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0.29322357162113044 | 408uB94KlAzFets2Pemf | {"NO": 93.97526621686801, "YES": 1348.7490545396925} | 0 | will-the-canadian-dollar-be-worth-m-b2639b1587dd | 1233.6239881868712 | Will the Canadian dollar be worth more than US$0.75 at the end of December 2022? | 1672531200000 | UwH6ZlKzULdE86dIaITFXGbZdhH3 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.5726856630025123 | True | play | NO | public | 1669012098944 | Cornelius Grass | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Market will be resolved based on this page: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Canadian Dollar to US Dollar Exchange Rate Chart | Xe", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.xe.com/currencycharts/?from=CAD&to=USD", "cl... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1672697322903 | 250 | whenhaveiever | 1672769307057 | 0 | https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fwhenhaveiever%2F30ryVqB8oi.52?alt=media&token=6b2ad27e-2a09-4f16-b14d-7c9a60cd9c38 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 12 | [{"name": "Canada", "slug": "canada", "userId": "UwH6ZlKzULdE86dIaITFXGbZdhH3", "groupId": "SkT5CgJLsfHhVpK8V2C6", "createdTime": 1669064344443}, {"name": "Economics", "slug": "economics-default", "userId": "UwH6ZlKzULdE86dIaITFXGbZdhH3", "groupId": "p88Ycq6yFd5ECKqq9PFO", "createdTime": 1669064338644}, {"name": "Forex... | ["forex", "economics-default", "canada", "currency"] | 0.5 | 1672530640912 | 1672769305660 | 0.03 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.9420645440388317 | CfMEUizz8toZh34A8SO4 | {"NO": 2757.509118793686, "YES": 104.52974835466469} | 1 | carsongale-will-you-marry-me | 5048.41612733835 | @CarsonGale, will you marry me? | 1670556049779 | Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.456185614918649 | True | play | YES | public | 1669013226193 | Jenny | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This markets resolves in the direction of ", "type": "text"}, {"type": "mention", "attrs": {"id": "4aW01GHrlgafwAPLI1St7MPnOni1", "label": "CarsonGale"}}, {"text": "'s first bet on this market. If Carson doesn't bet on this market by EOY, resolves ... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1670556049779 | 370 | Jenny | 1682778794854 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 0 | 18 | [{"name": "Jokes", "slug": "jokes", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "2zIDGOz7Q1vYxKsRNKlY", "createdTime": 1669013226368}, {"name": "Relationships ", "slug": "relationships", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "VAXyYZa2gTqTJa0LocsG", "createdTime": 1669013221695}] | ["jokes", "relationships"] | 0.5 | 1670553046608 | 1682778788613 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.29210553821006985 | V5wxGchTua0TSC50zPpf | {"NO": 430.089808354588, "YES": 200.12826925341065} | 1 | will-wa-tax-capital-gains-during-20 | 643.1486861941033 | Will WA tax capital gains during 2023? | 1679678596505 | SGthg3WqLWbnlo28JBFON2vxewm1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.2881485794030545 | True | play | YES | public | 1669014260937 | Eliezer Yudkowsky | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will Washington state end up taxing capital gains for the tax year 2023, by any avenue including failure of the Supreme Court to override the previously passed capital gains tax, or a new tax being passed that covers 2023?", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1679678596505 | 370 | EliezerYudkowsky | 1679779323772 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucrJG8Ay-yrvNsp-sZCoQMge2UwXm6PX7H6OTgmpPg=s96-c | 18 | 0 | 17 | [{"name": "US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "userId": "SGthg3WqLWbnlo28JBFON2vxewm1", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1669014261389}] | ["us-politics"] | 0.5 | 1679678497177 | 1679779320621 | 0.47 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.7468907556228812 | KqRnwcEUefB7ianfhmmb | {"NO": 2398.853068085505, "YES": 162.06412514530635} | 1 | will-mask-mandates-in-german-public | 3108.2819671278603 | Will mask mandates in German public transport be lifted by April 2023? | 1675357888317 | yPcU3hJzFvNrGFIShJny2Vwpdvn2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.9534550530483203 | True | play | YES | public | 1669020681660 | Maximilian G | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market will resolve to YES if and only if all German states lift mask mandates in public transport at any point before April 2023.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If at least one state keeps mask mandates in pl... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1675357888317 | 370 | MaximilianG | 1710206837456 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu0bX2tFcpm-T-xrBKfcxdIFgOuEyeUhxjO31VOf=s96-c | 19 | 0 | 15 | [{"name": "COVID", "slug": "covid-d7a9361d772d", "groupId": "QVtAndZbd4jbfuKPSEDS"}] | ["covid-d7a9361d772d"] | 0.5 | 1675329195849 | 1675329069633 | 0.98 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.49785911286063644 | Z6ZYe8Z4HngFp2mu0q5r | {"NO": 254.44676496202672, "YES": 286.58404026892117} | 0.42 | at-what-discount-to-nav-will-graysc | 43.415959731078814 | At what Discount to NAV will Grayscale trade by the end of November? | 1669849140000 | 5WeDo8vEXVZv8V6g9Xttds3vrkq1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.2618664095699859 | True | play | MKT | public | 1669022594293 | Zhao Nan | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves as a percentage, rounded to nearest integer, according to the ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Discount", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}, {"text": " to NAV listed on this site: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://ycharts.com/c... | PSEUDO_NUMERIC | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1670229378464 | 270 | ZhaoNan | 1669037229363 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | [{"name": "Cryptocurrency", "slug": "crypto-speculation", "userId": "5WeDo8vEXVZv8V6g9Xttds3vrkq1", "groupId": "YuJw0M1xvUHrpiRRuKso", "createdTime": 1669022594711}] | ["crypto-speculation"] | 0.5 | 1669037229189 | 0.42 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5350167415926973 | ShPf9DP24I1Lb6Fg065E | {"NO": 70.32289296991054, "YES": 68.92723480579248} | 0 | will-i-get-my-apple-watch-move-and-114e981f8cae | 32.65789405376641 | Will I get my Apple Watch Move and Exercise rings at least 6/7 days this week? | 1669611600000 | 7XGrTPYHE2WgHJSne6kxRVseLdo1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 3.5812508255604687 | True | play | NO | public | 1669024832425 | Charlie | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This is a weekly auto-generated market. Manually added details potentially forthcoming.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1669994790011 | 70 | Charlie | 1669047995553 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GiMOGvT0wihOCke38p23uPRigh10h-RZZBoj5Wkkcs=s96-c | 2 | 0 | 2 | [{"name": "Personal Goals", "slug": "personal-goals", "userId": "7XGrTPYHE2WgHJSne6kxRVseLdo1", "groupId": "izQp87CKagOVJp9Olm1p", "createdTime": 1669024832870}] | ["personal-goals"] | 0.5 | 1669047995321 | 0.54 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.35897612071039037 | 08wPKanbaScNDIFkiO1l | {"NO": 590.2478527904777, "YES": 347.23532111494046} | 0.4876847388020124 | how-much-funding-will-ea-get-in-202 | 556.9881257865563 | How much funding will EA get in 2023? | 1706741940000 | CrQD7VbNqgbU6cjenSs1H5fdgEa2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1669025712142 | lu | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will resolve for the numbers listed here:", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1IeO7NIgZ-qfSTDyiAFSgH6dMn1xzb6hB2pVSdlBJZ88/edit#gid=771773474", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs... | PSEUDO_NUMERIC | {"day": 5.551115123125783e-17, "week": 5.551115123125783e-17, "month": 5.551115123125783e-17} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 490 | lu | 1706513291337 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 27 | 4 | [{"name": "Effective Altruism", "slug": "effective-altruism", "userId": "CrQD7VbNqgbU6cjenSs1H5fdgEa2", "groupId": "znYsWa9eZRkBvSHwmaNz", "createdTime": 1669025712606}, {"name": "New Year's Resolutions 2024", "slug": "new-years-resolutions-2024", "userId": "fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42", "groupId": "jM9eYtkUrTKEqvKV3x... | ["effective-altruism", "new-years-resolutions-2024"] | 0.37045 | 1706513291199 | 1669025876200 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5756720983587341 | eYYRXh5N4jmmaLlZyfF6 | {"NO": 491.7004527193654, "YES": 35.10917286844136} | 1 | will-yayawong-be-inactive-or-banned | 421.7106722253129 | Will @yayawong be inactive or banned in 2022? | 1672527540000 | CrQD7VbNqgbU6cjenSs1H5fdgEa2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 3.431201952499467 | True | play | YES | public | 1669028136817 | lu | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "At close, will the user ", "type": "text"}, {"type": "mention", "attrs": {"id": "0FlJypoKfcgatnkFqYKg0yq04L63", "label": "yayawong"}}, {"text": " be inactive (no activity in the last 14d) OR banned from trading OR banned from creating markets?", "t... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1672961199596 | 110 | lu | 1672524763897 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | [{"name": "Meta-markets on improper resolution", "slug": "metamarkets-on-improper-resolution", "userId": "CrQD7VbNqgbU6cjenSs1H5fdgEa2", "groupId": "jwv3Gi8dUGyA7coNlK2g", "createdTime": 1669028137576}] | ["metamarkets-on-improper-resolution"] | 0.5 | 1672524762767 | 1669036312114 | 0.95 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.6006835453660141 | AobrDDOwmiEe2X1Zx22b | {"NO": 319.66282896011495, "YES": 133.047786971395} | 0 | will-the-videogame-the-callisto-pro | 464.48506566892996 | Will the Videogame "The Callisto Protocol" (PC Version) have a Metacritic Metascore of 87 or higher on December 3 2022 | 1669849200000 | WcSwVzTqEkQQGG8nQNhfYUx7sQD3 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.3479507692798602 | True | play | NO | public | 1669029201631 | PFOSS S | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The Market will resolve according to the \"Metascore\" given on ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://www.metacritic.com/game/pc/the-callisto-protocol", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.metacritic.com/game/p... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1670100765964 | 200 | PFOSSS | 1669844602109 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu1DZjGFmH0IWoeroE6P1yjYDlGhGZMpoF59wBcQ=s96-c | 8 | 0 | 1 | 6 | [{"name": "Gaming", "slug": "gaming", "userId": "WcSwVzTqEkQQGG8nQNhfYUx7sQD3", "groupId": "5FaFmmaNNFTSA5r0vTAi", "createdTime": 1669029201946}] | ["gaming"] | 0.5 | 1669844601995 | 0.7832780326372066 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.15578954457373903 | WCdPmG9XMtZPLiMlXf8Y | {"NO": 2231.1123280912666, "YES": 1887.5140595070438} | 0.17907071592258125 | how-many-women-will-i-cold-approach-38efee871f6e | 3101.2818713853553 | How many women will I cold approach before I go on a date? | 1700636460000 | W2xr0kmXVqg4SzEQltvfpWOsAFO2 | cpmm-1 | 0.030545345582515922 | 0.3425898171692576 | True | play | CANCEL | public | 1669030610824 | Gracious | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "heading", "attrs": {"level": 2}, "content": [{"text": "Context:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "33 year old white male. 6'2\", 250 pounds. My profession is a solid middle-but-not-upper class, and