File size: 17,197 Bytes
ddf5dbe
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77
78
79
80
81
82
83
84
85
86
87
88
89
90
91
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
100
101
102
103
104
105
106
107
108
109
110
111
112
113
114
115
116
117
118
119
120
121
122
123
124
125
126
127
128
129
130
131
132
133
134
135
136
137
138
139
140
141
142
143
144
145
146
147
148
149
150
151
152
153
154
155
156
157
158
159
160
161
162
163
164
165
166
167
168
169
170
171
172
173
174
175
176
177
178
179
180
181
182
183
184
185
186
187
188
189
190
191
192
193
194
195
196
197
198
199
200
201
202
203
204
205
206
207
208
209
210
211
212
213
214
215
216
217
218
219
220
221
222
223
224
225
226
227
228
229
230
231
232
233
234
235
236
237
238
239
240
241
242
243
244
245
246
247
248
249
250
251
252
253
254
255
256
257
258
259
260
261
262
263
264
265
266
267
268
269
270
271
272
273
274
275
276
277
278
279
280
281
282
283
284
285
286
287
288
289
290
291
292
293
294
295
296
297
298
299
300
301
302
303
304
305
306
307
308
309
310
311
312
313
314
315
316
317
318
319
320
321
322
323
324
325
326
327
328
329
330
331
332
333
334
335
336
337
338
339
340
341
342
343
344
345
346
347
348
349
350
351
352
353
354
355
356
357
358
359
360
361
362
363
364
365
366
367
368
369
370
371
372
373
374
375
376
377
378
379
380
381
382
383
384
385
386
387
388
389
390
391
392
393
394
395
396
397
398
399
400
401
402
403
404
405
406
407
408
409
410
411
412
413
414
415
416
417
418
419
420
421
422
423
424
425
426
427
428
429
430
431
432
433
434
435
436
437
438
439
440
441
442
443
444
445
446
447
448
449
450
451
452
453
454
455
456
457
458
459
460
461
462
463
464
465
466
467
468
469
470
471
472
473
474
475
476
477
478
479
480
481
482
483
484
485
486
487
488
489
490
491
492
493
494
495
496
497
498
499
500
501
502
503
504
505
506
507
508
509
510
511
512
{
  "J_probe": [
    {
      "family": "archive",
      "J_squared_direction_fraction": 0.03635181486606598,
      "J_heldout_correct": 6,
      "n": 8
    },
    {
      "family": "cause",
      "J_squared_direction_fraction": 0.03983666002750397,
      "J_heldout_correct": 6,
      "n": 8
    },
    {
      "family": "prototype",
      "J_squared_direction_fraction": 0.05333327502012253,
      "J_heldout_correct": 7,
      "n": 8
    },
    {
      "family": "pump",
      "J_squared_direction_fraction": 0.041934266686439514,
      "J_heldout_correct": 5,
      "n": 8
    },
    {
      "family": "route",
      "J_squared_direction_fraction": 0.03952423110604286,
      "J_heldout_correct": 6,
      "n": 8
    },
    {
      "family": "staffing",
      "J_squared_direction_fraction": 0.04100742191076279,
      "J_heldout_correct": 6,
      "n": 8
    }
  ],
  "causal_axis_gain_by_domain": {
    "main": {
      "archive": 3.0625,
      "cause": 6.1875,
      "prototype": 3.03125,
      "pump": 1.09375,
      "route": 4.28125,
      "staffing": 1.3125
    },
    "forecast": {
      "archive": 3.0625,
      "cause": 6.1875,
      "prototype": 3.03125,
      "pump": 1.09375,
      "route": 4.28125,
      "staffing": 1.3125
    }
  },
  "restoration": {
    "main": {
      "residual_squared_projection_fraction": 0.00020899210243980525,
      "semantic_norm_mean": 1.7172053994839491,
      "unrelated_norm_mean": 1.717459116152491
    },
    "forecast": {
      "residual_squared_projection_fraction": 0.0004231602098069674,
      "semantic_norm_mean": 1.3699543410456398,
      "unrelated_norm_mean": 1.3709534571080946
    }
  },
  "comparisons": [
    {
      "tag": "main",
      "condition": "other_forecast",
      "domains": {
        "archive": {
          "n": 16,
          "none": 0.0234375,
          "semantic_restore": 0.01953125,
          "random_equal_norm": 0.033203125,
          "J_semantic_restore": 0.0166015625,
          "J_random_equal_norm": 0.0224609375,
          "semantic_fraction_removed": 0.16666666666666663,
          "unrelated_fraction_removed": -0.41666666666666674
        },
        "cause": {
          "n": 16,
          "none": 0.01953125,
          "semantic_restore": 0.021728515625,
          "random_equal_norm": 0.012939453125,
          "J_semantic_restore": 0.01416015625,
          "J_random_equal_norm": 0.01416015625,
          "semantic_fraction_removed": -0.11250000000000004,
          "unrelated_fraction_removed": 0.3375
        },
        "prototype": {
          "n": 16,
          "none": 0.033203125,
          "semantic_restore": 0.0302734375,
          "random_equal_norm": 0.013671875,
          "J_semantic_restore": 0.029296875,
          "J_random_equal_norm": 0.015625,
          "semantic_fraction_removed": 0.08823529411764708,
