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Update release notes for 2026.10

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Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01NKiEh96NjZC6JRncac4Ecc

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  1. Release Notes 2026.10.md +89 -166
Release Notes 2026.10.md CHANGED
@@ -8,44 +8,50 @@ Created with Code Version: [2.1.0](https://github.com/OpenSourceAP/CrossSection/
8
 
9
  ## New data relative to the October 2025 release
10
 
11
- - Data through December 2025
12
- - *Exceptions*:
13
- - Predictors based on OptionMetrics implied vol (CPVolSpread, dCPVolSpread, dVolCall, dVolPut, RIVolSpread, skew1, SmileSlope) are still taken from [our August 2023 release](https://drive.google.com/drive/folders/1EP6oEabyZRamveGNyzYU0u6qJ-N43Qfq) and end in December 2022
14
- - OptionMetrics [revised their methodologies](https://optionmetrics.com/news/optionmetrics-releases-ivydb-us-6-0-and-ivydb-etf-4-0-with-proprietary-methodologies-for-faster-more-precise-options-implied-volatilities/) in March 2024, which caused large revisions to option-based predictors. See [issue #156](https://github.com/OpenSourceAP/CrossSection/issues/156)
15
- - Predictors based on the Gompers, Ishii, Metrick governance index (Activism1, Activism2, and Governance) end in 2007 as that data is no longer updated
16
- - ProbInformedTrading relies on the Duarte et al. data which ends in 2012. See [issue #171](https://github.com/OpenSourceAP/CrossSection/issues/171)
17
  - CRSP data now comes from CRSP v2 (CIZ format) instead of the legacy SIZ format, which WRDS is retiring
18
- - Applies to both the signal and portfolio code. The portfolio code no longer downloads CRSP itself; it reuses the CRSP files downloaded by the signal code
19
- - Differences between v1 and v2 outputs, and how we handled them, are documented in [Docs/CRSP-v2-Migration.md](https://github.com/OpenSourceAP/CrossSection/blob/master/Docs/CRSP-v2-Migration.md)
20
- - The switch moves portfolio returns little. Rebuilding the 26 signals listed below (R-sq < 95%) on legacy CRSP returns changes their R-sq against the previous release by less than one percentage point. Most of the effect of the switch runs through the signals instead, mainly through SIC and exchange codes (see below)
21
- - Size, Price, and STreversal (still excluded from the downloads) can now be built from CRSP alone with `Signals/pyCode/crsp_only.py`. `12_CreateCRSPPredictors.R` has been removed
22
- - Code is now Python (signals) and R (portfolios) only; the placebo translation is finished and no Stata is needed
23
  - Files are now parquet instead of zipped csvs, and each set of signals or portfolios is one file. See Directory below
 
 
 
24
 
25
  ## Signals with Non-Trivial Revisions
26
 
27
  Non-trivial revisions means R-sq < 95% from regressing this vintage's monthly long-short returns on the previous vintage's (full sample). 26 of 212 predictors qualify. R-sq in parentheses.
28
 