my income is roughly the 85th percentile for my city.... | PSEUDO_NUMERIC | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1700638541802 | 2200 | GG | 1700943009878 | 1.1 | 3 | 52 | 0 | 1 | 23 | [{"name": "Personal Goals", "slug": "personal-goals", "userId": "W2xr0kmXVqg4SzEQltvfpWOsAFO2", "groupId": "izQp87CKagOVJp9Olm1p", "createdTime": 1669031621181}, {"name": "Sex and love", "slug": "sex-and-love", "userId": "W2xr0kmXVqg4SzEQltvfpWOsAFO2", "groupId": "3syjPCC7PxE5KurTiTT3", "createdTime": 1669030611359}, {... | ["sex-and-love", "personal-goals", "dating"] | 0.1487806939410819 | 0.07142857142857142 | 1700613038835 | 1700943008109 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.4861176079616064 | PLZBXCgCOLCiAe9bNwdz | {"NO": 858.8086867929806, "YES": 1772.8169078902008} | 0.31425034172259075 | will-airbnb-make-an-acquisition-in | 657.9194961043798 | Will AirBnB make an acquisition in the physical hotel space before 2026? | 1767221940000 | ps3zKQSRuzLJVMzDQMAOlCDFRgG2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 8.879252614099938 | False | basic | public | 1669036105332 | yaboi69 | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Scott Galloway, 2022-11-07: “I would predict in the next two to three years, [AirBnB makes] an acquisition in the physical hotel space.” (", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://youtu.be/1HsRx-26rDU?t=1709", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link",... | BINARY | {"day": 5.551115123125783e-17, "week": 5.551115123125783e-17, "month": 5.551115123125783e-17} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.8865110062400758, "platformFee": 0.8865110062400758, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1230 | yaboi69 | 1714979640274 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucrkhc2TKCy7PIjvAR4cY1PaG4FZxwtS9pTHlgxh=s96-c | 10 | 0 | 5 | [{"name": "Scott Galloway", "slug": "scott-galloway", "userId": "ps3zKQSRuzLJVMzDQMAOlCDFRgG2", "groupId": "H6L7cAbL88dRrfAcBflK", "createdTime": 1669036105540}, {"name": "Wall Street Bets", "slug": "wall-street-bets", "userId": "ps3zKQSRuzLJVMzDQMAOlCDFRgG2", "groupId": "8Gu77XZbp4YnYEhLkOKm", "createdTime": 166903672... | ["scott-galloway", "wall-street-bets"] | 0.5 | 1714979636952 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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0.2761932344558101 | IbZpQVkWXp1J4vD2VVvQ | {"NO": 728.8166064364204, "YES": 6139.835456837446} | 0 | will-snap-inc-be-acquired-before-ja | 5111.620773981621 | Will Snap Inc. be acquired before Jan 1, 2024? | 1704063540000 | ps3zKQSRuzLJVMzDQMAOlCDFRgG2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 0.48785264932275796 | True | basic | NO | public | 1669036329991 | yaboi69 | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Scott Galloway, 2022-09-05: “Anyways, my prediction: I think Snap likely gets acquired in the next 12 months.” (Prof G Markets: Snap Layoffs, the IPO Drought, and Options Trading)", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "c... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1704163933447 | 1370 | yaboi69 | 1704163933662 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucrkhc2TKCy7PIjvAR4cY1PaG4FZxwtS9pTHlgxh=s96-c | 17 | 0 | 1 | 6 | [{"name": "Scott Galloway", "slug": "scott-galloway", "userId": "ps3zKQSRuzLJVMzDQMAOlCDFRgG2", "groupId": "H6L7cAbL88dRrfAcBflK", "createdTime": 1669036330297}, {"name": "Wall Street Bets", "slug": "wall-street-bets", "userId": "ps3zKQSRuzLJVMzDQMAOlCDFRgG2", "groupId": "8Gu77XZbp4YnYEhLkOKm", "createdTime": 166903672... | ["scott-galloway", "wall-street-bets", "new-years-resolutions-2024"] | 0.5 | 1703388913687 | 1669085564568 | 0.04 | ps3zKQSRuzLJVMzDQMAOlCDFRgG2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5246489233512358 | Ot6hoAZYSYCg1iExxVZI | {"NO": 131.8872244759158, "YES": 164.14779170293426} | 0.4699999999999994 | sam-seder-stock-permanent | 299.59358356836645 | Sam Seder Stock (Permanent) | 33217163036415 | FFFdgcsIdWZljHjBt1mN1nZ54H92 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1669038341146 | Chao | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Yes = Buy", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "No = Short", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "This is a permanent market and its duration will be lengthened as long as it's allowed. The aim is to sell your stock (see ... | STONK | {"day": -5.551115123125783e-16, "week": -5.551115123125783e-16, "month": -5.551115123125783e-16} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 150 | chao | 1713586846923 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | [{"name": "🎮 Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj"}, {"name": "all stonks", "slug": "all-stonks", "groupId": "82a3ffe0-4f06-4a64-a341-963e9767d08e"}, {"name": "Permanent Markets", "slug": "permanent-markets", "groupId": "2T4mM0N5az2lYcaN5G50"}, {"name": "🎲 Unranked", "slug": "nonpredicti... | ["destinygg", "all-stonks", "permanent-markets", "nonpredictive", "unsubsidized"] | 0.5 | False | False | 1696855225101 | False | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5559233664140066 | NizSYBi1LKPfbohgvvw6 | {"NO": 498.4918673045841, "YES": 59.84958581624572} | 1 | democrats-vs-republicans-2-hour-onl-ef2d915d5571 | 1509.1329553805956 | Democrats vs Republicans (2 hour only) | 1669046400000 | q686a2oLqzeC28I5WKa5hOufEXs1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.4725838369210056 | True | play | YES | public | 1669039666595 | Gamble market | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "YES FOR Democrats", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "NO FOR Republicans", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "50.1%<YES = Democrats WINS", "type": "text"}, {"type": "ha... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1669046738809 | 230 | Gamble_market | 1669046372718 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 11 | [{"name": "Self-resolving", "slug": "selfresolving", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "9cUlgUS6fDN3LIyavEam", "createdTime": 1669419410187}, {"name": "Gambling", "slug": "gambling", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "PqwKmXzv3O7b1ICBAZ4H", "createdTime": 1669419408905}] | ["gambling", "selfresolving"] | 0.5 | False | 1669046372575 | 0.9124869670320799 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.48181349096840037 | 1bn5EqpO8CXEyeKu7Vk9 | {"NO": 22.524016678744864, "YES": 1685.392390412012} | 0 | will-budweiser-sue-fifa-for-a-breac | 2722.699016422142 | Will Budweiser sue FIFA for a breach of contract (the sale of beer was banned at the 2022 FIFA World Cup)? | 1673823540000 | TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 3.6265460654027084 | True | play | NO | public | 1669040471956 | Tomek ⚡ K | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Beer worth of $75 million will not go for sale at the World Cup, because the sale of beer got banned few days before the tournament.", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"type": "hardBreak"}, {"type": "hard... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1673859853614 | 210 | itsTomekK | 1673828031228 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucpX06ijc3lo890AF3SDad-CDRub6EcR6ADNMq-zFHY=s96-c | 10 | 0 | 1 | 7 | [{"name": "2022 FIFA World Cup", "slug": "2022-fifa-world-cup", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "ujdSUUHAKLNPFSj2PTNX", "createdTime": 1669040472262}, {"name": "FIFA 2022 Controversies", "slug": "fifa-2022-controversies", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "7T3PyzXkrrWDrbDFDLNL", ... | ["2022-fifa-world-cup", "fifa-2022-controversies"] | 0.5 | 1673647344101 | 1673828027808 | 0.01 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.42455561348814647 | seh0K038ZS9ACbr1E4lv | {"NO": 74.4931713152753, "YES": 1319.042943078198} | 0 | will-50-people-be-arrested-for-tryi | 2044.4545803651192 | Will 50 people be arrested for trying to sneak alcohol or narcotics into Qatar for the World Cup? | 1672549140000 | 4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.0299289796563666 | True | play | NO | public | 1669040565551 | Brian T. Edwards | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Qatar pulled the ultimate bait and switch on soccer fans attending the World Cup when they decided not to sell beer after promising fans it would be sold for over a year. Will people try to BYOB?", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1672981697747 | 330 | BTE | 1672981693876 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 2 | 12 | [{"name": "2022 FIFA World Cup", "slug": "2022-fifa-world-cup", "userId": "4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2", "groupId": "ujdSUUHAKLNPFSj2PTNX", "createdTime": 1669040704564}, {"name": "Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "userId": "4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi", "createdTime": 16690405660... | ["sports-default", "2022-fifa-world-cup", "fifa-2022-controversies"] | 0.5 | 1672251771430 | 1672981691774 | 0.04 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.16036167565521953 | 6K1fhh5sgZ4XsTlSeMn2 | {"NO": 86.12633870829507, "YES": 1093.6853946421713} | 0 | 2022-fifa-world-cup-will-belgium-pl | 1395.8607862245808 | 2022 FIFA World Cup: Will Belgium play in kits with the word "LOVE"? | 1671404340000 | TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 4.525818245627251 | True | play | NO | public | 1669040648383 | Tomek ⚡ K | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market will resolve to YES if, in at least one game, most of Belgium's players will have the word \"Love\" written somewhere on their jerseys.", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": ... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1671405164544 | 150 | itsTomekK | 1671376127093 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucpX06ijc3lo890AF3SDad-CDRub6EcR6ADNMq-zFHY=s96-c | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | [{"name": "FIFA 2022 Controversies", "slug": "fifa-2022-controversies", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "7T3PyzXkrrWDrbDFDLNL", "createdTime": 1669249089015}, {"name": "Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "createdTime": 16690424159... | ["2022-fifa-world-cup", "lgbtqia", "soccer", "fifa-2022-controversies", "please-resolve"] | 0.5 | 1671376126934 | 1671082871060 | 0.01 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5131879443968694 | xW02kSxE0ogAfISVYlWP | {"NO": 223.60848487827008, "YES": 235.72378165985552} | 0 | daily-double-or-nothing-market-nov-64e20940d344 | 99.10658568924724 | Daily Double or Nothing Market (Nov 22) | 1669179540000 | q686a2oLqzeC28I5WKa5hOufEXs1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 0.08001066922739833 | True | play | NO | public | 1669040682408 | Gamble market | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This is a double or nothing market intended to allow participants to gamble their M$. To prevent manipulation of outcome, resolution will be based on the random number published in the tweet of @dailyrandomnums on the next day:", "type": "text"}]},... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1669215638230 | 230 | Gamble_market | 1669178151406 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 8 | [{"name": "Gambling", "slug": "gambling", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "PqwKmXzv3O7b1ICBAZ4H", "createdTime": 1669091542397}, {"name": "Non-Predictive Profits", "slug": "nonpredictive-profits", "userId": "9hWkzPveXIelUk4XOrm5WroriST2", "groupId": "sVCyD10FvUk5af10QT6H", "createdTime": 1672980899... | ["gambling", "nonpredictive-profits"] | 0.5 | False | 1669178151252 | 0.5000000000000002 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.201748964121995 | fVq2tPrPcLXajalxXUz1 | {"NO": 89.1674980759675, "YES": 3812.966602689694} | 0 | will-harry-maguire-score-a-goal-at | 4203.464872660359 | Will Harry Maguire score a goal at the 2022 FIFA World Cup? | 1670787862292 | TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 3.760412006018923 | True | play | NO | public | 1669040714559 | Tomek ⚡ K | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "own goals ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "included", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "penalty shoot-outs ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "not included", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1670787862292 | 250 | itsTomekK | 1670787725978 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucpX06ijc3lo890AF3SDad-CDRub6EcR6ADNMq-zFHY=s96-c | 12 | 0 | 11 | [{"name": "2022 FIFA World Cup", "slug": "2022-fifa-world-cup", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "ujdSUUHAKLNPFSj2PTNX", "createdTime": 1669040714908}] | ["2022-fifa-world-cup"] | 0.5 | 1670787725849 | 1670767359835 | 0.01 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Qr9r5sIqRUpXz3dc61Iy | what-armbands-will-captains-wear-at | 2039.0222522228594 | What armbands will captains wear at the 2022 World Cup Final? | 1671404340000 | TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 4.639843926971011 | True | play | dea466e1a26b | public | 1669041030972 | Tomek ⚡ K | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will resolve to two proper descriptions (or one, if the same) of armbands worn by captains of national teams playing the final game of WC.", "type": "text"}]}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1671405145374 | 600 | itsTomekK | 1671400103797 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucpX06ijc3lo890AF3SDad-CDRub6EcR6ADNMq-zFHY=s96-c | 10 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "cd9613a1ef56", "prob": 0.0025075727913949786, "text": "Other", "index": 0, "poolNo": 0.010616872514842678, "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "isOther": true, "poolYes": 4.223307084259487, "textFts": "", "contractId": "Qr9r5sIqRUpXz3dc61Iy", "createdTime": 1669041031340, "probChanges": {"day": 0, "week"... | 1 | 10 | [{"name": "2022 FIFA World Cup", "slug": "2022-fifa-world-cup", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "ujdSUUHAKLNPFSj2PTNX", "createdTime": 1669041031219}, {"name": "FIFA 2022 Controversies", "slug": "fifa-2022-controversies", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "7T3PyzXkrrWDrbDFDLNL", ... | ["2022-fifa-world-cup", "fifa-2022-controversies"] | 1671400103029 | 1671391931051 | {"dea466e1a26b": 100} | True | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.25631833440373053 | dgBicpilkACaHNhtn70v | {"NO": 47.189262121625674, "YES": 9122.824187053155} | 0 | will-canada-win-a-game-at-the-world | 9719.893282011553 | Will Canada win a game at the World Cup? | 1670008493338 | JRjIaIdYFlPWBVyekmAG4JNXUw82 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 3.4017908605027785 | True | play | NO | public | 1669041058697 | poppinfresh | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"type": "hardBreak"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Close date updated to 2022-11-21 2:32 pm", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Close date updated to 2022-12-02 8:00 pm", "type": "text"}]}... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1670008493338 | 310 | poppinfresh | 1670002239396 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 15 | [{"name": "Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "userId": "JRjIaIdYFlPWBVyekmAG4JNXUw82", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi", "createdTime": 1669041059158}, {"name": "2022 FIFA World Cup", "slug": "2022-fifa-world-cup", "userId": "JRjIaIdYFlPWBVyekmAG4JNXUw82", "groupId": "ujdSUUHAKLNPFSj2PTNX", "createdTime": 16690411479... | ["sports-default", "2022-fifa-world-cup"] | 0.5 | 1670002217019 | 1670002236328 | 0.001779643042574334 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.4791239902613375 | N9Atpb9o48gXukRTmRlo | {"NO": 624.5554811680352, "YES": 64.96834898966185} | 1 | democrats-vs-republicans-1-day-only | 1936.087484111262 | Democrats vs Republicans (1 day only) | 1669086000000 | q686a2oLqzeC28I5WKa5hOufEXs1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.0841008068013465 | True | play | YES | public | 1669041081654 | Gamble market | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "YES FOR Democrats", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "NO FOR Republicans", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "50.1%<YES = Democrats WINS", "type": "text"}, {"type": "ha... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1669086104880 | 270 | Gamble_market | 1669085998965 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 12 | [{"name": "Self-resolving", "slug": "selfresolving", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "9cUlgUS6fDN3LIyavEam", "createdTime": 1669419416963}, {"name": "Gambling", "slug": "gambling", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "PqwKmXzv3O7b1ICBAZ4H", "createdTime": 1669419415849}] | ["gambling", "selfresolving"] | 0.5 | False | 1669085998797 | 0.8984014123773243 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.17185160638414973 | 9jarcx0StuIt7FdBlcQT | {"NO": 898.3827363030229, "YES": 1521.3357930462037} | 0.10916401461557046 | ea-will-renounce-utilitarianism-as | 1449.3003052976992 | Will EA renounce utilitarianism as a guiding principle by the end of 2030? | 1925010000000 | y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.83516523366042 | False | basic | public | 1669041967766 | Isaac King | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "For this to resolve positivly, the general