Question: Will Russia assume the presidency of the UN Security Council on April 1, 2023?


Question: Will the entire Internet Archive website be taken offline before 2025?


Question: Will copper prices reach an all-time-high in 2023?


Question: Will Deutsche Bank collapse (or be rescued) before June 2023?


Question: Will TikTok US be sold to a US entity before 2024?


Question: Will Russia station at least one nuclear weapon in Belarus before 2024?


Question: Will Apple announce Apple Glasses before 2025?


Question: Will Apple announce a Virtual Reality headset at WWDC in 2023?


Question: Will civil war break out in Israel before 2024?


Question: Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR COVID-like illness (CLI) visits in Virginia during summer 2023 exceed the same peak during the preceding winter 2022-2023?


Question: Will the US Supreme Court declare the Indian Child Welfare Act unconstitutional?


Question: Will an additional country ban ChatGPT before July 1, 2023?


Question: When will Tunisia restore overnight public access to water?


Question: Will SpaceX receive a launch license for Starship from the FAA before April 15th, 2023?


Question: Will Donald Trump be found guilty of any crime in the Manhattan case before Election Day 2024?


Question: Will Russian athletes be barred from competing at the 2024 Olympics?


Question: Will FDA approval of mifepristone for abortion no longer be in effect for any period of time before July 1, 2023?


Question: Will Ukraine have de facto control of the city council building in Mariupol on January 1, 2024?


Question: Will Amritpal Singh be in Indian custody before April 21, 2023?


Question: How many tech employees will be laid off in 2023 by April 25th?


Question: Will Emmanuel Macron dissolve the French National Assembly before the end of his term?


Question: Will Cristina Fernández de Kirchner present herself as a candidate for an elective office in the 2023 Argentine national elections?


Question: Will Abdel Fattah al-Burhan be removed from power in Sudan before June 15, 2023?


Question: Will Google integrate Large Language Model responses directly into Search before August 1, 2023?


Question: Will Samsung make Bing the default search provider on Galaxy phones before October 1st, 2023?


Question: Will an Elon Musk-funded AI lab release an LLM before 2024?


Question: Will the United States default on its sovereign debt before July 1, 2023?


Question: Will there be an open-source LLM with the capabilities of GPT 4 before 2027?


Question: Before July 1, 2023, will an agentized-LLM system improve itself?


Question: Will there be a Frontier AI lab in a non-Democracy before 2026?


Question: Will there be a US financial crisis before July 1, 2023?


Question: Will Sweden's Loreen win the Eurovision Song Contest 2023?


Question: Will Italy lose its investment-grade credit rating in May 2023?


Question: Will AI be a Time Person of the Year in 2023?


Question: Will the writers' strike be active on May 12th, 2023?


Question: Will Trump lose in the E. Jean Carroll sexual assault case?


Question: Will Ukraine regain control of central Bakhmut by the end of May 2023?


Question: In the 2024 U.S. presidential election, will Donald Trump and Joe Biden be the top two candidates in terms of electoral votes received?


Question: Will Ukraine regain control of the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant before January 1, 2024?


Question: What rating will Bethesda's video game Starfield have on Steam two weeks after release?


Question: Will the US require and verify reporting of large AI training runs before 2026?


Question: Will a theft of >$10M of intellectual property be widely attributed to an AI cyberattack before 2025?


Question: Will an infrastructure disaster costing >$1B in a G20 country be widely attributed to an AI cyberattack before 2025?


Question: Will the stock price of NVIDIA trade below $250 (adjusted to pre-split value) for at least 1 full day before 2025?


Question: Will Linda Yaccarino be the CEO of Twitter on July 1, 2024?


Question: Will OpenAI's ChatGPT be generally available in the European Union on June 30, 2024?


Question: Will the Federal Open Market Committee raise interest rates at the June 13-14, 2023 meeting?


Question: What will be the closing value of the S&P 500 Index on June 14, 2023?


Question: Will Ukraine retake Polohy by the 1st of October, 2023?


Question: Will internationally recognized media outlets report that a significant Ukrainian military counteroffensive has begun before June 21, 2023?


Question: Will OpenAI release a finetuning API for GPT-4 before 2024?


Question: Will Twitter announce a policy of marking tweets as possibly AI generated before 2025?


Question: Will Microsoft acquire Activision Blizzard in 2023?


Question: Will Tesla's market cap be greater than $1 trillion before July 1, 2023?


