmCVLD4aaOwy3Y | public | contract | 1,717,256,705,229 | the-most-popular-wikipedia-article-81cd72a3d019 | BrendanTroadec | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocK4Dn8vdzoY2wtYBN7Xr8wrM3Axwoa4inUKshOUOPUBnrw=s96-c | The most popular Wikipedia article in May 2024? (no exclusions) | xakuh9hw | null | 21.718501 | YES | 2b7102b5c548 |
zesqrqo4txm | false | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "resolves no",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | chris (strutheo) | zJjcslrd1zEvIXykm9dP | public | contract | 1,717,256,708,847 | will-there-be-a-third-official-mani | strutheo | Will there be a third official Manifold derivative product before June? | null | null | null | null | null | |
bnpgu950i2j | false | OcQJOdj0RPRna74hkfLfB6QL2dC2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "What if there's something very small like a title card or captions on the video that were edited in by a human?",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Caleb Biddulph | JJDPcEWx9nJ2fFQfEEKX | public | contract | 1,717,256,754,335 | in-2028-will-a-5-min-video-complete | CDBiddulph | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJfnooldvqsfyLB7ZRjdJceJURCVsUcLn8Ir7VvJneRY2A=s96-c | In 2028, Will a >5 min video completely generated by an AI have more than 1 billion views on Youtube? | null | null | null | null | null |
38o8rzy8anb | false | eSqS9cD5mzYcP2o7FrST8aC5IWn2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "luixqkucy",
"label": "ClubmasterTransparent",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " Probably just resolve them to NO, since that's what everyone expected",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Plasma Ballin' | yk2Oy6AK8j4n0Bh7mcfP | public | contract | 1,717,256,889,118 | which-of-the-following-is-true-of-e | PlasmaBallin | Which of the following is true of Elon Musk? | 8sp8p4941zn | null | 91.868452 | NO | j3ey9jxnir | |
izwmsio3dd | false | VFzSD3qUntb9Pu0giXBvjkmkqsh2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "7trzapqoaly",
"label": "BrunoParga",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " That’s exactly what the intended meaning is. ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Pjfkh | 0eyHWQbaW9qLWJzy9761 | public | contract | 1,717,256,990,853 | will-any-of-the-other-donald-trump | Pjfkh | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocI8G8CptLN8rZpkc1wuPjxiTtiehCNWr6XuloMSvvz6=s96-c | Will any of the other Donald Trump criminal trials (Jury Selection) start before the November Presidential election? | 7trzapqoaly | 0.489237 | 95.98148 | NO | null |
it7jj9a20a | false | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "f4br2qjy8e9",
"label": "Agh",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " either way its still not permanent , idk how it resolves yes ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | chris (strutheo) | quqVyy8aFxshP1ZGHOqk | public | contract | 1,717,257,080,395 | will-destiny-stream-on-kick-permane | strutheo | Will Destiny stream on kick permanently by June 2024? | f4br2qjy8e9 | 0.021704 | 695.295679 | NO | null | |
jnvi04icg8m | false | sNwe94NAjSbhu1H1nJdUFBynW712 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "SA",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Carlos | nCNQbc7lYhCUaHjbA4vF | public | contract | 1,717,257,260,917 | will-there-be-a-military-operation | Carlosab83 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLyJZsUdw5JLIMzZvOs7_0V0KC5Od5MDjr_BJ5fFW3w=s96-c | Will there be a military operation to slow down AI development by the end of 2035? | null | null | null | null | null |
h4k8bkxxp0s | false | xQqqZqlgcoSxTgPe03BiXmVE2JJ2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "0dihkb72a01",
"label": "CDBiddulph",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " i think sign-in with openai will achieve what the gpt-store wanted to do but failed at. ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Soli ꩜ | cHNbmkPkW9fpx8vhYAI4 | public | contract | 1,717,257,365,662 | will-signin-with-openai-be-announce | Soli | Will sign-in with OpenAI be announced in before end of 2025? | 0ng0tl5h05h | 0.377407 | 2,712.6609 | YES | null | |