29
  - Traceable to issue fixes
30
- - PayoutYield (48.6), NetPayoutYield (78.5): fix preferred stock handling (`pstkrv` is a stock, not a flow) and improve replication
31
- - See [issue #207](https://github.com/OpenSourceAP/CrossSection/issues/207), thanks to SeongDeok Ko
32
- - CompositeDebtIssuance (79.4): drop infinite values from log(x/0), and match debt 60 months earlier with a proper calendar lag instead of a positional shift
33
- - See [issue #219](https://github.com/OpenSourceAP/CrossSection/issues/219)
34
- - Other signals using calendar lags: standardized so missing months are not filled with the wrong observation, and months inserted to compute lags are no longer kept in the output. Signals that moved: CitationsRD (59.1), MomOffSeason11YrPlus (88.4), MomOffSeason16YrPlus (91.2), MomOffSeason06YrPlus (92.4)
35
- - See [issue #219](https://github.com/OpenSourceAP/CrossSection/issues/219)
36
- - IntanEP (78.8), IntanSP (80.5), IntanCFP (82.8): follow the original paper by taking logs of all ratios and using income before extraordinary items (`ib`) instead of net income throughout
37
- - High52: split-adjust prices, and include the current month in the 52-week high, following George and Hwang (2004)
38
- - Market equity at the permco level: applied more carefully, so permco-level market equity is used only to scale accounting variables
39
- - See [issue #167](https://github.com/OpenSourceAP/CrossSection/issues/167)
40
- - Placebos: about 10 placebo scripts now follow the original Stata code more closely
41
  - Traceable to the CRSP v2 migration
42
- - SIC codes: from about 2008 the legacy CRSP tape stopped classifying new listings (SIC 9999). CRSP v2 classifies them, which changes industry membership. Affects EarnSupBig (77.0), Herf (77.9), HerfAsset (82.8), HerfBE (84.0), MS (89.4), OrgCap (89.6), ChInvIA (89.7), IndMom (91.7), sinAlgo (92.7), and IndRetBig (94.7)
43
- - ExchSwitch (81.7): CRSP v2 assigns exchange codes to about 21,500 stock-months that the legacy data left unclassified
 
44
  - Traceable to data revisions
45
- - ChangeInRecommendation (93.6), UpRecomm (93.7), ConsRecomm (93.9), DownRecomm (94.5): IBES has removed or revised some historical analyst recommendations. Values are unchanged where both vintages have data
46
- - Investment (93.0): firm-months with zero capital expenditures throughout the 36-month averaging window are now missing (0/0). The previous release recorded them as zero due to floating-point rounding in the rolling mean
 
 
47
  - Source of revision unclear
48
- - None
49
 
50
  Fixes that do not change returns:
51
 
@@ -54,153 +60,70 @@ Fixes that do not change returns:
54
  - Illiquidity.csv columns are now in the standard order (permno, yyyymm, Illiquidity)
55
  - [SignalDoc browser](https://openassetpricing.com/SignalDoc-Browser.html): fixed broken code links for signals made by multi-signal scripts. See [issue #204](https://github.com/OpenSourceAP/CrossSection/issues/204)
56
 
