p
string
id
string
pool
string
prob
string
slug
string
volume
string
dpmPool
string
question
string
realAnte
string
closeTime
string
creatorId
string
mechanism
string
startPool
string
totalBets
string
dailyScore
string
elasticity
string
isResolved
string
marketTier
string
resolution
string
visibility
string
createdTime
string
creatorName
string
description
string
outcomeType
string
probChanges
string
subsidyPool
string
totalShares
string
collectedFees
string
phantomShares
string
volume24Hours
string
resolutionTime
string
totalLiquidity
string
creatorUsername
string
lastUpdatedTime
string
popularityScore
string
creatorAvatarUrl
string
likedByUserCount
string
uniqueBettorCount
string
cfmmConversionTime
string
uniqueBettorCountDay
string
addAnswersMode
string
answers
string
bountyLeft
string
bountyTxns
string
closeEmailsSent
string
conversionScore
string
coverImageUrl
string
creatorCreatedTime
string
deleted
string
followerCount
string
freshnessScore
string
groupLinks
string
groupSlugs
string
importanceScore
string
initialProbability
string
isPolitics
string
isRanked
string
isSubsidized
string
lastBetTime
string
lastCommentTime
string
loverUserId1
string
loverUserId2
string
matchCreatorId
string
nonPredictive
string
resolutionProbability
string
resolutions
string
resolverId
string
shouldAnswersSumToOne
string
sort
string
totalBounty
string
unlistedById
string
username
string
viewCount
string
wasDpm
string
0.21180007851005203
iUSPqTKkREoxvkZ45DGP
{"NO": 50.56092074815986, "YES": 271.2329936750223}
0
will-pico-go-to-university-of-iowa
203.64634105487997
Will Pico go to University of Iowa?
1672531140000
Xq7O5e6LEwcFPJQckXw6uy4nflf1
cpmm-1
0
5.550163475198927
True
play
NO
public
1670958366352
Trong ♠︎
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "GPA: 11 unweighted", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "SAT: 23.6", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Completed Algebra 1c", "type": "text"}]}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1674024738793
90
8
1710218258687
0
https://firebasestorage.…2fa-7febb5419c1d
4
0
4
https://firebasestorage.…13a-033bc30d82b5
3
[{"name": "🎮 Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj"}, {"name": "💪 Personal Goals", "slug": "personal-goals", "groupId": "izQp87CKagOVJp9Olm1p"}]
["destinygg", "personal-goals"]
0.5
1670974049409
0.05
0.20069374866553152
7ZqoN8KgkCFafzXjqf7Q
{"NO": 846.1704606660307, "YES": 1539.4045583705838}
0.12127682235268528
will-replies-to-ten-wellengineered
2129.078225491755
Will GPT-4 be more competent than me in my area of expertise?
1690844340000
EWQ8opj5cZg46jsjlXCJsAk2Xpj2
cpmm-1
0.006478941824666611
0.6353189875775778
True
play
CANCEL
public
1670958485850
Eli but Chad
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will replies to ten well-engineered GPT-4 prompts in my area of expertise outperform my own answers to them?", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "Example of what I mean by a well-engineered prompt:", "type": "t...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1698561289610
970
elibutchad
1718900818095
1.1
https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Felibutchad%2F2pSRjKONzf.15?alt=media&token=84d5a63c-36b7-46e7-9758-3d2e1ce647c3
3
49
0
18
25
[{"name": "AI", "slug": "ai", "userId": "EWQ8opj5cZg46jsjlXCJsAk2Xpj2", "groupId": "yEWvvwFFIqzf8JklMewp", "createdTime": 1670958486588}, {"name": "GPT-4 speculation", "slug": "gpt4-speculation", "userId": "NyPB2flsw6P3H4ScNKjzyilepXH2", "groupId": "SWiC5KtQnc48oWmaoAZA", "createdTime": 1671200930049}]
["ai", "gpt4-speculation"]
0.12027889237640217
0.5
1690771528073
1718900816950
0.12
0.36814456609072754
kXE54Jw63QKey3CIvhUx
{"NO": 222.56492162811253, "YES": 1384.6628177636114}
0
will-the-number-of-mobilized-people
1278.761130843753
Will the number of mobilized people in Russia exceed 1 million before the end of 2023?
1704059940000
vqzP814GiUf0mm7j2SHkiy5vixy1
cpmm-1
0
1.118347905097125
True
play
NO
public
1670959040972
AVS
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market resolves \"YES\" if it becomes publicly known that the total number of people mobilized in Russia between September 2022 and December 2023 exceeded one million.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content"...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1704185568443
530
AVS
1704185568618
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AATXAJxOdjufQBz5ZO2pfxGwJKglhiWwsNVt1TDjdChO=s96-c
0
26
0
1
https://firebasestorage.…b49-965d724d1065
12
[{"name": "Russia", "slug": "russia", "userId": "vqzP814GiUf0mm7j2SHkiy5vixy1", "groupId": "TIpf6j0hLpifpXN93FxE", "createdTime": 1670959054140}, {"name": "Russian Mobilization", "slug": "russian-mobilization", "userId": "vqzP814GiUf0mm7j2SHkiy5vixy1", "groupId": "ezxIfUpZ3tFWftxcjGCP", "createdTime": 1670959041174}, {...
["russian-mobilization", "russia", "ukrainerussia-war", "new-years-resolutions-2024"]
0.5
1703262284923
1704092454011
0.09
vqzP814GiUf0mm7j2SHkiy5vixy1
0.5054818188916075
mcQScSQ6czbX08q30hGg
{"NO": 1014.3331355848993, "YES": 981.4567046282164}
0.5137157878978676
proof-of-stack-market-resolution
888.0119266995317
Proof of stack market resolution
4133980740000
EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1
cpmm-1
0
9.413151745539512
False
basic
public
1670959962313
Franklin Baldo
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I will resolve this market when top 3 shareholders of each side reach concensus that it is time to end the market. The market outcome will be defined by the board in the same act, it can be YES, NO or PROB but it cannot be N/A.", "type": "text"}]},...
BINARY
{"day": -1.1102230246251565e-16, "week": -1.1102230246251565e-16, "month": -1.1102230246251565e-16}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
FranklinBaldo
1712773956677
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucry6frpI5BKtmRvdVqmUQnkFdfnFn-LeH3bdV64feY=s96-c
2
18
0
https://firebasestorage.…bbd-2eeac89d7510
8
[{"name": "Experimental", "slug": "experimental", "userId": "EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1", "groupId": "GAn872bm0J8FT8pNYtyq", "createdTime": 1670959983865}, {"name": "Fun", "slug": "fun", "userId": "EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1", "groupId": "bBwafyeaiuwWwobwm2c4", "createdTime": 1670959972308}]
["fun", "experimental"]
0.5
1712773953455
1678963324936
False
0.4211824828137362
O5SGnLhIK2ZEvK1nJjKQ
{"NO": 124.13271048872649, "YES": 175.82627626513306}
0.33937822756131464
did-blaise-pascal-invent-the-midwit
277.7402282559208
Did Pascal invent the midwit meme?
1735711140000
wjbOTRRJ7Ee5mjSMMYrtwoWuiCp2
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1670961331972
Gigacasting
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if no examples of this observation occur prior to 1670", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Otherwise, 1/N based on number of early thinkers incl. Pascal who noticed midwittery:", "typ...
BINARY
{"day": 5.551115123125783e-17, "week": 5.551115123125783e-17, "month": 5.551115123125783e-17}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
150
Gigacasting
1683640149898
0
https://firebasestorage.…197-05995b2e6a2b
1
7
0
https://firebasestorage.…54a-bb215f12527a
5
[{"name": "Philosophy", "slug": "philosophy-af8706ce1d7e", "userId": "wjbOTRRJ7Ee5mjSMMYrtwoWuiCp2", "groupId": "fxiwfHfrTmac3tKJyehm", "createdTime": 1670961332188}]
["philosophy-af8706ce1d7e"]
0.5
1683636506076
1683640146849
0.29665825369026866
lDPdSpqvOqHRJFgu693e
{"NO": 1414.1290023856734, "YES": 4670.340616976313}
0.11324849711356855
will-anyone-be-at-least-150-years-o
27752.80935604674
Will anyone be at least 150 years old by 2072?
3218842800000
4UrkF8yHd2PKzmgXB77GGkNRgXO2
cpmm-1
0.060149412587794306
8.25562254688492
False
basic
public
1670961511075
Gustavo Mafra
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "In other words, someone that is now 100 years old will live 50 years more", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "For cases of cryogenic or similar reanimation the \"age counter\" will pause while the...
BINARY
{"day": -1.3877787807814457e-17, "week": -1.3877787807814457e-17, "month": -1.3877787807814457e-17}
0
{"creatorFee": 0.5224272340821049, "platformFee": 0.5224272340821049, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
2030
GustavoMafra
1715706738218
1.2
https://firebasestorage.…8e3-8d7a4f86a32e
4
150
0
https://firebasestorage.…704-446da9ba5b12
44
[{"name": "Science", "slug": "science-default", "userId": "4UrkF8yHd2PKzmgXB77GGkNRgXO2", "groupId": "XMhZ5LbQoLMZiOpQJRnj", "createdTime": 1670961511605}, {"name": "Futurism", "slug": "futurism", "userId": "LJ7CB9fuYzZ5j8HieQxubQhRYYu2", "groupId": "6UkuV4SnUF3NtbDmfVkV", "createdTime": 1673303589531}]
["science-default", "futurism"]
0.17675445509909815
0.5
1715706734791
1692994645478
0.7116029155973435
ihe1pmgw9WKPHgHUmjNt
{"NO": 887.419162146805, "YES": 465.1345988886028}
0.8260693058372743
sbf-sentence-months
2196.698244812655
*SBF Prison Sentence: Months
1712965571206
wjbOTRRJ7Ee5mjSMMYrtwoWuiCp2
cpmm-1
0
0.7919649459664783
True
play
MKT
public
1670961654516
Gigacasting
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves MIN/MAX in acquittal or >1k", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "100 = 8 years", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "1000 = ~83 years", "type": "text"}]}]}
PSEUDO_NUMERIC
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.0012751422315224747}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1712965571206
570
Gigacasting
1712965571206
0
https://firebasestorage.…197-05995b2e6a2b
18
0
https://firebasestorage.…2cb-706b007d6688
10
[{"name": "FTX", "slug": "ftx", "userId": "wjbOTRRJ7Ee5mjSMMYrtwoWuiCp2", "groupId": "0YV8Cv4WhFWcbUrk4hHV", "createdTime": 1670961654765}, {"name": "Ancient Markets", "slug": "ancient-markets", "userId": "2VhlvfTaRqZbFn2jqxk2Am9jgsE2", "groupId": "W7VPHYmVlkpe1YEGiSeE", "createdTime": 1680737237329}, {"name": "SBF Tri...
["ftx", "ancient-markets", "sbf-trial", "sbf-trial-sentence"]
0.6360696384577723
1711648522730
1671061513838
0.8260693058372743
hUM4SO8a8qhfqT1gEZ7ElTCGSEz2
0.16692575843875906
NPkvmjiyXxrRGx6rmvQE
{"NO": 961.03243692667, "YES": 1091.2025311609996}
0.14999999999999986
will-the-world-mostly-converge-on-a
525.6647777299371
Will the world mostly converge on a single date format before 31/29/30?
2524636800000
y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2
cpmm-1
0
9.802638828804074
False
basic
public
1670962171124
Isaac King
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Date_format_by_country", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Date_format_by_country", "class": null, "target": "_blank"}}]}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "pa...
BINARY
{"day": 2.7755575615628914e-17, "week": 2.7755575615628914e-17, "month": 2.7755575615628914e-17}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
IsaacKing
1718962559751
0
https://firebasestorage.…e7c-a7b2af67e4cc
3
22
0
https://firebasestorage.…f90-beae580efb76
17
[{"name": "World", "slug": "world-default", "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "groupId": "5mzNYaPKc4qXC5J0npKe", "createdTime": 1670962171597}, {"name": "Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1670962178783}]
["world-default", "politics-default"]
0.5
1697405115311
1718962557497
0.37162795538255433
cJrpatuRY5TM3TLhwmVs
{"NO": 744.8063296796249, "YES": 1368.5960799321263}
0.24348708653165402
will-elon-musks-net-worth-fall-belo
1647.743650926672
Will Elon Musk's net worth fall below $100 billion before 2030?
1893484800000
y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2
cpmm-1
2.188872908184006e-15
9.791142390369735
False
basic
public
1670964147708
Isaac King
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "In real dollars. (2022)", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "See also:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "gridCardsComponent", "attrs": {"contractIds": "Pa4NpvhjtV9H4tBCA5Cy,qoIngv2IAs9qZSbG4RRS"}}]}
BINARY
{"day": -2.7755575615628914e-17, "week": -2.7755575615628914e-17, "month": -0.0008445827542156725}
0
{"creatorFee": 1.8706272132637771, "platformFee": 1.8034791303150048, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
IsaacKing
1718928764236
0.4
https://firebasestorage.…e7c-a7b2af67e4cc
0
26
0
https://firebasestorage.…d50-e29c89792317
10
[{"name": "🚗 Elon musk", "slug": "elon-musk-14d9d9498c7e", "groupId": "9OR5MrEu1F01FhmBRcre"}]
["elon-musk-14d9d9498c7e"]
0.10362037259502392
0.5
1718928761072
0.25004333078609003
Pa4NpvhjtV9H4tBCA5Cy
{"NO": 840.3311327882262, "YES": 1392.8721478817909}
0.16746395664335245
will-elon-musks-net-worth-fall-belo-46bd712cd0a6
1156.1883870378397
Will Elon Musk's net worth fall below $50 billion before 2030?
1893484800000
y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2
cpmm-1
0.14380102861667685
9.69600659783996
False
basic
public
1670964174621
Isaac King
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "In real dollars. (2022)", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "See also:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "gridCardsComponent", "attrs": {"contractIds": "cJrpatuRY5TM3TLhwmVs,qoIngv2IAs9qZSbG4RRS"}}]}
BINARY
{"day": 2.7755575615628914e-16, "week": 2.7755575615628914e-16, "month": 2.7755575615628914e-16}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
IsaacKing
1707451214699
2.4
https://firebasestorage.…e7c-a7b2af67e4cc
1
19
0
11
[{"name": "Elon musk", "slug": "elon-musk-14d9d9498c7e", "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "groupId": "9OR5MrEu1F01FhmBRcre", "createdTime": 1670964174842}]
["elon-musk-14d9d9498c7e"]
0.14832926620728773
0.5
1707451214517
1687845658950
0.6688898701502249
qoIngv2IAs9qZSbG4RRS
{"NO": 831.855192321766, "YES": 1033.4732741165774}
0.6191981676103854
will-elon-musks-net-worth-fall-belo-c2c561bfb418
1653.5189921009835
Will Elon Musk's net worth fall below $150 billion before 2030?