229pcov9hpt | false | OdBj5DW6PbYtnImvybpyZzfhb133 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "how am i showing a profit on this market? I traded brilliantly... under a bunch of assumptions about this market, all of which were wrong 😆 ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | jim | yk2Oy6AK8j4n0Bh7mcfP | public | contract | 1,717,257,409,571 | which-of-the-following-is-true-of-e | jim | Which of the following is true of Elon Musk? | null | null | 5,622.398255 | NO | be5da8403dad | |
cjkdcx0blek | false | KyL8Ne9ytVZOcOcfHFxF9DacOgL2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "MrBeast still at 265M 7 hours before this question closes. ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Christopher Randles | 5xxeSOVmWVacydE8zoLC | public | contract | 1,717,257,550,538 | will-mrbeasts-main-channel-be-the-m | ChristopherRandles | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxY3_PAyuLB3J_OqBJQ5T3NjkNLcX7WEzxb7X0Fw=s96-c | Will Mrbeast’s main channel be the most subscribed YouTube channel on June 1st 2024? | 4oibigtmo5l | 0.017827 | 16,906.443366 | NO | null |
9ynzj8y7ez9 | false | UT1vHSGiCbfZHIRpm6ZvYhFphws1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "kd83as95RJ1HIoldJajm",
"label": "Ophiuchus",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " it's latin for \"before ground\" so if he's cremated instead of being buried, it still counts as prehumously",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Jonathan Ray | ccXtLycHGZmJrMRnH2xR | public | contract | 1,717,257,598,124 | will-the-winds-of-winter-be-publish-ebbf60145e06 | JonathanRay | Will "The Winds of Winter" be published while George R. R. Martin is alive | kd83as95RJ1HIoldJajm | 0.750559 | 545.674805 | YES | null | |
0fn4fzm7c4ka | false | rcxJUyIV5MemJV3JtMSZSPjd1n53 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "izwmsio3dd",
"label": "Pjfkh",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " may I suggest editing the description into something closer to this?",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Bruno | 0eyHWQbaW9qLWJzy9761 | public | contract | 1,717,257,663,528 | will-any-of-the-other-donald-trump | BrunoParga | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtcp4YClws611x-pjPwaG6BghkC9GDfS4J-yHY8qAoQ8z70=s96-c | Will any of the other Donald Trump criminal trials (Jury Selection) start before the November Presidential election? | 7trzapqoaly | null | null | null | null |
j1s33tbvhxd | false | UDtma0GdHvankZVH0RBQJI0HPcH2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "9w14ycq38kc",
"label": "Jan53274",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " Excellent question- I’d say yes in both cases assuming the blockade is sustained and used as a political tool. If some ships surround a minor island for 20 minutes before moving on then no. ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | James Dillard | MnHrajBT05pqRgmUecix | public | contract | 1,717,257,667,007 | will-china-blockade-taiwan-between | jdilla | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GgQ3DNbYEPlxgQPup0iq_AO-L4Z9__n3MX3MtqVpLw=s96-c | Will China blockade Taiwan between the US election and the next Presidential inauguration? | 9w14ycq38kc | null | null | null | null |
kvir4h93smc | false | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "xakuh9hw",
"label": "Ziddletwix",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " you are looking at april",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | chris (strutheo) | Y2aDWPKmCVLD4aaOwy3Y | public | contract | 1,717,257,681,141 | the-most-popular-wikipedia-article-81cd72a3d019 | strutheo | The most popular Wikipedia article in May 2024? (no exclusions) | xakuh9hw | null | 102.85605 | NO | b9e9226b6652 | |