57
- ## Summary Stats
58
-
59
- - Count of predictors with long-short returns by month
60
-
61
- ```
62
- ┌────────────┬───────────┐
63
- │ date ┆ n_signals │
64
- │ --- ┆ --- │
65
- │ date ┆ u32 │
66
- ╞════════════╪═══════════╡
67
- │ 2025-12-31 ┆ 195 │
68
- │ 2024-12-31 ┆ 200 │
69
- │ 2023-12-29 ┆ 200 │
70
- │ 2022-12-30 ┆ 207 │
71
- │ 2021-12-31 ┆ 207 │
72
- │ 2020-12-31 ┆ 207 │
73
- │ 2019-12-31 ┆ 207 │
74
- │ 2018-12-31 ┆ 207 │
75
- │ 2017-12-29 ┆ 207 │
76
- │ 2016-12-30 ┆ 207 │
77
- │ 2015-12-31 ┆ 207 │
78
- │ 2014-12-31 ┆ 207 │
79
- │ 2013-12-31 ┆ 208 │
80
- │ 2012-12-31 ┆ 208 │
81
- │ 2011-12-30 ┆ 208 │
82
- │ 2010-12-31 ┆ 208 │
83
- │ 2009-12-31 ┆ 208 │
84
- │ 2008-12-31 ┆ 208 │
85
- │ 2007-12-31 ┆ 209 │
86
- │ 2006-12-29 ┆ 212 │
87
- │ 2005-12-30 ┆ 212 │
88
- │ 2004-12-31 ┆ 212 │
89
- │ 2003-12-31 ┆ 212 │
90
- │ 2002-12-31 ┆ 212 │
91
- │ 2001-12-31 ┆ 212 │
92
- │ 2000-12-29 ┆ 212 │
93
- └────────────┴───────────┘
94
- ```
95
-
96
- The drop in early 2023 is mainly due to our decision not to update OptionMetrics predictors due to inconsistencies between data vintages: their signals end in December 2022, so their returns end in January 2023. The drop in late 2025 is due to PriceDelaySlope, PriceDelayRsq, and PriceDelayTstat, whose returns end in August 2025 (the signals are estimated each June and last updated in July 2025), and to OptionVolume1 and OptionVolume2, whose OptionMetrics volume data on WRDS ends in August 2025, so their returns end in September 2025.
97
-
98
- - Summary of portfolio full set mean monthly long-short returns
99
-
100
- ```
101
- ┌────────────────────┬────────┬────────┬─────────┬─────────┬────────────┬───────┬───────┐
102
- │ impname ┆ before ┆ insamp ┆ between ┆ postpub ┆ last5years ┆ 2025 ┆ impid │
103
- │ --- ┆ --- ┆ --- ┆ --- ┆ --- ┆ --- ┆ --- ┆ --- │
104
- │ str ┆ f64 ┆ f64 ┆ f64 ┆ f64 ┆ f64 ┆ f64 ┆ i32 │
105
- ╞════════════════════╪════════╪════════╪═════════╪═════════╪════════════╪═══════╪═══════╡
