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README.md
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---
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license: cc-by-4.0
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language:
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- en
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tags:
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- mitochondrial-variants
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- pathogenicity-prediction
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- protein-language-model
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- ESM-2
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- machine-learning
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pretty_name: IDP Pathogenicity Model
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size_categories:
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- 10K<n<100K
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---
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Mechanistically Informed Machine Learning for Pathogenicity Prediction of Mitochondrial Missense Variants
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Harrizi S., Nait Idraha I., Mostafa K., Arnoult D.
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Submitted to Bioinformatics (Oxford University Press)
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Overview
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This repository contains the full analysis pipeline for a hybrid machine learning framework that predicts the pathogenicity of missense variants in mitochondrial proteins. The model integrates ESM-2 protein language model embeddings with 45 interpretable biophysical features tailored to mitochondrial biology, trained and validated on 11,928 ClinVar-annotated variants spanning 639 mitochondrial proteins.
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Key results:
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ModelAUC–ROCAUC–PROur model (MLP + ESM-2)0.8990.923Random Forest + ESM-20.882—Logistic Regression + ESM-20.864—AlphaMissense0.9420.954PolyPhen-20.8450.799SIFT0.8260.749
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All models evaluated under leave-protein-out cross-validation on the same variant set.
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Repository Structure
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IDP/
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│
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├── data/
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│ ├── raw/ # Downloaded source data
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│ │ ├── clinvar/ # ClinVar variant annotations (release 2024/12)
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│ │ ├── uniprot/ # UniProt mitochondrial protein sequences
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│ │ ├── disprot/ # DisProt intrinsic disorder annotations
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│ │ ├── mobidb/ # MobiDB disorder predictions
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│ │ ├── alphafold/ # AlphaFold structure data
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│ │ ├── dms/ # Deep mutational scanning data
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│ │ └── llpsdb/ # Liquid-liquid phase separation database
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│ │
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│ ├── processed/ # Cleaned and merged datasets
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│ │ ├── mutation_dataset.parquet
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│ │ ├── mutation_features.parquet
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│ │ ├── mutations_dataset_final.parquet / .tsv
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│ │ └── mutations_dataset_mito_strict.parquet / .tsv
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│ │
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│ └── frozen/ # MD5-versioned frozen dataset for reproducibility
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│ ├── mutations_dataset_final_FROZEN.parquet
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│ ├── mutations_dataset_mito_strict_FROZEN.parquet
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│ └── FREEZE_METADATA.json
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│
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├── embeddings/ # ESM-2 embeddings (precomputed)
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│ ├── embeddings_combined_full.npy # Global + local combined (full dataset)
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│ ├── embeddings_global_full.npy # Global protein embeddings
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│ ├── embeddings_local_full.npy # Local ±15-residue window embeddings
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│ ├── embeddings_combined_strict.npy # Strict mitochondrial subset
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│ └── embeddings_by_protein.pkl # Per-protein embedding dictionary
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│
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├── features/ # Extracted biophysical features
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│ ├── features_classical_full.parquet
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│ └── features_classical_mito_strict.parquet
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│
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├── models/ # Trained model checkpoints
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│ ├── checkpoints/
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│ │ ├── pathogenicity_classifier.pkl
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│ │ └── pathogenicity_classifier_v2.pkl
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│ ├── model_classical_baseline.pkl
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│ └── model_classical_mito_strict.pkl
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│
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├── results/ # Outputs and evaluations
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│ ├── evaluations/
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│ │ └── lpocv_results.json
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│ ├── lpocv_predictions_final.parquet
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│ ├── hierarchical_validation_final.pkl
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│ ├── full_analysis_with_ensemble.parquet
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│ └── feature_importances_classical.csv
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│
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├── scripts/ # Python analysis scripts
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│ ├── data_download.py
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│ ├── build_clinvar_mito_dataset.py
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│ ├── build_mutation_dataset.py
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│ ├── phase1_freeze_and_classical_features.py
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│ ├── esm2_t33_650M_UR50D.py
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│ ├── train_baseline_classical_model.py
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│ ├── final_mlp_embedding_model.py
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│ ├── lpocv_validation.py
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│ ├── hierarchical_validation_no_leakage.py
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│ ├── model_comparison_features_vs_esm2.py
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│ └── analyze_bias_and_train_strict_mito.py
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│
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└── configs/ # Configuration files
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Installation
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bashgit clone https://github.com/YOUR_USERNAME/IDP-Pathogenicity-Model.git
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cd IDP-Pathogenicity-Model
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pip install torch torchvision torchaudio --index-url https://download.pytorch.org/whl/cu118
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pip install fair-esm
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pip install numpy scipy pandas scikit-learn statsmodels
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pip install biopython matplotlib seaborn plotly
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pip install einops tqdm joblib requests pyyaml networkx pyarrow
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Python version: 3.10
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Key dependencies: PyTorch 2.0 · scikit-learn 1.3 · NumPy 1.24 · pandas 2.0 · fair-esm
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GPU: NVIDIA A100 recommended (Google Colab Pro+ used for training)
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Reproducing the Analysis
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1. Download raw data
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bashpython scripts/data_download.py
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Downloads ClinVar (release 2024/12), UniProt mitochondrial proteins, DisProt, and MobiDB. Expected runtime: ~30 minutes.