Question: Will the Black Sea grain deal be extended before July 19, 2023?


Question: Will Yevgeny Prigozhin be the functional leader of the Wagner Group on June 30, 2023?


Question: Will the agreement between the Kremlin and the Wagner Group hold through the end of June?


Question: Will Elon Musk and Mark Zuckerberg engage in a cage fight at any point before 2024?


Question: Will a nearly continuous human chain stretch across the length of the Forth and Clyde Canal on 14 October 2023?


Question: Will the Dow Jones close at or above 35,000 before August 1, 2023?


Question: Will US Attorney General Merrick Garland be impeached before the 2024 federal election?


Question: Will General Sergei Surovikin be stripped of his command by July 11th?


Question: What will be the Accumulated Cyclone Energy of the 2023 Atlantic hurricane season on September 30, 2023?


Question: Will Ukraine regain control of central Bakhmut by the end of September 2023?


Question: Will Russia successfully land on the Moon with their first attempt?


Question: When will Browse with Bing be reintroduced on ChatGPT?


Question: When will the second Starship test flight occur?


Question: Will Stockholm see more than 500 hours of sun in the summer of 2023?


Question: Will the Chandrayaan-3 lander soft-land on the moon?


Question: Will a nationwide UPS strike be underway in the United States on August 4, 2023?


Question: Will India's Chandrayaan-3 mission successfully land a rover on the moon?


Question: What percentage of the vote will presidential candidate candidate Javier Milei receive in Argentina's upcoming Open Primaries Elections?


Question: Will there be a confirmed case of Marburg virus in Algeria by July 28th?


Question: Will Saudi Arabia establish diplomatic relations with Israel before January 20, 2025?


Question: When will the next UK general election take place?


Question: Will a US warship enter the Black Sea before September 25, 2023?


Question: Will Meta launch a Threads web app before October 1, 2023?


Question: Will the extent of Antarctic sea ice for every day in September 2023 be the lowest in recorded history?


Question: Will the first independent replication attempt confirm the discovery of room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductivity in LK-99?


Question: Will the oil transfer from the FSO Safer finish in 19 days?


Question: Will Mohamed Bazoum, Nigerien President, return to power before August 31, 2023?


Question: Will any peer-reviewed replication attempt before 2025 confirm the discovery of room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductivity in LK-99?


Question: Will ECOWAS launch a military intervention in Niger before August 12, 2023?


Question: Will ECOWAS intervene militarily in Niger before October 1, 2023?


Question: Will the Israeli High Court issue a ruling on the "reasonableness" law before October 1, 2023?


Question: Will Russia impose a total ban on Apple products before January 1, 2025?


Question: Will a major Republican run as a third-party candidate in the 2024 Presidential Election?


Question: Will Donald Trump participate in the first Republican presidential debate?


Question: Will Donald Trump be charged with witness tampering in Georgia before June 1, 2024?


Question: Will Yevgeny V. Prigozhin make a public appearance before 23 February 2024?


Question: Will the House Oversight Committee receive access to requested Joe Biden records related to Hunter Biden's Ukraine dealings before September 1st?


Question: Will the United Auto Workers call a strike against any of the Big Three Detroit automakers before September 19, 2023?


Question: Will a bill be introduced in the Indian Parliament to change the official name of the country to Bharat before September 23, 2023?


Question: Will the Black Sea grain deal be revived before October 1, 2023?


Question: How much additional aid for Ukraine will the US Congress approve before October 1, 2023?


Question: Will Donald Trump be removed or blocked from the primary election ballot of any U.S. state for a federal office under Section 3 of the 14th Amendment?


Question: Will the UN Security Council adopt a resolution related to the Nagorno Karabakh conflict between Azerbaijan and Armenia before October 1, 2023?


Question: Will Stepanakert / Khankendi be under de facto Azerbaijani control on September 30, 2023?


Question: Will a large language model (LLM) that is at least as capable as original GPT-4 be widely available for download before January 1st, 2025?


Question: Before October 1, 2023, will US Senator Bob Menendez announce that he is resigning?


Question: Will Ukraine have de facto control of the Tokmak railway station on January 1, 2024?


Question: Will there be a military conflict between Serbia and Kosovo before January 1, 2024?


Question: What will be the effective number of political parties in the Netherlands parliament following the 2023 election?