1893484800000
y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2
cpmm-1
0
9.609844995005762
False
basic
public
1670964183534
Isaac King
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "In real dollars. (2022)", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "See also:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "gridCardsComponent", "attrs": {"contractIds": "Pa4NpvhjtV9H4tBCA5Cy,cJrpatuRY5TM3TLhwmVs"}}]}
BINARY
{"day": -1.1102230246251565e-16, "week": -1.1102230246251565e-16, "month": -0.09927620946022686}
0
{"creatorFee": 14.26228408912878, "platformFee": 7.550645520251252, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
IsaacKing
1718317045373
0
https://firebasestorage.…e7c-a7b2af67e4cc
1
29
0
https://firebasestorage.…df1-e54f5c407b8c
11
[{"name": "🚗 Elon musk", "slug": "elon-musk-14d9d9498c7e", "groupId": "9OR5MrEu1F01FhmBRcre"}]
["elon-musk-14d9d9498c7e"]
0.5
1718317042205
0.3241407845355306
jFprAXMTNi0gXmmR4nQX
{"NO": 847.5199693327087, "YES": 1326.160929029892}
0.23459652711211715
will-there-be-a-notable-bookburning
2493.96012541134
Will there be a notable book-burning event on a US college campus before 2030?
1893484800000
y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2
cpmm-1
0
9.644597378068827
False
basic
public
1670964503103
Isaac King
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Must be intentional. An accidental library fire doesn't count.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "A single person burning a few of their own books doesn't count. Must involve several people and a...
BINARY
{"day": 5.551115123125783e-17, "week": 5.551115123125783e-17, "month": 5.551115123125783e-17}
0
{"creatorFee": 1.0823245152788326, "platformFee": 1.0823245152788326, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
IsaacKing
1716319099805
0
https://firebasestorage.…e7c-a7b2af67e4cc
2
41
0
https://firebasestorage.…864-9c600312f4de
29
[{"name": "Books", "slug": "books", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "o3T3Wvaoqw90dns1Q7nU", "createdTime": 1670967520588}, {"name": "US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1670964503520}, {"name": "Culture", "...
["us-politics", "books", "culture-default"]
0.10832892055133755
0.5
1716319096528
1708125902193
0.6395128468230417
rvK27wohLh94mbpnrvc3
{"NO": 186.0712250566227, "YES": 127.73306270806346}
0.721001996763694
will-there-be-at-least-10-500-playe
56.99999999999996
Will there be at least 10 500+ player Competitive Magic tournaments in the United States in 2024?
1735718400000
y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1670964527915
Isaac King
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
150
IsaacKing
1682400804876
0
https://firebasestorage.…e7c-a7b2af67e4cc
0
5
0
https://firebasestorage.…b1c-d75072fbf0da
4
[{"name": "Magic: The Gathering", "slug": "magic-the-gathering", "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "groupId": "MdtQjq1MZ1T3zBP1QqMF", "createdTime": 1670964528116}]
["magic-the-gathering"]
0.5
1682400804783
0.751573735196991
1cdknz2LHgutnvn6erRB
{"NO": 1950.1148341528378, "YES": 616.6989428283376}
0.9053628598751206
at-the-beginning-of-2032-will-jeann
6164.796528165215
At the beginning of 2032, will Jeanne Calment's record for longest documented lifespan (122 years and 164 days) still hold?
1956556800000
y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2
cpmm-1
0
9.540389755342481
False
basic
public
1670965247117
Isaac King
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If it's discovered that Jeanne Calment's record ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "is false", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://manifold.markets/IsaacKing/was-jeanne-calment-a-fraud", "class": null, "target": "_blank"...
BINARY
{"day": -4.440892098500626e-16, "week": -4.440892098500626e-16, "month": -4.440892098500626e-16}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
IsaacKing
1701869820104
0
https://firebasestorage.…e7c-a7b2af67e4cc
1
42
0
https://firebasestorage.…a4d-c928fb8a5bc7
24
[{"name": "Longevity", "slug": "longevity", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "b8Ygbdfv5q2sQsZQGmkl", "createdTime": 1670968410765}, {"name": "Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1670965247554}, {"name"...
["technology-default", "longevity", "life-insurance"]
0.5
1701869819960
1678393206678
0.12628023727053228
pdR0sgPWYuoMqozeLb8E
{"NO": 752.9505987840354, "YES": 3012.3592904461684}
0
will-destiny-complete-factorio-by-c
6220.879202689448
Will Destiny complete factorio by Christmas?
1672034340000
NbvlWCQibcZsAjSBsrXky2jCAcv1
cpmm-1
0
1.0248796977237062
True
play
NO
public
1670965663877
Christian Hanssen
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will Destiny complete factorio by Christmas?", "type": "text"}]}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1672092665962
930
ChristianHanssen
1672033378911
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu31R5zAQ6tSyKFDYh6aHw_MJ_4dEf2rm3Ata4Do=s96-c
46
0
1
https://firebasestorage.…25a-6e16bff8e736
38
[]
[]
0.5
1672033378740
1671037715643
0.03
0.8059402996601243
iWtU5v5eHepijsd9MTQi
{"NO": 4653.9322737715365, "YES": 1393.3727411626833}
0.9327568308667555
will-any-cryptocurrency-have-a-mark
26537.769518684952
Will any cryptocurrency have a market cap of at least $100 billion at the end of 2026?
1798790400000
y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2
cpmm-1
0
3.641453626860137
False
basic
public
1670965813407
Isaac King
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "In 2022 dollars.", "type": "text"}]}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0.0008414953368065525, "month": 0.00021883671779965308}
0
{"creatorFee": 0.9091310161113079, "platformFee": 0.49924661240787604, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1805
IsaacKing
1719829156173
0
https://firebasestorage.…e7c-a7b2af67e4cc
5
159
1
https://firebasestorage.…5b4-19f7522dd15c
5
[{"name": "Crypto Prices", "slug": "crypto-prices", "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "groupId": "Hh2zJJExWlyJQakffoVE", "createdTime": 1670965813631}, {"name": "Cryptocurrency", "slug": "crypto-speculation", "groupId": "YuJw0M1xvUHrpiRRuKso", "createdTime": 1691181913418}]
["crypto-prices", "crypto-speculation"]
0.5
1719829153087
1710141017010
False
0.28722540623819903
jl7O9cSwkdeyoG1iiDY7
{"NO": 947.3701314296369, "YES": 1108.4089372908122}
0.2561856779199312
will-there-be-a-selfdriving-taxi-se
359.00446947050995
Will there be a self-driving taxi service in SF with a working desk seat and wifi by the end of 2025?
1767254340000
4aW01GHrlgafwAPLI1St7MPnOni1
cpmm-1
0
9.587926733248713
False
basic
public
1670965904348
Carson Gale
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
BINARY
{"day": 2.7755575615628914e-16, "week": 2.7755575615628914e-16, "month": 2.7755575615628914e-16}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
CarsonGale
1719438741151
0
https://firebasestorage.…ff3-a1fc33070eae
1
25
0
https://firebasestorage.…7b9-d9bd8855be31
10
[{"name": "Self-Driving Vehicles", "slug": "selfdriving-vehicles", "userId": "4aW01GHrlgafwAPLI1St7MPnOni1", "groupId": "z2q5JCxgaSsIPjKYXpQ5", "createdTime": 1670965904600}, {"name": "Carson's Important Markets", "slug": "carsons-important-markets", "userId": "4aW01GHrlgafwAPLI1St7MPnOni1", "groupId": "DytWRqmLs1y5KMo...
["selfdriving-vehicles", "carsons-important-markets"]
0.5
1711570094040
1719438740075
0.23043658129295835
jcX0jeFjyisQaBN8c0UX
{"NO": 534.4143309409721, "YES": 240.0359900609082}
0.4
how-many-goals-will-be-scored-in-th
1849.137867792881
How many goals will be scored in the 2022 FIFA World Cup Final (90+x, no extra time or pens)? 🥅
1671383201933
sbeStmGsSKehLyVHwZDUTcAXtme2
cpmm-1
0
0.2450566752326481
True
play
MKT
public
1670966572467
howtodowtle
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Includes stoppage time (x), but does not include overtime or penalty shootout. Does include penalties scored in the first 90+x minutes.", "type": "text"}]}]}
PSEUDO_NUMERIC
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1671383201933
510
howtodowtle
1671383152429
0
https://firebasestorage.…b11-2cb01c3ab380
16
0
https://firebasestorage.…99b-10459a64c2ba
14
[{"name": "Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "userId": "sbeStmGsSKehLyVHwZDUTcAXtme2", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "createdTime": 1671024087015}, {"name": "Football", "slug": "football", "userId": "sbeStmGsSKehLyVHwZDUTcAXtme2", "groupId": "Vcf6CYTTSXAiStbKSqQq", "createdTime": 1671024084150}, {"name": "Sports", "slug"...
["2022-fifa-world-cup", "sports-default", "football", "soccer", "2022-world-cup-final"]
0.2
1671383152312
1671198412133
0.4
0.2222169606776138
vd0GeuwjcPq0BI6wWU1O
{"NO": 456.1410201076874, "YES": 456.1271344507412}
0.2222222222222222
how-many-goals-will-be-scored-in-th-fa685843f9f3
574.5081319598049
How many goals will be scored in the third place game of the 2022 FIFA World Cup (90+x, no extra time or pens)? 🥅🥉
1671302909903
sbeStmGsSKehLyVHwZDUTcAXtme2
cpmm-1
0
1.1468700197767845
True
play
MKT
public
1670966627760
howtodowtle
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Includes stoppage time (x), but does not include overtime or penalty shootout. Does include penalties scored in the first 90+x minutes.", "type": "text"}]}]}
PSEUDO_NUMERIC
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1671302909903
470
howtodowtle
1671302862020
0
https://firebasestorage.…b11-2cb01c3ab380
13
0
https://firebasestorage.…77a-164d74e037e7
12
[{"name": "Football", "slug": "football", "userId": "sbeStmGsSKehLyVHwZDUTcAXtme2", "groupId": "Vcf6CYTTSXAiStbKSqQq", "createdTime": 1671024103276}, {"name": "Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "userId": "sbeStmGsSKehLyVHwZDUTcAXtme2", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi", "createdTime": 1671024100669}, {"name": "2022 FI...
["2022-fifa-world-cup", "sports-default", "football", "soccer"]
0.2222222222222222
1671302861835
1671020978267
0.2222222222222222
0.08264749021754772
Hsck7UTqeuGCrqkNuG2B
{"NO": 685.814831924968, "YES": 1338.1649099222209}
0
will-the-hong-kong-dollar-hkd-peg-b
1512.3656354787627
Will the Hong Kong Dollar (HKD) peg break by the end of 2023?
1704067140000
tlmGNz9kjXc2EteizMORes4qvWl2
cpmm-1
0
1.725478145767693
True
play
NO
public
1670967625566
SG
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Background: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Why was the Hong Kong dollar pegged to the US dollar? ", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.scmp.com/yp/discover/advice/article/3093224/what-hong-kong-us-dollar-peg-an...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1704143086488
750
SG
1704143086761
0
https://firebasestorage.…6d6-ad95bdb11967
1
14
0
1
7
[{"name": "Finance", "slug": "finance", "userId": "tlmGNz9kjXc2EteizMORes4qvWl2", "groupId": "CgB83AAMkkOHSrTnzani", "createdTime": 1670967631674}, {"name": "Currency", "slug": "currency", "userId": "tlmGNz9kjXc2EteizMORes4qvWl2", "groupId": "9dU059eOFc5Mgw9iSO8N", "createdTime": 1670967625782}, {"name": "FX Rates", "s...
["currency", "finance", "fx-rates", "new-years-resolutions-2024"]
0.5
1703792575996
0.04
tlmGNz9kjXc2EteizMORes4qvWl2
0.5745663790263631
R9eEvRSj3A8kf8bRWL05
{"NO": 38061.35214324976, "YES": 170.77173568917635}
1
will-argentina-win-the-final-of-the
122350.76328626808
Will Argentina win against France the Final of the 2022 FIFA World Cup?
1671386153388
946iB1LqFIR06G7d8q89um57PHh2
cpmm-1
0
0.6696502024604927
True
basic
YES
public
1670967905600
JAAM
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if Argentina wins the Final or ties and wins the penality shoot-out against France on December 18.", "type": "text"}]}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1671386153388
1970
egroj
1671389260022
0
https://firebasestorage.…3f7-a770bebe9686
102
0
https://firebasestorage.…6de-b79451a94848
83
[{"name": "2022 FIFA World Cup", "slug": "2022-fifa-world-cup", "userId": "946iB1LqFIR06G7d8q89um57PHh2", "groupId": "ujdSUUHAKLNPFSj2PTNX", "createdTime": 1670967905977}, {"name": "2022 World cup final", "slug": "2022-world-cup-final", "userId": "EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1", "groupId": "KtdrK6QDP5f9onFcAUiG", "creat...
["2022-fifa-world-cup", "2022-world-cup-final"]
0.5
1671386149373
1671389256774
0.5
0.22778590306459648
B7MZEv7sUsmYS7HkuYDr
{"NO": 505.9572674917681, "YES": 2580.7894374465654}
0
will-tiktok-be-banned-in-the-eu-or
2564.0107100088107
Will TikTok be banned in the EU or forced to change ownership?
1704063540000
jAA7zF4Gg9P39vKcHhZYmGJQOzZ2
cpmm-1
0.052460454994585966
0.8410139359468554
True
play
NO
public
1670968596089
Zoe
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This resolves to YES if Tiktok is banned in the EU or forced to change ownership by any EU government action by the closing date (Dec", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "31 2023).", "type": "text"}]}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1704382613743
750
Zoe
1704382613940
1.1
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp65Dj4w8D474N2krL0pGnkV7cV9cCx3bGnjtZ6QvQ=s96-c
39
0
1
https://firebasestorage.…3c3-e7008b798d3b
21
[{"name": "Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "userId": "jAA7zF4Gg9P39vKcHhZYmGJQOzZ2", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1670968626338}, {"name": "Economics", "slug": "economics-default", "userId": "jAA7zF4Gg9P39vKcHhZYmGJQOzZ2", "groupId": "p88Ycq6yFd5ECKqq9PFO", "createdTime": 1670968596364}, {"n...
["economics-default", "politics-default", "world-default", "tiktok", "new-years-resolutions-2024"]
0.1266884825092189
0.5
1703755919863
1704382608623
0.05
OEbsAczmbBc4Sl1bacYZNPJLLLc2
0.6816418369695914
RIZZGp0nbnzQO9l63SkI
{"NO": 27603.850183737843, "YES": 60.81394180780626}
1
will-argentina-win-the-fifa-world-c-7e9b8a1c8f2f
35359.20925121377
Will Argentina win the FIFA World Cup 2022?
1671388437761
hRbPwezgxnat6GpJQxoFxq1xgUZ2
cpmm-1
0
1.4685985412785874
True
play
YES
public
1670969729600
Ammon Lam
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1671388437761
690
AmmonLam
1671388434999
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3tZQ3FxKg9rh6V8N0P2Lax5R_TfROJtQmrapTp=s96-c
36
0
https://firebasestorage.…e67-7097e6935793
30
[{"name": "2022 FIFA World Cup", "slug": "2022-fifa-world-cup", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "ujdSUUHAKLNPFSj2PTNX", "createdTime": 1670980506827}, {"name": "Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "createdTime": 1670980504196}, {"n...
["sports-default", "soccer", "2022-fifa-world-cup", "2022-world-cup-final"]
0.5
1671388434837
1671153329091
0.99
0.25917824223501384
luBoEQfn4D4vd1AJbIVw
{"NO": 229.5248293886134, "YES": 6457.163523084527}
0
will-bytedance-surpass-1bln-market
6373.465974886591
Will ByteDance surpass $1Trillion market cap by the end of 2023?
