Reposition README: lead with cross-platform, soften claims, add Myriad + research links
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README.md
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- time-series
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- polymarket
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- manifold
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- ohlcv
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- event-contracts
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pretty_name: ImpliedData Prediction Markets Sample
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# Prediction Markets Dataset (Sample)
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Prices are **implied probabilities** (0–1): a close of `0.73` means the market priced the event at 73% probability at that hour.
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## Files
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ds = load_dataset("ImpliedData/prediction-markets", data_files="polymarket_ohlcv_1h_sample.parquet")
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```
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## Notes & limitations (read before using)
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- This is a **sample**: 130 top-volume markets, 1h resolution only, limited windows (Polymarket: 2 weeks; Manifold: ~6 months). Low-volume markets are not included.
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## What the full dataset adds
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The live [ImpliedData](https://implieddata.com) dataset:
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→ **[implieddata.com](https://implieddata.com)** — browse the catalog and download free samples of any market.
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author = {ImpliedData},
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year = {2026},
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url = {https://huggingface.co/datasets/ImpliedData/prediction-markets},
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note = {
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}
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```
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- time-series
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- polymarket
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- manifold
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- myriad
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- cross-platform
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- ohlcv
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- event-contracts
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pretty_name: ImpliedData Prediction Markets Sample
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# Prediction Markets Dataset (Sample)
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**ImpliedData** is the cross-platform data layer for prediction markets: it matches the *same real-world event* across **Polymarket**, **Manifold** & **Myriad** — polarity-aligned so YES means the same thing on every venue — on top of the Polymarket on-chain tick history (404M fills, 2023–present).
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This is a **free sample**: market metadata and 1-hour OHLCV candles from Polymarket and Manifold. Prices are **implied probabilities** (0–1): a close of `0.73` means the market priced the event at 73% probability at that hour. The cross-platform event links, intraday candles, and full history are in the complete dataset at [implieddata.com](https://implieddata.com).
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## Files
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ds = load_dataset("ImpliedData/prediction-markets", data_files="polymarket_ohlcv_1h_sample.parquet")
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```
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## Why ImpliedData
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Single-platform prediction-market data is a commodity. The hard part is knowing that a market on Polymarket and a differently-worded one on Manifold are the **same event**, and aligning them so YES means the same thing on both — ~1,800 links across ~1,360 events, matched by embeddings + LLM review and polarity-aligned. Read the research: [real money vs. play money](https://implieddata.com/blog/real-money-vs-play-money) · [how the event links work](https://implieddata.com/blog/cross-platform-event-links-clusters).
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## Notes & limitations (read before using)
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- This is a **sample**: 130 top-volume markets, 1h resolution only, limited windows (Polymarket: 2 weeks; Manifold: ~6 months). Low-volume markets are not included.
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## What the full dataset adds
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The live [ImpliedData](https://implieddata.com) dataset: markets across Polymarket, Manifold & Myriad, the Polymarket on-chain tick history (404M fills, 2023–present; metadata back to 2020), ~1,800 cross-platform event links, intraday candles (1m / 5m / 15m / 1h / 1d), resolved-outcome labels, and daily updates — exportable as Parquet or CSV per platform, category, or individual market.
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→ **[implieddata.com](https://implieddata.com)** — browse the catalog and download free samples of any market.
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author = {ImpliedData},
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year = {2026},
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url = {https://huggingface.co/datasets/ImpliedData/prediction-markets},
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note = {Cross-platform historical prediction-market data (Polymarket, Manifold, Myriad)}
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}
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```
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