Question: Will the MONUSCO UN peacekeeping mission to the Democratic Republic of the Congo be extended with a military personnel ceiling above 11,000 before January 1, 2024?


Question: How many ballots will it take to elect the Speaker of the United States House of Representatives to replace Kevin McCarthy?


Question: When will the successor to Kevin McCarthy be elected as Speaker of the United States House of Representatives?


Question: Will the Conservatives hold on to their seat in the Mid Bedfordshire by-election?


Question: Will Hamas lose control of Gaza before 2024?


Question: What will be the closing price of Crude Oil (in USD per barrel) on December 30, 2023?


Question: Will Israel carry out and explicitly acknowledge a deadly attack on Iran before 2024?


Question: Will the Federal Funds Rate be raised before December 18, 2023?


Question: Will there be 400 or more deaths due to armed conflict between Israel and Hezbollah before 2024?


Question: Will there be a non-test nuclear detonation in Iran before 2025?


Question: Will Peter Bone MP be suspended from Parliament in 2023 (without first resigning)?


Question: Will the US and Iran be primary actors on opposite sides of a war before 2025?


Question: Will Western institutions determine Israel was responsible for the attack on the Al-Ahli Baptist Hospital in Gaza City before 2024?


Question: Will Israel launch a large-scale ground offensive into Gaza before November 1, 2023?


Question: Will George Weah win re-election in the 2023 Liberian General Election?


Question: Will India request that another Canadian diplomat be recalled before 2024?


Question: Will Mike Johnson remain Speaker until 2024?


Question: Will the second Starship integrated flight test achieve liftoff before January 1, 2024?


Question: Will Donald Trump spend at least one hour confined in a jail cell before January 1, 2024?


Question: Will western sources conclude, before 2025, that Israel has used white phosphorus improperly?


Question: Will the International Criminal Court bring charges against Benjamin Netanyahu before 2026?


Question: How many additional indictments will have been filed against Donald Trump on May 31, 2024?


Question: Will at least one of Egypt, Jordan, or Lebanon be at war with Israel on May 31, 2024?


Question: Will the Georgia Power Co Vogtle nuclear power plant Unit 4 be operational in May, 2024?


Question: Will at least one nuclear whistle-blower go public between January 1, 2024 and May 31, 2024?


Question: Will OpenAI be a public company on May 31, 2024?


Question: Will any OpenAI or Anthropic model be in the top-10 model with a non-proprietary license on May 31, 2024?


Question: Will there be at least one operational nuclear power plant in Germany on May 31, 2024?


Question: Will at least 2 of the countries listed below be reinfected with either WPV1 or cVDPV before June 1, 2024?


Question: Will Delhi perform cloud seeding before December 1, 2023?


Question: When will the next volcanic eruption on the Reykjanes Peninsula in Iceland begin?


Question: Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant be classified as a Variant of Concern (VOC) or worse in the United States before March 1, 2024?


Question: Will Sweden join NATO before 2025?


Question: Will the November 2023 Israel-Hamas humanitarian pause be extended?


Question: Will a majority of voters approve Venezuela's referendum on incorporating Guayana Esequiba into Venezuela?


Question: What will be the total number of military fatalities at the North and South Korean border between January 1, 2024 and May 31, 2024?


Question: Will the US Supreme Court issue a decision on hearing the case about presidential immunity before January 1, 2024?


Question: Before 2024, will it be announced that either of the Harvard or MIT presidents will vacate their positions?


Question: Will the S&P 500 index go up over 2024?


Question: Will the US unemployment rate be above 4% in November 2024?


Question: Will a major shipping company announce that they are resuming shipments through the Red Sea before 2024?


Question: If Donald Trump is the Republican Nominee for President in 2024, will his name appear on the ballot in the State of Colorado on Election Day?


Question: Will annual US core CPI inflation be above 3% in December 2024?


Question: Will Ilya Sutskever still lead OpenAI's Superalignment team at the end of 2024?


Question: Will there be a US military combat death in the Red Sea before 2024?


Question: Will the FDA or EMA withdraw approval of semaglutide for the treatment of obesity or diabetes in 2024?


Question: Will there be a bilateral cease-fire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict in 2024?


Question: Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain Prime Minister of Israel throughout 2024?


Question: Will the 2024 light duty electric vehicle sales share exceed 11% in the US through November 2024?


Question: Will OpenAI publish information describing Q* (Q-Star) in 2024?


