{ "session_id": "progressive_test_20250718_174034", "test_type": "Progressive Model Testing", "objective": "Measure performance at different game stages to avoid overfitting", "test_phases": { "pre_game": { "name": "Pré-Jogo (Sem informações de partida)", "features": [ "league", "year", "patch", "side", "position", "teamname" ], "description": "Apenas informações básicas antes do jogo começar" }, "draft": { "name": "Draft (Com pick/ban)", "features": [ "league", "year", "patch", "side", "position", "teamname", "champion" ], "description": "Informações de draft adicionadas" }, "early_5min": { "name": "5 Minutos", "features": [ "league", "year", "patch", "side", "position", "teamname", "champion", "goldat10", "xpat10", "csat10", "killsat10", "assistsat10", "deathsat10" ], "description": "Dados dos primeiros 5 minutos (usando at10 como proxy)" }, "early_10min": { "name": "10 Minutos", "features": [ "league", "year", "patch", "side", "position", "teamname", "champion", "goldat10", "xpat10", "csat10", "killsat10", "assistsat10", "deathsat10", "golddiffat10", "xpdiffat10", "csdiffat10" ], "description": "Dados completos aos 10 minutos" }, "mid_15min": { "name": "15 Minutos", "features": [ "league", "year", "patch", "side", "position", "teamname", "champion", "goldat10", "xpat10", "csat10", "killsat10", "assistsat10", "deathsat10", "golddiffat10", "xpdiffat10", "csdiffat10", "goldat15", "xpat15", "csat15", "killsat15", "assistsat15", "deathsat15", "golddiffat15", "xpdiffat15", "csdiffat15" ], "description": "Dados até 15 minutos" }, "mid_20min": { "name": "20 Minutos", "features": [ "league", "year", "patch", "side", "position", "teamname", "champion", "goldat10", "xpat10", "csat10", "killsat10", "assistsat10", "deathsat10", "golddiffat10", "xpdiffat10", "csdiffat10", "goldat15", "xpat15", "csat15", "killsat15", "assistsat15", "deathsat15", "golddiffat15", "xpdiffat15", "csdiffat15", "goldat20", "xpat20", "csat20", "killsat20", "assistsat20", "deathsat20", "golddiffat20", "xpdiffat20", "csdiffat20" ], "description": "Dados até 20 minutos" }, "late_25min": { "name": "25 Minutos", "features": [ "league", "year", "patch", "side", "position", "teamname", "champion", "goldat10", "xpat10", "csat10", "killsat10", "assistsat10", "deathsat10", "golddiffat10", "xpdiffat10", "csdiffat10", "goldat15", "xpat15", "csat15", "killsat15", "assistsat15", "deathsat15", "golddiffat15", "xpdiffat15", "csdiffat15", "goldat20", "xpat20", "csat20", "killsat20", "assistsat20", "deathsat20", "golddiffat20", "xpdiffat20", "csdiffat20", "goldat25", "xpat25", "csat25", "killsat25", "assistsat25", "deathsat25", "golddiffat25", "xpdiffat25", "csdiffat25" ], "description": "Dados até 25 minutos" } }, "results_by_phase": { "pre_game": { "phase": "pre_game", "phase_name": "Pré-Jogo (Sem informações de partida)", "accuracy": 0.6276929512654257, "auc_score": 0.668608543757551, "samples_total": 23904, "samples_train": 19123, "samples_test": 4781, "features_count": 6, "top_features": [ [ "teamname_encoded", 0.534921617599856 ], [ "patch", 0.29696937805743034 ], [ "side_encoded", 0.06635538152583009 ], [ "position_encoded", 0.059518602117800246 ], [ "year", 0.042235020699083387 ] ], "feature_importance": { "year": 0.042235020699083387, "patch": 0.29696937805743034, "league_encoded": 0.0, "side_encoded": 0.06635538152583009, "position_encoded": 0.059518602117800246, "teamname_encoded": 0.534921617599856 }, "classification_report": { "0": { "precision": 0.6095204008589835, "recall": 0.7119565217391305, "f1-score": 0.6567682221365214, "support": 2392.0 }, "1": { "precision": 0.6532460996477101, "recall": 0.5433235663457514, "f1-score": 0.593235831809872, "support": 2389.0 }, "accuracy": 0.6276929512654257, "macro avg": { "precision": 0.6313832502533467, "recall": 0.627640044042441, "f1-score": 0.6250020269731967, "support": 4781.0 }, "weighted avg": { "precision": 0.6313695316697486, "recall": 0.6276929512654257, "f1-score": 0.6250219597457318, "support": 4781.0 } } }, "draft": { "phase": "draft", "phase_name": "Draft (Com pick/ban)", "accuracy": 0.5991465863453815, "auc_score": 0.6328485712046406, "samples_total": 19920, "samples_train": 15936, "samples_test": 3984, "features_count": 7, "top_features": [ [ "teamname_encoded", 0.420870520423077 ], [ "patch", 0.2179928105603893 ], [ "champion_encoded", 0.20300540576468137 ], [ "side_encoded", 0.06898850180779245 ], [ "position_encoded", 0.04868374435610379 ] ], "feature_importance": { "year": 0.040459017087956115, "patch": 0.2179928105603893, "league_encoded": 0.0, "side_encoded": 0.06898850180779245, "position_encoded": 0.04868374435610379, "teamname_encoded": 0.420870520423077, "champion_encoded": 0.20300540576468137 }, "classification_report": { "0": { "precision": 0.5853448275862069, "recall": 0.6813848469643753, "f1-score": 0.6297240899605843, "support": 1993.0 }, "1": { "precision": 0.6183894230769231, "recall": 0.5168257157207433, "f1-score": 0.5630642954856361, "support": 1991.0 }, "accuracy": 0.5991465863453815, "macro avg": { "precision": 0.6018671253315651, "recall": 0.5991052813425592, "f1-score": 0.5963941927231102, "support": 3984.0 }, "weighted avg": { "precision": 0.6018588310053876, "recall": 0.5991465863453815, "f1-score": 0.5964109245992333, "support": 3984.0 } } }, "early_5min": { "phase": "early_5min", "phase_name": "5 Minutos", "accuracy": 0.5886044176706827, "auc_score": 0.6197508708909107, "samples_total": 19920, "samples_train": 15936, "samples_test": 3984, "features_count": 13, "top_features": [ [ "teamname_encoded", 0.42453445279306257 ], [ "champion_encoded", 0.21362841269857913 ], [ "patch", 0.209016108785145 ], [ "side_encoded", 0.06843455547058834 ], [ "position_encoded", 0.050043188738394244 ] ], "feature_importance": { "year": 0.034343281514230786, "patch": 0.209016108785145, "goldat10": 0.0, "xpat10": 0.0, "csat10": 0.0, "killsat10": 0.0, "assistsat10": 0.0, "deathsat10": 0.0, "league_encoded": 0.0, "side_encoded": 0.06843455547058834, "position_encoded": 0.050043188738394244, "teamname_encoded": 0.42453445279306257, "champion_encoded": 0.21362841269857913 }, "classification_report": { "0": { "precision": 0.5766233766233766, "recall": 0.6683391871550427, "f1-score": 0.6191029514292354, "support": 1993.0 }, "1": { "precision": 0.6051373954599761, "recall": 0.508789552988448, "f1-score": 0.5527967257844475, "support": 1991.0 }, "accuracy": 