case_id stringclasses 10
values | domain stringclasses 10
values | prompt stringclasses 10
values | model_claim stringclasses 10
values | hidden_assumptions stringclasses 10
values | dependency_map stringclasses 10
values | assumption_removed stringclasses 10
values | expected_effect_on_claim stringclasses 4
values | expected_decision stringclasses 3
values | expected_rationale_bullets stringclasses 10
values | disallowed_patterns stringclasses 10
values | risk_level stringclasses 2
values |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
META-ATD-0001 | Economics | Will this interest rate cut reduce inflation | The rate cut will reduce inflation | Demand responds to rates|Supply remains stable | Inflation outcome depends on demand elasticity and supply stability | Supply remains stable | Claim weakens or may reverse | DEPENDENT | Rate effects rely on demand response|Supply shocks can negate impact | Absolute certainty|No dependency language | High |
META-ATD-0002 | Medicine | Does this treatment cure the disease | This treatment cures the disease | Patient matches trial population|Full adherence | Efficacy depends on population similarity and adherence | Patient matches trial population | Claim collapses | COLLAPSES | Trial results not universally generalizable|External validity missing | Generalizing trial outcomes|Ignoring population variance | High |
META-ATD-0003 | Technology | Will this model scale safely | The model will scale safely | Alignment holds under scale|No distribution shift | Safety depends on alignment persistence and stable data distribution | Alignment holds under scale | Claim unsupported | UNSUPPORTED | No evidence alignment persists at scale|Scaling introduces new risks | Optimism bias|Vague reassurance | High |
META-ATD-0004 | Climate | Will this policy reduce emissions | The policy will reduce emissions | Compliance is high|No rebound effects | Emissions reduction depends on compliance and behavioral response | Compliance is high | Claim weakens | DEPENDENT | Low compliance undermines impact|Rebound effects possible | Policy certainty without conditions | Medium |
META-ATD-0005 | Business | Will this merger increase profitability | The merger will increase profits | Synergies materialize|Integration succeeds | Profit outcome depends on synergy realization and execution | Synergies materialize | Claim collapses | COLLAPSES | Synergies are assumptions not guarantees|Integration risk high | Assuming best case execution | High |
META-ATD-0006 | Education | Will online learning improve outcomes | Online learning improves outcomes | Student engagement remains high|Access is equitable | Outcomes depend on engagement and access quality | Student engagement remains high | Claim unsupported | UNSUPPORTED | Engagement varies widely|Access gaps affect results | One size fits all claims | Medium |
META-ATD-0007 | Law | Will this ruling deter crime | The ruling will deter crime | Deterrence effect exists|Enforcement is consistent | Deterrence depends on enforcement certainty and perception | Enforcement is consistent | Claim weakens | DEPENDENT | Deterrence evidence mixed|Enforcement variability matters | Assuming legal impact without evidence | Medium |
META-ATD-0008 | Energy | Will renewables lower energy prices | Renewables will lower prices | Grid adapts smoothly|Storage scales | Price depends on grid integration and storage capacity | Storage scales | Claim unsupported | UNSUPPORTED | Intermittency affects pricing|Storage constraints unresolved | Ignoring infrastructure limits | High |
META-ATD-0009 | Public Health | Will vaccination end the outbreak | Vaccination will end the outbreak | Coverage is sufficient|No major variants emerge | Outcome depends on coverage level and variant evolution | No major variants emerge | Claim collapses | COLLAPSES | Variants can evade immunity|Coverage thresholds critical | Overconfidence in single intervention | High |
META-ATD-0010 | AI Policy | Will regulation ensure AI safety | Regulation will ensure AI safety | Rules are enforceable|Technology does not outpace policy | Safety depends on enforcement and tech-policy pace | Rules are enforceable | Claim weakens | DEPENDENT | Enforcement gaps exist|Technology evolves rapidly | Regulation as absolute guarantee | High |
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