Question: Will an AI win a coding contest on Codeforces in 2024?


Question: Will a crewed Artemis II flight approach the moon in 2024?


Question: Will Ukraine control central Bakhmut at the end of 2024?


Question: Will the New Glenn launch vehicle reach an altitude of 100 kilometers in 2024?


Question: Will there be 10 or more armed forces conflict deaths between India and Pakistan in 2024?


Question: Will a nuclear weapon detonation kill at least 10 people in 2024?


Question: Will Joe Biden be unwillingly removed from any state ballot relevant to the 2024 Presidential election?


Question: Will Mike Johnson remain Speaker for all of 2024?


Question: Will there be a US government shutdown before January 1, 2025?


Question: Will SpaceX's Starship reach orbit in 2024?


Question: Will cannabis be removed from Schedule I of the Controlled Substance Act before 2025?


Question: Will a debate be held between Joe Biden and Donald Trump before the 2024 US presidential election?


Question: Will a member of the United States Congress introduce legislation limiting the use of LLMs in 2024?


Question: Will X declare bankruptcy in 2024?


Question: Will US refugee admissions exceed 100,000 in fiscal year 2024?


Question: Will SpaceX attempt to catch a Starship booster with the tower in 2024?


Question: Will the Fed Funds Rate on December 31, 2024 be below 4%?


Question: Will the 2024 Indonesian presidential election go to a runoff?


Question: Will the International Court of Justice order provisional measures against Israel before March 1, 2024?


Question: Will Russia start a second mobilization wave before 2025, according to the Institute for the Study of War?


Question: When will the third Starship integrated flight test achieve liftoff?


Question: Will at least two of the three listed moon landing missions successfully land on the moon before March 1, 2024?


Question: Will Nikki Haley finish 2nd in the 2024 Iowa Republican presidential caucuses?


Question: Will the "Dune: Part Two" domestic opening box office be greater than that of "Dune (2021)"?


Question: Will a team that has never won the Super Bowl win in 2024?


Question: Before April 1, 2024, will Fani Willis cease to be an attorney for the prosecution in the State of Georgia v. Donald Trump, et al. case?


Question: What will be the snow water equivalent of California's snowpack on March 31, 2024?


Question: What percentage of the vote will Donald Trump win in the 2024 South Carolina Republican Presidential Primary?


Question: Will the submarine cables running through the Red Sea be damaged by a hostile actor before the 15th of March?


Question: Will Ariel Henry cease to be Acting Prime Minister or Prime Minister of Haiti before April 1, 2024, for any reason?


Question: Before April 1 2024, will the Supreme Court agree to hear an appeal from Donald Trump on the question of presidential immunity?


Question: Will Israel expand its ground invasion to the city of Rafah on or before the first day of Ramadan (before March 12, 2024)?


Question: Will India enact a law expanding the Minimum Support Price for crops before April 1, 2024?


Question: Will Nikki Haley end her 2024 primary campaign before March 15, 2024?


Question: Will Nvidia be in the top four companies by market capitalization on March 29, 2024?


Question: Will President Biden issue an executive order on immigration before the State of the Union on March 7, 2024?


Question: Will Oppenheimer win the most Oscar awards?


Question: Will salvage operations commence on the cargo vessel "M/V Rubymar" prior to April 1, 2024?


Question: Will the winner of the 2024 United States presidential election win the popular vote?


Question: What will Reddit Inc.'s market capitalization be after its first day of trading, in USD?


Question: Will Ariel Henry return to Haiti before March 13, 2024?


Question: Will the United States government either ban TikTok or force a sale before 2025?


Question: What will be the price of Boeing stock (in USD) at market close on March 29, 2024?


Question: What will be the total finishing time for the 2024 Boston Marathon winners (male and female combined)?


Question: What will be the settle price for May 2024 Feeder Cattle futures contracts on April 15, 2024?


Question: How many southwest land border encounters will be reported by US Customs and Border Protection for the month of April 2024?


Question: What will be the largest number of Chinese aircraft violating Taiwan's air defense identification zone (ADIZ) in a single day between May 15 and June 15, 2024?


Question: Will Israel expand its ground invasion to the city of Rafah before June 1, 2024?


Question: What will be the total number (in thousands) of seasonally adjusted nonfarm job openings in the United States for March 2024?


Question: Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2025?


Question: How many tornadoes will there be in the US in April 2024?


