| id,region,time_window,current_trajectory_label,climate_ecological_state,socio_economic_state,candidate_interventions,projected_mechanisms,regenerative_gradient_strength,ranked_leverage_points,projected_coherence_gain,social_ecological_tradeoffs,monitoring_indicators,uncertainty_sources,notes,constraints,gold_checklist | |
| CRBGM-001,Amazon_Basin,2018-2024,decoupling,"Forest loss; rainfall recycling weakening; biodiversity stress","Commodity dependence; inequality; weak enforcement","deforestation halt; indigenous land rights; methane cuts","restore evapotranspiration; strengthen governance; fast forcing relief","moderate","deforestation halt > land rights > methane cuts","Medium","short-term income loss; political resistance","forest cover; rainfall; enforcement metrics","policy compliance uncertainty","Land rights as hinge","Under 300 words.","trajectory+gradient+levers+gain" | |
| CRBGM-002,Amazon_Basin,2024-2035,stressed,"Forest edge effects; soil moisture variance","Policy reform underway; mixed incentives","restoration corridors; agroforestry; enforcement","rebuild landscape connectivity; diversify income","moderate_to_steep","restoration corridors > agroforestry > enforcement","Medium to High","transition costs; delayed returns","corridor integrity; income diversity","restoration lag","Transition window","Under 300 words.","trajectory+gradient+levers+gain" | |
| CRBGM-003,Sahel,2005-2015,stressed,"Patchy degradation; rainfall variability","Pastoral systems under strain; adaptive capacity present","grazing reform; water harvesting; land tenure security","reduce pressure peaks; enhance soil water retention","steep","grazing reform > tenure security > water harvesting","High","coordination burden; equity issues","vegetation cover; migration rates","governance heterogeneity","Known regenerative path","Under 300 words.","trajectory+gradient+levers+gain" | |
| CRBGM-004,Coastal_Delta,2000-2020,collapse_bound,"Mangrove loss; salinity intrusion; flood risk","Aquaculture income; high exposure","mangrove restoration; zoning reform; livelihood shift","restore storm buffer; reduce exposure","shallow","mangrove restoration > zoning reform","Low to Medium","income disruption; relocation resistance","mangrove extent; flood damage","sea level rise uncertainty","Late intervention limits","Under 300 words.","trajectory+gradient+levers+gain" | |
| CRBGM-005,Temperate_Forest_Region,1990-2010,stable,"Forest regrowth; biodiversity gains","Sustainable forestry; stable employment","maintain incentives; monitoring","lock-in virtuous loop","flat_to_positive","maintain incentives","Low","complacency risk","harvest rates; biodiversity","policy drift","Maintenance case","Under 300 words.","trajectory+gradient+levers+gain" | |
| CRBGM-006,Arid_Region,2010-2025,decoupling,"Groundwater depletion; vegetation loss","Agriculture expansion; weak regulation","water pricing; crop shift; recharge protection","reduce extraction; restore balance","moderate","water pricing > crop shift > recharge zones","Medium","food price impacts","groundwater levels; crop mix","enforcement risk","Water as leverage","Under 300 words.","trajectory+gradient+levers+gain" | |