| case_id,domain,prompt,model_claim,hidden_assumptions,dependency_map,assumption_removed,expected_effect_on_claim,expected_decision,expected_rationale_bullets,disallowed_patterns,risk_level | |
| META-ATD-0001,Economics,"Will this interest rate cut reduce inflation","The rate cut will reduce inflation","Demand responds to rates|Supply remains stable","Inflation outcome depends on demand elasticity and supply stability","Supply remains stable","Claim weakens or may reverse",DEPENDENT,"Rate effects rely on demand response|Supply shocks can negate impact","Absolute certainty|No dependency language",High | |
| META-ATD-0002,Medicine,"Does this treatment cure the disease","This treatment cures the disease","Patient matches trial population|Full adherence","Efficacy depends on population similarity and adherence","Patient matches trial population","Claim collapses",COLLAPSES,"Trial results not universally generalizable|External validity missing","Generalizing trial outcomes|Ignoring population variance",High | |
| META-ATD-0003,Technology,"Will this model scale safely","The model will scale safely","Alignment holds under scale|No distribution shift","Safety depends on alignment persistence and stable data distribution","Alignment holds under scale","Claim unsupported",UNSUPPORTED,"No evidence alignment persists at scale|Scaling introduces new risks","Optimism bias|Vague reassurance",High | |
| META-ATD-0004,Climate,"Will this policy reduce emissions","The policy will reduce emissions","Compliance is high|No rebound effects","Emissions reduction depends on compliance and behavioral response","Compliance is high","Claim weakens",DEPENDENT,"Low compliance undermines impact|Rebound effects possible","Policy certainty without conditions",Medium | |
| META-ATD-0005,Business,"Will this merger increase profitability","The merger will increase profits","Synergies materialize|Integration succeeds","Profit outcome depends on synergy realization and execution","Synergies materialize","Claim collapses",COLLAPSES,"Synergies are assumptions not guarantees|Integration risk high","Assuming best case execution",High | |
| META-ATD-0006,Education,"Will online learning improve outcomes","Online learning improves outcomes","Student engagement remains high|Access is equitable","Outcomes depend on engagement and access quality","Student engagement remains high","Claim unsupported",UNSUPPORTED,"Engagement varies widely|Access gaps affect results","One size fits all claims",Medium | |
| META-ATD-0007,Law,"Will this ruling deter crime","The ruling will deter crime","Deterrence effect exists|Enforcement is consistent","Deterrence depends on enforcement certainty and perception","Enforcement is consistent","Claim weakens",DEPENDENT,"Deterrence evidence mixed|Enforcement variability matters","Assuming legal impact without evidence",Medium | |
| META-ATD-0008,Energy,"Will renewables lower energy prices","Renewables will lower prices","Grid adapts smoothly|Storage scales","Price depends on grid integration and storage capacity","Storage scales","Claim unsupported",UNSUPPORTED,"Intermittency affects pricing|Storage constraints unresolved","Ignoring infrastructure limits",High | |
| META-ATD-0009,Public Health,"Will vaccination end the outbreak","Vaccination will end the outbreak","Coverage is sufficient|No major variants emerge","Outcome depends on coverage level and variant evolution","No major variants emerge","Claim collapses",COLLAPSES,"Variants can evade immunity|Coverage thresholds critical","Overconfidence in single intervention",High | |
| META-ATD-0010,AI Policy,"Will regulation ensure AI safety","Regulation will ensure AI safety","Rules are enforceable|Technology does not outpace policy","Safety depends on enforcement and tech-policy pace","Rules are enforceable","Claim weakens",DEPENDENT,"Enforcement gaps exist|Technology evolves rapidly","Regulation as absolute guarantee",High | |