1704082847859
4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2
cpmm-1
0
1.4160795851787973
True
play
NO
public
1670969804093
Brian T. Edwards
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Dec 13, 5:17pm: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Will ByteDance surpass $1Bln market cap by the end of 2023?", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "strike"}]}, {"text": " → Will ByteDance surpass $1Trillion market cap by the end of 2023?", "type": "tex...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1704082847859
590
BTE
1704082848545
0
https://firebasestorage.…ae9-3fcd8f17498c
32
0
https://firebasestorage.…db5-e30b1fe4dd4c
15
[{"name": "Global Macro", "slug": "global-macro", "userId": "4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2", "groupId": "ToJoQmyIyv0ZTSEW96Li", "createdTime": 1670969804468}, {"name": "New Year's Resolutions 2024", "slug": "new-years-resolutions-2024", "userId": "fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42", "groupId": "jM9eYtkUrTKEqvKV3x3e", "create...
["global-macro", "new-years-resolutions-2024"]
0.5
1704082843334
1703985987292
0.01
4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2
0.217648445719432
nWsRDZ9D593gCAvr9sic
{"NO": 159.15640052994422, "YES": 36923.889838957344}
0
will-argentina-score-zero-goal-at-t
39701.78432812585
Will Argentina score zero goal at the World Cup Final?
1671383190010
hRbPwezgxnat6GpJQxoFxq1xgUZ2
cpmm-1
0
0.8072095472137395
True
play
NO
public
1670969987393
Ammon Lam
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolve to Yes if Argentina scored zero goal at the World Cup Final. Goals scored from penalty shoot-outs do not count.", "type": "text"}]}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1671383190010
570
AmmonLam
1671383186803
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3tZQ3FxKg9rh6V8N0P2Lax5R_TfROJtQmrapTp=s96-c
30
0
https://firebasestorage.…34e-09aa06ce4e79
24
[{"name": "2022 FIFA World Cup", "slug": "2022-fifa-world-cup", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "ujdSUUHAKLNPFSj2PTNX", "createdTime": 1670980325244}, {"name": "Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "userId": "hRbPwezgxnat6GpJQxoFxq1xgUZ2", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi", "createdTime": 16709699881...
["sports-default", "2022-fifa-world-cup", "soccer", "2022-world-cup-final"]
0.5
1671383186696
1671377037731
0.01
0.7988128604967771
mOykDkdR8w5U3EvHIDp9
{"NO": 20860.723262514526, "YES": 178.65604039204845}
1
will-argentina-score-one-or-more-go
26475.230525641025
Will Argentina score one or more goal at the World Cup Final?
1671383120373
hRbPwezgxnat6GpJQxoFxq1xgUZ2
cpmm-1
0
1.3637169037733554
True
play
YES
public
1670970018743
Ammon Lam
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolve to Yes if Argentina scored one or more goal at the World Cup Final. Goals scored from penalty shoot-outs do not count.", "type": "text"}]}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1671383120373
530
AmmonLam
1671383116170
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3tZQ3FxKg9rh6V8N0P2Lax5R_TfROJtQmrapTp=s96-c
28
0
https://firebasestorage.…eb2-ce5d50f3695f
22
[{"name": "2022 FIFA World Cup", "slug": "2022-fifa-world-cup", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "ujdSUUHAKLNPFSj2PTNX", "createdTime": 1670980312635}, {"name": "Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "userId": "hRbPwezgxnat6GpJQxoFxq1xgUZ2", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi", "createdTime": 16709700191...
["sports-default", "2022-fifa-world-cup", "soccer"]
0.5
1671383116052
1671379435069
0.99
0.6076594121449205
4pB1Ve2VvVdRPZP2OHgq
{"NO": 34707.534596363024, "YES": 20.679977132174827}
1
will-argentina-score-two-or-more-go
35283.4622935729
Will Argentina score two or more goal at the World Cup Final?
1671383221487
hRbPwezgxnat6GpJQxoFxq1xgUZ2
cpmm-1
0
1.9263075816502684
True
play
YES
public
1670970033549
Ammon Lam
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolve to Yes if Argentina scored two or more goal at the World Cup Final. Goals scored from penalty shoot-outs do not count.", "type": "text"}]}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1671383221487
470
AmmonLam
1671383217901
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3tZQ3FxKg9rh6V8N0P2Lax5R_TfROJtQmrapTp=s96-c
23
0
https://firebasestorage.…09d-7f9e07917e2c
22
[{"name": "2022 FIFA World Cup", "slug": "2022-fifa-world-cup", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "ujdSUUHAKLNPFSj2PTNX", "createdTime": 1670980299620}, {"name": "Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "userId": "hRbPwezgxnat6GpJQxoFxq1xgUZ2", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi", "createdTime": 16709700338...
["sports-default", "2022-fifa-world-cup", "soccer"]
0.5
1671383217740
1671379767122
0.99
0.29695748839870917
SQfu3uxymV0k75260QlQ
{"NO": 598.0522089593437, "YES": 6661.7129903810455}
0
will-messi-score-the-game-winning-g
22849.061667206817
Will Messi score the game winning goal in the World Cup Final?
1671386167047
4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2
cpmm-1
0
0.5418596173386345
True
basic
NO
public
1670970114704
Brian T. Edwards
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1671386167047
1570
BTE
1671386692486
0
https://firebasestorage.…ae9-3fcd8f17498c
79
0
https://firebasestorage.…f9e-066066e65182
57
[{"name": "Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "userId": "4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi", "createdTime": 1670970115472}, {"name": "2022 FIFA World Cup", "slug": "2022-fifa-world-cup", "userId": "4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2", "groupId": "ujdSUUHAKLNPFSj2PTNX", "createdTime": 16709701267...
["sports-default", "2022-fifa-world-cup"]
0.5
1671386123512
1671386686671
0.04
0.4835707367106086
Xlji7mVqPwItDcpwQPJW
{"NO": 403.79075572118813, "YES": 3271.991438754673}
0
will-hasan-react-to-a-clipvideo-des
4328.0085785442825
Will Hasan react to a clip/video Destiny is in again before the end of 2022?
1672531140000
JcW0XadJyTdp8BooVCuPXNnvBsD3
cpmm-1
0
0.5158572038411886
True
basic
NO
public
1670970304920
Tarb
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Destiny has to be heard/seen in the clip/video. ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The clip/video doesn't have to be from Destiny's channel.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will only r...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1672627464723
1170
Tabx
1672590480348
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3xFmZpvNI_MP1hSO7pPzkMQmph0yTNDgCP439VEA=s96-c
58
0
1
https://firebasestorage.…37c-ae50d776c5d1
46
[{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1672107340075}]
["destinygg"]
0.5
1672530123226
1672590476603
0.1
0.5000000000000009
KbSG4koUjsBZyxeDYaXs
{"NO": 550, "YES": 4.545454545454504}
1
a-d988fe58844b
500
a
1670971004897
1wD6IIOBJtdZsnGWkLxbuugpkWH2
cpmm-1
0
6.60509660118465
True
play
YES
public
1670970972327
Aiden Thomas
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "a", "type": "text"}]}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1670971004897
70
AidenThomas
1670970998108
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu0sQKJ1M9BjDm-0T3WPR9KkPsKUvF02iyPS5ghy=s96-c
2
0
https://firebasestorage.…728-6b7b3ce897b5
3
[{"name": "US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "userId": "1wD6IIOBJtdZsnGWkLxbuugpkWH2", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1670970972977}]
["us-politics"]
0.5
1670970997943
0.5
0.5
OjAtnTVrSwWJEcrlQUL5
{"NO": 50, "YES": 50}
0.5
will-i-flip-a-head
0
Will I flip a Head
1670971020000
1wD6IIOBJtdZsnGWkLxbuugpkWH2
cpmm-1
0
4.3944491546724365
True
play
CANCEL
public
1670971057946
Aiden Thomas
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1670971162044
50
AidenThomas
1670971057946
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu0sQKJ1M9BjDm-0T3WPR9KkPsKUvF02iyPS5ghy=s96-c
0
0
https://firebasestorage.…909-85c949f14d57
1
[{"name": "Gambling", "slug": "gambling", "userId": "1wD6IIOBJtdZsnGWkLxbuugpkWH2", "groupId": "PqwKmXzv3O7b1ICBAZ4H", "createdTime": 1670971058717}]
["gambling"]
0.5
0.5
0.1535876442565105
T295JWHnFy6ZVhw2L2vy
{"NO": 488.7283322045155, "YES": 722.4184386110398}
0.11379999999999998
how-many-weekly-users-will-manifold
927.2024688218892
How many weekly users will Manifold have by March 1st, 2023
1677700800000
Dc1Ku8TpD6coiHHeLKJotG0F9G82
cpmm-1
0
1.365233838403988
True
play
MKT
public
1670971150642
Dallin Guisti
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will resolve to current weekly average at 12 PM on 3/1/23.", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "https://manifold.markets/stats", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://manifold.markets/stats", "class": ...
PSEUDO_NUMERIC
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1677702117282
530
DallinGuisti
1677696759312
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp6tlzDDB341di5cz6tydYJgIo_8ItqrQ1CFB8olMw=s96-c
17
0
1
https://firebasestorage.…d45-628a6fcd463e
11
[{"name": "Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "userId": "Dc1Ku8TpD6coiHHeLKJotG0F9G82", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1670971150997}]
["manifold-6748e065087e"]
0.1424
1677696759166
0.11379999999999998
0.814665473964399
VKqYQRUCvyAt2JfhC41i
{"NO": 12004.414819398798, "YES": 121.43216019678403}
1
will-it-be-possible-to-undochange-t
12340.02493095163
Will it be possible to undo/change the resolution of a market by end of 2023?
1676305920327
YGZdZUSFQyM8j2YzPaBqki8NBz23
cpmm-1
2.460508391647046
True
play
YES
public
1670971164951
Jack
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if by the end of 2023 it is possible to undo or change a market resolution. Otherwise NO.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "For example, if the author or Manifold admins can change ...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1676305920327
310
jack
1676306807373
0
https://firebasestorage.…606-5fc6e2c6b096
4
15
0
https://firebasestorage.…fcc-f405b91a4d62
15
[{"name": "Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "userId": "YGZdZUSFQyM8j2YzPaBqki8NBz23", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1670971165442}, {"name": "Manifold Features", "slug": "manifold-features-25bad7c7792e", "userId": "YGZdZUSFQyM8j2YzPaBqki8NBz23", "groupId": "m8gEnMLaRYw7oUGBawY4", "created...
["manifold-6748e065087e", "manifold-features-25bad7c7792e"]
0.5
1676305901634
1676306804099
0.98
0.5000000000000013
rHFOnyiXcjzn6eZ95S9z
{"NO": 600, "YES": 4.166666666666629}
1
will-john-respond-yes
550
Will john respond yes
1670971194849
1wD6IIOBJtdZsnGWkLxbuugpkWH2
cpmm-1
0
6.746053009390932
True
play
YES
public
1670971173706
Aiden Thomas
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1670971194849
70
AidenThomas
1670971190477
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu0sQKJ1M9BjDm-0T3WPR9KkPsKUvF02iyPS5ghy=s96-c
1
0
https://firebasestorage.…b36-538b6240e6be
2
0.5
1670971190301
0.5
0.5000000000000017
fYR3mIFvZfQLWqwIt3BX
{"NO": 11.28817049563952, "YES": 221.47078669352817}
1
will-john-reply-no
813.6008176532804
Will John reply no
1670971264566
1wD6IIOBJtdZsnGWkLxbuugpkWH2
cpmm-1
0
5.321967261641484
True
play
YES
public
1670971204891
Aiden Thomas
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1670971264566
70
AidenThomas
1670971243051
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu0sQKJ1M9BjDm-0T3WPR9KkPsKUvF02iyPS5ghy=s96-c
3
0
https://firebasestorage.…72f-0a54b57a391d
3
0.5
1670971242939
0.5
0.5
IuknengHW0LpdsVFgqnO
{"NO": 3.6127167630057784, "YES": 692}
0
will-michel-respond-no
642
Will Michel respond no
1670971307833
1wD6IIOBJtdZsnGWkLxbuugpkWH2
cpmm-1
0
6.750578955808287
True
play
NO
public
1670971286206
Aiden Thomas
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1670971307833
70
AidenThomas
1670971302887
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu0sQKJ1M9BjDm-0T3WPR9KkPsKUvF02iyPS5ghy=s96-c
1
0
https://firebasestorage.…146-fbb4ad67a18a
2
[]
[]
0.5
1670971302593
0.5
5Di1iDcpBd13zq16Tn45
choose
1241
Choose
1670972030248
1wD6IIOBJtdZsnGWkLxbuugpkWH2
cpmm-multi-1
0
4.651714427941526
True
play
e2d2ba2412b7
public
1670971347981
Aiden Thomas
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1670972030248
340
AidenThomas
1670971954519
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu0sQKJ1M9BjDm-0T3WPR9KkPsKUvF02iyPS5ghy=s96-c
3
0
DISABLED
[{"id": "1d8723932d51", "prob": 0.43701790765736837, "text": "12", "index": 0, "poolNo": 61.60579159573455, "userId": "1wD6IIOBJtdZsnGWkLxbuugpkWH2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 79.36278318412285, "textFts": "'12':1", "contractId": "5Di1iDcpBd13zq16Tn45", "createdTime": 1670971347981, "probChanges": {"day": 0, "week":...
https://firebasestorage.…95f-a253fdc2d6cc
3
[]
[]
1670971954387
{"e2d2ba2412b7": 100}
True
0.5000000000000017
OPlRuukdrSb5nvgiou1X
{"NO": 197.90570145063106, "YES": 12.632278815997825}
1
a-c324c7b751e3
707.2060567968109
A
1670971506453
1wD6IIOBJtdZsnGWkLxbuugpkWH2
cpmm-1
0
5.193718660207887
True
play
YES
public
1670971413988
Aiden Thomas
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1670971506453
70
AidenThomas
1670971447162
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu0sQKJ1M9BjDm-0T3WPR9KkPsKUvF02iyPS5ghy=s96-c
3
0
https://firebasestorage.…6ac-cd6ff72bea15
3
[]
[]
0.5
1670971446991
0.94
0.4999999999999995
S94IpfrKNwnpirZflUDw
{"NO": 794, "YES": 3.148614609571837}
1
a-adda96963e96
744
A?
1670971655097
1wD6IIOBJtdZsnGWkLxbuugpkWH2
cpmm-1
0
6.74160043105623
True
play
YES
public
1670971631266
Aiden Thomas
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1670971655097
70
AidenThomas
1670971647787
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu0sQKJ1M9BjDm-0T3WPR9KkPsKUvF02iyPS5ghy=s96-c
1
0
https://firebasestorage.…0d6-ef02ce405c47
2
[]
[]
0.5
1670971647584
0.5
0.5
xlKIAZ8VZ7qhRr0F4ugu
{"NO": 60, "YES": 41.666666666666686}
1
-6593ea91deb4
10
!