          "unrelated_fraction_removed": 0.5882352941176471
        },
        "pump": {
          "n": 16,
          "none": 0.0126953125,
          "semantic_restore": 0.01171875,
          "random_equal_norm": 0.0126953125,
          "J_semantic_restore": 0.017578125,
          "J_random_equal_norm": 0.017578125,
          "semantic_fraction_removed": 0.07692307692307687,
          "unrelated_fraction_removed": 0.0
        },
        "route": {
          "n": 16,
          "none": 0.033203125,
          "semantic_restore": 0.026611328125,
          "random_equal_norm": 0.021484375,
          "J_semantic_restore": 0.027587890625,
          "J_random_equal_norm": 0.028564453125,
          "semantic_fraction_removed": 0.19852941176470584,
          "unrelated_fraction_removed": 0.3529411764705882
        },
        "staffing": {
          "n": 16,
          "none": 0.033203125,
          "semantic_restore": 0.03515625,
          "random_equal_norm": 0.03125,
          "J_semantic_restore": 0.033203125,
          "J_random_equal_norm": 0.0400390625,
          "semantic_fraction_removed": -0.05882352941176472,
          "unrelated_fraction_removed": 0.05882352941176472
        }
      },
      "leave_one_domain_out": [
        {
          "omitted_domain": "archive",
          "semantic_removed": 0.04814814814814816,
          "unrelated_removed": 0.3018518518518518
        },
        {
          "omitted_domain": "cause",
          "semantic_removed": 0.09172661870503596,
          "unrelated_removed": 0.17266187050359716
        },
        {
          "omitted_domain": "prototype",
          "semantic_removed": 0.06000000000000005,
          "unrelated_removed": 0.08599999999999997
        },
        {
          "omitted_domain": "pump",
          "semantic_removed": 0.06506849315068497,
          "unrelated_removed": 0.2106164383561644
        },
        {
          "omitted_domain": "route",
          "semantic_removed": 0.030000000000000027,
          "unrelated_removed": 0.15000000000000002
        },
        {
          "omitted_domain": "staffing",
          "semantic_removed": 0.09999999999999998,
          "unrelated_removed": 0.22999999999999998
        }
      ],
      "histories": [
        {
          "history": 10,
          "semantic_removed": 0.09782608695652173,
          "unrelated_removed": 0.15579710144927528
        },
        {
          "history": 12,
          "semantic_removed": 0.04166666666666663,
          "unrelated_removed": 0.2222222222222222
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "tag": "main",
      "condition": "recurrent_selector",
      "domains": {
        "archive": {
          "n": 32,
          "none": 1.10302734375,
          "semantic_restore": 0.75634765625,
          "random_equal_norm": 1.072265625,
          "J_semantic_restore": 1.1650390625,
          "J_random_equal_norm": 1.17236328125,
          "semantic_fraction_removed": 0.314298362107127,
          "unrelated_fraction_removed": 0.027888446215139417
        },
        "cause": {
          "n": 32,
          "none": 1.1015625,
          "semantic_restore": 0.4918212890625,
          "random_equal_norm": 1.1737060546875,
          "J_semantic_restore": 1.078369140625,
          "J_random_equal_norm": 1.08349609375,
          "semantic_fraction_removed": 0.5535239361702128,
          "unrelated_fraction_removed": -0.0654920212765957
        },
        "prototype": {
          "n": 32,
          "none": 2.1212158203125,
          "semantic_restore": 0.9249267578125,
          "random_equal_norm": 2.2032470703125,
          "J_semantic_restore": 2.2061767578125,
          "J_random_equal_norm": 2.1724853515625,
          "semantic_fraction_removed": 0.5639638602750763,
          "unrelated_fraction_removed": -0.03867180756171962
        },
        "pump": {
          "n": 32,
          "none": 0.2978515625,
          "semantic_restore": 0.3125,
          "random_equal_norm": 0.33740234375,
          "J_semantic_restore": 0.3662109375,
          "J_random_equal_norm": 0.30859375,
          "semantic_fraction_removed": -0.049180327868852514,
          "unrelated_fraction_removed": -0.13278688524590154
        },
        "route": {
          "n": 32,
          "none": 0.5352783203125,
          "semantic_restore": 0.3336181640625,
          "random_equal_norm": 0.572998046875,
          "J_semantic_restore": 0.5115966796875,
          "J_random_equal_norm": 0.495849609375,
          "semantic_fraction_removed": 0.3767388825541619,
          "unrelated_fraction_removed": -0.0704675028506272
        },
        "staffing": {
          "n": 32,
