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Initial release: VITS-AD evaluation suite (regime labels, ledgers, multiseed scores, sample renderings)

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  1. README.md +162 -0
  2. ledgers/calibguard_multidataset.json +211 -0
  3. ledgers/clip_backbone_comparison.json +18 -0
  4. ledgers/fps_benchmark.json +25 -0
  5. ledgers/improved_ensemble_results.json +158 -0
  6. ledgers/multiseed_ensemble_summary.json +38 -0
  7. ledgers/multiseed_results.json +101 -0
  8. ledgers/optimized_ensemble.json +198 -0
  9. ledgers/ucr_results.json +195 -0
  10. ledgers/view_disagree_sweep.json +442 -0
  11. multiseed_scores/msl/line_plot/seed_123/labels.npy +3 -0
  12. multiseed_scores/msl/line_plot/seed_123/metrics.json +7 -0
  13. multiseed_scores/msl/line_plot/seed_123/scores.npy +3 -0
  14. multiseed_scores/msl/line_plot/seed_2024/labels.npy +3 -0
  15. multiseed_scores/msl/line_plot/seed_2024/metrics.json +7 -0
  16. multiseed_scores/msl/line_plot/seed_2024/scores.npy +3 -0
  17. multiseed_scores/msl/line_plot/seed_42/labels.npy +3 -0
  18. multiseed_scores/msl/line_plot/seed_42/metrics.json +7 -0
  19. multiseed_scores/msl/line_plot/seed_42/scores.npy +3 -0
  20. multiseed_scores/msl/line_plot/seed_456/labels.npy +3 -0
  21. multiseed_scores/msl/line_plot/seed_456/metrics.json +7 -0
  22. multiseed_scores/msl/line_plot/seed_456/scores.npy +3 -0
  23. multiseed_scores/msl/line_plot/seed_789/labels.npy +3 -0
  24. multiseed_scores/msl/line_plot/seed_789/metrics.json +7 -0
  25. multiseed_scores/msl/line_plot/seed_789/scores.npy +3 -0
  26. multiseed_scores/msl/recurrence_plot/seed_123/labels.npy +3 -0
  27. multiseed_scores/msl/recurrence_plot/seed_123/metrics.json +7 -0
  28. multiseed_scores/msl/recurrence_plot/seed_123/scores.npy +3 -0
  29. multiseed_scores/msl/recurrence_plot/seed_2024/labels.npy +3 -0
  30. multiseed_scores/msl/recurrence_plot/seed_2024/metrics.json +7 -0
  31. multiseed_scores/msl/recurrence_plot/seed_2024/scores.npy +3 -0
  32. multiseed_scores/msl/recurrence_plot/seed_42/labels.npy +3 -0
  33. multiseed_scores/msl/recurrence_plot/seed_42/metrics.json +7 -0
  34. multiseed_scores/msl/recurrence_plot/seed_42/scores.npy +3 -0
  35. multiseed_scores/msl/recurrence_plot/seed_456/labels.npy +3 -0
  36. multiseed_scores/msl/recurrence_plot/seed_456/metrics.json +7 -0
  37. multiseed_scores/msl/recurrence_plot/seed_456/scores.npy +3 -0
  38. multiseed_scores/msl/recurrence_plot/seed_789/labels.npy +3 -0
  39. multiseed_scores/msl/recurrence_plot/seed_789/metrics.json +7 -0
  40. multiseed_scores/msl/recurrence_plot/seed_789/scores.npy +3 -0
  41. multiseed_scores/psm/line_plot/seed_123/labels.npy +3 -0
  42. multiseed_scores/psm/line_plot/seed_123/metrics.json +7 -0
  43. multiseed_scores/psm/line_plot/seed_123/scores.npy +3 -0
  44. multiseed_scores/psm/line_plot/seed_2024/labels.npy +3 -0
  45. multiseed_scores/psm/line_plot/seed_2024/metrics.json +7 -0
  46. multiseed_scores/psm/line_plot/seed_2024/scores.npy +3 -0
  47. multiseed_scores/psm/line_plot/seed_42/labels.npy +3 -0
  48. multiseed_scores/psm/line_plot/seed_42/metrics.json +7 -0
  49. multiseed_scores/psm/line_plot/seed_42/scores.npy +3 -0
  50. multiseed_scores/psm/line_plot/seed_456/labels.npy +3 -0
README.md ADDED
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+ ---
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+ license: mit
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+ language:
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+ - en
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+ pretty_name: VITS-AD Evaluation Suite
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+ size_categories:
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+ - 10K<n<100K
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+ task_categories:
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+ - time-series-forecasting
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+ tags:
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+ - anomaly-detection
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+ - time-series
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+ - evaluation
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+ - benchmark
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+ - frozen-vision
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+ - regime-analysis
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+ - negative-results
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+ - neurips-2026
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+ ---
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+
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+ # VITS-AD Evaluation Suite
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+
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+ **Companion artifact for the NeurIPS 2026 Evaluations & Datasets (E&D) Track
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+ submission *VITS-AD: A Regime-Aware Evaluation Suite for Frozen-Vision
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+ Time-Series Anomaly Detection*.**
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+
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+ This dataset is **not a new corpus**. It bundles the *evaluation outputs*