1670971884269
pxFatxpgPId9CNLwPXu7Vb0yqWg2
cpmm-1
0
4.409209369267685
True
play
YES
public
1670971801782
Billy bob Jimmy john
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1670971884269
70
BillybobJimmyjohn
1670971875405
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp4b6ZKOA8T1ydOLDNgvATZzw_F2ML3g3a3h1yau=s96-c
1
0
https://firebasestorage.…a12-5b57b0d8bcfd
2
[{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "pxFatxpgPId9CNLwPXu7Vb0yqWg2", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1670971802580}]
["destinygg"]
0.5
1670971875249
0.5
0.7938564874101922
BR1uCk9BefgkgJX3kUd5
{"NO": 1149.5941059674544, "YES": 107.266206770176}
1
will-tibia-the-online-mmorpg-game-s
1113.8444661926455
Will Tibia, the online MMORPG game, still be online and operative by end of 2023?
1704085140000
4E2VCGADaZWfT6opZH5R06h06UR2
cpmm-1
0.1215969121292566
3.300369019910833
True
play
YES
public
1670971818410
Javier Chavez
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Market resolves if you can still open an account and play, or not. ", "type": "text"}]}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1704250272877
190
JavierChavez
1704250273076
1.1
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu2YTQjZCJNG0VH6R4WVsUYFeY6s9yg5e2wfAre09Q=s96-c
0
9
0
1
https://firebasestorage.…7a8-d45f2d8124cd
3
[{"name": "Gaming", "slug": "gaming", "userId": "4E2VCGADaZWfT6opZH5R06h06UR2", "groupId": "5FaFmmaNNFTSA5r0vTAi", "createdTime": 1670971818635}, {"name": "🎆 New Year's Resolutions 2024", "slug": "new-years-resolutions-2024", "groupId": "jM9eYtkUrTKEqvKV3x3e", "createdTime": 1703130047914}]
["gaming", "new-years-resolutions-2024"]
0.13230239634138063
0.5
1701465785503
1670986261821
0.98
4E2VCGADaZWfT6opZH5R06h06UR2
0.5486737910951368
7ec8FgwAAT7Wc6MO3Ui5
{"NO": 141.97805612927323, "YES": 120.0553540182262}
0.5897745090931722
-7736b5897586
14
??>>
1670975940000
1wD6IIOBJtdZsnGWkLxbuugpkWH2
cpmm-1
0
2.3142974328484014
True
play
CANCEL
public
1670971891803
Aiden Thomas
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1702090348264
130
AidenThomas
1670975080869
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu0sQKJ1M9BjDm-0T3WPR9KkPsKUvF02iyPS5ghy=s96-c
4
0
73
https://firebasestorage.…433-0ceb58688880
5
0.5
1670975080706
0.59
W4yEF6idSMcNWEVUquowziSCZFI3
0.7584207297177457
CRztvHrOxppGpFJyGj0g
{"NO": 21773.35655122183, "YES": 51.112938225185644}
1
will-it-be-possible-to-dispute-and
22509.228776241485
Will it be possible to dispute and override market resolutions by end of 2023?
1677737534296
YGZdZUSFQyM8j2YzPaBqki8NBz23
cpmm-1
0
2.581957422446485
True
play
YES
public
1670971981220
Jack
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if by the end of 2023, it is possible to override the author's resolution, without the author's agreement, for a \"default\" market (one created with default options that isn't part of a tournament or other special category). Otherwise...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1677737534296
230
jack
1677737514138
0
https://firebasestorage.…606-5fc6e2c6b096
2
11
0
https://firebasestorage.…d2f-7a18a133d1c2
9
[{"name": "Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "userId": "YGZdZUSFQyM8j2YzPaBqki8NBz23", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1670971981666}]
["manifold-6748e065087e"]
0.5
1677737513989
1677737491918
1
0.11505584272049048
hYWDIbbHYjIZ4lSzhTeO
{"NO": 481.73542642651057, "YES": 19172.367933137033}
0
will-manifold-return-the-funds-they
27293.600108914434
Will Manifold return the funds they received from FTX Futures?
1685602740000
a2ZMgkoSxoW9PH90sLFiP6y6qy32
cpmm-1
0
1.2087514751524093
True
play
NO
public
1670972501344
Eric Jang
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "According to ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://manifold.markets/post/in-defense-of-sbf", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://manifold.markets/post/in-defense-of-sbf", "class": null, "target": "_blank"}}]}, {"te...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1686092956384
770
EricJang
1685643515645
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AATXAJxx2InKhVMU6Ww6eTGrwheYzGHXU4BCwlkQhe-aMA=s96-c
3
38
0
2
https://firebasestorage.…cb4-1a8f3e74647a
28
[{"name": "Economics", "slug": "economics-default", "userId": "a2ZMgkoSxoW9PH90sLFiP6y6qy32", "groupId": "p88Ycq6yFd5ECKqq9PFO", "createdTime": 1670972502117}, {"name": "Manifold Business Future", "slug": "manifold-business-future", "userId": "ZuszDdXKmAa8olvm3Y2APkEyc9C2", "groupId": "aGIBFhmmK82IYTv136ib", "createdTi...
["economics-default", "manifold-business-future"]
0.5
1685600699446
1685643513460
0
0.15431501798745217
wufJm53wgghFxOB1U71Q
{"NO": 354.60930251870013, "YES": 46014.911093124625}
0
will-anthropic-return-the-funds-the
46757.28805616864
Will Anthropic Return The Funds they Received from SBF?
1685834400000
a2ZMgkoSxoW9PH90sLFiP6y6qy32
cpmm-1
0
0.33628502613903777
True
play
NO
public
1670972779113
Eric Jang
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "According to ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://techcrunch.com/2022/04/29/anthropics-quest-for-better-more-explainable-ai-attracts-580m", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://techcrunch.com/2022/04/29/anthropics-...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1685841438864
790
EricJang
1685833205539
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AATXAJxx2InKhVMU6Ww6eTGrwheYzGHXU4BCwlkQhe-aMA=s96-c
1
30
0
1
https://firebasestorage.…235-bbb5e9f45467
19
[{"name": "AI Safety", "slug": "ai-safety", "userId": "a2ZMgkoSxoW9PH90sLFiP6y6qy32", "groupId": "DnxTZ1P5XEEfnHxy7Q7d", "createdTime": 1670972779412}]
["ai-safety"]
0.5
1685833205377
1675538848776
0
0.46306112459308485
XpTpHirSm0yteO5Mn5LO
{"NO": 922.1288076500256, "YES": 1081.385389514282}
0.4237645022297707
will-gpt5-be-more-competent-than-me
699.5388064901736
Will GPT-5 be more competent than me in my area of expertise?
1767225540000
EWQ8opj5cZg46jsjlXCJsAk2Xpj2
cpmm-1
0
9.651618491838537
False
basic
public
1670975088164
Eli but Chad
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will replies to ten well-engineered GPT-5 prompts in my area of expertise outperform my own answers to them?", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "Example of what I mean by a well-engineered prompt:", "type": "t...
BINARY
{"day": -4.440892098500626e-16, "week": -4.440892098500626e-16, "month": -4.440892098500626e-16}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
elibutchad
1684722528505
0
https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Felibutchad%2F2pSRjKONzf.15?alt=media&token=84d5a63c-36b7-46e7-9758-3d2e1ce647c3
3
30
0
24
[{"name": "AI", "slug": "ai", "userId": "EWQ8opj5cZg46jsjlXCJsAk2Xpj2", "groupId": "yEWvvwFFIqzf8JklMewp", "createdTime": 1670975088853}]
["ai"]
0.5
1684722528363
1677585815450
0.8004745988307319
770KIsYuZoJMqXCfNGys
{"NO": 2566.343017750316, "YES": 103.99893014593705}
1
during-the-fox-broadcast-of-the-fin
18439.284026796184
During the FOX broadcast of the Final, will an announcer use the phrase "Messi and Argentina" where just "Argentina" would have sufficed?
1671385741911
H6b5PWELWfRV6HhyHAlCGq7yJJu2
cpmm-1
0
3.4244376348852756
True
play
YES
public
1670975161127
Andrew G
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1671385741911
210
AndrewG
1671385761279
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GiaKzvDVGOvUXFxGChB6G4D9spo8N6MGUqFjIRTqAk=s96-c
10
0
https://firebasestorage.…585-783ba7e5a3da
10
[{"name": "2022 FIFA World Cup", "slug": "2022-fifa-world-cup", "userId": "H6b5PWELWfRV6HhyHAlCGq7yJJu2", "groupId": "ujdSUUHAKLNPFSj2PTNX", "createdTime": 1670975169035}, {"name": "Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "userId": "H6b5PWELWfRV6HhyHAlCGq7yJJu2", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi", "createdTime": 16709751620...
["sports-default", "2022-fifa-world-cup", "salty-markets"]
0.5
1671385736867
1671385759898
0.89
VbpWELqGDYweEyLMn4Yc
what-will-the-secondmost-popular-op
498.4379583023475
What will the second-most popular option be at closing?
1673855940000
xSB92N0T1aaunSfQolylHbGxCI72
cpmm-multi-1
0
4.745152631654804
True
play
8308a54e69ba
public
1670975784558
Heliscone
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Of the four options below, after market closing, the option that has the second-highest probability will resolve to \"Yes,\" and all other options resolve to \"No.\"", "type": "text"}]}]}
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1673925692442
760
Heliscone
1673855499236
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu1Av7f9VfKmifohtK3purGKF2jmhG8vhQEHoh-h=s96-c
14
0
DISABLED
[{"id": "0343fc5b2109", "prob": 0.17865246852293945, "text": "1", "index": 0, "poolNo": 31.661657794275527, "userId": "xSB92N0T1aaunSfQolylHbGxCI72", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 145.56319700928455, "textFts": "'1':1", "contractId": "VbpWELqGDYweEyLMn4Yc", "createdTime": 1670975784558, "probChanges": {"day": 0, "week":...
1
https://firebasestorage.…fea-a00910b89278
13
[{"name": "Self-resolving", "slug": "selfresolving", "userId": "QGG6F7PIHfO4zVE0IthNcORfPDw1", "groupId": "9cUlgUS6fDN3LIyavEam", "createdTime": 1671159486290}, {"name": "Fun", "slug": "fun", "userId": "QGG6F7PIHfO4zVE0IthNcORfPDw1", "groupId": "bBwafyeaiuwWwobwm2c4", "createdTime": 1671159492652}]
["selfresolving", "fun"]
1673855499115
{"8308a54e69ba": 100}
True
0.1284733083154671
hTd6CwbBsRqb4WXmvvrs
{"NO": 136.27055198154133, "YES": 250.2976015927791}
0.07429350582973007
will-it-be-confirmed-that-mikhail-s
361
Will it be confirmed that Mikhail Samin is involved with the Qualy the Lightbulb account if I guess so?
1675292340000
k4WQLugFAYdEhDOtKIBR93VsJrI2
cpmm-1
0
4.669337068694067
True
play
CANCEL
public
1670975828950
Mikhail Samin⚡️
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "(Resolves positively if I'm given login before resolving the question)", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Close date updated to 2023-02-02 12:59 am", "type": "text"}]}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1683233033317
170
ms
1683297885881
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GiyLd7icu0XSJbIcLXp0TAwP3sPpRk4-DapSxfhzQ=s96-c
7
0
19
https://firebasestorage.…ee9-87fb7f8c25dd
6
[{"name": "Qualy the Lightbulb", "slug": "qualy-the-lightbulb", "userId": "k4WQLugFAYdEhDOtKIBR93VsJrI2", "groupId": "E3oSAYoeYDAgdPPss32y", "createdTime": 1670975829148}]
["qualy-the-lightbulb"]
0.5
1675291502073
1683297883404
0.07
0.14754281024983176
d9cWTDi7VAIMf3RHffN0
{"NO": 507.1230515513564, "YES": 2106.541730930625}
0.03
market-resolves-to-23-of-closing-pr
65582.80492039307
Market Resolves to 2/3 of closing probability
1673596740000
xSB92N0T1aaunSfQolylHbGxCI72
cpmm-1
0
0.426518517305996
True
play
MKT
public
1670976329839
Heliscone
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Market resolves to probability equal to the nearest whole number to 2/3*(closing probability)", "type": "text"}]}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1673759922581
650
Heliscone
1714075903433
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu1Av7f9VfKmifohtK3purGKF2jmhG8vhQEHoh-h=s96-c
2
34
0
1
https://firebasestorage.…a18-e775e9f407bb
34
[{"name": "Gambling", "slug": "gambling", "userId": "xSB92N0T1aaunSfQolylHbGxCI72", "groupId": "PqwKmXzv3O7b1ICBAZ4H", "createdTime": 1670976330188}, {"name": "Self-resolving", "slug": "selfresolving", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "9cUlgUS6fDN3LIyavEam", "createdTime": 1671043753920}, {"name": "...
["gambling", "selfresolving", "nonpredictive"]
0.5
False
1673596739710
1673760101340
0.03
0.8393675928030682
vvL4Z3f6QWKei3yC3lAZ
{"NO": 8055.531090856196, "YES": 259.7576811738137}
1
will-france-beat-morocco-by-2-goals
21199.899843219773
Will France beat Morocco by >= 2 goals?
1671061916655
Xq7O5e6LEwcFPJQckXw6uy4nflf1
cpmm-1
0
2.042194042576653
True
play
YES
public
1670977297114
Trong ♠︎
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves as expected (the score after 90 minutes / extra time, shootouts do not count).", "type": "text"}]}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1671061916655
810
8
1671061662873
0
https://firebasestorage.…2fa-7febb5419c1d
41
0
https://firebasestorage.…07a-1cc96a58e594
34
[{"name": "Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "createdTime": 1670980040448}, {"name": "Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "userId": "Xq7O5e6LEwcFPJQckXw6uy4nflf1", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi", "createdTime": 1670977297957}, {"name": "2022 FIFA W...
["sports-default", "soccer", "2022-fifa-world-cup"]
0.5
1671061662745
0.99
0.5146358831034704
eD2MTEVEsjUMwGOmmcNs
{"NO": 1372.879835461346, "YES": 46.70128329425499}
1
seesaw-market-1-day
2376.4207547703236
Seesaw Market (1 Day)
1671073200000
q686a2oLqzeC28I5WKa5hOufEXs1
cpmm-1
0
2.4949035686359275
True
play
YES
public
1670981661676
Gamble market
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Market resolves at market closing according to the rule below:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If the closing price is in [0%,25%) U [50%,75%), market resolves to No", "type": "text"}]}, {"typ...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1671073328830
310
Gamble_market
1671080568666
0
https://firebasestorage.…924-4bd06d85e659
16
0
https://firebasestorage.…c2b-1b7a6275138e
16
[{"name": "Gambling", "slug": "gambling", "userId": "q686a2oLqzeC28I5WKa5hOufEXs1", "groupId": "PqwKmXzv3O7b1ICBAZ4H", "createdTime": 1670981662469}]
["gambling"]
0.5
1671073198046
1671080565301
0.97
0.05399111389702872
EWYJz8j14sIEfEzSiFbY
{"NO": 962.5190291753826, "YES": 1131.3985171599318}
0.04630524485810629
will-sbf-escape-from-prison
7175.291933256043
Will SBF escape from prison?