106
- │ PredictorPortsFull ┆ 0.58 ┆ 0.69 ┆ 0.43 ┆ 0.31 ┆ 0.44 ┆ 0.03 ┆ 1 │
107
- │ HoldPer_1 ┆ 0.57 ┆ 0.73 ┆ 0.46 ┆ 0.32 ┆ 0.46 ┆ 0.07 ┆ 2 │
108
- │ HoldPer_12 ┆ 0.26 ┆ 0.47 ┆ 0.26 ┆ 0.2 ┆ 0.3 ┆ 0.02 ┆ 2 │
109
- │ HoldPer_3 ┆ 0.38 ┆ 0.63 ┆ 0.41 ┆ 0.3 ┆ 0.45 ┆ 0.09 ┆ 2 │
110
- │ HoldPer_6 ┆ 0.3 ┆ 0.57 ┆ 0.34 ┆ 0.25 ┆ 0.4 ┆ -0.01 ┆ 2 │
111
- │ ME_gt_NYSE20pct ┆ 0.31 ┆ 0.51 ┆ 0.25 ┆ 0.2 ┆ 0.29 ┆ -0.11 ┆ 3 │
112
- │ NYSEonly ┆ 0.52 ┆ 0.47 ┆ 0.26 ┆ 0.24 ┆ 0.39 ┆ 0.21 ┆ 3 │
113
- │ Price_gt_5 ┆ 0.39 ┆ 0.56 ┆ 0.32 ┆ 0.2 ┆ 0.34 ┆ 0.01 ┆ 3 │
114
- │ VWforce ┆ 0.47 ┆ 0.45 ┆ 0.26 ┆ 0.14 ┆ 0.23 ┆ 0.06 ┆ 3 │
115
- │ Quintiles ┆ 0.45 ┆ 0.64 ┆ 0.39 ┆ 0.27 ┆ 0.35 ┆ -0.02 ┆ 4 │
116
- │ QuintilesEW ┆ 0.44 ┆ 0.63 ┆ 0.38 ┆ 0.28 ┆ 0.4 ┆ 0.04 ┆ 4 │
117
- │ QuintilesVW ┆ 0.35 ┆ 0.41 ┆ 0.29 ┆ 0.12 ┆ 0.13 ┆ -0.03 ┆ 4 │
118
- │ Deciles ┆ 0.4 ┆ 0.79 ┆ 0.49 ┆ 0.36 ┆ 0.44 ┆ 0.04 ┆ 5 │
119
- │ DecilesEW ┆ 0.38 ┆ 0.76 ┆ 0.47 ┆ 0.36 ┆ 0.46 ┆ 0.06 ┆ 5 │
120
- │ DecilesVW ┆ 0.36 ┆ 0.54 ┆ 0.32 ┆ 0.19 ┆ 0.27 ┆ 0.03 ┆ 5 │
121
- │ FF93style ┆ 0.11 ┆ 0.19 ┆ 0.11 ┆ 0.01 ┆ 0.05 ┆ -0.17 ┆ 6 │
122
- │ PlaceboPortsFull ┆ 0.11 ┆ 0.24 ┆ 0.34 ┆ 0.12 ┆ 0.22 ┆ 0.1 ┆ null │
123
- └────────────────────┴────────┴────────┴─────────┴─────────┴────────────┴───────┴───────┘
124
- ```
125
-
126
- - Rsq from regressing new long-short OP returns on old
127
-
128
- ```
129
- ┌───────────┬───────────┬───────────┬───────────┬───────────┐
130
- │ samptype ┆ p05 ┆ p10 ┆ p25 ┆ p50 │
131
- │ --- ┆ --- ┆ --- ┆ --- ┆ --- │
132
- │ str ┆ f64 ┆ f64 ┆ f64 ┆ f64 │
133
- ╞═══════════╪═══════════╪═══════════╪═══════════╪═══════════╡
134
- │ full-samp ┆ 83.4718 ┆ 93.603526 ┆ 98.471622 ┆ 99.565246 │
135
- │ in-samp ┆ 93.3269 ┆ 97.454772 ┆ 98.754785 ┆ 99.533974 │
136
- │ post-pub ┆ 73.786668 ┆ 89.798923 ┆ 98.785132 ┆ 99.767502 │
137
- └───────────┴───────────┴───────────┴───────────┴───────────┘
138
- ```
139
-
140
  ## Directory
141
 