Question: Will Israel and Hamas reach a ceasefire deal before May 16, 2024?


Question: Will Joe Biden issue his 11th veto before May 17, 2024?


Question: Will the Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes domestic opening box office set a new franchise record?


Question: Will SpaceX's fourth Starship integrated flight test reach an altitude of at least 200 kilometers before May 20, 2024?


Question: How many measles cases will be reported in the United States as of May 20, 2024?


Question: Will Donald Trump file a new writ petition or application for stay with the US Supreme Court between April 16 and May 19, 2024?


Question: Will an interest rate cut below current levels occur or increase in likelihood for June following the May 1, 2024 Federal Open Market Committee meeting?


Question: Will Israel carry out a deadly attack within Iran before May 1, 2024?


Question: Will Donald Trump testify at the hush money trial?


Question: What will be the closing value of the S&P 500 Index on May 1, 2024?


Question: What will be the 10-year Treasury yield at close on May 20, 2024?


Question: Will President Biden make an international trip between April 24 and May 20, 2024?


Question: What will be the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer for Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga following its premiere at Cannes?


Question: Will Mike Johnson be Speaker of the House on May 20, 2024?


Question: What will be the settle price of July futures of Brent crude oil (in US dollars per barrel) for May 7, 2024?


Question: Will a limited access channel to the Port of Baltimore be opened at the site of the Francis Scott Key Bridge collapse before May 1, 2024?


Question: What will be the settle price of May 2024 Feeder Cattle futures contracts for May 15, 2024?


Question: Will the US Senate pass a bill that intends to ban or force the sale of TikTok before May 1, 2024?


Question: By what percent will Rubrik's stock price change from its IPO price on its first day of trading?


Question: What will be the median change in monthly household spending in the US compared to one year ago for April 2024?


Question: Will the governor of Gagauzia, Evghenia Guțul, travel to the Russian Federation before June 1, 2024?


Question: When will Starship next reach an altitude of at least 200 kilometers?


Question: Will Pedro Sanchez announce his resignation as Prime Minister of Spain before April 30, 2024?


Question: How many flights within, into, or out of the United States will be canceled on May 18th, 2024?


Question: As of May 21, 2024, will OpenAI report at least 99.9% uptime for ChatGPT for May 2024?


Question: Will the San Francisco Bay Area experience an earthquake of at least 3.0 magnitude during the seven-day period ending midday on May 14th, 2024?


Question: What will the global temperature anomaly be (in degrees Celsius) for April 2024?


Question: Before May 20, 2024, will it be announced that Minouche Shafik will no longer be President of Columbia University?


Question: Will there be a named Atlantic storm or hurricane before May 20, 2024?


Question: Before July 1, 2024, will the International Criminal Court issue arrest warrants for any of the listed Israeli leaders?


Question: Will UCLA hold its in-person, university-wide graduation commencement ceremonies scheduled for June 14, 2024?


Question: Will Trump and Biden shake hands in any of their debates?


Question: Will at least 50 Kenyan military or police personnel arrive in Haiti before June 1, 2024?


Question: What will be the polling average gap in the UK national parliament voting intention between the Labour and Conservative parties according to The Economist on June 27, 2024?


Question: Will the Atlantic Ocean's daily mean sea surface temperature surpass 2023's record peak temperature before October 1, 2024?


Question: Before June 6, 2024, will there be an armed forces conflict death between China and Taiwan in 2024?


Question: Will Rishi Sunak fail to be elected in the 2024 UK General Election?


Question: On June 28th, 2024, will Nvidia's market capitalization be larger than Apple's?


Question: Will President Joe Biden grant a pardon or commutation to Hunter Biden before January 21, 2025?


Question: Will Trump, Biden or a moderator say "deepfake" in the CNN debate in Atlanta on June 27, 2024?


Question: What will be the largest number of Chinese aircraft violating Taiwan's air defense identification zone (ADIZ) in a single day between August 15 and September 15, 2024?


Question: Before October 1, 2024, will there be an armed forces death in a conflict opposing China to Taiwan, the United States, the Philippines, or Japan?


Question: Will Russia have control of Chasiv Yar on October 1, 2024?


Question: Will Joe Biden announce before July 15, 2024 that he will not accept the Democratic Party's nomination for President?


Question: Will Democrats have a brokered convention in 2024?


Question: Will the US government end its agreement directly allowing Verisign to manage the authoritative domain name registry for the .com TLD, before August 3, 2024?