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+ produced by the VITS-AD pipeline and the raw-space Mahalanobis baseline so
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+ that future work can:
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+
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+ 1. **Reproduce paper tables and statistical tests** without re-running the
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+ full vision pipeline.
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+ 2. **Run paired comparisons** (Wilcoxon, paired-99 UCR) directly on the
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+ per-window scores.
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+ 3. **Audit the regime classification** (amplitude vs. structural) against the
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+ underlying evidence artifacts.
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+
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+ The submission is **double-blind**; this dataset card is anonymous. Source
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+ code is at `https://github.com/evaldataset/VITS-AD` (reviewer-routed via
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+ `anonymous.4open.science`).
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+
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+ ## Contents
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+
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+ | Folder | Purpose | Size |
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+ |---------------------|-----------------------------------------------------------|-------|
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+ | `regime_labels/` | Per-dataset regime annotation + classifier features | <1 KB |
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+ | `ledgers/` | JSON ledgers underlying main-paper claims | 64 KB |
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+ | `ucr_canonical/` | UCR 109/99 aggregated and per-series metrics | 168 KB |
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+ | `multiseed_scores/` | Per-window scores + labels for 5 seeds × {LP,RP} × {PSM,MSL,SMAP}, no model weights | 9.8 MB |
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+ | `sample_renderings/`| Pipeline diagram and regime-gain figures | 1 MB |
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+
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+ Total: ~11 MB.
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+
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+ ## What this is for (E&D Track scope)
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+
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+ The submission's contribution is **benchmark analysis and evaluation
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+ methodology**, not a new dataset. We therefore distribute:
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+
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+ - The **regime axis** (amplitude vs. structural) along which vision
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+ rendering does and does not pay off.
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+ - The **paired-99 UCR comparison** that demonstrates Wilcoxon $p<10^{-7}$
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+ in favour of the vision pipeline on the structural univariate regime.
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+ - The **per-seed scores** that allow re-running paired Wilcoxon and
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+ bootstrap confidence intervals on the multiseed PSM/MSL/SMAP runs.
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+ - The **calibration and FPS ledgers** that back the compute-disclosure and
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+ CalibGuard tables in the paper supplement.
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+
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+ We do **not** redistribute the raw benchmark datasets (SMD, PSM, MSL, SMAP,
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+ UCR Anomaly Archive). License and download paths for those upstream
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+ benchmarks are listed in the paper's Asset Credits table.
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+
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+ ## Files
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+
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+ ### `regime_labels/regime_labels.json`
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+
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+ Per-dataset regime label, channel count, raw vs. VITS-AD AUC-ROC, and the
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+ five classifier features. The accompanying notes record the in-sample
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+ classifier accuracy ($90.1\%$), the majority-class baseline ($88.1\%$), and
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+ the leave-one-dataset-out CV collapse to chance — i.e., the regime axis is
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+ **descriptive**, not a deployable predictor.