trend in EA has to shift away from utilitarianism and towards some other moral philosophy. (It can still be consequentialist.) Not ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "every", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "... | BINARY | {"day": 1.3877787807814457e-17, "week": -0.0039547510784308515, "month": -0.06562729037993942} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 7.455250481514229, "platformFee": 0.2755808622689542, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | IsaacKing | 1719855267221 | 0 | 0 | 31 | 1 | 6 | [{"name": "Philosophy (+Updating Beliefs?)", "slug": "philosophy", "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "groupId": "k5dp7h33O46hKqTGyKM9", "createdTime": 1669041967982}, {"name": "Effective Altruism", "slug": "effective-altruism", "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "groupId": "znYsWa9eZRkBvSHwmaNz", "create... | ["philosophy", "effective-altruism"] | 0.5 | 1719855263826 | 1711810668533 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.7377756154332796 | ajVOfl5c3fOqBaKOIt8p | {"NO": 883.8183808247865, "YES": 258.6548644405627} | 1 | 2022-fifa-world-cup-will-irans-nati | 954.8303904470392 | 2022 FIFA World Cup: Will Iranian players return home safely? | 1671663540000 | TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.3918000763413338 | True | play | YES | public | 1669042146641 | Tomek ⚡ K | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "\"", "type": "text"}, {"text": "World Cup 2022: Iranian players refused to sing national anthem before match with England\"", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "https://sports.yahoo.com/world-cup-2022-ira... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1671721964819 | 370 | itsTomekK | 1671657595183 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucpX06ijc3lo890AF3SDad-CDRub6EcR6ADNMq-zFHY=s96-c | 19 | 0 | 1 | 16 | [{"name": "2022 FIFA World Cup", "slug": "2022-fifa-world-cup", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "ujdSUUHAKLNPFSj2PTNX", "createdTime": 1669042146928}, {"name": "Tomek's 🟡 specials", "slug": "tomeks-specials", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "Tnqa2ZTn9jMpD7wSBWGJ", "createdTime... | ["2022-fifa-world-cup", "tomeks-specials", "fifa-2022-controversies"] | 0.5 | 1671657595077 | 1669732874743 | 0.91 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.31377911108462747 | ZasX2Dc7mS2oVXvCGpuz | {"NO": 412.6257827280433, "YES": 3420.8050051357754} | 0 | will-any-player-manifest-lgbt-suppo | 11977.078339634041 | 2022 FIFA World Cup: Will any player manifest support for LGBT during the game? | 1671663540000 | TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 0.7335743442604361 | True | play | NO | public | 1669042358335 | Tomek ⚡ K | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will resolve to YES if during the game at the World Cup 2022 any of the players visibly exposes (by gesture, celebration, undershirt) support for LGBT rights and community, in opposition to FIFA's \"suggestions\" and bans.", "type": "text"}]}, {"ty... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1671721571360 | 950 | itsTomekK | 1671718278135 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucpX06ijc3lo890AF3SDad-CDRub6EcR6ADNMq-zFHY=s96-c | 49 | 0 | 1 | 37 | [{"name": "Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "createdTime": 1669042421274}, {"name": "2022 FIFA World Cup", "slug": "2022-fifa-world-cup", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "ujdSUUHAKLNPFSj2PTNX", "createdTime": 1669042418346}, {"n... | ["tomeks-specials", "2022-fifa-world-cup", "soccer", "lgbtqia", "fifa-2022-controversies"] | 0.5 | 1671718277876 | 1671464223219 | 0.05 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.49999999999999994 | ljqlX5z4fLIKmilY49Di | {"NO": 40.983606557377065, "YES": 61} | 0.40186465198521143 | marginal-revolution-stock-permanent | 11 | Marginal Revolution stock (Permanent) | 1669042661471 | wjbOTRRJ7Ee5mjSMMYrtwoWuiCp2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 4.412003944392918 | True | play | CANCEL | public | 1669042424246 | Gigacasting | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "^", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1669042661471 | 50 | Gigacasting | 1669042445645 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | [{"name": "Economics", "slug": "economics-default", "userId": "wjbOTRRJ7Ee5mjSMMYrtwoWuiCp2", "groupId": "p88Ycq6yFd5ECKqq9PFO", "createdTime": 1669042424559}] | ["economics-default"] | 0.5 | 1669042445555 | 0.40186465198521143 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.9073037545901104 | GGfNPmaLTQThM4QH3Tot | {"NO": 12851.127088790055, "YES": 302.60334966420487} | 1 | will-rmemes-get-22500000-subscriber | 16644.642406837163 | Will /r/Memes get 22,500,000 subscribers before Nov 25th, 2022? | 1669125603810 | hRbPwezgxnat6GpJQxoFxq1xgUZ2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.343656162596039 | True | play | YES | public | 1669042553704 | Ammon Lam | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1669125603810 | 470 | AmmonLam | 1669125591798 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3tZQ3FxKg9rh6V8N0P2Lax5R_TfROJtQmrapTp=s96-c | 25 | 0 | 25 | [{"name": "Internet", "slug": "internet", "userId": "hRbPwezgxnat6GpJQxoFxq1xgUZ2", "groupId": "raDuDKuBOp5D9l7301XV", "createdTime": 1669042554603}] | ["internet"] | 0.5 | 1669125591612 | 1669089121956 | 0.9875112782883751 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.30899182376059325 | TYVS9jrMkNPoF5eRvsMB | {"NO": 827.7836212229911, "YES": 1474.3163092591622} | 0.20068241858606653 | will-30-of-video-game-players-be-us | 3532.7581026554603 | Will 30% of video game players be using a VR headset of some sort to play video games by 2030? | 1924991940000 | hcsLvFo5SMe95EK3vc8sBtHVyE43 