Question: What will Keir Starmer's approval rating as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be on September 18, 2024?


Question: Will the domestic box office opening of "Deadpool & Wolverine" be higher than that of "Deadpool" and "The Wolverine" combined?


Question: Before August 22, 2024, will President Joe Biden take any of these specific actions to end his candidacy for re-election?


Question: Will Bitcoin reach a new all-time high before October 1, 2024?


Question: Will the USD be worth 0.935 EUR or more at the close of trading on any day before October 1, 2024?


Question: Will the opposition candidate, Edmundo González, concede the 2024 Venezuelan election to Maduro before September 2024?


Question: Will Iran carry out a deadly attack within Israel before September 1, 2024?


Question: Will the US Federal Reserve make an emergency rate cut before September 17, 2024?


Question: What will be the Accumulated Cyclone Energy of the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season on October 7, 2024?


Question: Will a US Vice Presidential debate be held before Election Day (Nov. 5) 2024?


Question: Will Ukrainian forces capture Rylsk, Russia before October 1, 2024?


Question: Will either of Donald Trump's campaign managers get fired, resign, or otherwise leave their positions before October 1, 2024?


Question: Will there be a US presidential debate between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris held on September 10, 2024?


Question: Before October 1, 2024, will Ethiopia and Somalia announce an agreement settling their dispute over the Somaliland port deal?


Question: Will Taylor Swift publicly endorse Kamala Harris for president before October 1, 2024?


Question: Will another Chinese military aircraft violate Japanese territorial airspace before October 1, 2024?


Question: Will there be an all-out war between Israel and Hezbollah in 2024?


Question: Will Edmundo González be deprived of liberty before October 1, 2024?


Question: Will Intel get dropped from the Dow Jones Industrial Average before October 1, 2024?


Question: What will AfD's vote share be in the 2024 Brandenburg state election?


Question: Will the lithium carbonate (CNY/T) price fall below 70,000 before October 1, 2024?


Question: Before October 1, 2024, will any of these prominent Democrats appear as guests on the Lex Fridman podcast?


Question: Will any of these large tech companies announce layoffs before October 1, 2024?


Question: What will be the close price of the Shanghai Composite Index (SSE) on December 30, 2024?


Question: Will the US Steel/Nippon Steel merger collapse before January 1, 2025?


Question: Will the Russian government officially ban YouTube before January 1, 2025?


Question: Will BirdCast report 1 billion birds flying over the United States at any point before January 1, 2025?


Question: Will OpenAI's o1 remain the top LLM in all categories of Chatbot Arena on December 30, 2024?


Question: Will there be a white Christmas in at least 4 of these 9 large European cities in 2024?


Question: Will the 2024 World Chess Champion be decided in the first 10 games?


Question: Will Eric Adams be Mayor of New York City on the 1st of January 2025?


Question: How many Metaculus users that ranked in the top 16 in the Q3 2024 Quarterly Cup will remain in the top 16 at the end of Q4 2024 Quarterly Cup?


Question: Will North Korea perform its seventh nuclear test before 2025?


Question: Will Kamala Harris go on Joe Rogan's podcast before the 2024 election?


Question: How many arms sales globally will the US State Department approve in the fourth quarter of 2024?


Question: How much will it rain in Brasília, Brazil in December 2024?


Question: By how many billion USD will Elon Musk's net worth differ from the highest other net worth on the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires list as of January 1, 2025?


Question: Will Bitcoin dominance exceed 63.0% on any single day in November or December 2024?


Question: Will Astro Bot win the Game of the Year 2024 award?


Question: Will at least one of Andrea Bocelli's concerts at Madison Square Garden on December 18 or 19, 2024 sell out?


Question: What will be Donald Trump's net favorability rating on December 27, 2024?


Question: How many whooping cough cases will New Zealand report for weeks 51 and 52?


Question: Will any more of Trump's announced Cabinet picks drop out before January 1, 2025?


Question: Will New Delhi experience a "Hazardous" air quality index for at least one third of the last two weeks of December 2024?


Question: Will former First Lady of Pakistan Bushra Bibi be arrested before January 1, 2025?


Question: Will Blue Origin launch its New Glenn rocket before January 1, 2025?


Question: Will Novak Djokovic win the Australian Open?


Question: How many executive orders will Donald Trump issue in Q1 2025?