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- ---
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- license: mit
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- ---
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
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+ ---
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+ language: en
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+ license: mit
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+ task_categories:
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+ - text-classification
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+ tags:
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+ - clinical-trials
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+ - five-node-cascade
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+ size_categories:
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+ - 1K<n<10K
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+ pretty_name: Clarus Clinical Five Node Shock Cascade Boundary v0.2
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+ ---
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+
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+ # What this repo does
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+
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+ This dataset evaluates whether machine learning models can detect shock cascade boundary transitions using both system state and system trajectory.
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+
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+ Earlier Clarus datasets in the v0.1 series tested whether models could classify system state alone.
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+
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+ Clarus v0.2 datasets add a trajectory signal so models must determine not only where the system is, but where it is moving inside state space.
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+
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+ This benchmark therefore tests whether models can read trajectory inside state space and detect approaching instability even when the current state still appears locally stable.
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+
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+ # Five-node core
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+
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+ shock_pressure
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+ physiological_buffer
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+ intervention_delay
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+ organ_coupling
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+ hemodynamic_reserve
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+
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+ These five interacting variables represent a richer shock-state model for boundary-sensitive collapse detection.
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+
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+ All variables are normalized between 0 and 1.
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+
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+ Together they define the current position of the system inside the stability manifold.
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+
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+ # Trajectory Layer
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+
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+ This dataset includes a trajectory variable called drift_gradient.
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+
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+ drift_gradient measures the directional alignment between the system’s motion vector and the instability gradient of the system’s potential field.
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+
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+ Positive values indicate motion toward cascade.
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+ Negative values indicate motion toward recovery.
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+
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+ This converts the dataset from a static boundary classifier into a trajectory-aware cascade boundary detection benchmark.
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+
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+ The core test is whether models can read trajectory inside state space rather than relying only on static variable levels.
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+
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+ # Drift definition
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+
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+ Let the system state be represented by vector x(t).
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+
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+ The previous system state is x(t−1).
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+
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+ System motion
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+
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+ Δx = x(t) − x(t−1)
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+
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+ Instability gradient
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+
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+ g = ∇Φ(x)
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+
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+ Drift alignment
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+
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+ drift_gradient = (Δx · g) / (||Δx|| ||g||)
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+
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+ Interpretation
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+
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+ +1 system moving directly toward cascade
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+ 0 neutral movement
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+ −1 system moving toward recovery
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+
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+ Operational meaning
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+
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+ A positive drift_gradient such as +0.65 means the physiological trajectory is strongly aligned toward the shock boundary even if the current state appears only moderately stressed.
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+
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+ This is the false stability detection problem encoded by v0.2 datasets.
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+
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+ # Prediction target
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+
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+ label_shock_boundary_transition
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+
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+ The label identifies whether the system is undergoing a shock cascade boundary transition.
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+
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+ High drift toward cascade can trigger a positive label even when state variables remain within nominal range.
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+
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+ This lets the dataset test whether models can identify instability from state plus trajectory, not state alone.
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+
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+ # Binary simplification note
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+
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+ Shock boundary progression is continuous in clinical reality.
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+
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+ For benchmarking purposes the outcome is simplified to binary classification:
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+
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+ 0 stable regime
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+ 1 shock boundary transition
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+
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+ This makes the benchmark suitable for evaluating early warning performance.
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+
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+ # Row structure
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+
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+ scenario_id
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+ shock_pressure
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+ physiological_buffer
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+ intervention_delay
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+ organ_coupling
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+ hemodynamic_reserve
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+ drift_gradient
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+ label_shock_boundary_transition
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+
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+ State variables range between 0 and 1.
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+
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+ drift_gradient ranges between -1 and +1.
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+
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+ # Files
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+
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+ data/train.csv
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+ data/tester.csv
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+ scorer.py
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+ README.md
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+
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+ # Evaluation
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+
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+ Binary classification metrics
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+
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+ accuracy
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+ precision
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+ recall_cascade_detection
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+ false_safe_rate
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+ f1
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+ confusion_matrix
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+
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+ Primary metric
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+
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+ recall_cascade_detection
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+
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+ This prioritizes whether a model can detect cascade onset before visible deterioration.
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+ false_safe_rate tracks the proportion of true cascade cases incorrectly predicted as safe.
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+
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+ # License
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+
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+ MIT
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+
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+ # Structural Note
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+
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+ Clarus datasets explore instability dynamics in coupled systems.
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+
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+ The v0.2 series adds trajectory awareness to test whether models can detect movement toward failure boundaries rather than only classify static state snapshots.
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+
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+ # Production Deployment
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+
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+ These datasets support experimentation and benchmarking for early instability detection across domains including:
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+
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+ clinical deterioration
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+ infrastructure instability
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+ financial contagion
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+ AI multi-agent systems
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+ supply chain collapse
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+
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+ # Enterprise & Research Collaboration
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+
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+ Organizations interested in trajectory-aware cascade detection, false stability benchmarking, or operational early warning systems may contact the Clarus project for collaboration.