142
  All data files are [parquet](https://parquet.apache.org/), readable with `pandas.read_parquet` or `polars.read_parquet` in Python and `arrow::read_parquet` in R. Each set of signals or portfolios is a single file. There are no zip files and no per-signal csvs. The same files are on Hugging Face at [OpenSourceAP/CrossSection](https://huggingface.co/datasets/OpenSourceAP/CrossSection), branch `Data-Release-2026.10`.
143
 
144
  - SignalDoc.csv and SignalDoc.parquet
145
- - Describes each signal and contains hand-collected statistics. The two files have the same content
146
  - The [SignalDoc browser](https://openassetpricing.com/SignalDoc-Browser.html) lets you browse summary stats for all reproduced signals
147
  - storage_checks.txt
148
- - Automated checks run on this folder before release, including the summary stats above
149
  - Firm Level Characteristics/
150
- - Note: downloadable predictors do not include size, price, or short-term reversal. To make them, run `Signals/pyCode/crsp_only.py` in our code, which downloads CRSP and builds Size, Price, and STreversal. We also do not include bid-ask spreads from TAQ, but that was not shown to predict returns anyway.
151
- - Predictors.parquet
152
- - All downloadable predictors in wide format. Columns: permno, yyyymm, then one column per predictor, named by its acronym in SignalDoc.csv. One row per permno-month that has at least one predictor; missing values are null
153
- - signed_predictors_dl_wide.parquet
154
- - Same as Predictors.parquet, but each predictor is multiplied by its Sign in SignalDoc.csv, so a higher signal implies higher mean returns based on the original papers
155
- - Placebos.parquet
156
- - Same layout as Predictors.parquet, but for characteristics that were not predictive or were indirect signals based on the original results. See SignalDoc.csv for details
157
  - Portfolios/
158
- - Unless noted, portfolio files are long, with columns: signalname, port, date, ret, signallag, Nlong, Nshort. `port` is the portfolio name (01, 02, ..., LS for long-short), `ret` is the monthly return in percent during the month indicated by date, and `signallag` is the portfolio's average lagged signal
159
- - Full Sets OP/
160
- - Full sets of portfolios following the original papers (OP)
161
- - PredictorPortsFull.parquet
162
- - Portfolios formed on each predictor (e.g. 5 portfolios formed by sorting on momentum), plus the long-short portfolio
163
- - Includes what some people call "test asset returns." Can also be used to study monotonicity
164
- - Implementations based on the original papers. See SignalDoc.csv
165
- - PredictorLSretWide.parquet
166
- - Long-short returns only, in wide format. Columns: date, then one column per predictor
167
- - These are performance of trading strategies based on cross-sectional predictors, or, if you like, realized factor premiums
168
- - PredictorSummary.xlsx
169
- - Summary stats for all predictor portfolios
170
- - PlaceboPortsFull.parquet and PlaceboSummary.xlsx
171
- - Portfolios and summaries based on not-predictors and indirect signals
172
- - Full Sets Alt/
173
- - Full sets of portfolios with alternative implementations
174
- - PredictorAltPorts_Deciles.parquet
175
- - Like PredictorPortsFull, but only continuous predictors, and implemented as deciles. Stock weights follow OP
176
- - PredictorAltPorts_DecilesEW.parquet and PredictorAltPorts_DecilesVW.parquet
177
- - Like PredictorAltPorts_Deciles, but stock weights are all EW or all VW
178
- - PredictorAltPorts_Quintiles.parquet, PredictorAltPorts_QuintilesEW.parquet, and PredictorAltPorts_QuintilesVW.parquet
179
- - Same as the decile files but with quintile sorts
180
- - PredictorAltPorts_FF93style.parquet
181
- - Like PredictorPortsFull, but uses Fama-French 1993 style 2x3 sorts
182
- - PredictorAltPorts_HoldPer_1.parquet, \_3, \_6, and \_12
183
- - Like PredictorPortsFull, but uses "rebalancing periods" of 1, 3, 6, and 12 months instead of the original rebalancing periods
184
- - These rebalancing periods should really be called signal updating periods, since value-weighting or equal-weighting is always enforced monthly, see footnote in the paper
185
- - PredictorAltPorts_LiqScreen_ME_gt_NYSE20pct.parquet, \_NYSEonly, \_Price_gt_5, and \_VWforce
186
- - Like PredictorPortsFull, but with various liquidity adjustments. Please see paper
187
- - PlaceboPortsFull.parquet
188
- - A copy of the file in Full Sets OP/
189
  - DailyPortfolios/
190
- - Daily portfolio returns. Aggregates up to the monthly strategies (almost). Only contains returns (%, daily), please see monthly data for supporting statistics like # of stocks
191
- - Each file is long, with columns: signalname, port, date, ret
192
- - Predictor.parquet
193
- - Following original papers
194
- - Other implementations match the monthly ones (see Portfolios / Full Sets Alt)
195
- - PredictorVW.parquet
196
- - CtsPredictorDecile.parquet
197
- - CtsPredictorDecileVW.parquet
198
- - CtsPredictorQuintile.parquet
199
- - CtsPredictorQuintileVW.parquet
200
- - DailyPortSummary.xlsx
201
- - Some summary stats for the daily portfolios, since we don't provide results in the paper
202
- - Sumstats sheet should be self explanatory. Note number of signals in each predictor port varies because the original paper vary in the number of portfolios they form
203
- - Timingcheck: regressions of monthly returns on daily returns aggregated to monthly, done by groups of (signalname, portfolio)
204
- - Further details, see daily portfolio construction R script
205
  - Results/
206
- - Figures (pdf) and tables (tex) for the paper, rebuilt with this release's data
 