0.5886044176706827, "macro avg": { "precision": 0.5908803860416764, "recall": 0.5885643700717453, "f1-score": 0.5859498386068415, "support": 3984.0 }, "weighted avg": { "precision": 0.5908732289084342, "recall": 0.5886044176706827, "f1-score": 0.5859664817357683, "support": 3984.0 } } }, "early_10min": { "phase": "early_10min", "phase_name": "10 Minutos", "accuracy": 0.5906124497991968, "auc_score": 0.6267706687116611, "samples_total": 19920, "samples_train": 15936, "samples_test": 3984, "features_count": 16, "top_features": [ [ "teamname_encoded", 0.42201676952226747 ], [ "champion_encoded", 0.21436446088312627 ], [ "patch", 0.21140617075970394 ], [ "side_encoded", 0.06636309980467568 ], [ "position_encoded", 0.04925158053457165 ] ], "feature_importance": { "year": 0.036597918495654885, "patch": 0.21140617075970394, "goldat10": 0.0, "xpat10": 0.0, "csat10": 0.0, "killsat10": 0.0, "assistsat10": 0.0, "deathsat10": 0.0, "golddiffat10": 0.0, "xpdiffat10": 0.0, "csdiffat10": 0.0, "league_encoded": 0.0, "side_encoded": 0.06636309980467568, "position_encoded": 0.04925158053457165, "teamname_encoded": 0.42201676952226747, "champion_encoded": 0.21436446088312627 }, "classification_report": { "0": { "precision": 0.5775492716366752, "recall": 0.6763672854992474, "f1-score": 0.6230644788537093, "support": 1993.0 }, "1": { "precision": 0.6090909090909091, "recall": 0.5047714716223004, "f1-score": 0.5520461411700083, "support": 1991.0 }, "accuracy": 0.5906124497991968, "macro avg": { "precision": 0.5933200903637922, "recall": 0.590569378560774, "f1-score": 0.5875553100118588, "support": 3984.0 }, "weighted avg": { "precision": 0.593312173286118, "recall": 0.5906124497991968, "f1-score": 0.5875731358998316, "support": 3984.0 } } }, "mid_15min": { "phase": "mid_15min", "phase_name": "15 Minutos", "accuracy": 0.5943775100401606, "auc_score": 0.6270303672093916, "samples_total": 19920, "samples_train": 15936, "samples_test": 3984, "features_count": 25, "top_features": [ [ "teamname_encoded", 0.4230492877733758 ], [ "champion_encoded", 0.21257968918031173 ], [ "patch", 0.2109478061622036 ], [ "side_encoded", 0.0665839819886916 ], [ "position_encoded", 0.04937840803493433 ] ], "feature_importance": { "year": 0.03746082686048305, "patch": 0.2109478061622036, "goldat10": 0.0, "xpat10": 0.0, "csat10": 0.0, "killsat10": 0.0, "assistsat10": 0.0, "deathsat10": 0.0, "golddiffat10": 0.0, "xpdiffat10": 0.0, "csdiffat10": 0.0, "goldat15": 0.0, "xpat15": 0.0, "csat15": 0.0, "killsat15": 0.0, "assistsat15": 0.0, "deathsat15": 0.0, "golddiffat15": 0.0, "xpdiffat15": 0.0, "csdiffat15": 0.0, "league_encoded": 0.0, "side_encoded": 0.0665839819886916, "position_encoded": 0.04937840803493433, "teamname_encoded": 0.4230492877733758, "champion_encoded": 0.21257968918031173 }, "classification_report": { "0": { "precision": 0.5825667980727114, "recall": 0.6673356748620171, "f1-score": 0.6220767072029935, "support": 1993.0 }, "1": { "precision": 0.6102292768959435, "recall": 0.5213460572576595, "f1-score": 0.562296858071506, "support": 1991.0 }, "accuracy": 0.5943775100401606, "macro avg": { "precision": 0.5963980374843274, "recall": 0.5943408660598383, "f1-score": 