          "none": 0.4083251953125,
          "semantic_restore": 0.36376953125,
          "random_equal_norm": 0.419921875,
          "J_semantic_restore": 0.3804931640625,
          "J_random_equal_norm": 0.40380859375,
          "semantic_fraction_removed": 0.10911808669656198,
          "unrelated_fraction_removed": -0.0284005979073243
        }
      },
      "leave_one_domain_out": [
        {
          "omitted_domain": "archive",
          "semantic_removed": 0.45642722375652844,
          "unrelated_removed": -0.054442044242706045
        },
        {
          "omitted_domain": "cause",
          "semantic_removed": 0.3973703632834923,
          "unrelated_removed": -0.03138069595167159
        },
        {
          "omitted_domain": "prototype",
          "semantic_removed": 0.3447396386822529,
          "unrelated_removed": -0.037796670208997574
        },
        {
          "omitted_domain": "pump",
          "semantic_removed": 0.4552551717747353,
          "unrelated_removed": -0.03277966965506063
        },
        {
          "omitted_domain": "route",
          "semantic_removed": 0.43374896899713744,
          "unrelated_removed": -0.03469021396341754
        },
        {
          "omitted_domain": "staffing",
          "semantic_removed": 0.4535279920495954,
          "unrelated_removed": -0.038900194027731816
        }
      ],
      "histories": [
        {
          "history": 10,
          "semantic_removed": 0.4143301221876827,
          "unrelated_removed": -0.028561755563078828
        },
        {
          "history": 12,
          "semantic_removed": 0.4627935346142117,
          "unrelated_removed": -0.06183287587679165
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "tag": "forecast",
      "condition": "recurrent_forecast",
      "domains": {
        "archive": {
          "n": 32,
          "none": 0.1533203125,
          "semantic_restore": 0.0849609375,
          "random_equal_norm": 0.14892578125,
          "J_semantic_restore": 0.14990234375,
          "J_random_equal_norm": 0.138671875,
          "semantic_fraction_removed": 0.445859872611465,
          "unrelated_fraction_removed": 0.0286624203821656
        },
        "cause": {
          "n": 32,
          "none": 0.212890625,
          "semantic_restore": 0.1593017578125,
          "random_equal_norm": 0.2257080078125,
          "J_semantic_restore": 0.200927734375,
          "J_random_equal_norm": 0.1905517578125,
          "semantic_fraction_removed": 0.2517201834862385,
          "unrelated_fraction_removed": -0.06020642201834869
        },
        "prototype": {
          "n": 32,
          "none": 0.0830078125,
          "semantic_restore": 0.052734375,
          "random_equal_norm": 0.103515625,
          "J_semantic_restore": 0.08349609375,
          "J_random_equal_norm": 0.1025390625,
          "semantic_fraction_removed": 0.3647058823529412,
          "unrelated_fraction_removed": -0.24705882352941178
        },
        "pump": {
          "n": 32,
          "none": 0.0283203125,
          "semantic_restore": 0.03271484375,
          "random_equal_norm": 0.041015625,
          "J_semantic_restore": 0.04931640625,
          "J_random_equal_norm": 0.04296875,
          "semantic_fraction_removed": -0.15517241379310343,
          "unrelated_fraction_removed": -0.4482758620689655
        },
        "route": {
          "n": 32,
          "none": 0.0682373046875,
          "semantic_restore": 0.0396728515625,
          "random_equal_norm": 0.0765380859375,
          "J_semantic_restore": 0.061767578125,
          "J_random_equal_norm": 0.1038818359375,
          "semantic_fraction_removed": 0.41860465116279066,
          "unrelated_fraction_removed": -0.12164579606440062
        },
        "staffing": {
          "n": 32,
          "none": 0.07275390625,
          "semantic_restore": 0.0517578125,
          "random_equal_norm": 0.06494140625,
          "J_semantic_restore": 0.05859375,
          "J_random_equal_norm": 0.06884765625,
          "semantic_fraction_removed": 0.28859060402684567,
          "unrelated_fraction_removed": 0.10738255033557043
        }
      },
      "leave_one_domain_out": [
        {
          "omitted_domain": "archive",
          "semantic_removed": 0.2773550249278405,
          "unrelated_removed": -0.09997376016793491
        },
        {
          "omitted_domain": "cause",
          "semantic_removed": 0.35449894673487814,
          "unrelated_removed": -0.072223894071622
        },
        {
          "omitted_domain": "prototype",
          "semantic_removed": 0.3120583542284021,
          "unrelated_removed": -0.04034647823113735