8
 
9
  ## New data relative to the October 2025 release
10
 
11
+ - Data through December 2025, with the following *Exceptions*:
12
+ - Predictors based on OptionMetrics implied vol (CPVolSpread, dCPVolSpread, dVolCall, dVolPut, RIVolSpread, skew1, SmileSlope) are still taken from [our August 2023 release](https://drive.google.com/drive/folders/1EP6oEabyZRamveGNyzYU0u6qJ-N43Qfq) and end in December 2022
13
+ - OptionMetrics [revised their methodologies](https://optionmetrics.com/news/optionmetrics-releases-ivydb-us-6-0-and-ivydb-etf-4-0-with-proprietary-methodologies-for-faster-more-precise-options-implied-volatilities/) in March 2024, which caused large revisions to option-based predictors. See [issue #156](https://github.com/OpenSourceAP/CrossSection/issues/156)
14
+ - Predictors based on the Gompers, Ishii, Metrick governance index (Activism1, Activism2, and Governance) end in 2007 as that data is no longer updated
15
+ - PatentsRD uses NBER patent data that ended in 2006.
16
+ - ProbInformedTrading relies on the Duarte et al. data which ends in 2012. See [issue #171](https://github.com/OpenSourceAP/CrossSection/issues/171)
17
  - CRSP data now comes from CRSP v2 (CIZ format) instead of the legacy SIZ format, which WRDS is retiring
18
+ - Differences between v1 and v2 outputs, and how we handled them, are documented in [Docs/CRSP-v2-Migration.md](https://github.com/OpenSourceAP/CrossSection/blob/master/Docs/CRSP-v2-Migration.md)
19
+ - The switch moves portfolio returns little. The R-sq from regressing this release's long-short returns on the previous release leads to an R-sq > 98% for 75% of predictors.
20
+
21
+ ## Data format update
22
+
23
  - Files are now parquet instead of zipped csvs, and each set of signals or portfolios is one file. See Directory below
24
+ - The redundant individual signals and individual portfolios are no longer posted.
25
+ - These changes were made as part of a migration from Google Drive to Hugging Face
26
+ - Google Drive could not handle the volume from the download packages (https://github.com/OpenSourceAP/CrossSection/issues/228)
27
 
28
  ## Signals with Non-Trivial Revisions
29
 
30
  Non-trivial revisions means R-sq < 95% from regressing this vintage's monthly long-short returns on the previous vintage's (full sample). 26 of 212 predictors qualify. R-sq in parentheses.
31
 
32
  - Traceable to issue fixes
33
+ - PayoutYield (48.6), NetPayoutYield (78.5): fix preferred stock handling (`pstkrv` is a stock, not a flow) and improve replication
34
+ - See [issue #207](https://github.com/OpenSourceAP/CrossSection/issues/207), thanks to SeongDeok Ko from Seoul National (https://github.com/SeongDeokKo)
35
+ - CompositeDebtIssuance (79.4): drop infinite values from log(x/0), and match debt 60 months earlier with a proper calendar lag instead of a positional shift
36
+ - See [issue #219](https://github.com/OpenSourceAP/CrossSection/issues/219)
37
+ - Other signals using calendar lags: standardized so missing months are not filled with the wrong observation, and months inserted to compute lags are no longer kept in the output. Signals that moved: CitationsRD (59.1), MomOffSeason11YrPlus (88.4), MomOffSeason16YrPlus (91.2), MomOffSeason06YrPlus (92.4)
38
+ - See [issue #219](https://github.com/OpenSourceAP/CrossSection/issues/219)
39
+ - IntanEP (78.8), IntanSP (80.5), IntanCFP (82.8): follow the original paper by taking logs of all ratios and using income before extraordinary items (`ib`) instead of net income throughout
40
+ - See [issue #210](https://github.com/OpenSourceAP/CrossSection/issues/210), thanks to Peng Li from the University of Bath (https://github.com/mk0417)
41
+ - High52: split-adjust prices, and include the current month in the 52-week high, following George and Hwang (2004)
42
+ - See [issue #205](https://github.com/OpenSourceAP/CrossSection/issues/205), thanks to gliedtke-at-ub (https://github.com/gliedtke-at-ub)
43
+ - Placebos: about 10 placebo scripts now follow the original Stata code more closely
44
  - Traceable to the CRSP v2 migration
45
+ - SIC codes: from about 2008 the legacy CRSP data left many new listings unclassified (SIC 9999). Apparently CRSP v2 did not classify these listings either as of July 2024 (Schwarz, Walter and Weiss find almost no SIC differences between v1 and v2 in data from that time). As of October 2026, CRSP v2 assigns them codes, which changes industry membership. Affects EarnSupBig (77.0), Herf (77.9), HerfAsset (82.8), HerfBE (84.0), MS (89.4), OrgCap (89.6), ChInvIA (89.7), IndMom (91.7), sinAlgo (92.7), and IndRetBig (94.7)
46
+ - See [issue #212](https://github.com/OpenSourceAP/CrossSection/issues/212)
47
+ - ExchSwitch (81.7): CRSP v2 assigns exchange codes to about 21,500 stock-months that the legacy data left unclassified
48
  - Traceable to data revisions
49
+ - ChangeInRecommendation (93.6), UpRecomm (93.7), ConsRecomm (93.9), DownRecomm (94.5): IBES has removed or revised some historical analyst recommendations. Values are unchanged where both vintages have data
50
+ - Traceable to floating-point precision
51
+ - Investment (93.0): firm-months with zero capital expenditures throughout the 36-month averaging window are now mostly missing (0/0), matching the Stata original. The previous release recorded about 8,800 of them as zero because of floating-point residue in the rolling mean, which still affects about 200 firm-months in this release
52
+ - See [issue #236](https://github.com/OpenSourceAP/CrossSection/issues/236)
53
  - Source of revision unclear
54
+ - None
55
 