1893477540000
wjbOTRRJ7Ee5mjSMMYrtwoWuiCp2
cpmm-1
0.5138311942397437
10.586609649448985
False
basic
public
1670982328312
Gigacasting
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 1.0995188812278374, "platformFee": 1.0995188812278374, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
Gigacasting
1713852196306
3.3
https://firebasestorage.…197-05995b2e6a2b
1
25
0
https://firebasestorage.…b79-8d951b93999f
17
[{"name": "FTX", "slug": "ftx", "userId": "wjbOTRRJ7Ee5mjSMMYrtwoWuiCp2", "groupId": "0YV8Cv4WhFWcbUrk4hHV", "createdTime": 1670982328609}, {"name": "Gigacasting", "slug": "gigacasting", "userId": "wjbOTRRJ7Ee5mjSMMYrtwoWuiCp2", "groupId": "ypoGbkBreEXiPzcUAruE", "createdTime": 1671059002046}, {"name": "SBF Trial", "sl...
["ftx", "gigacasting", "sbf-trial", "sbf-trial-sentence"]
0.2239054373569043
0.5
1713852192984
1698798557579
0.8334908833308922
hF4Ux7u8ZTq1FfvKpYjs
{"NO": 2401.090594368264, "YES": 101.90275403717554}
1
will-bitcoin-price-be-above-17820-a
3264.8920477635174
Will Bitcoin price be above $17820 at Dec 14 10am ET?
1671033540000
jaZO796uPBTFgSA4VwwKK7XuVcI2
cpmm-1
0
4.155440390619121
True
play
YES
public
1670987294490
Gene Fama
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolution according to price shown in Coinmarketcap https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/bitcoin Note that the market closes an hour after the referenced time", "type": "text"}]}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1671062815639
250
GeneFama
1671032019755
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu1GEeRbwZqE7UHQDOFTfeRDZLPJwUA9z6BKLDT-=s96-c
11
0
1
https://firebasestorage.…40d-c0a96a05b966
10
[{"name": "Cryptocurrency", "slug": "crypto-speculation", "userId": "jaZO796uPBTFgSA4VwwKK7XuVcI2", "groupId": "YuJw0M1xvUHrpiRRuKso", "createdTime": 1670987295234}, {"name": "Crypto Prices", "slug": "crypto-prices", "userId": "uyzAXSRdCCUWs4KstCLq2GfzAip2", "groupId": "Hh2zJJExWlyJQakffoVE", "createdTime": 16733465146...
["crypto-speculation", "crypto-prices"]
0.5
1671032019604
0.99
0.21342109512867552
thxGUMUTBt0lIczbbjbB
{"NO": 147.4499738161794, "YES": 5519.979419216534}
0
will-bitcoin-price-be-above-17820-a-0f44757cdf2e
7108.956113254513
Will Bitcoin price be above $17820 at Dec 15 10pm ET?
1671160468108
jaZO796uPBTFgSA4VwwKK7XuVcI2
cpmm-1
0
2.448637376253363
True
play
NO
public
1670987299164
Gene Fama
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolution according to price shown in Coinmarketcap https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/bitcoin Note that the market closes an hour after the referenced time", "type": "text"}]}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1671160468108
390
GeneFama
1671160459822
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu1GEeRbwZqE7UHQDOFTfeRDZLPJwUA9z6BKLDT-=s96-c
20
0
https://firebasestorage.…89a-0f8083d8e647
19
[{"name": "Cryptocurrency", "slug": "crypto-speculation", "userId": "jaZO796uPBTFgSA4VwwKK7XuVcI2", "groupId": "YuJw0M1xvUHrpiRRuKso", "createdTime": 1670987299947}, {"name": "Crypto Prices", "slug": "crypto-prices", "userId": "uyzAXSRdCCUWs4KstCLq2GfzAip2", "groupId": "Hh2zJJExWlyJQakffoVE", "createdTime": 16733465146...
["crypto-speculation", "crypto-prices"]
0.5
1671160456427
0.02
OQiemYdkDS66ZjP3Lpf8
at-what-range-of-levels-will-the-co
125
At what range of levels will the coffee march 23 contract close at first notice day.
1676655000000
4E2VCGADaZWfT6opZH5R06h06UR2
cpmm-multi-1
0
4.815387986491495
True
play
03d27319c865
public
1670987733623
Javier Chavez
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Market resolves at first notice day", "type": "text"}]}]}
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1677529206192
340
JavierChavez
1676646857610
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu2YTQjZCJNG0VH6R4WVsUYFeY6s9yg5e2wfAre09Q=s96-c
2
0
DISABLED
[{"id": "b9e967089f6b", "prob": 0.03292181069958849, "text": "Below 140", "index": 0, "poolNo": 0.6479231529640457, "userId": "4E2VCGADaZWfT6opZH5R06h06UR2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 19.032742618318842, "textFts": "'140':2", "contractId": "OQiemYdkDS66ZjP3Lpf8", "createdTime": 1670987733623, "probChanges": {"day": ...
3
https://firebasestorage.…c21-8083027838be
2
[{"name": "Commodities", "slug": "commodities", "userId": "4E2VCGADaZWfT6opZH5R06h06UR2", "groupId": "DEebqMgsJZqzNZRH6TLW", "createdTime": 1670987733855}]
["commodities"]
1676646857414
{"03d27319c865": 100}
True
0.4551345057248008
QgiFpcEdVHGBCu2YdH7i
{"NO": 101.41128513062306, "YES": 1526.6848171738213}
0
will-my-profit-on-manifold-markets
2615.1945930047063
Will my profit on Manifold Markets exceed 500 Manas by Dec 31 EOD this year?
1672531140000
FEjxVPee2Ea629lFxmpnbbAoYfl2
cpmm-1
0
1.6240509485878958
True
play
NO
public
1670988852392
tofu
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "As described. Will my portfolio profit exceed 500 by 11:59PM Dec 31st, 2022? As I'm posting right now I have 110 mana of profit. ", "type": "text"}]}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1672552253535
450
tofu
1672529518708
0
https://firebasestorage.…fe3-9edff024ecca
0
23
0
1
https://firebasestorage.…b59-4fcd0ed5c456
20
[{"name": "Fun", "slug": "fun", "userId": "FEjxVPee2Ea629lFxmpnbbAoYfl2", "groupId": "bBwafyeaiuwWwobwm2c4", "createdTime": 1671033154009}, {"name": "Personal Goals", "slug": "personal-goals", "userId": "FEjxVPee2Ea629lFxmpnbbAoYfl2", "groupId": "izQp87CKagOVJp9Olm1p", "createdTime": 1670988852777}, {"name": "Manifold"...
["personal-goals", "fun", "manifold-6748e065087e"]
0.5
1672529518534
1671505291889
0.05
0.1694366451413128
5gaPoxQ2wPn4EJrVXpe6
{"NO": 459.61443580320486, "YES": 308.1469579569978}
0.2275
when-will-gpt4-be-released
328.3559479916738
How many days after 2022-12-13 will GPT-4 be released?
1678815317067
ehcCycHGG0Z9cZDcXpTRmKL4h342
cpmm-1
0
1.5002360747821921
True
play
MKT
public
1670989140741
Will Howard
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Prior: I have heard February 2023, but this hasn't been corroborated", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolution criteria:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "bulletList", "content": [{"type": "list...
PSEUDO_NUMERIC
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1678815616369
450
WilliamHoward
1678815366506
0
https://firebasestorage.…b8c-a844826f2fe1
1
11
0
https://firebasestorage.…3ff-716cf40a6f8b
13
[{"name": "AI", "slug": "ai", "userId": "ehcCycHGG0Z9cZDcXpTRmKL4h342", "groupId": "yEWvvwFFIqzf8JklMewp", "createdTime": 1670989141088}]
["ai"]
0.125
1678814269769
1678815364127
0.2275
0.510943887206444
kmA5lNlU6sZuCaLXhxC6
{"NO": 0.5341694939094168, "YES": 1285.8823465550001}
0
this-market-resolves-yes-if-and-onl
24524.49208772825
This market resolves YES if and only if its probability never goes above 99% for more than 15 minutes.
1671036796333
H6b5PWELWfRV6HhyHAlCGq7yJJu2
cpmm-1
0
7.801559049269446
True
play
NO
public
1670990488248
Andrew G
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If the probability goes above 99% for 15 minutes, resolves NO immediately (or as soon as someone tells me about it).", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Otherwise, resolves YES at close.", "type":...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1671036796333
230
AndrewG
1671036779504
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GiaKzvDVGOvUXFxGChB6G4D9spo8N6MGUqFjIRTqAk=s96-c
11
0
https://firebasestorage.…764-80373173a2e6
11
[{"name": "Whale Watching", "slug": "whale-watching", "userId": "9hWkzPveXIelUk4XOrm5WroriST2", "groupId": "5V0GjAyN99OQpb96fwo8", "createdTime": 1672786510109}, {"name": "Fun", "slug": "fun", "userId": "H6b5PWELWfRV6HhyHAlCGq7yJJu2", "groupId": "bBwafyeaiuwWwobwm2c4", "createdTime": 1670990518243}, {"name": "Self-reso...
["selfresolving", "fun", "whale-watching", "nonpredictive-profits"]
0.5
False
1671036779306
1671036681577
0.01
0.1836258447578128
trG8jU6eb9l7lsW2RTnQ
{"NO": 270.63251396903865, "YES": 6781.781647486772}
0
will-tsmc-announce-they-are-buildin
6883.123182670962
Will TSMC announce they are building a fab in Indiana before the end of 2023?
1704084203175
4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2
cpmm-1
0
1.7303752838827902
True
play
NO
public
1670993253599
Brian T. Edwards
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Doesn't matter what kind of chips it makes, just that it's TSMC direct investment in building and operating the facility. Indiana governor visited right around same time as Arizona governor where they recently announced $40mm direct investment, per...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1704084203175
510
BTE
1704084203843
0
https://firebasestorage.…ae9-3fcd8f17498c
1
27
0
https://firebasestorage.…9d5-75c16967f0a5
7
[{"name": "Global Macro", "slug": "global-macro", "userId": "4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2", "groupId": "ToJoQmyIyv0ZTSEW96Li", "createdTime": 1670993253895}, {"name": "🎆 New Year's Resolutions 2024", "slug": "new-years-resolutions-2024", "groupId": "jM9eYtkUrTKEqvKV3x3e", "createdTime": 1703132913554}]
["global-macro", "new-years-resolutions-2024"]
0.5
1704084197727
0.01
4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2
0.48971281453711635
mnv80hLT5UcsLNIeRArP
{"NO": 166.65818876003397, "YES": 47.77388664003196}
1
will-the-current-car-chase-on-twitc
400.17484499144933
Will the current car chase on twitch.tv/policechasenetwork result in the perpetrator bailing the car and fleeing on foot?
1670996410550
3AEy292BXnVzv0qNRCrd1GJ5jQZ2
cpmm-1
0
3.172672185486947
True
play
YES
public
1670993522661
Pherret
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": " ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "twitch.tv/policechasenetwork", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "http://twitch.tv/policechasenetwork", "class": null, "target": "_blank"}}]}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "Market resolve...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1670996410550
250
Pherret
1670996409129
0
https://firebasestorage.…293-2e3328574db4
13
0
https://firebasestorage.…df1-db517cb702fa
13
[{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "3AEy292BXnVzv0qNRCrd1GJ5jQZ2", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1670993523113}]
["destinygg"]
0.5
1670996292947
1670996406168
0.68
0.7914510603874576
q6YxeK6UkUcmI9MZGZBc
{"NO": 8473.762780673234, "YES": 177.6250267248215}
1
will-manifold-markets-have-a-dark-m-d14151c3be69
13371.296445936086
Will Manifold Markets have a dark mode by the end of 2023?
1679499672690
wDBYhUbkEXVWOdvIpkXSs712u9o2
cpmm-1
0
2.1562711329505806
True
play
YES
public
1670994490359
Lifejacker
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This question resolves to Yes if manifold.markets adds a dark mode toggle by the end of the year.", "type": "text"}]}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1679499672690
450
Lifejacker
1679499668137
0
https://firebasestorage.…4f0-c0fe63e428e9
3
23
0
https://firebasestorage.…9c4-ea24b591e2a6
21
[{"name": "Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "userId": "wDBYhUbkEXVWOdvIpkXSs712u9o2", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1670994778012}, {"name": "Predictions on Predictions", "slug": "predictions-on-predictions", "userId": "wDBYhUbkEXVWOdvIpkXSs712u9o2", "groupId": "qV4UN8VsCFzmchCqdVFK", "cr...
["predictions-on-predictions", "manifold-6748e065087e", "manifold-features-25bad7c7792e", "please-resolve"]
0.5
1679459686943
1679499667189
0.99
0.5821707353490236
fPBlNUpq1cOly5aKwnoV
{"NO": 794.6320547250103, "YES": 1126.4413830775472}
0.49568794001151983
will-the-tsa-allow-200ml-containers
1635.5814294264342
Will the TSA allow >200ml containers of liquid on flights by 2030
1925020740000
4pTwnLvz5yP1K8A67vrD3iusz1E2
cpmm-1
0
9.748354469646213
False
basic
public
1670995795039
VivaLaPanda
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Current limit is 100ml: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://www.tsa.gov/travel/security-screening/liquids-rule", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.tsa.gov/travel/security-screening/liquids-rule#:~:text=You%...
BINARY
{"day": 1.1102230246251565e-15, "week": 1.1102230246251565e-15, "month": 1.1102230246251565e-15}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
VivaLaPanda
1706266401752
0
https://firebasestorage.…e16-276f17b9c90e
42
0
https://firebasestorage.…e8d-e778cd1fc375
35
[{"name": "Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "userId": "4pTwnLvz5yP1K8A67vrD3iusz1E2", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1670995795697}]
["politics-default"]
0.5
1683491069631
1706266399891
0.934490302353052
6L0ubi4mExpBfgPKUqeM
{"NO": 1369.492164861475, "YES": 942.1116768476825}
0.9539935150110679
will-i-ever-find-a-partner
889.5669392108698
Will I ever find a partner?
4102398000000
fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
basic
public
1670995941543
N.C. Young
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market is part of a post: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Manifold for CBT", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://manifold.markets/post/manifold-for-cbt", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.0033855296480165276}
0
{"creatorFee": 0.9256521520335267, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
NcyRocks
1718918575076
0
https://firebasestorage.…6b3-70181e9d9dc2
17
0
https://firebasestorage.…ec1-d3ea1cdfefac
8
[{"name": "Sex and love", "slug": "sex-and-love", "userId": "fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42", "groupId": "3syjPCC7PxE5KurTiTT3", "createdTime": 1671002814603}, {"name": "Dating", "slug": "dating", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "j3ZE8fkeqiKmRGumy3O1", "createdTime": 1671033761908}]
["sex-and-love", "dating"]
0.5
1718918571992
1671033846890
0.38487794468197567
AnmeBayP5FYhkYJv8zSW
{"NO": 302.47665645173583, "YES": 4016.9298003592016}
0
will-i-find-a-partner-in-2023
4682.598219636451
Will I find a partner in 2023?