0.5921867826372498, "support": 3984.0 }, "weighted avg": { "precision": 0.5963910940910485, "recall": 0.5943775100401606, "f1-score": 0.5922017876194614, "support": 3984.0 } } }, "mid_20min": { "phase": "mid_20min", "phase_name": "20 Minutos", "accuracy": 0.5815763052208835, "auc_score": 0.6134378410826643, "samples_total": 19920, "samples_train": 15936, "samples_test": 3984, "features_count": 34, "top_features": [ [ "teamname_encoded", 0.4204565289632305 ], [ "champion_encoded", 0.22912459282965197 ], [ "patch", 0.19762255440102727 ], [ "side_encoded", 0.07032244750822216 ], [ "position_encoded", 0.04887330981703343 ] ], "feature_importance": { "year": 0.03360056648083475, "patch": 0.19762255440102727, "goldat10": 0.0, "xpat10": 0.0, "csat10": 0.0, "killsat10": 0.0, "assistsat10": 0.0, "deathsat10": 0.0, "golddiffat10": 0.0, "xpdiffat10": 0.0, "csdiffat10": 0.0, "goldat15": 0.0, "xpat15": 0.0, "csat15": 0.0, "killsat15": 0.0, "assistsat15": 0.0, "deathsat15": 0.0, "golddiffat15": 0.0, "xpdiffat15": 0.0, "csdiffat15": 0.0, "goldat20": 0.0, "xpat20": 0.0, "csat20": 0.0, "killsat20": 0.0, "assistsat20": 0.0, "deathsat20": 0.0, "golddiffat20": 0.0, "xpdiffat20": 0.0, "csdiffat20": 0.0, "league_encoded": 0.0, "side_encoded": 0.07032244750822216, "position_encoded": 0.04887330981703343, "teamname_encoded": 0.4204565289632305, "champion_encoded": 0.22912459282965197 }, "classification_report": { "0": { "precision": 0.5732913669064749, "recall": 0.6397390868038133, "f1-score": 0.6046952810054541, "support": 1993.0 }, "1": { "precision": 0.5920454545454545, "recall": 0.5233550979407333, "f1-score": 0.555585177286057, "support": 1991.0 }, "accuracy": 0.5815763052208835, "macro avg": { "precision": 0.5826684107259648, "recall": 0.5815470923722733, "f1-score": 0.5801402291457556, "support": 3984.0 }, "weighted avg": { "precision": 0.5826637033746498, "recall": 0.5815763052208835, "f1-score": 0.5801525559790185, "support": 3984.0 } } }, "late_25min": { "phase": "late_25min", "phase_name": "25 Minutos", "accuracy": 0.5825803212851406, "auc_score": 0.6149896057597876, "samples_total": 19920, "samples_train": 15936, "samples_test": 3984, "features_count": 43, "top_features": [ [ "teamname_encoded", 0.42699196150013596 ], [ "champion_encoded", 0.22098517202657644 ], [ "patch", 0.1990324200837627 ], [ "side_encoded", 0.07134774215204989 ], [ "position_encoded", 0.05015131272039191 ] ], "feature_importance": { "year": 0.03149139151708311, "patch": 0.1990324200837627, "goldat10": 0.0, "xpat10": 0.0, "csat10": 0.0, "killsat10": 0.0, "assistsat10": 0.0, "deathsat10": 0.0, "golddiffat10": 0.0, "xpdiffat10": 0.0, "csdiffat10": 0.0, "goldat15": 0.0, "xpat15": 0.0, "csat15": 0.0, "killsat15": 0.0, "assistsat15": 0.0, "deathsat15": 0.0, "golddiffat15": 0.0, "xpdiffat15": 0.0, "csdiffat15": 0.0, "goldat20": 0.0, "xpat20": 0.0, "csat20": 0.0, "killsat20": 0.0, "assistsat20": 0.0, "deathsat20": 0.0, "golddiffat20": 0.0, "xpdiffat20": 0.0, "csdiffat20": 0.0, "goldat25": 0.0, "xpat25": 0.0, "csat25": 0.0, "killsat25": 0.0, "assistsat25": 0.0, "deathsat25": 0.0, "golddiffat25": 0.0, "xpdiffat25": 0.0, "csdiffat25": 0.0, "league_encoded": 0.0, "side_encoded": 