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+
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+ ### `ledgers/`
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+
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+ | File | Backed claim |
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+ |------|--------------|
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+ | `improved_ensemble_results.json` | SMD 28-entity macro AUC-ROC for VITS-AD vs. raw Mahalanobis |
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+ | `multiseed_results.json` | $n=5$ seed mean ± std for PSM/MSL/SMAP × {LP, RP} |
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+ | `multiseed_ensemble_summary.json` | Rank-mean ensemble across renderers per dataset |
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+ | `optimized_ensemble.json` | Oracle renderer-adaptive scoring |
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+ | `calibguard_multidataset.json` | Realized FAR vs. target FAR (empirical diagnostic) |
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+ | `fps_benchmark.json` | FPS, parameter count, and compute disclosure |
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+ | `clip_backbone_comparison.json` | DINOv2 vs. CLIP backbone ablation |
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+ | `ucr_results.json` | Legacy UCR aggregate (paired-99 in `ucr_canonical/`) |
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+ | `view_disagree_sweep.json` | Cross-view disagreement scoring sweep |
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+
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+ ### `ucr_canonical/`
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+
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+ Authoritative UCR ledgers used by every UCR claim in the paper:
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+
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+ | File | Description |
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+ |------|-------------|
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+ | `summary.json` | 109-series VITS-AD aggregate |
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+ | `paired_99.json` | 99-series paired comparison vs. raw Mahalanobis |
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+ | `combined_109.json`| Per-series VITS-AD scores |
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+ | `per_series.json` | Per-series metric breakdown |
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+ | `eligible_list.json` | List of the 109 eligible UCR series |
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+ | `ucr_canonical.json` | Combined manifest |
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+
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+ ### `multiseed_scores/`
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+
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+ Layout: `multiseed_scores/{psm,msl,smap}/{line_plot,recurrence_plot}/seed_{42,123,456,789,2024}/`
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+
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+ Each leaf directory contains:
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+
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+ - `scores.npy` — per-window anomaly score (float64)
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+ - `labels.npy` — per-window ground-truth label (int64, $\{0,1\}$)
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+ - `metrics.json` — AUC-ROC, AUC-PR, best-F1, F1-PA for that seed
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+
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+ Model checkpoints (`best_model.pt`) are intentionally **not** redistributed
120
+ to keep the bundle compact; they can be regenerated from the source repo.
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+
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+ ### `sample_renderings/`
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+
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+ PDFs of the pipeline diagram (Figure 1), per-dataset regime gain
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+ (Figure 3a), and the regime-map scatter (Figure 4 in the supplement).
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+
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+ ## Reproducing the paper's statistical tests
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+
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+ ```python
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+ import json, numpy as np
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+ from scipy.stats import wilcoxon
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+
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+ base = "multiseed_scores/psm/line_plot"
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+ seeds = [42, 123, 456, 789, 2024]
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+ aucs = []
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+ for s in seeds:
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+ m = json.load(open(f"{base}/seed_{s}/metrics.json"))
138
+ aucs.append(m["auc_roc"])
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+ print(f"PSM-LP mean ± std: {np.mean(aucs):.4f} ± {np.std(aucs, ddof=1):.4f}")
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+
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+ # Paired-99 UCR Wilcoxon (vision vs. raw Mahalanobis)
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+ paired = json.load(open("ucr_canonical/paired_99.json"))
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+ stat, p = wilcoxon(paired["vits_ad_auc"], paired["raw_maha_auc"])
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+ print(f"Paired-99 UCR Wilcoxon p={p:.2e}")
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+ ```
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+
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+ ## License
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+
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+ MIT. All redistributed JSON ledgers, regime annotations, and rendered
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+ example PDFs are original work of the (anonymous) authors and are released
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+ under MIT alongside the source repository.
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+
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+ ## Citation
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+
155
+ ```bibtex
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+ @inproceedings{vitsad2026,
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+ title = {{VITS-AD}: A Regime-Aware Evaluation Suite for Frozen-Vision Time-Series Anomaly Detection},
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+ author = {Anonymous},
159
+ booktitle = {Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems (NeurIPS), Datasets and Benchmarks Track},
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+ year = {2026}
161
+ }
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+ ```
ledgers/calibguard_multidataset.json ADDED
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+ {
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+ 0.01,
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ledgers/clip_backbone_comparison.json ADDED
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ledgers/fps_benchmark.json ADDED
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