1704020400000
fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42
cpmm-1
0
0.7821146563180226
True
play
NO
public
1670995945105
N.C. Young
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market is part of a post: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Manifold for CBT", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://manifold.markets/post/manifold-for-cbt", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1704065309285
830
NcyRocks
1704066021056
0
https://firebasestorage.…6b3-70181e9d9dc2
1
32
0
1
https://firebasestorage.…0ad-68ddd6fd84c6
9
[{"name": "Dating", "slug": "dating", "userId": "fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42", "groupId": "j3ZE8fkeqiKmRGumy3O1", "createdTime": 1670998851002}, {"name": "Dating", "slug": "dating", "userId": "fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42", "groupId": "j3ZE8fkeqiKmRGumy3O1", "createdTime": 1670995945868}, {"name": "Sex and love", "slu...
["dating", "sex-and-love", "new-years-resolutions-2024"]
0.5
1702132115443
1704066020183
0.04
fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42
0.7707990640377168
OWtWDeWYhUlI90dReBrY
{"NO": 961.2307779192647, "YES": 990.9095182639431}
0.7653826383451015
will-i-find-a-partner-by-2027
2846.274701269612
Will I find a partner by 2027?
1798714800000
fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42
cpmm-1
0
9.629338504348722
False
basic
public
1670995948679
N.C. Young
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market is part of a post: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Manifold for CBT", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://manifold.markets/post/manifold-for-cbt", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration...
BINARY
{"day": 1.1102230246251565e-16, "week": 1.1102230246251565e-16, "month": -0.02461736165489803}
0
{"creatorFee": 3.3927369417658744, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
NcyRocks
1718703882743
0
https://firebasestorage.…6b3-70181e9d9dc2
28
0
https://firebasestorage.…656-ad2d7a21692a
7
[{"name": "Sex and love", "slug": "sex-and-love", "userId": "fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42", "groupId": "3syjPCC7PxE5KurTiTT3", "createdTime": 1671002856835}, {"name": "Dating", "slug": "dating", "userId": "fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42", "groupId": "j3ZE8fkeqiKmRGumy3O1", "createdTime": 1670998851004}, {"name": "Dating"...
["dating", "sex-and-love"]
0.5
1718703879040
1691507897848
0.8902419953736139
bJhWXJ15Ln1q7o1X4YP3
{"NO": 1549.2125588017857, "YES": 911.0392051701366}
0.9323985846282157
will-i-find-a-partner-by-2030
663.4866750610327
Will I find a partner by 2030?
1893409200000
fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42
cpmm-1
0
10.172646400670844
False
basic
public
1670995951987
N.C. Young
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market is part of a post: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Manifold for CBT", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://manifold.markets/post/manifold-for-cbt", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration...
BINARY
{"day": 3.3306690738754696e-16, "week": 3.3306690738754696e-16, "month": 3.3306690738754696e-16}
0
{"creatorFee": 0.03207283705074059, "platformFee": 0.03207283705074059, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
NcyRocks
1713989013590
0
https://firebasestorage.…6b3-70181e9d9dc2
14
0
https://firebasestorage.…edd-a52766ee90b1
8
[{"name": "Dating", "slug": "dating", "userId": "fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42", "groupId": "j3ZE8fkeqiKmRGumy3O1", "createdTime": 1670998851002}, {"name": "Dating", "slug": "dating", "userId": "fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42", "groupId": "j3ZE8fkeqiKmRGumy3O1", "createdTime": 1670995952752}, {"name": "Sex and love", "slu...
["dating", "sex-and-love"]
0.5
1713989010064
0.7480363718110282
gQaEOY9qKji29WsbPlIz
{"NO": 1170.5710339487398, "YES": 932.8250197542002}
0.7883813678161576
will-i-ever-get-married
1587.9155054409116
Will I ever get married?
4102398000000
fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42
cpmm-1
0
9.620153334392056
False
basic
public
1670995955545
N.C. Young
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market is part of a post: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Manifold for CBT", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://manifold.markets/post/manifold-for-cbt", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration...
BINARY
{"day": -3.3306690738754696e-16, "week": -3.3306690738754696e-16, "month": -3.3306690738754696e-16}
0
{"creatorFee": 3.322814431409344, "platformFee": 3.322814431409344, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
NcyRocks
1713979556653
0
https://firebasestorage.…6b3-70181e9d9dc2
14
0
https://firebasestorage.…92d-bbe8128574c0
8
[{"name": "Dating", "slug": "dating", "userId": "fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42", "groupId": "j3ZE8fkeqiKmRGumy3O1", "createdTime": 1670998851004}, {"name": "Sex and love", "slug": "sex-and-love", "userId": "fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42", "groupId": "3syjPCC7PxE5KurTiTT3", "createdTime": 1670995956518}]
["sex-and-love", "dating"]
0.5
1713979524056
0.4282245993928797
Q3ijrhAOcmFrdnw50TMF
{"NO": 887.4974221813977, "YES": 1161.796767783426}
0.36391408252522395
will-i-get-married-by-2027
569.2084647247171
Will I get married by 2027?
1798714800000
fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42
cpmm-1
0
9.788761388107371
False
basic
public
1670995960261
N.C. Young
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market is part of a post: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Manifold for CBT", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://manifold.markets/post/manifold-for-cbt", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration...
BINARY
{"day": -5.551115123125783e-17, "week": -5.551115123125783e-17, "month": -0.0768887640037143}
0
{"creatorFee": 5.599208675718763, "platformFee": 0.14069204873117247, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
NcyRocks
1718703878579
0
https://firebasestorage.…6b3-70181e9d9dc2
15
0
4
[{"name": "Sex and love", "slug": "sex-and-love", "userId": "fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42", "groupId": "3syjPCC7PxE5KurTiTT3", "createdTime": 1670996038280}, {"name": "Dating", "slug": "dating", "userId": "fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42", "groupId": "j3ZE8fkeqiKmRGumy3O1", "createdTime": 1670996032960}]
["dating", "sex-and-love"]
0.5
1718703874947
0.5417822057695652
V9sit2vG45pBxgVQ08Ud
{"NO": 375.5117923022877, "YES": 364.7301018306144}
0.5490051059628044
will-i-get-married-by-2030
77.68092106481022
Will I get married by 2030?
1893409200000
fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1670995962644
N.C. Young
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market is part of a post: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Manifold for CBT", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://manifold.markets/post/manifold-for-cbt", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration...
BINARY
{"day": 1.1102230246251565e-16, "week": 1.1102230246251565e-16, "month": 0.005942796410672746}
0
{"creatorFee": 0.15399391452639416, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
370
NcyRocks
1718703891122
0
https://firebasestorage.…6b3-70181e9d9dc2
8
0
https://firebasestorage.…49e-12fcbbf9235e
6
[{"name": "Sex and love", "slug": "sex-and-love", "userId": "fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42", "groupId": "3syjPCC7PxE5KurTiTT3", "createdTime": 1670996027294}, {"name": "Dating", "slug": "dating", "userId": "fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42", "groupId": "j3ZE8fkeqiKmRGumy3O1", "createdTime": 1670996024036}]
["dating", "sex-and-love"]
0.5
1718703887382
1671015441599
0.6754032743842876
vyiDi0ohvQf1WQcCfQK5
{"NO": 1054.8336429874687, "YES": 968.531734489408}
0.6938293665533413
will-i-get-married-by-2035
296.1454763236052
Will I get married by 2035?
2051175600000
fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42
cpmm-1
0
9.584256646353607
False
basic
public
1670995965985
N.C. Young
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market is part of a post: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Manifold for CBT", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://manifold.markets/post/manifold-for-cbt", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
NcyRocks
1702146156379
0
https://firebasestorage.…6b3-70181e9d9dc2
0
19
0
https://firebasestorage.…46f-a72e7beeb253
15
[{"name": "Sex and love", "slug": "sex-and-love", "userId": "fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42", "groupId": "3syjPCC7PxE5KurTiTT3", "createdTime": 1670996014139}, {"name": "Dating", "slug": "dating", "userId": "fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42", "groupId": "j3ZE8fkeqiKmRGumy3O1", "createdTime": 1670996009632}]
["dating", "sex-and-love"]
0.5
1702146156260
1676354457147
0.5918370525017906
4y6FGnRZQ7xn92je9kvF
{"NO": 965.2794326193515, "YES": 1013.5447376844296}
0.5800000000000016
will-the-texas-legislature-commissi
187.62688622145043
Will the Texas Legislature commission a study on split-rate property tax before 2025?
1735711140000
fP5OQUWYt4MW17A2giGjMGsw1uu2
cpmm-1
0
9.71383797000269
False
basic
public
1670996875990
Lars Doucet
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "A split-rate property tax is a property tax with separate tax rates for land and buildings. Typically, split rate property taxes are deployed in order to set a higher tax rate on land than on buildings (a Georgist Land Value Tax can be considered a...
BINARY
{"day": 1.5543122344752192e-15, "week": 1.5543122344752192e-15, "month": 1.5543122344752192e-15}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
LarsDoucet
1681486791599
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Gh_23ZmfLBMGBR2crNwb0T8hBnPAap5nkWiSKuB=s96-c
10
0
https://firebasestorage.…fc0-a6835adf19d3
8
[{"name": "US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "userId": "fP5OQUWYt4MW17A2giGjMGsw1uu2", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1670996876611}, {"name": "Texas", "slug": "texas", "userId": "s8IkipB5KCbi8Ny6pY1nr4RGjkV2", "groupId": "A4Z3W67n93LMKcZEILwf", "createdTime": 1677524742857}]
["us-politics", "texas"]
0.5
1681486790413
1671058185829
0.25658923806724143
CK4XiZ0JSOo9S3MUCicx
{"NO": 997.0729414948668, "YES": 957.585171653141}
0.26437285364953145
does-your-body-keep-track-of-your-s
1014.8822949412071
Does your body keep track of your sleep debt for more than 2 weeks?
2210737800000
AJwLWoo3xue32XIiAVrL5SyR1WB2
cpmm-1
0.179270797671849
9.590687520321953
False
basic
public
1670997048850
Ian Philips
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Let's say you don't sleep well for two weeks, maybe getting only a few hours of sleep per night. Following the two weeks of bad sleep how long does it take for your body to recover? Does it take more than two weeks for your sleep schedule to return...
BINARY
{"day": 1.6653345369377348e-16, "week": 1.6653345369377348e-16, "month": 1.6653345369377348e-16}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
ian
1687870932035
1.3
https://firebasestorage.…2e2-669b3fa9eaf0
2
16
0
https://firebasestorage.…f9e-63da556bd37b
12
[{"name": "Medicine ", "slug": "medicine", "userId": "AJwLWoo3xue32XIiAVrL5SyR1WB2", "groupId": "oHiQ4mneKC2r5ICg4XJ8", "createdTime": 1670997049727}, {"name": "Health", "slug": "health", "userId": "AJwLWoo3xue32XIiAVrL5SyR1WB2", "groupId": "JpUqUqRn9sSWxrk0Sq35", "createdTime": 1671042399312}]
["medicine", "health"]
0.1245982118869396
0.5
1687870931654
1684061436679
0.5515703759873278
gI6CqgDyBbufhWUNqajN
{"NO": 93.09010926211258, "YES": 86.23188405797104}
0
placeholder-will-i-get-my-pomodoro
29
(Placeholder) Will I get my pomodoro streak goal over the next 9 to 11 days?
1671718468750
7XGrTPYHE2WgHJSne6kxRVseLdo1
cpmm-1
0
3.039746359966837
True
play
NO
public
1670997671366
Charlie
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Depending on if I got my goal that ended yesterday, goal will either be to do at least one pomodoro of work 8 of the next 9 days or 10 of the next 11 days...", "type": "text"}]}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1671718468750
90
Charlie
1671426218289
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GiMOGvT0wihOCke38p23uPRigh10h-RZZBoj5Wkkcs=s96-c
2
0
https://firebasestorage.…1fb-6c59653f4fa1
3
[{"name": "Personal Goals", "slug": "personal-goals", "userId": "7XGrTPYHE2WgHJSne6kxRVseLdo1", "groupId": "izQp87CKagOVJp9Olm1p", "createdTime": 1670997672215}]
["personal-goals"]
0.5
1671426218140
0.57
0.8161821695040109
EZE7kWL5ifjtpI8KsIAO
{"NO": 1587.0991288157454, "YES": 251.3820169063629}
1
will-my-markers-have-attracted-1000
2570.734581187612
Will my markets have attracted 10,000 traders by the end of 2022?
1671821373174
4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2
cpmm-1
0
1.827855762483256
True
play
YES
public
1670998665556
Brian T. Edwards
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Currently 9071 all time. 678 in the last week. 182 in the last day. ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Dec 19, 7:06pm: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Will my markers have attracted 10,000 traders...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1671821373174
370
BTE
1671821356137
0
https://firebasestorage.…ae9-3fcd8f17498c
19
0
https://firebasestorage.…1b0-5f112c62b499
14
[{"name": "Predictions on Predictions", "slug": "predictions-on-predictions", "userId": "4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2", "groupId": "qV4UN8VsCFzmchCqdVFK", "createdTime": 1670998665812}]
["predictions-on-predictions"]
0.5
1671821356017
1671494747400
0.92
0.229518291580644
SlR9GjS0p1pQitcgP9vy
{"NO": 412.50695436638114, "YES": 3104.579846443479}
0
will-binance-suspend-withdrawals-fo-bbcb06855dc7
7236.20635574812
Will Binance suspend withdrawals for more than 24 hours before the end of 2022?
1672519507770
tlmGNz9kjXc2EteizMORes4qvWl2
cpmm-1
0
0.9868715917057025
True
play
NO
public
1671000388798
SG
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Background: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Binance temporarily halted withdrawals of stablecoin USDC as investor concerns mount after FTX collapse", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/market...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1672519507770
710
SG
1672519225187
0
https://firebasestorage.…6d6-ad95bdb11967
0
25
0
https://firebasestorage.…866-23902c6d5278
21
[{"name": "Cryptocurrency", "slug": "crypto-speculation", "userId": "tlmGNz9kjXc2EteizMORes4qvWl2", "groupId": "YuJw0M1xvUHrpiRRuKso", "createdTime": 1671000418039}, {"name": "Binance", "slug": "binance", "userId": "tlmGNz9kjXc2EteizMORes4qvWl2", "groupId": "DLuKOeXGWESoStfOez08", "createdTime": 1671050249801}]
["crypto-speculation", "binance"]
0.5
1672519224894
1671026493695
0.04
0.12897339980946218
DjBWQGKBDWWFqonbr18W
{"NO": 67.62331934095164, "YES": 15916.311762693314}
0
will-china-eliminate-taiwan-during
17387.49143128208
Will China eliminate Taiwan during the 2023 AFC Asian Cup?
1708307826772
Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2
cpmm-1
0
4.960492030597582
True
play
NO
public
1671005108615
Jenny
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if China eliminates Taiwan (or \"Chinese Taipei\") during the 2023 AFC Asian Cup. Note that it doesn't have to happen ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "at", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "italic"}]}, {"text": " the world cup, just dur...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1708307826772
170
Jenny
1708307827163
0
https://firebasestorage.…dc6-e1d7e0e02ed0
2
8
0
https://firebasestorage.…27f-739726a4592e
2
[{"name": "Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "createdTime": 1671005108966}, {"name": "China", "slug": "china", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "oWTzfoeemQGkSoPFn2T7", "createdTime": 1671005102898}, {"name": "Taiwan ", "slug": "ta...
