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trace-structure-exp

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trace-structure-exp
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{
 "summary_schema_version": "1.0",
 "experiment_id": "tda_alignment",
 "generated_at_utc": "2026-07-26T14:52:14.286788+00:00",
 "selected_groups": 2000,
 "gold_solution_found": 2000,
 "bootstrap": {
  "unit": "problem_id_group",
  "samples": 5000,
  "base_seed": 42
 },
 "original_objective": {
  "gamma_0.25": {
   "observation_count": 3988,
   "oof_r2": 0.07027578350290598,
   "oof_pearson_r": 0.2682706219496261,
   "oof_spearman_rho": 0.2951951825465343,
   "target_mean": 0.4081326181960817,
   "target_std": 0.1029614592467264
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  "gamma_0.5": {
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 },
 "alignment_as_correctness_score": {
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   "positive_wins": 1094,
   "negative_wins": 899,
   "ties": 2,
   "strict_pairwise_accuracy": 0.5483709273182957,
   "tie_rate": 0.0010025062656641604,
   "non_tie_conditional_win_rate": 0.5489212242849975,
   "exact_sign_test": {
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    "two_sided_p_value": 1.3685697924644945e-05
   },
   "bootstrap": {
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     "bootstrap_se": 0.0112853153715345,
     "ci95": [
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      0.5704260651629073
     ]
    },
    "non_tie_conditional_win_rate": {
     "bootstrap_mean": 0.5488814367189887,
     "bootstrap_se": 0.011279021923265495,
     "ci95": [
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    }
   }
  },
  "gamma_0.5": {
   "pair_count": 1995,
   "positive_wins": 1086,
   "negative_wins": 907,
   "ties": 2,
   "strict_pairwise_accuracy": 0.544360902255639,
   "tie_rate": 0.0010025062656641604,
   "non_tie_conditional_win_rate": 0.5449071751128951,
   "exact_sign_test": {
    "non_tied_pairs": 1993,
    "two_sided_p_value": 6.616373782951599e-05
   },
   "bootstrap": {
    "strict_pairwise_accuracy": {
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     "bootstrap_se": 0.011188560046679548,
     "ci95": [
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     ]
    },
    "non_tie_conditional_win_rate": {
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     "bootstrap_se": 0.011186349412809663,
     "ci95": [
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     ]
    }
   }
  },
  "gamma_1.0": {
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   "positive_wins": 1074,
   "negative_wins": 919,
   "ties": 2,
   "strict_pairwise_accuracy": 0.5383458646616541,
   "tie_rate": 0.0010025062656641604,
   "non_tie_conditional_win_rate": 0.5388861013547416,
   "exact_sign_test": {
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    "two_sided_p_value": 0.0005581778578433042
   },
   "bootstrap": {
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     "bootstrap_se": 0.011120428661063901,
     "ci95": [
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    },
    "non_tie_conditional_win_rate": {
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     "bootstrap_se": 0.011119213162777312,
     "ci95": [
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    }
   }
  }
 },
 "pooled_alignment_vs_correctness": {
  "gamma_0.25": {
   "trace_count": 3995,
   "mean_alignment_correct": 0.4120094489053333,
   "mean_alignment_incorrect": 0.404184969178411
  },
  "gamma_0.5": {
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   "mean_alignment_correct": 0.3972193998936667,
   "mean_alignment_incorrect": 0.38968016332445027
  },
  "gamma_1.0": {
   "trace_count": 3995,
   "mean_alignment_correct": 0.3918614009407891,
   "mean_alignment_incorrect": 0.38521014871603865
  }
 }
}