8yf3onrymha | false | B8KBN0Ws4nQSRyz3a0aFazVsi8F2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "I think this is not truly right wing. The association is caused by geography not political opinion. I say y'all all the time and would call myself pretty solidly left wing. It is actually a more inclusive second person plural pronoun than \"you guys\" which is more common in more politically left leaning places (mostly New England). /srs",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "I also feel attacked that y'all would assume a common word in my vocabulary is rightfully associated with something I disagree with. /j",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Jacob Holz | P9s56FK7i1yBgNiOAzew | public | contract | 1,717,257,706,562 | leftwing-or-rightwing-which-personc | Jacobmpp | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLPlNd2nnkVu344Ob5Mp_qrN5LSf9Xt681QXwIcPVDmWqI=s96-c | Left-Wing or Right-Wing? Which person/character/concept will Manifold think are "Right-Wing" this week? | null | null | 61.502094 | YES | 2cce940e2ce7 |
nk9leyrpaxo | false | 9gBkOzYZQAUG7Mj7EFTFFza0lw22 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "j1s33tbvhxd",
"label": "jdilla",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " Maybe you can define blockade in the description. For example as a certain percentage reduction of taiwans trade and a time frame. to prevent fringe cases like the intimidation of individual trade ships or a blockade of a lighthouse boathouse 😄",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Jan | MnHrajBT05pqRgmUecix | public | contract | 1,717,257,973,460 | will-china-blockade-taiwan-between | Jan53274 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLZcSW6bpjqDQvELRglfn-UDKtyWOEMRwTOdJHuRLELfCA=s96-c | Will China blockade Taiwan between the US election and the next Presidential inauguration? | 9w14ycq38kc | 0.269071 | 138.800706 | NO | null |
cww4fngqjoh | false | UT1vHSGiCbfZHIRpm6ZvYhFphws1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "icotyvz30z",
"label": "JonathanRay",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " not sure about the speed at which the shielding is ablated by radiation, and the entire subject is ungoogleable because it's dominated by the medical uses of radiation ablation. No matter how many minus medical keywords I put after radiation ablation, I still get 100% medical results",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Jonathan Ray | NyA5UxR0NvsVc2yIEfIs | public | contract | 1,717,258,254,580 | what-is-the-best-explanation-to-the | JonathanRay | What is the best explanation to the Fermi Paradox? | 0631oRKgRVCAqG8Br7EI | null | 54.952109 | YES | d11251c01ffc | |
5odgxiq1cz4 | false | 9gBkOzYZQAUG7Mj7EFTFFza0lw22 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "do the soldiers have to be involved in combat operations or is the intention to fight sufficient? (e.g. when occupying quiet sections of the front on the Russian border)",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Jan | SozY6WYJYqxzL21WdPCq | public | contract | 1,717,258,274,655 | which-nato-countries-will-officiall | Jan53274 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLZcSW6bpjqDQvELRglfn-UDKtyWOEMRwTOdJHuRLELfCA=s96-c | Which NATO countries will officially send soldiers to fight in Ukraine before the end of 2025? | null | null | 296.418001 | NO | 5c3cedb1373e |
buwe66ova3d | false | aLcMG0Cj63WLil96xiNOksVffg12 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Clarification: this question is about them acquiring nuclear weapons in addition to the ones they already have, yes?",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Tricky Duck | AM0Pl9CFNaMo8a3iXzT6 | public | contract | 1,717,258,473,377 | will-nauru-acquire-nuclear-weapons | TrickyDuck | Will Nauru acquire nuclear weapons before 2031? | null | null | null | null | null | |
vsnt2tqvlso | false | UDtma0GdHvankZVH0RBQJI0HPcH2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "9w14ycq38kc",
"label": "Jan53274",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " Will do soon! I agree that length and size of operation will help make it measurable. ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | James Dillard | MnHrajBT05pqRgmUecix | public | contract | 1,717,258,607,969 | will-china-blockade-taiwan-between | jdilla | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GgQ3DNbYEPlxgQPup0iq_AO-L4Z9__n3MX3MtqVpLw=s96-c | Will China blockade Taiwan between the US election and the next Presidential inauguration? | 9w14ycq38kc | null | null | null | null |
Subsets and Splits
No community queries yet
The top public SQL queries from the community will appear here once available.