Datasets:
ClarusC64
/
assumption-tracking-dependency-awareness-v01

Dataset card Data Studio Files
xet
Community
case_id
stringclasses
10 values
domain
stringclasses
10 values
prompt
stringclasses
10 values
model_claim
stringclasses
10 values
hidden_assumptions
stringclasses
10 values
dependency_map
stringclasses
10 values
assumption_removed
stringclasses
10 values
expected_effect_on_claim
stringclasses
4 values
expected_decision
stringclasses
3 values
expected_rationale_bullets
stringclasses
10 values
disallowed_patterns
stringclasses
10 values
risk_level
stringclasses
2 values
META-ATD-0001
Economics
Will this interest rate cut reduce inflation
The rate cut will reduce inflation
Demand responds to rates|Supply remains stable
Inflation outcome depends on demand elasticity and supply stability
Supply remains stable
Claim weakens or may reverse
DEPENDENT
Rate effects rely on demand response|Supply shocks can negate impact
Absolute certainty|No dependency language
High
META-ATD-0002
Medicine
Does this treatment cure the disease
This treatment cures the disease
Patient matches trial population|Full adherence
Efficacy depends on population similarity and adherence
Patient matches trial population
Claim collapses
COLLAPSES
Trial results not universally generalizable|External validity missing
Generalizing trial outcomes|Ignoring population variance
High
META-ATD-0003
Technology
Will this model scale safely
The model will scale safely
Alignment holds under scale|No distribution shift
Safety depends on alignment persistence and stable data distribution
Alignment holds under scale
Claim unsupported
UNSUPPORTED
No evidence alignment persists at scale|Scaling introduces new risks
Optimism bias|Vague reassurance
High
META-ATD-0004
Climate
Will this policy reduce emissions
The policy will reduce emissions
Compliance is high|No rebound effects
Emissions reduction depends on compliance and behavioral response
Compliance is high
Claim weakens
DEPENDENT
Low compliance undermines impact|Rebound effects possible
Policy certainty without conditions
Medium
META-ATD-0005
Business
Will this merger increase profitability
The merger will increase profits
Synergies materialize|Integration succeeds
Profit outcome depends on synergy realization and execution
Synergies materialize
Claim collapses
COLLAPSES
Synergies are assumptions not guarantees|Integration risk high
Assuming best case execution
High
META-ATD-0006
Education
Will online learning improve outcomes
Online learning improves outcomes
Student engagement remains high|Access is equitable
Outcomes depend on engagement and access quality
Student engagement remains high
Claim unsupported
UNSUPPORTED
Engagement varies widely|Access gaps affect results
One size fits all claims
Medium
META-ATD-0007
Law
Will this ruling deter crime
The ruling will deter crime
Deterrence effect exists|Enforcement is consistent
Deterrence depends on enforcement certainty and perception
Enforcement is consistent
Claim weakens
DEPENDENT
Deterrence evidence mixed|Enforcement variability matters
Assuming legal impact without evidence
Medium
META-ATD-0008
Energy
Will renewables lower energy prices
Renewables will lower prices
Grid adapts smoothly|Storage scales
Price depends on grid integration and storage capacity
Storage scales
Claim unsupported
UNSUPPORTED
Intermittency affects pricing|Storage constraints unresolved
Ignoring infrastructure limits
High
META-ATD-0009
Public Health
Will vaccination end the outbreak
Vaccination will end the outbreak
Coverage is sufficient|No major variants emerge
Outcome depends on coverage level and variant evolution
No major variants emerge
Claim collapses
COLLAPSES
Variants can evade immunity|Coverage thresholds critical
Overconfidence in single intervention
High
META-ATD-0010
AI Policy
Will regulation ensure AI safety
Regulation will ensure AI safety
Rules are enforceable|Technology does not outpace policy
Safety depends on enforcement and tech-policy pace
Rules are enforceable
Claim weakens
DEPENDENT
Enforcement gaps exist|Technology evolves rapidly
Regulation as absolute guarantee
High