        },
        {
          "omitted_domain": "pump",
          "semantic_removed": 0.3418821096173733,
          "unrelated_removed": -0.04984488107549123
        },
        {
          "omitted_domain": "route",
          "semantic_removed": 0.3067879325643301,
          "unrelated_removed": -0.06144631765749775
        },
        {
          "omitted_domain": "staffing",
          "semantic_removed": 0.3231939163498099,
          "unrelated_removed": -0.09147841646164179
        }
      ],
      "histories": [
        {
          "history": 10,
          "semantic_removed": 0.2925877763328998,
          "unrelated_removed": -0.007802340702210753
        },
        {
          "history": 12,
          "semantic_removed": 0.3238715681712425,
          "unrelated_removed": -0.07887389483480689
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "tag": "forecast",
      "condition": "unused_forecast",
      "domains": {
        "archive": {
          "n": 32,
          "none": 0.18701171875,
          "semantic_restore": 0.150390625,
          "random_equal_norm": 0.18408203125,
          "J_semantic_restore": 0.224609375,
          "J_random_equal_norm": 0.1982421875,
          "semantic_fraction_removed": 0.19582245430809397,
          "unrelated_fraction_removed": 0.015665796344647487
        },
        "cause": {
          "n": 32,
          "none": 0.040283203125,
          "semantic_restore": 0.0269775390625,
          "random_equal_norm": 0.0426025390625,
          "J_semantic_restore": 0.026611328125,
          "J_random_equal_norm": 0.0523681640625,
          "semantic_fraction_removed": 0.3303030303030303,
          "unrelated_fraction_removed": -0.05757575757575761
        },
        "prototype": {
          "n": 32,
          "none": 0.0693359375,
          "semantic_restore": 0.0595703125,
          "random_equal_norm": 0.068359375,
          "J_semantic_restore": 0.068359375,
          "J_random_equal_norm": 0.083984375,
          "semantic_fraction_removed": 0.14084507042253525,
          "unrelated_fraction_removed": 0.014084507042253502
        },
        "pump": {
          "n": 32,
          "none": 0.02197265625,
          "semantic_restore": 0.025390625,
          "random_equal_norm": 0.02734375,
          "J_semantic_restore": 0.02734375,
          "J_random_equal_norm": 0.0302734375,
          "semantic_fraction_removed": -0.15555555555555545,
          "unrelated_fraction_removed": -0.24444444444444446
        },
        "route": {
          "n": 32,
          "none": 0.1397705078125,
          "semantic_restore": 0.1295166015625,
          "random_equal_norm": 0.1463623046875,
          "J_semantic_restore": 0.1634521484375,
          "J_random_equal_norm": 0.1727294921875,
          "semantic_fraction_removed": 0.07336244541484715,
          "unrelated_fraction_removed": -0.04716157205240168
        },
        "staffing": {
          "n": 32,
          "none": 0.0380859375,
          "semantic_restore": 0.041015625,
          "random_equal_norm": 0.04296875,
          "J_semantic_restore": 0.03271484375,
          "J_random_equal_norm": 0.02734375,
          "semantic_fraction_removed": -0.07692307692307687,
          "unrelated_fraction_removed": -0.1282051282051282
        }
      },
      "leave_one_domain_out": [
        {
          "omitted_domain": "archive",
          "semantic_removed": 0.0871794871794872,
          "unrelated_removed": -0.0587771203155818
        },
        {
          "omitted_domain": "cause",
          "semantic_removed": 0.11024886272411027,
          "unrelated_removed": -0.028364998662028462
        },
        {
          "omitted_domain": "prototype",
          "semantic_removed": 0.12603601028865385,
          "unrelated_removed": -0.038010860245784484
        },
        {
          "omitted_domain": "pump",
          "semantic_removed": 0.14124003087213788,
          "unrelated_removed": -0.020838693079495707
        },
        {
          "omitted_domain": "route",
          "semantic_removed": 0.14955509924709098,
          "unrelated_removed": -0.024298425735797435
        },
        {
          "omitted_domain": "staffing",
          "semantic_removed": 0.14513981358189076,
          "unrelated_removed": -0.022636484687083902
        }
      ],
      "histories": [
        {
          "history": 10,
          "semantic_removed": -0.06656804733727806,
          "unrelated_removed": 0.013313609467455634
        },
        {
          "history": 12,
          "semantic_removed": 0.16691241521675015,
          "unrelated_removed": -0.039516366853435736
        }
      ]
    }
  ]
}