56
  Fixes that do not change returns:
57
 
 
60
  - Illiquidity.csv columns are now in the standard order (permno, yyyymm, Illiquidity)
61
  - [SignalDoc browser](https://openassetpricing.com/SignalDoc-Browser.html): fixed broken code links for signals made by multi-signal scripts. See [issue #204](https://github.com/OpenSourceAP/CrossSection/issues/204)
62
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
63
  ## Directory
64
 
65
  All data files are [parquet](https://parquet.apache.org/), readable with `pandas.read_parquet` or `polars.read_parquet` in Python and `arrow::read_parquet` in R. Each set of signals or portfolios is a single file. There are no zip files and no per-signal csvs. The same files are on Hugging Face at [OpenSourceAP/CrossSection](https://huggingface.co/datasets/OpenSourceAP/CrossSection), branch `Data-Release-2026.10`.
66
 
67
  - SignalDoc.csv and SignalDoc.parquet
68
+ - Describes each signal and contains hand-collected statistics. The two files have the same content
69
  - The [SignalDoc browser](https://openassetpricing.com/SignalDoc-Browser.html) lets you browse summary stats for all reproduced signals
70
  - storage_checks.txt
71
+ - Automated checks run on this folder before release, including the summary stats above
72
  - Firm Level Characteristics/
73
+ - Note: downloadable predictors do not include size, price, or short-term reversal. To make them, run `Signals/pyCode/crsp_only.py` in our code, which downloads CRSP and builds Size, Price, and STreversal. We also do not include bid-ask spreads from TAQ, but that was not shown to predict returns anyway.
74
+ - Predictors.parquet
75
+ - All downloadable predictors in wide format. Columns: permno, yyyymm, then one column per predictor, named by its acronym in SignalDoc.csv. One row per permno-month that has at least one predictor; missing values are null
76
+ - signed_predictors_dl_wide.parquet
77
+ - Same as Predictors.parquet, but each predictor is multiplied by its Sign in SignalDoc.csv, so a higher signal implies higher mean returns based on the original papers
78
+ - Placebos.parquet
79
+ - Same layout as Predictors.parquet, but for characteristics that were not predictive or were indirect signals based on the original results. See SignalDoc.csv for details
80
  - Portfolios/
81
+ - Unless noted, portfolio files are long, with columns: signalname, port, date, ret, signallag, Nlong, Nshort. `port` is the portfolio name (01, 02, ..., LS for long-short), `ret` is the monthly return in percent during the month indicated by date, and `signallag` is the portfolio's average lagged signal
82
+ - Full Sets OP/
83
+ - Full sets of portfolios following the original papers (OP)
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+ - PredictorPortsFull.parquet
85
+ - Portfolios formed on each predictor (e.g. 5 portfolios formed by sorting on momentum), plus the long-short portfolio
86
+ - Includes what some people call "test asset returns." Can also be used to study monotonicity
87
+ - Implementations based on the original papers. See SignalDoc.csv