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2. Build the variant dataset
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bashpython scripts/build_clinvar_mito_dataset.py
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python scripts/build_mutation_dataset.py
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Filters variants to mitochondrial proteins using MitoCarta 3.0 and OMIM annotations.
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3. Extract biophysical features
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bashpython scripts/phase1_freeze_and_classical_features.py
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Computes 45 biophysical features per variant.
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4. Extract ESM-2 embeddings
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bashpython scripts/esm2_t33_650M_UR50D.py
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Generates global and local (±15-residue window) embeddings using esm2_t33_650M_UR50D. For proteins longer than 1,022 residues, embeddings are computed on the N-terminal portion. Requires GPU. Expected runtime: ~2–4 hours.
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5. Train and validate the model
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bashpython scripts/final_mlp_embedding_model.py
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python scripts/lpocv_validation.py
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Trains the MLP classifier and runs leave-protein-out cross-validation. StandardScaler and PCA are fitted exclusively on the training fold — no test-set leakage.
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6. Baseline model comparison
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bashpython scripts/model_comparison_features_vs_esm2.py
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python scripts/train_baseline_classical_model.py
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Evaluates logistic regression and random forest baselines on the same feature set under the same LPOCV framework.
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Model Architecture
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ComponentDetailsInput features173 (128 PCA-reduced embedding dimensions + 45 biophysical)ArchitectureMLP: Input → 256 → 128 → 1 (sigmoid)ActivationReLU + Dropout (0.3, 0.2)OptimizerAdam (lr = 0.001, weight decay = 1×10⁻⁴)LossBinary cross-entropyEpochs30–50ValidationLeave-protein-out cross-validationPreprocessingStandardScaler + PCA fitted on training fold only
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Baseline comparison
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ModelAUC–ROCLogistic Regression + ESM-20.864Random Forest + ESM-20.882MLP + ESM-2 (proposed)0.899
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Dataset
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PropertyValueTotal variants11,928Pathogenic / likely pathogenic6,882 (57.7%)Benign / likely benign5,046 (42.3%)Proteins639SourceClinVar release 2024/12Protein sequencesUniProt release 2024_05Mitochondrial annotationMitoCarta 3.0 + OMIM
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The frozen dataset (data/frozen/) is MD5-checksummed for reproducibility.
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Benchmarking
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ToolN variantsAUC–ROCAUC–PROur model (MLP + ESM-2)11,7630.8990.923AlphaMissense11,2320.9420.954PolyPhen-27,3040.8450.799SIFT6,9970.8260.749
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AlphaMissense scores retrieved from the public bulk file (AlphaMissense_hg38.tsv.gz). PolyPhen-2 and SIFT scores retrieved via the UniProt Proteins variation API.
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Data Availability
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Raw data sources:
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ClinVar: https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/clinvar/
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UniProt: https://www.uniprot.org/
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MitoCarta 3.0: https://www.broadinstitute.org/mitocarta
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DisProt: https://disprot.org/
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MobiDB: https://mobidb.org/
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AlphaMissense scores: https://storage.googleapis.com/dm_alphamissense/AlphaMissense_hg38.tsv.gz
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Processed datasets and model checkpoints are available upon reasonable request to the corresponding author.
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Citation
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Harrizi S., Nait Idraha I., Mostafa K., Arnoult D. (2025).
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Mechanistically informed machine learning for pathogenicity prediction
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of mitochondrial missense variants. Bioinformatics (submitted).
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Authors
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Saad Harrizi — Laboratoire Santé, Environnement et Biotechnologie, Faculté Des Sciences Ain Chock, Université Hassan II de Casablanca, Maroc.
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Imane Nait Idraha — Laboratoire Santé, Environnement et Biotechnologie, Université Hassan II de Casablanca, Maroc.
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Kabine Mostafa — Laboratoire Santé, Environnement et Biotechnologie, Université Hassan II de Casablanca, Maroc.
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Damien Arnoult (Corresponding author) — INSERM UMR-S-MD 1193, Université Paris Saclay, Villejuif, France; INSERM-U1124, Université Paris Cité, Paris, France; CNRS Research Director (DR2).
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✉ damien.arnoult@inserm.fr
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License
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This repository is released for academic and research use. Please contact the corresponding author for commercial use inquiries.
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