["soccer", "wars", "taiwan", "china", "nuclear-risk", "pun-title", "asia"]
0.5
1707796655417
1708307822323
0
OEbsAczmbBc4Sl1bacYZNPJLLLc2
156zvBEAamITIPpydy5D
manifold-arbitration-chamber
0
Manifold arbitration chamber
1673665140000
EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1
cpmm-multi-1
0
5.0189258735310585
True
play
CANCEL
public
1671009543951
Franklin Baldo
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Attention all parties involved in a dispute:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The Manifold arbitration chamber is now in session. If you have a case to submit, please follow the rules outlined below.", "type": "text"...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1673666726408
220
FranklinBaldo
1671009546620
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucry6frpI5BKtmRvdVqmUQnkFdfnFn-LeH3bdV64feY=s96-c
1
1
0
ANYONE
[{"id": "c79b2fed7e3f", "prob": 1, "text": "Other", "index": 0, "poolNo": null, "userId": "EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1", "isOther": true, "poolYes": 0, "textFts": "", "contractId": "156zvBEAamITIPpydy5D", "createdTime": 1671009544941, "probChanges": {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}, "subsidyPool": 0, "fsUpdatedTime":...
1
https://firebasestorage.…454-fadc923c879c
4
[{"name": "Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "userId": "EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1671009544804}]
["manifold-6748e065087e"]
1671009543951
True
0.4398599855979283
bFurLpTgBkdm1g2w21Rq
{"NO": 274.1558546390023, "YES": 645.8573955040047}
0.25000000000000006
will-the-new-avatar-movie-be-as-goo
1213.4724183657324
Will the new Avatar movie be as good as the old one?
1672531140000
xsdECfPlLTT54Oo7CFgJdWD6cx72
cpmm-1
0
0.9639873583532869
True
play
CANCEL
public
1671010647942
Malte
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Background: ", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "It can be difficult getting estimates for how good a movie is when it just got released. \"Avatar: The Way of Water\" comes out on 14th Decem...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1677785172101
410
Malte
1674469413430
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZuco9M5mYAp47nKgXrGOmDD4EqzDU2QlC8GNyEAjGofM=s96-c
20
0
13
https://firebasestorage.…df6-d1799df24c17
22
[{"name": "Entertainment and Pop Culture", "slug": "entertainment", "userId": "xsdECfPlLTT54Oo7CFgJdWD6cx72", "groupId": "XU1fOYURSnb58lgsqaly", "createdTime": 1671010648851}, {"name": "Please Resolve", "slug": "please-resolve", "userId": "7ASzYqiYCteQQhOp05aFFfLyp8C2", "groupId": "HLWmbwGZ3vBHL8UjdtZF", "createdTime":...
["entertainment", "please-resolve"]
0.5
1672530441889
1674469410181
0.25
0.6439052495497276
KL95q0SLCn6eBq6GR4ef
{"NO": 106.44414352785967, "YES": 74.8520503794169}
0
will-team-old-g-make-it-into-div-2
96.65748796306796
Will team Old G make it into Div 2 DPC WEU
1671724330065
EyAyloXnq8WYfLUBLlkdlyOSDkD3
cpmm-1
0
3.411324449316022
True
play
NO
public
1671010921455
Jonas Kamper
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "image", "attrs": {"alt": null, "src": "https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdefault%2FMTVK6yhZBb.png?alt=media&token=ed195898-ff09-4bab-a4d9-8d942b3458cc", "title": null}}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1671724330065
90
JonasKamper
1671704891102
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3dE1TOR5EXE5vPxyAXnG5pDch9NHPidbMLwas9e8o=s96-c
4
0
1
https://firebasestorage.…e51-fd9bd053d0f1
4
[{"name": "Gaming", "slug": "gaming", "userId": "EyAyloXnq8WYfLUBLlkdlyOSDkD3", "groupId": "5FaFmmaNNFTSA5r0vTAi", "createdTime": 1671010921717}]
["gaming"]
0.5
1671704889893
0.72
0.3978950356694245
Hze5yOZ65oEAFlCPvlYQ
{"NO": 27.466085333556542, "YES": 503.02056887825256}
0
will-ethereum-close-2022-above-1400
606.9794311217474
Will Ethereum close 2022 above $1400?
1672531140000
tWaPZ7Yh2mdtM6QdvG3SWAVidPX2
cpmm-1
0
4.15868977688822
True
play
NO
public
1671014496463
toonces
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolution will be determined using price at end of 2022 from ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/ethereum", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/ethereum", "c...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1680902686227
90
toonces
1680902687416
0
https://firebasestorage.…b29-bef7640dda1a
2
0
20
https://firebasestorage.…129-52c607808061
3
[{"name": "Cryptocurrency", "slug": "crypto-speculation", "userId": "tWaPZ7Yh2mdtM6QdvG3SWAVidPX2", "groupId": "YuJw0M1xvUHrpiRRuKso", "createdTime": 1671014497201}, {"name": "Please Resolve", "slug": "please-resolve", "userId": "fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42", "groupId": "HLWmbwGZ3vBHL8UjdtZF", "createdTime": 167609189...
["crypto-speculation", "please-resolve"]
0.5
1672433671078
1680902683763
0.03
0.1367970418823
OkbTLJn5epOnsxiyLc18
{"NO": 140.3855855791253, "YES": 549.325607214266}
0
will-bitcoin-be-above-20000-at-the
677.8720898432332
Will Bitcoin be above $20,000 at the end of 2022?
1672531140000
tWaPZ7Yh2mdtM6QdvG3SWAVidPX2
cpmm-1
0
3.954567719783217
True
play
NO
public
1671014550073
toonces
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolution will be determined using price at end of 2022 from ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/bitcoin", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/ethereum", "cl...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1680900979334
190
toonces
1680900979737
0
https://firebasestorage.…b29-bef7640dda1a
1
9
0
20
https://firebasestorage.…ede-f48251f7a6d9
9
[{"name": "Cryptocurrency", "slug": "crypto-speculation", "userId": "tWaPZ7Yh2mdtM6QdvG3SWAVidPX2", "groupId": "YuJw0M1xvUHrpiRRuKso", "createdTime": 1671014550848}, {"name": "Crypto Prices", "slug": "crypto-prices", "userId": "uyzAXSRdCCUWs4KstCLq2GfzAip2", "groupId": "Hh2zJJExWlyJQakffoVE", "createdTime": 16733465146...
["crypto-speculation", "crypto-prices", "please-resolve"]
0.5
1672484648047
1680900977562
0.04
0.8441488130329273
nXa4Q8bHYv7igGgYceB2
{"NO": 18805.15789458827, "YES": 561.5250903399516}
1
will-any-other-executives-other-tha
29609.061815769375
Will any other executives (other than SBF) be charged with a crime for her involvement with FTX / Alameda Research in 2022?
1671853246507
tWaPZ7Yh2mdtM6QdvG3SWAVidPX2
cpmm-1
0
1.0578721696609117
True
basic
YES
public
1671014686793
toonces
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will resolve yes if charges are published from official government source or other highly reputable sources in 2022.", "type": "text"}]}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1671853246507
1190
toonces
1671839849417
0
https://firebasestorage.…b29-bef7640dda1a
1
59
0
https://firebasestorage.…208-611afc17f056
56
[{"name": "FTX", "slug": "ftx", "userId": "tWaPZ7Yh2mdtM6QdvG3SWAVidPX2", "groupId": "0YV8Cv4WhFWcbUrk4hHV", "createdTime": 1671026146990}, {"name": "Wall Street Bets", "slug": "wall-street-bets", "userId": "tWaPZ7Yh2mdtM6QdvG3SWAVidPX2", "groupId": "8Gu77XZbp4YnYEhLkOKm", "createdTime": 1671026129440}, {"name": "Crypt...
["us-politics", "world-default", "culture-default", "crypto-speculation", "wall-street-bets", "ftx", "ftx-liquidity-crisis-nov-2022"]
0.5
1671839849254
1671747959451
0.99
0.8982869661502567
bgyjUd2Xxuk1boPtYzF8
{"NO": 2245.2119364594764, "YES": 306.1611130001778}
1
will-there-be-celebrations-andor-ri
3913.562105574709
Will there be celebrations and/or riots in Paris after the France vs. Morocco World Cup match?
1671148740000
tWaPZ7Yh2mdtM6QdvG3SWAVidPX2
cpmm-1
0
2.827292803261221
True
play
YES
public
1671014802373
toonces
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If there are news reports of fans celebrating and/or rioting in Paris after the France vs. Morocco match this will resolve yes.", "type": "text"}]}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1671853235848
410
toonces
1671837681752
0
https://firebasestorage.…b29-bef7640dda1a
19
0
2
https://firebasestorage.…e1a-e587eb55f106
18
[{"name": "2022 FIFA World Cup", "slug": "2022-fifa-world-cup", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "ujdSUUHAKLNPFSj2PTNX", "createdTime": 1671043171100}, {"name": "Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "userId": "tWaPZ7Yh2mdtM6QdvG3SWAVidPX2", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi", "createdTime": 16710148033...
["sports-default", "2022-fifa-world-cup", "soccer"]
0.5
1671134317034
1671837680455
0.98
0.33049192049385595
hrTVHfaD4hqsNx5s2hZF
{"NO": 60.70485156252471, "YES": 2046.803713757629}
0
will-the-bitcoin-lightning-network
2098.7323274004366
Will the Bitcoin lightning network reach a public capacity of at least 8000 BTC in 2023?
1704063600000
jAA7zF4Gg9P39vKcHhZYmGJQOzZ2
cpmm-1
0
3.0169951323605346
True
play
NO
public
1671019727908
Zoe
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "In 2022 lightnings capacity grew by almost 2k Bitcoin and is currently sitting at 5000 BTC. This market will resolve to YES if we hit 8k BTC at some point in 2023.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1704147824783
250
Zoe
1704147824979
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp65Dj4w8D474N2krL0pGnkV7cV9cCx3bGnjtZ6QvQ=s96-c
13
0
1
https://firebasestorage.…f92-3805a4cb50d5
6
[{"name": "Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "userId": "jAA7zF4Gg9P39vKcHhZYmGJQOzZ2", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1671019755370}, {"name": "Cryptocurrency", "slug": "crypto-speculation", "userId": "jAA7zF4Gg9P39vKcHhZYmGJQOzZ2", "groupId": "YuJw0M1xvUHrpiRRuKso", "createdTime": 167101972...
["crypto-speculation", "technology-default", "bitcoin", "ancient-markets", "new-years-resolutions-2024"]
0.5
1703022682074
1704147801141
0.01
uyzAXSRdCCUWs4KstCLq2GfzAip2
0.8394963779200784
uiivkjXQOKwCLw9aZLqd
{"NO": 1348.1567071293455, "YES": 129.6745843997346}
1
will-the-bitcoin-lightning-network-2940d6940766
1317.9609491898382
Will the Bitcoin lightning network grow in USD value in 2023?
1704063600000
jAA7zF4Gg9P39vKcHhZYmGJQOzZ2
cpmm-1
0
3.6467440844718784
True
play
YES
public
1671019980603
Zoe
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market resolves YES if by the end of 2023 the Bitcoin lightning network has a higher value (locked up BTC multiplied with price per BTC in USD) than at the end of 2022.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1704147867753
210
Zoe
1704147867915
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp65Dj4w8D474N2krL0pGnkV7cV9cCx3bGnjtZ6QvQ=s96-c
0
9
0
1
https://firebasestorage.…21b-d92974e6dea1
5
[{"name": "Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "userId": "jAA7zF4Gg9P39vKcHhZYmGJQOzZ2", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1671019992084}, {"name": "Cryptocurrency", "slug": "crypto-speculation", "userId": "jAA7zF4Gg9P39vKcHhZYmGJQOzZ2", "groupId": "YuJw0M1xvUHrpiRRuKso", "createdTime": 167101998...
["crypto-speculation", "technology-default", "bitcoin", "new-years-resolutions-2024"]
0.5
1703023448559
0.98
uyzAXSRdCCUWs4KstCLq2GfzAip2
0.48961910878259046
JO4igglBL4kMoj0q6KNq
{"NO": 6314.806143859418, "YES": 141.60605905815373}
1
will-the-party-endorsed-by-the-sun
7387.332664710091
Will the party endorsed by the Sun newspaper win the next UK general election?
1720156534904
HiuybALrLla5iJCcNt9Iwme7btt2
cpmm-1
0
9.854240026698903
True
basic
YES
public
1671021012251
Nico
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "For these purposes, win means largest party. As determined by Wikipedia entry (here is the 2019 equivalent: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Endorsements_in_the_2019_United_Kingdom_general_election", "type": "text", "ma...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0.18772539362467333, "month": 0.4034610310659581}
0
{"creatorFee": 49.704761698826985, "platformFee": 1.150449607660834, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1720156534904
1000
Nico
1720156534904
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AATXAJyWHVZIBXBUWUPADNCveJtz7QAw7r6Bf2zS_4gf=s96-c
1
42
4
https://firebasestorage.…41f-d1335b474e9c
15
[{"name": "UK politics", "slug": "uk-politics", "userId": "HiuybALrLla5iJCcNt9Iwme7btt2", "groupId": "aavkiDd6uZggfL3geuV2", "createdTime": 1671021012481}, {"name": "Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "userId": "HiuybALrLla5iJCcNt9Iwme7btt2", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1671028420493}, {"name"...
["uk-politics", "politics-default", "-uk-general-election-2024"]
0.10003362022225615
0.5
1720111321667
1720024861284
0.98
HiuybALrLla5iJCcNt9Iwme7btt2
0.7125871499652682
Dov5tcl8qnCrE13F13Is
{"NO": 1839.1894459940527, "YES": 1154.0251236610166}
0.9
by-2024-will-i-think-that-it-was-go
640.6824595559883
By 2024, will I think that it was good that GiveDirectly had a large and well-paid C-suite (President, MD, etc)?
1704114540000
lkkqZxiWCpOgtJ9ztJcAKz4d9y33
cpmm-1
0
0.36343980329948433
True
basic
MKT
public
1671023370208
Nathan Young
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves to credence", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Dec 15, 12:41pm: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "By 2024, will I think that it was good that GiveDirectly had a large and well-paid C-suite (President, CEO, MD, etc...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1707218857870
1330
NathanpmYoung
1707218858107
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GgkQaxe_5plRQ-3y-nDcRIXjbUwl4yBWOweF_D8ZA=s96-c
16
0
8
https://firebasestorage.…f9b-fd6c1a8638b4
13
[{"name": "Change My Mind", "slug": "change-my-mind", "userId": "lkkqZxiWCpOgtJ9ztJcAKz4d9y33", "groupId": "kzzraVgQ4jzw7XmLUZDv", "createdTime": 1671026031832}, {"name": "New Year's Resolutions 2024", "slug": "new-years-resolutions-2024", "userId": "fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42", "groupId": "jM9eYtkUrTKEqvKV3x3e", "cr...
["change-my-mind", "new-years-resolutions-2024"]
0.5
1696857710101
1671495274777
0.9
lkkqZxiWCpOgtJ9ztJcAKz4d9y33
0.5
g82xo2yft6L9KjXwD8BR
{"NO": 20, "YES": 125}
0.13793103448275862
will-elon-musk-be-deported
75
Will Elon Musk be deported?