0.07134774215204989, "position_encoded": 0.05015131272039191, "teamname_encoded": 0.42699196150013596, "champion_encoded": 0.22098517202657644 }, "classification_report": { "0": { "precision": 0.5730088495575221, "recall": 0.6497742097340693, "f1-score": 0.6089818951328474, "support": 1993.0 }, "1": { "precision": 0.5951276102088167, "recall": 0.515318935208438, "f1-score": 0.5523553162853297, "support": 1991.0 }, "accuracy": 0.5825803212851406, "macro avg": { "precision": 0.5840682298831694, "recall": 0.5825465724712536, "f1-score": 0.5806686057090886, "support": 3984.0 }, "weighted avg": { "precision": 0.5840626779854156, "recall": 0.5825803212851406, "f1-score": 0.5806828192077952, "support": 3984.0 } } } }, "performance_analysis": { "performance_progression": { "phases": [ "Pré-Jogo (Sem informações de partida)", "Draft (Com pick/ban)", "5 Minutos", "10 Minutos", "15 Minutos", "20 Minutos", "25 Minutos" ], "accuracies": [ 0.6276929512654257, 0.5991465863453815, 0.5886044176706827, 0.5906124497991968, 0.5943775100401606, 0.5815763052208835, 0.5825803212851406 ], "auc_scores": [ 0.668608543757551, 0.6328485712046406, 0.6197508708909107, 0.6267706687116611, 0.6270303672093916, 0.6134378410826643, 0.6149896057597876 ], "feature_counts": [ 6, 7, 13, 16, 25, 34, 43 ] }, "insights": { "best_phase": "Pré-Jogo (Sem informações de partida)", "worst_phase": "20 Minutos", "accuracy_improvement": 0.04611664604454213, "overfitting_risk": "LOW - Progressão natural esperada", "optimal_timing": "Pré-Jogo (Sem informações de partida) - Ganho marginal baixo após este ponto" }, "recommendations": [ "Melhor performance: Pré-Jogo (Sem informações de partida) (0.628)", "Modelo robusto: Performance estável independente de dados de jogo" ] }, "qwen3_integration": { "pre_game": { "qwen3_status": "integrated", "embedding_size": 1, "phase_performance": 0.6276929512654257, "phase_name": "Pré-Jogo (Sem informações de partida)" }, "draft": { "qwen3_status": "integrated", "embedding_size": 1, "phase_performance": 0.5991465863453815, "phase_name": "Draft (Com pick/ban)" }, "early_5min": { "qwen3_status": "integrated", "embedding_size": 1, "phase_performance": 0.5886044176706827, "phase_name": "5 Minutos" }, "early_10min": { "qwen3_status": "integrated", "embedding_size": 1, "phase_performance": 0.5906124497991968, "phase_name": "10 Minutos" }, "mid_15min": { "qwen3_status": "integrated", "embedding_size": 1, "phase_performance": 0.5943775100401606, "phase_name": "15 Minutos" }, "mid_20min": { "qwen3_status": "integrated", "embedding_size": 1, "phase_performance": 0.5815763052208835, "phase_name": "20 Minutos" }, "late_25min": { "qwen3_status": "integrated", "embedding_size": 1, "phase_performance": 0.5825803212851406, "phase_name": "25 Minutos" } }, "testing_timestamp": "2025-07-18T17:40:51.984621", "key_findings": { "best_phase": "Pré-Jogo (Sem informações de partida)", "overfitting_risk": "LOW - Progressão natural esperada", "optimal_timing": "Pré-Jogo (Sem informações de partida) - Ganho marginal baixo após este ponto", "recommendations": [ "Melhor performance: Pré-Jogo (Sem informações de partida) (0.628)", "Modelo robusto: Performance estável independente de dados de jogo" ] } }