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.640610603985618 | False | basic | public | 1669042694138 | Daniel Kilian | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 11.214912666084444, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | DanielKilian | 1716992977471 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu2hzKu9m4eg7Rg_Mj7Umv9Oy4uMEHofDmUl-Bpz2Q=s96-c | 1 | 39 | 0 | 21 | [{"name": "Gaming", "slug": "gaming", "userId": "hcsLvFo5SMe95EK3vc8sBtHVyE43", "groupId": "5FaFmmaNNFTSA5r0vTAi", "createdTime": 1669042694538}, {"name": "Virtual Reality", "slug": "virtual-reality", "userId": "4aW01GHrlgafwAPLI1St7MPnOni1", "groupId": "tHkKwsHjd8vhks1CL5oF", "createdTime": 1669870829049}] | ["gaming", "virtual-reality"] | 0.5 | 1716992973377 | 1679158106987 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.2384434797353695 | PruPaRj0Wgu5vVvrPbUM | {"NO": 632.5130156337318, "YES": 5321.66731289015} | 0 | will-there-be-a-streaker-at-the-202 | 27969.29276988521 | Will there be a streaker at the 2022 World Cup? | 1671853066740 | SaR7wCjlAsMht6GzSAyougPzRH02 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 0.6400225878043369 | True | basic | NO | public | 1669043564522 | Emelia Heath | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Any reputable news article reporting a streaker or photo/video proof of a streaker incident will resolve this market as Yes.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "By definition, a streaker is: a per... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1671853066740 | 1190 | EmeliaHeath | 1671729737303 | 0 | 60 | 0 | 47 | [{"name": "Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "userId": "SaR7wCjlAsMht6GzSAyougPzRH02", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi", "createdTime": 1669043564804}, {"name": "2022 FIFA World Cup", "slug": "2022-fifa-world-cup", "userId": "5LZ4LgYuySdL1huCWe7bti02ghx2", "groupId": "ujdSUUHAKLNPFSj2PTNX", "createdTime": 16698680352... | ["sports-default", "2022-fifa-world-cup"] | 0.5 | 1671729737158 | 1669697066436 | 0.04 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.39380379840498564 | CK6iX9xZtcp1P15ar397 | {"NO": 108.26714970734753, "YES": 966.1108527781245} | 0 | will-manifold-end-the-last-week-of | 1058.5423256257075 | Will Manifold end the last week of December with >1500 avg DAU | 1672531140000 | uglwf3YKOZNGjjEXKc5HampOFRE2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.7947902104121845 | True | play | NO | public | 1669043616419 | David Chee | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Manifold saw a big spike in users recently due to the influx of new users from streamer Destiny.", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "It has died down a bit recently due to Destiny not streaming for the past 4 ... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1672607802085 | 290 | SirSalty | 1672607810012 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 14 | [{"name": "Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "userId": "uglwf3YKOZNGjjEXKc5HampOFRE2", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1669043616994}] | ["manifold-6748e065087e"] | 0.5 | 1672301205102 | 1672607808706 | 0.07 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.6667806421861474 | 5KUb24G0n72WFrtdxNIQ | {"NO": 290.9180264981941, "YES": 79.40205551100264} | 1 | will-i-successfully-close-this-mark | 235.3527777309967 | Will I Successfully close this market by tomorrow evening? | 1669161540000 | hcsLvFo5SMe95EK3vc8sBtHVyE43 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.8892606360805306 | True | play | YES | public | 1669044122977 | Daniel Kilian | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1669178390668 | 130 | DanielKilian | 1669160538375 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu2hzKu9m4eg7Rg_Mj7Umv9Oy4uMEHofDmUl-Bpz2Q=s96-c | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | [{"name": "Personal Goals", "slug": "personal-goals", "userId": "hcsLvFo5SMe95EK3vc8sBtHVyE43", "groupId": "izQp87CKagOVJp9Olm1p", "createdTime": 1669044123654}] | ["personal-goals"] | 0.5 | 1669160537610 | 0.879973304417501 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.02831851798616648 | ywsr3WkXPxRRjFF6Hluc | {"NO": 960.8662907414058, "YES": 1007.3842036941559} | 0.027046223002836153 | will-scott-alexander-be-convicted-o | 1394.1175091224343 | Will Scott Alexander be convicted of a felony in the United States before 2030? | 1893474000000 | y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | basic | public | 1669044588411 | Isaac King | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This is part of a group of markets on Scott Alexander with slightly different resolution criteria, made with the intention of figuring out which structure is best. For an overview and discussion, see ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "here", "type": "te... | BINARY | {"day": 4.163336342344337e-17, "week": 4.163336342344337e-17, "month": 4.163336342344337e-17} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | IsaacKing | 1704699280712 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 11 | [{"name": "Scandal Markets", "slug": "scandal-markets", "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "groupId": "qHo4qLNyY6bkcoS7hZe0", "createdTime": 1669044588629}] | ["scandal-markets"] | 0.5 | 1704699280563 | 1669048316328 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.03614555401082892 | K6WBu6e5ekpfNwY8bCj9 | {"NO": 959.1124553264409, "YES": 1211.3131252706899} | 0.0288369090175342 | will-scott-alexander-be-convicted-o-a372f8cf02bd | 820.7992168051418 | Will Scott Alexander be convicted of a felony in any country before 2030? | 1893474000000 | y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | basic | public | 1669044642248 | Isaac King | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This is part of a group of markets