1671026043805
wjbOTRRJ7Ee5mjSMMYrtwoWuiCp2
cpmm-1
0
4.759092268260347
True
play
CANCEL
public
1671025578239
Gigacasting
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "\"no human is illegal except ...\"", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "tiptapTweet", "attrs": {"tweetId": "t1602785534522183680"}}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1671026043805
50
Gigacasting
1671025586419
0
https://firebasestorage.…197-05995b2e6a2b
1
1
0
https://firebasestorage.…393-0fadcbadaadf
1
[{"name": "Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "userId": "wjbOTRRJ7Ee5mjSMMYrtwoWuiCp2", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1671025578984}, {"name": "Elon musk", "slug": "elon-musk-14d9d9498c7e", "groupId": "9OR5MrEu1F01FhmBRcre", "createdTime": 1691181977691}]
["politics-default", "elon-musk-14d9d9498c7e"]
0.5
1671025584759
False
0.14
0.7593490343224525
I0Dk3JLIit04mOdczmkm
{"NO": 967.2873197073354, "YES": 997.3783270410014}
0.7537065400820745
will-2-more-parties-claim-to-have-a
488.4499786391946
Will 2 more parties claim to have achieved net gains in fusion energy by 2026?
1767236340000
H8mXkmJcikfoYF0rQQ83qsHEWRn1
cpmm-1
0
9.534574723256998
False
basic
public
1671026587389
MP
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Scientists at the US Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory claim to have achieved a net gain in their fusion energy endeavors, having put in 2.05MJ and having gotten 3.15MJ. ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "conte...
BINARY
{"day": 3.3306690738754696e-16, "week": 3.3306690738754696e-16, "month": 3.3306690738754696e-16}
0
{"creatorFee": 0.20155780105202106, "platformFee": 0.20155780105202106, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
MP
1713887170934
0
https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FMP%2FJMyU-Pb-y4.51?alt=media&token=445f6754-d875-41a9-ad73-c272a1e866bf
2
27
0
https://firebasestorage.…25c-3487510e1e05
20
[{"name": "Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "userId": "H8mXkmJcikfoYF0rQQ83qsHEWRn1", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1671026616943}, {"name": "Energy", "slug": "energy", "userId": "H8mXkmJcikfoYF0rQQ83qsHEWRn1", "groupId": "rraS2YIDaAckq3bR5lfQ", "createdTime": 1671026595225}, {"name": "Phy...
["physics", "energy", "technology-default", "science-default", "fusion-energy", "nuclear-power", "nuclear"]
0.5
1713887167610
False
0.3383351394486565
BAOCjj4ZGgUZ2Ls14qhB
{"NO": 387.675608279955, "YES": 580.6384828204721}
0.25
how-many-years-of-sentence-will-sbf
1088.3438306453022
How many years of sentence will SBF get?
1711888307139
hRbPwezgxnat6GpJQxoFxq1xgUZ2
cpmm-1
0
0.8871833955781643
True
play
MKT
public
1671028382089
Ammon Lam
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolution to x% if SBF received a sentence of x years", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "e.g. ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "resolution to 0% if SBF received no jail time",...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1711888307139
450
AmmonLam
1711888334279
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3tZQ3FxKg9rh6V8N0P2Lax5R_TfROJtQmrapTp=s96-c
20
0
1
https://firebasestorage.…374-d454f678d12c
4
[{"name": "SBF", "slug": "sbf", "userId": "hRbPwezgxnat6GpJQxoFxq1xgUZ2", "groupId": "svyYtbhviU1lv8aMS9E1", "createdTime": 1671028382277}, {"name": "SBF Trial", "slug": "sbf-trial", "groupId": "4fb66c1a-82d9-4346-8a4d-668980166ef9", "createdTime": 1696357091183}, {"name": "SBF Sentence", "slug": "sbf-trial-sentence", ...
["sbf", "sbf-trial", "sbf-trial-sentence", "new-years-resolutions-2024"]
0.5
1711673533595
1711888333575
0.25
hRbPwezgxnat6GpJQxoFxq1xgUZ2
0.2187394787987936
57tjphEli6KUYGQQC2d3
{"NO": 119.5595255091423, "YES": 992.8876118659024}
0
will-movano-health-get-fda-clearanc
1150.4730296408936
Will Movano Health get FDA clearance for their smart ring SpO2 monitor by the end of 2023?
1704085140000
zRMxfUt51RcEIcZkuw6ySiNJYBE3
cpmm-1
0
2.9015177947119115
True
play
NO
public
1671030913440
Algorithmovigilance
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Company ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "reported results of a \"positive\" trial", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/movano-health-on-track-to-file-first-fda-submission-for-its-smar...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1704403342396
210
algorithmovigilance
1704403342668
0
https://firebasestorage.…263-3088e8472773
2
11
0
1
https://firebasestorage.…9e4-ebbef3982365
2
[{"name": "Medical Grade AI", "slug": "rsna-2022", "userId": "zRMxfUt51RcEIcZkuw6ySiNJYBE3", "groupId": "zKIoIMNi1hwtg3l5m5Mn", "createdTime": 1671030913632}, {"name": "Ancient Markets", "slug": "ancient-markets", "userId": "2VhlvfTaRqZbFn2jqxk2Am9jgsE2", "groupId": "W7VPHYmVlkpe1YEGiSeE", "createdTime": 1680737241282}...
["rsna-2022", "ancient-markets", "new-years-resolutions-2024"]
0.5
1704084667354
1697133797033
0.03
zRMxfUt51RcEIcZkuw6ySiNJYBE3
0.7264824179599242
SrJniWFRvb68Hz36TLxG
{"NO": 3494.583532739915, "YES": 373.2553460276533}
1
bitcoin-closes-the-week-175k
5043.59776960847
Bitcoin closes the week <17.5k
1671235562911
wjbOTRRJ7Ee5mjSMMYrtwoWuiCp2
cpmm-1
0
0.9066866992897684
True
play
YES
public
1671031782042
Gigacasting
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Friday close (12/16)", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/bitcoin/historical_data#panel", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://ww...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1671235562911
810
Gigacasting
1671231333029
0
https://firebasestorage.…197-05995b2e6a2b
41
0
https://firebasestorage.…1cd-571052e5ce4e
38
[{"name": "Cryptocurrency", "slug": "crypto-speculation", "userId": "wjbOTRRJ7Ee5mjSMMYrtwoWuiCp2", "groupId": "YuJw0M1xvUHrpiRRuKso", "createdTime": 1671031782496}, {"name": "Crypto Prices", "slug": "crypto-prices", "userId": "jOdiXkGC6QPazkFUjacbA2OHswt1", "groupId": "Hh2zJJExWlyJQakffoVE", "createdTime": 16711928647...
["crypto-speculation", "crypto-prices"]
0.5
1671231332857
1671162423682
0.96
0.43650864395641964
AAEhOwDqzzXtTRjmnB8v
{"NO": 152.82048938086223, "YES": 192.83425793468925}
0
will-the-card-drannith-magistrate-b
115.48749573248062
Will the card Drannith Magistrate be mentioned in the Phyrexia: All Will Be One quarterly commander update?
1676264340000
oGWWos1s6BgbDN4000U2EUtLTt43
cpmm-1
0
1.8946835810471447
True
play
NO
public
1671032299798
KCG
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1676721438706
170
KGlassey
1675108235511
0
https://firebasestorage.…b6a-3639e40b05c5
8
0
2
https://firebasestorage.…bdc-fbcc069b37cb
8
[{"name": "Magic: The Gathering", "slug": "magic-the-gathering", "userId": "oGWWos1s6BgbDN4000U2EUtLTt43", "groupId": "MdtQjq1MZ1T3zBP1QqMF", "createdTime": 1671032314440}, {"name": "Lunchle 2", "slug": "lunchle-2", "userId": "oGWWos1s6BgbDN4000U2EUtLTt43", "groupId": "4RlYuO6Zu7ZbjfulJxTy", "createdTime": 167103230002...
["lunchle-2", "magic-the-gathering", "gaming"]
0.5
1675108235229
0.38
0.5534276532232877
c4tnOjgWOCqLTVoT16WG
{"NO": 79.44192968269975, "YES": 1083.6591083506291}
0
will-another-destiny-clip-get-5k-up
1941.3822899325517
Will another Destiny clip get >5k Upvotes on r/LivestreamFail before the end of 2022?
1672531140000
qsZ6uslaYzR5byYFkRhpYcswZd83
cpmm-1
0
1.669979811144811
True
play
NO
public
1671032541336
adarg
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Has to be a clip from Destiny's stream specifically, can't just be a clip he's in.", "type": "text"}]}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1672687480588
350
adarg
1672687477372
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu0RqS4vX3B0PI1Gj9XT_wK-eFWUXyWlVv_UG5X5=s96-c
17
0
1
https://firebasestorage.…32d-a59311c62aa1
17
[{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "ps3zKQSRuzLJVMzDQMAOlCDFRgG2", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1672617262549}]
["destinygg"]
0.5
1672529031247
1672687472402
0.08
0.18875843774256595
lNdU2OZsVG372NXajNPS
{"NO": 815.7846212545896, "YES": 8192.95391743732}
0
will-binance-becomes-insolventdecla
20554.392433701007
Will Binance becomes insolvent/declares bankruptcy before Jan 31st 2023?
1675209540000
FEjxVPee2Ea629lFxmpnbbAoYfl2
cpmm-1
0
0.627540806405535
True
basic
NO
public
1671033903662
tofu
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1675218011791
1330
tofu
1675208495786
0
https://firebasestorage.…fe3-9edff024ecca
1
66
0
1
https://firebasestorage.…039-3643a0e689ad
55
[{"name": "Economics", "slug": "economics-default", "userId": "FEjxVPee2Ea629lFxmpnbbAoYfl2", "groupId": "p88Ycq6yFd5ECKqq9PFO", "createdTime": 1671033977793}, {"name": "Cryptocurrency", "slug": "crypto-speculation", "userId": "FEjxVPee2Ea629lFxmpnbbAoYfl2", "groupId": "YuJw0M1xvUHrpiRRuKso", "createdTime": 16710339039...
["crypto-speculation", "economics-default", "binance"]
0.5
1675208495628
1675205646524
0.02
0.22442577592135093
AmAvEHtmiVfbDOcrqNQR
{"NO": 380.8032608694775, "YES": 3300.988081346976}
0
will-bitcoin-close-the-year-above-1-61bdf637dd3e
6230.931857930063
Will Bitcoin close the year above $18,000?
1672531140000
FEjxVPee2Ea629lFxmpnbbAoYfl2
cpmm-1
0
1.0774663490850451
True
play
NO
public
1671034331988
tofu
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/bitcoin/", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/bitcoin/", "class": null, "target": "_blank"}}]}]}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1672552329681
690
tofu
1672502194614
0
https://firebasestorage.…fe3-9edff024ecca
34
0
1
https://firebasestorage.…1a1-f557b430d1e6
30
[{"name": "Economics", "slug": "economics-default", "userId": "FEjxVPee2Ea629lFxmpnbbAoYfl2", "groupId": "p88Ycq6yFd5ECKqq9PFO", "createdTime": 1671034345383}, {"name": "Global Macro", "slug": "global-macro", "userId": "FEjxVPee2Ea629lFxmpnbbAoYfl2", "groupId": "ToJoQmyIyv0ZTSEW96Li", "createdTime": 1671034342718}, {"n...
["bitcoin", "crypto-speculation", "global-macro", "economics-default", "crypto-prices"]
0.5
1672502194492
0.03
0.6154030345168852
5X7cNX78HEToZmuxUDeR
{"NO": 199.99999999999994, "YES": 121.91697516860052}
0.05
will-a-government-space-agency-comm
50
Will a government space agency commence a crewed mission outside of the Earth-Moon system before 2030? [Quick Resolution via Metaculus]
1677798000000
4w7ZYpvZ3OfE0A8fuWttBVZWvRR2
cpmm-1
0
2.216239578489837
True
play
MKT
public
1671034688182
Johnny Ten-Numbers
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The following Metaculus forecast is set to open soon:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/13897/crewed-mission-beyond-earth-moon-system/", "type": "text", "mark...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1677846539523
150
1941159478
1677786446236
0
https://firebasestorage.…5d6-609a1a4230e5
5
0
1
https://firebasestorage.…f8b-d27ce5b01c70
5
[{"name": "Space", "slug": "space", "userId": "4w7ZYpvZ3OfE0A8fuWttBVZWvRR2", "groupId": "SmJk6RHToaLxLk0I1ZSC", "createdTime": 1671034962427}, {"name": "Reciprocal Scoring", "slug": "reciprocal-scoring", "userId": "4w7ZYpvZ3OfE0A8fuWttBVZWvRR2", "groupId": "UMd7vY9c0A6xqcv9dC17", "createdTime": 1671034688398}, {"name"...
["reciprocal-scoring", "space", "futurism"]
0.5
1677786446136
0.05
0.3448525653562737
OCwc7OgSiViUAKvcXEiM
{"NO": 210.40952717479405, "YES": 332.26230334437827}
0.01
more-than-100-toilets-in-space-by-2
255.70586457372184
More than 100 toilets in space by 2030? [Early Resolution via Metaculus]
1677798000000
4w7ZYpvZ3OfE0A8fuWttBVZWvRR2
cpmm-1
0
1.5291458021593551
True
play
MKT
public
1671034937536
Johnny Ten-Numbers
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The following Metaculus forecast will open soon:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/13912/no-of-toilets-in-space-by-2030/", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": ...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1677846315767
250
1941159478
1677797208682
0
https://firebasestorage.…5d6-609a1a4230e5
11
0
1
https://firebasestorage.…864-ab012bb4c682
5
[{"name": "Space", "slug": "space", "userId": "4w7ZYpvZ3OfE0A8fuWttBVZWvRR2", "groupId": "SmJk6RHToaLxLk0I1ZSC", "createdTime": 1671034951075}, {"name": "Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "userId": "4w7ZYpvZ3OfE0A8fuWttBVZWvRR2", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1671034947581}, {"name": "Recip...
["reciprocal-scoring", "technology-default", "space", "futurism"]
0.5
1677797207512
1671030470357
0.01
0.48428516225020346
xPoTWNTUnfMwUNuSdDNu
{"NO": 285.4252344404732, "YES": 289.3249708019555}
0.81
will-nuclear-power-be-used-for-prop
395.1704740982345
Will nuclear power be used for propulsion in space in a non-test capacity by 2036? [Early Resolution via Metaculus]
1683410400000
4w7ZYpvZ3OfE0A8fuWttBVZWvRR2
cpmm-1
0
1.195863481422771
True
play
MKT
public
1671035456373
Johnny Ten-Numbers
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The following Metaculus forecast will open soon:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/13914/nuclear-power-usage-in-space/", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "l...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1683490624594
290
1941159478
1683399592580
0
https://firebasestorage.…5d6-609a1a4230e5
0
14
0
1
https://firebasestorage.…bda-4a5e2c9fd635
8
[{"name": "Space", "slug": "space", "userId": "4w7ZYpvZ3OfE0A8fuWttBVZWvRR2", "groupId": "SmJk6RHToaLxLk0I1ZSC", "createdTime": 1671035924079}, {"name": "Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "userId": "4w7ZYpvZ3OfE0A8fuWttBVZWvRR2", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1671035921200}, {"name": "Recip...
["reciprocal-scoring", "technology-default", "space", "futurism", "nuclear"]
0.5
1683399591434
1682012059527
False
0.81