88
+ - PredictorLSretWide.parquet
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+ - Long-short returns only, in wide format. Columns: date, then one column per predictor
90
+ - These are performance of trading strategies based on cross-sectional predictors, or, if you like, realized factor premiums
91
+ - PredictorSummary.xlsx
92
+ - Summary stats for all predictor portfolios
93
+ - PlaceboPortsFull.parquet and PlaceboSummary.xlsx
94
+ - Portfolios and summaries based on not-predictors and indirect signals
95
+ - Full Sets Alt/
96
+ - Full sets of portfolios with alternative implementations
97
+ - PredictorAltPorts_Deciles.parquet
98
+ - Like PredictorPortsFull, but only continuous predictors, and implemented as deciles. Stock weights follow OP
99
+ - PredictorAltPorts_DecilesEW.parquet and PredictorAltPorts_DecilesVW.parquet
100
+ - Like PredictorAltPorts_Deciles, but stock weights are all EW or all VW
101
+ - PredictorAltPorts_Quintiles.parquet, PredictorAltPorts_QuintilesEW.parquet, and PredictorAltPorts_QuintilesVW.parquet
102
+ - Same as the decile files but with quintile sorts
103
+ - PredictorAltPorts_FF93style.parquet
104
+ - Like PredictorPortsFull, but uses Fama-French 1993 style 2x3 sorts
105
+ - PredictorAltPorts_HoldPer_1.parquet, \_3, \_6, and \_12
106
+ - Like PredictorPortsFull, but uses "rebalancing periods" of 1, 3, 6, and 12 months instead of the original rebalancing periods
107
+ - These rebalancing periods should really be called signal updating periods, since value-weighting or equal-weighting is always enforced monthly, see footnote in the paper
108
+ - PredictorAltPorts_LiqScreen_ME_gt_NYSE20pct.parquet, \_NYSEonly, \_Price_gt_5, and \_VWforce
109
+ - Like PredictorPortsFull, but with various liquidity adjustments. Please see paper
110
+ - PlaceboPortsFull.parquet
111
+ - A copy of the file in Full Sets OP/
112
  - DailyPortfolios/
113
+ - Daily portfolio returns. Aggregates up to the monthly strategies (almost). Only contains returns (%, daily), please see monthly data for supporting statistics like # of stocks
114
+ - Each file is long, with columns: signalname, port, date, ret
115
+ - Predictor.parquet
116
+ - Following original papers
117
+ - Other implementations match the monthly ones (see Portfolios / Full Sets Alt)
118
+ - PredictorVW.parquet
119
+ - CtsPredictorDecile.parquet
120
+ - CtsPredictorDecileVW.parquet
121
+ - CtsPredictorQuintile.parquet
122
+ - CtsPredictorQuintileVW.parquet
123
+ - DailyPortSummary.xlsx
124
+ - Some summary stats for the daily portfolios, since we don't provide results in the paper
125
+ - Sumstats sheet should be self explanatory. Note number of signals in each predictor port varies because the original paper vary in the number of portfolios they form
126
+ - Timingcheck: regressions of monthly returns on daily returns aggregated to monthly, done by groups of (signalname, portfolio)
127
+ - Further details, see daily portfolio construction R script
128
  - Results/
129
+ - Figures (pdf) and tables (tex) for the paper, rebuilt with this release's data