on Scott Alexander with slightly different resolution criteria, made with the intention of figuring out which structure is best. For an overview and discussion, see ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "here", "type": "te... | BINARY | {"day": 3.469446951953614e-18, "week": 3.469446951953614e-18, "month": -2.3958013989574395e-05} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.002015352091113181, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | IsaacKing | 1718172246987 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 7 | [{"name": "Scandal Markets", "slug": "scandal-markets", "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "groupId": "qHo4qLNyY6bkcoS7hZe0", "createdTime": 1669044642456}] | ["scandal-markets"] | 0.5 | 1718172243759 | 1682818175506 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.7642331199870233 | UTvWu2CFLcUox3yNR7WT | {"NO": 1118.668683656534, "YES": 952.3242626393131} | 0.7919991819595259 | will-the-united-states-of-america-b | 1774.5290392591148 | Will the United States of America be composed of exactly 50 states by 2030? | 1924991940000 | IVlQzj5TGKgr8fod38onXq6yuG53 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.52011590781228 | False | basic | public | 1669044734656 | Jetbat | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If the number of states in the United States of America increases or decreases any time before January 1 2030, this market shall resolve to 'NO'. ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "e.g. if Washi... | BINARY | {"day": -1.1102230246251565e-16, "week": -1.1102230246251565e-16, "month": -1.1102230246251565e-16} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 1.6917835951756948, "platformFee": 1.6917835951756948, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | Jetbat | 1714623012303 | 0 | 2 | 34 | 0 | 14 | [{"name": "US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "userId": "IVlQzj5TGKgr8fod38onXq6yuG53", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1669044735155}] | ["us-politics"] | 0.5 | 1714623009099 | 1679876676955 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.4999999999999953 | dVEXUcrSsMx5E2rzzDyG | {"NO": 535, "YES": 4.67289719626168} | 1 | cr7-or-lionel | 485 | CR7 or Lionel? | 1669044944783 | v4Eqf3yQwMXq7EdpLoyrAC1CU813 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 6.560838421715312 | True | play | YES | public | 1669044798524 | Roman Lorch | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1669044944783 | 50 | RomanLorch | 1669044933625 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu1Na_-3lKsk3Uz5jmwOYYIgG-RoauH-lwO4vJlv=s96-c | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | [{"name": "Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "userId": "v4Eqf3yQwMXq7EdpLoyrAC1CU813", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "createdTime": 1669044799149}] | ["soccer"] | 0.5 | 1669044933402 | 0.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.13150873944009422 | SdYpUblEditgv2EsvSh0 | {"NO": 949.3627164578037, "YES": 1225.680105991963} | 0.10497358951306328 | will-scott-alexander-be-the-subject | 744.5034453790965 | Will Scott Alexander be the subject of a public scandal within his social circle before 2030? | 1893474000000 | y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.967722863981198 | False | basic | public | 1669044906760 | Isaac King | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This doesn't count a scandal like the NYT article, since most people within Scott's communities were in favor of Scott. It must be something where a significant number of Scott's friends, readers, and/or professional aquaintances are angry at him o... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.011475116907992897} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.913640980918091, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | IsaacKing | 1718550920335 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 20 | [{"name": "Scandal Markets", "slug": "scandal-markets", "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "groupId": "qHo4qLNyY6bkcoS7hZe0", "createdTime": 1669044906973}, {"name": "Scott Alexander ", "slug": "scott-alexander", "userId": "kbHiTAGBahXdX9Z4sW29JpNrB0l2", "groupId": "FeV6PWIm7Jv4bVJ1OXBC", "createdTime": 16847058... | ["scandal-markets", "scott-alexander"] | 0.5 | 1718550917246 | 1676672061673 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.8865673894718875 | NByUyiNFWlsTRhSsbQ1e | {"NO": 1589.4800169907185, "YES": 169.3998967070872} | 1 | 2022-fifa-world-cup-will-there-be-a | 3137.5209743591413 | 2022 FIFA World Cup: Will there be a pitch invader? | 1669718515790 | TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 4.098886030201024 | True | play | YES | public | 1669044931571 | Tomek ⚡ K | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves to YES if during any game at the Wolrd Cup time there is an outside person entering the pitch without permission, and most probably doing some crazy stuff. So-called \"pitch invader\"", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1669718515790 | 290 | itsTomekK | 1669709176356 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucpX06ijc3lo890AF3SDad-CDRub6EcR6ADNMq-zFHY=s96-c | 15 | 0 | 15 | [{"name": "Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "userId": "RozR0q8tAMVeDOlwTphVRNVoc3O2", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "createdTime": 1669116946977}, {"name": "2022 FIFA World Cup", "slug": "2022-fifa-world-cup", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "ujdSUUHAKLNPFSj2PTNX", "createdTime": 1669044931881}, {"n... | ["2022-fifa-world-cup", "soccer", "tomeks-specials", "fifa-2022-controversies"] | 0.5 | 1669709173385 | 1669668316343 | 0.9865475231363777 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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