| FIGURE 2.10 Sequencing of the Sovereign-Bank Nexus——Selected Stylized Features and\nKey Financial Sector Policy Implications |
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| <table> |
| <thead> |
| <tr> |
| <th> |
| </th> |
| <th> |
| ACCUMULATION |
| </th> |
| <th> |
| DETERIORATION |
| </th> |
| <th> |
| CRISIS |
| </th> |
| </tr> |
| </thead> |
| <tbody> |
| <tr> |
| <td> |
| Stylized |
| <br> |
| features |
| </td> |
| <td> |
| · Building fiscal pressures |
| <br> |
| and higher deficits |
| <br> |
| · Tightening financial |
| <br> |
| conditions for both the |
| <br> |
| public and financial |
| <br> |
| Retrenchment of foreign |
| <br> |
| investors |
| <br> |
| · Public debt accumulation |
| <br> |
| by domestic banks, |
| <br> |
| supported by moral suasion |
| </td> |
| <td> |
| · Unsustainabe fiscal policies |
| <br> |
| and rising expectations of |
| <br> |
| sovereign default |
| <br> |
| · Erosion of fiscaland monetary |
| <br> |
| policy space |
| <br> |
| · Erosion of credibility of |
| <br> |
| government backstops and |
| <br> |
| guarantees |
| <br> |
| · Sharp decline in external |
| <br> |
| conditions, with reduced |
| <br> |
| market access |
| <br> |
| · Acute liquidity and solvency |
| <br> |
| challengesfor the financial sector |
| </td> |
| <td> |
| · Resolution of uncertainty |
| <br> |
| around debt sustainability |
| <br> |
| challenges |
| <br> |
| · Recognition and allocation |
| <br> |
| of losses in the financial |
| <br> |
| sector |
| <br> |
| · Policy measures |
| <br> |
| to mitigate the |
| <br> |
| socioeconomic fallout |
| <br> |
| · Potential external support |
| <br> |
| from international financial |
| <br> |
| institutions |
| </td> |
| </tr> |
| <tr> |
| <td> |
| Key |
| <br> |
| financial |
| <br> |
| sector |
| <br> |
| policy |
| <br> |
| implications |
| </td> |
| <td> |
| · Consider topping up |
| <br> |
| international standards |
| <br> |
| for sovereign exposures |
| <br> |
| (counterparty risk) |
| <br> |
| · Ensure effective |
| <br> |
| governance and |
| <br> |
| operational independence |
| <br> |
| of authorities |
| <br> |
| · Diversify domestic |
| <br> |
| financial intermediation |
| </td> |
| <td> |
| Where domestic debt |
| <br> |
| restructuring isconsidered |
| <br> |
| · Consider financial stability |
| <br> |
| implications alongside direct |
| <br> |
| fiscal benefits |
| <br> |
| · Coordinate among key public |
| <br> |
| stakeholders |
| </td> |
| <td> |
| · Implement institutional |
| <br> |
| set-up fostering credible |
| <br> |
| objective setting and |
| <br> |
| decisive actions |
| <br> |
| · Establish effective and |
| <br> |
| operational financial safety |
| <br> |
| nets |
| <br> |
| · Perform swift viability |
| <br> |
| assessments informing |
| <br> |
| priorities |
| </td> |
| </tr> |
| </tbody> |
| </table> |